University of Edinburgh School of Economics Economics 2 – 2011/2012 Pre-requisites Economics 1A or permission of the Senior DOS Visiting Students ONLY : There is a half year (semester 1) version of this course TEACHING ARRANGEMENTS The 3 lectures per week consist of two Economics lectures (Tuesday and Friday) and one weekly lecture on Introduction to Data Analysis (Wednesday)*. The Data Analysis lecture will cover basic material, knowledge of which will be necessary for Economics 2 and for courses in honours years. *For Weeks 1-5 of Semester 1, the timing of the Data Analysis lecture and the first Economics lecture of the week will be switched. See below for more details. Lectures Tuesdays & Fridays 10:00-10:50 David Hume Tower, Lecture Theatre B Wednesdays (Introduction to Data Analysis) 10:00-10:50 David Hume Tower, Lecture Theatre B Tutorials: Semester 1, weeks 2-10; Semester 2, weeks 2-6 and 8-11. Tutorial attendance is compulsory. Penalties arise from failure to attend tutorials – see overleaf. Help Desk: Maths Help Desk: Please note: Tuesdays and Fridays 1:05-1.50pm, Rm 3.04, 24 Buccleuch Place Tuesdays 1:05-1.50pm, Rm 1.02, 22 Buccleuch Place Help Desk locations for Semester 2 will change, and will be confirmed at a later date. WebCT: The Economics 2 WebCT site is the main source of information on course matters, lecture handouts, information about essays, tutorial attendance records etc. It also contains the Economics 2 Handbook – WHICH YOU ARE EXPECTED TO READ. You can access WebCT via MyED (Inside MyED, WebCT is available from the myWebCT channel in the ‘Studies’ tab). Tutorial Registration: can only be done using WebCT. Follow the instructions on the Economics 2 WebCT site. Register for your tutorial as soon as possible. The longer you leave it, the more restricted the choice of tutorial times you are likely to find open. If you attend a tutorial without registering, you will be recorded as absent. ASSESSMENT There are two basic components to the assessment – class-work and a degree examination. Class-work consists of: regular online tests; three class exams; and an essay. Further details of these components are available in the Economics 2 Handbook on the Economics 2 WebCT site. It is not possible to gain exemption from the degree examination in Economics 2. The Final Mark for the course will be determined as follows: Class Exam (multiple choice, October): 10% Class Exam (multiple choice, December diet): 10% Class Exam (multiple choice, February): 10% Essay (2000 words, semester 2): 15% Degree Exam (May diet): 50% Online Tests: 5% (semester 1 and semester 2, each worth 2.5%) - Online test mark for each semester will be the average of the highest 5 marks. - Tutorial attendance: penalty 3 marks deducted for 5 missed tutorials, 6 marks deducted for 7 missed tutorials, 9 marks deducted for 9 missed tutorials. Resit Exam (August diet): 100% Economics 2 (VV1) Assessment: Class Exam (multiple choice, October): 45% Class Exam (multiple choice, December diet): 45% Online Tests: 10% - Online test mark will be the average of the highest 5 marks. - Tutorial attendance: penalty 6 marks deducted for 5 missed tutorials, 12 marks deducted for 7 missed tutorials, 18 marks deducted for 9 missed tutorials. Entry into Economics Honours normally requires a mark of 50% or more in Economics 2 (at the first sitting). PERSONAL TUTORS Each student will have a personal tutor who will oversee his/her academic development over the course of the year. Your personal tutor will also be the same tutor you have for Economics 2 tutorials and will arrange to have a half hour one-to-one meeting with you in the second semester to discuss your academic performance so far and provide feedback. ILLNESS, PERSONAL PROBLEMS, SPECIAL NEEDS AND DISABILITIES In the first instance you should contact your Director of Studies, and the Course Co-ordinator. See the Economics 2 Handbook on the Economics 2 WebCT site for more details. READINGS Texts: Microeconomics by R. Pindyck and D. Rubinfeld (7th edition) (Pearson) Macroeconomics by N. Gregory Mankiw (7th edition) (Palgrave) Introduction to Econometrics by James M. Stock and Mark W. Watson, only chapters 1-3 (2nd edition) (Pearson), or Introductory Econometrics, A modern approach, by Jeffrey Wooldridge (4th edition) (South-Western Cengage Learning) Note: Instructors will provide students with more detailed lists of readings for each part of the course. BRIEF COURSE OUTLINE Please, note that there may be some small changes. Tuesday & Friday Lectures:* Semester 1 Weeks 1–5 6-10 11 Semester 2 Weeks 1–6 7 8-11 20 Sept– 25 Nov 2011 General Equilibrium and Game Theory Uncertainty and Investment No lectures/tutorials Dr Santiago Sanchez-Pages Dr Nick Vikander 17 Jan – 6 April 2012 Economic Growth Reading/Study Week Business Cycles Professor Sevi Rodriguez Mora no lectures or tutorials Professor Andy Snell Innovative Learning Week will take place from Feb. 20-24, after Week 5 and before Week 6. There will be no lectures or tutorials during this week. Wednesday Lectures on Introduction to Data Analysis with Dr Dimitra Politi:* Tentative Schedule (subject to change)* Fall Semester: Probability Theory and Probability Distributions Week 1 (Tuesday lecture) Introduction to Data Analysis in Economics Week 2 (Tuesday lecture) A primer on probability theory Week 3 (Tuesday lecture) Conditional probability, independence, and Bayes’ Theorem Week 4 (Tuesday lecture) Week 5 (Tuesday lecture) Random variables, Probability Distributions, and Statistical Independence Statistical Independence (continued) Week 6 Characteristics of Probability Distributions and some examples Week 7 The Normal, Chi-squared, Student t, and F Distributions Week 8 Random sampling and some sample statistics Week 9 Large Sample Approximations, The Law of Large Numbers and The Central Limit Theorem The Central Limit Theorem, Semester I revision Week 10 Spring Semester: Introduction to Statistics Week 1 December exam discussion and feedback Week 2 Statistical Inference, Estimation, and Hypothesis Testing Week 3 Estimators and their properties in small and large samples; the case of the population mean Estimation of the population mean, and introduction to hypothesis testing Week 4 Week 5 Hypothesis Testing (continued): estimating the population variance Feb. 20-24 Innovative Learning Week: No lectures Week 6 Hypothesis Testing (continued): the t-statistic Week 7 Reading/Study Week: No lectures Week 8 Hypothesis Testing (continued): significance levels and confidence intervals Hypothesis Testing (continued): comparing means from different populations Week 9 Week 10 Approaches to estimation: Least Squares, Method of Moments, Maximum Likelihood Relationships between two variables, Semester II revision Week 11 IMPORTANT: * For Weeks 1-5 of Semester 1, the Data Analysis lecture will take place on Tuesday, while the Economics lectures will take place on Wednesday and Friday. Assessments 21 October 2011 12 Dec – 21 Dec 2011 2 Feb 2012 17 February 2012 30 Apr - 25 May 2012 Aug 2012 Class exam Economics 2 Class Exam Period Essay due 3pm Class exam Economics Degree Exam Period Resit Examination ONLINE TESTS There will be weekly on-line tests set up on WebCT during semester time. Each test will be available for two weeks, usually released on Tuesday mornings at 9am, and available for completion until Tuesday 9am 2 weeks later. If you have problems accessing the test email Econ2@ed.ac.uk immediately so that the problem can be rectified. Each test will normally comprise 10 to 20 multiple choice questions and focus on the material covered in the relevant week, as well as occasional review questions to reinforce understanding of material covered earlier. The tests are primarily formative in nature, i.e. they are aimed at motivating your study by encouraging active learning and enabling you to monitor your own performance. Your performance in the tests will contribute towards your final mark for the course. Therefore you are required to submit answers to the online tests. An average of the 5 highest marks from your online test results in each semester will be used to calculate your mark. Only the top 5 marks in a semester are used to calculate the online test mark, to allow for illness, missed tests or technical difficulties. A mark of zero is recorded for each missed test. TUTORIAL ATTENDANCE Attendance at tutorials is required as an integral part of the course. Tutors will keep an attendance record. It is the responsibility of students to ensure that their names are recorded on the attendance sheet. Students are expected to be on time for tutorials. Missing 5 tutorials in a semester will result in a penalty of 3 marks being deducted from the final mark awarded for the course; missing 7 tutorials in a semester will result in a penalty of 6 marks being deducted from the final mark awarded for the course, if you fail to attend 9 tutorials your final mark for the course will be reduced by 9 marks. In previous years students have failed the course because of penalties incurred through tutorial absences! It is the student’s responsibility to check that the attendance record is correct. To check your attendance record, go to WebCT, where the course secretary will post attendance when she receives the data from tutors. Following each week of tutorials, it is updated each Monday morning. If you disagree with the record, you have until 4pm of the Friday following the week of the disputed tutorial to register your disagreement. For example, if you have a tutorial on Wednesday of week 2, the updated record will appear on WebCT on Monday morning of week 3, and you have until 4pm on Friday of week 3 to challenge the record. This should be by e-mail to Econ2@ed.ac.uk. Please note that if you attend a tutorial other than your assigned one, you will be recorded as absent. In addition the secretary will endeavour to e-mail a warning to any students who have missed three tutorials (copied to your DOS), but due to lags inherent in the system you should not rely on this as an infallible guide. The allowance of four missed tutorials per semester before a penalty is incurred is to cover all normal reasons for unavoidable absence such as illness. The only exception to this is chronic illness or similar affecting all or most of a semester. In this case, a student must submit a Medical Certificate or similar evidence to cover the period of absence and this will be taken into consideration in determining whether a penalty for missed tutorials will apply. CONTACT DETAILS Course Organiser: Course Secretary: Nick Vikander (Nick.Vikander@ed.ac.uk) Room 2.01, 21 BP Eirlys Armstrong (Econ2@ed.ac.uk) Room 1.01, 21 BP