Chapter 3 Worksheet The concepts in this worksheet correspond directly with the text. If you do not understand the concept or need to refresh your memory, please refer to the text. The purpose of the external analysis is to identify opportunities and threats for the industry you are analyzing. Do not focus on the company under analysis. Focus on the industry in which the company competes. Make sure your analysis of the facts leads to a logical determination of specific opportunities and threats associated with the criterion you are analyzing. Consider each criterion from a strategic perspective. Use the scientific method (data, analysis of the data (cause and effect logic) that leads to conclusions (opportunities or threats). State the specific nature of the opportunity or threat to strengthen your analysis and help you with your subsequent SWOT analysis. Follow the quality of writing tips (e.g. expressions, word to avoid) listed on the back side of the memo grading rubric. Refer to the examples of prior case analyses provided on the web site to assist you with understanding the desired quality of analysis and statement of opportunities and threats. Macro-environment forces Criteria The economy at large Facts Analysis Conclusions (Address the economic conditions during the timeframe of the case.) Legislative, regulatory and political environments Population demographics (Population demographics analysis relies on developing various categories of the population and analyzing their impact on the industry. Typical categories include gender, age, education level, geographic location, income, life stage, household size, occupation, and race. In addition to population demographics, this type of categorization includes geographic segmentation (region, city or country size, Crafting and Executing Strategy: Concepts and Cases, McGraw-Hill. NY. 17th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 1 density), benefit segmentation (comfort, convenience, durability, health, luxury, safety, status), and volume segmentation (usage, loyalty status). Marketing is the usual company source for these types of analysis.) Societal values and lifestyles Ethno-graphics and psychographics Technology 1. What are the Industry's dominant economic features? (Make sure you know the industry you are analyzing.) Criteria Facts Analysis Market size Scope of the competitive rivalry Conclusions (The competitive scope criteria address geographic scope (Global, National, Regional, Local), product scope, market scope and so on.) Market growth rate and position in the business cycle (development, growth, maturity, decline) Number of rivals and their relative size (Relative size refers to each rival’s market share based on total sales for the overall market or, when applicable, individual Crafting and Executing Strategy: Concepts and Cases, McGraw-Hill. NY. 17th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 2 market segments.) Number of buyers and their relative size (Address the number of buyers in each market and market segment. Buyer size refers to the buyer’s volume of sales for the industry.) Extent of rivals’ vertical integration (How far forward or backwards have the rivals extended their value chain?) Extent of rivals’ horizontal integration (Horizontal integration applies to using the synergies in your value chain to produce different products or provide services for a different industry or market segment.) Types of distribution channels rivals use to access customers. (Do the channel types vary by customer segment?) Pace of technological innovation in production process innovation Pace of technological innovation in product introduction Extent to which the Crafting and Executing Strategy: Concepts and Cases, McGraw-Hill. NY. 17th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 3 rivals differentiate their products and/or services Extent to which rivals use economies of scale in: Purchasing Manufacturing Services Transportation (logistics) Marketing Advertising General and Administration Other steps in the value chain (Refer to chapter 4 for the description of the value chain.) Extent to which certain industry activities result from learning and experience curve effects Capacity surplus or shortage in the industry (Capacity refers to the total manufacturing output capability for the industry. Capacity surplus would indicate that the industry has the capability to produce more products than the Crafting and Executing Strategy: Concepts and Cases, McGraw-Hill. NY. 17th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 4 market demands.) Capital requirements and the ease of entry into or exit from the industry Industry profitability (The annual net profit margin for the industry.) Degree of alliances (You can provide additional economic features applicable to the industry you are analyzing.) 2. What is competition like and how strong are the competitive forces? Criteria Facts Under this heading you are RIVALRY supposed to address how the criterion affects the rivalry between the competitors. When rivalry increases, it generally is a threat to the industry. When the rivalry decreases, it generally is an opportunity for the industry. How many competitors are there in this industry? What is the relative size (market share based Analysis Conclusions on their percentage of industry sales) of each competitor? What is the industry concentration ratio Crafting and Executing Strategy: Concepts and Cases, McGraw-Hill. NY. 17th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 5 (C4)? Top 4 company’s sales Industry sales What is the product or service demand growth rate? (Use the industry’s total sales over multiple years to determine the industry growth rate. Use the rival’s sales over multiple years to determine individual growth rate.) Are rivals using price cuts or other competitive weapons to boost unit volume? Are the customer's switching costs low? Are rivals launching moves to change their market share or industry position at the expense of other industry participants? What are the payoffs for strategic moves? Does it cost more to exit the industry than to continue participation? How consistent are rivals strategic visions, strategic intents, objectives, Crafting and Executing Strategy: Concepts and Cases, McGraw-Hill. NY. 17th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 6 strategies, resources and origins? The greater the consistency, the more likely there is increased rivalry. Are strong new entrants acquiring weaker rivals and launching wellfunded, aggressive moves? THREAT OF ENTRY Under the heading of new entrants, your analysis should lead you to conclude that new entrants are likely or unlikely to challenge the existing firms in the industry. Therefore, new entrants are likely (threat) or unlikely (opportunity) to pose an opportunity or threat to the existing firms in the industry. What economies of scale exist in each of the following areas: Production Purchasing Inbound and outbound logistics Advertising Financing Customer service Raw materials R&D Other steps in the value chain? Crafting and Executing Strategy: Concepts and Cases, McGraw-Hill. NY. 17th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 7 (Please note that synergies across the value chains of related diversified corporations also constitute economies of scale.) Cost and resource disadvantages independent of economies of scale What are the learning curve and experience effects to enter the industry? Inability to match the technology and specialized know-how of firms already in the industry. How accessible is the industry's technology? Brand preferences and customer loyalty What are the capital requirements to enter? What other resource requirements are necessary to enter? Ability to build a network of distributors or retailers and securing adequate shelf space What regulatory policies apply? What tariffs and trade restrictions apply? Crafting and Executing Strategy: Concepts and Cases, McGraw-Hill. NY. 17th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 8 Ability or inclination of the industry’s incumbents to launch vigorous initiatives SUBSTITUTES Under the heading of substitutes, your analysis should lead you to conclude that substitutes are likely or unlikely to challenge the existing products the industry produces. Therefore, substitutes are likely (threat) or unlikely (opportunity) to pose an opportunity or threat to the existing firms in the industry. What is the availability of attractively priced substitutes? Do buyers view the substitutes as being comparable or better in terms of quality? Do buyers view the substitutes as being comparable or better in terms of performance? Do buyers view the substitutes as being comparable or better in terms of _______ (You fill in the attribute or attributes that are specific to the product or service.)? Can buyers easily Crafting and Executing Strategy: Concepts and Cases, McGraw-Hill. NY. 17th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 9 switch to the substitutes? SUPPLIERS Please note, this section applies to the companies that supply the industry under analysis. Is the item or service a commodity available on the open market from many suppliers who are capable of filling the order? Are there only a few large suppliers to the industry? Is it difficult or costly to switch from one supplier to another or to switch to attractively priced substitutes? Are needed inputs in short supply? Do certain suppliers provide a differentiated input that enhances the performance or quality of the industry’s products? Do certain suppliers provide equipment or services that deliver valuable cost saving efficiencies to industry members in Crafting and Executing Strategy: Concepts and Cases, McGraw-Hill. NY. 17th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 10 operating their production processes? Do suppliers provide an item that accounts for a sizable fraction of the costs of the industry’s products? Are the industry members major customers of suppliers? Does an outside supplier provide a cost advantage over vertical integration? Does an outside supplier provide other advantages over vertical integration? What types of working relationships exist? Start by listing the types of working relationships that exist. Then, focus on the strategic importance of relationships with suppliers in this industry. Are these relationships of strategic value for the competitors in the industry? If so, why and how do the relationships impact Crafting and Executing Strategy: Concepts and Cases, McGraw-Hill. NY. 17th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 11 the competitive structure and environment of the industry? BUYERS Please note, this section applies to the companies that purchase goods or services from the industry under analysis. Buyers include any purchaser downstream from the industry. What is the cost to the buyer of switching to a competitor or a substitute? How many buyers are there in this industry? What is the relative size (based on the amount they purchase) of each buyer? What is the buyer's knowledge level? Can the buyers threaten the industry with backward integration? Are the industry's products discretionary purchases? Crafting and Executing Strategy: Concepts and Cases, McGraw-Hill. NY. 17th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 12 3. What is (and how are they) causing the industry's competitive structure and business environment to change? Criteria Industry competitive structure Industry business environment Your analysis determines how the Your analysis determines how the drivers of change are altering the drivers of change are altering the industry's competitive structure. industry's competitive business environment. List the facts associated with the criteria and the industry structure. Analysis Conclusions List the facts associated with the criteria and the industry’s competitive environment. Internet and new e-commerce opportunities Increasing globalization of the industry Long term industry growth rate Who buys the product and how do they use it Product innovation Technological change Marketing innovation Entry of major firms Exit of major firms Diffusion of technical knowhow Cost and efficiency Growing buyer preferences for differentiated products instead of a commodity product Regulatory and government policy changes Societal concerns, attitudes and lifestyle changes Reductions in uncertainty and risk The competitive structure of an industry entails the number of suppliers, competitors and buyers and the quantity and complexity of the competitive relationships. For example, an industry entering maturity causes fewer, larger competitors. The mature nature of the industry affects the industry's structural arrangement between rivals, buyers and suppliers. When the industry approaches maturity or when it is in decline, the industry's business environment will create intense rivalry for a diminishing market. There will be industry consolidation as firms exit the industry or through mergers and acquisitions. Crafting and Executing Strategy: Concepts and Cases, McGraw-Hill. NY. 17th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 13 4. What market positions do industry rivals occupy and which companies are in the strongest/weakest positions? High Price Medium Low narrow broad market scope Develop additional strategic group maps using additional criteria such as quality, image, value added, resources available, or competitive advantages. Price, quality and image are not the only factors that you can use for developing strategic group maps to determine which companies are in the strongest and weakest positions. You will probably find that some companies are stronger on some dimensions while weaker on others. Determine the opportunities and threats arising from the application of this tool (pages 89-90). Do the industry driving forces and competitive pressures favor some strategic groups and hurt others? Does the profit potential of different strategic groups vary due to the strengths and weaknesses in each group's market position? Crafting and Executing Strategy: Concepts and Cases, McGraw-Hill. NY. 17th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 14 5. What strategic moves are rivals likely to make next? List the What are the Which What is their competitors competitor’s competitors strategic intent strategies? are poised to (dominant Which is the gain market leader, best suited for share? Which overtake the the driving competitors leader, top 5, forces? Which will lose move up a strategies are ground? position, weak or maintain flawed? position, survive)? Which rivals need to increase sales and market share? What strategic options are they most likely to pursue (see page 86)? Which rivals have strong incentive (and resources) to make major strategic changes? Which rivals are locked in to their strategies? Crafting and Executing Strategy: Concepts and Cases, McGraw-Hill. NY. 17th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet Which rivals are likely acquisition targets? Which rivals are looking to acquire a weaker competitor? Which rivals are strong candidates to expand their product/servic e offerings and/or enter new product segments ? Based on your analysis of the preceding questions, what are the respective rivals’ most likely strategic moves? 15 6. What are the key factors for competitive success (in this industry)? How does each competitor fare on each success factor? To use this tool, start by determining which of the KSFs apply. Then provide your justification for choosing these KSFs. Generally, there are less than ten (10) KSFs applicable to an industry. Then assess each of the industry competitor's capabilities for the KSF. Please note there is space provided for three competitors. You should add the number of columns necessary to evaluate all of the competitors in an industry. You should also add industry specific KSFs when they apply. Competitor Competitor Competitor You can provide your justification What is their Analysis and What is their Analysis and What is their Analysis and for selecting the KSFs underneath capability for conclusions capability for conclusions capability for conclusions the KSF. this factor? this factor? this factor? Technology related KSFs Scientific research and expertise Technical capability to make innovative improvements in production processes Product innovation quality Expertise in a given technology Internet expertise Manufacturing (production of the product or service) related KSFs Low-cost production efficiency Manufacturing quality High fixed asset utilization Low cost plant locations Access to adequate supplies of skilled labor High labor productivity Low cost product (service) design and engineering Manufacturing flexibility Distribution related KSFs (Note: This applies to inbound and outbound logistics.) Network strength Crafting and Executing Strategy: Concepts and Cases, McGraw-Hill. NY. 17th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 16 Electronic (Internet) tracking Ample space on retailer's shelves Company owned retail outlets Low distribution costs Speed of distribution Marketing related KSFs Fast, accurate technical service Customer service Accurate buyer order filling Breadth of product line and selection Merchandising skills Attractive styling/packaging Guarantees and warranties Advertising Skills related KSFs Workforce talent Quality control know-how Design expertise Expertise in a particular technology Ability to develop innovative products and product improvements Speed of getting new products to market Organizational capability KSFs Superior information systems Ability to respond quickly to shifting market conditions Use of the Internet and Enterprise Information systems Overall experience Managerial know-how Crafting and Executing Strategy: Concepts and Cases, McGraw-Hill. NY. 17th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 17 Other KSFs Image and reputation Overall low cost Convenient retail locations Pleasant employees in all customer contact positions Access to financial capital Patent protection Others? 7. Is this industry attractive and what are its prospects for above-average profitability? Criteria Industry growth potential Does competition permit adequate profit potential? Does competition lead to stronger or weaker forces? Will the prevailing driving forces positively or negatively impact profit potential? What are the future uncertainties and risks for this industry? How severe are the problems (e.g. regulatory, environmental, buyer demand, capacity, increased competition) the industry faces? What is the company's relative competitive potential in this industry? What is the company's ability to capitalize on its competitor's weaknesses? Can the company defend against or is it insulated from the factors that make this industry unattractive? How well do the company's capabilities match the industry's KSFs? Facts Crafting and Executing Strategy: Concepts and Cases, McGraw-Hill. NY. 17th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet Analysis Conclusions 18 What is the severity of the issue(s) or problem(s) facing this industry? If a corporation, will continued participation in this industry positively or negatively impact its ability to compete in other industries? Crafting and Executing Strategy: Concepts and Cases, McGraw-Hill. NY. 17th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 19