West Virginia University Department of Political Science Fall, 2005 Political Science 311 Political Parties and Elections TR 2:30-3:45 in WDB-D 106 Thomas Scotto E-mail: tscotto@mix.wvu.edu Office: 301C Woodburn Phone: 304-293-3811 X Introduction This class looks at campaigns and elections from a political science perspective as opposed to how the media report on campaigns and elections. At the present time, a particularly interesting mode of thinking about politics centers on what is known as the “New Institutionalism.” For our purposes we can think of this paradigm in the following manner: Preferences * Institutions = Outcomes In layman’s terms this paradigm suggests that if we seek to study political phenomena, whether our goal is to understand a Government’s social policies in Ireland or campaigns and elections in the United States, we need to look not only at how individuals make decisions, but the context (preferences and institutions) under which these decisions are made. It is my belief that much the institutional forces governing the modern campaign can be traced to the “reforms” of the Progressive Era. The end of political machines, civil service reform, the initiative and referendum (and, thanks to Arnie—the RECALL!), the primary election, the Australian Ballot, etc. all came about during the Progressive Era and influence the campaign process today. Sadly, time constraints dictate that we will only encounter what the political science literature has to say on a few of these reforms. However, my goal for the first third of the course is to have you come away with the idea that the rules of the game matter. Additionally, the focus on the Progressive Era is interesting because the literature in political science, both historical and contemporary, does not necessarily view the period in the same manner as your high school history teacher. The second third of the course actually does look at the campaign from the lens of the voter. In studying voting behavior, there are two distinct traditions in political science. One, The American Voter, takes a social-psychological approach to the study of voting behavior. The other, Downs’ Economic Theory of Democracy, looks at the voter as a rational actor, and stems from economic decision theory. These two books are “classics” in the way Plato’s Republic is a classic text in political theory. Although much has been done to improve and refine the theories and findings of the two approaches, those seeking to study voting behavior should first understand the intellectual heritage of the subdiscipline. Finally, the third portion of the course looks at issues challenging advisors to contemporary American campaigns. During this portion of the course, I want to further explore the role of political parties in elections, the increasing strength of incumbency, and whether campaigns even matter. WARNING -- WHAT THIS CLASS IS NOT (borrowed almost verbatim from Professor Patricia Hurley at Texas A&M): This is not a class in practical politics or current events. You will not learn how to run a campaign, make a campaign ad, do opposition research, and so on. Similarly, our objective is not to discuss breaking or recent news about elections, the War on Terrorism, or to rehash all the details of the unusual features of the presidential election of 2000 or 2004. We will, however, bring in information about the election of 2000, the War, and the 2004 presidential election as they illustrate general points made in the class or as they point to new questions that need to be addressed in political science. However, if you signed up for this class expecting a large portion of the class time to be devoted to a current affairs discussion of the last presidential election you will be disappointed. Readings: Too much reading leads to too little learning! Hence, the syllabus is divided into 2 types of reading: Required and Optional. Required reading is the reading that you must do before each class. Optional reading is the reading that would be too onerous to assign as mandatory in a semester long course but will enhance your understanding of how political science looks at campaigns and elections if you get to it at some point and time. To better understand the required reading, during each class, one or two students will complete the reading, draw up an outline, and present it to you in class as part of their participation grade. Locations of the Readings: There are four books that I suggest buying and have been ordered at the bookstore. They are: 1) Riordon, William L. 1995. Plunkett of Tammany Hall: A Series of Very Plain Talks on Practical Politics. New York: Signet Classics. 2) Campbell, Angus, Phillip E. Converse, Warren E. Miller, and Donald E. Stokes. 1960. The American Voter. New York: John Wiley and Sons. 3) Downs, Anthony. 1957. An Economic Theory of Democracy. New York: Harper and Row. 4) Key, V.O., Jr. 1949 [1984]. Southern Politics in State and Nation. Knoxville, TN: University of Tennessee Press. All of the books listed above are the editions that I have. You may purchase any edition you wish with the exception of the abridged version of The American Voter. Better deals can often be found in the used book sections of Amazon.com, Barnsandnoble.com, and abebooks.com. The other readings will either be found on e-reserve or on the online journal indexes. Contact a librarian for help using online resources. Short Paper: I want you to write a paper of 5-7 pages, taking a position on the following topic: 1) “A Reform of the Progressive Era has had a positive/negative impact on the way campaigns and elections are run in the United States in the Twenty-First Century.” These papers should not be of the “I feel that” style. You should spend considerable time looking at what the popular press and the political science literature have to say about one of these statements and use such sources in the formation of your argument. This paper is worth 25 percent of your final grade with 7.5 of the 25 percent consisting of an annotated bibliography. The first draft of the bibliography is due on September 20th. The Cornell University Library's Research Service Division gives a wonderful overview of what constitutes an annotated bibliography, and I suggest you use it as a guide. It can be found online at: http://www.library.cornell.edu/okuref/research/skill28.htm. The reason for this portion of the assignment is that I am concerned with the quality of sources many students are citing in their papers. To better help you identify quality sources and help you to access these sources, a library skills session class is scheduled for August 25th. The session will be conducted by Jo Bailey Brown a resource librarian from the Downtown Library. At this session, you will likely pick up suggestions which can help you improve your source selection for the short paper (and the final paper as well!). I find all of WVU’s Librarians to be highly qualified and competent professionals. Most should be able to help with any basic questions you have for obtaining additional information on topics of interest during the term. I Strongly Encourage you to make use of the resources available at WVU’s multiple libraries. The short papers will be graded on an A, B, F standard with an infinite rewrite option. In essence, if you wish to avoid an “F” on the paper, you will rewrite the paper until it meets my standard of a “B-” paper. Of course, if and when you receive a “B-,” feel free to improve your paper as often as you would like before the last possible due date. For some of you, this course may involve a painful amount of writing and revising. Note: There is no distinction between those taking this course for a “W” and those that are not on this assignment! However, hopefully the framework that I have set out will allow you to improve your writing without being detrimental to your GPA. A first draft of the paper is due on October 4th. You will lose 2 points on the maximum grade for each day beyond the due date if you do not hand in a draft by October 4th. I reserve the right to hand the draft back to you without corrections if I believe (and you cannot convince me otherwise) that you simply wrote something to “get it over with.” Again, there is no limit to the number of rewrites that you choose to do; however, be advised that I need seven days to go over each draft and include this calculation in your scheduling. “Midterm” Exam: After we have completed reading The American Voter and An Economic Theory of Democracy, you will be required to take an examination asking you to link statements on the exam to the theories presented in the two books. More details on the midterm will be given as we read the two books. An option will be offered to earn back half the credit you lost on the midterm examinations via additional writing and research. An example of how this credit will be earned involves reading an additional article not on the syllabus and writing a response as to how the article relates to the theory asked about in the original question. This exam is worth 20% of your final grade. Final Paper: In a paper of about 10 pages, I want you to look at a non-presidential election with the goal of informing the reader as to how (or if!) the literature in political science has anything to say about how the campaign was run, who won the race, how the candidates were chosen, etc. The paper should be thorough and well researched. Unfortunately, due to time constraints, I cannot offer a rewrite option with this paper. However, I am more than willing to discuss the paper or go over ideas with you outside of class. More details on expectations and advice on how to proceed will be given in class. This paper is worth 30% of your final grade. 80% of this 30% will come from the written paper. 20% of this 30% will come from the oral presentation you give on your paper on one of the four last class sessions. Those taking the course for the “W” requirement must have a paper requirement of 20 pages to meet Eberly College Requirements. For those taking the class for a W, we will set up a coffee meeting the weeks of October 12th and November 14th to discuss your progress on the papers. Of course, anyone needing help or feedback on their ideas for the final paper should feel free to set up a meeting where we can discuss your ideas. Running of the Class: I plan to divide the class into thirds. The first third will involve oral presentations given by those who have chosen to present on the day’s readings. The second third will involve a lecture by me on the topic of the day, and the last portion of the class will be reserved for your comments. The quality of your oral presentation and your classroom participation will account for the final 25% of your grade. Students with Disabilities: If you are a person with a disability and anticipate needing any type of accommodation in order to participate in this class, please advise me and make appropriate arrangements with Disability Services (293-6700). Schedule of Readings and Lectures: Tuesday, August 23rd: Introduction Thursday, August 25th: Library Session with Jo Baily Brown Class Location TBA Tuesday, August 30th: The Coming of the Progressive Era Required Reading: Riordon, William L. 1995. Plunkett of Tammany Hall: A Series of Very Plain Talks on Practical Politics. New York: Signet Classics. Optional Reading: Hofstadter, Richard. 1974. The American Political Tradition and the Men Who Made It. New York: Vintage Books. Chapter Seven entitled “The Spoilsmen: An Age of Cynicism.” Bernheim, A.C. 1888. “Party Organizations and their Nominations to Public Office in New York City.” Political Science Quarterly 3:1 99-122. Thursday, September 1st: Primary Elections: Friend or Foe? Required Reading: Horack F.E. 1910. “Primary Elections in Iowa.” Proceedings of the American Political Science Association. 7: 175-186. Norrander, Barbara. 1996. “Presidential Nominational Politics in the PostReform Era.” Political Research Quarterly 49: 875-915. Kuzenski, John C. 1997. “The Four. Yes Four. Types of State Primaries.” PS: Political Science and Politics. 30: 207-208. Optional Reading: Findley, James C. 1959. “Cross-Filing and the Progressive Movement in California Politics.” The Western Political Quarterly 12: 699-711. Hinckley, Katherine A. and John C. Green. 1996. “Fund-Raising in Presidential Nomination Campaigns: The Primary Lessons of 1988” Political Research Quarterly 49: 693-718. Tobin, Richard J. and Edward Keynes. 1975. “Institutional Differences in the Recruitment Process: A Four-State Study.” American Journal of Political Science 19: 667-682. Tuesday, September 6th: Weakening the Parties: Australian Ballot and Non-partisan elections. Required Reading: Rusk, Jerrold G. 1970. “The Effect of the Australian Ballot Reform on Split Ticket Voting: 1876-1908.” The American Political Science Review 64: 1220-1238. Lapp, John A. 1915. “Non-Partisan Government.” The American Political Science Review 9: 313-315. Sherrill, Kenneth. 1998. “The Dangers of Non-Partisan Elections to Democracy.” Social Policy 28: 15-22. Optional Reading: Wolfinger, Raymond E. and John Osgood Field. 1966. “Political Ethos and the Structure of City Government.” The American Political Science Review 60: 306-326. Cole, Richard L., Delbert A. Taebel and Richard L. Engstrom. 1990. “Cumulative Voting in a Municipal Election: A Note on Voter Reactions and Electoral Consequences” The Western Political Quarterly 43: 191-199. Thursday, September 8th: Two Parties by Design? Required Reading: Duverger, Maurice, Political Parties, Their Organization and Activity in the Modern State, (London: Methuen, 1978 [1951]), Part II, Chapter 1, The Number of Political Parties, pp. 206-228 and 255-280. Note: This will be placed on e-reserve. Optional Reading: Blais, Andre, and R.K. Carty. 1991. “The Psychological Impact of Electoral Laws: Measuring Duverger's Elusive Factor.” British Journal of Political Science 21: 79-93. Scarrow, Harold A. 1986. “Duverger's Law, Fusion, and the Decline of American "Third" Parties.” The Western Political Quarterly 39: 634-647. Tuesday, September 13th: Politics was(is?) Different in Dixie: The Legacy of the “Progressive” Era in the South. Required Reading: Key, V.O., Jr. 1949 [1984]. Southern Politics in State and Nation. Knoxville, TN: University of Tennessee Press. Chapters 1, 14, 18, 19, 20, 21, 25, 29. Optional Reading: Key, V.O., Jr. 1949 [1984]. Southern Politics in State and Nation. Knoxville, TN: University of Tennessee Press. Chapters 4, 5, 7,10. Hood, M.V., III, Quentin Kidd, and Irwin L. Morris. 1999. “Of Byrd[s] and Bumpers: Using Democratic Senators to Analyze Political Change in the South, 1960-1995” American Journal of Political Science 43: 465-487. Thursday, September 15th: The Initiative, Referenda, and Recall: Campaigning for Issues and Not Candidates or Arnie’s Calling? Required Reading: Magleby, David B., and Kelly D. Patterson. 1998. “Consultants and Direct Democracy.” PS: Political Science and Politics 31: 160-169. Nicholson, Stephen P. 2003. “The Political Environment and Ballot Proposition Awareness” American Journal of Political Science 43: 403-410. Bowler, Shaun. 2004. “Recall and Representation: Arnold Schwarzenegger Meets Edmund Burke” Representation 40: 200-212 (Note: This article will be placed on e-reserve). Optional Reading: Price, Charles M. 1975. “The Initiative: A Comparative State Analysis and Reassessment of a Western Phenomenon.” The Western Political Quarterly 28: 243-262. Gamble, Barbara G. 1997. “Putting Civil Rights to a Popular Vote.” American Journal of Political Science 41: 245-269. Bowler, Shaun, Todd Donovan, and Trudi Happ. 1992. “Ballot Propositions and Information Costs: Direct Democracy and the Fatigued Voter.” The Western Political Quarterly 45: 559-568. McClain, Paula D. 1988. “Arizona "High Noon": The Recall and Impeachment of Evan Mecham” PS: Political Science and Politics 21: 628-638. Tuesday, September 20th: The Gerrymander: How the Drawing of Districts Influences the Campaign. Required Reading: Engstrom, Richard L. 2002. “The Post-2000 Round of Redistricting: An Entangled Thicket within the Federal System” Publius 32: 5170. Cranor, John D., Gary L. Crawles, and Raymond H. Scheele. 1989. “The Anatomy of a Gerrymander.” American Journal of Political Science 33: 222-239. Optional Reading: Gronke, Paul, and J. Matthew Wilson. 1999. “Competing Redistricting Plans as Evidence of Political Motives: The North Carolina Case.” American Politics Quarterly 27: 147-176. Cox, Gary W. and Jonathan N. Katz. 1999. “The Reapportionment Revolution and Bias in U.S. Congressional Elections.” American Journal of Political Science 43: 812-841. Baker v. Carr(369 U.S. 186, 1962) and Wesberry v. Sanders(376 U.S. 1, 1964). Annotated Bibliography Due Thursday, September 22th: Campaign Finance I: The Current (Sad?) State of Affairs? Required Reading: Corrado, Anthony. 2003. “A History of Federal Campaign Finance Legislation.” Manuscript online at: http://www.brookings.edu/gs/cf/sourcebk01/HistoryChap.pdf Familiarize yourself with Recent Court Rulings and Positions Taken by Thinktanks: Brookings Institution: http://www.brook.edu/gs/cf/cf_hp.htm Cato Institute: http://www.cato.org/research/crg/finance.html ACLU: http://www.aclu.org/VotingRights/VotingRightslist.cfm?c=165 Center for Responsive Politics: http://www.opensecrets.org/payback/issue.asp?issueid=CFR&CongNo=107 Public Campaign: http://www.publiccampaign.org/congress/index.htm Tuesday, September 27th: Campaign Finance II: Does Spending Matter? Required Reading: Green, Donald Phillip, and Jonathan S. Krasno. 1988. “Salvation for the Spendthrift Incumbent: Reestimating the Effects of Campaign Spending in House Elections.” American Journal of Political Science 32: 884907. Francia, Peter L. and Herrnson, Paul S. 2003. “The Impact of Public Finance Laws on Fundraising in State Legislative Elections” American Politics Research 31: 520- 539. Optional Reading: Shepard, Lawrence. 1977. “Does Campaign Spending Really Matter?” Public Opinion Quarterly 41: 196-205. Abramowitz, Alan I. 1991. “Incumbency, Campaign Spending, and the Decline of Competition in U.S. House Elections.” The Journal of Politics 53: 34-56. Jacobson, Gary C. 1979. “The Effects of Campaign Spending in Congressional Elections.” The American Political Science Review 72: 469-491. Lopez, Edward J. 2003. “Term Limits: Causes and Consequences.” Public Choice 114: 1-56. Thursday, September 29th: Origins of the Social-Psychological Model Required Reading: Campbell et. al. Chapters 1 and 2 Optional Reading: Eldersveld, Samuel J. 1951. “Theory and Method in Voting Behavior Research.” Journal of Politics 13: 70-87. Kitt, Alice S., and David B. Gleicher. 1950. “Determinants of Voting Behavior: A Progress Report on the Elmira Election Study.” Public Opinion Quarterly 14: 393-412. Tuesday, October 4th: Turnout, and the Formation of the Vote Draft 1 of Paper Due!! Required Reading: Campbell et. al. Chapters 3-5 Optional Reading: Blank, Robert H. 1974. “Socio-economic Determinism of Voting Turnout: A Challenge.” Journal of Politics 36: 731-752. Lodge, Milton, Marco R. Steenbergen, and Shawn Brau. 1995. “The Responsive Voter: Campaign Information and the Dynamics of Candidate Evaluation.” The American Political Science Review 89: 309-326. Thursday, October 6th: Partisan Identification Required Reading: Campbell et. al. Chapters 6-8 Optional Reading: Finkel, Steven E. 1993. “Reexamining the "Minimal Effects" Model in Recent Presidential Campaigns.” The Journal of Politics 55: 1-21. Sears, David O. and Nicholas A. Valentino. 1997. “Politics Matters: Political Events as Catalysts for Preadult Socialization.” The American Political Science Review 91: 45-65. Tuesday, October 11th: Issues and IF they Matter in a Campaign Required Reading: Campbell et. al. Chapters 9-11. Optional Reading: Converse, Philip. 1964. The nature of mass belief systems in mass publics. In David Apter, ed. Ideology and Discontent. New York: Free Press. Finkel, Steven E., and Gregory Trevor. 1986. “Reassessing Ideological Bias in Campaign Participation.” Political Behavior 8: 374-390. Thursday, October 13th: Social and Economic Forces Required Reading: Campbell et. al. 12-14. Optional Reading: Campbell et. al. 17-18. Jankowski, Thomas B, and John M. Strate. 1995. “Modes of Participation over the Adult Life Span.” Political Behavior 178: 89-106. Tuesday, October 18th: Rationality and Political Behavior Required Reading: Downs Chapters 1-4. Optional Reading: Rabinowitz, George, and Stuart Elaine Macdonald. 1989. “A Directional Theory of Issue Voting.” The American Political Science Review 83: 93-121. Hotelling, Harold. 1929. "Stability and Competition," Economic Journal 39, 4157. Thursday, October 20th: Uncertainty and Elections I Required Reading: Downs Chapters 5-7. Optional Reading: Budge, Ian. 1994. “A New Spatial Theory of Party Competition: Uncertainty, Ideology and Policy Equilibria Viewed Comparatively and Temporally.” British Journal of Political Science 24: 443-467. Enelow, James, and Melvin J. Hinich. 1981. “A New Approach to Voter Uncertainty in the Downsian Spatial Model.” American Journal of Political Science 25: 483-493. Stokes, Donald E. 1963. “Spatial Models of Party Competition.” American Political Science Review 57: 368-377. Tuesday, October 25th: Uncertainty and Elections II Required Reading: Downs Chapters 8-10. Optional Reading: Aldrich, John H. 1983. “A Downsian Spatial Model with Party Activism.” The American Political Science Review 77: 974-990. Davis, Otto A., Melvin J. Hinich, Peter C. Ordeshook. 1970. “An Expository Development of a Mathematical Model of the Electoral Process.” 64:426-448. Thursday, October 27th: Information Costs and Voting Required Reading: Downs Chapters 11-14. Optional Reading: Zaller, John. 1991. “Information, Values, and Opinion.” The American Political Science Review 85: 1215-1237. Conover, Pamela Johnston, and Stanley Feldman. 1989. “Candidate Perception in an Ambiguous World: Campaigns, Cues, and Inference Processes.” American Journal of Political Science 33: 912-940. Tuesday, November 1st: Wrap Up on Downs and Review Required Reading: Downs Chapters 15-16. Optional Reading: Ferejohn John A., and Morris P. Fiorina. 1974. “The Paradox of Not Voting: A Decision Theoretic Analysis.” The American Political Science Review 68: 525-536. Lacy, Dean, and Barry C. Burden. 1999. “The Vote-Stealing and Turnout Effects of Ross Perot in the 1992 U.S. Presidential Election.” American Journal of Political Science 43: 233-255. Thursday, November 3rd: “Midterm” Exam Tuesday, November 8th: Incumbency and Its Advantages Required Reading: Cover, Albert D. 1977. “One Good Term Deserves Another: The Advantage of Incumbency in Congressional Elections.” American Journal of Political Science 21: 523-41. Pritchard, Anita. 1992. “Strategic Considerations in the Decision to Challenge a State Legislative Incumbent.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 17: 381-393. Optional Reading: Howell, Susan E. 1982. “Campaign Activities and State Election Outcomes.” Political Behavior 4: 401-414. Krebs, Timothy M. 1998. “The Determinants of Candidates' Vote Share and the Advantages of Incumbency in City Council Elections.” American Journal of Political Science 42: 921-935. Thursday, November 10th: Negative Campaigning Required Readings: Mayer, William G. 1996. “In Defense of Negative Campaigning.” Political Science Quarterly 111: 437-455. Ansolabehere Stephen., Shanto Iyengar, Adam Simon, Nicholas Valentino. 1994. “Does Attack Advertising Demobilize the Electorate?” American Political Science Review 88: 829-838. Optional Reading: Theilmann, Joel, and Allen Wilhite. 1998. “Campaign Tactics and the Decision to Attack.” The Journal of Politics 60: 150-162. Freedman, Paul, and Ken Goldstein. 1999. “Measuring Media Exposure and the Effects of Negative Campaign Ads.” American Journal of Political Science 43: 1189-1208. Tuesday, November 15th: Media and Commercials Required: Kahn, Kim Fridkin, and John G. Geer. 1994. “Creating Impressions: An Experimental Investigation of Political Advertising on Television.” Political Behavior 16: 93-116. Rahn, Wendy M., John H. Aldrich, Eugene Borgida. 1994. “Individual and Contextual Variations in Political Candidate Appraisal.” 88: 193-199. Optional: West, Darrell M. 1994-1995. “Television Advertising in Election Campaigns.” Political Science Quarterly 109: 789-809. Zhao, Xinshu, and Steven H. Chaffee. 1995. “Campaign Advertisements Versus Television News as Sources of Political Issue Information.” Public Opinion Quarterly 59: 41-65. Thursday, November 17th: Open Seats and Candidate Entry Required: Bond, John R., Richard Fleisher, and Jeffery C. Talbert. 1997. “Partisan Differences in Candidate Quality in Open Seat House Races, 19761994.” Political Research Quarterly. 50: 281-299. Seligman, Lester G. 1961. “Political Recruitment and Party Structure: A Case Study” The American Political Science Review 55: 77-86. Optional: Frendreis, John P., James L. Gibson, and Laura L. Vertz. 1990. “The Electoral Relevance of Local Party Organizations.” The American Political Science Review 84: 225-235. Cannon, David T. 1993. “Sacrificial Lambs or Strategic Politicians? Political Amateurs in U.S. House Elections.” American Journal of Political Science 37:1119-1141. Tuesday, November 22nd: No Class: Thanksgiving Week Thursday, November 24th: No Class: Thanksgiving Week Tuesday, November 29th: Individual Presentations Thursday, December 1st: Individual Presentations Tuesday, December 6th: Individual Presentations Thursday, December 8th: Individual Presentations