Whitepaper 5-GHz Wireless LAN – Real Opportunity in a Real Market February 2002 Volume 2.0 1 Wireless LAN Market – Gaining Momentum The market for high-speed wireless networks has arrived. An analysis of reports by Cahners In-Stat Group and Allied Business Intelligence (ABI) predicts that worldwide chip set revenue for the 5-GHz wireless local area network (WLAN) market will reach U.S. $620 million by 2005, with an annual growth rate per year of 158 percent (1). Cost and performance of WLAN technology has reached acceptable levels, and standards have arrived that guarantee interoperability 700 600 500 Enterprise Residential Public access & other 400 300 200 100 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Table 1: Wireless LAN 5-GHz IC market 2001 - 2005 among various pieces of equipment. The greatest initial market potential lies in the enterprise and home segments. The public sector also offers opportunity but is expected to grow at a slower rate. Unlike many sectors of the telecommunications industry, analysts predict dramatic growth in the demand for wireless networking equipment in the enterprise and home markets, and, in particular, 5-GHz WLAN technology, beginning in 2002: An analysis of Cahners In-Stat Group and ABI reports predicts that the enterprise WLAN end-use sales will rise from U.S. $3.6 billion in 2001 to U.S. $6.8 billion in 2005.(2) This paper will offer an overview of all three market segments - enterprise, home and public access followed by a look at current global technology standards, the evolution path from 2.4-GHz, and the problems currently facing the industry. 1.1 Enterprise Market Segment WLAN technology is starting to show a positive enough return on investment (ROI) to entice corporations into expanding their network to include a wireless component. The ROI is based on reduced capital equipment, installation and management expenditures coupled with increased employee productivity. Whether you work in a small suite or in a multicomplex campus environment, networked connectivity is a necessity. Wired networks, such as Ethernet, offer sufficient bandwidth for most applications, but are limited in their flexibility and ease of installation (i.e., you must be near a physical data jack and necessary cables to gain access to the network). By implementing a WLAN network, enterprise end-users will enjoy increased productivity and flexibility in their work environment because they are not being confined to a wired connection. In a recent report by Sage Research, it was estimated that, on average, employees can gain as much as eight hours per week in productivity, or one full work day, over their wired LAN counterparts, representing a significant savings in one year (3). Based on such benefits, companies may decide to "extend" the coverage of their wired network by adding a wireless network. To do this they install stationary devices called Access Points (APs) in strategic locations where wireless connectivity is valuable, such as in a conference room. An AP is a connection point between two parts of a wireless network or between a wired and wireless network. Whenever end-users are within the coverage area of one of these APs, they will be able to connect to the corporate network just as they do with their wired connection. APs can also be used to create networks that are completely wireless, thus eliminating the need for wired connections entirely. To connect to the WLAN, end-users simply need network interface cards, such as PC or PCI cards, which talk to the AP and allow laptops or desktop computers to connect to the corporate network. These cards will provide connectivity similar to wired Ethernet cards, but at a data rate that is as much as five times faster than conventional 10BaseT systems. 1.2 Home Network Market Segment At home, consumers have or will have the desire to connect various information and entertainment devices to a single point of Internet access. Whether it is multiple PCs sharing a single dedicated Internet connection or multiple appliances such as a home theater system, security system and automation system, a network is required. Wired solutions are both cumbersome and unsightly, and might not be practical in older homes and apartments. Using WLAN technology, consumers will be able to easily and affordably link various information and entertainment devices to each other in the home. For 1 example, a satellite television receiver on the roof can connect to the television inside the house via a 5-GHz WLAN connection. There is no pulling of cables through new homes or undertaking costly and difficult retrofitting of older homes. Another example is the capability of a consumer to review e-mail or search the Web while not being confined to a study or bedroom with an Ethernet jack. Consumers will purchase a gateway or set-top box through a variety of sales channels including retail outlets and service providers. The gateway will consist of a wide area network connection such as DSL, cable modem, satellite or ISDN, as well as a LAN connection. There are three primary types of physical connectivity for the home: existing wiring (telephone and power), new dedicated cables, or wireless technology. In many cases, wireless is the most desirable option because it offers the greatest degree of flexibility and is relatively cost effective. Today consumers can purchase wireless network cards (PC, PCI, etc.) for laptops and desktop PCs based on the 2.4-GHz 802.11b standard. In addition, makers of appliances such as telephones (cordless and cellular), home security systems, home theater equipment, Internet-enabled refrigerators, and other Internet appliances will embedhigh-speed wireless technology into their products to provide connectivity to a gateway or set-top box. 1.3 Public Area Access Market Segment Public area access refers to wireless network connectivity within places such as airports, hotels, convention centers and subway stations. Mobile professionals benefit from an increase in productivity while away from the office. Service providers or facility owners install a network of APs within a building, giving users wireless access to the Internet. The APs are interconnected via a wired network such as Ethernet, which in turn connects to the Internet through an edgerouting element. The net result is a sustained wireless connection to the network as end-users travel between APs. Devices that have been equipped with wireless technology, such as mobile phones, personal digital assistants and laptops, are already available to endusers. 2 5-GHz WLAN - Real Opportunity in a Real Market 2.1 Technology Standards A number of technical solutions for high-speed wireless network markets have been developed throughout the world, primarily in Europe (European Telecommunication Standard Industry - ETSI), Japan (ARIB) and North America (IEEE). layers. The only difference lies in 802.11a's Media Access Control (MAC) layer, which is Ethernet-based. The HiperLAN2's MAC is similar to Asynchronous Transfer Mode (ATM), with some additions to support Ethernet-based applications. Because HiperLAN2 is based on ATM and IP technology, it has quality and security functions not yet available with 802.11a. Despite these functional advantages, its more complex and expensive design makes it a less attractive option. The IEEE 802.11 committee has engaged task groups specifically to meet European and Japanese technical and market requirements in areas such as quality of service and security. 2.2 Evolution to 5-GHz WLAN There are two primary factors driving the evolution from 2.4 GHz to 5.0 GHz: bandwidth and congestion. Enterprise customers seeking to implement nextgeneration information technology applications such as intranet, audio and real-time video applications, as well as those interested in deploying application service provider models for the distribution of client software, will require WLAN solutions offering more bandwidth than is available with 802.11b. While the draft 802.11g specification has been touted as providing performance comparable to 802.11a in the 2.4-GHz band, it is widely believed that it will take upwards of a year to ratify, and volume production of 802.11g products will not be begin until 2004. In addition, limitations in key performance areas, such as network capacity and data throughput in dual mode 802.11g operation may severally limited adoption in the public and enterprise markets. In addition, increased congestion in the unlicensed 2.4GHz band, which hosts a variety of wireless applications including 802.11b WLAN, cordless telephones and Bluetooth wireless technology as well as home appliances such as microwaves, is becoming problematic. 2.3 The Opportunity - High-Volume Production of 5-GHz WLAN Products The market for 5-GHz WLAN technology is real, but challenges remain. OEMs evaluating this space have suggested that there are three major problems with current semiconductor solutions. 1. High Power Consumption: OEM customers consider the power consumption of traditional OFDM modem solutions to be too high (2.0 watts and higher at 3.3 volts); The ETSI standard, called HiperLAN2, and the IEEE 802.11a solution use almost identical Orthogonal Frequency-Division Multiplexing (OFDM) physical 2 2. High Total System Cost: OEM customers consider the total system bill of material cost of current 802.11a solutions to be too high; 2 Gemma Paulo Life, Liberty and WLANs: Wireless Networking Brings Freedom to the Enterprise November 2001 3. Low System Performance: OEM customers do not believe that the performance (data rate and range) will deliver the end-user experience necessary to generate high demand. Navin Sabharwal, Wireless LAN Silicon ICs: Market Dynamics, Major Players and Technology Assessments November 2001 These same OEMs have indicated that the silicon vendor who addresses these issues will make a huge imp act on the market and will be in a position to lead the market. 3 Wireless LANs: Improving Productivity and Quality of Life, Sage Research for Cisco Systems, May 2001 For a more in-depth discussion on the problems facing this industry, please see the IceFyre whitepaper titled Achieving Volume Production of 5-GHz WLAN Devices. For a more in-depth discussion on solutions to these problems please see the IceFyre whitepaper titled IceFyre’s 5-GHz OFDM Modem Solution. 3 Summary The 5-GHz WLAN market is on a growth curve that provides opportunity to networking equipment and application OEMs, as well as to component designers and manufacturers. Driving the market is the end-users' desire for high-bandwidth network connectivity without the interference issues of the 2.4-GHz band. There are some design challenges facing this market, but once they are solved, the 5-GHz segment is expected to become the dominant player in WLAN. References: 1 Gemma Paulo Life, Liberty and WLANs: Wireless Networking Brings Freedom to the Enterprise November 2001 Navin Sabharwal, Wireless LAN Silicon ICs: Market Dynamics, Major Players and Technology Assessments November 2001 For additional information regarding IceFyre Semiconductor Corporation or its products, see www.IceFyre.com IceFyre Semiconductor Corporation 300–411 Legget Drive | Kanata | Ontario | Canada | K2K 3C9 | Tel: 613.599.3000 | Fax: 613.599.4965 IceFyre Semiconductor Corporation reserves the right to make changes to the product(s) or information contained herein without notice. No liability is assumed as a result of their use or application. 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