Understanding the Generation, Propagation, Near- and Far-Field Impacts of TSUNAMIS and Planning Strategies to Prepare for Future Events Chapter 5 CHAPTER 5. IMPACT ASSESMENT 5.1. PALEOTSUNAMI STUDIES; CONTRIBUTION TO MITIGATION AND RISK ASSESMENT The study of paleotsunami traces is typically conducted by geologists--in particular by stratigraphers and sedimentologists. Answers to s number of questions are looked for during paleotsunami studies. They are 1. Do tsunamis leave deposits? 2. Where do tsunamis leave deposits, and where are they most likely preserved? 3. Are tsunami deposits distinctive? For example, how can we tell them from storm deposits? flood deposits? 4. Can we distinguish locally generated from distally generated tsunami deposits? 5. How well can we date & correlate (paleo-)tsunami deposits? 6. Can we quantify run-up (or tsunami amplitude) from tsunami deposits? 7. If so, can we quantify paleo-seismic events from paleo-tsunami deposits? The basic activity of paleotsunami studies is the identification, mapping, correlation and dating of tsunami deposits. Each of these steps requires careful attention. The fundamental goal of such work is to reconstruct past and pre-historic tsunamis, including a determination of recurrence interval. Ideally, these reconstructions would include quantified estimates of tsunami size and extent, as well as of earthquake size. These attempts to quantify paleotsunami frequency and size can contribute directly to tsunami-mitigation and riskassessment programs. Key problems in paleotsunami studies include the very basic issue of positive identification of such deposits--for example, can we distinguish them from storm and flood deposits? Recent studies of historic tsunami deposits have contributed to our understanding, and some criteria have been developed for identifying tsunami deposits. However, it is known that tsunami deposits are quite variable in character, and limited in geographic extent; for these reasons we must be careful to realize that non-occurrence, or non-recognition of tsunami deposits at a given locality does not mean, positively, that tsunamis did not occur at that locality. Another key problem in paleotsunami studies is the dating and correlation of events. When we go from one locality to another, are we looking at the same tsunami deposit, or at deposits from separate events? Even with key marker horizons, such as distinctive ash layers, correlation of tsunami deposits, which helps us estimate the size (and frequency) of paleoevents, can be problematic. For example, some subduction zones are known to rupture in segments, at close time intervals, followed by long intervals of low seismicity. Numerical dating of prehistoric tsunami deposits is also difficult, at a time-scale accuracy of decades. The standard dating technique is radiocarbon, and sampling of appropriate material (i.e., alive during and then killed by the event, as opposed to transported or older/younger material) can be problematic, as can contamination and correction issues. New techniques of surface dating, such as thermoluminescence, and chlorine-36 dating, are promising, but still in the development stage. The third key problem is the quantification of paleotsunami events--how well can we calculate wave size or paleorunup, for example? A few pioneering studies have been done in this realm, SHORT COURSES ON UNDERSTANDING THE GENERATION, PROPAGATION, NEAR and FAR-FIELD IMPACTS of TSUNAMIS & PLANNING STRATEGIES TO PREPARE FOR FUTURE EVENTS July 11-12, 2005 Pan Pasific Hotel, Kuala Lumpur By A.C.Yalçıner, H.Karakuş, C.Özer, G.Özyurt 80 Understanding the Generation, Propagation, Near- and Far-Field Impacts of TSUNAMIS and Planning Strategies to Prepare for Future Events Chapter 5 but until some of the recent events have been used to test them, paleotsunami models remain tentative. Thus paleotsunami researchers and others are called upon to conduct careful posttsunami surveys of recent tsunamis, paying particular attention not only to runup measurements and damage, but also to geomorphic and sedimentologic effects. 5.2. POST TSUNAMI SURVEYS AND ASSESMENT Tsunami leave traces on the shoreline and some of them can be measured bur some of them can be obtained by interviews with eyewitnesses. Near the source, the arrival of a local tsunami resembles the concurrence of several phenomena running together (a syndrome), whose noticeable effects may happen almost simultaneously. The main effects of the interaction of this tsunami syndrome with the coast are (Farraras, 2000) Sinking or rising sea-level and/or land-level in short term (hours) or long term (years), Inundation and currents, Uplifting or subsidence of the ground, Earth landslides and/or submarine slumps, Soil deformation and/or liquefaction, Sediment: erosion-transport-deposition, Vegetation: uprooting-destruction-immersion, Exposure of the subaqueous (below inter-tidal level) marine life, Salt water penetration into the inland soil, Shoreline alteration, Destruction and damage to human life, man-made structures and infrastructure, and Inland and seaward transport of objects (ships, vehicles, houses, structures, etc) Post-Tsunami Field Survey At least, three basic elements are needed for the successful performance of a post-tsunami field survey: trained personnel, adequate equipment, and standard procedures. Through observation of the evidence (marks) left by the coastal interaction effects listed above, the surveyors must be able to adequately identify and quantitatively evaluate the following parameters at all coastal locations by measurements and/or eyewitness interviews. 1. The maximum horizontal extension of the inundation (for several transects), This data provides estimating the height of initial wave. 2. The vertical reach of the inundation (maximum runup and maximum water level), This data provides estimating the height of initial wave. 3. The period of the wave. This data provides estimating the width of the fault. 4. The arrival time, This data provides estimating the distance of the soıurce from shore 5. Shape of the wave such as leading deprpression or leading elevation wave. This data provides estimating the location of the subsidence and uplift segments of the fault and/or initial wave 6. Sudden erosion, transport, and deposition of sediments (volume, type, and rate), 7. Ground uplifting and/or subsidence (size and shape), and 8. Landslides and/or slumps (volume, rate, direction, orientation, type and size of material). SHORT COURSES ON UNDERSTANDING THE GENERATION, PROPAGATION, NEAR and FAR-FIELD IMPACTS of TSUNAMIS & PLANNING STRATEGIES TO PREPARE FOR FUTURE EVENTS July 11-12, 2005 Pan Pasific Hotel, Kuala Lumpur By A.C.Yalçıner, H.Karakuş, C.Özer, G.Özyurt 81 Understanding the Generation, Propagation, Near- and Far-Field Impacts of TSUNAMIS and Planning Strategies to Prepare for Future Events Chapter 5 9. Photographs from all conditions (surface and aerial with the footnotes of GPS coordinate and date/time of the photo. 5.3.IMPLICATIONS of TSUNAMIS ON COASTAL and MARINE STRUCTURES 5.3.1. Added Mass Concept Let us consider the motion of two dimensional objects in a fluid which is otherwise at rest. SWL z f y x U V Assume the fluid is ideal (i.e. fluid viscocity, 0 ). The motion of the object will result the flow of the fluid. The fluid motion can be described by a velocity potential function, . Example: Cylinder a U Stream lines U a2 Cos (y2 z2) 1 2 z y tan 1 ( ) SHORT COURSES ON UNDERSTANDING THE GENERATION, PROPAGATION, NEAR and FAR-FIELD IMPACTS of TSUNAMIS & PLANNING STRATEGIES TO PREPARE FOR FUTURE EVENTS July 11-12, 2005 Pan Pasific Hotel, Kuala Lumpur By A.C.Yalçıner, H.Karakuş, C.Özer, G.Özyurt 82 Understanding the Generation, Propagation, Near- and Far-Field Impacts of TSUNAMIS and Planning Strategies to Prepare for Future Events Chapter 5 The kinetic energy which will be possessed by the moving fluid is equal to: 1 Tf f 2 2 2 A y z dA The result of this integral can be written for any shape of the object (i.e. cylinder, paralelopide, etc.) as: Tf 1 ' 2 MU 2 where M’ is a “mass term” which depends on the volume and shape of the object, on the density of the fluid, and on the direction in which the object moves. The kinetic energy of the object is equal to: T0 1 MU 2 2 M=mass of the object Then, the total kinetic energy is: TT T f T0 1 ( M M ' )U 2 2 Consider that the force, F is acting on the object to accelarate it. The power which is applied to change the kinetic energy of the system is, by definition: d (T0 T f ) dt 1 d (U 2 ) F .U ( M M ' ) 2 dt Power F .U dU dt dU F (M M ' ) dt ( M M ' )U This equation shows that, if you want to give the acceleration should exert a force F which is greater than M . dU to the object, you dt dU (the force which will be necessary in dt vacuum). This is because, while accelerating the object, you would also give acceleration to the surrounding fluid particles. One may say that an object accelating in a fluid, behaves as if it has an apperent mass (M+M’) which is in excess of its real mass (M). M’ is called the ADDED MASS M+M’ is called the VIRTUAL MASS SHORT COURSES ON UNDERSTANDING THE GENERATION, PROPAGATION, NEAR and FAR-FIELD IMPACTS of TSUNAMIS & PLANNING STRATEGIES TO PREPARE FOR FUTURE EVENTS July 11-12, 2005 Pan Pasific Hotel, Kuala Lumpur By A.C.Yalçıner, H.Karakuş, C.Özer, G.Özyurt 83 Understanding the Generation, Propagation, Near- and Far-Field Impacts of TSUNAMIS and Planning Strategies to Prepare for Future Events Chapter 5 CONCLUSION: The presence of the fluid creates a ‘resistance’ against the acceleration of the body.The added mass is conventinally expressed in terms of a coefficient as: M’=k (mass of the fluid replaced by the object) k f V k=added mass coefficient 5.3.1.1. Added Masses Moment of Inertias of Some Two Dimensional Shapes z Cylinder y Plate a x a b a M yy' : a 2 added moment M zz' : a 2 I xx' : 0 of inertia O' 0 M yy M yy' : b 2 I xx' M zz' : a 2 1 (a 2 b 2 ) 2 8 cross b a a M zz' : a 2 1 I xx' a 4 8 prism a 2a 2a M yy' : a 2 M yy' : 4.754 a 2 M yy' : a 2 b 2 a 2 / b 2 M zz' : a 2 M zz' : a 2 M zz' : 4.754 a 2 I xx' 2 a 4 I xx' 0.725 a 4 1 1 I xx' : a 4 Csc 4 2 2 Sin 4 Sin 2 2 2 2 SHORT COURSES ON UNDERSTANDING THE GENERATION, PROPAGATION, NEAR and FAR-FIELD IMPACTS of TSUNAMIS & PLANNING STRATEGIES TO PREPARE FOR FUTURE EVENTS July 11-12, 2005 Pan Pasific Hotel, Kuala Lumpur By A.C.Yalçıner, H.Karakuş, C.Özer, G.Özyurt 84 Understanding the Generation, Propagation, Near- and Far-Field Impacts of TSUNAMIS and Planning Strategies to Prepare for Future Events Sin where 2 2ab a b2 Chapter 5 2 complicated! 2 M xx' M yy' M zz' a 3 Sphere with radius “ a ” 3 ' I 0 5.3.2. FORCES on an OBJECT Morrison approach A formula which fills in the gap between large objects in small waves and small objects in a steady current is Morison's equation. The idea with this equation is to split the force on a body in one linear acceleration term and one quadratic velocity term. The acceleration and velocity should be evaluated from the undisturbed fluid motion as it would have been if the body does not present. The magnitude of the force terms is adjusted by dimensionless coefficients which are mainly depending on the geometry of the body. If the body in the fluid has length L, the net force the force on the body of volume V will have the form V/L is a characteristic cross sectional area. V is submerged Volume and the characteristic length of the object. This force formula is rather close to what is called Morison's equation. F = FI + FD inertia drag force force 5.3.2.1. Drag Forces on the Objects in Fluids Force in the direction of flow exerted by the fluid on the solid is called drag. SHORT COURSES ON UNDERSTANDING THE GENERATION, PROPAGATION, NEAR and FAR-FIELD IMPACTS of TSUNAMIS & PLANNING STRATEGIES TO PREPARE FOR FUTURE EVENTS July 11-12, 2005 Pan Pasific Hotel, Kuala Lumpur By A.C.Yalçıner, H.Karakuş, C.Özer, G.Özyurt 85 Understanding the Generation, Propagation, Near- and Far-Field Impacts of TSUNAMIS and Planning Strategies to Prepare for Future Events Chapter 5 Figure shows a stationary smooth sphere of diameter DP situated in a stream, whose velocity far away from the sphere is uµ to the right. Except at very low velocities, when the flow is entirely laminar, the wake immediately downstream from the sphere is unstable, and turbulent vortices will constantly be shed from various locations round the sphere. Because of turbulence, the pressure on the downstream side of the sphere will never fully recovered to that on the upstream side, and there will be a form drag to the right of the sphere. (For purely laminar flow, the pressure recovery is complete, and the form drag is zero.) In addition, because of the velocity gradients that exist near the sphere, there will also be a net viscous drag (also called as wall drag) to the right (In potential flow there is no wall drag). The sum of these two effects is known as the (total) drag force, FD. A similar drag occurs for spheres and other objects moving through an otherwise stationary fluid - it is the relative velocity that counts. Form drag can be minimized by forcing separations toward the rear of the body. This is accomplished by stream lining (see figure below). SHORT COURSES ON UNDERSTANDING THE GENERATION, PROPAGATION, NEAR and FAR-FIELD IMPACTS of TSUNAMIS & PLANNING STRATEGIES TO PREPARE FOR FUTURE EVENTS July 11-12, 2005 Pan Pasific Hotel, Kuala Lumpur By A.C.Yalçıner, H.Karakuş, C.Özer, G.Özyurt 86 Understanding the Generation, Propagation, Near- and Far-Field Impacts of TSUNAMIS and Planning Strategies to Prepare for Future Events Chapter 5 The experimental results of the drag on a smooth sphere may be correlated in terms of two dimensionless groups - the drag coefficient CD and particles Reynolds number Re: Re = u D/υ In which A = П D2/4 is the projected area of the sphere in the direction of motion, and υ is the kinematic viscosity of the fluid. The subscript denote particle, NRe denotes Reynold’s number simply as Re There are at least three distinct regions, for flow around a sphere. 1. For Re less than 1 (laminar), CD vs. Re is a straight line, and is given by the relation CD = 24/Re (given by Stoke's law, FD = 3pm uµ DP) 2. 1 < Re < 1000 , CD = 18 NReP-0.6 (transition) 3. 1000 < Re < 2 x 105 , CD = 0.44 (turbulent) For cylinders and disks, for Re up to 1, CD = 24/Re and in other regimes CD varies with ReP in the manner as shown in figure. Here the flow orientation is much important. Drag coefficients varies with orientation of solid to the flow direction. In all these curves the transition from laminar to turbulent flow is more gradual than that for pipe flow (f vs. Re curve). SHORT COURSES ON UNDERSTANDING THE GENERATION, PROPAGATION, NEAR and FAR-FIELD IMPACTS of TSUNAMIS & PLANNING STRATEGIES TO PREPARE FOR FUTURE EVENTS July 11-12, 2005 Pan Pasific Hotel, Kuala Lumpur By A.C.Yalçıner, H.Karakuş, C.Özer, G.Özyurt 87 Understanding the Generation, Propagation, Near- and Far-Field Impacts of TSUNAMIS and Planning Strategies to Prepare for Future Events FD= 1 CD f A U2 2 Chapter 5 CD=CD(Re , ks/D) ,drag coefficient Raughness parameter (ks=raughness height) The drag force FD is generated by the squared velocity component normal to the element and normal to the lift force. The magnitude is adjusted by a drag coefficient CD depending on the geometry. 5.3.2.2. Inertia Forces on the Object in the Fluid FI=CM f V dU where, V= immersed volume of the object dt The inertia force (FM is oriented along the acceleration vector component normal to the member. The magnitude is proportional to the acceleration component and is adjusted by a dimensionless inertia coefficient CM. 4 FI Force/m V= D 2 x1 m3/m D 1 CM=k (if the object is moving relative to the fluid) CM=1+k (if the fluid is moving around the object) Directions of FD and FI a)Flow past a fixed object U FD FI dU dt U, dU , FI, FD are vectors dt 1 2 FD= C D f AU U Wave motion (periodic wave) past a fixed object: SHORT COURSES ON UNDERSTANDING THE GENERATION, PROPAGATION, NEAR and FAR-FIELD IMPACTS of TSUNAMIS & PLANNING STRATEGIES TO PREPARE FOR FUTURE EVENTS July 11-12, 2005 Pan Pasific Hotel, Kuala Lumpur By A.C.Yalçıner, H.Karakuş, C.Özer, G.Özyurt 88 Understanding the Generation, Propagation, Near- and Far-Field Impacts of TSUNAMIS and Planning Strategies to Prepare for Future Events CI U dU 0 dt FD FI Chapter 5 CII U dU 0 dt FD FI U U dU 0 dt FD FI dU 0 dt FD FI 1 2 1 dU FI= f C m V 2 dt FD= f C D AU U b)Object moving in an otherwise still fluid FD FI U dU dt c)Both object and the fluid are in motion u I) 1 2 d ( u U) 1 FI= C m f V 2 dt FD= C D f SA u U (u U) FD U d (u U ) dt II) SHORT COURSES ON UNDERSTANDING THE GENERATION, PROPAGATION, NEAR and FAR-FIELD IMPACTS of FD STRATEGIES TO PREPARE uFOR FUTURE EVENTS July d11-12, TSUNAMIS & PLANNING (u 2005 U) Pan Pasific Hotel, Kuala FI Lumpur dt By A.C.Yalçıner, H.Karakuş, C.Özer, G.Özyurt U 89 Understanding the Generation, Propagation, Near- and Far-Field Impacts of TSUNAMIS and Planning Strategies to Prepare for Future Events Chapter 5 III) FD u FI d(u U) dt U 5.3.2.3. Lift Forces on the Objects in Fluids Force on Slender Elements Morison's equation is of special importance - sometimes even the only tool available for evaluation of forces on framework structures. Piled offshore platforms, which exist in great number, belong to this class. In such constructions tubular elements are jointed together, pointing in almost any direction. To treat such members in general, it may sometimes be difficult to decompose the forces in well-defined components. For this reason it is convenient to write Morison's equation on a vectorial form which automatically takes care of the orientation of structural elements and force components. Consider a segment of a long, slender structural element submerged into the water. The element may presently have arbitrary cross section and is oriented along a unit vector l with directional cosines (l, m, n), that is (i, j, k) are the unit vectors of the global system of axes. The instantaneous, local fluid velocity vector v may be written in component form as The acceleration vector a is correspondingly The force per unit length on the element may in general be written as a vector sum of the inertia or mass force FM the drag force FD and a transversal lift force FL, that is The formulation of the force should agree with the following empirical properties of the force components: The lift force FL is oriented normal to the velocity vector and normal to the axis of the element. The force is proportional to the velocity squared and is tuned by a lift coefficient CL. (See Equation below) Lift is one of the most important forces in moving fluid. It is a result of pressure differences around the particle. SHORT COURSES ON UNDERSTANDING THE GENERATION, PROPAGATION, NEAR and FAR-FIELD IMPACTS of TSUNAMIS & PLANNING STRATEGIES TO PREPARE FOR FUTURE EVENTS July 11-12, 2005 Pan Pasific Hotel, Kuala Lumpur By A.C.Yalçıner, H.Karakuş, C.Özer, G.Özyurt 90 Understanding the Generation, Propagation, Near- and Far-Field Impacts of TSUNAMIS and Planning Strategies to Prepare for Future Events Lift Chapter 5 maximum velocity, minimum pressure u Sketch Showing Lift Force The mathematical expression for the lift force is : 1 FL= CL f A U2 2 where A is the surface area of the particle, cL is the coefficient of lift (highly particle and flow dependent) and U is the velocity perpendicular to particle. We can write the force components explicitly in quite general cases for the object, that is, when the vectors l, v and a are introduced without restrictions. Presently, however, we will rather consider three special cases which cover the slender members. 1.a circular tube in the vertical yz-plane transverse to the wave propagation direction, 2.a circular tube in the vertical xz-plane longitudinal to the wave propagation direction, 3.a circular tube in the horizontal plane. References Farreras S. F., (2000), “Post Tsunami Field Survey Procedures an Outline, Natıural Hazards Journal, 21, 207-214, Kluwer Academic Publishers. Bourgeous J., and Minoura K., Paleotsunami Studies; Contribution to Mitigation and Risk Assesment, http://omzg.sscc.ru/tsulab/paper1.html SHORT COURSES ON UNDERSTANDING THE GENERATION, PROPAGATION, NEAR and FAR-FIELD IMPACTS of TSUNAMIS & PLANNING STRATEGIES TO PREPARE FOR FUTURE EVENTS July 11-12, 2005 Pan Pasific Hotel, Kuala Lumpur By A.C.Yalçıner, H.Karakuş, C.Özer, G.Özyurt 91