Syllabus Economics 514 Macroeconomic Analysis David Cook Office: 2346 Phone: 2358-7614 Fax: 2358 2084 Email: davcook@ust.hk Home Page: http://home.ust.hk/~davcook/EC514.html Course Description: Macroeconomics is the study of national (or regional) economies in aggregate. In particular, we are concerned with the phenomenon of long-term growth, business cycles and unemployment, inflation and financial markets. This course will focus on both macroeconomic theory and the analysis of macroeconomic data. Marginal analysis and optimization are central elements of modern macroeconomic theory. This course will introduce simple models which will be solved using optimization. Macroeconomics is oriented toward explaining phenomena observed in aggregate and financial market data. The course will also introduce some quantitative method used by professional economists to analyze data. Learning Outcomes This course is the principal basis of a M.Sc. learning outcome: “Graduates will be able to use theories and knowledge from macroeconomics to understand and explain economic and monetary policies, trade, and economic growth,” and “Graduates will grasp mathematical methods related to real analysis, static optimization, and dynamic optimization.” Note: No real analysis will be used in this course. Readings Parts of our main textbook, David Romer, Advanced Macroeconomics 3rd Edition. McGraw-Hill, 2006, touch on most of the main elements of the course. We will use additional readings to supplement the work. Course Requirements The grading will be based on 3 homework assignments and 3 exams. The exams will occur throughout the course and in the finals week. The dates are as yet advisory and will be updated throughout. Exam Date Grade 1 October 16th (advisory) 25% 2 November 15th 30% 3 TBA 30% Theoretical Assignments Empirical Assignments As assigned 15% Outline A. Long-term Models I. Economic Growth (Topics include Production Functions, Growth Accounting, Neo-Classical Growth Model, Endogenous Growth) ` Reading List ROMER (Chaps. 1 & 3) Additional Readings o Jones, C. I. “Introduction to Economic Growth”, Chapter 1-3 o De Long, J. B. “Macroeconomics” Chapter 4-5 o Williamson, S.D. “Macroeconomics” Chapter 8 o Branson, W. H. “Macroeconomic Theory and Policy,” Chapter 27. II. Structural Unemployment (Topics include Search, Efficiency Wages) Reading List ROMER (Chaps. 9) Additional Readings o Williamson, S.D. “Macroeconomics” Chapter 15 o Farmer, R.E.A. “Macroeconomics” Chapter 7 B. Medium-term Models I. Investment and Savings (Topics include the Rental cost of capital, q theory of investment, cash flow effects on investment, Utility Maximization, Permanent Income Hypothesis, Precautionary Savings, Current Account, ). Reading List ROMER (Chaps. 7 & 8) Additional Readings o Branson, W. H. “Macroeconomic Theory and Policy,” Chapter 12,13. o Obstfeld, M., and Rogoff, K.S. Fundamentals of International Macroeconomics II. Fiscal Policy (Topics include Tax Policy, Deficits, Social Pensions) Reading List ROMER (Chaps. 11) Additional Readings o Miles D. and Scott A. “Macroeconomics: Understanding the Wealth of Nations,” Chapter 10, 11. o Auerbach, A.J. and Kotlikoff, L.J. “Macroeconomics: An Integrated Approach,” Chapter 7. C. Short-term Models I. Inflation and Exchange Rates (Topics include Money Demand & Seignorage, Hyper-inflation, Purchasing Power Parity & Real Exchange Rate Appreciation, Real Interest Rate Parity) Reading List ROMER (Chaps. 10) Additional Readings o Branson, W. H. “Macroeconomic Theory and Policy,” Chapter 14. o Sachs J.D. and Larrain, F.B. “Macroeconomics in the Global Economy,” Chapter 8, 10, 11, 21. o Krugman, P.R. and M. Obstfeld, “International Economics: Theory and Policy,” Chapter 15. II. Monetary Policy (Topics include Business Cycles w/o LM Curve, Expected vs. Unexpected Shocks to Money, Time Consistency, Monetary Policy Rules) Reading List ROMER (Chaps. 5,6,10) Additional Readings o Scarth, W.M. “Macroeconomics: An Introduction to Advanced Methods” Chapter 6 o Romer D. “Keynesian Macroeconomics without the LM Curve” NBER Working Paper. Technical Supplements I. National Income Accounts Reading List Krugman, P.R. and M. Obstfeld, “International Economics: Theory and Policy,” Chapter 12. II. Regression Analysis Reading List Ray, D. Development Economics, Appendix 2: Elementary Statistical Methods III. Elasticities Reading List Branson, W. H. “Macroeconomic Theory and Policy,” Chapter 19, Appendix.