DH1620, 9 mars 2011 Daniel Pargman Lektor, KTH/Medieteknik Är Google fördummande? ”Is Google making us stupid?” (2008) • Frågan är inte min utan David Carrs (och flera andra kritikers) • Google = Internet, sociala medier, hypertext etc. • En essä i tidskriften Atlantic Monthly blev till en bok 2010 • 1 1 Me 2 Technological and social change 3 Does the Internet make us capable? Or studid? 4 What if the Internet is unsustainable anyway? Me • 2 Daniel Pargman Royal Institute of Technology (KTH), School of Computer Science and Communication, Media Technology • Senior Lecturer 2002- Microsoft Research, Redmond, Community Technologies Group • Visiting reseacher 2007 University of Skövde, School of Humanities and Informatics, Media/Computer game development • Senior Lecturer 2005-2006 Strange dot.com job + HCI consultant • Citikey (2001) + Carstedt Research & Technology (2001-2002) Department of Communication studies, Linköping university • Ph.D. thesis: ”Code begets community” (2000) Socio-technical systems Computer sciences Human-Computer Interaction Interaction design Systems development Open source ... Social sciences CMC CSCW Communities Online games Social media Technology Sociology Anthropology Psychology ... Society • 3 A window into a virtual world… • 4 A window into a virtual world… WORLD OF WARCRAF • 5 Postman, ”Informing ourselves to death” (1990) Technological and social change Postman, ”Informing ourselves to death” (1990) • 6 Computers as a communications medium • Computers can be many different things. In this lecture they are primarily a medium of communication (like the telegraph, newspapers, books, tv, radio etc.) • ”When we change the way we communicate, we change society” • Present unrest and revolutions in arab societies as (at least partly) an effect of satellite television and Internet/social media use • Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, Marocco, Algeria, Yemen, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Jordania, Bahrain Computers as a communications medium • ”When we change the way we communicate, we change society” • Homer Simpson on social media (S15E22): • “Instead of one bigshot controlling all the media, now there’s 1000 freaks xeroxing their worthless opinions” • 7 Computers as a communications medium • ”When we change the way we communicate, we change society” • From oral culture to literacy to print – Cultural memory of oral culture shaped by recitation, mnemonics, rythm, alliteration, reduncancy, repetition • What is worth knowing must be repeated to be remebered. • Oral cultures are conservative, no intellectual experiments encouraged! – Print loosened the power of church • • • • Independent (non-church controlled) printers Emergence of modern capitalism Emergence of vernacular languages Rise of nationalism (“imagined communities”) Computers as a communications medium • ”When we change the way we communicate, we change society” • From oral culture to literacy to print – Cultural memory of oral culture shaped by recitation, mnemonics, rythm, alliteration, reduncancy, repetition – Print loosened the power of church – What are the effects of Internet, Google and Social Media? • 8 • 9 Technological change • Postman has a broad perspective on implications of technological change • New technologies bring advantages and disadvantages – Some (many?) technologies have larger advantages that disadvantages, others not • Advantages where, advantages for whom? – Technology favors some groups and harm or discriminate other groups. • Technological change has its winners and losers – Computers have (before) favored large-scale organizations • Technology has unforseen consequences; who becomes winners and losers (and what they win or lose) is not easy to predict Informing ourselves to death • New technologies bring advantages and disadvantages – What do computers (internet/social media) bring, what do they take away? – Which groups are favored by social media and which groups are harmed? – Who are the winners and who are the losers of Internet/social media? • “almost nothing happens to the losers that they need, which is why they are losers” • Sverigedemokraterna som ett missnöjesparti, de som röstar på SD som förlorare i globaliseringsprocessen? • 10 Information overload • Losers of the information revolution – Religion, authority, “common sense”, coherent and integrated worldview, sense of community. – University professors? – Information was scarce, but what was available was useful, had a relationship or was a solutions to concrete problems – Information is abundant, difficult to evaluate, doesn’t make sense • We have a hard time to evaluate what information is important, relevant, useful and what is irrelevant. We as a society can’t agree on what is important and why. • So are we better off? Information overload • Losers of the information revolution – University professors? – From my students exam in Social Media Technologies (DM2578) 4) Some students fired me at a seminar because there will be no role for university teachers in the future (when you can find everything on the Internet)! Or will there…? Will university teachers be even more important in a world of super-abundant information? (2+1 points) With support from the course literature, please either argue why: a) I will be out of my job as a university teacher 10 years from now, or b) Why my job as a university teacher will be more important than ever 10 years from now. • 11 Information overload • The computer brings us more information faster – Perhaps we are getting too much? – …and what if what causes misery and pain on an individual, social and societal level is not the result of a lack of information and can not be solved by more information? • Computers help us “get there” faster, but they don’t tell us if it’s worth going “there” in the first place – Computers are a means, not a goal – Instantaneous global communication is not the same thing as mutual understanding – “If we really understood each other there would be more wars” What’s the purpose of computers? • What is the relationship between computers (Internet, Google) and knowledge? • What is (for example) the purpose of using computers in an educational setting? – Is the purpose for us to become more competent when we use computers? – Person + computer > person without computer, person with other tools (encyclopedias etc.) – Or is the purpose for us to become more competent after we have turned off the computer? • 12 Carr, ”Is Google making us stupid?” (2008) Internet makes us capable? Or stupid? ”Is Google making us stupid?” (2008) • Frågan är inte min utan David Carrs (och flera andra kritikers) • Google = Internet, sociala medier, hypertext etc. • En essä i tidskriften Atlantic Monthly blev till en bok 2010 • 13 Is the Internet making us stupid? (Carr) • The computer brings us more information faster – Perhaps we are getting too much? – How would you know if you got too much information? How would it be manifested? • “My mind is changing. I’m not thinking the way I used to think. My concentration starts to drift, deep reading has become a struggle. The Net seems to be chipping away my capacity for concentration and contemplation” • Anyone recognize themselves in this description? • What if “excessive” use of the Internet/social media is changing the way we think!? (and not for the better) Is the Internet making us stupid? (Carr) • We might read more than ever before • …but it’s a different kind of reading. – We scan and skitter and rush from one text to the next – Our attention is scattered, our concentraion diffuse • • • • Different kind of reading = different kind of thinking? Deep reading = deep thinking More shallow kind of reading = ??? kind of thinking? Brin (Google): “if you had all the world’s information directly attached to your brain […] you’d be better off” – Would you? Would you be a better person? Would you be happier? • 14 Surfing on lectures • "In [an] experiment, a pair of Cornell researchers divided a class of students into two groups. One group was allowed to surf the Web while listening to a lecture. A log of their activity showed that they looked at sites related to the lectures content but also visited unrelated sites, checked their e-mail, went shopping, watched videos, and did all the other things that people do online. The second group hear the identical lecture but had to keep their laptops shut. Immediately afterward, both groups took a test measuring how well they could recall the information from the lecture. The surfers, the researchers report, "performed significantly poorer on immediate measures of memory for the tobe-learned content." It didn't matter, moreover, whether they surfed information related to the lecture or completely unrelated content - they all performed poorly. When the researchers repeated the experiment with another class, the results were the same. Technologies of writing (Swigert 1990) • Charles Dickens (inkpot, quills, finished papers with dry ink in a pile) – “The relatively slow movement of the hand leaves mental time for longer, more intricately constructed and elaborately rhetorical sentences” • My handwriting is atrocious. I can’t read what I’ve written • I wrote my first novel on a typewriter – Single-space, no margins, 600 words/page. One page was a chapter. 100 pages made a book. Three pages per day and one month to write the book • My first computer - a chapter was 12 kilobytes long because that was the longest file I could save on a disk (Apple II, Easywriter 1.0) – Typewritten text was solid but with the computer words, sentences and paragraphs became liquid. Editing became a continous, not a discrete process – Paper became an interface, not storage. Viewed and discarded, not filed • 15 What if the Internet is unsustainable anyway? Two conflicting views of the future (Bardi) • Things are really taking off now (getting better and better all the time) – Pace of technological innovation increasing, soon to reach the singularity • We are at the peak now (things will get tougher and tougher from here on) – Global warming, resource depletion – Peak gold, peak oil, peak water, peak phosphorous (= peak food) • 16 A world of limitations • No lack of threats (to business-as-usual): • Climate change • Ecological crisis, species extinction • Pollution • Overpopulation • Limitations on food production, scarcity of phosphates • Water scarcity • Overfishing • Economic depression, recession without end, jobless growth • Unemployment, social instability • Peak oil Two contrasting perspectives of the future A world of A world of possibilites • A few % economic growth limitations • We are at or near “the top” and the every year (everything will direction will change to downhill be better and better for soon (things will be tougher and everyone in the future) tougher from now on) – The pace of technical innovation will increase – Triple crisis (ecology, economy, energy) • 17 Two contrasting perspectives of the future • A world of possibilites • A few % economic growth every year (everything will be better and better for everyone in the future) – The pace of technical innovation will increase • 18 • Vilken typ av framtidsbilder…? Peak oil • Oil is our most versatile and useful energy source • 40% of worldwide energy use is oil • Worldwide oil production has been on a plateau – Most oil-producing countries have peaked (USA 1970, Iran 1974, Mexico 2004) • Ex. 40% of Mexico’s budget comes from oil exports – We are running out of “good, cheap oil” – We replace this with expensive oil • Oil prices are at an all-time high – Today, during a recession oil costs 120 USD/barrel, 10 years ago < 20 USD/barrel • There is still oil left, but less will be pumped each year and costs will go up each year – We have picked the “low-hanging fruit” • 19 No more low-hanging fruit • 40 of 54 of all oil-producing countries have peaked • Norway reached maximum production 2001 (-28% since then) • Denmark reached maximum production 2004 (-26% since then) • Source: • BP Statistical Review of World Energy (2008) • 20 The end of cheap energy? Problems and predicaments • There is still oil left to pump (or “extract”), but less will be made available and costs will go up each year – We have picked the “low-hanging fruit” • This is a “predicament”, not a “problem” – Problems have solutions that will eliminate them – Predicaments have no solutions (no strategies will avoid the threat), only responses (some rational, some irrational - denial) – Ex. Death is a (personal) predicament - we are all going to die no matter what – Some challenges can’t be “solved” - depletion of a nonrenewable resource is a predicament, not a problem • Are ecological and resource crises (societal) predicaments? • 21 Problems and predicaments • Problems have solutions • Predicaments have no solutions Problem or predicament? • 22 Probable consequences of expensive oil • More expensive energy (not just oil) • More expensive transportation • More expensive heating (living) • Less/more expensive water (irrigation) • More expensive food (industrial agriculture = energy intensive) • Basic necessities more expensive, less money for other consumption, less production, less employment, recession etc. • More expensive resources (mining) • More expensive products (manufacturing, transportation) • Relationship between work and energy (production) changes • People (labor) will become less expensive in relation to energy, production, products Good times • 23 Good times Will good times come to an end? • Is it a coincidence that computers, internet has come about in the age of cheap energy? • Are computers, internet built on the premise of cheap energy? • What happens if energy will no longer be cheap? • 24 Will good times come to an end? • Is it a coincidence that computers, internet has come about in the age of cheap energy? • Are computers, internet built on the premise of cheap energy? • What happens if energy will no longer be cheap? Contact: Daniel Pargman pargman@kth.se +46 8 790 82 80 medieteknik-exjobb.blogspot.com • 25