Slate.com Table of Contents fighting words Is Obama Another Dukakis? foreigners Advanced Search Saving Jerusalem architecture foreigners The Pentagon Memorial Fixing Failed Aid art gardening Morandi Returns to Earth "Autumn Is a Second Spring" books green room Jefferson's Other Family Adam Smith Meets Climate Change bushisms heavy petting Bushism of the Day Hospice Dog bushisms history lesson Bushism of the Day You Won't Learn Much From the Debates chatterbox hot document Why Washington Hates Wall Street Jesse Jackson vs. Wall Street Bailout corrections hot document Corrections Too Sexy for My Sandbox culture gabfest jurisprudence The Culture Gabfest, End of Days Edition Wall Street Strip culturebox jurisprudence One and Done Ten To Toss day to day low concept Poll Vaulting First Palin, Then Campaign Suspension. 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"This Sucker Could Go Down" press box today's papers McCain Bites the Press Things Fall Apart recycled today's papers Packing Heat in Helsinki Clear and Present Danger Schoolhouse Rock today's papers A Charter-School Setback? Looking Back in Anger Science today's papers Atomic Prose Bail Me Out Tonight Science today's papers Republicans Are From Mars, Democrats Are From Venus Wall Street at a Crossroads slate v today's papers Open Book: Jonathan Safran Foer $700,000,000,000 slate v today's papers What Was I Thinking? Junk in the Trunk Mortgaging the Future slate v well-traveled Dear Prudence: Trysting in My Sleep The Mongolia Obsession sports nut This Call to the Bullpen Is Eroding My Stomach Lining swingers The Colorado Purple Advanced Search Friday, October 19, 2001, at 6:39 PM ET technology The Cell Phone Wars technology Chuck Knol television Knight Rider 2.0 architecture The Pentagon Memorial It tells us more than we need to know—and, at the same time, not enough. By Witold Rybczynski Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 7:13 AM ET the big idea Obama's Message Deficit The Big Sort Why No One Trusts the Government To Fix Anything Anymore The $22 million memorial commemorating the 184 people who perished in the 9/11 attack on the Pentagon was dedicated two weeks ago. A memorial may be beautiful or homely, sophisticated or crude, monumental or unassuming: That's not really the point. A rough stone stele can be as effective as an intricately carved marble catafalque. But, as Andrew Butterfield wrote in the New Republic a few years ago in the context of a 9/11 memorial at Ground Zero, a memorial does need to do three things: It marks a spot, it says who, and it says so forever. How does the Pentagon Memorial fulfill these requirements? The Pentagon is a surprisingly low building whose immense bulk only becomes apparent as you walk around it, which you must do to get from the nearest Metro stop to the memorial. The two-acre site is immediately adjacent to the place where American Airlines Flight 77 struck. Hence, much of the power of this particular memorial derives from the simple fact that it marks the actual place where the event occurred. Because each of the victims is commemorated by an individual marker— which the designers of the memorial, Julie Beckman and Keith Kaseman, refer to as "memorial units" but which everyone else calls "benches"—the place resembles a cemetery. Intervening rows of maple trees create the impression of an ancient burial grove. The allusion seems fitting. At dusk, when I was there, the cluster of softly illuminated benches, on which people had left flowers and notes, was a distinctly moving sight. Every few minutes, the roar of an outgoing flight from nearby Reagan National Airport added to the poignancy. addition, the water is rippling, though the gurgling sound is barely perceptible due to the drone of traffic on nearby I-395. It all struck me as contrived—and impractical. The evening I was there, although the memorial was barely two weeks old, a crew of maintenance workers was painstakingly removing stones and debris that had made their way into the pools—most of the walking surfaces are composed of loose gravel. Memorials are traditionally made out of granite, marble, or bronze, not only to last "forever," but also to convey a sense of perpetuity. On that score, the Pentagon Memorial seems more like an art installation than a monument for the ages. art Morandi Returns to Earth An Italian master at the Met. By Christopher Benfey Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 11:37 AM ET Click here to read a slide-show essay on Giorgio Morandi. . The benches are arranged in rows according to the year of birth of the victim, the years (which are indicated on adjacent sitting walls) ranging from 1998 to 1930. In addition, an encircling wall rises from 3 inches tall, representing the youngest person killed—a 3-year-old child—to a height of 71 inches, the age of the oldest victim. The rows of benches are arranged parallel to the trajectory of Flight 77, and the benches face one way or the other, depending on whether the individual died on the plane or in the building. This may be more than we need to know—and not enough. The design of the Pentagon Memorial is Minimalist and avoids the deplorable contemporary fashion of using memorials as excuses for education, as if the public needed to be told what and how to remember. But unlike the Vietnam Veterans Memorial, which tells us "who" but also has an underlying structure—a beginning and an end, a descent and an ascent, the implied promise of redemption—the Pentagon Memorial merely provides statistics. How many people died, who was in the plane and who in the building, how old they were. Moving as the ensemble is, the overall effect is also oddly unresolved, almost nihilistic. "This happened," the memorial seems to say. "We don't know why, and we don't know what it means." The benches of the Pentagon Memorial are cast from stainless steel, and each bench cantilevers over an individual pool of water. It is unclear whether the water is intended to suggest a common thread tying the victims together or is there merely to diffuse a glowing light that comes from an underwater lamp. In . . books Jefferson's Other Family His concubine was also his wife's half-sister. By François Furstenberg Tuesday, September 23, 2008, at 6:52 AM ET When DNA evidence corroborated the long-standing rumor of a relationship between Thomas Jefferson and his slave Sally Hemings, the news made headlines around the world. It should not have. Though usually kept hidden, few things were more common in plantation societies than sexual encounters between white slave owners and female slaves. What makes the Jefferson-Hemings story noteworthy is the family connection they shared. Sally was not just an enslaved woman; she was the half-sister of Jefferson's dead wife. And in Virginia, observes Annette Gordon-Reed, a professor at New York Law School and member of the history faculty at Rutgers, "a man who married his deceased wife's sister was engaging in incest."* This "Gordian knot of family relationships" serves as the ligature holding together a remarkable new book, The Hemingses of Monticello. Gordon-Reed, author of a previous work on the Jefferson-Hemings relationship, is just the person to cut through the tangle. The story begins with Elizabeth Hemings, born in 1735 of a white father and an enslaved African woman, who became the property of John Wayles, an English immigrant to Virginia. Wayles married three white women and buried them all before he and Elizabeth Hemings became involved. Hemings went on to have eight children with Wayles, including Sally, the descendant of two generations of white man/slave woman relationships. Jefferson to Paris, where he was apprenticed to some of France's greatest chefs and learned the art of high French cooking. His 14-year-old sister, Sally, joined him three years later, escorting Jefferson's daughter (and her half-niece) Polly. Almost certainly speaking better French than Jefferson, "Gimme" (Jimmy) mingled with the city's important black and colored community, while "Salait" (Sally), dressed in her Paris finery, accompanied Polly's sister to the city's grand aristocratic balls. By 1789, when they witnessed the outbreak of the French Revolution, the Hemings siblings had seen "more of the world and experienced more of what was in it than the vast majority of their countrymen, white or black." The Hemings-Jefferson family connection began in 1772, when Wayles' daughter Martha, born to one of his white wives, married Jefferson. The Hemingses, of course, knew of their blood ties to Martha; what Martha knew remains shrouded. The ability of whites to deny reality was legendary: "Every lady tells you who is the father of all the mulatto children in everybody's household," Civil War diarist Mary Boykin Chesnut famously observed, "but those in her own she seems to think drop from the clouds." By all indications, Martha Jefferson bore few illusions, however, and it is unlikely she harbored any resentment about her father's liaison, since in 1774 Elizabeth Hemings and her children moved to Monticello, where they were immediately "singled out" for special roles. That fateful year, the 16-year-old Sally became pregnant by then 46-year-old Jefferson (such age differences were not uncommon at the time), and the two Hemingses returned to the United States. Like Jim and Huck sailing down the Mississippi toward New Orleans, James and Sally left France, where they could have claimed their freedom, to cross the Atlantic with Jefferson, back to the slave state of Virginia. Four generations of Hemingses proceeded to serve the Jefferson household in its most intimate realms. One of Elizabeth's sons became Jefferson's butler and another his valet, while James, a third, became a personal servant. Trained for highly skilled and sensitive jobs, the Hemingses were granted tremendous autonomy, living in circumstances almost unique for Virginia slaves: a privileged, close-knit family, mostly literate, dressed not in sackcloth but in Irish linen, muslin, and calico, with skin color so light that several of them later passed as whites. They were, in short, "a caste apart." Sally had struck a bargain, which Gordon-Reed explores at length. Jefferson promised her a comfortable home surrounded by kin and freedom to their children—both promises he kept. Gordon-Reed admits we can never know the true nature of their relationship or fully pierce "the veiled nature of her existence." Did she, could she, have loved him? Did he love her? The questions loom over the whole account. Over the course of their years together, Sally bore Jefferson seven children, four of whom lived into adulthood and resembled him more than his legitimate descendants, both physically and temperamentally. All but one quietly passed into the white community as adults. On her deathbed, in 1782, Martha made Jefferson promise he would never remarry. Her request made it almost inevitable that family history would repeat itself. Indeed, her act bears eerie parallels to the biblical account that so moved Jefferson when he traveled through Europe: that of the barren Sarah giving her husband, Abraham, a beautiful slave woman with whom to father his descent. It is hard not to wonder whether Jefferson came to believe his dead wife had similarly bestowed her halfsister Sally, who would bear him his only sons. Unlike the biblical story, however—and crucial in a society rooted in property rights and family connections—Jefferson's children with his bondswoman would be forever illegitimate, ensuring that Martha's daughters would never have to compete for Jefferson's inheritance. As Jefferson climbed the political world, becoming secretary of state and later president, the Hemingses continued their strange existence "at once at the center and periphery of momentous events in the life of the nation." James cooked the food over which the famous "dinner table bargain" among Jefferson, James Madison, and Alexander Hamilton was settled. Other members of the Hemings family continued to perform the most intimate jobs as valets, nurses, cooks, and nannies, while later generations were trained as highly skilled artisans. They spent more time at Monticello than Jefferson did, and made it their home as much as his. A few successfully negotiated their freedom; some simply walked away; others were given away as wedding presents to Jefferson's white daughters. Most of the Hemingses, however, remained at Monticello until Jefferson's death, when the tragic denouement finally took place. The assets of the heavily indebted estate, including some of the Hemingses, were sold to pay off creditors, and a family that had struggled heroically to stay together—over decades, even across oceans—was finally torn asunder. When the grief-stricken Jefferson was appointed U.S. minister to France after his wife's death, James Hemings accompanied Gordon-Reed has pulled off an astonishing feat of historical recreation, involving equal measures of painstaking archival detective work, creative historical imagination, and balanced judgment. She masterfully fills in gaps from fragmentary evidence. While her patient assessment of the strengths and weaknesses of various interpretations often slows the book's pace to a crawl, her caution is understandable. In shining a spotlight on "the shadow world of slavery," she ventures into the most painful and fraught issues in American history—the rape of enslaved women, tensions between light- and dark-skinned blacks, the legacy of white supremacy, and the possibilities for slaves' autonomy, to name only a few. Black women are the central characters in a story that challenges some of the nation's most cherished narratives. In contrast to so much popular work on the Revolutionary era, history is viewed here not through the eyes a Founding Father but through those of the people he enslaved. This is not a banal stab at unmasking the biases of American history, however. Of course the Hemingses lived lives constrained by the social categories imposed on them: They remained slaves in a slave society, and black enough in a nation committed to white supremacy. But the book's subject is not the categories themselves; Gordon-Reed doesn't use the Hemings family as a metaphor for the "black experience," or Sally Hemings to humanize "slave women." She focuses instead on the individuals who struggled messily to survive despite these categories and, every once in a while, broke through them. th The result offers unparalleled insight into an 18 -century Virginian world in which rigid racial boundaries were impossible to police. Interracial relationships raised few eyebrows, and John Wayles' political career never suffered from his concubinage with Elizabeth Hemings. One of the Hemings sisters, Mary, was leased to a local white merchant, Thomas Bell, and the two became lovers. At her request, Jefferson sold Mary to Bell, and the couple lived openly in what was, in effect, a common-law marriage; their children quietly became free by sanction of the community, if not the law. In 1802, when newspaperman James Callendar first reported Jefferson's relationship with Hemings, his account suggested how widely known their relationship was in local circles, where Hemings appeared like "something like a wife to Jefferson." Jefferson's mixed-race children remained in the United States, fusing into the white community seamlessly: an eloquent rebuttal to Jefferson's public denunciation of racial mixture and his endorsement of blacks' expulsion from America. Alas, his words carried more weight than his actions in a nation increasingly committed to slavery and racism, and Jefferson's descendants and biographers sought to redraw the categories his life had blurred, writing the Hemingses out of history in a quest, as Gordon-Reed puts it, "to maintain the ownership over black people's identities in perpetuity." There, perhaps, lies the fullest significance of this remarkable family's story: It makes that perpetual ownership impossible. Correction, Sept. 24, 2008: François Furstenberg originally referred to Annette Gordon-Reed as a professor at New York University. She is a professor at New York Law School and a member of the history faculty at Rutgers. (Return to the corrected sentence.) bushisms Bushism of the Day By Jacob Weisberg Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 2:24 PM ET "We're fixing to go down to Galveston and obviously are going to see a devastated part of this fantastic state."—Houston, Sept. 16, 2008 See video of Bush's comments. The Bushism is at 3:10. Got a Bushism? Send it to bushisms@slate.com. For more, see "The Complete Bushisms." . . The Hemings story also casts new light on Jefferson, portrayed as an agonized hypocrite in much recent scholarship. He emerges instead as a man whose life can be fully understood only through its relationship with slavery. The private Jefferson, in Gordon-Reed's reading, did not simply express his fascination with human cultivation and control through the architecture of Monticello, but even more through his relations with the Hemingses and his other slaves. Though he could never see them as "separate from his own needs, desires, and fears," they nevertheless recast his life: The Hemingses gave him "a beautiful younger mistress and children, who could be shaped into some version of his private self—woodworker, musician, and sometimes gardener." . bushisms Bushism of the Day By Jacob Weisberg Tuesday, September 23, 2008, at 2:35 PM ET "The people in Louisiana must know that all across our country there's a lot of prayer—prayer for those whose lives have been turned upside down. And I'm one of them."—Baton Rouge, La., Sept. 3, 2008 Click here to see video of Bush's comments. The Bushism is at 3:40. Got a Bushism? Send it to bushisms@slate.com. For more, see "The Complete Bushisms." . . chatterbox Why Washington Hates Wall Street An 80-year rivalry explained. By Timothy Noah Monday, September 22, 2008, at 3:47 PM ET "When financial institutions are suffering a crisis in faith about themselves, journalists are inherently a little bit more prudent and cautious."—Marcus Brauchli, newly installed executive editor of the Washington Post, as quoted in the Sept. 21 New York Times. The turmoil in the financial markets may occasion prudence in financial journalism, most especially at the Wall Street Journal, where during the previous 24 years Brauchli worked his way up from copy editor to foreign correspondent to managing editor before being squeezed out by Rupert Murdoch. But it's a sign of Brauchli's newbie status in Washington, where he has never previously worked, that he should think reporters at the Washington Post feel anything other than schadenfreude about Wall Street's tumble in fortunes. They can't help it—they're Washingtonians. Washington is a city that glories in Wall Street's misfortunes. "Isn't this exciting?" Rep. Ed Markey enthused to me on Oct. 19, 1987 ("Black Monday"). A young congressional correspondent for Newsweek with nary a stock or bond to my name, even I was taken aback by Markey's undisguised pleasure. When you stop and think about it, though, it makes perfect sense. Modern Washington owes its very existence to the 1929 crash, which occasioned a vast expansion of the federal government under President Franklin D. Roosevelt. A legacy of the increase in federal power during that era, largely undiminished during a 28year electoral backlash against big government, is that Washington became Wall Street's principal rival when it came to running the world. Which wielded more power—the financial markets or the government? Uncle Sam had the world's largest military, but Wall Street had all that goddamned money. The mansions in Greenwich, Conn.; the trophy wives; the private jets—by comparison, the people who wielded power in Washington—including most presidents—were petits bourgeois. Even libertarian conservatives resent, on a personal level, the Wall Street swells whose interests they fight for daily. There aren't a lot of millionaires working at the Cato Institute. For Wall Street, a way of life may be coming to an end. For Washington, a new era of government activism has already begun. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, after presiding over an unprecedented sequence of receiverships, bailouts, and liquidations, is urging Congress to commit up to $700 billion to unfreeze the credit markets. The CEOs of once-powerful investment banks will be called down to Congress and subjected to humiliating questions. Journalists will sign six-figure contracts to write books about the events of what is already being dubbed "Black September." Think-tankers will hold conferences to fight over the proper role government should assume in the new financial world. The Washington Post— which, like all big-city dailies, has been experiencing some circulation difficulty—will sell more papers than it would otherwise. Presidential candidates are already demanding, and will probably receive, curbs on CEO pay as a condition of restoring liquidity to Wall Street. (Paulson, who's more a Wall Street guy than a Washington guy, resists this because he fears it may limit CEOs' willingness to sell their bum loans to Treasury. What he doesn't realize is that once Congress grasps that these CEOs would literally rather see their companies fail than take a pay cut, it will answer as one: "All right, then. Fail away.") Let me put it in terms a smart financial journalist like Brauchli can readily understand. On Wall Street, financial crisis destroys jobs. Here in Washington, it creates them. The rest is just details. corrections Corrections Friday, September 26, 2008, at 7:06 AM ET In a Sept. 25 "Trailhead" post, Somerset Perry stated that former Weather Underground member William Ayers is a professor at the University of Chicago. In fact, he is a professor at the University of Illinois at Chicago, a separate institution. In the Sept. 23 "Books," François Furstenberg wrote that Annette Gordon-Reed is a professor at New York University. She is a professor at New York Law School and a member of the history faculty at Rutgers. In a Sept. 23 "Politics," on Dahlia Lithwick erroneously used the name of trooper Mike Wooten instead of his boss Walt Monegan. In the Sept. 18 "Culturebox," Nate DiMeo misspelled Sidney Poitier's name. In the Sept. 18 "Today's Papers," Daniel Politi omitted the word "with" in a quote from the Wall Street Journal. Due to a copy-editing error, the Sept. 16 "Ad Report Card" misquoted a line from the trailer for Zack and Miri Make a Porno. In the trailer, Rogen's character says he would like to watch "a tape of Rosie O'Donnell getting fucked stupid." In the Sept. 16 "Press Box," Jack Shafer incorrectly stated that Rep. Tom Foley represented Massachusetts. He represented Washington state. Shafer misidentified William Maloni as former chief of staff for Rep. Richard Baker, R-La. Maloni worked for Rep. William S. Moorhead, D-Penn., the Federal Home Loan Bank Board, and the Federal Reserve before joining Fannie Mae, where he worked in government relations for more than 20 years. If you believe you have found an inaccuracy in a Slate story, please send an e-mail to corrections@slate.com, and we will investigate. General comments should be posted in "The Fray," our reader discussion forum. Foster Wallace, and the latest Microsoft ads from that lovable comedy duo Bill Gates and Jerry Seinfeld. Here are links to some of the articles and other items mentioned in the show: Michael Douglas as Gordon Gekko in the Oliver Stone film Wall Street. Jim Cramer's take on the financial crisis in New York magazine. Michael Lewis' book Liar's Poker: Rising Through the Wreckage on Wall Street. Bob Rafelson's 1970 film, Five Easy Pieces. Slate's "Obit" for David Foster Wallace. A David Foster Wallace essay from Harper's, "Democracy, English, and the Wars over Usage." The second Microsoft ad featuring Jerry Seinfeld and Bill Gates. The newer Microsoft "I'm a PC" ad campaign. Slate's ad critic's assessment of Crispin Porter & Bogusky, the advertising firm behind the Seinfeld/Gates ads. The Culture Gabfest weekly endorsements: Dana's pick: David Foster Wallace's essay "A Supposedly Fun Thing I'll Never Do Again." Julia's pick: the Emmy-Award winning show 30 Rock. Stephen's pick: Edmund Wilson's book, To the Finland Station. You can reach the Culture Gabfest at culturefest@slate.com. Posted by Amanda Aronczyk on Sept. 24, 2008 at 12:00 p.m. Sept. 10, 2008 culture gabfest The Culture Gabfest, End of Days Edition Listen to Culture Gabfest No. 16 with Stephen Metcalf, Dana Stevens, and Julia Turner by clicking the arrow on the audio player below: Listen to Slate's show about the week in culture. By Stephen Metcalf, Dana Stevens, and Julia Turner Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 12:20 PM ET Listen to Culture Gabfest No. 17 with Stephen Metcalf, Dana Stevens, and Julia Turner by clicking the arrow on the audio player below: You can also download the program here, or you can subscribe to the weekly Culture Gabfest podcast feed in iTunes by clicking here. In this week's Culture Gabfest, our critics discuss the cultural impact of the financial meltdown, the death of author David You can also download the program here, or you can subscribe to the weekly Culture Gabfest podcast feed in iTunes by clicking here. In this week's Culture Gabfest, our critics discuss the tabloid coverage of Sarah Palin's personal life, the new Rachel Maddow show on MSNBC, and the hyperquirky Microsoft ad featuring heroes from yesteryear Bill Gates and Jerry Seinfeld. Here are links to some of the articles and other items mentioned in the show: People magazine's Sarah Palin cover story. Us magazine's article on Palin's pregnant daughter. National Enquirer's Palin controversy article. Hanna Rosin's Slate article on why Christian conservatives love Palin. The Rachel Maddow Show on MSNBC. Thomas Frank's book What's the Matter With Kansas?: How Conservatives Won the Heart of America. The Microsoft ad featuring Bill Gates and Jerry Seinfeld. The Culture Gabfest weekly endorsements: Julia's pick: Hunter S. Thompson's classic Fear and Loathing: On the Campaign Trail '72. John's pick: Neil Diamond's latest release, Home Before Dark. Stephen's pick: Philip Roth's novel The Human Stain. You can reach the Culture Gabfest at culturefest@slate.com. The Culture Gabfest weekly endorsements: Posted by Amanda Aronczyk on Aug. 27, 2008 at 11:00 a.m. Julia's pick: Cycle 11 of America's Next Top Model and the show's first transgendered model, Isis. Dana's pick: Gregory Curtis' book The Cave Painters. Stephen's pick: the blog Naked Capitalism. Correction, Sept. 11, 2008: In this podcast, Stephen incorrectly referred to the proprietor of Naked Capitalism, Ives Smith, as a "he." In fact, Ives Smith is a woman. You can reach the Culture Gabfest at culturefest@slate.com. Posted by Amanda Aronczyk on Sept. 10, 2008 at 10:40 a.m. Aug. 27, 2008 Listen to Culture Gabfest No. 15 with Stephen Metcalf, John Swansburg, and Julia Turner by clicking the arrow on the audio player below: You can also download the program here, or you can subscribe to the weekly Culture Gabfest podcast feed in iTunes by clicking here. In this week's Culture Gabfest, our critics discuss the merits and frivolities of Mad Men, the odds that Tropic Thunder will revive Tom Cruise's career, and the new documentary film Man on Wire. Here are links to some of the articles and other items mentioned in the show: The official Web site for AMC's Mad Men. Troy Patterson's Slate assessment of Mad Men's appeal. The official Web site for Tropic Thunder. Dana Stevens' Slate review of Tropic Thunder. Stevens fields questions and comments from Slate's readers about the touchy issues in Tropic Thunder. The Man on Wire Web site. Dana Stevens' Slate review of Man on Wire. David Edelstein's New York magazine review of Man on Wire. culturebox One and Done How not to be the first contestant kicked off a reality show. By Joanna Weiss Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 12:57 PM ET There's no television type quite so pathetic as the first person dropped from a reality show. He's the embodiment of broken dreams, the guy who survives the rigorous casting process, films the opening credits, tastes the elixir of TV fame … then gets booted in Episode 1. And usually, there's good reason. He's too abrasive, too inflexible, or just too amorphous to last. Reality producers say once filming begins, it's often easy to see who's expendable. "You're always pulling people aside and coaching them and telling them, 'This isn't what we picked,' " says Stuart Krasnow, executive producer of NBC's Average Joe and Oxygen's The Janice Dickinson Modeling Agency. "Some people never pop, and other people pop beyond your dreams." When CBS's Survivor debuts tomorrow night, will you be able to spot the contestant who doesn't make it past Episode 1? Can you identify the warning signs of first-episode implosion? What follows is a catalog of failed reality types—and a series of lessons gleaned from their bad examples. Lesson 1: Don't be dull. In the premiere of the current season of Bravo's Project Runway, designers Jerry and Stella, charged with making clothes from items in a grocery store, created outfits that seemed equally hideous. Stella sheathed a model in garbage bags. Jerry made a shapeless raincoat from a shower curtain. Yet in the end, it was Stella who survived. Why was Jerry the first to go home? It was a matter of charisma, and Stella clearly had more. As a designer to rock stars with a penchant for leather and metal, she had a deep, growly voice and cheeks so sunken that one blog has dubbed her "Cheroin." Jerry was homely, too, but not in an interesting way, with his chubby face, short hair, and a dress code of unadorned T-shirts. He was cocky but not deservedly so. He was neither a sure contender nor a brewing troublemaker. And if producers had a say—which they usually do—they probably asked that he be auf'd. Jerry sneered at everyone else's clothes, but even his snootiness lacked character. "Crap on top of crap" was his idea of an insult, but this show thrives on more colorful critiques: One contestant said Jerry's outfit belonged on an ax murderer, while judge Michael Kors compared it to "a handiwipe gone wrong." In interviews, Jerry has since said he wishes he'd unleashed more caustic stuff. It's a lesson too many contestants learn too late. Lesson 4: Nobody likes a loner. Nimma entered Bravo's Top Chef Chicago last spring with an impressive work ethic, a professed love of cooking, and a steadfast refusal to have fun. Some people deal with pressure by drinking or picking fights. Nimma just wanted to be left alone. That's a fairly common pitfall for reality contestants, Krasnow says. On the set of his shows, he hunts down people who are sitting alone and urges them to mingle. Even talent-based reality shows draw their drama from relationships. And with no computers, TV sets, or other outside distractions, Krasnow says, contestants have no excuse for isolation. "It's like being Amish," he tells them. "You're actually going to interact with people." Lesson 2: Nice guys finish last. Same with nice ladies. Before reality TV became the force it is today, before everyone understood how cutthroat these games could be, there was CBS's Survivor, and there was Sonja. In the show's first-ever season, in the long-lost summer of 2000, she was the first to have her torch snuffed out on the island of Pulau Tiga. If Nimma got a pep talk to this effect, she didn't heed it. Morose after making a substandard deep-dish pizza in the show's first challenge, she went to bed while her fellow chefs popped champagne, drank beer, and goofed off. Yet it was Nimma who looked foolish in the end. Even with all of that rest, she still oversalted her shrimp scampi the next day. Before long, she was sleeping back at home. At first glance, Sonja seemed a lovely addition to the mix of islanders: an artsy senior citizen who played the ukulele, she had a bright view of human nature and, unlike some of her playmates, was genuinely nice. Sure, she had a fateful stumble during the first immunity challenge, but her true vulnerability ran deeper. This was an island of snakes and rats, and Sonja's guileless personality made her seem impossibly weak. In a scene midway through the first episode, Sonja played a cheerful ditty called "Bye-Bye Blues" for eventual winner Richard Hatch. He applauded her gamely—he probably even meant it—but you know what he was thinking: bull's-eye. Lesson 5: Don't clam up. On America's Next Top Model, the vaudevillian CW contest, it's especially hard to break through the crowd. When everyone is young, tall, and beautiful, you've got to be intriguing from the get-go. The finalists in last spring's Cycle 10 were a typical mix of larger-than-life ladies, from the combative survivor of female circumcision to the not-quite-reformed graduate of angermanagement school. And then there was someone named Atalya, who managed to make little impression whatsoever. In one scene, she managed to be outshone by a trio of homeless people. Lesson 3: Don't be chicken. Reality contestants have learned from Sonja's mistakes; these days, most seem to arrive on set with hackles raised. Yet a few still seem shockingly naive about the demands of the contest at hand. Sonja, at least, was game for the rigors of life on a desert island. Sometimes, a reality contestant signs up for adventure but winds up looking sorry she didn't stay home. Take Stephanie, the first woman cut from the CW dating show Farmer Wants a Wife. Throughout the casting process, Atalya seemed a winner, says Top Model casting director Michelle Mock. She was beautiful, outspoken, and positive, Mock says. But sometimes, contestants arrive on the set, get an eyeful of the competition, and instantly clam up: "It's kind of like fight or flight." Among the city girls in heels who hoped to win a farmer's heart, Stephanie was the most squeamish about country life. Tasked in the first episode with putting chickens into pens, she was reluctant to grab the poultry. Farmer Matt wasn't charmed, and the producers probably weren't, either. Why bother coming to rural Missouri if you're not willing to get down and dirty on the farm? The show's humor derived from the contrast between city and country life, and to play up the divide, the women had to be willing to embarrass themselves. Most of Stephanie's competitors were squeamish, too, but they ran eagerly after the birds, throwing caution—and fear of chicken-poop stains—to the wind. Mock is surprised at how many contestants succumb to intimidation, especially if they spot another model with a similar look. But with so little time to break through the clutter, no one has the luxury of opening-night jitters. Lesson 6: Know your eliminator. On a reality show, it's almost always good to be memorable. But if your fate is in a single person's hands, you'd better be indelible for the right reasons. On the premiere of the 11 th season of ABC's The Bachelor, Texan millionaire Brad Womack met his 25 potential brides at a cocktail party and was charged with winnowing the field to 15 by morning. The challenge was to make a strong impression amid a Top Model-type field: Each contestant was equally doe-eyed, flirtatious, and overly made- up. And as the alcohol flowed and the time ticked away, the women grew increasingly desperate for Brad's attention. One woman, trained in Chinese medicine, performed a reading of her would-be suitor's tongue. One twisted herself into a human pretzel. One changed into a bikini and dove into a pool. And one determined brunette named Morgan made herself especially memorable. She announced that she was pulling out her "signature move," then took off her shoes and showed Brad a pair of webbed feet. She got him to react, all right. But she didn't get a rose. ABC reality show called Fat March, had honed her beeyotch skills to fine precision. And she seemed to appreciate the VH1 mentality. In this clip, fighting for survival before the judges, she delivers a stirring monologue about the failures of her teammates. The judge named Capricorn was clearly impressed— and she and her fellow panelists couldn't help but let Kim stay. Lesson 7: No, seriously: Know your eliminator. Sometimes, a grating personality can take you far; how else to explain the legendary Omarosa? Still, to last on a show with an opinionated judge, you have to follow certain rules. Martin, the first person cut from NBC's The Apprentice: Los Angeles, spoke in aphorisms ("A new broom sweeps clean, but the old broom knows the corners") and was the last one picked when his castmates split into teams. He was conflict in pinstripes, and the producers probably loved him. Lesson 9: Everyone loves a comeback story. The Project Runway producers surely passed the champagne several times after that first, fateful week of Season 5. Stella lasted through eight more episodes, redeeming her false start with a series of interesting designs: Her black leather Olympic parade outfit would have looked a lot smarter than the blazers Ralph Lauren sent down the Beijing track. Better yet, she became one of the season's most intriguing characters, expounding on the virtues of leather, pounding fabrics with a hammer in the workroom, and rolling her eyes like an overworked nursery-school teacher if anyone complained. "Who knows how a personality is going to develop?" says Mock, the Top Model casting director. "Who they are on Episode 1 is definitely not who they are at the end." But the decision-making lay with Donald Trump, who knows the qualities he wants in an employee. And when it comes to judging, reality producers don't always get their way. On the set of The Janice Dickinson Modeling Agency, Krasnow says, he often begs his star to keep contestants in. "She tends to get fed up and wants to get rid of somebody because they're annoying her," he says, "whereas we like that they're annoying and want to keep them around." By the time she was eliminated earlier this month, Stella was acting as if the show had outlived its usefulness to her. "I think my ego was way too big to be here anyway," she said cheerfully, after accepting Heidi Klum's auf Wiedersehen kiss. Though she won't be the winner, Stella will be remembered as one of this season's stars. A bad first episode doesn't mean a contestant can't make a comeback. But if you want a shot at post-reality fame, you first have to make it past Week 1. Martin seems to have signed his own pink slip by breaking a basic law of Trumpdom: Look overeager at all times. In the first boardroom session of the season, the Donald and daughter Ivanka questioned whether Martin would fit into their corporate culture. They challenged his claim that he had worked suitably hard. And they chastised him for committing a mortal sin— asking to use the bathroom when he should have been sticking to business. Lesson 8: Know your demographic. In order to make a hateable personality work, you have to know your eliminator, but you also have to understand your demographic. Take Kim, from VH1's Apprentice knockoff, I Want To Work for Diddy. She swooped onto the show like a wildly overcaffeinated diva and survived two close calls in the first episode alone. First, the judges nearly knocked her out—or pretended to, at least—for her strange opening presentation, in which she dubbed herself "Poprah." (She said it stood for "perfect personal assistant.") Later, after enduring her nonstop insults, her cast-mates begged the judges to send Kim home. But VH1 understands the ratings power of the loudmouth; who among the channel's viewers wouldn't want to watch a plus-sized Omarosa gone ghetto? Kim, who had already done a turn on an day to day Poll Vaulting Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 4:47 PM ET Friday, Sept. 19, 2008 Politics: Why NPR and ABC Presidential Polls Contradict Each Other New polls show the presidential race tightening. A Washington Post/ABC News poll has Obama leading by single digits. But an NPR poll shows that McCain is leading by two points. "We have to take all numbers with a huge grain of salt," chief political correspondent John Dickerson tells Alex Chadwick. He reads between the numbers and discusses whether we can expect a "historic debate moment." Listen to the segment. What's Up, Doc?: Med School Tied to Suicidal Thoughts A new study shows that about half of all medical students suffer from burnout, and one in 10 has suicidal thoughts. Madeleine Brand speaks with medical contributor Dr. Sydney Spiesel about what's behind these figures. Listen to the segment. endure it. I have a hard time seeing where this relationship is headed—it already sounds like a Cannibal Corpse. —Prudie Dear Prudence Video: Trysting in My Sleep dear prudence My Bloody Valentine Dear Prudence, My boyfriend is absolutely not a sadistic sex killer. He is a kind and generally considerate person. But he loves listening to gruesome death metal—music best described as blasting noise with deranged growls and shrieks that often (from what I can tell) celebrates horrendous misogynistic violence. He respects that I am not a fan of this music and doesn't usually play it when I am around. But he gets a huge charge from listening to it when we have sex and is comparatively lackluster at the deed when he doesn't have it to fire him up. Although I find the music unpleasant and distracting, I don't object when I feel focused enough to block it out. What really bothers me are the awful themes. It disturbs me that a seemingly well-adjusted man in his 30s is aroused by torture fantasies set to music. He says it's just about the "energy" for him, but I really don't know what to think about someone who wants to listen to Cannibal Corpse when he makes love to me. Am I being oversensitive about this? Dear Prudence, My husband and I have a wonderful daughter. She is kind, funny, articulate, and intelligent. Extremely intelligent. She began speaking in complete sentences before she was 1 and reading when she was 3. She just turned 4. Our problem is that other parents in our social circle seem a bit intimidated by her. Their children are sweet kids, too, but not at the same developmental level as she is. They say things like, "Wow, your daughter just read that sign to me. Little Timmy can't even talk normally. What's wrong with him?" or "My goodness, we are behind! Your daughter is reading, and our kid isn't even potty trained!" It embarrasses us. Yes, she is advanced, but she is still a normal kid. More importantly, there is nothing wrong with their kids! My sister-in-law and her husband are the worst with insulting their own child when they compare our kids. My first instinct is to stick up for their children because it bothers me so much that their parents are insulting them or thinking there is something wrong with them. But when I say something like, "Don't say that. Timmy is a great kid!" this seems to offend the parents. When I say, "Everyone plateaus at the same time," that seems wrong, too. I worry that this comparison behavior will alienate my daughter from her peer group. One family has already begun to avoid us, and our daughter noticed right away. What should I say instead so the parents quit focusing on this and start appreciating how much fun the kids have together? —Blasted —My Kid Is Normal Dear Blasted, It's always a comfort to know the person you love is not a sadistic sex killer—so right there you have something to build on. I like the image of you two making love: He's cranking up Cannibal Corpse's romantic classic "Bloody Chunks" while you're sticking in the ear buds of your iPod and desperately turning up the volume on Michael Bublé's version of "I've Got You Under My Skin." When you're not having sex, you say he's "generally considerate," which is not exactly a declaration that "I've got you under my skin/ I've got you deep in the heart of me/ So deep in my heart, that you're really a part of me." But couples need to have sex, and he finds it hard to perform unless you are forced to listen to songs of female dismemberment. As you describe it, you get through these sessions by trying to disassociate yourself from what is going on. This does not sound like a formula for sustained intimacy. I don't think you're being oversensitive about the gruesome nature of your boyfriend's favorite erotic imagery, especially since you are supposed to Dear My Kid, Those first years of parenthood in particular can set off a competitive genetic gong. Many new parents are looking for signs that—despite their own obvious limitations—they've somehow produced a chromosomal champion. So they try to see genius at work when their little one swims in the toilet or eats out of the dog's bowl. And then they go for a play date, and there's your toddler reciting the Gettysburg Address and working out quadratic equations on her Magna Doodle. It's deflating. Fortunately, time will take care of much of their resentment as their kids gain bladder control and become intelligible and literate. Of course, some parents (hockey moms, chess dads, members of Skull and Bones?) never let go of their competitive instincts about their kids. But as the children get older, most parents tend to be able to see them for who they are and worry less about how they stack up. For right now, when other parents make comparisons, you can shrug and say, "She is precocious in some ways. But we're just happy she's a good kid." When they observe how dopey their children seem, you can laugh it off as if they were making a joke, then add, "I'm so crazy about your How do I convince my boyfriend that death metal is not mood music? Thursday, September 25, 2008, at 6:57 AM ET Get "Dear Prudence" delivered to your inbox each week; click here to sign up. Please send your questions for publication to prudence@slate.com. (Questions may be edited.) Timmy!" And for your own pleasure, keep good notes in your baby book about your extraordinary daughter. —Prudie Dear Prudence, I am 55. I married when I was 20, had two children, and divorced after 16 years of an abusive marriage. A few years later, I fell in love. That relationship ended after more than 10 years of makeups, breakups, and turmoil. I have now been involved with a man for the last two years. He's in his 60s. I am not in love. However, the relationship is easy and without drama. We spend every weekend together and do things that I never did in my entire life. I enjoy our time together but have no intention of marrying this man or living with him. I feel that there may be someone else out there, someone I can fall in love with. Any ideas? —Not in Love Dear Not, If you look back on when you were in love, those relationships tended to be stimulating but rotten. Maybe you are actually confusing thrills with love. Yes, it's wonderful to be in an exciting relationship, but not if the excitement is of the "Is he going to punch me in the jaw?" or "Is he going to break up with me tomorrow?" variety. What you describe as "not in love" would sound to an awful lot of people like love. You simply enjoy being together, you make each other feel safe and contented, you are experiencing the world in a new way. If that's not love, it sure is lovely. Yet you are dissatisfied—though you don't enumerate why. If it's because you think of love as a rollercoaster, maybe you should start appreciating the pleasures of a placid ride in a rowboat. —Prudie Dear Prudence, My boyfriend and I recently moved into the first floor of a twofamily house. Because we're both nesters and because we're getting a puppy in a couple of weeks, we eagerly cleaned up the backyard, which had clearly not been tended to in a couple of years—beer cans, trash, hip-high weeds, invasive vines, gutters clogged with cigarette butts, you name it. We ended up with a dozen 30-gallon bags full of waste, from a yard that is no bigger than your average dorm room. About a week after this massive cleanup, before we'd had a chance to plant anything, we discovered that—once again—the backyard was polluted. This time, littered with yet more cigarette butts. Our upstairs neighbors have a porch that overlooks the yard, and it seems that they threw the butts over the edge. I'm all for giving them an ashtray as a housewarming gift, but my boyfriend thinks that might be too direct. What's the best way to handle this? —Nest-Featherer Dear Nest, Ah, smokers—the world is their ashtray! Besides inflicting their foul habit on those nearby, they are the last remaining people who believe that if they have a piece of refuse in their hands, the proper way to get rid of it is to toss it in the street. Your idea to give them an ashtray will surely be interpreted as a hostile gesture. You could go up there with a nongermane gift—a jar of nice jam—and say you've been meaning to introduce yourselves. Then, at the end of the introduction, mention that you hope they enjoy the new look of the backyard, explain you're planning to do some landscaping, and you wonder if they could dispose of their cigarette butts elsewhere. This will likely make them want to stub out their cigarettes on your bare flesh. (Have you ever noticed smokers tend to be a little hostile about their habit?) Since you're planning on getting a puppy, you will be picking up plenty of unpleasant stuff out in the yard, so if the filters rain down again, just think of them as something else you have to scoop. —Prudie diary Her Majesty Queen Rania Al Abdullah of Jordan Lance Armstrong knows who I am—he even knows I'm a runner! By Rania Al Abdullah Thursday, September 25, 2008, at 11:30 AM ET From: Rania Al Abdullah Subject: New York Is a Great Place To Have Jetlag Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 2:28 PM ET The great thing about having jetlag in New York is that I'm up so early I get the best of the morning—the crisp, fresh, sunny starts that make you feel like you can take on the day ahead with gusto. And although I've been here many times before, the city's really buzzing right now: There are huddles of security guards in black suits everywhere, frazzled staffers hanging around hotel lobbies, and convoys causing traffic jams. Can't help but wonder if the average New Yorker is counting the hours until the U.N. General Assembly and everything else that's happening around it are over so they can get their city back. So, I'm in NY this week wearing a couple of hats, shining a spotlight on the Millennium Development Goals and talking about the need for more sustainable development that will not only safeguard the environment, but also provide opportunity for the disenfranchised in society. It's something we're very interested in, in the Arab world. I was invited to speak at Condé Nast Traveler's World Savers Congress conference amid the awesome and inspiring architecture of Gotham Hall. It was about the power of tourism to nurture our planet's precious resources while providing lasting economic opportunities for local communities. I was there talking up the Middle East—not a region in conflict and turmoil, as many think, but a mosaic of cultures, stories, traditions, and warm, welcoming people. So, there I was, psyching myself up backstage to speak, because no matter how often I do this, I still get nervous and have to steel myself. Onstage, the beautiful, eloquent, and confident Ashley Judd was talking passionately about the work she's been doing to alleviate health problems in the Democratic Republic of Congo and Rwanda. All the time she was talking, there was a woman onstage next to her stirring, stirring, stirring this huge jug of what looked like dirty, muddy water. Turns out it was dirty, muddy water that was being sanitized by a little sachet of PUR crystals that disinfect and purify water, prevent waterborne illnesses, and save lives. And she drank it there and then to prove to us all how safe it was. I hope she feels fine in the morning! When I was driving to my next event, I watched swaths of NY's bright young women, suited, booted, and striding purposefully to work, to meetings, to lunches, and it made me think about a meeting I had yesterday with the executive director of UNICEF, Ms. Ann Veneman, and several members of her team. We talked about the 38 million girls around the world not in school, the girls not counted on birth registers, the girls enrolled in school but unable to attend because they have to collect water for their families, the lost girls. We talked about how UNICEF and other international organizations are trying to find them, give them a voice, make them count, and give them tools to change the course of their lives. Research shows that girls who go to school become women who spend more of the family resources on child nutrition, health, and education—so children grow up with better chances and choices. Educating girls is one of the highest-returning social investments we can make. And we're not making it. That's why I'm proud to be working with UNICEF on this and other education-related issues. It's too important to ignore. And then it was time to check in on my kids, back from school and having iftar with their grandparents. Of course, their news was less about missing their mom, what happened in school, and homework than it is about what toys, gadgets, and music I should be buying for them. You'd think that was my sole purpose for being in NY! I cautioned restraint, tried to manage expectations, and then panicked about where I could possibly get a microscope for examining insects, which is what seems very important for my 7-year-old right now. I so preferred the Barbie period! My husband told me that Hashem, my 3-year-old, has been coughing all night and has a temperature, and my stomach lurched with guilt for not being there to cuddle and soothe him. Why do they always get sick when I'm away? It kills me. I consoled myself with the thought that we'd all be together at the weekend—an extra-special one because of both my daughters' birthday parties. Midafternoon, I was full of good intentions to go for a walk and shake off the crashing fatigue, so I went back to the hotel. An hour later, one of my staff texted, reminding me of tomorrow's commitments, pricking my conscience, and so I got out my briefing papers. Later in the evening, I had the honor of meeting a superhero in the field of development, someone I've always wanted to meet. Hectic as traveling for work is, meeting people like Dr. Fazle Abed, founder of BRAC, makes it so worthwhile. He's so humble, soft-spoken, and down to earth, you would never guess he'd touched the lives of millions of people in Bangladesh and beyond. If this is what one man can do to help the less fortunate, imagine what our combined strength could achieve. People like him fill me with hope. From: Rania Al Abdullah Subject: Backstage at the Clinton Global Initiative Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008, at 11:30 AM ET Woke up this morning, and the first thing I did was phone my son Hashem to see how he was feeling. He was napping, and I didn't get much out of him, but it was still comforting to hear his sleepy little voice. I can't wait to give him a big cuddle. And with that, I headed off to the Clinton Global Initiative for the opening session, which focused on education, health, poverty, and climate. And what a lineup: President Ellen Johnson-Sirleaf of Liberia, former Vice President Al Gore, Bono, Coca-Cola Chairman Neville Isdell, Lance Armstrong, Mayor Michael Bloomberg, plus, of course, the charismatic and charming President Clinton. A pretty dazzling panel. Backstage in the holding room, we chatted about everything from the progress on the MDG and the challenges of the financial crisis, to Deerfield Academy (my husband's alma mater), and President Clinton's appearance on The Daily Show. A few months ago, I came across this poignant and heartbreaking poem, by Marie-Therese Feuerstein, which I felt compelled to share. "Maternal Mortality" It was a nice surprise to meet Lance Armstrong. Not only was I taken aback that he knew who I was—he even knew I was a runner. We exchanged notes on the joys and aches of running— something I'm looking forward to getting back to next week at home. So much was said on the panel. What a learning experience. I could spend hours writing about it—there were so many interesting ideas and experiences shared. So much passion. And it's that combination of passion, focus, creativity, risktaking, and a sprinkle of fun that sums up my good friend Bono. He kicked off his remarks with a simple question, which I paraphrase: If the United States alone can find $700 billion to save Wall Street, why can't the world find $25 billion to save 20,000 children who die each day? Makes you think, doesn't it? As for Al Gore, I admired him before for his advocacy for the environment and the impact of climate change, but after talking with him and listening to him, I could understand why he has convinced so many people to change their ways and make new lifestyle choices. I promised myself to do more and to find ways to try harder. That's the kind of effect he has! The session topics included public-private partnerships in education, something that is taking off in Jordan. I talked about Madrasati, a project I started in April back home. It aims to rejuvenate 500 of our most rundown schools. We've done 100 now, and the looks on the children's faces when I visit their classrooms make it so worthwhile. And just when jetlag started to kick in, so did the rest of my schedule, with three back-to-back events. It was an honor to introduce Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon at an event to celebrate progress made on the MDG, but he also cautioned about the huge amount of work, partnerships, focus, and finances needed to ensure that we meet the 2015 deadline. I co-hosted a dinner to help shine a global spotlight on the issue of maternal health with Wendi Murdoch and Sarah Brown, who support the wonderful work of the White Ribbon Alliance. The statistics are staggering: Every minute, a woman dies in childbirth, and for every one that dies, 30 more suffer complications. If you're a woman giving birth in Sierra Leone, you have a 1-in-8 chance of dying. In 2008, these numbers are just wrong. But, sadly, they're correct. People don't really understand How women die in childbirth The details Are almost Unimaginable The living foetus Striving for life Fighting to be born. The life-going sanctuary Of the uterus Becomes the prison, The tomb. Or the mother, Weak from the pain Of delivery Finds nothing Seems able to quell The gushing of her blood. There are no more cloths To absorb the flow, And only two more hours To her life. If we cannot improve The quality of women's lives At least improve The quality of their deaths … How can we "sell" Maternal mortality? This human tragedy is not available On video. Anyway It is a "taboo" subject Linked With human sexuality Which is already A taboo subject. Unfortunately, No-one has interviewed The dying woman. We don't know What she would have to say To us. Perhaps Someone should interview The children Whose mothers have died. They may well wonder Why their mothers Had to be pregnant again In the first place. It is difficult to sell A commodity That is too common. Anyway, dying is a familiar occupation. "Why should we Get excited about maternal deaths? There are so many other kinds!" Perhaps we have to sell Maternal mortality More as a fin-de-siècle Phenomenon. The question is, Does maternal mortality matter? If it doesn't, Perhaps we should approach, with caution, Entry into a century Where women will go on dying In increasing numbers And where … It still won't matter. dvd extras Mad Women Revisiting 9 to 5. By Megan Hustad Tuesday, September 23, 2008, at 11:23 AM ET Last Saturday, 9 to 5: The Musical opened in Los Angeles in preparation for its Broadway debut in April 2009. The show was initially slotted for 2007, and yet that theater season came and went with no 9 to 5 and no good explanation for the delay. Perhaps producers had trouble finding suitable stand-ins for original movie co-stars Jane Fonda, Lily Tomlin, and Dolly Parton. Finding actresses that can sing and sympathetically describe mounting a man's severed head above the office credenza would be a challenge for any casting director. Making the decision to retain the film's 1980 setting must have been easier. While audiences can be grateful they won't be asked to endure awkward jokes about BlackBerrys or Bangalore, this choice raises another question: Will a 30-year-old comedy about sexism in the workplace feel as period as Mad Men? Has consciousness raising turned into camp? The DVD of 9 to 5, released most recently in a "Sexist, Egotistical, Lying, Hypocritical Bigot Edition," offers a chance to see how far we have—and haven't—come. Fonda and producer Bruce Gilbert designed 9 to 5 to be a statement film about a problem that everyone now knows as sexual harassment. "It was just normal," Fonda explains in the DVD commentary. "Nobody talked about it." Eager to break that silence, she and Gilbert interviewed working women about their everyday experiences on the job, and they discovered that "just normal" included more-than-indecent proposals and X-rated quid pro quos. Normal was a boss who passed off your ideas as his own; normal was losing a promotion to a man you'd trained; normal was a barely contained, ever-simmering anger. The duo presented their findings to screenwriter Colin Higgins, told him who his leads would be—Fonda had already signed up Tomlin and Parton—and asked him to make something of it. Higgins set the script at the blandly ominous Consolidated Companies, an every-office where pantyhose-clad knees are forever one distracted moment away from slamming into the sharp corner of a file drawer. Dropped ceilings and brushed gray aluminum have rarely communicated so much back story. Yet it's the psychic strains of the job that dwarf all others. Longtime office manager Violet Newstead (Tomlin) is competence personified, but when she presses boss Franklin Hart Jr.—played by Dabney Coleman and his hips—for a longoverdue promotion, she's told to shush. Doralee Rhodes is Hart's secretary, played by first-time actress Parton. Unbeknownst to good-natured Doralee, the whole office believes she's Hart's mistress. The source of these rumors? Hart. Judy Bernly (Fonda) is less aggrieved for her own sake than for her co-workers'. When she witnesses a colleague get summarily fired for a small infraction, she immediately rustles over to protest. (The woman demures, "That's OK, Judy. I wanted to spend more time with my kids anyway.") The three women discover common cause one night over drinks at a bar and, later, over a joint in Doralee's chintz-choked living room. What, they ask themselves, would they like to do to the boss? Elaborate fantasy sequences ensue. Judy puts on a cowgirl outfit, chases Hart around the office with a shotgun, and blows him away as he cowers on the toilet. Doralee, also mysteriously in Western gear, assumes the boss's job and subjects Hart—now her secretary—to a bitter taste of his own medicine. ("You've got a nice ass, Frank! But, you know, you oughta get your pants cut a little tighter; you need to bring 'em up just a little in the crotch.") Vincent Canby panned the film in the New York Times for "waving the flag of feminism as earnestly as Russian farmers used to wave the hammer-and-sickle at the end of movies about collective farming." But moviegoers seemed to love it. 9 to 5 was the No. 2 box office draw of 1980, second only to The Empire Strikes Back. The movie's eponymous theme song— written and performed by Parton—topped the Billboard singles chart and quickly became, in Fonda's words, "a movement anthem." Even the daffy fantasy sequences were a hit, reportedly drawing approving whoops and hollers at special screenings for administrative assistants and other clerical workers. Canby saw the movie as a "militant cry for freedom." Yet it likely wouldn't have enjoyed nearly as much popularity had the film's message not come nestled—much like Coleman's head in one memorable scene—in the zaftig cushion of Parton's breasts. If American ticket buyers preferred their freedom fighters gussied up like Annie Oakley trolling for a date, well, so be it. And if they preferred farce to drama, that was fine, too. The dour Norma Rae, which was released the previous year, received critical acclaim but had a harder time finding an audience, doing roughly one-fifth of 9 to 5's business. Comedy, Fonda suggests on the commentary track, was the spoonful of sugar that helped the political theater go down. Just how do you enact equity and justice in the workplace? Well, if you were to follow 9 to 5's script, you'd kick off your organizing efforts by (mistakenly) assuming you'd killed the boss in an accident involving a box of Skinny & Sweet artificial sweetener. You'd then steal his body from the hospital (to foil homicide investigators), realize that you've got the wrong body in the trunk of your car, discover the boss isn't actually dead, that he plans on reporting your (alleged) plot to kill him to the police … and, well, you can see we've strayed far from EEOC procedure here. Judy spends the rest of the film in a nightgown baby-sitting Hart—now being held prisoner in his own home, strung up from the ceiling in a harness made of S&M gear and a garage-door opener. Meanwhile, back at the Consolidated offices, Violet and Doralee use his extended absence to implement a slate of reforms: equal pay for equal work, on-site day care, job-sharing, and flextime. That such progress is achieved only through highly implausible shenanigans is a disappointment: It's precisely when the film turns its attention to how the office might be made more responsive to women's needs that it loses its nerve. Yet what's bound to strike anybody watching the film now is how progressive those policy recommendations sound even by today's standards. While women are no longer de facto coffeefetchers, flextime and on-site day care remain exceptions enjoyed by a lucky few. Given how much work remains to be done before 9 to 5's fictional reforms become the new "just normal," it's surprising how comparatively toothless many of today's workplace comedies are. Catch NBC's The Office, the movie Office Space, or read Scott Adams, and you might imagine that the worst thing that can happen to you at work is boredom. A satire about fax machines being so darn slow is hardly taking political risks. The persistent theme of The Office is that only loser employees invest in their jobs. The smart ones pretend they're not there. It will be interesting to see whether 9 to 5's activist side will survive its transition to Broadway or whether its producers will worry that even in 2008 such anarchic energy needs to be dolled up to fill seats. But much of the material is timeless. One line from the film seems ready-made for an underhand toss to a packed Saturday-night house. "Couldn't we all just get together and complain?" Judy wails that first night at the bar. Of course not, as any 10-year-old sitting in the audience will understand. Dumb jerks in positions of power don't tend to budge in the face of mere griping. Indeed, producer Bruce Gilbert ventures on the commentary that Franklin Hart Jr. stands in for any unscrupulous authority figure, which might be why the film was such a success, and not just with put-upon admins. Everyone could appreciate the itch to resort to strong-arm tactics, and everyone could cheer an egotistical, lying hypocrite's downfall. Gilbert's analysis of why men embraced a film that sought to upend the status quo is chewed on for a second. Parton is unconvinced: "I think they just liked the women." election scorecard Battleground Bump New polls show Obama leading in swing states. Thursday, September 25, 2008, at 3:28 PM ET explainer What Does It Mean To Suspend a Campaign? Whatever the candidate wants it to mean. By Jacob Leibenluft Thursday, September 25, 2008, at 6:42 PM ET John McCain announced Wednesday that he would temporarily suspend his presidential campaign so he can help negotiate the bailout package for the financial industry. McCain canceled campaign events and announced plans to take his advertising off the air, but his spokespeople have still been appearing on TV, and he continues to raise money. What does it mean to suspend a campaign, anyway? It's up to the candidate. Under election law, the phrase "suspending a campaign" has no formal meaning. It's used most frequently by candidates when they drop out of their primary race. There's a reason for that: If a candidate "ended" his campaign instead of merely "suspending" it, then he might lose eligibility for federal matching funds that would help pay off his debts. The phrase has been employed at least as far back as the 1970s and continues to serve as the most popular way for candidates to end their primary bids without closing down their campaign committees. McCain is not, in fact, the first presidential candidate to take a hiatus in the middle of a general election campaign. In June 2004, both candidates for president suspended most of their political activities in the days following Ronald Reagan's death, although they did not pull their advertising. Ross Perot abruptly suspended his campaign in July 1992—ostensibly for good— despite projections that he might win as much as 20 percent of the vote. Then, on Oct. 1, Perot re-entered the fray, citing those grass-roots supporters as a motivation. Perhaps the most dramatic campaign suspension came in 1952, when Illinois Gov. Adlai Stevenson interrupted his campaign less than a week before Election Day to respond to a riot at the Menard State Prison. Stevenson's advisers reportedly disagreed with the Democratic nominee's decision, which forced him to miss planned speeches in Maryland, Delaware, West Virginia, and New York. According to the New York Times, Stevenson "followed a force of 321 state troopers and prison guards, armed with shotguns, machine guns, small arms and billy clubs as they stormed into a large cell house to end the uprising." The show of force managed to free seven guards who had been taken hostage and end the riot. Stevenson had less luck on Election Day, losing by almost 11 percentage points to Dwight Eisenhower. It's not the first time McCain has suspended his campaign activities, either. In 1999, McCain canceled the formal announcement of his presidential candidacy due to air strikes on Kosovo, claiming it was not an appropriate time for a political event. The next year, McCain suspended his campaign in a more conventional way after Super Tuesday, although campaign advisers said McCain would consider re-entering the race if then-Gov. George W. Bush performed particularly poorly in subsequent primaries. Bonus Explainer: How does a campaign pull its ads off the air? By telling the people at the TV stations or cable providers to stop running them. As the Explainer has noted before, an advertiser can usually get a spot off the air pretty easily. (For example, a sales manager at one Cincinnati TV station told the Explainer that he was able to stop playing McCain's ads in time for Wednesday's evening news.) But political ad buyers say it still can take up to 24 hours or so for other stations to change their advertising logs, and reports abound of McCain ads running in Florida, Virginia, and elsewhere. For the ads he does succeed in canceling, McCain probably won't lose his money; instead, his campaign will receive credits that can be used for advertising in the future. But just as there was a slight delay in taking some ads off the air, there could also be a delay in getting them back on, given the advance notice stations need to place them in rotation. Got a question about today's news? Ask the Explainer. Explainer thanks Bob Biersack of the Federal Election Commission, Ondine Fortune of Fortune Media Inc., Paul Herrnson of the University of Maryland, Paul Ryan of the Campaign Legal Center, and Evan Tracey of the Campaign Media Analysis Group. explainer No, Really, How Much Is $700 Billion? About 12 Bill Gateses. By Juliet Lapidos Tuesday, September 23, 2008, at 6:27 PM ET Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson urged Congress Tuesday morning to authorize a $700 billion bailout of struggling financial institutions. Although the congressional leadership has indicated its willingness to get onboard with the plan, rank-and-file lawmakers from both parties are balking at what's been called the largest bailout in U.S. history. Just how much is $700 billion? A lot, or not that much. There are about 300 million men, women, and children currently living in the United States, so the bailout is equal to roughly $2,300 per person. That's right around what we each paid, on average, for gas and oil in 2006 ($2,227) and a bit less than our average personal tax burden ($2,432). Stepping away from average Joes, $700 billion is equal to about 12 Bill Gateses. The assembled net worth of the Forbes 400 is $1.57 trillion, or more than twice the cost of the bailout. Titanic, one of the highest-grossing movies of all time, raked in $1.8 billion from the worldwide box office, so James Cameron would have to make roughly 381 Titanic-sized blockbusters to settle Wall Street's debts. According to the Centers for Disease Control, the single-year cost of obesity in the United States was $117 billion in 2000, or about one-sixth the bailout—although that number has been disputed. If the federal government siphoned off Florida's gross domestic product, we could cover the bailout. Invading the Netherlands might be advisable—that nation's GDP was $768.7 billion last year. Of course, invasions cost a lot of money. Back in 2003, the Bush administration told Congress that the Iraq war would cost between $60 billion and $100 billion, but it's estimated that, so far, we've spent about $600 billion. Should the Treasury receive authority from Congress to borrow $700 billion, the national debt will rise by only about 7 percent. Right now, it's sitting at $9.6 trillion. Let's say Slate charged its advertisers $30 per 1,000 ad impressions, a common industry rate. And let's imagine for a second that the federal government decided to nationalize Slate in order to pay for the bailout. We'd need our readers to rack up enough page views to see 23.3 trillion banner ads before the feds were satisfied. For historical perspective, consider that the Marshall Plan, which helped finance the recovery of Western Europe after World War II, cost the United States about $13 billion. Of course, in 2008 dollars that's more like $100 billion. And Niall Ferguson has estimated that as a comparable share of the U.S. GDP, it's more like $740 billion. Lastly, in apocalyptic terms, $700 billion really isn't all that much. If nothing is done to change the way we finance Social Security, the trust fund reserves will be exhausted by 2041. This means that, in 75 years, there'll be a shortfall of $4.3 trillion—or about six bailouts. According to the Stern report (issued by U.K. economist Sir Nicholas Stern), global climate change could cost the planet $9 trillion (or 12.86 bailouts) if we don't address the problem within the next decade or so. Got a question about today's news? Ask the Explainer. Explainer thanks Scott Berridge of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. explainer Wall Street Suicides If we're in the midst of a financial collapse, why aren't executives jumping out of office buildings? By Nina Shen Rastogi Monday, September 22, 2008, at 6:18 PM ET "This September feels a lot like autumn 1929," read an op-ed from this Saturday's Wall Street Journal. Several other publications have made the same comparison: AlterNet asked, "Are we on the verge of a repeat?" The Daily Mail wondered what we can learn from events in 1929 to help us "avoid a 21st Century Great Depression." If things are really as bad as that, how come we aren't hearing about executives jumping out of windows? Because the current situation hasn't had nearly as devastating an effect on people's personal finances. The Great Crash of 1929— and, to a lesser extent, the crash of 1987—did lead some people to commit suicide. But in nearly all of those cases, the deceased had suffered a major loss when the market collapsed. Now, due in large part to those earlier experiences, investors tend to keep their portfolios far more diversified, so as to avoid having their entire fortunes wiped out when stocks take a downturn. In addition, some of the worst declines in the past week have been limited to a smaller number of companies (such as Lehman Bros., Morgan Stanley, and Goldman Sachs), further limiting the potential damage to individual investors. Tall tales about panicked speculators leaping to their deaths have become part of the popular lore about the Great Crash. But although jumping from bridges or buildings was the secondmost-popular form of suicide in New York between 1921 and 1931, the "crash-related jumping epidemic" is just a myth. Between Black Thursday and the end of 1929, only four of the 100 suicides and suicide attempts reported in the New York Times were plunges linked to the crash, and only two took place on Wall Street. (There were some crash-related suicides that didn't involve fatal jumps: The president of County Trust Co. and the head of Rochester Gas and Electric both killed themselves, but they used a gun and gas, respectively.) An urban legend about the suicide outbreak seems to have sprung up almost instantaneously. On the day after Black Thursday, the New York Times reported that many "wild and false" rumors were spreading throughout the country, including claims that 11 speculators had committed suicide and that a crowd had gathered around a Wall Street building because they thought a workman was a speculator preparing to jump. That same day, Will Rogers quipped that "you had to stand in line to get a window to jump out of"; and soon Eddie Cantor was joking that hotel clerks were asking guests if they wanted rooms "for sleeping or jumping." By mid-November, New York's chief medical examiner tried to put the kibosh on the rumor by publicly announcing that there had been fewer suicides between Oct. 15 and Nov. 13 than there had been in the same period the year before. (Winston Churchill—himself a major stock-market investor—may have added to the rumor mill: He was in New York during the crash and, in a December 1929 Daily Telegraph article, recalled how, under his own hotel window, "a gentleman cast himself down fifteen storey and was dashed to pieces.") The two Wall Street leaps that did take place, however, were dramatic enough to sustain the myth. On Nov. 5, Hulda Borowski, a clerk who'd been working at a Wall Street stock brokerage house for 28 years, leapt off a 40-story building. On Nov. 16, three days after the market had taken another dive, G.E. Cutler, the head of a produce firm, climbed onto the ledge of his lawyer's office. The New York Times reported that an attorney struggled to pull the frantic Cutler inside, to no avail: For a moment the men fell apart, then Mr. Cutler lunged over the edge. [The attorney] seized the tails of his coat, but his grip broke. Cutler's body crashed on to an automobile with New Jersey license plates parked near the junction of Wall, Pearl and Beaver Streets, and bounded to the pavement. In the week following the 1987 stock-market crash, at least two suicides in the United States were linked to the crisis, but none involved a window plunge. (One of the incidents was a murdersuicide in which a distraught investor in Miami killed a Merrill Lynch executive and then himself.) There were also rumors that the Pacific Stock Exchange had asked Golden Gate Bridge officials to be on alert for jumpers, but the stock exchange denied the claim. Got a question about today's news? Ask the Explainer. Explainer thanks James Ledbetter of The Big Money and reader Brian Boddy for asking the question. family Spare the Rod Why you shouldn't hit your kids. By Alan E. Kazdin Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 7:09 AM ET The typical parent, when whacking a misbehaving child, doesn't pause to wonder: "What does science have to say about the efficacy of corporal punishment?" If they are thinking anything at all, it's: "Here comes justice!" And while the typical parent may not know or care, the science on corporal punishment of kids is pretty clear. Despite the rise of the timeout and other nonphysical forms of punishment, most American parents hit, pinch, shake, or otherwise lay violent hands on their youngsters: 63 percent of parents physically discipline their 1- to 2-yearolds, and 85 percent of adolescents have been physically punished by their parents. Parents cite children's aggression and failure to comply with a request as the most common reasons for hitting them. The science also shows that corporal punishment is like smoking: It's a rare human being who can refrain from stepping up from a mild, relatively harmless dose to an excessive and harmful one. Three cigarettes a month won't hurt you much, and a little smack on the behind once a month won't harm your child. But who smokes three cigarettes a month? To call corporal punishment addictive would be imprecise, but there's a strong natural tendency to escalate the frequency and severity of punishment. More than one-third of all parents who start out with relatively mild punishments end up crossing the line drawn by the state to define child abuse: hitting with an object, harsh and cruel hitting, and so on. Children, endowed with wonderful flexibility and ability to learn, typically adapt to punishment faster than parents can escalate it, which helps encourage a little hitting to lead to a lot of hitting. And, like frequent smoking, frequent corporal punishment has serious, well-proven bad effects. The negative effects on children include increased aggression and noncompliance—the very misbehaviors that most often inspire parents to hit in the first place—as well as poor academic achievement, poor quality of parent-child relationships, and increased risk of a mental-health problem (depression or anxiety, for instance). High levels of corporal punishment are also associated with problems that crop up later in life, including diminished ability to control one's impulses and poor physicalhealth outcomes (cancer, heart disease, chronic respiratory disease). Plus, there's the effect of increasing parents' aggression, and don't forget the consistent finding that physical punishment is a weak strategy for permanently changing behavior. But parents keep on hitting. Why? The key is corporal punishment's temporary effectiveness in stopping a behavior. It does work—for a moment, anyway. The direct experience of that momentary pause in misbehavior has a powerful effect, conditioning the parent to hit again next time to achieve that jolt of fleeting success and blinding the parent to the long-term failure of hitting to improve behavior. The research consistently shows that the unwanted behavior will return at the same rate as before. But parents believe that corporal punishment works, and they are further encouraged in that belief by feeling that they have a right and even a duty to punish as harshly as necessary. Part of the problem is that most of us pay, at best, selective attention to science—and scientists, for their part, have not done a good job of publicizing what they know about corporal punishment. Studies of parents have demonstrated that if they are predisposed not to see a problem in the way they rear their children, then they tend to dismiss any scientific finding suggesting that this presumed nonproblem is, in fact, a problem. In other words, if parents believe that hitting is an effective way to control children's behavior, and especially if that conviction is backed up by a strong moral, religious, or other cultural rationale for corporal punishment, they will confidently throw out any scientific findings that don't comport with their sense of their own experience. The catch is that we frequently misperceive our own experience. Studies of parents' perceptions of child rearing, in particular, show that memory is an extremely unreliable guide in judging the efficacy of punishment. Those who believe in corporal punishment tend to remember that hitting a child worked: She talked back to me, I slapped her face, she shut her mouth. But they tend to forget that, after the brief pause brought on by having her face slapped, the child talked back again, and the talking back grew nastier and more frequent over time as the slaps grew harder. (similar to successful efforts in this country to change attitudes toward littering and smoking), they do have measurable good effects. So far, the results suggest that after the ban is passed, parents hit less and are less favorably inclined toward physical discipline, and the country is not overwhelmed by a wave of brattiness and delinquency. The opposite, in fact. If anything, the results tell us that there's less deviant child behavior. So what's the case for not hitting? It can be argued from the science: Physical discipline doesn't work over the long run, it has bad side effects, and mild punishment often becomes more severe over time. Opponents of corporal punishment also advance moral and legal arguments. If you hit another adult you can be arrested and sued, after all, so shouldn't our smallest, weakest citizens have a right to equal or even more-than-equal protection under the law? In this country, if you do the same thing to your dog that you do to your child, you're more likely to get in trouble for mistreating the dog. There could conceivably be good reasons for Americans to decide, after careful consideration, that our commitment to the privacy and individual rights of parents is too strong to allow for an enforceable comprehensive ban on corporal punishment. But we don't seem to be ready to join much of the rest of the world in even having a serious discussion about such a ban. In the overheated climate of nondebate encouraged by those who would have us believe that we are embroiled in an ongoing highstakes culture war, we mostly just declaim our fixed opinions at one another. The combination of scientific and moral/legal arguments has been effective in debates about discipline in public schools. Twenty-eight states and the District of Columbia have banned corporal punishment in the schools. But so far, we have shown ourselves unwilling to extend that debate beyond the schools and into the ideologically sacred circle of the family. Where the argument against corporal punishment in the schools has prevailed, in fact, it has often cited parents' individual right to punish their own children as they, and not educators acting for the state, see fit. The situation is different in other countries. You may not be surprised to hear that 91 countries have banned corporal punishment in the schools, but you may be surprised to hear that 23 countries have banned corporal punishment everywhere within their borders, including in the home. One result of this standoff is that the United States, despite being one of the primary authors of the U.N.'s Convention on the Rights of Children, which specifies that governments must take appropriate measures to protect children from "all forms of physical or mental violence, injury or abuse, neglect or negligent treatment, maltreatment or exploitation," is one of only two nations that have not ratified it. The other is Somalia; 192 nations have ratified it. According to my colleague Liz Gershoff of the University of Michigan, a leading expert on corporal punishment of children, the main arguments that have so far prevented us from ratifying it include the ones you would expect—it would undermine American parents' authority as well as U.S. sovereignty—plus a couple of others that you might not have expected: It would not allow 17-year-olds to enlist in the armed forces, and (although the Supreme Court's decision in Roper v. Simmons has made this one moot, at least for now) it would not allow executions of people who committed capital crimes when they were under 18. I know what you're thinking: Are there really 23 Scandinavian countries? Sweden was, indeed, the first to pass a comprehensive ban, but the list also includes Hungary, Bulgaria, Spain, Israel, Portugal, Greece, Uruguay, Chile, Venezuela, and New Zealand. According to advocates of the ban, another 20 or so countries are committed to full prohibition and/or are debating prohibitionist bills in parliament. The Council of Europe was the first intergovernmental body to launch a campaign for universal prohibition across its 47 member countries. Practically nobody in America knows or cares that the United Nations has set a target date of 2009 for a universal prohibition of violence against children that would include a ban on corporal punishment in the home. Americans no doubt have many reasons—some of them quite good—to ignore or laugh off instructions from the United Nations on how to raise their kids. And it's naive to think that comprehensive bans are comprehensively effective. Kids still get hit in every country on earth. But especially because such bans are usually promoted with large public campaigns of education and opinion-shaping We have so far limited our national debate on corporal punishment by focusing it on the schools and conducting it at the local and state level. We have shied away from even theoretically questioning the primacy of rights that parents exercise in the home, where most of the hitting takes place. Whatever one's position on corporal punishment, we ought to be able to at least discuss it with each other like grownups. fighting words Is Obama Another Dukakis? Why is Obama so vapid, hesitant, and gutless? By Christopher Hitchens Monday, September 22, 2008, at 12:17 PM ET Last week really ought to have been the end of the McCain campaign. With the whole country feeling (and its financial class acting) as if we lived in a sweltering, bankrupt banana republic, and with this misery added to the generally Belarusian atmosphere that surrounds any American trying to board a train, catch a plane, fill a prescription, or get a public servant or private practitioner on the phone, it was surely the moment for the supposedly reform candidate to assume a commanding position. And the Republican nominee virtually volunteered to assist that outcome by making an idiot of himself several times over, moving from bovine and Panglossian serenity about the state of the many, many crippled markets to sudden bursts of pointless hyperactivity such as the irrelevant demand to sack the chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission. And yet, and unless I am about to miss some delayed "groundswell" or mood shift, none of this has translated into any measurable advantage for the Democrat. There are three possible reasons for such a huge failure on Barack Obama's part. The first, and the most widely canvassed, is that he is too nice, too innocent, too honest, and too decent to get down in the arena and trade bloody thrusts with the right-wing enemy. (This is rapidly becoming the story line that will achieve mythic status, along with allegations of racial and religious rumor-mongering, if he actually loses in November.) The second is that crisis and difficulty, at home and abroad, sometimes make electors slightly more likely to trust the existing establishment, or some version of it, than any challenger or newcomer, however slight. The third is that Obama does not, and perhaps even cannot, represent "change" for the very simple reason that the Democrats are a status quo party. To analyze this is to be obliged to balance some of the qualities of Obama's own personality with some of the characteristics of his party. Here's a swift test. Be honest. What sentence can you quote from his convention speech in Denver? I thought so. All right, what about his big rally speech in Berlin? Just as I guessed. OK, help me out: Surely you can manage to cite a line or two from his imperishable address on race (compared by some liberal academics to Gettysburg itself) in Philadelphia? No, not the line about his white grandmother. Some other line. Oh, dear. Now do you see what I mean? Why is Obama so vapid and hesitant and gutless? Why, to put it another way, does he risk going into political history as a dusky Dukakis? Well, after the self-imposed Jeremiah Wright nightmare, he can't afford any more militancy, or militantsounding stuff, even if it might be justified. His other problems are self-inflicted or party-inflicted as well. He couldn't have picked a gifted Democratic woman as his running mate, because he couldn't have chosen a female who wasn't the ever-present Sen. Clinton, and so he handed the free gift of doing so to his Republican opponent (whose own choice has set up a screech from the liberals like nothing I have heard since the nomination of Clarence Thomas). So the unquantifiable yet important "atmospherics" of politics, with all their little X factors, belong at present to the other team. The Dukakis comparison is, of course, a cruel one, but it raises a couple more questions that must be faced. We are told by outraged Democrats that many voters still believe, thanks to some smear job, that Sen. Obama is a Muslim. Yet who is the most famous source of this supposedly appalling libel (as if an American candidate cannot be of any religion or none)? Absent any anonymous whispering campaign, the person who did most to insinuate the idea in public—"There is nothing to base that on. As far as I know"—was Obama's fellow Democrat and the junior senator from New York. It was much the same in 1988, when Al Gore brought up the Dukakis furlough program, later to be made infamous by the name Willie Horton, against the hapless governor of Massachusetts who was then his rival for the nomination. By the end of that grueling campaign season, a lot of us had got the idea that Dukakis actually wanted to lose—or was at the very least scared of winning. Why do I sometimes get the same idea about Obama? To put it a touch more precisely, what I suspect in his case is that he had no idea of winning this time around. He was running in Iowa and New Hampshire to seed the ground for 2012, not 2008, and then the enthusiasm of his supporters (and the weird coincidence of a strong John Edwards showing in Iowa) put him at the front of the pack. Yet, having suddenly got the leadership position, he hadn't the faintest idea what to do with it or what to do about it. Look at the record, and at Obama's replies to essential and pressing questions. The surge in Iraq? I'll answer that only if you insist. The credit crunch? Please may I be photographed with Bill Clinton's economic team? Georgia? After you, please, Sen. McCain. A vice-presidential nominee? What about a guy who, despite his various qualities, is picked because he has almost no enemies among Democratic interest groups? I ran into a rather clever Republican operative at the airport last week, who pointed out to me that this ought by rights to be a Democratic Party year across the board, from the White House to the Congress to the gubernatorial races. But there was a crucial energy leak, and it came from the very top. More people doubted Obama's qualifications for the presidency in September than had told the pollsters they had doubted these credentials in July. "So what he ought to do," smiled this man, "is spend his time closing that gap and less time attacking McCain." Obama's party hacks, increasingly white and even green about the gills, are telling him to do the opposite. I suppose this could even mean that Sarah Palin, down the road, will end up holding the door open for Hillary Clinton. Such joy! foreigners Saving Jerusalem The city has almost as many mayoral candidates as it has problems to solve. By Shmuel Rosner Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 11:18 AM ET It was 5:27 on a Monday morning, and someone was knocking on the door. Rabbi Yosef Shalom Elyashiv, at 98 the spiritual leader of hundreds of thousands, was preparing to leave for the synagogue. But urgent business had to be addressed first. The guest was ushered into the house for a brief meeting. Is it advisable for me to run for mayor of Jerusalem? the visitor asked. In one form or another—nobody knows exactly what was said—Elyashiv gave his blessing. The guest, Aryeh Deri, former Knesset member, former minister of the interior, former leader of the Shas Party—and a convicted felon—was therefore free to decide: If the courts allow it, he is going to run. Overused, overquoted, and overanalyzed, Yehuda Amichai's poem "Mayor" has become a familiar cliché in Israel: "It's sad,/ To be the Mayor of Jerusalem./ It is terrible,/ How can any man be the mayor of a city like that?" Overused—but evidently not intimidating enough. As sad and terrible as the job may be, the list of men who want to be the city's new mayor come Nov. 11 is growing by the day. There's Meir Porush, a Haredi (ultra-Orthodox) who hopes to repeat the success of the current mayor, the first Haredi to hold the office. There's Nir Barkat, a secular high-tech millionaire entrepreneur. There's Arcady Gaydamak, a flamboyant Russianborn populist billionaire. And now, there's Deri—a Sephardic Haredi—a political meteor of the 1990s, investigated and convicted for bribery in one of the most controversial trials the country ever saw, well-known for his reformist spirit and brilliance. Deri will be able to run only if the court decides that he is eligible. All the candidates share one goal: to save Jerusalem. But they don't agree about what they're saving it from. Barkat wants to "save" Jerusalem from Haredi expansion. Porush would like to save it from a return to secular rule. Deri wants to save the Haredi community from Porush, who is perceived as "too Haredi" to be electable. The Russian billionaire's motivations aren't exactly clear, and he might quit the race, but for the moment his main cause seems to be saving Jerusalem's sports teams. And, of course, they all want to save Jerusalem from the Arab Palestinians—about one-third of Jerusalem's population—who traditionally don't vote in elections because they don't recognize Israel's sovereignty. This year, however, they may reconsider this Palestinian tradition: For the first time, a Palestinian Jerusalemite has announced that he is definitely going to run. (Previous potential Arab candidates didn't make it to the polls under pressure from the Palestinian leadership in the West Bank.) Jerusalem is a city in perpetual crisis. Israelis overwhelmingly say they oppose its division; Palestinians overwhelmingly demand that it be the capital of their future state. In May 2007, the Jewish People Policy Planning Institute published a "strategic plan for the strengthening of Jerusalem as the civilizational capital of the Jewish people." This worthy goal is fraught by difficulties: "Jerusalem is a poor city"; "conflicts hinder Jerusalem from being seen as non-controversial center"; it is "not seen as a safe city"—as was proved earlier this week by yet another terror attack; it is "hostile to diversity"; and so on and so forth. So, saving it will not be the easiest of tasks. Jews have been leaving Jerusalem in large numbers in recent years: Fourteen thousand per year left between 1990 and 1994, 16,000 19952004, 17,400 2005-07. Meanwhile, the number of people moving to the city of nearly 750,000 was much smaller. Fortythree percent of those who left said they could find no work in Jerusalem. Indeed, the more that East Jerusalem Palestinians and West Jerusalem ultra-Orthodox make up the vast majority of Jerusalemites, the more the city faces difficulties sustaining a viable economy. The 2007 edition of "Jerusalem: Facts and Trends," produced by the Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies, concluded that 32 percent of families in Jerusalem live below the poverty line—compared with 14 percent of the families in metropolitan Tel Aviv and 21 percent in Israel as a whole. The men who would be mayor have two very different attitudes toward poverty: The ultra-Orthodox candidates point out that their community is in greater need of help. Nir Barkat will emphasize his economic background. He will argue, not without merit, that the Orthodox are the problem, rather than the solution, for Jerusalem. Haredi men, who study the Torah instead of working, and Palestinian women, who stay home because of Arab traditionalism, are largely responsible for the city's low rate of work participation. Saving the holiest and perhaps most complicated city in the world is a task littered with obstacles. Can anyone convince the Haredi community that it is in their interest to vote against their own candidates? Can anyone convince secular Jerusalemites that the "Haredi scare" (secular Jerusalem's erroneous belief that the ultra-Orthodox are "taking over") is being used for political reasons, and that a Haredi mayor can do the job as well as anyone else? Is it even realistic to expect that the city can be efficiently governed—saved—when the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is not yet solved? If the ultra-Orthodox split their votes between the two Haredi candidates, a secular candidate will have a better chance of winning. Barkat is leading in the polls, but pollsters often make mistakes in places with a large Haredi population, since they tend not to respond to surveys. If the court bars Deri from running, maybe Porush will have a better chance. On the other hand, it is Deri, rather than Porush, who could also win votes from beyond the Haredi neighborhoods. And if the Arabs suddenly decide to participate, that could also be a gamechanging event. Jerusalem is internationally important, but it is becoming more fractured, more polarized, more prone to being torn apart by interest groups. The political choices are as numerous as the problems that need to be solved. But in the end, the outcome of this year's mayoral race—arguably one of the most fascinating in the city's 3,000-year history—will be determined by local trends, influential rabbis, and by the power of one faction to cancel out another. The next mayor will probably be the candidate who is most successful at taking advantage of Jerusalemites' fears. foreigners Fixing Failed Aid The chaos of foreign aid in Afghanistan. By Anne Applebaum Tuesday, September 23, 2008, at 7:47 PM ET KABUL, Afghanistan—The scene is a small textile factory in a new industrial park on the outskirts of Kabul; the characters are an Afghan businessman, his American partner, and a USAID official, the last straight out of central casting, flustered, important, accompanied by gun-wielding bodyguards. She speaks of USAID's plans for "small- and medium-sized enterprise development," lauds the USAID-funded industrial park, and alludes to the "$5.4 billion" spent by USAID in Afghanistan since 2002. She also hands out an expensivelooking USAID brochure that describes, among other things, the goal of our meeting: "to show international media opinion leaders that progress is being made in economic growth in Afghanistan." Unfortunately, the factory is half-empty that day. Prices for fuel and other inputs are so high in Kabul that no textile business can compete with those in India or Pakistan. The factory thus depends on Afghan army-uniform orders, which arrive irregularly. So does fabric to make them, since the customs bureaucracy is still plagued by corruption and inefficiency. When the USAID official starts listing the assistance given to the Afghan customs service—this includes training for customs officials, construction of border posts, even gifts of uniforms— the American partner shrugs, unimpressed. "It would be good to move forward instead of backward," she says. "There's never any follow-through." Afterward, the Afghan businessman confides that he has been robbed by Afghan police. It isn't the Taliban that Afghan entrepreneurs fear; it is their own government, corrupted by international money and now infiltrated by criminal networks, too. This is the chaos that is foreign aid in Afghanistan, a place where every mistake ever made in every underdeveloped economy is now being repeated. This is a country in which all the best people are being hired away from the national government by the alphabet soup of aid agencies on the ground; in which the same alphabet soup of aid agencies is driving up real-estate and food prices; in which millions of dollars are squandered on dubious contractors, both local and foreign; in which the minister for rural development says he doesn't know what all the NATO reconstruction teams in rural districts do; in which the top U.N. official, given a mandate to coordinate the donors, says the donors don't respond to his attempts to coordinate them. Conflicting agendas, overlapping projects, money badly spent. We've been here before, many times, and the conclusions are always the same. Some of them have been recently restated by a former Afghan minister of finance, Ashraf Ghani, and his coauthor, Clare Lockhart, in their book Fixing Failed States. Its central argument: Well-meaning foreigners should not fix roads; they should teach the Afghan government how to fix roads, thus helping it acquire legitimacy. Foreigners shouldn't feed Afghans, either; rather, they should develop Afghan agriculture so the Afghans can feed themselves, export their surplus, and thus develop a stake in the rule of law. Some of this thinking has filtered down to the Afghan provinces, where Afghanization is now a buzz word and foreign construction projects now fly the Afghan flag. But the change in attitude may have come too late: A harsh winter, a bad drought, and constant fighting mean that Afghanistan, which suffered a terrible famine in 2001, may well be on the brink of another one. Starving Afghans? Think about it: A greater indictment of the massive international aid-and-reconstruction effort would be hard to imagine. And an Afghan famine would not constitute just a humanitarian crisis. To put it bluntly, Afghans who have no food are easily purchased by the Taliban, al-Qaida, and other extremist leaders who come over the border from Pakistan looking to pay insurgents. Last weekend's bomb blast in Islamabad is an excellent reminder of just how sophisticated these groups have become. But you don't have to go over the border to find trouble. Recent attacks on NATO soldiers in previously peaceful parts of northern and western Afghanistan are evidence that poverty and insecurity are spreading, not shrinking, within the country. For once, the solution lies not in greater funds but in moreintelligent use of the massive resources available. It may partly lie in smaller, Afghan charities like Afghan Health and Development Services, which sends family doctors (without security teams) out to the provinces, where they work in conjunction with the Ministry of Health; or with less demanding foreigners like the Filipino aid workers who have set up a credit union—following Islamic banking practices, of course—in the provincial city of Tarin Kowt. They lack qualified staff, and they don't like the gunfire they hear at night. But with the advantage of "looking Afghan" ("People think I am Tajik," one of them told me, laughing), they soldier on: Their credit union now has 467 members and has made 83 loans. A little bit of money goes a long way in Afghanistan, they tell me. Too bad so many in the aid community still haven't learned this after all these years. gardening perennials, shrubs, and trees off to a faster start the following spring. In mild-winter parts of the country, fall is even more emphatically the superior season for planting because roots can keep growing all winter. Plants shift their objectives when the sun wanes and the temperatures go down. They stop the spring and summer work of making leaves, shoots, flowers, berries, and fruit. All their energy goes into establishing roots. Trees, shrubs, and perennials put into the ground in fall don't have to deal with heat and drought early in their young lives. By late next spring, when things begin to heat up, the plant's roots will be up to the job of absorbing and circulating nutrients and water. The class of October 2008, in other words, will be better equipped next summer than their brethren freshly planted in April 2009. "Autumn Is a Second Spring" The advantages of planting a garden in the fall. By Constance Casey Monday, September 22, 2008, at 6:45 AM ET If these climate factors aren't enough, consider that fall planting can save you money. Many nurseries mark their perennials and shrubs 20 percent off in the fall. They'd like to unload plants so they don't have to water them through the winter. The landscape around us is obviously winding down as the days grow colder and the nights get longer. Mid-to-late fall sees most of the plant world going from mellow to muted to moribund. But, contrary though it seems, this is the best time of the year to plant new things and to work in the garden. A couple of cautionary notes: When you walk the garden center aisles, the perennials may look sad. Remember that their life force is in the roots and crown—the place where the base of the leaves meets the roots. This time of year, you don't want a lot of leaves. Look at the picture on the plant label and have hope. The reason is simply fall weather, which, up until the ground freezes, is kind to human beings as well as to newly planted trees, shrubs, and perennial plants. Look for container-grown, or balled and burlapped, shrubs and trees. For all the season's benefits, fall is not a good time to dig trees out of a field where their roots have sprawled and would have to be trimmed back. In autumn, there are many more good days to be outside than there are in spring. Serious gardeners love November; they're happy working up a sweat inside their hoodies and gloves when everyone else is starting to huddle indoors. The season fits the typical gardener's temperament—moody, melancholy, prepared for doom, and happily surprised when something does well. (This was typical among my gardener colleagues at the New York City Parks Department. But that may have just been a result of the city stressors.) At first thought, spring, with its explosion of buds and shoots and sprouts seems like the best time to put new plants in the ground. But spring in much of North America has quite a small window for planting—between the last frost and the onset of hot weather. Some of the days in that window will be rainy, making the soil muddy and hard to work with a lot of the time. The soil takes a while to warm up from a winter's worth of cold; a new plant's roots grow slowly in chilled earth. In fall, the soil still holds summer's warmth, which encourages root growth up until the ground freezes. Fall planting gets If you garden in a cold-winter area, it's better to wait till spring to plant shrubs or perennials that are marginal—things like buddleia or caryopteris. Fall transplanting means using less water. It's cooler, and the plants are less thirsty while they're going dormant. But those recently planted shrubs and perennials and trees do need a deep, thorough soaking at planting time; and when there's no snow cover, water every four weeks or so through the winter. Here's the most important caution. You may want to give your new plants a little artificial assistance in the form of fertilizer. Don't give them a fertilizer that is high in nitrogen, which would encourage succulent, green, springlike growth at a time when you, and the plant, want dormancy. For immediate cheer, remember that anywhere but in the most tropical parts of the country you can put in pansies. A newly bred super race of the velvety flower, with names like "Snowman" and "Icicle," has just hit the market. In horticulture labs, scientists have intensified pansies' natural cold tolerance. (They're related to wild violets, which developed a sort of antifreeze in order to survive the cold on the deeply shady forest floor.) These new pansies will bloom now, sit tight under the snow, and pop back to bloom again in spring. Not surprisingly, they hate heat, and you'll probably have to compost them next spring. Even if you don't feel like buying anything new, fall is a good time for cathartic, satisfyingly destructive garden activities. Leave echinacea, sunflowers, and cosmos to go to seed and feed the birds, but tear up annuals like impatiens, marigolds, petunias, zinnias, and tomato plants. If you're not ready to start a compost pile, here's an alternative that requires high aerobic output (and saves on plastic garbage bags): Dig a trench in your vegetable plot. Pile in the tomato stalks and shriveled pepper plants and blackened basil plants, etc. Cover with earth, and next spring you will have Worm City and good soil. Since we've gotten candidates from Hawaii and Alaska, I've been enjoying the sound of the phrase "the noncontiguous United States." It turns out that even in Alaska, fall is a good time to plant. It's true that by Halloween Anchorage usually has snow on the ground. But up until then, as long as the ground isn't frozen, Alaskans should be digging. For residents of everywhere else: Even if you've never done a thing in your garden, plant some spring bulbs. You can do this late; it's actually best to plant bulbs after a killing frost. Their only demand is a sunny spot and well-drained soil. One more note on composting: When wild tulips first came to Western Europe from Turkey in 1562, the burghers of Antwerp, who saw them as onionish, tried to eat them. Not surprisingly, they didn't like them and had their servants toss the extra bulbs onto a pile of organic refuse. The bulbs rooted themselves in the muck and flowered—another tribute to the generative powers of compost heaps. A few centuries later, the Dutch, including a young Audrey Hepburn, would eat them during the days of the Nazi occupation of the Netherlands. green room Adam Smith Meets Climate Change How the theory of moral sentiments could be applied to cap-and-trade greenhouse-gas emissions. By Ian Ayres and Doug Kysar Thursday, September 25, 2008, at 11:53 AM ET Despite all the attention to domestic oil drilling, Obama and McCain are not that far apart on climate change—both candidates support a cap-and-trade system to limit U.S. greenhouse-gas emissions. And neither candidate has told us much about how they will get the rest of the world on the capand-trade bandwagon. That challenge deserves more focus— unless we can entice fast-growing emitters like China, India, and Brazil into a climate change treaty as full participants, even complete energy independence in this country will be little consolation in a warming world. We think Adam Smith may have had a suggestion for how to think about this problem—and it's more than just an invisible hand. For 30 years now, officials have been groping toward a system in which greenhouse-gas emitters all around the world can trade permits. GHG reductions achieve the same global atmospheric benefit regardless of where they occur, but because industries and firms have different costs of reduction, it makes economic sense to allow them to trade permits. That way we can lower emissions for less money. But a crucial sticking point is figuring out how to initially allocate emissions permits among the various countries of the world. Generally speaking, richer nations want permit allotments that track historic emissions rates—essentially locking in their economic advantage by awarding permits based on how much a country is already emitting. Developing countries, in contrast, want permits allocated according to population size, with every person on the planet getting equal emissions rights. Some representatives from poorer nations also point to the fact that countries have not contributed equally to the existing problem of global warming. They argue that the countries most responsible for the current state of affairs, like the United States, should get the fewest permits, since they have already spent their share of the planet's GHG budget. Whatever the merits of the arguments, any attempt to load this kind of ethical discussion into the decision of how to allocate GHG permits spells diplomatic disaster. It leads back to the same game of GHG chicken we've been playing for years. And that's where Adam Smith comes in. In addition to his famous arguments in favor of markets and liberalized trade, Smith also had a well-worked-out theory of moral behavior, one that was not so neatly separated from his economic thought as we treat it today. For example, Smith's arguments in favor of free trade included an assumption that owners of capital would naturally prefer domestic to foreign industry, even if the latter offered higher returns. Smith thought this was a good thing because it reflected the moral sentiments that ultimately help make markets work. Today, capital chases investment opportunities all over the globe with little sense of social allegiance. Nevertheless, other ways of fulfilling Smith's vision have emerged: Firms, activists, and others have sought to reinfuse the market with moral content by giving consumers information about the circumstances in which products are produced. Sweatshop-free clothing, shade-grown coffee, fair-trade bananas, electricity generated from renewable resources—demand for these kinds of goods and services is spreading throughout the marketplace and blurring boundaries between citizen and consumer, government and economy, local and foreign. The market is starting to look as morally rich as it did to Adam Smith, only on a global basis. So here's the proposal: Rather than debate endlessly about how to carve up the spoils from just one global GHG currency, why not separate GHG permits into different brands based on how seriously they take the question of climate justice? Imagine an annual GHG cap that is subdivided into two categories. First, each country would receive a share of "regular" permits based on historic emissions rates or whatever base-line allocation method emerges from international negotiations. Second, each country would receive "justice" permits based on some formula that takes into account factors like population size and previous contributions to climate change. The easiest approach to allocating justice permits would follow the preferred approach of developing countries—i.e., "the bigger your population, the more permits you get." Call this the "distributive justice" approach. A more ambitious formula would add a further tilt in favor of developing countries on account of unequal past contributions to the present GHG buildup. Call this the "distributive plus corrective justice" approach. No doubt there would be diplomatic battles about how precisely to fix the allocation formula, but at least those battles would no longer be focused, all-or-nothing, on a single climate currency. Creating a separate market for justice permits also would offer the prospect of generating more money per permit for developing countries. Both regular and justice permits would entitle the holder to emit a ton of CO2 and both types would be fully tradable, but the justice permits would carry with them the right to advertise that goods and services were produced using the more equitably allocated emissions rights. The moral sentiments of consumers would then determine whether justicebranded products could be sold at a premium. For instance, we envision gas pumps of the future that give consumers a choice between "regular" and "justice added" brands. A premium price for justice brands would translate into compensation for emissions inequality. The concept might seem a bit too abstract for consumers at first. But products from sustainably managed forests and fisheries probably also seemed abstract at one time, yet now they fill the shelves at mainstream stores like Home Depot and Wal-Mart. These firms know that the consumers most likely to be attracted to "justice" branding are also the ones willing to invest the time and energy to understand the brand's meaning. A customer might not look at a justice-branded sneaker and say to himself, "Hey, great, this was produced with carbon credits obtained via a progressive cap-and-trade system that imposes a penalty on richer nations that have been polluting for a longer time!" But he might get the bigger message—that the logo represents a larger system for reducing greenhouse-gas emissions while giving lessdeveloped nations a chance to catch up in global markets. At a time of high energy prices and a reeling economy, this proposal may sound a tad Pollyanna-ish, but consider the fact that the voluntary carbon offset market more than tripled in value last year to $331 million, according to one recent report. Our proposal would allow GHG altruism to continue in the coming carbon-constrained economy, and it would do so with fewer transaction costs and greater reliability than the current illdefined and poorly monitored offset market. This is a once-in-a-species opportunity. The global architecture necessary to produce a trading scheme is already being built. Whatever allocation of GHG emissions rights is eventually chosen will require a system for reporting, monitoring, and trading that could easily accommodate additional permit variations along the lines of our proposal. Consumers have moral sentiments about climate change. They just need a hand expressing them. heavy petting Hospice Dog My border collie Izzy comforts the dying. By Jon Katz Tuesday, September 23, 2008, at 10:57 AM ET Excerpted from Izzy & Lenore: Two Dogs, An Unexpected Journey, and Me, by Jon Katz, which comes out today from Villard. The county health department was housed in a small wooden annex in run-down Fort Edward, N.Y., near the county jail. I parked the Blazer and opened the rear door for Izzy, who disembarked, sniffed around, then paused to look at me, awaiting instructions. "This way, boy," I said, and he trotted along next to me toward the annex, ignoring a dog being walked nearby, a number of trucks and cars in motion, other people walking through the parking lot. At the door, he walked inside, scanned the half-dozen people in the meeting room, and headed straight for Keith Mann, a muscular, bald man in a polo shirt emblazoned with the Washington County logo. Keith was running the series of hospice volunteer training sessions, held in the annex over several weeks. Izzy sat down in front of Keith and put his nose in his hand. Keith handed us our name tags, as if it were perfectly ordinary to have trainees with either two legs or four. One said: "Izzy Katz, Volunteer." This training would test both of us. I had a book coming out, so I was about to start an extended tour. Insanely busy running the farm, I was already harried and drained, struggling to find time to write. Besides, hospice work was no simple undertaking. The training alone was thorough and demanding, involving considerable roleplaying, reading, and memorizing. The volunteer's handbook weighed a good three pounds. As a former police reporter, I'd seen plenty of bodies, but I'd rarely known anything about the people who died. Here, I would be going into homes and nursing facilities, getting to know people who were failing, getting to know their families, too— and ultimately seeing them die. How would I handle that? Could I do a good job, or would it be one of those projects I sometimes took on obsessively and then, exhausted, had to drop? I'd gone back and forth about making this commitment. I didn't want to start something I couldn't finish, yet I was learning the hard way how unpredictable and cluttered my life had become. At first, I'd thought that my busy schedule, complete with book tour, might cause the program to cut me some slack. Could I really drive three nights a week, for several weeks, to Fort Edward? was locked onto Keith, as if listening intently to every word. I half expected him to take notes. When we took a break, Izzy followed me outside, where he found a bush to mark, then came back in and approached each of the other volunteers, putting his nose in their laps or on their knees. If they responded, he stayed a while. If they didn't, he moved on. Keith always brought a biscuit or two, so Izzy made sure to visit him during the break. Several things struck me during our early training. Izzy seemed to have an innate sense of appropriateness. He never disrupted the talks or meetings by barking, whining, or even moving much. He understood that the breaks were a time for socializing but the rest of the session was work. Six other volunteers were going through the training with us, all arrayed around a conference table, listening to lectures, watching slides, talking about our own lives and our abilities to enter other people's. Through it all, Izzy sat by my side or, often, at Keith's feet, taking it all in. In a sense, hospice training challenges volunteers to go against the grain of what we ordinarily think of as support, concern, and affection. Normally, if I see people in distress, I try to reassure them, to tell them things will get better, that they're doing fine. Hospice training teaches you to do the very opposite. In hospice, the ending will always be the same: The patient will not recover; there will be no eleventh-hour happy ending. But it was clear, as Keith explained the volunteer training to me, that there would be no slack, no shortcuts—and that there shouldn't be. The hospice program needed to make quite sure that the people who entered patients' homes, where the psychological and physical issues were often intense, knew what they were doing and could handle what they encountered. Reassurances and conventional wisdoms can't really help the dying or those who love them. Each person, family or friend, will experience death in their own intensely personal way, and I have no tonics for them, no words of cheer. I must leave my own experiences, perceptions, and responses at the door and permit them to face and experience death in whatever way they choose. My role is to listen and help only in the ways that I'm asked to. It's an extraordinarily sensitive situation. Accordingly, our training involved talks with social workers, doctors, and other volunteers; field trips to the homes of patients; quizzes—and constant monitoring by hospice staff, alert for weaknesses or problems that might arise. I found my motives questioned again and again. I actually had to defend my desire to enlist. Yet the work seems so crucial. Hospice workers often talk about the mistreatment of the dying, by which they mean not cruelty but the natural human tendency to shun death, to avoid the dying and retreat from even thoughts or discussions about it. Keith was a skilled instructor, adhering strictly to his orientation and lesson plans—but he also kept a sharp eye on the volunteers to see how we reacted. Hospice families tell me all the time about the pain of having friends stop calling or visiting, of seeing them turn away from them at the supermarket, simply flee in the face of death's awesome finality. From the outset, at least one volunteer paid rapt attention. Izzy sat staring at Keith throughout nearly the entire session. Sometimes, I did look down to see Izzy dozing. But usually he So we leave them, often quite alone, to their fates, to the struggles with our health care system, to a culture too busy and distracted—or uncomfortable—to pay much attention. The last thing these people need is some well-meaning volunteer who attempts to cheer them up, offer suggestions on how to die, or tell them how to grieve. All we can do is provide some companionship and comfort along the way. It's a humbling mission. To bring a dog into these homes seemed an even greater challenge. Patients are often in emotional or physical distress, hooked up to oxygen or IVs, and taking potent medications. Lots of dogs do therapy work, but hospice requires something a dog really can't be trained to do—figure out for himself how to be loving, appropriate, and sensitive to the dying. To be a hospice dog, Izzy had to be tested by a vet, who issued a certificate attesting to his temperament. I did considerable calming training, praising him for being calm, practicing moving around furniture and other obstacles. We tried him out in several strangers' homes and in a nursing home with a PA system and lots of medical equipment around. And, of course, he attended all our training sessions, where nurses and social workers were watching him carefully. But the truth was, I had no clear idea how to prepare Izzy. His own instincts and personality, I thought, would prove more critical than any training in determining whether he could do this work. All I could do was bring him along, into patients' homes and lives, and see what he could offer. All through the spring and summer, we trekked to Fort Edward, with a sandwich and fruit in a paper bag for me and a few biscuits for Izzy. Keith kept a water bowl in the annex kitchen for him. The volunteers were an extraordinarily generous group of people who seemed quite willing to accept us both, and Izzy was happy to see each of them at every session. I was daunted at first, by the detailed thoroughness of the training, though I would soon enough be grateful for it. We practiced what to say, what to look for, how to listen. We learned to fill out forms and reports. There was a long list of things to avoid saying—like "Buck up! You'll be OK!" The sessions were wearying, but also gratifying. By the time they concluded, I felt ready. I can't say I know for certain why I wanted to sign up. Perhaps weathering middle age makes one more aware of death, more thoughtful about it. Perhaps, as my work life intensified, I wanted to make sure I had a grounding, a meaningful commitment to help me see life in perspective, to keep my spiritual self alive. Maybe I wanted see if there was a way to share this work with a dog. Maybe all of the above. While we were learning, it was hard to avoid the sense that Keith and the social workers were watching us pretty carefully. Whatever our reasons for coming, we volunteers had to talk about them. Stan had just lost his dad. Rita had lost her husband a few years earlier, down South. Donna, it emerged—slowly— had also lost someone, though she hadn't said whom. On the surface, direct experience with grief would seem a perfect qualification for hospice volunteers, but the staff pointed out that it could also be a problem. We had to set our own losses aside, not add to the sorrow the patients and their loved ones already felt. Donna and I were paired for role-playing during the second week of training. She was a kindly woman, quietly but deeply religious, and eager to help others. "What better way," she asked, "than to help people leave the world comfortably, with dignity?" In this exercise, one of us played the volunteer; the other pretended to be a person who had lost someone dear. I drew the volunteer role, which meant my job was to listen, to affirm the feelings I was hearing, not challenge them or add my own or try to change anyone's mind. Donna, playing the family member, sat opposite me and said she had a sick child, a son dying of leukemia. It was horrible, she said softly, to watch her son suffer, wither, and fade. "I'm not doing enough," she lamented. "I feel like I'm not doing enough, no matter what I do." It was useful practice because under normal circumstances I surely would have reassured her, told her that of course she was doing enough, and urged her not to be so tough on herself. This "character" was, after all, sitting by her son's bedside almost around the clock, reading stories to him, administering medications, making him as comfortable as possible. What more could she possibly do? "How long have you felt this way, that you're not doing enough?" I asked—a neutral question, meant to allow her to communicate but not to talk her out of what she was feeling or dismiss it by suggesting it wasn't really true. She told me more about her son and his diagnosis, his weakness and decline, about the fact that he might die at any moment while she was right there watching, and how helpless she felt to prevent it. As she spoke, Donna's eyes welled and her face contorted with grief. I was surprised to see Izzy appear out of nowhere, put his head on her knee, and stare up into her eyes. Suddenly, I saw what he, perhaps, saw. I understood that Donna was no longer playing a role; she had lived this. She wasn't simply a volunteer portraying a stricken mother. We had moved into the realm of real loss. I don't know what dogs can see or sense, but I know they can discern things that I can't. Rose sees things invisible to me when she is working with sheep. Izzy had some sort of insight about people. "I'm sorry, Donna," I said. "How long ago did your son die?" She put her face in her hands and sobbed. "Five years. Five years." And we were done. The social workers were pleased; they said I'd handled things well, had been perceptive in seeing that Donna was still actively working through her grief, something important for them—and her—to understand as she ventured into hospice work. And Izzy had been a model of empathic restraint. We all bonded over those weeks, eating cookies and sharing stories of loss from our own lives. I talked about the deaths I'd seen as a reporter, the two pregnancies we had lost before our daughter, Emma's, birth. I talked, too, about my fear of losing a sense of spirituality in my too-busy life. We played hospice quiz games and watched hospice movies and talked to a stream of social workers, a warm, funny, intensely dedicated group who reported high rates of burnout and stress among their ranks. The staff talked a lot about volunteer burnout, too, about the need to prepare for this curious truth: Everybody you are visiting will die, and your job is not to save them but to help them leave with as much comfort and dignity as possible. It will be wrenching, surprising, different every time. It isn't for everybody. There are support groups for us, too, numbers to call, help available. We were briefed by lawyers and nurses and bereavement counselors. We were taught how to spot trouble—filthy conditions, spilled medicines, rising pain, family members breaking down—and to notify the hospice staff immediately. We all had fears, doubts, and many questions. Could we bring food or books or other gifts? Pass out our phone numbers? What if we saw family members fighting or patients being mistreated? Could you sense death before it came? What was it like? What were the signs? What if somebody died while we were there? How did people grieve, and for how long? What was helpful and sensitive? What wasn't? But training convinced me that I wanted to do this. Besides, it seemed no longer purely my decision. Izzy had enrolled. At the end of the summer, we completed our training, passed our background security checks, got fingerprinted (well, one of us). Izzy and I received our certificates and photo IDs at a ceremony complete with cake. We would be notified of our first assignment in a few weeks. Soon enough, we were on the job. Keith mailed me a hospice assignment sheet, telling me the patient's name and address and condition. On a muggy, late-summer afternoon, we drove to a small bungalow next to a church on a tree-lined street. I was anxious, going over the training in my mind. This looked like any other house, I thought—then chided myself for such foolishness. Why wouldn't it look ordinary? How easy it was to stigmatize death, to the point of expecting a dying person's house to visibly proclaim its status. The patient, named Jamie, was 86 and in the final stages of Alzheimer's disease. No longer willing to be touched, terrified of even her own family, she was deemed difficult to handle. The social workers were concerned about her daughter, who'd exhausted herself and her savings caring for her mother. Hospice hoped a dog might help settle her; she'd been a dog-lover all her life. The protocol was rigid. Izzy and I both had to wear our photo IDs, and I had to wash my hands, going in and coming out. We were not permitted to drive patients, to have anything to do with medicines or medical equipment, to perform any kinds of handson care. Technically, we weren't even supposed to touch the people we were visiting, although most of us trafficked in illicit hugs. A former schoolteacher, Jamie had been moved into a first-floor bedroom in her daughter's house. Carol had been caring for her faithfully for several years, but it was growing steadily harder. Jamie slept much of the time, but often yelled or cried out when she was awake. It had become increasingly problematic for the nurses, or even her daughter, to bathe her or change her clothes; she seemed terrified of physical contact and struggled, sometimes to the point of bruising her fragile skin. Carol was worn and weary from the effort. Yet any suggestion of a nursing home was anathema. Much of the time, the two women were alone in this small frame house, Carol sitting by her mother's bedside, reading or talking to her. Most of the neighbors didn't even know that Jamie was terminally ill, Carol said. They had few visitors. Once her mother had lost her ability to recognize them, friends had drifted away, and family members came by infrequently. She encountered growing problems talking to them anyway, Carol confessed; they seemed to inhabit some other planet. When Izzy and I came into the house, Keith was waiting for us, as was customary when volunteers paid their first visit to new patients. Carol, a slight, round-faced woman wearing a lavender sweatsuit, was pleased to see us, welcomed us, and knelt down to pat Izzy. I'd been warned that she was bone-tired and increasingly anxious about her mother, who might sleep all day and then cry out in the middle of the night. In a tiny, meticulously clean powder room, I washed my hands, carefully and thoroughly, as instructed; Izzy waited outside the bathroom door. I could see a bedroom at the end of the hall, decorated with family photos and fresh-cut flowers. As we drew closer to the room, I could hear a TV; Carol explained she kept it on most of the time, so her mother could hear voices and feel less lonely. A beautiful older woman was lying in bed, beneath a summer quilt. Someone had carefully arranged her silvery hair, polished her fingernails, even daubed on a touch of lipstick. She was mouthing barely audible words and moving a bit restlessly. "This is so great, the dog coming. She loved her dogs so much," whispered Carol as we entered the room. Carol introduced us loudly and slowly. "This is Izzy," she said. "And Jon. They've come to see you. Izzy is just like Flash. You remember Flash, Mama, don't you?" Jamie stared at the ceiling and began mumbling. I came to the foot of the bed, looked at Izzy, and gestured to the foot of the bed; he hopped up. "Stay," I whispered, and he sat stock-still. Jamie seemed unaware of his presence. I waited. Carol was quiet, too. Keith, watching from the doorway, might have been nervous about what would happen with Washington County Hospice's first canine volunteer. Izzy seemed a bit uncertain, not sure what was happening, looking first at me, then at Jamie. He'd never been in the company before of someone so debilitated, so close to the end; clearly, it was strange to him. Was it smart, I found myself wondering, to bring along this dog, who'd spent most of the first four years of his life alone outdoors? But he looked all right, his ears and tail up, no signs of stress or anxiety. In fact, he seemed to be studying the room, looking carefully at me, at Jamie and Carol, seeking cues. He lay down and very slowly began inching up the side of the bed. He didn't step on Jamie, or even graze her frail body, just crept slowly alongside her. When he got close to her hand, he burrowed his head beneath it and lay still. Jamie stopped muttering. Her face looked alarmed at first; then she broke into a slight smile. She didn't look at Izzy, but moved her hand slightly, feeling his forehead and his ears. "Oh," she said. "Oh." And then, smiling, "Oh, how pretty ... pretty." "This is the first time she's said real words in weeks," Carol whispered, astonished. Izzy kept quite still as Jamie stroked him and talked in disjointed sentences, still smiling. After a while, she drifted off. A few minutes later, her hand still resting on Izzy's head, she awakened and stared at the ceiling, and smiled again. She seemed calmer than when we'd come in. After 15 minutes, without instruction, Izzy extricated himself and skipped down from the bed, circling around to Carol, offering her a friendly paw. She kneeled on the floor, weeping, and held Izzy for a long moment. Then our visit was over, the hospice canine volunteer program launched. "I can't explain how much this means," Carol told me as we left. "For a minute I had my mother back." We agreed to return the following week. Later, we learned that Jamie allowed Carol to bathe and change her without fear or resistance. Why this would be true was nothing any of us could explain, but something was different. Outside, Keith shook my hand and leaned over to praise Izzy. "This works," he said. "This is awesome. Izzy is a natural. You aren't so bad yourself." history lesson You Won't Learn Much From the Debates He cocked his head at me. "It's OK, Iz," I said. "Say hello." But you should watch them anyway. He seemed to get it then, some invisible trigger or instinct kicking in. I hovered nearby, ready to move in quickly if there was trouble. This was a dying woman who didn't want to be touched. Would she be frightened or perhaps frighten Izzy? How would he respond to a situation he'd never been in, couldn't really be trained in advance to handle? Since presidential debates became a quadrennial fixture in 1976, the first encounter between the two parties' nominees has usually drawn more than 60 million viewers. Friday's face-off between Barack Obama and John McCain—should it go forward—will By David Greenberg Thursday, September 25, 2008, at 5:41 PM ET be no exception. The debates, we're told, attract such large audiences because they're the last best chance for voters to soberly size up two candidates, side by side, and come to a decision. The premise and promise of the debates is that they serve as a tonic for an otherwise underinformed democratic citizenry, providing a key source of data for reasoning voters about the candidates' views on pressing issues. Unfortunately, over the years the debates have proved to be formulaic, lacking in spontaneity, and full of familiar pablum. But that doesn't mean they're a waste of time. Ironically, admitting their failure can help us to see their true value: not as an opportunity for voters to learn anything new about the candidates but rather as an occasion for all of us to get excited about politics. The notion of the debates as a way to educate independentminded voters dates to the first televised debates in 1960, between John F. Kennedy and Richard M. Nixon. The debates' chief boosters, the TV network executives, celebrated the contests as an event tailor-made for the new mass-media age—a modern counterpart to the 19th-century campaign spectacles such as torchlight parades and mass rallies. Frank Stanton, the legendary president of CBS, dismissed those old-style gatherings as anachronistic—calculated, he said, "not to inform, or to create an atmosphere conducive to the appraisal of information, but to whip up attitudes capable of overcoming any temptation to judiciousness." By 1960, Stanton said, "We can't afford the blind, uncritical automatic support of one man against another, whatever his insight, his judgment, or his qualities of leadership." He asserted that the televised debates treated voters as independent of mind, enlightening them about the candidates' stands and enabling them to weigh the issues with the care they deserved—a necessity in a modern democracy. By Stanton's standard, the debates have failed. To review the reviews of the debates since 1960 is to hear the recurring complaint that the debates aren't worthy of the name. Each election cycle someone points out that they should be billed as "joint press conferences" and not "debates," a term that evokes the Lincoln-Douglas jousts, next to which today's contests are said to pale. In contrast to those fabled encounters between the 1858 Illinois Senate candidates (which weren't quite so elevated as popular lore would have it), our TV-era debates are derided as scripted and superficial. Candidates don't debate: They spew boilerplate from their stump speeches, mouth a speechwriter's one-liner, and try to avoid delving into any free-flowing giveand-take about the "issues" that might lead them to deviate from their talking points. "The debates' inherent weakness is their show-business nature; their heavy reliance on rehearsal and grooming by professional image-makers; the concern for appearance over substance," a New York Times editorial complained in 1976. This verdict is hard to gainsay. Anyone who watched the focus groups of undecided voters convened by the networks to watch the 2000 debates between George W. Bush and Al Gore had to be at least mildly dismayed about the public's critical thinking. On CBS, for example, one Sandra Harsh said she was swayed by what she had seen. "I was very impressed with Bush's specifics, his points of—of his program, what he planned to do," she said. "I like—I liked the line about trusting people, not the federal government. I liked his format for national health care. I—I think he showed himself as the superior candidate." Not to be harsh on Sandra, but if viewers who watched that debate came away thinking that Bush would implement a national health care plan, that should give us pause about the debates' value in transmitting information. But if the debates fall short of Frank Stanton's original goal— helping the free-thinking citizen of the modern age rationally judge the candidates on the issues—that doesn't mean we should tune out. One reason is that Stanton's model of the value of debates allows no place for people who watch the debates with their minds made up. According to the prevalent view of what the debates should do, these partisans are irrelevant. They're not included in the networks' focus groups. No one cares if they watch. But not everyone who watches the debates belongs to that fetishized class of undecided swing voters. If you're like me, most years you await the general-election debates with eager anticipation, notwithstanding your longstanding loyalties or your made-up mind. I often find myself at a friend's apartment, populated by similarly inclined partisans, enjoying the act of rooting for the home team. (This tradition, too, is old. In 1960, Democratic and Republican clubs hosted debate-watching parties, as did Jackie Kennedy in Hyannisport, where Archibald Cox, Arthur Schlesinger, and others gathered over coffee and pastries to watch JFK best Nixon on a rented 16-inch portable TV set.) How do we fit so many viewers' enthusiasm for the debates into the picture of their inadequacy as an information source? The late scholar James Carey once proposed a distinction between what he called a "transmission view" and a "ritual view" of communication. The transmission view—with which most of us usually operate—holds that the purpose of communication (including presidential debates) is to impart information, much as Stanton described. In contrast, the ritual view—"a minor thread in our national thought," Carey noted— treats acts of communication as rituals like holidays or parades, deriving their meaning from the roles they play in our daily experience. They summon forth or reinforce feelings, dispositions, and attitudes. The campaign events of the 19 th century that Stanton breezily denigrated may not have educated voters, but they enriched their daily political experience. Stanton, it turns out, had it backward: The debates matter because they resemble the rallies and torchlight parades. Indeed, only if we discard the dominant view of today's debates as a source of information about the candidates' programs and think of them instead as a civic ritual can we appreciate their real value: a reminder of the pleasures of the campaign, as a social glue, as a spur to political involvement. Department on Sept. 26 to protest the "Wall Street Crisis and the Federal Bail-Out." Both the flyer and a RainbowPUSH e-mail to participants in the Congressional Black Caucus' annual legislative conference (Page 2) term the scheduled protest an "informational picket." One piece of evidence comes from a project called Debate Watch. Starting in 1992, the National Communication Association and the Commission on Presidential Debates set up Debate Watch to bring together citizens in local communities to watch and discuss the contests. Although no hard verdicts are in, evidence suggests that joining in these colloquies inclined people to vote on Election Day. At the least, they appeared, as one scholar of the project noted, to "engage voters in the ideas, perspectives, and concerns of others in their communities." The post-debate conversations tended to invigorate those who took part, reviving a sense that politics and the election matter. Send Hot Document ideas to documents@slate.com. Be there or be square. Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 4:31 PM ET Soon after the first Kennedy-Nixon debate, Jack Gould, the television critic for the New York Times, marveled not about Kennedy's superior image—the story line from those contests that we remember—but at the more basic phenomenon of renewed voter excitement. "Overnight, as it were," he wrote, "there was born a new interest in the campaign that earlier had been productive only of coast-to-coast somnolence." hot document The choreography and sound bites that constitute the presidential debates may be an unreliable method for casual voters to get the facts about the nominees. But in an age of desiccated politics, when too many citizens feel adrift and overburdened in trying to judge complex policy issues for themselves, the mere experience of watching debates, or in discussing them "the next morning," as Gould wrote, "in kitchen, office, supermarket and commuter train"—such time spent can have real value if it serves to thicken our commitments to political life. hot document Jesse Jackson vs. Wall Street Bailout The civil rights leader invites you to picket the Treasury Department. By Bonnie Goldstein Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 4:31 PM ET From: Bonnie Goldstein Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 4:31 PM ET A five-color flyer from Jesse Jackson and his RainbowPUSH Coalition (see below) invites readers to picket the U.S. Treasury Too Sexy for My Sandbox The Campaign for a Commerical-Free Childhood wins a victory against Bratz. By Bonnie Goldstein Monday, September 22, 2008, at 4:51 PM ET From: Bonnie Goldstein Posted Monday, September 22, 2008, at 4:51 PM ET The Boston-based advocacy group Campaign for a CommercialFree Childhood is taking a victory lap for forcing Scholastic Inc., the world's largest publisher of children's books, to halt sales of popular Bratz titles including Catwalk Cuties and Dancin' Divas. For some time, the group has urged parents to send Scholastic letters and e-mail messages criticizing what it considers hypersexualized Bratz images on display. The Campaign contends that the Bratz female characters (who wear "ultra-miniskirts, fishnet stockings, and bikinis") "undermine young girls' healthy development." To bolster its argument, it issued a fact sheet (see below and the following page) on how "sexualizing childhood" leads to "eating disorders, low selfesteem, depression and poor sexual health." Although Scholastic has discontinued sales of Bratz products aimed at school children in its catalogs, book clubs, and book fairs, the publisher claims the items were not withdrawn because of the Campaign. "We change the offerings on a regular basis," a spokeswoman told Adweek. Bratz products (including a DVD that topped the Billboard Children's Chart) can still be purchased at numerous other outlets. version goes on to recite that "the terms of a residential mortgage loan that is part of any purchase by the Secretary under this Act shall remain subject to all claims and defenses that would otherwise apply notwithstanding the exercise of authority by the Secretary or Corporation under this Act." Send Hot Document ideas to documents@slate.com. How do these two alternatives stack up, constitutionally speaking? In Paulson's defense, there is no absolute constitutional prohibition on so-called "court-stripping" laws— provisions that bar judicial review of decisions by executivebranch officials. To the contrary, there is explicit language in the text of the Constitution that appears to grant Congress authority to control the jurisdiction of federal courts. The Constitution's Exceptions Clause describes the appellate jurisdiction of the Supreme Court, with the trailing language, "with such Exceptions, and under such Regulations as the Congress shall make." And the lower federal courts are entirely creatures of Congress: The Constitution only created the Supreme Court, leaving to the legislature the option to create lower courts as it deemed wise. The greater power to bring lower federal courts into existence implies the lesser power to place limits on the scope of cases they may hear. Finally, the Supremacy Clause, which makes federal law the supreme law of the land, trumping state laws, presumably gives Congress the power to insulate from state-court scrutiny the actions of federal officials who are enforcing laws passed by Congress. Posted Monday, September 22, 2008, at 4:51 PM ET jurisprudence Wall Street Strip Is Paulson's bailout bill unconstitutional? By Rod Smolla Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 1:43 PM ET Does the Constitution have any role in the intense debate and blowback surrounding Secretary Henry Paulson's $700 billion bailout proposal? There is nothing in our founding document that prohibits taxing Peter (us) to pay Paul (Wall Street). There are constitutional principles, however, that speak to values such as oversight and transparency. Our system of checks and balances abhors a blank check. And yet Secretary Paulson's proposal contains a sweeping provision that utterly strips the courts of any power to review his decisions. Section 8 of the Paulson proposal reads: "Decisions by the Secretary pursuant to the authority of this Act are nonreviewable and committed to agency discretion, and may not be reviewed by any court of law or any administrative agency." In contrast, an alternative bailout bill, sponsored by Democratic Sen. Chris Dodd of Connecticut, has a very different clause. The Dodd proposal reads: "Any determination by the Secretary with regard to any particular troubled asset pursuant to this Act … shall not be set aside unless such determination is found to be arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion, or not in accordance with the law." In other words, the Treasury secretary's determinations can be challenged on legal grounds. The Dodd It's relatively rare for Congress to pass laws stripping courts of all power to review actions of administrative agencies. But it does happen from time to time, and courts have upheld some of these laws. On the other hand, courts are especially skeptical of laws that preclude judicial review of claimed violations of constitutional rights. For example, the Supreme Court's decision this summer involving the Guantanamo Bay detainees, Boumediene v. Bush, held that the Bush administration's effort to deny the detainees access to federal court by taking away their right to the writ of habeas corpus was unconstitutional. In Boumediene, the court could rely on specific language in the Constitution's Suspension Clause, which forbids suspension of the writ except when "in cases of rebellion or invasion the public safety may require it." Secretary Paulson's proposal doesn't mess with habeas corpus. But its breathtaking sweep would prevent a litigant from raising constitutional objections to his actions. You could imagine, for example, a suit claiming that the Treasury Department had engaged in a taking of property without just compensation or had deprived people of property without due process of law (neither is allowed under the Fifth Amendment). Or a litigant could sue Treasury for acting so arbitrarily or irrationally that his actions violated the 14th Amendment's Equal Protection Clause. In contrast, Sen. Dodd's proposal includes a well-balanced provision for judicial review. His proposal would subject the Treasury secretary to the normal standards customary in American administrative law. Courts would not be permitted to substitute their judgment for that of the secretary—that's the part about how Treasury would only be on the hook for a decision that was arbitrary, capricious, or an abuse of discretion. But courts could be called upon to police such an abuse or a departure from the rule of law. That, of course, is their traditional role. Those who advocate for a bailout this week often conjure the dismal economic history of the Great Depression. There's an apt legal parallel here as well. Many of the early laws passed at the behest of the Roosevelt administration during the New Deal were struck down by the Supreme Court precisely because they violated norms of checks and balances. While we have come to caricature those Supreme Court decisions as the shortsighted backlash of nine old curmudgeons who reflexively opposed the socialistic tendencies of the New Deal, perhaps it is worth remembering that the constitutional principles they invoked were grounded in the elemental balance struck by the framers. These principles are that Congress should pass laws based on intelligible policy judgments and not (literally) pass the buck to the executive branch, that executive-branch officials should administer laws subject to the guidance of Congress, and that courts exist to review the legitimacy of both. I do not suggest that it is by any means certain that a court would strike down the Paulson bill as it's now written. But it is certain that this bill is in powerful tension with our system of checks and balances and that its constitutionality would be subject to grave doubt. Why take a chance? It was a lack of transparency and accountability that created the crisis in credit markets. That was itself a departure from the wisdom of the framers. Let's not depart again. jurisprudence Ten To Toss The Bush executive orders that most deserve to be scrapped. By Emily Bazelon and Chris Wilson Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 12:58 PM ET The presidency comes with a superpowered pen for signing executive orders. Without negotiating with Congress to pass a law, or even going through the notice-and-comment period that precedes a new federal rule, the president can change the music that federal agencies dance to. He's the executive, and it's his executive branch. What, then, is the worst of the damage President Bush has caused all on his own? In putting together a top (or bottom) 10 list from the Bush administration's 262 EOs, we sifted through some familiar targets, such as his faith-based initiative and diversion of funds from stem-cell research. We also realize that some of the Bush moments we rue didn't come in the form of an executive order. The recent bid to force family-planning clinics to certify that their employees won't have to assist with any procedure they find objectionable, for example, took the form of a federal rule. So did the administration's decisions to open up new swaths of public land to logging and mining and to raise the allowable level of mercury emissions. We'd like to see those rules repealed, too, but we decided to stick with EOs for this list because of their consoling simplicity. If they can be conjured by a stroke of the pen, they can also quickly be made to vanish—presidents show little reluctance to excise their predecessors' dictums. Here are our picks for the nine orders most deserving of the presidential eraser come January. We're taking suggestions to round out our list to 10, so please send the executive order you hate most, and the reason you hate it, to JurisprudenceContest@gmail.com. No. 1: Gutting the Presidential Records Act Nov. 1, 2001 What the order says: With Executive Order 13233, the Bush administration tried to gut the Presidential Records Act, passed in 1978 to make sure that the internal documents of the executive branch are public and generally will become part of the historical record. The 1978 law itself was a compromise in favor of privacy in some respects: Presidential records aren't disclosed for up to 12 years after an administration leaves office, and requests for them are subject to the limits imposed by the Freedom of Information Act, which means that classified documents stay secret. But the Bush order essentially threw out the law's bid for transparency altogether. After stonewalling for months over access to documents from the Reagan era, former Attorney General Alberto Gonzales drafted an order that gives a sitting president, or the president whose records are being requested, the power to review a documents request, with no time limit. If either president says no, you have to sue to get the records. Why it should go: The American Historical Association hates this order for good reason: It puts a president's interest in secrecy—to prevent embarrassment, inconvenient revelations, whatever—over the public's interest in understanding past events of national import. In 2007, a federal judge struck down part of EO 13233 for conflicting with the Presidential Records Act— which trumps a presidential order, since it's a law enacted by Congress. But parts of the order remain in effect, and a bill in Congress to scrap the whole thing has stalled. The next president shouldn't wait for the judiciary or the legislature: He should throw out this order on his own, as proof that a dozen years after he leaves office, he won't be afraid of an inside view of his White House. No. 2: Blocking Stem-Cell Research June 20, 2007 What the order says: In August 2001, Bush issued a rule limiting federal funding for embryonic-stem-cell research to existing colonies of such cells. Five years later, he expended the first veto of his presidency to reject legislation served up by a Republican Congress to ease those restrictions. This subsequent executive order a year later, issued the same day he vetoed the legislation a second time, encourages research into alternative measures of creating pluripotent stem cells. The order directs the Department of Health and Human Services and the National Institutes of Health to prioritize research consistent with Bush's previous directives and devote resources to finding other means of creating human stem cells. Why it should go: EO 13440 looks like an improvement on previous directives to the CIA, like the memos from the Justice Department written by John Yoo, which narrowly defined torture and Geneva's protections. (According to Barton Gellman's new book about Cheney, the only technique Yoo rejected on legal grounds was burying a detainee alive.) Still, the executive order leaves the door open to techniques that the United States would not want used against its own soldiers and so is part of the Bush administration detritus that has damaged the United States' moral authority abroad. The administration's record is so tarnished on this score that the next president should declare that he is scrapping this order, so he can start over and come up with his own policy on interrogation and the CIA. No. 4: Handing the Keys to the Vice President March 25, 2003 Why it should go: Supporting alternative means of creating stem cells is a fine idea—just not at the expense of supporting the more immediately available source of stem cells, which are among the most promising lines of medical research today. There is certainly hope that the debate over whether to destroy human embryos to collect these valuable one-size-fits-all cells will eventually be moot. Researchers have found ways to turn back the clock on adult skin cells, reprogramming them as embryonic cells. But this is a tricky process that involves inserting new genes, and it's not yet a sufficient alternative to embryonic stem cells. In the meantime, Bush's order is diverting funds even from research that could eventually sidestep his ethical concerns; scientists have successfully harvested bone fide stem cells without harming the nascent embryo. Both McCain and Obama supported the legislation that would have loosened Bush's research restrictions when it came before the Senate in 2006 and 2007. While some supporters of embryonic-stem-cell research have questioned McCain's resolve, his campaign says his position is unchanged. This order should go no matter who is elected. No. 3: Finessing the Geneva Conventions July 20, 2007 What the order says: After the Supreme Court pushed back against the Bush administration's efforts to hold the Guantanamo detainees indefinitely and without charges, doubts arose about the legality of the CIA's use of coercive interrogation techniques (or torture, if you think water-boarding amounts to that). For a time, the CIA's interrogation squeeze was on hold. Then Bush issued Executive Order 13440, and the interrogators started rolling again. The order isn't explicit about which practices it allows—that remains classified—but it may still sidestep the protections in the Geneva Convention against humiliating and degrading treatment. According to the New York Times, waterboarding is off-limits, but sleep deprivation may not be, and exposure to extreme heat and cold is allowed. What the order says: In 1995, then-President Bill Clinton issued an executive order that made it easier to declassify documents, and hundreds of millions of pages of information about the White House tumbled forth. In 2003, the Bush administration took another tack, amending Clinton's order to get the vice president into the business of classifying whatever he wants. Executive Order 13292 gives the vice president the same power to classify documents that the president has. Why it should go: EO 13292 is a twofer: It both expands the scope of secrecy and the powers of the vice presidency. As Byron York argues in the National Review, "Since the beginning of the administration, Dick Cheney has favored measures allowing the executive branch to keep more things secret. And in March 2003, the president gave him the authority to do it." This is reminiscent of Cheney's efforts to prevent the National Archives and Records Administration from enforcing the rules that govern classified information as they pertain to the vice president. Cheney is famous for wanting his office to be a closed box. Executive Order 13292 looks like it was written expressly for him. We hope that the next vice president won't also want to keep secrets to this extent. But the boss should eliminate this worry by revoking this order. No. 5: Free Rein in Iraq May 28, 2003 What the order says: Issued two months after the invasion of Iraq, this order offers broad legal protection for U.S. corporations dealing in Iraqi oil. Bush's directive, justified as a means of protecting Iraqi oil profits, nullifies any sort of judicial proceedings relating to either Iraqi petroleum or the newly created Development Fund for Iraq. The executive order also declares a national emergency to deal with the threat to a peaceful reconstruction of Iraq, which Bush has renewed every year since, most recently in May 2008. Why it should go: This directive is the foundation for all of Bush's subsequent executive orders on Iraq (see No. 6, below), so it's the logical place to begin rolling back abuses of authority relating to the war. Given the many concerns over cronyism and waste by U.S. contractors in Iraq, revoking their blanket legal protection when oil is on the table is justified. Watchdog groups originally feared that the order could be used to prevent people with tort claims from suing corporations working in Iraq. That hasn't come to pass so far—Tom Devine, the legal director at the Government Accountability Project, says he has not seen the order applied in any legal case. Still, given that the United States will probably be in Iraq for at least 16 months after the next president takes office, it's not too late to inject a little accountability into the contracting. As the Government Accountability Project wrote at the time, "The scope of the EO's mandate for lawlessness is limited only by the imagination." The order is also overkill; the U.N. resolution that passed concurrently with it, which was hailed as a major diplomatic victory for the United States and Britain at the time, contains more limited legal immunity for oil-related commerce in Iraq. No. 6: Going After Troublemakers in Iraq July 17, 2007 What the order says: This order grants the administration the power to freeze the assets of an abstract but broadly defined group of people who threaten the stability of Iraq. The list of targeted people includes anyone who has propagated (or helped to propagate) violence in Iraq in an effort to destabilize the reconstruction. Most ominously, it also applies to anyone who poses a "significant risk of committing" a future act of violence to that end. The order, which applies to anyone in the United States or in U.S. control abroad, also declares, "Any conspiracy formed to violate any of the prohibitions set forth in this order is prohibited." The order appears to acknowledge that it could conflict with constitutional protections but then states that targets of its provisions do not need to be notified ahead of time that their assets will be frozen. Why it should go: The Fifth Amendment has a few interesting things to say about the seizure of property without due process— namely, you can't do it. While this is far from the first time the Bush administration has trampled constitutional rights in the name of national security, this order, if broadly interpreted, could target war protesters in the United States. Then-White House spokesman Tony Snow said at the time that it was intended to target terrorists and insurgents, but the language of the order is vaguer. This EO drew condemnation from all ideological directions, from Swift-boater Jerome Corsi to the ACLU. One needn't be a civil libertarian to see the danger of the order's loose definitions or wonder why we needed the order in the first place. Bonus: The next month, Bush issued a similar order targeting mischief-makers in Lebanon and their supporters. That one can go, too. No. 7: Eyes and Ears in the Agencies Jan. 18, 2007 What the order says: Recent presidents have gone back and forth over how much control the White House should exert over writing federal regulations, particularly in contested areas like environmental policy. Unsurprisingly, Bush came down on the side of strong White House influence. This order mandates the designation of a presidential appointee in each federal agency as "regulatory policy officer," with authority to oversee the rulemaking process. This largely revises Bill Clinton's 1993 executive order granting agencies more regulatory independence from the White House (which nullified two of Reagan's executive orders). Defenders contend that it is important for the administration to be able to balance regulatory policy with business and economic concerns. Why it should go: The Bush administration has shown no qualms about interfering with federal regulations normally left to civil servants, particularly on environmental fronts like ozone limits, as Democrats like Rep. Henry Waxman, the chairman of the Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, have pointed out. Repealing the order would be a step toward scrubbing the agencies of the stench of political tampering. The next president shouldn't mix political appointees with civil servants from the inception of the regulatory process by requiring a company man in each agency to supervise. No. 8: Letting Religious Groups Call the Hiring Shots Dec. 12, 2002 What the order says: Adding to the pair of 2001 executive orders that encouraged religious groups to apply for federal money for social services, Bush's December 2002 order made it easier for churches and synagogues to take the money by letting them skirt certain anti-discrimination laws. Because of this order, the faith-based groups can take federal funds while refusing to hire people who aren't of the faith the groups espouse. Why it should go: As Timothy Noah pointed out in Slate at the time, this seems sensible enough at first: "Why shouldn't government-funded religious charities be allowed to favor members of their own religion when hiring, firing, and promoting?" But there are a couple of problems here. The first is that the groups get to define for themselves who counts as a good Baptist or a good Jew—and what if they decide someone is out because he or she is gay, for example? The second problem is that it's not really clear why Catholic charities should be able to hire only Catholics to serve meals to the homeless, if that work is being funded by the government. In a debate on The NewsHour With Jim Lehrer, Christopher Anders of the ACLU framed the order this way: "What this is about is creating a special right for some organizations that don't want to comply with the civil rights protections." James Towey, then director of the White House Office of Faith-Based and Community Initiatives, said, "The question is, 'Do they lose right to hire according to religious beliefs when they take federal money?' " Either way you frame it, the order is a bad idea. Both John McCain and Barack Obama have pledged to continue federal funding of faith-based programs, but Obama has promised that groups taking the money won't be able to make social-services hires on the basis of religion. No. 9: The Alternative-Fuel Fix-All Jan. 26, 2007 What the order says: Shortly after his 2007 State of the Union address, in which he devoted significant time to environmental proposals, Bush signed Executive Order 13423. Among other things, the order requires federal agencies to cut petroleumbased-fuel usage by 2 percent annually through 2015 while increasing alternative-fuel use by 10 percent each year. The order also requires agencies to reduce overall energy consumption and purchase more hybrid vehicles. Slate predicts McCain's next 10 Hail Mary stunts. Thursday, September 25, 2008, at 1:39 PM ET 1. Returns to Vietnam and jails himself. 2. Offers the post of "vice vice president" to Warren Buffett. 3. Challenges Obama to suspend campaign so they both can go and personally drill for oil offshore. 4. Learns to use computer. 5. Does bombing run over Taliban-controlled tribal areas of Pakistan. 6. Offers to forgo salary, sell one house. 7. Sex-change operation. 8. Suspends campaign until Nov. 4, offers to start being president right now. 9. Sells Alaska to Russia for $700 billion. 10. Pledges to serve only one term. OK, half a term. Do you have an idea for McCain's next campaign stunt? Send it to us at NextMcCainStunt@gmail.com, and we will publish the best ideas. E-mails may be quoted by name unless you indicate otherwise. . Why it should go: On the face of it, Bush's directive seems like a step in the right direction. Officials in California, however, were quick to question the policy's ecological bottom line. Producing alternative fuels, they argued, can result in a large spike in greenhouse-gas emissions, particularly when harvesting resources like oil shale and coal. There's also doubt that the alternative-fuel industry simply has the capacity to meet the order's requirements. As the Washington Post editorialized, "Where might 20 billion alternative-fuel gallons come from?" To complicate matters, the Supreme Court ruled two months later that the Environmental Protection Agency does have the authority to regulate greenhouse gases under the Clean Air Act, prompting Bush to issue another executive order directing several agencies to draft guidelines for reducing emissions from cars and trucks. The sound, responsible energy policy that should be at the top of the list for the next president—and Congress—will need realistic goals and a big-picture understanding of costs and benefits of alternative fuels. No. 10: Got a least-favorite Bush executive order that we missed? Send your suggestions to JurisprudenceContest@gmail.com. E-mails may be quoted by name unless you specify otherwise. low concept First Palin, Then Campaign Suspension. What Now? . . map the candidates One Stumper Biden is the only one on the trail today, with stops in Pennsylvania. Obama and McCain are with President Bush in Washington. By E.J. Kalafarski and Chadwick Matlin Thursday, September 25, 2008, at 11:47 AM ET moneybox Why Congress Is Failing America The financial catastrophe and the WaMu collapse reveal that Washington bureaucrats can handle an emergency but politicians can't. By Daniel Gross Friday, September 26, 2008, at 9:52 AM ET Last night, the troubled financial system had to absorb two fresh blows: the failure of Washington Mutual and the failure of the White House and Congress to reach a consensus on a proposed bailout package for banks like Washington Mutual. The big irony? The failure of a bank with $307 billion in assets, the largest bank failure ever by far, is causing the tiniest of ripples, while the failure of business as usual—who could have imagined that the Bush administration would be unable to bring along its allies in the House and Senate?—is inducing rage and panic among CNBC talking heads. It is a tale of two systems. One system, the one used to process failed and faltering banks, works really well. It's been in place and evolving for 75 years, since the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. was founded (over the opposition of bankers, it must be added). Since then, not a penny of depositors' money has been lost, and the banks continue to insure themselves against their own incompetence. The FDIC insurance fund contains about $45 billion, and analysts had feared that the failure of a bank the size of WaMu (it had $188 billion in deposits) would swamp the fund. But the FDIC has a professional staff, run by a highly competent and intelligent manager, Sheila Bair. Having already handled a baker's dozen of failures this year, the FDIC has the drill down. There are also, thankfully, a few competent bankers left in the world. Many of them work at J.P. Morgan Chase, which has agreed to acquire WaMu's business. WaMu's failure will cause real dislocation—stockholders and many bold-holders are likely to be wiped out. But WaMu's depositors will be made whole. The FDIC won't have to dip into the insurance fund. J.P. Morgan Chase is assuming WaMu's troubled mortgage business. It will take a charge for those bad debts and raise new capital from the private sector to deal. It's a big headline and a big story, but in the scheme of things, a blip. A large boat slipping silently below the sea while all the passengers escape with their lives. This system is a force for order. The other system—the process by which Congress and the White House make legislation—is an OK system in the best of times and a completely FUBAR one at the worst. It has many competent and well-meaning professionals in it. But it also has a bunch of incompetent malefactors. For the past week, this system has been lurching toward a proposal to bail out banks by raising taxpayer funds to purchase bad assets. The plan, released last Friday, was the brainchild of Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and was instantly endorsed by President Bush and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke. Last weekend, Congress got involved. And throughout the week, all parties involved gave the outward impression that they were moving toward an agreement. On Wednesday, a senior official involved in the talks assured a group of journalists that the grownups were in charge. Only they weren't. Democrats, who control Congress, were unwilling to pass what amounts to a massive tax increase on their own. Senate Republicans signaled their willingness to go along, but House Republicans said they wouldn't provide any votes. Nonetheless, Wednesday night President Bush addressed the nation, warning of dire consequences unless the bailout plan was passed. He proclaimed an era of good feeling—"there is a spirit of cooperation between Democrats and Republicans and between Congress and this administration"—but didn't seem to expend much effort whipping House Republicans in line. John McCain suspended his campaign and parachuted into Washington, forcing Obama to attend a staged meeting at the White House. Throughout Thursday, word was leaked that the contours of a deal had been agreed upon. The markets rallied. Last night, the word came that there was to be no deal. The evening ended with Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson begging House Speaker Nancy Pelosi to save the economy but conceding that the real problem was his fellow Republicans. This morning, the markets were emitting a primal scream. This system is a force for chaos. moneybox The End of the BSD A Wall Street icon falls. By Daniel Gross Thursday, September 25, 2008, at 6:18 PM ET In New York, happiest among the financial alpha males is the big swinging dick. The term entered the lingua franca via Michael Lewis' Liar's Poker. (Relevant quote: "If he could make millions of dollars come out of those phones, he became that most revered of all species: a Big Swinging Dick.") BSDs are the perennial winners of the game of conspicuous earnings (giant bonuses), conspicuous consumption (giant co-ops and summer homes), and conspicuous philanthropy (giant plaques on public edifices). In recent years, with the explosion of wealth triggered by the credit and housing boom, a large number of BSDs were minted by the Holy Trinity: hedge funds, private equity, and investment banking. Players in these arenas had clearly succeeded in the most difficult and competitive of environments. But these industries were all easy-money businesses—great, sexy, and wonderful to be in when credit is plentiful and cheap but considerably tougher when the lending climate turns nasty. The dirty little secret of the late boom? Many of the people who succeeded most flagrantly did so not because they were great at figuring out ways to make huge amounts of money. Rather, they scored because they were great at figuring out ways to make small amounts of money and then magnified their returns through the massive use of debt. But now the credit crunch and a new market and regulatory climate are turning BSDs into NSBSDs (not such big swinging dicks). Hedge funds thrived on the use of debt. Find a stock that's doing well in a bull market, borrow money to buy it, reap outsized returns when it rises, and keep 20 percent of the returns. Investment banks eager for stock-trading commissions were keen to provide the liquidity. Today, not so much. Hedge funds were willing to use leverage in part because they hedged; they sold stocks short to protect themselves from being wiped out if the market moved down. But as part of an effort to protect the CEOs of financial institutions from their fellow BSDs at hedge funds, the Securities and Exchange Commission this week issued an order banning the short selling of several hundred financial stocks. As a result, many hedge funds are pulling in their horns and running for safety. As the Financial Times reported Thursday: "Citigroup estimates that hedge funds have now placed $600bn in cash, and that $100bn of this is held in money market funds." The BSDs are investing like grannies who survived the Great Depression. Riding out the storm by parking assets in cash is a smart strategy for a hedge fund that has already scored big gains for the year. But most hedge funds haven't. Earlier this week, it was reported that, globally speaking, only one in 10 hedge funds is earning performance fees—i.e., the 20 percent of the fund's gains that the managers keep as compensation. Performance fees are what make hedgies BSDs. (What's 20 percent of nothing? Zero.) Fortress Investment Group, one of the few publicly held hedge funds, just canceled its dividend for the third quarter. Private equity firms, which have a compensation structure similar to that of hedge funds, have also seen their returns wilt. During the boom, private equity firms could rack up big gains by buying a company with little or no money down, and then having the company issue debt to pay the new owners a healthy dividend. (They called it investing.) Or they could profit by selling it to other private equity firms or by selling shares to the public. Just as homebuyers now must make larger down payments, private equity firms in the post-credit-boom era have to pony up more cash to buy firms. Issuing bonds to pay dividends is passé, and the market for IPOs is limp. The slim list of recent IPOs is heavy on Asian firms. The upshot: Private equity firms are having difficulty consummating exit transactions. In the second quarter, Blackstone reported that performance fees were actually negative, compared with $453 million in the second quarter of 2007. Investment banks have suffered a triple whammy. Many of the biggest of the BSDs, like former Lehman Bros. CEO Richard Fuld and former Bear Stearns CEO Jimmy Cayne, have seen their massive fortunes evaporate as their stocks plummeted. Thousands of lower-level BSDs have suffered alongside them. (Check out Gabriel Sherman's New York piece on the lament of a former Lehman Bros. $3 million man.) And there's not much hope for the near future. Investment banks funded themselves through the capital markets, which meant they could rack up as much leverage as the market would permit—up to 25 or 30 times the amount of capital. Higher leverage means greater returns when you have a good idea and the climate is forgiving (viz. 2002-06). But it's a killer when the weather turns nasty (viz. 2008). At some investment banks, bonuses this year will be slim to nonexistent. Earlier this week, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, seeking more stability, received permission to transform themselves into commercial banks. They can now accept deposits and enjoy regular access to credit from the Federal Reserve. In return, they'll have to submit to more regulation and use much less debt in their operations. For decades, investment bankers looked down on commercial bankers—with their shorter hours and lower profits and salaries—as nerds, putt-putting along in Oldsmobiles while the I-bankers drove Ferraris. But now investment banks will have to operate less like hedge funds and more like the First National Bank of Podunk, with commensurate changes in compensation. Among investment banks, Goldman Sachs was the ultimate big swinging dick, the firm that could do no wrong, that was more profitable than anybody else, that was just better. But this week, Goldman, needing cash, turned to Warren Buffett, the biggest of the BSDs. He agreed to help but extracted pretty onerous terms: 10 percent annual interest rate plus an equity kicker. In other words, Goldman is paying a double-digit interest rate and giving up a piece of the house in exchange for a measly few billion dollars. Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein, lord of the BSDs, is now a subprime borrower. moneybox Nice Bailout. Now Pay for It! Congress and the president favor a $700 billion Wall Street bailout, but they're afraid to say how they'll pay for it. By Daniel Gross Monday, September 22, 2008, at 5:21 PM ET To spend is to tax, as capitalist deity Milton Friedman is said to have put it. If so, over the last several months, we've seen an orgy of tax increases and potential increases. Time was, that prospect would have set off a revolution. Consider the spree of actions that have the potential—directly and indirectly—to cost taxpayers money: the government accepting $30 billion of Bear Stearns' drecky collateral for a $29 billion loan to JPMorgan, giving investment banks access to the discount window, assuming responsibility for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, guaranteeing money market funds (up to $50 billion), making a big loan to AIG (up to $85 billion), and now proposing the mother of all bailouts—up to $700 billion. It's difficult to quantify the costs of these activities for a few reasons. Even though the government has now formally agreed to guarantee the debt of Fannie and Freddie, the White House says it doesn't see the necessity—shock me!—to include the cost of doing so in the budget. In theory, Hank Paulson could drive a good bargain in buying hundreds of billions of dollars of distressed assets. As a result, the government could recoup a lot of the costs of the latest bailout proposal. And most of the other efforts are loans, which are designed to be paid back. To get a sense of how good the government thinks the credit risks are, the Federal Reserve is charging AIG (until last week, a Dow component) an interest rate of three-month LIBOR plus 8.5 percent—about 11.4 percent. That's a lower rate than many credit-card customers pay but a higher rate than most junk-rated companies pay. But it's almost certain that all these bailouts will cost taxpayers tens of billions, possibly hundreds of billions, of dollars. Unless the laws of mathematics are repealed, we will have to pay this money back in the form of higher taxes or lower government spending. But have you heard anyone in authority asking about the $700 billion bailout: How do you propose to pay for it? There seems to be a center-based consensus that some form of bailout is of vital importance to the nation's economy, to its image, and to the global financial system. I agree. But important national projects are worth paying for. Especially when the projects in question are a sop to an industry that has asked for— and received—so much from Washington in the past decade. Think about everything Wall Street has been given since the late 1990s: cuts in the capital-gains tax, dividend tax, and estate tax; cuts in marginal income tax rates; free-trade agreements; low interest rates; light regulation. The promise was that doing the bidding of the financial-services industry would deliver solid growth and boost incomes for everyone. It didn't. This business cycle, in which job growth was generally anemic, ended with median incomes about where they were at the end of the last business cycle. The S&P 500 is basically where it was 10 years ago. Sure, we got cheap mortgages, all the credit we could eat, and some higher corporate income-tax payments for a few years. But now Wall Street wants it all back in the form of bailouts. So anybody who pops up on television, or in a congressional hearing, to talk about the vital necessity of this regrettable bailout should be asked to give a sense of how much it might cost and then to come up with a way to pay for it. Two-hundredbillion dollars? Fine, please delineate $200 billion in spending cuts over the next two years or $200 billion in tax increases to pay to clean up your mess. Which Cabinet-level agency should be zeroed out? Which benefits programs cut? Which component of the defense budget gutted? I'd love to hear what former Lehman Bros. CEO Richard Fuld, or President Bush (who continues to cower behind Paulson's large frame), or Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein and Morgan Stanley CEO John Mack, whose butts were just saved, have to propose. After all, every dollar spent by the taxpayers cleaning up Wall Street's mess is one more added to the massive and expanding deficit, one more dollar that will have to be paid back with interest. There are some ideas out there. Jesse Eisinger of Portfolio has floated a tax on securities transactions. Another possibility would be to make the bailed-out companies self-insure against their own incompetence, the way banks have done with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. And, of course, Congress should abolish the exemption that allows private-equity and hedge-fund managers to pay low capital-gains-tax rates for the money they earn managing other people's money. It may seem silly to ask about the long-term budgetary implications of bailouts in the time of an emergency. When a fire engine is racing toward a four-alarm blaze, nobody stops to worry that speeding will put wear and tear on the engine. And what's another few hundred billion dollars of debt on top of a national debt that already reaches $9.7 trillion? But to not ask this question would be acting recklessly with other people's money. Which is how we got into this mess in the first place. Send your suggestions for how to pay for the bailout to Moneybox@slate.com, and we'll publish some of the best. Emails may be quoted by name unless the writer specifically requests otherwise. movies Choke Gag. By Dana Stevens Thursday, September 25, 2008, at 6:07 PM ET Thank God we have another film about the fantasies, hang-ups, unintentional cruelties, and eventual redemption of a fucked-up straight white guy. For a moment there, I had almost forgotten to keep such dudes at the forefront of my concerns. But when Chuck Palahniuk—the cult author of Fight Club and the novel that inspired Clark Gregg's Choke (Fox Searchlight)—is on the premises, self-destructive, Oedipally fixated slackers everywhere can rest safe in the knowledge that at last they have a voice in pop culture. OK, that was an ungenerous lede. But movies like Choke are just as ungenerous to their viewers, keeping us at arm's length with a barrage of non sequiturs and artfully contrived affectlessness and then expecting us to whip out our hankies for a sincere emotional climax. I walked out of Choke feeling hustled, which is appropriate enough, I guess, for a movie that's a portrait of a compulsive hustler. Victor (Sam Rockwell) attends a 12-step group for sex addiction, frequently stepping out of meetings to furtively bang a fellow addict (Paz de la Huerta). He pays for the hospitalization of his aging and demented mother, Ida (Anjelica Huston), with a humiliating day job at a colonial theme park where he pitches hay while wearing a tricorn hat. And as a moneymaking sideline, he fakes choking in upscale restaurants in the hope that some benevolent bystander will perform the Heimlich maneuver and then take him under his or her financial wing. Every bad decision Victor makes in the present (that is to say, pretty much everything he does) is linked, via flashback, to its equal and opposite childhood trauma. His mother, a sociopathic self-styled radical, once saved him from choking to death in a diner; hence, he now finds emotional fulfillment in re-enacting the choking scene. music box The only bright spots in Victor's grubby hand-to-mouth existence come from his desultory friendship with an equally sex-crazed co-worker Denny (Brad William Henke) and from the blessed oblivion of orgasm. So when the pretty new doctor on his mother's psych ward, Paige Marshall (Kelly Macdonald), takes an interest in Ida's case, Victor is intrigued—especially when Paige reveals a crackpot treatment plan that involves impregnating herself with Victor's sperm. Here we are eight years into a new century, high time to start looking back at the last century and asking what the hell that was about. Critic Alex Ross, in his best-selling book The Rest Is Noise, takes a long, hard squint at musical Modernism in its context, by way of what he calls "the 20th century heard through its music." If Ross doesn't come up with a lot of answers, he gives us a comprehensive survey and an outstanding read—and, in the process, suggests a new and commonsensical approach to a vertiginous subject. All this is handled in a tone of deadpan grotesquerie that must, I suppose, be straining to imitate the voice of Palahniuk's book. The funniest scenes take place at the theme park, where Victor and Denny's tight-ass manager, Lord High Charlie (played by the film's writer-director, Clark Gregg), upbraids his wayward employees in faux olde English. But that mood translates poorly to the scenes at the hospital ward in which Victor tries to trick the increasingly forgetful Ida into revealing the true identity of his father. Anjelica Huston continues to polish her gift (last seen in The Darjeeling Limited) for transcending subpar material. But the subject matter—a bad mother sinking into oblivion as her long-neglected son awaits some sign of her love—is simply too raw and painful for the cutesy treatment it's given here. Gregg isn't above the egregious directorial sin of cutting rhythmically back and forth between two characters as they exchange rapidfire banter: "I was clawed." (Cut.) "Clawed?" (Cut.) "By a lynx." (Cut.) "Lynx?" (Cut.) Sam Rockwell, with his melancholy eyes and faintly rodentlike handsomeness, may be the only actor around who could invest a character this seedy with such pathos and wit. It's a role that a generation ago would have gone to Dustin Hoffman. As for poor Kelly Macdonald, she's become the go-to actress for casting directors in search of a slightly unhinged saint. Not one of Paige's motivations—and hence, not one of Macdonald's line readings—makes sense. A last-minute plot twist all but eviscerates any sympathy we've managed to work up for the character, and the guiding assumption that Paige and Victor are damaged soul mates seems to have been grafted on from a different, more sentimental movie. Choke's raunchy humor and narrative weirdness, amply showcased in the red-band trailer, may find it a cult audience. But viewers in search of a few harmless masturbation and anal-bead jokes may resent being dragged along on Victor's journey to wholeness. The Big Rewind How The Rest Is Noise changes our understanding of 20th-century music. By Jan Swafford Tuesday, September 23, 2008, at 1:55 PM ET The 20th century was the most healthy, comfy, democratic, generally advanced period in history, and also the most murderous and totalitarian, both largely thanks to science and technology at the service of ideologies. Revolutions in politics and technology were paralleled by revolutions in the arts—or, rather, an ebb and flow of revolution and retrenchment that made up the patchwork we still call Modernism. In his book, Ross doesn't attempt a grand unified theory of Modernism, and that's probably wise. The century was a maze of crosscurrents. In 1912, Igor Stravinsky took music into a sophisticated neoprimitive frenzy in Le sacre du printemps; after WWI he went back to Mozart, in his fashion. Legions of composers followed each of those directions. Arnold Schoenberg blew up the last of the old harmonic system based on seven-note scales and, likewise after the war, replaced it with his own system based on the 12-tone chromatic scale. Béla Bartók drew from both Schoenberg and Stravinsky and folded those influences into his native Hungarian voice, forming a highly personal back-to-the-folk, back-to-nature kind of Modernism, in some respects so old it was new. Schoenberg's pupil Anton Webern made his teacher's system still more systematic; for many after WWII, Webern seemed to take music to a plane of ethereal intellect that formed some kind of answer to madness and conflagration. After Schoenberg died, meanwhile, Stravinsky took up his rival's 12-tone method and thereby insured its triumph in the academy if not in the concert hall. So, in music as in the other arts, the 20 th century spread out in a series of contrarieties: futurism and primitivism, hyperstructure and chance, ultracomplexity and minimalism, shockthe-bourgeoisie art and Pop Art. As of the second half of the century, Stravinsky, Schoenberg, and Bartók made up the holy trinity of musical Modernism, with Webern as chief prophet. There was a certain logic to that grouping. Schoenberg and Stravinsky formed opposing camps, the Viennese master perceived by critics as representing a rationalized, atonal, dissonant, public-be-damned aesthetic, while Stravinsky both in his neoprimitive and neoclassic veins was more sonically gorgeous, more tonal, and more communicative. (In later years, both men tried to paint themselves as traditionalists, but few paid attention.) The public embraced Bartók more slowly than it did Stravinsky, but he wrote some populist pieces (including the Concerto for Orchestra), and, however dissonant, etc., Bartók had a compelling rhythmic energy. Webern was more removed from the mainstream than those three, but he had enormous influence on composers. John Cage was the wild card of the second half of the century. Cage unleashed, as Ross puts it, "the imp of chance" with works like Imaginary Landscape No. 4 for 12 radios (playing whatever happens to be on), and 4'33" for a pianist playing nothing for that period of time (the "music" is the squirming and annoyed muttering of the audience). Cage wanted to overthrow the aesthetics and ideologies of past centuries, and by implication the catastrophes they enabled in the 20th, by erasing the very ideas of "purpose" and "meaning" in art. That historians settled on this group of superstars came from the critical tendency of the Modernist period to rate artists by the size of the bombs they tossed into tradition. Schoenberg and Stravinsky achieved fame via bloody audience riots; Bartók was branded a "barbarian." So, when it came time for critics and historians to judge the popular acceptance of musical Modernism, their mind-set said that innovation was the prime criterion. Schoenberg's public acceptance or lack thereof became the main litmus test for the acceptance of all 20 th-century music. By that test, it hasn't succeeded too well. I've seen Schoenberg performances get standing ovations in Boston Symphony Hall, but on the whole, 57 years after Schoenberg's death, the mainstream concertgoing public remains wary of him. Following that group of superstars, critical consensus decreed a mass of composers both radical and conservative who were in effect historical also-rans, even if they had significant influence and/or simply wrote broadly appealing music: Berg and Shostakovich, Ives and Sibelius, Ligeti and Britten, Babbitt and Reich, et al. (In some ways, Claude Debussy was the father of them all.) How does The Rest Is Noise make sense of all this? Alex Ross doesn't try to. Instead, as a critic and historian contemplating a noisy century, he looks intensely at individuals, at particular composers reflecting, riding, sometimes bucking the currents of culture and history around them: Stravinsky in Paris and America, Schoenberg in Vienna and America. Perhaps the book's most memorable chapter is "The Art of Fear: Music in Stalin's Russia," which examines a period when producing an obscure sonnet or an atonal sonata could earn you a bullet in the head. Sergei Prokofiev and Dmitri Shostakovich are the focus of this chapter, but Shostakovich is the hero: a genius of radical inclinations who was brought to heel by the Soviets. Through the Stalinist decades, Shostakovich had to compose as best he could, advancing here and accommodating there, all the while waiting for the knock on the door. Ross makes sure we understand what that cost him. After publicly reciting an absurd self-denunciation in 1948, Shostakovich shrieked to friends: "I read like the most paltry wretch, a parasite, a puppet, a cut-out paper doll on a string!" In the process of laying out his history in sound, Ross fashions what amounts to a tacit revisionist picture, a small quiet revolution of his own. He gives the traditional trinity of Schoenberg, Stravinsky, and Bartók their due, both historically and technically, likewise other important figures like Webern and Cage. But the longest and warmest chapters in Ross' book concern the late-Romantic Finn Jean Sibelius and the eclectic but mostly tonal Brit Benjamin Britten. Those two and Shostakovich form a sort of counter-trinity in Ross' book: three composers who bucked the Modernist narrative that revolution is the name of the game, who wrote much of the time in traditional genres however personalized, and who were some of the most crowd-pleasing of 20th-century composers. I asked Ross if he had intended a strike at the old consensus. The answer was: not exactly as such. "My plan all along," he replied, "was to write a book that would encompass both the Modernist revolution and those composers who fell outside of Modernism's conventional lineage. I didn't plan on supplanting the hierarchy that already existed (if I were capable of such a thing), but, rather, to supplement it. So, I see the century in terms of Stravinsky, Schoenberg, Bartók AND Sibelius, Shostakovich, Britten, AND—very central to me—Berg and Messiaen." Ross adds that the view of the Modern period, or any period, can't be summarized in only a few figures: "When we talk about 19 thcentury music, we don't try to boil it down to three composers. I don't know if anyone with a straight face would say that the major composers of the 19th century were, say, Beethoven, Verdi, and Wagner ...What about Schubert? Brahms? Berlioz? Etc. It should be the same with the 20th century." Which I second. Why only a few superstars? Why should Schoenberg be a litmus test? To see the arts of any century in a mature perspective, we need to disengage ourselves from the ideologies and polemics of the period. In the later 19 th century, for example, there was a full-scale war between the radicals lined up behind Wagner and the conservatives behind Brahms. Today those two composers happily coexist in concert halls, and we don't judge them through that lens. Music of the 20th century is as vital a part of the classical repertoire, including the most popular repertoire, as the music of any other period. The reality in the concert hall has long been that a lot of composers from the 20th century are played and appreciated. I remember my shock some 25 years ago at a concert in my hometown of Chattanooga, Tenn., when an audience went nuts (in a good way) over the Bartók Third Piano Concerto—and, for good measure, welcomed a new piece of mine. As best I can tell, most concertgoers don't blanch over Sibelius or Prokofiev, and Shostakovich is on a roll. I attended two years of Schoenberg-themed programs from the Boston Symphony and didn't see masses leaving in a huff. And remember that Rachmaninoff and Gershwin were 20 th-century composers. If they didn't invent any systems, if they didn't "free music," if they didn't "teach us to listen in a new way," so what? How interesting, fresh, moving, and true are their notes? So, as part of his look over the 20th century, Alex Ross snuck his own bomb into the historical narratives that have clouded our vision of the Modernist period. When the pieces come down and the air clears, we've got a bunch of splendid music to come to terms with from our own perspectives. The Rest Is Noise is a major step in that direction. other magazines Bailout Blues The New Yorker, New York, and Harper's on the Wall Street rescue plan. By Kara Hadge Tuesday, September 23, 2008, at 11:30 AM ET The New Yorker, Sept. 29 A feature chronicles a Marine's struggle with PTSD, which led to his suicide and the death of his brother. After completing one tour of duty in Afghanistan and four in Iraq, Travis Twiggs set out for the Grand Canyon with his brother Willard, who faced problems of his own with drugs and alcohol. In "a landscape suited to an apocalyptic frame of mind," they tried— unsuccessfully—to drive into the canyon. A police chase two days later culminated in the deaths of both brothers. … Another piece delves into the details of Leona Helmsley's will and takes up broader questions about the moral implications of bequeathing billions of dollars to animals. Helmsley's wish to leave $12 million to her Maltese, Trouble, and the vast majority of her estate to establishing a trust intended to aid other dogs "reflects contempt for humanity as much as love of dogs." New York, Sept. 29 The cover story views the financial crisis vis-à-vis It's a Wonderful Life, casting Ron Hermance, "the CEO of the homegrown Hudson City Bancorp," in the role of George Bailey and Richard Fuld of Lehman Bros. as "the vicious, scheming Mr. Potter." It pushes the analogy to explain how "some dinky local savings and loan is now the darling of high finance, and the old, storied banks are falling by the wayside." … A profile spotlights Alexis Stewart, Martha's daughter, who "has opinions about pretty much everyone and everything, almost uniformly negative," and shares them each morning during her Sirius radio talk show, Whatever With Alexis and Jennifer. Now Alexis and co-host Jennifer Koppel Hutt are hitting the small screen with Whatever, Martha!, in which the pair "watch old episodes of Martha Stewart Living … and make merciless fun of" Alexis' mom, who is "both executive producer and creator" of the radio show. Newsweek, Sept. 29 Fareed Zakaria praises last week's government intervention in the economic crisis. After taking over AIG, the Bush administration and the Federal Reserve made recovery possible by first aiming "to bolster confidence." The point of government intervention, Zakaria argues, is to balance "good regulations that allow markets to work well" and the risks inherent in a marketdriven economy. … Another article argues that in the upcoming presidential debates, "what matters when it comes to foreign affairs is not so much knowledge … as judgment." Because international crises usually occur without advance warning—as in the case of this summer's conflict in Georgia—a competent president need not know the details of every tension in the international community. Instead, his overall foreign-policy "philosophy" should be suited to dealing with problems as they unfold. The Weekly Standard, Sept. 29 The cover story wonders whether we're headed for a depression and determines that "this is hardship, not the privations of the 1930s." The original rules of the board game Monopoly, invented during the Great Depression, put our contemporary attitudes into perspective after the boom times of the 1990s. … Another article examines the shifting position of Catholic politicians on abortion over the last four years. While John Kerry attempted to align his views on abortion "with the liberalism" of the post-Vatican II Church, Joe Biden and Nancy Pelosi have adopted "the notion that Catholic officials must resist Catholic teaching, since opposition to abortion is inherently religious—a matter solely of narrow sectarian definition, like not eating meat on Fridays." Democrats risk alienating Catholic voters in an election year in which "the Catholic position [on abortion] is firmer in the public's mind." New Republic, Oct. 8 The cover story explains why the McCain "campaign's strategy of persistent dishonesty" could help him win the election. Although stretching the truth is a campaign mainstay, "McCain's untruths … defy any modern historical precedent." While McCain's sense of honor has long been his most notable strength, his campaign against a candidate whose "two principal political weaknesses [are] his race and his lack of experience" has left him with no choice but to attack "a pretend Obama." McCain might be onto something—studies show that untruths leave more of an impact on voters than lies that have been corrected. … An article debunks "the idea that we are a nation of small towns." Despite Sarah Palin's appeals to a collective sense of "nostalgia" for small-town America, it is the metropolitan area that forms the basis of the U.S. economy and has "increasingly come to symbolize connectedness." Harper's, October 2008 In the cover story, the author accompanies his father to help "trash out" abandoned foreclosed homes by cleaning them up and ridding them of the "gadgets and notes and utility bills and photographs" left behind. In doing so, he "can't help but read a narrative in what has been discarded" by trying to piece together clues from the previous tenants' lives. The author says he came to "understand the depth of this crisis in a way that business pages failed to convey." … In another article, a white actor heads to Bombay, India, to break into the Bollywood film industry, where he has been told studios are clamoring for Westerners. It turns out his pale skin is not an automatic golden ticket to stardom, but he eventually lands a bit part in a noir film. poem "Though Your Sins Be Scarlet" By David Biespiel Tuesday, September 23, 2008, at 6:42 AM ET Listen to David Biespiel read . It didn't start with the phenobarbitol or the reefer, The ironweed or the magnetic force of a gentle woman. It started with a voice saying return that I could not hear, And the nineteen Amidahs did nothing for transgressions. Scarletted-up—all those years—I fiddled and giggled And got muscle-bound as a deaf dreamer, a striper, A pressed-against pirate, got teary and ripe with the scuttled Worry coming back again and again, and no winners To speak of, no vintage TV to settle in with like sins Of the zodiacal light or kissing cousins or crummy laws. I haven't been called a weak sister, and I don't mean to, that's plain. But the rummy tumblers, the bloody knuckles, I'll crawl For them. I'll crawl. And the cutting up and the swear words— Such crimson no wool can wrap around. Look unto the lamp black And see givers and campy gents and you'll forgive anything hard. I have. Remember? It was just after she left, burning the last wick. politics Debate Thyself How candidates are defined before they take the stage. By John Dickerson Thursday, September 25, 2008, at 7:14 PM ET The presidential debates have the feel of a boxing match: Two candidates trade blows across a carpeted stage with a moderator on hand to keep it clean. Despite the fight-night feel, though, a candidate's biggest opponent in these debates is often himself. Looking back over the televised debates since 1960, I find that the memorable moments are largely the product of story lines about the candidates that take hold before he ever sets foot on the stage. Slate V: John Dickerson looks back at some magic moments from past debates. In 1980, Jimmy Carter took a hit because he mentioned that he'd asked his daughter, Amy, about the biggest trouble facing the country (she said nuclear weapons). Why did this matter? Because the rap against Carter was that he was an aimless leader. By turning to his daughter for advice, he confirmed impressions that he was a grasping chief executive. When Michael Dukakis gave a reasonable but dispassionate answer to a question about whether he would seek the death penalty for a theoretical rapist of his wife, it confirmed the cartoon of him as a passionless clerk. When George H.W. Bush looked at his watch (twice) during a town hall debate in 1992, it locked in his image as a president who didn't much want to bother with the problems of regular folk. The list goes on. The story line that exists before the candidate starts talking can also help him. The worry about John Kennedy was that he might be too inexperienced. When he presented himself as a confident man in control of his facts, facing the camera and directly addressing the audience, he carried himself in a way that addressed those doubts. In 1980 Reagan replied, "There you go again" in response to an attack by Jimmy Carter, and it inexplicably was big news. The AP wire story about the debate put it nearly at the top of the piece. Reagan's little quip was considered important because it showed voters who thought he might be scary that he was avuncular. He also made Carter look unfair and icy. So, what story lines do Barack Obama and John McCain have to overcome and confirm? Barack Obama faces the Kennedy test: Can he come across as commanding? He's a good performer, yes, but will he touch people in a direct way that goes beyond delivering his lines well? Obama outpolls John McCain on most attributes, but voters still worry about his ability to be commander in chief. In the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, only 48 percent of the country said he would be effective in that role. For many voters, this will be their first extended viewing of Obama. His performance in the debate may go a long way toward helping them decide whether he's the kind of guy who can pull off all he's promised both in his economic and foreign policies. For McCain, the first challenge is to show up. That might help him avoid the first trap that the Obama campaign has been laying for him: portraying him as reckless. On Wednesday, Joe Biden attacked McCain not just as a man with bad ideas but as a man with dangerously bad ideas—suggesting he lacks the temperament for the job. McCain's suspension of his campaign, and his threat (still open as of this writing) to skip the debate, added some new talking points for Obama aides who wanted to make this case. This may make it difficult for McCain to assert his arguments against Obama too directly for fear of looking too tightly wound. The other trap Obama has been preparing for McCain is to portray him as out of touch. Much of the debate will be about economic issues, potentially dangerous turf for McCain. If he has another moment when he declares the fundamentals of the economy as sound, he'll be in trouble. Then again, the expectations are so low for McCain on the economy that if he shows just a little mastery—speaking casually about credit default swaps, for example, or, even better, showing some fellow feeling with those who are suffering—it may well be enough. McCain's other challenge is to find a way to use the debate to meet one of his key campaign goals: proving to voters who want change that he can actually deliver. His campaign has accepted that the election will likely be determined by the candidate who can convince voters he is capable of changing Washington. That's why both Palin and McCain use the word maverick so often when talking about themselves. But that assertion has not worked. McCain trails Obama by more than 30 percentage points when voters are asked which candidate can better bring change. How he does this is not exactly clear. One long-shot theory would be to embrace his current campaign stunt and make the policy case for it. McCain's aides insist that he wasn't just grandstanding by "suspending" his campaign and rushing to Washington but that he had to make the trip to persuade Republicans to back some kind of deal. Maybe he could explain his recent swerve directly to voters and show how it is a model for the kind of shake-up he'll bring to Washington. Or maybe simply failing to show up would be the clearest indication possible of just how determined he is to shake things up. politics Sarah Palin's Media Training What the governor should do next time she's in the hot seat. By Christopher Beam Thursday, September 25, 2008, at 6:51 PM ET Sarah Palin likes to talk about how she's not part of the Washington media elite. It shows. In her first interview, with ABC's Charlie Gibson, she blanked when asked about the Bush doctrine (and her unfamiliarity seemed to be with the phrase itself, not its meaning). Her sitdown with Fox's Sean Hannity was convincingly compared to an infomercial. And in her latest face-to-face, with Katie Couric of CBS, she looked like a high-schooler trying to B.S. her way through a book report. None of the interviews has been a total disaster. It's more like a constant low hum of mediocrity. But now that she's been on TV a few times, there's enough source material to see what she's doing well—and what she could do better. We asked a few professional media trainers—people who get paid to coach TV guests—to analyze Palin's performances and offer a few tips. (The trainers work mostly with corporate clients but have also worked with politicians, whom they declined to name. "I don't train and tell," said one.) Give details. When Couric asked Palin if she'd considered freezing home foreclosures as part of the bailout, Palin pulled back the scope: "It's going to be a multifaceted solution that has to be found here." She tends to favor "all of the above" solutions that "keep all options on the table." Great, but anyone can say that. "The two best words you can say in interviews are for example," says media trainer Kathy Kerchner, an Arizona-based consultant who advises corporate and government officials. The most awkward moment of the CBS interview came when Couric asked for an example of McCain pushing for government regulation. Acceptable answers would have included lobbying reform, campaign-finance reform, or immigration reform. Instead, Palin said she'd get back to her. So maybe the prerequisite piece of advice here would be "Know details." Don't repeat yourself so much. In the Couric interview, Palin mentioned "shoring up" the economy at least five times, "crisis mode" at least three times, and twice how the financial meltdown makes her "ill." The first time you hear a phrase, it sounds original. The 10th time, it sounds painfully rehearsed. Media trainer Carmie McCook, director of a D.C.-based firm that has advised UPS and Pfizer, tells clients to shake it up: "Here's your key message—now think of three ways to say it." And that doesn't mean changing your tone of voice. When Couric asked about McCain aide Rick Davis' connection to Fannie Mae, Palin said Davis "recused himself from the dealings in that firm." When Couric repeated herself, so did Palin, only this time she emphasized different syllables: "He recused himself from the dealings." Some media trainers encourage candidates to repeat themselves. (Advertisers used to say you need to hear something seven times before you remember it and 12 times before you act on it.) But too much and it sounds like cant. Don't repeat yourself so much. See above. Tell stories. Even if you don't have a perfect answer to the question, you can at least tell a good story. Mike Huckabee is the gold standard of "Oh, that reminds me" yarns. McCain himself is also a master spinner. If you can credibly launch into a great tale, however tangential, it pulls the interview back onto your own turf. Plus, it buys you time in case the interviewer asks a follow-up. So when Gibson asked her what she thought of the Bush doctrine, Palin could have said, "Well, Charlie, I was just discussing doctrine the other day with my preacher, who told me a great story about …" You get the idea. No more "I'll get back to you." Voters like it when politicians are honest, even if it means momentary embarrassment. But you can say, "In what respect, Charlie?" only so many times. Next time she doesn't understand a question, Palin should try to answer to the best of her abilities, says Mike Bako of Media Training Worldwide, whose clients include Bank of America, UCLA, and the Osmond family. Because now is when the "3 a.m. phone call" analogies begin. "In a leadership setting, getting back to you isn't enough," Bako says. Catchphrases are overrated. The campaign message may be that John McCain is a maverick. You may think John McCain is a maverick. And John McCain may in fact be a maverick. But when Couric points out that for 26 years, McCain "has almost always sided with less regulation," you do not say, "He's also known as the maverick, though." It sounds like a fall-back sound bite, says Kerchner. Plus, it cheapens the phrase, which in other contexts might be meaningful. Likewise, when invited to describe why you're ready to be vice president—or, potentially, president—don't just keep saying, "I'm ready." Relax. Media trainers think Palin needs to chill out. "She's trying a little too hard to sound strong," says McCook. Visually, she's perfect, says Kerchner. She nails posture, eye contact, and tone of voice. But it's the verbal aspect—what Palin might call her "verbage"—that needs work. Sentences that aren't just declarative but overly decisive—"We must not blink, Charlie"— sound almost Bush-like. And some phrases, good on paper, come out sounding stilted in person. "She's been a little too coached," McCook says. "You gotta make it your own." Don't be afraid to disagree with McCain. Palin's best moment with Charlie Gibson was when she told him that she and McCain simply disagree on drilling in the Alaska National Wildlife Reserve, says Aileen Pincus of the Pincus Group, which advises AOL, Microsoft, and the Washington Post. (Slate is owned by the Washington Post Co.) "That was the one moment where I thought we saw just a glimpse of Sarah Palin," says Pincus. Disagreeing occasionally works because it shows you're thinking for yourself, not just repeating stock campaign phrases. The No. 1 piece of advice for interviewees, as with all things, was, practice. But aside from her friendly chat with Hannity, Palin hasn't been able to warm up. And giving fewer interviews all but guarantees that each one will get analyzed down to the molecular level. "They're doing a tremendous disservice by not putting her out there," says McCook. This advice doesn't just apply to interviews. It's even more important for the vice-presidential debate, where dancing around questions is more difficult than usual. If the moderators don't challenge you, your opponent will. politics Stunt Man John McCain's latest crazy, brilliant, desperate campaign tactic. By John Dickerson Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 9:23 PM ET John McCain has launched his second Hail Mary pass in a month. On Wednesday he called for a suspension of the presidential campaign—no events, no ads, and no debate Friday—so that he and Barack Obama can head to Washington to forge a bipartisan solution. Even more than his selection of Sarah Palin as running mate, this gambit feels like a wild improvisation someone in the McCain team mapped out on his chest: OK, you run to the fire hydrant, cut left, and then when he gets to the Buick, John, you heave it. It's not clear what, exactly, McCain is going to do in Washington. He doesn't sit on any of the relevant committees, and everyone is already deep in negotiations. Still, he's coming anyway. It doesn't make much logical sense. The only way to understand it is politically: In a presidential campaign, the surest sign that a candidate is playing politics on an issue is when he claims not to be playing politics on an issue. The only way for McCain to convince everyone that his intentions are 100 percent pure is for him to drop out of the race completely. A campaign doesn't end—and its distracting affects don't disappear—just because one candidate says so. It's hard to believe that McCain's actions would pass his own laugh test. In fact, he's often snickered at his fellow senators who come in at the eleventh hour to lend a hand after McCain has done the hard work. But the McCain campaign is past caring about how journalists (or colleagues) view his moves. He hopes the rest of the country will see this as a leadership moment. McCain needed to do something. He is slipping in the polls both nationally and in the battleground states. He's playing on Obama's turf in his effort to sell himself both as a change agent and as a steward of the economy. When voters are asked which candidate represents change, Obama beats McCain by more than 30 percentage points. When they're asked which candidate they trust to handle the economy, he beats McCain almost as handily. Plus, congressional Democrats were making mischief, arguing that unless McCain joined in supporting the package it would fail. What was a candidate to do in that instance? Issue a press release? Come up with a better 10-point plan? (An 11-point plan?) Chanting "Drill, baby, drill" won't help. McCain's argument is that he represents something other than politics as usual, and this gambit certainly isn't usual. (Though I was reminded of Bob Dole's effort to shake up his 1996 campaign by stepping down from the Senate. There just aren't that many things a presidential candidate can do that suggest boldness.) McCain's maneuver might look phony—but then, he and Obama have been engaging in phony activities since this financial crisis hit. Both candidates have been huddling with economic brains, as if they were already a government in waiting. They've both tried to act in ways that help voters see them as competent crisis managers. Perhaps McCain will help us define that line between the charades that voters allow and those they think are ridiculous, but he got an assist from the president. Bush called for a bipartisan meeting with congressional leaders and for McCain and Obama to talk about the crisis. Obama had to accept, a tacit buy-in into the McCain strategy. McCain and Obama also issued a joint statement calling for bipartisan cooperation. (Obama's appended the plan he wanted McCain to agree to in the joint statement; McCain issued just the threeparagraph statement.) So even if McCain has to spend the next several days defending his motivations, he may be able to do so at least partially on his terms. Voters might see it as a transparent political act, or they might just hear "McCain takes bold action in response to crisis." Obama talks about getting people in a room to forge consensus, but he can't match McCain's record—which McCain will happily talk about when people challenge his authenticity. Of course, the big downside for McCain is that he's now in the thick of a debate on a topic (economics) that he's not so comfortable with and that voters don't intrinsically trust him on. In response to McCain, Obama pointed out that he had actually started the bipartisan ball rolling, reaching out to McCain privately earlier in the day to issue a joint statement. McCain then one-upped him and went public. (Historians of the relationship between the two men will note that their first fracas in 2006 came in a nearly identical situation, though the roles were reversed: McCain thought he was working out a private deal with Obama over lobbying reform until Obama appeared to outflank him in his public posture. McCain and his staff went ballistic.) Obama declined to suspend his campaign and said he was planning to participate in the Friday debate. What the country needs, he said, quite reasonably, was a vigorous presidential debate on just this set of issues. Obama aides also argued that McCain was not only being transparently political, but reckless. Imagine what that recklessness would be like if McCain were in the Oval Office, they say. On Wednesday Joe Biden had already given a speech framing McCain as risky and dangerous as commander-in-chief in the hopes of planting that story line before the first debate. Whether McCain's crazy gambit is seen as desperate or brilliant, it doesn't matter. Either way, it's probably not the last. The beneficial effects of the Palin Hail Mary lasted only a few weeks, and another adrenaline injection was needed. If this one doesn't work, that's OK—in due time they can try another razzledazzle play. And if it does work, that's great—in due time they can still try another razzle-dazzle play. It all makes the prospect of a McCain White House very exciting. So exciting, he might want to schedule periodic suspensions of his presidency to get anything done. politics Biden's Gaffe Immunity He misspeaks so often, it's hardly news—and hardly damaging. By Christopher Beam Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 3:48 PM ET When Joe Biden described an Obama ad attacking John McCain's inability to use a computer as "terrible," the world acted as if the Joe-pocalypse had finally arrived. Jonathan Martin of Politico called it "perhaps his most off-message statement yet." Newsday dubbed him "gaffe-a-minute Joe." National Review's Victor Davis Hanson said it raised "serious concern whether Biden is up to the job." Please. Biden's blunder couldn't matter less. Not because gaffes never matter—they can, if they play into public perceptions of the candidate's character—but because Joe Biden is gaffe-proof. Whatever traps he sets for himself, however many minorities he offends, he always seems to wriggle out. It's almost as if, by committing so many gaffes, he has become immune to their effects. "Joe Biden Makes Gaffe" is the new "Dog Bites Man." In the past week, Biden hasn't disappointed. When the federal government announced the AIG bailout, Biden said it was a bad idea. (The official campaign stance at the time was neither support for nor opposition to the bailout; Obama gently chided Biden for going off-message.) In Ohio, Biden said he's against clean-coal technology. (That was his stance in the primaries, not Obama's current stance.) And in an interview with Katie Couric, he said that when the markets crashed in 1929, "Franklin Roosevelt got on the television and didn't just talk about the princes of greed. He said, 'Look, here's what happened.' " (FDR wasn't president then, nor did television exist.) As a result, the Obama/Biden campaign was on alert Tuesday. Biden addressed a crowd of about 150 at a community center in Woodbridge, Va., about an hour outside Washington. During the primaries, this would have been an informal event—Biden might have rambled for a bit, mostly from memory, before taking questions from the audience. This time he was all business. The dais/teleprompter setup seemed better suited to an arena than a small gym. Biden read his speech, shook hands, and took off. At one point, a Secret Service guy nudged closed the rope barriers separating the press from the rest of the room. A Biden spokesman said he uses the teleprompter sporadically. He had some new material about McCain supporting Bermuda tax shelters that he wanted to get right. But you can also see why the Obama campaign may see the value of the teleprompter: It's like a verbal leash. Later that day, after a speech to the National Jewish Democratic Conference, an Obama staffer picked off reporters trying to worm through the scrum surrounding Biden. We dutifully returned to our pen. It would normally be fine to talk to Biden, the staffer explained, but this was a private event, not a campaign event. Yet Alexis Rice, communications director for NJDC, said it was entirely up to the campaign who gets to talk to Biden. "I'm happy to have as many reporters as possible talk to Biden," she said. Clamping down is a campaign's way of reasserting control. If a candidate can go off-message in an interview with Katie Couric, how can he be trusted to greet reporters at a rope line? Better to run a tight ship than risk a candidate running his mouth. But it's hard to see Biden's runaway mouth doing much damage. Just look at the history. Biden drew glares when he suggested that in Delaware, "you cannot go to a 7-Eleven or a Dunkin' Donuts unless you have a slight Indian accent." Later, he called Obama "the first mainstream African-American who is articulate and bright and clean and a nice-looking guy." Careers have ended over less. But Obama bailed him out, saying he knew Biden meant well. Those two gaffes could easily have created the narrative that Joe Biden is a racist. But that didn't happen. Why? It's possible people don't care because he would only be vice president. But that hasn't stopped the gaffe police from monitoring everything Sarah Palin says. Another explanation is that the media give Biden a free pass. But this ignores both history—the media were almost singlehandedly responsible for ending his presidential run in 1988, when they exposed his plagiarized speeches—and current events: The media regularly report Biden's gaffes (as well as McCain's), but they are mostly forgotten. The better explanation is more theoretical. There are basically three kinds of gaffes, and Joe Biden appears to be immune to all of them. Informational gaffes are when you get your facts wrong (John McCain mixing up Sunni and Shiite); message gaffes are when you get your policy wrong (Biden saying he opposed clean coal plants in the United States); and political gaffes are when you offend some interest group perceived to be important to your success (Hillary Clinton referring to the assassination of Bobby Kennedy in discussing Obama's candidacy). Each can be damaging, depending on the candidate and his weaknesses. Informational gaffes don't hurt Biden because, whatever his imperfections, he's generally seen as worldly and knowledgeable. Message gaffes don't matter because, even if it's a headache for the campaign, they make him sound authentic. (If he thinks the ad is "terrible," that's just his honest opinion!) And political gaffes don't damage Biden because, well, he's so darned congenial. Even John McCain likes him. He'll attack, but he's rarely nasty. The only real insult he's hurled this campaign was criticism of Rudy Giuliani's campaign as nothing more than "a noun, a verb, and 9/11." Adapting Biden to the general election hasn't just been about avoiding gaffes. It's also about infusing him with Obama's message—and style. Biden's stump speech now climaxes with the repetition of "Imagine a world …" followed by various Democratic fantasies. Some of his poetry about "angels' wings" and "shining lights" sounds downright Barackian. He maintains his unmatched ability to work a room—at the NJDC event, he told a joke about a Jewish crew team. But it's clear at these events that he's addressing the cameras in the back as much as the local crowd. His remarks about McCain and Bermuda immediately became national news. These two adjustments—the attempts to eliminate gaffes and the adoption of Obama's smooth style—will be tested at the vice presidential debate Oct. 2. There, Biden's gaffe immunity will not protect him. The McCain campaign takes umbrage almost instantaneously, and dissing Sarah Palin could be construed as sexist. And the vast TV audience, much of it seeing him for the first time, may be less familiar with his gaffe history—and less forgiving of his gaffes. Until then, Senator, gaffe away. When Obama picked Biden, some Democrats suggested that Biden's unpredictable tongue would become a distraction. Others criticized him as being too "safe." They're both right. He is a gaffe machine—but he's harmless. 4. "I'm happy to comply, to cooperate. I have absolutely nothing to hide." 5. "You [in the media] like to hurt people, and you like to talk about how bad people are and all their personal failings." politics Troopergate vs. Troopergate: Who's Crying Now? Who said what about which state-trooper scandal? By Dahlia Lithwick Tuesday, September 23, 2008, at 3:33 PM ET Apparently, Americans are destined to suffer through periodic political scandals labeled "Troopergate." In 1993, we were plunged into the Bill Clinton/Paula Jones/Arkansas statetroopers version. Last year, we witnessed the Eliot Spitzer iteration , and this fall, we are forced to endure the Sarah Palin drunken brother-in-law Taser story. The truly delicious part is that some of the same folks who once proclaimed that the compulsive legal wrangling over Bill Clinton's "distinguishing characteristics" was motivated by the need for truth and transparency now dismiss as a partisan witch hunt the inquiry into Gov. Palin's dismissal of her former Public Safety Commissioner Walt Monegan. And vice versa, of course. Which scandal was truly a scandal, and which is just partisan politics run amok? Turns out the answer to that question often has more to do with one's own partisan politics than anything else. The Bill Clinton version mess (Troopergate I) broke in 1993 with allegations from a pair of Arkansas state troopers that they had been involved in procuring some ladies for Gov. Clinton back in the day. It mushroomed into impeachment. The Sarah Palin version (Troopergate II) surfaced last July with allegations that Palin, or someone in her administration, improperly pressured Monegan to fire her ex-brother-in-law—state trooper Mike Wooten—for his misbehavior while divorcing her sister. When Monegan balked, she allegedly fired him.* Think you know which scandal is a baseless witch hunt? Think pundits can differentiate them any better? Herein, Slate presents Troopergate vs. Troopergate, the quotation quiz. We have substituted XXX for "Clinton" or "Palin" as necessary because this wouldn't be much of a quiz otherwise. Points for identifying the scandal. Double points if you can name the speaker. 6. "In the course of a few weeks, the [members of the opposing party] have launched attack after attack on me, my family. … They're desperate to win and they'll no doubt launch these attacks against other reformers." 7. "This story seems ridiculous, and I frankly smell a rat." 8. "I think it's fair to say that XXX is not going to cooperate with that investigation so long as it remains tainted and run by partisan individuals that have a predetermined conclusion." 9. "Such pressure could have been perceived to exist although I have only now become aware of it." 10. "It depends on what the meaning of the word 'is' is." 11. "XXX did everything [they] could, creating all kinds of new privileges to deny the grand jury any information or evidence that was part of this investigation. [They] made a mockery of the investigation, and it was all because [he/she] was trying to protect [their] lily-white ass." 12. "I'll tell you what this Troopergate's all about. I'm going to tell you exactly what it's all about. It's about the good ol' boys … This is pure sexism … on the part of these old boys trying to get rid of XXX, and [he/she] didn't put up with it, and ... didn't bend over and let them have their way." 13. "This is not about politics. I don't know—and I don't care— how this 'strategy' polls. This has nothing to do with vendettas or witch-hunts or partisan advantage. … This is very simply about the rule of law, and the survival of the American system of justice." 14. XXX "is a 'threat' to modern feminism and that is why the 'elite media' is trying to tear them down." 1. This scandal was masterminded by "a small, intricately knit right-wing conspiracy—and I'd like that clarified." 15. "When the … scandal broke, XXX affected the role of victim while at the same time [he/she] was quarterbacking the coverup, manning the battle stations, and manufacturing the spin about a … conspiracy." 2. "The media hysterically denounced XXX. … They tried to create a 'Troopergate.' " 16. "[He/She]'s just authentic, [he/she]'s for real, and [he/she]'s just a total package." 3. "No one wants to get this matter behind us more than I do— except maybe all the rest of the American people." 17. "The most dangerous thing about XXX is … [his/her] seeming inability not to be self-reflective, not to look back on some of the things [he/she]'s done in her own life, see mistakes, come clean, and make changes." Monday indicated [they] will cooperate with a separate probe run by people [he/she] can fire." 18. "I have no doubt we will continue to see vicious, unfair and horrible attacks on XXX." Click here for the answers. 19. "This trooper tasered my nephew. … It's all on the record. It's all there. His threats against the first family, the threat against my dad. All that is in the record. And if the opposition … chooses to forget that side of the story, they're not doing their job." 20. "If XXX insists on having her day in court and her trial, and she really wants to put her reputation at issue as we hear, we are prepared to do it.'' 21. "[He/She] may want to take a cue from the Miss America contest: make a graceful, magnanimous exit and wait in the wings." 22 "[W]hen you use sexism as an across-the-board shield for any legitimate question, you only hurt women. And that's just another splash of reality." Correction, Sept. 24, 2008: The piece originally read "Wooten" instead of "Monegan," implying that the trooper had been balking at firing himself. (Return to the corrected sentence.) sidebar Return to article 1. Ann Coulter, admitting to the real motives behind Troopergate I, June 1999 2. Ann Coulter, Troopergate II, September 08 3. Bill Clinton, Troopergate I, July 1998 23. An "organization that was founded in 1997 to protect religious freedoms and First Amendment rights for individuals, groups and churches." 4. Sarah Palin, Troopergate II, July 2008 5. Bill Clinton, Troopergate I, June 2004 24. "I don't suppose there's any public figure that's ever been subject to any more violent personal attacks than I have. … And that's fine. I deal with them. But I don't believe that it's the work of God. And I think that's what the issue is." 25. "I've learned quickly, these past few days, that if you're not a member in good standing of the Washington elite, then some in the media consider a candidate unqualified for that reason alone." 26. "It's a way we can get our story out there in our own words, without someone making their own interpretations or corrections." 27. "I didn't shoot him with live, you know, actual live cartridge. … [T]he Taser was activated for less than a second, which would be less than what you would get if you touched an electric fence. ... It was as safe as I could possibly make it." 6. Sarah Palin fundraising e-mail, September 2008 7. Robert Bennett, Clinton's lawyer, Troopergate I, 1998 8. Sarah Palin legal adviser/spokesman Ed O'Callaghan, Troopergate II, September 2008 9. Sarah Palin, changing her story on Trooperate II, August 2008 10. Bill Clinton, changing his story on Troopergate I, August 1998 11. Rush Limbaugh, Troopergate I, October 2005 12. Rush Limbaugh, Troopergate II, September 2008 13. Newt Gingrich on Troopergate I, May 1998 28. "It is self-evident to us all, I hope, that we cannot overlook, dismiss or diminish the obstruction of justice by the very person we charge with taking care that the laws are faithfully executed." 29. "Less than a week after balking at the XXX Legislature's investigation into [their] alleged abuse of power, YYY on 14. Newt Gingrich on the media conspiracy to destroy Palin, September 2008 15. Phyllis Schlafly on Hillary Clinton, Troopergate I, 2000 16. Phyllis Schlafly on Sarah Palin, September 2008 17. Laura Ingraham on Hillary Clinton's flaws, Troopergate I, 2000 18. Laura Ingraham on Sarah Palin attacks, September 2008 19. Sarah Palin on why the victim is to blame in Troopergate II, September 2008 20. Clinton lawyer Robert Bennett on why the victim is to blame in Troopergate I, June 1997 21. Maureen Dowd on Hillary Clinton, May 2008 22. Maureen Dowd on Sarah Palin's cries of sexism, September 2008 23. Liberty Legal Institute, the Texas-based legal group that has filed suit in Alaska to halt the "McCarthyistic investigation" into Palin, Troopergate II, September 2008 24. Bill Clinton, June 1994 25, Sarah Palin, September 2008 26. Gennifer Flowers and Paula Jones promising to dish about all things sexual and Clinton on their new Web site, June 2008 27. Mike Wooten, rationalizing a little playful tasering, September 2008 28. Sen. John McCain statement on voting yes to impeach Bill Clinton, February 1999 29. The Associated Press, Sept. 22, 2008 press box McCain Bites the Press Just because the press loves Obama doesn't mean it hates McCain. By Jack Shafer Tuesday, September 23, 2008, at 6:15 PM ET Yesterday, the McCain campaign pilloried the New York Times in a conference call with the press. Senior adviser Steve Schmidt, taking offense at a Times piece that scrutinized McCain's campaign manager, bawled: Whatever the New York Times once was, it is today not by any standard a journalistic organization. It is a pro-Obama advocacy organization that every day attacks the McCain campaign, attacks Sen. McCain, attacks Gov. Palin and excuses Sen. Obama. Schmidt continued: This is an organization that is completely, totally 150 percent in the tank for the Democratic candidate. ... Everything that is read in the New York Times that attacks this campaign should be evaluated by the American people from that perspective, that it is an organization that has made a decision to cast aside its journalistic integrity and tradition to advocate for the defeat of one candidate, in this case, John McCain, and advocate for the election for the other candidate, Barack Obama. The Times devoted a short write-up to Schmidt's inflammatory remarks in today's edition. Spraying flame retardant on the embers, Times Executive Editor Bill Keller issued a statement, quoted in the article, stating that the paper has covered both candidates "fully, fairly, and aggressively." The attack on the Times elicited liberal shrieks: Washington Post columnist E.J. Dionne Jr. blogged that the McCain campaign was trying to "intimidate and discredit those who try to give an honest account of the campaign." New York University journalism professor Jay Rosen declared on Romenekso that if the McCain campaign regards the Times a "political action committee working for Obama … then why does the Times have to treat the McCain crew as a 'normal' campaign organization, rather than a bunch of rogue operators willing to say absolutely anything to gain power and lie to the nation once in office?" For the Huffington Post's Sam Stein, Schmidt's comments amounted to a declaration of war against the press. Jeesh! Have we really gotten to the point at which a presidential campaign operative can't throw a bag of rotten, wormy peaches at the press without getting a load of grief in return? I don't recall journalists—or their defenders—howling like this after the Hillary Clinton campaign and Saturday Night Live spotted the press corps petting Obama so heavily. While I don't believe that the Times is pulling for Barack Obama, and I'd never judge an entire publication by one story, Steve Schmidt is right about the more general point he raises: The press corps does adore Barack Obama. They like his story. They like writing about him. They like the way he gives speeches. They like the way he makes them feel. And they don't mind cutting him slack whenever he acts like a regular politician—which he is. This, of course, is the same press corps that adored John McCain during the 2000 race, as this comprehensive study by FAIR shows. The press corps liked his honesty. They liked the access he provided them. They liked his maverick stance. They liked the way he made them feel. And they didn't mind cutting him slack whenever he acted like a regular politician—which he was, most of the time. Back in 2000, McCain—like Obama today—had no compunction about capitalizing on the infatuation. But such puppy love between press and candidate is unsustainable. The longer a politician hangs around Washington, the longer he casts votes in the Senate, the more baggage-laden staffers he acquires, the more campaign donations he accepts, and the more meat he produces for the press to chew on. And in the heat of the campaign, chew they will. Signs that the press corps is untangling itself from its Obama crush are starting to appear. Just last week, Washington Post columnist Ruth Marcus refused to find moral equivalency between Obama and McCain as she ripped the McCain campaign, calling it "more dishonest, more unfair, more … dishonorable than Barack Obama's." This week, Marcus reverses gear—"rebalancing … the scales," she calls it—to savage the Obama campaign for its recent attacks on McCain. Marcus writes: Obama has descended to similarly scurrilous tactics on the stump and on the air. ... Obama has been furthest out of line, however, on Social Security, stooping to the kind of scare tactics he once derided. ... … Obama's cartoon version of private accounts is not what Bush suggested, and it certainly is not something being peddled by McCain now. … Where does McCain really stand on the press? Wherever expediency demands. In a July 22 interview, CBS News anchor Katie Couric asked McCain about one of his campaign's videos, which alleged the "media's love affair with Sen. Obama." McCain laughed. When she followed up by asking if he thought he was getting "unfair coverage," McCain replied: I don't think so. I think … it is what it is. I'm a big boy. And I'm enjoying every minute of the campaigning. And I'm certainly not complaining. Please don't wake me until McCain—or Obama—start doing their own griping. ****** I'll happily sleep through Cindy McCain's next critique of the investigative unit that is The View. Of her joint appearance on the show earlier this month with her husband, Cindy said, "In spite of what you see ... in the newspapers, and on shows like The View—I don't know if any of you saw 'The View' yesterday, they picked our bones clean—in spite of what you see, that's not what the American people are saying and what they are believing." Listen to her bleat on Jake Tapper's Political Punch blog. Send wake-up calls to slate.pressbox@gmail.com. (E-mail may be quoted by name in "The Fray," Slate's readers' forum; in a future article; or elsewhere unless the writer stipulates otherwise. Permanent disclosure: Slate is owned by the Washington Post Co.) Track my errors: This hand-built RSS feed will ring every time Slate runs a "Press Box" correction. For e-mail notification of errors in this specific column, type the word Schmidt in the subject head of an e-mail message, and send it to slate.pressbox@gmail.com. recycled Packing Heat in Helsinki Why do Finns own so many guns? To Democrats who worry about whether their nominee is willing to do whatever it takes to win: You can calm down. A smart Politico piece from yesterday by Alexander Burns and Jim VandeHei frames McCain's relationship with the New York Times as one of love-hate—but mostly one of love. When it has served McCain's interests to chum around with Times reporters and give them access, McCain has chummed around with Times reporters and given them access. Now that political advantage can be gained by giving the Times a mouthful of bloody Chiclets, he's ready for that, too. By Michelle Tsai Tuesday, September 23, 2008, at 12:40 PM ET Last week, a gunman in Finland posted on the Internet a video of himself firing a gun and saying, "You die next." Days later, he killed 10 people, prompting government officials to re-examine gun-control laws in the country. In November 2007, after a similar shooting, Michelle Tsai asked why Finns have the world's third-highest rate of gun ownership. An 18-year-old in Finland shot and killed eight people at his school on Wednesday. The killer, Pekka-Eric Auvinen, then committed suicide by turning his .22-caliber gun on himself. Although gun violence is very rare in Finland, the country has the highest rate of firearm ownership in Europe and the third highest in the world, behind only the United States and Yemen. Why do so many Finns own firearms? Explainer thanks Kari Mokko of the Embassy of Finland, Washington, D.C.; Andrew Nestingen at the University of Washington; and Hanna Snellman at Lakehead University. They're hunters. The Finns have hunted and fished for food for thousands of years, with agriculture only catching up as a major food source in the 20th century. Today, hunting remains a popular weekend, or even after-work, activity. Finland is one of the largest European countries, and there are ample grounds for hunters. (Forests cover more than half of the country.) Schoolhouse Rock According to the Finnish government, the country has 1.6 million registered weapons and 650,000 people with firearm permits. That means about 12 percent of the population owns a weapon of some kind. More than half the permits are for hunting, which is usually done with rifles and shotguns. The rest of the permits are for target practice, which can involve handguns. The student in Wednesday's shooting was a member of the Helsinki Shooting Club, which has 1,500 members. (Other sources cite different gun-ownership rates for Finland; one study (PDF) estimated 41 to 69 privately owned firearms for every 100 civilians.) Hunting is closely regulated by the Finnish government. A would-be hunter must pass a written test on game biology, legislation, and management before he can purchase a hunting permit. You also must pass a rifle-shooting test and a background check before you can obtain a firearm license. A hunter must also be licensed for the number and type of animals he plans to kill. (The most popular targets include moose, ducks, geese, bears, foxes, and hares.) Teenagers who are at least 15 but younger than 18 can apply for a firearm license as long as they have parental permission. This week's school shooter received his license a few weeks ago. Finland is more gun-friendly than some other European nations. In September, the country resisted an EU proposal to raise the legal age for arms possession to 18, arguing that restricting hunting for the young would result in "highly emotional and strong reactions in Finland against the EU as a whole." Aside from hunting, guns are also part of Finland's strong military tradition. Young men in Finland tend to be familiar with firearms since almost all of them join the army for compulsory service at some point. While Finns have a reputation for violence, firearms almost never enter the picture. Finland does have the highest murder rate in Western Europe, but those cases—commonly related to alcohol or domestic abuse—often involve knives rather than guns. Got a question about today's news? Ask the Explainer . A Charter-School Setback? A successful program experiences growing pains. By Paul Tough Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 10:05 AM ET Science Atomic Prose Why can't science journalists just tell it like it is when it comes to particle physics? By Chris Wilson Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 7:10 AM ET The Nobel Prize-winning physicist Steven Weinberg once summed up his feeling about people who saw evidence of the divine in the laws of physics like so: "I don't know why they use words like 'designer' or 'God,' except perhaps as a form of protective coloration." God was mostly off the table in recent weeks—except in His particle form—as the Large Hadron Collider revved up for a massive series of experiments in subatomic physics. But among science journalists, there was plenty of protective coloration of another variety. Much of the prose from the hundreds of stories heralding the event arced decidedly toward the purple. "Here, inside the largest science experiment ever conducted, is the stuff of meditation and prayer, mysteries of the sort that only religion and Big Science can unveil with such grandeur," reported the Globe and Mail's Doug Saunders from Geneva. The Washington Post's William Booth described the accelerator's detectors as "crawling, Medusa-like, with blue, red, green cables, like arteries and veins." These, said CNN, would provide scientists the opportunity for a "religious experience"; the BBC agreed, pointing out helpfully that "scientific study is often mundane but can occasionally slip into the ecstatic." Reporting from the Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory, where scientists gathered to remotely celebrate the event, the New York Times' Dennis Overbye went for broke: Outside, a half moon was hanging low in a cloudy sky, a reminder that the universe was beautiful and mysterious and that another small step into that mystery was about to be taken. The color provided by this sort of extravagant prose comes at a cost. It may make for a richer read, but to decorate the science with ornate wordplay has a way of obscuring the very ideas those words are supposed to highlight. Such language gives science a flavor of the mystic and inaccessible, which is exactly the opposite of what it is: messy, full of false starts and wrong ideas, but ultimately committed to making the universe more coherent. No one ever said writing about particle physics was easy—the field of quantum mechanics shares a kind of proverbial inscrutability with rocket science, and nonscientists are understandably reluctant to dig in. But the best way to meet that challenge is to address it head-on, with clear analogies and straightforward language. The puzzles of the subatomic world— and specifically, the quest for the Higgs boson, a particle theorized to endow all others with mass—are interesting and entertaining in their own right; dressing them up in florid language only adds another layer of confusion between the author and the reader. Good analogies—not extravagant metaphors—are essential for treatment of tough concepts. Fortunately, there are plenty of good models. The legendary physicist Richard Feynman, for example, was fond of comparing the process of exploring the atom to smashing two pocket watches together and then trying to figure out how they worked by examining the debris—an analogy that neatly captures how particle physics is a distinctly forensic exercise. Or take the description of the Higgs boson itself. While many of the articles about the LHC dutifully mentioned the Higgs, there wasn't much attempt to explain the peculiar way it is supposed to work, endowing some particles with much more mass than others. In his book The Fabric of the Cosmos, physicist Brian Greene takes a shot at it, working off the concept of a "Higgs ocean"—a field of Higgs particles that covers the whole universe: If we liken a particle's mass to a person's fame, then the Higgs ocean is like the paparazzi: those who are unknown pass through the swarming photographers with ease, but famous politicians and movie stars have to push much harder to their destination. this curiosity, British physicist John Ellis compared the Higgs ocean to a snow field; some particles are wearing boots and must trudge heavily through the snow while others are endowed with snowshoes or even skis that allow them to glide effortlessly over the snow. The particle-as-famous-person analogy has been around for a while in various incarnations. A bastardization of it shows up in a Times article from July 2007 by Dennis Overbye, who likens the Higgs process to "the way a V.I.P. acquires an entourage pushing through a cocktail party." In addition to omitting the fact that the process works differently for different particles, Overbye fails to understand what anyone who's seen an episode of Entourage knows: that the VIP arrives to the party with his crew intact—precisely the old model of mass that the Higgs explanation replaces. Journalists might fairly counter that they lack the space for nutsand-bolts quantum mechanics, which is better left to books. (And the books certainly cover it. In a review of Leonard Susskind's The Black Hole War for the Times, George Johnson complained that before he got to the meat of the book's argument, he "had to get through a 66-page crash course on relativity and quantum mechanics. Every book about contemporary physics seems to begin this way, which can be frustrating to anyone who reads more than one.") Fair enough. At the very least, then, the mainstream press might aim for a more modest goal: to convey a sense of the larger themes at work in a given set of experiments. In this case, scientists are exploring important ideas about symmetry and simplicity in the laws of the universe. On the whole, the best writing about physics for a general audience seems to come from physicists, not journalists. This isn't due to the fact that physicists understand the subject matter better—if anything, people who spend all day in the lab are often the worst at explaining the big picture. Rather, they're better at writing about physics because they don't try so hard to make you care. They don't believe their readers must be seduced with colorful wordplay or end-of-the-world melodramas. Journalists writing popular treatments of subatomic physics could take a lesson from the scientists: Tell it straight and have a little faith that the subject matter itself—a major advance in our understanding of the cosmos—can generate its own wonder and excitement. Science Greene succinctly captures two essential concepts: First, that mass represents the "drag" of a particle through a crowded field of Higgs bosons. Second, some particles are more susceptible to this drag than others; hence, the proton and neutron are more "famous" or heavy than, say, the electron. For another shot at Republicans Are From Mars, Democrats Are From Venus Why is every neuropundit such a raging liberal? By Daniel Engber Monday, September 22, 2008, at 5:05 PM ET The Democrats, we hear, have begun to lose their heads. As election polls lurched in favor of John McCain during the past few weeks, the notion of a liberal freakout became a right-wing talking point: Michael Gerson called the Obama campaign "rootless, reactive and panicky"; Carly Fiorina announced that "the Democratic Party is in a full-throated panic over Sarah Palin"; Rush Limbaugh put the left in "a full-fledged panic mode." Funny, then, that the neuropundits should have reached the opposite conclusion: According to a study of political psychology published last Thursday in Science, conservatives tend to be the jumpier lot. The researchers called 46 political partisans into their laboratory at the University of Nebraska, affixed electrodes to their fingertips and eyelids, and measured sweat output and eye blinks in response to a series of startling stimuli. (Subjects were forced to endure images of bloody faces and maggot-infested wounds, as well as sudden blasts of white noise.) The results: Social conservatives—those who supported the death penalty, the Patriot Act, prayer in school, and the like—sweated more, and blinked more intensely, than the liberals. Not that there's anything wrong with that. In an appendix, the authors declare "that our results do not suggest that one type of physiological response to threat is more normal or 'better' than another. … Political opponents may simply experience the world differently and this situation may be why intensely political people tend to talk past each other." So they're not calling out conservatives for being sweaty, blinky, fraidy-cats; they're merely providing a dispassionate, scientific analysis of partisan politics. Why is our country so sharply divided into red and blue? Could it have something to do with those confounded "neural activity patterns," hard-wired into our brains from birth? That's the soft sell, at least, when it comes to political brain science. Among the neuropundits, though, the nature/nurture question stands in for a more pressing, and more partisan, concern. For the past five years, the left-wing researchers who dominate the field have sought to explain—in purely rational terms, of course—the failures of Democratic politics and the rise of political conservatism. Sometimes the work is cast as behavioral economics: Why do working-class Americans vote against their economic interests? But the agenda can be quite explicit: How come those damn Republicans keep winning elections? And what can we do about it? The theoretical basis for this work emerged in 2003, when psychologist John T. Jost and three colleagues published a review of more than 50 years worth of data on the personality traits of right-wing ideologues. In "Political Conservatism as Motivated Social Cognition" (PDF), they concluded that the red- state mind-set stems from a set of "psychological needs," including a deep anxiety about death, lack of self-esteem, and intolerance of ambiguity. As a result, conservatives are "less integratively complex" than liberals, more obedient by disposition, and inclined to cling to what they know. "For a variety of psychological reasons, then, right-wing populism may have a more consistent appeal than left-wing populism," explained one of the authors, a professor of public policy at University of California-Berkeley. Four years and one failed Kerry campaign later, a scientist named David Amodio got together with Jost to flesh out the theory with actual recordings from the human brain. They used scalp electrodes to monitor the neural activity of liberals and conservatives who were engaged in a simple button-pressing task and discovered some significant differences between the two groups. First, the authors said, the conservatives tended to make more mistakes on the task. (Subjects had to press the space bar whenever they saw the letter M flash on a screen but hold back their response when a W turned up instead.) Second, the liberal brain scans revealed "stronger conflict-related anterior cingulate activity, suggesting greater neurocognitive sensitivity to cues for altering a habitual response pattern." That is to say, liberals were less prone to error and better able to process complex, conflicting information. (Click here for Slate's William Saletan's critique of the Amodio paper.) Last week I went to hear Jost and Amodio speak about the conservative brain at a New York University event dedicated to "The Neuroscience of Elections and Human Decision-Making." This felt less like a science seminar than a special-interest meetup for Obama supporters. Amodio finished his presentation with a series of speculations about how voter psychology would affect the upcoming election: The McCain campaign, he said, could win over swing voters by blurring or stretching the truth; Obama might continue to make "qualified, informed statements" that appeal only to his base. When someone in the audience pointed out that the researchers themselves appeared to be highly partisan observers, Amodio barked, "Big deal!" He explained that scientists do tend to be liberal, but that's on account of their predilection for the truth and tolerance for uncertainty. (They're also more creative than most other people, he added, which reinforces their bias to the left.) So it is that the most prominent and prolific neuropundits happen to be paid Democratic consultants and professional thinkers on the left. Take psychologist and strategist Drew Westen, who went mass-market with the science of us vs. them in his 2007 book, The Political Brain. There he argues that the Republicans are more skilled at activating the neural emotional circuits of swing voters while Democrats have "an irrational emotional commitment to rationality." (Last Wednesday, Westen told the New York Times that the conservatives are "taking advantage of how our brains work.") Then in June, Berkeley professor and frequent Huff Po contributor George Lakoff presented a nearly identical thesis— that Democrats are too hung up on truth and rationality—in his own analysis of voter psychology, The Political Mind. Both Lakoff and Westen present brain science as a strategic resource for the Obama campaign—a nerdy secret weapon. Up to now, they say, Democrats have been so brainy that they haven't connected with the brains of voters. But what if liberals used their knowledge of the brain to their advantage? The fact that all neuropundits are liberals can be explained by the fact that most of the research originates in university labs. Jost, Amodio, Westen, and Lakoff are all participants in an educational system that tilts overwhelmingly to the left. We're not just talking about the Marxists and post-structuralists in the humanities—in 2002, Daniel Klein and Andrew Western tallied the political affiliations of professors at Berkeley and Stanford and found that even in the hard sciences, Democrats outnumbered Republicans by a factor of almost 8 to 1. Among professors of neurology and neuroscience, Klein and Western counted 68 registered Democrats against just six Republicans. to side with the Democrats. The data show that both political parties have pursued overwhelmingly pro-science agendas during the past 65 years. (If anything, research funding has tended to increase more under Republican presidents than under Democrats.) The Bush White House may have frustrated many in the community with its aggressive politicization of government science, but both candidates in this election cycle have spoken out for scientific integrity. Both accept that global warming is caused by human activity, and McCain appears to be just as committed as Obama to repeal the ban on federal funding for embryonic stem-cell research. In the end, the liberal neuropundits may end up hurting their cause more than they help it. The most industrious among them have already begun to spin off private consulting firms, like Drew Westen's Westen Strategies, that hawk spurious science back to the party establishment. Consider high-powered Democratic strategist Bill Knapp, who joined up with former Clinton aide Tom Freedman to create FKF Applied Science, a neuromarketing firm that's already managed to get its bogus electoral brain-scans into the New York Times and the Atlantic. These guys are selling junk. And it looks like the Democrats are their customers. A partisan science of partisan politics invites grave concerns about both its methodology and interpretation. Consider last week's paper in Science, which purported to show that conservatives were more anxious and easily frightened than liberals. Is that because their brains are wired differently? Or maybe it's just nerve-racking to be summoned into a lab and quizzed about your political beliefs by a bunch of university professors who almost certainly disagree with you. Neuropunditry Watch: June 18, 2008: "Jeffrey Goldberg, Neuropundit?" Feb. 5, 2008: "Obama Builds Lead Inside Voters' Brains!" Dec. 7, 2007: "Return of the Neuropundits!" Nov. 14, 2007: "Neuropundits Gone Wild!" You might also ask why the results had to be framed in terms of right-wing fearfulness and anxiety. The liberals could just as well have been described as having a weird inability to register emotion. (Indeed, a closer look at how the subjects were classified suggests that this interpretation makes more sense.) Likewise, the Amodio paper from 2007 demeaned conservatives for failing to process complex or conflicting stimuli rather than calling the liberals detail-obsessed and distractible. slate v Back in 2003, Jost and his colleagues made a compelling case that conservatives tend to be more deferential to authority and afraid of risk. But even this basic finding doesn't seem to account for party platforms. Why are liberals so conservative when it comes to the environment, endlessly harping on traditional farming practices and the uncertainty surrounding genetically modified crops, cloned meat, and the use of pesticides? And if right-wingers are so obedient, why do they favor smaller government and less gun control? The irony of this liberal slant is that, from a strictly rational, blue-brain point of view, professional scientists have no reason Open Book: Jonathan Safran Foer A daily video from Slate V Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 12:46 PM ET slate v What Was I Thinking? Junk in the Trunk A daily video from Slate V Tuesday, September 23, 2008, at 10:20 AM ET slate v Dear Prudence: Trysting in My Sleep A daily video from Slate V Monday, September 22, 2008, at 12:55 PM ET sports nut This Call to the Bullpen Is Eroding My Stomach Lining The cruel torture of watching the New York Mets' relief pitchers. By Josh Levin Thursday, September 25, 2008, at 3:37 PM ET On Wednesday, Sports Illustrated's Jon Heyman reported that National League scouts aren't fond of the New York Mets relief corps. To put it in the words of one NL talent evaluator: "Their bullpen is bleeping brutal.'' The bullpen wasn't the biggest villain in New York's latest loss, a spectacularly awful 9-6 defeat to the Chicago Cubs that left New York tied for the NL wild card— starting pitcher Oliver Perez couldn't hold a 5-1 lead, and the offense stranded seven runners between the seventh and ninth innings. Nevertheless, closer-by-process-of-elimination Luis Ayala threw gasoline on the Mets' funeral pyre by giving up three runs in the 10th. At least that wasn't as bad as Sunday, when three relievers gave up four runs in the eighth to cost the Mets a win against Atlanta. Or the Sunday before that, when the pen gave up five runs in the ninth to blow a two-run lead. Or the day before that, when they squandered a potential Johan Santana shutout. All in all, Ayala and his comrades-in-noodle-arms have blown 29 save opportunities in 2008, the most of any playoff contender. Now that's bleeping brutal. Rooting for an otherwise-decent baseball team with a horrendous bullpen is like cheering on a soccer team that uses an armless goalie to defend against penalty kicks. Sure, you might get a few thrills along the way, but eventually you come to realize that the game was lost before it began. Or perhaps a better analogy is a basketball team that can't make free throws. In both cases, you're carried through the first two-thirds of the game by the excitement of building up a lead and spend the last one-third chewing the fingernail off your foam finger. Phase 1: We're going to win. Go team! Phase 2: Please. Please. Please. Not again. Why? Why? Phase 3: Come on, you're supposed to be a professional athlete! This is unbelievable. Phase 4: Deep, choking sobs. But the best comparison I can think of comes in football. For four quarters, running backs and defensive linemen break one another's bones to give their teams a chance to win. With a few seconds to go, a specialist shuffles onto the field and pushes the ball wide right—three hours of hard work undone by a guy who looks like the Great Gazoo. The big difference between a lousy kicker and a lousy bullpen: An NFL team in need can always ring up Morten Andersen. Fixing a subpar collection of relievers is trickier. With closer Billy Wagner out (and eventually lost for the season) with an elbow injury, the Mets were left with the baseball equivalent of chewed-up bubble gum: a sorry collection of meatballers, castoffs, and should-be minor leaguers. None of the team's quick fixes—trading for Ayala, calling up various overmatched fellows from AAA—has made things any better. As a Mets fan, it's tempting to blame someone—say, General Manager Omar Minaya—for this debacle. But the reality is that the chewed-up bubblegum strategy often works and that it would've been impossible to predict in spring training that every single Mets reliever would either underperform, get hurt, or both. When a bullpen can't do anything right, the best strategy is also the most frustrating one: wait till next year. For a case study in the unpredictability of major league bullpens, consider the Tampa Bay Rays. To go along with the best record in the American League, the Miracle Rays have the circuit's second-best bullpen ERA at 3.46. In 2007, the Rays finished with 66 wins and a bullpen ERA of 6.16, the worst in the majors since at least the 1950s. This season's dramatic turnaround isn't the result of a philosophical change on the part of Tampa's front office. In both seasons, the Rays threw together a collection of low-paid, hard-throwing retreads and never-weres. The 2007 group—led by Al Reyes, Brian Stokes, Shawn Camp, Gary Glover, Grant Balfour, and Dan Wheeler (a midseason acquisition)—was historically awful. The 2008 group—led by Troy Percival, Trever Miller, Jason Hammel, J.P. Howell (a converted starter who had a 7.59 ERA in 2007), Glover, Balfour, and Wheeler—has been stupendous. (Baseball Prospectus' Nate Silver argues that the Rays' bullpen has been helped by the team's improved defense, but the Tampa fielders would have to be toting 90-foot-wide gloves to account for a nearly three-run improvement in ERA.) The Cleveland Indians are the Rays' evil twin. After losing a tight AL Championship Series to the Red Sox last season, the Indians were a trendy World Series pick this year. Instead, the Indians started so poorly that, unlike the Mets, they never had the chance to disappoint their fans with a late-season collapse. One cause of the Cleveland cave-in: a bullpen that's gone from sixth in the majors in ERA in 2007 to 29 th in 2008. (The Mets rank 22nd.) The Indians, perhaps the best-run team in baseball since Mark Shapiro took over as general manager in 2001, seemed to do everything right. The team dumped its perpetually disappointing closer Joe Borowski this year and gave more responsibility to a trio of up-and-comers (Jensen Lewis, Rafael Betancourt, and Rafael Perez) who'd blitzed through the American League in 2007. All three have performed worse this season than last, and the rest of the Indians' pen has been even worse. The Mets didn't come into the 2008 season nearly as prepared as the Indians. As Chris Park wrote in Slate last year, "Clubs can reduce their risk of crushing bullpen failures by stockpiling young or undervalued arms and relying on whoever happens to be hot that year." New York had no relievers as talented as any member of the Cleveland trio, having used minor league fireballers like Heath Bell and Matt Lindstrom as trade bait in recent years. The team's major league roster was also cluttered with not-even-mediocrities like Scott Schoeneweis and Matt Wise. Even so, considering the year-to-year unpredictability of middle relievers, the Mets could be commended for refusing to patch their biggest hole with lots of money. Aaron Heilman and Joe Smith and Pedro Feliciano and Duaner Sanchez and even Jorge Sosa had all experienced bouts of goodness in recent years. Who's to say they couldn't do it again? After all, a similar patchwork strategy worked wonders for the Mets in 2006. That year, the team finished second in MLB in bullpen ERA thanks to a bunch of players with short résumés—Heilman and Feliciano and Sanchez, to name a few. Of course, this type of dispassionate reasoning isn't particularly comforting when you're watching a succession of Schoeneweises fritter away the season. At this point, only something as ludicrous as installing Santana as the closer could change the Mets' late-inning fortunes. (Sorry, John Maine, I have a feeling you're just going to make things worse.) For Mets fans, one small point of comfort is that the one thing worse than suffering through a bad bullpen is going overboard to fix it. The 1997 Seattle Mariners were an offensive juggernaut (Alex Rodriguez, Ken Griffey Jr., Edgar Martinez, Jay Buhner) with a bullpen that makes the 2008 Mets look like a bunch of Mariano Riveras (closer Norm Charlton's ERA: 7.27). At the trade deadline, Seattle traded Jason Varitek and Derek Lowe to the Red Sox for Heathcliff Slocumb. The Mariners made the playoffs and lost the division series in four games; Varitek and Lowe became key members of Boston first's World Series winner in 86 years. The Curse of the Bambino? That's nothing compared with the Curse of the Bleeping Brutal Bullpen. swingers The Colorado Purple The state is finally taking a shine to Democrats. But is it blue enough to accept Obama? By Christopher Beam Tuesday, September 23, 2008, at 4:22 PM ET DENVER—The good news for Barack Obama is that Colorado is more Democratic today than it was four years ago, when John Kerry lost the state by almost five percentage points. The bad news is that a Colorado Democrat is not necessarily an Obama Democrat. In 2004, Democrats recaptured majorities in both chambers of the Colorado Legislature and replaced retiring Republican U.S. Sen. Ben Nighthorse Campbell with Ken Salazar, a pro-gun moderate. Two years later, they elected pro-life Democrat Bill Ritter as governor. Both men are part of a long tradition of conservative Colorado Democrats, and their statewide organizations will undoubtedly help Obama. Even more encouraging is the recent success of a semi-obscure five-term congressman from Boulder who is running for Colorado's open Senate seat. If Mark Udall can win in Colorado, the thinking goes, so can Barack Obama. The problem is that Udall is not a typical Colorado Democrat. His district includes Boulder, the state's liberal enclave, and he has the voting record to match. He supports universal health care, civil unions, and abortion rights, and he opposes drilling on Colorado's Roan Plateau and the military's "don't ask, don't tell" policy. Udall (the son of former Arizona congressman Mo Udall) also voted against the authorization of military force in Iraq in 2002. Obama's positions line up well with Udall's. Because this is Colorado, however, Obama has to be careful not to identify his campaign too much with Udall's. To win the state, Obama needs the Salazar and Ritter voters in the center. Westerners like to describe themselves as "independent," but Colorado has the numbers to back it up. A quarter of the population—and a third of registered voters—has no party designation. These voters are most heavily concentrated outside Denver in Jefferson and Arapahoe counties. The state has its havens of orthodoxy, like Colorado Springs, home to Focus on the Family, and the aforementioned Boulder. But most voters sit somewhere in between. Ask politicos in the state to describe an average unaffiliated voter, and you hear everything from "Wal-Mart moms" to small-business immigrants to anti-war pro-lifers to fiscally conservative environmentalists. The one thing everyone seems to agree on: "Unaffiliateds," supposedly, are put off by negative attacks. If so, the candidates—and the 527s that support them—didn't get the memo. Colorado attack ads make "Celebrity" look polite. One now-famous spot depicts two veterans mocking Udall for supporting a "Department of Peace." "Boulder liberal," they keep repeating. "Radical Islam wants Americans dead," the narrator tells us. "What part of dead does Mark Udall not understand?" Another ad portrays the Department of Peace as a hot-boxed VW bus. An ad against Udall's opponent, Bob Schaffer, a former member of the U.S. House, shows a club of 10-gallon-hat-wearing oil barons sitting around a poker table, toasting to "Big Oil Bob." As for whether the ads work, the results are still unclear. Polls show Udall leading Schaffer by about five points. He's winning unaffiliated voters by a 2-to-1 margin. And of course, the Udall campaign claims the anti-Udall ads are doing more good than harm. So why isn't there more coordination between Udall and Obama? At his appearances in Colorado last week, Obama was introduced by Ritter and Salazar. Udall spokeswoman Tara Trujillo unconvincingly cites logistics: "We don't know if Obama's going to be in town until a couple days beforehand." More likely, the reasons are deeper. In Colorado, fiscal conservatism is not exclusively Republican. Guns and religion are important issues, not simply things for people to cling to. Bipartisanship is practically a fetish. "If there's a gang, [Salazar] joins it," says independent pollster Floyd Ciruli. Thus Udall is more of a barometer for Obama's success—if he's doing well, then Obama should do well—than a model for it. Politics aside, Obama is also trying not to repeat John Kerry's tactical mistakes of four years ago. Unlike Kerry, who at this point in 2004 was yanking ads from the state, Obama's campaign has opened 26 offices. "We've never had as much staff in the field as we have right now," says state Democratic Party Chair Pat Waak. Last week, Obama visited Grand Junction and Pueblo—not exactly the belly of the beast, but somewhere toward the back of its throat. None of which worries Dick Wadhams. The chairman of the Colorado Republican Party has two jobs this election: First, to make sure his state does not swing Democratic for the first time since 1992. And second, to get Schaffer elected to the Senate over Udall. (They are running for the seat left open by Republican Wayne Allard, who is retiring.) Wadhams' strategy is almost a mirror opposite of the Obama campaign's: lump Obama and Udall together at every opportunity. They're both typical tax-and-spend liberal weenies ("mile-high, inch-deep"). The name Udall doesn't escape Wadhams' lips without the prefix Boulder liberal. After a while, they start to sound like Udall's first and middle names. Of course, Wadhams can get exercised about Obama, too. The candidate's acceptance speech, he says, was a "self-worship rally" that displayed the "elitism" of the Democratic Party. Republicans also dismiss the Democrats' field organization, which Wadhams called the "One Field Office for Every Voter Plan." "Theirs is more of a shotgun approach," says state GOP spokesman Tom Kise. "Ours is more of a laser, very strategic." These attempts to peg Udall and Obama as fey liberals may be the Republicans' only hope. In everyone's favorite phrasing, the "fundamentals are strong" for Democrats. The state has seen an influx of new voters in the counties surrounding Denver. Meanwhile, Democrats are catching up in the registration game. During most of the '90s, there were about 150,000 more registered Republicans than Democrats. Their advantage has shrunk to about 60,000. Turnout has been rising. Larimer County, north of Denver, saw 93 percent Democratic turnout in 2006. For a midterm election, that's unheard of. Even in deeply conservative El Paso County, which includes Colorado Springs, Democrats are optimistic. They can't win the county, says Democratic state Sen. John Morse. But "if we can get 40 percent," he says, "then we win." It's a modest goal—but then, El Paso County has voted for the GOP presidential candidate for decades, and in 2004 Kerry won only 32 percent of the vote. And, truth be told, such modesty is in keeping with the Colorado Democrats' general demeanor. Obama may want to change the world, but Colorado Democrats will be happy with changing the minds of 8 percent of voters in El Paso County. technology The Cell Phone Wars Apple's iPhone is closed. Google's G1 is open. Which is better? By Farhad Manjoo Thursday, September 25, 2008, at 5:41 PM ET In August, a programmer named Alex Sokirynsky wrote a clever app to let iPhone users stream or download podcasts straight from their phones. (Ordinarily, the iPhone can play only the podcasts you've downloaded through your computer.) Sokirynsky submitted the program, called Podcaster, for inclusion in Apple's iPhone App Store—the only way for thirdparty developers to distribute their programs to iPhone users. Weeks passed; Sokirynsky heard nothing from Apple. Then, on Sept. 11, the company sent him a note. Apple had rejected Podcaster because "it duplicates the functionality of the podcast section of iTunes," an Apple rep told Sokirynsky. Apple's explanation didn't make any sense. The iPhone App Store carries many programs—for instance, calculators and instant-messenger apps—that mimic desktop software. And anyway, why is "duplicating functionality" so bad—isn't that the soul of competition? Sokirynsky's program didn't seem to violate any written guidelines that Apple had put out for iPhone apps. So why was Apple banning Podcaster? Nobody knows. In the two months since the App Store's launch, Apple has rejected several programs for seemingly arbitrary reasons that it won't disclose. Developers have grumbled about this capriciousness, but until now they've had no real alternative—iPhone and iPod Touch owners have already downloaded 100 million apps through the App Store, making Apple the Wal-Mart of mobile software. And then along came Sergey Brin and Larry Page. On Tuesday, the Google founders unveiled the G1, the first phone based on Google's new mobile operating system, Android. The phone, which will go on sale in late October, is manufactured by the Taiwanese company HTC and is being offered exclusively through T-Mobile, but Google's software will soon make its way to other phones and other carriers across the globe. Google says that Android embodies principles of "radical openness." Unlike Apple, the company will let developers create any mobile apps they please. Google has also persuaded carriers to allow users to run any apps they like—including voice-over-IP software like Skype, which carriers have traditionally resisted because it lets you make calls without running up cellular minutes. Watching Google and Apple carve out space in the mobile business, one can hardly avoid thinking that history is repeating itself. In the 1970s and '80s, Apple created the first great personal computers. But because Apple closed its platform, it was IBM, Dell, HP, and especially Microsoft that reaped the benefits of Apple's innovations. The Mac's operating system ran only on Mac computers; Windows ran on lots of lots of different companies' hardware. This made non-Apple computers both cheaper than Apple's machines—competition between hardware manufacturers pushed down prices—and more useful, as thirdparty developers flocked to write must-have programs for Windows. Apple seems to be following a similar restrictive strategy with the iPhone. Already, some developers have threatened to move to Android; Sokirynsky says he's building an Android version of Podcaster. Hasn't Steve Jobs learned anything in the last 30 years? Well, maybe he has—and maybe he's betting that these days, "openness" is overrated. For one thing, an open platform is much more technically complex than a closed one. Your Windows computer crashes more often than your Mac computer because—among many other reasons—Windows has to accommodate a wider variety of hardware. Dell's machines use different hard drives and graphics cards and memory chips than Gateway's, and they're both different from Lenovo's. The Mac OS, meanwhile, has to work on just a small range of Apple's rigorously tested internal components—which is part of the reason it can run so smoothly. And why is your PC glutted with viruses and spyware? The same openness that makes a platform attractive to legitimate developers makes it a target for illegitimate ones. Google's Android OS is "open" in two distinct ways. First, Google has released the software under an open-source license, allowing hardware manufacturers to customize Android for different phones. Second, Android is open to third-party apps; Google and the carriers will make sure that apps do not violate the law or harm people's phones, but other than that, they promise to impose few restrictions. While this is just what developers like Alex Sokirynsky want to hear, it's not obvious that this level of openness will be good for users. Will a game that was developed for a phone with a relatively fast processor crash on a phone with a slower processor? What if you buy an app that requires a full keyboard, but you're running a phone without one—how will Android respond? Engadget pointed out that even before its public launch, Android's Marketplace is full of programs that don't adhere to a single design paradigm, making for a "sea of mediocrity." Is that the danger of running a store without a rigorous approval process? Let's remember, too, that if keeping a platform closed was Steve Jobs' greatest blunder, it was also a part of his greatest success. The iPod is a closed platform: The device runs Apple's software, it connects to iTunes on your computer, and its music store sells songs that will work only on Apple's devices. In 2004, Microsoft tried to take on the iPod with a more open music strategy called PlaysForSure. (OK, relatively more open; PlaysForSure, like songs sold on iTunes, included a copy-protection scheme.) Microsoft set out to certify and license music players made by lots of different manufacturers, an attempt to fight Apple's music business the same way it had taken on Apple's computer business. But this time Microsoft failed—the iPod-iTunes link simply worked better than the tangle of PlaysForSure devices. Eventually Microsoft went Apple's way—it ditched PlaysForSure in favor of the Zune, for which it designs both the hardware and software. Why did a closed platform hurt the Mac but not the iPod? In his book Inside Steve's Brain, Wired.com editor Leander Kahney argues that in the early PC market, flexibility was of paramount importance. Businesses were the early adopters of the computer world, and they wanted systems that were cheap and could run all kinds of programs. But those factors aren't as important in the consumer-electronics market; people like some measure of openness in their devices, but they also don't mind ceding control in return for security and convenience. The video-game industry proves this. No console is open—Microsoft and Sony approve every game that you can buy on your XBox or PS3. But most gamers don't mind that, because in return they're assured that games reach a certain minimum standard—you don't have to worry that Grand Theft Auto will trash your game system. None of this is to say there's anything defensible about Apple's rejections of iPhone apps. It got rid of I Am Rich, a $1,000 program that did nothing, and Pull My Finger, a fart-joke app, for "limited utility"—which would be understandable if so many iPhone Apps weren't pretty limited. (How did Apple decide that a program that turns your phone into a flashlight is more useful than a program that turns your phone into a whoopee cushion?) Apple also rejected a comic book app called Murderdrome because its contents were too violent—even though it offers extremely violent movies in the iTunes Store. And it blocked an e-mail client because it competed with the iPhone's built-in email app, a transparently anti-competitive move. But there's no sign, yet, that any of these moves poses any harm to the iPhone's long-term prospects as an attractive platform for developers. Reports suggest that successful iPhone developers have made hundreds of thousands of dollars—which seems reason enough for them to labor under Apple's unpredictable policies. Apple seems to be pursuing a strategy of just-openenough—permissive enough to keep programmers writing code and to keep customers buying software but still locked-down enough to let Apple control the platform's larger direction. travel site, his Facebook piece draws from this ad company, and his hotel guides pull from the hotels' Web sites. So far, Apple's restrictions on apps haven't turned off iPhone users, either. That may change if someone develops a killer app for Android that can't be replicated on the iPhone—Skype, for example, or a program to "tether" your phone to your laptop, letting you get online through your cell plan. But if users threaten to quit the iPhone because it lacks certain apps, you can bet that Jobs will find a way to respond. Over the years, he's shown a willingness to embrace openness when it has suited Apple's bottom line—the iPod, after all, works on Windows computers. Until that day comes, the iPhone will remain semiopen for business. Knol is a wasteland of such articles: text copied from elsewhere, outdated entries abandoned by their creators, self-promotion, spam, and a great many old college papers that people have dug up from their files. Part of Knol's problem is its novelty. Google opened the system for public contribution just a couple months ago, so it's unreasonable to expect too much of it at the moment; Wikipedia took years to attract the sort of contributors and editors who've made it the amazing resource it is now. technology Chuck Knol Why Google's online encyclopedia will never be as good as Wikipedia. By Farhad Manjoo Monday, September 22, 2008, at 5:57 PM ET There are two articles about Sarah Palin on Google Knol, the search company's abysmal new Wikipedia-like reference guide. One of them is a mess: Just a few hundred words long, the article is fraught with factual and grammatical errors. The other Palin entry is much more readable and informative, offering a thorough, balanced look at Palin's years in city and state government and her positions on national political issues. Unlike Wikipedia, Knol displays its authors' names and credentials to help you decide whether to trust a given piece. When I click on the name of the second Palin entry's author, Sam Goldfarb, I see that he's also written Knol articles about advertising on Facebook, the Chinese territory of Macau, and several hotels in Israel. How does Goldfarb know so much about so many things? You might call him a keen student of the Web—a bit of Googling confirms that each of his articles was lifted from other online sources. Goldfarb's great Palin entry is a copy of the Wikipedia article on the Alaska governor as it appeared on Aug. 29, the day John McCain picked Palin as his running mate. That's why the Knol piece still describes Palin as having "successfully killed the Bridge to Nowhere"; the Wikipedia entry on Palin has since been updated thousands of times, and it now tells a more nuanced story about her flip-flop on the bridge. (Wikipedia's articles are licensed under the GNU Free Documentation License, which allows people to copy an entry's text as long as they also reproduce the license; Goldfarb's Palin article and many others on Knol that copy from Wikipedia don't follow those rules.) Goldfarb's Macau article is lifted from this Macau But Google has grand ambitions for Knol. In a December blog post announcing the project, the company's engineering chief, Udi Manber, wrote that Google wants Knol articles to stand as "the first thing someone who searches for this topic for the first time will want to read." Of course, the first thing you find for many topics you search for now—including Sarah Palin—is a Wikipedia article. Unless Google radically redesigns Knol, it looks unlikely to supplant Wikipedia. The project suffers two critical flaws that promote poorly written, poorly sourced, and plagiarized articles. First, Knol diminishes community involvement, giving authors complete control over their postings. Second, it rewards authors with advertising lucre, creating a huge incentive for people to post as much content as possible. That probably helps explain why so much of Knol's content is repurposed from elsewhere. These aren't haphazard mistakes. Google put these two measures in place by design to differentiate Knol from the world's preeminent online encyclopedia. Wikipedia operates on a principle known as NPOV—contributors and editors aim for a flat, "unbiased" tone and a "neutral point of view." Wikipedia is functionally anonymous. You judge the reliability of any Wikipedia piece not on the strength of the writing or the credentials of its authors but, instead, by the documents it cites to support its statements. (Never trust a Wikipedia article riddled with "citation needed" warnings.) Google says neutrality and anonymity are overrated. Instead, Knol prizes personality and expertise. "We believe that knowing who wrote what will significantly help users make better use of Web content," Manber wrote last year. While Google encourages authors to add citations in their articles, you're supposed to judge a Knol piece not by its references but by the credentials of its author and the force with which he makes his case. That's why Knol allows different people to post different articles on Sarah Palin. Competition between authors, Manber argued, produces better content. Google's argument fits in with the long history of writing and publishing. After all, we read books and magazines not for their neutrality but for an author's clear point of view. Similarly, if you don't know a thing about Roger Federer, you'll learn much more from David Foster Wallace's appreciation of the star athlete than from the Wikipedia entry that states in bland, NPOV language that "tennis critics, legendary players, and current players consider him the greatest tennis player ever." So what's wrong with encouraging a bounty of such articles online—a reference guide that's both informative and stylishly written? What's wrong is that perspective and style don't scale. Writing is hard even for the world's greatest wordsmiths; it requires time, thought, and care. Good writing also usually requires good editing. Because Wikipedia's NPOV guidelines set clear rules for what's allowed on the site, Wikipedia is easy to edit—anyone can look up the tenets of NPOV and then set about cleaning up contributions that stray from the preferred style. By default, Knol articles can be edited by readers, but each edit must be accepted by the original author before the revision takes hold. Along with the obvious problem of giving authors control of when they're edited, Knol doesn't give readers any guidelines for how to edit. One Knol article on Tori Amos describes her 2007 album American Doll Posse as marking a return to "daring and somewhat angry" songs and adds that her voice on the record sounded better than it has "since 2001." Those lines are vague and mushy: What about the album is angry? Why does her voice sound so much better than before? Under Wikipedia's NPOV rules, both descriptions would have to go, and any reader could delete them with a couple of keystrokes. But Knol allows such personal opinions, so you'd have to persuade the writer to excise them on other grounds—which, of course, takes a lot of work. Instead of going through the trouble, I clicked away. As I perused Knol over the past couple of weeks, I tried to contact the authors of the few articles that I found interesting. This proved difficult; Knol doesn't require writers to post their contact information. Even though readers are asked to accept these people as experts on a topic, there's no easy way to ask them questions about their expertise. Still, I did manage to contact a few Knol posters, and I was surprised by what I found: Most people who contributed to Knol did so for money. Some authors wanted to test the power of Ad Sense, the text ads that Google lets writers place alongside their articles—Google gives authors a share of the revenue it generates from those ads. (People told me they hadn't earned more than a couple of dollars from these.) Other authors were interested in promoting their Web businesses. Natasha Derrick, who runs a Web site called Hawaii Travel Guide with her husband, had repurposed several of her old pieces on Hawaii to post on Knol. (The Knol pieces include links to her Hawaii Travel Guide.) Derrick told me she hasn't seen any increase in traffic to her site yet. But she and her husband see Knol as a way to "get in on the ground floor" of something great. Knol could be the next Wikipedia, and Derrick's piece on the Hana Highway might make its way up the search rankings, delivering throngs of people to her site. Derrick's plan dovetails nicely with Google's: If Knol is the next Wikipedia, both the writer and the company make a killing. The problem is that we don't need the next Wikipedia. Today's version works amazingly well. television Knight Rider 2.0 A show so bad it makes one long for David Hasselhoff. By Troy Patterson Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 5:22 PM ET Though engineered for the delectation of boys who are too old for Hot Wheels and too young for learner's permits, Knight Rider (NBC, Wednesdays at 8 p.m. ET) arrives tricked out with just enough eccentricity to avoid utterly craven stupidity. That level of near-competence is perhaps all we can expect from NBC, given the network's recent record of reviving vintage TV. Last year, someone over there took Bionic Woman—which began its brief life as the best new show of the season: tense, menacing, existential, and foxy—and sucked all the bio- out of it within three episodes. "They did something really dumb with that show," Bill Carter observed to Charlie Rose that fall. "They decided that the pilot was too dark, and they made it as pedestrian as they could." There is no danger of NBC's repeating that mistake: Knight Rider, a sequel to the 1980s hit about the crime-fighting, sentient car, first returned a few months back as a TV movie—a "backdoor pilot" in industry jargon. Nothing else they come up with could possibly be more pedestrian than that backdoor pilot. So if you're looking to see the sci-fi Cheese Whiz of your youth transformed into something compelling, then you're probably already watching Battlestar Galactica. The new Knight Rider, meanwhile, has less gravity than the old Knight Rider. One actually longs for the presence of David Hasselhoff, who played hero Michael Knight in the original. The distinctively animal weirdness of the hirsute Hoff has been replaced by the squarejawed humanoid blandness of someone or other. The role of the car's voice (once drolly phonated by William Daniels, with some of Trevor Howard's clipped superiority and just a touch of C-3PO's fussiness) has fallen to Val Kilmer, who makes his intelligence sound eerily artificial: Just because the car, KITT, is more congenial than HAL 9000 doesn't make him any less chilling, and Kilmer's too much a Method actor to consider playing it for camp. (His voice keeps a straight face, almost a saving grace.) The show replaces the original's Pontiac Trans Am with an indestructible Mustang also capable of transforming into other vehicles found on the lot of your local Ford dealer. Further, the new Knight Rider discards the vigilante Western mood of the Reagan-era original in favor of fashionably careering through the world of surveillance as presented by Alias, 24, and the Bourne films. (Doug Liman, who directed The Bourne Identity and also, damningly, Mr. & Mrs. Smith, is an executive producer, so let's credit him with bringing some kiddie-ride zing to the proceeding.) There's some counterfeit James Bond in there, too: KITT is like a career-topping gadget by Q, and he tends to speak to the new Michael Knight in tones as reproving as M's. Near the opening of the first regular episode, while the evening-suited hero is racing around inside a party at "Foreign Consulate, U.S.A.," the car chides him through his earpiece: "You would probably move faster if you ate a healthy diet, decreased your alcohol intake, and reduced the extracurricular activity with your lady friends." Just don't tell the post-Hot Wheels crowd that the Ian Fleming creation that Knight Rider most closely resembles—in its raison d'être prop, yes, but also its general level of sophistication—is Chitty Chitty Bang Bang. Beyond his special friendship with his motorized steed, Michael Knight has human colleagues, who sit in front of fancy computer screens wearing tank tops and bantering and plotting whoknows-what. (After Alias, spy shows no longer feel obliged to make sense, and obscurity is embraced as a virtue.) He has a love interest, Sarah, the daughter of KITT's inventor. Sarah has long hair, gray eyes, and classy taste in underwear, as we discover in a scene where KITT absorbs a hit from a heatseeking missile and then motors around for a very long time engulfed in the flames of "an advanced form of napalm." But Knight also has an old flame he doesn't even remember— something about black ops, French-kissing in Beirut, multiplepersonality disorder, maybe, as if it matters. The main thing is that the mystery woman vrooms onto the scene exactly like a Russ Meyers supervixen; then cuts off another character's thumb in order to obtain a sample of his DNA; and then carries the thumb, in a transparent jar, into an exceedingly phony stand-in for a Washington, D.C., Metro station. Would a swab of the cheek have been too simple for Knight Rider's tastes? But that's the wrong question: Taste isn't an issue here. the big idea Obama's Message Deficit Why he needs an economic slogan. By Jacob Weisberg Saturday, September 20, 2008, at 7:11 AM ET Barack Obama has a range of sensible economic policies. He has a team of prudent advisers with a centrist, pro-trade cast. He may even have some grasp of why the American financial system collapsed last week. What Obama doesn't have, so far, is an economic message. He's missing a story about what's gone wrong with the American economy and how to fix it. He hasn't managed to present his various proposals on taxes, health care, energy, housing foreclosures, and the rest in a way that resonates with voters. He hasn't emphasized a few signature policies to let us know what his top priorities are. He hasn't got a decent slogan. If you go to the economy section on Obama's Web site, the banner that greets you proclaims, "Responsible Tax Cuts for Ordinary Americans." It's accompanied by an image of two piggy banks, a small one labeled "Taxes" and a big one labeled "Savings." The fat piggie is overflowing with pennies. What, exactly, is the concept here? That we should save less to feed the tax piglet? The ability to organize economic issues around a simple, lucid theme was a talent of our two most successful recent presidents. Ronald Reagan offered an overarching narrative about how government had come to play too large a role in the economy. His most famous slogans—"Get the government off our backs," "Morning again in America," "Are you better off than you were four years ago?"—all got at his notion of unshackling enterprise from its bureaucratic fetters to restore growth. Bill Clinton had a different tale about how ordinary Americans—people who work hard and play by the rules—were falling behind. His catchphrases—"Putting people first," "It's the economy, stupid," "Building a bridge to the 21st century"—similarly supported the policy changes he thought would help the struggling middle class. For examples of candidates who weren't good at this, you need look no further than Al Gore and John Kerry. Burdened by the need to separate himself from Clinton toward the end of the '90s boom, Gore delivered a message that Michael Kinsley characterized as, "You've never had it so good, and I'm mad as hell about it." Kerry took an equally incongruous populist tack in 2004, fulminating unconvincingly about how he'd prevent corporations from shipping jobs overseas. Barack Obama is a more persuasive messenger, but his economic message has yet to transcend the Gore-Kerry muddle. Obama lacks any compelling story line about why unemployment, inflation, and inequality are rising, why the middle class is stagnating, or why the financial system has stopped working. His thematic framing is both too broad and not proprietary enough. His message of change and postpartisanship blurs together dissatisfaction with the economy, the war in Iraq, President Bush, special-interest politics, and the assorted depredations of "Washington." John McCain can wear these clothes nearly as easily as Obama can. And Obama's lack of a resonant economic message has left too much space in the political discourse for freak-show debates about lipstick and moose hunting. Why has Obama not done a better job conveying his approach to reordering the economy? Part of the difficulty lies with the skills of the people who do and don't work for him. Thus far, the Obamans have played an astonishingly good ground game. But I think it's fair to say that the campaign's Chicago-based high command is stronger on campaign mechanics than message. In Chicago, you don't win a mayoral race with grand ideas. You focus on quality-of-life issues and get voters to the polling place on Election Day. Absent from Obama's inner circle is the Democrat A-team most skilled at deploying a thematic message—people like Paul Begala, James Carville, Gene Sperling, and Bruce Reed. All of them worked for the last Democratic president, and as a result were on Hillary Clinton's side in the primaries. Some of them are helping Obama, but none is close to him. The larger challenge is the candidate's cool, cerebral style. Reasoning is a fine quality in a decision-maker and bodes well for an Obama presidency, if he gets to have one. But when campaigning, it's helpful to be a passionate storyteller as well. Alas, Obama doesn't seem to think in the anecdotal, visceral terms that nonwonks relate to. His relationship to economic ideas is largely analytic. As David Leonhardt has argued, Obama's understanding reflects a University of Chicago synthesis of neoclassical free-market thinking with behavioral economics. Obama's top economic advisers, Jason Furman and Austan Goolsbee, reflect his scholarly sophistication. What they don't do is check his tendency to circle around a point instead of making it crisply and then hammering it home. As we say in journalism, Obama likes to bury his lede. What would such a stronger Democratic economic message look like? There may be a preview of it in Obama's new two-minute ad, which puts the larger problem in Clinton-esque terms: "The truth is that while you've been living up to your responsibilities, Washington has not." But Obama still has a long way to go in explaining where the American faith in broadly shared prosperity got lost, and how his policies could bring it back. His proposals to reallocate the tax burden, invest in infrastructure, decouple health insurance from employment, and transition to renewable resources are components of a coherent effort to renew the American dream. Now it's time for him to frame them that way. A version of this article also appears in this week's issue of Newsweek. The Big Sort Why No One Trusts the Government To Fix Anything Anymore Things haven't been the same since LBJ's Great Society. By Bill Bishop Thursday, September 25, 2008, at 3:47 PM ET the green lantern Dirty Dogs and Carbon Cats The greenest ways to care for your pet. By Jacob Leibenluft Tuesday, September 23, 2008, at 6:45 AM ET This one is a little gross, but I have lots of pets at home, and most of my weekly waste is composed of dog and cat poop. What's the best way to dispose of all that so that I don't end up hurting the environment? The Lantern has never been trusted to care for any pet larger than a hamster—rest in peace, Fonzie!—so he'll admit that this question falls a little outside his comfort zone. But your question raises an important point: To own a dog or cat can significantly increase the ecological footprint of your household. The Lantern hopes to cover other aspects of domestic animal husbandry in the future, but today let's focus one of the most important ways you can manage your pet's "pawprint": responsible waste disposal. Whether you have a dog or a cat, you'll have two problems to deal with: How do you collect your animal's poop, and what do you do with it once you have it in hand? Most dog owners have been conditioned to clean up after their pets when they walk on public streets and sidewalks. But it's just as important to dispose properly of dog waste in your own backyard. Pet waste contains bacteria that can contaminate local waterways if it washes from your lawn into storm drains. In large enough quantities, this pollution can remove oxygen from streams and rivers and contribute to algal blooms, threatening marine life. What should a dog owner do to prevent this from happening? Experts recommend one of several options. First, you can dump the waste down the toilet, since most sewage-treatment systems can filter out the harmful bacteria. You can also bury the waste in your yard at least 12 inches deep and then cover it with soil. Or you can create a special composter for your dog waste—see these instructions from the U.S. Department of Agriculture; just make sure it's far away from any fruits and vegetables you might be growing. To move dog poop around, it's best to reuse old plastic shopping bags. If you've made the better move of eliminating polypropylene bags from your diet already, then try to find boxes or bags that are made from bio matter. For cat owners, things get more complicated. Cats that get infected with a parasite called Toxoplasma gondii can shed that organism's oocysts in their waste. (Most cats with toxoplasmosis won't show any symptoms, so you might not know if your cat has the disease.) According to research conducted in California, Toxoplasma appears to have contributed to an uptick in the deaths of wild sea otters in the past few years. (The parasite can be toxic to humans, too, but as long as you wash your hands after dealing with cat poop, you probably aren't at risk.) And conventional sewage treatment doesn't appear to be effective in filtering out the nasty bugs. Skeptics have pointed out that cats haven't definitively been identified as the culprit. They note that only 1 percent of cat feces samples in one recent study carried Toxoplasma, that indoor cats are especially unlikely to catch the parasite, and that many infected otters may actually be dying of other causes. It's also not clear how much Toxoplasma affects other kinds of marine life. But pending further research, the Lantern thinks that if your cat ever wanders outside the house, precaution merits keeping its poop out of the toilet and out of your yard. You're better off using kitty litter instead—but be careful about which kind you use. Most is made of bentonite clay or its cousin, fuller's earth; both materials are extracted through surface mining, an environmentally taxing process. According to the U.S. Geological Survey, about a quarter of all bentonite mined in the United States and over half of all fuller's earth—nearly 2.5 million metric tons a year between the two—is used as an absorbent for pet waste. Mining companies claim they can regrow any vegetation removed during the extraction process, but the scope of reclamation projects for Wyoming bentonite suggests that the effects of strip mining can be significant. Meanwhile, because the litter is nonbiodegradable, there's no place for it to go but the landfill. A better option would be litters that come from recycled newspapers, wheat, corn cobs or reclaimed sawdust, assuming you don't want to go about making your own. These litters— along with the cat waste—can be composted, as long as you use the right precautions, and they provide a good use of recycled material. If you use liners for your litter box, you can find ones made from biodegradable plastic. (Some owners complain about their cats' reactions to green litters, so try them on a small scale first and see what happens.) Is there an environmental quandary that's been keeping you up at night? Send it to ask.the.lantern@gmail.com, and check this space every Tuesday. the has-been Too Broke To Fail Why this crisis will make the next president better. By Bruce Reed Tuesday, September 23, 2008, at 4:16 AM ET Tuesday, Sept. 23, 2008 Someone's Better Off: With a deep recession looming and the government going bust, the widespread consensus is that the financial crisis strikes a bitter blow to the presidential candidates' grand policy ambitions. As Ted Widmer asked in the Outlook section of Sunday's Washington Post, "Why on Earth would anyone want to be president right now?" The next president will have to spend so much cleaning up the mess, he might be tempted to let Treasury foreclose on the White House. Is the next president worse off than he was eight days ago? In many respects, yes. No president can do well if ordinary citizens are doing badly. A number of national problems that were getting too little attention before Black Monday will now sink even deeper in the beleaguered next president's stack. Yet in the long run, our next leader may look back on the current meltdown as the biggest break of his presidency. While the next president's job just got a bit more perilous, it also became a great deal more important. And if President Obama or President McCain is able to rise to the occasion, this crisis could increase the odds that his time in office will be a success. Here are three reasons why, down the road, our 44th president might see the earth-shattering economic news of the past week as not all bad: 1. It takes a crisis to change the tone in Washington. Throughout their campaigns, Barack Obama and John McCain both have promised to put partisan politics aside and set a new tone in Washington. The financial crisis seems to have beaten them to the punch. Oddly enough, the two campaigns spent much of the past week jabbing at each other—while Republicans and Democrats back in Washington sounded more notes of bipartisan harmony than we've heard since 9/11. That's not a coincidence. In normal times, the two biggest deficits in Washington are urgency and seriousness of purpose. In a crisis, those are no longer in short supply. JFK once said the time to fix the roof is when the sun is shining. But until the rain starts, it's also much easier for the political world not to notice any leak. On many public policy issues in recent years—health care, Social Security, climate change—the two sides have struggled even to reach agreement on whether crisis was looming. Not this time. You know it's a crisis when conservatives start the bidding at $700 billion. Because of their inherent uncertainty, crises tend to force parties to hedge their bets, tamp down ideological certitude, and be pragmatic. "There are no atheists in foxholes and no ideologues in financial crises," says Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke. The good feeling doesn't last forever: A president who wants to revive partisan rancor can do so in a hurry, as Bush demonstrated in the nasty 2002 midterm elections. On the other hand, a president who wants to keep the spirit of cooperation alive can do so till the crisis goes away—a window that might last awhile. 2. The next president will be too broke to fail. Like Wall Street titans, presidents tend to think more clearly when times are tight than when they have money to burn. When George W. Bush inherited a huge surplus, he squandered it in his first six months. When Bill Clinton took office, by contrast, all he inherited was a huge stack of IOUs. That forced him to make a few tough, painful decisions early in his presidency—which produced a far bigger economic payoff for the country over the long haul. president could get a whole term to govern like Paulson. Exhausting as it sounds, that too could prove to be a blessing in disguise. For the past two years, Obama has worked hard to make the political world safe for change. McCain, caught between a failed brand and a reluctant base, is looking for ways to make change his friend. The economic crisis will give the winner an opportunity and obligation as president to be a bolder agent of change than they or their parties imagined. For example, the current conventional wisdom assumes that big-ticket items like health care and distant challenges like Social Security must be put on hold until the economy recovers. But the more big new debts we take on in the short term, the more important it will become to shore up our financial stability over the long haul. For that matter, if we do nothing about health care costs, the auto industry could be next in line at the Treasury window. From tax reform to energy to modernizing government, our economic woes will compel the next president toward what FDR called "bold, persistent experimentation." In the depths of the Great Depression, Roosevelt chose that course for a reason: When challenges we've never tackled before start appearing at rates we've never seen, bold experiments are our only hope of catching up. We have to try new things, and keep trying until we get it right. All politicians dream of a world in which they don't have to make choices. But for a president, having to make choices can be a blessing, not a curse. Bush would have done better fighting one war at a time, not two. LBJ ran into trouble because he thought he could afford both guns and butter. Most successful presidents concentrate on getting one thing done before moving onto the next item on their to-do list. With no illusions of plenty, the next president will be forced to focus his priorities and invest his political capital well. Shortly after the 1992 election, the Clinton economic team met at Blair House to tell the president-elect that he was about to inherit a far bigger budget deficit than anticipated. He should have been crestfallen, but surrounded by portraits of FDR and other predecessors, he couldn't help feeling inspired by the challenge. Let's hope, for his own sake, the next president feels the same way. ... 4:25 A.M. (link) 3. Caution is not an option. Consider this: Henry Paulson has proposed a more sweeping domestic agenda in the last eight days than George W. Bush proposed in the last eight years. The next Ice Time: When Joe Lieberman became the first Jewish vice-presidential nominee, Clyde Haberman of the New York Times summed up the American Jewish reaction as one of initial pride, followed immediately by the question, "Is it good for the Wednesday, Sept. 17, 2008 Jews?" When Mitt Romney launched his presidential bid, he ran into similar worries from many fellow members of the Church of Latter Day Saints, who wondered if it would be good for the Mormons. So perhaps it's only natural that since Sarah Palin emerged as the most famous hockey mom in history, the reaction around the rink has been, is it good for hockey? Other sports have made their peace with politics. For a century, major league baseball has asked presidents to throw out the first pitch on Opening Day. Both parties have elected retired football players to Congress, the Super Bowl is a major political event, and George W. Bush risked his life to watch an NFL playoff game. Barack Obama played basketball with troops; he and McCain both hyped their NCAA tournament picks. Yet aside from Team USA's gold-medal upset in the 1980 Olympics, the worlds of American politics and hockey have tried their best not to collide. A few politicians may tout the sport in hockey-mad states like Alaska, Minnesota, and Massachusetts, and John Kerry nearly brought his skates all the way to the White House. But in general, the two arenas have kept their distance, each viewing the other as too rough, cold, and foreign. Now comes Sarah Palin, who threatens to turn hockey into the biggest celebrity spectator sport in the world. Suddenly, "hip check" and Zamboni have entered the political lexicon. Last week, the New York Times examined the "hockey way of life," suggesting that in Alaska, the game is at best a way to keep young people off the streets and at worst the reason Bristol Palin got pregnant. This week, hockey moms went viral with a Swift Boat parody, "Hockey Moms for Truth." As a fading hockey player and below-average hockey dad, I have one reaction to the overnight surge of media attention to our once obscure game: Thanks, but no thanks! If we wanted to become a political football, we would have signed up for a different sport. At first, the rush of Palin publicity seemed like a boon for the game. Before she introduced herself as "just your average hockey mom," "average" wasn't the first word most often associated with hockey parents. In popular culture, the more common adjectives were "violent" and "homicidal." USA Hockey, the governing body for the sport, frets enough about the stereotype to run chill-out ads like these. What's more, ice hockey suffers from the same problem as the Republican Party: not much of a female fan base. The scoreboard company Jumbotron makes the astonishing claim that only 22% of NHL fans are women. By comparison, women make up nearly twice as big a share (43%) of Major League Baseball fans, 41% of NBA fans, 40% of NASCAR fans, and 37% of NFL fans. (Hope is on the way: Ice hockey is one of the fastest growing women's sports.) But after a few weeks under the media spotlight, the hockey world is starting to remember why we preferred our rinks dimly lit in the first place. Stu Hackel, a hockey blogger for the New York Times, wrote a long post recently on how much he resents the game being dragged into politics and used as a pawn. Several readers agreed -- and chided him for dragging politics into a hockey blog. Over at OnFrozenBlog, pucksandbooks tried to look on the bright side: "If you love hockey, how can you not like how hockey is being celebrated (associated with perseverance and toughness) in the rhetoric of 2008's political debates?" For readers, however, pride was tempered by grave concern about what the association with politics might do to hockey's reputation. In my experience, we hockey parents are already a little grumpy from ice times that are too late or too early. For many, the sudden attention just brings up the sore subject of how little respect the sport gets in the U.S. "You know hockey is never going to be better than the fourth major sport," one OnFrozenBlog reader lamented, recalling how ESPN's SportsCenter used to make fans suffer through golf highlights before getting around to the NHL. Then again, at least we don't live in Canada, where politicians are always trying to put lipstick on a puck. The current leader, Stephen Harper, is a selfstyled "hockey-dad-turned-Prime-Minister." A Canadian hockey pol gets to have it both ways – screaming at the refs now and then shows you're a regular bloke, while sitting behind your kid on the bench softens your image. Yet even in Canada, the hockey schtick doesn't play well in all quarters. With national elections a month away, the Toronto Globe and Mail ran two articles last week after an "exclusive interview" with Harper. One piece discussed the Prime Minister's views on NHL expansion, noting that he has written an unpublished history of hockey. The other article took a different tack: "During a campaign stop at a winery in St-Eustache, Que., Mr. Harper, who many have called a Philistine, also spoke at length about his life-long passion for music and the piano." With great panache, Harper recounted writing poetry, suffering as a pianist from "nervous" hands, and overcoming one of the most unusual childhood hard-luck stories in political history: "For the first half year I was in lessons, we didn't have a piano and I would actually practice for my lessons on a cardboard keyboard." If politicians start saying the difference between a hockey dad and a pit bull is a cardboard keyboard, hockey parents might decide we liked our old reputation better. ... 1:38 P.M. (link) Tuesday, Sept. 9, 2008 NASCAR on Ice: Every election, pollsters and pundits introduce another voter group whose views are certain to decide the outcome: soccer moms, NASCAR dads, security moms, office park dads, and (three times in the past week) Wal-Mart moms. These categories, while sometimes useful, share an important methodological flaw: On Election Day, when undecided voters finally make up their minds, exit pollsters don't ask them where they work or where they shop, what sports they watch or what games their children play. Exit polls eschew these trendy questions in favor of boring demographic perennials like age, race, gender, education, and income level. Precisely because exit poll questions don't change much from one cycle to the next, however, they provide an interesting portrait of how the electorate evolves—or doesn't. Some segments of the electorate are fiercely loyal to one party; others lean toward one party but more dramatically in some years than others. According to exit polls, the most volatile swing voter group over the last 20 years hasn't been hockey moms like Sarah Palin, commuter dads like Joe Biden, or soccer parents like Barack and Michelle Obama. Over the last two decades, the swing voters most prone to moving away from Republicans in elections Democrats won and toward Republicans in elections Republicans won have been white men with a degree from high school but not college. In other words, forget Sarah Palin: In recent elections, the biggest swingers looked more like her husband, Todd. Democrats don't need to win a majority among white men without bachelors' degrees, but it's crucial to cut our losses. In 2000 and 2004, Democrats lost that group by about 30 percent. In the 2006 midterms, Democrats cut our losses in half. In 1992, with some help from Ross Perot, we managed to eke out a slim plurality. Because this voting bloc still makes up nearly one-fifth of the electorate, losing them by 30 points instead of 15 means a shift the size of George W. Bush's margin over John Kerry. The only group with a swing that comes close is white women with the same educational profile, who turn out in greater numbers but are less likely to switch sides. Of course, past performance is no guarantee of future results, especially in a path-breaking year like this one. The Obama campaign has invested heavily in registering and turning out new voters, while the McCain campaign carries the albatross of an old, unpopular GOP brand. In an economy this troubled, and after an administration this bad, all kinds of voters who went Republican in the past should be up for grabs. Then again, that might be yet another reason men with no college degree should be among the most up-for-grabs of all. So far, Todd Palin has attracted as much attention for his looks and his nickname as for his politics. No one knows whether he joined the Alaskan Independence Party because he wanted a vote on statehood, was a Perot supporter fed up with the two parties, or just liked this one's quirky platform: "The AIP supports fishing!" Sarah Palin called her husband "a story all by himself"—fisherman, oil worker, snowmobiler, part Eskimo, and perhaps the first person ever to be cheered by a Republican Convention for belonging to the United Steelworkers Union. The current vice-presidential spouse, Lynne Cheney, grew up in a small Western town, got a Ph.D., and used it to write racy novels. Todd's passion is the 2,000-mile, NASCAR-on-ice Tesoro Iron Dog. Last year, he told the AP that his principal cause as First Dude of Alaska was expanding training for noncollege workers: "For those of us who learn by touching and tearing stuff apart and for those who don't have the financial background to go to college, just being a product of that on-the-job training is really important." Noncollege men aren't going to vote Republican just because they identify with Todd Palin—and in any case, he's hardly the stereotypical workingclass swing voter. He's now a registered Republican, married to a passionately conservative one. Before he left his job as a production operator for BP, he was earning between $100,000 and $120,000 a year—about three times the Census Bureau average for men who haven't finished college. In contrast to the Lower 48, Alaska remains a land of opportunity where it is still possible to succeed beyond one's wildest dreams through what the AP called "a lifetime of manual labor." Many of my high-school classmates in Idaho headed north for the same reason. The trouble with the GOP argument is that so far, their only plan to boost the incomes of noncollege-graduates is the one Todd Palin came up with on his own 20 years ago: work in Alaska! So in the rush to court more familiar voters, Democrats shouldn't concede Dude Dads to the Republicans. Democrats may not have a First Dude on the ticket, but we have a good plan to help the forgotten middle class do better again. The next president needs to help the United States build the job-rich industries of the future, such as new energy-efficient technologies, and give Americans what Rep. Rahm Emanuel calls "a new deal for the new economy": health care they can afford, a 401(k) pension they can keep, a tax cut they've earned, and the chance to get more training and send their kids to college. In this campaign, Americans have heard more than enough about the Bridge to Nowhere. What millions of voters want out of this election is a bridge to somewhere. A bridge to the 21st century would be a good place to start. ... 5:19 p.m. (link) Saturday, August 30, 2008 The New Frontier: Flush from a pitch-perfect convention week and a crescendo of can-you-top-this speeches by Bidens, Clintons, and Obamas, Democrats in Denver had no trouble bounding out of bed Friday morning. After running up the score at Invesco Field on Thursday night, our biggest worry was getting penalized for excessive celebration. Then, just when the party thought its luck couldn't get any better, John McCain's choice of an obscure rookie governor sent Democrats popping champagne corks all over again. Giddy partisans rushed to the phones and microphones to trash Palin as "Geraldine Quayle." I wasn't so quick to jump for joy. For one thing, I would have rather spent the fall poking fun at Mitt Romney, and got my hopes up when his stock soared to 80% in the political futures market shortly before the Palin announcement. Alas, passing up Romney deprives us of the perfect slogan: "Four More Houses!" While we weren't able to elect the first presidential android, his supporters and I can take heart that thanks to his campaign, there are now 4.7 million cracks in that plastic ceiling. For me, the choice of Sarah Palin cuts a little too close to home. She was born a few miles from where I grew up, went to junior college in my hometown, and has now eclipsed Deep Throat and Larry Craig as the most famous graduate in University of Idaho history. It's as if the McCain campaign were micro-targeting my wife's demographic: exercise-crazed hockey moms from Idaho who married their high school sweethearts. The Obama campaign can rest assured – universes don't get much smaller than that. As governor, Sarah Palin helped stop the Bridge to Nowhere. Now she's the Candidate from Nowhere. That's a steep climb for any candidate, even one who shoots moose and runs marathons. Before every VP selection, the only people willing to talk about the choice don't know anything. With Palin, that was still pretty much the case even after her announcement. Republican congressman Mike Simpson doesn't know her, but told the Idaho Statesman, "She's got Idaho roots, and an Idaho woman is tough." If national security experience is the measure of a potential Commander-in-Chief, Palin has an extraordinarily high burden to prove. To paraphrase the words Lloyd Bentsen used to destroy the last surprise vice-presidential choice, she's no Joe Biden. But for a host of reasons, Democrats needn't rush to run down Sarah Palin. Obama seemed to come to that conclusion Friday afternoon, striking the right tone after Democrats had gone after her with a few early hip checks. Both Obama and Biden called Palin to wish her good luck, but not too much. Hillary Clinton echoed that Palin's "historic nomination" would nevertheless take the country in the wrong direction. Why hold back? First, as Obama himself demonstrated in winning the Democratic nomination, 2008 is a tough year to handicap the relative virtues of being a fresh face and having experience. The natural reflex is to brand Palin as too great a risk. But McCain is practically begging our side to throw him into that briar patch. Convinced he can't win as a candidate of the status quo, he wants everyone to know he's willing to take a risk. Second, anyone going after Palin for the important experience she lacks had better be careful not to dismiss the value of the experiences she does have. Raising a large family and running a small state may not be sufficient qualifications to assume the Presidency. But we're not going to get far by minimizing those jobs, either. Here again, the McCain campaign may be hoping that Democrats – or the press – will come down too hard on Palin, and spark a backlash that turns her into a working mom's hero. Third, and most important, voters don't need our help to figure this out. In the end, they'll be the best and toughest judge of whether or not Sarah Palin is ready. Back in 1988, the Dukakis campaign actually ran an ad against Dan Quayle. It didn't work, and wasn't necessary. In any case, Quayle had only himself to blame for falling flat on the national stage. By straining so hard to compare himself to JFK on the campaign trail, he practically wrote Bentsen's famous line for him. In fact, Quayle never recovered from his debut at the '88 convention, when voters witnessed his deer-in-the-headlights moment. Over the next few days and in the vice-presidential debate, Palin's reputation will be shaped in much the same way – by whether she can take the heat, or looks like a moose hunter in the headlights. … 1:38 A.M. (link) Friday, August 22, 2008 Spoiler Alert: When the McCain campaign floated the idea of a pro-choice running mate, social conservatives reacted with the same outrage they've been rehearsing for 40 years: Some threatened to bolt at the convention; others said they'd rather lose the election than expand the Republican tent. "If he picks a prochoice running mate, it's not going to be pretty," Rush Limbaugh warned. But the most explosive threat comes from former right-hand-ofGod Ralph Reed, in his new novel, Dark Horse, a "political thriller" that imagines this very scenario. Spoiler alert! Just hours after forcing his party to swallow a pro-choice VP, the Republican presidential nominee in Reed's pot-boiler is brutally murdered by radical Islamic terrorists at the GOP Convention. Reed's implicit threat to Republican candidates: The Christian right has so much power, they can even get someone else's God to strike you down. Reed doesn't just kill off the character who named a pro-choice running mate—he has the running mate go on to destroy the Republican Party. For the Republicans (and the reader), the plot goes from bad to worse. With the pro-choice figure—an African-American war hero named David Petty—now at the top of the Republican ticket, evangelical leaders throw their support behind Calif. Gov. Bob Long, who just lost the Democratic nomination at a brokered convention and decided to run as an independent after going through a religious conversion in the chapel of the hospital where his daughter nearly lost her baby. Petty offends evangelicals, while Long—obviously a quick study—wows them with the depth of his knowledge of the Bible. Petty's candidacy implodes when a YouTube clip shows him telling Iowans that his support for the GOP abortion plank is only symbolic. Days before the election, voters also learn that as defense secretary, Petty convinced a no-bid contractor to hire a lobbyist who moonlights as his mistress and madam of an exclusive Washington brothel. Reed's clear warning: If you put a pro-choice Republican on the ticket, don't be surprised when he turns out to be a lying, cheating, no-bid-earmarking john. By contrast, Reed's evangelicals love Long, who woos them with parables and waffles on abortion. "I've heard through the grapevine that he's become a Christian," says televangelist Andy Stanton, a composite of Limbaugh and Pat Robertson. "He may be someone we can do business with." With Stanton's enthusiastic blessing, Long sweeps the South and beats Petty 2to-1 among evangelicals. All three candidates come up short of 270 electoral votes, so the election goes to the House of Representatives. Even though Republicans control the House, Petty loses when Republican members of the evangelical caucus support Long instead. The message to McCain: Social conservatives will gladly support a maverick, as long as he says what they want to hear on their issues. Of course, John McCain doesn't need to curl up with a Ralph Reed roman à clef to know that social conservatives won't budge on abortion. The more interesting question is why my evil twin decided to write the Great Republican Novel in the first place. True to his own life story, the book suffers from too much plot and not enough character. But it's not nearly as bad as I'd hoped, and it's chock-full of accidental revelations: ï‚· ï‚· ï‚· ï‚· ï‚· ï‚· Ralph expects the Republicans to lose the White House in 2008 but win it back in 2012 and 2016. By the time the book takes place, Democrats haven't carried a single Southern state in five straight elections (2000 through 2016), and a Republican president who is retiring after two terms reminisces fondly about how "I did what I had to do" to win the 2012 election. Alas, his "botched effort to overthrow the Iranian government" inspires the terrorist attack on the 2020 GOP convention. Much as social conservatives and neocons can't stand liberals and the media, most of all they hate each other. Reed's hapless Republican nominee insists that "this election is about terrorism, not social issues" and doesn't hide his contempt for social conservative leaders and "their self-importance, single-issue litmus tests, and insufferable sense of entitlement." Meanwhile, social conservatives view themselves as "abused spouses" trapped in a "self-destructive codependence" with "the spineless wonders" who run the Republican Party. Reed says the Reagan formula can't save the GOP anymore: "A pro-business party with the religious right grafted in like a wild olive plant, it no longer appeals to the center of the country." Money-grubbing consultants are obsessed with alcohol, drugs, and sex. Long's adman is arrested for snorting cocaine, and his top strategist nearly costs his candidate the election by shacking up with a spy from a rival campaign. Novel-writing operatives, by contrast, are obsessed only with sex. Reed tries his best to turn social conservative politics into steamy beach reading. In Dark Horse, the operative always gets the girl, and she is invariably "bronzed," with swaying hips and tight designer clothes. One femme fatale is "a brunette lollipop" who captures her prey with lines like, "I thought I was dessert." Apparently, Reed does not have much experience courting the women's vote. Long's wife is an alcoholic who's upset that he found God. The Democratic VP candidate is a lightweight who can't remember her party's position on Iran. Two campaign operatives refuse to discuss their grand jury testimony but stop to answer press questions about the designer outfits they're wearing. Reed enjoyed running the Christian Coalition more than humping corporate accounts for Jack Abramoff. He writes himself into the book as a minor character named Ross Lombardy, "a veritable computer hard drive of political trivia" and "strategist-cum-organizer with a killer instinct who could quote 200 Bible verses from memory" and "had an uncanny ability to cite the precise vote percentages in every key U.S. House and Senate ï‚· race in the previous three election cycles." The Abramoff character, G.G. Hoterman, is a corrupt, ruthless multimillionaire lobbyist who crushes anyone who gets in his way. "Politics has a way of criminalizing the normative," Hoterman complains. Reed writes knowingly of the "time-honored Washington tradition" of "expressing false regret at the misfortune of someone caught in a scandal, when the truth was everyone enjoyed it." With a twinge of bitterness, he adds that "Washington scandals burn like funeral pyres, and only go out after the angry mob has tossed someone to the flames to pacify the gods. That pyre suggests Ralph's next move. It's time to gin up the social conservative movement to forget about McCain's running mate and wake up to the GOP-bashing, sex-peddling novelist in their midst. Nothing could do more for slumping sales than an urgent edict from the religious right: Burn this book! ... 3:58 P.M. (link) Monday, August 11, 2008 It's Your Money: Over the next two weeks, the Obama and McCain campaigns will spend an impressive $11 million to advertise during the Olympics. Obama's first ad, "Hands," outlines his plan for a green economy. McCain's attacks Obama on taxes. Both ads reflect the campaigns' respective game plans, although Obama's fits in much better with the upbeat not-the-triumph-butthe-struggle spirit of the games that surround it. If I had a few million to help NBC fill the time between tape delays, I might go after a topic that is on most American viewers' minds during these games and that seems destined to weigh heavily on the next president: China. When the 2008 campaign started a few lifetimes ago, this election appeared to be all about China— or, at least, about the long-term competitive challenge that the emerging economic superpowers of China and India pose to the American way of life. But a host of urgent short-term economic problems have pushed our long-term economic challenges aside. For the moment, falling housing prices, rising gas prices, and soaring credit-card debts have made us more concerned about the threat the American way of life poses to the American way of life. But if our next president ever gets done cleaning up after our current one, he'll confront China's growing shadow on issue after issue. While the United States can make an enormous difference by finally doing its part on climate change, the Chinese have already passed us as the largest producer of greenhouse gases, and our ability and willingness to make progress will depend in part on theirs. Meanwhile, China's rising demand for oil to fuel its relentless economic growth will continue to cost us at the pump. tough to pay your bills. But take heart: You already paid China's." When the next president decides what to do about education reform in the United States, China should be on his mind. The Chinese education system churns out 5 million college graduates a year, while we still paper over our high-school dropout rate and look away as half a million of the young people we send to college every year never finish. Tuesday, July 29, 2008 Perhaps most urgently, the next president will have to admit what George W. Bush would not—that if we don't put our fiscal house in order, China will foreclose on it. As Obama has pointed out, "It's very hard to tell your banker that he's wrong." This year's federal budget deficit will be a record $500 billion, not counting wars and economic bailouts. One of history's headlines on this administration will be, "Bush Owes to China." The rise of China is the story of this Olympics and threatens to be the story of the next presidency. So it's only fitting to give viewers a sense of what's at stake. My dream ad would show the robot Wall-E methodically stacking pressed blocks of discarded dollar bills to form giant structures, which turn out to be the Bird's Nest stadium, the Water Cube aquatic center, and the CCTV tower. The script would go something like this: "Sponsor" (60 seconds) Voiceover: "Ever wonder what Washington has done with your tax dollars? This Olympics is your chance to find out. For the last 8 years, the Bush administration has been paying China billions of dollars in interest on the trillions it borrowed for tax breaks, pork, and special privileges you never got. That money helped create thousands of businesses and millions of jobs—in China. So as you enjoy the games, keep an eye on your tax dollars at work. The way our economy's going, it's Tagline: "America's Taxpayers. Proud Sponsors of the Beijing Olympics." What's an Olympics without a little national pride? And with any luck, NBC might refuse to run it. … 10:30 A.M. (link) Trader Mitt: As if John McCain didn't have enough reason to keep quoting JFK's line that life isn't fair, consider this: According to the political futures markets, Mitt Romney now has a better chance of being McCain's running mate than McCain has of winning. Since the primaries, Romney has steadily gained ground in the VP sweepstakes through hard work and a disciplined message: He'll help on the economy, he grew up in the swing state of Michigan, and he makes his current home in the right wing of the Republican Party. He seems at ease with the unattractive chores of being the vicepresidential nominee: raising money, playing the attack dog, telling the base what it wants to hear. On paper, Romney's VP bid looks as picture perfect as his presidential campaign once did. Yet even as Mitt watchers revel in the current boomlet, we can't help wondering whether this Romneymania will last. With that in mind, Romneystas everywhere need to start making new and urgent arguments on his behalf: ï‚· The French Are Coming!: Romney was widely mocked last fall when he warned that France posed a clear and present danger to the American way of life. But after watching French President Nicolas Sarkozy embrace Barack Obama in Paris last week, conservatives may finally warm to Mitt's "First, Not France" slogan after all. Romney has impeccable credentials as a Francophobe; Sarkozy would never dream of saying of him, "If he is chosen, then France will be delighted." In a few short hours in Paris, Obama claimed the president ï‚· ï‚· as a convert. Romney spent two whole years in France and converted no one whatsoever. Leave 'Em Laughing as You Go: One of McCain's heroes, Mo Udall, loved to tell the story of primary voters who heard him say, "I'm Mo Udall and I'm running for president," and responded, "We were just laughing about that this morning." Poor Mo wouldn't know what to make of this campaign. Two months into the general election, nobody's laughing about anything. No one much wants to joke about Obama or McCain. If Romney were the VP, pundits across the spectrum would exult that at last they had someone fun to mess with. He's a good sport and a happy square, with a track record of supplying ample new material. WALL-E's World: Mitt Romney's Web site is a shadow of its former self—no Five Brothers blog, no ad contests, no animatronic Mitt messages for your voicemail. Yet like WALL-E's stash of charming knickknacks, the few surviving objects on Planet Romney carry greater meaning. For example, a striking photo highlights a strength few politicians reveal: Unlike McCain, Mitt Romney was born to read a teleprompter. In the official campaign photo of him rehearsing his concession speech, Mitt is barely visible. All the focus is on the words in big type to be loaded on the prompter. McCain doesn't much like giving speeches and treats teleprompters accordingly. But you can see how a campaign that has struggled to follow a script might be tempted by the first completely programmable running mate. In 2000, McCain often joked that he was Luke Skywalker. This time, Romney could be his C3PO. ... 12:47 p.m. (link) Tuesday, July 8, 2008 Make My Day: What a difference a month makes. At its June meeting, the D.C. City Council debated Mayor Adrian Fenty's emergency legislation to ban sparklers. After the Supreme Court struck down the city's gun ban, the Council spent last week's July meeting debating emergency legislation to let residents own handguns. Here in the District, we couldn't shoot off firecrackers over the Fourth because they're too dangerous, but we can now keep a loaded pistol by our bedside, ready to shoot down prowlers in self-defense. Like most D.C. residents, I have no plans to stockpile guns in the wake of the Supreme Court decision. But if the city wants to take away my sparklers, they'll have to pry them from my cold, dead, slightly charred hands. When I was growing up, the rights to keep and bear firearms and fireworks went hand in hand. My grandmother used a revolver to shoot garter snakes in her garden. Well into her eighties, however, her greatest pleasure in life was to spend the Fourth setting off massive strings of firecrackers, 200 at a time. When she came to visit, she'd step off the airplane with a suitcase full of firecrackers purchased on an Indian reservation. As soon as we got home, she'd light the fuse with her cigarette, then squeal with delight as serial explosions made the gravel in our driveway dance. In recent years, firearm regulation and firework regulation have gone their separate ways. The National Rifle Association has successfully opposed most gun laws, even ones aimed primarily at criminals. Armed with Justice Scalia's maddeningly unhelpful ruling on the D.C. ban, the NRA already has begun to target the rest. By contrast, although fireworks aren't nearly as deadly as guns, the government treats them like what they are – a widely popular, sometimes dangerous American tradition. The federal government long ago banned once-commonplace explosives like cherry bombs. Most states – even the libertarian bastion of Idaho – have banned or restricted the use of firecrackers. According to the website AmericanPyro, five states, including Iowa and Illinois, permit only sparklers and snakes. Five others, including New York and Massachusetts, allow no consumer fireworks whatsoever. In general, states insist that fireworks must be "safe and sane" – a balance that has been all but impossible to strike with firearms. Thanks to the enduring power of pyromania, sales haven't suffered. Since 1976, fireworks consumption has increased ten-fold, while fireworks-related injuries have dropped. Fireworks manufacturers can take heart in knowing that this year's survivors are next year's customers. Because there is no Second Amendment right to keep and bear sparklers, fireworks law is a straightforward balancing test – between the individual right to burn a hole in the back porch and the mutual responsibility not to burn entire communities to the ground, the personal freedom to pyromaniacal self-expression and the personal responsibility not to harm oneself and others. These days, the fireworks industry has more to fear from climate change than from the authorities. This summer, the threat of wildfires led Arnold Schwarzenegger to ask Californians to boycott fireworks. Drought forced John McCain to forego fireworks at his annual Independence Day barbecue in Arizona. The trouble with the Supreme Court ruling in the Heller case is not that it interprets the Second Amendment as an individual right. The Second Amendment is the constitutional equivalent of the grammatical paradox Eats Shoots & Leaves, but whatever the Founders meant by its muddy wording and punctuation, most Americans now take it for granted. The real problem with the Court's decision is that the balancing test for gun rights and responsibilities is even less clear than before. Scalia's opinion devotes 30 pages to a grammatical history of the Second Amendment and a single sentence to how the courts should apply it to most other gun laws already on the books. Alongside such vast imprecision, the Court went out of its way to strike down the requirement for trigger locks – an extraordinarily modest attempt to balance freedom and safety. Trigger locks can help prevent gun accidents and keep guns out of the hands of children. Far from impeding selfdefense, new trigger locks can be unlocked with a fingerprint or a special ring on the gun owner's finger. That means today's gun owner can arm himself to shoot an intruder in an instant – compared to the 30 seconds or more it took to load a pistol or musket in the 18th Century. Over the long term, it's not clear how much of a boon the Heller decision will be for gun rights advocates. In winning the case, the gun lobby lost its most potent argument – the threat that at any moment, the government will knock on the door and take your guns away. With that bogeyman out of the way, the case for common-sense gun safety measures is stronger than ever. Perhaps now the gun debate will revolve around more practical and less incendiary issues, like what can be done to reduce illegal gun trafficking and trace guns used in crimes. If it's any small consolation, the real winners in Heller may turn out to be the sparkler lobby. If cities have trouble banning handguns, they will be hard-pressed to take away sparklers. Of course, as with guns, the threat to sparklers may well have been exaggerated. The D.C. Council rejected Mayor Fenty's sparkler ban by a vote of 11-2, as members nostalgically recalled playing with them in their youth. Councilman and former mayor Marion Barry voted no "with a bang." As Barry knows, there are worse things in life to light than a sparkler. ... 9:51 A.M. (link) Friday, June 6, 2008 The Fight of Her Life: Ten years ago, at a White House farewell for a favorite staff member, Hillary Clinton described the two kinds of people in the world: born optimists like her husband who see the glass as half-full, and born realists like herself who can see the glass is half-empty. As she ends her campaign and throws her support behind Barack Obama's remarkable quest, Hillary could be forgiven for seeing her glass as, quite literally, half-empty. The two candidates traded primary after primary down the stretch, two titans matching each other vote for vote. In the closest race in the modern era, she and Obama split the Democratic wishbone nearly right down the middle, but she's not the one who got her wish. Yet for Hillary and the 18 million of us who supported her, there is no shame in one historic campaign coming up just short against another. History is a great deal wiser than Chris Matthews, and will be kinder, too. The 2008 contest has been one for the ages, and the annals will show that Hillary Clinton has gained far more than she lost. The Obama-Clinton match will go down as the longest, closest, most exciting, most exhausting ever. Obama ran an inspired campaign and seized the moment. Clinton came close, and by putting up a tough fight now, helped fortify him for the fight ahead. Our campaign made plenty of mistakes, none of which has gone unreported. But Hillary is right not to dwell on "woulda, coulda, shoulda." From New Hampshire to South Dakota, the race she ran earned its own place in the history books. While the way we elect presidents leaves a lot to be desired, it has one redeeming virtue, as the greatest means ever invented to test what those who seek the job are made of. In our lifetimes, we'll be hard-pressed to find a candidate made of tougher stuff than Hillary Clinton. Most candidates leave a race diminished by it. Hillary is like tempered steel: the more intense the heat, the tougher she gets. And has any candidate had to face fiercer, more sustained heat? As a frontrunner, she expected a tough ride, and as Hillary Clinton, she was accustomed to it. But if she was used to the scrutiny, she could not have anticipated – and did not deserve – the transparent hostility behind it. In much the same way the right wing came unglued when her husband refused to die in the '90s, the media lost its bearings when she defied and survived them. Slate at least held off on its noxious Hillary Deathwatch until March; most of the press corps began a breathless Clinton Deathwatch last Thanksgiving. The question that turned her campaign around in New Hampshire – "How do you do it?" – brought Hillary to tears out of sheer gratitude that someone out there had noticed. For a few searing days in New Hampshire, we watched her stare into the abyss. Any other candidate forced to read her own obituary so often would have come to believe it. But as she went on to demonstrate throughout this campaign, Hillary had faith that there is life after political death, and the wherewithal to prove it. In New Hampshire, she discarded the frontrunner mantle and found her voice. For a race that was largely won or lost in Iowa, the discovery came a few days too late. But the grit Clinton showed with her back to the wall all those months will make her a force with a following for years to come. The chief hurdle for Clinton's presidential bid wasn't whether she could do the job; Democrats never doubted she would make a good president. Ironically, the biggest question she faced for much of the race is one she answered clearly by the time she left it: whether America was ready for a woman president. No one asks that question any longer. For all the sexism she encountered as the first woman with a serious shot at the White House, voters themselves made clear they were ready. The longer the race went on, the more formidable she looked in the general election. In this week's CBS News poll, she was beating John McCain by nine points, even as she was losing the Democratic nomination. Last year, the press and other campaigns insisted that Clinton was too polarizing and that half the country was united against her. Now, a woman who was supposed to be one of the most polarizing figures in America leaves the race with handsome leads over McCain in places like North Carolina, a state her husband never carried. When her campaign started, aides often described Hillary as the least known, least understood famous person in America. During this campaign, it became clear that in certain quarters she's the most deliberately misunderstood person as well. The recent RFK flap was yet another attempt to suggest that her every miscue was part of some diabolical master plan. Yet while talking heads imagined the evils of Hillary Clinton, voters finally came to know and understand her. They saw someone who knew what they were going through, who would stick with them, fight for them, and get back up when she got knocked down. The phony, consultantdriven shadow boxing of the last few years has dulled Democrats to the party's historic mission – to defend the values and stand up for the interests of ordinary people who are doing all they can just to get ahead. For those voters, Hillary Clinton was the champion they've been looking for, a fighter they can count on, win or lose, not to let them down. That's a fight she'll never quit. Like the woman in New Hampshire, we still wonder how Hillary does it, but this time, the tears are on us. As we wish her well, our hopes are high, our hearts are full – and if our glass is empty, it was worth every drop. ... 11:58 P.M. (link) ï‚· Friday, May 30, 2008 The Adventures of Bobble-Foot: For enough money, any McClellan or Stephanopoulos in Washington will write a kiss-and-tell book these days. But the memoir Larry Craig just announced he's writing could launch a whole new genre: don't-kiss, don't-tell. Craig revealed his plans on Boise television during Tuesday's coverage of the Senate primary to choose his potential successors. For the senator, if not his viewers, it was a poignant moment, one last point of no return in a three-decade-long political career. With a touch of empathy, the local reporter told Craig, "You're looking forward now to a much different life for yourself." Alas, the life Craig described isn't much different from any other retiring pol's, nor does he sound like he's looking forward to it. He hinted that he is entertaining a number of lobbying offers. Because of ethics rules, he explains, "There are some one-way conversations going on, 'cause I've said I can't talk, but I certainly can listen." Perhaps they can figure out some kind of code. ï‚· These are heady times for the Idaho senator. Last Sunday, on National Tap Dance Day, the first-place St. Paul Saints, a minor league baseball team, drew their biggest crowd of the year with a special promotion in Craig's honor: a bobble-foot doll commemorating the bathroom stall at MinneapolisSt.Paul airport. The team website reported, "Saints Have Toe-Tapping Good Time, Win 9-3." The bobble-foot promotion gave Craig a way to test his market value even beyond the lobbying and book worlds. Scores of Craig bobble-feet are now available on eBay, selling for upwards of $75 apiece. You'd better hurry: Like successful appeals of uncoerced confessions, supplies are limited. The upcoming memoir may be the last we ever hear from the man, so it's worth asking: What kind of book will Larry Craig write? Consider the possibilities: ï‚· The Broken Branch: Left to his own devices (never a good idea), Craig seems likely to write an insiders' version of the woe-isgridlock lament popularized most recently by political scientists Norm Ornstein and Tom Mann. "The thing that's important for someone with my experience to talk about is the state of politics in Washington," Craig said Tuesday. "It's created what I call a extremely dysfunctional, hyperpartisan Senate. We're getting little to nothing done." Craig cites immigration and energy policy. As his agent and editor will surely tell him, this sober approach is not the way for Craig to put his best foot forward. No one wants to read the case for decisive action written by a man who claimed his innocence after pleading guilty and remained in office after promising to quit. Then again, Craig might not be a household word if he had listened to the advice of Ornstein and Mann, who urged members to bring their families to live with them in Washington. The Packwood Diaries: With slight modifications, Craig has modeled his entire Senate career after his friend, former Oregon Sen. Bob Packwood. Craig sobbed on the Senate floor the day Packwood resigned. Packwood dug in his heels and remained in office for three years after his sex scandal became public. Craig has done the same, and is only leaving because his term is up. Considering how much Packwood served as his role model, it's possible that Craig tried to emulate another part of the Oregonian's legacy: the Packwood diaries. Packwood kept a meticulous journal of all his exploits, with an eye to history and none on the lookout for satire or federal prosecution. We can only hope Craig has done the same. What Happened: Every publisher is looking for the next Scott McClellan, who told lies for a living but was scared straight after his escape. Craig could play this role with gusto. The pitch: It wasn't his idea to stand up in front of the press time after time and insist he wasn't gay. Karl Rove made him do it, in a deliberate cover-up to protect the Republican brand – and he'll never forgive Rove for it. ï‚· If I Did It: O.J. Simpson never got to keep a dime of his controversial book, If I Did It: Confessions of the Killer. Craig, on the other hand, could hypothesize all the way to the bank. Senators love to write loosely autobiographical fiction. Gary Hart and Bill Cohen wrote The Double Man about a politician who wanted to be president. Barbara Boxer wrote A Time to Run about a woman who becomes a liberal senator from California. Craig could write a great book about an imaginary conservative senator who happens to be gay. His hypothetical musings would wow the critics and sell like crazy. Besides, what does Craig have to lose? Hinting he did it would be no more an admission of guilt than the misdemeanor plea he was just kidding us about last June. ... 8:48 P.M. (link) the spectator Shakespeare's Bootlegger, Dylan's Biographer, Nabokov, and Me When should an unauthorized version be authorized? By Ron Rosenbaum Tuesday, September 23, 2008, at 5:02 PM ET There's a new Dylan album—well, the eighth volume in the socalled "Bootleg Series"—coming out Oct. 7. The albums in the Bootleg Series, you probably know, each contain a selection from the vast corpus of unreleased tracks, variant versions, live performances, and the like that had previously been circulated, if at all, on unauthorized, semi-legal tapes and CDs. The Bootleg Series is the authorized version of the unauthorized versions. I personally have never bought a bootleg, but I've listened to some. (There's even a bootleg titled with a memorable Dylan quote from an interview with me: "Thin Wild Mercury.") With the Bootleg Series, though, the Dylan organization has cleverly managed to monetize a significant portion of the vast congeries of unauthorized recordings by giving fans access to cleaned-up versions of the outlaw music. Depending on your point of view, the black market in unauthorized bootlegs—as opposed to authorized unauthorized bootlegs—either democratized the distribution of the music or denied the artist his hard-earned dues. Or both. For my money, I hope both enterprises continue to thrive. Dylan's selection of particular works for "authorization" can perhaps provide clues to what he values about his work, hints about the evolution of his writing and performance—recasting our view, for instance, of what he called his shift from unconscious to conscious songwriting. And I'm glad the authorized bootleg profits have helped to stabilize the once-chaotic financial arrangements in Dylanworld, serving to support his quixotic "Never Ending Tour" and allowing him to take on nonmusical projects like the stillastonishing autobiography Chronicles. (Dylan plans to deliver the second volume next spring, according to a source at his publisher, and mine, Simon and Schuster.) In the course of checking on this, I learned of another forthcoming Dylan release: In November, Simon and Schuster will issue a recently rediscovered Dylan literary effort, a book of some 23 poems from the '60s inspired by photographer Barry Feinstein's moody black-and-white shots of Hollywood. Not exactly a bootleg (you may have seen two of the poems excerpted in The New Yorker recently) but new light on his mind at the time. But this isn't primarily a column about Dylan—although it's interesting the way Dylan is turning into a kind of never-ending artist, the Philip Roth of iconic singer-songwriters. But Dylan culture, especially Dylan bootleg culture, figures into the way we assess "authorized" and "unauthorized" work by other great artists such as Shakespeare and Nabokov. (No, I'm not equating them.) Let me explain. I recently learned from one of the foremost Dylan biographers, Clinton Heylin, that he has a book coming out next year on Shakespeare's sonnets, which he believes will illuminate an enduring—and significant— Shakespeare mystery: whether the original 1609 edition of the sonnets was authorized by Shakespeare or is, in effect, an unauthorized, 17 th-century bootleg. Heylin told me he plans to argue that the 1609 edition was a bootleg. Not (please!) an edition authored by "someone other than Shakespeare," as the "anti-Stratfordian" (or someoneelse-wrote-Shakespeare) cult believes but an edition published— authorized—by someone other than Shakespeare. (Some have argued that Shakespeare circulated the sonnets only privately among friends because of the potentially scandalous homoerotic content of some.) Why does it matter whether the sonnets were authorized or bootlegged? Because if the sonnets were not published deliberately by Shakespeare, perhaps we would spend less time arguing about the order of the 154 poems. And there would be less justification for the enormous amounts of time the biographical fetishists devote to spinning stories from that order, figuring out the identities of the real "fair youth"—the subject of a number of homoerotic sonnets—and the real "dark lady"—the subject of a number of embittered ones. We might instead pay closer attention to each individual sonnet as an aesthetic whole, rather than trying to assess what each one "means" in relation to the sonnets that come before and after and the supposed relationships they parallel and chronicle. I don't deny that there are linkages in imagery, theme, and language among the sonnets. But it would be helpful, I think, to get rid of the distortions of gossip. Heylin believes he will prove who, in fact, bootlegged the sonnets, but he wants to keep the identity—and motive—of the culprit secret until closer to his publication day next year in May 2009, the 400th anniversary of the sonnets' first publication. This new challenge comes at a time when two other sonnet controversies have reawakened. One is about whether or not Shakespeare really wrote "A Lover's Complaint," the long lyric poem appended to the 154 sonnets in the 1609 quarto edition. I dealt with the "Complaint" argument in a previous column and tend to agree with Brian Vickers and Jonathan Bate (who left the poem out of the new Royal Shakespeare Company's edition of The Complete Works of Shakespeare) that Shakespeare didn't write the poem. But who wrote it, and why it was included in an edition titled Shakespeare's Sonnets, remains a mystery. One that Heylin, who agrees with Vickers that the "Complaint" was written by an obscure hack named "John Davies," claims to have solved. (Not all scholars have turned against the "Complaint." Oxford's Katherine Duncan-Jones is a strong advocate for it being "authorized" and includes it in her new Arden edition of Shakespeare's poems.) Another sonnet imbroglio showed up in the Aug. 15 edition of the Times Literary Supplement in an essay by Bate, who believes he has figured out who the sonnets were really dedicated to—a solution to a puzzle created by ambiguity in the dedication of the 1609 edition, which reads (in part): To. The. Onlie. Begetter. Of. These. Insuing. Sonnets. Mr. W. H. All. Happinesse. And. That. Eternitie. Promised. By. Our. Ever-Living. Poet … This is, of course, a rat's nest of ambiguities. What is an "onlie begetter," who is Mr. W.H., and what did he "beget"? Is the dedication from Shakespeare to a patron, who may or may not appear in the poems? Or is it from the printer to a patron? Bate believes he's found another candidate for the sonnets' mysterious dedicatee "Master W.H." One longtime candidate for "Master W.H." is William Herbert, third Earl of Pembroke. Relying on the fact that an earl is not addressed as "master"—the address used for a lesser "gentleman"—Bate points us to a previously unheralded "William Herbert," this one from Wales, who is distantly related to the earl of that name but who is only a gentleman and fits other characteristics of "Master W.H.," including potential contact with Shakespeare. Two W.H.s! Which is the bootleg dedicatee? Bate's argument seems convincing, but in the last line of his essay, he says something true about most Shakespearean biographical controversies: The instant someone says: Yes, it is plausible that Master William Herbert of Glamorgan might really have been the Master W.H. of the dedication to the sonnets—that will be the moment when the idea will cease to be of interest. And so Bate's conjecture might excite the biographically inclined, but to those of us who feel that the meaning and resonance of the language in the sonnets is the heart of the matter, the "bootleg question," which Heylin raises, is more important. I'd never met Heylin, but his massive, well-respected biography, Dylan: Behind the Shades (Revisited) contains a generous mention of my long-ago Dylan interview—the one in which he defined his "thin wild mercury sound." I was intrigued when I got an e-mail from Heylin saying he was coming to New York and wanted to discuss not Dylan but Shakespeare. (He'd read my book The Shakespeare Wars and wanted my opinion on his sonnet theory.) Although I was a little leery, because there are so many nutty books about the sonnets, I was looking forward to talking to him since I admired his biography and I was doing a brief Dylan book for Yale University Press. (As it turns out, Heylin is publishing another massive Dylan opus as well as his sonnet book. Next year, he's coming out with the first of a two-volume study of some 600 Dylan songs, establishing what he believes to be the order in which they were written— although not necessarily recorded or performed—an absolute prolegomena to any future study of Dylan's evolution as an artist.) In any event, I was curious about Heylin's take on the sonnets and my curiosity grew greater over a lunch at the downtown Cafe Spice as Heylin—a native Mancunian who got his degree with a thesis on Irish revolutionary poetry and seemed wellversed in Shakespearean lore—began to outline his theory. If his theory settles the authorization controversy—and I say "if" since few Shakespearean controversies ever seem to be resolved—we may finally be freed of the fictional love story arcs so many want to impose on the sonnets. At lunch, Heylin and I spoke of the number of women who thought certain Dylan love songs were written especially for them, implying he'd told them so. One wonders whether Shakespeare played that game, too. More power to them, but we don't have to play along. Last Sunday in the New York Times' Week in Review section, A.O. Scott reminded us of the late, lamented David Foster Wallace's complaint about biographical criticism of another great artist, Jorge Luis Borges—whose stories, Wallace once wrote, "so completely transcend their motive cause that the biographical facts become, in the deepest and most literal way, irrelevant." Yes! bootlegged, that doesn't, of course, mean the order couldn't be his. It just renders it conjectural. When it comes to the sonnets, as my exegetical hero Stephen Booth, editor of the Yale University Press' edition of the sonnets put it: "William Shakespeare was almost certainly homosexual, bisexual or heterosexual. The sonnets provide no evidence on that matter." Readers may recall I wrote two columns earlier this year about Dmitri Nabokov, Vlad's son, and the decision he faced about whether to publish his father's last unfinished work—even after his father had, on his deathbed, asked his family to destroy it. The work, known informally as The Original of Laura, exists only on some hundred or so early-draft index cards, long held in a Swiss safe-deposit box by Dmitri, who couldn't bring himself to decide what to do. In other words, the sonnets should be read as poems, not diary entries. And to cram them into some crusty, procrustean biographical bed is to read the life out of them by trying to read the life into them. Why is there doubt Shakespeare authorized the sonnets? It's complicated. For one, the pamphlet's title is "Shakespeare's Sonnets," rather than "Sonnets," by William Shakespeare. There's the fact that the 1609 edition was never reprinted (suggesting an intervention by the author). And then there's the mystery of its dedicatee, the "onlie begetter." (Is the "onlie begetter" a sly way of saying the one who begot them by bootlegging them?) I won't oversimplify Heylin's complex and apparently carefully researched solution, which depends on several kinds of evidence, but when he used the "bootleg" comparison his inclination made sense. As editor of a leading Dylan fanzine, he spent a lot of time trying to make sense of the burgeoning bootleg culture of the '60s and '70s. Bootlegging is, of course, a long artistic tradition. It's one Shakespeare himself alludes to in The Winter's Tale, written shortly after the 1609 sonnet book, in the character of the con man Autolycus, who sells stolen ballads as his own: English lit's first bootlegger. For me, though the strongest evidence that the 1609 volume was unauthorized is its inclusion of "A Lover's Complaint," which just doesn't sound like Shakespeare to me. It sounds like a bad, false bootleg. There's bad Shakespeare—I'm no bardolator—but even bad Shakespeare is not this bad. The "Complaint" is wretched. I can't imagine a Shakespeare who would want an atrocious poem (see excerpts in my column on the subject) that (I believe) he did not write to be attributed to him. And if Shakespeare didn't want "Complaint" included, then the edition must be unauthorized. He wouldn't have told a printer to tack a hideous travesty of poetry onto a collection of his most exquisitely wrought gems. But even if the 1609 edition was Poor Shakespeare, his most exquisite lyric poems, the sonnets, shackled for centuries to an atrocious fake. Oddly enough, in the aftermath of my talk with Heylin, I began to think: Poor Vladimir Nabokov. Apparently the publicity generated by my Slate columns pressed the Hamlet-like Dmitri to make a decision, and the manuscript of Laura will be published about a year from now. And while Dmitri has the legal right to publish Laura, he will still be violating his father's injunction. Laura will be an even more complex creature, a legal but unauthorized (by the author) bootleg! From the excerpts I have read, I can understand why V.N. might have wanted them burned. He's getting into Lolita territory, at least in one excerpt published by The Nabokovian. And then there's the mystifying sentence fragment about "intercourse" that The Nabokovian excerpt stopped just short of but that turned up recently in the German newspaper Die Zeit. One could imagine that if Nabokov was reworking that kind of material, he might not have wanted a raw draft printed until he perfected it. Particularly since it involved the most incendiary aspect of what was his most incendiary work. He might well want an incendiary early draft set on fire. I'm now thinking the manuscript of Laura is the Nabokovian equivalent of "A Lover's Complaint," in the sense that the prospect of its attachment to the finished, polished canon of this perfectionist's art might well have been as disturbing to him (even if it was his own early draft) as the bad, fake Shakespeare of "A Lover's Complaint" would have been to Shakespeare. And then I came across something that Harvard's Helen Vendler—coincidentally, or maybe not so coincidentally, one of the premiere interpreters of Shakespeare's sonnets—said about the unauthorized publication of poems Elizabeth Bishop didn't consider finished and didn't want published: "If I had asked somebody to promise to destroy something of mine," Vendler told Rachel Donadio of the New York Times, "and they didn't do it I would feel it to be a grave personal betrayal." So here's a "Nabokov-lover's complaint" to Dmitri, inspired by all this Dylan and Shakespeare authorized-and-unauthorized cogitation: The New School is holding a symposium on the 50 th anniversary of the publication of Lolita, and I'm on a panel about Laura, and I've been thinking about what to say. Those who read my Slate columns can see how conflicted I was then about publishing Laura. I wanted Dmitri to make a decision, rather than leaving it to lawyers after his death. But I wasn't sure what his decision should be. When he opted to publish (inspired, he's told us, by the ghostly reappearance of his father who fortuitously urged Dmitri to cash in on Laura), the decision was widely applauded. I'm sure I'll read the book when it's published. But it seems to me that all too many who considered the question seemed to dismiss the notion that Nabokov's request should be respected, finding all sorts of rationales. ("He should have burned it himself!") So many seem to think that because of Nabokov's greatness he deserves less respect, that he forfeited his right to have his last wishes carried out to a "posterity" greedy for any and all half-digested scraps from his table. Why can't we respect his wish to erase a draft he didn't want to see the light of day? For all we know, it might, in its unfinished state, mislead us about Lolita and the rest of his canon. It's probably too late, but I'm now thinking of calling for Dmitri to change his mind and carry out his father's wishes. Don't authorize a bootleg; burn it, Dmitri! the undercover economist Burn Her! Why it's dangerous to be a witch in a recession. By Tim Harford Saturday, September 20, 2008, at 7:11 AM ET Why did people murder suspected witches in Renaissance Europe? And why do they still do so today in sub-Saharan Africa? As someone whose main source of information about witch trials is Monty Python and the Holy Grail, I was fascinated to learn that witch-burning has its own grim economics. Clearly, some of the fervor for murdering women—typically elderly widows—had cultural and religious origins. In the early medieval period, the Catholic Church dismissed the idea that witches had supernatural powers, and some church documents argued that it was heresy to believe in witchcraft. Without church support, it's easy to see why witch trials were not popular. Yet when the trial and execution of suspected witches surged in the mid-16th century and throughout the 17th, it was a crosscultural phenomenon. Trials took place in many countries and were conducted by both Protestants and Catholics, and in both secular and religious courts. Perhaps a million women were killed across Europe after being accused of witchcraft, and most of them died during this period. Why? Historian Wolfgang Behringer has one possible explanation: Temperatures dropped sharply around the time that the trials gained in popularity. The "little ice age," in which average temperatures fell by about 1 degree Celsius, was enough to freeze the Thames River on many occasions. Emily Oster, an economist at the University of Chicago, has tried to gather systematic data on the link between witch trials and the weather. The results look striking: Between 1520 and 1770, colder decades go hand-in-hand with more trials. The link may be simply that witches were often blamed for bad weather. Or there may be a less direct link: People tend to lash out in tough times. There is some evidence, for instance, that lynching was more common in the American South when land prices and cotton prices were depressed. Such deaths are, sadly, not a historical footnote. In Meatu, Tanzania, half of all reported murders are "witch killings." Such murders have been documented elsewhere in Africa, Bolivia, and rural India. The difference between the historical executions and modern attacks are that a Tanzanian "witch" typically dies at the hands of her own family. The machete is the weapon of choice. Edward Miguel, an economist at the University of California, Berkeley, and co-author of Economic Gangsters, a book about the economics of crime, corruption, and war, has studied the Tanzanian situation. He argues that there is a direct economic motive for the attacks. Tough times in a Tanzanian household may well result in starvation, and the elderly—especially women—are at risk of being sacrificed to free resources. As evidence, Miguel points out that victims of witch attacks in Meatu district—almost all old women—tend to be from the poorest households. The murders are much more common during years of drought or flood. If the problem truly is an economic one, the solution might be, too. One possibility is to give the elderly generous pensions. Witch killings all but stopped in South Africa's North Province after such a pension scheme was introduced in the early 1990s. Unfortunately, such pensions are probably too expensive for Tanzania. A grass-roots alternative has emerged in another Tanzanian district, Ulanga, where traditional healers "cure" elderly women of witchcraft by shaving their bodies and smearing their pates with "anti-witchcraft paste." Miguel does not think it's a coincidence that the healers also provide the women with food and shelter during famines, in expectation of payments from their families in better times. Spiritual ceremony meets social insurance: It's a solution, of sorts. today's business press "This Sucker Could Go Down" By Bernhard Warner and Matthew Yeomans Friday, September 26, 2008, at 6:58 AM ET today's papers Things Fall Apart By Daniel Politi Friday, September 26, 2008, at 6:48 AM ET A dizzying day of high-stakes Washington drama has left everyone confused and unsure about whether the $700 billion bailout to save the nation's financial system has any chance of making it through Congress. Whereas yesterday's papers were filled with optimism that a compromise would be reached, today no one knows whether the breakdown in negotiations means the plan is doomed or if it just represents a brief stumbling block. The Los Angeles Times reports that, far from the limelight, Republican and Democratic lawmakers were moving toward a compromise, "but it remained to be seen whether there would be enough votes to pass legislation." If that sounds familiar, it's because that's how things looked yesterday in the early afternoon when key lawmakers said they were well on their way to agreeing on the "fundamentals" of a deal. But then in the White House, a "verbal brawl" broke out in the Cabinet Room, according to the New York Times, and things quickly fell apart, which led to an eloquent declaration from President Bush: "If money isn't loosened up, this sucker could go down." Bush's dire warnings weren't enough to save the plan after a mixture of "financial concerns, presidential politics and partisan rancor" resulted in "an unexpected Washington drama with the nation's economic future hanging in the balance," says USA Today. Who's to blame for the breakdown? The Washington Post doesn't mince word and declares right off the bat that a "renegade bloc of Republicans" managed to both surprise and anger administration officials as well as congressional leaders when they "moved to reshape" the bailout. The Wall Street Journal reports that talks are set to resume this morning "without House Republicans." Meanwhile, lawmakers received a crude reminder of the fragility of the U.S. financial system last night as federal regulators seized Washington Mutual and immediately sold the bulk of its operations to J.P. Morgan Chase in what amounted to the largest bank failure in U.S. history. The NYT has the most complete details from inside the White House meeting that was meant to display how members of both parties could come together to solve a crisis. In the end, it proved everything but. So, how did we get from deal to no deal so quickly? Well, all that optimism quickly disappeared when the House Republican leader, John Boehner, laid a bomb by flatly declaring that rank-and-file members of his party were unable to support the bailout plan. And he wasn't talking about making an amendment or two—Boehner didn't like the idea of the government buying distressed securities from troubled financial companies. And as those following from home should know by now, that's pretty much the entire basis behind the administration's plan. The WP reports that Obama and Rep. Barney Frank, one of the key figures in the negotiations, began to question Boehner about his new proposal, which would be a more market-based approach and involve less government money. But Bush quickly put a stop to that and summarily rejected this new plan that would imply starting negotiations again from scratch. "Don't start over," Bush said. John McCain, who the NYT reports was mostly silent during the meeting while Barack Obama repeatedly questioned Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, simply declined to take a position on the issue. The partisan rancor began flying as soon as the meeting broke up. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson tried to lighten up the mood by approaching a group of Democrats at the White House. In a scene that everyone reports, Paulson dropped to one knee and pleaded with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi not to "blow up" the deal. "It's not me blowing this up, it's the Republicans," Pelosi said. "I know. I know," Paulson replied with a sigh. Democrats didn't hide their anger and were quick to point the finger at one man: McCain. "This is the presidential campaign of John McCain undermining what Hank Paulson tells us is essential for the country," Frank said. Indeed, the WSJ declares that McCain's decision to return to Washington and participate in the talks "appears to have complicated days of negotiations." For its part, USAT flatly declares that "the good feelings" about an imminent deal "seemed to evaporate" around the same time that McCain joined the fray. Republicans, on the other hand, said Democrats were the ones playing politics because they were trying to quickly ram a deal down their throats early in the day to prevent McCain from getting involved in the conversation. In a Page One analysis, the NYT notes that "as a matter of political appearances" the drama-filled day mostly just raised more questions about exactly why McCain went to Washington in the first place. And, as a bonus, those who wanted to know what McCain thinks should be done to solve the impasse were left scratching their heads. It's still too early to know how all this will play out, but at the end of the day Obama was given an opportunity to present himself "as the old hand at consensus building, and as the real face of bipartisan politics." Obama said the White House meeting showed that presidential politics should not be brought into "delicate negotiations." It's also not clear that McCain had much to do with the alternative plan that House Republicans put forward yesterday. The WP reports that while he was shuttling between meetings, he "rarely came close to the Capitol suites and committee rooms where the talks were taking place," and he was home by 6 p.m. In an interesting nugget, the Post notes that aides described a meeting between Boehner and McCain as "somewhat surreal," since neither one of them "was familiar with the details" of the new proposal. As for tonight's scheduled debate, no one knows whether it will actually happen. Obama called on McCain to join him at the University of Mississippi, but aides to the Republican nominee insisted he's still committed to staying in Washington until a deal is worked out on Capitol Hill. The NYT notes that at one point in the day, McCain "dropped a hint that the ultimatum was not as ironclad as he once said it was." If it does take place, everyone predicts the audience for the debate would likely be huge, "perhaps rivaling the record 80.6 million Americans" who watched Ronald Reagan and President Carter face off in 1980, says the LAT. You know it's a big news day when the largest bank failure in U.S. history gets relegated to second-tier status on the front pages of the newspapers. After seizing Washington Mutual, which was the country's largest savings-and-loan institution, federal regulators immediately turned around and sold much of the company to J.P. Morgan Chase for $1.9 billion in a deal that will create the nation's largest bank in terms of deposits. WaMu depositors have nothing to worry about because their cash will be secure, even those with deposits larger than the federally insured maximum. Shareholders, on the other hand, aren't likely to see any money. The good news out of the "historic two-step," as the WP describes it, is that the federal insurance fund won't have to dig into its own pockets to cover WaMu's deposits, which totaled $188 billion in June. WaMu's board was "kept completely in the dark" about the deal, and its chief executive, Alan Fishman, was actually in midair when the deal finally came through. Fishman shouldn't feel too bad, though. He has been on the job for only 16 days and "is eligible for $11.6 million in cash severance and will get to keep his $7.5 million signing bonus," says the NYT. And while the failure of WaMu might be the most visible sign of the financial troubles facing the nation, it's hardly the only one. The NYT reminds readers that even as some people wonder whether the Bush administration is exaggerating the possibility of an economic collapse, "the reality of tight credit already is limiting daily economic activity." Many analysts continue to fear that unless financial institutions find a way to get rid of their toxic securities, they're likely to continue to "hoard their dollars and starve the economy of capital," which could "pin the nation in distress for years." And we won't have to wait long. The WSJ ominously warns that "inside markets that are hidden to most Americans ... action was unfolding that will soon affect how companies meet payroll, pay vendors and make investments." In other campaign news, the NYT takes a look at how Obama isn't quite holding up his vow "to respond with the truth." While McCain's misleading advertisements have received lots of attention, Obama has also started to run television and radio ads that "matched the dubious nature of Mr. McCain's more questionable spots." Some Democrats are worried this tactic could hurt Obama's image as someone who doesn't play politics as usual. Others, however, say these ads are only fair considering the misleading statements coming out of McCain's camp, and these supporters insist that Obama's ads hardly come close in terms of frivolousness and dishonesty to those of his opponent. The papers report on two pieces of international news that are unlikely to get much attention considering everything else going on. First, everyone reports that Pakistani and U.S. ground troops exchanged fire along the Afghanistan border yesterday. There are differing accounts of what actually happened, but everyone says it's stark reminder of the "risk of a much more serious, and lethal, misunderstanding along the border," as the NYT puts it. Meanwhile, the WP reports that a key reason why the deal to end North Korea's nuclear weapons program has been unraveling lately has to do with the "sweeping plan" presented by U.S. officials to verify the claims it was making about its nuclear programs. Others had warned the United States it was asking for too much, and what once looked like promising talks quickly came to a halt after the plan was presented. The WP's Steven Pearlstein writes what TP thinks just might be the most concise and easy-to-understand case in favor of the bailout. Addressing those who are angry at the deal, he writes that we have to make a choice between preventing a financial collapse or teaching Wall Street a lesson, because "you can't do both at the same time." Pearlstein even mentions an intriguing idea of how to structure the rescue package "around a new government-owned corporation" but does so to emphasize why it's important to give the Treasury flexibility. "Just as we entrust generals to fight a war, we are going to have to trust the Treasury to find a way out of this crisis." today's papers Clear and Present Danger By Daniel Politi Thursday, September 25, 2008, at 6:42 AM ET President Bush came out of hiding last night to warn the nation that the economy is in crisis and the situation will get much worse unless Congress acts quickly to pass the $700 billion bailout of troubled financial institutions. "Our entire economy is in danger," Bush said. The president took pains to emphasize that the bailout wasn't designed to help Wall Street millionaires but rather to preserve "America's overall economy." As USA Today summarizes, Bush warned that "inaction could cause millions of layoffs, bank failures, business closures, lost retirement savings, more foreclosures, a further drying up of credit and 'a long and painful recession.' " The Los Angeles Times points out that the "wholehearted endorsement of massive government intervention represents a startling about-face for a president who has insisted throughout his career that such meddling creates problems instead of fixing them." In an effort to display the urgency of the situation, Bush invited congressional leaders, along with the two parties' presidential nominees, to what the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and USAT all call an "extraordinary" meeting today at the White House. The Washington Post points out that it was Bush's first prime-time speech in more than a year, and the NYT notes that it was the first time in his presidency that one was devoted entirely to the economy. Bush's prime-time address came after many Democrats on Capitol Hill had been criticizing his silence as Republican opposition to the bailout plan, particularly in the House, appeared to grow in the last few days. Democrats "have argued that they should not have to take the political risk of passing the wildly unpopular measure without Republicans joining in," notes the LAT. Key Democrats breathed a sigh of relief and predicted that the speech would help gather support for the massive bailout. The WSJ says that Democratic leaders hope to iron out some of the major details of the plan this morning so they can take a general outline to the White House meeting in the afternoon when a final compromise might be cobbled together. While all the papers warn that everything is still very much up in the air, details of the compromises in the plan appear to be taking shape, and the WSJ does the best job in clearly outlining where things stand. In an unsurprising development, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson appeared to drop his resistance to limiting the pay of executives at companies that would participate in the bailout. Now it seems almost certain that such a measure would be included in the bailout package. In addition, beefed-up oversight through the Government Accountability Office also appears to be a shoo-in. And in another unsurprising move, it seems Democrats are ready to stop pushing for a measure that would allow bankruptcy judges to modify the terms of mortgages. Whether the government would have the right to acquire shares in the companies it bails out appears to be less clear. The NYT cites Democrats saying that the White House has agreed to such a measure that would theoretically allow taxpayers to profit from the bailout if the companies recover. For its part, the WSJ cryptically says that "in certain cases" the government could get the right to an equity stake but doesn't spell out what these cases would be. Of course, it's more than likely that the lawmakers themselves don't know yet. Most interesting of all is an idea that was barely talked about a few days ago but seems to have gathered steam in Democratic circles yesterday as more lawmakers wondered whether they couldn't effectively set up an installment plan. Under this scenario, the Democrats would authorize the entire $700 billion but disburse only a smaller amount—$150 billion, according to the NYT—to get the program started. The WSJ reports that some Democrats want to "establish benchmarks" to periodically assess whether to give out the next batch of billions. The White House isn't too keen on the idea but appears to be open to it as long as getting each installment won't require congressional approval. Despite all the wheeling and dealing, the WSJ warns that "it's impossible to handicap the bill's actual prospects." This is particularly true due to the continued opposition from many House Republicans, who the Post says "have emerged as the most difficult bloc of votes." But don't fear, John McCain is coming to the rescue. All the papers give big front-page play to what the LAT calls "a dizzying day of political one-upmanship" that culminated with both candidates agreeing to go back to Washington to participate in the bailout negotiations. It all began when Barack Obama placed a call to McCain yesterday morning to discuss issuing a joint statement of principles on the bailout plan. Instead of giving into the ploy, McCain decided to "up the ante" and announced that he was throwing his campaign schedule aside to return to Washington. Obama at first hesitated when McCain called for him to return to Capitol Hill, saying that it would merely bring "presidential politics" into vital negotiations. But after Bush "did exactly as McCain had requested" (WP) in calling for the White House meeting, Obama had no choice but to give in. McCain called on Obama to postpone the Friday-night debate and join him in pulling down ads and stop all fundraising until a deal is reached. Obama quickly rejected the idea of postponing the debate as Democrats trampled over one another trying to be the first to call McCain's move a transparent political maneuver. "Statesmanship or gamesmanship?" asks USAT in a question that is echoed throughout all the papers. Whatever the case may be, it's clear that McCain has, yet again, managed to shake up the presidential race at a time when several polls have been showing Obama gaining ground. The LAT fronts a new poll that illustrates how registered voters prefer Obama's ideas on the economy to McCain's by a wide margin. But unlike yesterday's WP poll, the LAT says the race remains neck-and-neck nationally as Obama only has a fourpercentage-point lead over McCain among likely voters and a two-percentage-point lead among all registered voters. today's papers The WSJ notes that like so many decisions he has taken in the past, McCain's move "was both high risk and high reward." Slate's John Dickerson calls it McCain's "second Hail Mary pass in a month." The WP's Dan Balz says the latest McCain gamble "may be among the biggest of his political life." At a time when Democrats have the most to gain from troubles in the economy, McCain has successfully put the focus back on himself as he seeks to display strong leadership in a time of crisis. As a bonus, he also essentially tried to make it seem as if Obama was merely following his lead on the biggest issues of the day. But the move could easily backfire if voters see it as an attempt to exploit a very real crisis for political gain. As for the debate, no one knows whether it'll actually take place now. The Commission on Presidential Debates said it is moving forward with Friday night's encounter in Oxford, Miss., but McCain said he would attend only if lawmakers reach an agreement on the bailout package before then. Obama says he plans to be there, and the NYT hears word that the commission wants to try to pressure McCain to reconsider by releasing a statement insisting that the debate go on as scheduled. Even some Republicans questioned the wisdom of McCain's move, particularly since the debate was to focus on foreign policy, which many see as McCain's strength. Whatever the ultimate verdict from voters may be, McCain's move has also added "an unpredictable new element into the negotiations for the bailout," says the NYT. Democratic lawmakers were quick to criticize the move, saying that the involvement of presidential candidates would complicate the negotiations. "We need leadership, not a campaign photo op," Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said. For their part, Republican lawmakers welcomed McCain and touted his actions as a bold move from a strong leader. Still, as the LAT notes, McCain "faces an uncertain reception from Capitol Hill Republicans" since many rank-and-file lawmakers have spoken up against the plan. It could potentially be embarrassing for McCain if for some reason he doesn't manage to bring Republicans in line to support the bailout. Looking Back in Anger By Daniel Politi Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 6:19 AM ET The Los Angeles Times, New York Times, and USA Today lead with the continuing bailout politics as the Bush administration sent some of its top officials to Capitol Hill yesterday in an effort to convince lawmakers they need to pass the $700 billion plan as soon as possible. Instead of falling in line as many had expected, congressional opposition to the bailout seems to be growing every day. The men of the hour, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, appeared before the Senate banking committee to push lawmakers toward action. In what USAT calls perhaps his "darkest economic assessment" since becoming chairman, Bernanke warned that the current crisis is unlike anything the country has ever seen, and failing to approve the bailout would have "significant adverse consequences for the average person." Despite these dire predictions, congressional opposition, particularly from Republicans in the House, was so strong that by last night "it was no longer certain that a version of the Paulson-Bernanke plan could win passage," the LAT declares. The Wall Street Journal banners, and the NYT off-leads, news that Warren Buffett will invest $5 billion in Goldman Sachs. The WSJ calls the cash infusion by the famous investor "one of the biggest expressions of confidence in the financial system since the credit crisis intensified early this month." Financial stocks, including Goldman's, surged in after-hours trading as Buffett's decision "immediately heartened investors," says the NYT. The Washington Post leads with a new presidential election poll that suggests the economic turmoil is helping Barack Obama, who now has the first clear lead in the general-election campaign. Among likely voters, Obama leads John McCain by 52 percent to 43 percent. A mere 9 percent rated the economy as good or excellent, and 50 percent cited it as the most important issue. That undoubtedly helps Obama, who has a sizable advantage as the candidate best-suited to handle the current financial crisis. The WP highlights that the back-and-forth on the campaign trail once again gave voters a front-seat view into the differences in the candidates' styles of leadership. While McCain showed a willingness to "act boldly, if impulsively, to inject himself into the middle of delicate negotiations to force a solution" Obama adopted "a cooler approach designed to show calm in the midst of crisis," notes the WP. Vice President Dick Cheney was dispatched along with a few top White House officials yesterday morning to meet with House Republicans and try to convince them to approve the bailout plan as quickly as possible. But the closed-door session appeared to do little to convince lawmakers that the economy is doomed if a bailout doesn't pass. "Just because God created the world in seven days doesn't mean we have to pass this bill in seven days," Rep. Joe Barton, R-Texas, said after the meeting. "This election is turning into a Goldilocks story," writes the NYT's Gail Collins. "One candidate's too hot, and one's too cool." The LAT reports that Democratic leaders in Congress "admitted privately that they had been thrown off course by the vehemence of the opposition." Democrats warned they would not move forward with such a massive plan unless they had significant Republican support. As the NYT points out, Democrats are now particularly worried that a lack of support from GOP lawmakers "could leave them in an undesired alliance with the Bush administration." None of the papers spells it out, but it seems clear that Democrats are worried this is part of a Republican strategy to distance themselves from the bailout to then turn around and use its passage against Democrats in the upcoming elections. Despite all the huffing and puffing, the LAT wonders whether Congress would really "dare to kill or seriously delay the only plan on the table—and, if it did, would an economic debacle ensue?" Paulson and Bernanke were emphatic yesterday that the plan is vital to the economy's survival even as they insisted that they weren't happy about having to ask for this kind of authority from Congress. "I share the outrage that people have. I think this is embarrassing," Paulson told the Senate banking committee. Senators met the two men "with a nearly universal tone of disgust," says the Post, and they characterized the bailout as a golden parachute for the companies that got us into this financial mess in the first place. At times it seemed like there was a competition going on to see who cared most about the average taxpayer, and Paulson and Bernanke played along, insisting the bailout plan is designed to help (you guessed it) the taxpayer, not Wall Street fat cats. For now, the angry lawmakers aren't saying they'll vote against the bailout but rather are concentrating on key changes they want to insert in the legislation. The one that now seems inevitable is the limit on executive compensation for the firms that participate in the bailout because the presidential candidates, as well as key lawmakers from both sides of the aisle, have expressed support for the measure. Democrats are also pushing hard to give taxpayers an equity stake in the participating companies. But Paulson and Bernanke were adamant that they would oppose the changes because, as the LAT helpfully explains, the goal of the plan is to help markets regain the ability to set prices for their toxic assets, and if only the most desperate companies participate, then the market won't believe the resulting sale prices, thus making the whole thing a pointless exercise. This is why Bernanke also said the government should pay a reasonable price rather than the cheapest price possible for the troubled securities. Paulson will speak to House Republicans this morning, and he and Bernanke will face the House financial services committee, which, as the NYT points out, "could prove even more hostile than the Senate banking panel." One of the likely reasons for all the grandstanding in Capitol Hill is that lawmakers know voters are watching. The WP's poll reveals that 52 percent of people believe the economy is in a serious long-term decline while around 80 percent say they are concerned about the direction of the economy. The majority of white voters who say they are concerned with the economy's direction support Obama. The new poll also shows that Obama has a 21-point lead with independent voters, which is a marked change from the small lead McCain enjoyed after the Republican Convention. The LAT also has a poll that generally confirms the WP's finding that voters think Obama would do a better job handling the financial crisis than McCain. A "solid majority" of the 50 percent of Americans who said they feel less financially secure now than they did six months ago favor putting Obama in the White House. The LAT also reports that 55 percent of respondents said the government shouldn't be planning a bailout, although that figure probably has more to do with the way the question was asked—whether it's "the government's responsibility to bail out private companies with taxpayers' dollars"—and it's unclear whether Americans understand how the rescue package would work. In other campaign news, the NYT fronts and the WP goes inside with word that a lobbying firm co-owned by Rick Davis, McCain's campaign manager, received payments from mortgage giant Freddie Mac until last month. Freddie Mac apparently paid the company approximately $15,000 a month starting at the end of 2005. And that's on top of the $2 million Davis received from both mortgage giants from 2000 to 2005. Why does this matter? Well, it doesn't really, except that McCain has spent lots of time lately attacking Obama for his supposed ties to chief executives of the mortgage giants. On Sunday, the Republican nominee said Davis had no involvement with Freddie Mac for the last several years. But hey, it might have been easy for Davis to forget because, according to the NYT's sources, Davis didn't do much work for his $15,000-a-month paycheck as his company was apparently kept on the payroll simply because of its ties to McCain. Davis took a leave from the company for the campaign but continues to have a financial stake in its success. In an interesting Page One piece, the WP points out that while Paulson and Bernanke insist the massive bailout is the only way to save the economy from Armageddon, other experts disagree and say there are several other ways the government could get involved without risking so much taxpayer money. The government could, for example, simply lend money to troubled banks or concentrate on preventing foreclosures. Alternatively, some think the government could stimulate Wall Street by repealing the capital gains tax for two years. The NYT's David Leonhardt writes that members of Congress are taking their eyes off the ball. Instead of simply focusing on how to solve the crisis while limiting taxpayer cost, many are choosing to focus on "sideshows." And while that's hardly a novelty in Congress, the fragile state of the markets means "there's no time to waste." Even though the efforts to cut executive pay and change bankruptcy laws "are based on a worthy instinct," the best way to deal with the larger problems in the economy "is to make sure the government spends as little [as] possible on an effective bailout." The WP's Steven Pearlstein notes that while much has been said in the past few days about how to rescue the financial system, no one has uttered two crucial words: "We're sorry." These two words "have been conspicuously absent" from the debate, and they're precisely what Americans need to hear. "Until Wall Street can muster the decency, the humility and the good sense to acknowledge its colossal screw-up," writes Pearlstein, "it shouldn't be surprising that Americans are balking at writing the check." today's papers Bail Me Out Tonight By Daniel Politi Tuesday, September 23, 2008, at 6:30 AM ET The Washington Post, New York Times, and Los Angeles Times lead with news that the Bush administration and congressional leaders are moving closer to agreeing on the $700 billion bailout plan for financial firms. The LAT says that in its rush to pass the plan, the Bush administration is agreeing to measures that "would have been inconceivable even a few weeks ago." But deep skepticism remains on both sides of the aisle, and suddenly lawmakers aren't being shy about questioning whether the plan would really succeed in shoring up the nation's ailing financial system. The WP points out that some lawmakers are now saying it might be unrealistic for them to pass a plan by Friday. And as doubts increased in Capitol Hill, investors responded in kind and continued to send the markets on the dizzying rollercoaster ride that has been all too familiar lately. The Dow Jones industrial average tumbled 372 points, or 3.3 percent, which more than erased Friday's huge gains. "It marked the first time in the Dow's history that it has moved more than 350 points, four days in a row," notes the Wall Street Journal in a Page One piece. The WSJ's world-wide newsbox leads with a look at the presidential candidates' assessments of the bailout plan. Neither candidate said how he would vote if the bailout reaches the Senate floor, though they agreed on several key aspects they want to see changed. Barack Obama and John McCain both want to put limits on executive pay as well as increase oversight of the Treasury while also demanding greater transparency of how the money is spent. USA Today leads with word that the Department of Veteran Affairs will publish new regulations today that will "substantially increase" the disability benefits for veterans with mild traumatic brain injuries. The move marks the first time the government has officially acknowledged that even those with mild symptoms can struggle to make a living when they get back home. These veterans could receive $600 a month, whereas they now collect a mere $117. The department expects somewhere between 3,500 and 5,000 veterans to benefit from the new regulation. The White House was busy ratcheting up the pressure on lawmakers to pass the bailout plan quickly, warning that failing to do so could have dire consequences. The WP notes that the scene is "reminiscent" of the days after the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, when lawmakers were under deep pressure to act quickly. Still, lawmakers were adamant that they wouldn't let the administration railroad them into anything even as they kept on insisting that they're working against the clock to come up with a plan that everyone can agree on, although it seems clear that in order to pass many will have to accept less-than-ideal measures. The LAT points out that the key negotiations are now taking place between Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Rep. Barney Frank, chairman of the House financial services committee. Although any plan must also pass the Senate, the administration is betting that if it can get the House to go along then the Senate will be forced to follow suit. So, if everyone agrees that a bailout will ultimately be approved, what's the holdup? It would be easy to say that the devil is in the details, but the disagreements go far beyond a few footnotes or commas. In broad terms, it seems the Treasury has agreed to demands that an independent oversight board be created to keep tabs on how the bailout is handled. Everyone also points out that the administration appears to have agreed to a Democratic demand that the government assist homeowners at risk of foreclosure. But key disagreements remain, including on a proposal to limit executive compensation at companies participating in the bailout as well as a provision that would make it easier for bankruptcy judges to modify mortgages for homeowners who are at risk of losing their homes. The NYT says that the administration officials and lawmakers are close to an agreement on whether taxpayers would be simply buying up the toxic securities or whether the government would also get the right to buy stock in the companies it helps dig out of a financial hole. But everyone else says that's still a key sticking point because Treasury officials fear it would limit those willing to participate in the program since only banks that are sure to fail would be willing to give the government stock. Democrats insist the point is critical so taxpayers could benefit if the companies' stock prices increase. "If this is an investment, the taxpayer should not be treated as dumb money," Rep. Rahm Emanuel said. It would be a mistake to think of these disagreements as a merely Republican vs. Democratic issue as some of the harshest criticism of the bailout came from Republicans. "I am concerned that Treasury's proposal is neither workable nor comprehensive despite its enormous price tag," Sen. Richard Shelby of Alabama, the senior Republican on the banking committee, said. "It would be foolish to waste massive sums of taxpayer funds testing an idea that has been hastily crafted." Newt Gingrich predicted that as time goes on more Republicans will be speaking up against a plan that goes against all the free-market rhetoric many have been espousing for years. "I think this is going to be a much bigger fight than [Bush] expected," Gingrich said. While skepticism grew on Capitol Hill, investors also began to think twice. After two days of market gains when investors seemed to treat the government bailout as a panacea, they suddenly began to worry that perhaps it won't be a cure-all and, in fact, could make things worse by increasing the deficit. There was perhaps no clearer sign of these worries than in the currency markets, where, as the WSJ points out, "the dollar posted its worst single-day percentage drop against the euro, 2.5%, since the European currency's inception nine years ago." Along with that plunge in the U.S. currency came a huge increase in the price of oil that the WP says saw "its biggest oneday jump ever in dollar terms." In a Page One analysis, the WP says the drop in the currency markets is a clear sign that investors around the world are worried the U.S. economy is nowhere near rock bottom. "Growth is going to be slower, the budget deficit higher, but mostly, the whole U.S. financial system has been thrown into question," one analyst said. Meanwhile the massive bailout is raising questions about how much debt the United States can take on without raising taxes or cutting spending. Some analysts say that by not outlining how the bailout will be financed, many are assuming the government thinks the solution is just to print more money and deal with inflation later. "[I]f you think inflation is the answer, take a trip to Zimbabwe and see how it's working for them," one analyst tells the Post. Then there's also the not-inconsequential question of how much the government will pay for the toxic mortgage securities held by banks. As the WP points out inside, government officials will have to answer "the same question that has vexed the brightest minds on Wall Street for more than a year: What are the darn things worth?" The key is no one knows, and many are worried the government will end up paying way too much for them. Then again, paying too much for them is exactly what the banks need in order to return to their normal operations. It's a "tricky balancing act" that some think will simply end up demonstrating that banks need much more capital than many thought. In its own front-page analysis, the NYT notes that while most agree some form of bailout is needed, many are growing deeply skeptical about the demands from the administration that the plan has to be approved right now or we risk falling into another Great Depression. While some are indeed worried that the government will end up paying too much, ultimately many are uncomfortable with the fact that the bailout "is being sold as a must-have emergency measure by an administration with a controversial record when it comes to asking Congress for special authority in time of duress." There are also those who question the wisdom of giving so much power to Paulson, "a guy who totally missed this, and has been wrong about almost everything," as one analyst put it. In a scathing piece, the NYT's Andrew Ross Sorkin says that Paulson is asking for "the financial equivalent of the Patriot Act" that would give the Treasury secretary "perhaps the most incredible powers ever bestowed on one person over the economic and financial life of the nation." The bailout would not only be the biggest rescue as has often been repeated, it would also amount to "the most amazing power grab in the history of the American economy." And in the it-would-be-funny-if-itweren't-so-troubling department, Sorkin points out that last week Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez had some choice words for his friends up north: "They have criticized me, especially in the United States, for nationalizing a great company, CANTV, that didn't even cost $1.5 billion." It may be the end of the financial world as we know it, but the presidential candidates feel fine. The Post points out that while lawmakers are busy approving a plan that could take the federal deficit toward the trillion-dollar mark, neither candidate really thinks that's reason enough to change his economic plans. The financial system is collapsing all around us, but the candidates are choosing to focus on such deadly important issues—such as who has bigger lobbying ties to Fannie Mae and whose advisers got the biggest "golden parachute"—that many economists can't help but be baffled and look at the campaign as a mere "sideshow" to the real news of the day, says the Post. The candidates' reluctance to take on the biggest issue of the day might be understandable, though, because sometimes when they try they just make things worse for themselves. In the WP's oped page, George Will writes that McCain "is behaving like a flustered rookie playing in a league too high." The conservative columnist says that McCain's "childish reflex" to insist that the chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission "betrayed the public trust" and should be axed "is a harbinger of a McCain presidency." Will even goes as far as to wonder whether conservatives can really trust McCain to make good judicial selections because of his "impulsive, intensely personal reactions to people and events." While Obama might not be ready to sit in the Oval Office because of his inexperience, it "is arguable that McCain, because of his boiling moralism and bottomless reservoir of certitudes, is not suited to the presidency." today's papers Wall Street at a Crossroads Jesse Stanchak Monday, September 22, 2008, at 6:34 AM ET After a whirlwind weekend of negotiations, the political dimensions of the Treasury Department's $700 billion mortgage bailout proposal are starting to take shape, even as the financial sector continues to shift dramatically. The New York Times, the Washington Post, the Los Angeles Times, and USA Today each lead with their latest analysis of how the Treasury Department's proposal will wind its way through Congress. The Wall Street Journal leads with the end of the era of investment banking, as Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs opt to become holding companies. Now that Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson has presented members of Congress with an outline of his plan, Congress is weighing in with a few ideas of its own. While support for the concept of the buyout seems solid at the moment, the papers all say that Democrats and Republicans each have concerns they want addressed. The NYT focuses on high-ranking Democrats' desire to see greater industry regulation attached to the bill, up to and including regulating the salaries of executives whose companies participate in the buyout. Other concerns include increasing the programs' oversight requirements and perhaps including some sort of assistance for troubled homeowners. The WSJ says that the argument for housing aid adds a bitter twist to the debate, since "taxpayers are now both creditors and debtors in the housing mess." The LAT suggests the buyout may help homebuyers indirectly, even without any special aid for consumers. Financial institutions are lobbying members of Congress at full tilt, reports the NYT. Some are pushing for an expanded bailout package that would go beyond just mortgages and allow the government to buy up "any financial instrument." The paper also says that several companies are especially interested in who will manage the government's new acquisitions, a contract that could easily be worth billions annually. The NYT notes that the Asian markets' reaction to the weekend's developments was cautiously positive in early trading. The WP fronts a man-on-the-street piece about local taxpayer resentment of the buyout plan. The NYT goes inside with a piece on how the power of the treasury secretary has grown over the last two years. The paper goes on to speculate about who will take over from Paulson after the next president takes office. USAT off-leads with Pakistan saying it has declined the FBI's help in investigating the hotel bombing in Islamabad. The attack killed 53 people, including two Americans. Inside, the NYT examines the political implications of the attack. Virginia's 13 electoral votes are in play for the first time in more than 40 years, a phenomenon that's made life easier for fundraisers from both parties. Virginians gave $25.3 million during the current election cycle, says the WP, up from $14.2 million during the 2004 campaign. Contributions to Democratic presidential candidates led donations to Republicans by about 5to-3, with about 85 percent of all donations coming from Northern Virginia donors. House Republicans, meanwhile, want assurances that any profits made from the eventual sale of these distressed assets will be used to pay down the national debt, says the WP. Some Republicans continue to voice concern over the scope and cost of the package, but the papers all agree that the chances of anyone stalling the measure are slim. Paulson is quoted in all the papers asking Congress to pass his proposal without significant changes and saying he still hopes Congress will pass the bill before leaving for a recess on Friday. Of course, voting in Virginia has already begun for some people, according to USAT. Virginia is one of 34 states that have some type of early-voting program. The paper claims that more people will vote early this year than ever before, with one expert predicting that nearly one-third of the electorate will vote before Nov. 4. The WSJ explains that the conversion of the last two investment banks to commercial banking is meant to stabilize the financial titans and keep them from going the way of Lehman Bros. Becoming retail banks will mean that Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs will be able to use bank deposits as a cushion for their investments. In exchange, they will now face greater regulation, stricter debt limits, and, in all likelihood, lower profitability than they've seen in the past. The NYT calls the move "a blunt acknowledgment that their model of finance and investing had become too risky." The NYT fronts (and USAT teases) a farewell to Yankee Stadium. The LAT fronts coverage of last night's Emmy Awards, in which Mad Men and 30 Rock won the top prizes. today's papers $700,000,000,000 By David Sessions Sunday, September 21, 2008, at 5:12 AM ET The Sunday editions of the Washington Post, New York Times, and Los Angeles Times all lead with the latest details on the Bush administration's plan to rescue the crippled U.S. economy—most of all yesterday's increase of the price to $700 billion, a figure higher than the current cost of the Iraq war. (The LAT conveys the magnitude of the number by sprawling all 11 zeros across its front page.) Bush's plan would also give the Treasury Department "unfettered authority" to buy failing properties, notes the NYT's lede, and raise the legal limit for U.S. national debt to a staggering $11.3 trillion. All three papers also front yesterday's deadly hotel bombing in Pakistan, one of the most catastrophic terrorist attacks in the nation's history. Speaking Saturday about his bailout plan, President Bush said, "The risk of doing nothing far outweighs the risk of the package" and that, over time, we're going to get a lot of the money back. The WP reports that the proposal puts no time limit on how long the government may hold the assets it purchases but that the goal is "to sell them after housing prices recover and to earn back much of the money." While just about everyone agrees that a basic bailout for Wall Street is necessary, there is potential conflict afoot: Democrats plan to insist on provisions to "help hundreds of thousands of troubled borrowers at risk of losing their homes to foreclosure," the NYT reports. "Democrats worry that it will primarily be viewed as a bailout for big Wall Street firms," the WP explains. (House Majority Leader Nancy Pelosi is quoted by the NYT saying the government should "insulate Main Street from Wall Street.") Both papers mention congressional Republicans' warnings that the extra spending measures will slow the proposal's passage. Forty people were killed and 250 were injured in Islamabad, Pakistan, when an explosives-packed truck rammed into the gates of the five-star Marriott, where foreign diplomats often stay. Similar attacks have been previously attempted on the hotel, which is near both Pakistan's house of parliament and the residence of its prime minister. The precise hour chosen for this attempt—after sunset during Ramadan—was plainly strategic, the LAT notes, since it was a time when the hotel was certain to be overflowing with guests. No militant groups have yet claimed responsibility for the bombing, but the LAT observes that "the size of the truck bomb, the successful strike against a wellguarded target and the apparently careful planning were all signs of a skilled and experienced militant group." with populist politician Jacob Zuma led to the vote—a court cleared Zuma of corruption charges last week and suggested that Mbeki had plotted to have him prosecuted, an accusation that inflamed party divisions. The WP describes Zuma as "a populist who is considered likely to win the presidency next year." The NYT credits the outgoing president, who succeeded Nelson Mandela, with "[leading] the nation to an unprecedented run of economic growth" but notes that his administration floated dubious theories about AIDS infection and was unable to resolve South Africa's deep divide between the rich and poor. The LAT fronts grumbling in Alaska over the McCain-Palin campaign's seeming siege of the governor's office in Juneau, which now diverts all calls and requests to campaign headquarters in Virginia. The editorial page of the Anchorage Daily News demanded yesterday that Sarah Palin "speak for herself, directly to Alaskans, about her actions as Alaska's governor." The campaign's information lockdown has touched a "raw nerve" with the state's "fiercely independent" populace, which has more criticism for Palin now than before her nomination as the Republican candidate for vice president. The complaining Alaskans on record for the story range from Democratic legislators to conservative talk-radio hosts. A story in the NYT's "A" section links a same-sex marriage ban to appear on California's November ballot to the expected high turnout among black voters mobilized to vote for Barack Obama. Gay rights groups worry that African-American voters, who generally lean conservative on social issues, will provide extra support for the ban when they turn out to vote for Obama. To counter that possible side effect, they are courting black pastors and churches with this message: "Gay people are black and black people are gay," as one leader told the Times. A whimsical essay in the WP "Style" section marks the passing of the "everybody" era of pop culture, which has given way to the "nobody" era. ("Nobody watches television on an actual television. Nobody watches actual broadcasts in real time, because nobody sits through ads. Nobody watches entire TV shows, just the best clips. Nobody watches prime time.") But we may be less fragmented than we think—after all, "everybody" is telling us the ways "nobody" does it anymore. today's papers In a separate story deeper in the paper, the NYT reports the first speech from freshly sworn-in Pakistani president Asif Ali Zardari, who called for an end to both terrorism and U.S. missions to counter terrorism within Pakistan. Mortgaging the Future The NYT and WP front (and the LAT also reports) the resignation of South African President Thabo Mbeki, whose party voted to recall him before the conclusion of his final term. A bitter rivalry The Bush administration announced Friday that it would seek to stabilize the financial sector by buying up the distressed mortgages that were at the heart of last week's market calamities. By Jesse Stanchak Saturday, September 20, 2008, at 7:11 AM ET All the papers lead with their analysis of the plan, although details are still scant and questions abound. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson had yet to formally present a formal proposal by the time the papers were put to bed, but he had briefed lawmakers on his plan via conference call. According to the New York Times, the plan's goal is to restore stability by soaking up assets that aren't easily turned into cash, increasing the availability of capital. The Washington Post says the government will also look to insure money-market mutual funds, which currently comprise $3.5 trillion in investments, in order to maintain a ready supply of short-term funding for corporations. This aspect of the plan displeases bankers, who fear that insuring these funds will destabilize banks by luring away customers from savings accounts. The Los Angeles Times, however, reports that any money market insurance plan would most likely last for one year only. The biggest question is what this plan, potentially the biggest government intervention in the market since the Great Depression, will cost. The WP says $500 billion. The NYT says possibly as much as $1 trillion. The LAT thinks the price tag could reach $2 trillion. That money wouldn't all be spent at once. It's unclear how many mortgages would be bought up and how quickly. The Wall Street Journal says the government would most likely use a reverse auction model, buying up cheaper properties first and so giving banks an incentive to offer them a deal. The paper worries, however, that if the government negotiates too aggressively it will only hurt banks further. Stocks surged in anticipation of the plan on Friday, with the Dow Jones industrial average posting its "biggest back-to-back point gains in more than eight years," according to the LAT. Fridays' bump all but erased the losses sustained earlier in the week. Never the less, the NYT reports that investors are unhappy about new restrictions imposed in the wake of last week's chaos. To different degrees, the papers all suggest that the biggest hurdle the plan will face is getting past Congress. Both Secretary Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke have been leaning toward large-scale intervention for some time, according to the WP, but they didn't want to propose a plan only to have Congress reject it, spurring further panic in the market. But by Wednesday, says the WSJ, the two men felt they had no choice. Now they must hope that the urgency of last week's events will give their proposal the momentum it needs to quickly clear Congress. Still, as the NYT notes, the two parties are in no mood to cooperate six weeks before an election. Both sides also have plenty of misgivings about the proposal. Democrats worry it will only help wealthy financiers, and Republicans are concerned by the plan's price tag. Timing is also an issue: Lawmakers were planning on adjourning next Friday and staying in recess until after the November elections. Before they go, they'll face several other high-profile bills, including a resolution to continue funding the government past Oct. 1. The WP uses the mortgage buyout as a news peg for its offlead analysis of President Bush's second term. The paper argues that the plan, which some Republicans say violates the tenets of small-government conservatism, is just the latest in a string of signs that Bush has become less ideologically rigid in his second term. The LAT decides to use the current financial mess as a test of the leadership styles of Sens. Barack Obama and John McCain. The paper concludes that their responses closely mirror their campaign styles, with McCain looking to attack the problem head on and Obama deferring in hopes of building consensus. The NYT gives Sen. Joe Biden a glowing review for his performance on the campaign trail last week but says his efforts are generating little notice. The paper says the Obama camp is now trying to reintroduce its VP pick to the nation after Sarah Palin grabbed the spotlight during the week of the Republican National Convention. Meanwhile, inside the WP declares that Palin and McCain have created a "new way of campaigning" by touring the country together, instead of splitting up to cover more ground as most running mates do. Unfortunately, the paper doesn't do much to explain why the McCain camp has chosen to campaign this way. The paper says that women like Palin and that she draws a crowd, but she would do the same if she were touring alone. Is touring together more effective? If so, why do Obama and Biden travel separately? What is it about the McCain-Palin ticket that makes this arrangement preferable? The piece does say, "McCain likes having Palin along," but TP would hope there's more to the story than that. The WP fronts coverage of a high-class fundraiser for secondhand retailer Goodwill. The story quickly turns into a look at how sales at thrifts shops have surged across the nation this year. The articles suggest that in hard times, even the well-to-do enjoy a bargain, and a growing recognition that second hand stores sometimes contain hidden treasures has only fueled the chain's popularity. well-traveled The Mongolia Obsession Bones are all that is left of the Mongolian empire. By Tim Wu Friday, September 26, 2008, at 7:08 AM ET From: Tim Wu Subject: Getting Started in Mongolia Updated Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 7:17 AM ET I had wanted to go to Mongolia for years. When you travel around the world, you rarely meet Mongolians, but you're always running into things they did. In the Middle East, it's a massacre here, a ruined fortress there, and now and then a few captured swords and bows. In Beijing, a giant stupa covered in Mongolian writing. In Northern India, all the really great buildings, including the Taj Mahal, were built by the Mughals, who were descended from the Mongolians. So, what is this place, this Mongolia? Who lives there? And where did they all go? It was time to get on the trans-Mongolian express and find out. Joining me on this trip was Miki, a Japanese pal who shares my taste for travel without planning and who, thanks to years of meditation, has no capacity to feel fear. Case in point: While learning to drive a motorcycle, Miki once drove us both headfirst into another vehicle. As we lay on the pavement, I asked if she was OK. "Tanoshikatta," she said, "That was fun." Arriving in the Mongolian capital, Ulan Bator, with no plans but plenty of time, we went looking for a way into the outback. The bulletin boards in cafes where travelers hang out had some interesting ideas. "DRIVING OVERLAND TO MOSCOW. CAN SPLIT GAS." "CYCLING TO TIBET." "GOOD HORSE WITH SADDLE FOR SALE." Some reflect a certain oneupmanship in the independent travel world, where the more primitive your locomotion, the better. "So, you cycled across Morocco?" you might overhear. "Well, my wife and I took a donkey across Antarctica." If you want to, Ulan Bator is a good place to start that kind of adventure. Unfortunately, we lacked the time for a trek to eastern Pakistan via dogcart, so we started checking out slightly more modern options. If the dogcart was too unpredictable, however, there were also too many tours with too much organization for my taste. There were many minibus tours, catering to backpackers, which I am sure are fine—but they follow a fixed route that, when we happened to cross it, lacked the magic of the unexplored Mongolian outback. More than anything in travel, I love the freedom to make my own mistakes, which you might also call independence. We soon figured out what that means in Mongolia: your own jeep and a translator. That, plus the magic formula: the desire to go where no one else goes. We found what we were looking for one afternoon when we wandered into a backstreet tour outfit. The office was equipped with nothing but a giant map of Mongolia, a desk, and a young woman with sharp green-blue eyes and an attitude to match. She pointed at the outskirts of the country. "Go here," she said. "You'll like it, and no one else has been there for years." We were in. She knew a good driver with a jeep, she said. And for a translator/guide, did we want a man or a woman? We hesitated. "Get a woman," she said flatly, "She will cook better." We nodded. "I have a girl. She is very beautiful. You will like her. She speaks good English and Japanese." The next day, right on schedule, a light-blue Russian jeep showed up at our apartment, driven by Bimba. Bimba, a bearlike figure, was a retired nomad who had shifted careers from herding sheep to herding tourists. He certainly remained in touch with his roots—sometimes to a fault. He liked to drink (after driving, usually), wrestle, and make large fires. His method for making firewood, we would later discover, was to hoist a giant boulder over his head and fling it at a pile of wood. When we met our translator, Tula, we were in for a surprise. Sweet and kind, she introduced herself in fluent German. "Guten morgen!" Thanks to a last-minute switch, Tula spoke German, decent Japanese, but not a word of English. Miki seemed pleased. I decided to pretend I was living in an alternative future where we'd lost World War II. Tula, Bimba, Miki, and I boarded the jeep laden with food, gasoline, and water, and we set our sights on a mountain about a week's drive away, in an area unblessed by roads. Whether or how we'd get there wasn't completely clear. There was certainly some chance of being abandoned in the Gobi desert and eaten by camels. But those kind of thoughts didn't stop Genghis Khan, and they certainly weren't about to stop us. From: Tim Wu Subject: The Astonishing Hospitality of Rural Mongolians Updated Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 7:17 AM ET After some time driving around the Mongolian countryside, I hit upon a great way to make new friends. It was simple: Draw a line in the dirt, paw the earth a bit, and wrestle to the first fall. Call me primitive, but there's something about fighting in the dirt that seems to foster a certain kind of companionship. I don't take this approach too far—at book parties, for instance, I tend to stick with small talk. But in the middle of the Mongolian nowhere, in a country where wrestling is the national sport, there's just no better way to make pals. Brave Miki even took on a few women, pitting what I imagined to be an interpretation of Japanese sumo against the local technique. As the wrestling story suggests, traveling in Mongolia forced me to re-evaluate my own attitude about one of the greatest of travel dilemmas: that whole "meeting the locals" thing. Call me a snob, but I hate meeting the locals. I'm not really interested in the locals back home, so why should things be any different overseas? You can't blame the locals. The problem is that most events billed as a chance to "experience indigenous culture" tend to range from the merely uncomfortable to the downright nauseating. If you've ever, say, sat through a hula dance in Hawaii, you know what I mean, but at least you know that's fake. It's worse when a real native gets coerced into being your friend. You get that creepy feeling that you are at a human zoo, particularly if the poor guys are paid to put on feathers and dance around. But the most terrible things in life are bastardized versions of great things—like bad marriages are to good ones or as fake Parmesan cheese is to the real stuff. So it is with meeting the locals. In Mongolia, the horrors of the forced encounter give way to something much more natural, rewarding, and energizing even for the most jaded traveler. It all happens at the yurt (or ger, as they call them here). You may just think of it as a big tent, but it's a lifestyle, and one that takes some getting used to if you are accustomed to the idea of "property" or the concept of "trespass." For the odd thing about the Mongolian countryside, besides the lack of roads, fences, and other indicia of civilization, is that anyone's ger is potentially a rest stop, a play station, and, sometimes, a hotel. One day, early in our jeep tour, I spotted a bucolic ger atop a local hill, surrounded by intensely green grass and grazing horses. "Nice place," I said to Tula, our translator/guide, in my mix of broken German and Japanese. Tula said something to Bimba, who took a hard right and launched our Russian jeep up the hill. I had thought of the ger rather as if it were part of a landscape painting, not something you might actually interact with. But within minutes, we had landed on the front lawn like a light-blue flying saucer. Out jumped Bimba, shouting, "Hold your dogs!" to the family. (They held them.) Without any further ceremony, he swung open the door to their home, beckoned us to enter, and plopped down as if he were taking a break in his own living room. I was, to say the least, taken aback, and prepared to be thrown out. But to my surprise, our hosts seemed cool with our invasion of their living room. It was as if a groovy steppe party were in progress, and we were somehow on the guest list. Our hosts served "tea" (though what Mongolians call tea you might call salty sheep's milk mixed with parts of the tea plant that the rest of the world throws away). We chatted while Bimba, right at home, borrowed a needle and thread to reattach a button to his shirt. After tea, out came a strong, clear liquor distilled from horse milk, and in no time we were roaring with laughter like old friends. Our host caught me eying the horses and suggested I take one for a ride, the way your friend's dad might let you use the motorboat at his cottage. Minutes later, I was thundering through the hills at top speed, whooping and hollering—my distaste for locals gone forever. Forget the feather dances, this was a kind of indigenous experience I could get used to. And so it was through the rest of our trip. Hanging out and getting drunk at local settlements made what might have been a boring trip more like a magical mystery tour. However romantic a road trip may sound, riding for days in a bumpy, un-airconditioned jeep can take its toll. There are only so many times in one day that you can bash your head against the roof of a vehicle and remain in good spirits. It sure helped that every settlement was like a friend's summer home. Within limits, you can drink, hang out, milk goats, go hunting or hiking, and maybe buy an animal and kill it for food (more on that later in the week). There isn't much by way of, say, coffee shops or opera houses in the countryside, but that doesn't matter much when every settlement does double duty. If this all sounds like some kind of communal anarchy, it isn't quite. You can't just go to Mongolia and jump on the first horse you see. It's bad manners actually to plan to sleep in someone's ger—you use your own tent unless it's raining. Mongolia is not Burning Man or one big hippie commune—it's just a very friendly place. If you've traveled a lot, you may be suspicious of the kind of friendliness I am describing. "What a sucker," you may be thinking, "I bet he got cleaned out later." Who among us has not had the experience of making a new friend overseas only to find the local gift shop forms the glue in your relationship? But believe me, in the Mongolian outback, there are no gift shops. It's not even clear what they would sell, unless maybe you wanted to get your hands on some stuffed marmots. There's a Greek myth in which Zeus and Hermes disguise themselves as needy travelers to test a town, curious to see who is willing to give them shelter. Most of the population fails, of course, and the angry gods send them to Hades. I'm pretty sure that's where most of us would end up today. The story seems to express a moral principle that is so generally lost—that you should welcome lost travelers—it is almost quaint. But for now, and for as long as it lasts, rural Mongolians are among the few people in the world I've met who truly and unquestionably pass the test. From: Tim Wu Subject: Get Your Cowboy On Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008, at 7:17 AM ET Like many young men who grew up in North America, I have had my share of cowboy fantasies. To be clear, I'm not talking about the fantasy of having sex with a cowboy (a legitimate, though alternative, form) but, rather, the fantasy of being a cowboy with boots, a horse, and a gun, roaming around the West. But there's a big problem: To see the American West as it was, you'd have to uninvent a lot of stuff, starting with barbed wire and trains and ending up at paved highways, strip malls, and air conditioning. Yes, all that may fade into dust in another 200 years or so. Unfortunately, we'll all be dead by then, too. The good news is, if you did uninvent all the stuff that ruined the American West, the place would resemble Mongolia. Deep Mongolia is fenceless, roadless, and above all empty. It is populated mostly by wandering herds, tended by men on horseback or motorcycle, and has little else. It is, in short, completely irresistible to a cowboy fantasist. Every day you see stuff in Mongolia that screams cowboy. In the morning, cowboys on horseback herd yaks, sheep, or camels out for grazing, and in the evening, the women go out and milk the beasts. Now and then, you may see men breaking in a bucking wild horse. In the small towns—often just a few buildings set out on the plains—you run into old cowboys wandering around drunk, as if you're in Tombstone, Ariz., and they've just come back from boozing with Doc Holliday. That said, I'll admit that being in Central Asia does require certain adjustments. The horse saddles are generally made of wood. You don't pound whisky in the saloon; instead, you drink fermented horse milk in a ger. And the guns you'll see are old Soviet bolt-action models, not Winchester repeaters. Traveling through deeper Mongolia is also a chance in this life to see what it is about the "endless plains" that once inspired so much writing and thought. There are places in America that are pretty empty. But endlessly empty is different. It means land free of any road or fence as far as the eye can see, and then beyond that, and then beyond that. The plains begin to feel more like ocean than land, open to being crossed in any way you'd like, free and unending. You start to realize how much your daily decisions are driven by paths, streets, and fences. Forget about the road less traveled and think no road at all. After about a week of driving mixed with riding, we'd reached that mountain we spotted on the map back in Ulan Bator. We had reached the edge of the Altai range, just out of the Gobi desert, near the Chinese border. There we camped in a high plateau next to a single family's gers, sheep, and horses. We were their first foreign visitors in 17 years—the last was a Japanese fellow who lived in a tent for a year to study marmots. Miki and I went with one of the men to climb our target, that mountain peak, on horseback. The horses were pretty uncooperative—"The horse thinks you are a fool," said Miki, unhelpfully, though I didn't see her galloping up the mountain, either. We had brought along Soviet rifles and bullets, but after some would-be target practice, I realized that my chances of hitting a marmot were zero, and so did our guide. As we neared the top of the mountain, he left some food behind and abruptly disappeared—not for a few minutes, but for a few hours. We never made the summit. Later, I realized that he had left us to graze, as if we were a strange breed of horse, while he made some serious efforts to catch our dinner. I took my evolving attitude toward animal scat as a measure of my adjustment to life on the plains. When they needed to start a fire in the middle of nowhere, cowboys relied on cow chips, which is a euphemism for cow feces. Before Mongolia, like most urban Americans, my views on animal excrement were largely negative. That changed. Animal feces began to take on a new and more precious meaning—as a valuable and somewhat scarce commodity good for building a fire with. I knew I had reached a turning point when I began to handle yak patties with my bare hands. Mentally, feces had become just an oddly shaped form of wood. And, hell, a good dung fire keeps the bugs away. Since we're talking about cowboys, I can't close this entry without tackling a somewhat sensitive topic: Asian manhood. There is a widely held stereotype that, samurais and Bruce Lee aside, East Asian men are not particularly masculine. I hate to admit it, but as with many stereotypes, there's some truth to this. Take my native Taiwan: Good food? Yes. Friendly? Yes. Macho? Not at all. Many Taiwanese men consider it perfectly normal to fill their cars with stuffed animals. More broadly, male pop stars across East Asia have a disturbing tendency to look exactly like the teenage girls who are their biggest fans. Please don't get angry about this. It's true that Western popular culture tends to emasculate Asian men. I am also aware that cultural ideals of manhood vary, and that Taiwanese men are more likely to express their masculinity in other ways, like collecting tea pots or chewing on betel nuts. But rough and tough they aren't. And some of this gives Asian men outside Asia something of a complex. into alcohol. Camel's milk, I shudder to recall, is musky and feels like drinking bottled smoke. (I think I finally understand why Camel is a brand of cigarettes.) Consider also that Mongolians like their milk heavily salted, and the phrase acquired taste takes on new meaning. The antidote to any idea that this might be a racial, as opposed to cultural, trait is a trip to Mongolia. Mongolian men in the countryside spend their time riding horses, killing animals, and breaking firewood. They tend to hold their face in a fixed grimace. At times, it is like a country of Daniel Craig impersonators. Along with parts of Latin America, it's probably the most macho place I've ever been. And so, my Asian brothers, if you ever want to know what the extremes of Eastern manhood look like, forget about Jet Li or even Bruce Lee. It's Mongolia where Asia gets tough. As an all-dairy nation, and probably the world's worst place to be a vegan, Mongolia is very cheese-centric. I am below no man in my taste for what some people might describe as abhorrent forms of cheese. I like English cheddars that have gone rotten and overaged gorgonzola that has turned brown. But the problem with Mongolian "cheese" is that it is nearly as hard as rock and as acidic as battery acid. Eating it is not horrific, but it is rather exhausting. From: Tim Wu Subject: The Most Disgusting Food. Ever. Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008, at 6:58 AM ET I have eaten my fair share of food that some people might label "gross." There was even a time, in my early 20s, when I made quite a habit of it. Pigs' ears or fried crickets? Please. That's kids' stuff. I prefer to test my limits: Pass the duck brains. It is a test of will, not unlike diving off a high cliff, when you order your hand to put something into your mouth while every instinct screams, "No!" And sometimes a food that looks strange can be quite pleasant in ways you don't expect. I have fond memories of the time I ate a squirming live octopus tentacle in Korea—not only did it taste pretty good, it also brought fond memories of a woman who used to twirl her tongue while French kissing. I wish I could say that snake blood brought on fond memories, but it just tasted like a nosebleed. On the happier side, I can report that deep-fried scorpion tastes just like cricket. Unfortunately, none of this prepared me for the culinary horrors of Mongolia. I, who consider myself the owner of an iron will and a stomach to match, still shudder when I think about some of the things I ate and drank there. There were times when I longed for a nice plate of deep-fried scorpions. If you have ever wondered why we generally drink cow's milk, I can tell you: Most of the other types of milk are just disgusting. They get under your skin in a special dairy sort of way, rather like eating a stick of butter every morning might. Forced to choose, I think I'd say the best is yak milk, especially if it's hot. But I would stay away from horse milk unless it's been distilled All this is surely survivable. It is the mutton, the unending mutton, that gets to you. After just a week, I felt like the Troll in The Hobbit who complains, "Mutton yesterday, mutton today, and blimey, if it don't look like mutton again tomorrer." The common complaint about mutton is that it is gamey. Granted. But the insidious part is not so much the flavor as the smell. When I returned to Beijing, Evan Osnos, now at The New Yorker, who has done some great writing on Mongolia's gold rush, asked me, "So, do you still smell like mutton?" I did. To be fair, Mongolian cuisine had certain satisfactions. After a day of hard riding, gnawing on mutton bones seemed entirely appropriate. Mutton dumplings and mutton mixed with noodles can sometimes be good. And after a while, I developed a taste for fermented horse milk, particularly when distilled to a clear liquor—though it may have just been that a few shots did wonders for the mutton. I can also report that Mongolian vodka did the job, though I wasn't that excited about Bimba's way of preparing it. In the morning, large black beetles would gather under our tent seeking warmth. Bimba thought it a good idea to flavor the vodka with a few of these beetles—their death throes adding a Genghis Khan touch to the whole thing. On our very last morning on the road, the mutton problem became a crisis. At fault was our dear driver, Bimba, who decided it was time to celebrate the trip by buying a whole sheep and slaughtering it. As we went into a local ger to eat breakfast, I noticed that the sheep's head had been removed, and the internal organs were being poured into a giant pot, the same way you might empty a can of beans. Surely this was to feed the dogs, I thought. No one really wants to eat the lungs, stomach, and intestines of an aged sheep. Au contraire. I'm sorry to say that we had to watch the whole mess boiling for a while on the dung fire, yielding bubbles of brownish-gray scum. Afterward, a giant steaming bowl of internal organs was placed before us with some ceremony. Out came knives and a mixture of anatomy lesson and breakfast as we sampled one organ after another. I must stress the degree to which our dear friend Bimba considered this the way to cement our friendship. There was no backing away from trying each and every organ and making a good go of the whole thing. Even fearless Miki looked a little pale. Comparatively speaking, I suppose the stomach and heart were the highlights. Despite our host's enthusiasm, I felt there was something deeply fishy about the lungs—they had a spongy texture that you had to bite hard to get through. There were many organs that I didn't really recognize but also did not enjoy. And as for the intestines and connecting flesh covered with fat, I felt, for the first time, what 19th-century writers refer to as "rising bile." I said to myself, "This is like a horror film, except I am eating the special effects." All the while, the sheep's severed head sat off to one side, watching us sadly. Next to him sat his forearms and legs, placed in a small pile. But fear not. We did pack that head into our jeep, and back in the capital, we ate him for lunch. "Omoshirokatta," said Miki. "That was interesting!" From: Tim Wu Subject: Imperial Bones Posted Friday, September 26, 2008, at 7:08 AM ET In deep Mongolia there are bones, and lots of them. The sheep, horses, and camels wandering around die occasionally and become skeletons. There isn't anyone to get rid of the bones, so they remain like fallen trees in a redwood forest, forming part of the landscape and slowly dissolving into it. Sometimes, there are so many skulls lying around that you feel you're on a film set. I had thought that the process by which a dead animal becomes a skeleton might be gradual and dignified, but no, sir. Early one morning, I noticed a horse had died not far from camp. A flock of vultures were flapping around pulling strips of bloody meat off the carcass. As I watched, a pack of nasty-looking dogs arrived, chased away the vultures, and began to tear the horse into pieces. While watching, I had the horrible realization that were I to be thrown off my horse later that day, I would be the subject of the feeding frenzy. I pictured my arms and legs being dragged off for later consumption. I saw loyal Miki jumping off her horse to fight a growling dog for my left leg, while a vulture pecked its way through the tattoo on my left arm. Though perhaps it should be obvious, I suddenly understood why we bury dead people or throw them on the fire: It's so they don't become dog food. In less than two hours, a recognizable horse carcass had become a scattered pile of white bones. Bones, and scattered ones at that, are all that is left of the Mongolian empire, once the mightiest on earth. After being picked and pulled apart, it has faded back into the landscape, leaving almost nothing behind. What's left behind for the visitor is one big question: How did a country resembling a lessdeveloped version of Wyoming conquer and run a gigantic empire reaching from China through the Middle East in the first place? Realizing that this nation of yak- and sheep-herders was for a time the world's greatest military power is a little like finding out that the local convenience store clerk was once a ninja assassin. If you look carefully, there are little signs. The Mongolians walk or ride around like lords of the earth, which, in the Mongolian countryside, they are. Rural Mongolians spend a good amount of time on horseback, suggesting that a cavalry could be raised very quickly. Genghis Khan's face appears on the national vodka brand—perhaps he would leap out of the bottle if you rubbed it the right way. The empire might be just resting: After the nuclear holocaust, the Mongolian hordes will emerge from their gers and retake the world. For Mongolians, what really rankles is the whole China thing. Rural Mongolians may not care much about the rest of the world, but the exception is China, which everyone seems to hate, as you will discover from even a short conversation. To be fair, it must be kind of annoying to have the country you used to run trying to boss you around. (How England puts up with this kind of thing from its former American colonies is a total mystery.) Yet since many of Mongolia's imported goods come from China, the Chinese can—and do—block the borders and drive up Mongolian prices, almost at will. Because of that, they feel they have the right to boss Mongolia around. Worse, about half of the Mongolian nation is under Chinese rule, in what the Chinese call "Inner Mongolia." Many Mongolians think of Inner Mongolia as a colony or occupied territory, like Tibet (though, to be fair, control of the territory has shifted back and forth over the centuries). There is even an Inner Mongolian independence party, which is probably as popular in Beijing as the Dalai Lama's speaking tour. After what felt like a new childhood, the trip was coming to its end. I began to wonder what the Mongolians, the great empire of the 13th century, think about America, the power of the 21 st. Sitting in a ger back at the mountain plateau, I remembering asking some new friends which Americans they knew of. There was a long, empty pause. "Schwarzenegger." It is moments like these that create the Mongolia obsession. Back in Ulan Bator, we ate the last of the mutton in Bimba's apartment, where, chatting with Tula, I noticed that my German was the best it had been in years. We said goodbye to the blue jeep, Miki lugging a large yak skull she had found somewhere along the way. I left feeling that Mongolians, especially in the countryside, had adjusted well to their transition from the world's greatest power to the world's toughest sheep herders. The best explanation of their attitude I have heard came from Bill Siemering, who was NPR's first program director. They ruled the world and left their mark everywhere. But now, he says, "Mongolians live in the present." Copyright 2008 Washingtonpost.Newsweek Interactive Co. LLC 96/96