P2JW022000-0-A00900-1--------XA CMYK Composite CL,CN,CX,DL,DM,DX,EE,EU,FL,HO,KC,MW,NC,NE,NY,PH,PN,RM,SA,SC,SL,SW,TU,WB,WE BG,BM,BP,CC,CH,CK,CP,CT,DN,DR,FW,HL,HW,KS,LA,LG,LK,MI,ML,NM,PA,PI,PV,TD,TS,UT,WO THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Thursday, January 22, 2015 | A9 OPINION that ambivalence. But what is just not possible to choke down is President Obama’s decision in 2011 to reduce the U.S.’s residual military presence to virtually zero. It was a decision to waste what the Marines and Army had done. Announcing the decision at the White House on Oct. 21, Mr. Obama said, “After taking office, I announced a new strategy that would end our combat mission in Iraq and remove all of our troops by the end of 2011.” (Emphasis added.) Military analysts at the time, in government and on the outside, warned Mr. Obama that a zero U.S. presence could put the war’s gains and achievements at risk. He did it anyway and ever since Mr. Obama has repeatedly bragged about this decision in public speeches, notably to the graduating cadets of West Point last May. In January, months before that West Point speech, the terrorist army of Islamic State, or ISIS, seized back control of both Fallujah and Ramadi in Anbar prov- ince. The month after the West Point speech, the city of Mosul and its population of one million fell to Islamic State, and here we are with the barbarians on the loose there, in Yemen, in Nigeria and in France. Watching “American Sniper,” it is impossible to separate these catastrophes from seeing what the Marines did and endured to secure northern Iraq. Again, anyone is entitled to hate the Iraq war. But no serious person would want a president to make a decision that would allow so much personal sacrifice to simply evaporate. Which, in his serene selfconfidence, is what Barack Obama did. That absolute drawdown was a decision of fantastic foolishness. In the one spontaneous moment of Tuesday evening’s speech, Mr. Obama cracked back at some chiding Republicans that he’d won two elections. And he’s right. The first election was a remarkable, historic event for the United States. His second election was a historic electoral mistake, leaving the country and the world to be led by a president who is living on his own fantasy island. He said in the State of the Union that we are leading “a broad coalition” against ISIS. We are? What coalition? Mainly it’s the Iraqi army and Kurds battling for survival alongside U.S air support. The president said we are “supporting a moderate opposition in Syria.” But twice in 2014 Mr. Obama derided the Syrian moderates as dentists, pharmacists and teachers. U.S. support for the moderates is de minimis. On Ukraine, Mr. Obama said, “We’re upholding the principle that bigger nations can’t bully the small.” But bullying is exactly what Russia’s Vladimir Putin is doing to Ukraine because Mr. Obama refuses to give its army even basic defensive weapons. Then there’s the grandest foreign-policy self-delusion of the Obama presidency—the neverending nuclear arms deal with Iran. Mr. Obama said we’ve “halted the progress of its nuclear program.” Slowed perhaps but no one thinks we’ve “halted” Iran’s multifacility nuclear-weapon and ballistic-missile project. Only in the Obama fantasy is it halted. Sen. Robert Menendez, the New Jersey foreign-policy Democrat, who sat bolted to his seat during the speech, said the next day that the administration’s talking points on Iran now sound “straight out of Tehran.” i i i There is a lot of American flag in “American Sniper.” When Chris Kyle’s 2013 funeral procession drives down I-35 in Waco, people with American flags line the streets and overpasses. Until the American people vote for a new president in 2016, what all of that represents will remain a world away from Washington. Write to henninger@wsj.com What Was Obama Thinking? P resident Obama’s State of the Union address on Tuesday evening was oddly disconnected. It was disconnected from events abroad. He said that “the shadow of crisis has passed.” Earlier that day Iranian-backed rebels stormed the compound of the president of Yemen, an American ally. Islamic State, which Mr. Obama referred to a year ago as the “jayvee team,” now controls large parts of Syria and Iraq— leading the president to ask for congressional authorization to use force against it. Iran’s nuclear ambitions remain undimmed. Mr. Obama spoke about Russia but failed to mention its annexation of Crimea. He did not mention al Qaeda or Islamic extremism, despite an al Qaeda affiliate claiming responsibility for the Paris massacre. Mr. Obama’s speech was disconnected from economic reality. The recovery he touted is the weakest in U.S. history and the only one in which median household income dropped. While two million more Americans are on payrolls today than in December 2007 when the recession began, there are 14 million more people not in the workforce as the nation’s population grew faster than the pool of available jobs. There are two million more peo- By Barton Swaim Delivering the State of the Union address, Jan. 20. ple working part-time because they can’t find full-time jobs. Mr. Obama’s speech was also disconnected from his record. In 2009 he projected unemployment would reach 5% in December 2013 if his stimulus bill was passed. Yet after spending more than $1 trillion on a variety of stimulus measures, unemployment was Perhaps he wants to bait Republicans into debating his agenda, with less time for theirs. 5.6% last month—and would be 8.3% were it not for the millions who dropped out of the labor force. Mr. Obama touted rising U.S. oil production that’s led to lower gasoline prices—but this was brought about by drilling on private and state lands. Mr. Obama has reduced drilling on federal land or in federal waters. His lecture to Congress about civility and bipartisanship would have been convincing had he not governed in an unusually ruthless, hyperpartisan way for six years. On CBS’s “Face The Nation” last Sunday, White House senior adviser Dan Pfeiffer said the administration would “double down on our efforts to deal with wage stagnation and declining economic mobility.” The president has been in office for six years and none of his efforts have made either problem better. A record number of Americans are in poverty and 15% more people receive food stamps today than when he took office. Much of this is thanks to a stagnant economy that Mr. Obama’s tax-and-spend policies have kept in the doldrums. It is hard to fathom why the president offered so many proposals that have zero chance of passing the Republican-run Congress. The most likely explanation is while he is uninterested in governing, he is intent on positioning Democrats for the 2016 presidential race. But while his class-warfare theme is timeless, his policy proposals are highly perishable. He could be trying to burnish his legacy. But free community college and higher capital-gains taxes on family farms and small businesses are not the stuff of heroic political legends. He could be trying to blame Republicans for gridlock by offering ideas they won’t pass, hopefully overshadowing coverage of Mr. Obama’s vetoes and obstructionism. He could be trying to chew up the clock. When Republicans talk about his agenda, there is less time to talk about theirs. Or it could be that Mr. Obama is trying to become more rele- vant by making himself even more obnoxious to the Republican congressional majority and thereby provoke conflict. Republicans should decline the invitation, instead treating Mr. Obama’s proposals mostly with benign neglect. If he complains about obstructionism, Republicans should point to the failure of the White House and congressional Democrats to press his initiatives by drafting bills, seeking committee approval and offering them on the floor. Most important, Republicans should fill the policy vacuum left by Mr. Obama’s dead-on-arrival package with a robust, progrowth reform agenda that focuses on the middle class—one that simplifies the tax code, rolls back onerous regulations, further expands domestic energy production, restrains spending, controls the debt, increases trade and modernizes entitlements. Many of these proposals will be difficult to pass. More than a few will be vetoed. But some congressional Democrats will support the proposals and, more significantly, voters will see Republicans leading the way to concretely improve the state of the union. Mr. Rove, a former deputy chief of staff to President George W. Bush, helped organize the political-action committee American Crossroads. A Phrase Whose Time Has Passed ‘N o army can withstand the strength of an idea whose time has come,” remarked Sen. Everett Dirksen on the floor of the U.S. Senate at the height of the debate surrounding the Civil Rights Act of 1964. It was a great moment in American political history, captured by Todd Purdum in his new book “An Idea Whose Time Has Come.” Even so, it’s hard not to register a minor objection to Sen. Dirksen’s use of the phrase: Equality before the law was not an idea whose time had come—it wasn’t an “idea” at all, it was a moral principal, and it existed long before the 20th century. The phrase “an idea whose time has come” pops up a lot these days, usually though not always in conjunction with leftleaning or “progressive” policy changes. “The idea of making community college free,” wrote Gary Stix of the Scientific American about a proposal put forward recently by President Obama, “is one whose time has come.” A social-studies teacher last month told Los Angeles Times columnist Sandy Banks that the introduction of an ethnicstudies requirement in L.A. schools is “an idea whose time has come.” And in a Washington Post article last summer about workplace-flexibility legislation, Joan Lombardi, a child-care expert, told the paper that, yes, “It’s an idea whose time has come.” The line works well on the campaign trail—it lends a bit of intellectual frisson to stump-speech rhetoric—but you shouldn’t take it too far. President Obama, at a Labor Day rally in 2014, told the How liberals try to lend their policy prescriptions an unearned appearance of historical inevitability. crowd: “There’s only one thing more powerful than an idea whose time has come.” And what would that be? “Millions of people organizing around an idea whose time has come.” That makes no sense at all. The phrase, or something like it, supposedly originates from the final chapter of Victor Hugo’s journalistic novel, “The History of a Crime” (1877), about LouisNapoleon’s coup d’état of 1851-52. The translators of my copy of the book render the sentence literally: “One resists the invasion of armies; one does not resist the invasion of ideas.” The concept of invading ideas was somewhere paraphrased as ideas having their time come, and so an English Composite By Karl Rove Getty Images arack Obama was 15 minutes into his State of the Union speech when I arrived home to watch it, having just walked back from seeing “American Sniper.” Watching a movie about a Navy SEAL who served four tours fighting in Iraq was not the best way to enhance the experience of a Barack Obama speech. As a matter of fact, it was pretty unbearable. Because Clint Eastwood directed “American Sniper” the movie is about more than the story of WONDER Chris Kyle, the highly skilled rifle LAND marksman from By Daniel Texas. In 2006, Henninger Mr. Eastwood presented two movies about the famous World War II battle of Iwo Jima. “Letters from Iwo Jima” told the story from the perspective of Japanese soldiers, and “Flags of Our Fathers” from the Americans’ side. So “American Sniper” is not a crude paean to “our boys” in the Iraq war. What it does is convey the extraordinary personal, psychological and physical sacrifice of the U.S. Marines who fought al Qaeda in Fallujah, Ramadi and the other towns of Iraq’s Anbar province beginning in 2003 and through the period of the Anbar Awakening, which ended with the Marines pacifying the province. It’s just a movie, so even “American Sniper’s” small slice only hints at the price America paid—some 3,500 combat deaths and another 32,000 wounded—to bring Iraq to a point of relative, if fragile, stability in 2011. Opinions will differ, often bitterly, on the war in Iraq and the reasons for it. In the movie, a painful funeral scene captures BOOKSHELF | By Daniel Shuchman adage was born. In context, Hugo is insisting on the glory and nobility of the French empire despite the ruin to which Napoleon III had almost brought it. For the young Hugo, then, the invading idea—the idea whose time had come—is now a rather outdated one: French imperialism. And indeed many of the ideas whose time we’re told has come are similarly outdated. U.S. Education Secretary Arne Duncan said at a town-hall meeting in October that early-childhood education “is an idea whose time has come.” But early-education programs go back half a century, and even studies commissioned by the federal government tend to show no lasting benefits to children. The idea’s time may not have gone, quite, but it’s going. There is something else that rankles about the phrase. It’s that whiff of arrogance you always get from the rhetoric of inevitability. Those who use it claim to win the argument without having worked for it; they appeal to fate, which for some unstated reason is on their side. If you think their ideas are naïve or half-baked, that’s because you haven’t come to terms with reality. (Or are “on the wrong side of history,” as the president likes to say.) Of course, lots of terrible ideas once had their times come, too, and they were all promoted with the rheto- ric of inevitability: communism, socialism, eugenics, racial hegemony of various kinds. Consider the way in which supporters of same-sex marriage routinely call it an idea whose time has come. They do put forward arguments in its favor, but more often they appeal to the inexorable forward march of progress, as though political inevitability alone were proof of moral soundness and social value. “Same-sex marriage seems to be an idea whose time has come in these United States,” wrote Huffington Post blogger Stephen V. Sprinkle last February. Washington Post columnist Dana Milbank in 2013 described same-sex marriage’s progress as “the inevitable march toward an idea whose time has come.” Maybe they’re right. Maybe the time for same-sex marriage has come. But if we’re going to redefine an ancient institution—or rather make it a mere contract instead of an institution—maybe we ought to do so for reasons other than a vague sense that it’s time. So, true enough: One does not resist the invasion of ideas. But surely one can resist the invasion of an insidious cliché. Mr. Swaim’s book “The Speechwriter: A Brief Education in Politics” will be published in July by Simon & Schuster. When America Paid Its Debts A Nation Wholly Free By Carl Lane (Westholme, 265 pages, $28) A t the height of the 2012 election campaign, Barack Obama was interviewed on the “Late Show With David Letterman.” His host expressed concern about the national debt and asked the president how much it was when he took office. Mr. Obama said he could not remember “precisely.” (The debt was in fact $10 trillion and had grown to $16 trillion by the time of the interview.) The president assured him that “we don’t have to worry about it short-term” but that it could become a long-term problem. Further, he suggested Americans need not be alarmed since “a lot of it we owe to ourselves,” not foreign creditors. Carl Lane is not as complacent about our predicament: He characterizes the nation’s now $18 trillion in debt as one of “extraordinary magnitude” that “invites calamity.” Still, he hopes that a little-known episode in American history may show that the problem can be overcome. “A Nation Wholly Free” is Mr. Lane’s fascinating exploration of what led to the brief interlude of 1835-37, the only time in its existence when the United States had no debt. The American Revolution had left the young nation saddled with financial obligations. In subsequent years, the Louisiana Purchase and the War of 1812 added to the debt load, and by 1816 the country owed a then-colossal $127 million. Rapid economic growth was improving the fiscal trajectory, however, and late that year President James Madison reported to Congress with “great gratification” that, because of the revival of commerce and burgeoning tariff revenues, the government would enjoy a surplus and could plan for a long-term debt paydown. Thomas Hart Benton, a Missouri senator, would later describe the choice before the republic: “whether a national debt could be paid and extinguished in a season of peace, leaving a nation wholly free from that encumbrance; or whether it was to go on increasing, a burthen in itself,” consuming the public treasury “to eternity.” It was Andrew Jackson who finally, forcefully, embraced the goal of debt repayment and ensured its achievement through disciplined prioritization of surplus revenues and vetoes of new spending. For Mr. Lane, it is essential to view America’s early finances in a broad context. Concern about the debt, he believes, was not just rooted in fiscal prudence but was inextricable from beliefs about the proper role of government and the scope of federal powers under the Constitution. “Internal improvements” that required substantial borrowing—such as roads and canals—were For Andrew Jackson and many other early Americans, debt was not just a fiscal danger, but a path to corruption and national decline. highly controversial. Many in the founding generation held “an ideological bias against public debt because it corrupted those who were entrusted to exercise power responsibly.” Expensive projects within individual states were viewed as we would now view congressional “earmarks”—tending to lead to waste and vote-buying. Debt was not just a fiscal danger but a path to moral decline. Relying on congressional records, Treasury reports and personal diaries, Mr. Lane vividly illustrates how these budgetary debates played out under three presidents: James Monroe (who, in 1825, committed to “discharge” all debt within 10 years), John Quincy Adams (who was far more interested in an array of spending initiatives) and, finally, Jackson. As today, monetary affairs were inseparable from fiscal ones, and not always for the good. Jackson had determined to close the Second Bank of the United States—the quasi-central bank of the day—on constitutional, fiscal and even social grounds. In 1832, Nicholas Biddle, head of the bank, initiated a retaliatory plot to undermine Jackson’s efforts to redeem public debt. Suffice it to say that the plot’s brazenness and complexity make today’s conspiracy theories about the shadowy intentions of the Federal Reserve seem tame. Notwithstanding this and other challenges, Jackson’s Treasury secretary, Levi Woodbury, could report in 1835 that the last $443.25 of debt was about to be repaid and that the United States would enjoy the “unprecedented spectacle” of being a nation free of debt. The glow would soon be darkened by the panic of 1837, whose disputed monetary, political and economic causes Mr. Lane only touches on here. In an epilogue on the modern implications of this episode, Mr. Lane turns stridently partisan, blaming only Republicans for our debt “quagmire” while hailing President Obama’s “leadership” and “steadfastness” in addressing it. This is quite surprising because, in marked contrast to the president’s evident nonchalance, Mr. Lane urgently warns that “anything might trigger” a loss of confidence in U.S. creditworthiness at any time, the aftermath of which could be “widespread misery, civil disorder, and the possible collapse of our institutions.” Also, given the extent of our foreign debt, he says we should take “little solace” from the dismissive “quip” that we “owe the debt to ourselves.” Mr. Lane does not offer any specific solutions other than the need for bold leadership; he says that the keys to President Jackson’s achievement were never taking “his eye off the ball” and a willingness to make politically difficult decisions for the “greater good.” Unlike Americans of the early 19th century, we face a situation in which the magnitude of our accumulated liabilities makes full debt repayment an impossible task for the foreseeable future. Mr. Lane cites estimates that the debt relative to the size of the economy in 1816 was only 11%. Today it is more than 100%. Even the most hawkish budget plans call for continuing deficits, and thus increasing debt, for at least the next decade. With this backdrop, the best we might do is constrain spending, increase revenues, and generate sufficient economic growth for long enough to allow “time, and the happy progress of the country”—in the words of one Massachusetts congressman in 1826—to reduce the relative size of the debt before a crisis occurs. We had better get busy. Mr. Shuchman is a New York fund manager who often writes on law and economics. P2JW022000-0-A00900-1--------XA B Obama’s American Sniper MAGENTA BLACK CYAN YELLOW