Social, Economic and
Demographic
Characteristics of
Metro Houston
With Projections to 2040 and 2050
Prepared by the Greater Houston Partnership Research Department
www.houston.org
October 2014
About the Data
The demographic information in this report comes from three sources: the U.S. Census
Bureau, the Texas State Data Center and the Houston-Galveston Area Council.
The Census Bureau serves as the leading source of quality data about the nation's people
and economy. Houston’s current demographics (pages 3-17) come from the bureau’s
American Community Survey (ACS). The ACS is an ongoing statistical survey sent to
approximately 250,000 addresses across the nation monthly (or 3 million per year). The
ACS provides a snapshot of the demographic, social, economic and housing characteristics
of the population. The snapshot is available for a variety of geographies—census tracts,
incorporated places, counties, metropolitan statistical areas, states and the nation as a
whole.
ACS data included here covers the 10-county Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown Metropolitan
Statistical Area. The Houston MSA includes Austin, Brazoria, Chambers, Fort Bend,
Galveston, Harris, Liberty, Montgomery, San Jacinto and Waller Counties. In February
2013, the bureau redefined the Houston metro area so that San Jacinto is no longer
included. Census also changed the region’s name to the Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar
Land Metropolitan Statistical Area. As the bureau transitions to the new name and
geography, both will be incorporated into Partnership publications. However, census data
will not be available for the new 9-county metro until December 2014, therefore the 2013
1-year data for the 10-county metro is reported here.
The Texas State Data Center serves as the focal point for the distribution of census data
in Texas and disseminates population estimates and projections for all 254 counties in the
state. The Texas Governor's Office, Texas Legislative Budget Board, Comptroller's Office,
Texas Department of Transportation and the Texas Department of State Health Services
rely on the center’s Texas Population Estimates and Projections Program to plan for and
deliver services to the residents of Texas. The Partnership has extracted data from the
program for the nine counties that comprise the Houston metro area and includes that data
in this report.
To prepare its projections, the state data center examines patterns of births, deaths, and net
migration (the difference between residents moving in and residents moving out) in each
of the state’s 254 counties. It then forecasts populations by age, sex, race and ethnicity for
four groups: Non-Hispanic White Alone, Non-Hispanic Black or African American Alone,
Hispanic of all Races, and Other Non-Hispanic. The first three groups are more commonly
referred to as Anglo, Black and Hispanic. The Other Non-Hispanic group includes Asians
and Persons of More Than One Race. The center does not forecast growth in the Asian
population because of the small size of those populations in most Texas counties (though
that’s not the case for Houston). The center does not forecast growth in populations of
More Than One Race because there is a lack historical data on fertility, mortality and
migration in this group.
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 1
The center uses three migration scenarios in its forecasts. The Zero Migration Scenario
assumes that inmigration and outmigration are equal thus growth only results from the
natural increase, i.e., the difference between births and deaths. The One-Half Migration
Scenario assumes net migration occurs at half the rate at which it occurred from 2000 to
2010. The center refers to this as the “0.5 Scenario.” In this document it’s referred to as the
“Moderate Growth Scenario.” The 2000-2010 Migration Scenario assumes that trends in
age, sex, race/ethnicity and migration of the past decade are repeated in coming years. In
this document this is referred to as the “Fast Growth Scenario.” The state data center
suggests that the moderate growth scenario is most appropriate for long-range planning
while the fast growth scenario is appropriate for the next five to ten years. The scenarios
are on pages 18-31.
The Houston-Galveston Area Council is the voluntary association of local governments
for the 13 counties that comprise the Gulf Coast State Planning Region 1. H-GAC deals
with issues of transportation, air quality, public safety, cooperative purchasing and
geographic information system (mapping) services. H-GAC’s Regional Growth Forecast
covers years from 2010 through 2040 and includes population, employment, and household
counts for census tracts, counties and H-GAC’s Transportation Analysis Zones. Although
H-GAC represents the 13-county Texas Gulf Coast, the council forecasts data for only
eight counties in the MSA. The county which H-GAC excludes, Austin, represents less
than 0.5 percent of the metro population and H-GAC’s exclusion does not have a
statistically significant impact on metro Houston totals. H-GAC includes unemployment
rates and labor force participation rates in its estimates of future employment in the region,
which can be found on pages 32-33.
A Note of Caution: All population projections involve assumptions about the future.
Anyone who uses these projections should keep in mind that although the various
forecasters used detailed methodologies and tried to account for shifting demographic
patterns, their projections are just that—projections. They provide good estimates of
direction and magnitude of change that may occur in the population, but they shouldn’t be
taken as absolutes.
For additional insight into the agencies, sources and methodologies in this document,
please go to the following websites:
U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey http://www.census.gov/acs/www/
Texas State Data Center http://txsdc.utsa.edu/Index.aspx
Houston-Galveston Area Council http://www.h-gac.com/home/
1
H-GAC serves Austin, Brazoria, Chambers, Colorado, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris, Liberty, Matagorda,
Montgomery, Walker, Waller, and Wharton counties.
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 2
Current Demographics – Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, TX Metro Area
Based on the 2013 American Community Survey
SEX AND AGE
6,313,158
6,313,158
Male
Total population
3,141,608
49.8%
Female
3,171,550
50.2%
Under 5 years
475,501
7.5%
5 to 9 years
500,713
7.9%
10 to 14 years
467,558
7.4%
15 to 19 years
440,578
7.0%
20 to 24 years
443,960
7.0%
25 to 34 years
949,293
15.0%
35 to 44 years
897,966
14.2%
45 to 54 years
845,463
13.4%
55 to 59 years
382,408
6.1%
60 to 64 years
308,554
4.9%
65 to 74 years
370,642
5.9%
75 to 84 years
168,120
2.7%
62,402
1.0%
85 years and over
Median age (years)
33.6
(X)
18 years and over
4,592,273
72.7%
21 years and over
4,336,342
68.7%
62 years and over
770,584
12.2%
65 years and over
601,164
9.5%
4,592,273
4,592,273
Male
2,262,802
49.3%
Female
2,329,471
50.7%
18 years and over
601,164
601,164
Male
65 years and over
268,022
44.6%
Female
333,142
55.4%
6,313,158
6,313,158
6,170,779
97.7%
142,379
2.3%
One race
6,170,779
97.7%
White
4,144,564
65.6%
Black or African American
1,085,816
17.2%
26,811
0.4%
Cherokee tribal grouping
N
N
Chippewa tribal grouping
N
N
Navajo tribal grouping
N
N
Sioux tribal grouping
N
N
441,249
7.0%
114,417
1.8%
86,258
1.4%
RACE
Total population
One race
Two or more races
American Indian and Alaska Native
Asian
Asian Indian
Chinese
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 3
Current Demographics – Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, TX Metro Area
Based on the 2013 American Community Survey
RACE (cont’d)
Filipino
51,026
0.8%
5,487
0.1%
12,530
0.2%
Vietnamese
111,710
1.8%
Other Asian
59,821
0.9%
2,836
0.0%
Native Hawaiian
1,026
0.0%
Guamanian or Chamorro
Japanese
Korean
Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander
1,107
0.0%
Samoan
396
0.0%
Other Pacific Islander
307
0.0%
Some other race
469,503
7.4%
Two or more races
142,379
2.3%
White and Black or African American
34,425
0.5%
White and American Indian and Alaska Native
29,581
0.5%
White and Asian
27,233
0.4%
5,230
0.1%
6,313,158
6,313,158
White
4,262,157
67.5%
Black or African American
1,139,663
18.1%
Black or African American and American Indian and Alaska
Native
Race alone or in combination with one or more other races
Total population
American Indian and Alaska Native
Asian
Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander
Some other race
68,134
1.1%
482,709
7.6%
9,193
0.1%
501,611
7.9%
6,313,158
6,313,158
2,279,622
36.1%
1,759,343
27.9%
36,668
0.6%
HISPANIC OR LATINO AND RACE
Total population
Hispanic or Latino (of any race)
Mexican
Puerto Rican
Cuban
25,250
0.4%
458,361
7.3%
4,033,536
63.9%
White alone
2,415,820
38.3%
Black or African American alone
1,063,017
16.8%
10,368
0.2%
438,349
6.9%
2,664
0.0%
Some other race alone
12,351
0.2%
Two or more races
90,967
1.4%
6,276
0.1%
Other Hispanic or Latino
Not Hispanic or Latino
American Indian and Alaska Native alone
Asian alone
Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander alone
Two races including Some other race
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 4
Current Demographics – Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, TX Metro Area
Based on the 2013 American Community Survey
HISPANIC OR LATINO AND RACE (cont’d)
Two races excluding Some other race, and Three or more
races
84,691
1.3%
2,387,114
(X)
4,781,251
4,781,251
3,220,986
67.4%
3,219,264
67.3%
2,995,320
62.6%
Unemployed
223,944
4.7%
Armed Forces
1,722
0.0%
1,560,265
32.6%
3,219,264
3,219,264
(X)
7.0%
2,421,410
2,421,410
1,428,505
59.0%
1,428,262
59.0%
1,325,173
54.7%
562,879
562,879
334,108
59.4%
1,086,214
1,086,214
719,317
66.2%
2,942,781
2,942,781
2,345,878
79.7%
321,092
10.9%
Public transportation (excluding taxicab)
69,641
2.4%
Walked
42,720
1.5%
Total housing units
EMPLOYMENT STATUS
Population 16 years and over
In labor force
Civilian labor force
Employed
Not in labor force
Civilian labor force
Percent Unemployed
Females 16 years and over
In labor force
Civilian labor force
Employed
Own children under 6 years
All parents in family in labor force
Own children 6 to 17 years
All parents in family in labor force
COMMUTING TO WORK
Workers 16 years and over
Car, truck, or van -- drove alone
Car, truck, or van -- carpooled
Other means
Worked at home
Mean travel time to work (minutes)
54,910
1.9%
108,540
3.7%
29.1
(X)
2,995,320
2,995,320
OCCUPATION
Civilian employed population 16 years and over
Management, business, science, and arts occupations
1,114,480
37.2%
Service occupations
490,719
16.4%
Sales and office occupations
696,316
23.2%
Natural resources, construction, and maintenance occupations
326,607
10.9%
Production, transportation, and material moving occupations
367,198
12.3%
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 5
Current Demographics – Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, TX Metro Area
Based on the 2013 American Community Survey
INDUSTRY
Civilian employed population 16 years and over
2,995,320
2,995,320
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting, and mining
114,487
3.8%
Construction
265,175
8.9%
Manufacturing
320,450
10.7%
Wholesale trade
112,923
3.8%
Retail trade
317,181
10.6%
Transportation and warehousing, and utilities
167,836
5.6%
Information
42,413
1.4%
173,196
5.8%
381,405
12.7%
Educational services, and health care and social assistance
601,365
20.1%
Arts, entertainment, and recreation, and accommodation and
food services
253,635
8.5%
161,953
5.4%
83,301
2.8%
2,995,320
2,995,320
Finance and insurance, and real estate and rental and leasing
Professional, scientific, and management, and administrative and
waste management services
Other services, except public administration
Public administration
CLASS OF WORKER
Civilian employed population 16 years and over
Private wage and salary workers
2,474,798
82.6%
Government workers
327,999
11.0%
Self-employed in own not incorporated business workers
188,197
6.3%
4,326
0.1%
Total households
2,158,139
2,158,139
Less than $10,000
137,103
6.4%
$10,000 to $14,999
97,136
4.5%
$15,000 to $24,999
226,479
10.5%
$25,000 to $34,999
205,521
9.5%
$35,000 to $49,999
285,507
13.2%
$50,000 to $74,999
369,528
17.1%
$75,000 to $99,999
244,996
11.4%
$100,000 to $149,999
298,480
13.8%
$150,000 to $199,999
138,624
6.4%
$200,000 or more
154,765
7.2%
Median household income (dollars)
57,366
(X)
Mean household income (dollars)
82,660
(X)
1,861,567
86.3%
83,130
(X)
444,077
20.6%
17,309
(X)
Unpaid family workers
INCOME AND BENEFITS (IN 2012 INFLATIONADJUSTED DOLLARS)
With earnings
Mean earnings (dollars)
With Social Security
Mean Social Security income (dollars)
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 6
Current Demographics – Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, TX Metro Area
Based on the 2013 American Community Survey
INCOME AND BENEFITS (IN 2012 INFLATIONADJUSTED DOLLARS) (cont’d)
With retirement income
250,027
11.6%
Mean retirement income (dollars)
24,155
(X)
With Supplemental Security Income
92,953
4.3%
8,992
(X)
33,083
1.5%
3,171
(X)
273,299
12.7%
1,526,994
1,526,994
Less than $10,000
72,082
4.7%
$10,000 to $14,999
51,339
3.4%
$15,000 to $24,999
134,398
8.8%
$25,000 to $34,999
135,442
8.9%
$35,000 to $49,999
190,162
12.5%
$50,000 to $74,999
257,289
16.8%
$75,000 to $99,999
186,311
12.2%
$100,000 to $149,999
248,464
16.3%
$150,000 to $199,999
117,528
7.7%
$200,000 or more
133,979
8.8%
Median family income (dollars)
66,296
(X)
Mean family income (dollars)
92,563
(X)
Mean Supplemental Security Income (dollars)
With cash public assistance income
Mean cash public assistance income (dollars)
With Food Stamp/SNAP benefits in the past 12 months
Families
Per capita income (dollars)
29,212
(X)
631,145
631,145
Median nonfamily income (dollars)
37,611
(X)
Mean nonfamily income (dollars)
55,100
(X)
Median earnings for workers (dollars)
31,755
(X)
Median earnings for male full-time, year-round workers (dollars)
49,557
(X)
Median earnings for female full-time, year-round workers (dollars)
40,191
(X)
6,262,526
6,262,526
With health insurance coverage
4,832,985
77.2%
With private health insurance
3,602,739
57.5%
With public coverage
1,627,426
26.0%
1,429,541
22.8%
1,719,241
1,719,241
Nonfamily households
HEALTH INSURANCE COVERAGE
Civilian noninstitutionalized population
No health insurance coverage
Civilian noninstitutionalized population under 18 years
No health insurance coverage
218,007
12.7%
3,952,822
3,952,822
In labor force:
3,053,375
3,053,375
Employed:
2,845,666
2,845,666
With health insurance coverage
2,067,030
72.6%
With private health insurance
1,961,103
68.9%
Civilian noninstitutionalized population 18 to 64 years
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 7
Current Demographics – Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, TX Metro Area
Based on the 2013 American Community Survey
HEALTH INSURANCE COVERAGE (cont’d)
With public coverage
150,900
5.3%
778,636
27.4%
207,709
207,709
With health insurance coverage
89,362
43.0%
With private health insurance
60,816
29.3%
With public coverage
31,207
15.0%
118,347
57.0%
No health insurance coverage
Unemployed:
No health insurance coverage
Not in labor force:
899,447
899,447
With health insurance coverage
603,828
67.1%
With private health insurance
410,795
45.7%
With public coverage
227,069
25.2%
295,619
32.9%
No health insurance coverage
PERCENTAGE OF FAMILIES AND PEOPLE WHOSE INCOME IN THE
PAST 12 MONTHS IS BELOW THE POVERTY LEVEL
All families
With related children under 18 years
With related children under 5 years only
Married couple families
(X)
13.2%
(X)
19.3%
(X)
16.9%
(X)
7.5%
(X)
10.5%
(X)
7.7%
(X)
32.5%
(X)
41.8%
(X)
45.9%
All people
(X)
16.4%
Under 18 years
(X)
23.7%
Related children under 18 years
(X)
23.5%
Related children under 5 years
(X)
25.3%
Related children 5 to 17 years
(X)
22.8%
18 years and over
(X)
13.7%
18 to 64 years
(X)
14.2%
65 years and over
(X)
10.0%
People in families
(X)
15.0%
Unrelated individuals 15 years and over
(X)
24.5%
With related children under 18 years
With related children under 5 years only
Families with female householder, no husband present
With related children under 18 years
With related children under 5 years only
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 8
Current Demographics – Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, TX Metro Area
Based on the 2013 American Community Survey
HOUSEHOLDS BY TYPE
Total households
Family households (families)
With own children under 18 years
Married-couple family
With own children under 18 years
Male householder, no wife present, family
With own children under 18 years
Female householder, no husband present, family
With own children under 18 years
2,158,139
2,158,139
1,526,994
70.8%
758,007
35.1%
1,095,967
50.8%
523,032
24.2%
113,347
5.3%
49,341
2.3%
317,680
14.7%
185,634
8.6%
631,145
29.2%
518,596
24.0%
134,538
6.2%
Households with one or more people under 18 years
848,208
39.3%
Households with one or more people 65 years and over
427,194
19.8%
Average household size
2.89
(X)
Average family size
3.48
(X)
Nonfamily households
Householder living alone
65 years and over
RELATIONSHIP
6,236,325
6,236,325
Householder
Population in households
2,158,139
34.6%
Spouse
1,094,972
17.6%
Child
2,133,385
34.2%
Other relatives
552,419
8.9%
Nonrelatives
297,410
4.8%
122,616
2.0%
2,404,949
2,404,949
862,718
35.9%
1,250,788
52.0%
48,070
2.0%
Widowed
44,943
1.9%
Divorced
198,430
8.3%
2,464,437
2,464,437
748,953
30.4%
Unmarried partner
MARITAL STATUS
Males 15 years and over
Never married
Now married, except separated
Separated
Females 15 years and over
Never married
Now married, except separated
1,183,258
48.0%
Separated
79,039
3.2%
Widowed
171,012
6.9%
Divorced
282,175
11.4%
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 9
Current Demographics – Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, TX Metro Area
Based on the 2013 American Community Survey
FERTILITY
Number of women 15 to 50 years old who had a birth in the past
12 months
103,218
103,218
35,820
34.7%
43
(X)
64
(X)
Per 1,000 women 15 to 19 years old
32
(X)
Per 1,000 women 20 to 34 years old
110
(X)
Per 1,000 women 35 to 50 years old
29
(X)
177,164
177,164
65,317
36.9%
Less than 1 year
13,400
7.6%
1 or 2 years
14,273
8.1%
3 or 4 years
12,231
6.9%
5 or more years
25,413
14.3%
65,317
65,317
Who are female
41,251
63.2%
Who are married
48,349
74.0%
1,790,150
1,790,150
Nursery school, preschool
119,168
6.7%
Kindergarten
109,666
6.1%
Elementary school (grades 1-8)
776,230
43.4%
High school (grades 9-12)
370,019
20.7%
College or graduate school
415,067
23.2%
3,984,848
3,984,848
Less than 9th grade
379,668
9.5%
9th to 12th grade, no diploma
335,792
8.4%
High school graduate (includes equivalency)
949,190
23.8%
Some college, no degree
844,081
21.2%
Associate's degree
244,358
6.1%
Bachelor's degree
800,646
20.1%
Graduate or professional degree
431,113
10.8%
(X)
82.0%
Unmarried women (widowed, divorced, and never married)
Per 1,000 unmarried women
Per 1,000 women 15 to 50 years old
GRANDPARENTS
Number of grandparents living with own grandchildren under 18
years
Responsible for grandchildren
Years responsible for grandchildren
Number of grandparents responsible for own grandchildren
under 18 years
SCHOOL ENROLLMENT
Population 3 years and over enrolled in school
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
Population 25 years and over
Percent high school graduate or higher
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 10
Current Demographics – Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, TX Metro Area
Based on the 2013 American Community Survey
VETERAN STATUS
Civilian population 18 years and over
Civilian veterans
4,590,551
4,590,551
270,430
5.9%
6,262,526
6,262,526
DISABILITY STATUS OF THE CIVILIAN
NONINSTITUTIONALIZED POPULATION
Total Civilian Noninstitutionalized Population
With a disability
606,151
9.7%
1,719,241
1,719,241
With a disability
60,841
3.5%
18 to 64 years
3,952,822
3,952,822
With a disability
330,044
8.3%
590,463
590,463
215,266
36.5%
6,220,425
6,220,425
5,191,464
83.5%
973,601
15.7%
Same county
660,590
10.6%
Different county
313,011
5.0%
Same state
188,323
3.0%
Different state
124,688
2.0%
55,360
0.9%
6,313,158
6,313,158
Under 18 years
65 years and over
With a disability
RESIDENCE 1 YEAR AGO
Population 1 year and over
Same house
Different house in the U.S.
Abroad
PLACE OF BIRTH
Total population
Native
4,889,437
77.4%
Born in United States
4,809,641
76.2%
State of residence
3,460,625
54.8%
Different state
1,349,016
21.4%
79,796
1.3%
1,423,721
22.6%
1,423,721
1,423,721
Naturalized U.S. citizen
511,052
35.9%
Not a U.S. citizen
912,669
64.1%
1,503,517
1,503,517
79,796
79,796
8,767
11.0%
Born in Puerto Rico, U.S. Island areas, or born abroad to
American parent(s)
Foreign born
U.S. CITIZENSHIP STATUS
Foreign-born population
YEAR OF ENTRY
Population born outside the United States
Native
Entered 2010 or later
Entered before 2010
71,029
89.0%
1,423,721
1,423,721
Entered 2010 or later
138,887
9.8%
Entered before 2010
1,284,834
90.2%
Foreign born
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 11
Current Demographics – Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, TX Metro Area
Based on the 2013 American Community Survey
WORLD REGION OF BIRTH OF FOREIGNBORN
POPULATION
Foreign-born population, excluding population born at sea
Europe
1,423,721
1,423,721
67,379
4.7%
342,544
24.1%
63,664
4.5%
2,984
0.2%
928,813
65.2%
18,337
1.3%
5,837,657
5,837,657
English only
3,647,202
62.5%
Language other than English
2,190,455
37.5%
968,551
16.6%
1,687,221
28.9%
788,491
13.5%
Asia
Africa
Oceania
Latin America
Northern America
LANGUAGE SPOKEN AT HOME
Population 5 years and over
Speak English less than "very well"
Spanish
Speak English less than "very well"
Other Indo-European languages
182,066
3.1%
Speak English less than "very well"
48,588
0.8%
Asian and Pacific Islander languages
265,602
4.5%
Speak English less than "very well"
115,341
2.0%
55,566
1.0%
16,131
0.3%
6,313,158
293,028
6,313,158
4.6%
Arab
41,653
0.7%
Czech
51,145
0.8%
Danish
9,652
0.2%
Dutch
39,161
0.6%
English
342,093
5.4%
French (except Basque)
149,012
2.4%
20,828
0.3%
528,046
8.4%
Greek
15,870
0.3%
Hungarian
12,048
0.2%
Irish
373,443
5.9%
Italian
139,062
2.2%
Lithuanian
3,563
0.1%
Norwegian
25,714
0.4%
Polish
73,138
1.2%
Portuguese
Russian
7,027
27,215
0.1%
0.4%
Scotch-Irish
43,106
0.7%
Other languages
Speak English less than "very well"
ANCESTRY
Total population
American
French Canadian
German
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 12
Current Demographics – Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, TX Metro Area
Based on the 2013 American Community Survey
ANCESTRY (cont’d)
Scottish
67,967
1.1%
Slovak
3,270
0.1%
Subsaharan African
85,104
1.3%
Swedish
28,949
0.5%
Swiss
8,084
0.1%
Ukrainian
6,522
0.1%
Welsh
20,718
0.3%
West Indian (excluding Hispanic origin groups)
26,534
0.4%
2,387,114
2,387,114
2,158,139
90.4%
228,975
9.6%
Homeowner vacancy rate
1.4
(X)
Rental vacancy rate
8.4
(X)
2,387,114
2,387,114
1-unit, detached
1,479,899
62.0%
1-unit, attached
87,161
3.7%
2 units
27,002
1.1%
3 or 4 units
59,644
2.5%
5 to 9 units
118,219
5.0%
10 to 19 units
225,336
9.4%
20 or more units
279,347
11.7%
Mobile home
107,741
4.5%
2,765
0.1%
2,387,114
2,387,114
Built 2010 or later
82,551
3.5%
Built 2000 to 2009
588,023
24.6%
Built 1990 to 1999
358,994
15.0%
Built 1980 to 1989
369,323
15.5%
Built 1970 to 1979
469,767
19.7%
Built 1960 to 1969
226,808
9.5%
Built 1950 to 1959
160,927
6.7%
Built 1940 to 1949
70,093
2.9%
Built 1939 or earlier
60,628
2.5%
HOUSING OCCUPANCY
Total housing units
Occupied housing units
Vacant housing units
UNITS IN STRUCTURE
Total housing units
Boat, RV, van, etc.
YEAR STRUCTURE BUILT
Total housing units
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 13
Current Demographics – Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, TX Metro Area
Based on the 2013 American Community Survey
ROOMS
2,387,114
2,387,114
1 room
Total housing units
34,753
1.5%
2 rooms
61,669
2.6%
3 rooms
298,378
12.5%
4 rooms
389,557
16.3%
5 rooms
443,492
18.6%
6 rooms
404,757
17.0%
7 rooms
274,597
11.5%
8 rooms
208,763
8.7%
9 rooms or more
271,148
11.4%
5.4
(X)
2,387,114
2,387,114
Median rooms
BEDROOMS
Total housing units
No bedroom
38,503
1.6%
1 bedroom
364,015
15.2%
2 bedrooms
521,349
21.8%
3 bedrooms
871,393
36.5%
4 bedrooms
490,492
20.5%
5 or more bedrooms
101,362
4.2%
2,158,139
2,158,139
Owner-occupied
1,297,710
60.1%
Renter-occupied
860,429
39.9%
Average household size of owner-occupied unit
3.04
(X)
Average household size of renter-occupied unit
2.66
(X)
HOUSING TENURE
Occupied housing units
YEAR HOUSEHOLDER MOVED INTO UNIT
2,158,139
2,158,139
Moved in 2010 or later
Occupied housing units
862,215
40.0%
Moved in 2000 to 2009
800,970
37.1%
Moved in 1990 to 1999
268,113
12.4%
Moved in 1980 to 1989
112,277
5.2%
Moved in 1970 to 1979
71,956
3.3%
Moved in 1969 or earlier
42,608
2.0%
2,158,139
2,158,139
VEHICLES AVAILABLE
Occupied housing units
No vehicles available
131,194
6.1%
1 vehicle available
733,870
34.0%
2 vehicles available
878,560
40.7%
3 or more vehicles available
414,515
19.2%
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 14
Current Demographics – Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, TX Metro Area
Based on the 2013 American Community Survey
HOUSE HEATING FUEL
Occupied housing units
Utility gas
Bottled, tank, or LP gas
Electricity
Fuel oil, kerosene, etc.
Coal or coke
Wood
Solar energy
Other fuel
2,158,139
2,158,139
947,059
43.9%
43,736
2.0%
1,149,092
53.2%
1,880
0.1%
0
0.0%
2,623
0.1%
181
0.0%
1,654
0.1%
11,914
0.6%
2,158,139
2,158,139
8,278
0.4%
Lacking complete kitchen facilities
13,093
0.6%
No telephone service available
42,842
2.0%
2,158,139
2,158,139
1.00 or less
2,039,111
94.5%
1.01 to 1.50
87,887
4.1%
1.51 or more
31,141
1.4%
1,297,710
1,297,710
No fuel used
SELECTED CHARACTERISTICS
Occupied housing units
Lacking complete plumbing facilities
OCCUPANTS PER ROOM
Occupied housing units
VALUE OF UNITS
Owner-occupied units
Less than $50,000
105,393
8.1%
$50,000 to $99,999
282,242
21.7%
$100,000 to $149,999
292,039
22.5%
$150,000 to $199,999
210,813
16.2%
$200,000 to $299,999
201,383
15.5%
$300,000 to $499,999
132,765
10.2%
$500,000 to $999,999
56,725
4.4%
$1,000,000 or more
16,350
1.3%
144,400
(X)
1,297,710
1,297,710
Housing units with a mortgage
831,713
64.1%
Housing units without a mortgage
465,997
35.9%
Median (dollars)
MORTGAGE STATUS
Owner-occupied units
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 15
Current Demographics – Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, TX Metro Area
Based on the 2013 American Community Survey
SELECTED MONTHLY OWNER COSTS
(SMOC)
831,713
831,713
Less than $300
Housing units with a mortgage
1,538
0.2%
$300 to $499
8,134
1.0%
$500 to $699
25,447
3.1%
$700 to $999
94,027
11.3%
$1,000 to $1,499
288,995
34.7%
$1,500 to $1,999
190,013
22.8%
$2,000 or more
223,559
26.9%
Median (dollars)
1,496
(X)
465,997
465,997
5,107
1.1%
$100 to $199
31,960
6.9%
$200 to $299
54,910
11.8%
$300 to $399
69,591
14.9%
$400 or more
304,429
65.3%
492
(X)
Housing units without a mortgage
Less than $100
Median (dollars)
SELECTED MONTHLY OWNER COSTS AS A PERCENTAGE OF
HOUSEHOLD INCOME (SMOCAPI)
Housing units with a mortgage (excluding units where
SMOCAPI cannot be computed)
827,597
827,597
Less than 20.0 percent
386,123
46.7%
20.0 to 24.9 percent
123,772
15.0%
25.0 to 29.9 percent
82,648
10.0%
30.0 to 34.9 percent
59,706
7.2%
35.0 percent or more
175,348
21.2%
4,116
(X)
459,165
459,165
213,593
46.5%
10.0 to 14.9 percent
88,114
19.2%
15.0 to 19.9 percent
52,889
11.5%
20.0 to 24.9 percent
30,066
6.5%
25.0 to 29.9 percent
19,025
4.1%
30.0 to 34.9 percent
11,529
2.5%
35.0 percent or more
43,949
9.6%
6,832
(X)
Not computed
Housing unit without a mortgage (excluding units where
SMOCAPI cannot be computed)
Less than 10.0 percent
Not computed
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 16
Current Demographics – Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, TX Metro Area
Based on the 2013 American Community Survey
GROSS RENT
Occupied units paying rent
Less than $200
$200 to $299
824,756
824,756
6,251
0.8%
10,949
1.3%
$300 to $499
34,635
4.2%
$500 to $749
219,884
26.7%
$750 to $999
244,214
29.6%
$1,000 to $1,499
220,063
26.7%
88,760
10.8%
886
(X)
35,673
(X)
$1,500 or more
Median (dollars)
No rent paid
GROSS RENT AS PERCENTAGE OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME
Occupied units paying rent (excluding units where GRAPI
cannot be computed)
807,544
807,544
Less than 15.0 percent
114,223
14.1%
15.0 to 19.9 percent
109,438
13.6%
20.0 to 24.9 percent
110,919
13.7%
25.0 to 29.9 percent
87,242
10.8%
30.0 to 34.9 percent
74,435
9.2%
35.0 percent or more
311,287
38.5%
52,885
(X)
Not computed
Notes:
An '(X)' means that the estimate is not applicable or not available.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013 American Community Survey
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 17
Population Forecast -
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX MSA
Fast Growth Scenario
Over the next four decades, Houston’s racial and ethnic composition will
shift dramatically.
Metro Population
14.41
(Millions)
12.93
11.61
10.41
9.32
8.33
5.92
2010
6.64
2015
7.44
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Source: Texas State Data Center



Population growth will come from the natural increase (births minus deaths) and
from “net inmigration” (people moving into the region minus people moving out).
Texas State Data Center’s fast growth scenario assumes net inmigration from
now through 2050 to be equal to that experienced from 2000 to 2010.
Under the fast growth scenario, the Houston region will add approximately 2.2
million residents per decade over the next 40 years.

Population Forecast – Fast Growth Scenario
The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metropolitan Statistical Area
’11
6,055,684
’21
7,609,119
’31
9,532,587
’41
’12
6,194,788
’22
7,784,538
’32
9,745,608
’42
’13
6,338,026
’23
7,963,966
’33
9,962,442
’43
’14
6,484,279
’24
8,147,275
’34
10,183,915
’44
’15
6,635,281
’25
8,334,616
’35
10,408,879
’45
’16
6,788,559
’26
8,525,088
’36
10,639,043
’46
’17
6,945,609
’27
8,916,783
’37
10,873,613
’47
’18
7,106,097
’28
8,916,783
’38
11,113,282
’48
’19
7,269,688
’29
9,117,923
’39
11,357,919
’49
’20
7,437,124
’30
9,323,814
’40
11,607,433
’50
Source: Texas State Data Center
Greater Houston Partnership Research
11,861,765
12,121,403
12,386,249
12,656,731
12,932,722
13,214,967
13,503,054
13,797,125
14,098,090
14,405,099
Page 18
Population Forecast -
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX MSA
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 19
Population Forecast -
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX MSA
Moderate Growth Scenario
In the moderate growth scenario, the Houston metro area will add 4.3
million residents between 2010 and 2050.
Metro Population
(Millions)
5.920
2010
6.422
2015
6.935
2020
7.465
2025
8.006
2030
8.557
2035
9.117
2040
9.685
2045
10.274
2050
Source: Texas State Data Center

Population growth will come from the natural increase (births minus deaths) and
from “net inmigration” (people moving into the region minus people moving out).

Texas State Data Center’s moderate growth scenario assumes net inmigration
from now through 2050 to be half that experienced from 2000 to 2010.

Under the moderate growth scenario, the Houston region will add approximately
one million residents per decade over the next 40 years.
’11
’12
’13
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
Population Forecast – Moderate Growth Scenario
The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metropolitan Statistical Area
6,018,504
’21
7,039,389
’31
8,115,078
’41
6,117,802
’22
7,144,445
’32
8,225,178
’42
6,218,373
’23
7,250,779
’33
8,335,080
’43
6,320,223
’24
7,357,237
’34
8,446,149
’44
6,422,279
’25
7,464,739
’35
8,557,160
’45
6,523,745
’26
7,572,215
’36
8,667,866
’46
6,626,178
’27
7,679,334
’37
8,779,547
’47
6,728,037
’28
7,788,080
’38
8,892,018
’48
6,831,290
’29
7,896,357
’39
9,003,920
’49
6,934,564
’30
8,005,872
’40
9,117,234
’50
9,229,523
9,343,018
9,457,001
9,571,369
9,685,380
9,801,196
9,918,313
10,035,482
10,153,500
10,273,617
Source: Texas State Data Center
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 20
Race and Ethnicity -
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX Metro Area
Fast Growth Scenario
Over the next four decades, Houston’s racial and ethnic composition will
shift dramatically.
2010
39.5%
2020
2030
2040
2050
16.8%
32.6%
16.2%
26.2%
20.7%
16.1%
35.4%
41.0%
15.1%
46.5%
13.6%
51.3%
12.1%
55.3%
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
8.2%
10.2%
12.2%
14.4%
16.5%
Other
Note: Other includes Asian, Native American, and residents of more than one race.
Source: Texas State Data Center




In the Texas State Data Center’s Fast Growth Scenario, the Anglo and Hispanic
populations are equally balanced during the early years of the forecast.
Over time, however, Anglos will comprise a smaller number of Houston area
residents and a small share of the overall population.
Houston’s black population will continue to grow but not enough to maintain its
current share of the metro population.

By 2014, Hispanics will represent the largest share of Houston’s population.

By 2038, Hispanics will outnumber all other ethnic groups combined.

By 2042, the Hispanics population of Houston will exceed the total population of
Houston today.

Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 21
Race and Ethnicity -
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX Metro Area
Fast Growth Scenario
Ethnic Group Forecast – Fast Growth Scenario
The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metropolitan Statistical Area
Year
Total
2010
5,920,416
2011
6,055,684
2012
6,194,788
2013
6,338,026
2014
6,484,279
2015
6,635,281
2016
6,788,559
2017
6,945,609
2018
7,106,097
2019
7,269,688
2020
7,437,124
2021
7,609,119
2022
7,784,538
2023
7,963,966
2024
8,147,275
2025
8,334,616
2026
8,525,088
2027
8,719,390
2028
8,916,783
2029
9,117,923
2030
9,323,814
2031
9,532,587
2032
9,745,608
2033
9,962,442
2034
10,183,915
2035
10,408,879
2036
10,639,043
2037
10,873,613
2038
11,113,282
2039
11,357,919
2040
11,607,433
2041
11,861,765
2042
12,121,403
2043
12,386,249
2044
12,656,731
2045
12,932,722
2046
13,214,967
2047
13,503,054
2048
13,797,125
2049
14,098,090
2050
14,405,099
Source: Texas State Data Center
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
2,340,268
2,350,660
2,360,677
2,370,842
2,380,172
2,389,456
2,397,574
2,405,366
2,412,400
2,418,774
2,424,037
2,428,992
2,433,115
2,436,635
2,439,408
2,441,623
2,443,142
2,443,703
2,443,392
2,442,596
2,441,352
2,439,426
2,436,893
2,433,715
2,430,008
2,425,932
2,421,299
2,416,170
2,410,596
2,404,539
2,398,131
2,391,371
2,384,224
2,376,584
2,368,680
2,360,651
2,352,510
2,344,228
2,335,868
2,327,541
2,319,105
996,221
1,016,639
1,037,179
1,057,957
1,078,217
1,099,455
1,120,549
1,141,128
1,162,043
1,182,862
1,203,686
1,224,081
1,244,910
1,265,496
1,285,738
1,306,061
1,325,700
1,345,730
1,364,910
1,384,058
1,403,458
1,421,984
1,440,342
1,458,641
1,476,949
1,494,544
1,512,372
1,529,901
1,547,350
1,564,896
1,582,010
1,598,866
1,615,559
1,632,214
1,648,717
1,664,856
1,681,098
1,697,000
1,712,684
1,728,316
1,743,847
2,096,532
2,178,570
2,263,784
2,351,617
2,442,646
2,536,593
2,633,159
2,733,316
2,836,296
2,942,119
3,051,688
3,165,146
3,281,587
3,401,628
3,525,392
3,652,499
3,783,098
3,916,643
4,053,733
4,193,776
4,337,363
4,484,019
4,634,226
4,787,365
4,943,936
5,103,778
5,267,113
5,433,936
5,604,499
5,778,712
5,956,712
6,138,448
6,324,227
6,513,943
6,707,850
6,905,930
7,108,297
7,314,961
7,526,117
7,741,847
7,962,015
487,395
509,815
533,148
557,610
583,244
609,777
637,277
665,799
695,358
725,933
757,713
790,900
824,926
860,207
896,737
934,433
973,148
1,013,314
1,054,748
1,097,493
1,141,641
1,187,158
1,234,147
1,282,721
1,333,022
1,384,625
1,438,259
1,493,606
1,550,837
1,609,772
1,670,580
1,733,080
1,797,393
1,863,508
1,931,484
2,001,285
2,073,062
2,146,865
2,222,456
2,300,386
2,380,132
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 22
Race and Ethnicity -
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX Metro Area
Fast Growth Scenario
Ethnic Group Forecast – Fast Growth Scenario
The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metropolitan Statistical Area
Year
Total
2010
5,920,416
2011
6,055,684
2012
6,194,788
2013
6,338,026
2014
6,484,279
2015
6,635,281
2016
6,788,559
2017
6,945,609
2018
7,106,097
2019
7,269,688
2020
7,437,124
2021
7,609,119
2022
7,784,538
2023
7,963,966
2024
8,147,275
2025
8,334,616
2026
8,525,088
2027
8,719,390
2028
8,916,783
2029
9,117,923
2030
9,323,814
2031
9,532,587
2032
9,745,608
2033
9,962,442
2034
10,183,915
2035
10,408,879
2036
10,639,043
2037
10,873,613
2038
11,113,282
2039
11,357,919
2040
11,607,433
2041
11,861,765
2042
12,121,403
2043
12,386,249
2044
12,656,731
2045
12,932,722
2046
13,214,967
2047
13,503,054
2048
13,797,125
2049
14,098,090
2050
14,405,099
Source: Texas State Data Center
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
39.5%
38.8%
38.1%
37.4%
36.7%
36.0%
35.3%
34.6%
33.9%
33.3%
32.6%
31.9%
31.3%
30.6%
29.9%
29.3%
28.7%
28.0%
27.4%
26.8%
26.2%
25.6%
25.0%
24.4%
23.9%
23.3%
22.8%
22.2%
21.7%
21.2%
20.7%
20.2%
19.7%
19.2%
18.7%
18.3%
17.8%
17.4%
16.9%
16.5%
16.1%
16.8%
16.8%
16.7%
16.7%
16.6%
16.6%
16.5%
16.4%
16.4%
16.3%
16.2%
16.1%
16.0%
15.9%
15.8%
15.7%
15.6%
15.4%
15.3%
15.2%
15.1%
14.9%
14.8%
14.6%
14.5%
14.4%
14.2%
14.1%
13.9%
13.8%
13.6%
13.5%
13.3%
13.2%
13.0%
12.9%
12.7%
12.6%
12.4%
12.3%
12.1%
35.4%
36.0%
36.5%
37.1%
37.7%
38.2%
38.8%
39.4%
39.9%
40.5%
41.0%
41.6%
42.2%
42.7%
43.3%
43.8%
44.4%
44.9%
45.5%
46.0%
46.5%
47.0%
47.6%
48.1%
48.5%
49.0%
49.5%
50.0%
50.4%
50.9%
51.3%
51.7%
52.2%
52.6%
53.0%
53.4%
53.8%
54.2%
54.5%
54.9%
55.3%
8.2%
8.4%
8.6%
8.8%
9.0%
9.2%
9.4%
9.6%
9.8%
10.0%
10.2%
10.4%
10.6%
10.8%
11.0%
11.2%
11.4%
11.6%
11.8%
12.0%
12.2%
12.5%
12.7%
12.9%
13.1%
13.3%
13.5%
13.7%
14.0%
14.2%
14.4%
14.6%
14.8%
15.0%
15.3%
15.5%
15.7%
15.9%
16.1%
16.3%
16.5%
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 23
Race and Ethnicity -
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX Metro Area
Moderate Growth Scenario
Over the next four decades, Houston’s racial and ethnic composition will
shift dramatically.
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
39.5%
16.8%
34.7%
16.4%
30.0%
25.7%
21.8%
35.4%
39.7%
15.7%
44.2%
14.9%
48.6%
13.9%
Anglo
52.8%
Black
Hispanic
8.2%
9.2%
10.0%
10.8%
11.5%
Other
Note: Other includes Asian, Native American, and residents of more than one race.
Source: Texas State Data Center




In the Texas State Data Center’s Moderate Growth Scenario, the Anglo and
Hispanic populations are equally balanced during the early years of the forecast.
In the Moderate Growth Scenario, the size of Houston’s Anglo population
continues to decline, as does the group’s small share of overall population.
Houston’s black population will continue to grow but the decline in this group’s
share of the metro population is less dramatic than is forecast in the Fast Growth
Scenarios.

By 2015, Hispanics will represent the largest share of Houston’s population.

By 2044, Hispanics will outnumber all other ethnic groups combined.
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 24
Race and Ethnicity -
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX Metro Area
Moderate Growth Scenario
Ethnic Group Forecast – Moderate Growth Scenario
The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metropolitan Statistical Area
Year
Total
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
5,920,416
6,018,504
6,117,802
6,218,373
6,320,223
6,422,279
6,523,745
6,626,178
6,728,037
6,831,290
6,934,564
7,039,389
7,144,445
7,250,779
7,357,237
7,464,739
7,572,215
7,679,334
7,788,080
7,896,357
8,005,872
8,115,078
8,225,178
8,335,080
8,446,149
8,557,160
8,667,866
8,779,547
8,892,018
9,003,920
9,117,234
9,229,523
9,343,018
9,457,001
9,571,369
9,685,380
9,801,196
9,918,313
10,035,482
10,153,500
10,273,617
2,340,268
2,348,619
2,357,045
2,364,803
2,372,454
2,379,569
2,385,807
2,391,501
2,396,491
2,400,556
2,404,150
2,407,265
2,409,606
2,411,564
2,412,573
2,413,104
2,412,712
2,411,548
2,409,636
2,406,991
2,404,047
2,400,390
2,395,911
2,390,816
2,385,213
2,378,984
2,372,282
2,364,969
2,357,139
2,348,888
2,340,294
2,331,263
2,321,697
2,311,853
2,301,750
2,291,509
2,281,237
2,270,934
2,260,587
2,250,379
2,240,246
996,221
1,010,750
1,025,321
1,040,275
1,055,068
1,069,701
1,083,777
1,097,693
1,110,993
1,124,804
1,138,119
1,151,421
1,164,622
1,177,458
1,189,932
1,202,797
1,214,932
1,226,387
1,237,910
1,248,912
1,260,011
1,270,269
1,280,703
1,290,658
1,300,819
1,310,783
1,319,577
1,328,840
1,337,806
1,346,044
1,354,840
1,362,431
1,370,445
1,378,391
1,385,849
1,392,651
1,399,946
1,407,309
1,413,644
1,420,049
1,426,953
2,096,532
2,157,739
2,219,862
2,283,262
2,347,812
2,413,192
2,479,291
2,546,863
2,615,011
2,684,892
2,755,526
2,828,042
2,901,540
2,976,858
3,053,588
3,131,281
3,210,306
3,290,416
3,372,625
3,455,403
3,539,349
3,624,452
3,710,863
3,797,971
3,886,336
3,975,191
4,065,351
4,156,324
4,248,485
4,341,450
4,435,082
4,529,525
4,625,237
4,721,708
4,819,332
4,917,646
5,017,018
5,117,742
5,219,568
5,322,439
5,426,424
487,395
501,396
515,574
530,033
544,889
559,817
574,870
590,121
605,542
621,038
636,769
652,661
668,677
684,899
701,144
717,557
734,265
750,983
767,909
785,051
802,465
819,967
837,701
855,635
873,781
892,202
910,656
929,414
948,588
967,538
987,018
1,006,304
1,025,639
1,045,049
1,064,438
1,083,574
1,102,995
1,122,328
1,141,683
1,160,633
1,179,994
Source: Texas State Data Center
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 25
Race and Ethnicity -
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX Metro Area
Moderate Growth Scenario
Ethnic Group Forecast – Moderate Growth Scenario
The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metropolitan Statistical Area
Year
Total
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
5,920,416
6,018,504
6,117,802
6,218,373
6,320,223
6,422,279
6,523,745
6,626,178
6,728,037
6,831,290
6,934,564
7,039,389
7,144,445
7,250,779
7,357,237
7,464,739
7,572,215
7,679,334
7,788,080
7,896,357
8,005,872
8,115,078
8,225,178
8,335,080
8,446,149
8,557,160
8,667,866
8,779,547
8,892,018
9,003,920
9,117,234
9,229,523
9,343,018
9,457,001
9,571,369
9,685,380
9,801,196
9,918,313
10,035,482
10,153,500
10,273,617
39.5%
39.0%
38.5%
38.0%
37.5%
37.1%
36.6%
36.1%
35.6%
35.1%
34.7%
34.2%
33.7%
33.3%
32.8%
32.3%
31.9%
31.4%
30.9%
30.5%
30.0%
29.6%
29.1%
28.7%
28.2%
27.8%
27.4%
26.9%
26.5%
26.1%
25.7%
25.3%
24.8%
24.4%
24.0%
23.7%
23.3%
22.9%
22.5%
22.2%
21.8%
16.8%
16.8%
16.8%
16.7%
16.7%
16.7%
16.6%
16.6%
16.5%
16.5%
16.4%
16.4%
16.3%
16.2%
16.2%
16.1%
16.0%
16.0%
15.9%
15.8%
15.7%
15.7%
15.6%
15.5%
15.4%
15.3%
15.2%
15.1%
15.0%
14.9%
14.9%
14.8%
14.7%
14.6%
14.5%
14.4%
14.3%
14.2%
14.1%
14.0%
13.9%
35.4%
35.9%
36.3%
36.7%
37.1%
37.6%
38.0%
38.4%
38.9%
39.3%
39.7%
40.2%
40.6%
41.1%
41.5%
41.9%
42.4%
42.8%
43.3%
43.8%
44.2%
44.7%
45.1%
45.6%
46.0%
46.5%
46.9%
47.3%
47.8%
48.2%
48.6%
49.1%
49.5%
49.9%
50.4%
50.8%
51.2%
51.6%
52.0%
52.4%
52.8%
8.2%
8.3%
8.4%
8.5%
8.6%
8.7%
8.8%
8.9%
9.0%
9.1%
9.2%
9.3%
9.4%
9.4%
9.5%
9.6%
9.7%
9.8%
9.9%
9.9%
10.0%
10.1%
10.2%
10.3%
10.3%
10.4%
10.5%
10.6%
10.7%
10.7%
10.8%
10.9%
11.0%
11.1%
11.1%
11.2%
11.3%
11.3%
11.4%
11.4%
11.5%
Source: Texas State Data Center
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 26
Age Cohorts - Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX Metro Area
Fast Growth Scenario
Over the next four decades, Houston’s population will age significantly.
2010
2020
28.0%
25.9%
9.6%
29.6%
9.4%
2030
24.3%
2040
23.5%
8.6%
2050
22.8%
8.6%
29.2%
9.0%
Under 18
24.3%
24.0%
28.6%
23.7%
27.9%
24.1%
26.9%
18 - 24
25 - 44
24.4%
45-64
8.6%
11.5%
14.4%
15.9%
17.3%
65+
Source: Texas State Data Center





In the Texas State Data Center’s Fast Growth Scenario, the share of Houston’s
population under the age of 18 declines over the next 40 years.
The share of Houston’s population ages 18-24, the age when most residents
enter the workforce, continues to grow, but this cohort’s share of total population
declines slightly over time.
The number of residents ages 25-64, what most consider their prime working
years, grows by approximately 3.9 million. This cohort’s share of the population
declines slightly over time.
The number of residents over the age of 65 quadruples, from approximately
600,000 today to approximately 2.5 million in 2050.
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 27
Age Cohorts - Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX Metro Area
Fast Growth Scenario
Age Cohort Forecast – Fast Growth Scenario
The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metropolitan Statistical Area
Year
Under 18
18 - 24
25 - 44
45-64
65+
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
1,655,964
1,678,391
1,703,898
1,731,321
1,759,941
1,789,216
1,817,802
1,846,486
1,872,092
1,897,621
1,925,709
1,953,549
1,982,308
2,012,408
2,044,155
2,076,391
2,109,840
2,146,588
2,185,203
2,224,926
2,266,440
2,308,878
2,352,359
2,396,737
2,442,017
2,488,039
2,535,190
2,583,277
2,632,448
2,682,480
2,733,224
2,784,704
2,836,931
2,890,030
2,943,836
2,998,397
3,053,812
3,110,090
3,167,214
3,225,538
3,284,947
566,612
575,742
585,735
598,168
612,360
625,963
640,723
652,626
666,869
683,983
700,780
720,163
739,309
756,906
773,250
786,739
798,503
809,682
819,197
828,753
838,472
848,983
859,523
871,252
885,705
902,140
919,249
938,190
958,257
978,891
1,000,049
1,021,819
1,044,164
1,067,157
1,090,718
1,114,825
1,139,383
1,164,314
1,189,412
1,214,723
1,240,184
1,754,634
1,797,217
1,839,699
1,880,120
1,918,284
1,953,629
1,987,860
2,029,679
2,064,047
2,124,093
2,170,006
2,217,226
2,266,932
2,317,466
2,369,074
2,417,879
2,466,858
2,514,556
2,562,194
2,613,125
2,663,766
2,714,807
2,769,942
2,828,209
2,887,969
2,946,477
3,005,445
3,061,933
3,116,526
3,173,129
3,232,331
3,294,197
3,357,512
3,421,259
3,485,511
3,547,552
3,608,525
3,671,493
3,736,088
3,802,434
3,870,452
1,436,218
1,476,955
1,506,985
1,537,281
1,570,858
1,609,321
1,650,408
1,687,594
1,720,943
1,752,370
1,783,836
1,814,731
1,845,187
1,876,122
1,910,216
1,951,242
1,997,409
2,048,100
2,101,389
2,154,955
2,211,047
2,271,344
2,331,615
2,389,853
2,445,823
2,498,083
2,550,253
2,607,960
2,671,797
2,738,040
2,802,958
2,868,892
2,937,037
3,007,015
3,078,926
3,149,256
3,221,394
3,293,890
3,366,272
3,442,433
3,519,740
506,988
527,379
558,471
591,136
622,836
657,152
691,766
729,224
769,911
811,621
856,793
903,450
950,802
1,001,064
1,050,580
1,102,365
1,152,478
1,200,464
1,248,800
1,296,164
1,344,089
1,388,575
1,432,169
1,476,391
1,522,401
1,574,140
1,628,906
1,682,253
1,734,254
1,785,379
1,838,871
1,892,153
1,945,759
2,000,788
2,057,740
2,122,692
2,191,853
2,263,267
2,338,139
2,412,962
2,489,776
Source: Texas State Data Center
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 28
Age Cohorts - Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX Metro Area
Fast Growth Scenario
Age Cohort Forecast – Fast Growth Scenario
The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metropolitan Statistical Area
Year
Under 18
18 - 24
25 - 44
45-64
65+
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
28.0%
27.7%
27.5%
27.3%
27.1%
27.0%
26.8%
26.6%
26.4%
26.1%
25.9%
25.7%
25.5%
25.3%
25.1%
24.9%
24.7%
24.6%
24.5%
24.4%
24.3%
24.2%
24.1%
24.1%
24.0%
23.9%
23.8%
23.8%
23.7%
23.6%
23.5%
23.5%
23.4%
23.3%
23.3%
23.2%
23.1%
23.0%
23.0%
22.9%
22.8%
9.6%
9.5%
9.5%
9.4%
9.4%
9.4%
9.4%
9.4%
9.4%
9.4%
9.4%
9.5%
9.5%
9.5%
9.5%
9.4%
9.4%
9.3%
9.2%
9.1%
9.0%
8.9%
8.8%
8.7%
8.7%
8.7%
8.6%
8.6%
8.6%
8.6%
8.6%
8.6%
8.6%
8.6%
8.6%
8.6%
8.6%
8.6%
8.6%
8.6%
8.6%
29.6%
29.7%
29.7%
29.7%
29.6%
29.4%
29.3%
29.2%
29.1%
29.2%
29.2%
29.1%
29.1%
29.1%
29.1%
29.0%
28.9%
28.8%
28.7%
28.7%
28.6%
28.5%
28.4%
28.4%
28.4%
28.3%
28.2%
28.2%
28.0%
27.9%
27.8%
27.8%
27.7%
27.6%
27.5%
27.4%
27.3%
27.2%
27.1%
27.0%
26.9%
24.3%
24.4%
24.3%
24.3%
24.2%
24.3%
24.3%
24.3%
24.3%
24.1%
24.0%
23.8%
23.7%
23.6%
23.4%
23.4%
23.4%
23.5%
23.6%
23.6%
23.7%
23.8%
23.9%
24.0%
24.0%
24.0%
24.0%
24.0%
24.0%
24.1%
24.1%
24.2%
24.2%
24.3%
24.3%
24.4%
24.4%
24.4%
24.4%
24.4%
24.4%
8.6%
8.7%
9.0%
9.3%
9.6%
9.9%
10.2%
10.5%
10.9%
11.2%
11.5%
11.9%
12.2%
12.6%
12.9%
13.2%
13.5%
13.8%
14.0%
14.2%
14.4%
14.6%
14.7%
14.8%
14.9%
15.1%
15.3%
15.5%
15.6%
15.7%
15.8%
16.0%
16.1%
16.2%
16.3%
16.4%
16.6%
16.8%
16.9%
17.1%
17.3%
Source: Texas State Data Center
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 29
Age Cohorts - Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX Metro Area
Moderate Growth Scenario
Over the next four decades, Houston’s population will age significantly.
2010
2020
28.0%
26.0%
9.6%
29.6%
9.2%
2030
24.4%
2040
23.6%
8.4%
2050
23.1%
8.4%
28.1%
8.8%
Under 18
24.3%
24.5%
26.8%
24.0%
26.3%
25.6%
18 - 24
23.7%
23.4%
25 - 44
45-64
8.6%
12.2%
16.0%
18.0%
19.5%
65+
Source: Texas State Data Center






In the Texas State Data Center’s Moderate Growth Scenario, the share of
Houston’s population under the age of 18 declines over the next 40 years.
The share of Houston’s population ages 18-24, the age when most residents
enter the workforce, continues to grow, but this cohort’s share of total population
also declines over time.
The number of residents ages 25-64, what most consider their prime working
years, grows by approximately 1.7 million. This cohort’s share of the population
declines significantly over time.
Under the Moderate Growth Scenario, the number of residents over the age of
65 triples, from approximately 600,000 today to more than two million in 2050.
By 2050, there will be almost as many residents over the age of 65 as there will
be under the age of 18.
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 30
Age Cohorts - Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX Metro Area
Moderate Growth Scenario
Age Cohort Forecast – Moderate Growth Scenario
The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metropolitan Statistical Area
Year
Under 18
18 - 24
25 - 44
45-64
65+
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
1,655,964
1,668,629
1,683,510
1,699,942
1,717,277
1,734,152
1,749,749
1,765,124
1,776,859
1,788,586
1,802,151
1,814,950
1,827,401
1,840,835
1,855,236
1,868,768
1,882,847
1,899,017
1,916,025
1,932,590
1,950,171
1,968,284
1,986,957
2,006,174
2,025,991
2,046,413
2,067,105
2,088,470
2,110,340
2,132,022
2,154,136
2,175,901
2,197,868
2,219,716
2,241,465
2,262,786
2,284,135
2,305,512
2,326,524
2,347,498
2,368,796
566,612
570,829
575,707
582,727
591,133
598,555
606,565
611,280
617,885
626,858
635,213
646,068
657,009
666,399
674,981
681,449
687,207
693,040
697,840
702,988
708,294
714,039
718,702
723,608
730,027
736,672
742,358
748,691
755,238
762,047
769,268
776,893
785,068
793,821
803,156
812,942
823,089
833,609
844,314
855,149
866,029
1,754,634
1,779,976
1,803,913
1,824,792
1,842,624
1,856,421
1,868,562
1,887,249
1,909,754
1,932,423
1,951,697
1,972,248
1,993,538
2,014,791
2,036,446
2,054,530
2,072,677
2,089,298
2,106,226
2,126,358
2,145,601
2,165,358
2,189,345
2,216,259
2,244,423
2,271,413
2,298,760
2,323,269
2,345,900
2,369,636
2,395,415
2,422,005
2,448,550
2,474,139
2,499,315
2,520,891
2,542,050
2,565,058
2,587,677
2,610,145
2,633,768
1,436,218
1,472,354
1,497,356
1,521,580
1,548,717
1,579,466
1,611,850
1,639,319
1,661,580
1,681,486
1,700,481
1,717,414
1,733,327
1,748,639
1,765,325
1,787,535
1,812,222
1,839,056
1,866,930
1,893,222
1,920,829
1,951,024
1,979,667
2,004,844
2,026,850
2,044,748
2,061,123
2,082,995
2,109,416
2,135,867
2,159,841
2,183,689
2,208,786
2,234,064
2,259,931
2,282,678
2,306,532
2,329,253
2,351,811
2,377,399
2,403,088
506,988
526,716
557,316
589,332
620,472
653,685
687,019
723,206
761,959
801,937
845,022
888,709
933,170
980,115
1,025,249
1,072,457
1,117,262
1,158,923
1,201,059
1,241,199
1,280,977
1,316,373
1,350,507
1,384,195
1,418,858
1,457,914
1,498,520
1,536,122
1,571,124
1,604,348
1,638,574
1,671,035
1,702,746
1,735,261
1,767,502
1,806,083
1,845,390
1,884,881
1,925,156
1,963,309
2,001,936
Source: Texas State Data Center
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 31
Age Cohorts - Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX Metro Area
Moderate Growth Scenario
Age Cohort Forecast – Moderate Growth Scenario
The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metropolitan Statistical Area
Year
Under 18
18 - 24
25 - 44
45-64
65+
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
28.0%
27.7%
27.5%
27.3%
27.2%
27.0%
26.8%
26.6%
26.4%
26.2%
26.0%
25.8%
25.6%
25.4%
25.2%
25.0%
24.9%
24.7%
24.6%
24.5%
24.4%
24.3%
24.2%
24.1%
24.0%
23.9%
23.8%
23.8%
23.7%
23.7%
23.6%
23.6%
23.5%
23.5%
23.4%
23.4%
23.3%
23.2%
23.2%
23.1%
23.1%
9.6%
9.5%
9.4%
9.4%
9.4%
9.3%
9.3%
9.2%
9.2%
9.2%
9.2%
9.2%
9.2%
9.2%
9.2%
9.1%
9.1%
9.0%
9.0%
8.9%
8.8%
8.8%
8.7%
8.7%
8.6%
8.6%
8.6%
8.5%
8.5%
8.5%
8.4%
8.4%
8.4%
8.4%
8.4%
8.4%
8.4%
8.4%
8.4%
8.4%
8.4%
29.6%
29.6%
29.5%
29.3%
29.2%
28.9%
28.6%
28.5%
28.4%
28.3%
28.1%
28.0%
27.9%
27.8%
27.7%
27.5%
27.4%
27.2%
27.0%
26.9%
26.8%
26.7%
26.6%
26.6%
26.6%
26.5%
26.5%
26.5%
26.4%
26.3%
26.3%
26.2%
26.2%
26.2%
26.1%
26.0%
25.9%
25.9%
25.8%
25.7%
25.6%
24.3%
24.5%
24.5%
24.5%
24.5%
24.6%
24.7%
24.7%
24.7%
24.6%
24.5%
24.4%
24.3%
24.1%
24.0%
23.9%
23.9%
23.9%
24.0%
24.0%
24.0%
24.0%
24.1%
24.1%
24.0%
23.9%
23.8%
23.7%
23.7%
23.7%
23.7%
23.7%
23.6%
23.6%
23.6%
23.6%
23.5%
23.5%
23.4%
23.4%
23.4%
8.6%
8.8%
9.1%
9.5%
9.8%
10.2%
10.5%
10.9%
11.3%
11.7%
12.2%
12.6%
13.1%
13.5%
13.9%
14.4%
14.8%
15.1%
15.4%
15.7%
16.0%
16.2%
16.4%
16.6%
16.8%
17.0%
17.3%
17.5%
17.7%
17.8%
18.0%
18.1%
18.2%
18.3%
18.5%
18.6%
18.8%
19.0%
19.2%
19.3%
19.5%
Source: Texas State Data Center
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 32
Employment - Eight-County Houston-Galveston Area Council Region
Over the next 25 years the region will add more than 1.4 million jobs.
Employment Forecast
Eight-County HGAC Planning Area
3,069,034
3,309,842
3,534,608
3,750,311
3,974,778
4,202,062
2,742,878
2010
2015
2020
Source: Houston-Galveston Area Council



2025
2030
2035
2040
The Houston-Galveston Area Council’s 2040 Regional Growth Forecast projects
employment growth in the eight-county region. (The counties in H-GAC’s forecast
are Brazoria, Chambers, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris, Liberty, Montgomery and
Waller.
From 2010 to 2040, Fort Bend County will add 156,000 jobs, a 105.3 percent
increase, and Montgomery County will add 105,000 jobs, a 75.1 percent. However,
the bulk of the employment opportunities will remain in Harris County, which will
add well over million jobs, a 46.3 percent increase, over the same period.
By 2040, 77.9 percent of all jobs in the region will be in Harris County, a marginal
change from the 81.5 percent now.
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 33
Employment - Eight-County Houston-Galveston Area Council Region
Year
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
Total
Brazoria
Cham
bers
Fort
Bend
Galvest
on
Harris
Liberty
Montgo
mery
Waller
2,742,878
2,796,061
2,886,960
2,959,096
3,018,309
3,069,034
3,118,051
3,165,251
3,213,652
3,262,279
3,309,842
3,355,784
3,400,880
3,446,175
3,490,864
3,534,608
3,577,588
3,621,228
3,664,037
3,707,375
3,750,311
3,794,362
3,838,724
3,882,592
3,928,880
3,974,778
4,019,374
4,065,256
4,110,609
4,156,246
4,202,062
84,422
84,584
87,556
88,316
90,203
91,185
91,296
91,448
91,782
92,142
93,170
93,504
93,633
93,902
94,269
94,737
95,327
95,476
96,442
100,541
105,723
109,451
114,080
119,200
121,145
122,830
125,198
128,439
130,223
133,104
138,622
12,403
12,703
13,123
13,440
13,695
13,889
14,064
14,255
14,448
14,644
14,832
15,014
15,189
15,367
15,538
15,708
15,870
16,023
16,175
16,333
16,490
16,651
16,803
16,960
17,123
17,291
17,447
17,612
17,774
17,928
18,083
148,418
153,252
164,049
169,542
174,672
177,346
181,522
184,148
188,897
194,091
196,686
202,517
207,727
216,021
222,089
228,882
234,703
242,415
247,838
250,189
256,398
261,664
266,849
270,924
278,427
280,798
286,717
293,096
298,069
303,047
304,730
95,512
96,612
97,709
99,822
100,654
100,754
100,949
101,741
103,220
104,026
105,284
106,054
106,567
107,112
107,755
108,741
110,136
111,448
112,768
114,308
115,595
117,398
123,026
129,663
135,194
142,924
153,403
164,836
175,603
180,910
185,737
2,236,757
2,281,481
2,345,715
2,404,908
2,448,312
2,490,493
2,526,706
2,561,659
2,598,195
2,636,686
2,674,525
2,712,265
2,749,976
2,782,372
2,816,484
2,849,363
2,882,426
2,914,969
2,948,812
2,982,468
3,009,839
3,040,464
3,067,459
3,094,226
3,120,124
3,150,199
3,174,031
3,196,766
3,221,520
3,245,251
3,271,394
14,286
14,242
14,296
14,337
14,362
14,376
14,468
14,482
14,792
14,871
14,875
14,887
14,898
14,905
14,912
14,923
14,932
15,413
15,421
15,950
16,070
16,073
16,270
16,392
16,400
16,534
16,731
16,845
17,132
17,808
18,475
139,807
141,861
153,151
156,440
164,056
168,210
174,772
181,463
185,769
188,644
193,276
194,340
195,689
199,285
202,607
205,036
206,969
208,261
209,130
209,983
212,604
214,760
215,977
216,965
221,706
225,165
226,607
228,189
230,522
237,966
244,800
11,273
11,326
11,361
12,291
12,355
12,781
14,274
16,055
16,549
17,175
17,194
17,203
17,201
17,211
17,210
17,218
17,225
17,223
17,451
17,603
17,592
17,901
18,260
18,262
18,761
19,037
19,240
19,473
19,766
20,232
20,221
Source: Houston-Galveston Area Council’s Regional Growth Forecast
Greater Houston Partnership Research
Page 34