LECTURE 1: (Monday 16 March, part 1) Introduction to Monopoly I. Discrete example to introduce General Equilibrium and Monopoly Buyer Value Seller Cost Unit 1 6 Unit 2 5 Unit 3 4 Unit 4 3 Unit 5 2 Unit 6 1 Unit 7 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 A. General Equilibrium Version. Each buyer wants only one unit, each seller can produce only one unit. If each seller acts as price-taker, then there will be a unique equilibrium with price = 3 and quantity = 4. If price is set greater than 3, then more than 4 sellers and fewer than 4 buyers will want to trade. If price is set lower than 3, then fewer than 4 sellers and more than 4 buyers will want to trade. IMPORTANT MATHEMATICAL POINT: Note that market quantity and market price are linked in a one-for-one relationship. INVISIBLE HAND: Increase price if there is too much demand (“Surplus Demand”), reduce price if there is too much supply. An invisible hand rule would lead to the unique equilibrium price in this case. SOCIAL SURPLUS: The social surplus for each unit produced is the difference between buyer’s value and seller’s cost for that unit. Here social surplus is positive for units 1 (surplus 6), unit 2 (surplus 4), unit 3 (surplus 2), and either zero or negative for additional units. In this context, general equilibrium has the important property of maximizing social surplus – whereby the equilibrium price coordinates buyers and sellers to trade the “right number” of units. We can subdivide social surplus into consumer surplus (CS) and producer surplus (PS) or profits. Because of the symmetric nature of this example, CS and PS are equal for each unit at the equilibrium price of 3 and in their sums. Buyer and seller each achieve surplus 3 on unit 1. Buyer and seller each achieve surplus 2 on unit 2. Buyer and seller each achieve surplus 1 on unit 3. Thus, the total CS = 3 + 2 + 1 = 6 and total PS = 3 + 2 + 1 = 6. B. Monopoly Version: There are still 6 buyers, each wanting only one unit, but a single seller with increasing “marginal costs” of production. It is free to produce the first unit, costs 1 to produce the second unit, and so on. The seller chooses a price and sells to anyone who wants to buy at that price. Another way of saying this is that the seller can’t tell which possible buyers have the highest value for the good. Let’s just try some possible prices: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Price = 6 implies quantity = 1 with total cost 0. Profit = 1 x 6 – 0 = 6. Price = 5 implies quantity = 2 with total cost 1. Profit = 2 x 5 – 1 = 9. Price = 4 implies quantity = 3 with total cost 3. Profit = 3 x 4 – 3 = 9. Price = 3 implies quantity = 4 with total cost 6. Profit = 4 x 3 – 6 = 3. Price = 2 implies quantity = 5 with total cost 10. Profit = 5 x 2 – 10 = 0. Price = 1 implies quantity = 6 with total cost 15. Profit = 6 x 1 – 15 = -9. Price = 0 implies quantity = 7 with total cost 21. Profit = 7 x 0 – 21 = 21. So there are two optimal choices of (quantity, price): (2, 5) and (3, 4). Each of these optimal choices involves lower price and lower quantity than in the case of general equilibrium. DEADWEIGHT LOSS: This means that the monopoly outcome is economically inefficient, because the equilibrium quantity is too low to maximize social surplus. For example, with 2 units sold and price 5, CS is equal to 1 for unit 1, 0 for unit 2, for a total of 1. PS is equal to 5 for unit 1, 4 for unit 2, for a total of 9. Social surplus is then equal to CS + PS = 1 + 9 = 10. The difference between social surplus for general equilibrium and social surplus for monopoly = 12 – 10 = 2 is called the deadweight loss. This loss matches the additional surplus that would have been produced from trade of unit #3 (value = 4, cost = 2), but that did not occur as a result of the monopolist’s profit maximization. Why does the monopoly outcome yield lower quantity and higher price than the general equilibrium outcome? There are two components to profit: A. Revenue = Quantity times price. B. Cost Quantity Price Total Revenue Total Costs Profit 1 6 6 0 6 2 5 10 1 9 3 4 12 3 9 4 3 12 6 6 5 2 10 10 0 6 1 6 15 -9 7 0 0 21 -21 Looking at Total Revenue, note that the gain in total revenue decreases with the number of units sold. Also, increasing from 3 units sold to 4 units sold does not increase total revenue, while increasing from 4 to 5 or more units sold will reduce total revenue! The change in revenue as a result of selling an additional unit is called the Marginal Revenue associated with that change in quantity. Marginal revenue for the first unit is equal to 6, the actual price for that unit. Marginal revenue for the second unit is equal to the change in total revenues: MR(unit 2) = Total Revenue(2 units) – Total Revenue (1 unit) = 10 – 6 = 10. The price for the second unit is 5, but its marginal revenue is 4, a smaller number. The reason is that there are two effects of selling the second unit: EFFECT 1: Gain in revenue of 5 from selling a unit that was not previously sold. EFFECT 2: Reduction in price on unit 1, previously sold at price 6, but now sold at price 5. Marginal Revenue for unit 2 is the sum of effects 1 and 2 MR(unit 2) = +6 – 1 = 5. In analyzing the change from selling 1 unit to selling 2 units, we refer to unit 2 as a “Marginal Unit” meaning that it is on the margin between beyond sold and not being sold. We call unit 1 an “Inframarginal Unit”, because it is sold whether or not the price is reduced (from p = 6) and the quantity is increased (from q = 1) The computation for marginal revenue depends on a combination of price and quantity sold at that price, because (1) price determines the magnitude of Effect 1, (2) quantity determines the magnitude of Effect 2. Since price and quantity are linked in a one-to-one relationship, lower price is associated with higher quantity. Therefore: Higher quantity means EFFECT 1 is smaller in magnitude since price is smaller. Higher quantity means EFFECT 2 is larger in magnitude since there are more inframarginal units sold. Since EFFECT 1 is positive and EFFECT 2 is negative in the computation of Marginal Revenue, higher quantity is associated with lower marginal revenue. This property of marginal revenue illustrates the principle of Decreasing Returns. Economic theory typically assumes decreasing returns for consumers (decreasing marginal rate of substitution) and for producers (increasing marginal costs). However, this analysis for monopoly pricing demonstrates how decreasing returns arises naturally from an assumption of ordering of consumers / sales from highest value to lowest value. LECTURE 2: (Monday 16 March, part 1) Continuous Version of Monopoly Pricing The concepts from the numerical example carry over to the more general case where price and quantity are continuous variables rather than integers. The virtue of studying price and quantity as continuous variables is that it allows us to use a Calculus based approach and first-order conditions to characterize the marginal revenue and optimal monopoly price and quantity. Typically, we model the relationship between price and quantity as a function P(Q), corresponding to a graph with quantity Q on the horizontal axis and price P on the vertical axis. It may seem more natural to think of quantity as a function of price, but by convention, economists write P(Q) rather than Q(P), where P’(Q), Q’(P) < 0. Assume that the monopolist has a cost function C(Q) for producing Q units. Assuming that production is costly, C’(Q) > 0. Then the monopolist’s maximization problem is OR Max(Q) Revenue – Cost Max(Q) Q P(Q) - C(Q) Here, it is clearly helpful to be able to represent the price-quantity relationship as P(Q) because this makes it possible to represent the monopolist’s maximization problem in terms of a single choice variable Q. We denote the monopolist’s profit as a function Π(Q). First-Order Conditions for Monopolist Profit Maximization Taking a derivative with respect to Q yields the first-order condition for monopoly maximization. dΠ / dQ = P(Q) + Q P’(Q) – C’(Q) = 0. which can be rewritten as P(Q) + Q P’(Q) = C’(Q) (*) The first term, P(Q), represents the price for the marginal unit of the good We referred to this value before as “EFFECT 1”. The second term, Q P’(Q), represents the instantaneous cost from reducing the price (P’(Q)) on inframarginal units (Q). We referred to this value before as “EFFECT 2”. The term on the right-hand side, C’(Q) represents the cost for producing the marginal unit of the good. Putting these terms together, we interpret the left hand side of equation (*), which represents the monopolist’s first-order condition, as saying Marginal Revenue = Marginal Cost. Note that each of these terms is computed at quantity Q, corresponding to price P(Q). In words, we say that the monopolist chooses Q (and thus P(Q)) so that the marginal revenue is equal to the marginal cost, with both MR and MC computed for the combination (Q, P(Q)) for quantity and price. Comparing FOC for Monopolist and Competitive Firms In a world with many firms, each firm is assumed to be a price-taker, meaning that the firm does not account for its effect of its quantity sold on the market price. That is, each firm assumes P’(Q) = 0 in its profit maximization decision. The first-order conditions for a competitive firm are similar to the first-order conditions for a monopolist, with the single exception that P’(Q) = 0: (FOC Monopolist) P(Qm) + Qm P’(Qm) = C’(Qm) (*) (FOC Competitive Firm) P(Qc) C’(Qc) (**) = We can identify the qualitative difference between Qm and Qc by working backward from the comparison of FOC’s. We add one additional assumption to help with analysis – specifically that the monopolist has decreasing returns to production as indicated by increasing marginal costs: MC(Q) = C’(Q) increasing in Q (i.e. C’’(Q) > 0). In competitive equilibrium, (**) holds and therefore P(Qc) = C’(Qc). But since P’(Q) < 0, we know that Q P’(Q).< 0, which implies MR(monopolist, Q) < MR(competitive firm, Q) at any quantity Q. At Qc, (FOC) holds for a competitive firm, so that P(Qc) = C’(Qc) That is, MR(competitive firm) = MC at Qc , so we know that MR(monopolist) < MC for the monopolist at Qc. That is, the monopolist loses money on marginal units of production at Qc. What happens if the monopolist increases Q from Qc? First, MR will fall because of the increase in Q. Second, MC will increase by our assumption of decreasing returns to production. So increasing Q from Qc only causes the monopolist to lose even more than before for producing the marginal unit. Instead, now think about what happens if the monopolist reduces Q from Qc? This causes MR to increase and MC to decrease, and will eventually restore MR = MC. In sum, the comparison of FOC for monopolist and competitive firm confirms that Qm < Qc and similarly that Pm > Pc. This type of analysis is used in many subfields of microeconomic theory, and is sometimes formalized as an application of the “Implicit Function Theorem”. The key point is that it may be possible to use FOCs to make valuable comparisons between two equilibrium values without actually computing those equilibrium values. Graphical Version The comparison between Qm and Qc is probably even more obvious from a graph of the monopolist’s marginal revenue and price. Since MR(monopolist) lies below price at each quantity, MR(monopolist) < MC at the efficient (competitive equilibrium) quantity Qc where price P = MC. And then, since MR is declining, MC is increasing in Q, it must be that MR = MC at a quantity Qm < Qc. Computations for Linear Demand Example One common numerical example for monopoly pricing assumes constant marginal cost: C(Q) = C * Q and a linear demand system: P(Q) = A – BQ, where A, B, and C are positive and known constant values. For example, with A = 20, B = 2 and C = 4, the price function is given by P(Q) = 20 – 2Q. Then monopolist’s maximization is Max(Q) QP(Q) – C(Q) = Q (20 – 2Q) – 4Q dΠ / dq = 20 – 4Q – 4 = 16 – 4Q. We have ignored the second-order conditions for monopolist’s maximization problem, but can easily check them in this case. d2Π / dq2 = –4 < 0. So the second-order conditions for a maximum hold and the solution to FOC for the monopolist will be a global optimum. That is, the monopolist’s optimal quantity satisfies 16 – 4Q. = 0, so Qm = 4. Substituting into the price function, P(Qm) = 20 – 2Qm = 12. In this example, it is straightforward to solve for profits, consumer surplus and DWL. Profit: The monopolist sells 4 units at price 12, cost 4 per unit. So Profit = 4 * (12 – 4) = 32. Consumer Surplus: We want to compute the area between the demand function P(Q) and the price p = 12. Most of the time, this would require Calculus and evaluation of an integral. But with linear demand, the computation can be done with simple geometry. Consumer surplus is a triangular area with base 4 (the quantity sold) and height 8 (difference between value and price for the first unit sold). Thus CS = ½ * 4 * 8 = 16. Intuitively, the consumer buys 4 units and has average value for each unit somewhere between 20 (initial unit) and 12 (last unit). Since the demand curve is linear, the average value for units sold is exactly 16, the average value for first and last unit. So consumers are purchasing 4 units with average value 16 and price 12 per unit. Combining these facts, CS = quantity * (Average Value – Price) = 4 * (16 – 12) = 16. Deadweight Loss / Comparison to Perfect Competition With perfect competition, the firms would produce until price = MC. Then, the equilibrium quantity Q* would satisfy P(Q*) = MC(Q*) or 20 – 2Q* = 4, or Q* = 8. There would be no profits to producers because they are selling at price = MC and MC is the same for all units. (NOTE: If producers had increasing MC, they could still achieve profits.) So social surplus all goes to consumers. With Q* = 8, p* = 4, CS is the area of a triangle with base 8 and height 16, so CS = ½ * 8 * 16 = 64. Here, consumers purchase 8 units of the good and have average value = (20 + 4) / 2 = 12 per unit, so an alternate way of computing CS is CS = Q * (Avg. Value – Price) = 8 * (12 – 4) = 64. Deadweight loss is simply the difference between social surplus for perfect competition and social surplus for monopolist. DWL = 64 – 48 = 16. Intuitively, DWL occurs because the monopolist sells only 4 units when it would be economically efficient to sell 8 units. Units 4 through 8 have average value (12 + 4) / 2 = 8 to consumers and constant marginal cost 4 for the monopolist to produce. So the average surplus lost due to the quantity reduction by the monopolist is 4 per unit, for a total DWL of 4 * 4 = 16. Reversing the Relationship of Price and Quantity We have focused on representing the monopoly maximization problem in the form Π (Q) = QP(Q) – C(Q), where price is defined as a function of quantity. In general, we assume that P(Q) is strictly decreasing in Q, so that in mathematical terms, there is a oneto-one relationship between price and quantity That is, each quantity is associated with a unique price and so logically each price is associated with a unique quantity. This means that we can invert the function P(Q) to identify the related function Q(P). For example, if P(Q) is linear, P(Q) = A – BQ, then we can rearrange the terms in this equation to produce the alternate equation Q(P) = (A – P) / B, where we have written Q as a function of P rather than the other way around. Since A and B are positive constants, this means that Q(P) is also linear – Q(P) = α – βp, where α = A/B, β = 1/B. It is useful to be able to move back and forth between representations P(Q) and Q(P), depending on whether we want to analyze optimal quantities or prices. For example, it is generally appropriate to look at marginal revenue as a function of quantity sold, but it is also generally appropriate to find the social optimum in terms of price, since the social optimum is given by price = marginal cost. Problems about price discrimination, which will be discussed in the next lecture, generally involve different demand functions for different groups of consumers. The monopolist typically thinks about total quantity sold among all consumers, meaning that it will be necessary to combine the demand curves – which requires the addition of two demand functions – e.g. Q(p) = Q1(p) + Q2(p). As suggested by this formula, this addition is only possible when we write quantities as a function of prices rather than price as a function of quantity. So suppose once again that P(Q) = 20 – 2Q. If we want to work in price instead of quantity, we would rearrange this equation to write Q(P) = 10 – P/2. Then the monopoly profit function is given by Π (P) = P Q(P) – C(Q(P)), which (fortunately) we can rewrite as Π (P) = Q(P) [P– C], since the monopolist makes revenue P per unit sold at cost C per unit sold. With Q(P) = 10 – P/2, Π (P) = dΠ / dP = (10 - P/2) [P– C], 10 + C/2 – P, which has solution P = 10 + C/2. With C = 4, the optimal solution has P* = 12, and thus Q(P) = 10 – 6 = 4, exactly as we computed above. LECTURE 3: (Tuesday 17 March, part 1) Price Discrimination The existence of DWL in standard monopoly pricing suggests two things. First, there is scope for the government to impose regulations on the monopolist in order to increase quantity sold and reduce DWL. Second, there is an incentive for the monopolist to try to capture this DWL as additional profit. Returning to the marginal revenue calculation, the reason that the monopolist restricts quantity is to maintain high prices on inframarginal units sold. In other words, the monopolist limits quantity because of the restriction that all units have to be sold at the same price. If the monopolist could charge different prices to different people – and especially if the monopolist could charge high prices to customers with high values and low prices for customers with low values, then the monopolist would do so. This type of pricing is called price discrimination. The exact nature of price discrimination used by a particular monopolist depends on two factors: (1) information about the specific values of different consumers; (2) legal restrictions on prices offered to different consumers. As discussed in Nolan Miller’s lecture notes, it is also possible to practice price discrimination by charging different prices for different numbers of units of a good. The Miller notes discuss both quantity discounts (“Non Simple Pricing”) and two-part tariffs (a fixed fee paid in advance, plus a price per unit consumed). The idea of each pricing rule is generally that customers are willing to pay more for the first units that they consumer – in other words, that first-unit buyers are the high-value customers and laterunit buyers are the low-value customers. These types of non-linear pricing are common for athletic facilities, amusement parks, and utilities such as electricity and fuel. The most common forms of price discrimination involve different prices for different customers, with each customer only wanting one unit. First degree or Perfect price discrimination is defined as a case where each customer pays her true value for the good. This is only possible if each person’s value is somehow observable to the seller. For example, very clever merchants may be able to figure out a customer’s value from brief conversation, or careful observation (how the customer is dressed, for example). Third degree price discrimination is the case where price is formally determined by an observable characteristic of each buyer. The most common example of this is “student discounts”, where anyone with a “student identification card” is given a discount. The Miller notes give an example of ticket prices for a sports event. It is useful to work through this example in detail to get a better sense of the importance of marginal revenue and for the tradeoffs involved with selling to one group rather than the other. Suppose that demand from non-students is given by pA(QA) = 100 – QA (or QA = 100 – pA) while demand from students is given by pS(Qs) = 20 – QS / 10. (or QS = 200 – 10 pS). Assume that there are no costs to selling additional seats: MC = 0. Uniform Price Optimum If the monopolist is restricted to offering the same price to both types of consumers, then the demand curve is piecewise linear – there are two separate parts to the demand curve with two different slopes. PART 1: Price > 20. Only group A buys and Q(p) = 100 – p, so that the demand curve just follows the demand curve for type A for prices in this range. PART 2: Price < 20. Then demand is the sum of QA and QS, which are each positive. That is, Q(p) = 100 – p + 200 – 10 p = 300 – 11p, corresponding to p(Q) = (300 – Q) / 11. Note that these two separate formulas, Q = 100 – p and Q = 300 – 11p each give the same value Q = 80 at price p = 20. The optimal price along part 1 on the demand curve is given by Max Q (100 – Q), which occurs at Q* = p* = 50, yielding revenues 2500. The optimal price along part 2 of the demand curve is given by Max Q(300 – Q) / 11, which occurs at Q = 150, which corresponds to price 150 / 11, yielding revenues of approximately 2050. That is, the optimal choice is for the monopolist to sell only to type 1 customers, setting p = 50 and q = 50. Note that if the monopolist has to sell out the stadium, an expansion of seats in the stadium actually may reduce revenues. Price Discriminating Outcome : If the monopolist can set different prices for each group, then the optimum price and quantity for each group is given by the condition MRA(QA) = MRS(QS) = 0. The optimal price and quantity for group A is the same as above, pA* = QA* = 50. The monopolist’s optimum for group S is given by MR(QS) = 0, or 20 – QS / 5 = 0, or QS = 100, which corresponds to pS = 10. This yields quantity 50 and revenue 2500 from group A and quantity 100, revenue 1000 from group S. Price Discriminating Outcome with Fixed Number of Seats If there are a fixed number of seats, then this can affect the monopolist’s price discriminating optimum. First, if the fixed number is greater than 150, then the monopolist would continue as above, selling a total of 150 seats and leaving some empty. Second if the fixed number is less than 150, then it is possible to set quantities QA < 50 and QS < 100 – so that MRA (QA) > 0 and MRS (QS) > 0, while also selling all seats in the stadium. For this reason, the monopolist wants to sell all of the available seats in this case. The monopolist maximizes revenue by setting MRA(QA) = MRS (QS). This gives two equations in two unknowns: QS + QS = F MR(QA) = 100 – 2 QA = MR(QS) = 20 – QS / 5. Solving these two equations simultaneously: 80 = 2 QA – QS / 5 40 + QS / 10 = QA. Then substitute in the first equation: 40 + QS / 10 + QS =F 11 QS / 10 = F – 40 QS = 10 F / 11 – 400 / 11 This result given a formula for the quantity of seats allocated to group S in the optimal price-discriminating scheme when there are a total of F seats available. Formally, we write QS(F) = 10 F / 11 – 400 / 11, because this number of seats assigned to group S is a function of the value F. Note further that the formula gives a negative number if F < 40. In fact, this means that if F < 40, the monopolist should allocate all seats to group A. This requirement that F > 40 for the monopolist to sell to both groups is consistent with marginal revenue calculations because MRS (0) = 20 (no student is willing to pay more than 20 for a ticker) and MRA(QA) = 100 -2 QA > 20 if QA < 40. In words, marginal revenue for alumni is greater than the marginal revenue for the first unit sold to a student if alumni are purchasing 40 tickets are fewer. So if there are fewer than 40 seats, the profit-maximizing rule allocates them all to alumni since each unit sold to alumni increases the total profit by more than 20, the price for the first ticket sold to a student. Beyond F = 40, the equation QS(F) = 10 F / 11 – 400 / 11 indicates that for every 11 additional seats available, the optimal price-discriminating rule allocates 10 to students and 1 to alumni. (This relationship stems from the fact that MR decreases 10 times as quickly in quantity for alumni than for students.) For example, if F = 150, the number of seats that monopolist would choose if given any choice of F, then QS = 10 * 150 / 11 – 400 / 11 = 100, exactly the same result that we calculated above. Logically, the formula QS = 10 F / 11 – 400 / 11 ensures that F < 150 seats are divided among groups A and S so that MRA(QA) = MRS (QS) > 0. Substituting the rule QS = 10 F / 11 – 400 / 11 into the formula MR(QS) = 20 – QS / 5, we find MR(Q*S(F)) = 20 – [10 F / 11 – 400 / 11] / 5 = 20 + 80 / 11 – 2 F / 11 = (300 – 2F) / 11. At F = 40, the smallest number so that the price-discriminating rule includes sales to students, MR(Q*S(F)) = (300 – 2*40) / 11 = 20. Beyond F = 40, the marginal revenue for the last seat allocated to students (and for the last seat allocated to alumni) decreases at rate 2 / 11 per additional seat. In this sense, the limitation of a fixed number of seats is analogous to the imposition of a fixed marginal cost MC > 0. If the number of seats were unlimited and MC = 0, then we already know from earlier analysis that the optimal quantities in a price-discriminating scheme are QS = 100, QA = 50. As MC increases, both QS and QA would decrease in an optimal price-discriminating scheme. Furthermore, the optimal price discriminating scheme for a given MC is exactly equivalent to the optimal price discriminating scheme for some fixed number of seats F and MC = 0. For example, if F = 95, then QS = 10 F / 11 – 400 / 11 = 50 and thus QA = 45. Substituting in our equation MR(Q*S(F)) yields MR(Q*S(F)) = (300 – 190) / 11 = 10. That is, the optimal prices and quantities for a price discriminating monopolist are exactly the same if (1) restricted to 95 seats with MC = 0 OR (2) unrestricted in number of seats and MC = 10. This correspondence of price discriminating rule subject to two different constraints is another form of duality – at any optimum, the monopolist distributes seats among groups A and S efficiently from the perspective of profit-maximization.