PTBT, NPT, CTBT And Its Effects On South Asian Region Introduction 1. The period since 1945, when the first atomic bomb was exploded is popularly known as "Nuclear Age”. This period witnessed the discovery of the new sources of physical power by the Scientists and Engineers and is characterised by the production of a set of terrifying weapons of mass destruction for use against the adversaries. 2. It is generally held that the nuclear age has brought a radical change in international affairs and has enlarged the quantity of power. Eversince the use of atom bomb in 1945 the peace loving nations of the world have been making efforts in different shapes to control the nuclear arms race. These efforts proved fruitless as the inhabitants of this world witnessed 2045 nuclear explosions in 51 years including USA, Russia, UK, France, China and India.It meant a nuclear bomb exploded after every 9 days. Historical Background (From PTBT, NPT To CTBT) 3. Partial Test Ban Treaty (PTBT). USA, USSR, UK signed PTBT in Aug 1963,also known as the Treaty Banning Nuclear weapon tests in the atmosphere, in outer space and underwater. The treaty did not ban the countries for underground explosions unless they caused radioactive 3 debris. This treaty came into force in 10 Oct, 1963.The founding members expected that ultimately this treaty would lead to complete elimination of nuclear weapons tests. By Jan 1987 the number of signatory states had risen to 116.But covertly this treaty was designed to ensure permanent domination position of the existing nuclear powers. The treaty was also defective, as it did not make a provision for control through posts, spot inspection or international bodies. It made no bid to reduce the nuclear stockpiles and merely prohibited those tests, which could be detected. However China, France and Pakistan opposed such treaty, which did not insist on the destruction of existing nuclear stockpiles of USA, and USSR.It has been estimated that between Aug 1963 and Dec 1986 USSR conducted 412 tests. USA conducted 484 tests. All these tests were conducted underground. Likewise the other nuclear powers have also persisted with nuclear explosions. Thus UK made 17 nuclear explosions (underground) during this period. France made 91 underground and 41 atmospheric explosions while China made 7 underground and 22 atmospheric nuclear explosions. 4. It is evident from the above that the main intention of the two superpowers has been to control the spread of nuclear weapons as well as nuclear technology rather than to effect nuclear disarmament. This is further borne by the fact that despite repeated resolutions of the UN general 4 assembly calling for a comprehensive test ban, the nuclear states have continued underground tests. The nonnuclear countries have argued that unless the nuclear powers stop their vertical proliferation, it would not be possible to prevent the horizontal proliferation of nuclear weapons. 5. In 1985-86 the UN general assembly recommended the parties of PTBT to convert it through an amendment into a comprehensive treaty, but judging by the attitude of the powers on the stoppage of nuclear weapons test unless they have attained the capability of laboratory testing techniques. 6. NonProliferationTreaty (NPT). The term "Non Proliferation" came into surface, around 1965. Initially it was used to cover the concept of dissemination (spread of nuclear weapons by the nuclear powers) and acquisition (manufacture or otherwise obtaining of nuclear weapons by non-nuclear powers). However in course of time it also included further development accumulation and development of nuclear weapons by the nuclear powers. 5 7. As noted above, the PTBT of 1963 was designed by the superpowers to retain their monopoly in nuclear technology and to ensure their dominant position and they were certainly not interested in CTBT and nuclear disarmament. In June 1965 the Disarmament Commission of UN adopted a resolution and called upon the Eighteen Nations Disarmament Conference (ENDC) to meet and accord special priority to the consideration of the question of a treaty or convention to prevent the proliferation of nuclear weapons. On 17th Aug 1965 USA and USSR submitted a draft treaty to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons. The General Assembly ultimately adopted the treaty on 12th June 1968 by 95 to 4 votes with 21 abstentions. 8. The treaty of Non-Proliferation of nuclear weapon was simultaneously signed at London, Moscow and Washington on 1st July, 1968 and actually came into force on 5th March 1970.In all 136 states signed this treaty by 1 Jan, 1987. According to NPT both Pakistan and India can not be declared as nuclear state, according to para 3rd of article 9 all those states that tested their nuclear capability before Jan 1967 were known or declared nuclear states, it included USA, UK, Russia, France and China. Treaty contained 11 articles and an elaborate preamble. 6 9. Reaction to treaty. It produced a mixed reaction. Pakistan along with India, Israel, Egypt, South Africa, Spain, Argentina, Brazil etc. refused to ratify the NPT.Even China, France two nuclear powers refused to sign calling it discriminatory. The NPR of 1968 also accepted the inalienable right of all parties to the treaty to develop, research production and use of nuclear energy for peaceful purpose with out discrimination. 10. What is CTBT ? It envisages complete cessation of all nuclear testing. Unlike the NPT, the CTBT does not distinguish between and group of countries and bans all future test explosions for nuclear weapons states and nonnuclear weapons states. This goal was reiterated in the statement of "Principle and objects of Nuclear NonProliferation and Disarmament" adopted at the NPT conference. 11. CTBT is a brainchild of USA and other nuclear states to arrange full implementation of nuclear Non Proliferation Treaty. It calls for imposing total ban on conducting any nuclear test by any new entrant in the exclusive club, irrespective of the level of threshold already obtained by any United Nations Organization member. Extensive political and diplomatic efforts were made during 1996 at Geneva and New York to get the treaty ratified unanimously by member states through voluntary commitment. But 7 these efforts did not succeed. The text of CTBT calls for: a. b. c. d. Ban on all types of nuclear tests including underground tests. The nuclear programs of non nuclear weapons states, owing to lack of capability to conduct computer simulation and laboratory experiments and other non-explosive tests, should be frozen at their current levels. Complete disarmament of nuclear weapons by the declared five states at some later stage. Exchange of information between the threshold states and the declared states and inspection of nuclear plants by international observers. Main Objectives of the Permanent Security Council Members 12. The main objectives are as follows: - 8 a. b. c. d. Control and reduction of weapon of mass destruction. Achieved unfinished agenda of Nuclear NonProliferation Treaty. Freeze nuclear capability of nuclear threshold states. Deny testing facility to any new nuclear aspirant state. Nuclear Proliferation in South Asian 13. With the Pokharan explosion and development of Kahuta project nuclear factor has become a part of the South Asian Security threat. India's weapon oriented programs and Pakistan's peaceful nuclear response have caused apprehensions that nuclear programs of these traditional rivals would eventually disturb the world peace. Fears have also appeared on the Euro-American horizon about the nature of Pakistan's nuclear programs. The Islamic Bomb allegedly being fabricated by Pakistan with the financial assistance of some Arab countries has disturbed the peace of mind of Christians, Jews and Hindus. In view of any potential threat of Islamic fundamentalism to the so called emerging "New world order", the US and its western allies have been denying the nuclear technology to Pakistan on the pretext that nuclear weapons in the hands of such traditional rivals like India and Pakistan would not be in the interest of 9 world peace. This policy is based on dishonesty and discrimination too. India was allowed to find a soft corner in Jewish lobby in the America in the pretext of Chinese nuclear threat. Previously it was the communist threat which served as an excuse and now the threat of Islamic fundamentalism is being used by India as an excuse which is more appealing to Christian and Jewish lobby. 14. India started its nuclear programs with the assistance of France, USA, UK, Canada and the former Soviet Union. It made a rapid progress in this field. At last India exploded its first nuclear device in 1974.Since then India has been continuously developing its nuclear capability. In view of Indian foreign policy aims, Pakistan perceived a serious threat to its security and decided not to be intimated by Indian nuclear blackmail. Thus Pakistan embarked upon its peaceful nuclear program. The USA and the Western world that did not take any serious notice of Indian nuclear explosion became restless and have been showing grave concern about the potentials and programs of Kahuta Project. 15. Pakistan’s stance regarding the on going nuclear arms race in the region is very clear and based on a very sound rational. Pakistan has also proposed to control the nuclear proliferation in South Asia by adopting a just policy equally binding for India and Pakistan. The world has appreciated Pakistan's sincere efforts but India has not responded positively. However the fate of the proposal 10 regarding the extension of the Pressler amendment to India has given clear indication that USA is not willing to abandon its policy of discrimination with regard to nuclear issue in South Asia. The Genesis of Nuclear Program in the Region 16. India’s foremost scientist Dr. Homi Bhaba on whose recommendations the Tata Institute of Fundamental Research was established in 1945 took the first step towards the atomic program in South Asia. ON 15 Aug 1948 the Indian Government set up the Atomic Energy Commission. Progress was slow at first because much prep work had to be done, including the laying of an infrastructure and the training abroad of nuclear scientists and engineers. India was also able to install its first nuclear reactor at Trombay (near Bombay), which did Pundit Lal Nehru inaugurate in 1957. Pundit Nehru declared that India would never use nuclear energy for evil purposes whatever might be the circumstances. 17. The progress continued under Nehru and then his daughter Indira Gandhi. The Western countries and US gave India technical assistance in nuclear reactors. The Canadians build a nuclear research reactor named "Cirrus " at Trombay in 1960. The Americans build two reactors at Tarapur, Tarapur--Tarapur-II, and I which went critical in 1969 and were inaugurated by Indira Gandhi. India had 11 already set up a reprocessing plant in 1964 to feed its research reactors. Moreover, The Russians also lent a helping hand by providing India with heavy water and related technology. The First Nuclear Explosion In The Region 18. In 1966, Indira Gandhi became the Prime Minister of India, with her accession to power the entire complexion of the Indian nuclear program changed. It was no longer a matter of scientific research or a quest for nuclear energy for peaceful purposes as originally claimed by Nehru and Shastri. Nuclear power now became an instrument of power politics to gratify those who had been dreaming of reviving the Hindu Empire of the past. Over the past several years the Indians have been stealing Plutonium from the apparently safeguarded Canadian reactor and 12 had accumulated enough to carry out an explosion of respectable magnitude. When they have got enough of it to put together a critical mass, they exploded it at Pokharan in the Rajistan desert in May 1947 It was only about 10 kilotons in terms of fissionable material, but the political and emotional impact of the explosion was measurable in megatons. The Indians went wild with joy. The successful nuclear explosion gave them confidence, assurance and pride. It made them think of themselves the sixth nuclear power of the world. Mrs. Gandhi was hailed by the masses as a great leader. She became a Devi to the Indians of whom they could justly be proud. The Second Proposed Nuclear Explosion 19. India went for 2nd nuclear explosion in 1996 at Pokharan (Rajistan) but could not do so due to the opposition by G-7, USA and European Union. Pakistan also declared to embark upon the war oriented nuclear program instead of peaceful orientation, if India resorted to second nuclear explosion. Few factors are listed below which forced India to go for second nuclear explosion: a. b. c. Domestic compulsion due to congress BJP Political rifts. Permanent seat in the UN security council. To judge / test the important features of the bomb and develop safety procedures for weapons. 13 d. e. f. To carry out thermonuclear test at Bhaba Atomic Energy center. To reach to a secret understanding with western countries and US. Pakistan-China secret collaboration in transfer of missile technology, sale of ring magnets and construction of missile factory near Rawalpindi. Pakistan's Objects Nuclear Programme.Its Imperatives and 2o. While India was moving ahead in nuclear technology, Pakistan was at a stand still on this road. Pakistan was too involved in its internal political problems, which hardly allowed the country's borders to focus their attention on more pressing national interests. It was not until the early sixties that country turned seriously to face nuclear realities. The US helped to install a small Research reactor-PINSTECH, near Rawalpindi.Another 14 small nuclear power reactor KANUPP was installed at Karachi with the help of Canada.It was after the Pokharan explosion by India that Pakistan turned more seriously to nuclear energy. It planned a nuclear power plant at Chashma on the Indus river, which would provide a 600 MV of electricity and meet the sizeable proportion of national energy requirement. Pakistan signed a contract with France for the acquisition of a reprocessing plant to be installed at Chashma as a part of power generating system. Everything was set and the winds promised smooth sailing. But soon our dreams of energy selfsufficiency were shattered when France regretted to provide reprocessing plant under USA pressure and Chashma project consequently came to a stand still. 21. The west was singling out Pakistan for discriminatory treatment without paying any attention to India, South Africa and Israel. The west demanded of Pakistan's submission to the NPT and to safeguards without imposing these conditions on others. When Pakistan protested that it was prepared to fulfil all the conditions, which were imposed on everybody else, its protest fell on deaf ears? Canadians had out off fuel supplies from KANUPP and now US blocked progress on the Chashma project. All this led to a clear-cut decision by Pakistan that it would not depend on the tender mercies of the west. Pakistan would stand on its own feet, generate its nuclear energy by its own efforts, and without 15 asking anyone else for help. It would do so in a quicker and cheaper way, in other words take a short cut that is uranium enrichment. The Kahuta Project 22. The project rose from the ashes of Chashma to assert the national will and determination to have what the nation needed. Within a few years, un-aided by anybody, Pakistan had achieved uranium enrichment capability. It was away ahead of India in uranium enrichment, as India was ahead in the field of reprocessing. It was really surprising the world that a country which could not make sewing needles or even ordinary durable metalled roads was embarking on one of the latest and most difficult technologies. Only seven countries in the world (USA, UK, RUSSIA, FRANCE, CHINA, GERMANY and HOLLAND) possessed this technology. “It is a Herculean task and an ultracentrifuge is undoubtedly a mechanical miracle. Naturally, the western world was fully aware of these problems and was sure that an underdeveloped country like Pakistan could never master this technology we proved otherwise, “said Dr. A. Q Khan in his speech at an award ceremony in Lahore in Sept, 1990 and published in Frontier post, Peshawar, 12 Sep, 1990. 23. The Pakistan enrichment experience has demonstrated that it a nation is sincere and determined to achieve a 16 certain goal she would do it and will do so much sooner than anticipated. Others unattainable considered what we achieved in five years at a much lower cost by us in 50 years. Imperatives and Objectives 24. Pakistan being a developing country urgently needs nuclear energy to meet its basic requirements for country's industrial growth and economic development. According to a nuclear study conducted by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Pakistan would need 20 nuclear power plants to meet her power needs by the year 2000. On 23 rd Sept 1982, Chairman of Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission Dr. Munir Ahmed Khan addressed the 26 Th. annual session of the IAEA General Conference at Vienna. He said that the "use of nuclear energy in Pakistan is imperative to meet the growing demands of power in the country”. The importance of nuclear energy for a 17 developing country like Pakistan is also greater because the power generated by nuclear reactors is 33 % cheaper than the power by ordinary measures. It is, therefore indispensable for Pakistan to continue its nuclear program for peaceful purposes and to achieve the obj of accelerating her economy. 25. Pakistan’s nuclear break through at Kahuta caused wide spread unrest in India. Volumes are written about our nuclear programme which some described as the Islamic bomb and others as Pakistani bomb. The hard line Press in India, supported and instigated by the government, maintained a steady flow of propaganda to show that Pakistan was rapidly approaching the nuclear weapon stage, if it had not reached already, and that it was either about to detonate a nuclear device or would acquire an Israeli –like capability of having bombs, which only needed to have their wires connected. An interesting scenario used by this propaganda lobby was that Pakistan wove soon have a nuclear bomb, and when that happened Pakistan would start a war by invading Jammu and Kashmir. The vocal group of nuclear hawks in India, therefore, suggested that India must hurry up and acquire a nuclear weapons capability in preparation for the day when Pakistan would put this perfidious plan into operation. 26. Far from securing Pakistan ‘s nuclear efforts as they 18 had done in the past, the Americans, the Russians and the Western countries denounced Pakistan’s nuclear intentions. Every now and then they would announce that Pakistan was about to explode a nuclear device. There were even suggestions in the American media of a possible air strike by India at Kahuta to take out the nuclear plant as the Israeli had done with the Qsiris reactor in Iraq, and not surprisingly the Indian high command even studied the proposals. The proposal was given up not only because of natural and military defences of Kahuta, which was one important factor, but also because Trombay and Tarapur, among others, were well within the striking range of the Pakistan Air Force. Moreover, many Indians feared that Pakistanis were mad enough to launch on way mission. 27. On the other side, the Jewish lobby in the West which more or less controls the Americans media and exercises considerable influence over the media of Western Europe, orchestrated a campaign designed to give the image of rising nuclear peril from Pakistan which would have a devastating effects on the peace of the world. The bomb allegedly being fabricated by Pakistan 19 was happily flaunted as the Islamic Bomb. This created a disturbing picture in the minds of the Christians, and later also of the Hindus, of a great nuclear on -slaught to be launched by Islamic fundamentalists against the rest of the world with obvious shattering results. The Indians also tried to involve USA in its campaign against Pakistan by putting pressure on the Americans to do something about Islamic Bomb. The USA came down heavily on Pakistan. They first tried threats, then sent warnings and finally stopped aid. When Pakistan refused to be intimated, the US turned to France to break the contract and cancel the deal for the supply of the reprocessing plant which they did after some resistance, the Canadians had already cut off fuel supplies for KANUPP at Karachi which they themselves had installed for us, and they did so because the Indians had stolen Plutonium from a Canadian build reactor for Pokharan explosion. Later, USA also blocked progress on the Chashma project. In this way, India and the West showed their reaction to Pakistan’s nuclear programme. It is the fourth time that the USA has again stopped its aid to Pakistan under Pressler Amendment due to non-certification from US President about Pakistan’s Nuclear programme. Previously, in 1989, the certification followed after assurances about Pakistan’s nuclear 20 programme given by the then PM of Pakistan. Indian Present Position Towards CTBT 28. India traditionally has been one of the strong proponent of CTBT but has recently taken a turn in policy, based on afresh review of current geopolitical environment of the world. India has already carried out one underground test. Her leadership sees CTBT against her political aspirations. Some of the reasons given are: a. India will not be able to enjoy equal status with China and other nuclear states. b. Treaty forbids any new testing while it does not lay down a timetable for destruction of existing stockpiles of nuclear states. c. India will never achieve a status in world policies based on her size and population. d. She may be asked/ forced to role back her nuclear programme and will have to open the nuclear facilities for international inspection. e. The treaty should be improved as its present text has loopholes, permitting existing nuclear states to improve the technology and quality of their weapons through laboratory tests. f. Though India does not wish to block the treaty, She will not sign it unless a clear timetable is included for destruction of all nuclear weapons 21 by nuclear states. 29. Immediate and Long term Effects of Indian Stance. a. The treaty has been effectively blocked for the time being. b. Nuclear power states have been brought on weaker political stand. c. All 44 members holding Nuclear power stations have not yet signed the proposed treaty. d. India has achieved moral, political and ethical ascendancy over others. e. India may be able to bargain on the issue and get permanent Security Council Seat under give and take arrangement. f. Nuclear power states may be morally compelled to shed away some or all of their stockpiles. 22 g. h. Pakistan and India will be able to get sufficient time to complete their research work and requisite advancement of their programmes. Nuclear race between India and Pakistan shall continue with its security and economic implications. 30. Indian proposes to make the CTBT a genuine step towards disarmament as against the US and its allies who are determined to turn it into an instrument of nonproliferation rather than disarmament. India has resolved to support a truly / comprehensive treaty with no hidden agenda. This stance of India has left her in state of isolation as 173 nations including over 100 non—aligned states have abjured their nuclear option, legitimising it in the hands of the five nuclear weapons states. India has vetoed the deliberations at Geneva and much to the annoyance of Western powers, she has also refused to sponsor the UN resolution during its annual session of 1996. Pakistan’s Stand On Nuclear Proliferation In South Asia 31. The official stand of Pakistan regarding the nuclear issue is very clear and based on principles. Time and again the national leaders have solemnly declared that Pakistan ‘s nuclear programme is peaceful and dedicated solely for economic, technical and social development 23 and bringing the benefits of peaceful applications of nuclear energy to its 100 million people. Moreover Pakistan is ready to subscribe to any non-—proliferation arrangements in our region which is non-— discriminatory. Pakistan strongly supports the idea of solving the problems of proliferation on nuclear weapons through constructive political dialogue, which addresses the security and development concerns of the countries involved. In this connection, in late 1985, The late President Zia-ul -Haq, went so far as to make the following proposals to India on the floor of the UN: -- a. b. c. d. To declare South Asia a nuclear Free Zone To sign the NPT simultaneously. To agree to an international inspection team to visit and inspect each and every nuclear facility in each of the two countries , and To renounce mutually the use of nuclear weapons. 24 32. Now most recently the PM of Pakistan has given seven proposals for non-—proliferation in South Asia These proposals also include some points of the previous proposals given by Zia—ul—Haq. Following are the proposals: -a. Establishment of a nuclear weapons Free Zone in South Asia. b. Pakistan and India should issue a joint declaration renouncing the acquisition of nuclear weapons. c. An agreement with India on a system of bilateral inspection of all Nuclear facilities on reciprocal basis. d. Simultaneous acceptance of IAEA safeguards by Pakistan and India on Nuclear facilities. e. Signing of NPT by India and Pakistan simultaneously f. Conclusion of a bilateral or regional nuclear test ban treaty. g. Convening of a conference on nuclear nonproliferation in South Asia under the auspices of the UN with the participation of regional and other interested states. 25 33. Regarding the last proposal the PM Nawaz Sharif proposed convening of the five-nation conference to resolve the issue of nuclear proliferation in the region. According to the proposal the USA, Russia and China to consult and meet with India and Pakistan to discuss and resolve the issue of nuclear proliferation in South Asia. The aim of the meeting should be to arrive at an agreement for keeping this region free of nuclear weapons on the basis of proposals already made or new ideas that may engage .The PM also reminded that the nuclear non proliferation regime to be negotiated during the proposed multilateral consultations should be equitable and non discriminating. Pakistan ‘s View About Pressler Amendment. 34. Pakistan has invariably made it clear that it regards the Pressler Law as discriminatory and inequitable in its application, since it singles out and actually name one country, Pakistan. Moreover, it seeks to punish the country while letting off the hook other countries like India, Israel and South Africa, which have nuclear programmes exceeding Pakistan’s. Following is the text of the Pressler Amendment: -- 26 “ No assistance shall be furnished to PAKISTAN and no military equipment or technology shall be sold or transferred to Pakistan pursuant to the authorities contained in this Act or any other Act unless the President shall have certified in writing to the chairman of the committee of Foreign Relations of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives during the year in which assistance to be furnished or military equipment or technology is to be sold or transferred, that Pakistan does not posses a nuclear explosive device,and that the proposed US assistance programme will reduce significantly the risk that Pakistan will posses a nuclear device. “ USA Objectives in South Asian Regions 35. Non - Proliferation. A major goal of USA strategic and foreign policy. CTBT have been taken up as a crusade by US Clinton administration for establishment of New World Order (NWO). A handful of nuclear weapons states by virtue of their existing nuclear potentials would become the arbitrators in all-global disputes. Russia still in a shambles and China embroiled 27 in its domestic matters, uncertain about its hydro testing facilities it would be Pan American on large scale. 36. US Strategic Objectives. As a result of advancement in computer simulation and the ability to conduct micro nuclear explosions in the laboratories USA would be able to develop new nuclear weapons without underground testing thus the treaty would in no way be a constraint to USA strategic objectives. 37. Threshed States. India, Pakistan, Israel and South Africa would be totally retrained from joining the nuclear club and these countries making serious efforts to acquire nuclear technology would also be totally prohibited. USA Approach Towards CTBT. 38. USA is using all its tested tools, which were also used during the NPT. It includes demarches, political pressure, cajoling and coercing. Its eagerness to conclude an unconditional CTBT was hampered by France. She carried out series of nuclear tests in the Pacific, which proved Chirac’s bid to win the race of political supremacy in the west. China having agreed in principal to abide by the CTBT (with some amendments to its text) has conducted two nuclear tests and fired three medium and short range missiles with plans to conduct more before Sep, 1996. 28 Pakistan, s Approach Towards CTBT 39. Pakistan finds herself in a political and military dilemma. Where nuclear power status provides national security, strong stance on Kashmir and creditability on regional and world scene, any voluntary effort to agree on becoming the signatory of treaty will be suicidal in every sense of the word. Pakistan had initially linked her signature with the signing of India, which had closed all options for Pakistan after the fateful decision by India that her stance had been modified in the rejoined contest of security and peace. Pakistan has yet to develop her foreign policy objectives towards CTBT, keeping her security aspects in view. Pakistan and India’s view converge on the verification statutes, involving on site 29 inspection. Pakistan’s principle position is that it would not sign the CTBT unless India does so. But if secret understanding is reached between India and USA then what approach Pakistan will adopt? Then instead of India, Pakistan will be singled out. Policy Options with Pakistan 40. Following are the policy options available with Pakistan: a. Pakistan Govt should hold a referendum on this dire security issue to win moral ground for national stance. b. Pakistan should link the signing of treaty with the following: (1) When the Kashmir issue is resolved underUnited Nation resolution. (2) When India agrees to reduce the conventional weapon inventory to a certain level. (3) When abolition of nuclear weapons is finally undertaken by all nuclear power states. Conclusion. 41. After seeing all the facts it is clear that to keep Pakistan without Nuclear weapons USA has tried all her 30 options. She is still trying harder to do more in this regard. God has given us this nuclear power as a gift. Now only we require is stability in our political system and high level of patriotic feelings towards our motherland. Otherwise we know that without political stability we will loose our political independence, which is indeed very dear to all of us. (NIA DIARY) 1968 10Sep1996 NPT that emerged with the efforts of USA, USSR, UK, France and China is now in Aug 1998 is signed by 186 countries. Australian resolution for CTBT was 31 presented at UNGA & adopted by 156 states including Pakistan. India, Libya and Bhutan voted against the resolution. 04Apr1998 Nuclear weapons states spend $ 80 million every hour to maintain the capability 08 March 2016 44 countries including 4 threshold states i.e. Pakistan, India, Israel and North Korea are required to ratify the CTBT to enforce it. By now 149 states have signed the treaty. 08 March 2016 since 1945 USA conducted highest Nuclear explosions ---- 1032 France --- 210 UK --- 45 China --- 47 Russia India --- 6 Pakistan --- 6 08 March 2016 PTBT --- Partial Test Ban Treaty NPT --- Non-proliferation Treaty CTBT --- Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty 32 MTCR --- Missile Technology Control Regime FMCT --- Fissile Material Cut-off Treaty MCRT – Missile Control Regime Treaty 21Jul1998 321 monitoring stations established world-wide under CTBT MAJOR (ABDUL QUDDUS will be QURESHI) N I A DEPT 33 NOT FOR PRINTING This 1994 article from National Geographic discusses the accident that occurred in 1986 at the nuclear power plant in Chernobyl’, Ukraine, when it was still part of the Soviet Union. The effects of the accident were major and were noticed in areas far removed from Ukraine. Spellings in the article may reflect conventions different from those used in Encarta. Living With the Monster CHERNOBYL By Mike Edwards Near the end of a half-mile-long hallway connecting the four reactors of the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant, graph bars and squiggles flash on a monitor. Only a few yards away rises the concrete-and-steel sarcophagus sheathing the remains of reactor No. 4, which blew up on April 26, 1986. An estimated 180 tons of uranium fuel remains in the rubble, scattered or fused 34 with melted concrete and steel. Ten tons of radioactive dust coats everything. Sensors relay information from the debris: neutron activity, radiation, temperature. In the monitoring room the situation report appears on the screen in traffic-signal colors. As I watched, the display was green. If the debris warms up, the monitor shows orange. “If all the indicators turn red, it's dangerous,” shift chief Anatoly Tasenko said. “It happens sometimes.” He added this nonchalantly, wanting me to know he's a pro. At condition red, engineers turn on sprinklers, spraying a boron solution that reduces neutron activity and thus the release of radiation. So far, it works. In fact, Western as well as Ukrainian scientists believe the rubble probably can't reach a critical state—can't explode. But no one knows for sure what's going on within the ruins of the worst nuclear accident in history. A new study suggests that the explosion threw out 100 million curies of dangerous radionuclides, such as cesium 137—twice as much as previous estimates. The World Health Organization reckons that 4.9 million people in Ukraine, Belarus, and Russia were affected. But the consequences, though obviously tragic in some aspects, remain unclear. 35 What is clear at Chornobyl, monitor Tasenko's nonchalance notwithstanding, is that the monster is far from tamed. One major concern of the engineers and physicists watching No. 4 is the sarcophagus itself. Hastily erected after the accident, the 24-story-high shell is leaky and structurally unsound; conceivably it could topple in an earthquake or extreme winds. The reactor building walls, explosion damaged, are unstable too. And the 2,000-ton reactor lid leans on rubble. “If it fell, it could shake everything loose,” said physicist Vadim Hrischenko. In particular, it would shake loose the radioactive dust, which is increasing as the rubble breaks down. A violent upheaval would spread the dust over the countryside— though not so widely as the initial accident, which also contaminated parts of Western Europe. 36 Finally, experts know that still-working reactors Nos. 1 and 3 are unsafe. No. 2 was shut down after a fire in 1991; its companions continue to run because Ukraine's energy shortage is so dire. The Chernobyl (in Russian, Chernobyl) power complex, 65 miles northwest of Kiev, the Ukrainian capital, is ground zero in a fenced 40-mile-wide circle. Cleared of its 116,000 residents, it is called the Zone of Estrangement. My first look inside the zone was upon a landscape that fit the dolorous name. Barn doors hung open and rampant birches grew in flower beds once splashed with hollyhocks. But a few miles farther inside, the zone seemed not so estranged. Despite low-level radiation the 800-year-old city of Chernobyl lives. Its 50,000 inhabitants were evacuated, but in their place have arrived about 6,000 people —guards, drivers, safety technicians, and enough miscellaneous bureaucrats to administer a city of Chernobyl’s original size. Featherbedding, a familiar Soviet labor practice, also prevails at the power station, where engineers admit that the workforce—5,600—is twice as large as needed. Some workers relish zone jobs because the tasks are challenging, and some, surely, for the recklessness of it 37 all. I put my driver, Sasha, in the latter category when he told me, “I've got boar steaks in my refrigerator.” To dine on Chernobyl pig is to dine on cesium and other radionuclides that concentrate at the top of the food chain. But most people work here because, as one woman said, “We've got to work somewhere.” In economically crippled Ukraine the choices are few. The bloated payrolls are one more burden for the Ukrainian government, already pressed by Chernobylrelated expenses such as health care for victims and early retirement pensions for the “liquidators,” the hundreds of thousands who cleaned up and raised No. 4's shelter. In all, Chernobyl’s aftermath consumes 15 percent of Ukraine's budget. Beyond Chernobyl city, which is nine miles from ground zero, I passed through a checkpoint with changing rooms. Workers issued me a gauze mask that would filter radioactive particles, plus shoes, pants, jacket, and gloves, so that my own clothes wouldn't take contamination home. 38 Soon I stood 300 yards from the sarcophagus, listening to the agitated buzz of my radiation meter. If I stayed about two months, I'd receive the five rem of radiation permitted yearly for an U. S. nuclear worker. Many Chernobyl workers have received far more; to hold down the cumulative dose, most work only two weeks in a month. The sarcophagus is the highest structure on this flat landscape, a sore thumb rising gunmetal gray at one end of the long concrete building that houses reactors and turbines. Perhaps it stands out, too, because the landscape has been thoroughly scalped. Cleanup workers not only trucked away contaminated soil for burial in some 800 sites around the zone but even knocked down and interred nearby pine forests killed by radiation. I came upon a reminder of the desperate cleanup effort— a motor pool posted off-limits with red-and-yellow radiation signs. Armored personnel carriers bore slabs of lead that had helped protect their passengers. From tanks poked not cannon but cranes for lifting “hot” debris. Thousands of tons of such equipment still await burial, one more task in an onerous chain reaction triggered by the accident. 39 In the power station I was admitted to the control room of reactor No. 3, where white-smocked engineers watched a wall of gauges. It is virtually identical to the control room of No. 4, where other operators triggered the 1986 disaster while reducing reactor power. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, exonerating truths emerged. The graphite-core reactor had, as suspected, serious design flaws. And manuals made no mention of its ironic instability at low power. Now the rules prohibit operators from dipping below onequarter power. Some safety improvements have been made—but not enough, contend Western experts, who to no avail have recommended backup water systems for cooling and such fire-protection measures as steel doors. “It's ridiculous that the reactors are still operating,” Valentin Kupniy, deputy zone administrator, acknowledged. His hands are tied on that; it's a decision for the Ukrainian government, which last spring announced its determination to shut down Chernobyl— but not until other ways are found to meet the national energy shortage. New in his job when I met him, Kupniy hoped he could do something about other problems. The first, surely, is inertia. “Years have passed,” he said, “and we're just 40 starting to talk about what needs to be done.” For example, dikes must be built to block runoff from fields; it carries cesium, albeit in modest quantities, to the Dnieper River, the Kiev drinking supply. To safely bed down No. 4, a super-sarcophagus needs to be built over the present one. Officials hope an international agency such as the World Bank will provide the necessary billion dollars or so. One day in the zone, I met some “partisans.” That's the name given to such people as Nikolai Pavlenko, one of 700 evacuees who have come home. Wrinkled and 71, Nikolai resides in the log house that he built as a young man in the village of Opachychi, 15 miles from ground zero. Removed to a town many miles distant, he and his wife, Katia, came back three years later. “Everybody wants his own home,” Nikolai said simply, as if the matter needed no further explanation. Zone officials have treated the partisans tolerantly, knowing that their families had dwelled for centuries in these now collapsing villages. 41 Nikolai grows potatoes and cabbages and fishes the streams. “When I need something, I just sort of help myself,” he said, nodding toward the empty houses. Radiation? “We don't feel anything,” he said. On the outskirts of Kiev, in a former tuberculosis sanatorium converted to a hospital for Chernobyl children, I met a “firefly.” That's the name thoughtless kids apply to evacuees such as 15-year-old Roman, as if they might glow from radiation. “I have dizzy spells and headaches,” Roman told me. And: “My heart hurts.” “It is stress,” Dr. Evgenia Stepanova, the chief pediatrician, said later. “He feels his heart racing. He can't run or play sports.” Roman told me wistfully, “We had a nice apartment in Chernobyl—six rooms. It was beautiful there.” Evacuated, his family ended up in a Kiev suburb. “They gave us a three-room apartment. We've been trying to get more space because there are three children. They keep offering lousy apartments on the first floor, where it's cold.” His father has ulcers, his mother headaches. Dr. Stepanova intended to calm Roman's racing heart 42 with tender care, rest, and a nutritious diet. It's about all the hospital can offer. According to rumors circulating in Kiev, 5,000, even 10,000 Ukrainians have died from various ailments somehow connected with the accident. But because records were carelessly gathered or may not exist, the medical arithmetic can't be summed. Cautious researchers say only: “We don't know how many died.” One of the most tragic consequences evident thus far is a large increase in thyroid cancer in children. In Ukraine, Belarus, and Russia this once extremely rare condition totals more than 300 cases. What other afflictions radiation exposure will bring is a matter of debate. Estimates of the future number of cancer cases range from 5,000 to 20 times that. I beheld one consequence in a Kiev laboratory under the 43 microscope of Dr. Maria Pilinskaya: chromosomes, magnified a thousand times, broken and mangled. “It is serious,” she said. “It indicates risk of leukemia or other cancers.” She discovered this chromosome damage in blood samples from children in seven towns outside the zone. All the towns had been sprinkled with radiation, but because the quantity was presumed not to be serious, people were not evacuated. It is impossible to say how many people are so affected. Dr. Pilinskaya could sample only 25 to 30 children per town; most of them were seriously damaged. For now, according to Western as well as Ukrainian investigators, stress such as afflicts Roman is a more serious concern than cancer or chromosome damage. The psychological and social problems stemming from disrupted lives and radiation phobia lead to real diseases, several researchers told me, including chronic bronchitis, digestive-system problems, and hypertension, and may compromise the immune system. This may explain why, as is reported to be the case, the death rate among irradiated people is far higher than average. By one estimate, 70 percent higher, which indeed would translate into thousands of deaths. 44 No town I saw was so full of stress—and aching hearts— as Narodychi, whose whitewashed houses stand 45 miles west of ground zero. “Our parents and grandparents built these houses with their own hands,” a nurse said. “Let the house be little, but it was ours. It will never be the same anywhere else.” Narodychi is one of the many towns beyond the zone where the local fallout was not considered serious. Then thyroid disorders appeared in children, and Dr. Pilinskaya detected chromosome damage. So, finally Narodychi was emptying. On a somber winter day I came on a family loading furniture on a truck. “There's no future here,” said a woman bringing out dishes. “There's no food to buy, and it's not safe to eat anything you grow.” Across the way, an old man named Sasha, pouring generously from his flask of samohon—moonshine—said defiantly: “The only place I'm going is the cemetery.” No one received greater doses of radiation than the first of the liquidators, the Chernobyl cleanup army that may have numbered as many as 750,000 workers. Some got more than 200 rem, enough, physicians say, to cause acute radiation sickness, a breakdown of body systems characterized by nausea, vomiting, and diarrhea. 45 Survivors face an increased risk of cancer. Other liquidators got little radiation but nevertheless presumed that they were terribly afflicted. In a group of Russian cleanup workers tracked by researchers, stress led to suicides and alcohol abuse. “Everybody told them that because of radiation they couldn't have a normal sex life,” a doctor said. “It's a case of bad information causing death.” Dr. Ilya Likhtarev, Ukraine's expert on dosimetry, knows of 3,000 liquidators who received more than the “acceptable” onetime dose of 25 rem, and of 400 who received 75 rem or more. “That multiplies the chances that they will have cancer,” he told me. For most of the liquidators, doses are simply unknown. These include army recruits who did some of the most dangerous work; for example, removing debris from the reactor building roof. “They didn't have radiation badges 46 to record what they received,” Dr. Likhtarev said. “So their lieutenants estimated the dosage. But they were under orders not to report a dose of 25 rem, to hide the seriousness. So the dose was recorded as 24.9. It came to be known as the ‘administrative dose.’” Dr. Likhtarev would like to know how these men fared. “But they left the army and went back to Kazakhstan or wherever. Some may have had acute radiation sickness and not known what was wrong.” Some may be dead. Teeth may help scientists construct estimates of the doses that victims received, since radiation causes measurable changes in the enamel. Researchers are collecting teeth from dentists to evaluate enamel's usefulness as an exposure meter. “If dose and health can be correlated, it would help in the future,” said Armin Weinberg of the Baylor College of Medicine in Texas, a participant in one of the several Chernobyl studies now under way. “We're sure to have more accidents.” At Eastertide, tradition demands that Ukrainians visit their forebears. So back to the zone, with government permission, just for a day, came busloads of villagers who had been scattered far and wide—people of communities atomized, in more ways than one. 47 In the hillside cemetery in Opachychi, shawled babushkas placed tokens of remembrance—decorated eggs and Easter cakes—among the crosses. Families sat upon the graves, the traditional communion. They ate chicken and drank samohon, greeted friends and cousins, cursed the atom, and wept. In late afternoon thunder rumbled and raindrops drilled the earth. The people looked about wistfully, policed the trash, and streamed down from the hill that holds their fathers and mothers. And their hearts. Source: National Geographic, August 1994.1 1"Effects of Chernobyl' Disaster," Microsoft® Encarta® 98 Encyclopedia. © 1993-1997 Microsoft Corporation. All rights reserved. 48 town in north central Ukraine, located approximately 130 km (approximately 80 mi) north of Kyiv (Kiev) and 20 km (12 mi) from the nuclear power plant of the same name. On April 26, 1986, one of the four nuclear reactors at this plant went out of control and caused the world's worst known reactor disaster to date. An improperly supervised experiment conducted with the water-cooling system turned off led to the uncontrolled reaction, which in turn caused a steam explosion. The reactor's protective covering was blown off, and approximately 100 million curies of radionuclides were released into the atmosphere. Some of the radiation spread across northern Europe and into Great Britain. Statements from the Soviet Union, to which Ukraine belonged at the time, indicated that 31 persons died as a result of the accident, but the number of radiation-caused deaths was projected to be much higher. More than 100,000 Soviet citizens were evacuated from areas around the reactor site, and Chernobyl' and some other settled regions remained unoccupied one year later. Officials who were responsible for the reactor were tried in 1987, and six persons were sentenced to labor camps. The other three Chernobyl' reactors were returned to operation that same year, and the immediate evacuation zone of the disaster was later declared a national park. In 1991 the government pledged to close down the entire 49 Chernobyl' plant, but energy demands and economic problems in Ukraine delayed the move. In mid-1994 Western nations developed an aid package to help close the unsafe plant, and a year later the Ukrainian government finally agreed to a plan that would shut down the remaining reactors by the year 2000.2 Near the end of World War II, on August 6 and 9, 1945, the United States government exploded a new weapon, the atomic bomb, over the cities of Hiroshima and Nagasaki in Japan. A departure from conventional explosives, the bombs used the nuclear power stored in the atomic structure of matter, rather than chemical reactions, to produce a devastating explosion. The blast destroyed more than 10 sq km (4 sq mi) of the city, completely destroying 68 percent of Hiroshima's buildings, another 24 percent were damaged. Nearly 130,000 people were killed; more than 60,000 were incinerated almost instantaneously in a tremendous fireball. In Nagasaki one-third of the city was destroyed and nearly 66,000 people were killed. 2"Chernobyl'," Microsoft® Encarta® 98 Encyclopedia. © 1993-1997 Microsoft Corporation. All rights reserved. 50 Over the next 50 years, nuclear weapons were developed that dwarfed the 1945 bombs in destructiveness, and major military powers stocked their arsenals with these arms. Yet during those years, nuclear weapons were never again used against human targets. The world learned to live in the shadow of these powerful weapons. In the process, the atomic bomb became a symbol of fear, achievement, and even amusement—a complex and contradictory presence, permanently tied to the fate of humanity.3 Nuclear Bombs Nuclear weapons are the most powerful and destructive explosives in existence. Modern nuclear weapons, which may have the power of several million tons of TNT, generally have 8 to 40 times more explosive power than the “Little Boy” and “Fat Man” bombs that devastated Hiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945. The devices shown here are nuclear bombs used in periodic exercises of the United States Air Force (USAF) strategic air command. U.S. Air Force4 3"Fifty Years of Life with the Atomic Bomb," Microsoft® Encarta® 98 Encyclopedia. © 1993-1997 Microsoft Corporation. All rights reserved. 4"Nuclear Bombs," Microsoft® Encarta® 98 Encyclopedia. © 1993-1997 Microsoft Corporation. All rights reserved. 51 Hiroshima, city on southwestern Honshu Island, Japan, capital of Hiroshima Prefecture, at the head of Hiroshima Bay. The city was founded in 1594 on six islands in the Ota River delta. Hiroshima grew rapidly as a castle town and commercial city, and after 1868 it was developed as a military center. On August 6, 1945, during World War II (1939-1945), the first atomic bomb to be used against an enemy position was dropped on the city by the United States Army Air Forces (see Nuclear Weapons). The Supreme Allied Headquarters reported that 129,558 people were killed, injured, or missing and 176,987 made homeless by the bombing. (In 1940 the population of Hiroshima had been 343,698.) The blast also destroyed more than 10 sq km (4 sq mi) of the city, completely destroying 68 percent of Hiroshima's buildings; another 24 percent were damaged. Every August 6 since 1947, thousands participate in interfaith services in the Peace Memorial Park built on the site where the bomb exploded. In 1949 the Japanese dedicated Hiroshima as an international shrine of peace. After the war, the city was largely rebuilt, and commercial activities were resumed. Machinery, 52 automobiles, food processing, and the brewing of sake are the main industries. The surrounding area, although mountainous, has fertile valleys where silk, rice, and wheat are produced. Population (1990) 1,085,705.5 This National Geographic article records some of the perspectives of survivors on the 50th anniversary of the World War II bombing of Hiroshima. The impact of the atomic blast on individual lives is documented, as are the modern city's efforts to deal with reminders of the past. This account mentions that Japan surrendered only nine days after the bombing on August 15, 1945, although the emperor had formally agreed to terms the previous day. Hiroshima: Up From Ground Zero By Ted Gup It is on the third floor of Hiroshima's Funairi Mutsumi Nursing Home that I first hear the name of Akiko Osato, spoken by her 85-year-old mother, Shima Sonoda. A frail, dignified woman with close-cropped black hair, she closes her eyes to remember that distant summer morning in 1945. 5"Hiroshima," Microsoft® Encarta® 98 Encyclopedia. © 1993-1997 Microsoft Corporation. All rights reserved. 53 Shima, a widow, had asked her three elder children to mind the stationery shop in the front of their wood-frame house while she and Akiko, her four-year-old daughter, readied a wartime breakfast of soybeans, radish leaves, and rice porridge. Shima did so with a sense of relief. A few minutes earlier the air-raid sirens had sounded the all clear, and she and the children had climbed out of their makeshift bomb shelter, a shallow pit behind the house. So far Hiroshima had been spared the firebombings that had disfigured Tokyo, Yokohama, and other cities. It was as if Hiroshima enjoyed some special immunity. On that morning, as on so many before, Akiko pleaded with her mother to open the coveted tin of tangerines that had been set aside in the event of an aerial attack. “No,” Shima told her daughter, “we must save the tangerines.” 54 At the moment the atomic bomb exploded, Akiko was in her mother's arms, less than a mile from ground zero. Tears run down Shima's wrinkled cheeks as she recalls her children digging her out of the rubble. Her eyes are tightly closed, her hands uplifted as if in supplication. “I prayed, ‘I have four children, please save me!’ and I heard the command ‘Stand up!’ It was the voice of my long-dead husband.” When she was free they began a frantic—and vain—search for Akiko before the firestorm reached their neighborhood, forcing them to flee barefoot toward the Ota River. Like so many, Shima has always wondered why she lived and her daughter did not. Not a single photograph of Akiko survived, but Shima still carries her image everywhere, just below the surface, like the tiny shards of glass embedded in her scalp. “My greatest regret,” she says, “is that I didn't let my daughter have the tangerines.” And so every morning the mother kneels at the Buddhist altar by her bed and offers up a can of tangerines to the soul of her lost daughter. For Shima Sonoda and countless others in Hiroshima and throughout the world, 1995 is an anniversary of special significance—the 50th year since the epochal first use of an atomic bomb. The commemoration of this event provides a somber occasion to take stock of losses. It also 55 gives an opportunity to explore the rebirth of Hiroshima, which stands at once as a symbol of humanity's capacity to destroy and of its indomitable will to rebuild. Shima Sonoda is one of the 100,000 hibakusha—bomb survivors—living in Hiroshima today. An ever shrinking minority in this city of more than a million, they mingle with the young and with newcomers drawn to a vibrant metropolis, a place almost entirely devoid of physical scars. “Have Fun in Hiroshima,” invites a brochure put out by city boosters, a collage of images of enthusiastic Westerners amid red azaleas, bottles of sake, fireworks, smiling Japanese children giving the peace sign. “Hiroshima,” these promoters write, “has so much to offer: beautiful parks, ancient shrines, engaging museums, breathtaking landscapes, and exciting nightlife.” Yet for all this, ultramodern and full of promise as the city surely is, it is something else too—a place of deep and abiding sorrow. Indeed it would not be an 56 exaggeration to say that half a century after the bomb, Hiroshima is not one city but two: one that can never forget and the other that can never know. For an entire generation of Japanese and Americans the circumstances of 50 years ago are remote. Some find it hard to imagine how the decision to bomb Hiroshima could have been made. But the world was at war, and the A-bomb was said to be a way to hasten an end to the conflict, thereby saving the lives of American servicemen who might otherwise have been doomed in a protracted invasion of the Japanese homeland. Japan's capitulation on August 15, 1945—nine days after the bombing of Hiroshima and six days after the bombing of Nagasaki— confirmed the efficacy of the decision. Though I had never been to Hiroshima, it felt as if I were returning. As a boy I had read Hiroshima, John Hersey's account of the bombing, and I had always wondered what became of the city and its people. I was not alone. Last year more than 65,000 Americans visited Hiroshima. Like many of them, I am drawn to ground zero, a narrow street in the heart of the city where I stand before a simple red granite monument festooned with thousands of tiny paper cranes folded by schoolchildren. (In Japan the crane is a symbol of longevity.) Behind me shoppers sweep past, oblivious of the monument and its brass engraving 57 of a city flattened by the bomb. In front rises the rebuilt Shima Surgical Clinic, where some survivors come for treatment. I look up into a cloudless sky and feel, with a shiver, 50 years gone. August 6, 1945. Eight-sixteen in the morning. Nineteen hundred feet above Hiroshima a single uranium bomb dropped from the B-29 Enola Gay detonated with the force of 15,000 tons of TNT. Where I stand, the temperature rose almost instantly to 5400°F. Then came the shock wave, firestorm, cyclonic winds, and radioactive rain as black as ink. Some 80,000 men, women, and children died. Among them were at least 23 American prisoners of war and thousands of Koreans whom the Japanese had forced into wartime labor. Nature compounded the misery when scarcely more than a month later the Makurazaki typhoon raked Hiroshima. By the end of the year the city's death count had reached 140,000, as radiation, burns, and infection took their toll. The population then stood at 137,000, down from a wartime high of 419,000. Seventy thousand buildings— hospitals, police stations, post offices, and schools as well as houses and apartments—had been reduced to rubble. Survivors scanning the atomic wasteland concluded that no plant would take root in the poisoned earth for 70 years or more. 58 Yet even that first spring the blackened stumps of camphor and willow put out new growth. Buds and blossoms reappeared, offering hope. Shacks sprouted along the Motoyasu River. Limited trolley service boosted morale, despite the fact that most residents had no place to go. A black market flourished. Although Americans with the Allied Occupation Force provided technical help, financial assistance for reconstruction was not forthcoming: The United States was committed to helping rehabilitate its allies in Europe. By November 1946 plans had been drafted for new roads and parks. Schools were open again, albeit in temporary buildings, and movie theaters and dance halls were doing a brisk business. By 1953 the water and sewage systems had been fully restored. A decade later Hiroshima had grown to half a million people. Today lush pink and white oleanders line broad avenues, and stately sycamores and ginkgo trees extend their shade to pedestrians wilting in the August heat. Out of the ashes has arisen a fully modern city with an unwavering sense 59 of destiny. Before the bomb Hiroshima had been a seat of Japanese militarism; its port, bristling with wartime industry, had dispatched relentless invasions, notably of China and Korea. The new Hiroshima is a selfproclaimed City of Peace, with a towering skyline, cosmopolitan shopping arcades, and more than 700 manicured parks. Its port sends out to New York, Shanghai, and London not soldiers but the latest in consumer and industrial products. Last year the city was host to the Asian Games, marking its coming of age. Hiroshima stretches from the Inland Sea across the broad plain of the Ota and up into the foothills of the forested Chugoku Mountains. It occupies the site of a castle town that emerged in the late 1500s, replacing earlier farming and fishing villages in the Ota Delta. On the southern side of the city, near the sea, rises a single peak, Ogonzan, with a serpentine road to its summit. From an overlook where vendors hawk souvenirs, I scan the spreading quilt of neighborhoods and commercial areas. To the south the gargantuan headquarters of Mazda, one of the world's largest auto production sites, can turn out 830,000 vehicles a year. Beyond my sight to the southwest is another behemoth, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd., which produces bridge girders, boilers, turbines, and machinery used in manufacturing iron and steel. When the bomb fell, this 60 plant was part of the Mitsubishi powerhouse of wartime shipbuilding and machine manufacturing—manned in part by forced laborers from Korea. It is not only heavy industry that busies the city. Workers turn out soccer balls, intricately carved Buddhist altars, elegant fude, or writing brushes used for calligraphy, even sewing needles, an item that has been made here for more than 300 years. When I first arrived in Hiroshima on the highway from Osaka, I searched the skyline for the skeleton of the Industrial Promotion Hall—better known as the A-bomb Dome—which I had expected to be a prominent landmark. But my eye was drawn to the familiar signs of home, a rotating golden arch and a blazing Coca-Cola sign. Overhead zipped cars of the ASTRAM, Hiroshima's ultramodern electric transit system. In the distance a gigantic bowling pin loomed amid convenience stores and shopping malls. 61 I drove along one of the six deltaic fingers of the Ota, on whose banks the dying had once clustered, salving their burns in the cool water. On these same banks joggers now weave among luxuriant public gardens. On one street corner I spotted a National Football League shop, with a jersey of the Kansas City Chiefs and a poster of ace quarterback Joe Montana displayed in the window. Finally I reached the A-bomb Dome, a puny structure of twisted concrete and steel that resembles a parasol stripped of its cover by a gust of wind. As one of few buildings near ground zero to have partly withstood the blast, it is cordoned off, preserved for all time as a cautionary statement, a plea for restraint in a nuclear world. Scientists who first came to Hiroshima to study the effects of the bomb plotted concentric circles of destruction from ground zero. Today different circles mark the lingering impact—rings of memory spreading out from August 6, 1945. Japan claims some 333,000 registered atomic bomb survivors, including those from Nagasaki. In Hiroshima, many of the 100,000 hibakusha cling tenaciously to their memories. Take Yoshiki Yamauchi. Yamauchi is one of Hiroshima's estimated 5,000 A-bomb orphans, a hundred of whom 62 were brought to the island of Ninoshima, 20 minutes away from the city by ferry. Over the years Ninoshima came to be known as the “island of boys.” A peaceful spot only 15 miles in circumference, it strikes me as an oasis: Shiro palm trees and Susuki grass fringe the shore, giving way to the verdant slopes of a lone peak, Little Mount Fuji. By midmorning, when I meet Yamauchi at Ninoshima Gakuen, the school that now occupies the orphanage where he grew up, the sea breeze barely nudges the summer heat. Yamauchi works as the school's maintenance man. Wearing loose-fitting green trousers, he is a muscular 60-year-old with a bull neck and stringy hair slicked down with sweat. But his manner is childlike. That morning in 1945 his widowed mother had boarded a trolley for the ill-fated Industrial Promotion Hall. Yamauchi, who was then ten years old, was standing near the Hiroshima railroad station when the bomb went off. Even now Yamauchi puts out his hands to break the fall in his mind's eye. Sand filled his mouth. Heat seared his limbs, and he leaped into one of the tubs of water for use in an emergency fire. His memory of the turmoil that followed is hazy. Days later, in the confusion, he became separated from his sister. It would be 29 years before they found each other, 63 following her emotional appeal on television. After the blast he wandered the stricken city, scavenging for food and earning what he could by shining shoes. He slept in empty train cars. One day in the fall of 1946, he and other parentless children were rounded up by the police and brought to the orphanage. Yamauchi sets a dog-eared photo album on the table in front of me and opens it as reverently as if it were an ancient scroll. “There I am,” he says simply, pointing to a snapshot of a boy with a baseball bat across his lap. “I wanted to get married when I was 25 or 30,” he continues. Then, as if to ask, “What woman would have me?” Yamauchi shows me the scar from a fibrous tumor that was removed from his leg. I am reminded of Philoctetes, the archer in Greek mythology whose shipmates abandoned him on an island because they were 64 repelled by a wound that would not heal. The difference, though, is that Yamauchi's continuing exile is in some measure self-imposed. These days he often plays softball with the schoolchildren, many of whom are mentally retarded or disabled. “I envy these children because they have a parent,” he says. “I am an orphan. No one ever came to visit me with a box or a gift.” When it is time for me to leave, Yamauchi insists on showing me the way to the ferry. He pedals his bicycle furiously, keeping well ahead of my van on the twisting road. At the harbor turnoff he waves good-bye, smiling for the first time, much like a lonely child who at last has had a visitor. Even hibakusha who sought to integrate themselves into society often concealed their identities as bomb survivors. Many employers refused to hire hibakusha because they were prone to cancer and other ailments or because they suffered from exhaustion and depression. They also carried a social stigma. People went out of their way to avoid marrying either hibakusha or their children, for fear of genetic abnormalities induced by radiation. It was not unusual for some parents to hire private investigators to find out if prospective in-laws were 65 hibakusha. And although researchers at the city's Radiation Effects Research Foundation in Hijiyama Park insist they see no evidence of intergenerational effects of radiation, they concede that current analytical techniques are not refined enough to detect variations. The foundation is therefore collecting cells from a thousand hibakusha families and preserving the samples in huge stainless steel vats of liquid nitrogen, to be thawed sometime in the future, when more precise methods are at hand. Furtherance of peace is a recurrent theme in Hiroshima. People like Akihiro Takahashi, who was a 14-year-old schoolboy at the time of the bomb, now lecture on the subject as part of an outreach program in a building in Peace Memorial Park, bordered by the hundred-yard-wide expanse of Peace Boulevard. “We have to tell what happened,” he said. “This must be handed down from one generation to the next.” 66 Takahashi and those like him are on a mission to bear witness in the name of peace. They constitute a powerful lobby, whose influence gives city politics a global reach. No nuclear test anywhere in the world is reported without a telegram of protest signed by the mayor of Hiroshima; at one time or another the leaders of China, France, the U.S., and the former Soviet Union have all received such telegrams. And in the heart of the peace park a flame will be kept burning until the world is free of nuclear weapons. Peace education is an integral part of the curriculum in public schools throughout the city, and schoolchildren on field trips are frequent visitors to the Hiroshima Peace Memorial Museum. “I want to make Japan a peaceful country,” said 11-year-old Maho Shichijo, pulling up her Mickey Mouse socks. When I met Maho, she was standing with her mother in the playground of the Fukuromachi Primary School, where 300 children had died in the nuclear inferno. Maho has read more than ten books on the bomb, written school reports about it, and badgered the custodian of her apartment building, a hibakusha, to tell her all about how he survived. Her mother, Tomoko Shichijo, who moved here from Nagasaki, nodded approvingly at this interest. “This is the best peace education. To know the reality. If we lived somewhere else, we would never feel it 67 firsthand.” I met another newcomer, Sakiko Ume, a housewife from the island of Shikoku, who also told me that to be in Hiroshima is to feel its past. “On the surface,” she said, “Hiroshima looks bright, but deep inside it's sad.” At no time is the sadness more palpable than on the day of remembrance. Early in the morning of August 6, 1994, I join thousands of hibakusha gathering in the peace park, a triangular swath of green between the Honkawa and Motoyasu Rivers. Here the idea of peace is enshrined in numerous monuments—among them fountains, clock tower, bell, and cenotaph. The throng presses toward the altar at the Cenotaph for the A-bomb Victims, in front of which rises a mountain of flowers. Every few minutes attendants cart off armfuls of bouquets to prevent the mound from collapsing under its own weight. Mourners, many dressed in black and clutching prayer beads, drift like apparitions through a white veil of incense. “Forgive me! Forgive me!” sobs one aged woman, dropping to her knees. Is she, perhaps, blaming herself for having survived? Behind a sign that reads A-bomb Invitations), we take seats to hear dignitaries. At precisely 8:15 there unearthly silence. I am aware only Survivors (With the remarks of is a minute of of the sound of 68 cicadas. The Peace Bell tolls, and a cloud of doves is released beside the cenotaph. The flutter of their wings fills the void left by 50,000 silent prayers. In the Hondori Shopping Arcade, 200 yards or so from ground zero, it is business as usual this morning at Cats Pachinko Parlor. Cats is a hot spot for young people, who congregate here to while away the hours amid a barrage of flashing lights and throbbing music. Part pinball, part slot machine, pachinko is a mesmerizing game: Every one of the scores of machines is in play. Drawers full of silver balls, representing winnings, are neatly stacked on the floor. Outside, knots of youths trade compact discs and take stock of one another's outfits. On the opposite side of the arcade, in a trendy clothing boutique, Mieko Nagafuji folds shirts to the beat of the Rolling Stones. “I never think about the A-bomb,” says Mieko, a pixieish 21-year-old wearing a necklace of 69 pewter beads. For her, World War II must seem as remote as the time of the shoguns. Although she has lived in Hiroshima for three years, she knows no hibakusha and has never set foot in the peace museum. Even Peace Memorial Park, where the anniversary observations are still going on a few blocks away, is merely a romantic retreat: She and her boyfriend take quiet walks there on Sunday afternoons. I ask Mieko if she knows when the bomb fell. “I learned it in school,” she says, blushing, “but I've forgotten. Was it 1935?” Enough time has passed now for Hiroshima to feel at ease with its new affluence. Indeed the city is something of a sybaritic haven, celebrated for its fine sake and delectable oysters, best eaten in winter. Nightlife centers on the downtown districts of Nagaregawa and Yagenbori, warrens of narrow streets and alleys awash in the neon light of more than 3,500 bars, restaurants, and discos. In Yagenbori my interpreter, Kunio Kadowaki, and I duck through cotton curtains into a smoky little café. We join patrons, many of them regulars, who come here to indulge their taste for grilled octopus from the Inland Sea, marinated chicken on a skewer, or crispy fried lionfish. Late into the night, as the sake and beer flow, the level of laughter rises. Smoke 70 from the grill and the ubiquitous cigarettes forms a thick cloud. This is the other Hiroshima, vital yet relaxed and congenial. Many transplants are drawn to this city by its proximity to the sea and to ski resorts. Yukihiro Masukawa makes a tidy profit selling sportfishing vessels, which well-to-do clients ply in the Inland Sea in pursuit of bonito, mackerel, and marlin. In his office by Hiroshima Bay we sip barley tea with Koichi Aoki, owner of a computersupply business. Aoki, 46 and already silver haired, gazes out the window at his $500,000 boat, Marici, in dry dock for cleaning. “That's like my religion,” he laughs. Above us, tacked to the ceiling, is a white sheet with the inked outline of one of Aoki's recent catches—a 440-pound marlin. His retriever, Tabasa, curls up at his feet. “Life is good,” he says, patting his ample belly. Even for those of ordinary means Hiroshima offers abundant diversions. Just north of the A-bomb Dome is the 32,000-seat baseball stadium, home to the Hiroshima 71 Toyo Carp. Every season more than a million fans show up for the games. Among those they come to see is a 31year-old American named Luis Medina, who at six-footthree dwarfs his Japanese teammates. Medina, a first baseman, is the sole Yank on the team; only three foreigners are allowed under the rules. He once played for the Cleveland Indians and has moved 37 times in the past decade. After a stint in the outfield shagging flies in hundreddegree heat, Medina decides to take a break. He stoops to clear the dugout's ceiling. “Yesterday I hit my head four times,” he says with a grin. He is happy to be a Carp—not only because he signed a lucrative two-year contract but also because he and his wife could unpack their bags at last. During games Medina is coached through an interpreter, but the fans don't mind. Sometimes they jump to their feet, yelling Med-in-a! He admits to being moved. “Here, in the place we bombed 50 years ago, it sort of freaks me out to get up at bat and see there's somebody out there, a Japanese, waving the American flag. It's a really good feeling.” When I met him Luis Medina had not yet joined the 1.5 million people who stream through the halls of the peace museum each year. Half a million of them are students, and all but 80,000 are Japanese. On my first visit I stood 72 behind Yoshihisa Hirano and his daughter, Mariko, and son, Hiroyuki. “It's scary,” said Hiroyuki, transfixed by a diorama depicting a woman, a girl, and a boy picking their way through a fire-ravaged landscape. “I think all nuclear weapons should be abolished as quickly as possible,” added his father, who, it turned out, is a nuclear-reactor operator with the Chugoku Electric Power Company. His reactor is one of two that supply a sixth of the area's electricity. Many visitors record their impressions in a book on a table near the museum exit. American remarks vary. Some wonder how many more Japanese civilians might have perished had the war continued. “Maybe the Japanese should visit the Pearl Harbor Museum,” suggested a U.S. marine. Another American wrote, “I never really knew the full effects of the bomb until now. I am sorry.” In the basement of the museum complex, stretching along the length of the wall, a catalog of index cards is displayed every August. Each card has the name of someone who died as a result of the bombing. The clerk offers to search out one name for me. I choose Akiko Osato, the girl remembered daily in her mother's prayers. Minutes later he returns with a pink card. It has Akiko's 73 name on one line, and on the next, under the heading “cause of death,” is the word “crushed.” On the line below that is the name Yoshiharu Agari—apparently the man who found Akiko's body. I cannot bring myself to tell her grieving mother about the card. Her pain still seems too deep. Healing, for many, comes with faith, and that is the concern of Shoin Aso, a Buddhist priest at the medieval Fudoin Temple. Except for a few lost roof tiles, this national treasure, which is located on the northern fringe of the city, escaped the bomb. In August, during the season of remembrance, Aso invites the grieving to participate in the traditional Bon dance, through which the faithful welcome the souls of the dead and send them on to a place of greater peace. Aso hears many stories of loss. “Year by year we forget the grief, but the guilt of surviving doesn't disappear even as the years pass.” On a hill overlooking the temple are the graves of some 74 of those who died in the bombing. Many of the funeral urns contain only rocks, because no remains of the deceased were ever found. The extent of the losses—in some instances the elimination of entire bloodlines—explains why the past still hangs in the air over the City of Peace. But, Aso insists, “People shouldn't think Hiroshima is a sad or sorry town. We should overcome self-pity. We cannot live unless we think about the future. Hand, eye, and nose are all forward looking.” Source: National Geographic, August 1995.6 Nagasaki, city, Japan, western Kyushu Island, capital of Nagasaki Prefecture, at the head of Nagasaki Bay. Nagasaki Bay, about 5 km (about 3 mi) long and sheltered on all sides, is one of the best natural harbors of Japan. The city has important coal-mining and fishing industries, shipyards and steelworks, and plants manufacturing electrical equipment. It is the site of Nagasaki University (1949). On August 9, 1945, during World War II, three days after Hiroshima was destroyed, a U.S. Army Air Force plane released an atomic bomb on 6"Recovery and Reconstruction," Microsoft® Encarta® 98 Encyclopedia. © 1993-1997 Microsoft Corporation. All rights reserved. 75 Nagasaki. About one-third of the city was destroyed, and some 66,000 people were killed or injured. A memorial now marks the location over which the bomb exploded. Population (1990) 444,599.7 7"Nagasaki," Microsoft® Encarta® 98 Encyclopedia. © 1993-1997 Microsoft Corporation. All rights reserved.