1 REVIEW OF POLICY MEASURES TO STIMULATE PRIVATE DEMAND FOR INNOVATION. CONCEPTS AND EFFECTS BY JAKOB EDLER MANCHESTER INSTITUTE OF INNOVATION RESEARCH Economics of Innovation IV – Special Topics Dajana Davidovic 2 Structure 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Definition The importance of demand for innovation – theoretical concepts The importance of demand for innovation Empirical evidence The policy rationale for demand – based policy Typology of demand – side instruments Summary of findings Discussion and conclusions Possible further discussion points 3 Demand side Innovation Policy - Definition All public action to induce innovation and/or speed up the diffusion of innovation through – – – increasing the demand for innovation (i.e. the willingness and ability to buy and use an innovation) and/or defining new functional requirements for products and services and/or improving user involvement in innovation production (user-driven innovation) 4 The importance of demand for innovation – Theoretical concepts Ongoing theoretical debate about the meaning of demand for innovation (Knell (2012) for an historical overview of economic thought) Adam Smith (1776): growth in market demand promotes further specialization of tasks fosters productivity. Marshall (1890): demand is crucial for innovation 1960s and 1980s: leading innovation scholars conducted analyses about the meaning of demand for innovation: Demand directs resources and capabilities for innovation in a certain direction to meet societal or market needs (Schmookler 1966; Rosenberg 1969) 5 Empirical Evidence • • Through surveys and company studies Demand pull factors are regarded as more important for the innovation process and success than supply factors (Allman et al. 2011, Innobarometer 2009) 6 Empirical Evidence Source: Innobarometer 2009, p.64 7 Empirical Evidence • • Survey on Eco innovation on the main drivers for innovation (Horbach et al 2012, Newell 2010): customer demand more important than R&D subsidies, growing demand is the most importance incentive for innovation (direct profit, feedback and learning effects) EU Comission Firm Survey (2009): uncertain demand for innovation as most important barrier to investment into eco-innovation 8 Demand as main obstacle of European firms for innovation Source: Flash Eurobarometer 315, p. 27 9 Demand as main obstacle of European firms for innovation Source: Flash Eurobarometer 315, p. 31 10 The policy rationale for demand – based policy Market and system failures Adoption externalities : High switching / entry costs and learning Technological lock in and path dependency Information asymmetries and poor user – producer interaction Lower the entry costs providing infrastructures, complementary technologies and shared expectations information campaigns, awareness measures, labelling, support of standardisation. 11 The policy rationale for demand – based policy Demand for innovation as a trigger of economic growth support the economy on the supply-side improving local market conditions attractiveness of markets for investment and thus for growth is being increased (lead markets) 12 The policy rationale for demand – based policy Societal goods / Market transformation Under investment into societal need (e.g. low time preference) meeting a specific societal policy needs and goals / challenge (“Grand Challenge”) 13 General Typology of demand based measures 1. Public demand : state buys for own use and/or to catalyse private market (Uyarra, 2013) 2. Support for private demand 14 General Typology of demand based measures 1. Public demand : state buys for own use and/or to catalyse private market (Uyarra, 2013) 2. Support for private demand 15 2. Support for private demand Direct support for private demand Demand subsidies Tax incentives 16 2. Support for private demand Indirect support for private demand: information and enabling (soft steering): State mobilises, informs, connects Awareness building measures Labels Training and further education Articulation and foresight User – producer interaction 17 Summary of the findings 1) Very mixed evidence of price-based support measures, wrong indicator (patents) is used. Weak signs that pricebased incentives promote incremental innovations. 2) Labelling and information campaigns... ... Increase awareness and security of the use for an innovation ... Provide transparency through labelling However, limited evidence for the innovation and diffusion effects. Built on pre-existing standards (state of the art, status quo) and do not reward further (radical) innovation. Risk of technological lock-in. 18 Summary of the findings 4) Eco-innovation: positive impact of demand subsidies and taxes on the uptake in the early stages of the diffusion cycle (but not significant). Other factors are more important. 5) Success of demand-based policies depends on concrete regulatory and market context, phase of the innovation, industry type, technology, ... “different instruments have different effects on different technologies” 6) Best innovation results out of a coherent mix of supply and demand measures 7) Innovation spillover effects to foreign markets international (EU-wide) coordination required 19 Conclusion and Discussion Focus on demand-side policies is too one-dimensional, as technologies require a certain institutional, social cultural setting. Ex-ante analysis and evaluation should be targeted towards both demand and supply. Very mixed empirical results and differences between the industries, time, countries , ... no “one size fits all” policy instruments Empirical evidence of price-based measures applied and analysed mainly from the area of energy and environmental policy Risk of premature technological lock in and supporting second rate technology Right level and timing of the incentive is crucial 20 Possible further discussion points What could be seen critical in the approach of focusing on policies stimulating the demand for innovation? Using patents as an indicator for innovation activity 21 Literature Gallup (2011): Flash Eurobarometer 315 Attitudes of European entrepreneurs towards eco-innovation, Survey conducted by The Gallup Organization, Hungary upon the request of Directorate-General Environment of the European Commission. Horbach et al. (2012): Determinants of eco-innovations by type of environmental impact- The role of regulatory push/pull, technology push and market pull, Ecological Economics, (78): 112–122. Innobarometer (2009): Strategic Trends in Innovation 2006-2008, Flash EB #267, European Commission. Knell, M. (2012): Demand driven innovation in Economic Thought. In UNDERPINN conference materials: Demand, Innovation and Policy, Manchester Institute of Innovation Research, MBS, University of Manchester. Newell, R.G. (2010): The role of markets and policies in delivering innovation for climate change mitigation. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 26 (2): 253-269. Rosenberg, N. (1969): The direction of technological change: inducement mechanisms and focusing devices. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 18 (1): 1-24. Schmookler, J. (1966): Invention and Economic Growth. Harvard University Press: Boston. Uyarra, E. (2013): Review of measures in support of public procurement of innovation. MIoIR NESTA: Manchester/London.