“The social and cultural dimensions of sustainable development, mitigation and scenarios: Grasping the opportunities for human development.” "Sustainable Futures in a Changing Climate" Future Infinite Academic Conference Thursday 12th June 2014, Helsinki, Finland. Dr. Tadhg O´Mahony PhD BSc Dip1 Prof. Dr. Javier Dufour PhD BSc1,2 1Systems Analysis Unit IMDEA Energy, Móstoles, Spain. of Chemical and Energy Technology, Rey Juan Carlos University, Móstoles, Spain. 2Department Family in the village of Shingkhey, Bhutan, shown outside their rammed earth house with all their possessions. Photographed for the Material World: A Global Family Portrait project. Copyright Peter Menzel. Contents • • • • • • • Background: The driving forces of emissions Human Development and Sustainable Development Social and cultural dimensions Human needs and consumption Wellbeing and sustainable consumption Transformation frameworks in research and policy Concluding remarks Background: The driving forces of emissions “Problems cannot be solved with the same mind-set that created them.” ― Albert Einstein. • Commonly applied Kaya framework: CO2 = Population X (GDP/ Population) X (Energy/ GDP) X CO2/ Energy • Global environmental scenarios drove evolution in methods and discourse • Advancement of understanding of driving forces from SRES, GEO and MEA • Quantitative representation discussed through holistic approach • Problems with models documented • Particularly inclusion of social, cultural, political and institutional drivers Background: The driving forces of emissions • IPCC national development paths, a more wide conception • Underlying development path dictates emissions, not just mitigation policy • MEA defines culture, power and values as the conditioning framework…the ´ultimate drivers´ of environmental impacts • Conceptually erroneous to consider mitigation with remove from social, cultural and governance drivers Human Development and Sustainable Development • Separate but complimentary approaches to development thinking • Human Development concept of human wellbeing, moved away from economic growth, enhanced income, technological progress (UNDP, 1990) • Tension between sustainability and development gives way to integration of three pillars • Mutually reinforcing development goals of Human Development and Sustainable Development • Sen (2000) defines ´integrated sustainable human development´; “…development that promotes the capabilities of present people without compromising the capabilities of future generations.” Social and cultural dimensions • Stabilising climate +2C means transformative change • Framed as low carbon transition scenarios, radical technological change • IPCC TAR through to AR 5 flag the importance of lifestyles • Large differences in energy per capita across nations attributable to lifestyles, traditions and cultures (OECD/ IEA, 1997; Blanco et al., 2014) • Continued analytical and policy focus on consumption and technology and not underlying social and cultural drivers is end-of-pipe • Integrated qualitative/ quantitative scenarios offer approach to include social, cultural and political • By planning interrelated policies using scenarios, preconditions for integrating and mainstreaming can be provided Human needs and consumption • • • • • • • • • SRES placed emphasis on Maslow´s hierarchy of needs Neoclassical economics, wellbeing is search for better ways to satisfy utility through consumption Consumption can perform various functions; creating meaning, convenience, habit and response to context Modern economics wary of needs due to ´politicised´ critiques (Marx, 1859) Accusations needs based arguments are unnecessary, naïve and moralistic View has been exposed from numerous angles The “insatiability of desire” (Maslow, 1968) false and unnatural needs in consumerist society (Fromm, 1976), consumer way of life “deeply flawed both ecologically and psychologically” (Wachtel, 1983) High material consumption ≠ improved wellbeing High material consumption = increased environmental pressure and emissions Human needs and consumption • Multiple independent lines of evidence support assertion that consumer way-of-life not delivering satisfactory outcomes • ´Life-satisfaction paradox´ (Donovan, 2002), happiness declines despite considerably increased income (Myers and Diener (1996), materialism entails cost for well-being (Kasser, 2002) • 40 years of GDP growth coincides with declines in indicators of progress (Kubiszewski, 2013) • Consumers locked in to unsustainable consumption (Sanne, 2002) • Hardins ´Tragedy of the Commons´ (Hardin, 1968) becomes the ´Tragedy of consumption´ Human needs and consumption • Maslow (1958) defined universal human needs 1. Material needs (subsistence, security and protection) 2. Social needs (status, self-esteem and belongingness) 3. Growth needs (truth, understanding, aesthetics, justice and meaning) • Consumption cannot meet all dimensions of well-being • Can directly hinder well-being • Focus on well-being and needs remains arrested by an erroneous focus on consumption Wellbeing and sustainable consumption • Weber de Morais and Schluter (2009) categorise studies 1. Ecological modernisation (concepts of efficiency) 2. Social psychological approaches (persuasion to change attitudes and behaviours) 3. Systems of provision (attempting fundamental change of the social structures influencing consumption) • First two have been the subject of government intervention • Third is optimum but receives little policy attention • Recognising lock-in (Unruh, 2000; Sanne, 2002) • Imperative policy and research communities urgently recognise paradox of increased consumption and reduced wellbeing • But also opportunity for reduced consumption and emissions and enhanced well-being Wellbeing and sustainable consumption • An evolution by social and cultural transformation required for national development paths underlying low carbon transition to move towards sutainability • SEPA (2012) the “third way,” Weber de Morais and Schluter (2009) the “double dividend” • Focussing on human welfare and change that is beneficial to quality of life while reducing emissions at source • Core is HD, where pursuit of sustainability is implicit and consumption is a means not an end Transformation frameworks in research and policy • Sensitivies and dilemmas exist • Necessity to achieve goal endorsed by IPCC AR5 with role of government indicated • Individualist-consumerist cultural identity is “peculiar” as per IPCC TAR (Toth et al., 2001) • Recognising social and environmental damage of consumption, it is peculiar that it persists • It is naïve to assume that it can or will continue in perpetuity • Why does it persist? • Inherent focus on consumption as the means to wellbeing and development • Insufficient research and lack of policy engagement • Insufficient integration of social science and psychology approaches Transformation frameworks in research and policy • General perception, reducing emissions involves reduction in quality of life (SEPA, 2012) • Contrary to evidence • Implementing transformation requires further research on actions • Recognising failure to intervene implicitly validates the continuation of a detrimental cycle • Transdisciplinary scope, dearth of research, potential to advance mitigation and enhance well-being • Ripe for a new research programme Concluding remarks • Addressing causes not symptoms, prevention not cure • Must remember social and cultural origins of energy consumption • Locking in high emissions development path • Mitigation more difficult and more costly • Significant for both developed and developing countries • A ´third way´ approach involving ´integrated sustainable human development´ can shift focus to human well-being and away from consumption with ´double dividend´ • Continued focus on consumer and consumption in both analysis and policy is peculiar considering intricacies of HD and consequences for wellbeing and emissions Concluding remarks • Enhancing wellbeing while reducing emissions requires urgent focus in both research and policy…an opportunity! • Scenarios useful for integrating and mainstreaming • Policy intervention required, requires further research • This issue is paramount as human development… Copyright NASA Langley Research Centre 2010 Human development is as inseperable from our task as the human thumbprint on the climate itself. Thank you Questions and comments welcome Dr. Tadhg O´Mahony PhD BSc Dip Marie Curie AMAROUT-II Postdoctoral Fellow Unidad de análisis de sistemas Instituto IMDEA Energía Avda. Ramón de la Sagra, 3 Parque Tecnológico de Móstoles E-28935 Móstoles Madrid Spain E-mail: tadhg.omahony@imdea.org Tel: (+34) 91 737 11 53 Fax: (+34) 91 737 11 40 Tadhg O´ Mahony post-doctoral fellow at IMDEA Energy Institute would like to thank the Marie Curie Actions AMAROUT-II (PEOPLECOFUND).