Topic 3 – Individual and Market Demand Outline: I) II) III) IV) V) VI) The Effects of Changes in Price The Effects of Changes in Income Income and Substitution Effects Market Demand Curves Elasticities of Demand Consumer Surplus I) The Effects of Changes in Price Q: Holding income, preferences, and the prices of other goods constant, how will a change in the price of X affect the quantity of X purchased? Begin with the Price-Consumption Curve (PCC)… A) Price-Consumption Curve Price-Consumption Curve (PCC) – Holding income, preferences, and the price of Y constant, the PCC for X is the set of optimal bundles that are traced out as the price of X varies. It is found by connecting the locus of tangencies (between indifference curves and the budget line) that results as the budget line is rotated. (see diagram) Use this information to plot the individual’s demand curve… B) Individual Demand Curve Individual Demand Curve – A curve that plots the relationship between the quantity of X consumed and the price of X, holding income, preferences, and the prices of other goods constant. To derive the demand curve for a particular consumer, - Record the price-quantity combinations from the PCC in a table - Plot these points in price-quantity space (see diagram) II) The Effects of Changes in Income Q: Holding preferences and the prices of X and Y constant, how will a change in income affect the quantity of X purchased? Begin with the Income-Consumption Curve (ICC)… A) Income-Consumption Curve Income-Consumption Curve (ICC) – Holding preferences and the prices of X and Y constant, the ICC for X is the set of optimal bundles that is traced out as income varies. (see diagram) Use this information to plot the individual’s Engel curve… B) Engel Curve Engel Curve – A curve that plots the relationship between the quantity of X consumed and income, holding preferences and prices constant. To derive the Engel curve for a particular consumer, - Record the income-quantity combinations from the ICC in a table - Plot these points in quantity-income space (see diagram) - Upward sloping for normal goods; downward sloping for inferior goods III) Income and Substitution Effects of a Price Change - When a price changes, there are actually two distinct things going on. - Consider the case of a price increase. (i) The Income Effect: The increase in price reduces the consumer’s purchasing power (since M/Px falls). (ii) The Substitution Effect: The increase in price gives the consumer an incentive to substitute away from the good whose price has risen. - The substitution effect is always away from the good whose price has risen. - The direction of the income effect depends on whether the good is normal or inferior. - The total effect of the price change is the sum of the income and substitution effects. Graphically, we isolate the two effects constructing a hypothetical budget line that is: by Parallel to the “new” budget line, but tangent to the “old” indifference curve Income effect is shown as the difference between the hypothetical budget line and the new budget line. Note that since these budget lines are parallel to one another, they represent the effect of a change in income, holding prices (the slope of the budget line) constant. Substitution effect is shown as a movement along the original indifference curve after the income effect has been “canceled out” by (hypothetically) giving the consumer just enough income to return them to their original indifference curve (or hypothetically taking income away in the case of a price decrease). Example 1 – Price increase (see diagram) Example 2 – Price decrease (see diagram) Giffen Goods - The overwhelming majority of goods have downward sloping demand curves. - However, the theory does not rule out the possibility that demand curves could be upward sloping. - Goods with upward sloping demand curves are called Giffen Goods. - Since the substitution effect of a price increase is always negative, a good can only be Giffen if: (1) It is an inferior good. (2) The income effect substitution effect. is larger than the - For this reason, Giffen goods are most likely to arise in cases where consumers spend a large fraction of their income on an inferior good (so that the income effect will necessarily be large). Example? The potato in 19th century Ireland. Q: Is there a condition that we can impose that will guarantee a downward-sloping demand curve? Applications – Income and Substitution Effects A) Biases in the Consumer Price Index - Goal is to calculate changes in “cost of living,” (i.e. the amount that must be spent to maintain one’s standard of living). - Measured by change in cost of buying a fixed bundle of goods. - Determines cost-of-living adjustments for Social Security and other government programs. - Two types of bias: a) Quality change. b) Substitution bias. - Focus on the second one. - Problem: Prices of different goods change by different proportions (inflation is not uniform across products). - This leads people to substitute away from goods whose price has risen (the substitution effect). - Cost of living adjustments based on the CPI are designed to allow consumers to purchase their original bundle at the new prices. - This ignores the substitution effect and results in over compensation. B) “Shipping the Good Apples Out.” - Old paradox. - Washington state is premier region for apple growers. - Yet, residents report higher quality apples are available in other parts of the country than are available locally. - Why? IV) Market Demand Curves The market demand curve gives the total quantity demanded by all consumers at each price, holding constant total income and the prices of other goods. Graphically, the market demand curve is the horizontal sum of the individual demand curves. It is the horizontal sum because we want to add up the total quantity demanded at each price. Caveat: In calculating the market demand curve, you must take into account the different “choke” prices of the individual demand curves, i.e. the lowest price at which zero units are purchased. Example: Consider three consumers: Alice, Betty, and Cindy. Their individual demand curves are given by qa 10 P (vertical intercept = 10) q 20 6P (vertical intercept = 3.33) b qc 50 4P (vertical intercept = 12.5) Letting market demand be denoted by Q, we have Q0 Q qc Q qc qa Q qc qa q b for P 12.5 for 10 P 12.5 for 3.33 P 10 for P 3.33 Q=0 Q = 50 – 4P Q = 60 – 5P Q = 80 – 11P for P 12.5 for 10 P 12.5 for 3.33 P 10 for P 3.33 V) Elasticities of Demand Measure of the responsiveness of quantity demanded to some variable (own-price, cross-price, or income) Expressed in percentage terms to provide a “unitless” measure Terminology: Elastic: Greater than 1 in absolute value Inelastic: Less than 1 in absolute value Unitary: Absolute value of exactly 1 A) Own-Price Elasticity of Demand %Qx Qx Px E Qx, Px %Px P Q x x First term in product is the inverse of the slope of the demand curve (when price is expressed as a function of quantity) Negative according to the law of demand Elasticity varies along a linear demand curve (due to second term in the product) Example: Linear demand curves Q = 10 – 2P Qx Px Px E 2 Qx, Px P Q Qx x x Suppose P = 1: then Q = 8 and the own-price elasticity of demand at (P = 1; Q = 8) is -0.25 Polar Cases: (see diagram) (a) Perfectly (infinitely) elastic (b) Perfectly (infinitely) inelastic Relationship between own-price elasticity of demand and total revenue (P*Q) Elastic portion of curve: Increase in price leads to a decrease in total revenue (and vice-versa). Inelastic portion of curve: Increase in price leads to an increase in total revenue (and vice-versa) Unitary elasticity: Total revenue is maximized at point where demand is unit elastic. Factors affecting own-price elasticity: a) Available substitutes – the more substitutes available, the more elastic the demand Example – gasoline vs. rare paintings b) Time – Demand tends to be more inelastic in the short term than in the long term. Time allows consumers to seek out available substitutes Example – same day airline tickets vs. tickets purchased a month in advance c) Expenditure share – Goods that comprise a small share of consumers’ budgets tend to less elastic (i.e., less price sensitive) than goods that comprise a large share. Example: toothpicks vs. automobiles B) Cross-Price Elasticity of Demand %Qx Qx Py E Qx, Py %Py P Q y x + Substitutes - Complements C) Income Elasticity %Qx Qx M E Qx, M %M M Q x + Normal Good - Inferior Good D) Some Business Applications Application 1 – Pricing and Cash Flows According to an FTC Report by Michael Ward, AT&T’s own price elasticity of demand for long distance services is –8.64. AT&T needs to boost revenues in order to meet it’s marketing goals. Q: To accomplish this goal, should AT&T raise or lower its price? A: Lower price. Since demand is elastic, a reduction in price will increase quantity demanded by a greater percentage than the price decline, resulting in more revenues for AT&T. Application 2 – Quantifying the effect of a change in price Q: If AT&T lowered price by 3 percent, what would happen to the volume of long distance calls routed through AT&T? A: Calls would increase by 25.92% %Qx E 8.64 Qx, Px %Px 8.64 %Qx 3% %Qx 3%*(8.64) 25.92% Application 3 – Impact of a change in a competitor’s price According to a FTC report by Michael Ward, AT&T’s cross price elasticity of demand for long distance services is 9.06. Q: If MCI and other competitors reduced their prices by 4 percent, what would happen to the demand for AT&T services? A: AT&T’s demand would fall by 36.24 percent. %Qx E 9.06 Qx, Py %Py 9.06 %Qx 4% %Qx 4%*(9.06) - 36.24% VI) Consumer Surplus Definition: Consumer Surplus – The value consumers receive from a good but do not have to pay for. - Demand curve indicates willingness to pay (marginal benefit) at each quantity - If this exceeds price for some units, the consumer earns a surplus on these units. - Summing the surplus per unit up over the number of units purchased gives the consumer surplus - Graphically, it is the area under the demand curve, above the price paid, out to the quantity purchased (see diagram). Business Application – Two-Part Pricing - Many businesses (such as amusement parks and popular nightclubs) charge an up-front free for the right to purchase goods or services at a particular price. - What is the rationale for these two-part pricing policies? - Why don’t all businesses do this?