Please write your answers on this exam paper. Name _____________________ Student ID _____________________ Midterm Exam Economics 4334 Money and Banking Thursday, October 21st, 2014 Please write all of your answers on this exam paper. Multiple Choice (1 point each) 1. Which of the following is not a characteristic of full fledged inflation targeting a. An explicit central bank mandate to pursue price stability as the primary objective of monetary policy, b. Monetary policy has an explicit quantitative targets for inflation set independently by the central bank; c. Policy actions based on a forward-looking assessment of inflation pressures, taking into account a wide array of information; d. Increased transparency of monetary policy strategy and implementation. ___________ 2. The People’s Bank of China increases its required reserve ratio. This increases the demand for reserves by banks and also increases the reserve to deposit ratio. If the People’s Bank has a policy of targeting the inter-bank interest rate, this results in: a. b. c. d. an increase in the monetary base and an increase in the money multiplier an increase in the monetary base and a decrease in the money multiplier a decrease in the monetary base and an increase in the money multiplier a decrease in the monetary base and a decrease in the money multiplier. ___________ 3. The Taylor Principle is such that when the central bank faces a 1% rise in the rate of expected inflation, they should a. b. c. d. raise the nominal interest rate by more than 1%. cut the nominal interest rate by more than 1%. raise the real interest rate by more than 1%. cut the real interest rate by more than 1%. _________ Page 1 of 11 Please write your answers on this exam paper. 4. a. b. c. d. When we see a dynamic open market sale by a central bank with a credible inflation target using the interest rate as a policy instrument we should see: The yield curve getting steeper and the monetary base getting larger. The yield curve getting steeper and the monetary base getting smaller. The yield curve getting flatter and the monetary base getting larger. The yield curve getting flatter and the monetary base getting smaller. _________ 5. a. b. c. d. The Bank of Korea wants to slow the appreciation of its currency and conducts a sterilized intervention. We should see: The central bank issue monetary stabilization bonds. The central bank purchase monetary stabilization bonds. The monetary base increase. The monetary base decrease. _________ 6. Most developed country inflation-targeting central banks currently target: a. Core consumer price inflation of more than 4 % annually over a medium term horizon. b. Core consumer price inflation of less than 4 % annually over a medium term horizon. c. Headline consumer price inflation of more than 4 % annually over a medium term horizon. d. Headline consumer price inflation of less than 4 % annually over a medium term horizon. ___________ Page 2 of 11 Please write your answers on this exam paper. 7. For an inflation targeting central bank, bond traders will need to do increasing: a. repurchase agreements (repos) if they are defending a policy target in the face of increasing reserve demand; and repurchase agreements (reverse repos) if they are raising the policy interest rate. b. repurchase agreements (repos) if they are defending a policy target in the face of increasing reserve demand; and reverse repurchase agreements (reverse repos) if they are raising the policy interest rate. c. reverse repurchase agreements (repos) if they are defending a policy target in the face of increasing reserve demand; and repurchase agreements (reverse repos) if they are raising the policy interest rate. d. reverse repurchase agreements (repos) if they are defending a policy target in the face of increasing reserve demand; and reverse repurchase agreements (reverse repos) if they are raising the policy interest rate. _________ Short Answer Questions 1. (2 points) During the 16th century, the Ming dynasty abandoned the use of fiat currency. Name two reasons. a. b. 2. (2 points) Name the policy interest rate of : a. Japan b. Korea c. The Eurozone Page 3 of 11 Please write your answers on this exam paper. 3. (2 points) Identify the strategies of the European Central Bank for achieving independence along with transparency and accountability. a. Independence b. Transparency & Accountability 4. (2 points) Explain two reasons why most developed economies and emerging markets have abandoned monetary targets. a. b. 5. (1 point) Name a central bank that has used forward guidance Page 4 of 11 6. (2 points) Explain two reasons why monetary policy needs to be forward looking. a. b. Numerical Questions 7. (1 point) Indonesia’s one year interest rate in May 2014 was 9% (i = .09). The US interest rate was zero (iF = 0). The Indonesian Rupiah-US Dollar exchange rate was Et = 11500. Calculate the one year forward rate, Ftt+1 . Page 5 of 11 8. (1 point) The reserve to deposit ratio is 10% and the ratio of cash holdings to deposits is .9. Calculate the money multiplier. 9. (2 points) In March 2010, the interest rate on a 1 year government note in India was about 5%. The annual interest rate on a 2 year note was 6%. The annual interest rate on a 3 year note was 6.5%. Calculate the March 2010 market expectation of the path of the one year interest rate for 2011 and 2012. Page 6 of 11 Graphing Questions 10. (2 points) Banks sharply reduce their demand for reserves in an economy in which the central bank conducts defensive open market operations only infrequently. Instead, the central bank will have standby lending and deposit facilities. Demonstrate the way that the standby facility limits movements in the interbank rate. iIBOR Reserves Page 7 of 11 11. (4 points) Two recent monetary policies of the bank of Japan are implementing Quantitative & Qualitative Easing and setting a higher inflation target. a. Explain the purpose of increasing the inflation target. b. Explain what the Bank of Japan means by Q&QE. Demonstrate the effect on the BoJ’s balance sheets using the T-Account. Assets Liabilities Page 8 of 11 Demonstrate using a graph, the effect of Q & QE on the interbank market on the following graph. Clearly market the graph but no further explanation is necessary. iIBOR Reserves Explain using the preferred habitat theory the logic behind Q&QE. Page 9 of 11 Please write your answers on this exam paper. 12. (2 points) Foreign Exchange Market. The Philippines announces the implementation of a stock market reform, commencing next year, which will allow foreigners greater access to the local stock market. Clearly mark the graph but no further explanation is necessary. a. Demonstrate the effect of such an announcement on the forex market if the central bank does not intervene in the forex market. E Turnover Demonstrate the effect on the interbank market if the central bank engages in unsterilized intervention. iIBOR Reserves Page 10 of 11 Please write your answers on this exam paper. 13. (12 points) The US central bank has the inter-bank interest rate as an operating target with an inflation targeting interest rate rule. The U.S. government treasury increases spending which increases economic activity but putting upward pressure on inflation. Draw two graphs which show the impact of this fiscal spending on GDP and inflation and another which shows the impact on the inter-bank market? Remember to consider both the effects on demand for reserves as well as monetary policy. π Y Economy iFF Interbank Market D Page 11 of 11