Profiting in the Info-Coms Industry in the Age of Broadband: Lessons and New Considerations Jackie Krafft CNRS, France Background « Profiting from innovation », Teece (86) Academic debate on whether it applies or not in a global, digitally interconnected economy often labelled today as ‘the age of broadband’ Teece argued that success in organizational strategies (contract versus integration) depends to a great extent on - whether strategies are initiated by innovators or imitators - how strategies are articulated within a) regimes of appropriability, b) dominant design issues, c) complementary assets access Innovators and imitators advantageously positionned / independent owners of complementary assets Innovators and imitators disadvantageously positionned / independent owners of complementary assets Weak legal/technical appropriability Innovators excellently positionned versus imitators with respect to commissioning complementary assets Innovators poorly positionned versus imitators with respect to commissioning complementary assets (1) Contract (2) Contract (3) Contract Innovator will win Innovator should win Innovator or imitator will win; assets owners won’t benefit (4) Contract if can do so on competitive terms, Integrate if necessary Innovator should win; may have to share profits with assets holders (5) Integrate (6) Contract (to limit exposure) Innovators would win Innovator will probably lose to imitators and/or assets holders DEGREE OF INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY PROTECTION MARKET POWER OF INNOVATORS/IMITATORS VERSUS OWNERS OF COMPLEMENTARY ASSETS Strong legal/technical appropriability Objectives of the paper Analyse the robustness of Teece (86) in its ability to provide a framework appropriate to the organizational changes that have occurred in the broadband industry Focus on 2 stylized facts of the ‘age of broadband’: - SF1: « R&D and patent licensing are increasingly high in the industry, but the initiators of innovations have greatly changed over time » => From integration to contract, in a context of technological and institutional change (full liberalisation) - SF2: « Small, facilities-less companies emerged during the development of the Internet industry, but have generally performed badly as the industry has matured and broadband use has become widespread » => From contract to integration, in a context of technological change (from narrowband to broadband) Objectives of today’s presentation Analyse who profits in the broadband industry and how, in a context of full liberalization Center on SF1, where key actors are the equipment suppliers (ES) and network operators (NO) Revisit Teece’s conclusions: - confirm that the dynamics of complementary assets are crucial to analyse how firms perform in the broadband industry along the different stages of its development life cycle - complement on the identification of the sources of technology provision in a context of institutional change - show that, even in a tight appropriability regime, the entry of firms with no complementary assets or core capabilities in related (upstream/downstream) activities may be stimulated, but may also penalize the early innovators Innovators and imitators advantageously positionned / independent owners of complementary assets Innovators and imitators disadvantageously positionned / independent owners of complementary assets Weak legal/technical appropriability Innovators excellently positionned versus imitators with respect to commissioning complementary assets Innovators poorly positionned versus imitators with respect to commissioning complementary assets (1) Contract (2) Contract (3) Contract Innovator will win Innovator should win Innovator or imitator will win; assets owners won’t benefit (4) Contract if can do so on competitive terms, Integrate if necessary Innovator should win; may have to share profits with assets holders (5) Integrate (6) Contract (to limit exposure) Innovators would win Innovator will probably lose to imitators and/or assets holders DEGREE OF INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY PROTECTION MARKET POWER OF INNOVATORS:IMITATORS VERSUS OWNERS OF COMPLEMENTARY ASSETS Strong legal/technical appropriability Outline Decompose the broadband industry in terms of activities and assets Relate this decomposition to Teece’s framework Show that liberalisation in telecoms has: - favoured a change in the sources of technology provision, from NO (downstream) to ES (upstream) - had a positive impact on the entry of new firms (both upstream and downstream) - had attracted firms that did not possess the core assets or capabilities to penetrate the industry and that, in other circumstances, should have been prevented from entering or would have exited soon after entry - had indirect effect that early innovators do not necessarily profit from innovation, do not necessarily win against imitators Relate these conclusions to Teece’s framework on the issue of liberalizing an innovative industry Decomposition of the broadband industry: Firms, Activities, and Assets (in the sense of Teece) Firms Activities Assets (in Teece’ sense) Equipment suppliers Incumbents and Entrants Equipment provision Conception, development, R&D on broadband products and services Network operators Incumbents and Entrants Network operation Production/commerciali zation of network facilities Integration before full liberalization… Firms: Equipment suppliers Activity: Equipment provision Asset: R&D Firms: Network operators Activity: Network operation Asset: Production/commercialization of network facilities Specialization after full liberalization… Firms: Equipment suppliers Activity: Equipment provision Asset: R&D Firms: Network operators Activity: Network operation Asset: Production/commercialization of network facilities SF1: « R&D and patent licensing are increasingly high in this industry, but the initiators of innovations have changed greatly over time How R&D and production assets can be combined to generate profitable (or less profitable) outcomes For a long time, these assets were integrated within a single category of firms, the NO, which had accumulated: - R&D capabilities in basic electrical instruments (cables, semiconductors, aerials), - manufacturing capabilities related to the production of electronic communication techniques (transmission, multipoint communication, digital information) With liberalization, R&D assets and related capabilities were progressively disintegrated by NO to upstream suppliers, the ES, the NO retaining only the production assets Changes emerging with full liberalization With full liberalization, a massive shifting in the knowledge base [know-how in Teece’s terms], from NO to ES occurred, in relation to both the sources and nature of innovation: - Change in the source of innovation: NO were progressively delegating R&D activity to ES, and ES were proving not only to be efficient subcontractors but also active innovators - Change in the nature of innovation: incumbent ES were having to compete with entrant ES which had their origins in the software and data processing industries and whose R&D capabilities could easily and quickly be extended to the conception and development of Internet and broadband technologies R&D and Patents Firms R&D before liberalization R&D after liberalization ES 5% of annual sales 15% of annual sales NO 15% of annual sales Note: Entrant ES invest Incumbent ES invest Entrant NO invest ~ ~ 5% of annual sales 20% 10% 0 R&D and Patents Evolution of the number of patents by firm on average (Technology Class H04 L: transmission digital information, source: EPO) 400 350 Entrant ES 300 250 Incumbent ES 200 150 NO 100 50 0 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 - ES patent much more than NO whose patent rates stagnates till the 1980s - A decoupling occurred among ES, entrants becoming the leaders of innovation (the innovators), while incumbents lag behind (the imitators) Connection with Teece (86) Since full liberalization: Each and every innovation can be adequately covered by a patent, and firms (especially the ES) increasingly rely on legal appropriability regimes to protect their innovation. => Strong legal appropriability regime, in Teece’s sense Innovators and imitators (resp. entrant and incumbent ES) are advantageously positioned vis à vis independent owners of complementary assets (NO) - ES have invested heavily in R&D (on average at three times the level of NO) and thus appear to be the leading companies in the industry - The capacity of NO to provide end-users with advanced services on the basis of high capacity and intelligent networks depends on the technological know how of ES =>ES are exerting, in Teece’s sense, an important market power over the owners of complementary assets (NO) Strong legal/technical appropriability Innovators and imitators: Entrant ES Incumbent ES Owners of complementary assets: NO Innovators and imitators advantageously positionned / independent owners of complementary assets (1) Contract Innovator will win Specialized assets involved: R&D and production DEGREE OF INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY PROTECTION MARKET POWER OF INNOVATORS:IMITATORS VERSUS OWNERS OF COMPLEMENTARY ASSETS Teece predicts: (1) specialization between ES and NO, and (2) entrant ES (the innovators) would win « Expected » impact of SF1 (in reference to Teece): emergence of distinct complementary assets, vertical specialization and entry Distinct assets progressively emerged among ES and NO, based on complementary capabilities - Liberalization in communications infrastructure and services triggered important restructurings in the major R&D labs. Most were historically related to incumbent NO (the ex-monopolies), and the emergence of competition affected them in two essential ways: companies began to outsource, and the labs had to be significantly downsized - This phase of the restructuring left some room for upstream actors, the ES, to operate as the main generators of technology, while downstream actors, the NO, began to specialize in mass manufacture of infrastructure and related services Within this vertical specialization phase: - entrant ES were able to emerge and perform extremely well up to the early 2000s - competition at the level of NO was fostered. New NO could enter the industry and remain viable in the face of large, incumbent companies, since they could rely on ES to access the complementary assets (R&D, patents, innovations, technologies) and related capabilities that they were unable to develop by themselves « Unexpected » impact of SF1 (in reference to Teece): a massive process of M&As affected the early innovators New quantitative and qualitative challenges to ES involved large innovation R&D investments, and a re-orientation of the initial know-how towards the development of new capabilities. Various business strategies were introduced by incumbent and entrant ES to match these innovation and development efforts - Bilateral collaborations between major incumbent and entrant ES (1995-1998), to favour the creation and diffusion of new technologies, to facilitate the exchange of knowledge and develop new articulated competencies, and to render quantitative and qualitative coordination in R&D assets and related capabilities possible - M&As (1998-). Entrant ES (the innovators) were massively taken over by incumbent ES (the imitators), since M&As appeared as a way of acquiring new knowledge and capabilities more rapidly than through inter-firm cooperation However, in the year following these M&As most of the companies suffered major losses in revenue and decreasing share prices Conclusion We confirm that Teece (86) was right in maintaining that in a strong legal appropriability regime, and with innovators and imitators advantageously positioned vis à vis independent owners of complementary assets, innovators should win But we argue that, given important changes in the source and nature of innovation in a context of liberalization, innovators (the entrant ES from the data processing and software industry) can be acquired by imitators (the incumbent ES) … this tends to suggest that liberalizing an innovative industry is an intricate issue, with expected, as well as unexpected outcomes, including the recomposition of an oligopoly composed of incumbents