ANNOUNCEMENTS Announcements: Midterm 2 will be on next Thursday May 17, 2012. CLASS: ARE 100B (Spring 2012) DATE: May 15, 2012 DAY: Tuesday NOTETAKER: Hanson Chan LECTURE 13 PAGE: 1 of 3 Last Lecture: Professor has talked about game theories, different strategies, and Nash Equilibrium. Notes: - Auctions o A type of game o Based on bidding procedure. - American or English style auction o Bid Price start low, then risen by an increment, one exception, many throw a high price one time – “Sucker check”. - Dutch Auction o Price starts high, then decline by an increment. 200>190>180. - Seal-bid Auction o item advertised for sale. o A date or time is announced when written bids will be opened, Either highest bid is accepted (normal method) at bid price. Or highest bid accepted at highest price. Electronic auction → such as ebay. Similar to American auction. Price start low + rises by a fixed. Fixed ending time. Example: how auction bid type affect outcome. o 3 potential buyers Each with following reservation price: P1 = $100, P2 = $90, P3 = $80. Try the American auction, with $5 bid increment. Bidding 40, 45, … Buyer 1 will definitely win She will pay either $90 (if bid 90 before 2 does), or $95 (if 2 bid 90 first) o Dutch Auction Bid starts high – silence, 150 – 125 – 120 … etc. When it gets to 100, buyer 1 might or might not bid. At P = 90, buyer 2 might or might not bid. Price could even fall to 80 or 75. (less & less likely). COPYRIGHTED MATERIAL—DO NOT DUPLICATE 530.752.7638 -- classicalnotes@asucd.ucdavis.edu ARE 100B (Spring 2012) Lecture 13 Page 2 of 3 o o Sealed-bid auction: 2 types → i) First bid auction, change the highest bid, then pay that price. o Buyer 1 might bud, pay $100. o or might bid less ← monetary incentive to underbid. o Similar to ditch auction. ii) Second-bid auction. o Highest bidder comes win the item. o Pay second-highest bid price. o Optimal Strategy – bid true reservation price. o Buyer 1 wins, $90. Electronic Auction, like ebay Bidding similar to American style , except for deadline. Allows for strategy called “Sniping” Another unethical strategy → this one occur in line American style auction or ebay auction. “SHILLING” a shill is a fake buyer. Another way to clarify auction → by the type valu of the item being sold. - 1) Unique – value auction o Different buyers have a different reservation price collectable. - 2) Common Value Auction o All buyers agree on value per unit, but quantity is uncertain. Ex.: oil, gas, drilling leases. - Problem: - ARE 100B (Spring 2012) Lecture 13 Page 3 of 3 - “The minners curse” o So these firms typically bid < their estimate quantity. o Another Common situation. A building is to be built Contractors bid to win the project. They must estimate their cost, then add some predit margin. If you underestimate cost, you are more likely to win bid.