MACC-II Deliverable D_122.7 Final report on QC/validation procedures for the UV chain Date: 07/2014 Lead Beneficiary: FMI (#15) Nature: R Dissemination level: PP Grant agreement n°283576 File: MACCII_RAD_D122_7_FMI.doc/.pdf Work-package Deliverable Title Nature Dissemination Lead Beneficiary Date Status Authors Approved by Contact 122 (RAD, Radiation Service) D_122.7 Final report on QC/validation procedures for the UV chain R PP FMI (#15) 07/2014 Draft version Antti Arola (FMI), Mikko Pitkänen (FMI), Vaida Cesnulyte (FMI), Anders V. Lindfors (FMI), Alessio Bozzo (ECMWF) Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt (DLR) info@gmes-atmosphere.eu This document has been produced in the context of the MACC-II project (Monitoring Atmospheric Composition and Climate - Interim Implementation). The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Community's Seventh Framework Programme (FP7 THEME [SPA.2011.1.5-02]) under grant agreement n° 283576. All information in this document is provided "as is" and no guarantee or warranty is given that the information is fit for any particular purpose. The user thereof uses the information at its sole risk and liability. For the avoidance of all doubts, the European Commission has no liability in respect of this document, which is merely representing the authors view. 2/26 File: MACCII_RAD_D122_7_FMI.doc/.pdf Executive Summary / Abstract This report is a deliverable D122.7: “Final report on QC/validation procedures for the UV chain”. In this report we summarize the work that has been done during the period 10 2010 to 07 2014. We present three major study areas regarding the validation of the UV processor and prognostic aerosols using ground-based spectral data, validation of UV processor using near real time Broadband COST UV-I data. Moreover, we present a summary about our effort to find the areas where to improve the UV processor, using a stand-alone version of it. The UV processor and prognostic aerosol validation results show a good agreement between the ECMWF model and the measurements, especially, for biomass burning case (Alta Floresta and Mongu), where the model represents the burning seasons correctly. In addition, a major feature of the model-measurements comparison is that the relative mean bias is always smaller at 340 nm than at 500 nm, indicating a rather strong wavelengthdependent feature of the performance of AOD in the MACC system. The current understanding of the UV processor, based on the validation against groundbased measurements, is that it is able to estimate the UVA wavelengths relatively well, while it clearly overestimates the shortest wavelengths of UVB, particularly for the cases of lowest solar zenith angles. We have attempted to find a reason for this bias in the surface UV irradiance, by using a stand-alone version of the UV processor. This stand-alone version can reproduce the pattern that has been seen also in the ground-based comparisons. Currently the very reason for the large overestimation in the short UVB wavelengths is not known, however we have checked several candidates and so far, as a result, ruled out that they would cause such a large bias. The NRT broadband UV comparison reveals that the daily cycle and seasonality of UV-I can be reproduced well by the model. There is a good model-measurements agreement considering clear-sky cases, where the timing and UV-I peak values are represented correctly. However, for cloudy cases, UV-I variation in the model is rather significant. We have published an article (Cesnulyte et al., 2014) based on validation of MACC prognostic aerosols at UV and mid-visible wavelengths, which provides summarizes the overall performance of the model in terms of various aerosol types. Main results and conclusions of the manuscript are presented in Section 4. 3/26 File: MACCII_RAD_D122_7_FMI.doc/.pdf Table of Contents 1. Introduction ........................................................................................................................ 5 2. UV processor ....................................................................................................................... 6 3. Ground-based UV and aerosol data used for the evaluation ............................................. 7 4. Evaluation of UV processor and prognostic aerosols at UV wavelengths .......................... 8 4.1. Comparison of the modeled UV irradiances with available observations ...................... 8 4.2. Comparison of modeled aerosol types with available observations .............................. 9 4.3. Conclusions.................................................................................................................... 12 5. Development state of the UV processor .......................................................................... 14 5.1. Current status of UV Processor ..................................................................................... 14 5.2. Outlook for the future development work ................................................................... 17 6. Plan for the QC/Validation procedure during the operational phase ................................. 19 7. Validation of a Near Real Time (NRT) Broadband UV-I data ............................................... 22 7.1. Methodology ................................................................................................................. 22 7.2. Results ........................................................................................................................... 23 7.3. Conclusions.................................................................................................................... 24 4/26 File: MACCII_RAD_D122_7_FMI.doc/.pdf 1. Introduction During the GEMS project UV monitoring and forecasting capabilities were developed within the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System (IFS). This work has continued during MACC and now in MACC-II. Each step in the consolidation and improvement of the system has been accompanied by comparison against both ground-based and satellite-based UV data. During GEMS AER sub-project, prognostic aerosol model was developed for IFS, which has since been coupled with the UV processor. One of the special focuses has been on the aerosol effect on UV through the prognostic aerosols. Therefore satellite-UV, which does not account properly for absorbing aerosols, has not been anymore included in the comparisons recently. In addition to UV comparisons, we also compared aerosol optical properties from the processor against measurements from the Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET). In this final report we summarize the work that has been done during MACC-II project. We present three major study areas regarding the validation of the UV processor and prognostic aerosols using ground-based spectral data, validation of UV processor using near real time Broadband COST UV-I data. Moreover, we present a summary about our effort to find the areas where to improve the UV processor, using a stand-alone version of it. We have published an article (Cesnulyte et al., 2014) based on validation of MACC prognostic aerosols at UV and mid-visible wavelengths. 5/26 File: MACCII_RAD_D122_7_FMI.doc/.pdf 2. UV processor The ECMWF shortwave radiative transfer scheme (Morcrette, 1991; Morcrette, 2002) has been extended to cover UV wavelengths with a choice of 0.2, 1, or 5 nm spectral resolution. Its inputs are the distribution of temperature, ozone, cloud fraction and cloud liquid and ice water over 60 vertical levels between the surface and 0.1 hPa, the surface pressure and the surface albedo. Currently this UV processor is applied to the ECMWF forecast fields in a postprocessing mode, including the prognosed ozone and cloud fraction and water loading. During the first steps of the development of UV processor, aerosol climatology was used. And in the latest version, prognostic aerosols have been coupled with the UV processor. More information about the UV processor can be found from Morcrette and Arola (2007), while the prognostic aerosol scheme is described in earlier project reports. 6/26 File: MACCII_RAD_D122_7_FMI.doc/.pdf 3. Ground-based UV and aerosol data used for the evaluation For the evaluation of the UV processor against ground-based UV data, we have so far used mainly data from the following two databases. 1) EUVDB: http://www.ozone.fmi.fi/uvdb/ 2) NSF: http://uv.biospherical.com/ Both databases provide spectral UV measurements. We compared separately UVB (290320nm) and UVA (320-400nm) integrated broadband fluxes against those modeled by ECMWF UV processor. For aerosol data we used the measurements from the AERONET network (Holben, 1998). 7/26 File: MACCII_RAD_D122_7_FMI.doc/.pdf 4. Evaluation of UV processor and prognostic aerosols at UV wavelengths This section presents the results and main conclusions regarding to UV processor validation and results from a published paper on a comparison of the modeled-measured AOD at UV and mid-visible wavelengths (Cesnulyte et al., 2014). The manuscript combines the results presented in previous deliverables. 4.1. Comparison of the modeled UV irradiances with available observations Validation of UV irradiance has been carried out in MACC project and further in MACC-II. Here we show a good overall agreement between modelled and measured UV irradiances (Figure 4.1.1). The agreement is better for UVA wavelengths than for UVB with a significant difference in winter and summer months. Clear overestimation can be seen in San Diego at both UVA (320-400nm) and UVB (290-320nm) while underestimation in the rest of the UV sites. Figure 4.1.1. Summary of UV irradiance validation statistics for UVB (290-320 nm – dark colour) and UVA (320-400 nm – light colour) compared to measured values from NSF and EUVDB. Irradiances are calculated for summer (green circles) and winter (red circles) periods taking into account that the of Oct-May represents winter in Barrow, Jokioinen, Sodankylä, Thessaloniki, San Diego and summer at the same period in Palmer and McMurdo, whereas Jun-Sep represents winter in Palmer and McMurdo and summer in the rest of the months. Each point corresponds to a particular validation site: J – Jokioinen, M – McMurdo, P – Palmer, B – Barrow, S – Sodankylä, D – San Diego, T – Thessaloniki. Although the overall agreement is good for most of the sites, the spectral results for 8/26 File: MACCII_RAD_D122_7_FMI.doc/.pdf Thessaloniki shows that there is a strong overestimation for wavelengths close to 300nm (Figure 4.1.2). The observed overestimation led to further investigations of possible reasons that causes it and will be discussed in more details in Chapter 5. Figure 4.1.2. Comparison between EUVDB Brewer and ECMWF UV irradiance in Thessaloniki, 2003-2004, for all sky situations and solar zenith angles larger than 17 degrees. Plot (a) is for UVA, (b) for UVB and (c) is for irradiance at 305-310 nm, which contributes most efficiently to erythemally weighted UV irradiance. (d) Represents the ratio of ECMWF to Brewer irradiance in spectral sense for the same data, for averages of different solar zenith angle ranges. 4.2. Comparison of modeled aerosol types with available observations In this section we present the performance of the MACC AOD as compared to ground-based AERONET observations for the period of 2003–2006. The comparison of total AOD was done 9/26 File: MACCII_RAD_D122_7_FMI.doc/.pdf at 340 and 500 nm and the AOD of different components at 550 nm. Twelve AOD sites (Fig. 4.2.1) were selected for the comparison. We chose sites where both wavelengths (340 and 500nm) are available that have data for the period 2003–2006. The selected sites were categorized in three groups: urban/anthropogenic, biomass burning and dust. This was done in order to examine the model-measurements performance for different aerosol types. Figure 4.2.1. AERONET stations included in the study. Sites are color-coded according to expected dominant aerosol type: urban/anthropogenic (green), biomass burning (brown), and dust (red). Figure 4.2.2. ECMWF AOD compared to AERONET AOD in Ispra. (a) Monthly mean AOD550 for the period 2003–2006. The modeled total AOD550 consists of five components: sea salt, (SS) dust (DU), organic carbon (OC), black carbon (BC), and sulfate (SO4). The corresponding monthly mean AOD550 from AERONET is shown with a black line (extrapolated using Ångström exponent at wavelength range of 440–870 nm). (b) Modeled AOD with respect to measured AOD at 340 nm (blue dots) and 500 nm (red dots). Data points include only observations, when AOD of both wavelengths are available. Black line represents 1:1 line. (c) Ratio (AODec / AODaer, green line) and absolute difference (AODec − AODaer, blue line) between modeled and measured AOD at 340 nm. Figure 4.2.2 shows one example of comparison between MACC re-analysis (fdmj) and 10/26 File: MACCII_RAD_D122_7_FMI.doc/.pdf AERONET AODs at 550 nm for 4-year period in Ispra. The figure part (a) shows the contribution by different aerosol components according to the MACC data. Both the model and AERONET show seasonality with higher AOD550 values in the spring and summer. The model captures the general AOD550 variation fairly well, although occasional peak values, for example, March 2003 and October 2004, are clearly underestimated. The ECMWF model indicates, that SO4 is the main aerosol component in Ispra. The model furthermore shows a clear contribution by DU in the summer months. Figure 4.2.2 (b) presents the performance of the MACC AOD340,500 versus AERONET AOD340,500. The figure shows a large scatter and clear underestimation, which is stronger at 340 nm than at 500 nm (MB340 = −0.21, MB500 = −0.09). There is a reasonable correlation that is similar at both wavelengths (CC340 = 0.61, CC500 = 0.60). A major part of the AOD340,500 values are below 2.5, with few exceptionally large values that go up to 4. Figure 4.2.2 (c) shows the ratio and absolute difference between modeled and measured AOD at 340nm in Ispra over the course of the year. Both, the ratio and the difference, show underestimation of AOD340 for all months. Although the absolute difference (blue line) stays rather constant throughout the year, the ratio (green line) is higher in the summer months. Figure 4.2.3. Summary of aerosol validation statistics (rMB vs. CC) for modeled coarse (SS+DU) and fine (OC+BC+SO4) mode AOD550 compared to coarse and fine mode AOD550 from AERONET SDA. Filled shapes indicate coarse mode AOD550, whereas empty shapes indicate fine mode AOD550. Each point corresponds to a particular validation site: I – Ispra, M – Mongu, R – Ilorin, P – La Parguera, C – Capo Verde, K – Kampur, E – El Arenosillo, S – Solar Village, A – Alta Floresta, L – La Jolla, T – Thessaloniki, X – Xianghe. 11/26 File: MACCII_RAD_D122_7_FMI.doc/.pdf Figure 4.2.3 presents a comparison between the MACC coarse and fine AOD at 550 nm and AERONET SDA retrievals by showing the relative mean bias (rMB) and the correlation coefficient (CC) for all stations included in the study. The modeled coarse mode AOD 550 is defined as SS+DU and fine mode AOD550 as OC+BC+SO4 and compared with measured coarse and fine mode AOD550. For most of the urban sites (blue squares), there is a clear underestimation in fine mode (empty squares) and overestimation in coarse mode AOD 550 (color-filled squares). The rMB for fine mode AOD550 averaged over all urban sites (rMBF,urb) is -0.22; rMB for coarse mode AOD550 averaged over all urban sites (rMBC,urb) is 0.38. This indicates that there is too much coarse mode and too little fine mode particles in the MACC system. The dust particles (green triangles), in particular, play a significant role due to a higher contribution compare to sea-salt (as visually seen from difference between light and dark blue color bars in Fig. 1-13 a in Cesnulyte et al. 2014). Similar behaviour with an even larger difference between coarse and fine mode AOD 550 is seen for biomass burning (red circles), where rMBs for fine and coarse mode AOD 550 values averaged over all biomass burning sites are rMBF,biom = -0.22 and rMBC,biom = 0.64, respectively. The dust sites exhibit a mixed behaviour. For sites located close to dust sources (Capo Verde, El Arenosillo, Solar Village), the rMB is smaller for coarse mode than for fine mode AOD550. However, the difference between coarse and fine mode is smaller than that seen for urban and biomass burning sites (seen from the length of the lines connecting an empty and color-filled shapes). La Parguera and Ilorin, on the other hand, show the opposite pattern with a larger rMB for fine mode. The overall underestimation in Ilorin is most likely due to the model parameterization of the dust sources included in the MACC system, since there is no aerosol retrieval from the MODIS radiances over all Sahara, and also from the fact that the MACC system might miss localized sources of anthropogenic aerosols. For the sites where fine mode aerosols dominate (most of urban and biomass burning) the correlation averaged over all sites representing different areas is higher for fine mode AOD550 (CCF,urb = 0.59, CCF,biom = 0.89) than for coarse mode (CCC,urb = 0.51, CCC,biom = 0.33). For the dust sites, the pattern is opposite with a higher correlation averaged over all dust sites being for coarse mode AOD550 (CCC,dust = 0.81, CCF,dust = 0.57). Generally, the MACC system tends to overestimate the coarse mode AOD550 for most of the sites. 4.3. Conclusions For monthly AOD, the ECMWF model tends to follow the AERONET measurements rather well, also representing the yearly cycle correctly for each of the sites. Hourly values, however, exhibit a larger spread. In terms of correlation coefficient and relative mean bias, the best agreement between modeled and measured AOD 340,500 values is seen in biomass burning sites (Alta Floresta and Mongu). For these both sites, the ECMWF model is able to capture the burning season correctly, however, some occasional peaks are underestimated. The AOD for the dust sites included in our study also show rather good agreement with the AERONET observations, and the ECMWF model follows the seasonal pattern in the observed AOD fairly well. The urban sites have the lowest correlation and largest bias. 12/26 File: MACCII_RAD_D122_7_FMI.doc/.pdf Generally, a major feature of the model-measurements comparison is that the rMB is always smaller at 340 nm than at 500 nm, and the difference between rMB at 340 and 500 nm averaged over all stations is approximately 0.2. Thus, that indicates a rather strong wavelength-dependent feature of the performance of AOD in the MACC system. Among all urban sites included in the comparison, Thessaloniki shows the largest difference between the performance of AOD340 and AOD500. This is seen also in the Ångström exponent, which is unrealistically low in the model, thus indicating this might have something to do with the overall combination of too little fine mode particles and too many coarse mode particles in the MACC system. This pattern is seen for almost all urban sites. We also analyzed the behaviour of the Ångström exponent for the rest of the sites. The results show that the Ångström exponent in the MACC system is too low for all sites included in this study. In addition, the wavelength dependent difference between MACC AOD and AERONET-based AOD may be partly, but to a smaller extent, explained by the wavelength-independent optical properties of different aerosol types assumed in the model. For instance, the same refractive index was assumed for SO4 and OC. This assumption means that OC is not absorbing. However, recently there has been growing evidence that some of the organic species are strongly absorbing at UV wavelengths. 13/26 File: MACCII_RAD_D122_7_FMI.doc/.pdf 5. Development state of the UV processor 5.1. Current status of UV Processor The current understanding of the UV processor, based on the validation against groundbased measurements, is that it is able to estimate the UVA wavelengths relatively well, while it clearly overestimates the shortest wavelengths of UVB, particularly for the cases of lowest solar zenith angles (Figure 4.1.2d). It is therefore important to investigate the reason and correction for this overestimation, since those wavelengths are very crucial in the erythemal weighting, which in turn determines the UV index. Figure 4.1.2 shows first UVA and UVB (panels a) and b), respectively) comparisons for Thessaloniki. On the other hand, panel c) shows only 305-310nm part of UVB and the overestimation at the local noon (when the solar zenith angle is smallest and thus the surface UV values are the highest) becomes more visible than what one can interpret from the entire UVB comparison. Panel d) shows the ratio spectrally, pointing out that the overestimation increases as the wavelength decreases towards 300nm (as the solar zenith angle decreases). Therefore, the most effective wavelengths that affect UV index get overestimated rather significantly. This same pattern has been also confirmed by model-to-model comparisons, e.g. in the comparisons shown in the Figures 5.1 and 5.2. They show the model comparisons between the UV processor and uvspec of LibRadtran radiative transfer (Mayer et al., 1997). Both RT models are run with the same input and assuming as similar model setup as possible, so uvspec is run assuming two-stream solver, since two-stream approximation is also applied in the UV processor. First of the figures shows the comparison for two solar zenith angles, including only the ozone absorption (so without molecular scattering). On the other hand, figure 5.2 shows the results when also Rayleigh scattering (molecular scattering) is included. These figures confirm the overestimation and suggest that the overall pattern of systematic spectral biases, as a function of solar zenith angle (seen also in the Figure 4.1.2), are due to a combined effect of Rayleigh scattering and ozone absorption in the UV processor. 14/26 File: MACCII_RAD_D122_7_FMI.doc/.pdf Figure 5.1. Simulation with O3 absorption only. (a) UV surface irradiance for MACC (red line) and UVSPEC (blue line) at SZA 62o and SZA 24o; (b) MACC/UVSPEC irradiance ratio at two different solar zenith angles. Figure 5.2. Same as figure 5.1, only simulations with O3 and molecular scattering (Rayleigh scattering) combined. We have attempted to find a reason for this bias in the surface UV irradiance, by using a stand-alone version of the UV processor. This stand-alone version can reproduce the pattern that has been seen also in the ground-based comparisons (e.g. in the Figures 5.1 and 5.2). Currently the very reason for the large overestimation in the short UVB wavelengths is not known, however we have checked several candidates and so far, as a result, ruled out that they would cause such a large bias. We have compared ozone crosssections, solar extraterrestrial spectrum, and different radiative transfer solvers among other things to confirm compatibility of the two models, which is discussed shown next. As our earlier analysis shows, the most considerable bias in the surface UV irradiances appears to be below 320 nm, in the same region where UV absorption by ozone is most effective. To investigate whether the ozone absorption in the UV-processor could influence the UV bias; we compared the wavelength dependent ozone absorption cross sections with corresponding values in literature. As the reference ozone absorption cross sections we use the ones reported by Molina and Molina (JGR, vol. 91, pp 14501-14508, 1986) and provided with libRadtran radiative transfer package. The ozone absorption cross sections in the UV processor are based on the Molina and Molina too, however their temperature dependence is parameterized differently than in the LibRadtran package. Therefore, by this comparison we wanted to confirm that the ozone cross sections are correctly incorporated also in the UV processor. The temperature dependence of the absorption cross sections was investigated assuming different values of temperature, and the cross sections of the UV Processor show the same consistency compared to Molina and Molina (1986) as the results below in the temperature range from 220 K to 270 K. 15/26 File: MACCII_RAD_D122_7_FMI.doc/.pdf Figure 5.3. (a) Ozone absorption cross-section (solid lines) used in the UV processor and their absolute difference (dashed lines) compared to Molina and Molina (1986). The absolute differences (UV processor - Molina and Molina) are calculated for 0.2 nm, 1.0 and 5.0 nm wavelength resolutions. (b) Relative difference of ozone absorption cross-sections between the UV-processor and Molina and Molina (1986). Temperature is 240 K. Figure 5.3a shows the ozone cross sections used in the UV-processor and the magnitude of the difference (UV processor - Molina and Molina) when compared with ozone cross sections from Molina and Molina (1986). Importantly, the absolute differences below 320 nm are more than an order of magnitude smaller than the cross sections. Figure 5.3b shows the relative difference for the corresponding cross sections and, again, the region below 320 show the smallest differences of less than +-7%. On average the relative differences are 1.4%, 2.8% and 0.3% higher in the UV-processor than in Molina and Molina (1986) at 0.2 nm, 1 nm and 5 nm resolutions, correspondingly. Above 320 nm the relative differences are considerably larger (Figure 5.3b), however the absorption crosssections and, also, their absolute differences are significantly smaller. Very small values of the reference cross sections likely contribute to the high variability in relative differences. From these results it can be concluded, that the ozone absorption cross sections in the UVprocessor are consistent with the corresponding values in the literature below 320 nm, where the previously observed bias is most significant. Thus, if the positive bias in the surface irradiances of the UV processor is related to ozone calculations, further investigations should be directed into how ozone optical thickness and ozone transmission are calculated and compare them directly with the corresponding results from uvspec. 16/26 File: MACCII_RAD_D122_7_FMI.doc/.pdf Figure 5.4. ET spectrum from uvspec and UV processor as a function of wavelength. In order to investigate possible factors affecting the surface irradiance bias we compared the solar extraterrestrial spectrum in both UV Processor and LibRadtran model. UV processor uses ET spectrum of Kurudz (Kurucz, 1992) and it is spectrally convoluted for different resolutions of the model, 0.2nm, 1nm, and 5nm. Therefore, we also wanted to confirm that this convolution is done without any mistake. Figure 5.4 shows, as an example the 1nm case, if compared to the corresponding ET spectrum from LibRadtran library of ET spectrums and confirms that the extraterrestial spectrum also are essentially the same in both models, thus the surface irradiance bias cannot be not caused by any significant difference ET spectrum. As shown in the Figures 5.1 and 5.2, significant bias can be seen when both models assume the same RT solver, two stream, in this case. However, the choice of the solver could be a partial explanation for the overestimation observed with ground-based comparisons. As a test case we compared libRadtran simulations of surface UV irradiance using two different RT solvers, one similar to the solver in UV processor (Delta-Eddington two-stream in plane parallel geometry) and DISORT, a more advanced solver provided in libRadtran. In these simulations DISORT showed lower surface irradiances by about 5 to 10 %, which implies, that by choosing a more detailed RT solver, surface irradiance overestimation would be decreased from the seen in Figure 4.1.2. It is not, however, enough to explain the total overestimation produced by the UV processor. 5.2. Outlook for the future development work To conclude, the UV processor has in previous analysis shown to cause an overestimation up to 40% of surface UV irradiance below 320nm, when compared to measurements. In our efforts to understand the source for this bias we used libRadtran radiative transfer tools to produce surface irradiances with a similar setup to UV processor and were able to identify and restrict a number of possible error sources. The total of overestimation by the UV processor, however, still remains partly unexplained. These results will direct the near 17/26 File: MACCII_RAD_D122_7_FMI.doc/.pdf future investigations in MACC-III towards the calculation and comparison of ozone optical thicknesses, ozone transmission and Rayleigh transmission separately between UV processor and more advanced UV RT model (LibRadtran), in order to check and confirm these relevant intermediate steps in the actual UV estimation. 18/26 File: MACCII_RAD_D122_7_FMI.doc/.pdf 6. Plan for the QC/Validation procedure during the operational phase During the operational phase, the evaluation of the UV processor is planned using both spectral UV and broadband UV measurements. Typically there is a significantly longer delay before the spectral data are updated in the databases, than what is the situation with the broadband UV measurements. However, the accuracy of spectral data is better. Therefore, by including both data sources, our aim is to obtain new validation data in a reasonable time frequency, while still always exploiting also the best quality data to full extent. In the following, we will briefly describe both types of data sources; the most likely stations to be included and also the quality control and quality assurance included both in the spectral and broadband data. Spectroradiometers measure the spectrally resolved solar irradiance. If well maintained, these instruments provide typically the most accurate UV measurements. However, there are potential sources of uncertainty in these data, coming from a variety of instrument dependent sources, thus requiring that these instruments are carefully characterized and regularly calibrated. The quality control procedure of the spectral measurements in two Finnish sites (Sodankylä and Jokioinen) is described in detail by Lakkala et al. 2008, and other sites with quality-controlled data follow similar procedures. Cordero et al., 2008 estimated uncertainties between 4% and 6% in the absolute calibration of double monochromator-based spectroradiometers. Additional uncertainties (e.g. imperfect cosine response) result in an overall uncertainty for solar measurements of 7-9%. In the operational validation of the UV processor, we plan to include spectrally resolved UV data mainly from two different data bases: 1) EUVDB: http://www.ozone.fmi.fi/uvdb/ 2) NSF: http://uv.biospherical.com/ Unfortunately, EUVDB database has become less active in recent years, so there are only four sites that provide new data there regularly enough for our purpose. Also, three sites (Palmer, McMurdo, South Pole) that belonged previously to NSF, are now part of NOAA Antarctic UV Monitoring Network, and they update the data record only once every 1-2 year. We will exploit these data also whenever possible; however, the following table summarizes those sites that will likely provide spectral data for our validation purposes in 6 month time intervals. Table 1. Spectrally resolved UV measurements planned to be included in the operational UV validation. Site name Country Instrument Jokioinen Finland Brewer Mk-III Sodankylä Finland Brewer Mk-II Reading UK Bentham DM150 Uccle Belgium Bentham DTM300 / Jobin 19/26 File: MACCII_RAD_D122_7_FMI.doc/.pdf Yvon, Modified HD10 Barrow AK, USA SUV-100 Summit Greenland SUV-150B Broadband UV instruments provide measurements over a specified waveband. The most common type is designed to mimic the erythemal action spectrum, for instance SL501 by Solar Light. Broadband instruments are usually calibrated by a spectroradiometer and naturally they have then larger uncertainties than the spectral measurements. Uncertainty is in the range 7-16% (Gröbner et al., 2007), imperfect cosine response being a major source of error. Multi-filter instruments measure at several narrow wavelength bands. They have typically less than 10 bands with width of 1 nm to 10 nm, for instance GUV 541 from Biospherical Instruments Inc, and somewhat lower uncertainty than in broadband UV measurements (Johnsen et al., 2008). For the validation of UV processor, we have previously included only spectral measurements. However, for the operational validation, we plan to include also the following broadband UV sites (that are part of COST-713 UV Index Database). Table 2. Broadband and multi-filter measurements planned to be included in the operational UV validation. Site name Country Instrument Florence (Lamma) Italy SL501A Trondheim Norway GUV-541 Østerås Norway GUV-541 Ny-Ålesund Norway GUV-541 Landvik Norway GUV-541 Kise Norway GUV-541 Norway GUV-541 Bergen Norway GUV-541 Blindern Norway GUV-511 Alomar, Andøya Norway GUV-541 Finse alpine reseach station ecological 20/26 File: MACCII_RAD_D122_7_FMI.doc/.pdf Jokioinen Finland SL501A Sodankylä Finland SL501A 21/26 File: MACCII_RAD_D122_7_FMI.doc/.pdf 7. Validation of a Near Real Time (NRT) Broadband UV-I data During MACC-II we have been participating also in validation activities of VAL sub-project, using broadband UV data and a similar validation procedure that was described in the previous section (Chapter 6). The overall 10 European sites were included in a comparison of MACC_osuite version with respect to COST UV Index Database and so far covering the period of January 2013 – April 2014 (Figure 7.1). 7.1. Methodology Figure 7.1. NRT sites included in the comparison. The UV processor performance against Ultraviolet radiation (UV) Index (UV-I) measurements, taken from COST UV Index Database hosted by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) is evaluated in this report. NRT UV-I data is provided either every 30 min or as daily maximum depending on different site. MACC_osuite has data coverage of every 3 hours. In the ECMWF model output is represented at 5 nm spectral resolutions and knowing the erythemal action spectrum (that is used to derive UV-I), spectral data are integrated to get the UV Index that is further used in the comparison with ground-based measurements. The UV index measurements are taken from two different types of instruments: multiband filterradiometer and broadband detector that are operating among the 10 sites included in the report. The instruments measuring spectral data are further convoluted with the erythemal weighing function, in order to get UV-I. While, the broadband detectors account for weighting function that mimics that of erythemal one. The very best target for the uncertainty of broadband instruments falls within 10-15% (Seckmeyer et al., 2006), however not all the recommended correction factors are accounted for in these measurements, therefore, the uncertainties can be estimated to be slightly higher, up to 20%. Norwegian SUV instruments, on the other hand, are slightly different instruments and the network is very well maintained, so we anticipate those uncertainties to be closer to 10-15% range. 22/26 File: MACCII_RAD_D122_7_FMI.doc/.pdf Most of the sites have measurements every 30 min, however, Uccle and Lindenberg provide only maximum daily value (Uccle – max value, Lindenberg – max 30min average). Therefore, daily UV-I cycle is not available from two later sites. 7.2. Results Figure 7.2.1. Daily UV Index values of MACC_osuite against measurements from COST UV Index Database (MUVI) in two Norwegian stations: Bergen and Østerås. The selected days are 21st March 2014 and 17th March 2014. Time is given UTC. Figure 7.2.1 shows daily UV-I cycle for two locations in Bergen and Østerås for particular selected days. Good agreement between daily-modeled UV-I values compared to the measured is seen in Østerås for clear-sky case with a slight overestimation at around noon. It should be noted that, no cloud screening is introduced to the data in Figure 7.2.1. A clearsky case is selected based on visual evaluation and also from a smooth curve of measured UV-I values (black line). UV-I increases in the beginning of the day and peaks at around 12 UTC. The selected days in both sites are very close to each other, however, the clear difference by almost half in UV-I shows a cloud layer being present almost throughout the day in Bergen. For most of the clear-sky cases, when a smooth measured UV-I daily curve is observed, the model-measurements agreement is good. Cloudy days (broken black lines), on the other hand, are not so well presented by the model (not shown). In both of the cases (cloudy-day in Bergen and clear-sky day in Østerås), the model tends to overestimate UV index values. Overall, for the clear-sky cases, the MACC_osuite captures daily UV-I values well with correct UV-I peaking time. However, cloudy cases still remain challenging. 23/26 File: MACCII_RAD_D122_7_FMI.doc/.pdf Figure 7.2.2. Simulated monthly mean values of daily maximum UV-I for January 2013-April 2014 at ten sites along with NRT UV-I values from UV Index Database. Figure 7.2.2 shows monthly mean values of daily maximum UV-I from January 2013 to April 2014. The maximum daily UV-I values from MACC_osuite are selected so that the time differences between modeled and measured UV-I values around the noon are the smallest. For all sites, UV Index gradually increases towards summer months with a peak in June-JulyAugust. MACC_osuite tend to show a rather similar pattern with a more sloped peak in July. Finse exhibits a slight decrease in UV index in May. The best model-measurements performance is seen for Bergen and Landvik in Southern Norway. Overall, the MACC_osuite agrees well as compared to the measurements exhibiting a clear yearly cycle. 7.3. Conclusions The NRT broadband UV comparison reveals that the daily cycle and seasonality of UV-I can be reproduced well by the model. There is a good model-measurements agreement considering clear-sky cases, where the timing and UV-I peak values are represented correctly. However, for cloudy cases, UV-I variation in the model is rather significant. On the yearly basis, the MACC_osuite tends to follow the measurements well. The best seasonal representation remains for Bergen and Landvik in Norway. All sites exhibit the highest UV-I values in summer. 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