Laboratory of Heat Transfer and Environmental Engineering Aristotle University Thessaloniki, GREECE Mesoscale meteo and air quality modelling Technical Report Deliverable D05.1 Final version SUTRA project Sustainable Urban Transportation for the City of Tomorrow EVK4-CT-1999-00013 Deliverable D05.1 Project Deliverable: D05.1 Mesoscale Meteo and Air Quality Modelling (Implementation Report and User Manual) Programme name: Research Programme: Project acronym: Contract number: Project title: Project Deliverable: Related Work Package: Type of Deliverable: Dissemination level: Document Author: Edited by: Reviewed by: Document Versions: Revision history: First Availability: Final Due Date: Last Modification: Hardcopy delivered to: Energy, Environment and Sustainable Development 1.1.4. - 4.4.1, 4.1.1 SUTRA EVK4-CT-1999-00013 Sustainable Urban Transportation D05.1 WP 05 Mesoscale meteo and air quality modelling RE (Technical Report) RES (Restricted) N. Moussiopoulos, K. Karatzas, A. Arvanitis, E.A. Kalognomou, I. Theodoridou and E. Georgiadou Laboratory of Heat Transfer and Environmental Engineering 1.3 (FINAL) 2001 08 31 2002 06 30 2002 06 15 -2- Deliverable D05.1 Executive Summary The Mesoscale Meteorological and Air Quality modelling report aims to develop a comprehensive overview of the photochemical air pollution modelling for long term strategic planning that is being applied for the scopes of the SUTRA project. For this reason, the report describes the tool used (the OFIS model) and the way it has been set-up and implemented, provides a user manual, example data sets and calibration examples. The overall aim is to provide a complete set of information that accompanies and fully describes the OFIS tool and the actions taken in order to prepare the input data for the model runs. This report is thus going to act as an implementation report and user manual for the OFIS model. Keywords: air quality modelling, air pollution -3- Deliverable D05.1 Contents 1 2 3 4 5 Urban Air pollution: basic principles...............................................................................5 Air Quality Management framework: the 96/62 EC directive .........................................6 Assessing and managing urban air quality: The use of models.....................................7 The Urban Ozone Problem ............................................................................................8 The Ozone Fine Structure model OFIS .........................................................................9 5.1 Introduction.......................................................................................................................... 9 5.2 The conceptual basis of OFIS ........................................................................................ 10 5.3 OFIS applications ............................................................................................................. 10 5.4 The OFIS User Manual ................................................................................................... 11 6 Ozone target and limit values in the EU ...................................................................... 11 6.1 Ozone pollution in Europe: current status .................................................................... 12 7 AQ modelling in the SUTRA project - The OFIS implementation ................................ 15 7.1 Genoa results.................................................................................................................... 16 7.2 Gdansk results .................................................................................................................. 19 7.3 Thessaloniki results ......................................................................................................... 21 7.4 Lisbon results .................................................................................................................... 24 7.5 Geneva results.................................................................................................................. 25 7.6 Tel Aviv results ................................................................................................................. 26 8 Conclusions for the OFIS application .......................................................................... 27 9 References .................................................................................................................. 28 ANNEX I: Ozone Fine Structure Model............................................................................... 30 -4- Deliverable D05.1 1 Urban Air pollution: basic principles Major air pollutants in urban areas or the so called “classical pollutants” are: Sulphur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), carbon monoxide (CO) and particulate matter (PM). Other pollutants may also be important, for example, the volatile organic compounds (VOC), characterised through the concentration of, for example, benzene or polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH), known to have adverse effects on human health such as cancer, or the less dangerous for the health alkanes and aldehydes, extremely important though since they contribute to the formation of photo-oxidants. Lead also used to be one of the most commonly emitted pollutants but its significance has declined due to the reduced lead contents of gasoline and the introduction of unleaded gasoline in most European countries. Last but not least is the ground-level ozone, produced secondarily via chemical reactions of nitrogen oxides and of non-methane volatile organic compounds in the presence of sunlight. During the last decades, the dominating sources of air pollution have changed in many cities and populated areas from the combustion of high-sulphur coal and oil (causing for example elevated SO2 and smoke concentrations) and from industrial processes to motor vehicles and the combustion of gaseous fuels. In many Central/East European cities, however, this shift is rather recent, and in some cities SO2 and smoke levels are still high. The ambient concentration of air pollutants varies very much in time (daily, weekly and seasonally, following the temporal profile of human activities resulting to air pollutant emissions) and in space. It depends, apart from the morphological and meteorological characteristics of the area concerned, upon the distance from dominating sources and the location within a city. It is made up of the following contributions: The natural background contribution; The regional background contribution: Long-range transport of anthropogenic emissions, as well as emissions from the cities themselves, leads to a regional increase in the concentration levels of many pollutants and their chemical transformation products; The city background contribution: Concentration levels of a number of pollutants are higher in cities than in the surrounding rural areas. This refers to the concentration of pollutants at places within cities not directly influenced by sources such as industry or traffic; The traffic and industrial contribution: In busy streets and near industrial sources, the concentration field is further elevated through nearby emissions. Traffic and industrial concentrations refer to the concentration of pollutants at places directly influenced by traffic or industry, the so called hot-spots. High concentration levels, (the so called air pollution episodes), with a life-time of a few days, are usually observed in urban areas when the large-scale synoptic weather situation is unfavourable for dispersion and deposition, especially in case of enhanced regional concentrations. Winter-type smog episodes occur during spells of cold winter weather when a high pressure system persists for several days. Dispersion is limited due to low wind speeds and a marked subsidence inversion. Winter-type air pollution episodes are generally characterised by high concentrations of sulphur dioxide (SO 2) and particulate matter (PM), mainly due to increased use of, and subsequent emissions from, fossil fuels for space/domestic heating (RIVM, 1992). Summer-type smog episodes occur during warm -5- Deliverable D05.1 and sunny weather in the summer season. Under the influence of sunlight, ozone is formed from nitrogen oxides and volatile organic compounds. At the same time the concentrations of other secondary formed compounds are increased as well as those from primarily emitted compounds such as traffic emissions (RIVM, 1992). The actual occurrence and frequency of increased air pollution concentrations depends primarily on the magnitude and the distribution of emission sources, on local topography (e.g., flat terrain, basin or valley) as well as on the local meteorology (e.g., average wind speed, frequency of calm weather conditions, occurrence of inversion layers) which determines the degree of pollutant dispersion and mixing with cleaner air after the emission took place; in Southern Europe, systems of local air circulation (such as land-sea breezes) are particularly influential. Continental-size weather patterns (cyclones and anticyclones), usually lasting a few days, can suddenly increase pollution loads on the regional scale, resulting in air pollution episodes. Following the above, it is apparent that the problem of air quality management should be dealt with in a way capable of addressing the complexities of interactions between the various physical, ecological, socio-economic and political aspects, components and actors related with urban air quality, thus posing a considerable challenge to planners, policy and decision makers and the general public. Moreover, there should be a distinction between the problems that urban air quality management is dealing with and between problems of a more generalised scale like climatic change. Climatic change, resulting from global warming (a problem resulting from the emissions of the so-called greenhouse gases), is a global environmental problem that is related to, but certainly not covered by, urban air quality management. 2 Air Quality Management framework: the 96/62 EC directive The 96/62/EC directive on ambient air quality assessment and management, also called “framework directive for air quality - FD”, was adopted by the European Council in September 1996. The objectives of this Directive are to (van Aalst et. al., 1998): Define and establish objectives for ambient air pollution abatement in the Community designed to avoid, prevent and reduce harmful effects on human health and the environment as a whole; Assess ambient air quality in Member States on the basis of common methods and criteria; Obtain adequate information on ambient air quality and ensure that it is made available to the public inter alia by means of alert thresholds; Maintain ambient air quality where it is good and improve it in other cases. Within these objectives, specific air quality management needs emerge. Thus, the most important consequence of the FD to the built of AQMS is the need for including new functionality aspects. As follows: Considerations of population density (definition of agglomeration, article 2 of FD) Geographical classification of polluted areas (FD, article 6, par. 2) Combination of monitoring and modelling techniques (FD, article 6, par. 3) Need for an integrated approach in order to achieve the aims of the directive (FD, article 7, par. 2) Information to be provided to the public and sensitive members of the community (hospital, kinder gardens etc), when alert air quality thresholds are exceeded (FD, article 10). -6- Deliverable D05.1 A detailed list of information to be included in the local, regional and national programmes for improvement in the ambient air quality (FD, annex IV, and Dir. 99/30/EC). Continuous assessment of air quality in urban agglomerations. In light of these “new” AQM needs, a contemporary AQMS should address all information relevant with the problem at hand, provide access to appropriate tools and support effective decision making. For this reason, the use of air quality models is essential, and is introduced in the following chapter. 3 Assessing and managing urban air quality: The use of models In air pollution assessments information on all parts of the cause-effect chain have to be collected. Not only a physical/chemical description of ambient air has to be presented in such a way so as to compare it with threshold values, but also the relationship between threshold values and the atmospheric emissions from sources (e.g. source categories, countries, regions, economical sectors) should be quantified. For an optimal abatement strategy to be developed it is essential that all three elements, (threshold or critical values, ambient parameters and emissions) are available. Three types of instruments are used in assessment studies: emission inventories (as a prerequisite for linking anthropogenic activities with air emissions), air quality field measuring programmes and atmospheric dispersion and transport models. Field measurements form an important aspect of a system aiming at the description of air pollution patterns in a given domain. Yet, observations are made at a limited number of locations which are not necessarily representative for the entire area of interest. Mathematical models may therefore prove useful for establishing consistent mass budgets of emission, transport, transformation, and deposition of pollutants. There are several examples for previous numerical simulations of air pollutant transport and transformation in the local-to-regional scale which, broadly speaking, corresponds to the mesoscale (Moussiopoulos et. al., 1995). In this context, it has already been recognized that urban scale problems can only be treated successfully by the aid of mesoscale air pollution models if either a large enough domain is considered or accurate boundary conditions are established. Air pollution models require at input considerable meteorological information. In the last years, two different approaches were followed in this respect: Diagnostic wind field calculation, in conjunction with an empirical parameterization for turbulence quantities, and prognostic calculation of both wind fields and turbulence quantities. The former approach presupposes the availability of very detailed observed data which would allow an accurate wind field reconstruction (Ratto et. al., 1994). This, however, is under normal circumstances not feasible. Therefore, the latter approach, i.e. the numerical simulation of the wind and turbulence patterns in the area of interest, is nowadays widely preferred. Both Eulerian and Lagrangian model types are being employed to describe the dispersion of inert pollutants. Eulerian dispersion models predominate in the case of reactive pollutants, typically ozone and its precursors (Peters et. al., 1995). Here it is usual practice to apply the wind model first and the (photochemical) dispersion model subsequently. In prognostic mesoscale models the large scale (temporal and spatial) distribution of all problem variables is assumed to be known and is used to define initial and boundary conditions. Major aim of these models is to describe how the problem variables are affected by mesoscale influences (e.g. those associated with orography and inhomogeneities in the surface energy balance). As a minimum requirement for a realistic -7- Deliverable D05.1 simulation of air pollutant transport in the local-to-regional scale, a prognostic mesoscale air pollution model should include a reasonable parameterization with regard to the dynamics of the atmospheric boundary layer. The latter depends on the turbulence characteristics which may vary with both height and time. Prognostic mesoscale models differ with regard to the treatment of pressure. If the characteristic horizontal length scale (roughly corresponding to the grid spacing) is larger than 10 km (which is not the case in the majority of urban air quality management systems), nonhydrostatic effects (and thus also dynamical vertical accelerations) may be neglected. In models adopting this approach, the so-called hydrostatic models, pressure can be simply obtained from the hydrostatic equation. On the contrary, in nonhydrostatic models the elliptic differential equation for pressure has to be solved, a fact usually resulting in higher demands in computational resources. Nowadays efficient elliptic solvers are available, and so the overall computational demand of a non-hydrostatic model is not much higher than that of a hydrostatic model. In most of the contemporary prognostic mesoscale models a transformation to terraininfluenced co-ordinates is performed to avoid difficulties in the formulation of the boundary conditions at surface. Regarding the impact of the surface on wind flow and dispersion characteristics, special care has to be taken to describe urban scale processes. Such processes are in general much more complex than those at larger scales: Buildings and other obstructions lead to very complex wind flow patterns in an urban area, while the presence of large concentration gradients within cities makes it extremely difficult to find representative locations for air quality monitoring stations. Additional difficulties may arise from the typical intermittency of air pollutant concentrations in an urban area and from the strong impact that concentration fluctuations may have with regard to chemical reactions occurring in an urban airshed. Details on the overall structure of prognostic mesoscale models are given in several previous articles and books (Physick, 1988; Pielke, 1984; Schlünzen, 1994). 4 The Urban Ozone Problem According to the report "Air Pollution in Europe 1997" of the European Environment Agency, the EU ozone threshold value for the protection of human health (110 μg/m3, 8h average) is exceeded substantially (Jol and Kielland, 1997). Based on measurements at urban stations it was concluded that 80% of the EU urban population is exposed to these exceedances. It is therefore evident that ozone related air pollution is of paramount importance regarding urban air quality, this being the main reason for dealing with ozone related air quality indicators in SUTRA. For an effective reduction of high pollutant concentrations, an appropriate co-ordinated strategy must be adopted. Such a strategy usually consists of a number of measures or interventions which may be either of long term or of short term character. Long term measures mainly aim at the reduction of mean pollutant concentration levels, whereas short term actions focus on lowering peak concentrations. The occurrence of air pollution episodes largely depends on dispersion and transformation phenomena of pollutants in the atmosphere. It is well known that atmospheric transport of pollutants, including ozone, is governed by phenomena occurring at different interacting scales. In this context, larger scales provide boundary conditions for phenomena characterized by the scale of interest. Thus, air quality in a local or regional scale domain is -8- Deliverable D05.1 not only influenced by primary pollutant emissions and secondary pollutant production rates within the domain but also by the net pollutant transport across the boundaries. Considering ozone, attention has to be drawn on its major precursor substances VOC and NOx. VOC emissions originate partly from biogenic and partly from anthropogenic sources, while the entire NOx emission is of anthropogenic origin, road traffic being one of the main emitters. Urban transportation is among the key issues when addressing the anthropogenic origin of air pollution problems in cities. In many cases there are “city specific” factors that increase these problems, like fast urban growth and increasing amount of commuter traffic of the daily workforce from suburbs and surrounding areas, extreme asymmetry in seasonal transportation demand due to tourism, a marked preference for individual cars, or insufficient capacity and quality of the public transportation system, and many others. The resulting environmental problems are equally severe in most cases, and even in the cases where the overall environment is considered as reasonably clean, the contribution of traffic to pollution dominates all other sources. Finally, the trends in all cities indicate a worsening of the current problems: traffic volumes increase and traffic congestion becomes an ever more frequent phenomenon. Abatement strategies include legislative measures, such as the introduction of catalysts for new cars and incentives favouring retrofitting of old cars, resulting in decisive reductions of the average NOx emissions of car fleets. Nevertheless, increases in individual traffic often counterbalance this reduction leading even to an increase of the total NOx emissions. Hence, an increase of the background ozone levels at areas downwind of the major precursor sources could be observed. The state of Baden-Wuerttemberg can be used as an example: background ozone levels increased by 5 μg/m3 per year between 1984 and 1991 (Mayer and Schmid, 1992). Moreover, frequent exceedances of the ozone threshold value of 180 μg/m3 initiated a discussion about the effectiveness of short term emission interventions, such as driving prohibitions or speed limits during severe photosmog episodes. For the first time, short term regional emission reduction concepts were introduced in the states of Hessen, Schleswig-Holstein, Bremen and Niedersachsen as a preparatory step towards a federal law which passed legislation in 1995 (URL 1). 5 The Ozone Fine Structure model OFIS 5.1 Introduction What precursor emission reductions are needed in order to reduce sufficiently and costeffectively tropospheric ozone levels has to be addressed with suitable photochemical simulation models. Until recently, urban photochemistry was analysed either crudely (with simple box models) or by the aid of sophisticated 3D photochemical dispersion models. The computational effort of the latter limits their applicability to episodic simulations which only exceptionally can be considered as representative for longer time periods. In contrast to these previous approaches, the OFIS model allows an adequate description of urban photochemistry at a very low computational effort: This newly developed Eulerian -9- Deliverable D05.1 model is capable of simulating transport and photochemical transformation processes in an urban plume. Thus it may be used for calculating urban scale ozone levels and for detecting exceedances of ozone threshold values based on large scale anemological and long range transport information over a longer time period (typically six months). The Ozone Fine Structure (OFIS) model belongs to European Zooming Model system (EZM), a comprehensive model system for simulations of wind flow and pollutant transport and transformation (Moussiopoulos et. al., 1995). It is directly related to the photochemical dispersion model MARS and makes use of the nonhydrostatic prognostic mesoscale model MEMO (URL 2). 5.2 The conceptual basis of OFIS The OFIS model was derived from well-tested full 3D models, and hence it retains all elements necessary to achieve a realistic statistical evaluation of urban scale ozone levels. The conceptual basis of OFIS is a 2D approach: Background boundary layer concentrations are calculated with a threelayer box model representing the local-to-regional conditions in the surroundings of the city considered. This model uses at input nonurban emission rates, meteorological data and regional scale model results for pollutant concentrations (e.g. EMEP model results (Simpson, 1993, 1995). Pollutant transport and transformation downwind of the city (along the prevailing wind direction) is calculated with a three-layer multibox model representing a substantially refined version of MARS-1D (Moussiopoulos, 1990). The distinction of three individual layers of time depending thickness allows adequately describing the dynamics of the atmospheric boundary layer. At the same time, vertical transport is taken properly into account by considering the exchange between adjacent layers. For prescribing the thickness of the three layers, a 1D version of MEMO is utilised: The vertical profiles of temperature, mean wind speed and turbulent exchange coefficient as well as the mixing height are calculated both for the city surroundings and the urban plume assuming Monin-Obukhov similarity at the lower boundary. 5.3 OFIS applications Examples of previous OFIS model applications are available via the WWW: Urban Plume Prediction and Application to Stuttgart (URL 1). - 10 - Deliverable D05.1 5.4 The OFIS User Manual The OFIS model user manual, including a description of the input data required is available in Annex I 6 Ozone target and limit values in the EU In order to be able to proceed with an ozone-based urban air quality assessment, one has to take into account the relevant legislative framework, as the latter provides specific suggestions on the air quality “indicators” that should be used, the related limit and target values, and the way that an AQ assessment should be planned, materialized and integrated in the environmental management tasks performed by city or other environmental authorities. Currently EU member states are required to report ozone levels under the Council Directive 92/72/EEC on air pollution by ozone. The ozone directives are daughter directives of the EU's 1996 air quality framework directive (96/62/EC) and would require member states to test ozone levels and take measures to reduce them to an indicative maximum value. The European Environment Agency (EEA) publishes reports that provide an overview of the air pollution by ozone, including the data from the 15 EU member states as these are reported to the EEA, under their obligations according to the framework directive. However no reporting is required (yet) at city level. According to the Council Directive 92/72/EEC, the health protection threshold is set at 110 μg/m3 for the mean values over eight hours, the population information threshold is set at 180 μg/m3 for the mean value over one hour, and the population warning threshold is set at 360 μg/m3 for the mean value over one hour. On 9/6/1999 a proposal for a new Directive relating to ozone in ambient air was first proposed (COM(99)125), which sets the target value for the protection of human health to 120 μg/m3 (highest 8-hour mean within one day, calculated from hourly running 8-hour averages), and proposes that EU countries should aim to reduce exceedance s of the target value to a maximum of 20 days per year by 2010, with the ultimate aim of achieving no exceedances at all. The information threshold remained set at 180 μg/m 3 for the mean value over one hour, whereas the alert threshold (referred to as the population warning threshold Directive 92/72/EEC) is set at 240 μg/m3 for the mean value over one hour. It is important to note that the fact that the 120 μg/m 3 target is proposed by the Commission as a "target value" rather than as a mandatory "limit value", is in contrast with previous "daughter" directives proposed under the EU's 1996 air quality framework directive. The Commission argues that target values are justified since ozone pollution in one country is often caused by pollution emitted in other countries, giving states only limited control over pollution levels. However, it should also be noted that anticipating potential objections to the stringency of its proposed ozone target level, the Commission notes that WHO - 11 - Deliverable D05.1 information shows that about 70% of hospital admissions can be attributed to ozone concentrations of less than 160 μg/m3. The amended proposal for a Directive relating to ozone in ambient air COM(2000)613, changed neither the target values, nor the information and alert thresholds as these appear in COM(99)125. Finally, on 24/10/2001 the European Parliament announced that EU governments and MEPs agreed on a new directive (which has not yet appeared in the Official Journal), according to which the 120 μg/m3 target has not changed, however EU member states will have to make sure that the target is not exceeded more than 25 times each year by 2010, except where this is "not achievable through proportionate measures". As is mentioned above, the Commission originally proposed 20 days but accepted that the weaker ceilings agreed for precursor pollutants (nitrogen oxides and volatile organic compounds) now make this unrealistic. The member states will also commit to a non-binding long-term objective of ensuring that the WHO standard of 120 μg/m3 is not breached at all by 2020, although governments had wanted to avoid putting any date on this aim. Moreover, as ozone levels tend to be higher in Southern Europe (due to high insolation), southern member states such as Spain, Portugal, Greece and Italy attempted to set the agreement on a 40-day exceedance target, but in the end, Swedish, Dutch and Danish pressure to maintain the Commission’s original figure, led to the adoption of the lower compromise figure. The accord brought to an end more than two years of institutional wrangling over the law. 6.1 Ozone pollution in Europe: current status According to the EEA Topic report 13/2001 on Air pollution by ozone in Europe in summer 2001, and overview of exceedances of EC ozone threshold values during the summer season April-August 2001 (de Leeuw and Bogman, 2001), Europe experienced slightly more ozone pollution this summer than in 2000, largely due to better weather conditions. However, overall the figures reveal little trend in summer ozone since 1995. The highest "population warning" ozone threshold of 360 μg/m3 was not exceeded this summer. However, Spain's highest recorded level was exactly 360 μg/m 3, while the threshold was exceeded once in southern France in March. As in previous years, there were frequent and widespread exceedances of the lower "population information" threshold of 180 μg/m3. A preliminary evaluation of the AprilAugust 2001 period conducted for the European Commission shows that the public information threshold was exceeded in 11 of the 15 EU Member States and in five out of 10 other European countries that supplied data at the EEA’s request. An exceedance occurred in at least one of these 25 countries on 101 of the 153 days covered. Italy recorded the highest number of days with exceedances of the public information threshold (80), followed by France (58) and Spain (48). Of those countries reporting exceedances, Poland had the fewest exceedance days (2). However, these numbers do not necessarily give a fair comparison because of wide variations in the extent of different countries’ ozone monitoring networks. Belgium and France both had the highest proportion of stations reporting exceedances - 73%. The countries that recorded no exceedances of the public information threshold this year were Bulgaria, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, - 12 - Deliverable D05.1 Ireland, Latvia, Lithuania, Norway and Sweden. For Ireland and Finland, 2001 marks the fourth consecutive year without exceedances. Differing definitions between the existing and new directive make it difficult to assess how countries are currently performing against the future standards. However, the EEA notes that about 5% of exceedances of the 180 μg/m 3 threshold this summer also exceeded the future alert threshold of 240 μg/m3. In common with previous annual reports, the EEA suggests a continuing trend in yearround ozone levels towards lower pollution peaks but higher background concentrations. From 1994 to 1999, 120 stations show a significant upward trend and 12 show the reverse. Falling European emissions of ozone precursor chemicals such as VOCs and nitrogen oxides are suggested to account for the lower peaks. The rising background levels remain mysterious but could be due to rising global precursor emissions. Table 1. Summary of exceedances of the threshold for information of the public (1h ozone concentration greater than 180μg/m3 ) during the summer 2001 (April to August) on a country by country basis. Country No of stations (2) No of stations with exceedance No of days with exceedances (3) Maximum observed concentratio n (μg/m3) Average maximum concentration (μg/m3) (4) Average duration of exceedances (hour) Greece (1) 13 6(46%) 12 273 205 2.0 Italy 314 59(19%) 80 353 203 3.5 Portugal 22 7(32%) 10 358 215 1.0 Switzerland 13 9(69%) 32 290 200 3.0 Poland 20 2(10%) 2 182 182 1.0 (1) Incomplete information was received (2) Number of stations implemented in the framework of the ozone directive (3) The number of calendar days on which at least one exceedance was observed. (4) Average of all maximum concentrations recorded during exceedances However, as mentioned in section 6: Ozone target and limit values in the EU, a revision of the ozone directive is in preparation. In this proposed directive target values and long-term objectives for protection of human health and vegetation have been defined which differ from the values set in the current directive. - 13 - Deliverable D05.1 In the 1997 EEA annual report under the directive (de Leeuw et. al., 1999) an attempt was made to evaluate the ozone data submitted under the current directive against the targets and long-term objectives proposed in the new ozone directive. This analysis showed that, due to the differences in the definition of the thresholds, the information collected under the current directive is not adequate to assess exceedances of the newly proposed ozone thresholds1. In the proposed directive the information threshold is defined similar to the current directive as 1h average values of 180 µg/m 3. The proposed directive further defines an alert threshold of 240 µg/m3 as 1h average and stipulates that for the implementation of short-term action plans (as described in Article 7) the exceedance of the threshold should be measured (or predicted) for three consecutive hours. The available information allows an evaluation of the occurrence of exceedances of the alert threshold but it is insufficient to evaluate whether ozone concentrations are above the alert threshold during three consecutive hours. 1 The main difference between the current and the proposed directive is the time averaging. In the current directive the eight-hourly average concentrations are calculated four times a day from the eight hourly values between 0 and 8.00, 8.00 and 16.00, 16.00 and 24.00, 12.00 and 20.00. In the proposed directive the maximum daily eight-hour running average is used. In the current directive the threshold for protection of vegetation is defined as a daily averaged value; in the proposed directive, the value is calculated as AOT40, that is, the sum of the difference between hourly concentrations greater than 80 μg/m 3 ( = 40 ppb) and 80 μg/m3 over a three-month period (May–July) using only the one-hour values measured between 8 a.m. and 8 p.m. - 14 - Deliverable D05.1 7 AQ modelling in the SUTRA project - The OFIS implementation Despite their diversity, cities and towns across Europe face the common challenge of sustainable urban development. In the frame of the SUTRA project, the OFIS model is applied to seven case study cities, for which the current tropospheric ozone concentration levels, exposure, AOT values and other air quality related environmental indicators will be estimated, and for which future development scenarios will be structured in order to estimate future air quality. The availability and implementation status of the OFIS urban air quality model assessment application is presented in the following Table. The availability of the data does not necessarily imply data quality. The inappropriateness of the data refers to the feasibility of applying the model and reflects inherent difficulties for the data providers (city authorities) in collecting QA/QC information for the purpose of environmental assessment, is not restricted to the SUTRA project, and therefore does not refer to the validity of the model results. Table 2. Input data for OFIS simulations provided by city partners Meteorological & background concentration data Urban emissions Suburban emissions Rural emissions GENOA ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ GENEVA ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ THESSALONIKI ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ GDANSK ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ LISBON BUENOS AIRES TEL AVIV ✔ - ✔ - ✔ - ✔ - ✔ * ✔ ✔ * Inappropriate data Operational details of the OFIS air quality model can be found in deliverable D05.02. Preliminary runs have been performed for the cities for which data are available and appropriate, i.e. Genoa, Geneva, Thessaloniki, Gdansk, Lisbon and Tel Aviv (for the latter some assumptions were used, to be presented in the relevant subchapter). It should be underlined that, after a set of multiple tests and preliminary runs, it was decided to complete the final runs per city, regardless of some input data problems that causes some erroneous results, as it was evident that some city partners did not have the possibility to provide with appropriate data, while the need to compile a final send of reference (base case) scenarios for all cities was very pronounced, in order for the project to proceed. The results as spatial graphs of maximum 8hour running average ozone concentration exceeding 120μg/m3 (IND120) values are presented below. - 15 - Deliverable D05.1 7.1 Genoa results IND 120 60 40 125 105 20 85 0 65 -20 45 25 -40 0 -60 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 Figure 1. Number of days with maximum 8hour running average ozone concentration exceeding 120μg/m3 (IND120), calculated by the OFIS model, for a 150x150km2 area surrounding Genoa, and wind rose of prevailing wind during the summer semester of 1999 (draft reference scenario). Figure 1 shows the initial estimation for the number of days exceeding 120μg/m3 – as daily maximum 8hour average – for the six months period studied and the wind rose2 corresponding to this period. Instead of occurring in the urban ozone plume as expected, exceedances are observed away from the city and the area influenced by it; this unrealistic pattern is the consequence of air masses extremely rich in ozone and other pollutants entering in the area from the domain’s boundaries. These boundary concentration values 2 Wind speed and direction distribution for the period of interest - 16 - Deliverable D05.1 of main photochemical pollutants were supplied by the partners and although they should correspond to background levels, they were high enough to be observed in extremely polluted urban plumes. Lower ozone concentrations – and consequently fewer exceedances – are calculated in the urban area, as NO emissions consume ozone, and downwind, as “cleaner” air is advected from the city. Based on the above findings, a revised set of data was provided by the Genoa partners, resulting in the exceedances presented in Figure 2. IND 120 60 40 125 20 105 0 85 -20 65 -40 45 -60 25 5 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 Figure 2. Number of days with maximum 8hour running average ozone concentration exceeding 120μg/m3 (IND120), calculated by the OFIS model, for a 150x150km 2 area surrounding Genoa, and wind rose of prevailing wind during the summer semester of 1999 (final reference scenario). Figure 2 shows the final estimation for the number of days exceeding 120μg/m 3 – as daily maximum 8hour average – for the six months period studied and the wind rose3 3 Wind speed and direction distribution for the period of interest - 17 - Deliverable D05.1 corresponding to this period. Exceedances are observed in combination with the urban ozone plume, and the pattern is now more realistic, due to the refined boundary condition data. Lower ozone concentrations – and consequently fewer exceedances – are calculated in the urban area, as NO emissions consume ozone, and downwind, as “cleaner” air is advected from the city. As a final check, comparisons were made between the results presented here and the results that were made available from the GEA report (de Leeuw et al., 2001). Thus, it should be noted that the exceedances calculated in the GEA report for Genova were higher than the ones of the SUTRA reference scenario, the same standing for the emission data, thus verifying the importance of the emission related ozone production mechanisms in the area. - 18 - Deliverable D05.1 7.2 Gdansk results IND120 60 40 125 105 20 85 0 65 -20 45 25 -40 0 -60 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 Figure 3. Number of days with maximum 8hour running average ozone concentration exceeding 120μg/m3 (IND120), calculated by the OFIS model, for a 150x150km 2 area surrounding Gdansk, and wind rose of prevailing wind during the summer semester of 1999 (final reference scenario). In contrast to the case of Genoa, few days of exceedance were observed for the area of Gdansk. As shown in Fig. 2, these days are characterized by SE winds and high ozone concentrations mainly above the urban area. Although there is a considerable occurrence of NW winds and SW winds, no ozone plume is formed downwind of the city during the corresponding days. Very low emission estimations for urban NOx and no emissions for VOC at all, combined with zero boundary concentrations for ozone and VOC, resulted in limited production of radicals which would interfere to the NO-NO2-O3 reaction chain to favour ozone production. The small number of exceedances for most of the area is due to the absence of VOC in the studied area. The high urban ozone levels occur in the days of SE winds, as the pollution of air masses moving downwind of the city indicate in Fig. 2. - 19 - Deliverable D05.1 This happens also due to the scarcity of the emission data available; there are no NO ground emissions for the urban area or the SE neighbouring cities of Elblag and Tczew to “consume” ozone that NO2 – emitted in considerable amounts from these two cities – photolysis produces. NW to Gdansk, in Gdynia and Sopot, comparable amounts of NO 2 are emitted, but ozone production is counterbalanced by NO emissions, which, for these two cities, are available. As a final check, comparisons were made between the results presented here and the results that were made available from the GEA report (de Leeuw et al., 2001). Thus, it should be noted that the exceedances calculated in the GEA report for Gdansk, and the relevant emissions, were the same with the ones of the SUTRA reference scenario. - 20 - Deliverable D05.1 7.3 Thessaloniki results IND120 60 40 125 105 20 85 0 65 -20 45 25 -40 0 -60 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 Figure 4. Number of days with maximum 8hour running average ozone concentration exceeding 120μg/m3 (IND120), calculated by the OFIS model, for a 150x150km2 area surrounding Thessaloniki, and wind rose of prevailing wind during the summer semester of 1995 (draft reference scenario). - 21 - Deliverable D05.1 60 125 40 105 20 85 0 65 45 -20 25 -40 5 -60 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 Figure 5. Number of days with maximum 8hour running average ozone concentration exceeding 120μg/m3 (IND120), calculated by the OFIS model, for a 150x150km 2 area surrounding Thessaloniki, and wind rose of prevailing wind during the summer semester of 1995 (final reference scenario). In the case of Thessaloniki, exceedances are observed, as in the Genoa case, away from the city influence and due to high ozone background concentrations exceeding in some days the target value of 120μg/m 3. After the fist test run (Fiure 4), emission information vere revisited and refined, resulting in the final reference scenario (figure 5). NO emissions limit ozone production in the urban area as expected, but low VOC emissions prohibit ozone formation downwind, similarly to the Gdansk case. The exceedance frequency increases with the distance from the city centre, obviously in conjunction with the transition from VOC to NOx limitation Although detailed and comprehensive emission data were available for this case, the lumping of VOC from the original speciation to the one used by the model was inadequate. NE of the city, the sea breeze effect is evident, as SW winds, occurring in 40% of the studied summer days, advect poor in ozone air from the city. .As a general remark, it should be noted that wind statistics in a city appear to drastically affect the spatial pattern of the ozone exceedance frequency: In cases like Thessaloniki, where - 22 - Deliverable D05.1 the statistical predominance of certain winds is evident, OFIS results reveal the anisotropy in ozone exceedance frequencies around the city centre. Finally, and in comparison to the GEA results, emissions considered for the GEA report were higher than the ones considered in the frame of the SUTRA scenario, yet the latter exhibits higher exceedances, thus revealing the non-linear relationship of ozone levels and emissions, in the cases of high photochemical sensitivity in a studied area (VOS vs NOx sensitivity), and the overall photochemistry dominance in Ozone formation for the Thessaloniki area (as also suggested by Güsten et al., 1997 and Zanis et. al., 2001) - 23 - Deliverable D05.1 7.4 Lisbon results IND120 The analysis of the input data for Lisbon reveals that there are some basic background concentrations missing. In comparison to the GEA results, emissions are lower. Overall, no exceedances are observed and therefore the final reference scenario for Lisbon should be considered as one with zero exceedances (this is why no Figure is provided here). This results supports previous findings (Calheiros and Casimiro, 2001), that state that for the year 1999, available ozone concentration level information suggest no exceedances above the EU 1-hour threshold and no 8-hour exceedances of the WHO guideline and EU thresholds. Nevertheless, the same reference also stated that “preliminary analysis indicates that daily exposures in 1999 may have contributed up to 1.6% of all deaths ( 350 cases) and 1.9% of respiratory hospital admissions in Lisbon”, thus revealing the complex relationship between exposure limit values and actual health related impacts. - 24 - Deliverable D05.1 7.5 Geneva results IND120 60 40 185 165 20 145 125 0 105 85 -20 65 45 -40 25 5 -60 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 Figure 6. Number of days with maximum 8hour running average ozone concentration exceeding 120μg/m3 (IND120), calculated by the OFIS model, for a 150x150km 2 area surrounding Geneva, and wind rose of prevailing wind during the summer semester of 1995 (final reference scenario). In the case of Geneva, the combination of low wind speeds and high emissions resulted in high ozone exceedances (170 days for IND120). This is attributed also to the sensitivity of ozone formation in correlation to VOC and NOx emissions, as discussed in detail for Switzerland in Andreani-Aksoyoglou et. al., 2001. Last but not least, it should be noted that high ozone concentration have already been reported for Geneva in literature, without sufficient explanation on the cause-effect chain. (Neininger, 1997). - 25 - Deliverable D05.1 7.6 Tel Aviv results IND120 In the case of Tel Aviv, input data were supplied by the city partner with delay due to problems in collecting and compiling necessary information. Although ground level emission information was not made available, the assumption that the elevated emission data provided are identical with the (missing) ground level ones was used. The corresponding results (representing vague input data), do not suggest any INT120 exceedances. These results correspond to OFIS model input data quality and availability and their use in the frame of the SUTRA project should be considered as problematic. - 26 - Deliverable D05.1 8 Conclusions for the OFIS application As it is evident from all the cases examined and described above, the provision of complete and correct data is essential for gaining proper model results, or any results at all. The difficulties of the city partners to provide these data although considerable and timeconsuming are steadily being overcome as experience is gained and exchanged among them. Moreover In order to apply the OFIS model for a number of scenarios deviating from the “reference” scenario, the new emission information is required following the specifications provided for OFIS model inputs. Scenarios related with changes in emissions that do not affect the total sum of the latter are not expected to have a significant impact in the OFIS-based assessment of urban air quality. On-line integration is not possible in the timeframe of SUTRA as it requires efforts not available within the project. In addition to the above, and in order to support the formulation and treatment of emission related scenarios from the SUTRA city partners, some suggestions follow focusing on the traffic related emission percentile that dominates urban emissions in all cases. The introduction of new internal combustion engine technologies in combination with the reduced emission standards already planned in Europe and the use of new type of fuels, suggest that car emissions will change in the future. This alteration is of paramount importance when coming to the estimation of ozone levels with tools like OFIS, as it is expected to affect VOC emissions and their splitting, e.g. their qualitative and quantitative distribution. It should be noted that the first research work results on this issue appeared in literature in the mid 90ies, suggesting, e.g. that the use of oxygenated compounds as fuel components would appear to be helpful in reducing atmospheric ozone formation due to the modification of VOC emissions (Bowman and Seinfeld, 1996). On the other hand, future technologies like the direct injection and the variable compression ratio in combination with high pressure charging are expected to result in alteration of emissions, yet any reduction is expected to occur fro the use of after treatment technologies (catalytic converters). As the latter will more effectively reduce VOCs that are oxidized more easily (, and aromatic hydrocarbons are not included in that category while being an important ozone precursor, it is evident that VOC emissions (and its splitting) for the cars of the future can not be treated with adequate accuracy and on the basis of sufficient scientific evidence. Thus, and for SUTRA purposes, the application of the VOC spitting already used when studying the reference scenarios will advance project work, as it will allow for comparisons on a “common basis”, being among the only safe and scientifically sound approaches currently used. - 27 - Deliverable D05.1 9 References Andreani-Aksoyoglou S., Lu C.H., Keller J., Prevot A.S.H. and Chang J.S. (2001), Variability of indicator values for ozone production sensitivity: a model study for Switzerland and San Joaquin Valley (California), Atmospheric Environment 35, 55935604. Bowman F.M. and Seinfeld J. H. (1996), Atmospheric chemistry of alternate fuels and reformulated gasoline components, Fuel and Energy Abstracts 37, Page 134. Calheiros J.and Casimiro E. (2001), http://www.siam.fc.ul.pt/health/health05_01.ppt de Leeuw F. and Bogman F. (2001), Air pollution by ozone in Europe in summer 2001, EEA Topic report 13/2001, European Environment Agency, Copenhagen. de Leeuw F., Moussiopoulos N., Bartonova A., Sahm P, Pulles T., Visschedijk A. (2001), Air quality in larger cities in the European Union, A contribution to the Auto-Oil II programme (GEA report), European Environment Agency, Topic report 3/2001. de Leeuw F., Sluijter R. and de Paus T. (1999), Air pollution by ozone in Europe in 1997 and summer 1998, EEA Topic report 3/1999, European Environment Agency, Copenhagen. Gusten H., Heinrich G., Monnich E. and Weppner J., Cvitas T. and Klasinc L., Varotsos C. A. and Asimakopoulos D. N. (1997), Thessaloniki '91 field measurement campaign--II. ozone formation in the greater Thessaloniki area, Atmospheric Environment 31 11151126. Jol, A. and Kielland, G. (eds), (1997), "Air Pollution in Europe 1997", EEA, Copenhagen, 1997. Mayer H. and Schmid J. (1992), Trendanalyse von Immissionsdaten in BadenWurttemberg, LFU Karlsruhe. Moussiopoulos N. (1990), Influence of power plant emissions and industrial emissions on the leeward ozone levels, Atmospheric Environment, 24A, pp. 1451-146. Moussiopoulos N., Berge E., Bohler T., de Leeuw F., Gronskei K., Mylona S. and Tombrou M. (1995), Models for ambient air quality and pollutant dispersion/transport: State of the art - Needs and trends, Report MA3-2, European Topic Centre on Air Quality. Moussiopoulos N., Sahm P. and Kessler Ch. (1995), Numerical simulation of photochemical smog formation in Athens, Greece-a case study, Atmospheric Environment 29, 3619-3632. Neininger B. (1997), http://www.bbw.admin.ch/abstracts/abstr2000/abstracts/cost/c97.0044.html. - 28 - Deliverable D05.1 Peters L.K., Berkowitz C.M., Carmichael G.R., Easter R.C., Fairweather G., Ghan S.J., Hales J.M., Leung L.R., Pennel W.R., Potra F.A., Saylor R.D and Tsang T.T. (1995), The current state and future direction of Eulerian models in simulating the tropospheric chemistry and transport of trace species: a review, Atmospheric Environment 29, 189-222. Physick W.L. (1988), Review: Mesoscale modelling in complex terrain, Earth-Science Review 25, 199-235. Pielke R. A. (1984), Mesoscale Meteorological Modelling, Academic Press. Ratto C.F., Festa R., Romeo C., Frumento O.A. and Galluzzi M. (1994), Mass-consistent models for wind fields over complex terrain: The state-of-the art, Environmental Software 9, 247-268. RIVM (1992), The Environment in Europe: a Global Perspective, Bilthoven, report no. 481505001. Schlünzen K.H. (1994), Mesoscale modelling in complex terrain – an overview on the German nonhydrostatic models, Contr. Phys. Atmos. 67, 243-253. Simpson D. (1993), Photochemical model calculations over Europe for two extended summer periods: 1985 and 1989, Atmospheric Environment 27A, 921-943. Simpson D. (1995), Biogenic emissions in Europe 2: Implications for ozone control strategies, J. Geophysics Research 100 D11, pp. 22891-22906. URL1: http://lhtee.meng.auth.gr/lhtee_old/ofis/ URL2: http://155.207.20.121/mds/bin/show_long?OFIS van Aalst R., Edwards, L., Pulles, T., De Saeger, E., Tombrou, M. and Tonnesen D. (1998), Guidance Report on Preliminary Assessment under EC Air Quality Directives, http://eea.eu.int/frdocu.htm. Zanis P., Zerefos C. S., Gilge S., Melas D., Balis D., Ziomas I., Gerasopoulos E., Tzoumaka P., Kaminski U. and Fricke W. (2001), Comparison of measured and modelled surface ozone concentrations at two different sites in Europe during the solar eclipse on August 11, 1999, Atmospheric Environment 35, 4663-4673. - 29 - Deliverable D05.1 ANNEX I: Ozone Fine Structure Model OFIS Version 1.0 User’s Guide Laboratory of Heat Transfer and Environmental Engineering Aristotle University Thessaloniki February 2001 - 30 - Deliverable D05.1 1 Standard model version – short description The OFIS model was derived from well-tested full 3D models, and hence it retains all elements necessary to achieve a realistic statistical evaluation of urban scale ozone levels. Its conceptual basis is a coupled 1D/2D approach: Background boundary layer concentrations are computed with a multi-layer box model for a domain of typically 150150 km2 with the considered city in the centre and rural area all around. For each day of the period considered, pollutant transport and transformation downwind of the city is calculated with a multi-layer multi-box model assuming the prevailing wind direction for the respective day, an initial plume width according to the city diameter and a plume widening angle of 30°. In order to adequately describe the dynamics of the atmospheric boundary layer, OFIS allows in the vertical direction for either a static non-equidistant grid level distribution or a number of individual layers with time dependent thickness. At the same time, vertical transport is accounted for by considering the exchange between adjacent layers. For prescribing the thickness of the layers, a 1D version of MEMO is utilised: The vertical profiles of temperature, mean wind speed, turbulent exchange coefficient and mixing height are calculated both for the city surroundings and the urban plume assuming MoninObukhov similarity at the lower boundary. The multi-layer methodology is identical to the one adopted in the multi-layer model MUSE (Sahm et al., 1995) which is another simplified version of MARS (a few layers instead of “normal” discretisation in the vertical direction; semi-implicit solver instead of a fully implicit one). The mathematical analysis is based on the coupled, two-dimensional advection-diffusion equations for the ensemble averaged quantities of reactive species. The equations are solved by operator splitting according to the method of lines, that is by solving the advection dominated terms separately from the diffusion dominated ones (in vertical direction) and the chemical reaction terms. The concentration trends due to advection, vertical diffusion and entrainment are then treated as source terms in the chemical reaction equation system. The latter is solved in OFIS with a backward difference solution procedure, i.e. by applying the Gauss-Seidel iteration scheme (Kessler, 1995). The model uses a variable time step with an upper limit for the integration time increment (e.g. of 300 seconds). Due to the modular structure of OFIS, chemical transformations can be treated by any suitable chemical reaction mechanism, the default being the EMEP MSC-W chemistry which has been described in detail in Simpson (1995). The dry deposition process for both the city surroundings and the urban plume is calculated following the resistance model concept (Sahm, 1998). 2 Extended model version to account for inhomogeneous situations Considering emission inhomogeneities in the city surroundings Assuming that the background boundary layer concentrations are independent of the wind direction is most likely erroneous in densely populated areas as high emitters (like another city or industrial areas) could well be located upwind of the considered urban area and thus affect air quality in the latter. By extending the domain of the three-layer multibox model well upwind of the city centre, large emitters can now be taken into account in the vicinity of the urban area depending on the prevailing wind direction of the respective day. - 31 - Deliverable D05.1 Accounting for local circulation systems The assumption of one prevailing wind direction for a specific day does not allow resolving local circulation systems. The extended version of OFIS accounts for a local circulation system such as the sea-breeze in coastal areas by inversing the wind direction of the urban plume in the lower two layers (i.e. up to the mixed layer) in the afternoon hours of days with weak synoptic forcing and off-shore wind direction. The inversion is simulated by interpolating the wind speed from positive values to negative values between two subsequent hours. 3 Input requirements OFIS requires data about the geography of the city, its population figure, emissions, the atmospheric trace gases and data about the meteorology. These data can be obtained e.g. by CORINAIR and EMEP. A summary of the input data files is shown in Table 1. Table 1: Input files needed by the OFIS model Class a b,c d d d Optional: o.a o.b o.c File description Control File Meteorological and boundary concentration data file Urban ground level and elevated emission data file Suburban ground level and elevated emission data file Rural ground level and elevated emission data file Neighbouring cities location, ground level and elevated emission data file Land use data file Meteorological file containing local circulation system information OFIS input requirement classification: a. b. c. d. o.a. City longitude, city latitude, city population, urban city area, suburban city area. Such information about the size, position and population can be found e.g. in HEGIS (Health and Environment Geographical Information System) or similar databases. For each day of the year, large scale pressure forcing (synoptic conditions), regional scale model results for meteorological quantities. Such data can be obtained from models like EMEP (European Monitoring and Evaluation Programme) or LOTOS (cost ~7500 Euro/year), OR from appropriate measuring stations and following the necessary assumptions. For background boundary layer concentrations, regional scale model results for pollutant concentrations. Such data can be obtained from and models like EMEP (European Monitoring and Evaluation Programme) or LOTOS (cost ~7500 Euro/year), OR from appropriate measuring stations and following the necessary assumptions. Urban and suburban emissions as well as rural emissions for an area 150x150 km2 around the city centre. Such data can be assembled from emission databases like CORINAIR and models like EMEP (European Monitoring and Evaluation Programme) or LOTOS (cost ~7500 Euro/year). For considering emission inhomogeneities in the core city surrounding the distance and direction of each neighbouring city to the centre of the OFIS domain - 32 - o.b. o.c. Deliverable D05.1 has to be specified as well as the neighbouring city’s ground level and elevated emission strength like described under item d. For taking into account biogenic emissions and dry deposition, the composition of the rural land cover of an area 150x150 km2 around the city has to be provided. Such data can be obtained from land cover databases like CORINE or GLCC (Global Land Cover Characteristics for land use). For accounting for a local circulation system such as the sea-breeze in coastal areas, the date (for a sea-breeze day) and the offshore wind direction on that day has to be provided. 4 Meteorological and boundary concentration data For each day of the year, the large scale pressure forcing (synoptic conditions) is needed. More specifically, OFIS requires diurnal average values for ground level wind speed and direction, temperature and vertical temperature gradient as well as the lateral concentration of the 66 EMEP species (shown in Table 4). The meteorological and boundary concentration values are stored in one file in free format, each column separated by blanks or commas. The data format typically used to provide this data file is shown in Table 2, a file containing example values is shown in Table 3. In the first column, a sequential record number has to be provided. The second and third columns contain the date in form month and day, respectively. The next two columns contain data on wind speed and direction, column number six and seven data on ground level temperature and the temperature lapse rate (gradient), respectively. Columns 8 through 74 contain the concentration of each of the 66 EMEP species at lateral inflow (in ppb). Table 2: Typical data format used to provide the meteorological and boundary values input file Record 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8-74 Format I5 I5 I5 F7.1 F7.1 F7.1 F7.4 F9.4 Unit [-] [-] [-] [m/s] [] [C] [K/m] [ppb] Description row number month of the year day of the month daily average wind speed daily average wind direction daily average temperature daily average temperature gradient daily average concentration of species at inflow - 33 - Deliverable D05.1 Table 3: Sample meteorological and boundary concentration input file 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 1 4 1 13.6 358.0 12.6 .0064 .o6 2 4 2 9.8 344.8 11.5 .0064 .o6 3 4 3 8.0 331.7 13.2 .0063 .o6 4 4 4 5.8 287.4 13.8 .0063 .o6 5 4 5 4.0 245.9 13.1 .0063 .o6 6 4 6 3.4 257.8 13.4 .0063 .o6 7 4 7 6.8 250.4 14.7 .0063 .o6 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 26 4 26 12.6 229.3 17.3 .0064 .o6 27 4 27 7.8 256.9 17.8 .0063 .o6 28 4 28 7.7 261.0 17.1 .0063 .o6 29 4 29 2.5 25.6 17.4 .0063 .o6 30 4 30 5.9 353.6 18.0 .0063 .o6 31 5 1 12.6 8.3 18.1 .0064 .o6 32 5 2 14.9 6.0 19.0 .0063 .o6 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 9 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 10 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 11 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 .06 12 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 13 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 14 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 .o6 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 For following characters, see below * Temperature gradient [K/m] Temperature [C] Wind direction [o] Wind velocity [m/s] Day of the month Month of the year Successive number In the current version the reaction mechanism EMEP is implemented. The EMEP reaction mechanism consists of 66 reactive species which have to be provided at lateral inflow(in [ppb]): NO C3H6 H2O2 PAN OXYO2 ISOPRENE BURO2H MACRO2 ISONO3H NO2 O-XYLENE H2 BURO2 MAL NITRATE ETRO2H MPAN ISNIRH SO2 HCHO CH3O2 MEKO2 MALO2 ISRO2 PRRO2H CH2CCH3 CO CH3CHO C2H5OH C2H5OOH OP MVK MEKO2H ISONO3 CH4 MEK SULPHATE ETRO2 OH MVKO2 MALO2H ISNIR C2H6 O3 CH3O2H MGLYOX OD CH3OH MACR MVKO2H NC4H10 HO2 C2H5O2 PRRO2 NO3 CH3COO2H ISNI CH2CHR Table 4: List of chemical species used for boundary concentration data Column no. Code Molecular weight Species name 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 NO NO2 SO2 CO CH4 C2H6 n-C4H10 C2H4 30 46 64 28 16 30 Nitric oxide Nitrogen dioxide Sulfur dioxide Carbon monoxide Methane Ethane n-Butane Ethene 28 - 34 - C2H4 HNO3 CH3COO2 GLYOX N2O5 OXYO2H ISRO2H MACRO2H Deliverable D05.1 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 C3H6 C8H10 HCHO CH3CHO C4H8O O3 HO2 HNO3 H2O2 H2 CH3O2 C2H5OH SO42CH3O2H C2H5O2 CH3COO2 PAN BURO2 MEKO2 C2H5OOH ETRO2 CH3COCHO PRRO2 HCOCHO OXYO2 C14H21NO3 MALO2 C14H22O OH OD NO3 N2O5 C5H8 HNO3 ISRO2 C4H6O MVKO2 CH3OH CH3COO2H OXYO2H BURO2H ETRO2H PRRO2H MEKO2H MALO2H 42 106 30 44 72 48 33 63 36 2 32 61 96 Propene O-Xylene Formaldehyde higher aldehydes Methyl ethyl ketone (MEK) Ozone Hydroperoxy radical Nitric acid Hydrogen peroxide Hydrogen Methyl alcohol Ethanol + higher alcohols Sulphate 61 Etylperoxy radical 61 62 63 C4H6O 70 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 MACRO2 MPAN CH2CCH3 ISONO3 ISNIR MVKO2H CH2CHR MACRO2H ISONO3H ISNIRH Peroxyacetyl nitrate 72 Methyl glyoxal (MGlyox) 206 17 Glyoxal (Glyox) Peroxyradical formed from o-Xylene + OH MAL Peroxy radical from (MAL) Octyl phenole (OP) Hydroxyl radical 62 108 68 63 Nitrogen trioxide Dinitrogen pentoxide Isoprene Nitrate 70 Methyl vinyl ketone (MVK) Peroxyradical from MVK Methanol 251 32 76 Hydroperoxide from OXYO2 ISRO2H Hydroperoxide from MALO2 (Peroxyradical from MAL = OH) Methacrolein (MACR) ISNI (Organic nitrate) Hydroperoxide from ISRO2 + HO2 (ISRO2: Peroxyradical from isoprene=OH Peroxy radical from methacrolein = OH Peroxy methacryloyl nitrate 41 Isoprene-NO3 adduct Alkyl peroxy radical from ISNI (organic nitrate) - 35 - Deliverable D05.1 5 How to create the meteorology/boundary concentration input file The average value for wind speed can be obtained as follows: Values for the temperature and temperature gradient are calculated in the same manner. Furthermore, OFIS assumes one wind direction valid for 24 hours. Based hourly data or similar, the unit vectors of the wind direction should be added and the wind direction determined. - 36 - Deliverable D05.1 6 Emission data In the emission data files hourly values of urban, suburban and rural emissions of 15 species (which must be supplied in a prescribed order) shown in Table 6, separated in ground level or elevated (stack) emissions are taken into account. Table 6: List of chemical species used for emission data Column no. Code Molecular weight Species name 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 NO NO2 SO2 CO C2H6 C4H10 C2H4 C3H6 C8H10 HCHO CH3CHO MEK C2H5OH CH3OH C5H8 30 46 64 28 30 58 28 42 106 30 44 72 46 32 68 Nitric monoxide Nitrogen dioxide Sulfur dioxide Carbon monoxide Ethane n-Butane Ethene Propene o-Xylene Formaldehyde higher aldehydes Methyl-ethyl-ketone (MEK) Ethanol + higher alcohols Methanol Isoprene For each sector (urban, suburban and rural), a separate file in free format (each column separate by blanks or commas) with two blocks each has to be provided. The first block contains hourly ground level emissions in kg/h, the second block contains hourly elevated emissions in kg/h for each specie. In each block, the first column contains the hour (00 to 23), the second and third column the hourly emissions of NO and NO 2, respectively. The fourth column contains the hourly emission of SO 2, the fifth column the hourly emission of CO. Column no. 6 through 16 contain hourly emissions of various NMVOC. A sample urban emission input file is shown in Table 7. - 37 - Deliverable D05.1 Table 7: Sample urban emission data input file 1 2 hrs no 0 4.24835 1 3.27099 2 3.27099 3 3.27099 4 3.27099 5 3.27099 6 9.44808 7 9.44808 8 12.13582 9 12.13582 10 12.13582 11 12.13582 12 12.13582 13 12.13582 14 12.13582 15 12.13582 16 12.13582 17 12.13582 18 12.13582 19 12.13582 20 12.13582 21 12.13582 22 4.24835 23 4.24835 hrs no 0 4.24835 1 3.27099 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 22 4.24835 23 4.24835 3 no2 .74971 .57723 .57723 .57723 .57723 .57723 1.66731 1.66731 2.14161 2.14161 2.14161 2.14161 2.14161 2.14161 2.14161 2.14161 2.14161 2.14161 2.14161 2.14161 2.14161 2.14161 .74971 .74971 no2 .74971 .57723 ... ... ... ... ... .74971 .74971 4 5 so2 co 6.18636 11.32104 5.86436 5.92388 5.86436 5.92388 5.86436 5.92388 5.86436 5.92388 5.86436 5.92388 10.44331 11.39477 10.44331 11.39477 11.32881 26.23696 11.32881 26.23696 11.32881 26.23696 11.32881 26.23696 11.32881 26.23696 11.32881 26.23696 11.32881 26.23696 11.32881 26.23696 11.32881 26.23696 11.32881 26.23696 11.32881 26.23696 11.32881 26.23696 11.32881 26.23696 11.32881 26.23696 6.18636 11.32104 6.18636 11.32104 so2 co 6.18636 11.32104 5.86436 5.92388 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 6.18636 11.32104 6.18636 11.32104 6 Ethane .46992 .35768 .35768 .35768 .35768 .35768 .48767 .49111 .79953 .79787 .79714 .79682 .79674 .79714 .79670 .79638 .79634 .79779 .79904 .79921 .79840 .79718 .47044 .47000 Ethane .46992 .35768 ... ... ... ... ... .47044 .47000 7 n-butane 3.68186 2.94262 2.94262 2.94262 2.94262 2.94262 3.72445 3.72788 5.76054 5.75889 5.75816 5.75783 5.75775 5.75816 5.75771 5.75739 5.75735 5.75880 5.76006 5.76022 5.75941 5.75820 3.68238 3.68194 n-butane 3.68186 2.94262 ... ... ... ... ... 3.68238 3.68194 8 Ethene .49163 .41861 .41861 .41861 .41861 .41861 .51851 .51851 .71932 .71932 .71932 .71932 .71932 .71932 .71932 .71932 .71932 .71932 .71932 .71932 .71932 .71932 .49163 .49163 Ethene .49163 .41861 ... ... ... ... ... .49163 .49163 9 10 Propene o-xylene .49081 1.50020 .43157 .82645 .43157 .82645 .43157 .82645 .43157 .82645 .43157 .82645 .50138 1.50670 .50138 1.50670 .66428 3.35951 .66428 3.35951 .66428 3.35951 .66428 3.35951 .66428 3.35951 .66428 3.35951 .66428 3.35951 .66428 3.35951 .66428 3.35951 .66428 3.35951 .66428 3.35951 .66428 3.35951 .66428 3.35951 .66428 3.35951 .49081 1.50020 .49081 1.50020 Propene o-xylene .49081 1.50020 .43157 .82645 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... .49081 1.50020 .49081 1.50020 - 38 - 11 HCHO .06084 .04699 .04699 .04699 .04699 .04699 .06309 .06331 .10136 .10126 .10121 .10119 .10118 .10121 .10118 .10116 .10115 .10125 .10133 .10134 .10129 .10121 .06087 .06084 HCHO .06084 .04699 ... ... ... ... ... .06087 .06084 12 CH3CHO .05381 .04487 .04487 .04487 .04487 .04487 .05620 .05620 .08079 .08079 .08079 .08079 .08079 .08079 .08079 .08079 .08079 .08079 .08079 .08079 .08079 .08079 .05381 .05381 CH3CHO .05381 .04487 ... ... ... ... ... .05381 .05381 13 MEK .11549 .06681 .06681 .06681 .06681 .06681 .11776 .11776 .25163 .25163 .25163 .25163 .25163 .25163 .25163 .25163 .25163 .25163 .25163 .25163 .25163 .25163 .11549 .11549 MEK .11549 .06681 ... ... ... ... ... .11549 .11549 14 C2H5OH 1.15575 .81647 .81647 .81647 .81647 .81647 1.53060 1.53060 2.46363 2.46363 2.46363 2.46363 2.46363 2.46363 2.46363 2.46363 2.46363 2.46363 2.46363 2.46363 2.46363 2.46363 1.15575 1.15575 C2H5OH 1.15575 .81647 ... ... ... ... ... 1.15575 1.15575 15 CH3OH .00704 .00704 .00704 .00704 .00704 .00704 .00782 .00782 .00782 .00782 .00782 .00782 .00782 .00782 .00782 .00782 .00782 .00782 .00782 .00782 .00782 .00782 .00704 .00704 CH3OH .00704 .00704 ... ... ... ... ... .00704 .00704 16 ISOPRENE .25063 .14699 .14699 .14699 .14699 .14699 .26143 .26143 .54644 .54644 .54644 .54644 .54644 .54644 .54644 .54644 .54644 .54644 .54644 .54644 .54644 .54644 .25063 .25063 ISOPRENE .25063 .14699 ... ... ... ... ... .25063 .25063 Deliverable D05.1 Typical procedure on how to create the emission files A so far typical procedure for obtaining the required emission inventories is based on CORINAIR and the GEA (Generalised Exposure Assessment) methodology. CORINAIR (Coordination d'Information Environmentale) is an emission inventory for NO x, SO2, and NMVOC (Non Methane Volatile Organic Compounds). Emissions are given for 11 distinct emission sources (SNAP4 groups, see Table 8). Besides data are also distinguished concerning to the level, i.e. ground or elevated level (car emissions or industrial stacks) and thus are separated in two height levels. The CORINAIR database gives information about yearly total emissions (TONS/YEAR) per SNAP group activity and administrative unit. These areas have to be spatial and temporal resolved. The NMVOC have also to be separated. Table 8: Main SNAP group categorisation SNAP no. Description 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 PUBLIC POWER, COGENERATION AND DISTRICT HEATING PLANTS COMMERCIAL, INSTITUTIONAL AND RESIDENTIAL COMBUSTION PLANTS INDUSTRIAL COMBUSTION PRODUCTION PROCESSES EXTRACTION AND DISTRIBUTION OF FOSSIL FUELS SOLVENT USE ROAD TRANSPORT OTHER MOBILE SOURCES AND MACHINERY WASTE TREATMENT AND DISPOSAL AGRICULTURE NATURE Diurnal variation Group 4 4 3 3 4 2 1 1 2 2 2 Converting emissions of administrative districts to urban emissions For calculating urban data it is assumed that the emissions are equally spread per head and therefore the urban emissions can be derived from the district emissions with the following rule: Urban emissions District emissions * Urban inhabitant s Inhabitant s of administra tive district Information about the size, position and population can be found in HEGIS (Health and Environment Geographical Information System). It contains information about 1742 European cities with more than 50.000 citizens. Splitting in urban and suburban sector In OFIS the shape of one city is supposed as circular, the suburban is zonular of the same size. Emissions of the city are separated in urban and suburban emissions and correspond to the urban and suburban area, respectively. The relation urban : suburban emission is typically assumed as 2:1. 4 SNAP: Selected Nomenclature for Air Pollution, nomenclature developed in the frame of CORINAIR to relate emissions of air pollutants to relevant source sectors, sub-sectors and activities. - 39 - Deliverable D05.1 Separation of NMVOC / NOx CORINAIR provides NMVOC and NOx emissions. For calculating the chemical reactions these two sum parameters have to be separated into their single constituents. In OFIS, NOx is separated in NO and NO2 at the ratio of 85 : 15. NMVOC can be itemized as follows: Table 9: Typical NMVOC split per SNAP group categorisation SNAP Ethane n-butane Ethene Propene o-xylene HCHO CH3CHO MEK C2H5OH CH3OH ISOPRENE 1 12.97 30.573 16.097 8.545 2.772 1.758 1.933 0.773 22.285 0.387 1.907 2 12.97 30.573 16.097 8.545 2.772 1.758 1.933 0.773 22.285 0.387 1.907 3 12.97 30.573 16.097 8.545 2.772 1.758 1.933 0.773 22.285 0.387 1.907 4 0.146 0.971 1.875 0 0.828 0 0 0.355 93.472 0.079 2.273 5 0 82.01 2.406 10.96 2.385 0 0 0 2.239 0 0 6 5.356 35.988 0 0 27.302 0 0 3.666 19.97 0 7.717 7 4.857 30.871 8.625 6.997 36.759 1.635 1.056 0 8.753 0 0.138 8 5.7 18 12 4.6 10.6 5.9 4 0 39.2 0 0 9 48.413 48.413 0 0 0 3.175 0 0 0 0 0 10 12.97 30.573 16.097 8.545 2.772 1.758 1.933 0.773 22.285 0.387 1.907 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Diurnal variation of emissions To allocate emissions to diurnal variations the 11 SNAP groups are outlined in 4 groups. The classification results from the plants size (traffic plays a different role). Four diurnal variations are distinguished: group 1 (traffic; further mobile sources and machines), group 2 (use of solvents; processing of waste material and waste sites; agriculture; nature), group 3 (industrial combustion; manufacturing processes) and group 4 (power plants; combustion plants; refineries and spreading of fossil fuel). Table 10: Typical diurnal variation valid for Germany. hour 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 road transport 0.016 0.013 0.008 0.005 0.004 0.006 0.015 0.044 0.070 0.068 0.058 0.053 0.052 0.053 0.053 0.056 0.061 0.069 0.072 0.065 0.051 0.042 0.035 0.028 small stationary 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.066 0.092 0.092 0.066 0 0 0.092 0 0 0 0.066 0.092 0.092 0.092 0.092 0.092 0.066 0 - 40 - medium stationary 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.063 0.063 0.063 0.063 0.063 0.063 0.063 0.063 0.063 0.063 0.063 0.063 0.063 0.063 0.063 0.063 0 0 large stationary 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.042 Deliverable D05.1 The diurnal variation of the emissions for the 4 groups are taken from the AOP1 programme (Air Quality Report of the Auto Oil Programme) for 7 countries (F, FRG, GR, I, NL, E and UK). For other EU countries similar diurnal variations can are presumed. Consequentially urban and suburban emissions are yielded concerning to temporal and also to spatial resolution resolution. Snapemissi on( snap, i, daytime, k ) annual _ emission ( snap, i, k ) * diurnal var iation ( snap, daytime) 365 i : pollutant k : elevated or ground level (Sub )urban _ emission (i, daytime , k ) Snapemission (snap, i, daytime , k) Snap Rural emissions As mentioned above CORINAIR uses emission data based on administrative units. In opposite OFIS covers a square area with the town its centre. This makes the CORINAIR data scarcely transferable to OFIS. Therefore emission data usually provided by EMEP are used. These data are available for whole Europe in a grid, each cell 50 km *50 km in size. A city is regarded in the centre of the middle cell of 9 cells. To calculate the boundary emissions the emissions caused by the city is subtracted by the overall emission occurred in these 9 cells. In order to obtain a classification in SNAP groups also for the EMEP data, these emissions are weighted with the ratio urban emission / overall emission. In analogy to the previous section, rural emissions can be assigned to diurnal variations. 7 References Kessler Chr. (1995), Entwicklung eines effizienten Losungsverfahrens zur Beschreibung der Ausbreitung und chemischen Umwandlung reaktiver Luftschadstoffe, Verlag Shaker, Aachen, pp. 148. Sahm, P. and Moussiopoulos, N., (1995), “MUSE - a multilayer dispersion model for reactive pollutants”, in Air Pollution III (H. Power, N. Moussiopoulos and C.A. Brebbia, eds), Computational Mechanics Publications, Southampton, Vol. 1, pp. 359-368. Sahm P. and Moussiopoulos N., (1998), A new approach for assessing ozone exposure and for evaluating control strategies at the urban scale, Proceedings of Air Pollution 98, Genoa, Italy, September 1998. Simpson D., Guenther, A.B., Hewitt, C.N. and Steinbrecher, R., (1995), “Biogenic emissions in Europe 1: Estimates and uncertainties”, J. of Geophys. Res. 100, 22875-22890. - 41 -