A Probabilistic Analysis of a High Pressure Turbine Pre-Swirl Cavity and Capture System to Identify Input Variability of Design Parameters . by Pamela Ann Gray A Thesis Submitted to the Graduate Faculty of Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the degree of Master’s of Science of Mechanical Engineering Approved: _________________________________________ Thesis Adviser Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Troy, New York December 2009 1 © Copyright 2009 by Pamela Ann Gray All Rights Reserved 2 CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES ............................................................................................................. 4 LIST OF FIGURES ........................................................................................................... 5 ACKNOWLEDGMENT ................................................................................................... 6 ABSTRACT ...................................................................................................................... 7 3 LIST OF TABLES Table 1 Output Parameters .............................................................................................. 11 Table 1 Parameter and standard deviations ..................................................................... 24 Table 2 Output Parameters .............................................................................................. 24 4 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1 Turbofan engine components: inlet fan, low and high pressure compressors ... 1 Figure 2 Turbofan engine components: combustor, high and low pressure turbines, and nozzle ................................................................................................................................. 2 Figure 1 Example of flow network structure .............................................................. 14 Figure 2 High pressure turbine cooling air and delivery system input variables locations ......................................................................................................................................... 16 Figure 3 Labyrinth seal knife edge geometry, inputs for flow model ............................. 18 Figure 4 Input file for probabilistic run ........................................................................... 26 Figure 5 Input file for final probabilistic run ................................................................... 26 Figure 6 Input file for final probabilistic run ................................................................... 27 5 ACKNOWLEDGMENT 6 ABSTRACT This paper describes a gas turbine pre-swirl cavity and capture system’s flow sensitivity as predicted through a probabilistic analysis of a typical high pressure turbine of a commercial turbofan engine. The results are used to describe the flow sensitivity in the chamber and the effects of variability of the determined drivers. This study was performed in order to enhance existing modeling techniques in industry. Pre-swirl supply systems deliver cooling air axially from stationary nozzles to a rotating turbine disk. The holes in the rotating disk are at a similar radius as the nozzles to reduce mixing losses; however, existing engine and rig data show significant losses in total pressure occurring in the cooling flow exchange. Discussion focuses on the pre-swirl cavity and capture system, set up and results of a probabilistic analysis performed in order to identity the parameters of greatest impact. This paper will demonstrate a probabilistic study method that explores flow sensitivity of design parameters relative to the high pressure turbine single stage preswirl cooling air delivery and capture system of a turbofan engine. The goal of the proposed research is to identify the drivers of variability of the subsystem and determine the sensitivity of those drivers. 7 I. Introduction 1.1 The Secondary Flow System of a Gas Turbine Engine The gas turbine engine is widely used to power both commercial and military aircraft today. With just over 9.8 million domestic commercial flight departures performed in 2007 [8], safety, system performance, component durability and reliability are major concerns for the gas turbine engine manufacturer. These combined system and component attributes, regulated by industry standards and customized to meet customer requirements, contribute to a well designed product. The major components of a typical commercial turbofan engine are a low pressure inlet fan and compressor, a high pressure compressor, a combustion chamber, a low pressure turbine, a high pressure turbine and a nozzle. The major components of a turbofan engine are shown in Figures 1 & 2. Figure 1 Turbofan engine components: inlet fan, low and high pressure compressors 1 Figure 2 Turbofan engine components: combustor, high and low pressure turbines, and nozzle At the inlet of the engine the intake air flows through the fan and upon exiting is split into two main flow paths; the by-pass flow and the primary or core flow. The bypass flow is about 80% of the inlet flow and its primary function is thrust. It is channeled through the fan duct then enters the nozzle where it remixes with the core flow before exiting the rear of the engine. The remaining 20% inlet air goes through the compressors and then the combustor where it is mixed with fuel and ignited before entering the turbines. Once the core flow exits the turbines it remixes with the by-pass flow, just before entering the nozzle. One of the primary functions of the core flow is to drive the compressor. A portion of the core flow is split off near the compressor exit. This flow, called the secondary air system, bypasses the burner and is used to perform a variety of functions that are critical for safe engine operation. Figure 2 shows a simple schematic of the high pressure turbine cooling air path from the compressor exit to the high turbine inlet. Some of these functions are ventilation, sealing and purging air to disks, shafts, cavities and bearing compartments [7]. The cooling air system is designed to assure the life of the hardware, to provide thermal conditioning for clearance control, customer bleed flow, compressor starting and stability bleeds, and engine anti icing protection. The secondary air system also influences rotor thrust bearing loads, protects bearing compartments, and assures an acceptable nacelle environment. The internal air system optimizes propulsion system performance while satisfying all of the above requirements. Although each portion of the secondary air system is needed for a 2 balanced system, this paper will focus on the cooling air supplied to the high pressure disk and blades through a pre-swirl cooling air delivery system. The basic function of a pre-swirl system is to supply cooling air to a disk and blade, meeting the temperature, pressure, and leakage requirements of the system while minimizing the losses and work input associated with bringing air on board a rotating structure. The turbine cooling air is taken from appropriate compressor stage locations where work has been done to increase pressure. The path of the diverted high pressure secondary air is a complex configuration consisting of orifices, cavities, and component interfaces. Upon entering the pre-swirl nozzle, the high pressure cooling air typically traverses a set of static tangentially inclined nozzles, called a cascade, which turn the air in the direction of disk rotation. Turning the air imparts a tangential component to the velocity of the cooling air, thereby minimizing the heat up generated when the air comes on board the rotating structure, as defined by Euler’s equations. The pre-swirl cavity cooling air and delivery system is also known as the Tangential On Board Injection (TOBI) system. See Figure 3 for a pre-swirl rotor stator system schematic. Receiver Holes Rotating Minidisk Stationary Pre-Swirl Nozzle Figure 3 High pressure turbine The high pressure cooling air is expanded through the stationary pre-swirl nozzles where the majority of the air passes through a chamber and then is delivered to receiver holes on the rotating mini disk. The higher the pre-swirl nozzle exit tangential velocity, the 3 colder the cooling air will be as it is delivered to the blade, maximizing cooling effectiveness. The swirled cooling air exiting the pre-swirl nozzles splits and follows three paths, fulfilling separate tasks. The majority of the flow delivered to the receiver holes on the rotating mini disk is split into two directions, outward towards the gas path and inward towards the bore. As the flow travels outboard, cooling flow is delivered to the rotating blade meeting a supply pressure requirement at a particular flow level and temperature. These requirements ensure the blade will meet its life goal and satisfy rear blade attachment leakages. Blade supply pressure, temperature, and flow requirements are met at the condition where the majority of blade damage occurs, which is take-off for most engine applications. The inward path taken once exiting the receiver holes provides the flow needed to meet the requirement for high pressure turbine bore flow. This flow path has little impact on the TOBI system and will not be discussed in detail. The remaining cooling air, once exiting the pre-swirl nozzles, goes through the outer diameter labyrinth seal to supply attachment leaks and front rim cavity purge. See Figure 4 for flow paths of the high pressure turbine TOBI area. OD Seal-Dead rim cooling air and front rim cavity purge Pre-swirl cooling air Blade cooling air and attachment leaks From HPC rear hub #4 bearing compartment air HPT bore cooling air Figure 4 High pressure turbine TOBI area and flow paths 4 1.2 Problem Statement The cooling air delivered to the turbine is critical for flight safety, without it, parts would not meet life requirements and hardware failures would occur. The core flow turbine inlet air exiting the combustor is quite high and can reach temperatures over 3000oF. The high pressure turbine first stage purge flow cooling air prevents excessive hot gas ingestion, keeping the metal coatings on the vane and blade platforms from being burned off before reaching life goals. The cooling air supplied to the rotating disk and blade by the pre-swirl nozzle system is also critical to part life. The intention of this thesis is to document a method to perform a probabilistic secondary flow analysis for a high pressure turbine pre-swirl cavity capture and delivery cooling air system of the turbofan engine. The analysis will be used to quantify the variability of the cooling air delivery system due to inherent uncertainty in manufacturing processes and engine performance. In addition to quantifying the variability of the cooling air delivery system, the sensitivity of the design parameters will be determined. 1.3 Research Objectives The probabilistic flow analysis performed on the high pressure turbine secondary flow system is done using an enhanced deterministic flow model. The outputs of interest are the flow through the pre-swirl nozzle, the nozzle exit pressure and temperature, the cooling flow to the blade, rim cavity purge flow, flow to the bore, the blade supply pressure and temperature, and the pre-swirl cavity temperature. The enhancement to the deterministic flow model is applied by adding a variation to the input parameters of the flow network solver. For example the high pressure turbine inlet and exit pressures have a standard deviation of 0.5% of the average pressure with a 2 sigma variation applied to each of them. A complete list of the parameters that will be varied can be found in the analysis section and are discussed in detail there. The flow solver program consists of networks that mathematically model the entire engine, from the fan inlet to the nozzle. A flow network consists of restrictors that represent orifices, labyrinth seals, frictional losses in pipes, vortexes, etc, that are connected to chambers representing large plenums of air [2]. Each of the restrictors and chambers are defined by their associated pressure losses. See Figure 5 for an example of a flow solver network showing restrictors and chambers of the TOBI area. 5 Figure 5 Flow solver network, restrictors and chambers The probabilistic flow analysis is executed with variability in engine performance (day to day variability) and hardware geometry (engine to engine variability) yielding the variability in mass flow rates and air temperatures. After all correct and assumed deviations have been entered, and all desired outputs have been identified, the model is run. The model generates regression output, cumulative density functions, and probability density functions. The cumulative density functions are useful for determining how likely a range of values are, and probability density functions are useful for determining if enough samples were taken and distribution type of output variables. 1.4 Overview of Expected Result Usage The results of the analysis will be used to efficiently determine sources of variability in the secondary flow system while identifying the most influential geometric and performance parameters. This will allow known performance capabilities to be established promoting a more reliable and inexpensive engine. This paper will demonstrate a probabilistic study method that explores flow sensitivity of design parameters relative to the subsystem high pressure turbine single stage pre-swirl cooling air delivery and capture system of a turbofan engine. 6 Probabilistic analysis has many applications in cost reduction, engine design, optimization, and root cause analysis and has been discussed by Cloud & Stearns and others [1-3]. The results of those analyses will be discussed in the background section (section 2) of this paper. 7 1. Background 1.1 – Overview of Previous Analyses In order to better understand how input variability or uncertainty may impact design features of a commercial turbofan engine, probabilistic analyses have been performed [1-3]. These types of analyses describe the variability of a system by applying variation to the inputs of that system. This is an enhancement to current flow modeling practices that use a deterministic model with single value inputs and outputs where the single answer contained no measureable probability. The key to performing a probabilistic analysis centers on the ability to propagate input variability through the system. The previously performed probabilistic studies [1-3] and this one as well, use a proprietary one dimensional flow network solver that simulates the behavior of the entire auxiliary flow system for the engine. The flow solver contains additional modifications that make it possible to evaluate output variability and sensitivity. This design tool allows the user to input variables with a nominal value, a standard deviation, a distribution type and a variance by means of an input file which propagates the variability through the flow model. A quadratic regression is then fit to the probabilistic data to post process the results by the method of least squares. Y = y0 + bi(Xi) + ci(xi)2 (1) Where Y is the output variable, y0 is the constant regression coefficient, and bi is the linear regression term which is a measure of how input variability affects output variability. The quadratic regression term, ci, is a measure of how input variability affects the output mean value. i = (bi*i/i)/100 (2) Where i is the sample mean value of the ith input variable, and i is the sample deviation value of the ith input variable. If the ith variable changes by 1% the output variable will change by units. i = bi2/bi2 (3) The ith variable contributes % of the total variance on that output. 8 The cumulative density functions are useful for determining how likely a range of values are. The probability density functions are useful for determining if enough samples were taken and distribution type of output variables. 1.1.1 – 2003 Sidwell & Darmofal Study Sidwell & Darmafol [1] demonstrate how a Monte Carlo probabilistic method is used to estimate the distribution of oxidation failure probability for two different airlines operating the same engine model in different environments. To model the statistical behavior of turbine blade oxidation life two different types of input variability were used for the flow network solver; they were, day to day variability and engine to engine variability. Day to day variability included the environmental condition of the ambient temperature. Engine to engine variability included engine conditions, blade to blade variations and manufacturing variations. Engine conditions varied were component inlet and exit temperatures and rotor speeds, which were based on field experience. The blade to blade variations included film cooling hole effective areas that are relevant to placement, which were derived from flow measurements performed during manufacturing. The manufacturing variations such as machining tolerances on TOBI seal radii and discharge coefficients of the cooling air system were assumed to have a +/2 sigma variation. A least squares regression analysis, as described above was applied to the probabilistic results to identify input variables for which a decrease in tolerance would result in an increase in life. Regression analysis determined the effect of the variability of each input on typical and minimum engine oxidation life to be a 10% decrease in the tolerance on the blade’s leading edge effective flow area for both airlines. 1.1.2 Cloud & Stearns Study In 2004 Cloud & Stearns [2] documented a methodology for analyzing turbofan secondary flow systems probabilistically. That type of analysis quantified model outcomes when a variation was applied to the inputs as was done similarly by Sidwell & Darmofol [1] except every chamber and restrictor of a commercial turbofan engine model had a standard deviation applied. This was the first run, and it generated results that allowed identification of significant system drivers. The evaluation of thermal and centrifugal growth effects were accomplished by including a percent deviation to 9 labyrinth seals and vortex radii. Instead of a Monte Carlo distribution a Latin hypercube method was used, and a comparison of sample convergence can be seen in figure 1. Need figure from Ref 1 (need adobe writer) Absolute deviations should be applied when manufacturing tolerances are to be analyzed. The method was applied in order to find variability in the total turbine cooling and leakage air of the secondary flow system and the high and low rotor axial bearing loads of a turbofan engine. The results showed the system behaved linearly, resulting in negligible mean shifts due to input variation. 1.1.3 Stearns, Cloud & Filburn Study In 2006 Stearns, Cloud & Filburn [3] documented the initial development of a method to perform a thermal probabilistic analysis of gas turbine internal hardware. The turbine inter-stage seal of turbofan engine was used as an example. The objective was to investigate the variability of steady state metal temperature due to variability in the secondary flow system as well as the sensitivity of the metal temperature. Results showed the variability in metal temperature is ultimately caused by labyrinth seal clearance. 1.2.4 Proposed Research The proposed research will use the Latin hypercube method. Input variables will have similar standard deviations applied and as described above by Sidwell and Darmofal [1]. The differences will be that I will run 2 probabilistic studies as described by Stearns & Cloud [2] except that I will focus on a sub-system of the secondary flow system, which is the pre-swirl cavity cooling air capture and delivery system of the high pressure turbine. For the first probabilistic run I assumed a 5% standard deviation on restrictor areas, a 15% standard variation on lab seals average clearances and a 25% standard deviation on the plat-form leakage areas, which are consistent with average manufacturing tolerances. Output parameters will include flow rates, pressures and temperatures for the pre-swirl nozzle and the blade as well as blade rim cavity purge flow of the leading and trailing edge. Table 1 provides a list of selected output parameters of the subsystem. 10 Table 1 Output Parameters The results of the first analysis will be used to identify the significant drivers of variability. Unlike the previously performed probabilistic analyses, the output of this study will be the mass flow rates, air temperature and pressure variability of the single stage high pressure turbine cooling air and delivery system, a subsystem of the secondary flow system of a commercial turbofan engine. Parameter TOBI OD Seal Standard deviation applied for second run =15% of Clearance TOBI ID Seal = 5% of Area Platform Seals = 25% of Area TOBI = 1.5% of Area Vortices = 5% of RPMF Blade Cooling = 6% of Area Pressures = 0.2% of P4-P5 11 2. Theory 2.1 Analytical Flow Model The analytical secondary flow model used for this probabilistic study is a datamatched commercial turbofan engine that represents build of material hardware. The one dimensional flow model is run via a graphical user interface (GUI). The flow model calculates the internal engine cavity pressures and temperatures, internal cooling and leakage fluid flow rates, and the axial load on the thrust bearings. The secondary flow model is an analytical tool used to design the secondary flow system. The flow model software is written in FORTRAN code and contains the mathematics required to accurately simulate the secondary flow system of a commercial turbofan engine. The tool has many uses, and one of particular interest is that it allows system designers to predict the effect of over or under machined parts on the secondary flow system. The flow model is also used to validate the secondary flow system, verifying the system requirements are met. The results of the flow model are also used as input for other analyses such as thermal analysis of the rotors, disks, blades and life estimates for bearings. Secondary flow system requirements of interest for this analysis are the mass flow rate through the pre-swirl nozzles of the high pressure turbine, the pressure supplied to the blade for cooling, and rim cavity purge flow of the blade leading and trailing edges. The flow model can solve a flow system for a steady state case, a transient case and a statistical sensitivity or probabilistic analysis case. Only the steady state and probabilistic features will be discussed. The statistical probabilistic analysis used for this study is the non linear Latin hypercube sampling method. 2.1.1 Flow Model Inputs The flow and bearing load model is comprised of a series of “chambers” interconnected by various types of “restrictions” to the gas path. These graphical chambers and resistor icons allow the user to model cavities and restrictions that make up an entire engine. Chamber icons allow for the calculation of pressure and temperature of a location, representing a large volume plenum where flow velocities are assumed to be fully recovered and total pressure is equal to static pressure 12 Chamber pressures and temperatures can be either known or unknown and may be input by a value or an equation, as in the case of data-matched locations. In order for the model to solve, there must be at least one known chamber acting as a source and one known chamber acting as a sink. The resistor icons model pressure losses and flows between the chambers. There are 25 different types of restrictors available in the “GUI”, the ones of most interest to the probabilistic analysis and ones pertinent to the TOBI system’s design parameters are the flow parameter, orifice, labyrinth seal, vortex and isentropic nozzle and each will be discussed in detail. The flow solver then calculates the unknown chamber pressures and temperatures and restriction flow rates through successive iterations until the flow rates are balanced. The flow model used for this analysis is very detailed having hundreds of defined chamber and resistor icons. The chambers and resistor icons are provided through an input file that is generated using the flow model GUI. Every chamber and resistor has a set of unknown states and governing equations that describe the local flow conditions and are resolved by the flow solver. A coupled, nonlinear set of equations must be solved to determine the flow in the flow network model. The flow solver uses a NewtonRaphson iterative method to solve the coupled equations. 2.1.2 Solution Technique The flow network consists of the resistors and chambers with added interfaces between every resistor and chamber. These interfaces are utilized to improve the modularity of the underlying solver and are not controlled by the user. A simple flow network structure is shown in Figure 1 where squares represent the chambers and circles represent the restrictions. 13 Figure 3 Example of flow network structure Every chamber, resistor and interface has a set of unknown states and governing equations that describe the local flow conditions and are resolved by the flow and bearing load solver. The states for chambers are pressure and temperature. If there is no initial guess input for each pressure or temperature, the value is set to equal the average of the known pressures or temperatures. The states for restrictors are mass flow rate, temperature at the intended upstream boundary and temperature at the downstream boundary. The states for interfaces are mass flow rate, temperature and pressure. The specific governing equations for chambers are: 1. Conservation of mass. In steady flow, the sum of the interface mass flow rates connected to the chamber is required to be zero: Number ofint Interfaces numberof erfaces m i i 1 0 (1) is the mass flow rate, or air flow. Where m For unsteady flow, appropriate time derivatives are added to account for a time rate of change for the mass in the chamber. 2. Conservation of energy. In steady flow, the conservation of energy is given by: Numberof of Interfaces number int erfaces m i 1 i H (Ti up ) 0 Where H is the stagnation enthalpy and Ti (2) up is the temperature taken from the upstream direction at interface i. In other words, if the interface is an inflow, this temperature is equal to the interface temperature; however, at an outflow, this temperature is equal to the chamber temperature. For unsteady flow, additional terms are added to account for a time rate of change of energy in the chamber. Resistor governing equations: 1. For most restrictors, the resistor mass flow rate is set up by a mass flow relationship to the upstream and downstream pressures and temperatures that are taken from the corresponding interfaces. However, for vortex resistors and fixed pressure ratio resistors, a pressure ratio or pressure difference is set directly. 14 2. Upstream temperature, which is based on the direction of flow, is set to the upstream interface temperature value. 3. The downstream temperature is set by the resistor model and may include a temperature set by the user. Interface governing equations: 1. The interface mass flow rate is set to the mass flow rate of the resistor it is attached to. 2. The interface pressure 3. The is set to the pressure of the chamber it is attached to. interface temperature is set to the temperature from the upstream component, for example the resistor or chamber which is upstream of the interface. 2.1.3 Restrictions and Chambers The restrictors discussed here are the ones that will be varied in the input file created for the probabilistic study and consist of the flow parameter, orifice, labyrinth seal, vortex and isentropic nozzle. Figure 2 shows schematic of locations varied in high pressure turbine TOBI area. 15 Isentropic nozzle restrictors Flow parameter restrictors Labyrinth seal restrictors Orifice restrictor Figure 4 High pressure turbine cooling air and delivery system input variables locations Ideally, the flow model restrictors and chambers include inputs that represent the physical description for the hardware being modeled. The standard output contains the input items as well as the calculated output values including flow area, temperature, pressure, pressure ratio, flow rates and reference values if input. Basic discussions are presented here for the restrictor inputs of interest to the probabilistic analysis and for brevity are simplified. The way the flow model uses the inputted information is by calculating a flow parameter and pressure ratio for each restrictor and chamber, which is then used for the iterations solving the for the total sum of the mass flow rates. 2.1.3.1 Flow Parameter Restrictor The flow parameter restrictor is used to model the cooling hole passages of the blade’s leading edge, mid-body, trailing edge, the trailing edge platform overhang and the TOBI. The input is a flow parameter versus pressure ratio curve and is derived from 16 flow measurements taken during manufacturing. This restrictor is used where the relationship between flow parameter and pressure ratio is known. m T P up PR (3) Pup Pdown An effective area, discharge coefficient (Cd), can also be calculated based on the cold flow data. If no discharge coefficient is entered the flow model assumes an effective area of 1. ACd m T P m T P A up measured up (4) isentropic Where A is the area. 2.1.3.2 Orifice Restrictor An orifice restrictor is used to model the minidisk holes which feed the blades. This restrictor is used where flow measurement or metering is done using a very short passage with a sharp edge on the upstream side and beveling downstream, or a square edge with no beveling such as a drilled hole. The input includes a required flow area A and an optional discharge coefficient Cd. The flow area can be input as a value, or an equation. 2.1.3.3 Labyrinth Seal Restrictor The labyrinth seal restrictor is used to model the outer diameter and inner diameter TOBI seals. Definitions of a typical labyrinth seal knife edge geometry required for the flow model are illustrated in Figure 3. 17 Figure 5 Labyrinth seal knife edge geometry, inputs for flow model Where: c = Seal Clearance b = Number of Teeth pKE = Knife Edge Pitch wKE = Knife Edge thickness h = Land Step Height rKE = knife Edge Leading Edge Radius (illustrated in figure for Up Flow) Flow Direction = Up/Down The flow area is calculated by the flow model using the supplied inputs. 2.1.3.4 Vortex Restrictor The vortex restrictor is used to simulate fluid motion involving rotation about an axis. This simulation tool has no physical area restriction but can either increase or decrease flows by imposing a pressure ratio on the adjacent chamber(s) with non-fixed pressure(s). The flow model uses calculations for all the vortex motions that assume the working fluid acts like a perfect gas and that the vortex is isentropic. These assumptions are thought to provide a reasonable representation of a real vortex but if the vortex pressure ratio is known it may be input directly. 18 2.1.3.5 Isentropic Nozzle The isentropic nozzle restrictor is used to model the rim cavities. Input considerations include a required flow area, A, and an optional discharge coefficient, Cd. The flow model assumes that the isentropic nozzle has an upstream area much larger than the minimum flow area specified as input and uses the input flow area as the throat for this restriction. The nozzle flow area must be input using the minimum passage area known as the throat of the nozzle. The nozzle throat may have any cross-section shape; the flow model will use the input flow area as the minimum flow area for the nozzle throat. 2.1.3.6 Chamber The flow model assumes 1-D flow, constant enthalpy, velocity and density over the area. Velocities are assumed normal to areas and no heat or work interactions with surroundings. The air is assumed to be a perfect gas during standard flow model iteration loop, and it is assumed a real gas during flow model iteration loop in which conservation of energy law is applied to each chamber using real fluid properties. The chamber effectively acts as a mixing restriction with 0 or more control surfaces. 2.1.4 The Flow Network Solver The coupled, nonlinear set of equations must be solved to determine the flow in the flow and bearing load network model. The flow solver uses a Newton-Raphson iterative method to solve the coupled equations. Specifically, the governing equations and unknown states for every chamber, resistor, and interface in the flow network can be combined into a residual form, R (U ) 0 (3) Where U is a vector containing all of the unknown states and R is the corresponding vector containing all of the governing equations. A Newton-Rapshon method for solving this nonlinear set of equations is found by linearizing the residuals about a current guess for the solution, 19 R(U n dU ) 0 R(U n ) R dU 0 U (4) Then, by solving for dU, an update for the state vector is given by, U n 1 R 1 U R(U n ) U n (5) In practice, however, the full Newton update is not taken at every iteration especially early in the iterative process where the linearized update may result in nonphysical solutions. Thus, the Newton update is under-relaxed as follows, U n 1 U 1 U d R(U n ) U n (6) Where d is a relaxation factor and in the flow solver and is known as the drate. The algorithm for determining the drate involves several parameters which may be modified to control the convergence behavior of the flow solver. Two types of limiting of the drate are used: (1) limiting based on the flow rate residual, and (2) limiting based on the change in the states. For the flow rate residual limiting, the basic idea is to limit the Newton update whenever the mass flow rate imbalance anywhere in the flow network is large at the current iteration. For the state-based limiting, the basic idea is to limit the changes in the state to guarantee that the states at the next iteration are physically realistic. Thus, in both limiting procedures, as the solution converges, drate should approach one, while initially drate is less than one. 2.2 Probabilistic Flow Model The flow model’s sensitivity analysis permits the user to input variations of certain parameters and then run a sensitivity study (linear or non linear) to obtain statistical variations for other defined parameters. The secondary flow model, as a design feature, has an option for varying input values and propagating them through the flow model. Typically the flow model takes single input values per chambers and restrictors in the form of flow areas, pressures and temperatures. The probabilistic flow analysis allows 20 the user to input variability in engine performance (day to day variability) and hardware geometry (engine to engine variability) yielding the variability in mass flow rates and air temperatures and pressures. 2.2.1 Probabilistic Flow Model Inputs and Outputs The input file for the probabilistic study needs to identify the parameter (chamber or restrictor) being varied the nominal value, the standard deviation, the distribution type and the variance. The flow model probabilistic analysis generates regression output, cumulative density functions, and probability density functions. After propagating input variability through the model by means of an input file, it is possible to analyze the model outcomes of means and deviations. 21 3. Methodology 3.1 Method of Analysis The secondary flow model used for the probabilistic study is a data-matched secondary flow model of a current production commercial turbofan engine configuration was identified. This flow model’s input parameters are a specified pressure, temperature and flow rate for a standard day take off condition. A probabilistic analysis allows variation of different input parameters (many at a time) in a random manner independently which will generate the effect on several other output parameters with the resulting probability or frequency distribution of each output parameter. By default, all the input variables will change completely independent of each other [2]. The input values used for the probabilistic analysis are refined variations as determined from tolerance dimensions identified from part drawings, experience and engineering judgment. The probabilistic analysis used the Latin hypercube [12] sampling method and is a design feature of the flow model. The statistical method of Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) was developed to generate a distribution of plausible collections of parameter values from a multidimensional distribution. The technique was first described by McKay in 1979 [8], it was further elaborated by Ronald L. Iman, and others [10] in 1981. Detailed computer codes and manuals were later published [11]. This method is incorporated into the secondary flow model’s FORTRAN code. The probabilistic analysis was run for 4000 samples. In the context of statistical sampling, a square grid containing sample positions is a Latin square if (and only if) there is only one sample in each row and each column. A Latin hypercube is the generalization of this concept to an arbitrary number of dimensions, whereby each sample is the only one in each axis-aligned hyper-plane containing it. When sampling a function of divided into N variables, the range of each variable is M equally probable intervals. M sample points are then placed to satisfy the Latin hypercube requirements; note that this forces the number of divisions, M, to be equal for each variable. Also note that this sampling scheme does not require more samples for more dimensions (variables); this independence is one of the main 22 advantages of this sampling scheme. Another advantage is that random samples can be taken one at a time, remembering which samples were taken so far. The maximum number of combinations for a Latin Hypercube of M divisions and N variables (i.e., dimensions) can be computed with the following formula: For example, a Latin hypercube of M = 4 divisions with N = 2 square) will have 24 possible combinations. A Latin hypercube of M variables (i.e., a = 4 divisions with N = 3 variables (i.e., a cube) will have 576 possible combinations [12]. 3.2 Probabilistic Variation Types Two types of input parameters are varied in this study, day to day variation, which are engine conditions and engine to engine variation which are manufacturing tolerances. The day to day variations can be captured through the high pressure turbine inlet and exit pressure and temperature. The standard deviation applied to the engine performance was obtained from performance engineers. The engine to engine variations are captured by varying the geometry of the system’s hardware, this includes areas and flow rates. Manufacturing tolerances for each significant input were identified by interrogating current build of material drawings for the hardware such as the knife edge seal clearances. The variation values are currently documented and can be found on drawings and engineering standard work. Table 1 shows the parameters varied for the probabilistic analysis. 23 Table 2 Parameter and standard deviations Output parameters include flow rate, pressure and temperature for the TOBI, the blade supply pressure, blade leading edge rim cavity purge flow and cooling flow for the blade’s leading edge, trailing edge and platform trailing edge. The following table provides a list of selected output parameters of the subsystem that are included in the input file. Table 3 Output Parameters 24 3.2.1 Create Input File The input file that contains the input parameter names (same as identified in the flow model), nominal value, standard deviation, the distribution type and the variance applied. The output parameters are also included in the input file. The flow network solver will then generate random values for each input within the given distributions and solve the system for each sample. The convergence criteria for the flow network solver is to solve all the unknown pressures, flows and temperatures until all the mass flow rates summed are equal to zero. ** SENSITIVITY INPUT FILE FORMAT * Use '*' at first column for comments * Commercial Turbofan Engine probabilistic study thesis, Final Run * * ** INPUT PARAMETERS IN THE EQUATION/MUDS LIST (DONOT MODIFY THIS LINE !) * Parameter (exact as left hand of EQUATIONS) + standard deviation + Distribution type + Truncated value * note: Distribution type: Uniform ( = 0), Normal ( = 1) and Truncated Normal (= 2) * Truncated value if for Truncated Normal (= 2) only * *Gaspath Pressures at stations 4, 45 (St.dev=0.1% of avg) PPERF5 0.3884 2 0.7769 *(avg=388.40) PPERF6 0.0973 2 0.1945 *(avg=97.30) *TPERF5 (avg=3173.7) *TPERF6 (avg=1955.5) * ** INPUT PARAMETERS NOT IN THE EQATION/MUDS LIST (DONOT MODIFY THIS LINE !) * Parameter + mean value + standard deviation + Distribution type + Truncated value * note: Distribution type: Uniform ( = 0), Normal ( = 1) and Truncated Normal (= 2) * Truncated value if for Truncated Normal (= 2) only * * CHAMBERS: Parameter = PRESxxxx (xxxx is ID NUMBER) * CTMPxxxx * RxINRDxxxx (Inner Radius for rotor x chamber xxxx) * RxOURDxxxx (Outer Radius for rotor x chamber xxxx) * x is rotor real number! * * RESISTOR TYPES APPLICABLE * RESTRICTOR: Parameter = RSARxxxx 1, 2, 4(area) * RSCDxxxx 1, 2, 4(CD) * RSFLxxxx 2 (Flow) * MXRIxxxx 3 (Largest Radius of labseal) * STHTxxxx 3 (step Height of labseal) * CLEAxxxx 3 (Cleanrance) * UPRIxxxx 6 (upstream radius) * DWRIxxxx 6 (downstream radius) * RSRFxxxx 6 (RPMF) * RSEXxxxx 6 (Vortex exponent) * ORARxxxx 8 (Orifice area) * PIARxxxx 8 (Pipe area) * *Type 1,2,4 Restrictions (St.Dev 2-5% of Avg.) RSAR7586 0.446 0.00892 2 0.01784 RSAR7584 0.1533 0.003066 2 0.006132 RSAR4092 1.644 0.03288 2 0.06576 RSAR4002 0.00181 0.0000362 2 25 0.0000724 RSAR4022 1 0.02 2 0.04 RSAR4061 0.5986 0.011972 2 0.023944 RSAR4017 0.003 0.00006 2 0.00012 RSAR4023 0.9923 0.019846 2 0.039692 1 Figure 6 Input file for probabilistic run * *Type 1,2,4 Restrictions (St.Dev 2-5% of Avg.) RSAR7586 0.446 0.00892 2 0.01784 RSAR7584 0.1533 0.003066 2 0.006132 RSAR4092 1.644 0.03288 2 0.06576 RSAR4002 0.00181 0.0000362 2 0.0000724 RSAR4022 1 0.02 2 0.04 RSAR4061 0.5986 0.011972 2 0.023944 RSAR4017 0.003 0.00006 2 0.00012 RSAR4023 0.9923 0.019846 2 0.039692 RSAR8591 5.89 0.1178 2 0.2356 RSAR8503 38 0.76 2 1.52 RSAR7000 0.004 0.0002 2 0.0004 RSAR7001 0.004 0.0002 2 0.0004 RSAR7002 0.004 0.0002 2 0.0004 RSAR4027 9.204 0.18408 2 0.36816 RSAR4086 0.6675 0.033375 2 0.06675 RSAR4085 6.467 0.32335 2 0.6467 RSAR4037 5.658 0.2829 2 0.5658 RSAR4081 0.0001 0.000005 2 0.00001 RSAR4030 0.0815 0.004075 2 0.00815 RSAR4048 7.2 0.36 2 0.72 RSAR4069 0.0267 0.001335 2 0.00267 RSAR4072 0.02419 0.0012095 2 0.002419 RSAR4071 0.02419 0.0012095 2 0.002419 RSAR4049 0.2006 0.01003 2 0.02006 RSAR4053 0.092 0.0046 2 0.0092 RSAR4034 1 0.05 2 0.1 RSAR4035 1 0.05 2 0.1 RSAR4036 1 0.05 2 0.1 RSAR4077 60 3 2 6 RSAR4010 1 0.015 2 0.03 * *TOBI ID/OD Lab Seals (St.dev 5-15% of CLR) MXRI4011 6 0.12 2 0.24 CLEA4011 0.008 0.0004 2 0.0008 MXRI4015 7.56 0.1512 2 0.3024 CLEA4015 0.012 0.0018 2 0.0036 * *Blade Platform Leakages (St.Dev 25% of Avg.) RSAR4038 0.06306 0.015765 2 0.03153 RSAR4082 0.06306 0.015765 2 0.03153 RSAR4057 0.03 0.0075 2 0.015 RSAR4040 0.03024 0.00756 2 0.01512 RSAR4060 0.03 0.0075 2 0.015 RSAR4042 0.036 0.009 2 0.018 RSAR4076 6.721 1.68025 2 3.3605 RSAR4044 0.069 0.01725 2 0.0345 RSAR4043 0.012 0.003 2 0.006 RSAR4013 0.0841 0.021025 2 0.04205 RSAR4058 0.0021 0.000525 2 0.00105 RSAR4045 0.123 0.03075 2 0.0615 RSAR4063 0.00936 0.00234 2 0.00468 RSAR4062 0.0075 0.001875 2 0.00375 RSAR4047 0.42 0.105 2 0.21 RSAR4059 10.725 2.68125 2 5.3625 * 2 Figure 7 Input file for final probabilistic run RSAR4044 0.069 0.01725 2 0.0345 RSAR4043 0.012 0.003 2 0.006 RSAR4013 0.0841 0.021025 2 0.04205 RSAR4058 0.0021 0.000525 2 0.00105 RSAR4045 0.123 0.03075 2 0.0615 RSAR4063 0.00936 0.00234 2 0.00468 RSAR4062 0.0075 0.001875 2 0.00375 RSAR4047 0.42 0.105 2 0.21 RSAR4059 10.725 2.68125 2 5.3625 * *Vane Platform Leakages (St.Dev 25% of Avg.) RSAR4004 0.03968 0.00992 2 0.01984 RSAR4005 0.03366 0.008415 2 0.01683 RSAR4006 0.026281 0.00657025 2 0.0131405 RSAR4007 0.1347 0.033675 2 0.06735 RSAR4008 0.04864 0.01216 2 0.02432 RSAR4046 0.0627 0.015675 2 0.03135 RSAR4056 0.003602 0.0009005 2 0.001801 RSAR4055 0.0627 0.015675 2 0.03135 RSAR4009 0.0905 0.022625 2 0.04525 RSAR4054 0.04864 0.01216 2 0.02432 * *RPM Factors Vortices (St.Dev 5% of Avg.) RSRF4000 0.325 0.01625 2 0.0325 RSRF4001 0.12 0.006 2 0.012 RSRF4012 0.5 0.025 2 0.05 RSRF4014 0.7 0.035 2 0.07 RSRF4016 0.5 0.025 2 0.05 RSRF4018 0.5 0.025 2 0.05 RSRF4019 0.48 0.024 2 0.048 RSRF4020 0.48 0.024 2 0.048 RSRF4028 1.23 0.0615 2 0.123 RSRF4029 1 0.05 2 0.1 RSRF4079 0.46 0.023 2 0.046 RSRF4084 1 0.05 2 0.1 RSFR4052 1 0.05 2 0.1 RSRF4051 1 0.05 2 0.1 RSRF4050 1 0.05 2 0.1 RSRF4032 1 0.05 2 0.1 RSRF4068 1 0.05 2 0.1 RSRF4070 1 0.05 2 0.1 * ** OUTPUT PARAMETER (DO NOT MODIFY THIS LINE !) * CHAMBER: PRESxxxx / CTMPxxxx (xxxx is ID NUMBER) * RESTRICTOR: RSFLxxxx * BEARING LOAD: LOADx (x is the xth BL in the BL list. no always th rotor number!) * *TOBI ID/OD Seal Flow & Pressure & Temperature RSFL4011 RSFL4015 RSFL4010 PRES4004 CTMP4004 RSFL4027 *Rim-cav Flow & Pressure & Temperature RSFL4037 3 26 ** OUTPUT PARAMETER (DO NOT MODIFY THIS LINE !) * CHAMBER: PRESxxxx / CTMPxxxx (xxxx is ID NUMBER) * RESTRICTOR: RSFLxxxx * BEARING LOAD: LOADx (x is the xth BL in the BL list. no always the rotor number!) * *TOBI ID/OD Seal Flow & Pressure & Temperature RSFL4011 RSFL4015 RSFL4010 PRES4004 CTMP4004 RSFL4027 *Rim-cav Flow & Pressure & Temperature RSFL4037 PRES4045 CTMP4045 RSFL4085 RSFL4039 RSFL4076 PRES4013 CTMP4013 *Blade Platform Leakage RSFL4038 RSFL4082 RSFL4041 RSFL4057 RSFL4040 RSFL4060 RSFL4042 *Vane Platform Leakage RSFL4004 RSFL4005 RSFL4006 RSFL4007 RSFL4008 RSFL4009 RSFL4046 RSFL4056 RSFL4055 RSFL4054 *Blade Cooling Flow RSFL4034 RSFL4035 RSFL4036 RSFL4077 *Blade Supply Pressure PRES4003 Figure 8 Input file for final probabilistic run 27 4 4. Results of Latin Hypercube Analysis 4.1 Output Data A probabilistic analysis allows variation of different input parameters (many at a time) in a random manner independently which will generate the effect on several other output parameters with the resulting probability or frequency distribution of each output parameter. Identifying the significant parameters of the pre-swirl nozzle cooling air capture and delivery system is determined by reviewing the output data. There are 3 output files of interest generated by the probabilistic analysis and they are the cumulative distribution function, the probability density function, and the regression. The regression is the most helpful for identifying significant parameters by looking at the percent of the total variance a given input contributes. The cumulative distribution functions are useful for determining how likely a range of values are. The probability density functions are useful for determining if enough samples were taken and distribution type of output variables. 4.1.1.1 Pie Charts The pie charts are made using the regression output and show the % of total variance contribution for each output parameter. These will help identify which parameters are significant contributors. 4.1.1.2 Histograms The cumulative density function histograms show the how close the parameters are to the normal distribution. 4.1.1.3 Plots Probability Density Function (PDF) serves to represent a probability distribution in terms of integrals. The probability density functions are useful for determining if enough samples were taken and distribution type of output variables. A probability density function can be seen as a 'smoothed out' version of a histogram. 28 4.2 Probabilistic Results 4.2.1 Identifying key sources of variability After standard deviations were entered the regression analysis was run and the effect of individual input can be assessed. For this analysis a quadratic regression equation is fit to the model output data by a method of least squares [7]. Y = y0 + bi(Xi) + ci(Xi)2 (1) Where Y is the output variable, y0 is the constant regression coefficient, and bi is the linear regression term which is a measure of how input variability affects output variability. The quadratic regression term, ci, is a measure of how input variability affects the output mean value. And Xi = (Xi – i)/i (2) The regression results are manipulated to show a normalized linear coefficient as discussed by Stearns & Cloud [2]. The following coefficient will indicate what potential the input variability has to affect the output variability. i = (bi*i/i)/100 (3) Where bi is the linear regression term for the ith input and i and i is the sample mean and the sample deviation value of the ith input variable. If the ith variable changes by 1% the output variable will change by units. The next coefficient that is created is a measure of how much the total variance of an input contributes and is calculated as follows: i = bi2/bi2 (4) The ith input variable contributes % of the total variance on that output. This coefficient is used in this analysis to predict the most significant drivers, since the assumed input variables were known to be reasonable approximations. Variables contributing less than 1% will be ignored, with little loss of accuracy [2], but contributions up to .1% will be included in subsequent plots when practical. The sensitivities of the outputs, by using this data, can be determined easily by sorting the data by the magnitude of the linear regression coefficient. 29 4.2.2 Output Parameters and Location The results of the probabilistic run are shown through the following normalized data plots. The pie charts for each output parameter include the TOBI flow, TOBI ID seal leakage, TOBI OD seal leakage, rim cavity purge flow for the leading and trailing edge of the blade, and the supply pressure to the blade, and the cooling flow for the blade leading edge, mid-body, trailing edge and platform trailing edge. See figures 1 & 2 for locations of output parameters of the blade and TOBI area. Mid body cooling flow Blade & Vane Inputs Blade cooling flow TE Vane platform Leakages Blade cooling flow LE Blade platform leakages PF TE cooling flow LE rim cavity TE rim cavity Rear blade attachment leakages Blade supply pressure Figure 1 Blade output parameters 30 TOBI Area Inputs TOBI OD labyrinth seal Mini disk vortex TOBI by-pass holes TOBI OD vortex TOBI flow Mini disk holes TOBI ID labyrinth seal Figure 2 TOBI area output parameters 31 4.2.2.1 TOBI Flow Area TOBI Flow Area % of Total Variance Contribution 0.03% 0.01% TOBI Flow Area Mini Disk Vortex RPMF RSAR4036 99.97% Figure 3 4.2.2.2 TOBI Discharge Pressure TOBI Discharge Pressure % of Total Variance Contribution 6.9% 0.6% 9.1% Mini Disk Vortex RPMF TOBI Flow Area Blade LE Cooling Flow Area 9.1% 51.6% Blade TE Cooling Flow Area TOBI OD Lab Seal Clearance 11.0% Blade Mid Body Cooling Flow Area Blade Platform Leakage 11.7% Figure 4 32 4.2.2.3 TOBI Discharge Temperature TOBI Discharge Temperature % of Total Variance Contribution 0.3% 0.6% 1.2% TOBI OD Lab Seal Clearance 3.0% Mini Disk Vortex RPMF 3.5% TOBI Flow Area TOBI OD Cavity Vortex RPMF Blade TE Cooling Flow Area 4.6% 29.8% 5.7% Blade Mid Body Cooling Flow Area Blade LE Cooling Flow Area 8.7% TOBI ID Lab Seal Clearance TOBI OD Lab Seal Radius TOBI ID Lab Seal Radius Blade Platform Leakage 16.2% 26.5% Figure 5 33 4.2.2.4 TOBI Inner Diameter Labyrinth Seal Leakage TOBI ID Lab Seal Leakage % of Total Variarance Contribution 0.1% 5.6% TOBI ID Lab Seal Clearance 0.0% 5.7% TOBI ID Lab Seal Radius TOBI OD Cavity Vortex RPMF TOBI ByPass Hole Area 15.1% Mini Disk Vortex RPMF RSRF4012 RSAR4010 73.2% RSAR4036 Figure 6 4.2.2.5 TOBI Outer Diameter Labyrinth Seal Leakage TOBI OD Lab Seal Leakage % of Total Variance Contribution 1.0% 2.4% 2.5% TOBI OD Lab Seal Clearance 3.4% Mini Disk Vortex RPMF 4.2% TOBI Flow Area Blade TE Cooling Flow 0.2% 4.3% Blade LE Cooling Flow Blade Mid-Body Cooling Flow TOBI OD Lab Seal Radius RSRF4014 19.5% 62.1% RSRF4018 RSAR4049 RSAR4027 RSAR4030 34 4.2.2.6 Blade Supply Pressure 4.2.2.7 LE Rim Cavity Purge Flow 4.2.2.8 TE Rim Cavity Purge Flow Blade TE Rim Cavity Purge Flow % of Total Variance Contribution 1.5% 2.3% 0.1% 5.4% Blade TE Rim Cavity Pressure HPT Exit Ref Pressure 6.5% Blade LE Rim Cavity Pressure Blade Rear Fleather Seal Leakage Blade Rear Fleather Seal Leakage 48.0% HPT Inlet Ref Pressure Blade Rear Fleather Seal Leakage 36.3% 4.2.2.9 Blade LE Cooling Flow Blade LE Cooling Flow Area % of Total Variance Contribution 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% Blade LE Cooling Flow Area 4.7% Blade TE Cooling Flow Area 5.7% TOBI Flow Area Blade Mid Body Cooling Flow Area TOBI OD Lab Seal Clearance Mini Disk Votex RPMF Rear Blade Leakage 0.1% 6.8% 7.5% TOBI OD Lab Seal Radius RSRF4014 RSAR4030 10.9% 35 63.4% 4.2.2.10 Mid-Body Cooling Flow Blade Mid Body Cooling Flow % of Total Variance Contribution 0.2% 0.5% 4.4% Blade Mid Body Cooling Flow Area Blade TE Cooling Flow Area Blade LE Cooling Flow Area 5.3% 6.9% TOBI Flow Area TOBI OD Lab Seal Clearance 8.4% Mini Disk Vortext RPMF Rear Blade Fleather Seal Leakage MXRI4015 10.1% 64.2% 4.2.2.11 Blade TE Cooling Flow Blade TE Cooling Flow % of Total Variance Contribution Blade LE Cooling Flow Area Blade TE Cooling Flow Area 1.5% 1.8% 1.2% 2.0% 2.4% 0.2% TOBI Flow Area Blade Mid Body Cooling Flow Area TOBI OD Lab Seal Clearance Mini Disk Vortex RPMF 90.8% Rear Blade Feather Seal Leakage 36 4.2.2.12 Platform TE Cooling Flow Blade Platform Cooling Flow % of Total Variance Contributions 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% Blade Platform Cooling Flow Area Blade TE Cooling Flow Area Blade LE Cooling Flow Area 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 0.1% TOBI Flow Area Blade Mid Body Cooling Flow Area TOBI OD Lab Seal Clearance Mini Disk Vortex RPMF Rear Blade Leakage 94.6% 1. Vane & Platform Leakages Table 1 shows the output regression coefficients for the TOBI inner diameter (ID) seal flow restrictor. 37 5. Conclusions 38