1 Advanced Institute on Vulnerability to Global Environmental Change Final Programme WEEK 1 Morning Session 9.00 – 12.00 May 3 Day 1 Chair: Jill Jäger Welcomes Leen Hordijk, IIASA Neil Leary, START Introductions Explanation of expectations Joanne Bayer May 4 Day 2 Chair: Jill Jäger Probing the questions and issues that structure the Advanced Institute Huddleston Leary Bayer May 5 Day 3 Chair: Neil Leary Conceptual Framework and Core Analytic Issues Lecture 1: Coupled human – environment system IIASA Logistics Walter Foith 12.00 13.30 – 17.00 Framing lectures (1) Socioeconomic processes Tariq Banuri (2)Vulnerability of Agriculture Günther Fischer 15.30 – 16.00 Break May 7 Day 5 9.00 – 12.00 Conceptual Framework and Core Analytic Issues Lecture 4: Resilience Facilitated working groups to discuss the five lectures in Theme 1 and explore the relevance to the research proposals of the scholars Jan Sendzimir Chairs of WGs: 11.00 – 12.00 Meetings with supervisors and mentors Mahendra Shah Anand Patwardhan Jill Jaeger 10.45 – 11.15 Break IIASA Computers Asen Novatchkov Lunch Chair: Neil Leary May 6 Day 4 Chair: Anand Patwardhan Plenary Discussion on WG Outcomes Lunch 13.30 – 17.00 Lunch 13.00 – 14.30 Lunch 13.00 -15.00 Lunch 13.00 – 17.00 Library Orientation (in small groups) First briefing in Gvishiani Room, then tour library Lecture 2: Vulnerability to extreme events Joanne Bayer Lecture 5: Linking with the Millennium Development Goals Mahendra Shah Tom Downing 15.00 – 17.00 Conceptual Framework and Core Analytic Issues 15.30 -17.00 Roundtable Discussion on Conceptual Frameworks And Core 15.30 – 17.30 Another opportunity for scholars to meet with supervisors (3) Our Changing Planet Jill Jaeger “Hands-on-Exercise” 2 Lecture 3: Social Vulnerability Anand Patwardhan Analytic Issues Chair: Leary Shah, Sendzimir, Patwardhan Downing, Bayer Buffet in IIASA Restaurant 19.00 – 21.30 Buffet in IIASA Restaurant 19.00 – 21.30 Guest lecture on population trends Wolfgang Lutz, IIASA 17.00 – 18.00 19.00 Meetings with with supervisors Buffet in IIASA Restaurant 19.00 – 21.30 Buffet in IIASA Restaurant 19.00 – 21.30 Social event – Heuriger in Gumpoldskirchen BUS LEAVES FROM IIASA FRONT ENTRANCE AT 18.30. LEAVES HEURIGER AT 21.30 An opportunity to discuss with mentors and supervisors and all participants about the experiences of the first week 3 WEEK 2 Morning Session 9.00 – 12.00 12.00 13.00 May 10 Day 6 Chair: Neil Leary From Research to Action Incorporating end-user and stakeholder needs and potential responses Jan Sendzimir Lunch 13.00 – 15.00 Identifying stakeholders (exercise) Jill Jäger 15.00 – 15.30 Break 15.30 – 17.00 Policy uses of vulnerability measures and maps. The role of stakeholders in FIVIMS Barbara Huddleston May 11 Day 7 Chair: Barbara Huddleston Methods May 12 Day 8 Methods May 13 Day 9 Methods May 14 Day 10 Methods Spatial Analysis Colin Polsky Qualitative methods Fabio Pittaluga Floods in Nepal Dipak Gyawali Measuring vulnerability Mapping Vulnerability Karen O’Brien Lunch Risks and Hazards Joanne Bayer Lunch 13.00 – 17.30 “Hands on Exercise” 14.00 -17.30 “Hands on” exercise Spatial Analysis of Vulnerability Maps Mapping Vulnerability to Climate Change in India Lunch 13.00 – 17.00 Lunch 13.00 – 15.30 Vulnerability Profiles and Participatory Methods (including “hands-on exercise” and synthesis) Catastrophic risks – Monte Carlo simulations, country studies 16.30 – 17.30 16.30 Synthesis on Methods 17.00 17.00 – 17.30 17.30 17.30 – 18.00 Meetings with supervisors and visiting experts 19.00 17.30 Meeting of Co-Directors, and Core Faculty: MidTerm Balance 17.30 - 18.30 Synthesis – what have we learned so far about methods 17.30 -18.00 Meetings with supervisors, mentors, etc REVISED PROPOSAL (NOT FINAL VERSION) TO SUPERVISORS AND MENTORS (HOME AND EXTERNAL) 17.30 Omoregie calls Ostrom 17.30 Nazare calls Patt 18.00 Lwasa calls Sanchez 4 WEEK 3 Morning Session May 17 Day 11 9.00 – 12.00 May 18 Day 12 9.00 – 12.00 May 19 Day 13 9.00 – 12.00 May 20 Day 14 9.00 – 12.00 Thematic lecture Presentations II Case Study I Case study II Watersheds Mexico Africa Amy Luers Oladele Ogunseitan Agricultural Vulnerability and Decision Support Systems in Latin America Walter Baethgen 12.00 14.00 May 21 Day 15 Check out of rooms, pay bills at Petty Cash, return library books, bring luggage to Schloss 11.00 – 12.00 Discussion and Synthesis I Lunch/Reading 14.00 – 16.00 Presentations I Lunch/Reading 14.00 – 15.30 Presentations III Small holder agriculture Coastal Lunch/Reading 13.30 – 16.30 Lunch/Reading 14.00 – 16.30 Presentations IV Case study III China Hills and Mountain Areas 14.45 – 15.15 Break 15.00 – 15.30 Break Lunch 13.30 -14.30 Discussion and synthesis II 15.00 Closing Ceremony (Diplomas) Case study IV Vietnam 15.15 – 16.30 Presentations V Forests, agroforestry 16.00 – 16.30 Break 16.30 19.00 1 16.30 – 17.30 Methods 1 Discussion Groups Social Event in Laxenburgerhof 15.30 – 16.00 Break 16.00 – 17.30 Methods Discussion Groups 16.30 – 17.30 16.30…….. Meetings with supervisors Reading 17.00 Saldana calls Conde Kelkar calls Biermann Aguilar calls Conway BUS LEAVES FROM FRONT DOOR IIASA AT 17.00. PLEASE TAKE ALL YOUR BELONGINGS WITH YOU Final Dinner at Schloss Weikersdorf,Baden Survey design, interview techniques; scenario construction; spatial data analysis; vulnerability profiles; indicators and measures; decision support systems; catastrophe modeling.