Airbnb’s ascent to the top EIS Mini-Project Report October 7, 2013 Michael White Kanav Abrol Airbnb – EIS Mini-Project Report Contents Overview ....................................................................................................................................................... 3 The world before Airbnb ............................................................................................................................... 4 Founders – Vision and Timing ....................................................................................................................... 4 Growth .......................................................................................................................................................... 5 Context in which Airbnb came about ........................................................................................................... 6 Online travel agents were already established......................................................................................... 6 eBay had established the model for a 2 sided marketplace ..................................................................... 6 Creating a review system ...................................................................................................................... 6 Creating a payment mechanism ........................................................................................................... 6 It was hard to find a cheap room to stay ................................................................................................. 7 Airbnb Business Model ................................................................................................................................. 7 Commission based business model .......................................................................................................... 7 Network effects......................................................................................................................................... 7 International expansion ............................................................................................................................ 8 Economies of scale .................................................................................................................................... 9 Great cash flows...................................................................................................................................... 10 Providing more value .............................................................................................................................. 10 How the Airbnb ecosystem evolved ........................................................................................................... 10 The traditional hotel ecosystem before internet ................................................................................... 10 The advent of online booking agents gave a huge boosts to standalone BnBs because they were more discoverable now and could build their reputation ............................................................................... 11 Medium term rental ecosystem ............................................................................................................. 11 Long term rental ecosystem ................................................................................................................... 12 Launch of Airbnb – MVE ......................................................................................................................... 12 Airbnb expanding its ecosystem from its initial MVE ............................................................................. 13 Airbnb Ecosystem – How Airbnb aligned the interests of different actors ................................................ 14 Airbnb at a Glance....................................................................................................................................... 15 Conclusion ................................................................................................................................................... 16 2 Airbnb – EIS Mini-Project Report Overview Airbnb is short for AirBed & Breakfast. Started in 2008 by roommates Brian Chesky and Joe Gebbia, it is meant to be a lower cost alternative to a hotel stay for both business and pleasure travelers. Airbnb connects people who need a place to stay with people who have place to spare.1 By acting as the intermediary, Airbnb takes advantage of a growing segment of peer-to-peer transactions. While many entrepreneurs have tackled the business-to-business (B2B) business model in order to find success, Airbnb follows the path blazed by such sites as eBay or Craigslist. Airbnb makes money primarily from service fees when members book a place to stay. They charge a service fee anywhere from 6 to 12% depending on the price of the booking as well as a 3% flat “hosting” fee. 2 Like many peer-to-peer business, Airbnb uses its website as well as phone apps in order to conduct their transactions. Airbnb also considers itself a social networking site, and often plays this up as part of their offering. Both hosts and guests must create a profile and can be reviewed by those they have transacted with. Airbnb attempts to not only offer a place to stay, but create connections and learning opportunities between its members. Members have the ability to search offerings for anything from floor space to a private castle and all things in between. Hosts can offer a shared room, a private room in an occupied place or an entire residence. 1 2 Hosting Manual, 2013. https://www..com/downloads/HostingManual_en.pdf Hosting Manual, 2013. https://www..com/downloads/HostingManual_en.pdf 3 Airbnb – EIS Mini-Project Report The world before Airbnb Airbnb was not the first site to offer or even focus on private short-term rentals for travelers. Craigslist, couchsurfing.com, vrbo, and homeaway.com among others all offered similar products to Airbnb. There was a time in which these options were not around. Travelers were dependent upon hotels, motels, campgrounds and friends in order to find a place to stay while traveling. Longer stays could be arranged through a real estate broker or occasionally found in a newspaper, but there was no significant presence of private offerings for one to seven night stays. Travelers were reliant on the professional lodging sector and travel agents (though less frequently) for the majority of their transactions. Although websites such as priceline.com, orbitz.com, and hotels.com among others had already made a significant impact on a travelers ability to see, compare, and choose their best lodging option, what we refer to as the “private” destinations were still an untapped resource for travelers. Brokers and travel agents were not incentivized enough to focus on or compete in a traditional travel booking where hotels were most often the best option. Finding competitive prices for short-term guests was neither a lucrative endeavor nor best use of one’s time. There was no room for an intermediary or traditional broker. In 2012, The American Hotel and Lodging Association put total industry revenue at $155.5 billion with 60% of travelers doing so for pleasure and 40% for business. Only 34% spend over three nights at a destination while paying on average $107 per night.3 Tracking the private rental market is somewhat difficult and likely best done by looking at numbers produced by Airbnb. Taxes and legal issues likely make most numbers prior to Airbnb and similar websites fairly vague. Founders – Vision and Timing Brian Chesky and Joe Gebbia founded Airbnb out of creative necessity. Unable to afford their high rent in San Francisco, they opened their doors to travelers attending a conference nearby. They offered Airbeds and home cooked breakfast as well as a networking opportunity. The roommates enjoyed this experience and thought others might as well. After recruiting a third more tech savvy member, Nathan Blecharczyk 4 the three friends launched airbedandbreakfast.com. They focused on areas with large events and minimal alternative lodging options. The company has benefited from time in an incubator in San Francisco as well from over $119 million in VC funding. Along with some very prominent names in the VC world, Airbnb is also lucky enough to call Ashton Kutcher an investor and brand Advisor. 5 A wellknown celebrity advisor can mean a great deal to a young company. 3 American Home and Lodging Association Home Page. http://www.ahla.com/content.aspx?id=35603 Best Young Tech Entrepreneurs, BusinessWeek. http://images.businessweek.com/ss/09/04/0421_best_young_entrepreneurs/9.htm 5 An Actor Who Knows Start Ups. New York Times, May 25, 2011 http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/26/technology/26ashton.html?_r=0 4 4 Airbnb – EIS Mini-Project Report The company quickly realized that brokering sleepovers in and of itself would not drive the company to success. By focusing on not only offering a dizzying array of places to stay, Airbnb’s founders concentrated on making their site unique through the benefits of social networking. Like amazon, eBay, and now Uber (ride sharing), Airbnb uses a modified Facebook style community in order for people to track and review each other. The commitment to this side of the business has helped Airbnb become more than just another rental-listing site. There is any number of terms used to describe the rise of peer-to-peer businesses in the vein of Airbnb. They take advantage of what many call the share economy6 or collaborative consumption7. Airbnb is most definitely a product of timing and co-innovation. The progression of the internet and mobile applications have opened up new doors for businesses and added to the arsenal of informed consumers. That coupled with the need for lower cost vacation lodging as the economy tumbled created an environment for Airbnb to thrive. Private home sharing may not offer many of the perks of a traditional hotel stay, but it is certainly an attractive alternative. Most notably, Airbnb represents a more attractive price, but it also can offer a more engaging or diverse travel experience for many road warriors. Not only did Airbnb come up with an innovative strategy for travelers away from home, it also gave established a new source of income available to many homeowners and renters. The slowing economy meant the return of staycations, in which individuals or families stayed home instead of travelling. More importantly for people not only looking to save, but to earn, Airbnb created an alternative source of income for very little work. The biggest demand on hosts is the removal of privacy in certain aspects of their lives, but otherwise renting/sharing one of your assets is a very simple source of income. The idea behind Airbnb is by no means proprietary or patent pending. However, the strong backing of VC firms and the early buzz surrounding the company gave them an opportunity to grow through acquisitions both in the United States and abroad. Airbnb was able to grow extremely fast in an environment where their company was seen as disruptive to the lodging industry. Growth Located in San Francisco, California, Airbnb has over 34,000 cities in 192 countries worldwide. The site has booked over 8.5 million “guests” and their 2012 estimated revenue was about $180 million.8 As a private company, their numbers are not released for public consumption. They have grown from 3 founders in 2008 to approximately 130 employees today. There are 12 office locations worldwide while 6 Airbnb and the Unstoppable rise of the Share Economy. Robes. 1/23/2013 http://www.forbes.com/sites/tomiogeron/2013/01/23/airbnb-and-the-unstoppable-rise-of-the-share-economy/ 7 Airbnb: Our Rooms Should Be Taxed Like Hotels. 10/3/2013 http://www.wired.com/business/2013/10/airbnbtaxes/ 8 Who Will Get Rich From Airbnb Sky High Valuation. Forbe. 10/19/2012 http://www.forbes.com/sites/calebmelby/2012/10/19/peter-thiel-may-invest-150-million-in-airbnb-at-2-5-billionvaluation/ 5 Airbnb – EIS Mini-Project Report their headquarters remains in San Francisco. By 2012, Airbnb helped over 60,000 people book a place to stay in one day. At the moment, Airbnb continues to attract a significant amount of first time users to their site or mobile app. Returning customers give a company staying power, but they must be recruited first. It is clear Airbnb is doing fine in that department. Users of the site have the ability to choose from over 500,000 locations and the list grows daily. Airbnb lists not only rooms and apartments, but also a few more adventurous lodging options including tree houses, castles, islands, boats, igloos, and trailers. Pictures, videos, and detailed descriptions help users sift through a plethora of options in a straightforward manner. The lodging industry has been put on alert. Context in which Airbnb came about Online travel agents were already established By 2008, online travel agents like Priceline and Expedia were well established. In fact we had players like Kayak, which were meta search engines and allowed customers to search for hotels for hotel rooms across the hotels inventory directly as well as across other online travel agents such as Expedia, Travelocity, Orbitz etc. This meant that customers were comfortable with the idea of booking their hotels online. eBay had established the model for a 2 sided marketplace9 eBay started out as an auction site and then evolved into a larger ecommerce marketplace. Initially it allowed people to sell things they were no longer using. This was like taking a garage sale to a national market. This created a large catalogue of goods that were available through eBay and the network effect led to eBay growing exponentially since opening its digital doors in the 1995. Creating a review system eBay did face adoption challenges. It was very hard for people to trust each other. They did not want to buy goods from anonymous users. Since social networking had not been invented at this point, there was no way to establish people real identity. eBay decided to create a rating system that allowed both buyers and sellers to rate each other. People with higher ratings were able to sell their goods faster. Creating a payment mechanism10 One of the major challenges of buying online was making the payments. Give how new ecommerce was, people were afraid of sharing their credit card details. PayPal created a system to make payments in a safe secure way. Overtime, PayPal became popular and the most prevalent way of making payments on eBay. In 2002, eBay bought PayPal. 9 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/EBay http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PayPal 10 6 Airbnb – EIS Mini-Project Report It was hard to find a cheap room to stay 11 When the Airbnb founders were visiting San Francisco, they found it difficult to find a place to stay since most hotels seemed to have been booked. Sometime later when there was a design conference in San Francisco and Chesky and Gebbia figured out that all the hotels were full. They decided to rent a room in their apartment for the duration of the conference. They built a website to take the bookings and asked the conference organizers to link to their website. This worked so well that they repeated this model for many conferences subsequently. They soon realized that there was a need in the market for people to stay for short term and they wanted to solve it. Airbnb Business Model Commission based business model Airbnb allows hosts to list their rooms at any rate they want for free and whenever a guest books the room they charge between 9% and 15% as a commission. Network effects As Airbnb has expanded they have created a tremendous network effect which has led to an exponential pace of growth. This is primarily been caused by the fact that they are the largest repository of rooms and have therefore been attracting increasing numbers of both guests and hosts. Their reputation system also reinforces the network effect since building a reputation on the platform is time consuming and therefore switching to another platform has high switching costs. 11 http://www.scott-sherwood.com/airbnb-case-study-what-are-your-thoughts/ 7 Airbnb – EIS Mini-Project Report 12 Exponential growth International expansion Since the platform is online and because a lot of the people travel internationally, it made sense for Airbnb to expand internationally. It started by simply allowing people from outside the US to list their rooms but it soon opened local offices to study the local markets. Airbnb now provides a lot of information about the local neighborhoods in the many cities across the world where it has its listings. Their business model was relatively easy to scale given the nature of the industry it was operating in. By opening local offices it was able to offer the professional photography services in these international markets besides producing contents for these local markets. Airbnb’s first international acquisition happened in 2011 when it acquired Accoleo, which was dubbed as the Airbnb of Europe.13 12 http://techcrunch.com/2013/02/07/airbnbs-big-2012-4x-guest-growth-and-2x-the-number-of-listings-in-over150-countries-worldwide/ 13 http://techcrunch.com/2011/06/01/airbnb-buys-german-clone-accoleo-opens-first-european-office-inhamburg/ 8 Airbnb – EIS Mini-Project Report Airbnb now has offices in 12 different countries, and lists rooms in 192 countries.14 Economies of scale Like most online businesses, Airbnb enjoys great economies of scale. Most of the costs are involved in developing the underlying technology platform and in marketing the platform to reach wide audiences. Adding more rooms or more guests to the system does not consume a whole lot of additional resources. Airbnb is a high fixed costs, low variable costs business. This has hastened its expansion internationally including it buying other similar business abroad. It bought Crashpadder, based in London, right before the Olympics to capture the huge surge in the demand for rooms.15 14 15 https://www.airbnb.com/annual/ vhttp://blogs.wsj.com/tech-europe/2012/03/21/airbnb-buys-competitor-for-london-olympics/ 9 Airbnb – EIS Mini-Project Report Great cash flows Airbnb manages the payment process between the host and the guest. It charges the guests the fees for their stay (or part of a fee in case of long stays). It relays this fee to the host one day after the guest has checked in. In the meantime, the guest’s money stays with Airbnb. This way Airbnb has a negative networking capital which it can use to finance its rapid expansion. Providing more value In December 2012, Airbnb acquired Localmind16 to help its users figure out what interesting events are taking place in their local community. This makes users engage with Airbnb in a more fruitful way. They use this service even outside of their the mere transaction of just booking a room, but they now use Airbnb to constantly as they travel to understand which events or activities they want to attend. This way Airbnb is able to addict users to its service thereby further entrenching itself in the market and increasing the user’s switching costs. How the Airbnb ecosystem evolved The traditional hotel ecosystem before internet Conventional Travel Agents Hotels Loyalty Programs/ Direct Billing Regulations 16 http://blog.airbnb.com/welcome-localmind-to-the-airbnb-family 10 Travelers Airbnb – EIS Mini-Project Report The advent of online booking agents gave a huge boosts to standalone BnBs because they were more discoverable now and could build their reputation Conventional Travel Agents Online Travel Agents Hotels Trip Advisor (Third Party Reviews) Standalone Bed and Breakfast Travelers Loyalty Programs/ Direct Billing Regulations Medium term rental ecosystem People with space to sublet Craigslist / Classifieds 11 Visitors needing place for short term stay (few weeks/months) Airbnb – EIS Mini-Project Report Long term rental ecosystem House owners with houses to rent Realtors /Trulia /Zillow People needing housing for long term stay (year long leases) Launch of Airbnb – MVE Reputation (Review System) Individuals with ROOMS to let Market Place 12 Travelers Airbnb – EIS Mini-Project Report Airbnb expanding its ecosystem from its initial MVE Airbnb Sequencing Reputation (Review System) 1 Positive feedback – people who enjoy their stay eventually let out their own beds 1 Individuals with BEDS to let Market Place Credibility (Professional Photos) Regulator Safety (Insurance) Travelers 2 3 Court Identity (Verify using SSN/ Social networks) Legislators On going Legal Issues 13 4 Airbnb – EIS Mini-Project Report Airbnb Ecosystem – How Airbnb aligned the interests of different actors Players Perceived Benefits Perceived Cost Airbnb's alignment strategy Fear of Room not being there Assurance that if booked room is not available or if it was a fake listing, then an alternate room is provided Fake Listings 4 way Verification of all hosts using a physical id, a social network, email and phone More Personal - Get to know new people Availability - Rooms even available in peak seasons such as concerts/conferences in small towns Not being able to see the room Allowing hosts to upload photos and location on map; Providing professional photographer for free Time to search through so many options Algorithms to surface the right rooms Rent a room on specific dates/ short term Not knowing the guests Rating system and references that guests can provide Transparent and flexible pricing Guests ransacking the place/stealing Insurance from Airbnb to cover major losses or damages Clean up required after guests leaves Provision for charging guests a one-time clean up fees Potentially Cheaper More Variety/Lots of options Traveler Host Potential boost to tourism Regulato rs/Legisla tors New Player Urban Bellhop Taking pictures of the house Free professional photographer available Taking business away from existing constituents - Hotels Fought the case in courts Lack of minimum standards Tax loss since hosts are not paying tourism tax Both Hosts and guests benefits from the services they provide which makes exchanging keys, getting the house cleaned and providing concierge services easy Hosts and Guests have to pay money to use this service 14 Tight monitoring of hosts and guests and using review system to enforce quality of stay Still fighting in courts Airbnb might try to start providing such a service in future as a convenience for its customers and to get some additional revenue Airbnb – EIS Mini-Project Report Airbnb at a Glance17 17 http://www.probnb.com/10-million-nights-booked-in-airbnb 15 Airbnb – EIS Mini-Project Report Conclusion In theory it would have been possible to rent a room for a few days even 10 years ago. It never happened since there were many different attributes of a market place that did not exist before Airbnb came along. It was able to aggregate the demand, intermediate the financial transition, verify the identity of both parties and finally it was able to underwrite the experiences of both sides the transaction. Airbnb essentially was able to remove the friction from a marketplace that could have emerged a long time ago but needed someone to provide the infrastructure as well as take some risks. Though Airbnb is currently the leader in peer-to-peer room rentals market, it has yet to solve many legal hurdles to gain further legitimacy. It is fighting a case in New York to understand whether it is legal for a host to rent to a guests, especially given the rent control laws there. The regulators are now taking notice of Airbnb, given its now huge scale, and are trying to figure out how they can regulate Airbnb and its hosts as hotels. If the hosts were to be considered hotels, then they would require various permissions to operate and would have to comply with hotel codes such as marking the nearest fire exits. Such regulatory move would not only threaten Airbnb but the entire sharing economy. Thankfully Airbnb has gotten favorable ruling in NY on Sep 27, 2013.18 Another major challenge facing Airbnb is that if the hosts are considered operators of hotels, then they would have to collect tourism tax. This would surely adversely impact Airbnb’s market, making it harder for hosts to enroll and adding an administrative burden for Airbnb.19 Airbnb is part of the new sharing economy that has been expanding rapidly over the past few years. 3.5 Billion dollars are expected to flow through this sharing economy that includes Airbnb, Uber, RentTheRunway, TaskRabbit etc. Airbnb is clearly making the right moves to make the most of this opportunity.20 Airbnb’s Brian Chesky on the Cover of Forbes Magazine’s February 11, 2013, with the story “Airbnb And The Unstoppable Rise Of The Share Economy”21 18 http://news.cnet.com/8301-1023_3-57605081-93/airbnb-helps-tenant-win-appeal-in-ny-rental-case/ http://www.economist.com/news/technology-quarterly/21572914-collaborative-consumption-technologymakes-it-easier-people-rent-items 20 http://www.forbes.com/sites/tomiogeron/2013/01/23/airbnb-and-the-unstoppable-rise-of-the-share-economy/ 21 http://www.forbes.com/sites/tomiogeron/2013/01/23/airbnb-and-the-unstoppable-rise-of-the-share-economy/ 19 16