From Government to the Management of Complexity: The Cybernetics of Governance A Paper presented to the Metaphorum on Cybernetics and Governance University of Sunderland, April 30th – May 1st 2004 ©Paul A. STOKES Department of Sociology National University of Ireland, Dublin Email: paul.stokes@ucd.ie Note: This work is a draft and may not be quoted in publication without the author’s permission. Abstract The old paradigm of government has ceased to work in the contemporary world and theorists and practitioners alike are floundering around looking for an alternative model as a resource for steering and direction through the post-modern maze. Governance has been proposed as the solution but what is governance? Governance explodes the old political science tripartite lynch pin of parliament-executiveconstitution and instead challenges us to see governance as a function of the organisation and constitution of society as a survival unit. In this view government as traditionally conceived is but the tip of a very large iceberg of governance structure, function and activities which are distributed throughout the social realm. Beer’s VSM is used to identity and map these structures and processes. DRAFT This paper begins by bemoaning the separation of the political and the social as reflected in the split between political science and sociology. Only by recognising that the state and its agencies are embedded in society can we retrieve a comprehensive picture of the dimensions of governance in our societies. This line of analysis necessitates a re-appreciation of the role of the nation state, particularly in Europe, which is the topic of part two. Part three examines the development of the Monopoly State and the historical build-up of hierarchical power structures from the age of empires to the absolutist state. What is most interesting is the counter current, at first dimly perceived among the eddies and flows but later forming a distinctly dominant pattern in itself; the move away from vertical relations as the sole determinants of macro societal relationships. Part four discusses the implications of this development in terms of the historically unprecedented valorisation of horizontal over vertical relationships throughout European societies. In particular, it points to the historical rise of societal complexity, discussed in part five, and its role in bringing about the identity society (discussed in part six) in which top-down, vertical approaches to societal governance (in part seven) are increasingly found wanting. Part eight examines the proposition that only meta-organizational solutions are adequate to the complexity of the governance issues now facing western societies. The paper concludes that Beer’s VSM is the only meta-organizational model that is both fully specified and also adequate to this task. 1. The Political and the Social Traditional social theory does not attribute ‘a purpose’ to society. This is one reason why Parsons’ Social System (Parsons 1951) was eventually rejected by the sociological community.1 It is also the problem with Walter Buckley’s attempt to 1 Parsons too was attracted by the argument from design. Unlike William Palely, however, Parsons on contemplating the social order did not just see an argument for the existence of God. He also saw the workings of a higher, specifically societal, intelligence. This intelligence addressed itself to solving the problems of the social order by skilfully manipulating and placing people in locations in the social structure, by motivating them to do the ‘right’ things and by ‘dealing with’ residual problems that arose. In fact it was Parsons’ besetting flaw that he could imagine the problems of social order being solved only in a such a heteronomous and intrusive manner. His late discovery of cybernetics was to no avail because it seems that he just did not get the essential message: there is no overarching controller. Control in any complex system is of necessity distributed throughout the system. Social order, insofar as it exists, is immanent, not transcendent. In other words, pace Parsons, there is no social system. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 1 09/03/2016 DRAFT revise the idea of ‘society as a complex, adaptive system’ (Buckley 1967; Buckley 1968). The charge of teleology still stands and has not been satisfactorily resolved. Part of the problem has to do with the eschewal by modern sociological theory of modern political theory. It consists of the refusal to accept that modern western societies are essentially political societies where key features of social and economic regulation are assumed by the state. Social theory still tries to theorise the regulation of modern society without reference to its political integument. The split between sociology and political science as separate disciplines rests upon a presumption that the state merely opens up and secures the arena of action and debate that is civil society but in all other respects stands over and above it as its guardian. Later models may have allowed for the political system to produce outputs to and receive outputs from this same society but these occur through discrete channels and don’t affect the fundamental relationship of standoff between polity and society. Recent research and thinking had challenged this model and has brought forward an alternative conceptualisation of the state as somehow embedded in society with all that that entails. Of course the ‘social control as repression’ school had already breached this divide but only in the sense of the state invading and dominating civil society almost to the point of its total obliteration. As we have seen, this is hardly a breakthrough and is in any case evidentially flawed. The rejection of this approach, however, may lead to the temptation to throw the baby of the state out with the bath water of repression. Rather than exclude the state as irrelevant we still need to bring the state back into sociological analysis as a crucial feature of society. We need to develop and sustain a notion of the state as embedded in and emergent from the forms of organization of civil society and to understand how the pattern of state development meshes and interacts with the growth, development and institutionalising of social forms generally in a process of mutual influence and co-evolution (Hall 1981; Hall 1983a; Hall 1983b; Hall 1986). Increasingly authors have been questioning the separation of state and civil society as distinct and separate spheres of action. For instance, it has been argued that one of the consequences of increasing democratic pressure on the state to respond to an everlarger range of demands and interests has been to increase the degree to which the state penetrates into civil society such that the distinction no longer applies. We now effectively live in a state-society [Sozialstaat] (Cohen and Arato 1989; Evans, Rueschmeyer and Skocpol 1985; Foucault 1979; Schmitt 1985; van Krieken 1991). ©Paul A. STOKES Page 2 09/03/2016 DRAFT The State and Social Telos The case can be made more strongly still. It is in the explicit recognition that political regulation lies at the very inauguration of modern society (Wilson 1980) that the possibility is broached of a contemporary sociology. Only in this way can we speak of ‘purpose’ and society; it is the state that imposes a framework of unitary purpose/s on society and that attempts to co-ordinate the various elements at its command to this end. Because a system is a network of nodes that co-ordinates itself in a purposive way or is co-ordinated in a purposive way, it is only in this context, and this context only, that we can also speak of ‘society as a system.’2 But what kind of a system can the state/society be? Well, at the very least, it should be a viable system, that is a system that over time is capable of maintaining its existence as a distinct identity. Without this a specific society can be deemed to have ceased to exist or to be merged with or subsumed into a larger entity. Contemporary sociology always assumes that its is dealing with national societies i.e. Irish, British, French society without looking to the litmus test of identity maintenance to determine whether the boundaries still correspond with the nation-state as assumed or whether, in fact, there is has been a weakening of the boundaries. According to Beer any viable system maintains its existence by means of a specific set of mechanisms which correspond to his Viable System Model [VSM]. The state/society, if it to be viable, may be expected to conform to the delineaments of this model, all things being equal. Of course, what makes all things not equal has been the historical distortion of societal morphology by the demands of competitive power struggle between survival units.3 Nonetheless, by applying the criterion of the VSM as an instrument of critique we may expect to arrive at a view as to how successful the governance mechanisms of the social-state are and what are their shortcomings. And because of the prescriptive nature of the model we may also find ourselves in a position to recommend specific measures that may go some way towards remedying the deficits, even under less than perfect conditions. It was this omission that was, crucially, the source of the weakness of Parsons’ Social System model. 2 ‘Power struggle’ is a major source of distortion for the model, as Beer himself [almost] allows Beer, Stafford. 1989. "The evolution of a management cybernetics process." Pp. 211270 in The Viable System Model: Interpretations and Applications of Stafford Beer's VSM, edited by Raúl Espejo and Roger Harnden. Chichester: John Wiley & Sons.. 3 ©Paul A. STOKES Page 3 09/03/2016 DRAFT In particular the VSM can assist with the identification and diagnosis of many problems of contemporary economic and social life that are in essence problems of regulation and control of the social system as a whole and of co-ordination and communication amongst its various sub-systems and that are not specifically economic or social as such (i.e. problems of governance). 2. State-Society: A Viable Couplet This line of argument draws upon an important contribution to the theory of state formation made by Norbert Elias. The integument that has given inclusive closure and identity to social groupings over the millennia has been what Norbert Elias referred to as the ‘survival unit’. The emergence of nation states in recent centuries is the latest form of survival unit to emerge on the world historical stage. It has constituted society, as we know it. In consequence, the study of society cannot be undertaken outside of this context. We have now arrived at the top-most inclusive level of the recursive structure of identity we call the state-society. To understand this though requires an appreciation of the role and dynamics of survival units in human history (Elias 1987). Pressure of space prevents anything but a brief survey. At the outset it necessary to clarify the status of the national state, as its status has been queried in recent years. For instance, many writers have maintained that globalization has eclipsed the nation state in importance, rendering the latter impotent and irrelevant to future economic global development (see for instance: Horsman and Marshall 1994; Mayntz 1993; Ohmae 1995). This position has itself, however, been questioned. Almost everyone concedes that both the salience and role of nation states has changed markedly since the Keynesian era. Nowadays, states seem to be less autonomous, they have less exclusive control over economic and social processes within their borders, and they struggle to maintain national distinctiveness and cultural homogeneity against Americanised ‘global’ culture (Ritzer 1993). Hirst and Thompson, for instance, concede that ‘While the state’s capacities for governance have changed and in many respects (especially in national macroeconomic management) have weakened considerably, it remains a pivotal institution, especially in terms of creating the conditions for effective international governance’ (Hirst and Thompson 1996: 170). They write: ©Paul A. STOKES Page 4 09/03/2016 DRAFT States in the advanced world no longer have war as a central support for their claims to sovereignty. They are no longer conceivable as autonomous actors, free to pursue any external policy in the anarchical society of states. The society of states is passed from an anarchical condition to a quasi-civil one. The vast majority of states are bound together in numerous ways in what amounts to an international political society, and in the case of the major advanced states of the G7 and OECD, a virtual standing association of states its own rules and decision procedures. This does not mean that national states are irrelevant, the does mean that their claim to a monopoly of the means of legitimate violence within a given territory is no longer so definitive of their existence. (Hirst and Thompson 1996: 180) They conclude nonetheless that the nation state is still ‘simply the most developed form of the idea of the self-governing political community’ (op.cit.: 173). Michael Porter has come to a similar conclusion from his study of national strategies of competitive advantage. He points to a paradox that is at work in the globalisation process: The globalisation of industries and the internationalisation of companies leaves us with a paradox. It is tempting to conclude that the nation has lost its role in the international success of its firms. Companies, at first glance, seem to have transcended countries. Yet what I have learned in this study contradicts this conclusion. As earlier examples have suggested, the leaders in particular industries and segments of industries tend to be concentrated in a few Nations and sustain competitive advantage for many decades. When firms from different Nations form alliances, those firms based in Nations which support true competitive advantage eventually emerge as the unambiguous leaders. (Porter 1990: 18-19) The word ‘glocalization’ has been coined to capture this phenomenon (Naisbitt 1994). Competitive advantage is created and sustained through a highly localised process. Differences in national economic structures, values, cultures, Institutions, and histories contribute profoundly to competitive success. The role of the home nation seems to be a strong as or stronger than ever. While globalisation of competition might appear to make the nation less important, instead it seems to make it more so. With fewer impediments to trade to shelter on competitive domestic firms and industries, the home nation takes on growing significance because it is the source of the skills and technology that underpin competitive advantage. (Porter 1990: 19) And whereas glocalisation may invoke both sub-national and supra-national actors and identities, the principal point to be grasped here is that ‘the bulk of the world’s population live in closed worlds, trapped by the lottery of their birth. For the average worker or farmer with a family, one’s nation state is a community of fate’ (Hirst and Thompson 1996: 180). ©Paul A. STOKES Page 5 09/03/2016 DRAFT Role of Survival Units in Human Evolution and History Mennell tells us that although the life of early humans may well have been, in Hobbes’s famous phrase, ‘poor, nasty, brutish and short’; it was never [as Hobbes also asserted] ‘solitary.’ The primal condition of society is not a war of every human being against every other. It appears to be rather a condition in which human groups have no other protection against possible annihilation or enslavement by another stronger group than their own fists, weapons and collective fighting capacity. In other words: people always lived together in groups which Elias calls survival units. Between members of one survival unit, the level of cooperation in finding food and other necessities, and in defence against or attacks upon other survival units, was relatively high.... The level of violence customary between members of different survival units—each regarding the other as outsiders—was very high. (Mennell 1992: 217-218)—emphasis in original4 Over the course of human development as a whole, the overall trend has been toward larger and larger survival units both in population and in geographical extent. In the latter half of The Civilising Process, Elias constantly draws attention to the contrasts between the taming of impulses towards the use of violence within statesocieties and the relatively unbridled persistence of violence in relations between states. The size of the power-system encompassing rival survival units has grown over the millennia: from the very first ‘big man’ chiefdoms, through the age of the great ancient civilizations, up to the French and English kings in the Middle Ages, through the struggles of the Valois and Hapsburgs, until it encompassed all of Europe by the 30 Years War and was worldwide by the 20th century. In this way, the European state-formation process itself is a good example of the overall trend towards bigger survival units incorporating more people and more territory (Mennell 1992). The Raison d’Être of the Survival Unit In What Is Sociology? Elias asks ‘What makes complexes like states and tribes so important that it is almost taken for granted that they are what is meant whenever reference is made to social ‘wholes’?’ He explains as follows: States and tribes are to a considerable extent objects of common identification-objects to which many individual valences are bonded. Yet why do emotional bonds to state-societies—which nowadays are In his earlier book What Is Sociology?, Elias referred to these groups as ‘attacking-anddefence-units’ Elias, Norbert. 1978b. What is Sociology? London: Hutchinson.. 4 ©Paul A. STOKES Page 6 09/03/2016 DRAFT nation-states—take priority over bonds to other figurations? At other stages of social development, towns, tribes are even villages have taken priority in the same way. What are the common features of the various figurations which at different stages of development have bound individuals to them by this type of predominating emotional bond? (Elias 1978b: 138) For Elias, the explanation is obvious: Its function is obvious: it knits people together for common purposes— the common defence of their lives, the survival of the group in the face of attacks by other groups and, for a variety of reasons, attacks in common on other groups. Thus the primary function of such an alliance is either physically to wipe out other people or to protect its own members from being physically wiped out. Since the potential of such units for attack is inseparable from the potential for defence, they may be called ‘attack-and-defence units’ or ‘survival units’. At the present state of social development they take the form of nation-states. In the future they may be amalgamations of several former nationstates.5 In the past they were represented by city-states or the inhabitants of a stronghold. Size and structure vary: the function remains the same. At every stage of development, wherever people have been bound and integrated into units for attack and defence, this bond has been stressed above all others. This survival function, involving the use of physical force against others, creates interdependencies of a particular kind. It plays a part in the figurations people form: perhaps no greater but also no more negligible than ‘occupational’ bonds. (Elias 1978b: 138-139) Throughout human history there has been an inexorable tendency for victorious survival units to absorb and integrate the vanquished. The result has been ever larger and more integrated ‘societies’. Despite regressions—Feudalism, for example, was an example of a reversal of this process—the process always regained its course leading to greater functional differentiation, multi-level integration and the formation of larger attack-and-defence organizations (Elias 1978b: 155). 3. The Road to Political Monopoly The process that gave rise to the very first political kingdoms in human history was of a similar pattern to the process that gave rise to European state formation. According to Elias, at the point of utmost feudal disintegration in the West certain dynamics of social interweaving came into play that tended to integrate larger and larger units. Elias tell us that out of the competition of small territories, themselves formed through 5 This problem will remain until all former attack-and-defence units have been effectively integrated into one—mankind. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 7 09/03/2016 DRAFT the struggles of even smaller survival units, a few and finally a single unit slowly emerged victorious. The victor formed the centre about which a new larger dominion was integrated; he formed the monopoly centre of estate organization within the framework of which many of the previously freely competing regions and groups gradually grew together into a more or less unified, better and more balanced and higher web of a higher order of magnitude. (Elias 2000: 436) Just as, in the post-Neolithic phase described earlier, the process is experienced as compelling and not one of choice. A number of estates placed in competition experience the need to expand if they are not to be subjugated by expanding neighbours, so in the next the group of units one-degree larger, duchies or counties, found themselves in the same predicament. With the growth of population, the internal competition for land is intensified and pressures mount for external expansion. The dynamics are such that in a society with such competitive pressures, he who does not gain ‘more’ automatically becomes ‘less’. In other words, it sets the territorial rulers against one another. At first the divergences of power are contained, even in this phase, within a framework that allows a considerable number of feudal territorial dominions to remain in contention. Then, after many victories and defeats, some grow stronger through accumulating the means of power, while others are forced out of the struggle. The victorious few fight on and the process of elimination is repeated until finally the decision lies between only two territorial dominions swollen through the defeat and assimilation of others. All the rest—whether they were involved in the struggle or remained neutral—have been reduced by the growth of these two to figures of second or third rank, though they still retain a certain social importance. The other two, however, are approaching a monopoly position; they have outstripped the others; between them lies the issue. (Elias 2000: 98-99) The process is repeated until finally, in the extreme case, one individual controls all power chances and all the others are dependent on him. In this way an ever-increasing number of power chances tends to accumulate in the hands of an ever-diminishing number of people through a series of elimination contests. Elias tells us that this process is inexorable in a society with numerous power and property units of relatively equal size. Under pressure of demographic and resource circumscription these will come under strong competitive pressures towards the enlargement of a few units and finally towards monopoly. No matter who the ©Paul A. STOKES Page 8 09/03/2016 DRAFT monopolist is, ‘that a monopoly will sooner or later be formed has a high degree of probability, at least in the social structures that existed so far.’ In the words of Elias: In the language of exact science this observation with perhaps be called a ‘law’. Strictly speaking, what we have is a relatively precise formulation of a simple social mechanism which, once set in motion, proceeds like clockwork. A human figuration in which a relatively large number of units, by virtue of the power at their disposal, are in competition, tends to deviate from this state of equilibrium [many balanced by many; relatively free competition] and to approach the different state in which fewer and fewer units are able to compete; in other words it approaches a situation in which one’s social units attains through accumulation a monopoly of the contended power chances. (Elias 2000: 99-100) A mechanism of this kind is at work in formation of hitherto existing states, at least in the European domain, just as it was earlier involved in formation of smaller units, the territories, or will be later in formation of the larger ones. The Monopoly State Modern society is characterised, above all in the West, by a high degree of monopolisation of force and taxation by the central authorities. The process of integration of territories into ever larger units by means of elimination contests and in the direction of monopoly should not obscure from our vision the distinctive governance functions that such pacified polities perform, which functions add greatly to their stability and success as polities (Corning 1983). The success of the division of labour itself, the securing of routes and markets over large areas, the standardisation of coinage to a and the whole monetary system, the protection of peaceful production from physical violence and the abundance of other measures of coordination and regulation are all highly dependent on the formation of large centralised monopoly institutions. The more, in other words, the work processes and the totality of functions in a society become differentiated, the longer and more complex the chains of individual actions which must interlock for each action to fulfil its social purpose, the more clearly one specific characteristics of the central organ emerges: its role as supreme coordinator and regulator for the functionally differentiated figuration at large. For a certain degree of functional differentiation onward, the complex web of intertwining human activities simply cannot continue to grow or even to function without coordinating organs at a correspondingly high level of organization. (Elias 2000: 163-164) – emphasis in original. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 9 09/03/2016 DRAFT Power and Dependence With the achievement of a monopoly there commences a complex process of its undoing, not in a process of social disintegration, but in a way that further serves the integration of society. For it is the paradox of the monopoly position that it makes the monopolist actually dependent on functionaries for the exercise of the monopoly powers. Elias describes what is involved: The more people are made dependent by the monopoly mechanism, the greater becomes the power of the dependent, not only individually but also collectively, in relation to the one or more monopolists. This happens not only because of small number of those approaching the monopoly position, but because of their own dependence on ever more dependents in preserving and exploiting the power potential that monopolised. Whether it is the question of land, soldiers or money in any form, the more that is accumulated by an individual, the less easily can it be supervised by this individual, and the more sure he becomes by this very monopoly dependent on increasing numbers of others, the more he becomes dependent on his dependents. (Elias 2000: 108) In short, the more people on whose work or functions the monopoly in any way depends, ‘the more strongly does this whole field controlled by the monopolist assert its own weight and its own inner regularities’ (loc.cit.). Every monopoly tends, therefore, from a certain degree of accumulation onwards, to escape the control of any single individual and to pass into that of entire social groups, frequently starting with former government functionaries, the first servants of the monopolists. In this way the power first won through the accumulation of chances in private struggles, tends to slip away from the monopoly rulers into the hands of the dependants as a whole, or, to begin with, to groups of dependants, such as the monopoly administration. The privately owned monopoly in the hands of a single individual or family comes under the control of broader social strata, and transforms itself as the central organ of a state into a public monopoly. (Elias 2000: 108-109) Such shifts in favour of the many do not in fact lead to the disintegration of the monopoly, ‘but only to a different form of control over it.’ Elias tells us that only in the course of a growing social interdependence of all functions does it become possible to wrest monopolies from arbitrary exploitation by a few without causing them to disintegrate. The main phases of the monopoly mechanism and its unravelling, a process of social formation that has been repeated throughout human history, can be described as ©Paul A. STOKES Page 10 09/03/2016 DRAFT follows. There is first the phase of free competition or elimination contests, with the outcome that resources and power chances become accumulated in fewer and fewer and finally in one pair of hands. This concludes the phase of monopoly formation. Secondly, there is the phase in which control over the centralised and monopolised resources tends to pass from one individual to ever greater numbers, and finally ‘to become a function of the interdependent human web as a whole.’ This is the phase in which a relatively ‘private’ monopoly becomes a ‘public’ one (Elias 2000: 115). In this way princely dominions merged into the royal ones and royal power into the bourgeois state (Elias 2000: 159). Despite the fact that we are describing here a process of formation of nation states and the growth of their public bureaucracies, in a historical perspective what we are witnessing is a long-term shift in emphasis from vertical to horizontal relationships. This process is of considerable importance and relevance to my discussion and it forms of topic of the next part. 4. The Long Term Shift from Vertical to Horizontal Relationships I have argued elsewhere (Stokes 2003) that the interplay between sociomatrix and identity is the play between vertical and horizontal dimensions of relationship, on the dimensions of grid and group (Douglas 1978; Douglas 1982; Thompson, Ellis and Wildavsky 1990). Cultural anthropologist Christopher Boehm has noted that the three African great apes, with which we share a common ancestry, are notably hierarchical in their social organization. ‘Reproductively fortunate’, he remarks, ‘are the high-ranking males or females, while those relegated to the bottom of the hierarchy fare less well.’ He continues, The same can be said of most human political societies in the world today, starting about five thousand years ago. At that time, people were beginning to live increasingly in chiefdoms, societies with highly privileged individuals who occupied hereditary positions of political leadership and social paramountcy. From certain well-developed chiefdoms came the six early civilizations, with their powerful and often despotic leaders. But before twelve thousand years ago, humans basically were egalitarian (Knauft 1991). They lived in what might be called societies of equals, with minimal political centralization and no social classes. Everyone participated in group decisions, and outside the family there were no dominators. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 11 09/03/2016 DRAFT For more than five millennia now, the human trend has been toward hierarchy rather than equality. But the past several centuries have witnessed sporadic but highly successful attempts to reverse this trend—to reverse it as much as is feasible in large nations that require considerable political centralization. These efforts occurred in America and in Europe, and have taken place more recently in certain other areas, notably India and Latin America, as people emerged from colonialism. Marxian socialists as well have made a variety of unsuccessful attempts to create truly classless and coercion-free political societies at the national level. It would appear, then, that some kind of fundamental tension exists between forces that make for equality and democracy, and those that make for hierarchy and coercive leadership. To a contemporary ‘democrat’, the upshot is not particularly comforting. (Boehm 2001: 3-4) One cannot understand the developments of recent centuries if one does not see them in the context of the overall long-term trends of European civilization. Among these are decisive shift in the balance of power among strata, classes and groups in society (Elias 1978b). Elias draws our attention to four aspects of this trend: 1. The reduction of power differentials between governments and governed. This manifested itself in the eventual winning of the franchise by all members of society. What this realignment meant was that ‘no section of society remained simply a relatively passive object of domination by others’ (Elias 1978b: 66). In the perspective of the long-term historical development of societies this change meant that the ‘chances of the bulk of the governed to exercise a measure of control over governments, relative to the chances of governments to control the governed, became somewhat greater than they had been’ [loc.cit.]. 2. The reduction of power differentials between different strata and groups. It is clear that differentials had diminished also between groups and strata in society. Whereas the bulk of the populace of European societies used to be virtually powerless this could not be said of the late 19th and 20th centuries. Not only have power differentials diminished between social classes, but also between men and women and between parents and children. Authoritarianism of all kinds has been attenuated as a basis for the exercise of authority [viz. Weber’s shift to ‘legitimate’ authority]. 3. The transformation of all social relationships in the direction of a greater degree of reciprocal, multi-polar dependence and control. Perhaps the most fundamental developments in European societies since the end of the 16th century was the rise of capitalism and the enormous productive control over natural forces and elements that were gained as a result. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 12 09/03/2016 DRAFT Along with the attenuation of power differentials, the growth of ever more complex and longer chains of interdependence between people brought about a shift in the structure of control in society from strictly top-down, bi-polar relations of power vs. powerlessness to one where there is a very significant degree of multipolar and reciprocal control among social groups. (Elias 1956). This development is fundamental to an understanding of modern societies, yet sociology is so conceptually out of alignment with its subject matter that it still does not possess a formulation of the problem of power in society that does justice to this insight. Sociology’s present level of conceptualisation of the phenomenon of power in society could be said to be almost feudal, seeing it still, as it does, in strictly topdown, bi-polar terms.6 4. The development of social sciences and social ideals as instruments of orientation when social bonds are relatively opaque and when awareness of their opacity is increasing. Elias eloquently describes the basic experience of social life in the modern era, which provides the soil for the germination and growth of a scientific sociology: More and more groups and with them more and more individuals, tend to become dependant on each other for their security and the satisfaction of their needs in ways which for the greater part, surpass the comprehension of those involved. It is as if first thousands, then millions, then more and more millions walked through this world, their hands and feet chained together by invisible ties. No one is in charge. No one stands outside. Some want to go this, others that way. They fall upon each other and vanquishing or defeated still remain chained to each other. No one can regulate the movements of the whole unless a great part of them are able to understand, to see as it were, from outside, the whole patterns they form together. And they are not able to visualize themselves as part of these larger patterns because being hemmed in and moved uncomprehendingly hither and thither in ways none of them intended, they cannot help being preoccupied with the urgent, narrow and parochial problems which each of them has to face. They can only look at whatever happens to them from their narrow location within the system. They are too deeply involved to look at themselves from without. Thus what is formed of nothing but human beings acts upon each of them, and is experienced by many as an alien external force not unlike the forces of nature. (Elias 1956: 232) 6 For an indication that movement on the conceptual front has been taking place in relation to the phenomenon of power, see some recent work Flyvberg, Bent. 1998. Rationality and Power: Democracy in Practice. Chicago: Chicago University Press, Haugaard, Mark. 1997. The Constitution of Power: A Theoretical Analysis of Power, Knowledge and Structure. Manchester: Manchester University Press, Hindess, Barry. 1996. Discourses of Power: From Hobbes to Foucault. Oxford: Blackwell.. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 13 09/03/2016 DRAFT The Diminution of Requisite Hierarchy According to Aulin, the decisive factor behind these developments, making it possible to relax social hierarchy7 has been the potentiation of regulatory ability conferred by the growth of productive forces. He writes: As long as improvement of the tools of production implies more automation, and a higher level of education means increased productivity, this factor is identical with economic growth.... Should all the economic growth disappear in the world, we would be facing, in view of our cybernetic analysis, the real threat of reverting to the era of totalitarianism as a necessary element of survival of human population. … Absolute power and strict social hierarchy backed by conditioning of the truth serves the survival of human population only at a low level of development of productive forces. (Aulin 1982: 29) Western societies have undergone a process whereby crude, disciplinary, top-down controls have given way to more participative, democratic, distributive control in which more and more of society gets to have a say. This decline of strict class-society, Aulin tell us, began in Europe with the collapse of the Roman slave-society. The feudal social order, which after some chaotic centuries began to take shape in West Europe, represented the beginning of a relaxation of social hierarchy. This went hand in hand with a process whereby the enormous unused developmental resources of the lower social classes were gradually released, and began to speed up social progress toward greater self-steering and emancipation (Aulin 1982: 138; Aulin 1986). In fact, if anything it was the development and dissemination throughout European and later on American societies of new technologies of control as well as new forms of social organization that permitted self-regulation to take such a strong hold (Beniger 1986; Beniger 1990; Whitney-Smith 1991). Aulin explains this process cybernetically by reference to what he calls the Law of Requisite Hierarchy. Self-steering and hierarchy are opposite if reciprocal notions. The more hierarchy there is in the structure of a dynamic system the less there can be self-steering. Greater self-steering generally requires lesser hierarchy. The reason resides in the fact that the weaker the average regulatory ability and the larger the average uncertainty of available regulators, the more requisite hierarchy is needed in the organization of regulation and control for the same result of regulation (Aulin 1982: 115). In other words, the law states that greater hierarchy in organization By hierarchy is meant here ‘heteronomous directedness’ or ‘direction by others’ in contrast to autonomy. 7 ©Paul A. STOKES Page 14 09/03/2016 DRAFT can compensate to a certain extent for a lack of regulatory ability (Aulin-Ahmavaara 1979). In a strictly hierarchical organization all orders go down and all information goes up the social ladder. In a developed society, however, there are representative organs through which even the underdogs can send orders upwards, and organs of education and information through which information is shared between ‘bosses’ and employees (Etzioni 1968; Mechanic 1962). The possibilities of self-steering in human society depend largely but not entirely on the level that has been reached in the process of production in that society (Aulin 1986). In this sense, productive forces act as regulators in human society (Sen 1999). However, self-steering is not only a matter of directly productive activity but also depends decisively on the level of development of political, administrative and creative activities as well. In fact the degree to which the possibilities of self-steering created by productive activity are realised or not depends crucially on the deliberate political, administrative and creative acts of the members of the society (Aulin 1982: 135; Corning 1971; Corning 1983; Corning 1996). In the history of human civilizations, initially, it is the aristocratic elites who define their own importance and for whose sake the survival unit exists. Gradually and by virtue of the growing dependence of elite groups upon them, members of the lower orders are co-opted in alliances against other elite groups (Elias 2000). Such a process, the formation of vertical alliances (Powelson 1994) extends the range of numbers of people who identity with the survival unit of the state and who feel as though they have a stake in it. All the time, power ratios between the top layers and intermediate to lower layers are being attenuated in a process that Elias calls ‘functional democratisation’(Elias 2000). Aulin suggests that with increasing self-steering and increasing variability of social structures endogenous causality will grow in significance. He writes that The march of events in a human society will be ever more based on the deliberate decisions of its members. Counter to the expectations of most futurologists, increasing progress thus means decreasing predictability. With advancing self-steering in society the future can be less and less foretold by the past. Life becomes ever more like an ©Paul A. STOKES Page 15 09/03/2016 DRAFT intellectual adventure and ever less like a military or an economic one. (Aulin 1982: 144)8 Or in Dennis Gabor’s words, the challenge may well be to invent the future (Gabor 1964). Beer and others (Beer 1979; Espejo and Harnden 1989) have well made the point that institutions are currently lacking that specifically embed the future into the present in such a way that a proactive stance towards bringing out future states of the societal system becomes possible.9 The possibility of such institutions is intrinsically caught up with the possibility of a social science (Elias 1978b; Etzioni 1976). 5. Historical Increase in Societal Complexity According to Stafford Beer the shift from the vertical to the horizontal in relationships is responsible for the enormous increase in social complexity that characterises our era (La Porte 1975; Luhmann 1985).10 He maintains that for many centuries, horizontal linkages were not very important for the vast preponderance of human beings, except of course for the aristocracy for whom the ability to form coalitions and cement alliances was crucial for survival. ‘The organizational quantum, a village in a feudal society, the subsidiary of a firm, a the ward of a city, and so on, obeyed the law upwards and administered the law downwards. What the cousins were doing, which is to say organizational quanta at the same hierarchic level, was really of no concern’ (Beer 1975: 30). A feudal Lord [one man] exerted total control over his serfs—simply because they could not in practice match his variety between them. That is because the variety available to them in principle was never allowed to proliferate. On men digging the soil from long to dusk, and then collapsing into bed, offered no more variety to the boss than one such man—because they were replicas, one of another. They presented a low variety situation easily contained by master having unquestionable authority and plenty of time. [op.cit.: 34] 8 See also Bennis and Slater Bennis, Warren, and Philip E. Slater. 1964. "Democracy is Inevitable." Harvard Business Review.. 9 System Four of Beer’s Viable System Model [VSM]. Livingston defines complexity as follows: ‘A thing is complex when it exceeds the capacity of a single individual to understand it sufficiently to exercise effective control – regardless of the resources placed at his disposal’ Livingston, William L. 1985. The New Plague. Bayside, NJ: FES Publishing.. 10 ©Paul A. STOKES Page 16 09/03/2016 DRAFT He claims that ‘perhaps the major organizational issue today could be called horizontal relevance.’ Society has undergone an expansion which has caused the quanta carefully separated by the stereotype to collide in almost every dimension we can nominate. Social units are no longer separate: they share common boundaries, which the inhabitants freely cross. Divisions by profession, trade or skill, have come to overlap because of changes in our conception of the best way to do things. Knowledge itself has been reorganized, because of changes in our understanding of the universe, with the result that interdisciplinary studies taken as a whole are now far more important to society than studies made within the classical disciplines. Above all, technological change—in communication, computation, the ability to travel—has affected the family tree stereotype of organization to the point where the boundaries it seeks to maintain can be maintained no longer. [loc.cit.] This has come about through the interaction of a number of factors. Technology has facilitated the proliferation of individual variety and hence the complexity of society. Communication technology in particular [from reading and writing to train travel and beyond] has facilitated the spread of horizontal networks, as a result of which, society has ‘fairly suddenly become massively interactive.’ This has altered the variety balance of traditional forms of domination and control. There has also been a substantial diminution in the degree of what Douglas calls ‘grid’ (Douglas 1978; Douglas 1982). Beer describes the situation of one of loss of authority and hence simplicity of control. Just at the moment when technology has unleashed such potent mathematical forces of interaction in the human society, society has for other reasons abandoned most of the restraints on variety it already had. Leaving aside the relatively small numbers of ways of behaving better cut out as actually illegal, there used to be a great many varietyinhibiting social taboos. There were social disciplines too— administered by squires, priests, schoolmasters and even fathers; and there was in the individual himself and acceptance of what used to be called ‘his station in life’. [op.cit.: 33] The regulatory process has been threatened in the process forcing it to increase its own complexity and variety relative to that of the environment. Beer cites the example the growth in complexity of the tax code. The general levy is a low variety tax, and therefore easy to administer. Once we take account of individual circumstances, the variety goes up. Trying to match this variety, more and more regulations are introduced—until it is doubtful whether anyone can work out what is happening. A similar situation exists for the police, and even for less ©Paul A. STOKES Page 17 09/03/2016 DRAFT obvious social regulators existing within education, health and social welfare. [op.cit.: 34] Complexity Crisis The regulatory mechanism is threatened in another way too. The very purpose of organization is to handle proliferating variety, firstly by cutting down variety where that seems to make sense, and secondly by proving efficient and well-lubricated channels for the flow of control variety. See Figures 1 and 2. Figure 1: The Variety Imbalance between Environment, Operations and Management Figure 2: Instruments of Variety Management The process of bureaucratisation is stimulated by the proliferation of equivocality in the environment. A constant stream of exceptions, loop-holes, externalities and individual cases fuelled the drive for bureaucratic growth (Meyer 1990; Meyer and Brown 1977). But clearly, bureaucratic structure is in the end inadequate to deal with massively parallel variety. As civilian life becomes increasingly complex, which means that every individual has high variety [compare feudal times], it becomes increasingly necessary to match the total variety of half the citizens with a control variety consisting of the other half. Today we have just ©Paul A. STOKES Page 18 09/03/2016 DRAFT about reach the point where the policing of the state—in terms of taxation, welfare, education and so forth, as well as criminality— consumes half the total effort of society. [op.cit.: 111] As we shall see, proliferating variety is a measure of increasing chaos. Entropy is increasing in the social system; negentropy is falling (Beer 1970a; Beer 1970b; Geyer 1978; Geyer 1990; Geyer 1991; Geyer 1992; Geyer 1994; Nicolis and Prigogine 1989; Prigogine, Allen and Herman 1977a; Prigogine, Allen and Herman 1977b). Complexification and Entropification The continuous process of binding of complexity into increasingly centralised structures tends to a limit under existing conditions. Joseph Tainter (1988; 1995) has exhaustively studied the collapse of historical societies and has concluded that increased complexity and the attendant costs of this is responsible for societal-wide collapse in almost every case he studied. Complexification represents the build-up of entropy in a system. More complex societies are more costly to maintain than simpler ones, requiring greater support levels per capita (Miller 1978). Initially, as societies increase in complexity, more networks are created among individuals, more hierarchical controls are created to regulate these networks, more information is processed, there is more centralisation of information flow, there is increasing need to support specialists not directly involved in resource production, and the like. The result is that as a society evolves toward greater complexity, the support costs levied on each individual will also rise, so that the population as a whole must allocate increasing proportions of energy budget to maintaining institutions dedicated to coordination, centralization and control. (Tainter 1988: 90-91). Continued investment in sociopolitical complexity reaches a point where the benefits of such investment begin to decline, at first gradually, then with accelerated force. Thus, not only must populations allocate greater and greater amounts of resources to maintaining an evolving society, but after a certain point, higher amounts of this investment will yield smaller increments of return. Diminishing returns, therefore, are a recurrent aspect of centralizing sociopolitical evolution and of investment in complexity [loc.cit.]. The processing of large quantities of information is an essential aspect of complex societies, and indeed the need for this processing is probably one of the reasons that ©Paul A. STOKES Page 19 09/03/2016 DRAFT such societies came into existence. Yet the costs of information-processing, in many spheres, also show a trend of declining marginal productivity [op.cit.: 99]. As the size of a social group increases the communication load increases even faster. Information processing increases until capacity is reached. After this point, information-processing performance deteriorates, so that even greater costs are allocated to processing that is less efficient and reliable [loc.cit.]. Up to a point many of these costs are bearable due to the economies of synergy that are involved (Corning 1983; Corning 1995; Corning 1996; Corning 1998; Corning forthcoming). The process is very much a question of economy and the gains of the present are not free lunches but are rather more like credits drawn on the future that someday will fall due to be paid. The more complex the system becomes it approaches the limits of its existing control architecture and a period of crisis of governance ensues (Beniger 1986; WhitneySmith 1991). The constant build up and yet constant deferral of the costs of centralization as the system builds ever more away from equilibrium conditions yields deleterious consequences at system level, among which are to be found: 1. There is increased differentiation with many more parts [identities] and subsystems all relatively autonomous from each other and all potentially either mutually-enabling or mutually-inhibitory. Luhmann describes only the apex of this line of development whereby functionally differentiated systems are effectively estranged from each other and hence cannot interact or communicate with each other without intermediate transducers and systems of mediation. 2. There is increased complexity in the system, action takes longer to effect, and more and more other points of view have to be taken into account. Sociology reflects this in the manner of ‘false consciousness’ as an essentially ‘theoretical’ problem (Marx and Engels 1974). 3. The 80:20 rule kicks in after a while with consequent diminishing returns to effort (Beer 1979; Tainter 1988; Tainter 1995). The whole system eventually becomes too cumbersome and too expensive to run relative to the benefits derived. In other words, it is inevitable that entropy builds up in the system in the form of increased complexity, loss of efficacy of action and decreasing returns to investment. Luhmann’s state of maximum differentiation really represents just such a state of maximum entropification (Luhmann 1982). ©Paul A. STOKES Page 20 09/03/2016 DRAFT What Tainter does not show, however, is that the process of entropification represents a ‘control crisis’ and can be resolved by the discovery and invention of new control technologies that are applied in ways that augment the amount of control variety that is available (Beniger 1986). Chiefly they permit new modes of governance and social organization to come about (Beniger 1990). Today we are also experiencing a control revolution in the form of various experiences of the ‘loss of control’. The overall trend is away from top-down forms of directive control to increased relative autonomy within society itself. We should not underestimate the difficulty of ‘letting go’. As Whitney-Smith reminds us, the most difficult shift to achieve in control is between centralised control and de-centralised control by individuals (Whitney-Smith 1991: 173). The Identity Society In terms of a theory of action, all of these changes manifest themselves as different facets of a single societal phenomenon: identity and identification. The self-effacement of the masses came to an end, paradoxically, with the mass political movements of the late 19th and early 20th centuries: the democratic movement, nationalism and anti-imperialism, the suffragettes, and so forth. These were movements of mass society and of mass democracy (Ortega y Gasset 1932). The identity society has now replaced the society of the masses, although many do not yet realise it (Glasser 1976). Identity has become so central to the experience of our societies that it has become an indispensable explanatory concept of social action and social forms in these societies. So-called hyper self-reflexivity in no more that the identity phase of the selfrecognition of the self (Beck, Giddens and Lash 1994). This is the state of society characterised by post-modernism. In an identity society, identity and complexity emerge as dancing partners. This is the root of the experience of post-modernism, the sense of ennui, of ‘nothing happens’. As the possibilities for getting action become stymied under existing arrangements, action gets backed up down the side-alleys and side-shows of identity. The identity society is a society of entropic complexity. It is a society in which questions of structure get aired but in a mystical, metaphysical way as though ‘structure’ were the ahistorical condition of every society. Not all societies ©Paul A. STOKES Page 21 09/03/2016 DRAFT ‘complicate’ action to the same extent. Some identities are action-related and this action leads to hyper-identity if it is blocked or interrupted in some way. There is a mistaken notion about that the question of identity has assumed importance only in the context of the recent emergence of the so-called politics of identity. Nothing could be further from the truth. It is true that there has been a prior lack of concentration on questions of identity in sociological analysis. One reason for this is surely the lack of a well thought-out approach to the whole area of social dynamics. Recently, an approach to process thinking has emerged in sociology, especially in Europe. It is not surprising, therefore, that this new approach has produced a new way of addressing the question of identities.11 The developments of the last century have to be seen in the context of the human history that preceded them. In a real sense the last century saw for the first time since the rise of the ‘common person’ (Robertson and Holzner 1980). For almost all of human history till then the common person was a nobody, a zero, a nothing. History was about and for the aristocrats and nobles. The peasantry was largely invisible, except when they occasionally revolted. The rise of the cities began to change all that. When craftsmen formed guilds in the medieval cities they began to take on, assert and defend completely new forms of identity that demanded recognition and respect from others. The rise of the bourgeois class and their forms of association similarly brought forth new forms of identity and recognition. The growth in the numbers of types of identities has lead to a great complexification of society. Although correlated with the growth of the division of labour this process—the multiplication of identities—is not one and the same. Marx’s distinction between a class in itself [klasse an sich] and a class for itself [klasse für sich] is apposite. Whereas identities can be wholly attributed [e.g. ‘nigger’, ‘Mick’] normally the demand for recognition comes from identities that are self-consciously chosen, affirmed and validated.12 Even though undergoing tremendous functional differentiation the industrial working class was nonetheless highly under-differentiated in terms of identity claims for the 11 See, in particular, Mennell Mennell, Stephen. 1994. "The Formation of We-Images: A Process Theory." Pp. 175-197 in Social Theory and the Politics of Identity: The Modern Discourse of Identity, edited by Craig Calhoun. Cambridge, MA: Blackwell Publishers.. Some groups ‘turn around’ attributed identity in an ironic reversal by embracing and espousing the values associated with those negative identities e.g. the way some black people and groups have embraced and celebrated the ‘nigger’ identity. 12 ©Paul A. STOKES Page 22 09/03/2016 DRAFT early period of industrial revolution. Like the peasantry before them, they were invisible and of no consequence as social actors. They were merely instruments of production, pure labour power. This began to change with the rise of organized associations of workers, the trades unions. It was these associations that demanded recognition, respect and their due for workers. However, even with the rise of unions, industrial workers remained highly under-differentiated in terms of identity. The identity of ‘boilermaker’ conceals a multitude of possible unique identities of individuals that it cannot express. Nonetheless, the activism of the industrial working class did significantly add to the pantheon of competing identity claims in modern society. They demanded and got a place at the table, as witnessed by the history of social partnership in Europe since the end of World War II. Mass society did exist for a period but we are now leaving it. Mass society was the society in which complexity was not acknowledged and things were run as though society was still small and intimate. Mass society is an engulfed society [Scheff 1997]. This is not the society of the ‘good old times’ when things were simple and black and white, before ‘everything got so complicated’. Mass society was a society of uniformity, of sameness, of grey conformity organized around the simple nostrums of family, country and religion. Governments ran countries on the basis of simple notions of population and mass demographics.13 The period of mass society was a transitional period and as an example of cultural lag in governance was a precursor to the current control crisis. Worse, people misunderstood themselves in deceptively simplistic terms and denied their own complexity. Family life was a Pandora’s box of seething complexity and repressed identity claims (Cooper 1971; Laing 1976; Laing and Esterson 1970). Of course, the complete inadequacy of simplicity when confronted with complexity was bound to come to grief. And so it did with the eruptions of the 1960’s, the decade when individuals began to ‘come out’ and ‘do their own thing’. The self-reliance and self-confidence that increasing affluence gave to young people in particular triggered a process of unprecedented differentiation and individuation based on life experience (Habermas 1971). Of course, this necessary re-balancing of the social bonds in the 13 There is also the not inconsiderable fact that most government and administrative elites held very snobby, simplistic and derogatory attitudes towards the common people, such was the class divide between government and governed. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 23 09/03/2016 DRAFT direction of individuation was completely hi-jacked by the Thatcherite revolution and misinterpreted as a swing towards selfishness, egoism and the private sphere and against community and connectedness. We are still dealing with it under the crisis of governance and with what Knorr-Cetina (1997) calls the trend towards individualism. For most of our history human beings have been engulfed in a variety of group identities. The trend towards individualism is therefore a very recent and so far shortlived phenomenon. Like many reaction phenomena it has been judged to have swung too far and a counter reaction has set in-at least at the ideological and intellectual levels (Etzioni 1995; Lasch 1979). Before rushing to judgment it might benefit us if we took a closer look at the phenomenon and its history. The individualism of which we speak is not the atomism of classical mechanism or the individualism of the ‘invisible hand’. These were phantastical constructions lacking any empirical referents whatsoever. The number of free, unfettered individuals who could dispose of their wealth and assets solely according to the ratio of pure calculation always was and is vanishingly small. Although individuation has a long history (Bloom 1999; Jaynes 1976), the individualism of which I write has come about through a rejection of the ties that bind—as though from a long deep-seated historical yearning to be ‘free’. The American experience has been characterized in precisely this way: the land of the future where people could construct their own identities free from the fetters of the past. Escape may be a prerequisite to getting greater control over one’s life but in itself it is not sufficient. What is necessary is a technology of control—a means of taking [greater] control and constructing life meaning and identity for one’s self. Reading and writing are precisely such tools. Once absorbed they give the individual unparalleled inner freedom to move in whatever direction they wish without being observed by others.14 Not only can they enrich the world of valued goal objects in a person and hence set them off in new unheard and undreamt of directions. They also give them the means of greater control over their lives through he manipulation of ubiquitous symbols. Literacy and numeracy enormously increase the variety of 14 To what extent people have always had the inner freedom to think their own thoughts is a moot point Jaynes, Julian. 1976. The Origins of Consciousness in the Breakdown of the Bicameral Mind. Boston: Houghton Mifflin.. Nonetheless, the stimulation provided by reading by greatly extending the range of experience and thought would have amplified it a thousand fold. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 24 09/03/2016 DRAFT behavioural action and response that is available to people. The self-reflexivity involved in the processes of reading and writing prompt the formation of identity questions (Bloom 2000; Hoggart 1958). Riesman, for instance, calls our attention to the ‘refuge of print’. He writes: ‘… we must not forget that the great reading-hour storehouse of the era depending on inner-direction is the Bible and that the Bible is not one book but many, with an inexhaustible variety of messages’ (Riesman 1961: 96). Such a refuge holds out the possibility of detaching the self from the fixity of already established identities, of the possibility of leverage from the immersion of engulfment (Bloom 2000). Such a refuge may encourage and permit the child to free himself from his family and primary group; and he may learn to criticize what he leaves behind, as did the self-emancipating readers of the Polish peasant press. It opens up to him a whole range of models-the ‘fivefoot wardrobe’ from which he can try on new roles. The Renaissance is itself testimony to this potency of the written word. Individualistic strivings find support as well as oversupport in the variety of paths of life described in print and drama. To be alone with a book is to be alone in a new way. (Riesman 1961: 96)15 A significant increase in the inflation of identities and identity claims was brought about by the introduction of numeracy and literacy on a mass scale (Hoggart 1958). In discovering and becoming more of ‘themselves’ people propagate identities. Recognition and respect become the by-words of the new society of identities. Political correctness is a reflection of this newfound necessary respect for difference, even though it often gets it wrong and triggers the embarrassment it was meant to avoid. In coming to discern their interests, their likes and dislikes people join with others in forging new collective identities of many kinds and varieties. These new identities become a new source of action and of demands for recognition. Individual action was by no means the only outcome of this process. New forms of identification unleashed mobilization of collective action on an unprecedented scale as whole groups of people struggled to wrest control of their destinies from overweening, bloated and redundant empires (Anderson 1991). In many instances of the latter collective identification and liberation took precedence over individual liberation, which means that the severing of community bonds has come later if yet at all to post15 See also Bobrick Bobrick, Benson. 2001. Wide as the Waters: The Story of the English Bible and the Revolution it Inspired. New York: Simon & Schuster.. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 25 09/03/2016 DRAFT colonial societies than to the societies of empire and domination. Ultimately though, as we have seen with Ireland in recent decades, the demands for individual release from communal engulfment cannot be postponed indefinitely and the floodgates are rent asunder. In post-colonial societies this latter process is incorrectly attributed to some kind of malign American cultural influence. But this would not be correct. The mass media of television, radio and the cinema is only doing what the print media of books, magazines and newspapers did to previous generations: prizing people away from the grip of collective engulfment by tickling and awakening the imagination of individual identity and destiny (Brooks 2000; Florida 2002; Mitchell 2002; Zuboff and Maxmin 2003). Destiny in lone isolation for all is not the telos of this process. Even rational individualists realize that their fate lies in ganging together with their fellows. The challenge is to find forms of association that entail neither the alienation of extreme individualism nor the engulfment of group identity but rather solidarity (Scheff 1997). No society in history has experienced solidarity in this sense or allowed it. Throughout history to date the power imperative (Elias 2000; Schmookler 1995) has imposed conditions of systematically distorted communication (Habermas 1970) on all relationships in human societies. We are hopefully at the latter end of the phase of elimination contests among survival units (Elias 1978a) that has characterized human history since the agricultural revolution, although we are far from being out of the woods yet (Barber 1996; Huntington 1998; Maffesoli 1995).16 To this extent the new communitarianism is hopelessly idealistic and unrealistic. It really has not done the historical analysis, as a Marxist would say. As yet there is no extant form of societywide community that would act as a genuine salve and antidote to the new individualism. The ‘material preconditions’ are not yet in place. And yet I believe that this individualism calls forth or beckons a new form of community that would be its complement (Agamben 1993). Without this counter-pole to act as an inhibitor we are likely to continue to witness extreme forms of individualism, apathy and narcissism in our societies (Lasch 1979). The self-discovery of individuals cannot be gainsaid and put in reverse. A new community must build on the self-awareness of the present to forge a reflexive group consciousness, one that both preserves and yet transcends individualism in a form of 16 The decisive ‘battles’ may yet still be ahead. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 26 09/03/2016 DRAFT group identity that is broad and strong enough to hold both poles of the continuum. Such a society necessarily will be an ‘agreed’ or ‘negotiated’ society. Increasingly people will come to be intolerant of obstacles to community such as power and income inequalities and negotiations around these issues will be difficult. There are historical and structural preconditions: ï‚· The struggle for power between nations on the world stage must come to an end, something that will not play itself out for some time to come (Schmookler 1995). ï‚· The struggle for existence must also come to an end. This entails the elimination of poverty and also the humiliation and disrespect that goes with material and status differences (Kawachi, Kennedy and Wilkinson 1999; Wilkinson 1996). Some of these conditions may well be almost unattainable. And there may be real obstacles in the way of ever achieving a community that is not riven by status differences (Hammond 1978; Hammond 1983a; Hammond 1983b; Hammond 1990; Hammond 1996; Hammond 1999a; Hammond 1999b). A social science has a role to play in assessing the realistic chances of these conditions being met as well as maieutically assisting the birth of the new society in whatever manner possible.17 A negotiated society is not necessarily a transparent society in the way Marx thought communist society would be (Marx and Engels 1974). A social science will have the 17 Outside of the immediate context of this discussion, it should be noted that major threats to the status and standing of humanity loom on the horizon from at least five sources: [i] a global scale conflict using weapons of mass destruction, [ii] a catastrophe of the planetary ecosystem, [iii] robotics and the development of machines with specifically alien i.e. nonhuman intelligence Warwick, Kevin. 1998. In the Mind of the Machine: The Breakthrough in Artificial Intelligence. London: Arrow., [iv] biotechnology Fukuyama, Francis. 2002. Our Posthuman Future: Consequences of the Biotechnology Revolution. London: Profile Books, Rifkin, Jeremy. 1999. The Biotech Century: How Genetic Commerce Will Change the World. London: Phoenix. and, last but not least, [v] evolution itself Cadbury, Deborah. 1998. The Feminization of Nature: Our Future at Risk. London: Penguin Books, Coren, Richard L. 1998. The Evolutionary Trajectory: The Growth of Information in the History and Future of Earth. New York: Gordon & Breach, —. 2001. "Empirical Evidence for a Law of Information Growth." Entropy 3:259-272, Livingston, William L. 1985. The New Plague. Bayside, NJ: FES Publishing.. See also Kurzweil Kurzweil, Ray. 1999. The Age of Spiritual Machines: When Computers Exceed Human Intelligence. New York: Penguin Books., Mazlich Mazlish, Bruce. 1993. The Fourth Discontinuity: The Co-Evolution of Humans and Machines. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press., and Dyson Dyson, George B. 1997. Darwin Among the Machines: The Evolution of Global Intelligence. Reading, MA: HelixBooks:AddisonWesley.. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 27 09/03/2016 DRAFT task of discovering the systematic constraints that will operate to block action and of raising them to the level of collective perception so that countervailing controls can be enacted (Gorz 1976; Gorz 1982; Gorz 1985). 6. From Government to Governance Writing of societal complexity inevitably brings us to the question of social control or governance. Unlike Monsieur Jourdain in Molière’s Bourgeois Gentilhomme, many contemporary authors do not realise that ‘governance’ is not something new but has been the secret heart of the cohesion of societies since time immemorial. For instance, Bob Jessop writes, So-called ‘governance’ mechanisms [as contrasted to markets or hierarchy] have long been widely used in coordinating complex organizations and systems. They are especially appropriate for systems that are resistant to top-down internal management and/or direct external control and that also co-evolve with other [complex] sets of social relations with which their various decisions, operations, and aims are reciprocally interdependent. (Jessop 2001) It is true that increasing societal complexity challenges the limited understanding of the processes of governance that were barely adequate in an age of mass society but that are clearly and manifestly inadequate in an age of identity. As Scharpf notes: ... the advantages of hierarchical coordination are lost in a world that is characterized by increasingly dense, extended, and rapidly changing patterns of reciprocal interdependence, and by increasingly frequent, but ephemeral, interactions across all types of pre-established boundaries, intra- and interorganizational, intra- and intersectoral, intra- and international (Scharpf 1993: 37) Such patterns of reciprocal interdependence across multiple boundaries with their basic resistance to hierarchical co-ordination are usefully labelled ‘heterarchic’. Not only do they resist top-down command, they are also ill-suited, contrary to Hayekian claims, to simple, blind co-evolution [the so-called ‘invisible hand’] with its mutual, post hoc adaptation. After an extensive review of problems of modern governance, Kooiman concluded: The existence of ‘[functional] interdependence’ between formally and/or relatively autonomous [non-hierarchically ordered] political and social actors is of the essence. By interdependence we mean that no single actor has the possibility of ‘doing the job’ [solving a problem or grasping an opportunity] unilaterally. No actor is so dominant as to be able to enforce a certain line of behaviour, or to place the costs of social problem-solving on ©Paul A. STOKES Page 28 09/03/2016 DRAFT others and take the revenues himself. And all actors can be severely hindered in reaching their own objectives by other actors. ‘Interdependence’ in itself is not enough. The realization of the opportunities within interdependence is the central assignment of social-political governance (Kooiman 1993: 251). It is important to bear in mind that these overall societal trends do not, contrary to expectation, presage the dissolution of all forms of identity into the sociomatrix. That would represent the triumph of postmodernism and the dissolution of society tout court. One would be forgiven for thinking the contrary what with talk of the ‘boundaryless’ organization, the ‘flat’ organization (Hastings 1993) and the valorisation of network solutions of all kinds (Lipnack and Stamps 1994). The form of solution is easier to grasp if one has an accurate diagnosis in the first place. I have been arguing that all forms of bureaucratic organization are increasingly deficient in requisite variety in the face of the burgeoning complexity of the social world. Not only have traditional forms of government and business organization been affected but the very structure of individual identity also (Gergen 1991; Turkle 1984). Alvin Toffler has declared that ‘Today’s businesses simply lack the requisite variety to make it in the 21st century’ (Toffler 1990: 190). The same could be said for all existing forms of government. In fact, the current ‘crisis of governance’ may well be construed as a second Feudalism, the latest centripetal phase of Elias’s ‘Monopoly Mechanism’ (Elias 2000) brought about by the ‘loss of control’. As we have seen some important properties of networks reside in their potential for requisite variety of response. They tend to be horizontal rather than vertical—meaning they have either a ‘flatter’ hierarchy or none at all. They are adaptive—able to reconfigure themselves quickly to meet changed conditions [‘flexible coupling net’]. Leadership in them tends to be based on competence and personality rather than social or organizational rank. And power turns over frequently and more easily than in a bureaucracy, changing hands as new situations arise that demand new skills. All of these characteristics can confer requisite variety of response in an unstable and uncertain environment. Leslie J. Berkes reflects the network form of organization when he states, ‘Organizations are redesigned daily by their members to get the job done. That’s the real structure. It’s the informal organization-the anti-organization.... It is the primary organization’ [op.cit.]. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 29 09/03/2016 DRAFT Networks therefore can be enormously useful, flexible, and ant-bureaucratic. But in the recent enthusiasm, elementary distinctions are often ignored (Toffler 1990: 201). Toffler reminds us that network organization has its limitations along with its virtues. It is superb for fighting terrorism or a decentralised guerrilla war, not marvellous at all for the control of strategic nuclear weapons where the last thing we want is for local commanders to be free and unrestrained. What is required is a broader concept, one which implies that an organization is capable of encompassing both the formal and informal, the bureaucratic and the networked sub organizations (Fukuyama 1999; Toffler 1990: 202).18 Governance Crisis Governance is now on the academic and political agenda. Its discovery has ‘coincided with economic changes which have made big business and big government appear rather ineffective as means of economic and political organization (Jessop 1995: 312). Jessop defines governance as The general field of governance studies as concerned with the resolution of (para-) political problems (in the sense of problems of collective goal-attainment or the realization of collective purposes) in and though specific configurations of governmental (hierarchical) and extra-governmental (non-hierarchical) institutions, organizations and practices. (Jessop 1995: 317) Jessop writes: ‘Current fascination with the nature and dynamic of governance is closely linked to the failure of many taken-for-granted co-ordination mechanisms in the post-war world’ (Jessop 1995: 311). The fragmentation of society into interconnected networks of identities has, I wish to propose, precipitated this crisis of societal ‘steering’ or a governance crisis. What was once (it was thought) exercised in a direct, simple, linear and coherent way has now become interrupted, transformed, and deflected across a myriad refractory and reflexive surfaces of identity. The conditions under which any power can be yielded have been laid bare. As Latour puts it: ‘Power’ is always the illusion people get when they are obeyed; thinking in terms of the diffusion model, they imagine that others 18 Something that Castells fails to take into account in his recent monumental work Castells, Manuel. 1992. The Informational City: information technology, economic restructuring and the urban-regional process. Oxford: Blackwell, —. 1996. The Rise of the Network Society. Malden, MA: Blackwells, —. 1997. The Power of Identity. Malden, MA: Blackwells.. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 30 09/03/2016 DRAFT behave because of the master’s clout without ever suspecting the many different reasons others have for obeying and doing something else; more exactly, people who are ‘obeyed’ discover what their power is really made of when they start to lose it. They realise, but too late, that it was ‘made of the wills of all the others’. (Latour 1986: 268) It is precisely the profusion and proliferation of such heteronomous wills in a myriad different ways that has led to the stretching of the arms of government to embrace as much as possible of the emergent but refracted civil society. Among the factors responsible for the current crisis of government Jessop mentions the ‘eruption of identity politics and new social movements which threaten established forms of social and political domination’ (Jessop 1995). However, not all identities are equal. Not all identities are complete. It has been accepted since Simmel that individual identity is a function of the ensemble of one’s social memberships. If the quantum of social organizations is deficient in a society and hence also the quantum of social capital deriving from the social networks that subtend these, then there will be a deficiency in the quanta of identities at both levels of individuals and of social organizations. This is why this phase of the discussion more nearly fits the European situation than it does the North American. In recent years Europe, and certainly that region of it covered by the EU, has seen a burgeoning growth of civil society, in networks and innovative forms of social organization and of government (Egeberg 2000). In this respect there has been a veritable economic and cultural renaissance in the regions of Rhône-Alpes, Baden Wurtenberg, Catalonia and Lombardia. And according to researchers, there has been sustained recent growth in social capital in countries such as the Netherlands (Curtin 2002) and Ireland (Sabel 1996).19 In the United States, in contrast, according to at least one influential commentator, there has been a net decline in historically high levels of social capital (Putnam 1995; Putnam 2000). Complexity, we have seen, is a function of the numbers and patterns of interconnected networks between identities. And this also has precipitated a challenge to traditional governmental institutions. Governance as a growth industry has its basis in societal developments, in particular with increasing interdependencies, and this 19 Also Pauline Jackson, University College Dublin, who has just completed a research project on the growth in the number of organizations in the Irish Republic. Personal communication. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 31 09/03/2016 DRAFT at many levels and in many directions. … these broad societal trends [may be considered] to be an expression of, a reaction to, or even an engine of long-term societal differentiation and integration processes. These processes result in lengthening chains of interactions (Kaufmann, Majone and Ostrom 1986). These chains are increasingly institutionalised, multi-level, and multi-dimensional and this ongoing process leads to the proliferation of the number of influential actors in society while at the same time increasing the number of interactions among those parties. (Kooiman 2001) This has resulted in the stretching of the state apparatus out into society to address these demands. The further the arms of the state stretched the more the central organs of government were subjected to erosion of power and were overtaken by as a process of de-monopolisation and diffusion of power [the so-called ‘hollowing out of the state’ (Elias 2000; Rhodes 1996)]. In consequence this has precipitated what has been referred to as a failure of hierarchical decision-making and ‘top-down’ planning in recent decades. Peters and Pierre have written: Finally, the overall nature of the political project pursued by contemporary Western states has changed significantly over the past 10–15 years. Previously, the emphasis was on expanding the political sphere in society; the current main objectives are to increase efficiency in public service delivery and delivering more customer-attuned services. (Peters and Pierre 2001) However, to describe the matter sequentially like this is to misunderstand the actual dynamics involved. It is precisely on account of attempts to expand the political sphere in society that we have the changes that the authors write about. The expansion of the political sphere came up against the limits of complexity and of control. As with the monopoly mechanism the more the state tried to spread itself across the societal terrain the more necessary it was to devolve powers not so much to officials but to organizations of civil society that had been co-opted for governance purposes by officials. The paradoxical effect was that in the pursuit of government we got governance, the dilution of direct government and the admittance and recognition of the role of self-steering in society. It represented the final realisation that government does not take place by political and administrative fiat but by the consent of the governed (Latour 1986; Mechanic 1962; van Krieken 1991). I have already argued that the fundamental problem that we are dealing with here is one of proliferating and burgeoning complexity on the horizontal plane in western societies. Variety is a measure of complexity and cybernetics provides the scientific foundation for the activity of variety management (Beer 1970a; Beer 1970b). John Fobes, former Deputy ©Paul A. STOKES Page 32 09/03/2016 DRAFT Director-General of UNESCO in remarks to the Club of Rome on the subject of governance made the explicit connection with cybernetics when he said: The stresses from social change that require a broader sense of governance have called into play Ashby’s ‘law of requisite variety’ (which may be interpreted as stating that ‘the regulators or governors of a system must reflect the variety in that system in order to be of service to it.’) (Judge 1987)20 The Rise of Post-Parliamentary Modes of Governance The diffusion of power from the centre in the attempt to cover the variety of an ever increasingly complex civil society has deeply questioned the adequacy of traditional forms of parliamentary democracy. The fragmentation of the electorate and the ‘differentiated polity’ (Rhodes 1996; Rhodes 1997) has produced a powerful degree of solidarity within the component social elements. These groupings increase their demands for economic benefits, especially governmental benefits. Such is the frequency and intensity of interaction between these two great spheres of action that the opportunity to express political demands and balance them by periodic national elections becomes less and less effective as a crucial element in social control (Janowitz 1975). According to Janowitz, the rise of parapolitical and new social movements (Dalton and Kuechler 1990; Hegedus 1989; Polletta and Jasper 2001; Zald and McCarthy 1987) represents an implicit recognition of the limitations of periodic national elections as mechanisms of social and political control (Janowitz 1975: 104). The crisis in political legitimacy constitutes the key problematic issue in advanced industrial society (Habermas 1976) and constitutes a ‘governance crisis’ in contemporary societies.21 20 Anthony Judge credits Fobes with the recent rehabilitation of the concept of governance. According to Alvin Toffler, Judge himself was one of the ‘earliest and deepest analysts of network organization’ Toffler, Alvin. 1990. Powershift: Knowledge, Wealth and Violence at the Edge of the 21st Century. New York: Bantam Books.. 21 Governance, as already stated, is not a new issue. The question goes right back to the ‘social control’ school of American sociology Janowitz, Morris. 1975. "Sociological Theory and Social Control." American Journal of Sociology 81:82-108, —. 1991. On Social Organization and Social Control. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.. Questions of societal self-steering and social self-regulation were at the heart of the sociologies of Park and Burgess for instance Park, Robert E. 1952. Human Communication. Glencoe, Il: The Free Press, —. 1967. On Social Control and Collective Behavior. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press, Park, Robert E., and Ernest W. Burgess. 1969. Introduction to the Science of Sociology. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press.. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 33 09/03/2016 DRAFT It is precisely the vigour and range in growth of civil society in Europe that has rendered parliamentary modes pedestrian and irrelevant as well as stimulating the search for new relevant models of democracy that reflect a more active, pro-active and more responsive and more timely modes of governance (Andersen and Burns 1996; Andersen and Eliassen 1996; Curtin 1997; Keane 1988; Medrano and Gutierrez 2001; Piore and Sabel 1984; Putnam 1993; Sabel 1996; Warleigh 2000).22 Advocates of post-parliamentary forms of governance have proposed variations such as deliberative (Curtin 1997; Mouffe 2000) or associational democracy (Hirst 1994; Hirst 1997; Hirst and Khilnani 1996). Curtin explains what is entailed: A deliberative theory of democracy draws from the insights of deliberative theorists who perceive political will formation processes as essential for democracy.23 It emphasizes active participation rather than the intermittently passive procedural participation of voting in elections as the key for democratizing decision-making processes.24 From this perspective the ability of citizens to effectively participate in social (or civil) dialogue, in the broad sense of the term, is a definite attribute of democracy. This model of democracy looks at political participation by citizens in a broad sense not limited to participation in strictly political institutions (voting) and not limited to ‘interest representation’ in the classical sense of the term. Democracy is rather conceived as a mechanism that transforms the original interests of individuals. In particular the moral qualities of dialogue or deliberation account for a conception of democracy that relies on dialogue as a means of containing selfish interests and the power of factions based on them. This constraint is achieved by dialogue’s tendency to exclude those positions that cannot be sustained on an impartial basis.25 The epistemic value of democracy flows from the process of decision and discussion in general and not from any decision in particular. (Curtin 2002) One important though neglected aspect is that these forms of participation in governance involve social organizations directly and only through them, indirectly as it were, the citizenry. The development certainly supports the overall burden of my work that the fundamental societal units are forms of social organization. When 22 I would like to single out the work of Mary parker Follett for her outstanding prescience in this matter Follett, Mary Parker. 1920. The New State: Group Organization the Solution of Popular Government. University Park, PA: Pennsylvania State University Press.. 23 See further, D. Curtin, Postnational Democracy. The EU in Search of a Political Philosophy (Kluwer, 1997) and references cited. 24 Ibid. 25 See C.Nino, The Constitution of Deliberative Democracy (New Haven, 1996), p.101. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 34 09/03/2016 DRAFT society mobilises from the bottom up it does so in the refracted forms of social organization. Mixed-Mode Governance The newer theories of democracy increasingly move us away from the idea of an opposition between state and civil society where the latter is conceived of as a realm of spontaneous (private) order and natural democratic legitimacy. Issues of governance are seen rather as applying to both sides of this divide and civil society needs itself to be ordered and enabled to constitute itself. As Fobes explained to his audience in the Club of Rome: The concept of governance emphasizes that order in society is created and maintained by a spectrum of institutions, only one of which is known as government. By examining that spectrum at all levels of society, we can obtain a broader sense pf ‘governability’ as it is exercised in policy-making, in providing services and the application of law. (Judge 1987) A deficiency of pre-existing concepts of governance was that this was something that governments specifically do. Cybernetics tell us something different: control is a distributed property of all complex systems. The first principle of control is that the controller is part of the system under control. The controller is not something stuck on to a system by a higher authority which then accords it managerial prerogatives. In any natural system, whether we speak of animal populations or the inner workings of some living organism, the control function is spread through the architecture of the system. It is not an identifiable thing at all, but its existence in some form is inferred from the system’s behaviour. The controller moreover grows with the system, and, if we look back though time, we see that the controller evolved with the system too. (Beer 1979: 35) If this is so then we my expect to see that, under the specific historical conditions described here, governance devolves to various combinations and interactions of state, market and civil society (Streeck and Schmitter 1985).26 This is exactly what we do see (Kooiman 2001; Offe 2000). 26 The question may be put as to how Eurocentric this argument is and as to whether it does not take sufficiently into account developments in the USA, Eastern Europe including the former Soviet union, Asia, Africa and, specifically, China as well as other parts of the world. This is far too big a question to attempt to answer here. Suffice it to say the model being proposed does rest on the presence of significant levels of social capital in a society. For historical reasons that may have to do with the ‘rise of the West’ Europe may now have a ©Paul A. STOKES Page 35 09/03/2016 DRAFT This stretching of the state has interpolated into existence a veritable panoply of policy networks (Rhodes 1996; Rhodes 1997), advocacy coalitions (Sabatier 1988; Sabatier 1999), and so on. The important of such networks for my argument cannot be underestimated. According to Jessop: Policy networks confer flexibility of adaptive response and hence the potential of generating requisite variety and thus augmented control abilities: Strategic analysis can be taken further yet if we allow for selfreflection on the part of individual and collective actors about the identities and interests which orient their strategies. Individuals and organizations can be reflexive, can reformulate within limits their own identities, and can engage in strategic calculation about the ‘objective’ interests that flow from these identities in particular conjunctures. A further step in strategic-relational analysis (and sometimes in strategic self-reflection) occurs when one examines (and actors build) the capacity to switch among different modes of governance. Since any particular mode of policy-making, coordination, or crisis-resolution contains its own distinctive dilemmas, contradictions, and weaknesses, the capacity to switch among them facilitates more effective responses to internal and/or external turbulence (cf. Offe 1975). This requisite variety (with its informational, structural, and functional redundancies) plays an important role in the adaptability of intra- and interorganizational networks. (Jessop 2001) It is in these policy networks or advocacy coalitions (Sabatier 1988; Sabatier 1999) that we see the commingling of state, market and civil society. According to Offe these are the three building blocks that lie at the foundation of modern social and political institutions. Offe has identified what he describes as ‘six pathologies’ that eventuate from the overvaluation or neglect of any one of these building blocks. Three of these pathologies result from the single-mined reliance on just one of the three building blocks. The other three fallacies result from the premise that any one of the three can be excluded from the ‘architecture of social order’. They are: ï‚· Excessive statism ï‚· Too little governing capacity – the withering away of the state ï‚· Excessive reliance on market mechanisms ï‚· Excessive limitation of market forces ï‚· Excessive communitarianism ï‚· Neglecting communities and identities (Offe 2000: 83-93). global comparative advantage in this factor and so be in a position to be an exemplar for a qualitatively new phase in societal governance. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 36 09/03/2016 DRAFT On the surface it can appear that what we have here are three contradictory and conflicting principles. In fact Offe refers to them as the ‘three antinomies of social and political order’. The three antinomies ‘tend to undercut each other. They also depend upon each other. As none of them is dispensable, the need for self-limitation of the proponents of each becomes evident’ (Offe 2000: 93). He agrees that what we have here is a ‘repertoire of partly contradictory, partly complementary arguments and observations that can be brought to bear upon the critique and reconstruction of existing institutional arrangements.’ He believes that that these antinomies and ideological rivalries must and can be resolved ‘through practices of civility and deliberation which unfold ‘in between’ the poles of our conceptual triangle of ‘pure’, if largely obsolete solutions’ (loc.cit.). The problem of designing and defending state-society relations, however, is not that of opting simplemindedly for one of the three, but of engaging in, or at the very least, tolerating a process of the ongoing design, readjustment and fine-tuning of a rich and adequate mix in which all three building blocks of social order have a mutually limiting and variable role (op.cit.: 82). Hence he argues the need for some form of meta-organizational framework to enable us to understand how optimally they should be related to each other. Kooiman concurs: The twin forces of differentiation and proliferation also require some form of reintegration. Hence, they engender a growing but different need for collective action, not in the form of public action as an expression of this collective need alone, but also of public-private modes of collective action as a response to those societal needs that create new societal opportunities. (Kooiman 2001) Dilemmas of Heterarchic Governance Offe has argued that these three antinomies should be integrated under a new form of meta-organizational framework, one that does not cancel their animus but directs it to sociopoietic ends. Heterarchy has been proposed as an alternative organizing principle to that of hierarchy (Grabher and Stark 1997; Reihlen 1996; Stark 1989; Stark 1999a; Stark 1999b; Stark and Grabher 1997). Heterarchy represents the idea of interdependence in contrast to markets which assume independence and hierarchy which is based on dependence (Stark 2001). However, heterarchy on its own is insufficient as a framework of societal integration. Jessop (2001) has identified a number of strategic ©Paul A. STOKES Page 37 09/03/2016 DRAFT dilemmas that may contribute towards failure of heterarchic governance mechanisms. These are: ï‚· Cooperation vs. Competition This problem is one of maintain trusting open relationships when multiple opportunities for free-riding and defection abound. ï‚· Openness vs. Closure Heterarchic governance mechanisms, because they operate in complex, uncertain environments, face problems in remaining open to those environments while simultaneously securing the network closure required for effective coordination among a limited number of partners (Coleman 1990). ï‚· Adaptation vs. Flexibility Heterarchic governance mechanisms are held to be highly adaptive. Too successful adaptation can reduce future flexibility of available response. This poses dilemmas of governability (capacity for guidance) vs. flexibility (capacity to adapt to changed circumstances). ï‚· Accountability vs. Efficiency Some public-private partnerships can blur the public-private distinction, thus posing a dilemma of accountability versus efficiency. Not only are there problems about attributing responsibility in interdependent networks (especially where these are interorganizational rather than interpersonal) but public-private arrangements run the risk of privatizing politics and/or promoting the statization of the private sphere (Jessop 1995). From Corporatism to the ‘Negotiated Society’ Heterarchy is certainly a move in the right direction. However, as a concept it is still rather vague and nebulous. It has two principal failings. First, it excludes hierarchy as an organizing principle, and two it can only fail [partly as a consequence of this exclusion] as a means of hegemonic organization. The term ‘heterarchic governance’ itself contains a number of problems. Heterarchy seeks to embrace both governance and open-networks [whereas as ideal types they are polar opposites] as well as eschew hierarchy. This is not possible! Heterarchy, in other words, with its ‘one size fits all’ approach, confuses the issue of the degree of governance that it may be appropriate to bring to bear in any situation. This is clearly ©Paul A. STOKES Page 38 09/03/2016 DRAFT evident in its treatment of hierarchy.27 As a principle its animus derives from the fact that it is non hierarchical. However, therein lies the rub. It assumes that anti-hierarchy is the solution. It cannot explain why hierarchy is now not necessary. Nor can it specify a limit to how much heterarchy might be desirable and whether or not it might be necessary to resort to any form of hierarchy in the cycle of governance. One set of problems that heterarchy does not address, according to Fukuyama, is ‘problems of coordination through hierarchies under conditions of increasing economic complexity’ (Fukuyama 1999: 202). Heterarchy is at once too general and too simple an answer. Fukuyama has counterclaimed by stating that ‘it is highly doubtful that formal hierarchies are about to go away any time soon now’ (Fukuyama 1999: 202). In fact, Fukuyama has cited several reasons for the inevitable persistence of hierarchy (loc.cit.). Heterarchy, it must be concluded, is a low variety model of governance and of selforganization and is almost certainly inadequate. Its paradoxes and contradictions are insurmountable. What is needed is a framework in which the dynamics of the various antinomies outlined in these pages (as well as the antinomies of grid/group and engulfment /isolation) can be managed and regulated to socially useful ends. Jessop tells us that although inter-systemic concertation is sometimes recommended in this context it is also subject to paradoxical limitations: On the one hand, entire subsystems (such as the economy, law, politics, education) can never be real acting subjects with capacities for conscious action. Thus, to avoid blind co-evolution based entirely on post hoc structural coupling, inter-systemic concertation must be mediated through subjects who can engage in ex ante self-regulatory strategic coordination, monitor the effects of that coordination on goal attainment, and modify their strategies as appropriate. On the other hand, such bodies can never fully represent the operational logic (let alone fully comprehend the current conjuncture and future direction) of whole subsystems. Indeed, they could even promote their own private interests in maintaining inter-organizational exchanges (or simply their own survival as organizations) at the expense of effective inter- 27 I have explained elsewhere (Stokes, 2003) how networks as regions of the sociomatrix were intrinsically self-organizing but that degrees of governance could be introduced, depending on the control costs and risks. This development would take the networks away from being selforganizing in the sense originally meant in that now they would incorporate elements of centralised control e.g. the monitoring of members contributions and turn-taking. Formal governance lay further ahead still which would necessitate the drawing of a boundary of identity between what was inside the organization and hence properly under its control and what is to remain outside, in the environment. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 39 09/03/2016 DRAFT systemic concertation. In short, whereas the complexities of strategic interdependence among systems do require specific forms of interorganizational concertation, the latter needs regularizing to limit the risks of self-serving ‘privatization’ and to guide strategic interaction so that it remains in line with the ‘public interest’. This depends in turn on an hegemonic consensus or project which provides the various forces involved with common programmatic objectives despite differing codes, identities, etc. (Jessop 2001) Small open economies have already faced some of these problems even in the heyday of Fordism and made continuing efforts to resolve them. The Scandinavian economies and Ireland, for example, have tended to combine orthodox corporatism with a socalled ‘negotiated economy’ model of concertation (Hausner, Jessop and Nielsen 1993; Nielsen and Pedersen 1988; Nielsen and Pedersen 1993; Sabel 1996). Of course to speak of a ‘negotiated economy’ is really to miss the point. ‘Negotiated society’ would be nearer the mark because what was negotiated always involved a wide range of extra-economic as well as economic elements. It was not confined to industrial capital, blue-collar workers, and the central state but extended to rural and urban petty bourgeois sectors, the local state, and functional domains such as health, education, welfare, and scientific research. Moreover, under the impact of the above-noted shifts in the mode of growth, there is now even greater emphasis on inter-systemic noise reduction and negative coordination to supplement inter-organizational negotiation and inter-personal networking. In this sense one could say that the ‘negotiated economy’ operates in certain respects in a meta-governance manner by embedding corporatism in a wider strategic learning context. It provides a framework which encourages social partners to respect the operational codes and procedures of other systems and to engage in self-regulating conduct within their own operational spheres in the interests of a wider social project. (Jessop 1995) Policy networks constitute a governance mechanism if they bring interdependent elements together under a common sign and so deal with antinomies directly. For instance, partnership in Ireland brings together social partners and a complex variety of interdependent elements ranging from incomes and fiscal policies to quality of life and social services issues. A single agreement can put all of these into alignment with each other. Outside of the agreement the elements could trigger continuously off one another so as to produce a vicious circle. Government may play a role but that role ideally should take more the form of metagovernance than government proper. Thus Jessop tells us, in their account of sectoral governance in the US economy, Lindberg, Campbell and Hollingsworth note that ©Paul A. STOKES Page 40 09/03/2016 DRAFT ‘The state ... is capable of influencing governance in many complex ways, most of which are not available to organizations in civil society. ... Other actors cannot behave like the state because they cannot serve as gatekeepers, allocate resources and information, influence and structure property rights, or affect governance and governance transformations in other ways as does the state’ (1991: 31). This argument can be rephrased in terms of the need for a meta-governance instance which ‘organizes the self-organization of inter-organizational relations’, i.e., provides the ground rules for governance, ensures the compatibility of different governance mechanisms and regimes, deploys a relative monopoly of organizational intelligence and information with which to shape cognitive expectations, acts as a ‘court of appeal’ for disputes arising within and over governance, serves to re-balance power differentials by strengthening weaker parties or systems in the interests of system integration and/or social cohesion, etc. This emerging meta-governance role means that networking, negotiation, noise reduction, and negative coordination take place ‘in the shadow of hierarchy’ (cf. Hodgson 1988: 220-228; Scharpf 1994: 40). The need for such a role is especially acute in the light of the wide dispersion of governance mechanisms and the corresponding need to build appropriate macro-organizational capacities to address far-reaching inter-organizational changes without undermining the basic coherence and integrity of the (national) state. And this role tends to fall to the state because of its heightened paradoxical position as an institutional subsystem which is simultaneously merely part of a wider, more complex society (and thus unable to control the latter from above) and also a part normatively charged (notably in the last resort) with securing the institutional integration and social cohesion of that society. (Jessop 1995) An organized and structured plurality of governance mechanisms is needed to ensure requisite variety and flexibility in managing the manifold forms of unstructured complexity. Such plurality cannot be guaranteed from above but must also embrace and be directed towards initiative from below. The hegemonic integration of these antinomies will require a specific metaorganizational framework of control that will transcend them i.e. preserve yet overcome them. The nature of the framework has been identified as ‘interpolable control’ and has been strongly counterpoised to vertical top-down ‘comptrol’ [see Table 8.1.]. It is time to revisit our discussion of ‘control’. This is the topic of the next part. Two Types of Control According to Hood we may usefully distinguish between what he calls two styles of thought about control as a generic concept (see Table 1). The first way of thinking ©Paul A. STOKES Page 41 09/03/2016 DRAFT about control goes back to the ancient notion of ‘comptrol’ or contra-rotulus (Hood 1976). This involves the periodic checking and examination of the activities of public officials by independent agents typically charged under constitutional authority to investigate, admonish and even to sanction. The term ‘comptrol’ therefore may be defined as ‘any conception of ‘control’ as self-conscious oversight, on the basis of authority, by defined individuals or offices endowed with formal rights or duties to conduct inquiries, to call for changes in behaviour where performance has been unsatisfactory and perhaps also to punish miscreants’ (Hood 1991: 348) (see Figure 3). Figure 3: The Variety Balance This can be contrasted with another quite different understanding of control based in the operation of ‘immanent, self-balancing processes which may not be conscious or under any over-arching direction and conscious, purposeful actions for the attainment of desired goals’ (Hood 1991: 348). Any system may be said to be under control if the states it routinely produces are a recognisable sub-set of all its possible states. ‘Balancing processes’ of some kind are often involved in the achievement of such an outcome. This conception of control is based on a mechanistic metaphor that posits the operation of forces that may come into play and throw their weight against the tendency of a system to take up certain states. However, one can escape its mechanistic carapace by understanding it in terms ©Paul A. STOKES Page 42 09/03/2016 DRAFT of the balancing of varieties in a complex system. Both concepts of control were given stimulus by the advent of cybernetics (Hood 1991; Richardson 1991). The cybernetic understanding of control in this latter broad sense leads to two important conclusions regarding the regulation of complex systems. The first is that complex systems cannot be controlled by overt or self-conscious ‘controllers’ alone; such systems are largely self-controlled and cannot be otherwise. Second. And consequently, those who wish to import conscious direction to such systems must find ways of interpolating in an immanent or built-in balance of forces — manipulating that balance to steer the system toward the desired sub-set of its possible states. Hence the term ‘interpolable balance’ used here … to denote controls as understood in this way. (Hood 1991: 348-349) Interpolable balance is not to be confused with passive, immanent social control. It represents a manipulative or interventionist way of thinking about control. Despite this, government is still conducted very much in the fashion of ‘comptrol’ as the accounts by Howard (1994; 2001) and Booker & North (1994) will testify. This is probably because comptrol is deeply rooted in the European tradition of constitutional (limited) government and formal public accountability in financial affairs. It is not surprising then that many of the responses to the governance crisis have consisted of well-argued demands for an augmentation of ‘comptrol’: to give additional powers to, as well as extending the scope of, those exercising formal oversight in order to match the increase in government activity. Examples would be legislative enquiry, judicial review, audit scrutiny, tribunal of enquiry, social science evaluation, and so on.28 As far back as the 1970s, however, it was recognised that the ‘formal constitutional structure of public accountability’ could never be capable of securing effective public accountability of government in modern societies (Hague, Mackenzie and Barker 1795: 21-22). According to authors such as Dunsire and Hood, the problem with ‘comptrol’ is that it does not possess requisite variety (Dunsire 1991; Hood 1991). The interpolable balance approach looks to a sub-structure of immanent or self-acting controls to provide the requisite variety that formal oversight alone must inevitably lack and which are invisible to those who see ‘control’ only in terms of official checking-up activities by those in authority. Cybernetics, social control theory … are bodies of ideas leading to the expectation both that immanent controls can be found to exist in any complex system and that there is no way of controlling such systems from the outside except by ‘working with 28 These latter constitute System Three* in Beer’s VSM. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 43 09/03/2016 DRAFT Nature’ to manipulate their balance by what Dunsire (1978: 225) terms the ‘selective inhibition’ of forces in opposition. (loc.cit.) Control as ‘Comptrol’ Control as ‘Interpolable Balance’ Detection of By regular or ergodic, self-conscious ‘Problems’ identifiable only ex post facto problems checking and evaluation from actors’ behaviour; ‘issues’ raised irregularly, opportunistically, through ‘redundant’ channels Setting of Defined official norms Tensions among contradictory principles, standards pressures, goals Achievement of By ‘authority’ – possibly backed by By any process of tension serving to compliance sanctions keep behaviour within limits Control Defined official overseers manning a Variable (whomever it may concern at the operatives permanent ‘control’ room time); heavily dependent on system ‘insiders’ (for ‘information-impactedness’ reasons) Recipe for Strengthen official authority or Re-think the wider-system so as to ‘setting up’ sanctions; expand or change augment self-policing mechanisms control comptrollers; redefine or tighten up already in the structure or to build them in formal procedures Table 1: Two Types of Control (Hood 1991) Beer’s VSM is the only existing formal model of such a system based on an analysis of the requirements of variety management entailed by any complex system. The key to the VSM is the central idea of interpolable control: all subsystems of a viable system, by exhibiting their variety to each other, control each other (Beer 1979: 362). There are two fundamental types or modes of control. In terms of the cybernetic tradition, the one is associated with the work of William Powers, whereas the second is demonstrated principally in the work of Stafford Beer (Richardson 1991). They are: ï‚· Executive control ï‚· Autopoietic or homeostatic control Executive control is necessary in order to achieve certain reference standards or perceptions. Constant scanning for error signals of deviation from the reference standard are the norm here, including audits and such like. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 44 09/03/2016 DRAFT Autopoietic control is about maintaining a complex system in homeostatic equilibrium, producing itself in the act of routinely doing whatever it does that constitutes its identity. For instance, a football match does not entail much in the way of executive control but is all about the interaction of the opposing variety potentials of each of the competing teams. A good match represents a homeostatic equilibrium produced by well-matched opposing teams each capable of generating similar potentials of variety in their play. The two types of control are by no means mutually exclusive. Typically the two types of control are implemented through the same system. An organization, such as a government department, maintains itself in autopoietic equilibrium by producing what it routinely does on a day-to-day basis, whether it is processing social welfare claims and payments or inspecting schools, or whatever. Autopoietic control is the means whereby routine day-to-day outputs are achieved. In cybernetic terms we might say that a certain recognisably stable subset of all possible states of the system is routinely produced by means of this form of control. However, from time to time executive orders are passed down from the cabinet via the responsible minister: specific new things have to be done, efforts evaluated and results achieved. Not only is it necessary that the Department possesses the capacity of generating the additional variety required by these executive orders in addition to its routine activities, it carries them out by means of a different model of control: executive control. Executive control is typically the form of control employed by individuals as they go about their daily business. In order for this to happen though it is necessary for the vehicle [be it body, organization or department] to maintain itself in optimum homeostatic order or under autopoietic control. Claude Bernard captured the relationship between the two forms of control when he wrote that ‘la fixité du milieu interieur est la condition de la vie libre, independante’. The VSM is predominantly biased towards securing the survival unit in homeostatic equilibrium. Allowance is made for executive control though in the form of System Three *, which engages in periodic audits of the System One operational units. Towards Meta-Organization What are the prerequisites for a meta-organizational model of society? First of all we should appreciate that we need to understand complexity as a phenomenon sui generis and its historical importance for understanding the macro trends of contemporary ©Paul A. STOKES Page 45 09/03/2016 DRAFT western societies. Secondly, if organizations are oriented to controlling uncertain and complex environments then a theory of complexity is necessary to enable us to appreciate the need for forms of organization other that the strictly bureaucratic and the conditions and contexts in which they might be necessary and appropriate. Thirdly, variety is a measure of complexity, a defining idea of the science of cybernetics. Fourthly, Stafford Beer has developed a framework for understanding how organizations are shaped to deal with problems of complexity, both their own internal complexity and that of the environments in which they are embedded. We need to accept the necessity for the design of good governance arrangements that are compatible with societal complexity and that will facilitate greater autonomy as well as augment systemic synergy in society (Coleman 1991; Jones 1970; Soltan and Elkin 1996; Wildavsky 1988). As Beer reminds us, we really have no choice in the matter: Managerial, operational and environmental varieties diffusing through an institutional system, tend to equate; they should be designed to do so with minimum damage to people and to cost (First Principle of Organization). (Beer 1985). 7. Towards Viable Identities If a society is a whole constituted by the relations that obtain between its parts we must ask what form such relations must take to ensure their viability? I have proposed elsewhere (Stokes 2003) that interaction and communication [horizontal dimension] are facilitated by the phenomenon we call culture. Authoritative relationships and in particular teleonomic economy are a function of relationships on the vertical axis. We have also seen that an embedded orientation to the future and the environment is a key feature of all successful systems. Last but not least is cohesion that the closure of identity confers on all this diversity of activity. Stafford Beer has proposed that a mathematically precise structure along these lines is a morphological attractor for viability. This is not to suggest that all societies are shaped after this fashion, only that survival may well depend on it. Achieving Negentropy In an earlier section the entropification of social systems was shown to be an outcome of the binding of complexity under a process of continuous centralisation. It is necessary now to look at the informatics of this process in order explore the ©Paul A. STOKES Page 46 09/03/2016 DRAFT possibilities of not just reversing this process but of maintaining an ongoing balance of negative entropy in systems. Variety29 and complexity propose challenges of regulation and control. Information and organization are the means to do this. However because they are biological variables (Bateson 1973) we need to be aware, in designing any such meta-system, that too much of a good thing can actually be counter-productive. Up to a point information and organization represent the build-up of negative entropy in a system. Beyond a certain point, however, organization begins to work against itself. From this point onwards, additional information and organization represent the incremental entropification of the system in question. Information is composed of two complementary aspects, novelty and confirmation (Campbell 1982; Watzlawick, Beavin and Jackson 1967; Weaver 1963). The relationship is set out in Figure 4. Pure novelty is utterly unique and cannot be construed i.e. regarded as information. Pure confirmation just tells us exactly what we know already. It is a state in which everything is known. Information, in the pragmatic sense of the term, stands somewhere between these two poles and partakes of both degrees of novelty and confirmation. A hundred per cent novelty means that the instability threshold of the current system has been breached and that it has entered a chaotic or ‘disorganized’ phase. A hundred per cent confirmation corresponds to maximum entropy in a system. The negentropic value of the combination is at a maximum when both components contribute equally (Jantsch 1980: 50-53). Figure 4 represents the change in entropy production that occurs when a new structure or system emerges from the chaotic state. In this state entropy production actually implies sociopoiesis, the building of structure from information and confirmation. For instance, area ‘A’ in Figure 4 involves a great deal of hard sociopoietic work, the initial building of social organization. After this initial phase of social formation however, an optimally organized structure will oscillate around a balance between novelty and confirmation. Area ‘B’ in the same figure indicates that novelty has to be coped with continuously without metabolising this into too much confirmation, rationalisation and societal ‘gridlock’. This is the far from equilibrium position indicative of all optimally organized systems (Nicolis and Prigogine 1977; Prigogine 29 Variety is a measure of complexity of a system i.e. the number of states it may take. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 47 09/03/2016 DRAFT 1976; Prigogine and Stengers 1984; Yates 1987; Zeleny 1980). This is not an outcome that can happen automatically, by itself as it were. It has be planned or designed as a feature into the system in question. Pragmatic Information 100% 0 Novelty Confirmation 0 100% Figure 4:Novelty and Confirmation (after Jantsch 1980) When every unforeseen contingency and loophole is met with a new authoritative response it is not difficult to see how rules proliferate and simple action becomes complex and deferred along long chains of entailment and consequence. It also means that nothing can happen that does not fit the rules. However, as Meyer maintains, the continuous build up of social organization is based of the metabolism of novelty and uncertainty into rule-based, ‘rational’ procedures (Meyer 1985; Meyer 1990; Meyer and Brown 1977). Increasingly the bias of the system is that everything must be preordained and fit the already established bureaucratic categories. If novelty and contingency present they must wait until a rule exists for those situations also. The continuous encoding of contingency into a rule-based modus operandi represents the entropification of the social order. The terminus of such a process is a veritable ‘iron cage’, the ‘closed system’ of Weber’s sociology of energeia. The key to understanding and unravelling this process is the word ‘authoritative’ and the need to relate every contingency back to the source of authoritative rule giving. It is this that drives the imperative to centralise everything under a top-down hierarchy of comptrol. Although to be fair we may allow that the motivation for this is based on a ©Paul A. STOKES Page 48 09/03/2016 DRAFT particularly abstract sense of equality and fairness, the results are in practical terms frequently unfair, unjust and disastrous (Howard 1994; Howard 2001). As a process it leads to the scleroticization of the channels through which action should be achieved but no longer cannot. Entropy production Pragmatic Information Dissipative structures Autopoiesis B Equilibrium structures A Instability threshold 100% 0 Novelty Confirmation 0 100% Figure 5: Entropy and Negentropy (after Jantsch, 1980) The solution lies in deliberately co-opting what nature does in any case: by refusing the build-up of centralised, integrated structures, and by choosing de-centralisation and autonomy (Sale 1980). By utilising a variety management map on which the totality of relationship types can be plotted we can identify and negotiate the optimal relations that should obtain between centre and periphery. In this schema the centre does not legislate for details (which are endlessly proliferating) but devolves responsibility for these functions to control nodes closer to the action. The centre then remains responsible for overall policy and standards, in other words the general criteria that the infra-systems should take as their reference standards. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 49 09/03/2016 DRAFT The VSM as a Perpetual Anti-Entropy Device It will be noticed that the forms of life that Douglas and her colleagues assert to be a ubiquitous feature of all organized social life are represented in this structure of Beer’s. Let us recap the main points of the ‘grid/group’ position. Wildavsky et al. assert the following points: 1. There are five, and just five, ways of life that are viable. 2. Each of these ways of life is viable only if all the others are present. 3. These essential mutualities can be sorted out into two linked cycles: a primary cycle in which each of the four engaged ways of life does something vital for the others that they cannot do for themselves, and a secondary cycle in which the hermit is able to withdraw from all the intense transactional activity generated by the hypercycle. 4. Each way of life is dynamically stabilized, that is, the movement of individuals in and out is a necessary condition for its persistence through time. 5. If we consider just the primary cycle these movements in and out can follow any of the transitions that are logically possible. 6. It is the cumulative mismatches between promise and performance that, from time to time, dislodge an individual from his or her way of life (Thompson, Ellis and Wildavsky 1990: 84). Although for Douglas the possibility space gives rise to four reasonably pure forms of life [hierarchy, individualism, egalitarianism and fatalism] she does admit that in ‘real life’ what we find, especially at the level of politics, is varieties of coalitions between forms of life that are surprisingly compatible. For instance, egalitarian politics is often found in coalition with a form of authoritarianism. In fact this combination characterizes much of the politics of the far left in 20th century Europe. A viable society is one that can embrace three of the possibilities into its design and at the same exclude the pathological form [fatalism]. In other words a form of community is possible in which individual autonomy is a computable function of the unity of purpose of the system, itself a computable function of the degree of perceived equality throughout the system. The relationship between the first two has been the subject of much of the cybernetic work of Stafford Beer. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 50 09/03/2016 DRAFT The VSM is one very compelling way of structuring these relations and of handing the tensions along the centre/periphery, command and autonomy axes. The VSM describes the most negentropic possible relationship between parts in a system, between the centre and the periphery and between authority and autonomy. On a continuum of possible states from near disintegration to the asphyxiation of central control, the VSM posits an optimum relationship from the point of view of the potential longevity of the system and between the parts of the system. Variety Management and the VSM I have been arguing that the central task of governance today lies in managing societal complexity. As variety is a measure of complexity this comes down to the question of variety management. The parameters of the task have been given to us by Offe, Jessop and Douglas, Wildavsky et al as various ‘antinomies’ of social life. I have proposed that the VSM is the only formal structure for variety management that explicitly addresses and designs these antinomies in as active ingredients. The key to their successful combination lies in how the respective varieties disposed by each are counterpoised against the other so as to produce a situation of mutual control, in some cases, their very antagonism holding the system together (Coser 1956). This is the genius of the VSM as a formal model of ‘interpolable control’. It is, in consequence, the preferred and only instrument of interpolable control available. How does the VSM achieve this? Systems One must of course dispose requisite variety with respect to both their internal and external environments in order to remain viable as identities. They are also high variety generators in themselves and their potential for variety generation is both a source of work capacity and problem solving capability as well as a source of complexity and entropy for other Systems One and of course for the metasystems in which they are recursively embedded. System Two begins the process of whittling down the potential varieties disposed by all System One operational elements by specifying preferred ways of doing things and by placing high interactional and transaction costs on non-conventional manners of interaction. This is process we call culture and it extends to cover all manners of social regulation, even the ‘culture’ of social control. The process of variety reduction goes much further with the activities of System Three. It is decided at this level what shall be the constituent elements in System One ©Paul A. STOKES Page 51 09/03/2016 DRAFT that are concomitant with the over-arching system’s identity. With those selected there is conducted a process of resource bargaining and issues of system economy and synergy are decided at this level. In society these activities are reflected in the process of institutionalisation. Tremendous variety reduction is achieved in this process. However, there are real dangers. Institutionalisation sets up a realm of official society counterpoised to all those forms of social organization that did not make it in the selection process. This in turn calls into being an unofficial societal realm of the excluded and marginalized, those denied institutional recognition. Official society is also the arena in which the mass media operate, the social realm that is reflected back as being the only true society. This can represent a dangerously low variety model of the actual social totality under governance. The realm of unofficial society can be a source of unresolved social tensions and identity claims which one day may demand to be met. This is, potentially, a major source of social conflict. Institutionalisation reduces societal complexity. There is good reason to think that the rise of societal complexity in recent times therefore has to do with what I have suggested amounts to a process of de-institutionalisation. There is a massive process of re-organization taking place around us—a veritable control revolution—that will require our best efforts at and grasp of governance if we are to resolve it satisfactorily. System Three is principally involved in securing the homeostatic stability of the system in the here and now. It does this by pushing down its own internal variety, sometimes to dangerously low levels. It represents a socially conservative—and conserving—function. System Four can correct this tendency somewhat by focusing on sources of novelty in the external environment and in the future. To do this it needs to have a sense of the limitations of System Three both as regards the adequacy with which it addresses current environmental challenges as well as the challenges and opportunities that it perceives in the future. System Four then corrects for the variety reducing activities of System Three by pumping the system up again, this time with new variety directed towards the challenges it perceives in the there and then. Because System Four can feed its variety directly into the overall system and System Three actively reduces System One levels of variety there is a real potential for systemic oscillation and conflict here. Such a potential for conflict, however, is managed by the system. To start with, the varieties disposed by Systems Three and Four are counterpoised to each other. Each has to address the other’s concerns on an ongoing basis. Secondly, System Five intervenes directly in the interactions between ©Paul A. STOKES Page 52 09/03/2016 DRAFT these two components of the metasystem so as to manage the transition from the here and now to the there and then in a manner that is most consistent with the identity of the system in question. If change takes place too quickly then the encompassing system may loose all sense of itself as a coherent identity. If change occurs too slowly then it may well lose the struggle for survival by being overtaken by events in the environment to which it did not respond in time. System Five is charged with getting the balance of change just right for each identity. Towards Meta-Governance Loss of steering capacity at the highest levels of government is the inevitable outcome of the demise of mass society. Autonomous identities, either as individuals or the myriad forms of social organization that have populated civil society, cannot be commanded, pigeon-holed or boxed. Politicians and administrators that continue to act in this way are in danger of being regarded as irrelevant at best or as lacking legitimacy at worst. Hence we have inherited a governance crisis. The only way to roll out even half-successful policy measures is to co-opt all the relevant stakeholders and involve them, as far as practicable, as partners even to the point of taking responsibility for the policy, its implementation or both. It is no surprise therefore to learn that this is precisely what has been happening. Under conditions of complexity regulation devolves to the lowest autonomous level. Authority flows from the bottom up (Latour 1986; Mechanic 1962; Weick 1979). Self-regulation is, in the end of the day, the only option. What makes it work for society is that, if we accept that the extent of the range of identification [and of ‘identity’] is coterminous with the boundaries of the self, under widening circles of identification, self-regulation becomes social regulation. Complexity, it appears, is the anti-glue that disbands and dissolves all forms of governance that are not based on the twin pillars of autonomy on the one hand and a recognition of the bonds of interdependence and shared fate on the other. Such a process of dissolution seems to be proceeding apace in the world around us right now. These are the twin foundations of any possible future community (Agamben 1993). Of course, with complexity another outcome is entirely possible: apparent chaos. Of course in social affairs true chaos is never possible (Bull 1977; Elias 1978b). What will be experienced as chaos will derive from the foreshortening of the sociomatrix through premature and invidious attempts at closure in an attempt to isolate the new ©Paul A. STOKES Page 53 09/03/2016 DRAFT identity and to exclude the ‘others’ (Jackson 2000). Chaos may well be the outcome of such premature forms of identity taking as each pre-emptively moves to gain control over more and more of the sociomatrix not already subsumed under their governance. This is by now a familiar story (Elias 2000; Schmookler 1995). However, we are not doomed to repeat history. To avoid prolonging this ancient tragedy we need more than to merely remember it as George Santayana has admonished.30 We need to be guided by the insights into social morphology and the role of models, such as the present one, in human governance. We also need to grasp the fundamental necessity and morphology of parts-whole relations (Scheff 1997). All identities are, recursively, parts of larger and more inclusive identities right up to the fullest extent of interconnected humanity. To avoid chaos, then, we must needs discern the pattern that connects the parts to each other and to the encompassing whole in which they are embedded. It is important to bear in mind that all identities are provisional and constitute partial closures of the sociomatrix sufficient unto the facilitation of effective governance. Furthermore, it will be necessary to manage balances between ‘I’ and ‘We’ identities [the social bond] on the one hand and between autonomy and interdependence on the other. Complexity may dissolve invalid forms of governance but this process does not necessarily eventuate in some form of reduction to elemental societal states. As we have seen, the urge to pathological forms of identity-taking may well be irrepressible in the absence of an understanding of an alternative route through. Just as the study of complex-adaptive systems has revealed that it is not some form of atomism that lies behind the complex morphologies of the world but rather complex dynamic interactive patterns [as in the discovery of moiré patterns (Nicolis and Prigogine 1977)] Beer’s work has revealed that identity is not some irreducible entity but has a necessary and complex morphology of its own. It is to be expected that as the play of identity is opened out due to the expansion of complexity that more and more of this complex morphology may be revealed. That has been the argument of this work and the delineaments of that morphology have been laid out for the reader to consider and reflect upon. For instance, the current situation of the European Union is apposite. The muddling through of governance patterns as is 30 As these authors point out, the course of history the first time round has indeed been tragic. However, its repetition would amount to more than farce [Marx]. It would be more than careless even [Wilde]. It would amount to wanton and wilful irresponsibility. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 54 09/03/2016 DRAFT evidenced in the EU right now with variations on the themes of post-parliamentary and deliberative forms of democracy is evidence of the working of the law of requisite variety in this domain. However, we have also seen that among human beings governance is not something that can be achieved in any automatic fashion or by reflex. The unravelling of this morphology is due no doubt in some degree to the selfreflexive character of identity. Although distinct morphological patterns may propose themselves and even in the absence of direct human shaping dominate the field temporarily, in the end of the day it is entirely necessary that human beings reassert control of the helm and steer the survival vessel of society deliberately and consciously in a ‘consensual’ direction. However, we cannot do so unaided. We do need a map both of the journey and of the vessel in which we sail because of the complexities of steering that are involved. It has been my argument throughout that such a map is given us in the model of the viable system as constructed by Stafford Beer. The task ahead has been given us in Beer’s First Principle of Organization: Managerial, operational and environmental varieties diffusing through an institutional system, tend to equate; they should be designed to do so with minimum damage to people and to cost. (Beer 1985: 30) The parts-whole morphology of identity that I have adumbrated in these pages whereby metonymy and metaphor are inextricably related is apposite. In particular, I have identified the crucial role of metaphor in providing top level cohesion for governance systems (Judge 1987; Judge 1992; Stokes 2003). The world system, its seems, is going through an adjustment of variety management with extensions of variety management occurring at both extremities: the rise of new social movements, the province sub-state and more inclusive forms of governance and partnership between the state and civil society on the one hand and a variety of supranational developments on the other: globalisation, G8, the EU, WTO, UNO and so on. All of these have been in train since the mid 1940s. (See, however, Hirst and Thompson 1996). The battle for governance is clearly going to be a societal process of the first magnitude over the coming decades as we move away from the ‘governance of people’ to the ‘governance of things’ [complexity]. We are at the very beginning of a new governance paradigm. The crises of governance we are experiencing are ©Paul A. STOKES Page 55 09/03/2016 DRAFT consequences of the seismic shift in human societies in the last century towards complexity and identity and away from the anonymity of the mass society. There is narrow ground indeed between markets and hierarchies. As societies, our vision of the possibilities of effective political and social action has been constrained between the Scylla of anarchic individualism on the one hand and the Charybdis of authoritarian centralisation of the other. Neither is a path to freedom or community. We need a new means of conceptualising the mix between alienation and solidarity, between grid and group in such a way that all the possibilities and instrumentalities of social life are available to us. The viable system model represents a cybernetically grounded way of managing the balance between the organized varieties of social life and the tensions that are endemic. Above all it would force us to think about the telos of our social life together and about whether we are happy to live the oscillatory, counter-productive and downright contradictory nature of our policy environment because we have failed, beyond ideology, to clarify the nature and importance of our social objectives. That way both social and political maturity lies. The last word must go to someone who not only has not shirked these questions but who has done more than most to take us beyond the now sterile self-nullifying and oscillatory oppositions of ‘right’ versus ‘left’. In a series of radio broadcasts for the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation [CBC] Stafford Beer made the claim that, ‘It is actually possible to redesign the institutions of government according to the principles and practice of cybernetics’ (Beer 1974: 47). He also delivered himself of the following conclusion: According to the analysis of centralisation and decentralisation with which we began, it is clear that there should be a major devolution of power. I think it should be open to a community to organize its social services [education, health, welfare] exactly as it pleases, and to accept or to reject the initiatives or local innovators. I think that goes for local branches of national undertakings: public and private, also. I think that workers should in general be free to organize their own work, and that students [up to the age of death] should be free to organize their own studies.’ [op.cit.: 79].31 31 See also the work of Alexander (Alexander, Christopher. 1964. Notes on the Synthesis of Form. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, —. 1979. The Timeless Way of Building. New York: Oxford University Press, Alexander, Christopher, Sara Ishikawa, and Murray Silverstein. 1977. A Pattern Language: Towns, Buildings, Construction. New York: Oxford University Press.) and Turner (Turner, John F. C. 1976. Housing by People: Towards Autonomy in Building Environments. London: Marion Boyars.). ©Paul A. STOKES Page 56 09/03/2016 DRAFT It is scarcely possible for people today to understand that what Beer is talking about is not utter fantasy but is practically realisable. To grasp the possibilities we have to relinquish our fantasies of centralised domination and allow ourselves to be taken into the play of distributed systemic control. Beer’s vision is based on such principles as agreed degrees of freedom in action, dignity in autonomy and effective governance: principles that can only be effected in a negotiated society. As more complexity devolves the balance of power to nongovernmental layers of society the more difficult it will be to resist the inexorable drift in this direction. 8. Conclusion In this paper I have attempted to argue that the full perspective a new social science cannot be grasped under conditions of the separation of the political and the sociological. Sociological theory must see that governance functions are performed at all levels of society and political theory must concede that governance is embedded in all levels of organized society. It is only in the light of such a conjunction that that we can appreciate the full power of Beer’s system five—the closure layer of identity and of governance. Since the end of feudalism in Europe there has been a strong centripetal tends towards the escalation in societal size through successive rounds of elimination contests. Those led to the development of highly concentrated structures of power with monopolies of force and taxation being held by very few individuals at the top of the structure. Paradoxically this process arrived at a terminus beyond which it could not go. Due to the increasing complexity of ever-larger polities, monopolist rulers became increasingly dependent on ever-greater numbers of functionaries for the administration of their territories. This was the first step in the transition from private power monopolies to publicly administered monopolies of power in society. Innovation in the technology of production gave greater control and autonomy to producers thus loosening the hold of authoritarian modes of social regulation. This was the beginning of a long-term trend in the valorisation of horizontal relationships over vertical relationships. The long chains of horizontal dependency that ensued began to ensnarl society in a web-like structure of complexity. This in turn led to the augmentation of the self and the sense of self-identity, relative autonomy and selfregulation. With the rise and widespread use of the technologies of self-reflexivity we ©Paul A. STOKES Page 57 09/03/2016 DRAFT are on the verge of a veritable explosion of identities and identity claims. So much so that we may consider that we have entered the phase of identity society. The tasks and challenges of government change dramatically as we move from a mass society where government is based on demographics to a complex society where it seems identities in their various recursions have already begun to assume quite autonomously governance functions of their own. It seems that government is no longer the seat of societal governance—societal governance has become part of the self-governance of society itself. Of course there is a real danger of anarchy and reaction when the essential loosening of structures and bonds is (wrongly) construed as threatening the existing order. To avoid this possibility it will be necessary to have a meta-organizational means of understanding the complex dynamics and flux of the governance phenomenon over the coming decades. The VSM is the only model so far proposed that itself contains sufficient variety to absorb, integrate, relate and transcend the conflicted elements into some meta order which looks more like chaos than order but which is decidedly more orderly and rational than chaos. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 58 09/03/2016 DRAFT C:\Documents and Settings\Paul\My Documents\Work Files\2004\Metaphorum\From Government to the Management of Complexity.doc Words: 25,681 Date: 09/03/2016 20:09 ©Paul A. STOKES Page 59 09/03/2016 DRAFT References Agamben, Giorgio. 1993. The Coming Community. Minneapolis: University of Minnesota. Alexander, Christopher. 1964. Notes on the Synthesis of Form. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. —. 1979. The Timeless Way of Building. New York: Oxford University Press. Alexander, Christopher, Sara Ishikawa, and Murray Silverstein. 1977. A Pattern Language: Towns, Buildings, Construction. New York: Oxford University Press. Andersen, S., and Tom Burns. 1996. "The European Union and the Erosion of Parliamentary Democracy: A Study of Post-Parliamentary Governance." in The European Union: How Democratic Is It?, edited by S. Andersen and K. Eliassen. London: Sage. Andersen, S., and K. Eliassen (Eds.). 1996. The European Union: How Democratic Is It? London: Sage. Anderson, Benedict. 1991. Imagined Communities: Reflections of the Origins and Spread of Nationalism. London: Verso. Aulin, Arvid. 1982. The Cybernetic Laws of Social Progress. Oxford: Pergamon Press. —. 1986. "Notes on the concept of self-steering." Pp. pp 100-118 in Sociocybernetic Paradoxes: Observation, Control and Evolution of Self-Steering Systems, edited by Felix Geyer and Johannes van der Zouwen. London: Sage. Aulin-Ahmavaara, A. Y. 1979. "The Law of Requisite Hierarchy." Kybernetes 8:259266. Barber, Benjamin R. 1996. Jihad vs. McWorld. New York: Ballantine. Bateson, Gregory. 1973. Steps to an Ecology of Mind. London: Paladin. Beck, Ulrich, Anthony Giddens, and Scott Lash. 1994. Reflexive Modernization: Politics, Tradition and Aesthetics in the Modern Social Order. Cambridge: Polity Press. Beer, Stafford. 1970a. "Managing Modern Complexity." Futures:114-122. —. 1970b. "Managing Modern Complexity." Futures:245-257. —. 1974. Designing Freedom. London: J. Wiley. —. 1975. Platform for Change. London: John Wiley & Sons. —. 1979. Heart of Enterprise. London: John Wiley & Sons. —. 1985. Diagnosing the System for Organisations. London: John Wiley & Sons. —. 1989. "The evolution of a management cybernetics process." Pp. 211-270 in The Viable System Model: Interpretations and Applications of Stafford Beer's VSM, edited by Raúl Espejo and Roger Harnden. Chichester: John Wiley & Sons. Beniger, James R. 1986. The Control Revolution: Technological and Economic Origins of the Information Society. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. —. 1990. "Conceptualizing information technology as organization and vice versa." Pp. 29-45 in Organization and Communication Technology, edited by Janet Fulk and Charles Steinfield. Newbury Park, CA: SAGE Publications. Bennis, Warren, and Philip E. Slater. 1964. "Democracy is Inevitable." Harvard Business Review. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 60 09/03/2016 DRAFT Bloom, Harold. 1999. Shakespeare: The Invention of the Human. London: Fourth Estate. —. 2000. How to Read and Why. London: Fourth Estate. Bobrick, Benson. 2001. Wide as the Waters: The Story of the English Bible and the Revolution it Inspired. New York: Simon & Schuster. Boehm, Christopher. 2001. Hierarchy in the Forest: The Evolution of Egalitarian Behavior. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. Booker, Christopher, and Richard North. 1994. The Mad Officials: How the Bureaucrats are Strangling Britain. London: Constable. Brooks, David. 2000. BOBOS in Paradise: The New Upper Class and How They Got There. New York: Touchstone. Buckley, Walter. 1967. Sociology and Modern Systems Theory. Englewood-Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall. — (Ed.). 1968. Modern Systems Theory for the Behavioural Scientist. Chicago: Aldine. Bull, Hedley. 1977. The Anarchical Society: A Study of Order in World Politics. New York: Columbia University Press. Cadbury, Deborah. 1998. The Feminization of Nature: Our Future at Risk. London: Penguin Books. Campbell, Jeremy. 1982. Grammatical Man: Information, Entropy, Language, and Life. New York: Simon & Schuster. Campbell, John L., J. Rogers Hollingsworth, and Leon N. Lindberg (Eds.). 1991. Governance of the American Economy. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Castells, Manuel. 1992. The Informational City: information technology, economic restructuring and the urban-regional process. Oxford: Blackwell. —. 1996. The Rise of the Network Society. Malden, MA: Blackwells. —. 1997. The Power of Identity. Malden, MA: Blackwells. Cohen, Jack, and Andrew Arato. 1989. "Politics and the reconstruction of the Concept of Civil Society." Pp. 482-503 in Zwischenbetrachtungen: Im Prozess der Aufklärung, edited by A. Honneth, T. McCarthy, C. Offe, and A. Wellmer. Frankfurt: Suhrkamp. Coleman, James. 1991. "Prologue: Constructed Social Organization." Pp. 1-14 in Social Theory for a Changing Society, edited by James Coleman and Pierre Bourdieu. Boulder, CO: Westview Press. Coleman, James S. 1990. Foundations of Social Theory. Cambridge, MA: Belknap/Harvard University Press. Cooper, David Graham. 1971. The Death of the Family. New York: Pantheon Books. Coren, Richard L. 1998. The Evolutionary Trajectory: The Growth of Information in the History and Future of Earth. New York: Gordon & Breach. —. 2001. "Empirical Evidence for a Law of Information Growth." Entropy 3:259272. Corning, Peter A. 1971. "The Biological Bases of Behavior and Some Implications for Political Science." World Politics 23:321-370. —. 1983. The Synergism Hypothesis: A Theory of Progressive Evolution. New York: McGraw-Hill. —. 1995. "Synergy and Self-Organization in the Evolution of Complex Systems." Systems Research V12:89-121. —. 1996. "Synergy, Cybernetics and the Evolution of Politics." International Political Science Review 17:91-119. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 61 09/03/2016 DRAFT —. 1998. ""The Synergism Hypothesis": On the Concept of Synergy and its Role in the Evolution of Complex Systems." Journal of Social and Evolutionary Systems 21:1-43. —. forthcoming. Nature's Magic: Synergy in Evolution and the Fate of Mankind. Coser, Lewis A. 1956. The Functions of Social Conflict. Glencoe, IL: Free Press. Curtin, Deirdre. 1997. Postnational Democracy: The EU in Search of a Political Philosophy. Dordrecht: Kluwer. —. 2002. "Non-Governmental Representation v. Civil Society Deliberation: A Contemporary EU Governance Dilemma." University of Utrecht: Europa Institute. Dalton, Russel J., and Manfred Kuechler. 1990. Challenging the Political Order: New Social and Political Movements in Western Democracies. New York: Oxford University Press. Douglas, Mary. 1978. Cultural bias. London: Royal Anthropological Institute. —. 1982. In the Active Voice. London: Routledge & Kegan Paul. Dunsire, Andrew. 1978. Control in a Bureaucracy. Oxford: Robertson. —. 1991. "A Cybernetic View of Guidance, Control and Evaluation in the Public Sector." Pp. 325-345 in The Public Sector: Challenge for Coordination and Learning, edited by Franz-Xaver Kaufmann. Berlin: De Gruyter. Dyson, George B. 1997. Darwin Among the Machines: The Evolution of Global Intelligence. Reading, MA: HelixBooks:Addison-Wesley. Egeberg, Morton. 2000. "The Organisational Dimension of Integration in the EU (and Elsewhere)." in ARENA Working Papers WP 00/10. University of Oslo: Department of Political Science. Elias, Norbert. 1956. "Problems of Involvement and Detachment." British Journal of Sociology 11:226-252. —. 1978a. State Formation and Civilization. Oxford: Basil Blackwell. —. 1978b. What is Sociology? London: Hutchinson. —. 1987. "The Retreat of Sociologists into the Present." Theory, Culture & Society 4:223-247. —. 2000. The Civilizing Process: Sociogenetic and Psychogenetic Investigations. Oxford: Basil Blackwell. Espejo, Raúl, and Roger Harnden. 1989. The Viable System Model: Interpretations and Applications of Stafford Beer's VSM. London: John Wiley & Sons. Etzioni, Amitai. 1968. The Active Society: A Theory of Societal and Political Processes. New York: The Free Press. —. 1976. "Towards a General Theory of Guiding Societies." Pp. 97-104 in Sociotechnics, edited by Albert Cherns and Ruth Sinclair. London: Malaby Press. —. 1995. The Spirit of Community: Rights, Responsibilities and the Communitarian Agenda. London: Fontana Press. Evans, Peter B., Dietrich Rueschmeyer, and Theda Skocpol. 1985. Bringing the State Back In. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Florida, Richard L. 2002. The Rise of the Creative Class: And How it's Transforming Work, Leisure, Community and Everyday Life. New York: Basic Books. Flyvberg, Bent. 1998. Rationality and Power: Democracy in Practice. Chicago: Chicago University Press. Follett, Mary Parker. 1920. The New State: Group Organization the Solution of Popular Government. University Park, PA: Pennsylvania State University Press. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 62 09/03/2016 DRAFT Foucault, Michel. 1979. "Governmentality." Ideology and Consciousness 6:5-21. Fukuyama, Francis. 1999. The Great Disruption: Human Nature and the Reconstitution of the Social Order. London: Profile Books. —. 2002. Our Posthuman Future: Consequences of the Biotechnology Revolution. London: Profile Books. Gabor, Dennis. 1964. Inventing the Future. Harmondsworth: Penguin Books in association with Secker & Warburg. Gergen, Kenneth J. 1991. The Saturated Self: Dilemmas of Identity in Contemporary Life. New York: Basic Books. Geyer, Felix. 1978. "Diminishing Stress through Environmental Complexity Reduction: Countering the Modern Forms of Alienation by Learning How to Cope with Information Overload." Pp. 312-321 in Avoiding Social Catastrophes and Maximizing Social Opportunities: The General Systems Challenge, edited by R. F. Erickson. Washington: Society of General Systems Research. —. 1990. "Political Alienation and Environmental Complexity." Kybernetes 19:11-31. —. 1991. "Modern Forms of Alienation in High-Complexity Environments: A Systems Approach." Kybernetes 20:10-28. —. 1992. "Alienation in Community and Society: Effects of Increasing Environmental Complexity." Kybernetes 21:33-49. —. 1994. "Alienation, Participation, and Increasing Societal Complexity." Kybernetes 23:10-34. Glasser, William. 1976. The Identity Society. New York: Harper & Row Perennial Library. Gorz, André. 1976. The Division of Labour. Hassocks: Harvester Press. —. 1982. Farewell to the Working Class: An Essay on Post-Industrial Socialism. London: Pluto Press. —. 1985. Paths to Paradise: On the Liberation from Work. London: Pluto Press. Grabher, Gernot, and David Stark. 1997. Restructuring Networks: Legacies, Linkages, and Localities in Postsocialism. New York: Oxford University Press. Habermas, Jürgen. 1970. "On Systematically Distorted Communication." Inquiry 13:205-218. —. 1971. Toward a Rational Society: Student Protest, Science and Politics. London: Heinemann Educational. —. 1976. Legimation Crisis. London: Heinemann. Hague, D. C., W. J. M. Mackenzie, and A. Barker. 1795. Public Policy and Private Interests. London: Macmillan. Hall, Peter. 1981. "Economic planning and the state: the evolution of economic challenge and political response in France." in Political Power and Social Theory, edited by G. Esping-Andersen and R. Friedland. Greenwich, CT: JAI Press. —. 1983a. "Patterns of Economic Policy: an Organizational Approach." Pp. 363-394 in States and Societies, edited by David Held. Oxford: Martin Robertson in association with the Open University. —. 1983b. "Patterns of Economic Policy: an Organizational Approach." in The State in Capitalist Europe, edited by S. et al. Bornstein. London: Allen & Unwin. —. 1986. Governing the Economy: The Politics of State Intervention in Britain and France. New York: Oxford University Press. Hammond, Michael. 1978. "Durkheim's Reality Construction Model and the Emergence of Social Stratification." The Sociological Review 26:713-728. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 63 09/03/2016 DRAFT —. 1983a. "Emile Durkheim's The Division of Labor in Society as a Classic in Human Biosociology." Journal of Social and Biological Structures 6:123-134. —. 1983b. "The Sociology of Emotions and the History of Social Differentiation." Pp. 90-119 in Sociological Theory 1983, edited by Randall Collins. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass. —. 1990. "Affective Maximization: A New Macro-Theory in the Sociology of Emotions." Pp. 58-81 in Research Agendas in the Sociology of Emotions, edited by Theodore D. Kemper. Albany, NY: State University of New York Press. —. 1996. "Emotions, Habituation, and Macro-Sociology: The Case of Inequality." International Journal of Sociology and Social Policy 16:53-74. —. 1999a. "Arouser Depreciation and the Expansion of Social Inequality." in Brains, Minds, and Society: Towards a Neurosociology, edited by David Franks and Thomas Smith. Greenwich, NJ: JAI Press. —. 1999b. "Arouser Filtering and the Enchantment of the World." Hastings, Colin. 1993. The New Organization: Growing the Culture of Organizational Networking. London: McGraw-Hill. Haugaard, Mark. 1997. The Constitution of Power: A Theoretical Analysis of Power, Knowledge and Structure. Manchester: Manchester University Press. Hausner, Jerzy, Bob Jessop, and K. Nielsen (Eds.). 1993. Institutional Frameworks of Market Economies: Scandinavian and Eastern European Perspectives. Adershot: Avebury. Hegedus, Zsuzsa. 1989. "Social Movements and Social Change is Self-Creative Society: New Civil Initiatives in the International Arena." International Sociology 4:19-36. Hindess, Barry. 1996. Discourses of Power: From Hobbes to Foucault. Oxford: Blackwell. Hirst, Paul. 1994. Associative Democracy: New Forms of Economic and Social Governance. Cambridge: Polity Press. —. 1997. From Statism to Pluralism: Democracy, Civil Society and Global Politics. London: UCL Press. Hirst, Paul Q., and Sunil Khilnani (Eds.). 1996. Reinventing Democracy. Oxford: Blackwell. Hirst, Paul, and Grahame Thompson. 1996. Globalization in Question: The International Economy and the Possibilities of Governance. Cambridge: Polity Press. Hodgson, Geoffrey M. 1988. Economics and Institutions: A Manifesto for a Modern Institutional Economics. Cambridge: Polity Press. Hoggart, Richard. 1958. The Uses of Literacy: Aspects of Working-Class Life with Special Reference to Publications and Entertainments. Harmondsworth, Middlesex: Penguin Books in association with Chatto and Windus. Hood, Christopher. 1976. The Limits of Administration. London: Wiley. —. 1991. "Concepts of Control over Public Bureaucracies: 'Comptrol' and 'Interpolable Balance'." Pp. 347-366 in The Public Sector: Challenge for Coordination and Learning, edited by Franz-Xaver Kaufmann. Berlin: De Gruyter. Horsman, Mathew, and Andrew Marshall. 1994. After the Nation-State: Citizens, Tribalism and the New World Disorder. London: HarperCollins. Howard, Philip K. 1994. The Death of Common Sense: How Law is Suffocating America. New York: Warner Books. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 64 09/03/2016 DRAFT —. 2001. The Lost Art of Drawing the Line: How Fairness Went Too Far. New York: Random House. Huntington, Samuel P. 1998. The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order. London: Touchstone Books. Jackson, John A. 2000. "Futures?" in Sociological Research Online. Janowitz, Morris. 1975. "Sociological Theory and Social Control." American Journal of Sociology 81:82-108. —. 1991. On Social Organization and Social Control. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Jantsch, Erich. 1980. The Self-Organizing Universe: Scientific and Human Implications of the Emerging Paradigm of Evolution. Oxford: Pergamon Press. Jaynes, Julian. 1976. The Origins of Consciousness in the Breakdown of the Bicameral Mind. Boston: Houghton Mifflin. Jessop, Bob. 1995. "The regulation approach, governance and post-Fordism: alternative perspectives on economic and political change?" Economy and Society 24:307-333. —. 2001. "The Governance of Complexity and the Complexity of Governance: Preliminary Remarks on some Problems and Limits of Economic Guidance." Jones, J. Christopher. 1970. Design Methods: Seeds of Human Futures. London: Wiley-Interscience. Judge, Anthony. 1987. "Governance through Metaphor." —. 1992. "Sustaining Higher Orders of Policy Consensus through Metaphor." Kaufmann, Franz-Xaver, Giandomenico Majone, and Vincent Ostrom (Eds.). 1986. Guidance, control, and evaluation in the public sector. Berlin: De Gruyter. Kawachi, Ichiro, Bruce P. Kennedy, and Richard G. Wilkinson. 1999. Income Inequality and Health. New York: The New Press. Keane, John. 1988. Civil Society and the State: New European Perspectives. London: Verso. Knauft, Bruce B. 1991. "Violence and Sociality in Human Evolution." Current Anthropology 32:243-244. Knorr-Cetina, Karin. 1997. "Sociality with Objects: Social Relations in Postsocial Knowledge Societies." Theory, Culture & Society 14:1-30. Kooiman, Jan. 1993. "Findings, Speculations and Recommendations." Pp. 249-262 in Modern Governance: New Government-Society Interactions, edited by Jan Kooiman. London: SAGE Publications. —. 2001. "Governance: A Social-Political Perspective." Kurzweil, Ray. 1999. The Age of Spiritual Machines: When Computers Exceed Human Intelligence. New York: Penguin Books. La Porte, Todd (Ed.). 1975. Organized Social Complexity: Challenge to Politics and Policy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Laing, R. D. 1976. The Politics of the Family, and other essays. Harmondsworth: Penguin Books. Laing, R. D., and Aaron Esterson. 1970. Sanity, Madness and the Family: Families of Schizophrenics. London: Tavistock. Lasch, Christopher. 1979. The Culture of Narcissism. New York: Warner Books. Latour, Bruno. 1986. "The Powers of Association." Pp. 264-280 in Power, Action and Belief: A New Sociology of Knowledge?, edited by John Law. London: Routledge & Kegan Paul. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 65 09/03/2016 DRAFT Lipnack, Jessica, and Jeffrey Stamps. 1994. The Age of the Network: Organizing Principles for the 21st Century. Essex Junction, VT: Oliver Wright/Omneo. Livingston, William L. 1985. The New Plague. Bayside, NJ: FES Publishing. Luhmann, Niklas. 1982. The Differentiation of Society. New York: Columbia University Press. —. 1985. "Complexity and Meaning." Pp. 99-104 in The Science and Praxis of Complexity, edited by S. Aida. Tokyo: United Nations University. Maffesoli, Michel. 1995. The Time of the Tribes. London: SAGE Publications. Marx, Karl, and Frederick Engels. 1974. The German Ideology. London: Lawrence & Wishart. Mayntz, Renate. 1993. "Governing Failures and the Problem of Governability: Some Comments on a Theoretical Paradigm." Pp. 7-20 in Modern Governance: New Government-Society Interactions, edited by Jan Kooiman. London: SAGE Publications. Mazlish, Bruce. 1993. The Fourth Discontinuity: The Co-Evolution of Humans and Machines. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press. Mechanic, D. 1962. "Sources of Power of Lower Participants in Complex Organizations." Administrative Science Quarterly 7:349-364. Medrano, J. D., and P. Gutierrez. 2001. "Nested identities: national and European identity in Spain." Ethnic and Racial Studies 24:753-778. Mennell, Stephen. 1992. Norbert Elias: An Introduction. Oxford: Blackwell. —. 1994. "The Formation of We-Images: A Process Theory." Pp. 175-197 in Social Theory and the Politics of Identity: The Modern Discourse of Identity, edited by Craig Calhoun. Cambridge, MA: Blackwell Publishers. Meyer, Marshall W. 1985. Limits to Bureaucratic Growth. Berlin: Walter de Gruyter. —. 1990. "The Growth of Public and Private Bureaucracies." Pp. 153-172 in Structures of Capital: The Social Organization of the Economy, edited by Sharon Zukin and Paul DiMaggio. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Meyer, Marshall W., and M. Craig Brown. 1977. "The Process of Bureaucratization." American Journal of Sociology 83:364-385. Miller, James Grier. 1978. Living Systems. New York: McGraw-Hill. Mitchell, Alan. 2002. Right Side Up: Building Brands in the Age of the Organised Consumer. London: HarperCollins. Mouffe, Chantal. 2000. "Deliberative Democracy or Agonistic Pluralism." in Political Science Series # 72. Vienna: Institute for Advanced Studies. Naisbitt, John. 1994. Global Paradox: The bigger the world economy, the more powerful its smallest players. London: Nicholas Brealey Publishing. Nicolis, G., and Ilya Prigogine. 1977. Self-Organization in Nonequilibrium Systems: From Dissipative Structures to Order Through Fluctuations. New York: Wiley. —. 1989. Exploring Complexity: An Introduction. New York: W.H. Freeman. Nielsen, K, and Ove K. Pedersen. 1988. "The Negotiated Economy: Ideal and History." Scandinavian Political Studies 11:79-101. Nielsen, K., and Ove K. Pedersen. 1993. "The Negotiated Economy: General Features and Theoretical Perspectives." Pp. 82-112 in Institutional Frameworks of Market Economies, edited by Jerzy Hausner, Bob Jessop, and K. Nielsen. Adershot: Avebury. Offe, Claus. 1975. "The Theory of the Capitalist State and the Problem of Policy Formation." Pp. 125-144 in Stress and Contradiction in Modern Capitalism, edited by L.N. Lindberg. Lexington, D.C.: Heath. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 66 09/03/2016 DRAFT —. 2000. "Civil society and social order: demarcating and combining market, state and community." Archives Europeénnes du Sociologie XLI:71-94. Ohmae, Kenichi. 1995. The End of the Nation State. New York: Free Press. Ortega y Gasset, José. 1932. The Revolt of the Masses. London: G. Allen & Unwin ltd. Park, Robert E. 1952. Human Communication. Glencoe, Il: The Free Press. —. 1967. On Social Control and Collective Behavior. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press. Park, Robert E., and Ernest W. Burgess. 1969. Introduction to the Science of Sociology. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press. Parsons, Talcott. 1951. The Social System. New York: The Free Press. Peters, B. Guy, and Jon Pierre. 2001. "Developments in intergovernmental relations: towards multi-level governance." Policy and Politics 29:131-5. Piore, Michael J., and Charles Sabel. 1984. The Second Industrial Divide. New York: Basic Books. Polletta, F., and J. M. Jasper. 2001. "Collective identity and social movements." Annual Review of Sociology 27:283-305. Porter, Michael E. 1990. The Competitive Advantage of Nations. London: Macmillan. Powelson, John P. 1994. Centuries of Economic Endeavor: Parallel Paths in Japan and Europe and their Contrast with the Third World. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press. Prigogine, Ilya. 1976. "Order Through Fluctuation: Self-Organization and Social System." in Evolution and Consciousness: Human Systems in Transition, edited by Erich Jantsch and Conrad Waddington. New York: Addison-Wesley. Prigogine, Ilya, Peter M. Allen, and Robert Herman. 1977a. "The Evolution of Complexity and the Laws of Nature." in Goals for Mankind: Report to the Club of Rome, edited by E. Laszlo and J. Bierman. —. 1977b. "Long Term Trends and the Evolution of Complexity." in Goals in a Global Community, edited by Ervin Laszlo and Judah Bierman. New York: Pergamon Press. Prigogine, Ilya, and Isabelle Stengers. 1984. Order Out of Chaos: Man's New Dialogue with Nature. New York: Bantam Books. Putnam, Robert D. 1993. Making Democracy Work: Civic Traditions in Modern Italy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. —. 1995. "Bowling Alone: America's Declining Social Capital." Journal of Democracy 6:65-78. —. 2000. Bowling Alone: The Collapse and Revival of American Community. New York: Simon & Schuster. Reihlen, Markus. 1996. "The Logic of Heterarchies: Making Organizations Competitive for Knowledge-based Competition." in Arbeitsbericht Nr. 91. University of Cologne: Department of Planning and Logistics. Rhodes, R. A. W. 1996. "The New Governance: Governing without Government." Political Studies 44:652-667. —. 1997. Understanding Governance: Policy Networks, Governance, Reflexivity and Accountability. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Richardson, George P. 1991. Feedback Thought in Social Science and Systems Theory. Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press. Riesman, David. 1961. The Lonely Crowd: A Study of the Changing American Character. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 67 09/03/2016 DRAFT Rifkin, Jeremy. 1999. The Biotech Century: How Genetic Commerce Will Change the World. London: Phoenix. Ritzer, George. 1993. The McDonaldization of Society: An Investigation Into the Changing Character of Contemporary Social Life. Newbury, CA: Pine Forge Press. Robertson, Roland, and Burkart Holzner (Eds.). 1980. Identity and Authority: Explorations in the Theory of Society. Oxford: Basil Blackwell. Sabatier, Paul A. 1988. "An advocacy coalition framework of policy change and the role of policy-oriented learning therein." Policy Sciences 21:129-168. — (Ed.). 1999. Theories of the Policy Process. Boulder, CO: Westview Press. Sabel, Charles. 1996. Ireland: Local Partnerships and Social Innovation. Paris: OECD. Sale, Kirkpatrick. 1980. Human Scale. New York: Coward, McCann & Geoghegan. Scharpf, Fritz W. 1993. Games in Hierarchies and Networks: Analytical and Empirical Approaches. Boulder, CO: Westview Press. —. 1994. "Games Real Actors Could Play: Positive and Negative Coordination in Embedded Negotiations." Journal of Theoretical Politics 6:27-53. Scheff, Thomas J. 1997. Emotions, the Social Bond, and Human Reality: Part/Whole Analysis. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Schmitt, C. 1985. The Crisis of Parliamentary Democracy. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. Schmookler, Andrew Bard. 1995. The Parable of the Tribes: The Problem of Power in Social Evolution. Albany, NY: State University of New York Press. Sen, Amartya. 1999. Development as Freedom. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Soltan, Karol Edward, and Stephen L Elkin (Eds.). 1996. The Constitution of Good Societies. University Park, PA: The Pennsylvania State University Press. Stark, David. 1989. Bending the Bars of the Iron Cage: Bureaucratization and Informalization in Capitalism and Socialism. Notre Dame, Indiana: The Helen Kellogg Institute for International Studies. —. 1999a. "Heterarchy: Asset Ambiguity and the Organization of Diversity in Postsocialist Firms." in The Future of the Firm: The Social Organization of Business, edited by Paul DiMaggio, Walter Powell, David Stark, and Eleanore Westney. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. —. 1999b. "Heterarchy: Distributing Intelligence and Organizing Diversity." Pp. 153179 in The Biology of Business: Decoding the Natural Laws of Enterprise, edited by John Clippenger. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass Publishers. —. 2001. "Ambiguous Assets for Uncertain Environments: Heterarchy in Postsocialist Firms." in The 21st Century Firm: Changing Economic Organization in International Perspective, edited by Paul DiMaggio, Walter Powell, David Stark, and Eleanor Westney. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Stark, David, and Gernot Grabher. 1997. "Organizing Diversity: Evolutionary Theory, Network Analysis, and Postsocialist Transformations." in Restructuring Networks: Legacies, Linkages, and Localities in Postsocialism, edited by Gernot Grabher and David Stark. New York: Oxford University Press. Stokes, Paul A. 2003. Finalization, Cybernetics and the Possibility of a Social Science. Unpublished PhD. Swansea: European Business Managment School, University of Wales. Streeck, Wolfgang, and Philippe C. Schmitter (Eds.). 1985. Private Interest Government: Beyond Market and State. London: Sage. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 68 09/03/2016 DRAFT Tainter, Joseph A. 1988. The Collapse of Complex Societies. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. —. 1995. "Sustainability of Complex Societies." Futures 27:397-407. Thompson, M., Richard Ellis, and Aaron B. Wildavsky. 1990. Cultural Theory. Boulder, Colo.: Westview Press. Toffler, Alvin. 1990. Powershift: Knowledge, Wealth and Violence at the Edge of the 21st Century. New York: Bantam Books. Turkle, Sherry. 1984. The Second Self: Computers and the Human Spirit. London: Granada. Turner, John F. C. 1976. Housing by People: Towards Autonomy in Building Environments. London: Marion Boyars. van Krieken, Robert. 1991. "The Poverty of Social Control." The Sociological Review 38:1-25. Warleigh, Alex. 2000. "Beyond the Functional-Ideational Gap: From Network Governance to Network Democracy in the European Union?" Civic 2000 2. Warwick, Kevin. 1998. In the Mind of the Machine: The Breakthrough in Artificial Intelligence. London: Arrow. Watzlawick, Paul, Janet Helmick Beavin, and Don D. Jackson. 1967. Pragmatics of Human Communication: A Study of Interactional Patterns, Pathologies, and Paradoxes. New York: WW Norton & Company. Weaver, Warren. 1963. "Recent Contributions to the Mathematical Theory of Communication." Pp. 3-28 in The Mathematical Theory of Communication, edited by Claude Shannon and Warren Weaver. Chicago: University of Illinois Press. Weick, Karl E. 1979. The Social Psychology of Organizing. New York: McGraw-Hill, Inc. Whitney-Smith, Elin. 1991. Information Technology and Wealth: Cybernetics, History and Economics. Unpublished PhD. Old Dominion University. Wildavsky, Aaron. 1988. "The Secret of Safety Lies in Danger." Pp. 43-61 in The Constitution and Regulation of Society, edited by Gary C. Bryner and Dennis L. Thompson. Provo, Utah: Bringham Young University. Wilkinson, Richard G. 1996. Unhealthy Societies: The Afflictions of Inequality. London: Routledge. Wilson, James Q. 1980. "The Politics of Regulation." Pp. 357-394 in The Politics of Regulation, edited by James Q. Wilson. New York: Basic Books. Yates, Eugene F. 1987. Self-Organizing Systems: The Emergence of Order. New York: Plenum Press. Zald, Mayer N., and John D. McCarthy. 1987. Social Movements in an Organizational Society. New Brunswick: Transaction Books. Zeleny, Milan. 1980. Autopoiesis, Dissipative Structures, and Spontaneous Social Orders. Boulder, CO: Westview Press. Zuboff, Shoshana, and James Maxmin. 2003. The Support Economy: Why Corporations are Failing Individuals and the Next Episode of Capitalism. London: Allen Lane The Penguin Press. ©Paul A. STOKES Page 69 09/03/2016