WORKFORCE SOLUTIONS FOR SOUTH TEXAS PLAN MODIFICATION FOR THE PERIOD OF OCTOBER 1, 2009 TO SEPTEMBER 30, 2010 FISCAL 2010 South Texas Plan Modification FY2010 1 Appendix 2. Target Industries, Sectors, and Occupations South Texas Plan Modification FY2010 2 Step 1: Identify the Board’s high-growth, high-demand industries, by North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) code, using analysis of industry sectors, clusters, and industries. The Board identified high-growth, high-demand industries by conducting a series of analysis utilizing SOCRATES and conducting a Shift-Share Analysis and Industry Evaluation Analysis. The Board also utilized the LMCI Tracer (The Future) tool to analyze the fastest growing industries and industries adding the most jobs. The Board selected industries with a growth rate of 20 percent or higher. South Texas High-growth, High-Demand Industries Table 1. 62 Health Care and Social Assistance NAICS 6216 6211 6241 6244 Industry Home Health Care Services Office of Physicians Individual and Family Service Child Day Care Services 56 Administrative and Support Services NAICS 5613 Industry Employment Services 44, 45 Retail Trade NAICS 4521 4529 Industry Department Stores General Merchandise Stores 72 Accommodation and Food Services NAICS 7222 7221 Industry Limited-Service Eating Places Full-Service Restaurants 54 Professional and Technical Services NAICS 5416 5412 5413 Industry Management and Technical Consulting Services Accounting and Bookkeeping Services Architectural and Engineering Services 61 Educational Services NAICS 6111 6113 Industry Elementary and Secondary Schools Colleges and Universities 93 Government NAICS 9199 9399 Industry Federal Government Local Government 48 Transportation NAICS 4841 4885 Industry General Freight Trucking Freight Transportation Arrangement Modifications- Finance and Insurance, Warehousing, Construction, Mining-Utilities (Previously included) New Industries- Administrative and Support Services, Professional and Technical Services South Texas Plan Modification FY2010 3 The Board performed a TWC SOCRATES Shift-Share analysis between the 1st quarter of 2005 and 1st quarter of 2008 to identify industries with recent high employment growth, comparative advantage, and strong projection rates. Ambulatory Health Care Services (NAICS 621) showed the greatest likelihood for potential job opportunities. It displayed the largest change in absolute employment amongst industries in the last three years with an increase in jobs of 1,228. Administrative and Supportive Services (561) showed an increase of 1069 jobs. General Merchandise Stores (452) gained 655 jobs and Food Services and Drinking Places increased jobs by 583. Table 2. SIC Code NAICS Title 621 Ambulatory Health Care Services SOUTH TEXAS (21) Employment 2006-2016 Projections 1st Quarter % of 3 % Chg Base Proj Percent Change digit NAICS 2006 2007 2008 2006-2008 Year Year Change 99 7331 7605 8108 10.6 7500 1090 3400 45.33 561 Administrative and Support Services 100 2823 3438 3139 11.19 3100 4150 1050 33.87 452 100 2908 3315 3333 14.61 3100 3950 722 Food Services and Drinking Places 99 6860 7052 7203 5 521 Professional and Technical Services 99 1680 1840 1946 15.83 1700 2250 611 Educational Services 99 13899 14796 14680 5.62 14400 18400 4000 27.78 919 Federal Government 100 2203 2290 2744 24.56 2200 2700 939 Local Government 100 4062 4022 4182 2.95 4700 6150 1450 30.85 484 Truck Transportation 100 4392 4437 4508 2.64 4450 5800 1350 30.34 624 Social Assistance 100 2156 2123 2410 11.78 1850 2550 General Merchandise Stores 850 27.42 7000 8950 1950 27.86 550 500 700 South Texas Plan Modification FY2010 4 32.35 22.73 37.84 Step 2: Identify the Board’s target industries and related TWC/LMCI industry sectors and Governor’s industry clusters. The Board’s target industries must include, but need not be limited to, industries related to the Governor’s industry clusters. South Texas Target Industries Table 3. South Texas Targeted Industries (NACIS) 6216 Industry TWC/LMCI Industry Sectors Home Health Care Services Employment Services Personal and Residential Services General Merchandise Stores Full-Service Restaurants General Line Store Retailers 5416 Management and Technical Consulting Services Business and Financial Services 5412 Accounting and Bookkeeping Services Architectural and Engineering Services Business and Financial Services 6113 Elementary and Secondary Schools Colleges and Universities 9199 Federal Government 9399 Local Government 4841 General Freight Trucking Education, Training and Personal Development Education, Training and Personal Development Corporate HQ, Administrative and Government Corporate HQ, Administrative and Government Distribution, Transportation, Logistics 4885 Freight Transportation Arrangement Manufacturing Oil and Gas 5613 4529 7221 5413 6111 Governor’s Industry Clusters Business and Financial Services Tourism, Hospitality and Leisure Energy, Biotechnology and Life Sciences Business and Financial Services Advanced Technologies and Manufacturing, Biotechnology and Life Sciences Information and Computer Technology Distribution, Transportation, Logistics South Texas Plan Modification FY2010 5 Step 3: Identify the Board’s demand occupations by Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) code, using analysis of occupational employment indicators. South Texas Demand Occupations SOC Codes Occupations 1 2 3 SOC 39-9021 SOC 53-3032 SOC 25-2021 4 SOC 35-3021 5 SOC 29-1111 Personal and Home Care Aides Truck Drivers, Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Registered Nurses 6 SOC 25-9041 Teacher Assistants 7 SOC 31-1011 Home Health Aides 8 9 SOC 41-2031 SOC 25-2031 10 SOC 43-4051 Retail Salespersons Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Vocational Education Customer Service Representatives 11 12 SOC 11-1021 SOC 39-9011 General and Operations Managers Child Care Workers 13 SOC 25-2022 14 SOC 33-3021 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Vocational Education Detectives and Criminal Investigators 15 SOC 41-2011 Cashiers 16 17 SOC 43-3071 SOC 35-3031 Tellers Waiters and Waitresses 18 SOC 53-7062 Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand l 19 SOC 43-9061 Office Clerks, General 20 SOC 43-5011 Cargo and Freight Agents SOC 43-3031 Bookkeeping, Accounting, & Auditing Clerks 21 Connections To The High-Growth, High-Demand Industries NAICS 6216 Home Health Care Services NAICS 4841General Freight Trucking NAICS 6111 Elementary and Secondary Schools NAICS 7221 Full-Service Restaurants NAICS 6221 General Medical and Surgical Hospitals NAICS 6111Elementary and Secondary Schools NAICS 6231 Nursing Care Facilities NAICS 9190 Federal Government, Except Education NAICS 6111 Elementary and Secondary Schools NAICS 6244 Child Day Care Services NAICS 6216 Home Health Care Services NAICS 9390 Local Government, Except Education NAICS 4521 Department Stores NAICS 6111 Elementary and Secondary Schools NAICS 4529 Other General Merchandise Stores NAICS 9390 Local Government, Except Education NAICS 5221 Depository Credit Intermediation NAICS 7221 Full-Service Restaurants NAICS 6244 Child Day Care Services NAICS 6111 Elementary and Secondary Schools NAICS 6111 Elementary and Secondary Schools NAICS 9390 Local Government, Except Education NAICS 9190 Federal Government, Except Education NAICS 5221 Depository Credit Intermediation NAICS 5221 Depository Credit Intermediation NAICS 9390 Local Government, Except South Texas Plan Modification FY2010 6 Occupations SOC Codes Connections To The High-Growth, High-Demand Industries Education NAICS 6111 Elementary and Secondary Schools 22 SOC 41-1011 First-Line Supervisors/Mangers of Retail Sales Workers SOC 43-1011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Office and Administrative Support Workers SOC 43-6014 Secretaries, Except Legal, Medical and Executive 23 24 Note: Job opening of 30 or more per year Modifications- Nursing Aides, Police/Sheriff Officers, Maintenance/Repair Workers, Accountants/Auditors, Other Maintenance/Repair, Construction Trade Workers, Computer Specialists, Licensed Practical & Licensed Vocational Nurse, Construction Laborers, Bus Drivers, Medical Assistants, Fire Fighters, Pre-school Teachers, Automotive Service Technicians & Mechanics, Carpenters and Electricians (Previously Included). Modifications-Highlighted are new. A short summary describing which specific analyses—including TWC/LMCI labor market analysis and any other analyses conducted by the Board—were completed and viewed as influential in its evaluation and targeting of occupations. The Board must ensure that, where feasible, copies of all referenced sources are included as attachments or Internet links. If a key source cannot be attached or linked, the Board must ensure that it can be provided upon request. The Board utilized SOCRATES, Texas Industry Profiles and LMCI Tracer to analysis demand occupations for the Region. Utilizing SOCRATES, the Board conducted Occupational Evaluation and Occupational Wages and Projections Analysis. The Texas Industry Profiles tool was used to identify Occupational Clusters and Workforce Supply Analysis. The Board also identified occupational demands by conducting The Future module on LMCI Tracer. South Texas Plan Modification FY2010 7 Step 4: Identify the Board’s target occupations critical to the Board’s target industries, for which the Board will dedicate WIA training resources. The Target Occupations List must include, but need not be limited to, occupations related to the Governor’s industry clusters. WIA Target Occupations SOC Codes Occupations 1 2 3 SOC 39-9021 SOC 53-3032 SOC 25-2021 4 SOC 35-3021 5 6 7 8 9 SOC 29-1111 SOC 25-9041 SOC 31-1011 SOC 41-2031 SOC 25-2031 10 11 12 13 SOC 43-4051 SOC 11-1021 SOC 39-9011 SOC 25-2022 14 15 16 17 18 SOC 33-3021 SOC 41-2011 SOC 43-3071 SOC 35-3031 SOC 53-7062 19 20 21 22 SOC 43-9061 SOC 43-5011 SOC 43-3031 Personal and Home Care Aides Truck Drivers, Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Registered Nurses Teacher Assistants Home Health Aides Retail Salespersons Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Vocational Education Customer Service Representatives General and Operations Managers Child Care Workers Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Vocational Education Detectives and Criminal Investigators Cashiers Tellers Waiters and Waitresses Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand l Office Clerks, General Cargo and Freight Agents Bookkeeping, Accounting, & Auditing Clerks First-Line Supervisors/Mangers of Retail Sales Workers First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Office and Administrative Support Workers Secretaries, Except Legal, Medical and Executive 23 24 SOC 41-1011 SOC 43-1011 SOC 43-6014 Connections To The Governor’s Industry Clusters X X X X X X X X X South Texas Plan Modification FY2010 8