ITE lecture no.3 John Cubbin Introduction to Economics Microeconomics Topic 2 (continued) Analysing markets: supply and demand The aim of this lecture is: To demonstrate the way in which ‘market forces’ operate to establish equilibrium. To show how linear Qs and Qd equations can be used to show equilibrium price and quantity. Required reading for this topic: Sloman Chapter 2, Sections 2.1-2.3 533581533 1 ITE lecture no.3 John Cubbin Key points from the last lecture… Qd = f(price, income, tastes, prices of other goods and services…) A change in price will move a consumer along their demand curve A change in any other variable will cause the demand curve to shift. Qs = f(price, costs of production, industry conditions…) A change in price will move the industry along their supply curve A change in any other variable will cause the supply curve to shift. In a private market, supply and demand interact to establish an equilibrium price i.e. where Qs = Qd We perhaps did not say - but should have done that supply and demand analysis assumes competitive markets 533581533 2 ITE lecture no.3 John Cubbin 1a. Re-establishing equilibrium after a shift in the demand curve Effect of a shift in the demand curve: Price S P P 2 1 D2 D1 O 533581533 Q 1 Q2 e Quantity 3 ITE lecture no.3 John Cubbin 1b. Re-establishing equilibrium after a shift in the supply curve Effect of a shift in the supply curve Price S1 S2 P P 1 2 D O Q 533581533 1 Q 2 Quantity 4 ITE lecture no.3 John Cubbin 2. Linear demand and supply analysis Linear demand and supply curves can be expressed as equations with an intercept and a slope. Supply curve QS = IS + SS*P QS is the amount of X supplied at price P IS is the intercept for the supply curve SS is the slope of the supply curve P is the price of X 533581533 5 ITE lecture no.3 John Cubbin Linear demand and supply analysis Example of linear supply curve: QS = -20 + 2P 100 Price (P) 95 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 210 220 230 Quantity (Qs) 533581533 6 ITE lecture no.3 John Cubbin Demand curve QD = ID + SD*P QD is the amount of X demanded at price P ID is the intercept for the demand curve SD is the slope of the demand curve P is the price of X 533581533 7 ITE lecture no.3 John Cubbin Linear demand and supply analysis Example of linear demand curve: QD = 220 - 4P Price (P) 100 95 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 210 220 230 Quantity (Qd) 533581533 8 ITE lecture no.3 John Cubbin 3. Linear demand and supply analysis: equilibrium Calculating the equilibrium point QS = -20 + 2P QD = 220 - 4P In equilibrium, XS=XD, therefore -20 + 2 P = 220 – 4P 6P = 240 P = 40 Substituting for P in the supply equation, QS = -20 + (2*40) = 60 Substituting for P in the demand equation, QD = 220 – (4*40) = 60 Giving the equilibrium position, P = 40, and QS = QD = 60. 533581533 9 ITE lecture no.3 John Cubbin Linear demand and supply analysis: plotting demand and supply curves 100 Supply Price (P) 55 40 Demand 10 0 0 60 220 Quantity (Q) The points marked are: If QS = 0, P = 10 If QD=0, P = 55 If P = 0, QD = 220 If P = 40, Q = 60 (equilibrium) 533581533 10 ITE lecture no.3 John Cubbin 4. Putting theory into practice: Economists use data (e.g time series, cross-sectional) to estimate demand and supply schedules (econometrics) these may be represented as linear or non-linear relationships, depending on the data. What is the relevance of demand and supply analysis? Firms: interested in the factors determining demand as this affects their revenue, investment requirements Governments: essential to predict the effects of policies aimed at increasing or decreasing demand (e.g. subsidies, taxes) e.g. see discussion paper on demand for long distance rail travel at: http://www.city.ac.uk/economics/discussi onpapers/index.html 533581533 11 ITE lecture no.3 John Cubbin 5. Predicting the effect of a price ceiling Price S P Pmax D Quantity If the ceiling bites (i.e. is less than the market equilibrium price) => excedss demand Examples of price ceilings: Rent controls, any others? But what about controlled prices such as water, postal services? 533581533 12 ITE lecture no.3 John Cubbin 6. Predicting the effect of a sales tax Note: if we do not get time to cover this in today’s lecture, we will do so in forthcoming lectures. e.g. a tax on cigarettes Incidence = who ‘bears’ the tax? Price £1 per unit tax S2 S1 £6 £5.20 £5 D 80 85 Quantity Total tax revenue = 80 x £1 = £80 Tax paid by consumers = 80 x (£6 - £5.20) = £64 Tax paid by suppliers = 80 x (£5 - £5.20) = £16 533581533 13 ITE lecture no.3 John Cubbin Note: the incidence of a tax depends on how ‘responsive’ demand and supply are to price. In the diagram above, demand is ‘unresponsive’ to price [the demand curve is quite ‘steep’] so: Quantity demanded doesn’t change much The govt. earns a lot of revenue Consumers bear most of the tax burden Test your understanding… On a diagram, show the effects of a sales tax where the demand curve is flat and the supply curve is steep. Who bears the tax? Why? 533581533 14