3.1 Measuring national income Circular flow of income – Factor Markets Firms Governments Households Financial Institutions Product Markets Methods of measurement – income, expenditure and output Income- sum of all factors of income GDP - Factor of Payments to foreigners + factor payments from foreigners = GNP GNP – capital consumption allowance = NNP (net national product) NNP – indirect business taxes = National income National income + transfers – direct taxes = disposable personal income Expenditure- sum of the monetary values of all final goods and services GDP = C + I + G + (X-M) = Consumption + Investment + Government expenditure + (exports – imports) Consumption- personal consumption expenditures ~ Final goods and services, non durable and durable goods. Investment - gross private domestic investment ~ Expenditures that add to (or replace) the economy's capital stock (plants, equipment, structures, and inventories). ~ Investment is not an intermediate good because it is not completely used up Two main categories of investment 1. Inventory investment - increase or decrease (disinvestment) in the value of the stocks of inventories that businesses have on hand. 2. Fixed investment -- addition of new plants, equipment, commercial buildings, and residential structures Government- local, state, federal purchases of final goods and services. ~final goods and services by convention ~valued at the cost of supply because they are not sold to final consumer therefore government expenditures ~does not include: transfer payments - recipients who have not supplied current goods or services in exchange for these payments (do not represent current output), produce no income or output Net exports- exports minus imports ~exports- goods and services that are produced domestically but sold to foreigners. Dollars in, goods out. ~Imports- goods and services produced by foreigners but purchased by domestic consumers. Dollars out, goods in. Output- finds the total output of a nation by finding the total of all goods and services that a nation produces. ~ Only the final value of goods and services produces are counted, helps avoid double counting Distinction Between: Gross and net Gross output- equal to the value of net output or GDP plus intermediate consumption. Represents the total value of sales by producing enterprises in an accounting period before subtracting the value of intermediate goods used up in production. Net Output- is equivalent to the gross value added during to an accounting period when producing enterprises uses imports to produce outputs. National and Domestic National- everything and everyone outside the political boundaries of the domestic economy. Domestic- Anything that has to do with activity within the boundaries of a nation. Nominal and Real Nominal- the effects of inflation have not been counted for. Real- the effects of inflation have been factored in. Total and per capita Total- the total for every one in a country. Per capita- per a single person in a country. 3.2 Introduction to development Economic growth: an increase in the value of a country’s income or expenditures, in other words, an increase in GDP. Economic development: an improvement in the welfare and standard of living of a society. Key differences between the two: Increases in economic growth do not necessarily translate into increases in economic development. Although economic progress is necessary for a better standard of living, a better standard of living does not always result from an increase in GDP. For example, a country may ignore the negative externalities of production like pollution, and thereby achieve a greater GDP. However, the pollution may cause health problems, effectively decreasing the standard of living. Another aspect of a society’s “standard of living” that goes unaccounted for in GDP is leisure time. If the members of an economy work long hours, the input of labor is greater than if they worked shorter hours, and therefore the GDP is greater. However, although the GDP would be greater, society would not necessarily be better off. They could have more goods and services, but they would lack the leisure time to enjoy them. Measures of growth o Gross Domestic Product (GDP): The market value of all goods and services produced within a country in a given time period. Gross domestic product is calculated as the sum of a country’s consumer spending, investment spending, government spending, and net exports (exports minus imports): GDP = C + I + G + NX GDP is real or nominal. Real GDP takes into account inflation, while nominal GDP does not. Real GDP is calculated by taking the prices from a base year in order to determine the value of goods and services in the years since. o Gross National Product (GNP): the total income earned by a nation’s permanent residents, or nationals. It differs from GDP by including income that domestic citizens earn abroad and excluding income that foreigners earn domestically. For example, if a French citizen comes to the United States and temporarily starts making and selling his own cheese, his production is part of the US GDP, but part of the France GNP. Purchasing power parity provides an allowance for differences in purchasing power when comparing welfare between countries. Purchasing power parity is the theory of exchange whereby a unit of any given currency should be able to buy the same quantity of goods in all countries. For the purchasing power of a given currency to be the same in two countries: 1/P = e/P* Where the price level of one country is P, of the other country, P*, and e equals the nominal exchange rate. Other methods (besides GDP, purchasing power parity) to measure welfare between countries: o Life expectancy: length of the average lifespan in a country o GDP per capita: GDP divided by the number of people in a country o Adult literacy: percentage of the adult population that is literate o Internet usage: percentage of the adult population with internet access o Human development index (HDI): a statistic developed by the United Nations which takes into account various indicators of standard of living including literacy rate, life expectancy, GDP per capita and educational attainment Some problems of measuring development include the following: o No one measurement offers a comprehensive look at the welfare of an entire economy. However, GDP offers arguably the best view, and is the most widely used indicator of the well-being of a country’s economy and its citizens. Therefore we consider the problems in measuring GDP: The contribution of the housing market to GDP is difficult to measure. Economists address this issue by estimating the value at which homeowners are “renting their house out to themselves.” GDP excludes goods and services sold on the black market like illegal drugs. It also excludes items that people make and consume themselves, like home-grown vegetables. GDP does not include transactions involving goods that were produced and counted in the GDP in the past, for example, used cars. GDP does not include the production of American citizens in foreign countries. GDP must be “seasonally-adjusted,” meaning the statistics must be adjusted as not to reflect the time of the year in which the data was collected. For example, consumption is higher in December than during other times of the year in preparation for the holidays. Mini-IA: Section 3.2 “Singapore economy shrinks 4.2 prc in 4th quarter” http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5ixM7Qrota6NUElM_rCNT0jwuJ7wD96J6U6G0 Singapore’s economy has been severely weakened by the global economic downturn, as evidenced by a 4.2 % decline in GDP for the October-December quarter, a rate higher than last month’s estimates. The decrease in GDP results from a sharp decline in the demand for exports, down 35 % since only last month. While GDP is the sum of consumer, investment, and government spending, along with net exports (exports minus imports), Singapore’s economy is more dependent than most on net exports, with NX constituting 2/3 of their GDP. When the housing crisis in the United States sparked an international economic slump, Singapore was especially hit hard because of its openness and dependence on international trade: “‘open economies as Singapore will continue to be tossed around in stormy economic waters.’” Of the three industries the article mentioned that were hit particularly hard by bad economic times, finance, manufacturing and tourism, tourism would be the most affected by the global slowdown, because foreigners lack the money to be able to vacation and travel. The article also mentions an impending government stimulus plan, which, (since it constitutes government spending), might reduce the decline in GDP that Singapore is presently undergoing. It is difficult to accurately analyze what the decline in GDP means for Singapore’s current economy because this statistic reflects the October-December quarter. This lag time is one of the difficulties with calculating and analyzing GDP. The statistic is, however, “seasonallyadjusted,” meaning that it is not affected by the time of the year in which the data was collected. Since the statistic includes the month of December, when consumer spending is likely to be larger than during the rest of the year due to the holidays, this seasonal adjustment is important.