Child Poverty in Britain Headline findings from NatCen’s latest research Authors: Matt Barnes (matt.barnes@natcen.ac.uk) and Hannah Silvester (hannah.silvester@natcen.ac.uk) Last update: May 2013 Executive summary There are over 3.5 million children living in income poverty in the UK today, a figure that indicates how much work remains to be done to meet the target of eradicating child poverty enshrined in The Child Poverty Act 2010. In order to develop policies to tackle child poverty, government needs to understand the causes and consequences of living in a low-income household. This paper, which summarises NatCen’s recent research into child poverty, examines the characteristics of child poverty; how people perceive child poverty; how growing up in poverty affects children; and some of the underlying causes of child poverty. Our research underlines the general agreement that worklessness is the main driver of child poverty; highlights how the availability of suitable early-years education and childcare is one of the key factors that enables families to secure and sustain work; and reveals the ways in which poverty is multi-dimensional, and not simply restricted to living on low income. Characteristics of poverty In conjunction with Demos, NatCen created a model by which poverty can be understood in a multi-dimensional way. A set of 20 indicators were applied to those with incomes below 70 per cent of the median in Understanding Society: The UK Household Longitudinal Survey. What are peoples’ perceptions of poverty? Over the past three decades, views and expectations for levels of poverty have become more negative in periods of recession, with the view that poverty results from societal, rather than individual factors, increasing in these circumstances. People have a low general awareness and knowledge of relative poverty for children, according to the British Social Attitudes (BSA) survey conducted in 2010. This was also found in BSA 2007. People disagreed about the extent of child poverty. While six in ten (58 per cent) people thought there was quite a lot of child poverty in Britain today, just under four in ten (39 per cent) thought there was very little. This has changed from 53 per cent and 41 per cent respectively in 2007. Approximately one in five children are in poverty, according to the official measure: living in households whose income is less than 60 per cent of the median national income. But NatCen’s longitudinal research of the Families and Children Study (FACS) shows that more children experience poverty over a longer period than standard point-intime estimates may suggest. Figure 1. Families’ longitudinal poverty status (2001-2004) 12% Fifteen different cohorts of poverty were described as a result, five of which contained families with children. Single parents –usually young mothers -without work were found to be most deprived. Sustainable employment and appropriate childcare are needed by this group to improve the outcomes their children are likely to experience should they become persistently poor. ScotCen, using data from the Scottish Household Survey, also used a range of indicators (including worklessness and overcrowding) to establish that 24,000 families across Scotland are experiencing severe, multiple disadvantage (whereby they had 4 or more of the seven indicators). Child poverty in Britain Persistently poor 26% Temporarily poor Not poor 62% Base: Families with children (excludes self-employed) Source: Families and Children Study (FACS) Although our FACS research suggests that children move in and out of poverty over time, it also reveals that there is a group of children who are persistently poor year on year. In fact, looking over a four-year period, 12 per cent of children were persistently poor (that is poor for three or four years), while 38 1 per cent experienced poverty at least once (Figure 1). Some beliefs about child poverty are not reflected in the research evidence. The three most frequently cited causes of child poverty were parental alcohol/drug addiction, parents not wanting to work and family breakdown. But in fact very few parents are dependent on alcohol or drugs and family breakdown by itself does not directly cause child poverty. However, high levels of worklessness among lone parents do increase the risk of poverty for children in lone-parent families. What is it like for children living in poverty? NatCen’s research has shown how growing up in poverty is a risk factor for a wide range of other negative outcomes, and can exclude children living in low-income families from normal, active participation in society. In families where parents experience worklessness, children have poorer academic attainment at GCSE and developmental problems at primary school level. Children from workless households are also more likely to become NEET (Not in Education, Employment or Training) when they leave school. However, NatCen’s ‘Intergenerational transmission of worklessness’ suggests that a positive primary school experience reduces or removes the associations of parental worklessness. This ‘protective’ experience could begin earlier but unfortunately, the children of lone parents are far less likely to receive early years education –as are children in large and/ or lower-income families. Being in income poverty is highly associated with families experiencing: parental separation; moving house often; joblessness and; the onset of maternal health problems. Significant changes, such as these, can have an impact of the outcomes of children. Multiple disadvantage among young adults and late teens was explored in NatCen’s Understanding Vulnerable Young People. Forty-five per cent of young people were found to be experiencing at least one of six forms of disadvantage: ranging from poor education attainment to criminal activity. Child poverty in Britain Persistently poor children are more likely than temporarily poor children to face other disadvantages – including living in bad housing; having been in trouble with the police; and having been expelled or suspended from school (Figure 2). Figure 2. Selected outcomes for children by their longitudinal poverty status % who spent less than an hour on physical activity in the last week (5-16 year olds) Not poor 7 Temporarily poor 8 12 Persistently poor 12 13 14 % who have been offered illegal drugs (11-15 year olds) 3 % who were expelled or suspended from secondary school (11-15 year olds) 6 13 1 % who have been in trouble with the police (8-18 year olds) 3 5 14 % living in overcrowded or poor quality housing 33 48 0 10 20 30 40 50 Percent Base: Children in Britain (excludes those in selfemployed families) Source: Families and Children Study (FACS) NatCen’s research on persistently poor children in Scotland, which focuses on young children, found that persistently poor children disproportionately had development and language problems, as well as social, emotional and behavioural difficulties (Figure 3). Figure 3. Selected outcomes for children by their longitudinal poverty status Not poor % overweight Temporary Persistently poor poor 19 20 23 12 16 21 9 13 17 7 12 23 13 19 28 % with language development concerns % with general development concerns % with social, emotional, behavioural difficulties % with multiple problems Base: 3-4 year old children in Scotland Source: Growing Up in Scotland (GUS) However, one interesting aspect of the Scottish research was that poverty was not associated with these outcomes when other factors were taken into account. This suggests that, for young children at least, it may not be low income per se that drives other disadvantages, but a range of other 2 factors, such as family size and a mother’s health and educational background. These findings add further weight to the proposition that poverty is multi-dimensional – it involves more than just living on low income. NatCen explored this issue in more detail by looking at families with multiple disadvantages – including income poverty. This study revealed that multiple disadvantage can be transmitted from one generation to the next, as children from multiply-disadvantaged families were also likely to have several problems themselves (Figure 4). Figure 4. Relationship between number of parent- and child-based disadvantages 100% example, our research shows that not all working families avoid persistent poverty, particularly couple families where just one parent is in work. Worklessness among lone parents is particularly common, with around two in five not in work, and consequently rates of poverty for children in lone-parent families are high. Moving into work can make a dramatic difference in these circumstances. NatCen’s research on work transitions showed how three-quarters of lone-parent families escaped poverty two years after finding work (Figure 6). Figure 6. Changes in lone parents’ poverty rates following a move into work 90% 100 70% Number of child disadvantages 60% 3 or more 2 50% 1 40% 0 30% 20% 10% Per cent who escaped income poverty 80% 90 80 70 77 73 Moved into work and stayed in work 60 50 All lone-parent families 40 30 38 31 25 29 Out of work in both years 20 10 0% 0 1 2 3-5 6 or more Number of parent/family disadvantages Base: Secondary school children Source: Families and Children Study (FACS) Unfit accommodation Inadequately heated accommodation 10 6 None Short term (1-2 years) Overcrowded accommodation Number of previous five years (2001-05) child has lived in… Figure 5. Selected outcomes for children by duration of living in bad housing Persistent (3-5 years) Short term (1-2 years) Child does not have a quiet place at home to do homework1 2 Persistent (3-5 years) 25 19 None Child has a long-standing illness or disability2 15 Persistent (3-5 years) 5 None 2 0 Not in poverty two years later Poverty dynamics Income-poor children were particularly likely to live in housing in a poor state of repair, and the evidence suggests that these children were also likely to have a longstanding health problem, disability or infirmity; to be bullied; worry about being robbed or mugged; and to feel unhappy about their family (Figure 5). Short term (1-2 years) 0 Initial circumstances: Not in poverty one year All families out of work later and in poverty 12 Child has four or more of ten disadvantages, including a long-standing illness or disability, no regular exercise, bullied in or out of school, not seeing friends and being below average in key academic subjects3 Base: Lone parents initially out of work and in poverty Source: Families and Children Study (FACS) How workless parents make the transition into work is clearly of vital importance. Longitudinal research by NatCen found little evidence of transitional ‘mini jobs’ (1-15 hours per week) helping mothers move from not working to working for 16 or more hours per week – a pattern identified by previous research. Instead mini jobs were found to be a more stable form of work among older mothers. By exploring the large gap in employment rates between couple and lone mothers, this research also found that there was a high proportion of workless lone mothers in socialrented housing (Figure 7). 5 10 15 20 25 30 Percentage of children with negative outcomes (in 2005) Base: 1Secondary school children, 2Dependent children, 3 Secondary school children Source: Families and Children Study (FACS) What are the causes of child poverty? NatCen’s work on persistent poverty shows that worklessness is the key factor leading to child poverty, in line with the existing literature on the subject. However, it is clear that the causes of poverty are complex. For Child poverty in Britain 3 Figure 7. Employment rate by tenure for couple mothers and lone mothers 58 Total 72 47 Private Renters Lone Parent Couple 53 Figure 9. Drivers associated with escaping multiple disadvantage 38 Social Renters included lone parents, parents with poor educational outcomes and social tenants. These families also included lone parents who partnered and families that already had some connection to the labour market (Figure 9). 40 91 'Owners' 79 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 In paid work 1+ hours per week Base: Families with children Source: Families and Children Study (FACS) It is the complex combinations of poverty and worklessness with a number of other disadvantages that can explain why people become and remain poor. NatCen’s research on multiple disadvantage, which grouped families according to the combination of disadvantages they face, revealed nine groups of multiply-disadvantaged families, including a small group of families that experienced nine disadvantages on average. Other groups of multiply-disadvantaged families that experienced high rates of income poverty included families with poor paternal health, material deprivation, worklessness, low education and low social participation; families with no private transport, low education, worklessness, and debts; and families with poor paternal health, low social participation and living in overcrowded accommodation (Figure 8). Finding work, or increasing hours worked, is clearly not a straightforward option for all families, especially those with very young children. Parents with young children are likely to face various decisions on how to balance work with caring responsibilities, and, if looking to work, how to find suitable and sustainable jobs and childcare services. NatCen’s research shows that disadvantaged families had too little information about childcare. In particular they wanted more information on the cost of childcare and availability during school holidays (Figure 10). Figure 10. Parents saying they had too little information on childcare Deprivation area Annual household income Family type Figure 8. Combinations of problems experienced by multiply-disadvantaged families Base: Families with children Source: Families and Children Study (FACS) Two parent family Lone parent family Under £10,000 £10,000-£19,999 £20,000-£29,999 £30,000-£44,999 £45,000+ Least deprived area 2nd 3rd 4th Most deprived area 0% Base: Families with children Source: Families and Children Study (FACS) Using longitudinal data to identify families that made a transition out of multiple disadvantage, NatCen’s research was able to identify those families that remained at risk of severe forms of multiple disadvantage, which Child poverty in Britain 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Base: Families with children Source: Childcare and Early Years Survey of Parents What are the key implications for policy? Poverty remains one of our society’s ‘social evils’ and continues to have a debilitating effect on many families and their children. NatCen’s recent research into child poverty 4 shows that many children experience poverty at some stage during childhood. It has also shown that there is a significant proportion of children who are persistently poor. Exclusion survey – all of which provide a rich source of data that can be used to explore the causes and consequences of child poverty in more depth. Being without work, particularly regular work, is a key driver of poverty. This is not surprising given that living on a low income is our main indicator of poverty, and paid work is one of the main ways that families acquire financial resources. NatCen’s research has also shown that the affordability of childcare remains a major barrier to enabling more disadvantaged children to benefit from early years provision and supporting more mothers to take up employment. This suggests we need more active targeting of childcare and early years education to disadvantaged families as well as a greater supply of high quality providers to improve the quality of the early years workforce. NatCen also has a number of experienced researchers able to analyse and interpret these data to ensure that these surveys are used to their full potential. NatCen’s research has also shown that poverty is multi-dimensional; it is about more than being financially poor, and has serious consequences for parents and for children. Poor families that face a range of other disadvantages are likely to be accessing a variety of public services, which research has shown to be expensive for the state and complicated for the families and service providers involved. NatCen’s research on multiple disadvantage can help identify the range and complexity of need among poor families, and it suggests that a ‘one size fits all’ approach to helping these families escape poverty is unlikely to be successful. How is NatCen continuing its research on child poverty? NatCen continues to research issues relevant to child poverty. Currently we are beginning the Evaluation of Early Education in England, which will finish in 2016. Disadvantaged children attending early years education will be followed to assess the impact of early education on their outcomes. NatCen also runs a number of surveys that routinely collect data on families’ incomes, employment, parenting and a range of wellbeing measures for parents and children. These include the Family Resources Survey, Understanding Society, the Millennium Cohort Study and the Poverty and Social Child poverty in Britain 5 Project Summaries Poverty in Perspective .............................................................................. 7 Multiple disadvantage in Scotland ........................................................... 8 Public attitudes to poverty and welfare 1983-2011 ................................. 9 British Social Attitudes 28 ...................................................................... 10 Living with social evils ............................................................................ 11 Attitudes to poverty ................................................................................. 12 Childcare in disadvantaged areas .......................................................... 13 Intergenerational transmission of worklessness.................................. 14 Thrive at Five............................................................................................ 15 Impact of significant events in early childhood .................................... 16 Understanding vulnerable young people .............................................. 17 Toward universal early years provision ................................................ 18 The circumstances of children in persistent poverty ........................... 19 Outcomes for persistently poor children in Scotland .......................... 20 Understanding multiple disadvantage among families with children . 21 Impacts on children living in bad housing ............................................ 22 Employment transitions and changes in economic circumstances of families with children .......................................................................... 23 Mothers’ participation in paid work and the role of ‘mini-jobs’ ........... 24 Multiply-disadvantaged families’ use and views of childcare provision25 Assessing a pilot educational scheme for disadvantaged young children .............................................................................................................. 26 Projects in progress ................................................................................ 27 Ongoing surveys ..................................................................................... 28 Child poverty in Britain 6 Characteristics of poverty Poverty in Perspective November 2012 Recommendations: improve provision of appropriate and affordable housing and childcare. Background NatCen, led by Demos and supported by the Esmee Fairbairn Foundation, created a new model by which poverty could be understood in a multi-dimensional way. A set of 20 indicators were applied to those with incomes below 70 per cent of the median in a large household panel study (Understanding Society: The UK Household Longitudinal Study). The combinations of indicators that clustered most frequently together were identified and labelled. Headline findings Three cohorts of the low income population, constructed of five types of poverty each, were described: child poverty types (qualitative research was carried within this cohort) ‘working age, no children’ and ‘pensioner types’ In detail The ‘child poverty types’ cohort contained the following families living in poverty: Grafters Made up the largest proportion of lowincome households with children. Likely to only recently have been made unemployed or be self-employed and struggling financially. Recommendations: ensure work pays and only direct to lighter touch welfare-to-work programs. Pressured parents Living predominantly in rented properties, are extremely deprived in terms of lifestyle as well as material measures. Recommendations: make social housing providers key partners in supporting health needs, improving employment outcomes and tackling material deprivation. Vulnerable mothers Consisting of single parents families and, most usually, young single mothers, they are the most deprived group. Recommendations: make a simultaneous and co-ordinated delivery on all fronts – health, education, housing, childcare and debt advice, either by a combined system or better co-ordinated existing services. Managing mothers Again consisting of single parent families, they tend to be slightly older mums with older children. Most feel they are ‘getting by’. Recommendations: make improvements to childcare for older children and ensure work pays. Report: http://www.natcen.ac.uk/study/poverty-inperspective Full-house families Tend to be very large households, containing multiple adults and young children. Methods: Secondary analysis and depth interviews References: C. Wood et al. Poverty in Perspective. London: Demos. Key contact: Matt Barnes, Research Director, Income and Work Team matt.barnes@natcen.ac.uk 0207 549 5135 Child poverty in Britain 7 Characteristics of poverty Multiple disadvantage in Scotland October 2012 Background Taking just an income-based approach to understanding poverty has come under increasing criticism, with multidimensional measures deemed to provide a fuller picture of disadvantage. By analysing data from the Scottish Household Survey (SHS), NatCen aimed to highlight the nature of disadvantage in Scotland. The SHS is a large-scale survey of the characteristics, attitudes and behaviour of Scottish households and individuals on a range of issues, including social justice, housing and transport. --Single person households and large households --Lone parents --Separated/divorced households --Rented households In detail Seven indicators of disadvantage were used in this research: Low income Worklessness No educational qualifications Overcrowding Ill health Mental health problems Poor neighbourhood A family was considered as multiply disadvantaged if they experienced 4 or more of these indicators. Research questions The key research questions were: How many households in Scotland experience multiple disadvantage? Does the prevalence of multiple disadvantage vary by local area? Which types of household are most at risk of multiple disadvantage? It is important to remember however that simply counting the number of disadvantages does not convey the types of disadvantages that households experience. Report: http://www.natcen.ac.uk/study/multipledisadvantage-in-scotland Headline findings 24,000 families experience severe, multiple disadvantage, including overcrowding, worklessness and poor health Glasgow is the worst affected area with 1 in 10 families severely disadvantaged Certain characteristics were linked to multiple disadvantage, such as: Methods: Secondary analysis. References: Barnes, M. and Lord, C. Multiple Disadvantage in Scotland: Secondary Analysis of Scottish Household Survey dataset. London: NatCen Social Research. Key contact: Matt Barnes, Research Director, Income and Work Team matt.barnes@natcen.ac.uk 0207 549 5135 Child poverty in Britain 8 Perceptions of poverty Public attitudes to poverty and welfare 1983-2011 May 2013 Background We wanted to explore how far patterns of change in public attitudes to poverty and welfare relate to, and can be explained by, political and economic developments and experiences both at the individual and societal level over the past three decades. This research involved secondary analysis of British Social Attitudes survey data. Longstanding measures of public attitudes to poverty and welfare were mapped against both the political parties in power and UK experience of recession. Analysis was undertaken for the public as a whole, in addition to sub groups defined by age, political party identity and social class. view significant levels of poverty in Britain and have been more likely to offer an individual, rather than a societal, explanation for the poverty that does exist. On other issues, different age groups have become much more similar. Because of this, and the convergence of the views of different political party supporters, the British public appears more united in its attitudes to poverty and welfare compared to three decades ago. Reports: Public attitudes to poverty and welfare, 1983-2011: http://www.natcen.ac.uk/media/1106142/pov erty%20and%20welfare.pdf Headline findings Over the past three decades, views and expectations for levels of poverty have become more negative in periods of recession, with the view that poverty results from societal, rather than individual factors, increasing in these circumstances. However, with the exception of attitudes to recipients of unemployment benefits, the relationship between economic circumstances and attitudes to welfare appears to have weakened over time. In most cases, these trends cut across society - rather than being confined to those groups most affected by poverty or most likely to require welfare. Attitudes to both poverty and welfare changed in the period before and during Labour's term in office, with these changes being concentrated among, though not exclusive to, Labour Party supporters. And the views of the oldest age group, those aged 65+, also stand out. Over the past three decades, this age group have been consistently less likely to Methods: Secondary analysis of the British Social Attitudes survey References: E. Clery, L, Lee and S. Kunz (2013) Public attitudes to poverty and welfare, 1983-2011. London: NatCen Social Research. Key contact: Liz Clery, Research Director, Society and Social Change team liz.clery@natcen.ac.uk 0207 749 7071 Child poverty in Britain 9 Perceptions of poverty British Social Attitudes 28 September 2012 Background NatCen has conducted the British Social Attitudes survey annually since 1983, completing 3,000+ interviews a year. It aims to lift the lid on how people's lives are changing and their views on how Britain is run. The British Social Attitudes survey has regularly measured attitudes to poverty, but specific questions on child poverty were included for the first time in 2010. The Department for Work and Pensions in 2009 commissioned cognitive testing of the questions asking about child poverty, which preceded their use in 2010 during the mainstage research. BSA 28: headline findings Six in ten (58 per cent) think there is ‘quite a lot’ of child poverty in Britain: just under four in ten (39 per cent) think there is ‘very little’. and relatives (32%), should be responsible. Cognitive testing: findings Respondents’ conceptions of poverty varied between: Poverty as absolute (lacking essentials or being able to meet basic needs) Poverty as relative (lacking things that others take for granted) If people lack items through choice (prioritising) or through mismanagement of income, then this was not considered to be ‘poverty’. Reports: BSA 28: http://ir2.flife.de/data/natcen-socialresearch/igb_html/index.php?bericht_id=100 0001&index=&lang=ENG Cognitive testing: http://research.dwp.gov.uk/asd/asd5/rports2 009-2010/rrep574.pdf The most frequently cited reasons for child poverty were: Parents having drug and alcohol problems (75%); Parents not wanting to work (63%); Family breakdown (56%); Lack of education among parents (51%) and; Parents being out of work for a long time (50%). Fifty-one per cent think child poverty will increase in the next ten years. Eight in ten (79%) say central government should be responsible for reducing child poverty but large minorities say people living in poverty: including parents (46%), or their friends Methods: Secondary analysis of the British Social Attitudes survey References: E. Clery, L, Lee and S. Kunz (2013) Public attitudes to poverty and welfare, 1983-2011. London: NatCen Social Research. Key contact: Liz Clery, Research Director, Society and Social Change team liz.clery@natcen.ac.uk 0207 749 7071 Child poverty in Britain 10 Perceptions of poverty Living with social evils Background NatCen carried out qualitative research as part of a programme of work to explore what people in Britain see as being the ‘social evils’ facing society today. During the first phase of the programme a web-based consultation asked the general public to list their top three social evils. NatCen complemented this with workshops with hard-to-reach groups, to explore their views on the main social problems facing British society today and their personal experiences of living with social evils. Headline findings People highlighted the following concerns about how we seem to live our lives: a decline of community, individualism, a decline of values, and, consumerism and greed. Against this backdrop people identified some more concrete social evils, including poverty and inequality, a decline of the family, and young people as victims or perpetrators. Poverty was described as a social evil because of its debilitating effects on people’s lives. This was reflected in the testimonies of the unheard groups, where poverty was described as a trap – a constraining force that prevents people from achieving their aspirations. The widening gap between rich and poor was also described, with those at the lower end feeling trapped there. Young people talked of struggling to achieve their goals of education, training and employment in the face of pinching financial constraints. Family breakdown and poor parenting were said to underlie many other social problems and to leave young people without sufficient guidance or support. Personal experience of family breakdown was widespread, with many negative consequences described. For example, people discussed feeling unloved or ending up in care. Family life was seen to have changed, with more lone parents and working parents meaning less time for family. Having a strong family was seen to be very important for children, but people disagreed about the importance of a traditional family structure. Some felt that having a cohesive family of any form was enough, whereas others highlighted the importance of having a mother and a father. Some people criticised youth culture and blamed young people for anti-social behaviour, binge drinking, violence, and gun and knife crime. Others focused on how young people are failed by their families and the school system, and are misrepresented in the media. There was a perceived growing gulf between the old and the young and the negative attitudes this can encourage between generations. Young people themselves talked about how their place in wider society felt uncomfortable. There were concerns that young people lack good role models and that some face limited opportunities and job prospects. The decline of community was seen as being closely linked with poverty, crime and violence. A change in society was perceived, with people nowadays looking out for themselves and no longer caring about their neighbours. People also spoke of a decline of community in a more abstract sense, in terms of a lack of public spiritedness or social responsibility. Report: http://www.jrf.org.uk/sites/files/jrf/socialevils-natcen-report.pdf Methods: This study used discussions groups and workshops attended by single parents, unemployed people, cares, and people with experience of homelessness References: Mowlam, A. and Creegan, C. (2008) Modern day social evils: The voices of unheard groups, York: Joseph Rowntree Foundation Key contact: Sam Clemens, Head of Health and Well-being Team sam.clemens@natcen.ac.uk 0207 549 7055 Child poverty in Britain 11 Perceptions of poverty Attitudes to poverty Background Every year the British Social Attitudes survey asks over 3,000 people what it’s like to live in Britain and how they think Britain is run. The survey tracks people’s changing social, political and moral attitudes and informs the development of public policy. In 2007 NatCen produced a report summarising the public’s views on the meaning of poverty, its prevalence and its causes. In that same year NatCen also included a module of questions specifically on child poverty on its quarterly omnibus survey. Headline findings The public adopt a fairly strict view of the meaning of poverty: A half of people (50 per cent) think that a person is in poverty if they have enough to eat and live, but not enough for other things they need. Nine in ten people (89 per cent) think that a person is in poverty if they have not got enough to eat and live without getting into debt. People’s views differed on how much child poverty there is. Two in five (41 per cent) thought there was very little real child poverty in Britain today, whereas over half (53 per cent) thought there was quite a lot. Most people thought that child poverty has increased or stayed the same over the last decade, and most thought it would increase of stay the same over the next ten years. The most widely and consistently held view as to why some people live in need, held by a third (34 per cent), is that ‘it’s an inevitable part of modern life’. But the proportion thinking poverty is due to laziness or lack of willpower has risen – from 19 per cent in 1986 to 27 per cent now. People’s views on why child poverty exists also included 25 per cent saying it was ‘because of injustice in our society’ and 10 per cent saying it was ‘because they have been unlucky’. The three most frequently cited causes of child poverty were “their parents suffer from alcoholism, drug abuse or other addictions”, “there has been a family break up or loss of a family member” and “their parents’ work doesn’t pay enough” General awareness and knowledge of relative poverty for children was low. For example, there are in fact very few parents dependent on alcohol or drugs. Likewise, family breakdown by itself does not directly cause child poverty; instead it is the high level of worklessness among lone parents that increase the risk of poverty for children in lone-parent families. Most people (80 per cent) thought that central government had responsibility for addressing child poverty. A relatively small proportion (35 per cent) thought that local authorities and individuals or families had responsibility, and even fewer (6 per cent) chose charities. Report: http://www.natcen.ac.uk/series/british-socialattitudes Methods: This study used data from the British Social Attitudes survey References: Park, A. Phillips, M. and Robinson C. (2007) Attitudes to poverty. Findings from the British Social Attitudes Survey. York: Joseph Rowntree Foundation And, Kelly, M. (2008) Public attitudes to child poverty, Department for Work and Pensions Research Summary Key contact: Alison Park, Team Leader, Society and Social Change Team Alison.Park@natcen.ac.uk 0207 549 7029 Child poverty in Britain 12 Consequences for children Childcare in disadvantaged areas June 2012 Background Childcare providers in disadvantaged areas are more susceptible to financial difficulties, because of fewer parents using childcare. As a result they are more financially vulnerable than providers in other, more affluent areas. As part of the Fairness Premium announced by the coalition government the least advantaged two-yearolds will, from September 2013, be entitled to 15 hours of free early education. NatCen used a case study approach across ten local authorities (LAs) to: Explore how successful local authorities feel they have been in securing the sustainability of childcare places in disadvantaged areas; Examine the challenges local authorities and providers face in providing sustainable childcare and; Explore if more support is needed for local authorities to ensure there are enough free places available. Parents in disadvantaged areas were more likely to: say they didn’t have sufficient information about childcare options and were more concerned about the quality of the childcare being provided. Quality of childcare provision was higher in disadvantaged areas where the local authority subsidised and directed the shape of provision Potential policy impact Childcare provision in disadvantaged areas needs to be publicly funded in one form or another, as the market alone will struggle to deliver and cannot provide sufficient numbers of quality placements. Report: http://www.natcen.ac.uk/study/childcaresufficiency-and-sustainability-indisadvantaged-areas Headline finding Whilst providers and LA strategists were generally very supportive of the program, they did not feel that it would be achievable without additional funding to create the requisite extra places and to raise quality standards. In detail There was enthusiasm for the program: it was thought children’s outcomes would be improved and help parents back into employment. However, there was immediate capacity in order to handle the roll out and several support needs were identified to counter this. Methods: Case study approach using literature review, secondary analysis and face-to-face interviews References: S. Dickens, I. Wollny and E. Ireland. Childcare Sufficiency and Sustainability in Disadvantaged Areas. London: Department for Education. Key contact: Ivonne Wollny, Senior Researcher, Children and Young People team. Ivonne.wollny@natcen.ac.uk 0207 749 5020 Child poverty in Britain 13 Consequences for children Intergenerational transmission of worklessness February 2012 Background NatCen carried out secondary analysis of two large-scale longitudinal, national datasets. Data produced by the Millennium Cohort Study (MCS) and the Longitudinal Study of Young People in England (LSYPE) were used to: map worklessness; determine how parental worklessness impacts on children and; to assess the potential role of ‘protective factors’ that might enable children to overcome the effects of parental worklessness. Headline findings Across the MCS and LSYPE data, 1 in 10 households experienced persistent parental worklessness. Rates were highest among single parent families and in London. Parental worklessness is significantly associated with: poorer academic attainment and behavioural adjustment of young children attainment at GCSE level with being not in education, employment or training (NEET) In detail Children growing up in workless households had poorer key stage (KS) 1 writing, reading, mathematics and science attainment. They also had lower cognitive ability. Children in workless families were more likely to be bullied, to bully others and to be unhappy at school but this was not due to the worklessness itself but rather attributable to other characteristics of the household, such as lone parenthood or parental health. There exists a negative relationship between persistent parental worklessness and total GCSE point score. Young people whose parents had two or three years of worklessness had an increased risk of being NEET at age 18 and more months of being NEET from age 15-18. Protective factors In early primary school, a positive experience (child likes school, has friends at school) and various school characteristics (a lower proportion of children in the school registered as having Special Education Needs or eligible for Free School Meals), reduces or removes the association between parental worklessness. In later secondary school, parents’ engagement in their child’s schooling reduced or removed the association between parental worklessness and poor academic outcomes. Potential policy impact The evidence suggests the need to tackle the wider range of risks that workless families face, not just getting parents back into work. In terms of timing of any policy intervention, the study does not find that parental worklessness impacted on children’s academic achievement more strongly when they were young (at age 7), compared to at KS4. Report: http://www.natcen.ac.uk/study/intergeneratio nal-transmission-of-joblessness Methods: Secondary analysis. References: Barnes, M. et al. Intergenerational Transmission of Worklessness: Evidence from the Millennium Cohort and the Longitudinal Study of Young People in England. London: Department for Education. Key contact: Matt Barnes, Research Director, Income and Work Team matt.barnes@natcen.ac.uk 0207 549 5135 Child poverty in Britain 14 Consequences for children Thrive at Five 2012 Social skills Children from deprived areas experienced 75% more peer problems (ability to get along with others) than other children. Background There is a direct link between the development gap that emerges in the preschool years and the later underachievement at school of pupils who grow up in poverty. Save the Children commissioned ScotCen Social Research to analyse data from the Growing Up in Scotland (GUS) study in order to compare the developmental health of children at school-entry age from different backgrounds. Headline findings Children born into poverty are TWICE as likely as other children to face developmental difficulties when they enter formal schooling. Children living in poverty are FOUR times as likely as children from the most affluent backgrounds to have developmental difficulties. In detail Children from deprived backgrounds are more likely to do significantly worse than other children across a number of key developmental indicators: Physical well-being Children from deprived areas miss 60% more school days than other children due to ill health (24 days a year compared to 15 days a year). Emotional health 35% of children from the lowest income group had conduct problems, twice that of those in the highest income group. Cognitive ability In all, just under HALF of children growing up in poverty were found to have lower than average cognitive development at the time they enter primary school. Communication skills More than HALF of children whose parents have no qualifications face communication difficulties when they start primary school. This is more than TWICE the rate of other children and THREE times the rate of children whose parents are degree educated. Recommendations Tackle child poverty by maximising and protecting family incomes Extend the entitlement to free early education and care to all two-year-olds living in poverty Create an entitlement to parenting and support for all families in deprived areas Develop a single, comprehensive measure of child well-being. Report: http://www.scotcen.org.uk/study/thrive-atfive Children from deprived areas are THREE TIMES more likely to be absent from school than children from the most affluent areas (24 days a year compared to eight days a year). Methods: Secondary analysis. References: Bradshaw, P. et al. Thrive at Five: Comparative child development at school-entry age. Edinburgh: Save the Children. Key contact: Paul Bradshaw, Senior Research Director, ScotCen. paul.bradshaw@natcen.ac.uk 0207 549 5135 Child poverty in Britain 15 Consequences for children Impact of significant events in early childhood Families most likely to experience moving, and moving more frequently, include those with a younger mother and private renters. June 2011 Background NatCen analysed data from the Growing Up in Scotland (GUS) study –which ScotCen have conducted since its inception – to investigate the impact of change in early childhood. It focused on four significant events: Parental separation Moving house Parental unemployment The onset of maternal health problems The research questions were: How prevalent are the events in the first five years of children’s lives? Which families are most likely to experience these events? How are these events associated with known drivers of poor child outcomes? Mothers most likely to experience onset of persistent maternal health problems include those living in workless households and mothers with previous poor mental or physical health. Association with poor child outcomes All four of the significant events investigated were associated with income poverty. For example, compared with 31% of study families overall, low income was experienced by: 55% of separated families; 47% of families who moved twice or more; 47% of couple families, and 81% of lone parent families, that experienced job loss; and 55% of families experiencing the onset of maternal health problems. Potential policy impact Findings Prevalence of change Approximately one in ten children (11%) experienced parental separation in the first five years of their lives. Forty per cent of children experienced at least one move in the first five years of their lives. The majority of couple families (82%) experienced a high level of employment throughout the five-year period but just twenty per cent of lone parents were in stable employment throughout. Events that happen to parents (e.g. job loss) can have implications for the whole family, including young children. Truly holistic, well-funded support services are needed at the time of change. Support at the time of change is not however sufficient and early intervention is needed to ensure a crisis does not deepen. Report: http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Resource/Doc/3 50054/0117151.pdf Which families? Families most likely to experience parental separation include those with cohabiting rather than married parents, families living in income poverty and families where the birth of the child was unplanned. Methods: Secondary analysis. References: Barnes, M., Chanfreau, J., Tomaszewski, T., Philo, D., Hall, J. and Tipping, S. Growing Up in Scotland: change in early childhood and the impact of significant events. Edinburgh: Scottish Government. Key contact: Matt Barnes, Research Director, Income and Work Team matt.barnes@natcen.ac.uk 0207 549 5135 Child poverty in Britain 16 Consequences for children Understanding vulnerable young people In detail May 2011 Background Investigating multiple disadvantage is important in understanding the experiences of vulnerable young people. Whilst the experience of a single disadvantage can create difficulties for young people, multiple disadvantages can interact and exacerbate one another, leading to more harmful and costly outcomes for both the young person and society as a whole. NatCen analysed data from the Longitudinal Study of Young People in England (LSYPE), to address: How many young people face multiple disadvantages at age 16/17? What types of disadvantages do young people experience? What level of contact do vulnerable young people have with services? What school-age factors increase the risk that young people end up disadvantaged (i.e. at age 14)? What are vulnerable young people’s ’outcomes’ at age 18/19? Six distinct groups of disadvantaged young people were identified: The non-vulnerable group (55% of young people), who had no disadvantages. Emotional health concerns group (16%), who had only emotional health concerns. Substance misuse group (8%), who had substance misuse problems and a tendency to have low attainment and emotional health concerns. Low attainment only group (8%), who had only low attainment. Risky behaviours group (8%), who took part in criminal activity and had a tendency for substance misuse, low attainment and emotional health concerns. Socially excluded group (6%), who were NEET and tended to have low attainment, emotional health concerns and substance misuse. Young people in the last two groups are most disadvantaged and recorded the poorest outcomes at age 18 -19. Headline findings Potential policy impact Six forms of disadvantage were identified in the LSYPE data: 1. Low attainment (19% of young people) 2. Being Not in Employment, Education or Training (NEET) (8%) 3. Teenage parenthood (1%) 4. Emotional health concerns (22%) 5. Criminal activity (9%) 6. Substance misuse (15%). There were risk factors common to all groups identified and these could be targeted to provide early intervention. Report: http://www.natcen.ac.uk/study/understandin g-vulnerable-young-people----- Almost half (45 per cent) of young people aged 16/17 experienced at least one of these six disadvantages and 15 per cent had two or more. Methods: Secondary analysis. References: Barnes, M., Green, R. and Ross, A. Understanding vulnerable young people: analysis from the longitudinal study of young people in England. London: Department for Education. Key contact: Matt Barnes, Research Director, Income and Work Team matt.barnes@natcen.ac.uk 0207 549 5135 Child poverty in Britain 17 Consequences for children Toward universal early years provision November 2010 In detail Background Good quality early years education is associated with improved outcomes for children’s development, and is particularly beneficial for children from disadvantaged backgrounds. However, children from disadvantaged backgrounds are less likely to attend early years education. NatCen analysed data from the 2008 and 2009 Childcare and Early Years Survey of Parents series, to examine: How the take-up of early years provision varies by different dimensions of disadvantage and; the main barriers experienced by disadvantaged families. Key Findings: The following types of family were all less likely to receive early years provision: From lower-income families; From larger families (with three or more children); With mothers who did not have any academic qualifications and/or; With mothers who did not work, Lack of awareness of the entitlement to free early years provision and a low level of information about local options were also important factors affecting take-up of early years provision by disadvantaged families. There is some evidence to suggest that some types of providers (e.g. nursery classes attached to schools) might be more easily accessible by disadvantaged families than others (e.g. day nurseries), which means that there may be fewer options open to disadvantaged families. To distinguish between families experiencing the highest level of multiple disadvantage and those with lower levels (or no disadvantage), NatCen accorded a score of 1 to each of the following risk factors: Lone parent families Non-working families (no parents employed) Families with an annual household income under £20,000 (or in receipt of certain working age benefits). Families with 3 or more children aged under fourteen Families living in one of the 20% most disadvantaged areas of the country (as defined by Index of Multiple Deprivation) Families where parents have no or low qualifications Families where at least one parent has a long-standing illness/ disability Families living in rented accommodation (as a proxy for social housing) Families where at least one child has a special educational need or longstanding illness/disability. Families having 4 – 9 factors were considered as experiencing a high level of multiple disadvantage. Report: http://www.natcen.ac.uk/study/take-up-ofuniversal-early-years-provision-bydisadvantaged-families Methods: Secondary analysis References: S. Speight and R. Smith. Toward universal early years provision: analysis of take-up by disadvantaged families from recent annual childcare surveys. London: Department for Education. Key contact: Svetlana Speight, Research Director, Children and Young People team. Svetlana.speight@natcen.ac.uk 0207 749 5146 Child poverty in Britain 18 Consequences for children The circumstances of children in persistent poverty “Our findings suggest that significant numbers of families with children live in persistent poverty and that persistentlypoor children are at increased risk of a range of other disadvantages, including living in bad housing and being expelled from school.” Background Just under one in five families with children in Britain live in income poverty. But they are not a homogenous group: some families experience low income for a short period, while others live in poverty over a longer term. This study explores how many children experience persistent poverty; the outcomes for persistently poor children; and which children are most likely to be persistently poor. Headline findings More than one in ten (12 per cent) families with children experienced persistent poverty – measured as living in income poverty in at least three years of a four-year period. In the four years under investigation, nearly two in five (38 per cent) families experienced income poverty at least once, suggesting more families experience at least some duration of poverty than standard point-in-time surveys may suggest. Children living in persistently poor families were more likely to be suspended or expelled from school, to live in bad housing and to go without regular physical exercise than children from temporarily poor families. Workless families were the most likely to experience persistent poverty - 40 per cent of workless couple families and 46 per cent of workless lone-parent families. Other families at high risk of persistent poverty were families with young mothers and those living in social housing. Having a parent in work for at least 16 hours per week is the key factor keeping a family out of persistent poverty. However, having only one parent in paid work is not a guarantee of avoiding persistent poverty - 7 per cent of couple families with only one person in paid work experienced persistent poverty over the period. Potential policy impact The evidence points to particularly adverse outcomes for persistently poor families. Despite this evidence, there are no concerted policy measures to tackle persistent poverty apart from those designed to tackle poverty in general. One reason for this is because poverty is still commonly viewed from a point-intime perspective that treats the poor as a homogenous group. Policy clearly needs to adapt to the diverse experiences of poverty. Being without regular work dramatically increases the risk of persistent poverty and is also associated with a range of other disadvantages, such as having no qualifications. Employment policy therefore needs to work alongside policies designed to contend with these other disadvantages, and to ensure that when work is found it is secured and sustained. Policy must also recognise that work is not always possible for all parents at all times, particularly during periods of ill health and concentrated times of childcare. Report: http://research.dwp.gov.uk/asd/asd5/rports2 007-2008/rrep487.pdf Methods: This study used data from the Families and Children Study (FACS) References: Barnes, M., Connoly, A. and Tomaszewski, W. (2008) The circumstances of persistently poor families with children: Evidence from the Families and Children Study (FACS), DWP Research Report no. 487, Leeds: Corporate Document Services. Key contact: Matt Barnes, Research Director, Income and Work Team Matt.Barnes@natcen.ac.uk 0207 549 9535 Child poverty in Britain 19 Consequences for children Outcomes for persistently poor children in Scotland “Persistent poverty affects a significant proportion of young Scottish children. However, the impact of poverty on child outcomes is complex and our findings suggest low income may not be the key driver of poor outcomes during early childhood.” Background The new Child Poverty Act established four child poverty targets to be met by 2020/21, which the Scottish Government is accountable to. The targets include a ‘persistent poverty’ measure, defined as living in income poverty in at least three of the past four years. To date there has been little research on poverty duration in Scotland. This report explores the circumstances of persistently poor young Scottish children (aged 3-4 and 5-6 years). Headline findings Some children are more at risk of experiencing persistent poverty than others. Living in social rented housing, living in deprived areas, being the member of a large family or a loneparent family and having a mother with low or no qualifications are all associated with an increased risk of persistent poverty. Having parents who are regularly without work is the factor with most bearing on persistent poverty. Nearly nine-in-ten children with parents who spent very little or no time in work over the four-year period experienced persistent poverty. Mothers’ concerns about their child’s development and language skills were more prevalent among persistently poor children. Persistently poor children were also more likely to be assessed as having social, emotional and behavioural difficulties. Interestingly, persistent poverty was not associated with the child outcomes when other factors were taken into account. The analysis suggested that some of these other factors were more likely to be linked to child outcomes, including child’s gender, family size, and mother’s health and education. This suggests that the impact of poverty may not be captured by our indicator of low income or that low income per se is not what drives poor outcomes for young children. Potential policy impact There are already many policies designed to increase parents’ propensity to work. Our research has shown that workless families with young children also experience a range of other disadvantages - including low parental education and poor health. This means that employment policy needs to operate alongside policies designed to contend with these other hardships. Mothers with young children are likely to face particular decisions around work; including how to balance work and caring responsibilities, and, if looking to work, how to find suitable and sustainable jobs and childcare services. Policy must therefore recognise the complexity of the constraints faced by many parents and also consider that work is not always possible or desirable for all parents at all times. Being in work may not mean a family avoids persistent poverty. So alongside implications for childcare policy, these findings are relevant to discussions of policies that deal with parents’ readiness for work, suitable employment for parents, adequate wage levels and amounts of in-work financial support. Report: http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Resource/Doc/3 10430/0097968.pdf Methods: This study used data from the Growing Up in Scotland Study (GUS) References: Barnes, M., Chanfreau, J. and Tomaszewski, W. (2010) Growing Up in Scotland: The Circumstances of Persistently Poor Children, Edinburgh: Scottish Government. Key contact: Matt Barnes, Research Director, Income and Work Team Matt.Barnes@natcen.ac.uk 0207 549 9535 Child poverty in Britain 20 Consequences for children Understanding multiple disadvantage among families with children “The research found nine groups of multiply-disadvantaged families; with each group having a different combination of disadvantages.” Background Poverty is generally recognised to be multidimensional; that is, it involves more than just living on a low income. People living in poverty can face a range of other disadvantages such as material deprivation, poor health and living in a deprived neighbourhood. This research sought to explore the combinations of disadvantages that families experience, what drives multiple-disadvantage and how living in these families impacts on child well-being. Headline findings Just under half of families with children had two or more of a basket of 18 disadvantages, including material deprivation, debts, no savings, worklessness, poor quality housing and little social contact 5 per cent of families were at risk of ‘severe exclusion’ as they experienced approximately nine disadvantages each. Other groups of multiply-disadvantaged families with high rates of income poverty included families with ‘father in poor health, material deprivation, workless, low education and low social participation’ (3 per cent of families), families with ‘no private transport, low education, workless, and debts’ (8 per cent) and families with ‘father in poor health, low social participation and living in overcrowded accommodation’ (9 per cent). The findings suggest multi-dimensional disadvantage can be transmitted across generations, as children from the most disadvantaged families also experienced high levels of disadvantage. Children’s well-being was associated with parental disadvantage. For example, children in low-income families with poor parental health disproportionately had poor health themselves and less likely to exercise. Families that were successful in making a transition out of multiple disadvantage were more likely to be those with short experiences of disadvantage, those with some connection to the labour market, and lone mothers who partnered. On the other hand, families that remained at risk of severe multiple disadvantage were more likely to be lone parents, parents with low education, and social tenants. Potential policy impact The research shows the diverse and range of problems experienced by different groups of families, and suggests the need to move from ‘onesize fits all’ services towards a more personalised approach to providing support for parents and their families. Identifying families at risk using information on a range of disadvantages may help service providers to better identify the range and complexity of need among families, and inform the targeting and prioritisation of services. The identification of different combinations of multiple problems among families with children suggests that such families access support a range of different public service entry points. Policy makers and service providers may therefore wish to consider how services can best be coordinated to address the full range of need among such families. Report: http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/+/ http://www.cabinetoffice.gov.uk/media/2261 07/families-children.pdf Methods: This study used data from the Families and Children Study (FACS) References: Oroyemi, P., Crosier, T., Damioli, G. and Barnes, M. (2009) Understanding Social Exclusion Across The Life Course: Families with Children, London: Cabinet Office Key contact: Matt Barnes, Research Director, Income and Work Team Matt.Barnes@natcen.ac.uk 0207 549 9535 Child poverty in Britain 21 Consequences for children Impacts on children living in bad housing “The research suggests that the longer children live in bad housing, the more likely they are to face health problems, to be bullied and to struggle to keep up with their homework.” Background There is a wealth of evidence to suggest that living in unfit accommodation can have detrimental effects on people’s health. This study explored a range of well-being measures for children living in bad housing. We used three different measures of bad housing - overcrowded, poor state of repair and inadequately heated – and focused on children that persistently lived in these conditions (that is for three or more years of a five-year period). Headline findings 13 per cent of children persistently lived in overcrowded accommodation. These children were disproportionately likely to be living in social rented accommodation, large families and have an Asian mother. Children who lived in overcrowded accommodation reported feeling unhappy about their health, having no quiet place to do their homework, being suspended or excluded from school and living in a family where parents cannot afford an annual holiday or new clothes for their children. 6 per cent of children persistently lived in accommodation in poor state of repair. These children were disproportionately likely to be living in private-rented accommodation, from income-poor families and those living in deprived areas. As suggested in other research, our study found that health problems are clearly associated with children who lived in accommodation in poor state of repair, especially those who persistently lived in these conditions. 4 per cent of children persistently lived in inadequately-heated accommodation. These children were disproportionately likely to be living in private-rented accommodation, in lone-parent families and have a Black mother. Children who lived in accommodation that suffers from inadequate heating also lived in families that face a number of other economic disadvantages, including inability to afford an annual holiday, not having access to a car and income poverty. Potential policy impact Given there is a substantial number of children who spend significant parts of their childhood living in bad housing, policy should focus on children who live in bad housing for long periods. The issue of persistent overcrowding for families in social-rented housing highlights the lack of affordable and suitably-sized accommodation for families in the social-rented sector. Bad housing is not restricted to the social-rented sector: our research shows that a higher proportion of children in the private-rented sector persistently lived in inadequately-heated accommodation or accommodation in a poor state of repair. Given the link between bad housing and children's well-being, improvements in housing will lead to progress in other areas of children’s lives. Incorporating housing issues more prominently into the policy agenda is therefore highly beneficial, as it will result in efficiency savings across a range of policy goals. Report: http://www.natcen.ac.uk/study/thedynamics-of-bad-housing- Methods: This study used data from the Families and Children Study (FACS) References: Barnes, M., Butt, S. and Tomaszewski, W. (2010) “The Dynamics of Bad Housing and Living Standards of Children in Britain” Journal of Housing Studies, volume 25, issue 6 (November 2010) or volume 26, issue 1 (January 2011) Key contact: Matt Barnes, Research Director, Income and Work Team Matt.Barnes@natcen.ac.uk 0207 549 9535 Child poverty in Britain 22 Causes of child poverty Employment transitions and changes in economic circumstances of families with children “Movements in and out of work were the key factors associated with changes in income poverty and hardship status over time” Background This study explores the impact of movements in and out of paid employment on the economic circumstances of families with children. It also looks at the circumstances of families that receive inwork tax credits to investigate how their economic circumstances change following employment transitions. Headline findings When observed a year apart, 13 per cent of families originally workless had moved into work. Couple families were more likely than lone parent families to do so (21 per cent and 12 per cent). Following a transition into work, a substantial proportion of poor families had moved out of income poverty a year later (70 per cent of both lone-parent and couple families). Rates of exiting income poverty improved further for families that remained in work for a further year (77 per cent of lone parent families and 78 per cent of couple families). Moves out of hardship following a transition into work were less pronounced and happened at a slower rate than moves out of income poverty. A sizeable number of families that remained in work for two years experienced a move out of hardship in the second year. The research also looked at families that had a transition out of work. Relatively few families made this transition over one year, with lone-parent families more likely to than couple families (eight per cent and two per cent respectively). The impact of leaving work on income poverty was starker for couple families than lone parent families – three quarters (74 per cent) of couple families who left and remained out of work for two years moved into and stayed in income poverty, compared to half (54 per cent) of lone parent families. The proportions moving into hardship were markedly lower, which is to be expected given the more immediate impact that losing a job has on family income. Potential policy impact Most families who received in-work tax credits had low earnings and so were often closer to the income poverty threshold than families who did not. This was particularly true for single-earner couple families. For these families inwork tax credits did not entirely make up the difference between family income and the income poverty threshold. If parents lost their jobs (or reduced their hours to less than 16 hours per week) their family was likely to make a transition into income poverty again. This suggests that tax credit policy needs to sit closely with labour market policies, and that a dynamic approach is needed to ensure that families that move into work can retain and progress in work, to minimise their risk of falling back into poverty. Report: http://research.dwp.gov.uk/asd/asd5/report_ abstracts/rr_abstracts/rra_506.asp Methods: This study used data from the Families and Children Study (FACS) References: Barnes, M., Lyon, N. and Millar, J. (2008) Employment transitions and the changes in economic circumstances of families with children, Department for Work and Pensions research report no.506, Leeds: Corporate Document Services Key contact: Matt Barnes, Research Director, Income and Work Team Matt.Barnes@natcen.ac.uk 0207 549 9535 Child poverty in Britain 23 Causes of child poverty Mothers’ participation in paid work and the role of ‘minijobs’ “Based on the analysis in this report, our view is that ‘mini-jobs’ (work of 1-15 hours per week) seems to offer very limited prospects for additional working.” Background Mothers living with a partner are much more likely than lone mothers to be in work (73 per cent compared with 59 per cent). Around half of this gap is a reflection of it being more common for mothers living with a partner to work in a job where their hours are between one and 15 per week, referred to as 'mini-jobs'. Previous research into 'mini-jobs' had identified a pattern of working in which mothers moved from not working at all, through a transitional period in a 'mini-job', to working 16 hours or more per week. Drawing on longitudinal data from the Families and Children Study between 2001 to 2005, NatCen conducted a secondary analysis project to examine the reasons why more mothers in couples work in ‘mini-jobs’ and to see whether such jobs are a useful transitional step towards full-time work. Headline findings Lone parents are younger, on average, than mothers in couples. When we adjusted for this difference, we found that slightly more lone parents, around one additional percentage point, would be in work if their age profile matched that of mothers in couples. In general, mini-jobs as stepping stones into full-time work were not a very common pattern. We found little evidence that mothers in couple families use mini-jobs as a transition between not working and working in full-time jobs. Rather, their use was a stable pattern among generally older women. Mini-jobs for lone parents offer limited potential, especially for those in rented accommodation. The study examined differences in employment rates between mothers in couple families and lone parents. A great deal of this gap can be explained by the fact that social renting is the most common tenure among lone parents, at 44 per cent (compared with just 12 per cent of mothers in couple families). If lone parents had the same tenure profile as mothers in couples, their employment rate would be 82 per cent, rather than 56 per cent (in 2005). Potential policy impact The concentration of worklessness among mothers in social and private rented accommodation indicates that future policy measures to increase the incentives to work need to engage with arrangements for financial support for housing. The key factor is whether mini-jobs can be made much more worthwhile for lone parents in social-rented accommodation. This suggests changes would be required in Housing Benefit and Council Tax Benefit, as well as in rules around earnings disregards by those in receipt of Income Support or in rules around eligibility for tax credits. If such changes were to be implemented, they might also increase participation in the labour force by mothers in couple families in social rented accommodation. Report: http://research.dwp.gov.uk/asd/asd5/report_ abstracts/rr_abstracts/rra_467.asp Methods: This study used data from the Families and Children Study (FACS) References: Hales, J., Tipping, S. and Lyon, N (2007) Mothers’ participation in paid work: the role of ‘minijobs’, DWP Research Report No 467, Leeds: Corporate Document Services Key contact: Sarah Tipping, Research Director (Statistician) Sarah.Tipping@natcen.ac.uk 0207 549 7077 Child poverty in Britain 24 Causes of child poverty Multiply-disadvantaged families’ use and views of childcare provision Background It is known that poor families are less likely to use formal childcare than families in better circumstances. NatCen conducted research to explore the relationship between multiple disadvantage and childcare, to aid the identification of optimal strategies for helping children in these families to access early learning and childcare opportunities and wider family support services. Headline findings For pre-school children there was a clear association between receipt of childcare and multiple disadvantage, whereby the more disadvantage children experienced, the less likely they were to receive childcare. The differences in take-up of childcare are largely driven by differences in the take-up of formal childcare, particularly for 0-2 year olds; where 55 per cent of children who were not disadvantaged received formal childcare compared with 15 per cent of the most disadvantaged. The types of formal childcare multiplydisadvantaged children were less likely to attend were day nurseries, playgroups and childminders. Although this may reflect lower employment rates among multiply-disadvantaged families, the relatively high cost of day nurseries and childminders is likely to be an important factor too. Families experiencing the highest level of multiple disadvantage were less likely to receive childcare information through word of mouth but more likely to receive it from JobCentres and JobCentre Plus. In addition, parents from the most multiply disadvantaged families said they had too little information about childcare and wanted more information on the cost of childcare and availability during school holidays. Lack of access to appropriate, affordable childcare was a significant barrier to employment for mothers from families experiencing multiple disadvantage – who said they would prefer to go out to work if they could arrange good quality childcare which was convenient, reliable and affordable. Potential policy impact The research recommends more active, tailored targeting of disadvantaged families to increase awareness of local options for using childcare and early years provision - and of the benefits of good quality early education. However, the affordability of childcare remains a major barrier to enabling more disadvantaged children to benefit from early years provision and supporting more mothers to take up employment. Most childcare subsidies are linked with parental employment, for example tax credits. It may be that provision of early learning and childcare that is free, or very inexpensive, at the point of use (as with the free entitlement for 3 and 4 year olds) is a more effective way of increasing the number of disadvantaged children receiving formal provision. Report: https://www.education.gov.uk/publications/e OrderingDownload/DCSF-RR191.pdf and https://www.education.gov.uk/publications/R SG/EarlyYearseducationandchildcare/Page7 /DCSF-RR136 Methods: This study used data from the 2008 Childcare and Early Years Survey of Parents References: Speight, S., Smith, R., and Lloyd, E., with Coshall, C. (2010) Families Experiencing Multiple Disadvantage: Their Use of and Views on Childcare Provision, DCSF Research Report DCSF-RR191 And Speight, S., Smith, et al. (2009) Childcare and Early Years Survey of Parents 2008, DCSF Research Report DCSF-RR136 Key contact: Svetlana Speight, Research Director, Children and Young People Team Svetlana.Speight@natcen.ac.uk 0207 549 7159 Child poverty in Britain 25 Causes of child poverty Assessing a pilot educational scheme for disadvantaged young children Background The National Childcare Strategy signalled a commitment by government to provide good quality and affordable childcare provision in every neighbourhood. Following the successful introduction of part-time early years education for three and four year olds, a pilot scheme for disadvantaged two and three year olds was introduced with the aim to improve the cognitive and social outcomes of children and to increase takeup. NatCen carried out research to evaluate the success of the pilot, including how outreach approaches encouraged disadvantaged families to take part. Headline findings The evaluation concluded that the pilot was reasonably well targeted at intended beneficiaries and local authorities developed a range of marketing and outreach strategies tailored to the needs of different groups. One on one, tailored approaches were felt to be a particularly effective way of targeting and informing families about the pilot. However, there appears to be scope for improving targeting, particularly in local authorities that used broad geographical and economic indicators to define and target potential beneficiaries. Parents’ experiences, views and perceptions of the effects of the pilot were largely positive, not only about the free early education and its positive benefits in terms of child development, but also about the additional services and advice parents received which went beyond early education. Very disadvantaged parents were particularly likely to stress the benefits of the pilot in terms of improved parenting capacity and family functioning. Two areas for improvement identified by parents were an increase in the number of hours of early education and provision that better meets the needs of children with SEN or a disability. Overall the pilot did not significantly improve pilot children’s language ability, non-verbal reasoning or social development. However, where children attended higher quality settings, there was a positive impact on language ability. Parents felt that the setting had positively affected their ability to parent, their physical health and mental wellbeing, and provided them with opportunities for self-improvement. Potential policy impact The results suggest that in order to have a positive impact on child outcomes, when the programme is rolled out nationally only settings with an Ofsted score of at least ‘good’ should be used by local authorities to provide free places for disadvantaged two year olds. This points to a need for a greater supply of high quality early education providers, most likely achieved by raising the quality of existing providers, to improve the quality of the early years workforce. Report: https://www.education.gov.uk/publications/e OrderingDownload/DCSF-RR021.pdf and https://www.education.gov.uk/publications/st andard/publicationdetail/page1/DCSFRR134 Methods: This study compared 1,000 families who were taking part in the pilot with a group of 1,400 families living in a similar area where the pilot wasn’t available. References: Kazimirski, A, Dickens, S, and White, C. (2008) Pilot Scheme for Two Year Old Children, DCSF Research Report RR021 And Smith, R., Schneider, V., Purdon, S., La Valle, I., Wollny, Y., Owen, R., Bryson, C., Mathers, S., Sylva, K. and Lloyd, E. (2009) Early Education Pilot for Two Year Old Children - Evaluation. Research report DCSF-RR134. London: DCSF Key contact: Ivonne Wollny, Senior Researcher, Children and Young People Team invonne.wollny@natcen.ac.uk 0207 549 5020 Child poverty in Britain 26 Work in progress and data sources Projects in progress Targeting initiatives on households in poverty A project that uses data from the Family Resources Survey to explore the labour market characteristics – including labour market activity, skills and job type - of families across the income distribution. The project looks at the characteristics of both partners in couple families. decisions in this area. Fundamental assumptions need to be tested and disadvantaged children followed to assess the effect of early years education on their long-term outcomes. The research period will run from 2013 through to 2016. The findings of the project will help identify where skills policies should be targeted to most effectively reduce poverty. The project should report in the summer of 2013. The health of people living in bad housing Analysis of the English Housing Survey and the Health Survey for England to provide upto-date figures on the numbers of people living in bad housing and the health of people living in bad housing. Evaluation of Early Education in England High quality early years education has been shown to have greatest impact on children from the most disadvantaged backgrounds: thereby making a key contribution to narrowing the gap in development between groups of children. Early years education not only benefits children but their families too. It reduces the amount parents spend on childcare and enables parents to work, re-enter the labour market, undergo training to improve their employability and work more hours. It can play a role in improving the income levels of families, reducing dependency on benefits, reducing poverty for children and improving social mobility of their family – and later for the children themselves. It is therefore vital that the Department has objective, robust and impartial information to inform its policy development and spending Key contacts: Evaluation of Early Education in England –ruth.maisley@natcen.ac.uk Child poverty in Britain 27 Work in progress and data sources Ongoing surveys NatCen has expertise in collecting and analysing data from a number of largescale surveys that can be used to explore the impacts and drivers of child poverty. Poverty and Social Exclusion in the United Kingdom www.poverty.ac.uk The UK’s largest ever research project on poverty and social exclusion was launched in May 2010. The primary purpose of the study is to advance the 'state of the art' of the theory and practice of poverty and social exclusion measurement. The project will improve the measurement of poverty, deprivation, social exclusion and standard of living; measure the change in the nature and extent of poverty and social exclusion over the past ten years; and, produce policy-relevant results about the causes and outcomes of poverty and social exclusion and how best to address these problems. It is the largest long running study of its kind and has conducted seven ‘sweeps’ of fieldwork to date, adding a second birth cohort in 2011. As well as collecting information on child development, GUS covers topics such as: income and money management, employment, parenting and childcare, education, health and social inclusion. Understanding Society (USoc) www.natcen.ac.uk/study/understanding-society USoc is the largest social research study of its kind in the world with 40,000 UK households taking part. We talk to everyone aged 10 and over in participating households every year and record what changes - and stays the same - in people’s health, education, family, wealth, employment and political engagement. Family Resources Survey (FRS) www.natcen.ac.uk/study/family-resources-survey The FRS has been running since 1992 and provides facts and figures about the living conditions and resources of households in the United Kingdom. It is used by the government to monitor the impact of policy changes, plan annual spending and estimate official estimates of child poverty. Results from the study help the government understand how different sections of the public are managing today. From the results the government can assess what effect decisions about taxes and benefits might have on families and individuals. Growing Up in Scotland (GUS) http://www.natcen.ac.uk/series/growing-up-inscotland GUS plays a crucial role in helping the Scottish Government understand how to give children the best start in life and whether national objectives for children are being met. Key contacts Poverty and Social Exclusion in the UK – emma.drever@natcen.ac.uk Family Resources Survey (FRS) – clare.tait:@natcen.ac.uk Growing Up in Scotland (GUS) – Paul.Bradshaw@scotcen.org.uk Understanding Society (USoc) – alison.park@natcen.ac.uk Child poverty in Britain 28 35 Northampton Square, London EC1V 0AX