Economics 215 Intermediate Macroeconomics Sample Midterm 2005 Multiple Choice (6 points each) 1. In 1950, a country begins with real (constant dollar) GDP per capita of $2,000. The average growth rate of real GDP is 14% and the population growth rate is 7%. In what year, will GDP per capita be equal to $16,000? a. 1960 b. 1970 c. 1990 d. 2010 _______C______ 2. An economy progresses from its transition phase to its balanced growth phase. In general a. the productivity of capital is greater during the transition phase than the balanced growth phase while the growth rate of labor productivity is greater during the transition phase than the balanced growth phase. b. the productivity of capital is less during the transition phase than the balanced growth phase while the growth rate of labor productivity is greater during the transition phase than the balanced growth phase. c. the productivity of capital is greater during the transition phase than the balanced growth phase while the growth rate of labor productivity is less during the transition phase than the balanced growth phase. d. the productivity of capital is less during the transition phase than the balanced growth phase while the growth rate of labor productivity is less during the transition phase than the balanced growth phase _____A________ 3. We observe a pattern that developing economies experience real exchange rate appreciations as they grow. Assuming uncovered interest parity is true in the long run, we should see that for developing economies with fixed exchange rates. a. PPP-converted GDP grows faster than exchange rate-converted GDP and inflation will be lower than in the USA. b. PPP-converted GDP grows faster than exchange rate-converted GDP and inflation will be higher than in the USA. c. PPP-converted GDP grows slower than exchange rate-converted GDP and inflation will be lower than in the USA. d. PPP-converted GDP grows slower than exchange rate-converted GDP and inflation will be higher than in the USA. ______D_______ 4. Nominal GDP in year 2000 was HK$1.288 Trillion; nominal GDP in 2001 was HK$1.278 trillion. Real GDP in 2001 was HK$1.297 Trillion (measured in year 2000 dollars). If we measure nominal prices with the GDP deflator, we can say that: a. The inflation rate in year 2001 is positive and the ex post real interest rate of year 2000 is greater than the nominal interest rate in year 2000. b. The inflation rate is year 2001 is negative and the ex post real interest rate of year 2000 is greater than the nominal interest rate in year 2000. c. The inflation rate in year 2001 is positive and the ex post real interest rate of year 2000 is less than the nominal interest rate in year 2000. d. The inflation rate is year 2001 is negative and the ex post real interest rate of year 2000 is less than the nominal interest rate in year 2000.dsd _____B________ 5. We see that around the year 2000, a. Hong Kong has a higher GDP per capita than South Korea and Hong Kong has a more evenly distributed income than South Korea. b. Hong Kong has a higher GDP per capita than South Korea and Hong Kong has a less evenly distributed income than South Korea. c. Hong Kong has a lower GDP per capita than South Korea and Hong Kong has a more evenly distributed income than South Korea. d. Hong Kong has a lower GDP per capita than South Korea and Hong Kong has a less evenly distributed income than South Korea. ______B_______ Short Answer 6. (10 points) An economy consistently has $2.00 in current dollar GDP for every $1.00 in labor compensation. The rate of capital deepening is 8% (i.e. the growth rate of the capital-labor ratio) and the growth rate of labor productivity is 6%. What is the growth rate of total factor productivity? The real wage rate is the marginal product of labor which is proportional to the average product which implies that the ratio of labor compensation to nominal GDP is a. In this case, a = .5. W GDP WL a a P L PGDP We can say that labor productivity is a function of capital productivity and technology. This means that labor productivity growth is a weighted average of the capital deepening rate and the technology growth rate. We can calculate the weighted technology growth rate. GDPt Kta ( Z t Lt )1a gdpt GDPt kta ( Z t )1a gtgdp a gtk (1 a ) gtZ Lt (1 a) gtZ gtgdp a gtk .06 1 2 .08 .02 In the Cobb-Douglas set-up, TFP is equal to technology raised to a power 1-a. a 1a GDPt TFPK TFPt (Zt )1a gtTFP 1 a gtZ .02 t t ( Lt ) 7. (10 points) An economy has a Cobb-Douglas production function with a = .5. Technology is equal to Z =1. The capital stock is equal to K = 100. What is the demand for labor when the real wage is 2? The marginal product of labor is 1 a W K MPL (1 a) Z 1 a 2 P L 100 L 6.25 16 1 2 100 100 16 2 L L 8. (15 points) In Brazil, capital productivity in the balanced growth phase is .6. In the US, capital productivity in the balanced growth phase is .4. If these two economies have the same Cobb-Douglass production function with a = 1/3 and the level of technology, Zt, is always the same in each country, what is the ratio of labor productivity in Brazil to labor productivity in the USA. We can write labor productivity as a ratio of capital productivity and technology a gdpt gdpt gdpta gdpt1 a kta ( Z t )1 a gdpt1 a ( Z t )1 a kt 1 a gdpt a1 2 (Z ) 1 gdp gdpt gdpt ( Z ), a 3 t t t kt kt Given that two countries have the same technology, we can find the ratio of their labor productivities as a function of the ratio of their capital productivities: 1 gdptBZ gdptUSA gdptBZ 2 1 .6 2 ktBZ 1 1 gdptUSA 2 .4 2 ktUSA 2 3 9. (10 points) An economy has a technology growth rate of 5% and a Cobb-Douglas production function. With zero population growth rate and a depreciation rate of 10%, what savings rate would be consistent with a steady state capital productivity equal to 1? The steady state capital productivity sets the growth rate of capital deepening equal to the growth rate of technology. (n d g Z ) .15 gdp z gk s ( n d ) g s .15 1 gdp k ss k ss 10. [10 points] In South Korea, real GDP in 2000 is Y 2000 = 780 billion. The nominal interest rate is 6.25% (i.e. I = .0625). Money demand is given by. Money supply is given by 510 trillion. Assume that the real exchange rate between the US and Korea is re = 1.5. Normalize the US price level equal to PUS = 1. Calculate the Korean price level, P, and the Korea-US exchange rate, e. At equilibrium, money demand equals money supply so 1 510000 M t S 510000 Pt 780 M t D Pt 4 .0625 653.8461538 780 4 .0625 ePUS 1 1.5 re e 980.7692308 P 653.8461538 11. [10 points] There are two countries, country A and country B. Country A and B have the same Cobb-Douglas production function, the same level of technology, Z which is constant over time. These two countries have the exact same savings rate, s, and the exact same population growth rate, n. However, the weather is better in country B than in country A, and the former has a lower capital depreciation rate. Demonstrate using a single graph and explain in a single paragraph which country will have a higher steady-state labor productivity level. (n+dA)k (n+dB) k gdp B y yA s gdp An economy with high capital depreciation such as country A will have high replacement investment needs. Thus, it will reach the level of capital per labor at which its investment capacity is equal to its replacement investment needs relatively quickly. By contrast, a country with a relatively low capital depreciation rate could countine to accumulate capital, since relatively little investment needs to be allocated to replacing depreciated capital. The higher capital-labor ratio implies a higher level of labor productivity. 12. [5 points] Why might the efficiency wage and unemployment rate in Hong Kong be lower than the efficiency wage and unemployment rate in Western Europe. Explain in one paragraph. In Europe, labor unions and regulations make it costly to fire workers. High social welfare benefits may also make unemployment less unattractive than in Hong Kong. Therefore, in Europe, employers may have to offer a high wage premium to motivate workers and minimize turnover. With higher labor costs, the demand for labor is likely to be lower.