The Toyota Recall Crisis: Have Toyota’s crisis management decisions negatively affected the global image of the brand. Tom Bickley 06263760 This dissertation is submitted in part requirement for the Degree of MA with Honours in Entrepreneurship at the University Of Aberdeen, Scotland, and is solely the work of the above named candidate. The work of other authors is recognised and appropriately referenced. Submitted: Word count: Acknowledgements I would like to thank … I would also like to thank all of the willing participants … Table of Contents Abstract (200 words) Chapter 1.1 Introduction (225 words) In January 2010, the world famous car manufacturer Toyota, was forced to recall 180,000 cars from the UK market, shortly followed by a 2.3million recall of various models in the USA. Recalls in the automotive industry have been on the increase over the last 20-30 years with consumers expecting a higher quality and more reliable product. Governmental legislation and agency guidelines have also hindered the automobile manufacturers with safety precautions being at an all time high. As a result of this continuing increase, empirical research has been carried out to assess how and why this has occurred; but also to understand how a company can manage such crises. There are studies into many avenues within this area of interest however there are few contextual case studies. By using the theory provided in referenced academic literature, with an emphasis on brand image, recognition, consumer loyalty and purchase intentions - this study will analyse Toyota and their crisis management techniques as well as the effect of their brand equity on their overall recovery. Data has been collected from various credible online opinion polls, newspapers and combined with current up to date Toyota press releases, will form the basis of the study’s analysis of the public’s reaction – then analysed in order to create a model to be used in order to analyse future brands during product recall crises. 1.2.1 Research Aims Aim 1. To understand the impact of product recall Toyota as a brand famed for reliability. Aim 2. To assess the possibility of these recalls negatively affecting consumer brand loyalty and purchase intentions. Aim 3. To critique the way Toyota handled their crisis and to assess whether other techniques would have been more effective. 1.2.2 Research Questions A. What are the effects of recalls on the branding of Toyota? B. Have Toyota’s ‘crisis management techniques’ been successful? 1.2.3 Hypothesis A. Positive crisis management techniques will aid the brands recovery. B. The choice of crisis management techniques used will affect opinions on consumer loyalty and futures purchase intentions. C. Toyota has strong brand equity; this will absorb a lot of the negative impact created by a product recall. D. Media coverage of any recall will influence consumer purchase intentions. E. Where brand loyalty will be questioned, substitutes will be sought. F. New ‘younger’ first time buyers may be put off buying Toyota. 1.3 Outline -------------------------------------------------------------Chapter 2 Review of Existing Literature Outline global recall situation – 100 (147) Over a period of the last 30 years product recalls within the automobile industry have increased dramatically. Over 29 million vehicles were recalled in the states alone during 2004 (http://autonet.ca) increasing from the 2003 total of 19 million worldwide (Power and Lundegaard, 2004). The consistent increase in the ‘phenomenon’ of recalls in the automotive market has been the result of ‘fierce competition, as well as the rapid development of technologies used in the industry.’ The major companies are risking the possibility of model recalls in order to gain competitive advantage and increase their R&D potential. The major manufacturers are relying on their brand equity to hold strong in the eyes of their consumers during any possible recall issues. Empirical research has been carried out to assess how and why recalls occur in the automotive market; but also with an aim to understand how to manage such crises. Unexplored avenues? – 100 (114) According to both Souiden and Pons (2009) and Dawar (1998) there are still various ‘avenues’ regarding product recalls that have not been explored. Souiden and Pons (2009) concluded that ‘current research did not consider the effect of media’ with Siomkos (1999) associating the media as a key feature in the ‘perception of risk’. These views will be expanded upon through analysing the media coverage of the Toyota crisis to provide more of an insight into the relationship between positive/negative consumer reactions. Overall, in order to better understand some of these ‘unexplored avenues’ the paper will examine the situation Toyota have found themselves in providing theory of product recall and an analysis of its effects. Base to expand on aimed at Toyota – 100 (138) Souiden and Pons (2009) conducted their study into the impact of product recall crisis management and its effects on image, loyalty and purchase intentions. Their research aimed ‘to clarify the type of recall strategies that companies offer, as well as their impact on consumer behaviour.’ The research of Dawar (1998) focussed on ‘examining the impact of a firm’s actions on brand equity.’ Dawar analysed various case studies and set a framework for analysing the effectiveness or ineffectiveness of a company’s product-harm crises management. Using these two journals as an overall base for the study I will compliment them with other papers focussing on crisis management and brand image/equity. Newspaper articles and Toyota press releases will be referenced, in order to provide a more detailed look at product recall crisis management of January 2010 and its effects on Toyota. Souiden & Pons (2009) – voluntary recall / involuntary / supeff / deny – 500 (539) The Souiden and Pons (2009) study strongly links ‘the impact of automobile recalls on consumer behaviour’ including a contextual insight into crisis management, a company’s past and present reputation and the effects of the media. One of the main considerations throughout is that whereby ‘the company affected by the recall has a good reputation...the negative impact of recalls on purchase intentions is diminished.’ It is this statement that will be most useful throughout this research, linking company reactions to recall crises and looking at the techniques they choose to combat them; as well as their impact on brand image/awareness, consumer loyalty and their overall purchase intentions. A. Positive crisis management techniques will aid the brands recovery. B. The choice of crisis management techniques used will affect opinions on consumer loyalty and futures purchase intentions. Souiden and pons base their initial hypothesis on the work of Siomkos and Kurtzbard (1994) They came up with 4 categories for product recalls: 1. Denying the defect (no recall) 2. Involuntary recall 3. Voluntary recall 4. Super-Effort recall (improvement campaign) Each of these categories is given a degree of impact on the image and reputation of the company in question with varying levels of positive and negative results. Denying a defect will always encourage a negative reaction to the brand and product, where a company ‘refuses to shoulder their responsibilities’ they are not supporting the consumer and their needs. Similarly they hypothesised that a forced or ‘involuntary’ recall, possibly imposed by a governmental agency, would have similar pejorative connotations for the company. On the contrary ‘voluntary recalls’ and ‘super-effort recalls’ have a positive improving impact on the company. Siomkos and Kurtzbard (1994) and Kabak (1991) all put forward and demonstrate this suggesting where a company ‘accept total responsibility’ and give the impression that they are consistently striving ‘to offer safe products’ that a consumer’s negative perception of a recall is lessened. Souiden and Pons (2009) use the example of Chrysler, ‘in the 1990s they disconnected the endometers from its new vehicles during factory tests,’ by publicly announcing this fact/error before it was leaked by the press, by apologising for the mistake, Chrysler were able to improve their public awareness of the quality and image with a 20% increase in its brand capital. Proactive crisis management strategies are key to ensuring brand safety, minimising the potential for loss both financially and where brand recognition is concerned. Shrivastava and Siomkos (1989) introduced the concept of ‘super-effort recalls,’ as Souiden and Pons (2009) discuss, it is the idea that these recalls are not necessary however a company will take it upon themselves to recall specific models for minor non-hazardous defects. Jolly and Mowen (1984) have suggested that this is an approach that can be used to reduce the feeling of ‘danger’ often implied during recalls. Despite all of these possible techniques to reduce the effects of recalls, Souiden and Pons (2009) hypothesise that the initial and established brand image is still important in relation to the consumers’ perceptions of the company. A strong brand will have a positive effect on consumer purchase intentions as well as brand loyalty, even during a mass product recall; however this will be more positive if the recall is ‘voluntary’ or ‘super-effort.’ C. Toyota has strong brand equity; this will absorb a lot of the negative impact created by a product recall. Dawar (1998) signalling / investment / prior experience – 500 (545) Dawar (1998) focuses on the affects that product-harm crises can have on brand image as well as the effects of corporate signalling on the average consumer. Using major examples such as Coca-Cola, Dawar defines brand image as an ‘intangible equity’ suggesting that it is the brand image itself that will allow for and aid recovery from a product crisis. Brand equity is defined as ‘awareness, credibility and the positive associations consumers attribute to the brand’ by Aaker (1991) using this statement Dawar is referring to the idea of a strong brand will push a company through a crisis, for example a recall, to ‘safety.’ The consumer is key in the perception of a company; Keller (1993) suggests that ‘perhaps a firm’s most valuable asset for improving marketing productivity is the knowledge that has been created about the brand in consumers’ minds from the firm’s investment in previous marketing programs.’ Despite these conclusions on consumer perceptions Dawar states that ‘little work has examined the impact of corporate actions on brand equity’ however Aaker and Jacobson (1994) believe that ‘corporate investments in perceived quality’ issues will strengthen brand equity, this will be investigated further in this paper. ‘Brand equity can potentially be devastated by publicity surrounding instances of defective or dangerous products termed product-harm crises.’ Dawar backs up this statement by suggesting that recalls etc have been increasing as a result of the ‘increasing complexity of products and ever demanding customers’ (Birch 1994) The idea of ‘devastation’ to a brands image is often considered a result of the media’s coverage of any crisis, ‘publicity about products...directly affect brand associations and potentially equity.’ Toyota were subjected to mass media coverage and this created more of a problem than would have occurred had they controlled what information was released and how they went about ensuring trust amongst their existing and potential customer base. D. Media coverage of any recall will influence consumer purchase intentions. Trust in a brand is built up over a period of time and relies on the consumer’s brand recognition and the media coverage of the company. ‘The credibility of a brand in signalling a market position is based on two factors: (1) previous investments by the firm in that market position, and (2) consumers’ prior experience with the brand,’ says Dawar (1998) implying that it is the actions of a company before a crisis and the preparation leading up to such problems, that will affect their ability to continue in their established market position. Dawar also discusses public relation concepts, relative to the research of Hearit (1994) whereby he prescribes that ‘immediate and unambiguous action’ must be taken in order to reduce damage to brand image during a product recall crisis. A delay in this can turn into a crisis where an involuntary recall is forced by government or official agencies which will in turn ensure consumers view the company in a negative light. As Dawar states, it is brand signals that will change the consumer perceptions however he also states that despite implying certain facts to consumers, that they are ‘often unaware of product quality and the characteristics of the firm.’ This can be manipulated before and during recall crises in order to strengthen the branding and to improve trust between firms and consumers. Lantieri & Chiagouris (2009) equity / trust / quality - 500 Lantieri and Chiagouris (2009) aimed to ‘identify the influences of mistrust and recommend actions that managers can take to insulate their brands climate of mistrust.’ The study focuses on the concept of eight themes that have increased the mistrust amongst consumers. There are two themes that relate most to the Toyota study: a) Theme 1: The Cynical Consumer - Lantieri and Chiagouris (2009) suggest that ‘perhaps the most powerful reason for a decline in trust is that consumers view brands with a much more cynical eye than they did 25 years ago.’ The consumer is impowered in this modern day society with more information and data at their fingertips than ever before. With the impact of online forums and consumer polls, everyone is exposed to both the negative and positive aspects of certain brands and their products. The purchase intentions of consumers are moulded from everyday occurrences and experiences as well as word of mouth but it is the media that can ultimately influence a consumer for or against a company. Where consumers have ‘the ability to quickly ‘google’ a brand or retailer’ they also have the ability to find consumer opinions from both sides of viewpoint. They state that ‘dissatisfied consumers tell more people about their situation than satisfied consumers’ implying that there will be less positive influential data on the internet than negative – ‘consumers expect to be disappointed’. b) Theme 2: Recalls – Lantieri and Chiagouris (2009) begin their second theme with a familiar concept that can be found in many of the current academic papers, the idea that consumer expectations of quality and availability have increased tremendously over the last few decades. ‘Many of our products today are superior to those of the past, the recall phenomena has lead to lower levels of trusts in brands’ – it is the trust in company brands that suffers at the hands of recall phenomena, quality is brought into question with reliability and credibility scrutinised by each current and potential customer. All the way through the study, Lantieri and Chiagouris (2009) focus specifically on the effects of ‘trust’ on a company, with consumer awareness being a major consideration. The internet and legislations on quality control and safety have brought ‘trust’ to the forefront of consumers purchase intentions, more so than in the past putting more pressure on companies to perform and deliver consistently. Solutions wise, Lantieri and Chiagouris (2009) suggest that there are several possible improvements to be made that can increase ‘trust’ or reduce the ‘mistrust’ consumers observe. If a company can ‘simplify the complaints procedure, reduce automated systems and reward consumer loyalty’ the results should improve their brand image to consumers especially in relation to brand-consumer relations. Grabowski & Hertzberg (2007) quality / avoiding recalls – 200 (207) Grabowski and Hertzberg (2007) put together a guide to ‘avoid product recalls.’ They address issues such as ‘are your customers safe? How well are you prepared for a recall? What impact will this have on our future?’ suggesting that resolutions to these questions will aid the recovery of your brand if a recall crisis occurs. Grabowski and Hertzberg (2007) imply throughout that preparation is key to the development and survival of a brand during a recall, without such groundwork the company would seriously suffer. ‘Proactive companies are assembling the necessary resources to develop product recall prevention initiatives well before a potential crisis occurs.’ They also discuss a company’s spokesperson and how important they can be in recall situations, this links back to the Souiden and Pons (2009) data whereby it was important for the type of recall to be correctly conveyed by the company involved. By not conveying the correct information the brand is opening itself up to potential negative connotations and as such may influence the purchase intentions of consumers. When there are questions surrounding the reliability and credibility of the brand and its product prospective new substitutes can be sought out by new consumers. E. Where brand loyalty will be questioned, substitutes will be sought. Keller (2001) equity / responses / relationships - 500 Compile everything together with Toyota news? Lead on to research design (2500 words) Chapter 3 Research Design 3.1 Data Collection Method 3.1.1 Strengths of questionnaires as a data collection method 3.1.2 Weaknesses of data collection method 3.2 Survey Sample 3.3 Ethical Issues 3.4 Data Analysis Technique 3.4.1 Research Data Validity 3.4.2 Research Reliability 3.4.3 Research Generalisablity (1500 words) Chapter 4 Results Hypothesis A. Hypothesis B. Hypothesis C. Hypothesis D. Hypothesis E. 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