The Wall Street Journal Education Program Weekly Review & Quiz Covering front-page articles from May 27, 30 - June 2, 2006 Professor Guide with Summaries Summer 2006 Developed by: Scott R. Homan Ph.D., Purdue University Questions from The First Section High Tech's Latest Hot Job? Selling Online Ads By KEVIN J. DELANEY May 27, 2006; Page A1 http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114869829249865032.html With ad sales on the Web booming, so is the market for online-ad salespeople, sparking intense competition for talent that is pushing up compensation and prompting comparisons with the earlier dot-com boom. Keith Richman, chief executive of Web-video site Break.com, has taken to creative measures to find ad-sales staff. After months of searching with no success, he last week offered acquaintances a 50-inch plasma television set to anyone who connects him with an ad-sales hire. One referral yielded fruit, and Mr. Richman filled a sales vacancy Monday. But he's paying about 50% more in compensation than he had planned a year ago -- plus the cost of the plasma TV set. "We're in a rapidly growing business with a limited number of people with the skill set," Mr. Richman says. "The question is, are we in a bubble or is this a reality of a new market?" Either way, hiring competition is fierce in online ads sales, whose resurgence was a driver in alliances between eBay Inc. and Yahoo Inc. and Google Inc. and Dell Inc. this past week. U.S. online-ad revenue increased 30% last year to $12.5 billion, according to the Interactive Advertising Bureau trade group and consultant PricewaterhouseCoopers. That has left Microsoft Corp., Time Warner Inc.'s AOL Internet unit, Facebook Inc., News Corp. and others scouring for top performers. A week ago, News Corp.'s Fox Interactive Media division lured away Michael Barrett, executive vice president at AOL Media Networks, which handles advertising and marketing for AOL, to be chief revenue officer. While Internet companies, led by Google, have built large-scale automated Web systems for selling online ads, a majority of online-ad sales by revenue still is handled the oldfashioned way, by salespeople. The need for a human sales touch is especially strong as traditional media companies make video and print content increasingly available on the Web -- and support them with ads -- and traditional marketers such as packaged-goods companies buy more advertising online. The talent pool is small partly because of the youth of the online-ad-sales industry. Also, some Internet-ad salespeople switched to other careers during the downturn in 2001. Those who stuck with it generally have been richly rewarded with cheap stock options and bonuses, and thus have little financial incentive to jump from their current jobs. © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 1 of 28 Some industry executives warn that a shortage of salespeople could be holding back revenue growth at some Internet and media companies. Small or fledgling companies without brand names or resources to draw on could also be losing out as they go head-tohead with larger rivals for hires. And some industry executives caution that competition for talent could raise the costs of hiring and retaining a sales force. Some worry that could weigh on profitability, though salespeople earn a lot of their compensation through commissions, which rise and fall with sales. "I think we're all experiencing the same thing: a lot of poaching, a lot of phone calls," says Michael Kelly, president of AOL Media Networks. Mr. Kelly adds: "We were the poacher in many cases." Yahoo executives last year created a program to recruit and train salespeople from radio, cable TV and print advertising. Recruits spend their first six to nine months selling ads being coached by Yahoo veterans. Worries About Theft The Internet company started the program partly out of concern that rivals would try to steal away Yahoo's sales team -- one of the largest, most experienced online-ad sales staffs. "We're on everybody's list," says Gregory Coleman, Yahoo's executive vice president for global ad sales. Yahoo's concerns last year about poaching proved well-founded. Vince Messina, a highprofile Yahoo sales executive in Los Angeles, earlier this month jumped to Microsoft. Mike Murphy, Yahoo's vice president for media sales for the Western region, in March moved to social-networking startup Facebook. Mr. Murphy says he took a 50% cut in base pay, but commissions at Facebook could allow him to top his Yahoo compensation. Recruiters and Internet executives say ad salespeople with roughly five years experience can make in the range of $125,000 a year in base salary, and the same amount in bonuses and commissions for hitting their sales targets. The booming market means that many salespeople are, in practice, exceeding those targets and earning even higher-percentage commissions on the extra amount. Total compensation for senior salespeople is up by roughly $50,000 from two years ago, says recruiter Phyllis Egan. She says she filled 50% more online-ad posts in 2005 than in 2004, and this year is off to a rapid pace. Jeff Lanctot, general manager of Avenue A|Razorfish, the interactive marketing unit of Seattle digital marketing company aQuantive Inc., says he is contacted between five and 10 times a week by recruiters and companies seeking his help in locating salespeople. "It's not uncommon for the people contacting me to float half-a-million-dollar packages" for vice president of sales positions or above, Mr. Lanctot says. In early March, Todd Leslie, 35 years old, quit his job as a senior account executive at an Internet-advertising company. Within days -- and without looking very hard -- he had six job interviews lined up. As he neared a choice between four job offers in the middle of last month, one Internet company said it would make Mr. Leslie a formal job offer without having ever met him. (Mr. Leslie said no thanks.) He says his compensation, including expected bonus, jumped 35% when he accepted an offer from Atom Entertainment to be East Coast regional sales manager last month. A push by TV networks, News Corp. and other media companies to move content and ads online is fueling the market. Also, Internet start-ups are once again flush with venture-capital cash, and many are banking on ads for revenue. © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 2 of 28 Another major catalyst is Microsoft, which is in the midst of a massive push to increase its online-ad business. In the past year, the company's MSN online unit has doubled to 100 the headcount in its New York office and doubled to 120 the number of account managers it has across the U.S., says MSN Sales Director Lisa Utzschneider. "We're going toe-to-toe with some of our direct competitors to hire some of these candidates," she says. 1. US online ad revenue increased _____ last year to $12.5 billion, according to the Interactive Advertising Bureau trade group and consultant PricewaterhouseCoopers. a. 10% b. 20% c. 30% Correct d. 40% 2. Recruiters and Internet executives say ad salespeople with roughly five years experience can make in the range of $________ a year in base salary. a. 25,000 b. 52,000 c. 75,000 d. 125,000 Correct Hackers' Xbox Game: Defeating Microsoft By Decoding Console By BOBBY WHITE May 30, 2006; Page A1 http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114895368789165954.html SAN DIEGO -- Videogame fans braved long lines last fall to be among the first to buy Microsoft Corp.'s Xbox 360 player. Andrew Huang got one so he could be among the first to tear it apart. The remains of Mr. Huang's Xbox 360 are now a tangle of wires and parts on a workbench in his home office. He has spent six months dissecting the box, studying many parts under a microscope and probing the deepest nooks of its software. "This box is too interesting to ignore," he says. The 31-year-old Mr. Huang, who uses the nickname "Bunnie" on- and offline, is part of a subterranean culture of hackers who are racing to "crack" the Xbox 360 game console and make it do things Microsoft never intended. Mr. Huang, a freelance technology consultant in San Diego, tore apart his box to figure out ways to run his own software on the device. Most videogame consoles, unlike personal computers, are designed only to handle games and hardware that the console makers approve. Microsoft and other console makers don't want users running pirated games or other software from companies that haven't paid a licensing fee. But since the early 1980s, enthusiasts have tinkered with the consoles to make them do more. Hackers have designed chips to plug into the machines to circumvent their security, letting them play pirated games and, more recently, browse the Internet. Despite © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 3 of 28 copyright laws that prohibit hardware and software tampering, a profitable underground industry has blossomed to sell chips to defeat the security systems. With the previous version of the Xbox, hackers were able to manipulate the console to copy games and store them on its hard drive. This allowed players to rent games rather than purchase them. Hoping to protect its system against hacking, Microsoft customized the new Xbox 360's hardware, instead of using off-the-shelf components. It added layers of additional security. To hackers, that presents a challenge. So far, no one is believed to have fully cracked the Xbox 360, though some hackers in Denmark claim they have found a way to play some copied games on it. All over the world, teams of hackers are working to claim bragging rights as the first to wholly decode the machine and find the loopholes in its security system. Mr. Huang says he doesn't sell tampered chips and just wants to run self-created videogame software on the box. "It's about overcoming the challenge Microsoft has set out there," says Mr. Huang, who wears his hair in a ponytail and has a doctorate in electrical engineering from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. "They've bragged about the security for the Xbox 360, so now it's like: Well, let's see." Microsoft isn't happy about the hackers. Protecting intellectual property is a "high priority" for the company, says spokeswoman Molly O'Donnell. The company declined to comment about the security of the XBox. Microsoft's first Xbox, released in 2001, was a favorite target of hackers. Numerous Web sites with names like Modking.com and Xbox-modchip.com sprang up to sell hackerdesigned chips for it. Underground wholesalers, installers and manufacturers profit from finding ways around the original Xbox's security flaws. "I don't see the reason to get a nine-to-five job or work part-time after school," says an Xbox maven in Ontario, Canada, who buys and sells modified chips in his spare time. He describes himself as a 14-year-old student and estimates he made $50,000 selling microchips and other hacker-designed products for the original Xbox last year. He says he sells chips to Web sites and middlemen who place the chips in the Xbox. Because he doesn't provide additional software necessary to skirt copyright protections, he does not see his actions as unlawful. "I'm not doing anything wrong," he said. The Digital Millennium Copyright Act, passed in 1998, makes it a crime to circumvent anti-piracy measures built into hardware and software. Proponents and critics of the law say it is vague about the legality of consumers' tearing apart their game consoles and altering them for their own use. But several federal agencies, including the Justice Department's Computer Crime and Intellectual Property section, recently raided stores in Maryland and California that sell modified Xboxes. They have prosecuted some sellers. That hasn't discouraged the race to decode the Xbox 360. Many hacking groups, with names like Team Xecuter or Team Xodus, collaborate via the Internet, divvying up responsibilities along lines of expertise. They discuss their progress online in chat rooms. Mr. Huang, whom friends nicknamed Bunnie after the deadly rabbit in the film "Monty Python and the Holy Grail," has been tinkering with electronics since he was 10 years old. The native of Kalamazoo, Mich., was at MIT getting his doctorate in 2001 when he cracked Microsoft's original Xbox. © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 4 of 28 At the behest of a professor who told him his actions might be illegal, Mr. Huang in 2002 let Microsoft know what he had done. Mr. Huang assured Microsoft he had no ill intent, and the company decided not to take legal action against him. Microsoft confirms the account. In 2002, Mr. Huang presented his tampered Xbox at a conference on computer-security technology. A year later, San Francisco-based No Starch Press published his book "Hacking the Xbox: An Introduction to Reverse Engineering," a step-by-step guide to cracking the Xbox. The book turned him into a celebrity hacker. Microsoft declined to comment on the book. When the new Xbox 360 had its debut last November, eager consumers snapped up the highly anticipated device. Mr. Huang complained in an online chat room that he couldn't find one. Three weeks later, a console appeared on his doorstep, apparently sent by a fan. Mr. Huang quickly tore open the machine, pulling out components such as memory chips to examine them more closely. He then plugged one of the chips, called a flash ROM chip, into a device called a ROM reader. Using the reader, Mr. Huang was able to observe how data traversed the system and see where the information was finally stored. Once a month, Mr. Huang also meets with other local hackers, including an 18-year-old whose goal is to play Apple Computer Inc.'s software on the Xbox 360. Over nachos at a Mexican restaurant recently, they swapped information and discussed their progress. Thus far, the group has made only small breakthroughs, such as figuring out a way to manipulate game images. Mr. Huang and his cohorts predict it will take another nine months before they can fully crack the console. So they were taken aback when a Dutch hacker dubbed "the Specialist" emailed Mr. Huang in February claiming he could play copied games on the Xbox 360 by altering the console's DVD player. Several of Mr. Huang's pals tested the method and confirmed that it works, though they don't consider it a full decoding of the machine. The Specialist couldn't be reached for comment. With other hackers appearing to make more progress, Mr. Huang admits he may not be the first to fully crack the Xbox 360. "Things are different from a few years ago," he says. "The stakes are higher for Microsoft and the hacking community has intensified its efforts." 3. Microsoft's first Xbox, released in _____, was a favorite target of hackers. a. 1998 b. 1999 c. 2000 d. 2001 Correct 4. Some Xbox 360 hackers in _____ claim they have found a way to play some copied games on it. a. Denmark Correct b. England c. France d. Boston City Lite Fake Towns Rise, Offering Urban Life Without the Grit © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 5 of 28 By THADDEUS HERRICK May 31, 2006; Page A1 http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114904207386167125.html PLANO, Texas -- On a recent Friday night, Bishop Road was hopping. Land Rovers and Lexuses inched down the two-lane street. On the brick sidewalks, a steel band played Bob Marley tunes as couples strolled past boutiques, bars and restaurants, lines spilling out the door. Until a few years ago, Bishop Road was a grassy field in the midst of a gargantuan office park. Today, it's the main drag of Legacy Town Center, a 75-acre development 20 miles north of Dallas that's home to 4,000 people. The project has been such a hit that developers are building on an additional 75 acres across the street. Legacy Town Center is one of dozens of faux downtowns popping up across the country, from Kansas City to Washington, D.C., spurred by a demand for urban living scrubbed of the reality of city life. A careful mix of retail, residential and office space built with traditional materials such as stone and brick, Legacy looks like a city but has neither panhandlers nor potholes. Many residents rarely venture even to downtown Dallas, which has been trying to turn itself into place to live for almost a decade. There's too much riffraff down there," says Ron Pettit, a 36-year-old contractor, as he snacks on brie and grapes at a table outside Bishop Road's Main Street Bakery and Bistro. In Flagstaff, Ariz., buyers have snapped up almost all of the 125 residential units on offer at Presidio in the Pines, a town center under construction on 91 acres of forest. North of Charlotte, N.C., on the site of a former dairy farm, is Birkdale Village, which consists of 52 acres intended to recall a New England coastal town. It features 320 apartments, most of which are stacked above shops and restaurants. Even though these faux downtowns contain tinges of suburbia, they're taking advantage of a growing backlash against the sprawl that rings Dallas and other U.S. cities. The reaction began in the 1980s with the rise of New Urbanism, a movement of architects and planners calling for a return to traditional towns where people work, shop, live and play. Among the most prominent of those theorists was Andrés Duany, a leading figure behind Seaside, a planned pedestrian community on the Florida Panhandle that was the setting for the 1998 movie, "The Truman Show." Suburban growth, Mr. Duany argued, was unsustainable because it consumes land at a high rate while creating horrendous traffic. In the 1990s, Americans started venturing back into cities that had emptied out in prior decades. Basking in the glow of falling crime rates and glamorized by television shows such as "Seinfeld" and "Friends," cities themselves began to woo residential and retail development. For a developer, however, it's much easier to make a fake city than it is to work on real downtowns with their patchwork landholdings and planning restrictions. The developers of Legacy were able to carve up the land pretty much as they pleased. The result: more than 1,500 apartments and town houses, some 80 shops and restaurants, two mid-rise office towers and a Marriott Hotel. The concept also attracted developers looking for alternatives to malls, a concept rapidly losing favor among shoppers. Only one mall has opened in 2006, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers, a New York City-based trade group. By © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 6 of 28 contrast, more than 60 so-called lifestyle centers -- outdoor shopping areas with plazas, fountains and pedestrian streets -- are planned to open this year and next. To attract more shoppers, and therefore retailers, developers started building homes on these sites. Steiner + Associates of Columbus, Ohio, a leading builder of town centers, initially included only retail and office space at the $300 million Easton Town Center near Columbus, which was completed in 2001. When another developer added apartments across the street, Yaromir Steiner, chief executive of Steiner + Associates, noticed the low vacancies and high rents. "We realized how a commodity apartment could turn into a specialty product," he said. 5. Legacy Town Center is one of dozens of ______ popping up across the country. a. faux downtowns Correct b. 100 screen movie theaters c. public pools d. modern library 6. A movement by architects and planners calling for a return to traditional towns where people work, shop, live and play is called ______. a. city life b. new urbanism Correct c. rehabitation d. urban renewal Collision Course Why Big Airlines Are Starting a Fight With Business Jets By LAURA MECKLER June 1, 2006; Page A1 http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114912609016268235.html Airlines normally go out of their way to foster good relations with well-heeled business travelers. But they are picking a fight with some of the most elite fliers in the sky over a significant part of the price of air travel: air-traffic-controller fees. The fight pits the major airlines against the thousands of business jets that ferry executives around the country in a battle over more than $10 billion a year in taxes and fees that go to support the Federal Aviation Administration. Business jets represent more than 18% of all flights, but they pay just 5% of those FAA fees. Infuriated airlines, which represent some two-thirds of flights but pay more than 90% of the fees, have long complained they are overpaying. Now they've launched a high-stakes lobbying battle to get business jets to shoulder a bigger share of the cost of today's system and of an advanced, satellite-based system planned for the near future. "We've in effect been subsidizing Lee Raymond of Exxon Mobil and all these corporate guys flying around," says Jim May, top lobbyist for the Air Transport Association, the main airline trade group, referring to the oil giant's recently retired CEO. "I have a hard time thinking of Lee Raymond as a 'little guy' who needs and deserves subsidies from the airlines." © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 7 of 28 The business-jet owners argue they shouldn't be hit with higher fees because they don't cost as much for the FAA to handle. The big expense in air-traffic control, they say, is squadrons of airliners arriving at major airports during rush hours. Ed Bolen, top lobbyist for the National Business Aviation Association, adds that Exxon Mobil Corp. is not typical of his group, which includes many small companies as well. He is teaming up with mechanics who work on business jets and a powerful lobby group of private pilots to make his case. An Exxon spokesman, Russ Roberts, says that if Mr. May has a problem, he should take it up with policy makers and "not single out any one corporation." The clash between the business jets and the airlines is a classic battle between moneyed interests tugging at Congress to achieve their ends. The current system of levies is set to expire next year, giving Congress an opportunity for a broad overhaul. The outcome will affect the cost of flying, both for passengers on airliners and corporate jets. It also could help determine whether the FAA ultimately can afford a multibilliondollar switch from today's radar system, which tracks airplanes via beacons on the ground, to a more advanced system that would pinpoint airplane locations using satellite communication. Because controllers and pilots would know with more precision where each plane is, the change is expected to allow planes to fly closer together, increasing the safe number of planes in the sky and reducing delays. The airlines argue that all jets, commercial and corporate, should pay similar fees for airtraffic-control services. After all, they say, only one plane can take off at a time and all planes take up space in the sky, no matter how many passengers are on board. Business jets counter that they should pay less because it costs less to serve them. Typically, Mr. Bolen says, they use smaller airports and avoid the most-congested routes. The airlines' argument, he says, is like a dinner with a big group, where the people who order the most-expensive meals insist on splitting the bill equally. Mr. Bolen's board members include some of the nation's biggest and richest corporations. But in search of a politically appealing grassroots face, he's working to line up the small businesses that make up a majority of his members and the blue-collar workers who make, fly and maintain the jets. He also holds a potential ace: a strong alliance with the Aircraft Owners and Pilots Association, which represents 400,000 private pilots known for their devotion to weekend flying and aggressive advocacy on issues they care about. Under the airline plan, these propeller-powered planes wouldn't have to pay more. But AOPA worries that user fees for business jets will set a bad precedent and, eventually, they will apply to everyone. Both AOPA and the business-jet group also argue that user fees would be complicated and expensive to administer. The airlines, meanwhile, are working to recruit groups associated with commercial aviation -- airplane manufacturers, airline unions, suppliers and travel and tourism professionals, plus a half million airline workers -- into a broad coalition to lobby Congress. Sharp Divisions A decade ago, when Congress last debated FAA funding, the airlines were sharply divided. The major airlines tried to shed costs by ganging up on Southwest Airlines and other low-cost carriers, which were generating less in taxes because their ticket prices © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 8 of 28 were lower. But in the end, both sides wound up with tax increases -- "a circular firing squad," in the words of airline lobbyist John Timmons. Today, airlines pay into the FAA trust fund a 7.5% ticket tax, a fee of $3.20 per passenger for each flight segment flown, a fee of $14.10 per passenger for each international departure or arrival, and a fuel tax of 4.3 cents per gallon. All those taxes and fees are passed on to passengers or absorbed by the airlines. Business jets pay only a 21.8 cent fuel tax. That means, for example, that a typical roundtrip commercial flight between Philadelphia and Buffalo would contribute about $900 altogether in FAA taxes and fees, according to an ATA calculation the business-jet group doesn't dispute. A typical business craft flying the same route would pay just $22. In 2004, the latest year for which FAA data are available, passenger and cargo airlines accounted for 65% of flights, but they paid 91% of the $9.6 billion in taxes collected to support the FAA. Business aviation, a category that includes all jet-powered private planes and charter flights, accounted for 18.5% of flights but paid only 5% of the taxes. Armed with these numbers, the carriers are pressing for a fundamental change in financing. They want to replace existing taxes with user fees, based on how much a particular plane uses air-traffic control. They estimate their plan would shift $1.5 billion to $2 billion in charges to business jets. The airlines are happy to make life harder for private jets, which siphon off some of their best customers -- those likely to pay first-class and last-minute fares. There could be even more travelers opting out of commercial flights with the coming of new ultra-light jets, which will allow corporations to buy their own planes for under $2 million -- compared with $3 million or more today. The Bush administration has also signaled support for user fees in an effort to make funding for air-traffic control more predictable. As things stand now, tax collections fluctuate as fares go up and down. When Mr. May, 60 years old, joined the ATA three years ago, he knew his first task was to forge a consensus in a group that represents 19 cargo and commercial carriers. He made a crucial decision to bypass the perpetually squabbling lobbyists who represent each carrier in Washington and go directly to the airline CEOs. In late 2004, he appointed a three-man committee -- the chief executives of Southwest, Continental and AMR Corp.'s American airlines -- and asked them to come up with an FAA funding proposal. Crunching Numbers The three chiefs spent more than a year crunching numbers, but in the end, their proposed formula was still not acceptable to everyone in the airline group. Mr. May broke the impasse, suggesting broad principles instead of a precise formula. Their compromise: user fees based on the number of departures and length of time in the system, with adjustments for flights to small communities and night flights. Now he's lining up allies. On a recent day, Mr. May invited Capt. Duane Woerth, president of the Air Line Pilots Association, to his 12th floor conference room in Washington. He showed him a seven-minute video outlining the problems with the congested air-traffic-control system. Mr. Woerth's reaction: "The public just wants a solution, and they don't want to pay more money." In the end, Mr. Woerth didn't take much convincing, and the two shook hands. Mr. Bolen, meanwhile, is rallying the business-jet troops. He tried to jolt his members into action with a dark email: "You are under attack," he wrote in a message that the © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 9 of 28 group said went to 10,000 people. He urged them to write to their lawmakers to protest the user-fee idea. In one of a series of recent trips, Mr. Bolen flew to Montgomery, Ala., to rally representatives of small airports against the user-fee initiative. After Mr. Bolen's talk, Wayne Cameron, a onetime flight instructor who now manages the Tuscaloosa Regional Airport, said he planned to write his representatives in Congress. The airport handles only business jets and private planes. "We just feel they're trying to dump $1.5 billion to $2 billion on us," he said of the airlines. On a recent day, Mr. Bolen, 46, lobbied Republican Rep. Robin Hayes of North Carolina, a longtime private pilot whose district is dotted with tiny airports. "You know exactly where I stand," Mr. Hayes told Mr. Bolen, adding, "Are you going to instruct us as we go forward?" Mr. Bolen assured him that he would. For lawmakers who may be a harder sell, Mr. Bolen points out that the airlines' user-fee proposal would transfer some control of the FAA from Congress to a user-fee board that's almost certain to be dominated by the airlines. The airlines argue that eliminating Congress's role would save money by cutting pork projects and closing FAA facilities that individual Congressmen support but that aren't FAA priorities. 7. Business jets represent more than ______ of all flights. a. 8% b. 18% Correct c. 28% d. 38% 8. In 2004 passenger and cargo airlines accounted for 65% of flights, but they paid _____ of the $9.6 billion in taxes collected to support the FAA. a. 11% b. 19% c. 91% Correct d. 99% After Years of Pushing Synergy, Time Warner Inc. Says Enough By MATTHEW KARNITSCHNIG June 2, 2006; Page A1 http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114921801650969574.html Last year, Sports Illustrated and AOL were heading toward a clash, the latest in a series of quarrels between Time Warner Inc.'s units. The magazine wanted to merge its Web site with the AOL Web portal to create a massive sports site. AOL refused, saying Sports Illustrated had little to offer. A few years ago, when Time Warner was espousing the mantra of "corporate synergy," the two sides might have been forced into cooperating for the good of the company. This time around, Time Warner President Jeffrey Bewkes told the magazine to look elsewhere for partners. "No division should subsidize another," Mr. Bewkes says in an interview. While Mr. Bewkes thinks cooperation should be encouraged, he's blunt in assessing the synergy message his predecessors preached to shareholders: "It's bull-." © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 10 of 28 This is an unusual enough sentiment in a rapidly consolidating corporate world, but for Time Warner, it's a philosophical turnabout, illustrating how the media industry has thrown off the conventional wisdom of only a few years ago. Other media companies such as Viacom and Liberty Media have already broken themselves up. Time Warner, currently the world's largest, has stopped requiring that its units cooperate -- instead of "synergies," managers speak of "adjacencies." It's also selling businesses that don't make enough money. The re-evaluation was driven in part by rapid changes in technology that fed investor disquiet about the viability of older and slower media giants. Innovations such as digitalvideo recorders, online music sales and user-generated content on the Internet have contributed to a prolonged slump in stock-market valuations. Time Warner and its peers were also caught flat-footed by the emergence of new players such as Yahoo and Google. "We had a lot of clout from size. Look at where it got us -- nowhere," says Sumner Redstone, who recently divided his media empire into two companies, Viacom Inc. and CBS Corp. "The world has changed a lot. Success depends to a large extent on your ability to adapt." From the time legendary CEO Steve Ross added Warner Bros. to his funeral-home and parking-lot business in the late 1960s, through the merger with Time Inc. and the $103.5billion AOL deal, the company now known as Time Warner has been a prominent practitioner of corporate synergy. In deal after deal, executives promised to create a welloiled, "vertically integrated" profit machine. Books and magazines and music would feed television and movie and Internet empires, each strengthening the others. But this vision never panned out, and the stock-market value of the mammoth media enterprise dropped by more than $100 billion. Now divisions are encouraged to cooperate only if they can't get a better deal on the open market. The company's units are expected to be "best in class" -- corporate-speak for being an industry leader -- and those that fall short are threatened with being sold. Financier Carl Icahn argued for such an approach in his recent campaign to break up Time Warner into several pieces, only to be ridiculed by the company's management. Yet even as it convinced shareholders to reject Mr. Icahn's blueprint, Time Warner has been quietly implementing something similar. In 2004, Time Warner sold its once-mighty music arm, which was suffering amid a prolonged music-industry slump. More recently it quit the book industry and has been selling its sports teams one by one. Later this year, Time Warner plans to take public 16% of its cable business, in what investors see as a prelude to further reductions in its ownership. Mr. Icahn, who owns 1.3% of Time Warner's stock, says these steps are encouraging but not aggressive enough. "They are making some of the right decisions but there's a great deal more that has to be done," he says. "I still believe that you have to divide it." The company has hinted in the past it might also sell part of AOL and some executives privately say they'd like to sell Time Inc., publisher of magazines such as Sports Illustrated, Time and People. The publisher makes more than $1 billion in operating profit each year, but investors complain that its growth potential is limited. © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 11 of 28 Such a course would leave Time Warner roughly half its current size. It would own video-entertainment operations, including Warner Bros., Turner Broadcasting and HBO, as well as strategic holdings in cable and the Internet. That structure would be similar to the one put forth by Mr. Icahn. Dick Parsons, who became CEO in 2002, says he still opposes breaking up Time Warner. "This is a more stable and durable company because of its size," Mr. Parsons says. "If you have the sum of the parts under your control you can sometimes get to the market faster." Time Warner's new approach follows 15 years of conflict, dating back to the very founding of the company from the 1990 merger of Time Inc. with Warner Communications. Before the combination, Time Inc. was primarily a publishing company that also owned HBO and a cable company. Time executives saw their future in video and cable systems and wanted HBO and Warner Communications Inc. to cooperate closely. The plan largely failed. "There wasn't a lot of synergy that took place," says Bob Daly, chairman of the Warner Bros. studio at the time. Mr. Daly recalls a meeting at which Time Inc. executives harangued him over "Roger & Me," a 1989 Warner Bros. film directed by Michael Moore that was deeply critical of General Motors Co.'s downsizing. GM was one of Time Inc.'s biggest advertisers. Publishers worried the movie would harm their relationship with the carmaker. Mr. Daly says he countered by noting that Time magazine had panned Warner Bros.'s "Batman." By the end of the discussion, Mr. Daly says, both sides concluded there was little they could do for one another. Contentious Relationships Other relationships proved even more contentious. After the merger, Warner complained that HBO had started demanding special, below-market rates for movies. The studio was also irked that HBO was gearing up to make movies of its own, because it alone wanted to control film production within Time Warner. HBO, for its part, accused Warner of trying to charge too much for movie rights. Years later, former Time Inc. President Nick Nicholas, who hatched the Warner deal on a paper napkin while returning from an African safari, decided it was all a mistake. Warner Bros., he concluded, had little to offer either HBO or Turner Broadcasting, which Time Warner acquired in 1996. "If I could go back ... and rewrite history, I would, if pushed to the wall, not have done the Warner deal," he said in a 2002 interview with the Denver-based Cable Center, which was conducting an oral history of the cable industry. The Warner deal was just the first in what would be a long trail of transactions culminating in AOL's ill-fated takeover of Time Warner in 2001. The transaction was originally sold as a synergy play designed to create a universe encompassing the Internet, TV and print that consumers would never exit. But after the takeover was consummated, in classic Time Warner fashion, friction between the two cultures gnawed away at the plan. Time Warner Cable resisted giving AOL privileged access to its broadband network, arguing that such a move would hurt profitability. Warner Bros., Time Inc. and Warner Music refused to participate in a plan © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 12 of 28 to sell advertising companywide because they thought they could negotiate better terms on their own. The divisions even scuttled a plan to give control of their email systems to AOL. In the past four years, Time Warner's revenue has risen 17% and operating profit has rebounded to $10.6 billion in 2005 from a $38.5 billion loss in 2002. But the company's share performance has lagged that of its rivals. After big declines in 2001 and 2002, Time Warner's shares have stagnated, and for much of the last three years they've hovered around the $17 mark. Some investors worry about the long-term viability of certain units, in particular AOL. Its revenue dipped 10% over the past four years as dial-up subscribers abandon it for broadband. There is also concern that the cable business, Time Warner's biggest profit generator, will come under pressure as telephone companies begin to offer television service. Time Warner's current management team still argues that scale is important. The company has 87,000 employees and $44 billion in revenues, which gives it influence to sway government policy while also shielding it from outside attack. Its breadth gives management a bird's-eye view of the industry's shifting landscape and a better understanding of key issues, executives say. Backing Off At the same time, the company has backed off efforts to force divisions to work together. Under this looser structure, top executives meet regularly, but to share information, not to push synergies. Six times a year, Mr. Parsons summons his top deputies to the company's New York headquarters where they gather in a 10th-floor conference room overlooking Central Park to discuss their industries and settle differences. Recent meetings have focused on AOL's content strategy and the implications of "Startover," a new feature offered by Time Warner Cable that allows viewers to view in their entirety programs that have already started. "Think of it as an extended family that gets together for Saturday dinner," says Turner Broadcasting chief Phil Kent. Division heads say the informal gatherings allow for an open dialogue that wouldn't be possible with customers or competitors. That give-and-take has allowed Time Warner to occasionally leap ahead of the industry, as it did when Time Warner Cable pioneered video-on-demand services. The looser federation doesn't, however, rid Time Warner of some of the conflicts that bogged it down in the past. Some believe Time Warner Cable hasn't been as aggressive in trying to build a free video-on-demand service as its main competitor, Comcast Corp. The reason: Warner Bros., like other studios, worried that the new service would hurt its existing businesses, such as DVD and syndication sales. These days, as Time Warner's various divisions pull in different directions, it's not clear what, if any, corporate solidarity remains. Sports Illustrated's overture to AOL came just as a separate venture between AOL and Time Inc. was falling apart. In 2003, Time agreed to transfer some of its magazines' Web sites to AOL's subscriber service to help prop up AOL's membership. By the spring of last year, it was clear that the deal wasn't working. AOL continued to lose subscribers and © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 13 of 28 Time Inc. discovered that its online titles were languishing behind AOL's "walled garden" just as Internet advertising was beginning to take off. AOL wanted to maintain the relationship but in a different form. Time Inc., backed by Mr. Bewkes, wanted to retake full control, and the arrangement was largely dismantled. So when Sports Illustrated approached AOL last year about cooperating on a new Web site, AOL executives were caught off guard. The combination would have created the biggest sports site on the Web, but now AOL wasn't interested. It had already planned to focus on online video and wanted to remain an aggregator of other outlets' content. While AOL executives insist they have a good relationship with Time Inc., relying exclusively on Sports Illustrated in this case would be too limiting, they felt. "Magazines have mostly words and some pictures," says Ted Leonsis, a senior AOL executive. "You tend to want to partner more with brands that have richer media." This time around, Mr. Bewkes supported AOL. At his behest, Time Inc. approached Yahoo and others about a partnership. It has yet to strike a deal. Mr. Bewkes wasn't surprised. He spent most of his 27 years with Time Warner at HBO, which, like AOL, often received unwelcome overtures from within the conglomerate. "This is pure business," he says. 9. In the past four years, Time Warner's revenue has risen ______ and operating profit has rebounded to $10.6 billion in 2005 from a $38.5 billion loss in 2002. a. 17% Correct b. 27% c. 21% d. 11% 10. Time Warner has ______ employees. a. 27,000 b. 87,000 Correct c. 187,000 d. 287,000 Questions from Marketplace One Month to Make It By GWENDOLYN BOUNDS May 30, 2006; Page B1 http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114895159185065895.html When he persuaded a Wal-Mart buyer to give his unusual pen a test run some 18 months ago, Colin Roche thought the hard part was over. Selling to the world's largest retailer is, after all, the entrepreneurial Holy Grail: With 138 million weekly customers, Wal-Mart Stores Inc. dwarfs other bricks-and-mortar competitors. But far from game over, the toughest challenge begins this week, as Mr. Roche's "PenAgain," as the ergonomically designed writing instrument is called, rolls out in 500 Wal-Mart stores nationwide. PenAgain has 30 days to prove itself to Wal-Mart sales officials. Meanwhile, the 34-year-old Mr. Roche is learning to manage everything from © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 14 of 28 Wal-Mart's strict shipping standards to fears that other retail partners will protest his product's discounted price tag at the big-box chain. During the trial, PenAgain will get space in the special displays, known as "end caps," at the edge of aisles, in the thick of consumer traffic. The prime positioning will give the product a fighting chance: After 30 days, the stores need to sell close to 85% of the 48,000 pens Wal-Mart ordered if the product is to be considered for wider distribution throughout the chain. "It's a test, that's exactly what it is," says Mr. Roche. He conceived of PenAgain in 1987 while sitting in high-school detention and dreamed up its design to relieve his writer's cramp. A prototype built in his Dad's garage became the catalyst that launched the business and drove it to nearly $2 million in sales last year. Mr. Roche and a former fraternity brother, Bobby Ronsse, also 34, launched Pacific Writing Instruments Inc., of San Mateo, Calif., in 2001. There are about 10,000 suppliers hawking their goods in Wal-Marts world-wide and an equal number of newcomers trying to get in each year. Of those applicants, only about 200, or 2%, make it to the trial-run stage. While roughly 75% of those test products stay on past the trial period in at least some stores, they won't move into new locations unless sales are robust. Seeing a product through this critical phase requires suppliers to shift from sales-pitch mode to marketing backup. "A lot of times, what will hurt suppliers more than anything is that they may not monitor the product very well" during the trial period, says Excell La Fayette Jr., Wal-Mart's director of supplier development. "They are busy still trying to sell the [Wal-Mart] buyer on that item. You've sold them. Now, just make sure that the information is out there, and drive customers to the product." Price -- low price, that is -- is another concern. The PenAgain model going into Wal-Mart will sell for $3.76, compared with a nearly identical version priced at $6.49 on amazon.com and more than $12 elsewhere. By slashing their price for Wal-Mart -- which they must do to sell there -- the PenAgain entrepreneurs risk angering their bread-andbutter retail base of some 5,000 retailers, many of them small stationery shops. It's a fine line that all manufacturers walk when they hit mass retailing's big leagues. The PenAgain partners haven't detected a backlash yet, but says Mr. Roche, "We are bracing ourselves." It is up to the young entrepreneurs to provide the marketing to support their product's Wal-Mart debut. Messrs. Roche and Ronsse say they plan a full frontal assault with all the business contacts and networks they've amassed since launching PenAgain. Too small to afford traditional print or TV advertising, the company will market virally, reaching out to their national fraternity headquarters and consumer groups that have already shown interest in the PenAgain. The company has a general email list of some 10,000 customers who regularly buy their pens -- "people who really want to know what the heck is going on with us," Mr. Roche says. Among them are doctors, patients and medical organizations, for whom the PenAgain's ergonomic design has a lot of appeal. Ergonomics is a hot niche in the $4.8 billion dollar writing-instrument industry, as aging baby boomers face carpal tunnel syndrome and arthritis. Most traditional pens are stickshaped, requiring users to grip them. In contrast, the PenAgain's wishbone design allows users to write by resting the index finger, and the weight of the entire hand, between two prongs. Any pen can call itself ergonomic, but what gives PenAgain credibility is that it © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 15 of 28 has been tested with occupational therapists and physicians, many of whom sell it in their offices. The pen also is distributed by Sammons Preston Rolyan, a rehabilitative-products purveyor. A notable segment of PenAgain's repeat customers are doctors whose patients, in turn, become customers, too. It is a strategy that has paid off handsomely in some unexpected ways. Scott Koerner, senior vice president of merchandising at Office Depot Inc., first saw the PenAgain last year at his eye-doctor's office and noted on return visits that it had sold out. He pursued it for his stores. Starting next month, Office Depot will stock the PenAgain in its 1,049 stores nationwide (price: $3.99). "We sell to a lot of small businesses, and this doctor happened to be a small business and that caught my attention," Mr. Koerner says. The PenAgain entrepreneurs know they must track daily sales at Wal-Mart's 500 stores closely -- something they can do over the Internet, via the chain's Retail Link software system. The system tracks sales data, telling vendors where their items are, and aren't, selling. Should a product do well in say, Salt Lake City, but not in Indianapolis, WalMart can shift merchandise between stores. But it is a common mistake of neophyte suppliers to expect Wal-Mart buyers to do the tracking for them, says Wal-Mart's Mr. La Fayette. "When you have a buyer with 10 to 20 different categories, they cannot monitor everyone's pieces, and they depend on the supplier to inform them of what is going on," he says. Knowing this, PenAgain founders produced an extra 100 displays for use in Wal-Mart stores, which they are keeping in their own warehouse. "If one store sells through like crazy, we could ship out more to keep things going" during the test, Mr. Roche says. They also are considering hiring a merchant service organization, a third-party group that sends reps into stores to check out display placement and consumer traffic and then report back electronically to the supplier. Messrs. Roche and Ronsse also have had to navigate Wal-Mart's packaging and shipping requirements, which are highly regimented, down to the thickness of the cardboard used on display cartons. Shipping boxes must have a reddish stripe around the outside that says "stationery," to help Wal-Mart staffers route the boxes at stores. Timing is tricky, too. There are no guarantees for suppliers until Wal-Mart issues an official purchase order. When it comes down, the window for getting products into stores isn't open long. PenAgain manufactures all its pens and packaging in China, and so even before they got the April 12 purchase order they were ramping up pen production -- they needed the 48,000 for Wal-Mart, plus 5,000 more as backup -- and printing packaging. Shipping labels must specify a litany of data, including purchase-order numbers and distribution-center details. Because the pens for Wal-Mart were hurried out of China, PenAgain didn't have time to have their own packaging manufacturers print all the necessary data on the boxes. It had to be added when the boxes hit shore in Long Beach, Calif., on May 2. "We didn't sleep during that three weeks," says Mr. Roche. The work paid off. The pens were ready to move to Wal-Mart's distribution centers on time, starting May 17. Currently, pens are arriving in Wal-Mart stores from Fishkill, N.Y., to Tucson, Ariz. Helped in part by the exposure the pens are getting at Wal-Mart, PenAgain's founders expect sales to double this year to between $4 million and $5 million. © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 16 of 28 The partners haven't forgotten their smaller retail partners. The company is creating exclusive offerings for small stores: It plans to offer an ergonomic sample set, including a basic pen, a black marker, two highlighters and refills, for $15 to $20, and a brushedmetal pen for $20 to $30. "That's our goal: to try and prove that we will live in both worlds," Mr. Roche says. Some small players say they'd welcome such efforts: Fred Ebert, an owner of Edwards Luggage Inc., San Francisco, has been selling the same PenAgain model going into WalMart, but for $9.95. He says Wal-Mart's $3.76 price "worries" him and at some point he'll probably stop ordering from PenAgain until it comes out with a higher-end model. "I don't want to be way out of line on pricing anything because it sends a bad message," Mr. Ebert says. And so, as the PenAgain partners prepare for what may be the most crucial 30 days of their business careers, they are realistic about the challenges ahead. "There are things that could go tremendously well, and things that could sink," Mr. Roche says. "We have a lot on the line, and honestly, we are nervous as hell." 11. There are about 10,000 suppliers hawking their goods in Wal-Marts world-wide and an equal number of newcomers trying to get in each year. Of those applicants, only about ______ make it to the trial run stage. a. 2% Correct b. 4% c. 6% d. 8% Bracing for the Worst By LIAM PLEVEN May 31, 2006; Page B1 http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114904672421167238.html LONG BEACH, N.Y. -- Nearly 70 years ago, a violent hurricane ripped across the south shore of Long Island, then largely farmland. The storm, locally dubbed the Long Island Express, sent 30- to 50-foot waves surging ashore, killing 50 people and 750,000 chickens in the Long Island counties of Nassau and Suffolk. Tomorrow, a new hurricane season is set to begin, with the ever-present threat that a mammoth storm could deviate from recent patterns making landfall in the Southeast and follow a path similar to that of the Long Island Express. But where chickens scratched in 1938 now sit some of the most expensive homes in the U.S. As a result, the insurance market here is showing glimmers of the kind of fragility that has plagued places like Florida. In Long Island and New York City, Allstate Corp. has been dropping customers. MetLife Auto & Home, a division of MetLife Inc., is restricting new policies in the Northeast and other hurricane-prone areas. Premiums are going up as much as 20% to 30%, and hurricane deductibles may follow. A look at Long Beach, a city of 35,000 located on a barrier island off Long Island's south shore, shows how the insurance industry has intensified efforts to limit its exposure in the Northeast. © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 17 of 28 In Long Beach, part of Nassau County, finding any hurricane coverage at all is getting harder and more expensive. "There are very few insurance companies that are willing to write homeowners' policies right now," says Denis Miller, a Long Beach insurance agent. He says he recently placed one customer with another major insurer, but for an extra $350 annually, almost a third of the prior premium. In the underground bunker of Nassau County's emergency-management office, a map shows a Category 3 hurricane could propel a storm surge up to 22 feet high into downtown Long Beach. William Gray, a prominent storm predictor at Colorado State University, and his colleague Phil Klotzbach, put the odds of an intense hurricane hitting the stretch of coast between New York City and Cape Cod at about 1 in 11. That stretch includes the shorelines of Long Island's two counties. 12. William Gray, a prominent storm predictor at Colorado State University, and his colleague Phil Klotzbach, put the odds of an intense hurricane hitting the stretch of coast between New York City and Cape Cod at about 1 in ______. a. 3 b. 9 c. 11 Correct d. 15 Pick of the Crop By REBECCA BUCKMAN June 1, 2006; Page B1 http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114912389881568180.html Giants are on the prowl in Silicon Valley. The prey: start-ups. Two of the most formidable hunters are Microsoft Corp. and International Business Machines Corp., each aiming to forge ties with -- and sometimes acquire -- promising companies that make software and other products for big businesses. At a big, closed-door meeting with Silicon Valley venture capitalists last month, Microsoft's chief executive officer, Steve Ballmer, boasted that the Redmond, Wash., company bought 22 companies over the past year, some of them Northern California fledglings. IBM made 16 acquisitions last year, including several referred to the company by a special, 20-person venture-capital outreach group that IBM set up in 2000. The buying spree is music to the ears of venture-capital investors, who make money only when the businesses in which they invest go public or are bought by another company. And with the market for initial public offerings of small companies' stock languishing these days, start-ups and their backers are anxious to work with big partners -- even Microsoft, which has had a rocky history in Silicon Valley because of past allegations of anticompetitive business conduct. But many investors say the company has been easier to work with since it settled its antitrust case with the U.S. government in 2002. Both IBM and Microsoft now "have big war chests for acquisitions," says Wes Raffel, a general partner with Advanced Technology Ventures in Palo Alto, Calif. And start-ups that already work with IBM and Microsoft "are the most likely suspects to be acquired over time," he says. © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 18 of 28 Yahoo Inc. and Google Inc. are also on the acquisition trail in the area, with different motives from the software makers. Both Internet stars are scooping up tiny companies to bolster their services for consumers on the Web -- think sharing photos, cruising interactive maps and writing blogs. By contrast, Microsoft and IBM seek start-ups that will use their technology products and join them in building new services for businesses, though Microsoft is also active in the consumer area these days. But persuading start-ups to use often-pricey Microsoft or IBM technology can be more difficult today with the availability of cheap, often-comparable "open source" technology that is downloaded free from the Internet. So IBM, based in Armonk, N.Y., and Microsoft are each training their considerable firepower on tiny new businesses -- with an emphasis on tiny. Peter Yared, a former Sun Microsystems Inc. executive, says he was surprised two years ago when three IBM executives showed up at a meeting to learn more about his software start-up, ActiveGrid. One of the executives, Deborah Magid, worked with IBM's Venture Capital Group, the IBM arm charged with wooing new ventures and venture capitalists. "I was thinking, 'What the hell is IBM Ventures doing sitting in on a meeting with a oneperson company?" Mr. Yared recalls. At the time, he was ActiveGrid's only employee. Since then, an IBM representative has swung by his offices every three to six months to offer technical advice and support for ActiveGrid's software, which helps big companies build everything from sales applications to online employee phone books, Mr. Yared says. Now, ActiveGrid bundles IBM's big computer-database product with its software, which has helped ActiveGrid sell to larger, Fortune 500 companies. Meantime, IBM benefits because the partnership has made its database product more attractive, says the company's Ms. Magid. 13. Microsoft's chief executive officer, Steve Ballmer, recently boasted that the Redmond, Wash., company bought ______ companies over the past year, some of them Northern California fledglings. a. 11 b. 22 Correct c. 33 d. 44 Estimates of Copyright Piracy Losses Vary Widely By GEOFFREY A. FOWLER June 2, 2006; Page A13 http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114919386653269006.html The plastic in a blank CD or DVD costs less than a quarter. Putting a price on a disc loaded with content is more difficult. When the music industry finds a CD that has been ripped off by copyright pirates, it says it is worth between $1 and $5. Hollywood says a pirate disc can be worth between nothing and the full retail price of around $25. The software industry sometimes weighs in at more than $200 per counterfeit disc. Why is there such a wide range in the estimates? Counting the losses from piracy isn't a science -- it's an art. Police in developing countries like China may count pirated goods at © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 19 of 28 their street value, but companies and industry associations have different, often political, goals behind their counting systems. Now the growing problem of Internet piracy is making gauging losses even harder, and more controversial. "We can confidently say we will never know 100% the exact loss. There are several sciences, and none of them work entirely satisfactorily," says Keith Jopling, the director of strategic analysis and research for the International Federation of the Phonographic Industry, the main music industry trade group. Police data and surveys can provide estimates of the number of DVDs sold in street pirate markets, and the numbers of songs and programs downloaded off the Internet. But the music, movie and software industries -- which have been hammered by piracy in many developing countries -- face a more vexing problem of reckoning their losses. Somebody who buys a pirated disc at a steep discount isn't necessarily a lost customer for a full-priced product. In many poor countries, a customer who buys a CD for $1 could never afford to pay $16.95 for a legitimate copy. In countries such as China and Vietnam, many legitimate film titles aren't even allowed on store shelves because of government quotas and censorship standards. Moreover, music industry surveys have found that in some developed markets, 10% to 15% of consumers actually spend more money on legitimate music when they're also downloading songs illegally. So is a pirated disc really a loss? Over the past two years, the Motion Picture Association of America has spent $3 million to figure that out. The answer it arrived at -- that Hollywood studios alone lose $6.1 billion world-wide -- was so high that some Tinseltown executives didn't want the figures made public. Behind the movie studios' backstage catfight about the figures was a dramatically new system for counting the value of a pirated disc. The new method involved asking consumers about their piracy habits directly. In telephone, Internet and focus group polls developed by consultant L.E.K. Group, the MPAA asked consumers how often they buy pirated discs and download pirated movies, as well as whether they would have bought the film legitimately had the pirated version not been available. By that approach, not every pirated disc equates to lost revenue. But the new method has a big problem. People lie in surveys, especially folks who like to pirate movies. The MPAA spent months revising their figures down. To be sure, legitimate companies want and need to know how much they're losing, as the piracy problem grows. But accurate assessments may be influenced by competing demands. Hefty piracy loss figures can serve the interests of movie, music and software industry organizations, all of which lobby governments for tougher intellectual property laws and enforcement. On the other hand, member companies of these organizations often don't want investors to be spooked by figures that suggest their piracy problems are scaling out of control. The computer software industry, represented by the Business Software Alliance, has taken a simpler approach than the movie industry, and come up with a much bigger number. According to a study it released in May, there were $34 billion in global PC software piracy losses in 2005. The alliance hired analysts at the International Data Group's IDC to calculate losses based on the total value of software installed on computers around the world minus the total legitimate sales of software. That way, the industry doesn't have to track pirated discs or files swapped online. The big loss figure it © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 20 of 28 comes up with helps push governments to sign treaties to ensure that businesses aren't using pirated software on computers. The software industry's figures assume that pirated software is worth the same as fullprice commercial software. Many software users in the developing world say they can't afford to substitute in a full-priced copy of Microsoft Office, even if Microsoft already discounts the product for developing markets. However, the BSA's Asia regional director, Jeff Hardee, says the group's studies show nearly a one-to-one ratio between decreases in piracy and increases in legitimate sales, suggesting that, on average, people are willing to "replace" pirate software with the real thing. The music industry has long taken a more limited approach to its piracy assessments. Instead, the IFPI estimates that the world-wide commercial disc market is worth $4.6 billion to the pirates themselves, at pirate prices, which range from $1 to $5 per CD. The IFPI uses police data, surveys and legitimate disc sales to estimate the number of pirate discs in the market. That approach avoids counting customers of cheap pirate products the same as legitimate customers, but assigns a very low value to the music on CDs. It also leaves a hole in accounting for losses from songs swapped for free over the Internet. The IFPI says it knows there are 885 million "infringing" songs available for download at any one time, but doesn't know how much they're worth. In recent months the IFPI has been sorting through surveys in a handful of markets that try to count Internet losses, many involving direct consumer interviews about substitution habits like the MPAA survey. Record companies are currently reviewing the findings from those surveys, and the results could be released with the group's annual piracy report later this month. 14. According to the Business Software Alliance in a study it released in May, there were $____ billion in global PC software piracy losses in 2005. a. 34 Correct b. 43 c. 56 d. 65 Questions from Money & Investing Inheritance Planning Without Grief By RACHEL EMMA SILVERMAN May 27, 2006; Page B1 http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114868234031764646.html Getting an inheritance isn't as easy as it looks. Inheriting money is already an emotional and financial minefield. But in the past decade or so, amid the popularity of complex retirement investments and other assets -- and the increasing complexity of tax laws -- it's gotten trickier to avoid the pitfalls. Transfer a parent's individual retirement account the wrong way and you can cause a massive tax hit. Take a treasured painting off their wall before it's accounted for in the estate, and you © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 21 of 28 could be illegally avoiding estate taxes. In some cases, it may even be smart to decline an inheritance altogether. The size of the wealth transfer expected in coming years is staggering. Over the next halfcentury, some $45 trillion is expected to be disbursed from estates, according to researchers at Boston College's Center on Wealth and Philanthropy. It's the biggest generational transfer of wealth ever, says Paul Schervish, the center's director, because of the late 20th-century economic boom in the U.S. combined with the baby-boom demographic bubble. As a result, financial firms and tax advisers are increasingly targeting families in an effort to sell them services and seminars designed to help plan for inheritance. Fidelity Investments offers trained "Inheritor Services Specialists" to help heirs handle inherited accounts. Insurers such as New York Life Insurance Co. offer informational Web pages that suggest that heirs use their payouts to purchase new life-insurance policies or annuities. There's even the Sudden Money Institute, of Palm Beach Gardens, Fla., which provides financial guidance and emotional support for those who receive unexpected windfalls, and Heirs Inc., an advocacy group for trust and estate beneficiaries. Most private banks offer financial-training programs targeted at younger family members who stand to one day receive big inheritances. And specialized wealth counselors and "legacy coaches" hold family retreats to help ease tensions or feuds related to estate planning or inheritances. 15. Over the next half-century, some $____ trillion is expected to be disbursed from estates, according to researchers at Boston College's Center on Wealth and Philanthropy. a. 35 b. 45 Correct c. 55 d. 65 China IPOs Shun Wall Street to Call Hong Kong Home By KATE LINEBAUGH May 30, 2006; Page C1 http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114894288801465737.html HONG KONG -- Overwhelming demand for a $9.7 billion Chinese share offering underscores how some of the world's most important IPOs are taking place far from Wall Street. Bank of China Ltd., shares of which are scheduled to begin trading on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange Thursday, is the biggest stock offering anywhere for the past six years, and China's largest to date. During the past two weeks, hundreds of individual investors have lined up outside Hong Kong bank branches to apply for shares. Demand from institutional investors, including some of the world's biggest mutual-fund companies and pension funds, exceeded $120 billion. Even Saudi Prince Alwaleed bin Talal bin Abdulaziz Alsaud is seeking to buy $2 billion of the initial-public-offering shares together with a group of other Saudi investors. © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 22 of 28 While U.S. individual investors can trade Bank of China stock once it is listed, they won't be able to buy into the IPO. They also have been excluded from most of the world's biggest share offerings in recent years, in part because major privatizations in Europe and Asia have overshadowed new listings in the U.S. But foreign companies are avoiding tough accounting and disclosure requirements that apply to any U.S.-listed companies as a result of the Sarbanes-Oxley corporategovernance act that passed in August 2002. Only one of the world's top 10 IPOs since Sarbanes-Oxley passed has happened on Wall Street -- and that was for China Life Insurance Co., China's biggest life-insurance provider. Chinese companies "are saying, 'Why subject ourselves to the reporting obligations and corporate-governance obligations of a U.S. listing? If we're in it for the long haul, Hong Kong will provide an awful lot of what we're after,' " says Nick Seddon, managing director for Asia of law firm DLA Piper Rudnick Gray Cary in Hong Kong. American litigiousness also might be a turnoff for overseas companies considering a U.S. listing. In 2004, investors hit China Life with a class-action lawsuit in the U.S., claiming the company failed to disclose several accounting irregularities ahead of its listing. The company is trying to have the lawsuit dismissed. When the suit was filed, the company said in a legal notice that it expected "to contest the complaint vigorously," but that "given the nature of litigation in the United States, the company expects that further lawsuits may be filed containing the same or similar allegations." The U.S. exchanges have felt the pressure and are taking action. The New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq Stock Market Inc. are pursuing trans-Atlantic mergers. NYSE Group Inc. put in a $10.1 billion bid for Euronext this past week, while Nasdaq continues to pursue London Stock Exchange PLC, despite being rebuffed. Shrinking trading fees are pressuring the exchanges to grow and expand into new markets to maintain revenue and profits and counter the drop-off in foreign companies seeking to list their shares in the U.S. 16. Bank of China Ltd., shares of which are scheduled to begin trading on the ______ Stock Exchange, is the biggest stock offering anywhere for the past six years, and China's largest to date. a. Beijing b. Hong Kong Correct c. Tokyo d. New York Wall Street Is Warming Up To Pipelines By ANN DAVIS May 31, 2006; Page C1 http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114903938426167064.html The proposed buyout of pipeline company Kinder Morgan Inc. highlights a new way Wall Street is seeking to profit from price moves in oil and natural gas: to physically move the commodities. In recent weeks, two of the financial world's biggest commodities players, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Morgan Stanley, have sought to take stakes in fuel-distribution © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 23 of 28 companies that operate in the commercial side of the commodities boom. Their interest in these transport companies, which function like toll-booth operators and deliverymen for raw materials, suggests that as natural resources become more sought after, the infrastructure that gets the materials to market is viewed as a hot commodity, too. Goldman Sachs -- along with a group of other investors, including American International Group Inc. and Carlyle Group's Riverstone Holdings affiliate -- proposes to put up $4.5 billion as part of a management-led buyout of Kinder Morgan. The $13.5 billion deal for the Houston energy-infrastructure titan, plus the assumption of $7.5 billion of existing debt, would be one of the largest such buyouts in history. At 4 p.m. in composite trading yesterday on the New York Stock Exchange, Kinder Morgan's stock was up 19%, or $15.90, at $100.31, on speculation that other buyers might enter the fray. 17. In recent weeks, two of the financial world's biggest commodities players, Goldman Sachs Group Inc and Morgan Stanley, have sought to take stakes in _____ companies that operate in the commercial side of the commodities boom. a. lumber b. beer distribution c. fuel distribution Correct d. roofing materials Tale of Two Worries By JUSTIN LAHART June 1, 2006; Page C1 http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114912088093268135.html The economy could deliver more news today that will leave investors unsettled about what they're up against. The Institute for Supply Management releases its purchasing managers' index for May. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires and CNBC estimate the gauge of manufacturing activity slipped to 55.5 from April's 57.3. Any number over 50 means the manufacturing sector is expanding. The April reading was strong, rising when economists thought it would stay put. Still, it included some cause for concern. The report showed the pace of manufacturers' new orders slowed in April even as inventory levels grew. The Commerce Department's April durable-goods report, released later, showed the same thing. That suggests manufacturers have been making stuff faster than they can sell it and might have to slow production to let sales catch up. Economists at J.P. Morgan find that in the past, slowing orders and rising inventories have signaled a measurable drop in the purchasing managers' index. The April report also showed manufacturers were paying steeply higher prices for supplies and, in another harbinger of inflation, that delivery times slowed from their suppliers. If today's report hints at cooler manufacturing activity and rising prices, investors will worry the Federal Reserve will keep raising interest rates to fight inflation, even as the economy slows. Minutes of the Fed's May rate-setting meeting suggest that it was struggling with this concern. © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 24 of 28 For the next several months, at least, it looks as if the economy is destined to slow, says J.P. Morgan economist Bruce Kasman. Weakness in housing will cut into consumer spending, and companies will respond by slowing production. The economy may end up looking as if it's in worse shape than it really is, he says, because some of the slowdown will simply be a payback for this winter, when warm weather heated up activity. Mr. Kasman thinks businesses will continue to hire and buy new equipment, albeit at a reduced pace, and that should keep the economy out of real trouble. But until investors know that safety net is going to hold, and that inflation won't break out broadly, there could be more white-knuckle moments for stocks and bonds. 18. When the Institute for Supply Management purchasing managers' index is over ___ it typically means the manufacturing sector is expanding. a. 10 b. 25 c. 50 Correct d. 75 Investors' Challenge: Markets Seem Too Linked By SHEFALI ANAND June 2, 2006; Page C1 http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114921233148069441.html It's one of the golden rules of investing: Reduce risk by diversifying your money into a variety of holdings -- stock funds, bonds, commodities -- that don't move in lockstep with one another. And it's a rule that's getting tougher to obey. According to recent research, an array of investments whose prices used to rise and fall independently, are now increasingly correlated. A recent report from Merrill Lynch & Co. found that as of February this year, small stocks were 94% correlated to the broad Standard & Poor's 500-stock Index -- which means, in simplified terms, in a year when the S&P 500 rose, an index of small stocks also rose 94% of the time. By contrast, as recently as six years ago, the figure was just 62%. For a more dramatic example, look no further than the roller coaster in emerging-markets stocks of recent weeks. The MSCI EAFE index, which measures emerging markets, now shows 96% correlation to the S&P, up from just 32% six years ago. Even commodities like oil and precious metals are increasingly moving in tandem with stocks. The Goldman Sachs Commodity Index, which tracks 24 commodities, moved from a correlation of negative 14% in 2000 -- in other words, it tended to fall when stocks rose, and vice versa -- to a positive correlation of 33% at present, according to the report, released in late March. For investors, that poses a troubling issue: how to maintain a portfolio diversified enough so all the pieces don't tank at once. It turns out that there are a few options. Cash-like investments such as money-market mutual funds, or funds that invest in short-term, 30-day to six-month Treasury bills, have in the recent past moved increasingly independently of the stock markets, making them a © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 25 of 28 diversification play. Treasury bills with three-month durations, for instance, went from a positive correlation of 34% in 2000 to a negative 58% by February this year. "The uncorrelated assets are bonds and cash," says the report's co-author, Richard Bernstein, investment strategist for Merrill Lynch. Another diversification option in the current environment are funds that invest in highquality bonds -- either long-term government bonds, or corporate bonds with high credit ratings, says Milton Ezrati, chief economist at money-management firm Lord Abbett & Co. 19. According to recent research, an array of investments whose prices used to rise and fall independently, are now ______. a. owned by Norway b. sold out c. too expensive for most investors d. increasingly correlated Correct Questions from Personal Journal Combining Student Debt Anne Marie Chaker May 30, 2006; Page D1 http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114895439455265970.html The Problem: The interest rate on popular federal student loans is reset July 1 and is expected to rise significantly. The Solution: Take advantage of the Federal Consolidation Loan Program to combine your debt before July 1 and lock in a lower rate. The Stafford Loan's rate today is as low as 4.7%; for the Parent Loan for Undergraduate Students, or PLUS, it's 6.1%. Since the interest rate on those loans is expected to rise about two percentage points July 1, it makes sense for students and parents to take a oneshot opportunity to refinance by consolidating their loans. In the future, consolidation will be less of an issue for borrowers. Legislation enacted earlier this year changed how interest rates are calculated on Stafford and PLUS loans. For loans disbursed on or after July 1, the government has eliminated the annual rate reset, and moved to a fixed-rate system. Stafford Loan rates will rise -- and stay -- at 6.8%, while for PLUS loans, they'll hit 8.5%. 20. The Stafford Loan's rate is expected to rise about ______ percentage points July 1. a. 1 b. 2 Correct c. 4 d. 6 Getting Names to Stick Suzanne Barlyn © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 26 of 28 May 31, 2006; Page D1 http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114904857338767299.html To remember the name of a new acquaintance, Scott Hagwood, four-time winner of the USA National Memory Championship, immediately repeats the person's name out loud. Hearing a name a second time greatly increases the chance of committing it to memory, he finds. When joining a large party, Mr. Hagwood intentionally pauses during introductions and reviews the first two or three names. He attempts to make a personal remark to each new person so that he can form a connection that sticks in his mind. When time permits, Mr. Hagwood talks with new acquaintances and looks for ways to draw comparisons to people he knows well. He looks at character traits, body language, eye color and job titles. He says he focuses on the other person because taking an interest in someone is the best way for people to remember each other. He also brings up the attributes he'll use to commit the person's name to memory. 21. To help remember a person’s name it is best to do what immediately? a. input the name into your Blackberry b. make up a word that rhymes with the name c. write it down on a Post-It note and stick it on their back d. repeat it out loud Correct Remote Control: Parents Use Software To Track Kids' Online Activity From Work By SUE SHELLENBARGER June 1, 2006; Page D1 http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114911362303867929.html Vickye Young's daughter has reached her teens, past the age when parents normally expect child-care problems to interrupt them at work. But last year, a new kind of peril sent the Houston paralegal racing home in the middle of the day. Her 13-year-old daughter was chatting online with what appeared to be an Internet predator -- a fact Ms. Young discovered at work, by using parental-monitoring software to oversee her daughter's home-computer activity. After logging on and discovering the chat, heavy with inappropriate sexual content, "I thought I was going to faint," Ms. Young says. She told her boss, Houston attorney Bob Binstock, then left for home with his full support, Mr. Binstock says. A growing number of parents are using consumer software to monitor their kids' home Internet use from work. Parents say they gain invaluable information about their children, plus the power to control what they do online. But adding a new kind of electronic tether to the cellphones, email and other links parents already use can complicate the workhome juggling act. The trend raises new issues for employers as well. Internet-filtering software that blocks email or Web sites by category or keyword has been around for a while. But newer programs reach beyond that to allow secret monitoring of a child's Web activities from a remote computer. Some send periodic emails with the actual text of a child's emails and instant messages, plus a list of URLs © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 27 of 28 visited. Others send instant alerts, usually by email, notifying the parent that a child has tried to access a forbidden Web site or typed in a prohibited keyword, phrase or personal information such as a home address. Some offer a virtual peek over a child's shoulder, with screen snapshots of online conversations. No one tracks this kind of multitasking. However, at SpectorSoft, Vero Beach, Fla., president Doug Fowler estimates that annual consumer sales of its eBlaster software are rising about 20% to 25% a year to $3 million currently; he says parents using it at work have tripled in the past three years to more than 10,000. Aaron Kenny, co-founder of SafeBrowse, Acworth, Ga., says sales of its Safe Eyes software are three to four times year-ago levels. At ContentWatch, Salt Lake City maker of ContentProtect software, sales last year rose 70% over 2004 levels, says Scott Nelson, vice president, marketing. Children's Internet use has become a major concern for working parents, says Rich Chaifetz, CEO of ComPsych, Chicago, an employee-assistance provider. More than onefourth of parents cite worries about kids' spending too much time online as the top summer child-care fear, in a recent ComPsych survey of 677 working parents After using IM Einstein software to read her daughter's alarming instant-message exchanges, Ms. Young talked to the teen and learned that she, too, had become frightened. The girl had tried to cut the exchanges off, but her online correspondents wouldn't leave her alone. "She started crying, 'Mom, I don't know who these people are, I didn't know how to tell them to stop,'" says Ms. Young, who immediately cut off home Internet service. Using eBlaster revealed to Cathy Wagner, a New Jersey sales manager, that her 14-yearold son was talking online with a girl about a suicide pact. Later, her son claimed he was really just trying to dissuade his friend, Ms. Wagner says. She explained that he was getting in "way over your head." She and her husband informed a school counselor, who intervened. A year later, the girl is safe and her son is doing fine, she says. Some parents tell kids about the monitoring, some don't. John Litster, a Lake Forest, Calif., information-technology manager, was deliberately vague with his twin daughters, 13, about using eBlaster, saying he installed it "to make sure they didn't get any bad stuff on their computers." 22. A growing number of parents are using ________ to monitor their kids' home Internet use from work. a. spy equipment b. parental-monitoring software Correct c. nannies d. Web-cams © Copyright 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. WSJ Professor Guide: Page 28 of 28