AIRLINES Research Brief Sustainable Industry Classification System™ (SICS™) # TR0201 Research Briefing Prepared by the Sustainability Accounting Standards Board® www.sasb.org Copyright 2014 SEPTEMBER 2014 AIRLINES Research Brief SASB’s Industry Brief provides evidence for the material sustainability issues in the Road Transportation Industry. The brief opens with a summary of the industry, including relevant legislative and regulatory trends and sustainability risks and opportunities. Following this, evidence for each material sustainability issue (in the categories of Environment, Social Capital, Human Capital, Business Model and Innovation, and Leadership and Governance) is presented. SASB’s Industry Brief can be used to understand the data underlying SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards. For accounting metrics and disclosure guidance, please see SASB’s Sustainability Accounting Standards. For information about the legal basis for SASB and SASB’s standards development process, please see the Conceptual Framework. SASB identifies the minimum set of sustainability issues likely to be material for companies within a given industry. However, the final determination of materiality is the onus of the company. Related Documents • Airlines Sustainability Accounting Standards • Industry Working Group Participants • SASB Conceptual Framework INDUSTRY LEAD Nashat Moin CONTRIBUTORS Andrew Collins Henrik Cotran Anton Gorodniuk Jerome Lavigne-Delville Himani Phadke Arturo Rodriguez Jean Rogers Gabriella Vozza SASB, Sustainability Accounting Standards Board, the SASB logo, SICS, Sustainable Industry Classification System, Accounting for a Sustainable Future, and Materiality Map are trademarks and service marks of the Sustainability Accounting Standards Board INDUSTRY BRIEF|AIRLINES Sustainability Disclosure Topics both positive and negative externalities, and the nonfinancial forms of capital that the industry relies on for Environment • value creation. Environmental Footprint of Fuel Use Specifically, performance on the following Human Capital • Labor Relations sustainability issues will drive competitiveness within the Airlines industry: • Leadership and Governance • Competitive Behavior • Accidents & Safety Management Improving fuel efficiency of aircraft and reducing direct greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and harmful air pollutants; • Managing labor relations and ensuring fair employee treatment; INTRODUCTION • Ensuring fair competition practices; and • Ensuring the highest standards of passenger and cargo safety by managing the key risk factors: pilot error and mechanical failure. Once a symbol of high social and economic status, air travel has become a basic transportation service in developed economies and is increasingly common in In the context of global climate change and rising many emerging economies. With this exponential economic development in many parts of the world, growth of air travel worldwide, greenhouse gas (GHG) regulatory pressure and public expectations will and other air emissions of airlines at high altitude have continue to drive environmental performance, become an acute environmental externality in the passenger safety and competitive behavior. Therefore, focus of global and local mitigation efforts to combat management (or mismanagement) of these climate change. And with intensifying air traffic, the sustainability issues has the potential to affect industry must address increasingly stringent safety company valuation through impacts on profits, assets, standards to maintain its image of the safest means of liabilities, and cost of capital. transportation. Moreover, despite a trend towards privatization, airlines are still directly or indirectly run by governments in many parts of the world. Fully INDUSTRY SUMMARY privatized airlines struggle to stay profitable with a highly-unionized workforce, high capital requirements, The Airlines industry comprises companies that provide and competition from government-sponsored carriers, air transportation to passengers for both leisure and and often seek court protection from creditors through business purposes. This includes commercial full- bankruptcy and restructuring. To find economies of service, low-cost, and regional airlines that operate in scale, Airlines are in a constant state of consolidation the U.S. and internationally. I Most airline companies and increasingly cooperate through alliances, which also have a cargo segment in their operations from limits competition. which they generate two to three percent of revenues Investors would obtain a more holistic and comparable and Latin American airlines, nine to 12 percent of view of performance with airlines companies reporting revenue is generated from a cargo segment. Current for the U.S.-domiciled airlines. For European, Asian, metrics on the material sustainability risks and opportunities that could affect value in the near- and long-term in their regulatory filings. This would include I Industry composition is based on the mapping of the Sustainable Industry Classification System (SICSTM) to the Bloomberg Industry Classification System (BICS). A list of representative companies appears in Appendix I. INDUSTRY BRIEF|AIRLINES|1 industry trends indicate that airlines are reducing their The global airlines market is valued at around $615 fleet of freighter planes and instead utilizing their billion in revenues, with full-service airlines passenger aircraft for cargo transportation. For representing over 80 percent of the revenue. Airline example, Air France-KLM transports 72 percent of cargo is the smallest segment with just under $20 freight by passenger planes, which is up from 54 billion of global revenue. 6 Airline companies listed on percent in 2007. 1 the U.S. exchanges generate over $190 billion in revenue from the passenger transportation segment. In Airline routes and networks are key drivers of 2013, the median operating profit margin for U.S.- profitability for the industry. Full-service carriers listed companies and those primarily traded over-the- typically use a hub and spoke model II to design their counter (OTC) was 5.2 percent, while the median net routes within the U.S. and internationally. Low-cost income margin was 2.4 percent. Full-service airlines carriers usually offer a smaller number of routes as tend to have lower margins than their low-cost peers. well as no-frills service to their customers. Regional Median operating margins of the largest full service 2 carriers typically operate under contract to full-service airlines were 2.6 percent and the median net income carriers, expanding the network of the larger carriers. margins were 1.3 percent in 2013. In comparison, in 3 Another tactic used to increase an airline’s network is the same year, low-cost carriers were more profitable, the use of alliances. There are three leading alliances: with median margins of 9.8 and 3.7 percent of Star Alliance, Oneworld, and SkyTeam, each with 27, operating and net profit margins respectively. 7 15, and 20 worldwide members, respectively. Operating as an alliance allows customers access to The industry is mature and concentrated, with the top international or otherwise unserved itineraries on four U.S.-domiciled, publicly traded, full-service airlines multiple airlines, under one ticket. At the same time, (United Continental Holdings, Delta Air Lines, airlines share some overhead costs and increase their American Airlines, and Southwest Airlines) holding competitive position in the international market more than 75 percent market share in North America without having to establish foreign operations. in 2013, up from just under 70 percent in 2012. 8 4 Industry consolidation was one of the main drivers of The airlines business is global by nature. Four out of the rise in concentration. 9 Over the last 12 years six the top five U.S.-domiciled airlines by revenue serve mergers reduced the number of major carriers from 10 routes all over the world. Foreign airlines, such as to four to dominate the market. The most recent British Airways and Lufthansa, also operate in the U.S. mergers and acquisitions include: American Airlines Only one of the top five U.S.-domiciled companies, merging with US Airways in 2013, Southwest Southwest Airlines, is a low-cost carrier offering acquiring AirTran Airways in 2011, United merging exclusively domestic travel. Domestic travel relies with Continental Airlines in 2010, and Delta Air Lines heavily on business travelers and demand is driven by merging with Northwest Airlines in late 2009. Most of corporate profits and the strength of the business the companies were overcoming periods of environment. On the other hand, the majority of bankruptcies prior to their mergers. 10 revenue on international flights comes from inbound international tourism and international trips by U.S. The international airlines industry is characterized by residents and is driven by consumer discretionary high barriers to entry. This is mostly attributed to strict spending. government regulations, high capital requirements, as 5 well as licensing and reporting requirements. There can be only a limited number of aircraft designated to operate on each route, determined by airline II Using routs from a hub airport to other airports as spokes to connect them via the hub. agreements involving landing rights. Moreover, volume INDUSTRY BRIEF|AIRLINES|2 quotas III on international airline services are imposed their exposure to such volatility, and nine out of the on a country-by-country basis, which may give a top 10 U.S.-based, publicly listed airlines use various competitive advantage to nationalized airlines. financial instruments to hedge the cost of fuel, 11 including swap contracts, call options, collars, futures Competition in the airline industry is dampened in contracts, and forwards contracts. 17 Some companies, some regions through limited airport infrastructure but not all, choose to designate this as hedging activity and airport slots, which can act as a cap on supply and for accounting purposes. make it very difficult for emerging companies to gain new slots. An airport slot is critical to an airline’s In 2007 and 2008, fuel prices soared, while the operations and gives the slot owner permission to use economy experienced a downturn. The slowing the airport infrastructure necessary to arrive or depart. economy hit both consumer discretionary spending The International Air Transportation Association (IATA) and corporate profits, leaving airlines with falling provides a global standard for slot management, but demand and overcapacity. Coupled with the there are variations throughout the world in how and fluctuating and mostly increasing fuel costs, this shift to what extent they are applied. The IATA categorizes in demand created industry losses. Low-cost airlines airports as Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 based on the fared better through the downturn and in 2010, the level of congestion. Level 3 airports are the most industry stabilized as a result of cost-cutting measures. congested and are defined as “airports where the Recent trends show low-cost airlines are slowly eating capacity providers have not developed sufficient into the full-service market share. The market is also characterized by structural changes in the form of infrastructure or where governments have imposed conditions that make it impossible to meet demand.” 12 mergers and acquisitions and bankruptcies. 18 At Level 3 airports, slots are allocated to airlines using several principles, including historical precedents, Passenger safety is another important factor that drives whereby airlines that had a slot in the previous year performance of airlines. As recent tragedies showed, and utilized it 80 percent of the time can retain that some risks may go beyond the airline’s control. slot. 13 Airlines are able to acquire, retain, and Accidents that led to a loss of many lives made the exchange take-off and landing slots. Due to limited industry increase its focus on the safety issue. availability, airport slots are very valuable to airlines. Therefore, U.K. airlines started recognizing their slots Midland valued its Heathrow airport slots at £770m. 14 LEGISLATIVE AND REGULATORY TRENDS IN THE AIRLINES INDUSTRY The price of fuel is a key driver in the profitability of Regulation plays a prominent role in the Airlines the industry. Cost of fuel represented about a third of industry. Increasing awareness around climate change total operating expenses in recent years, followed by shapes regulations for airlines, due to environmental as assets on balance sheets. For example, BMI British wages, with 16 to 19 percent. 15 Increasing fuel prices externalities related to the nature of their business. mean higher costs for airlines, and typically, airlines are Moreover, continuous evolution towards higher safety not able to pass the full cost increase onto their standards puts public and regulatory pressure on the passengers. Therefore, increasing oil prices eat directly industry. The following section provides a brief into airline profits. Even with oil prices decreasing in summary of key regulations and legislative efforts 2013, their volatility in the future will play a critical related to this industry that drive material sustainability role in the stability of the airlines industry. 16 Major issues. IV airlines employ fuel hedging strategies in order to limit IV III Measured in number of seats. This section does not purport to contain a comprehensive review of all regulations related to this industry, but is intended INDUSTRY BRIEF|AIRLINES|3 The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has industry. The DOT is responsible for executing and authority to regulate and oversee all aspects of enforcing airline consumer rights laws established by American civil aviation. The agency is broken into four the U.S. Congress. It may also develop regulations lines of business: (1) Airports, (2) Air Traffic Control, based on more general statutory authority, giving it (3) Aviation Safety, and (4) Commercial Space broad powers to prescribe regulations, standards, and Transportation. FAA requirements cover, among other procedures related to air travel. 26 The DOT is things: retirement of older aircraft, security measures, responsible for the recently enacted Passenger collision avoidance systems, airborne wind shear Protection Rules, which address matters such as avoidance systems, noise abatement and other tarmac delays, chronically delayed flights, fee environmental concerns, aircraft operation and safety, transparency, and fair treatment of passengers. and increased inspections and maintenance procedures to be conducted on older aircraft. 19 The FAA also Despite efficiency improvements, increasing levels of regulates the health and wellbeing of pilots and crew GHG emissions due to the growing demand for air members as they relate to passenger safety. For travel have led to a number of environmental example, the agency has introduced requirements on regulations addressing the airline industry’s emissions, the frequency and duration of rest periods compared both in the U.S. and internationally. 27 to flight time for pilots. 20 In December 2011, new pilot fatigue requirements were introduced to significantly reduce the number of hours on duty. 21 The FAA In the U.S., the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has oversight of the Airlines industry’s environmental routinely issues fines or revocations for infractions and impacts under both the Clean Air Act and the Clean can enact new regulations with positive or negative Water Act. The Clean Air Act gives the EPA the cost implications for airlines. 22 authority to determine whether carbon emissions from aircraft operations endanger society. It also gives the Another organization whose standards can influence EPA authority to introduce regulations to address the airline profitability is the United Nations’ International issue. 28 Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO). The ICAO is represented by 191 members and develops In 2012, the European Union (E.U.) moved to include international Standards and Recommended Practices aviation in its emissions trading system (ETS) by (SARPs) that are further used by member countries to establishing limits on carbon emissions and introducing develop national civil aviation regulations. 23 The allowances and fees on flights to, from, and within the ICAO’s Annex 18 sets standards for "Safe Transport of European Economic Area (EEA). However, resistance Dangerous Goods by Air." Air carriers are required to from several countries, including the U.S., caused the have inspection and enforcement procedures to ensure E.U. to postpone the enforcement on international compliance with the Annex 18. 24 In addition, in April flights until November 2013 in hopes of creating a 2014, the ICAO Dangerous Goods Panel (DGP) global, market-based solution through the UN’s proposed to restrict transportation of lithium metal ICAO. 29 The legislation has since been amended for batteries to cargo aircraft only. If the proposal is the period from 2013 to 2016, and only emissions approved by the ICAO Council, the changes will from flights within the EEA currently fall under the become effective starting January 2015. E.U.’s ETS. The decision was driven by the ICAO 25 Assembly agreement in October 2013 to “develop a The U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT) also global market-based mechanism addressing plays an important role in regulating the airline international aviation emissions by 2016 and apply it by 2020.” 30 to highlight some ways in which regulatory trends are impacting the industry. INDUSTRY BRIEF|AIRLINES|4 environmental impacts and high safety standards, which will serve to align the interests SUSTAINABILITY-RELATED RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES of society with those of investors. The following section provides a brief description of Industry drivers and recent regulations suggest that each sustainability issue that is likely to have material traditional value drivers will continue to impact implications for companies in the Airlines industry. This financial performance. However, intangible assets such includes an explanation of how the issue could impact as social, human, and environmental capitals, company valuation and evidence of actual financial impact. leadership and governance, and the company’s ability Further information on the nature of the value impact, to innovate to address these issues are likely to based on SASB’s research and analysis, is provided in increasingly contribute to financial and business value. Appendix IIA and IIB. Appendix IIA also provides a summary of the evidence of investor interest in the Broad industry trends and characteristics are driving issues. This is based on a systematic analysis of the importance of sustainability performance in the companies’ 10-K and 20-F filings, shareholder Airlines industry: resolutions, and other public documents. It also based • Energy inputs and externalities from fuel- on the results of consultation with experts intensity of operations: As a fuel-intensive participating in an industry-working group convened industry with large direct emissions contributing by SASB. to climate change, the Airlines industry is attracting growing attention from U.S. and • • A summary of the recommended disclosure framework international regulators. At the same time, and accounting metrics appears in Appendix III. The increasing energy costs are providing incentives complete SASB standards for the industry, including for efficient fuel management. technical protocols, can be downloaded from High safety standards: Passengers entrust www.sasb.org. Finally, Appendix IV provides an their lives to airlines; companies must continue analysis of the quality of current disclosure on these to maintain high safety standards to retain their issues in SEC filings by the leading companies in the license to operate. industry. Dependence on public infrastructure: The industry’s use of common capitals and public goods, including airports and airspace, drives ENVIRONMENT both its sustainability impacts and consequently, • impacts on its value through regulations or The environmental dimension of sustainability includes public reaction. corporate impacts on the environment. This could be Industry concentration creates competition through the use of natural resources as inputs to the concerns: The Airlines industry experiences factors of production (e.g., water, minerals, frequent merger and acquisition activity, leading ecosystems, and biodiversity) or environmental to consolidation and concerns about externalities and harmful releases in the environment, competitive behavior. As described above, the such as air and water pollution, waste disposal, and regulatory and legislative environment GHG emissions. surrounding the Airlines industry emphasizes the importance of sustainability management The Airlines industry faces risks and opportunities and performance. Specifically, recent trends related to environmental factors, particularly increasing suggest a regulatory emphasis on reduction of climate regulations. Regulatory costs associated with INDUSTRY BRIEF|AIRLINES|5 GHG emissions are threatening the Airlines industry’s existing aircraft can improve efficiency by 15 percent. 35 already thin profit margins. However, optimizing fuel The dynamic of new technology versus retrofits is management through technology innovation offers an important, given that over a third of the world’s airline opportunity to control costs. fleet is rented. 36 It is not entirely clear that either leasing or owning is better from a fuel efficiency Environmental Footprint of Fuel Use perspective, but it is important to acknowledge that having access to the latest technology does have a beneficial impact on fleet fuel efficiency. As a result of heavy reliance on oil, the Airlines industry generates a significant amount of direct GHG As one of the strategies to minimize GHG emissions, emissions and is subject to potential compliance costs airlines can seek alternative fuel options. With looming and risks associated with climate change mitigation climate regulations and volatile fuel prices, the Airline policies. The main sources of GHG emissions for industry began using biofuels on commercial flights in airlines companies are aircraft fuel use and emissions, 2011. 37 While biofuel flights do emit carbon dioxide— ground equipment, and facility electricity. Aircraft unlike fossil fuel—biofuel absorbs carbon dioxide emissions are the largest contributor to total emissions during the growth of the crop, greatly reducing the from the industry, and fuel management is a critical lifecycle carbon dioxide emissions. Given the emissions part of reducing emissions. captured during the production of biofuels, the overall reduction in emissions is estimated to be 80 percent Fuel management addresses both fuel efficiency and when compared to fossil fuels. 38 the use of alternative fuels. It offers an effective way for airlines to increase profits through reduced fuel There are various industry initiatives aimed at reducing costs, while also limiting exposure to volatile fuel environmental externalities created by airlines’ pricing, future regulatory costs, and other operations. In 2009, the IATA began taking consequences of GHG emissions. Under the Clean Air commitments from airlines to be carbon neutral in all Act, the EPA is currently evaluating whether aircraft growth after 2020 and reduce absolute carbon emissions endanger society, the results of which could emissions by 50 percent by 2050. 39 In October 2010, lead to regulatory measures. 31 In September 2014, the the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) EPA further began determining whether it will regulate established an action plan to identify the most GHG emissions from airlines. The regulations would appropriate measures to reduce CO 2 emissions from lead to increased air travel costs. There is no timeline international civil aviation. 40 The resolution focuses on set by the agency on when the rules are to be technology, operations, and infrastructure measures as released. the primary means for addressing emissions. 41 32 Companies can adopt various strategies to reduce the Company performance in this area can therefore be environmental footprint of their fuel use. The fuel analyzed in a cost-beneficial way, internally and efficiency of an airline has several drivers, including externally, through the following direct or indirect aircraft design, route selection, and load factor. Newer performance metrics (see Appendix III for metrics with aircrafts are more fuel-efficient, and one report their full detail): estimates that every 10 years, the aircrafts being built are 10 to 15 percent more efficient. 33 However, • Gross global Scope 1 emissions; existing planes can be retrofitted for efficiency. For • Long- and short-term strategy to manage Scope example, adding winglets can increase fuel efficiency by 1.8 percent, 34 and replacing an engine on an 1 emissions; • Total fuel consumed, percentage from INDUSTRY BRIEF|AIRLINES|6 renewables; and UN’s deadline to implement the system is 2020, the Notional amount of fuel hedged, by maturity E.U. may not be satisfied and could still require non- date. E.U. airlines to comply with their ETS requirements. 47 Evidence Meanwhile, the IATA, which represents 85 percent of The Airlines industry is a significant contributor to the world’s airline traffic, is calling for airlines to offset global GHG emissions, creating regulatory risks for increased emissions after 2020 by purchasing carbon companies. According to the Carbon Disclosure Project credits. In this scenario, it is estimated that the cost to Transportation Report, the Transportation sector the industry could be up to 0.5 percent of total accounts for 13 percent of global emissions, 13 international airline revenue, assuming the cost of percent of which come from air transportation. credits to be $4 to $6 per metric ton in 2015. 48 • 42 Statistics from the Center for Climate and Energy Solutions (C2ES) indicate similar contribution, with In April 2014, Germany fined 61 airlines from several around 1.5 percent of global GHG coming from countries including the U.S. for breaching E.U. ETS aviation, which includes both passenger airlines and air rules and for failing to submit emissions permits to freight. U.S. aviation activities account for cover GHG discharges from the flights within the EEA. approximately 40 percent of these emissions. In 43 The amount of total penalties is close to $3.7 million, absolute values, the Aviation industry in the U.S. and the fine is the first since aviation was included in accounted for around 145 Teragrams CO 2 equivalent the E.U. carbon market. Under the E.U. law, aircraft (Tg CO 2 e) emissions in 2012, with 114.4 Tg CO 2 e operators failing to surrender the required number of coming from commercial aircrafts. Over 99 percent of permits can be fined EUR100 per metric ton of CO 2 . 49 these emissions are in the form of carbon dioxide. 44 If the E.U. ETS rules extend to flights to and from the EEA, the financial impact of non-compliance is likely to Climate change regulations steadily make it increase in the future. more costly for airline companies to operate. Even without U.S. federal regulations or a global treaty on Furthermore, cost of jet fuel is a significant operating addressing climate change, there are regulations expense for aircraft operators and can put the business specific to certain geographic areas that can impact at risk during times of rising or volatile fuel prices. In the industry, as airlines operate across different 2012, the global airline industry spent $207.6 billion regions globally. In Europe, the Emissions Trading on fuel, which was 31 percent of its operating costs. 50 System (ETS) was launched in 2005 to mitigate climate Airlines for America, the largest U.S. airline trade change. The ETS covers factories, power stations, association, estimates that for every dollar that the industrial plants, and all flights within the EEA. price of jet fuel increases, the U.S. airlines industry 45 pays an additional $445 million for fuel per year. 51 The E.U. came close to including non-European airlines Along with other factors, increasing oil prices led more that serve Europe in the ETS in November 2012—a than 50 passenger and cargo airlines in the U.S. to file move that would reportedly have cost U.S. airlines for bankruptcy between 2000 and 2012. 52 $3.1 billion between now and 2020. 46 The move was postponed in the hope that a more agreeable global To limit their exposure to volatile oil prices, some market-based solution would come out of the UN companies in the industry use fuel hedging strategies ICAO (see Legislative and Regulatory Trends section). or even operate their own refineries. 53 All of the top In response, the ICAO agreed to build a global market- ten U.S.-domiciled companies by revenue acknowledge based mechanism to monitor, report, and verify in their 2012 annual filings with the SEC that they are aircraft emissions by 2016. However, given that the materially impacted by changes in aircraft fuel prices. INDUSTRY BRIEF|AIRLINES|7 Nine of these 10 companies are using financial refining crude oil. 58 Crop production for biofuels also instruments to hedge fuel prices, and they disclose has the potential to distort other markets, such as the metrics on the percentage of their fuel use that is food industry. hedged in their filings. Advanced biofuels could reduce water consumption In their fiscal year (FY) 2012 Form 10-K, Republic significantly, but these technologies are yet to be Airways describes the extent to which fuel price proven on a commercial scale. 59 Short-term costs to volatility impacts their cash flow, stating that “a one find commercially viable technologies can be dollar change in price per barrel of crude oil will significant, and these are lowering investments in increase or decrease our fuel expense by $3.8 million.” advanced biofuels. However, investments in R&D for In 2012, $3.8 million represented 0.5 percent of such technologies could serve to advance airline Republic Airways’ aircraft fuel costs for the year and a companies’ long-term profitability. meaningful 7.4 percent of profits. 54 For Alaska Airlines “a $1 per barrel increase in the price of oil equates to Despite the high costs of biofuels compared to approximately $11 million of additional fuel cost traditional jet fuel, airlines are acting to make aviation annually.” 55 For United Continental, the increase would be $94 million annually. 56 biofuels more commercially viable, due to the importance of reducing GHG emissions for the industry. In its 10-K Form for FY2012 United Fuel management in the form of efficiency Continental Holdings, Inc. states that “(t)he Company improvements or hedging strategies is therefore critical is taking various actions to reduce its carbon emissions for the profitability of companies, like Republic through fleet renewal, aircraft retrofits, and actions Airways and others in the Airlines industry. It also that are establishing the foundation for the enables companies to lower their GHG emissions, and commercialization of aviation biofuels.” 60 As one of therefore, regulatory risks discussed earlier. the actions for the commercialization of aviation advanced biofuels, United Airlines signed a purchase Another way for the industry to mitigate GHG agreement with AltAir Fuels to buy 15 million gallons emissions is through the use of biofuels. The largest of lower-carbon, renewable jet fuel over a three-year hurdle in switching to biofuels is cost, not technology. period. AltAir Fuels will retrofit part of an existing Airlines already spend 25 to 35 percent of their petroleum refinery to become a 30 million gallon, operating costs on jet fuel annually, and that number advanced biofuel refinery near Los Angeles. The fuel is would rise substantially by switching to biofuels at expected to help the company achieve a 50 percent current prices. When Alaska Airlines launched its first reduction in GHG emissions on a lifecycle basis. 61 commercial biofuel-powered flight in 2011, it paid six times the cost of traditional jet fuel. Alaska Airlines The importance of managing the environmental used a 20 percent biofuels blend, made from used footprint of Airlines fuel use is reflected in current SEC cooking oil, which it estimates reduces GHG emissions filings of the top companies in the industry. by 10 percent. Companies such as United Continental, Delta, 57 Southwest, and American Airlines, to name a few, Although the use of biofuel blends can be beneficial, have started reporting on their fuel management biofuels themselves can generate negative programs and initiatives, examples of which include externalities. Irrigation for corn production means that fleet renewal plans, aircraft retrofits, use of aviation currently, biofuels are actually the most water- biofuels, programs to reduce fuel usage by ground intensive fuel source in the U.S. Water consumption support operations, use of technology to modernize air for biofuels is orders of magnitude greater than for traffic control systems, and reductions in engine idle INDUSTRY BRIEF|AIRLINES|8 times, among others. contractors), as a key asset to delivering long-term Value Impact value. It includes factors that affect the productivity of GHG-intensive operations expose airlines to increasing employees, such as employee engagement, diversity, risk of chronic regulatory compliance costs, with direct and incentives and compensation, as well as the costs already occurring in some markets. In addition, attraction and retention of employees in highly management of energy efficiency and energy mix competitive or constrained markets for specific talent, (including renewables) is key to the profitability and skills, or education. It also addresses the management risk profile of airlines. Compliance—expected or of labor relations in industries that rely on economies actual—also leads to additional capital expenditures of scale and compete on the price of products and (CapEx) to renew or retrofit fleets for energy services or in industries with legacy pension liabilities efficiency, with a potentially significant impact on associated with vast workforces. Lastly, it includes the profitability and cash flow. At the same time, management of the health and safety of employees investments in fuel-efficient and alternative fuel and the ability to create a safety culture for companies engines will result in lower ongoing fuel expenses in that operate in dangerous working environments. the medium term, improving profitability. As international and national efforts continue to advance In the Airlines industry, human capital issues revolve regulation to reduce total GHG emissions, including in around the dependence on a large number of workers the Airlines industry, the probability and magnitude of who are covered under collective bargaining these impacts are likely to increase in the near to agreements. Even though unionization rates have medium term. The magnitude of these impacts can be generally decreased, union participation in the Airlines estimated using companies’ Global Scope 1 emissions, industry remains strong. Therefore, management of, in absolute terms and relative to their peers, factoring and communication around, issues such as worker pay in regions of operations and mitigation efforts and working conditions is critical to prevent costly reflected in concrete emissions-reduction targets. worker strikes. Proper personnel training and ensuring the health and well-being of crew members is critical In addition, while the cost of energy consumption is to ensuring safety. The issue is covered in the already captured in financial results, overall energy “Accidents & Safety Management” section of the consumption indicates airlines’ exposure to possible brief. future increases in energy prices, resulting from internalizing the growing environmental and social impact of energy consumption. Reliance on specific Labor Relations types of energy also creates operational risks, which The Airlines industry employs several types of skilled impact long-term profitability and ultimately the risk workers, including pilots, flight attendants, baggage profile of the company and its cost of capital. Lastly, handlers, maintenance workers, and ticket agents. use of renewable energy indicates airlines’ ability to Wages were the largest cost component for airlines mitigate their environmental footprint and exposure to until recent increases in fuel prices replaced labor costs increases in energy costs driven by sustainability with fuel costs as the largest cost item. Organized impacts. labor plays an important role in the industry as there are high levels of unionization—some U.S.-listed airlines have as much as 97 percent union HUMAN CAPITAL participation. There are several major airline unions that govern negotiations, including the U.S. Airline Human capital addresses the management of a Pilots Association, Air Line Pilots Association, company’s human resources (employees and individual Association of Flight Attendants, and the Transport INDUSTRY BRIEF|AIRLINES|9 Workers Union. 62 Unions can protect worker rights and negotiate wages due to their bargaining power. In countries with strong labor laws or in industries with union representation, wages tend to be higher than in the absence of strong worker laws and enforcement, representing to an extent better protection of worker rights. Unionization of key personnel leaves airlines vulnerable to service shutdowns resulting from strikes if management is unable to address worker demands, which reduces industry revenue and disrupts economic activity. Additionally, collective bargaining may result in higher labor costs via wage or benefits increases. Some older U.S. airlines also face larger burdens from legacy pensions compared with their younger counterparts, and bankruptcies are a means to reduce these liabilities. This creates a risk for labor rights if worker pay or benefits are significantly reduced as a result. Proper management of, and communication around, issues such as worker pay and working conditions can prevent conflicts with workers that could lead to strikes that can severely impact revenue and create reputational risk. Airlines with newer operations in the U.S. have lower unionization rates or pension liabilities. For companies with low unionization rates in an industry characterized by otherwise high union participation, a short-term view on worker compensation, contract terms, and working conditions could create a potential for disruption as workers begin to demand better standards through increasing unionization or other actions. Proper management of, and communication around, issues such as worker pay and working conditions can prevent conflicts with workers that could lead to extended periods of strikes, which can slow or shut down operations and create reputational risk. Airlines need a long term perspective on managing workers, including their pay and benefits, in a way that protects worker rights and enhances their productivity while ensuring the financial sustainability of a company’s operations. Company performance in this area can therefore be analyzed, internally and externally, through the following direct or indirect performance metrics (see Appendix III for metrics with their full detail): • Percentage of workers covered by collectivebargaining agreements; and • Number and duration of strikes and lockouts. Evidence Labor unions play a critical role in the global Airlines industry. Over one-third of all workers in the U.S. air transportation industry are unionized: in 2013, 37.1 percent of workers were union members and 38.6 percent were covered by collective bargaining agreements. 63 Some airlines, such as China Eastern, LATAM, Alaska, and Southwest Airlines, report higher rates of unionization, with rates of between 31 and 97 percent. 64 Most major carriers are highly unionized, while national and regional carriers include a mix of union and nonunion workplaces. 65 In contrast, only 7.5 percent of all U.S. private sector workers were covered by unions in 2013. In durable goods manufacturing, a traditional union stronghold, union density fell from 32.1 in 1983 to 10.9 percent in 2013. 66 Wages at U.S.-domiciled international and domestic airlines are estimated to represent 22.1 and 10 percent of revenue for 2013, respectively. 67 Costs are also high for non-U.S. international airlines. For example, Latin American airline LATAM reported labor costs as 20 percent of total operating expenses in its FY2013 20-F filing. 68 It is estimated that airline workers covered by collective bargaining agreements enjoy a wage premium. Across all airline workers, between 1995 and 2000, union members had a wage premium of about 15 to 25 percent, 69 which may account for the significance of labor costs. Heavy union participation in the Airlines industry presents considerable operating risk, if relations between labor and management are strained. Many of LATAM’s pilots, flight attendants, mechanics, and airport personnel are unionized. The company I N D U S T R Y B R I E F | A I R L I N E S | 10 recognizes the risks associated with poor labor merger activities and operations generally. relations in its FY2013 20-F form by disclosing that Several examples of strikes and near-strikes highlight strikes, walk-outs, or stoppages by these groups could the potential material impacts on airlines of poor labor “severely disrupt our operations and negatively impact relations. On June 12, 2010 Spirit Airlines pilots went our operating and financial performance, as well as on strike for better wages, grounding flights for how our customers perceive us.” 70 thousands of passengers. 75 The pilots claimed that they had been “working at below market rates and Airlines have tried to reduce their labor costs through work rules for years.” 76 The airline refunded bankruptcies and mergers. Without early engagement, passengers’ tickets and gave them $100 toward future unions may limit the ability of companies to quickly flights. The strike was resolved and pilots went back to adjust labor expenses and the size of their workforce work on June 18, 2010. The resolution included better in response to competitive pressures or adverse pay, retirement benefits, and performance reviews to economic conditions. After the crisis in early 2000s, acknowledge leadership initiative. The strike is several major U.S. carriers entered bankruptcy. Among reported to have cost Spirit Airlines $19 million; the factors responsible were high labor costs, rising however, the company reported a loss of $2.8 million fuel prices, competition from low cost carriers, and low in the first six months of 2010. 77 The event highlights demand. U.S. Airways entered bankruptcy in 2002 and the challenges that can result from employee strikes 2004, United in 2002, Delta and Northwest in 2005. In related to wages and working conditions, and 2003, American Airlines was able to avoid bankruptcy emphasizes the importance of management after negotiating concessions with unions. recognizing and addressing worker concerns in a 71 timely manner, and maintaining good communication In 2012, American Airlines was forced to cancel between management and employees. Likewise, pilot hundreds of flights when a large number of pilots strikes resulted in 160 canceled Avianca flights in called in sick to protest a contract that would reduce 2013. Pilots of the U.S.-listed Colombian airline their pay and benefits at the then-bankrupt carrier. claimed that in 2003 they agreed to increase working 72 The possibility of reductions in pay and benefits can hours from 75 to 90 hours a month under the promise also lead to worker actions that pose difficulties during of benefits that did not materialize. 78 merger proceedings. Recently, the likelihood of a flight attendants’ strike at Piedmont Airlines threatened the Value Impact pending merger of its parent company, U.S. Airways, Labor-intensive industries with well-defined with American Airlines. Piedmont flight attendants occupations are prone to high rates of unionization, as formed picket lines in June 2013, looking to share in employees with similar skills and compensation have the success of U.S. Airways. This came in the midst of an incentive to resort to collective bargaining in their U.S. Airways’ bid for approval from federal regulators negotiations with management. The bargaining power for its proposed merger with American Airlines. 73 At that comes with unionization leads to higher wages the same time, unions can play an important role in and other compensation costs, as well as pension working with management to resolve difficulties in liabilities. This is likely to be particularly material in the operations. As part of the same proposed U.S. Airlines industry, where median net income margins Airways-American Airlines merger, U.S. Airways’ union are already at 2.4 percent. 79 Unionization can also lead leaders met with leaders at the Department of Justice to labor disputes and service disruptions with short- to register their support for the merger as a means to term impact on revenue and longer-term impact on preserve jobs. 74 This case highlights both the positive reputation and brand value, and ultimately market and negative impacts of worker actions related to share. wages and working conditions for airlines in their I N D U S T R Y B R I E F | A I R L I N E S | 11 common practice in the industry, and that are also in New entrants or disruptors in highly unionized potential conflict with the interest of broader industries often have a short-term competitive stakeholder groups (government, community, advantage from low unionization rates and lack of customers, and employees) Therefore, these issues pension liabilities. However, these companies incur the create a potential liability, or worse, a limitation or risk of a medium-term shift in cost structure as growth removal of license to operate. This includes regulatory tapers and cost-cutting initiatives drive employees to compliance, lobbying, and political contributions. In collective bargaining. The number of work stoppages addition: risk management, safety management, provides a measure of past performance on labor supply chain and resource management, conflict of practices, while the percentage of employees interest, anticompetitive behavior, and corruption and unionized provides an indication of companies’ bribery. It also includes risk of business complicity with exposure to wage cost increases and possible future human rights violations. labor disputes. For the Airlines industry, leadership and governance issues arise from the need to manage the safety of BUSINESS MODEL AND INNOVATION highly complex, sensitive, and global operations, including accident prevention. Accidents and other safety incidents affect customers and employees, and This dimension of sustainability is concerned with the can also lead to significant economic losses in the case impact of environmental and social factors on of the cargo segment. The safety of passengers and innovation and business models. It addresses the cargo is a priority for companies in the industry, and integration of environmental and social factors in the mismanagement of the issue can have a significant value creation process of companies, including negative impact on company value. resource efficiency and other innovation in the production process. It also addresses product innovation and looking at efficiency and responsibility Competitive Behavior in the design, use-phase, and disposal of products. It As described in the industry summary, the Airlines includes management of environmental and social industry is characterized by low profitability due to impacts on tangible and financial assets—either a high fixed capital and labor costs, as well as company’s own or those it manages as the fiduciary competition with subsidized national carriers in foreign for others. markets. This pushes airlines to find economies of scale through alliances or consolidation, which results in a Airline companies rely on innovation to maintain value. highly concentrated market with four players capturing Innovation that contributes to sustainability outcomes 75 percent of the U.S. markets. The industry is also in this industry centers around fuel management and characterized by high barriers to entry through limited alternative fuels, which have been addressed in the landing rights and increasing airport congestions. disclosure topic “Environmental Footprint of Fuel Use.” Together, these factors can result in anticompetitive practices that result in higher prices for consumers. LEADERSHIP AND GOVERNANCE As applied to sustainability, governance involves the management of issues that are inherent to the business model. It also involves issues that are As a result, certain airline industry practices have been scrutinized by antitrust authorities. These practices include market concentration, airport slot management, predatory pricing, and the anticompetitive effects resulting from airline alliances I N D U S T R Y B R I E F | A I R L I N E S | 12 and mergers. Any time a business action is held up in • Amount of legal and regulatory fines and legal limbo, there is a material risk to investors settlements associated with anticompetitive stemming from legal fees, reputational risk, costs practices. associated with a delayed transaction, and limit to growth by acquisition. Moreover, denied mergers may Evidence press companies to declare bankruptcy. Continuous consolidation of the industry drove the number of major airlines from eight to four in the last The oldest and largest airline alliance is the Star five years. Several studies show that mergers of airlines Alliance, originally formed between United and eventually result in higher ticket prices for consumers. Lufthansa, which has since been expanded to include According to The Wall Street Journal dissected data, 27 airlines worldwide. The other major alliances are flight prices between some big cities increased by 40 Sky Team and Oneworld, with 20 and 15 member to 50 percent after mergers. Particularly, by the third airlines respectively. Alliances can be controversial and quarter of 2012, fares between Chicago and Houston may have both positive and negative effects on (hubs of United Airlines and Continental Airlines prior competitiveness and consumer pricing, and are to the merger) increased by 57 over three years. The therefore heavily scrutinized. University of Illinois average fares of United Airlines increased by only 16 economists found mixed effects on consumer pricing percent over the same period. 82 as a result of alliances, claiming that prices to smaller regional airports decrease due to alliances, while fares Ancillary fees (baggage fees and on-board food and to large gateway airports increase. services) are a significant portion of revenue for 80 airlines. In 2013, United Airlines earned $5.7 billion in Another industry dynamic that affects competition is ancillary revenue, the most of any airline globally. In the availability of airport slots. Limited slots at some the same year, the total industry ancillary revenue was airports effectively cap the supply to that region and $31.5 billion. 83 With current consolidation trends and create a barrier to entry for new players. Incumbent the increasing share of the ancillary revenue, airlines airlines have a dominant position because they are will likely increase fees as competition weakens. allowed to maintain any slots they use regularly, Moreover, in the long term, airlines may reduce leaving little room for new players. The percentage of benefits of their loyalty programs. Passengers flying slots held by companies is often considered in high- from non-major cities will be left with no choice of a profile mergers when evaluating anticompetitive carrier, therefore, ‘loyalty’ will not be a decisive practices. factor. 84 81 Finally, the issue of competitive behavior revolves As mentioned above, merger and acquisition (M&A) around price-fixing practices within the cargo segment activity in the industry resulted in high market of the industry. High industry consolidation makes it consolidation. Even though the recent mergers were easy for airlines to collude. There have been several approved, the cases had to go through lengthy reviews high-profile cases of price-fixing involving the cargo and investigation. In 2013, a civil antitrust lawsuit was segment of airlines. Major airlines were found to have filed by the Department of Justice (DOJ) to challenge colluded on fuel surcharges. the proposed merger between US Airways and American Airlines. The DOJ was seeking to Company performance in this area can be analyzed in permanently block the $11 billion merger. Federal a cost-beneficial way internally and externally through courts were examining whether the merger would lead the following direct or indirect performance metrics to less competition in the industry and higher prices (see Appendix III for metrics with their full detail): for consumers. Prior to the merger, U.S. Airways held I N D U S T R Y B R I E F | A I R L I N E S | 13 55 percent of the slots at Reagan National Airport; Australian Competition & Consumer Commission post-merger, that would increase to 69 percent. (ACCC), which imposed a total of $68 million in fines However, US Airways and American Airlines’ parent to Emirates and the other airlines involved in the company, AMR Corporation, argues that there are two cartel. 90 other major airports serving the Washington metropolitan area, and post-merger, they would only In 2010, the European Commission fined 11 air cargo control 25 percent of aircraft seats in the market. The carriers, including Air France-KLM and British Airways, news of the government’s antitrust suit caused US a total of almost €800 million for anticompetitive Airways’ stock to fall 13 percent, and bonds of AMR practices. The Commission alleged the companies of Corporation also dropped. AMR, which filed for forming a cartel and rigging surcharges for fuel and bankruptcy in November 2011, was using the merger security between May 2004 and February 2006. Air as a means to complete a reorganization and exit court France-KLM was hit with the largest fine: almost 43 protection. 85 If the merger was not approved, it could result in American Airlines declaring bankruptcy. percent of the total amount, €339.6 million, which represented €0.91 per fully diluted share. It also represented 7.3 percent of gross cash reserves on June For the merger to be approved, American Airlines had 30, 2010. 91 to give up 52 round-trip slots at Washington Reagan Airport and 17 round-trip slots at New York LaGuardia Airport. 86 Subsequently, Southwest Airlines and JetBlue Airways won most of the slots that became available. 87 Value Impact Perceived and actual anticompetitive practices can lead to regulatory fines and penalties that increase extraordinary expenses and contingent liabilities and The investigation of competitive behavior is also negatively affect a company's bottom line. Denial by affecting other companies in the industry. In 2011, a federal antitrust authorities to proceed with merger $1.4 billion acquisition of AirTran by Southwest was plans limits the ability of companies to grow by under the antitrust investigation. In its 10-K filing for acquisitions, something of particular importance for 2012, Southwest Airlines stated: “AirTran is currently airlines given the maturity of the industry and the subject to pending antitrust litigation, and if judgment difficulty of growing organically in markets with were to be rendered against AirTran in the litigation, incumbents’ landing rights. Market concentration can such judgment would adversely affect the Company’s lead to increased scrutiny from antitrust authorities operating results.” The litigation is a 2009 class action and can impact airlines’ ability to raise prices, with suit that accused AirTran of colluding with Delta subsequent impact on revenue. Increased antitrust airlines in 2008 to fix baggage fees. 88 The Southwest- oversight can also raise the risk profile of airlines, AirTran case was dismissed by a federal judge. 89 raising their cost of capital. Beyond high-publicity Regulatory scrutiny of anticompetitive practices extends beyond the U.S. and affects airlines’ global operations. A federal court in Australia fined Emirates, the UAE based airline, $10.2 million in 2012 for pricefixing. The court found that the airline had engaged in cartel conduct with other carriers by fixing prices associated with fuel and other surcharges in its routes to Australia. This example exposes that U.S.-listed airlines are engaged in a global business and can be antitrust actions during mergers or otherwise, ongoing legal and regulatory fines associated with anticompetitive practices indicate airlines’ ability to maximize profit while managing a sensitive competitive environment. Accidents & Safety Management held accountable for their actions in any country in Passenger safety is a paramount issue in the Airline which they operate. The penalty comes from the industry, given the nature of air travel and extreme I N D U S T R Y B R I E F | A I R L I N E S | 14 situations in which incidents can occur. Although air travel is one of the safest modes of transport, airlines Company performance in this area can be analyzed in are held to very high safety standards, with consumers a cost-beneficial way internally and externally through expecting completely safe and accident-free the following direct or indirect performance metrics operations. Furthermore, as products transported by (see Appendix III for metrics with their full detail): air tend to be high value or perishable goods, • delivering them from point A to point B safely and in a Description of implementation and outcomes of Safety Management System; timely manner is a priority for any carrier. Moreover, • Number of accidents; and airline accidents may result in significant • Number of governmental enforcement actions environmental and social externalities and require of aviation safety regulations. companies to pay for remediation and compensation Evidence of victims. Cultivating the image of a relatively safe means of Safety incidents or violations of safety regulations can transportation, the aviation industry must constantly lead to a chronic impact on reputation. They can also strive to maintain the highest standards to ensure lead to lower demand from passengers, as well as safety of passengers and cargo. In general, accidents in cargo shippers. Larger accidents, even if they happen the industry are rare. But when they occur, they may rarely, can lead to significant and long-term impacts have significant social externalities as well as acute on reputation and revenue growth. financial impacts on companies. According to IATA, there were 36.4 million flights in 2013, with 16 fatal Proper personnel training, and ensuring the health and accidents and 210 fatalities globally—a rate of 0.44 well-being of crew members, is critical to ensuring fatal accidents per million flights. 93 There are several safety. Equally, timely and adequate maintenance of factors that contribute to accidents in the industry. The aircrafts can help operators minimize chances of majority of fatal airline accidents are due to pilot error, technical failure and avoid severe regulatory penalties accounting for 51 percent of incidents. The next for non-compliance. The FAA standards for both highest contributor, mechanical failure, accounts for aircraft maintenance and pilot scheduling and training 20 percent of fatal accidents. 94This highlights the are quite stringent; however, this is a global industry importance of rigorous employee training, fleet and airlines that maintain the highest safety standards maintenance, operational measures, and ensuring that throughout their international operations are likely to the pilot and crew are well rested and alert. experience fewer safety incidents. Safety incidents and accidents can create burdensome The FAA maintains rules regarding pilot scheduling to costs and liabilities for airlines by requiring further ensure pilots have adequate rest when they enter the accident prevention measures, remediating actions, cockpit for the duration of their work. The rules cover and compensation of victims. The recent crash of an the flight duty period, flight time limits , rest period Asiana Airlines flight while landing at San Francisco V minimums, and cumulative fatigue. VI 92 These rules International Airport took three lives and called into provide a minimum set of standards, but as the question pilot flying skills and cockpit teamwork. While evidence below suggests, pilot fatigue is a challenging investigations are still pending, Asiana has committed issue for the industry, with devastating consequences to increasing crew training, and has brought in third- and requiring careful oversight. party consultants to evaluate their program’s effectiveness. 95 Survivors of the crash are suing both V A period that starts when a pilot reports for duty and ends when he or she reaches the gate at the end of his or her flight. VI The actual time spent operating the aircraft. Asiana and Boeing for poor pilot training and aircraft design. 96 Even in the absence of incidents or accidents, I N D U S T R Y B R I E F | A I R L I N E S | 15 evidence suggests that violations of safety regulations documents during the hearing that indicated the pilots can have acute impacts on value through regulatory made a series of errors leading up to the crash. penalties. On July 28, 2014, the FAA imposed a $12 Additional testimony at the hearing suggests that the million fine against Southwest Airlines for non- pilots may have suffered from fatigue (from compliance with safety regulations during their aircraft commuting from their homes in Florida and Seattle) to repairs. 97 In 2009, the company was already fined $7.5 work out of Newark Liberty International Airport. 103 million by the FAA for flying planes without critical Financial impact from fatal accidents goes beyond safety checks. 98 In 2013, American Airlines and three substantial regulatory penalties. Following the two of its subsidiaries paid $24.9 million to settle FAA crashes of Malaysian Airlines, the company claims of alleged safety violations between 2007 and experienced “a sharp decline” in weekly bookings. 2011. Damaged reputation and low demand for services 99 resulted in net loss $97.4 million in the second quarter Among other things, the new FAA rules, which go into of 2014. The company is likely to experience effect in 2014, require a 10-hour minimum rest period difficulties in the long-term to gain market confidence prior to a pilot’s flight duty period, a two-hour back and increase sales. 104 increase over the old rules. The rules also mandate that a pilot must have an opportunity for eight hours of Usually, the most valuable products are transported by uninterrupted sleep within the 10-hour rest period, air, when time and safety matter the most. Even and that pilots will be limited to no more than nine though goods transported by air account for only 0.5 hours of flight time. Pilots will also be limited to 28 percent of global trade, they represent over 35 percent working days in a month and will be required to be by value, which equals approximately $6.8 trillion given at least 30 consecutive hours free from duty on a annually. 105 The loss of valuable cargo as a result of weekly basis, a 25 percent increase over the old accidents can therefore have a significant economic rules. impact. 100 As pilot error is the main contributing factor to fatal Cargo may contain hazardous materials, which airline accidents, ensuring health and well-being of substantially increases the risk of transport. Companies pilots is crucial for safety management. In May 2009, that fail to comply with safety requirements in Continental Airlines’ regional carrier Gulfstream transporting hazardous products may be prone to received a $1.3 million civil penalty from the FAA for incidents that could not only result in a loss of cargo, overworking pilots and breaking aircraft maintenance but in hull losses in extreme cases. There were 144 air rules. 101 In the week following the announcement, incidents recorded by the FAA from March 20, 1991 to Gulfstream’s stock fell 21 percent and eventually May 19, 2014 that involved batteries carried as cargo plummeted 51 percent by the end of the year. 102 The or baggage. 106 In September 2011, an Asiana Airlines FAA investigation began with a complaint filed by a cargo plane crashed into the East China Sea after a fire Gulfstream pilot and was eventually settled in 2010, on board. The jet was carrying lithium batteries. with Gulfstream agreeing to pay $550,000. Moreover, on September 3, 2010, a UPS plane carrying more than 81,000 lithium batteries caught on fire and The fine for Gulfstream came just after the crash of crashed at a military base shortly after taking off, Continental Flight 3407, which took place in Buffalo, killing both pilots. 107 NY, when the flight experienced an aerodynamic stall and crashed into a house. All 49 on board the flight Lastly, airlines with a poor safety record are likely to were killed, as well as one person on the ground. The experience a long-term negative value impact from National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) released increased insurance premiums. For example, following I N D U S T R Y B R I E F | A I R L I N E S | 16 the twin tragedy of Malaysian Airlines flights in 2014, records beyond high-publicity events. Safety the insurance industry is likely to lose $2 billion. The Management Systems (SMS), together with prices for all-risk policies that cover liability claims, government regulatory actions, provide a sense of how compensation payments to passengers, legal fees, and companies are proactively managing safety above and physical damage to aircraft (not caused by hostile acts) beyond regulatory requirements. Increasing oversight are expected to rise, according to a Financial Times and enforcement of safety standards around pilot report. fatigue is likely to increase the magnitude of these 108 impacts in the near to medium term. In their SEC filings, airlines recognize the extent of various material impacts that may follow accidents. For example, in its Form 10-K, Alaska Air Group states: SASB INDUSTRY WATCH LIST “[the company] could experience significant claims from injured passengers, by-standers and surviving The following section provides a brief description of relatives, as well as costs for the repair or replacement sustainability issues that did not meet SASB’s of a damaged aircraft and its consequential temporary materiality threshold at present, but could present a or permanent loss from service. We maintain liability material issue in the future. insurance in amounts and of the type generally consistent with industry practice, as do our codeshare Noise & Light Pollution: The human and partners and CPA carriers. However, the amount of environmental impacts of noise and light from such coverage may not be adequate to fully cover all aircrafts, particularly near airports, continues to be a claims and we may be forced to bear substantial topic of concern for communities living near airports. economic losses from an accident. Substantial claims A recent study by researchers at Harvard School of resulting from an accident in excess of our related Public Health and Boston University School of Public insurance coverage would harm our business and Health have linked exposure to aircraft noise with financial results.” higher hospitalizations for cardiovascular disease. This 109 is likely due to exposure to noise being related to Value Impact stress reactions and increased blood pressure, both of Major airline accidents in which passengers are injured which are risk factors for cardiovascular disease. are global news events. Whether incidents occur due Public health concerns for local residents have played a to mechanical failure, human error, or unpredictable role in limiting airport expansions. A German court circumstances, they can negatively affect the banned flights landing at Frankfurt between 11 p.m. reputation of a carrier, with acute and long-term and 5 a.m. as a result of residents protesting excessive impacts on revenue and market share. Accidents also noise. Such restrictions are of material concern to lead to extraordinary expenditures and contingent airlines whose landing slots were scheduled during liabilities related to compensation of victims and those hours. In Frankfurt, the ban was estimated to regulatory sanctions, which have an acute impact on cost the cargo arm of Lufthansa €40 million. While value. Failure to comply with safety standards can plane engines are getting less noisy, the increase in result in chronic impacts on value through fines and flight traffic may still lead to exposure to increased additional capital requirements to remain in noise levels. This has led to many airports restricting compliance. Poor safety records can also increase the maximum decibel levels for individual flight landings risk profile of airlines, resulting in higher insurance and in aggregate. A lesser understood impact of premiums and cost of capital. The number of increased flight traffic is light pollution. While light accidents—defined broadly to include passenger safety pollution from urban centers is brighter but localized, and mechanical failures—indicate trends in safety light from flights can span larger distances. Artificial I N D U S T R Y B R I E F | A I R L I N E S | 17 light has an effect on the ecosystem and migratory trend has been stagnant for over a decade. The gender animals that use light sources to direct them. Public gap can be partially explained by a larger pool of men concern regarding noise and light pollution from with backgrounds in the military, where they receive aviation may lead to regulations that could have a training. The racial bias in the industry is also material impact on airlines in the future. significant. According to the 2012 annual average data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 93 percent of Pilot Recruitment & Inclusion: Airlines are facing the 129,000 aircraft plots and flight engineers were three important trends that contribute to talent white. Meanwhile, only 2.7 percent were black or shortage: (1) increasing federal requirements for African-American, 2.5 percent Asian, and 5 percent of minimum pilot training, (2) reductions in working Hispanic or Latino ethnicity. Women have only been hours to diminish fatigue, and (3) higher-than-normal allowed to become fighter pilots since 1993, and are retirement rates, driven by an aging population of able to retire after 20 years with the Air Force. As a pilots. These two issues have a compounding effect on result, the industry may soon benefit from a greater access to talent for companies in this industry. pool of military-trained female pilots. 111 Companies The Airlines industry is characterized by significant that are among the first to seize this opportunity may gender and racial gaps in workforce representation. be better positioned in protecting their pilot pipeline, According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, in avoiding talent shortages, and improving their 2012, only four percent of the 129,000 aircraft pilots reputation. and flight engineers in the U.S. were women. 110 This I N D U S T R Y B R I E F | A I R L I N E S | 18 APPENDIX I FIVE REPRESENTATIVE AIRLINES COMPANIES VII COMPANY NAME (TICKER SYMBOL) United Continental (UAL) Delta Airlines (DAL) American Airlines Group (AAL) Southwest Airlines (LUV) China Southern Airlines - ADR (ZNH) VII This list includes five companies representative of the Airlines industry and its activities. This includes only companies for which the Airlines industry is the primary industry, companies that are U.S.-listed but are not primarily traded Over-the-Counter, and for which at least 20 percent of revenue is generated by activities in this industry, according to the latest information available on Bloomberg Professional Services. Retrieved on July 10, 2014. I N D U S T R Y B R I E F | A I R L I N E S | 19 APPENDIX IIA EVIDENCE FOR SUSTAINABILITY DISCLOSURE TOPICS Sustainability Disclosure Topics EVIDENCE OF FINANCIAL IMPACT EVIDENCE OF INTEREST HM (1-100) IWGs % Priority EI Revenues & Costs Assets & Liabilities Environmental Footprint of Fuel Use 97* 100 1 High • Labor Relations 60* 86 3 High • • Competitive Behavior 80* 91 4 High • • Accidents & Safety Management 50 73 2 Medi um • • FORWARD-LOOKING IMPACT Cost of Capital EFI Probability & Magnitude Externalities FLI • High • • Yes Medium No • High No • High No HM: Heat Map, a score out of 100 indicating the relative importance of the topic among SASB’s initial list of 43 generic sustainability issues; asterisks indicate “top issues.” The score is based on the frequency of relevant keywords in documents (i.e., 10-Ks, shareholder resolutions, legal news, news articles, and corporate sustainability reports) that are available on the Bloomberg terminal for the industry’s publicly-listed companies; issues for which keyword frequency is in the top quartile are “top issues.” IWGs: SASB Industry Working Groups %: The percentage of IWG participants that found the disclosure topic to likely constitute material information for companies in the industry. (-) denotes that the issue was added after the IWG was convened. Priority: Average ranking of the issue in terms of importance. One denotes the most important issue. (-) denotes that the issue was added after the IWG was convened. EI: Evidence of Interest, a subjective assessment based on quantitative and qualitative findings. EFI: Evidence of Financial Impact, a subjective assessment based on quantitative and qualitative findings. FLI: Forward Looking Impact, a subjective assessment on the presence of a material forward-looking impact. I N D U S T R Y B R I E F | A I R L I N E S | 20 APPENDIX IIB EVIDENCE OF FINANCIAL IMPACT FOR SUSTAINABILITY DISCLOSURE TOPICS REVENUE & EXPENSES ASSETS & LIABILITIES Evidence of Revenue Financial Impact Operating Expenses Market Size New Markets Pricing Power Environmental Footprint of Fuel Use COGS • Labor Relations • Competitive Behavior • Accidents & Safety Management • ME DI UM IM PACT R&D Non-operating Expenses CapEx Extraordinary Expenses Assets Tangible Assets Liabilities Intangible Assets Contingent Liabilities & Provisions Pension & Other Liabilities • • • • • Cost of Capital • • • RISK PROFILE • • • • • • • • H IG H IM PACT I N D U S T R Y B R I E F | A I R L I N E S | 21 Industry Divestment Risk APPENDIX III SUSTAINABILITY ACCOUNTING METRICS – AIRLINES TOPIC UNIT OF MEASURE ACCOUNTING METRIC CATEGORY Gross global Scope 1 emissions Quantitative Metric tons CO 2 -e TR0201-01 Description of long-term and short-term strategy or plan to manage Scope 1 emissions, emissions reduction targets, and an analysis of performance against those targets Discussion and Analysis n/a TR0201-02 Total fuel consumed, percentage renewable Quantitative Gigajoules, Percentage (%) TR0201-03 Notional amount of fuel hedged, by maturity date Quantitative TR0201-04 Percentage of active workforce covered under collectivebargaining agreements, broken down by U.S. and foreign employees Quantitative Millions of gallons, Year Percentage (%) Number and duration of strikes and lockouts viii Quantitative Number, Days TR0201-06 Competitive Behavior Amount of legal and regulatory fines and settlements associated with anti-competitive practices ix Quantitative U.S. Dollars ($) TR0201-07 Accidents & Safety Management Description of implementation and outcomes of Safety Management System Discussion and Analysis n/a TR0201-08 Number of accidents Quantitative Number TR0201-09 Number of governmental enforcement actions of aviation safety regulations Quantitative Number TR0201-10 Environmental Footprint of Fuel Use Labor Relations CODE TR0201-05 viii Note to TR0201-06 - Disclosure shall include a description of the root cause of the stoppage, impact on operations, and corrective actions taken. ix Note to TR0201-04 - Disclosure shall include a description of fines and settlements and corrective actions implemented in response to events. I N D U S T R Y B R I E F | A I R L I N E S | 22 APPENDIX IV: Analysis of SEC Disclosures Airlines The following graph demonstrates an aggregate assessment of how the top ten U.S.-listed Airline companies by revenue are currently reporting on sustainability topics in the SEC Disclosures. I N D U S T R Y B R I E F | A I R L I N E S | 23 References 1 "Air Cargo Carriers Battle Competition from Seas, Passenger Planes." Daily FT, June 16, 2014. Accessed August 18, 2014. http://www.ft.lk/2014/06/16/air-cargo-carriers-battle-competition-from-seaspassenger-planes/. 2 Brennan, Andy. IBISWorld Industry Report 48111b, “Domestic Airlines in the US.” IBISWorld, June 2014. Accessed July 15, 2014. 3 Bloomberg Industry Primer. Airlines, North America: Overview Summary. Downloaded August 7, 2013. 4 Stellin, Susan. “The Clout of Air Alliances.” The New York Times, May 2, 2011. Accessed September 28, 2013. http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/03/business/03alliances.html?_r=0. 5 Brennan, Andy. "IBISWorld Industry Report 48111a: International Airlines in the US.” IBISWorld, May 2014. Accessed July 15, 2014 and Brennan, Andy. IBISWorld Industry Report 48111b, “Domestic Airlines in the US.” IBISWorld, June 2014. Accessed July 15, 2014. 6 Data from Bloomberg Professional service accessed on July 25, 2014, using the BICS <GO> command. The data represents global revenues of companies listed on global exchanges and traded over-the-counter (OTC) from the Airlines industry, using Level 4 of the Bloomberg Industry Classification System. 7 Author’s calculation based on data from Bloomberg Professional service, accessed on July 10, 2014, using the equities (EQS) screen for U.S. listed companies (and those traded primarily OTC) and generating at least 20 percent of revenue from the Airlines segment. 8 Market Share. Data Library.BI AIRL <GO> command. Bloomberg Professional service. Accessed on August 11, 2014. 9 Brennan, Andy. "IBISWorld Industry Report 48111a: International Airlines in the US.” IBISWorld, May 2013. Accessed August 11, 2014. 10 “The runway to the final four.” CNN Money. Accessed September 8, 2014. http://money.cnn.com/infographic/news/companies/airline-merger/. 11 Brennan, Andy. "IBISWorld Industry Report 48111a: International Airlines in the US.” IBISWorld, May 2014. Accessed August 12, 2014. 12 International Air Transport Association. “Worldwide Slot Guidelines, 5th Edition.” August 2013. Accessed October 25, 2013. 13 International Air Transportation Association. “Airport Slots – The Building Blocks of Air Travel.” Last updated 2013. Accessed October 25, 2013. http://www.iata.org/publications/airlines-international/august2010/Pages/06.aspx 14 Done, Kevin. “BMI puts £770m value on its Heathrow airport slots.” Financial Times, May 24, 2008. Accessed September 9, 2014. http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/65028b16-292b-11dd-96ce000077b07658.html#axzz3Cpoyobfu. 15 Cost Analysis. 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