Grade 12 World Issues - Unit 3 Lesson 4 Challenge to Diversity – Economics Lorenz Curve The Lorenz curve was developed by Max O. Lorenz in 1905 as a graphical representation of income distribution. The Lorenz curve portrays observed income distributions and compares this to a state of perfect income equality. It can also be used to measure distribution of assets. Some doctrines (e.g. Socialism) consider it to be a graphical representation of social inequality as well as income inequality. The Lorenz curve is a graph that shows the percentage of households plotted on the x-axis and income percentage on the y-axis. In a perfectly equal income distribution, every person has the same income. For the Lorenz curve, the bottom N% of society would always have N% of the income, and a perfectly equal distribution would be a straight line y = x. In a perfectly unequal distribution, one person has all the income and everyone else has none. The curve would y = 0 for all x < 100 and y = 100 when x = 100. Lorenz Curve…2 The logic for a perfectly equal income (i.e., equal distribution) is 10% of the population would have 10% of the income, 20% or the population would have 20% of the income, and so on. Thus, the Lorenz curve in perfectly equal income is a straight line. It is more common for incomes to be distributed unevenly through a population. The more the line curves to the right (see Figure above), the more unequal income distribution becomes. Note: The Lorenz curve cannot rise above the line of perfect equality. Offer one reason for this statement. Graph the data in Table 1 and Table 2 to build a Lorenz curve for each dataset. You should plot the data on one graph for comparative purposes. Table 1. Distribution of Wealth in Canada (1998) Percentage of Percentage Households of Income 20 5.7 40 11.8 60 17.7 80 24.6 100 40.2 Table 2. Distribution of Wealth in the World (1994) Percentage of Percentage Households of Income 20 1.4 40 1.9 60 2.3 80 11.7 100 82.7 Lorenz Curve…3 The following steps can be used to plot a Lorenz curve for world income distribution (Table 2). 1. Start at the lowest point by plotting the intersect of 1.4% of the income and 20% of the population. 2. Calculate the accumulated percentage of income gained by the lowestearning 40% of the population. 1.4% + 1.9% = 3.3% 3. Plot the intersect of 3.3% of the income and 40% of the population. 4. Calculate the accumulated percentage of income gained by the lowestearning 60% of the population. 1.4% + 1.9% + 2.3% = 5.6% 5. Plot the intersect of 5.6% of the income and 60% of the population. 6. Calculate the accumulated percentage of income gained by the lowestearning 80% of the population. 1.4% + 1.9% + 2.3% + 11.7% 7. Plot that intersect for 80% of the population. 8. Draw a smooth curve through the plotted points. You begin at (0,0) and end at (100,100) since 0% of the population earns nothing and 100% of the population earns 100% of the total income. Contrast your two Lorenz curves. Provide two statements about the differences you observe. What do the different curves suggest about income distribution within Canada versus income distribution throughout the world? Lorenz Curve…4 We can learn more about world wealth. That is, how is income distribution changing? Let us examine income distribution versus Gross Domestic Product (GDP). We will consider the world in the following groupings: Africa Asia (including China) Eastern Europe Latin America and the Caribbean Western Europe, North America and Oceania. We will also consider time. Plot the datasets in Table 3 as a Lorenz curve. Note: The amounts are cumulative percentages. In other words, graph the data as provided. Table 3. Distribution of World Population by Income Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative Percentage of Percentage of Percentage of World World Income World Income Population 1988 1993 0 0 0 10 0.9 0.8 20 2.3 2.0 50 9.6 8.5 75 25.9 22.3 85 41.0 37.1 90 53.1 49.2 95 69.8 66.3 99 91.7 91.5 100 100.0 100.0 NOTE: The increases in the Cumulative Percentage of the World Population data in Table 3 are NOT equal. This data column is your x-axis. Your graph should have equal increases (e.g., 0..10..20..30..40..50..) since the differences in the increases is the same. That is, an increase from 10 to 20 has the same impact as an increase from 50 to 60. When you plot the data, you need to be careful and accurate. The data does NOT go 0..10..20..30..40 It goes 0..10..20..50..75… Lorenz Curve…5 Table 4. Real per capita Income by Percentage Income Distribution for the World in 1988 and 1993 Percentage Income in Income in of Income 1988 1993 Distribution 5 277.4 238.1 10 348.3 318.1 15 417.5 372.9 20 486.1 432.1 25 558.3 495.8 30 633.2 586.0 35 714.5 657.7 40 802.7 741.9 45 908.3 883.2 50 1 047.5 1 044.1 55 1 314.4 1 164.9 60 1 522.7 1 505.0 65 1 898.9 1 856.8 70 2 698.5 2 326.8 75 3 597.0 3 005.6 80 4 370.0 4 508.1 85 5 998.9 6 563.3 90 8 044.0 9 109.8 95 11 518.4 13 240.7 99 20 773.2 24 447.1 Questions 1. From Table 4, describe the difference in Real Incomes of the World’s richest and poorest people. What changes do you observe between 1988 and 1993? 2. Describe the distribution of world incomes using your Lorenz curve and Table 3. 3. How has the distribution of world income changed between 1988 and 1993? Provide one observation. Lorenz Curve…6 4. What do you think should be done about the distribution of incomes? Provide three ideas. 5. In your opinion, should economists tell politicians what to do? In summary… A Lorenz curve is one way of illustrating with a graph the distribution of a population’s income. If income was distributed evenly, everyone earns the same income. Using a hypothetical Country A where everyone earns $10 000 per year. Income is evenly distributed. On a Lorenz curve, we graph both income (y-axis) and population (x-axis) as percentages. Thus, the upper limits on each axis must be 100. At these limits, 100% of the population earns 100% of the income. Likewise, zero percent earns zero income. If income is equally distributed, 10% of the population must earn 10% of the income, 20% of the population earns 20% of the income, and so on. This straight-line relationship does not exist for most countries. Typically, a small group of rich earn a greater share of the total income. On a Lorenz curve, the closer the actual income distribution approaches the theoretical straight-line relationship, the more even or equal the distribution of income among all members of the population. I get it… Draw and label a Lorenz curve using the following information. Income is unequally distributed in Country B. Here, 80% of the people are very poor and only earn 10% of the income. The remaining 20% of the population earn 90% of the income. Lorenz Curve…Answers for Page 2 The logic for a perfectly equal income (i.e., equal distribution) is 10% of the population would have 10% of the income, 20% or the population would have 20% of the income, and so on. Thus, the Lorenz curve in perfectly equal income is a straight line. It is more common for incomes to be distributed unevenly through a population. The more the line curves to the right (see Figure above), the more unequal income distribution becomes. Note: The Lorenz curve cannot rise above the line of perfect equality. Offer one reason for this statement. We are measuring percentages. Thus, the number cannot be negative (e.g., 20% of the population cannot have -10% of the income. There cannot be negative income. You can zero or some income. You cannot have less than zero income; less than zero income is impossible). For practice, graph the data in Table A and Table B to build a Lorenz curve. Table A. Distribution of Wealth in Canada (1998) Percentage of Percentage Households of Income 20 5.7 40 11.8 60 17.7 80 24.6 100 40.2 Table B. Distribution of Wealth in the World (1994) Percentage of Percentage Households of Income 20 1.4 40 1.9 60 2.3 80 11.7 100 82.7 Grade 12 Geography – Canada and World Issues Unit 3 – Challenge to Diversity – Economics Lorenz Curve The Lorenz Curve is a graph showing the proportion of the distribution assumed by the bottom percent of the values. It is most often used to represent income distribution. In this case, it shows for the bottom x% of households, the percentage (y%) those households possess of the total income. The percentage of households is plotted on the x-axis and the percentage of income on the y-axis. It can also be used to show distribution of assets. Some political doctrines (e.g. socialism) consider it to represent social inequality. Every point on the Lorenz Curve represents a statement like "the bottom 20% of all households have 10% of the total income". A perfectly equal income distribution would be one in which every person has the same income. This would be a straight line (y = x), and it would be called the Line of Perfect Equality (or the 45° Line). By contrast, a perfectly unequal distribution would be one in which one person has all the income and everyone else has none. In that case, the curve would be at y = 0 for all x < 100, and y = 100 when x Lorenz Curve…2 = 100. This curve is called the Line of Perfect Inequality. Since the curve uses percentages and must always rise to 100% but not exceed 100%, it is impossible for the Lorenz Curve to rise above the Line of Perfect Equality or sink below the Line of Perfect Inequality NOTE: Economic inequality has always existed. A country's economic structure (e.g., capitalism, socialism), war, and individuals abilities to create wealth all create economic inequality. The Gini Coefficient is the measure of distribution inequality. Roughly, it is the ratio of the area between the Lorenz Curve and the Line of Perfect Equality. The Gini Coefficient is a number between 0 and 1, where 0 corresponds to perfect equality (i.e., everyone has the same income) and 1 corresponds to perfect inequality (i.e., one person has all the income, and everyone else has zero income).