APEC’s Measures for Strengthening Social Safety Nets in the Asia-Pacific Region Chanyong Park, Kyewoo Lee and Hyunsong Lee Ministry of Health and Welfare of Korea Korea Institute for Health and Social Affairs TABLE OF CONTENTS List of tables List of figures Preface Executive Summary I. Introduction II. APEC and Social Safety Net 1. Definition of Social Safety Nets 2. Programs of Social Safety Nets 3. APEC and Social Safety Net III. Current State of Social Safety Nets in Five of the APEC Member Economies 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. The Philippines Malaysia Indonesia Thailand Vietnam IV. Social Safety Net Activities in APEC Region 1. APEC Social Safety Net Activities 2. Social Safety Net Projects Initiated by International Organizations V. Possible Areas for Strengthening APEC Social Safety Net 1. General Deficit of Social Safety nets 2. Possible Areas for Strengthening APEC Social Safety Net Activities 3. Social Safety Net Capacity Building VI. Concluding Remarks Abbreviations References 2 Tables III-1-1 III-1-2 III-1-3 III-1-4 III-1-5 III-1-6 III-1-7 III-1-8 III-1-9 III-2-1 III-2-2 III-2-3 III-2-4 III-2-5 III-2-6 III-2-7 III-2-8 III-2-9 III-2-10 III-2-11 III-2-12 III-2-13 III-3-1 III-4-1 III-4-2 III-5-1 III-5-2 III-5-3 III-5-4 III-5-5 III-5-6 IV-1-1 Changes in Stock Market and Exchange Rate Indexes, 1997 Costs of Financial Crises The Asian Financial Crisis and Its Economic Impact Classification of APEC Member Economies Benefits and Costs of NFA Rice Subsidy, 1997-1998 CIDSS Target Areas, 1994 and 1997 Improvements in the Barangay after MBN was introduced Consolidated Government Expenditures on Basic Social Services, 1996-1999 (% Distribution of Total Government Expenditure) Key Social Indicators Selected Indicators for Quality of Life Monthly Poverty Line Income by Year and Region Change in Poverty Rate Poverty Rate by Region (1990) Distribution of Income (1997) Distribution of Household by Monthly Gross Household Income Distribution of Labor Force and Unemployment Trend of Key EPF Indicators EPF Membership and Savings from 1995-1999 Contribution Rates to EPF Scheme of Withdrawal from EPF by Type of Account % Age of Amount Withdrawn from EPF by Reasons (1999) Trend of Key SOCSO Indicators Funding Support by Donors and International Organizations Social Safety Net Projects of Ministries Funding Support by Donors and International Organizations Social Assistance (Protection) Programs, 1997 Financial Plan for HEPR, 1998-2000 Summary of the Main Formal Financial Institutions Targets Under the Ten-year Development Strategy, 2000-2001 Benefits from Social Protection/Poverty Reduction Programs by Consumption Quintile Key Development Indicators: Vietnam Review of APEC Social Safety Net-related Activities 3 Figures III-1-1 III-1-2 III-1-3 III-5-1 III-5-2 III-5-3 III-5-4 III-5-5 III-5-6 III-5-7 III-5-8 Retail vs. Release Price, Farm vs. Support Price, Philippines, 19951998 NFA Rice Distribution and Poverty Incidence, 1998 Share of Various Regions to Total PCFC Loans (December 2000) State Health Spending as % of Total State Spending and GDP Distribution of State Health Spending Across Household Expenditure Quintiles State Education Spending as % of Total State Spending and GDP Distribution of State Education Spending by Household Expenditure Quintile Extreme Poverty in Vietnam, 1990, 2000 and 2010 Overall Poverty in Vietnam, 1993 and 1998 Distribution of Social Security and Assistance Expenditures by Program Basic Social Service ODA as % of Total ODA 4 Preface The Asian economic crisis back in 1997 provided an opportunity for the APEC member economies to realize the importance of social safety nets and since then, strengthening social safety nets has emerged as a major task. However, it is very difficult to enhance social safety nets for the sole purpose of coping with the economic crisis in a short period of time. With the support from international organizations and through the international cooperation, social safety nets have been reinforced to some degrees, however, systematic and consistent establishment and reform of the existing systems is inevitable and required for the long-term. Under this premise, strengthening social safety nets in the APEC area has become the top priority. APEC is an organization with the objective of achieving globalization and economic liberalization. Moreover, it has the goal of achieving free and open trade and investment no later than the year 2010 for the advanced economies and no later than the year 2020 for the developing economies. However, the trade and investment liberalization is deemed difficult unless the social safety nets are firmly established. Therefore, strengthening the social safety nets within the APEC area is given top priority among other main issues. However, the fact that the APEC member economies are at different stages of economic development poses difficulty in strengthening social safety nets as a cooperative effort and hence, mutual understanding among member economies is necessary. Thus, APEC member economies came together and established APEC Ad Hoc Task Force on Strengthening Social Safety Nets. All twenty-one member economies jointly discussed regarding the multilateral ways to enhance social safety nets in the APEC area, and the result of the findings have been included in this report. This report had been prepared by Dr. Chanyong Park, Director of International Studies and Cooperation Office (hereinafter ISACO) in the Korea Institute for Health and Social Affairs (hereinafter KIHASA) based on the reports he previously prepared and submitted to APEC Senior Officials Meeting (hereinafter SOM) II and SOM III held in the People’s Republic of China in year 2001. For the section III-1 Current State of Social Safety Nets in APEC Member Economies, Professor Kye Woo Lee of Ewha Womans University has collaboratively prepared the report on Socialist Republic of Vietnam and the Philippines, and Professor Hyunsong Lee of Hankuk University of Foreign Studies was in charge of 5 the report on Malaysia. In addition, invaluable support provided by the dedicated researchers of ISACO, Ms. Diane Lee and Ms. Jae Youn Woo, had contributed greatly. In particular, we would like to take this opportunity to sincerely express our deepest condolences towards Mr. Daniel Oexeman who passed away last November. Mr. Oexeman played an important role in assisting Dr. Chanyong Park for the past year in the making of the successful completion of this report but he came short of witnessing the fruits of his efforts. This report is expected to function as a cornerstone for the relevant activities in strengthening social safety nets in APEC area hereafter and it is hoped that the social safety nets experts of APEC member economies would benefit from reading this report. The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of the KIHASA. December, 2001 Kyungbae Chung, Ph.D. President KIHASA 6 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Asian economic crisis in 1997 exposed the inability of many APEC developing member economies to deal with external shock as well as the weak domestic social infrastructure’s inability to cushion against the impact of the shock. Thus, when the crisis emerged they were caught unprepared and external assistance including collective efforts was necessitated. The first collective initiative on the social safety nets in APEC Economic Leaders Meeting was launched in November 1998. Since then, a number of initiatives and proposals in this regard have taken place in various fora within APEC. The next step is to look for ways to actively enhance social safety nets (hereinafter SSNs) in the APEC region by implementing the outcomes of these activities. APEC Ministers agreed to establish the Ad Hoc Task Force on Strengthening APEC Social Safety Nets (hereinafter the ‘Task Force’) in the twelfth APEC Ministerial Meeting in November 2000. The value-added for the Task Force is found in directing greater attention to the need to coordinate the current work being undertaken throughout APEC with respect to social safety nets. At the first meeting of the Task Force, held last February 2001 in Beijing, China, the member economies’ delegations agreed on conducting preliminary research to take stock of social safety net activities in APEC. At the second meeting of the Task Force held May 2001 in China, the member economies’ delegations agreed that capacity building is the area where APEC can make major contributions to strengthen social safety nets. The third meeting of the Task Force, held on 19 August 2001 in China, agreed to establish an APEC Social Safety Net Capacity Building Network (CBN) that would function virtually. MAIN FINDINGS Social Safety Nets of APEC Members Economies The five economies; the Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand and Vietnam, most immediately hard hit by the 1997 economic crisis had social safety net programs at the time of the onset of the crisis, however, these programs were not suited to respond to the magnitude and complexity of social problems resulting from the economic crisis. In many instances, lack of current, accurate poverty data at the beginning of the 7 crisis hampered the expansion of existing projects and the establishment of new programs. Omissions in data made accurate targeting of programs challenging as well. Payments to the social sector often did not reach their intended beneficiaries. Economies most affected by the crisis lacked adequate social insurance programs such as unemployment insurance. Though pension and health insurance were present, often the coverage of programs was limited. Social safety net programs were frequently designed with no explicit guarantee that the effectiveness of the program would be evaluated through the use of output indicators. Some programs were often without specific goals, such as number of persons served, degree of poverty alleviation or level of employment creation. General deficits of social safety nets in those economies are as follows; corruption, lack of transparency, leakage of funds; mis-targeting, exclusion of the poor; lack of poverty monitoring system, lack of poverty related data; defect of governance, low capacity of management, insufficient preparedness, delayed disbursement; lack of public spending prioritization, fund misallocation, insufficient funding; lack of program evaluation system; insufficient infrastructure for social safety net, ineffective welfare delivery system, etc. Social Safety Net Activities of APEC and International Organizations APEC has conducted a series of activities intended to strengthen social safety nets. Two efforts stand out in current APEC practice: the Australian-Thai Social Protection Facility (SPF) to assist developing economies in Asia by improving their social policy and programs and the establishment of the Asia Recovery Information Center (ARIC) at the ADB. Since the onset of the 1997 economic crisis, the major vehicle of the World Bank support has been through adjustment. In April 1999 a $600 million Social Safety Net Adjustment Loan was approved for Indonesia which supported policy reforms in safeguarding key safety net. After the crisis, ADB also embarked on a policy reorientation to focus its operations to poverty eradication so as to mitigate the adverse impacts of financial crisis. CONCLUDING REMARKS: Possible Areas for Strengthening APEC Social Safety Net Major deficits of social safety nets in APEC member economies hit by the 1997 economic crisis result from mis-targeting or exclusion of the poor, 8 lack of poverty monitoring systems and program evaluation systems, governance, low capacity of management, fund misallocation, inefficient welfare delivery system, etc. Possible measures to improve the implementation of social safety net programs can be concentrated on building capacity for managing social safety nets. Based on the demonstrated need to strengthen the social safety nets of economies in the region, one option might be to enhance social safety net function through capacity building. The recommendation for capacity building comes at an important time. The concerned economies are in the process of assessing the effectiveness of social safety net plans formulated in response to the economic crisis. Furthermore, as international donor organizations call for more effective expenditure of funds donated for social safety net purposes, it becomes necessary to address the issues that determine the eventual effectiveness of these programs. As the value-added dimension for APEC, the CBN would build capacity for the implementation of social safety net recommendations made by the APEC Finance Ministers Process and HRDWG. 1 Attention to gender issues will be integral to the work of the CBN. Among proposed priority themes for the APEC SSN CBN are: i) pre-crisis social safety net planning and prevention measures; capacity for evaluating effectiveness of policy action; ii) collection of dis-aggregated data and access to current data; iii) identifying at-risk populations; iv) designing response institutions and financing; v) strengthen transparency and accountability in social safety net operations. 1 Human Resources Development Working Group. 9 I. Introduction The Asian economic crisis in 1997 exposed the inability of many APEC developing member economies, especially in South East Asia, to deal with external shock as well as the weak domestic social infrastructure’s inability to cushion against the impact of the shock. Many of the economies had limited experience with such shocks, and therefore were unable to carry out rapid response to the crisis, let alone conducting adequate impact assessment and monitoring. Thus, when the crisis emerged they were caught unprepared and external assistance including collective efforts was necessitated. International donor organizations, such as the World Bank and Asian Development Bank, and advanced economies in the APEC region have provided financial or technical assistance in the form of aids or loans for mitigating the impact to the countries in crisis. Also, APEC has been undertaking a range of social safety net activities since the 1997 economic crisis. APEC Leaders at their 6th Leaders Meeting in 1998 affirmed that social impacts of the financial crisis should be addressed with high priority. Since then, a number of initiatives and proposals in this regard have taken place in various fora within APEC as well as collectively with other regional and international organizations. Related projects were discussed in Ecotech Fora, the Economic Committee, etc. of APEC. In particular, guidelines for such activities were established in Finance Ministers’ Meetings.2 Even though a variety of activities on social safety nets is being pursued by various bodies in APEC, it is unclear how these efforts are being integrated. Thus, there is no single concrete APEC-wide program that tackles the problem in a comprehensive way.3 Under these circumstances, at the APEC Forum in Seoul (2000), strengthening Social Safety Nets in APEC areas was proposed to provide mutual assistance and share the A project entitled “Social Safety Programs in Selected Southeast Asian Economies 19972000” was conducted from 1999 to 2000 to review social safety net programs introduced between 1997 and 2000 in selected APEC economies in order to identify practices that have been effective in achieving poverty alleviation. 3 APEC, 2000. 2 10 burden among member economies in times of unforeseen difficulties. A little later, the Twelfth APEC Ministerial Meeting held on 12-13 November 2000 endorsed the proposal on the Revitalization of Social Safety Net Activities in APEC by Korea and Thailand. And APEC Economic Leaders at the Brunei summit (2000) endorsed the need to address social safety net issues as part of an overall desire to “look after those disadvantaged by economic change.” Leaders urged addressing privatization issues as well as “strengthening social safety nets to deepen the regions understanding of how markets and institutions can be strengthened to face ongoing change.” The Korea-Thai proposal contains the establishment of an Ad-hoc Task Force on Strengthening APEC Social Safety Nets “for reviewing APEC's activities on social safety and forward recommendations to Ministers in 2001.” The Task Force was established and held the first meeting February 2001 in Beijing, China, and agreed to conduct preliminary research on APEC’s social safety net activities. The research paper, submitted to the third meeting of the Task Force, demonstrated possible areas of improvement for the implementation of APEC social safety net programs and recommendations. The recommendations were submitted to, and endorsed by, APEC Senior Officials’ Meeting III, which was held in China 2001. However, the research was not made for the operational policies but diplomatic meeting. By this reason, further development of the research has been asked to be rich and useful for the operational purpose, on the basis of the preliminary research paper. The objective of this research is to provide the necessary information for the purpose of helping to establish basic directions for strengthening APEC social safety net by reviewing the social safety net activities under way in APEC members and international organizations. The research aims at identifying gaps and missing links between collective APEC social safety net-related activities and similar undertakings elsewhere and to suggest possible areas where the functioning of the APEC social safety net programs can be strengthened. 11 II. APEC and Social Safety Net 1. Definition of Social Safety Net Social safety nets have been defined differently by scholars and international organizations; however, the core concept is fundamental. That is, the definition of social safety nets can encompass all kinds of social devices to protect people from poverty, unemployment, disease, disaster, etc. Recently, the social safety net tends to be focused on emergent situations caused by socio-economic crisis or natural disaster. However, the definitions of social safety nets differ by some degrees between different institutions and the following lists some of the divergent opinions. The World Bank defines social safety nets as “programs that protect a person or household against the adverse outcomes of chronic incapacity to work (chronic poverty); and a decline in this capacity from a marginal situation that provides minimal means of survival with few reserves (transient poverty).4 In ADB, the term “social safety net” is used as an alternative to social protection. Accordingly, social protection 5 is defined as the set of policies and programs designed to promote efficient and effective labor markets, protect individuals from the risks inherent in earning a living either from small-scale agriculture or the labor market, and provide a basis of support to individuals when market-based approaches for supporting themselves 4 http://www.worldbank.org/poverty/safety/index/.htm. The ADB’s social protection contains five components: i) labor market policies and programs designed to facilitate labor adjustments and promote the efficient operation of labor markets, ii) social insurance programs to cushion the risks associated unemployment, disability, sickness, maternity, work injury, and old age, iii) social assistance and welfare service programs to provide a floor for those with no other means of adequate support, iv) micro and Area-Based Schemes to cushion the risk to agricultural incomes from crop failure or temporary market disruptions, and address reduction of risk and vulnerability at the community level; and v) child Protection. Of the five components, the three first (labor markets, social insurance and social assistance) are normally included in any social protection strategy. 5 12 fail. 6 This definition recognizes that social protection encompasses activities that span both the formal and informal sectors, regardless of whether households derive their incomes from industry, services or agriculture. In fact, social protection shares a large part of social policy with social safety nets, however, social protection address mainly social issues as a formal long-term, whereas social safety net’s aim to cope with not only formal programs of long-term, but also short-term but sudden disruption such as economic crisis and natural disaster.7 UNRISD8 states that the concept of social safety nets is not new - early “poor relief” laws were often described as safety nets, while public works programs have a long history in both developed and developing countries. The term has more recently been explicitly linked to adjustment, and in this context has taken on a particular connotation. Most adjustment-related safety net programs are meant to supplement the activities of existing ministries and agencies unable to address the direct or indirect social costs of adjustment. So a social safety net is a variety of mechanisms implemented in conjunction with structural adjustment measures, and designed to address either structural or transitional poverty and unemployment, to reduce the impact of adjustment measures on certain groups, or to create or improve both social and physical infrastructure. Emergency funds, compensatory funds, employment funds and social investment funds are various types of safety nets. APEC describes social safety net as a set of specific programs designed to provide targeted income support and basic services to poor people and those needing assistance after economic downturns, natural disasters and other temporary adverse economic circumstance. 9 In the international context, social safety net can be viewed as a means to assist countries to overcome the undesirable side effect of globalization and the ensuing process of restructuring and reform to adopt to the changing parameter in the world economy. 10 Also, APEC HRDWG’s 11 report describes that 6 Ortiz, 2001. Puguh, 2001. 8 UNRISD carries out research and studies which are "urgent and important" to the work of the United Nations Secretariat as well as to regional and national institutes working in the fields of economic and social development. 9 APEC, 2000. 10 Ibid. 11 Human Resources Working Group. 7 13 social safety nets is to tide livelihood over during the period of economic downturn. Coping with household insecurity requires a combination of private savings, informal support, employer obligations and public provisions. The varied definitions of social safety nets described above can be summarized as the following. The definition of social safety nets can encompass all kinds of social devices to protect people from poverty, unemployment, disease, disaster, etc. The social safety net tends to be focused on emergent situations caused by socio-economic crisis or natural disaster. However, this study is concerned with social safety nets described above by APEC. 2. Programs of Social Safety Nets As mentioned above, the definition of social safety nets can encompass all kinds of social devices to protect people from poverty, unemployment, disease, disaster, etc. Generally the following programs are considered as formal social safety nets: social assistance; social insurance, including national pension, health insurance, employment insurance and industrial injury insurance; public works, loans for the poor or the unemployed, food stamps, etc. As is well known, many APEC member economies rely on informal (or traditional) social safety nets provided by family or community. However, the informal social safety network, so heavily relied on in the past, has gradually diminished with increased industrialization and urbanization. The informal support mechanism is especially ineffective when a number of people are similarly affected. In the shift toward modernization, the role of policy-mandated formal social safety nets is increasingly important, and the commitment of long-term public policies and their administration are serious issues. Asian countries hit by the 1997 economic crisis have social insurance schemes such as health care, vocational injury compensation, and pension. Over time, each of those countries has developed social insurance schemes of varying levels of coverage and generosity. However, it is difficult to say that social insurance in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Philippines plays a role as a social safety net due to the low ratio of insurance premium contributors to total labor force or to total population. 14 The social assistance system is one type of social safety net. But in the Asian countries, price control, food subsidies, or nutrition subsidies for growing children, which could protect the purchasing power of vulnerable households for essentials, are more prevalent as social assistance systems. Also, free or low-priced textbooks, and student loans or subsidies for tertiary education are frequently used policy tools contributing to basic human resource security. During a period of emergency, free shelter and meals for those temporarily affected are necessary interim relief. Ancillary social service provisions are also included as a type of social safety nets. Those with responsibility to care for family members, most often women, still may not be able to enter the labor market. Making available childcare services and long-term care facilities at affordable prices are strategies for responding to the change in family structure in the modern labor market. Job-related programs such as training programs for job transitions and making available employment information, etc. are included as a type of social safety nets and these are effective in coping with changes in the structure of industry. Public works play a safety net role by conferring transfer and stabilization benefits to the poor. 3. APEC and Social Safety Net APEC is the largest and most important economic forum in the Asiapacific region. It aims to advance trade and investment liberalization and facilitation and economic and technical cooperation. Through liberalization and cooperation, APEC aims to spread the fruits of globalization among its members. In particular, strengthening social safety nets will be indispensable for reaching the Bogor Goals of free trade and investments by 2010 for the advanced economies and 2020 for the developing economies. Further liberalization will raise interdependence among and comparative advantage of member economies. Above all it will heighten competition. The ultimate aim is to achieve sustained growth and prosperity for the welfare of all people in the APEC region. The 1997 economic crisis provided a chance to reconsider the impact of globalisation and liberalisation. In particular, it exposed the social dimension of the economic crises. Although there may be differences over assessing the causes and significance of the economic crisis, there is full agreement that reform and liberalization cannot proceed without the establishment of adequate social safety nets. Furthermore, the economic crisis exposed that social safety net programs in many APEC economies 15 were inadequate. Above all, the crisis caught many economies off guard in their ability to administer and manage social safety net programs effectively under duress. A fundamental analysis on the relationship between social safety nets and APEC’s TILF12 is therefore necessary. Amartya Sen said that globalisation could be a major force for prosperity only if it was backed by adequate national policies in a conducive social and economic environment. He stressed that countries threatened by globalisation were those where human development was very low. There are major gains to be made in globalisation, but if a country has globalisation at the highest possible speed and pays no attention to lack of social opportunity, it was creating problems for itself. In that case, the blame lies not with globalisation but with concomitant policies with which it was being married. Globalisation needs to be put in a broader context of social and economic policies. He suggested a social safety net to take care of the people when things go wrong for one reason or another. He said “The problems arise when people in the countries enjoying protective environment are suddenly pushed into a highly-competitive situation, and when they opened economies suddenly, there were a lot of people who were not in a position to compete in a global world”. One of the reasons for people suffering in Indonesia was that it had no social safety net when financial crisis hit, though the country had done well on human development and growth rate, Professor Sen added (Times of India, 16th October, 1998, New York). The liberalization of trade and investment should create equitable benefits to all member economies. However, the inception of trade and investment liberalization often brings about unexpected financial downturn for those businesses lacking preparedness. The main reason for such negative outcomes is the relatively lower productivity of domestic businesses compared to that of foreign businesses. In the international market, among equally priced products, a product of lower quality will not achieve market competitiveness. Thus, businesses with lower international competitiveness due to lower productivity are making efforts to build competitiveness through technological innovation. But more frequently, these businesses attempt to boost their productivity through structural adjustment. This situation should be explored from the standpoint of businesses and employees respectively. First of all, from the corporate standpoint, those economies in this kind of situation tend to have a certain 12 Trade and Investment Liberalization Fund. 16 limitation or difficulty in performing structural adjustment in most cases. The main reason being that employees are strongly opposed to accepting the legitimacy of structural adjustment and the hardships that often accompany it. When the society is not well equipped with social safety nets for its people, corporate structural adjustment becomes a very controversial issue and suffers setbacks due to reactions from labor unions and those most vulnerable to the layoffs. Meanwhile, when a society has a strong social safety net for its people in which specific social safety net programs, including employee insurance and public assistance, can provide durable livelihood protection, employees tend to have less apprehension concerning their own rights, and the company can execute comparatively easy structural adjustment. In the past, massive employee layoffs in the advanced economies, and a lack of accompanying protest, demonstrate this logic. Even in situations where structural adjustment may be difficult, a partial structural adjustment might take place making some laborers unemployed. Moreover, the quality of life may deteriorate because of business bankruptcies or a decline of income due to an economic slump. In both cases, the purchasing power of insufficiently competitive economies with poor social safety nets takes a plunge, affecting trading partners negatively. At the same time, a sharp increase in unemployment and poverty brings a deepening of social anxiety and later hinders the sustainable relationship with investment partners in foreign countries. Continued studies and experience have reached a concerted conclusion that globalization is an inevitable and necessary process for the benefit of the world as a whole. In spite of this, recently there have been a number of anti-globalization demonstrations led by international NGOs at international organizations' general assembly meetings such as the IMF and WTO. Demonstrators assert that globalization has the opposite function in which it would widen the gap between rich and poor countries. On this issue, OECD has recently published a paper stating that globalization would bring benefits to some countries and suffering to others. Thus, generalizing the effect of globalization is difficult, but the fact that a certain country or certain stratum within a country suffers from globalization should be realized. Hence, any investor economies that benefit from the liberalization of trade and investment should pay special attention to strengthen social safety nets in partner economies. The simple reason is that any efforts seeking only short-term interests without focusing on strengthening social safety nets will generate much more negative responses to the process of globalization than the recent reaction 17 of NGOs. Currently, the economic level of APEC member economies is quite diverse, from the most advanced economies, newly industrialized economies to developing economies. Due to the diversity in economic status of each member economy, the strengthening of social safety nets is absolutely essential in trade and investment liberalization, and thus, APEC has a responsibility of achieving the liberalization and the process towards it. This will be APEC’s value-add; also, social safety nets enable the member economy to perform structural adjustment. This, in the end, will not only strengthen the financial power of an enterprise, but also shorten the time to reach full-fledged trade liberalization. The Asian economic crisis in 1997 has demonstrated the inability of many APEC developing member economies, especially in South East Asia, to deal with external shock as well as the weak domestic social infrastructure’s inability to cushion against the impact of the shock. Many of the economies had limited experience with such shocks, and therefore were unable to carry out rapid response to the crisis, let alone conducting adequate impact assessment and monitoring. Thus, when the crisis emerged they were caught unprepared and external assistance including collective effort was necessitated. The first collective initiative on the social safety nets in APEC Economic Leaders Meeting was launched in November 1998. Since then, a number of initiatives and proposals in this regard have taken place in various fora within APEC as well as collectively with other regional and international organizations. Although there seem to be various APEC collective activities in response to the social impact of the crisis, most of these efforts do not, however, seem to have produced tangible outcomes so far. A variety of activities on social safety nets is being pursued by various bodies in APEC, but it is unclear how these efforts are being integrated. Thus, there is no single concrete APEC-wide program that tackles the problem in a comprehensive way.13 The value-added for this work can be found in directing greater attention to the need to coordinate the current work being undertaken throughout APEC with respect to social safety nets. Also, the rationale for APEC's involvement in the area of social safety nets can be found in providing a better basis for demonstrating the ways in which social safety nets can complement APEC's broader agenda. 13 APEC, 2000. 18 III. Current State of Social Safety Nets in Five of the APEC Member Economies Between June and December 1997, a group of Asian countries underwent a severe financial crisis. Compared with the recent financial crises in other regions, the depth and the costs of this crisis were more serious. The stock market tumbled, and the exchange rate depreciated deeply. During the period, equity prices in the Philippines dropped by 34%; nominal exchange rates in Indonesian Rupiah increased by 122%, and in the Philippines the Peso depreciated by 50% (Table III-1-1). Non-performing loans accounted for between 35%-75% of the banking system’s total loans, their resolution costs were estimated at 45%-60% of GDP (Table III-1-2). The contagious Asian financial crisis aggravated the distressing Russian economy, negatively affected Latin American economies, and subsequently threatened the stability and growth prospects of the world economy.14 Table III-1-1. Changes in Stock Market and Exchange Rate Indexes, 1997 (Unit: %) Country Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Thailand Stock market Jan.-June July-Dec. 14 -45 -13 -45 -11 -34 -37 -29 Note: Exchange Rate July-Dec. -122 -53 -50 -93 % change in an exchange rate index defined as the local currency divided by the dollar, where a negative sign indicates an increase in the index. Source: Bloomberg, 2001. 14 Lee, K., 1999. 19 Table III-1-2. Costs of Financial Crises Indonesia Thailand Malaysia Philippines (Unit: %) Non-performing Loans (a) 75 55 35 15 Cost as % of 1998 GDP (b) 50 45 45 Note: (a) As % of total loans, estimated peak level during crisis. (b) Direct costs to government and quasi-fiscal costs such as exchange-rate subsidies. Source: Barclays Capital, IMF, 2001. The crisis, which stated in the financial sectors, quickly spread to the real sectors of the economy, which in turn adversely affected the labor market. GDP per capita in Thailand declined by 10.8% in 1998, and in the Philippines 2.6%. The unemployment rate in the Philippines from an already high level of 8.6% in 1996 to even a higher level of 10.1% (Table III-1-3). This incremental unemployment resulted from bankruptcies, downward adjustment of existing firms, and the economy’s inability to absorb new entrants to the labor force. 20 Table III-1-3. The Asian Financial Crisis and Its Economic Impact Indicator Indonesia Annual per capita GDP growth 1990-96 5.7 1998 -14.4 Annual per capita private Consumption growth 1990-96 6.8 1998 -4.7 Annual inflation (consumer price index) 1990-96 8.8 1998 57.6 Poverty incidence 1996 11.3 1998 20.3b % Change 79.6 Unemployment 1996 4.9 1998 5.5 Government spending (ratio of 1998 to 1997) Education 72.3 Health 87.8 Malaysia Philippines Thailand 7.0 -9.3 0.4 -2.6 7.0 -10.8 5.4 -12.6 1.0 1.3 6.4 -15.1 4.2 5.3 9.8 9.7 5.0 8.1 8.2 37.5 11.4 13.0 14.0 2.5 3.2 8.6 10.1 1.8 4.5 86.3 90.3 102.6 97.6 98.7 89.3 Source: World Bank b, 2000. Financial crisis interrupted 30 years of steady growth that had made remarkable progress in reducing poverty and improving social indicators, accompanied by only modest increases in inequality in most East Asian countries. The social impact of the crisis was swift and unexpectedly complex. A severe drought added to the economic hardship in some countries, for example, El Nino in the Philippines. Poverty increased substantially in all countries hit by the crisis. Indonesia experienced the sharpest rise in poverty. However, in the Philippines which had participated less in the growth boom before crisis and so suffered less from it, more than 90% of families reported being adversely affected by the crisis, while 17% reported a job loss within the country and another 5% reported job losses due to retrenchment of migrant workers. 21 The deep recession ended a decade-long trend of steady reductions in the number of East Asian people living below the poverty line and pushed millions of Filipinos below the poverty line, measured by consumption expenditures, without jobs or access to essential social services, loss of physical assets, as well as rising rates of malnutrition and school dropouts among poor children. These conditions could aggravate chronic poverty and could lead to irreversible losses of human capital among the poor and vulnerable, undermining an economy’s ability to sustain growth. From the onset of economic reconstruction, international organization experts advised the Government that special attention should be paid to the strengthening of social safety nets, especially for the most vulnerable groups of the society, such as women, children, and the poor. 15 As observed in the previous crises elsewhere, these groups might bear the brunt of adjustment costs, and measures to ease the social costs of adjustment would complement the other structural reforms and help mobilize social political consensus on the adjustment process. Scholars and social activists, as well as feminist leaders, expressed concerns about the socially underprivileged groups, especially women, and called for special action programs for protecting them. Though the crisis worsened the welfare of poor households, increases in poverty and inequality were generally smaller than had originally anticipated. For example, the impact of the crisis on school enrollments has been modest in all the crisis countries including the Philippines. Likewise, the negative effect on morbidity, nutrition, and utilization of public health services is less dramatic. By and large, real wages remained constant throughout the aftermath period. There may be several reasons. First, the contraction in output was smaller and less protracted than expected. Second, labor mobility between formal and informal sectors, and urban and rural areas may have cushioned the impact of the crisis by distributing the burden more broadly. Third, the relative change in prices induced by currency devaluation was probably favorable to the rural poor engaged in the production of marketable surpluses, especially for export. Fourth, poor households reduced savings and reallocated items within their budgets to protect their consumption of critical items such as staple foods. Finally, public transfer - in the form of unemployment insurance and other safety nets - may also have played a role.16 15 16 Lee, E., 1998. World Bank b, 2000. 22 East Asia’s recovery has now reversed some of the devastating consequences of the crisis of 1997-1998. Estimations for 2001 for the East Asian countries show that the percentage of the populations spending below $1.50 per day has fallen from their crisis peaks. In Malaysia, the number of poor has already low to begin with 1.9% of the population in 1995, and are estimated to decline to negligible levels. In Thailand the percentage of the poor was 15.7% in 1999, and is estimated to decline to 12.2% in 2001. In Indonesia, although the data prevent definitive conclusions, the poverty rate is expected to drop from the highs of 37% in 1999 to 32% in 2001, which is still well above the 25.7% prevailing on the eve of the crisis. In Philippines, the percentage of the poor was 27.5% in 1997, and is estimated to be 25.4% in 2001. Despite these positive trends, there is no question that the poor come out of the crisis more vulnerable than before. Labor markets are less stable, and having drawn down savings and borrowed to survive the recession years, millions still have their livelihoods at stake and are at risk of falling back into poverty if economic conditions should worsen.17 It is therefore timely to review the experience with the social safety nets prevailing in some East Asian countries, draw some lessons that could help guide improvement of social policies in the same countries and disseminate them to other developing countries more generally. The social safety net arrangements will be described in the following APEC member economies: the Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand and Vietnam. Included are programs in existence prior to the crisis, as well as those established in its wake. Economies were selected for evaluation relative to the extent to which they were affected by the economic crisis, or, as is the case with Vietnam, the extent to which recent economic restructuring and privatization have made heavy demands on social protection programs. Table III-1-4. Classification of APEC Member Economies Member Economies Hit By The 1997 Economic Crisis 17 Other Member Economies Ibid. 23 Donor Economies Korea Recipient Economies Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand Australia, Canada, Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong China, Japan, New Zealand, Singapore, USA Brunei, Cambodia, Chile, Mexico, Peru, PNG, Russia, Vietnam 1. The Philippines Social Safety Net Programs In the wake of the financial crisis and El Nino disaster, numerous social safety net programs have been adopted by the various government agencies. However, only some representative programs are highlighted here. They are the Food Subsidy Program, Poverty Alleviation Fund, Comprehensive and Integrated Delivery of Social Service, Lingap Fund, Credit Based Livelihood Program, Public Workfare and Employment Program, SZOPAD Social Fund, National Health Insurance Program, Expansion of Social Security System, and Government Expenditures on Basic Social Services. Each of these programs would be reviewed from the viewpoint of institutional arrangements, operations and impact evaluation would be provided. (This section relies heavily on Manasan, 2001). Food Subsidy Program The National Food Authority (NFA) implemented the Rice Subsidy Program in 3 municipalities in each of 4 provinces (Antique, Iloilo, Sorsogon, and Surigao del Norte), starting in April 1998. The program was designed to provide rice at a subsidy of P2.50 per kilo to poor families living below the food poverty threshold. The said families were identified with the help of the Department of Social Welfare and Development (DSWD). The beneficiaries were then given discount cards, which they use when they purchase rice from accredited rice retail stores. The second phase of this program involved the distribution of ironfortified rice. However, it was implemented only in Sorsogon and Surigao del Norte because of budget constraints.18 In parallel, the NFA launched the Enhanced Retail Access for the Poor (ERAP) sari-sari stores, which 18 Reyes, et al, 1999. 24 sell basic commodities (like sugar, coffee, milk, cooking oil, sardines, and noodles) at prices below the market price. The main criterion used in determining the location of the store was accessibility to consumers in depressed and remote areas. Although the NFA initially hoped to establish one ERAP store in every barrangay (the smallest political/administrative unit), as of January 1999, 1,231 such stores have been established. In 1997, there were more than 43,000 barangays. In 1998, government’s response to the financial crisis focused primarily on ensuring an adequate supply of rice. Thus, the NFA increased imports of rice to about 2 million tons so that NFA rice releases in 1998 went up to about 22% of total consumption, almost tripled the 1997 level of 8%. Currently, the NFA is mandated to concentrate its efforts on identified target areas (i.e., in depressed barangays, where the 100 poorest families in each province or city are located). However, the appropriation for the ERAP stores and the Rice Subsidy Program under the Lingap program for 1999 was only P400 million, just a small fraction of the total financial cost of NFA operations, some P6,208 billion in 1998. This program is administered by the NFA, a state-owned corporation. The NFA was established in 1987, but it had its roots in the National Grain Authority, established in 1972. Prior to 1987, the NFA was originally attached to the Office of the President (OP), but it was transferred to the Department of Agriculture in 1987, and then moved back to the OP in 1998 when the Estrada assumed Presidency. The NFA is mandated to stabilize palay and rice prices and maintain a buffer stock, by setting a floor price for palay to protect farmers’ income, and a ceiling price for rice to protect consumers’ welfare. The NFA objectives were ensured through its authority to procure rice stocks at the officially determined prices and monopolize rice import/export. NFA authorizes registered retailers to sell its rice to consumers and operates an extensive network of warehouses for its buying and selling operations. Thus, this traditional poverty alleviation program was expanded to provide for a social safety net after the Asian financial crisis. To date, no formal evaluation of the NFA Rice Subsidy Program and the ERAP sari-sari stores is available. However, earlier evaluations of past NFA activities provide an indication of the efficiency of these programs. Recent studies indicate that the NFA has not been able to prevent high consumer prices of rice or low producer prices of palay, and its effectiveness as a poverty alleviation institution was undermined. On the one hand, retail rice prices in the market have been consistently higher 25 than official NFA price in 1995-1999 (Figure III-1-1). On the other hand, farm gate prices of palay are often above the official NFA support price in the same period, making the latter irrelevant to farmers. Figure III-1-1. Retail vs. Release Price, Farm vs. Support Price, Philippines, 1995-1998 20.00 18.00 P/ KG 16.00 14.00 12.00 10.00 8.00 6.00 4.00 Ju l -9 8 Ja n Ju l -9 7 Ja n Ju l -9 6 Ju l Ja n Ja n -9 5 2.00 0.00 Month/Year Farmgate Price NFA Support Price NFA Rice Release Price Rice Retail Price Source: Manasan, 2001. Roumasset attributes the divergence between official and actual market prices to the fact that the NFA is a relatively small player in the total national market. Consequently, the program’s coverage of the targeted poverty group is also small. During the period 1996-1998, the NFA’s rice release as a percentage of the country’s total rice consumption was 12.9% on average. This means that on average only about 13% of the country’s 14 million households could have been actually benefited from the NFA rice subsidy. During the same period, the NFA’s procurement of palay as a 26 percentage of total national palay production was less than 1% on average. This suggests that less than 1% of the estimated 3 million palay farmers could have actually benefited from the implicit subsidy to palay farmers. As indicated above, during the height of the crisis in 1998, NFA rice releases expanded to 22% of total rice consumption, and potentially the programs could have played as an effective social safety net. However, the NFA programs are a general consumer or producer subsidy and, as such, target their intended beneficiaries poorly and benefit even the non-poor. The regional distribution of the NFA rice was not sensitive to poverty incidence (Figure III-1-2). For instance, the share of NFA rice in total consumption in ARMM, CAR, and Western Visaya was about 15%, 16%, and 7%, respectively, (well below the national average of 22%) in 1998, although the incidence of poverty in said regions was 57%, 43%, and 40%, respectively (higher than the national average of 31.2%). In contrast, NFA rice accounted for 28% and 27% of total rice consumption in Central Luzon and Southern Tagalog (including NCR), respectively, when poverty incidence in these regions is the lowest around the country at 15% and 16%, respectively. 27 Figure III-1-2. NFA Rice Distribution and Poverty Incidence, 1998 70.00 60.00 10.00 50.00 8.00 40.00 6.00 30.00 4.00 Poverty Incidence % of Total Consumption in each region 12.00 20.00 2.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 CA R I II III IV V V I II V III V IX X X I II M RM X A Region % of Total Consumption in each region Poverty Incidence Source: Manasan, 2001. The efficiency of the NFA as a poverty alleviation and safety net agency is questionable. Since the NFA’s programs are loss-making by nature, on the one hand, the government provides the NFA with budgetary support in terms of both equity infusions and operational subsidies. In addition, the national government guarantees all NFA debts. In 1998, the total financial cost of NFA operations was P6.2 billion. On the other hand, the NFA transfers income to consumers by subsidizing the consumption of rice. In 1998, the value of the income transfer to consumers, i.e. the difference between the market price and the NFA release price of rice, was P4.9 billion. Thus, the net costs to the NFA of delivering one peso of income transfer to the consumer are P1.3 (Table III-1-5). The NFA programs are 28 not cost-effective at all. Moreover, international experience in general food subsidy programs reveals that the cost of transferring income to the poor is high since non-poor families also benefit from such subsidies. The leakage from such scheme was typically estimated above 50% in India, Egypt, Morocco, and Pakistan. If one assumes a 50% leakage, then the cost-benefit ratio of the NFA rice subsidy program is estimated to be equal to 2.5. Table III-1-5. Benefits and Costs of NFA Rice Subsidy, 1997-1998 (in billion Pesos) Total Financial Cost of NFA Operations Operational subsidies Equity infusion Inc. (dec) in debt Less: Increase in value of rice stocks Income Transfer to consumers Cost/Income Transfer w/Zero Leakage Cost/Income Transfer w/50% Leakage 1997 3,915 1,500 78 3,878 1,541 1,868 2,10 4.19 1998 6,208 1,223 100 8,776 3,891 4,885 1.27 2.54 Source: Manasan, 2001a. Given this perspective, provision of food subsidy to the poorer segment of society as a safety net program can be done more effectively through food stamps in urban area (as in Mexico and Honduras) and food-for-work programs in rural area. The design of these programs should be guided by certain institutional arrangements (such as financial autonomy, exemptions from the regular budgetary and procurement controls, and convergence with human resource development programs) and targeting principles (such as the use of geographic targeting, means-testing with incorporation of screening costs and penalties for leakage and undercoverage, and self-targeting). Poverty Alleviation Fund In 1996 the Ramos Administration formulated the Social Reform Agenda (SRA), which was institutionalized through the Republic Act 8425 (Social Reform and Poverty Alleviation Act). It has three broad objectives: (i) eradication of absolute poverty (incomes below the food threshold); (ii) reduction of relative poverty; and (iii) the fast-track growth and 29 development of 20 of the poorest provinces in the country. To attain these objectives, nine flagship programs (social development, socialized housing delivery, workers’ welfare and protection, agriculture and ecological development, fisheries and aquatic resources conservation management and development, protection of ancestral domain, expansion of credit for informal sector, livelihood, and institution building and effective participation) were implemented led by a lead agency or “champion” to address the critical need of basic sectors (e.g. farmers, fishermen, indigenous people, urban poor, informal sector) located in the convergence areas (communities in the poorest 20 provinces). A package of projects were formulated and implemented in each of the flagship programs, and these were financed through the Poverty Alleviation Fund (PAF) created in 1996. The PAF was administered by the National AntiPoverty Commission (NAPC), a body created by law under the Social Reform and Poverty Alleviation Act to orchestrate the fight against poverty and achieve convergence on poverty alleviation activities of various government agencies. Although the PAF-1 in 1996 (P4 billion) and PAF-2 in 1997 (P2 billion) were meant for the implementation of poverty alleviation projects in general, PAF-3 in 1998 (P2.5 billion) was primarily intended to respond to the adverse impact of the natural disaster (El Nino and La Nina) and the Asian economic crisis. The programs implemented with the Fund had the makings of a well-targeted poverty alleviation program. It could minimize leakage by defining geographical and sectoral targets. However, the actual selection of the priority provinces was not entirely poverty oriented. Only nine provinces belonged to the list of 20 provinces with the highest head count poverty index, but six were relatively rich provinces. Also, the goods and services provided under the programs did not match the needs of the target clientele. Furthermore, the PAF-1 projects were hounded by slow disbursement largely because of the delay in the issuance of guidelines, and the PAF-3 projects were delayed by the tardiness in the allocation of budgets as well as the advancement of cash and inadequate project preparation.19 Comprehensive and Integrated Delivery of Social Service (CIDSS) Strictly speaking, the CIDSS is a regular program of the DSWD aimed at alleviating poverty. However, the General Appropriation Act of 1998 19 Balisacan et al, 2000. 30 increased the funding support for this program during the height of the economic crisis. From this perspective, the CIDSS has been viewed as a social safety net program. In 1994, the DSWD launched the CIDSS to pilot test a comprehensive and integrated approach to poverty alleviation. Since then, it has served as one of the nine flagship programs under the SRA of the Ramos Administration. The CIDSS has also been selected as one of the flagship program under the National Anti-Poverty Action Agenda (NAAA) of the Estrada Administration. Therefore, a more detailed explanation of this program would shed light on the operations of other programs under the SRA and NAAA. The primary goal of the CIDSS is to empower impoverished and disadvantaged families, sectors and communities, so that their minimum basic needs are met. To achieve this goal, the CIDSS pursues the following strategies.20 Convergence of services: consolidation and cooperation of many government and civil service organizations in addressing the needs of the disadvantaged segments of society; Focused targeting: identification of families and localities that will be the primary beneficiaries of the services to be delivered using minimum basic need (MBN) indicators; Community based: mobilization of the community as an organized and proactive group so as to encourage their participation in formulating, financing, implementing, and monitoring and evaluating anti-poverty projects; Minimum basic needs (MBN) approach: prioritization of the basic requirements for survival and security of marginal families, based on a poverty survey of the community itself and using 33 MBN indicators, which include survival (food, clothing, health, water, etc.), security (shelter, peace and order, income, etc), and enabling needs (basic education, child and family care, people’s participation in community development, etc.); Capability-building: transfer of knowledge and skills necessary in 20 Bautista, 1999. 31 meeting the MBN as an individual, family, and community and local government unit (LGU); Resource mobilization: generation of revenues aside from those allotted by the national government. In 1994, the CIDSS was implemented in 150 barangays in 75 municipalities in 33 provinces (16 of which were priority provinces under the SRA). By 1997, CIDSS was in 1,154 barangays in 432 municipalities in 77 provinces. The CIDSS is present in 28.1% of the target municipalities, in 2.7% of the total barangays and in only 2.1% of the target barangays (SRA areas). Thus, the coverage of the CIDSS is by no means large (Table III-1-6). Targeting in the CIDSS is done first by geographical area. In 1995-96, only municipalities belonging to the fifth and sixth income class (the poorest) were eligible under the program. However, the coverage was expanded in 1997 to include all municipalities regardless of income class. At barangay level, they are selected on the basis of an MBN survey, the willingness of local group to undertake the CIDSS, accessibility, and the peace and order situation in the area. At family level, those families with the most number of unmet indicators in the MBN survey are deemed to be the poorest in the community and are chosen as the principal beneficiaries of the program. 32 Table III-1-6. CIDSS Target Areas, 1994 and 1997 LGU SRA Areas NonSRA Area Total LGU SRA Areas NonSRA Area Total 1994 Municipality Total CIDSS % to Covered Total 16 221 28 12.6 Barangay Total CIDSS Covere d 4,238 56 17 378 47 12.4 10,386 94 0.6 33 599 75 12.5 1997 Municipality Total CIDSS % to Covered Total 14,624 150 1.0 Province % to Total 1.3 20 960 135 14.1 Barangay Total CIDSS Covere d 19,056 407 57 575 297 51.6 24,177 747 3.2 77 1,535 432 28.1 42,233 1,154 2.7 Province % to Total 2.1 Source: Manasan, 2001a. One weakness of the program is the leakage of the financial resources. Although the program was to target the poorest barangay in the municipalities, only some 78% of the selected barangays were in fact the poorest.21 At the barangay level, families were supposed to be selected on the basis of the MBN indicators. However, an evaluation noted that only 45% of CIDSS workers relied entirely on the results of the MBN survey. The others selected families on the basis of the recommendations of local elected officials. Another problem with the program is that funding support for CIDSS was reduced in 1998 during the time of the crisis. Although total appropriations for the CIDSS rose continuously from P246 million in 1995 to P411 million in 1997 and P439 million in 1998, actual 21 Bautista, 1999. 33 expenditure obligations declined from P379 million in 1997 to P353 million in 1998. In that year, only 80% of appropriations were actually spent compared to 92% in 1997. The average amount of CIDSS funds obligated per family served declined by some 17% nominally from P1,587 in 1997 to P1,315 in 1998. In real terms, however, the degree of decline is more dramatic at 24%. This came about as the coverage of the program was broadened even while actual expenditure obligations were reduced (Table III-1-6). Evaluation of safety net programs is scarce in general. One recent evaluation on the basis of a sample survey of 80 CIDSS barangays and 80 non-CIDSS barangays in 1998 indicated that the program had achieved some degree of success in addressing the minimum basic needs of local communities. In particular, 28 out of 33 MBN indicators improved in CIDSS areas, while only 18 indicators did so in CIDSS areas. Also, the unmet MBN indicators of CIDSS barangays were reduced by 7.3%, while they even rose in non-CIDSS barangays by 2.4%. Consequently, 98.5% of respondents in CIDSS areas indicated that the quality of life in their barangays improved, compared to 84.8% in non CIDSS areas. Moreover, 77.8% of the respondents in CIDSS areas reported that more services were delivered in their brangays with the installation of the program, compared to only 44.9% in non-CIDSS areas (Table III-1-7). 34 Table III-1-7. Improvements in the Barangay after MBN was introduced Assessment of CIDSS Improvements Frequency % With improvements 318 98.5 No improvements 5 1.5 Total 323 100.0 Major Contributions of MBN (Multiple Response) More interaction between 227 67.0 community and barangay officials Residents are more 242 73.5 informed about their situation More community members participate in: -Planing 225 68.4 -Implementation 212 64.4 -Monitoring 196 54.6 More services have been 256 77.8 delivered in the barangay Non-CIDSS Frequency % 251 84.8 45 15.2 296 100.0 162 51.3 203 64.2 142 128 108 142 44.9 40.5 34.2 44.9 Note: Computation of % is based on the total number of respondents per area. Source: Bautista, 1999. Another bright point in CIDSS program is its success in empowering communities. The proportion of residents’ who report being more informed about the introduction of the MBN approach was 73.5% in CIDSS areas, compared to 64.2% in non-CIDSS areas. At the same time, 68.4% of respondents in CIDSS areas indicate that there is more active community participation in planning with MBN program, compared to 44.9% in non-CIDSS areas. Indeed, increased community participation appears to be the key to the success of the CIDSS program. A more impressive feature of the program is that the gains from the CIDSS have been attained in relatively little fiscal cost (around P900 per family on the average in 1995-1997). ERAP para sa Mahirap (ERAP for the Poor) and Lingap Fund Under the Estrada Administration (1999-2000), the CIDSS was given a new name: “ERAP para sa Mahirap”. However, the program thrust remained basically the same except that now it is the centerpiece program for the government’s poverty reduction efforts, which targeted to reduce 35 poverty incidence to 25% by 2004. To achieve this, the Lingap para sa Mahihirap Program Fund or Lingap Fund was given an appropriation of P2.5 billion in 1999 budget, which was administered by the National AntiPoverty Commission (NAPC) as was the PAF. The Lingap Fund was directed to the poorest 100 families in every province and city nationwide. Thus, the target beneficiaries of the Lingap Fund consist of 16,100 households. The Department of Interior and Local Government (DILG) coordinated the identification of the 100 poorest families with the help of the LGUs. At least two weaknesses can be pointed out: One relates to the targeting method, and the other to decentralization. First, although the programs were envisaged to target on the poorest families, the actual interventions focused on the community level, thereby expanding the reach of the program. This has resulted in a program that is too dispersed as an area program, and too expensive as a means-tested program.22 Simulations made on the impact of various targeting approaches indicate that the Lingap approach yields a small impact on poverty reduction relative other alternatives.23 Second, although DILG coordinates the identification of the poorest families with the help of LGUs, they were not given enough time to make a careful identification of their poorest families in their areas. For those LGUs, which do not have MBN data for barangays, the identification has been unsystematic. LGUs were not given a role in the design of projects and the resource allocation of funds to implement local poverty alleviation programs. Congressmen played a more vital role in the allocation of the fund. Effectively, only 38% of the Lingap Fund was controlled by coordinating agencies and the NAPC while the rest (68%) was under the discretion of Congressmen.24 Credit-Based Livelihood Programs Access to credit can be an important instrument for poverty alleviation. Moreover, it can also function as a safety net since it helps the poor in smoothing their consumption and income stream in times of crisis. In fact, many microcredit institutions, both public and private, expanded their program during the crisis in 1998 and 1999 and have served as an effective safety net. As in many other countries, the poor in the 22 23 24 World Bank, 2001. Balisacan et al, 2000. Ibid. 36 Philippines have limited access to credit because of credit institutions’ stringent requirement such as collateral, inadequate information on financing sources, and high transaction costs involved in processing many but small loans. In the Philippines, microcredit to the poor comes from two main sources: government directed credit programs and private microfinance institutions. Government directed credit programs refer to those programs that are funded out of the government’s budgetary allocation or loans/grants from donor agencies and are lent out at subsidized rates. These programs can be classified further by those offered by government non-financial agencies (GNFAs), government owned and controlled corporations (GOCCs), and government financial institutions (GFIs). Private microfinance institutions include credit cooperatives, credit unions, rural banks, and credit NGOs, which are also an important source of seed capital for the livelihood or microenterprise activities of the poor. For comparison, two government directed credit programs and two NGO-initiated microfinance programs are reviewed here. The government directed programs include the SelfEmployment Assistance (SEA) of the DSWD and the People’s Credit and Finance Corporation (PCFC). These programs were not designed originally as a safety net, but were expanded during the crisis. The NGO programs refer to the El Nino Emergency Project of the Philippines Rural Reconstruction Movement (PRRM) and the Ahon sa Hirap (ASHI), which pioneered Grameen Banking approach in the Philippines. The former was intended by design to serve as a social safety net while the latter is regular NGO-administered poverty reduction program, which also served as a safety net during the crisis. Self-Employment Assistance (SEA) Programs. The SEA is a community-based microfinance project under CIDSS managed by the DSWD and is aimed at building the capabilities of people’s organizations to self-administer the provision of socialized credit. The SEA operates at two levels: Level-I and Level-II. The Level-I of the program is the SEA Kaunlaran Association (SKA), which is a group of 20-30 members organized as a development group and are given training on microfinance development. SEA lends some seed capital (no more than P150,000) at zero interest to the SKA so that it can on-lend to its members for their livelihood needs. The average size of the individual loan is P6,000. Some SKAs impose a 10% service fee. Individual borrowers pay weekly amortization to the SKA, which in turn repays the DSWD. The 37 collection is deposited in a bank and forms part of a “revolving fund”. The 20-30 members are subdivided into smaller groups of 5 each, which acts much like a pressure group. If one member fails to pay his/her dues, other members are obligated to pay in his/her behalf. Failure to repay the loan may result in non-release of the loans of the other group members. Each group is also encouraged to save and build up funds for equity capital, operating expenses and emergency purposes. Savings contributions are collected weekly together with the loan amortization and deposited in a bank. Level-II of the program deals with institutionalization of the gains of Level-I through the organization of the SEA Kabayans, comprised of 25 SKAs, which have established a good track record in terms of their capability to manage their finances and generate savings through Level-I operations. The program has been effective in terns of outreach, savings mobilization, loan repayments, and efficiency of financial operation, but is unsustainable in the long run. The SEA program has been found to be fairly effective in terms of outreach. It has reached nearly four times its estimated number of beneficiaries. In 1998 alone, 19,757 members benefited from a total credit of P53.4 million for livelihood projects under Level-I operations. At Level-II, P12.6 million were granted to 16 SEA Kabayans composed of 49 SKAs to augment their capital base. Beneficiaries are mainly women (receiving more than 11% of total loans granted), but also include poor families, single parents, unemployed, senior citizens, scavengers, out-ofschool youths, and street children, and disabled persons. The success of the outreach efforts was attributed to the network of social workers in SEA. The program has been successful in encouraging its members to save. As of 1997, the beneficiaries have been able to save P52 million, the same amount that the SEA lent to beneficiaries under Level-I in 1998. The credit repayment rate is high at 90%. This is indicative not only of the strong social preparation of the SKA but also of the consistency between the loan size and the borrower’s absorptive capacity. The cost per peso of SEA loans (at P0.10 per peso) is low compared to similar programs. However, since SEA loans are interest free, the program is not able to recover its financial, operational, and administrative costs. This makes the program unsustainable and dependent on the continuous infusion of funds from the government’s budget. 38 People’s Credit and Finance Corporation (PCFC) The People’s Credit and Finance Corporation (PCFC) was established in 1995 with an initial paid-in capital of P100 million. It became operational in 1997. It is intended to be the lead institution in the wholesale delivery of funds to microfinance institutions (i.e., rural banks, cooperatives, NGOs, and community organizations) for relending to the poor. The PCFC operates a number of credit programs: the Helping Individuals Reach their Aspirations through Microfinance (HIRAM), the Rural Microenterprise Fianncing Program (RMFP) that is funded by Asian Development Bank (ADB) and International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD), and the UNDP Microfinance Support Program. All programs make funds available to eligible microfinance institutions for on-lending to the poor. The PCFC provides both institutional credits (i.e., loans for on-lending) and institutional credit (i.e., loans to strengthen the financial intermediary’s capability to implement and manage their PCFC funded credit programs). It charges an interest of 12% and a service fee of 1%. The maximum initial end-borrower loan that is allowed is P6,000. The PCFC accredits the microfinance institutions on the basis of the following criteria: (a) outreach of at least 150 existing borrowers, (b) over-all collection rate of at least 85%, and (c) over-all past due rate of not more than 15% for NGOs/cooperatives and 20% for rural banks. To qualify for the PCFC’s programs, the financial intermediaries should have a full time core management team, staff with basic credit and financial management skills, a savings mobilization program, and a track record in lending of at least one year. The PCFC conduits are spread all over the country. As of the end of December 2000, the PCFC had 178 active intermediaries, of which 37% are rural banks, 31% are cooperatives, and 15% each are NGOs and cooperative banks. Some 324,000 individuals have benefited from its various programs, receiving loans that amount to P8,000 each on the average. So far, the PCFC has released a total of P2.5 million in loansP1.5 million under the HIRAM and P0.8 million under the RMFP. The PCFC’s collection rate in the last four years is a credible 98% while its past due rate is only 2%. Evaluation of the impact of the PCFC is preliminary. Per capita household expenditures of PCFC clients tend to be higher than those of non-clients. Moreover, poverty incidence among clients is lower than that among non-clients. These findings indicate that participation in the Grameen bank type program helps improve the welfare of clients. However, the weaknesses of the PCFC program are two 39 folds. First, The distribution of the loan funds has not been pro-poor. The regions with a higher poverty incidence tend to receive a smaller portion of PCFC’s total loan releases (Figure III-1-3). Percent of total Loans 25.00 35.00 30.00 20.00 25.00 15.00 20.00 10.00 15.00 10.00 5.00 5.00 0.00 R CA eg R R ion eg 1 R ion eg 2 R ion eg 3 R ion eg 4 R ion eg 5 R ion eg 6 R ion eg 7 R ion e R gio 8 eg n R ion 9 eg 1 R ion 0 eg 1 1 C ion AR 1 A 2 AR GA M M N C R 0.00 Regional Loan Shares Regional Shares of Poor Families Source: Manasan, 2001. 40 Percent of Total Number of Poor Families Figure III-1-3. Share of Various Regions to Total PCFC Loans (December 2000) Second, like the SEA program, the PCFC is financially unsustainable. The program is not able to recover cost, whether it includes either administrative costs only or both administrative and financial costs. The total number of government directed credit programs in both agriculture and non-agriculture sectors have grown rapidly over the years. As of March 1997, there were 86 direct credit programs, of which 41 were implemented by GNFAs and the other 45 by GFIs. The initial fund allocation for 63 of these programs amounted to P40.5 billion (or 1.8% of GNP) in 1996. In addition, losses associated with interest and default subsidies for only 20 programs for which data were available amounted to P1.9 billion in 1996 alone. These subsidy do not go solely to the intended clientele of the programs, but are shared with private financial institutions, cooperatives, and NGOs acting as financial intermediaries. To reduce the fiscal costs associated with government directed credit programs, the government adopted a market-oriented policy framework for microfinance in 1999. With this reform, direct involvement of GNFAs and GOCCs in the implementation of credit programs have been avoided, and the GFIs would be acting as wholesalers, i.e., second-tier financial institutions. Instead, private financial institutions will play a greater role as retailers, i.e., first-tier intermediaries, in the provision of financial services to the poor. The subsidies that government provide will be made more transparent so as to encourage the private sector to provide microcredit to the poor. NGO’s Production Assistance Guarantee Fund This program was designed by an NGO called the Philippines Rural Reconstruction Movement (PRRM) to address the farmers’ need for assistance because most of their seeds were either sold for cash or consumed during the El Nino emergency in 1997. The PRRM, however, wanted to differentiate this program from its regular credit activities. Thus, the PRRM entered an agreement with a rural bank (the Provident Bank of Kidapawan) as a financial intermediary to facilitate loans to the El Nino affected farmers through a guarantee fund scheme. Part of the reason for doing so was to give the farmers an opportunity to establish a good track record with the bank for their sustainability. The bank charges a service fee of 6% per loan assessed. Another 6% was charged to make the guarantee fund earn and be self-sustaining. In the initial stage of implementation, the maximum loanable amount was P1,950. The use of the loan proceeds is restricted to organic farming. 41 In 1999, about 160 farmers availed of a combined loan amount of P422,650. Despite rat infestation and other crop diseases, loan repayment was a creditable 82%. Because of the success of the program, the bank expanded the program. It also decided to raise the loan amount as well as the rate of interest although the bank spread was fixed at 6%. Ahon sa Hirap, Inc. Ahon sa Hirap, Inc (ASHI) program is the oldest and the only existing replica of the pure Grameen Bank approach to development credit for the poor in the Philippines. The Grameen Bank approach is based on the principles that direct access to non-collateral loan funds and periodic but small repayments together with forced savings would enable the poor to increase their income and employment opportunities. In so doing the poor would not only rise from poverty but also contribute to the social and economic development pursuits of the country. ASHI traces its beginning in 1989 as an action-research project of the University of the Philippines Los Banos. Four areas were initially selected but one more area was soon added. The initial success of the project attracted a number of religious groups making the program a part of their mission work. Eventually, the ASHI was registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission as a non-stock, non-profit Non-Government Organization (NGO) in September 1991. This transformation allowed it to receive grants and donations from various local and international agencies. However, its operations suffered from a poor repayment performance in 1994, and the ASHI turned itself around after rigorous retraining and reeducation of all the staff on the Grameen principles. They recognized the causes of failure: (a) clients’ investment in non-viable ventures; (b) utilization of loans for purposes other than what were described in the loan proposals; (c) delivery of loans to “non-poor” members who experienced higher rates of defaults due to the lack of credit discipline; and (d) tolerance of irregular or lump-sum repayment practices and apathy between staff and members. ASHI’s geographical coverage of its operation expanded from four to eight areas. The members have grown from 100 in 1989 to about 8,800 to date. Its loan portfolio has increased from an initial P40,000 in 1989 to P21.1 million as of March 2000. More notable is the achievement of a 98.89% loan repayment. ASHI attributes this to its earnest effort to impress upon its clients the four core values of unity, discipline, hard work, and perseverance. 42 Access to the ASHI program has been associated with substantial reduction of poverty. Among its clients in the fourth loan cycle and above, the number of very poor was reduced from 76% to 13 %, compared with about 50% among non-clients. ASHI clients have improved also the quality of their housing. More than half of ASHI clients now live in houses that score “out of poverty” on the ASHI house index. ASHI clients are also better off in the educational attainment of their children. While only 9 out of the 152 ASHI families have children attending college or have already graduated, no families among non-clients have been able to send their children to college. During times of poor catch or harvest, clients and non-clients had similar coping strategy, i.e., tighten their belt. However, only a small percentage of ASHI clients compared with nonclients borrowed from usurious sources. This is because ASHI does function as a safety net in times of calamities or “hungry” season. Members can withdraw from their emergency group savings or personal savings. Also, rescheduling or restructuring of loan repayments during such times is possible. In addition, there are special loan windows for home repairs as well as health and educational loans. Lastly, ASHI clients have a strikingly different savings behavior. While 86% of ASHI clients reported that they have some personal savings, only 16% for the nonclients had any. Public Workfare and Employment Program The Philippines has had a rich experience in implementing public works programs as counter-cyclical interventions. For example, as recently as in 1986, the Food for Work Program was launched in Negros Occidental and five other provinces. It aimed to mitigate the impact of the sharp decline in world sugar prices on sugar cultivators, particularly the unemployed sugar workers (sakadas). The program included activities involving land development (small irrigation projects and afro-forestry work in the uplands), physical infrastructure development (construction and rehabilitating roads and bridges, public markets), and social infrastructure development (day care centers, health and training facilities). The selection of projects followed a bottom-up approach at the barangay level with participation of the council, indigenous NGOs, and other community-based organizations. These project plans were submitted to the municipal office of the Department of Interior and Local Government (DILG) for review to ensure consistency with local development plans and priorities. The projects that passed were then endorsed to an interagency provincial task force that evaluated the proposed projects for 43 both technical and administrative feasibility. The number of employed individuals by the program fluctuated between 179,000 and 883,000 persons per year during 1986 and 1991. The success of the program in providing employment and consumption smoothing on a short-term basis encouraged the DSWD to apply the approach in providing some relief to the victims of the Mt. Pinatubo eruption in 1991. Food and cash were given to displaced families and in return they were asked to participate in community activities. In 1988, the Aquino administration required national and local government agencies to promote labor-intensive, small rural-based projects. As part of this national development strategy, many land development projects under the Comprehensive Agrarian Reform Program and a road improvement project partly financed by the World Bank with technical assistance from the International Labor Organization. The rural road improvement project created 247,600 labor-days per year during 1987-1993. The public workfare program as the first real social safety net was created by the Ramos Administration in February 1998. The President mandated the Department of Labor and Employment (DOLE) to formulate a Comprehensive Employment Plan. Most programs were geared to the preservation of employment in the organized sectors, but the DOLE also created Rural Works Program and Special Program for the Employment of Students. Rural Works Program. The DOLE allocated P14 million to finance the Rural Works Program for displaced workers in Mindanao. The program funded small infrastructure projects (repair and maintenance of schoolrooms, health and daycare centers, roads, bridges, and irrigation networks; cleaning of drainage and waterworks systems; reforestation projects) in selected depressed areas and rural communities to provide employment and income for workers displaced by company closures or retrenchment and those affected by El Nino. Workers were paid minimum wage, 60% of which was paid by DOLE, and the remaining 40% by local government units (LGUs) and NGOs involved. Some 3,364 unemployed workers found temporary jobs in various government infrastructure projects worth P4.4 million under this program.25 This means that average wages distribute to individual 25 Reyes et al, 1999. 44 workers was about P760 per person. Social program for the Employment of Students Originally this program was designed to help poor but deserving students pursue their education by giving them employment during the summer and Christmas breaks. Students were placed in public and private establishments and were paid 60% of the prevailing minimum wage by their employers. However, with the advent of the economic crisis in 1998, the DOLE gave them remaining 40% in the form of vouchers, which they can use to pay their tuition and fees. And the DOLE gave priority to children of displaced workers. In 1998, the DOLE spent P110 million for the SPES and benefited 96,557 students. There is no doubt that the public workfare programs created employment and income at relatively low costs and smoothed the income and consumption streams. The kind of works offered were also manual and hard work, and they were self-targeting. However, the wage setting procedures were not consistent with the self-targeting criteria and the objectives of the poverty alleviation or safety net. All previous public workfare programs paid wages well above the minimum wages or average daily wages in the area by as much as 25%-50%. However, the Rural Works Program corrected the wage setting criteria, making the program more self-targeted to the poverty group and more like a real social safety net. SZOPAD Social Fund The SZOPAD Social Fund was established under the Office of the President in October 1997 to provide grant financing to local government units (LGUs), NGOs, and community groups for small scale social and economic infrastructure such as rural roads, rural water supply and sanitation, small scale irrigation schemes, communal clinics and schools. Funding for the Social Fund came from an US$10 million loan from the World Bank and another US$10 million loan from the OPEC Fund for International Development. The overall goal of the Social Fund was to support the speedy implementation of the development provision of the peace agreement with Moro National Liberation Front (MNLF) signed in 1996. It focuses on the delivery of physical infrastructure and services in the under-served and conflict affected areas in the so-called Special Zone of Peace and 45 Development (SZOPAD) in Mindanao while creating jobs that provide quick income transfers. The Social Fund adopted two ways of targeting. First, through geographic targeting, limits were placed on the share of resources going to each province and municipality on the basis of their relative access to basic services and available poverty indicators. Second, through self-targeting, the menu of sub-projects is restricted to basic and primary level services to ensure that poor groups themselves are the main beneficiaries of the services.26 To be eligible for sub-project financing, beneficiary communities should contribute a minimum of 5% of the subproject cost and should be involved in the preparation, implementation, supervision, and operations and maintenance of the subproject. As of June 2000, a total of 461 subprojects with a cost of P279.4 million have been approved. Some 275 those projects have been completed, which are mostly school buildings. About 232,000 households are estimated to benefit from these subprojects. To date, two major challenges remain for the Social Fund. First, there is a need to ensure that beneficiaries will provide adequate operation and maintenance support to the subprojects to sustain the benefits accruing from the projects. Second, given the resource constraints, there is a need for more focused targeting so as to give higher priority to subprojects that cater to the needs of the MNLF, indigenous people, and war-affected poor communities. National Health Insurance Program The National Health Insurance Act27 established the Philippine Health Insurance Corporation (PhilHealth) and mandates it to administer the National Health Insurance Program (NHIP). The Program covers all actively paying Social Security System members and their dependents. A monthly contribution of between 0.5% and 2.5% of covered wages not exceeding about P1,200 is paid by the employee and his/her employer and is divided equally between them. A self-employed member has to pay the entire monthly contribution of 2.5% or P1,200. The NHIP’s Indigent Program or the “Medicare para sa Masa” (Medicare for the Masses) is designed to extend the coverage to the indigent or marginal sector which accounts for about 25% of the population. The Act mandates all LGUs to help identify the indigents and to subsidize their premium contributions. Specifically, the first through third income class 26 27 World Bank, 1998. Republic Act 7875 of 1995. 46 LGUs are required to share equally with the central government the health insurance premium of their indigent members. However, the fourth through sixth income class LGUs are allowed to increase the share progressively from 10% in the first and second year to 50% in the sixth year of implementation. Beneficiaries are given health cards, which entitles them to in-patient curative hospital care and regular out-patient benefits (under Phase I) and special out-patient services for specific illness (under Phase II), which include primary consultation with physicians, chest x-ray, urinalysis, fecalysis, sputum microscopy, and complete blood count) are envisioned to be delivered by the Rural Health Units (RHUs) operated by LGUs. In return, the LGUs will be paid by capitation, i.e., uniform fee per enrolled household. Prior to the implementation of Phase II, the LGU concerned has to pass an ordinance putting up the PhilHealth Capitation Fund, where the capitated amount of P300 per enrolled household per year shall be deposited. The capitation amount can only be used for the purchase of medical equipment and supplies, drugs/medicines and a maximum of 20% for administrative cost. The NHIP’s indigent program does provide a built-in response mechanism that will help the poor gain better access to health services during times of crisis in three ways. First, given their low incomes, indigents typically utilize government health facilities. Second, during the Asian financial crisis, fiscal constraints forced the government to cut back on the budgets of public health units reducing the quality and quality of services that are available to the poor. The “Medicare para sa Masa” program would make the public health services for the poor more stable during economic crises. Third, the Capitation Fund serves as an avenue for poorer LGUs to access a greater amount of central government subsidy. If a lower income LGU spends more of its health budget for the indigents and RHUs services, instead of hospital services, it will get a greater amount of capitation than a higher income LGU would get from the central government.28 Although the NHIP include an innovative design for a safety net, its goals and targets are too ambitious to be realistic. Currently, the formal sector workers and informal sector workers account for about 42% and 33% of the total population, respectively. While about 90% of the formal sector workers are actually making contribution to the Program, only 5% of the informal sector workers are covered under the Program. Moreover, the indigents are estimated to be about 25% of the total population. However, 28 Manasan, 2001a. 47 only 5% of the indigents are actually covered under the NHIP. If the pace of the coverage expansion in the past six years serves any indication for the future, the full coverage of the indigents would take another 18 years. The government will have to review the priorities of its resource allocation or adjust the targets for achievement more realistically. The benefits are provided to NHIP members who have paid at least three monthly contributions during the 12-month period preceding confinement.29 This eligibility requirement is flexible enough to provide a safety net during a crisis. In other countries, the health insurance program often requires a continuous contribution record for a fairly long period, and the government had to shorten the required period in the wake of the crisis, which resulted in displaced workers and unemployment caused by enterprise closures/retrenchment. Expansion of Social Security System In the wake of the crisis, the programs of the Government Service Insurance System (GSIS) for government employees and the Social Security System for employees in the private sector were expanded to help their members to cope with the crisis. The expansion took two forms: liberalizing loan terms and creating emergency loan facilities. Liberal Loan Terms The SSS reduced the minimum number of monthly contributions that is required before a member may qualify to take out a on-month salary loan to 36 effective September 1, 1998. The interest rate was also cut from 10% to 6%. Moreover, the interest rate is no longer paid in advance. In addition, the SSS condoned penalties for housing loans that were overdue for the period May 8, 1998 to May 9, 1999. The GSIS also increased the maximum loan amount for salary loans from the equivalent of 3 months to 5 months. As of the end of 1998, 17,600 members have availed of the condonation program with the total value of penalties condoned at P34 million.30 Emerging Loan Facility Workers who lose their jobs also lost their access to loans from the SSS 29 30 Editorial Staff, 1996. Reyes et al, 1999. 48 since the salary loan required the approval of employers. During the Asian crisis, the Employees Compensation Commission established the Emergency Loan Facility for Displaced Workers (Economic Crisis Fund) in the amount of P500 million and the Emergency Loan Facility for Displaced Sugar Workers (Sugar Workers Fund) in the amount of P100 million to enable workers, who had been separated from formal establishments for economic distress, to avail of emergency loans for purposes of consumption smoothing. The maximum loan amount is twice their monthly salary credit but not to exceed P12,500 at the subsidized interest rate of 6% per annum, free of any service charge and payable within 2 years with a grace period of one year. During the period May 1998 and May 1999, a total of P443.4 million in loans were released from the Economic Crisis Fund to 40,491 workers, and P36.6 million in loans from the Sugar Workers Fund to 3,481 displaced sugar workers. Workers cannot avail of a loan unless they are up to date in their payment of SSS premiums prior to their separation from employment. Especially, self-employed workers are more vulnerable to unemployment spells during crisis times and are less likely to be current in their contributions to the SSS; hence, less likely to be eligible for the emergency loan facility. Therefore, first, the SSS should have the flexibility of allowing their members to borrow against their retirement contributions already made when become unemployed and then replenish the same when they find employment once more. Second, there should be an income smoothing institutions (such as savings fund) to cater to the needs of the selfemployed and marginal workers (about 45% of the labor force) who are not currently covered by the SSS/GSIS. Currently, the PAG-IBIG Fund (a kind of providence funds) is available to generate savings as part of the SSS, but its membership is on a voluntary basis for lower income and selfemployed workers. Government Expenditures for Basic Social Services Provision of basic social services (basic education, basic health care services, nutrition, water and sanitation) constitutes the last resort of social safety nets. In particular, in those countries where the coverage of the social insurance system is limited, and public assistance programs designed specially for the underprivileged population is scanty, 49 importance of basic social services as a safety net is more enhanced. This is so because the segments of the population who are excluded from the social insurance system have no recourse but to rely on publicly provided social safety net programs during times of crisis. However the principal problem with the provision of basic social services as a safety net during an economic crisis is that the need for basic social services increases precisely when the government could least afford them. The government’s fiscal position tends to be adversely affected by natural disaster and economic disruptions. The Philippine experience during 1997-1999 illustrates this problem well. Following the onset of the Asian financial crisis in July 1997, the needs for social safety nets increased sharply. However, central government revenues started to falter in the last half of 1997. In 1998, total tax take was P96.5 billion short of the original target. Tax effort plunged from 15.3% of GNP in 1996 to 14.8 in 1998 and 13.7% in 1999. Consequently, the central government expenditure program was forced to modify. Administrative Order 372, issued in February 1998, imposed a 25% reserve on total appropriations for non-personnel expenditures of all central government agencies. Likewise, the order imposed a 10% reserve on the internal revenue allotment (IRA) share of LGUs. Only in July 1998, the government announced the exception of major departments engaged in the delivery of basic social services from the mandatory reserves that were imposed earlier. Despite this policy pronouncement in favor of the social services, the social service sector in the aggregate failed to maintain their share in the central government budget. This is because the lifting of the reserves was not implemented immediately. For instance it was not until the last quarter of 1998 when the mandatory reserve was actually lifted in the Department of Health (DOH). Moreover, a slowdown in the release of the Notice of Cash Allocation effectively restricted the spending of government agencies. Furthermore, the revenue situation of the central government deteriorated every year, and claims of other sectors competed keenly for the resources. Thus, the share of social services in total central government expenditures dipped from 24.9% in 1997 to 22.4% in 2000. Although the basic social services fared slightly better than the non-basic social services, they followed more or less the same trend. The share of basic social services in total central government social expenditures rose from 64.6% in 1997 to 66.9% in 1998, but contracted to 65.8% in 1999 and 65.3% in 2000. The trend was not much different in the LGUs. Thus, the consolidated general government expenditures on basic social services rose from 16.8% in 1996 to 18.9% in 1998, but declined to 18.6% in 1999 50 (Table III-1-8). Table III-1-8 Consolidated Government Expenditures on Basic Social Services, 1996-1999 (% Distribution of Total Government Expenditure) Basic Education Basic Health/Nutrition Mixed Basic Soc. Service Water and Sanitation Basic Social Services Total Education Total Health/Nutrition Total Social Services Basic soc. Serv./total soc Ser Basic Ed./Total Ed. Basic Health/Total Health 1996 14.05 1.98 0.63 0.19 16.84 18.48 4.60 28.25 59.63 19976 15.51 1.95 0.62 0.29 18.37 19.82 4.81 28.98 63.40 1998 16.36 1.83 0.60 0.14 18.94 20.29 4.45 28.89 65.56 1999 15.79 2.06 0.58 0.16 18.59 19.60 4.59 28.83 64.49 76.03 43.05 76.26 40.53 80.63 41.20 80.58 44.91 Source: Manasan, 2001b. This Philippine experience is indicative of the inadequacy of government spending on social safety net during the crisis and points to the needs for developing a more financially sustainable social safety net program. In this connection, multilateral development financing organizations would be able to play an important role. These organizations are a primary source of information on international best practice and the lessons learned from similar experience in other countries. In addition, they also play a major role in building the capacity of local institutions in program design and implementation. Finally, the quick disbursing loans that provide budget support to the government not only help ease the overall fiscal bind the government faces during times of crisis, but also help protect government spending on the social sectors. A case in point is the Social expenditure Management Loan from the World Bank.31 31 Reyes et al, 1999. 51 Recommendations Pre-Crisis Planning for Safety Nets and Poverty Reduction Programs It is important to institute many and effective poverty reduction programs before a crisis erupts. Poverty reduction programs have served as a useful basis for designing social safety net programs. Most active social safety net programs used in the Philippines in the aftermath of the Asian crisis and the El Nino have been the extension or reinforcement of the poverty reduction programs that had operated for some time before the crisis in the country. There are several reasons for this phenomenon. First, since the majority of poverty groups take the brunt of the economic disruption, it is logical that poverty reduction programs have been mobilized as social safety net programs. This is so particularly in a country like the Philippines where the poverty incidence is high even before a crisis erupts. Second, it takes time for the government or an NGO to launch a new safety net program in the wake of a natural or human-made crisis. Finding the nature of the crisis and targeting on the most vulnerable groups of population require new data on the crisis and the new poor. Collection and analysis of those data and designing a new safety programs and launching it on a large scale following the bureaucratic processes and political negotiations takes time. Third, recent experiences have demonstrated that the social effects can become manifest very quickly after the onset of economic crisis. Finally, the Philippines has been subject to crisis of one form or another, e.g., typhoons, floods, El Nino, La Nina, earthquake, volcanic eruptions, financial and even civil and religious conflicts. It is imperative to initiate a pre-crisis planning for safety nets. Social safety nets in place before a crisis occurs can address the needs of the poor in good economic times and can be adaptable to combat the effects of crisis. An Effective Information System The government of the Philippines may want to review the system of ongoing data collection on poverty, income, expenditures and labor force and make it more relevant to policymaking. Two or three sets of data serves as a basis for designing, monitoring and evaluating social policies and safety net programs since the Asian crisis. They are the Family Income and Expenditure Survey (FIES), the Labor Force Surveys (LFS), and the Annual Poverty Indicator Survey (APIS). However, these sets of surveys have not been harmonized in purpose and measurement of key variables. Consequently, they do not render a clear cut before-and-after comparison. Such a data problem created not-so-productive discussions 52 among researchers and analysts immediately after the Asian crisis regarding the relative effects of the Asian crisis and El Nino on the welfare of the Filipinos and the locus of the poor. Some argued that the El Nino actually had a stronger effect on the Philippines than the Asian financial crisis.32 Others, however, argued that the crisis may have had a much greater effect than what was believed. 33 And others recently rejoined the debate to reconcile the differences.34 If one cannot pinpoint the location of the poor (e.g. urban or rural areas), an effective safety net instrument can not be successfully designed or selected. An effective safety net program should be designed on the basis of timely and reliable information on the nature of the risk and the vulnerable groups, i.e., the old poor and the new poor. Also, since the government tends to move quickly to implement new programs or expand existing programs, it is important for the government to have a data collection system and monitor and evaluate the success or shortcomings of the programs during the implementation process. Basic Social Services and Social Safety Nets Basic social services serve as an effective social safety net, and therefore expenditures for basic social services should be protected. During economic crisis, malnutrition may rise and children may drop out of school, limiting their ability to emerge from poverty in the future. Moreover, earlier experience with crises situations suggests that during periods of crisis the poor tends to cut back on their consumption of basic social services primarily because their incomes have been reduced. This suggests that the public basic social services should be protected during times of crisis. Furthermore, because of a more severe resource constraint during a crisis, basic social services should be more efficiently delivered. In the Philippines the basic social services have been better protected relative to non-basic social expenditures or other expenditures. However, its share in total government expenditures declined after a brief increase in 1998. Targeted human development programs have been used successfully in Latin America, like Mexico’s Progresa program (World Bank b). These programs transfer income in cash or in-kind to poor household with children conditional on productivity - enhancing interventions such as 32 33 34 Datt and Hoogeveen, 2000. Dios, 1999; Lim, 2000. Albert, 2001; Tabunda, 2001. 53 school attendance and hospital visits. Selection of Program Instruments The government of the Philippines has employed a variety of safety net instruments. However, in the future it may want to make a more judicious selection among a wide range of available instruments. Selection of safety net instruments should be made on the basis of the nature of the risk, target groups to be protected, and the cost-benefit or cost effectiveness of safety net instruments. Selecting a cost-effective instrument is more important during times of crisis because of the severe resource constraints. The traditional Food Subsidy Program of the National Food Agency and government’s ERAP stores have been subsidies for the general public and have not been well targeted, and therefore not cost-effective. Good targeting should ensure the inclusion of the poor (i.e., minimize errors of exclusion) and at the same time should limit the leakage of benefits to the non-poor (i.e., minimize errors of inclusion). The food coupon programs would be more cost-effective and would promote the private food stores in the remote areas. In the early 1990s, the government of Mexico and Honduras has converted the general food subsidy program into a food coupon program with the assistance of the World Bank. The credit-based livelihood program is well targeted, but the government non-financial agencies and public corporations have crowded out the private sector credit institutions by providing non-transparent subsidies to the poor directly. The government credit agencies should function as second-tier, wholesale credit agencies with a transparent subsidy to promote the participation of private credit agencies in a more risky retail, first-tier credit market. The final borrowers should have access to credit at market interest rates, which are already a subsidized credit line in view of their higher than usual credit and commercial risks. The social investment fund should ensure that beneficiaries participate in the construction of physical or social infrastructure, rather than simply benefiting from the use of the infrastructure. This will enable the social fund to transfer incomes to the poor with a self-targeting process of providing employment opportunities. At the same time, social fund operations should make sure that the beneficiary communities are responsible for operations and maintenance of the infrastructure provided with the fund so that the benefits can be sustained for a long time. 54 The social security system and health insurance system have focused on the relatively higher income groups and exclude lower and marginal income people. They do not serve as a good safety net unless the systems expand their coverage. It is an innovative plan to expand the coverage of the national health insurance program by providing financial incentives to the LGUs. However, the central government has a comparative advantage in improving equity than decentralized governments. If the decentralized governments themselves are not equally endowed in terms of resources and administrative capabilities, they cannot improve equity of the national population much. Decentralization is essential for effective design and implementation of safety nets. The central government will therefore have to strive to redress inequity among decentralized local governments first. The central government will have to increase ear-marked transfers to underprivileged local governments so as to increase expenditures for primary health services for the poor. Unless they first spend more of their own funds on basic health services for the poor, they would not be able to collect a larger amount of capitation fund from the central government. Among social security instruments, the unemployment insurance system would serve as a more cost-effective social safety net, and the government of the Philippines should make effort to introduce it gradually. The unemployment insurance program, like means-tested cash transfers, food coupons, or public workfare programs, has the features of self-targeting and can function as part of the automatic stabilizer to the economy. As the economic activities decline, more people would be eligible for the program. And as the incomes of people improve with the economy, fewer people would qualify for the program. The public workfare program in the Philippines has created employment opportunities and has transferred income to the poor effectively, but it needs some adjustment. Especially, the wage setting procedures and standards should be made more self-targeting by avoiding compensations higher than minimum wages and conflicts with the agricultural production cycle. Targeting Approach Social safety net programs financed by the Poverty Alleviation Fund and the Lingap Fund should be more rigorously targeted. As shown in the CIDSS program, many social safety net programs financed by the Poverty Alleviation Fund have been first targeted on the basis of the geographic criterion and then a means test such as the MBN system. In practice 55 however, the geographic criterion was superseded by the inclusion of nonpriority provinces and municipalities. At barangay and family levels, the means test was not followed rigorously. By the time the Lingap Fund approach was announced, there was no clear geographic criteria. Almost any province, municipality, and barangay was eligible as long as it contains poor families. Moreover, the selection of families were not based on the MBN data, but on the recommendation of the political leaders of the community. One way of getting away from such political interventions is to apply the geographical targeting more rigorously coupled with selftargeting elements. Following the means test is administratively complex and costly if the local government is not strong institutionally. Financial Sustainability The government of the Philippines may want to collaborate with multilateral development banks like the World Bank or ADB to support the design and implementation of poverty reduction and safety net programs. Besides the technical assistance, they can help shield the safety net programs from the political pressures. Most of all, these organizations would provide budget supports through quick disbursing loans. One of the greatest challenges in implementing social safety nets in times of crisis is the financial constraint. Financing social safety nets put pressure on government budgets precisely when the government could least afford it. Another way of overcoming the financial constraint is to focus on the cost-effective social safety net programs such as the targeted human development program with minimized leakage. For example, Mexico’s Progresa costs only about 0.2% of Mexico’s GDP and 1% of the federal budget, reaching almost two million households.35 Lead and Coordinating Agency The principle of the convergence of services has not been followed rigorously. Numerous but small social safety net programs have been launched and managed by almost all central government departments and agencies, but they have not been effectively coordinated. Legally, the National Anti-Poverty Commission (NAPC) is to orchestrate the fight against poverty and achieve convergence on poverty alleviation activities of various government agencies. However, in the fields of social safety nets, not all programs financed by the Funds have been considered or 35 World Bank b, 2000. 56 approved by the NAPC, and implementing agencies are not required to report periodically the progress and the results of their programs. Therefore, design and implementation of the safety net programs have followed the multi-agency approach with overlapping programs and waste of resources. The NAPC should be accorded with greater authority for coordination of program design, resource allocation, implementation, monitoring and evaluation. Monitoring and Evaluation To date, few evaluation studies have been carried out, and therefore few feedback to the design and planning process. Besides implementing agencies’ reporting, beneficiary-based or objective third party’s monitoring and evaluation reports should be prepared periodically for each major safety net program. Such a periodic feedback would be critical for the decision-makings on the design, resource allocation and implementation of the safety net programs on a continuing basis. Table-III-1-9. Key Social Indicators Human Development Primary enrollment rate (net) Secondary enrollment rate (net) Immunization rate (%) Poverty and Income istribution National headcount index Latest data (date) 1999-00 97.0 65.4 73 (1998) 1999 26.3 57 Previous Period (date) 1998-99 95.7 65.2 72 (1993) 1997 25.1 Urban headcount index Rural headcount index Gini index Government Expenditure Education (’98 bn Pesos) Education (% of total) Health (’98 bn Pesos) Health (% of total) Labor Market Unemployment rate (%) Male Female Underemployment rate (%) Participation rate (%) Male Female Days lost due to strikes/lockouts (’000) Real wages (% change) Non-agricultural Agricultural 12.7 38.7 0.43 1999 106.3 19.4 13.3 2.4 April ’00 13.9 12.7 15.9 25.1 66.7 83.8 49.7 229 (1999) 11.9 36.9 0.43 1998 106.2 20.1 13.7 2.6 April ’99 11.8 11.2 12.8 22.7 69.6 86.3 53.0 557 (1998) +0.9 (’99over ’98) +8.3 (’98over ’97) Source: World Bank a, 2000. 2. Malaysia Malaysia is a federation of thirteen states and two federal territories Kuala Lumpur in the Peninsular and Labuan in Sabah. The Country consists mainly of three parts, Peninsular Malaysia, Sabah and Sarawak. Sabah and Sarawak are in the north of the Borneo Island and displays great difference from the Peninsular in ethnic composition and socioeconomic characteristics. Malaysia is a multi-ethnic, multi-religious, and multi-cultural country. It has a population of about 21.8 million people in 1999, with 57.9% Bumiputra (Malays), 24.9% Chinese and 7.0% Indians. The Population has increased rapidly so far, recording 2.4% of annual growth rate during the period 1975-1999. However, the rate is expected to be lowered substantially in the 21st century, projected at about 1.5% during the period of 2000-2015. The rates of population growth between the main ethnic groups vary with about 2.7%, 1.3% and 1.5% respectively for the Bumiputra, Chinese and Indians. Since the ethnic composition is 58 complicated and overlapped with socio-economic differences across such ethnic groups, one of the main targets of socio-economic development has been focused upon the lessening of socio-economic gaps across ethnic groups, particularly between Bumiputra and Chinese. As a matter of fact, the problem of ethnic gap is overlapped with regional gap. Chinese and Indian reside mainly in the urban area and in the Peninsula, while a large number of Bumiputra are living in the rural area or in Sabah and Sarawak. Therefore, to eradicate the poverty of Bumiputra is closely related to the work of coping with the rural poverty and to balanced development across regions. Before the outbreak of financial crisis in mid-1997, Malaysia has been one of the most successful cases in the developing countries. The nation sustained its pace of development, with Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rates averaging above 8.0% per annum since the mid-1980s. The unemployment rate was also less than 3 %. The per capita income in nominal terms increased from RM1,106 in 1970 to RM9,786 in 1995, which amount to USD$4,340. This rapid economic development is reflected by improvements in social indicators. The achievements in increasing life expectance and diminishing infant mortality are particularly impressive. The life expectance at birth has increased to 69.8 and 74.5 years respectively for male and female in 1999. The infant mortality rate has shrunk by one fifth for the past three decades, recording 7.9 persons per 1,000 births in the year. These improvements in the basic health status of its population were through improved public health measures, and greater access to health care. The enrollment rate has increased rapidly too. Universal public education has been realized coming to the 1990s. The lower secondary enrollment ratio is about 83%, and for upper secondary about 56%. The enrollment ratio for tertiary education is about 23% at the polytechnics and 3.7% at the public universities. If students in private and foreign universities are included, the latter ratio could be doubled. As a result of this continuous effort, the literacy rate has been lowered rapidly. The literacy rate recorded 86.4% and 97.1% for the adult and the youth respectively in 1999. Substantial efforts have been made to improve the quality of life in rural areas: 97% of rural households have access to paved roads, 76% have piped water in their houses, 80 % have access to electricity, and 94% have 59 access to at least one primary school. Women have benefited from the rapid economic growth - through higher incomes and greater access to social services. World Bank estimates suggest that the probability of being poor is no greater for female-headed households (9.6%) than for male-headed households (10.1%). Furthermore, female life expectancy is greater than the regional average. Yet little progress has been made in integrating women into the work force. Women’s participation rates barely increased from 46.6% in 1970 to 47.1% in 1995, which amounts to about 60% of men’s participation rates. On average, women’s wages were half those of men between 1987 and 1991. Table III-2-1. Selected Indicators for Quality of Life Life Expectancy (in years) - Male - Female Infant Mortality Rate (per 1,000 persons) Population per Doctor Literacy Rate (per 1,000 persons) Telephones (per 1,000 persons) Utilities (% population) 60 1970 1990 1999 61.6 65.6 39.4 68.8 73.3 13.0 69.8 74.8 7.9 4,302 58 17 2,656 85 114 1,433 95 307 - Water - Electricity Personal Computers (per 1,000 persons, 1997) 48 44 - 80 80 46.1 91 98 - Source: UNDP, Human Development Report, Database, 2001. State of Poverty and Unemployment In the recent history of Malaysia, the problem of poverty is closely related to the social problem concerning multi-ethnicity. In 1969, a severe ethnic violence broke out between the Malays and the ethnic Chinese. Riots started in Kuala Lumpur when Malays demanded the expulsion of nonMalays. The ethnic violence was related to the dissatisfaction of the local Malays with their lower economic status as compared to that of the ethnic Chinese and the Indians. Among the three ethnic groups, Malays tend to live in the rural area. Chinese are mostly urban residents with incomes twice as large as the Malays. Indians hold socio-economic position between the Chinese and Malays, many of them working as rubber tappers. Although the Chinese are by far the wealthiest group, politically the Malays have control. The critical socioeconomic element in Malaysia is the disparity between political and economic status, which stems from not only the ethnic division, but also the division between rural and urban populations. Even though the level of poverty in Malaysia is more severe in the rural area, the urban poverty is as much enormous. The Malays holding the poor class in the urban area is as much marginalized from social and economic resources as those in the rural regions. They are living in poor housings and limited access to basic amenities, and have little opportunity to obtain reasonable earnings job. All of these factors contribute to the continuation of poverty over generations. A substantial proportion of urban as well as rural people seem to be under poverty until the 1990s. Since there is no reliable data on the state of poverty across the nation in the past, an exact estimation of the poverty rate is not possible until the early 1990s. The poverty line income (PLI) in Malaysia is defined in terms of the minimum expenditure level required to maintain a certain standard of living and is updated annually using the Consumer Price Index. The PLI is 61 defined as an income sufficient to purchase a minimum basket of food to maintain household members in good nutritional health and other basic needs such as clothing and footwear, rent, fuel and power, transport and communications, health care, education and recreation. Different poverty line incomes have been used to reflect variations in costs of living and household size between Peninsular Malaysia, Sabah and Sarawak. In 1989 a poverty line income of RM370 per month for a household of 5.14 persons was estimated, while for Sabah and Sarawak the respective poverty line incomes were RM544 per month for a household of 5.36 persons and RM452 per month for a household of 5.14 persons. In 1999 a poverty line income of RM510 per month for a household was estimated, while for Sabah and Sarawak the respective poverty line incomes were RM685 per month and RM584 per month for a household of 4.6, 4.9 and 4.8 persons in Peninsular, Sabah and Sarawak respectively. The hardcore poverty line is estimated at half the official half the PLI. Table III-2-2. Monthly Poverty Line Income by Year and Region Monthly Gross (poor) PLI Peninsular Malaysia Sabah Sarawak 1989 370 544 452 1992 405 582 492 1995 425 601 516 (unit: RM) 1997 454 626 535 1999 510 685 584 Source: Robert, 2001. The impressively rapid economic development since the 1970s brought about a great extent of decrease in the poverty, though the benefits of development were not distributed fairly to each group. The overall incidence of poverty hovered almost 50% in 1970. The rural - urban gap was enormous in those days. More than half of rural people live under poverty while only one fifth of urban dwellers are poor in 1970. The general state of poverty has improved impressively along with the economic development since then. The poverty rate just prior to the financial crisis has squeezed to as little of 9.6% in 1995. And the rural urban gap has shrunk considerably during the period. In 1995, only 4.1% of city residents were reported to be under poverty, while the rural hardcore poor held 16.1%. Table III-2-3. Change in Poverty Rate 62 Incidence of Poverty - Total - Urban - Rural Incidence of Hardcore Poverty - Total - Urban - Rural 1970 1990 1995 1997 1999 49.3 21.3 58.7 17.1 7.5 21.8 9.6 4.1 16.1 6.8 2.4 11.8 8.1 3.8 13.2 - - 2.1 0.9 3.5 1.4 0.5 2.4 1.4 0.6 1.4 Note: Hardcore poverty is estimated using half of the PLI. Source: Malaysia, Economic Planning Unit, Prime Minister’s Department The Malaysian Economy in Figures 1999, Kuala Lumpur, 1999; in Robert, 2001. The following table shows a great extent of regional variation in the state of poverty. The fact that less proportion of urban dwellers live under poverty than that of the rural people is not different across regions. However, the proportion of the rural poor among the people not living in Peninsular Malaysia is substantial to think of the general level of economic development in the country. More than one third of Sabah residents turned out to lead a life under poverty in 1990, while the corresponding rate of Peninsular Malaysia is 19.3% Table III-2-4. Poverty Rate by Region (1990) Regions Overall - Urban - Rural Peninsular Malaysia 15.0 7.3 19.3 (Unit: %) Sabah 34.3 14.7 39.1 Sarawak 21.9 4.9 24.7 Source: Malaysia, Ministry of Finance, Economic Report 1999/2000; in Robert, 2001. The 1997 financial crisis had wide-ranging effects on Malaysia in that it weakened the financial sector, affected the real economy, and had socio- 63 economic implications. The economy grew by only 3.0% per annum on average during the period of 1996-1999. As a result of the crisis, there was an increase in the incidence of poverty in the country. Particularly, the urban dwellers are hit severely from the retrenchment of economy. The soaring unemployment and inflation took hardest toll among the urban poor. The overall incidence of poverty increased by 19.1% for the two years of 1997-1999 from 6.8% to 8.1%.36 Like other Asian countries hit by the financial crisis, the impact of economic crisis was harder on the urban dwellers than on the rural residents. The urban poor increased by 58.3% for the two years, while the rural poor 11.9%. Rural-urban migration and the influx of foreign migrants both legal and illegal exacerbate the increase in the number of urban poor households. Likewise the urban hardcore poor were more severely hit by the crisis than the rural counter part. In Malaysia, the overall distribution of income is not in a good shape, which reflects the large extent of ethnic and regional differences. The poorest 10% of people took only 4.4% of the total income while the richest 20% took 54.3%. The richest 20% of people enjoyed 12.4 times more than the poorest 20%. The income ration of richest 10% to poorest 10% is as much as 22.1 times. The Gini coefficient, a summary measure of income disparity, indicates 0.492. The income inequality is substantially higher in comparison to other neighboring countries or to other countries of similar level of income. For example, Indonesia recorded 0.317 in 1999, and Thailand was 0.414 in 1998. Concerning the impact of the financial crisis, it seems that there was no large extent of change in the income distribution. According to a study, the Gini coefficient is reported to have increased from 0.4421 in 1990 to 0.4432 in 1999, indicating a slight worsening of income distribution during the whole period of the 1990s. However, when the Gini coefficients of before and after the crisis are compared, they showed no meaningful degree of change or slight increase during the period.37 Table III-2-5. Distribution of Income (1997) Share of Income Group Income Share 36 The estimation of poverty rate varies largely depending upon sources. According to the estimation of World Bank, the poverty rate is estimated to be 15.5% in the most recent year available during the period of 1984-99 (World Bank, 2000). The poverty rate shown in this text is based upon the figures published by the Malaysia government. 37 Robert, 2001. 64 - Poorest 10% - Poorest 20% - Richest 20% - Richest 10% Ratio of Richest 10% to Poorest 10% Ratio of Richest 20% to Poorest 20% Gini Index 1.7% 4.4% 54.3% 38.4% 22.1 12.4 0.492 Source: World Bank, World Development Report, Database. Table III-2-6. Distribution of Household by Monthly Gross Household Income (unit: %, RM) Income Class (RM) 500 - 999 1,000 – 1,499 1,500 – 1,999 2,000 – 2,499 2,500 – 2,999 3,000 – 3,499 3,500 – 3,999 4,000 – 4,999 5,000 and above Total 1995 10.6 23.9 19.9 13.1 8.9 6.1 4.2 2.8 6.7 100. 65 1999 6.0 19.0 18.8 13.9 10.1 7.3 5.7 3.9 9.8 100.0 Mean Income Median Income Gini Coefficient 2,020 1,377 0.4560 2,472 1,704 1.4432 Source: Robert, 2001. Like other developing countries, Malaysia does not use her labor force sufficiently. Less than half of the people of working ages are tapped for economic activities. This is mainly due to the low level of women’s participation. As little as 44.2% of working age women participated in the labor markets in 1999. The financial crisis gave a blow to both men and women. The labor force participation rate decreased meaningfully for both sexes during the period of 1997-99. The drop of women’s participation rate is outstanding. It fell as much as 3.2% for the two years. In comparison to the sharp decrease in the participation rate during the crisis, the overall unemployment rate shows a slight increase from 2.4% to 3.0%. Table III-2-7. Distribution of Labor Force and Unemployment Year 1990 Labor Force (thousand) 7,042 Labor Force Participation Rate - Total 66.5 - Male 85.6 - Female 47.3 Unemployment Rate 5.1 1996 8,641 1997 9,038 1998 8,881 1999* 9,010 65.8 84.8 45.8 2.5 67.0 85.7 47.4 2.4 64.3 83.4 44.2 3.2 64.3 84.4 44.2 3.0 Note: * Estimate. Source: McGee et al, 2000. 66 Description of Major Social Safety Net programs Social safety nets in Malaysia are comparatively well structured but they could be strengthened. Strong economic growth, virtually full employment before the crisis and family solidarity so far provided informal assistance and security to those vulnerable. At the beginning of the crisis, the Government tried to ensure the provision of what it considered to be essential social benefits and to limit its direct financial assistance to the needs of the poor. Budget resources were redistributed for the Development Program for the Hardcore Poor (PPRT) and microcredit funds were set up to promote income generating activities and job opportunities were created for the low-income segments of the population, including the most vulnerable groups through public works. A major Government concern since the beginning of the crisis, has been the preservation of the widely acknowledged gains achieved in health and education. In the health sector, the combined decline of household income and increased cost of medical supplies had a detrimental effect on the utilization of the private sector health services, particularly in urban areas. Subsidies are expected to mitigate the impact of the crisis in the primary and secondary school levels. In higher education, the Government increased the allocation for the National Higher Education Loan Fund to cater to more students, thus enabling them to access higher education in public and private institutions. Students from low-income groups will also be eligible for the maximum loan that covers tuition fees, books, subsistence and other allowances. The Government has also given high priority to ensuring continued supply of skilled labor to meet the rising level of skills demanded by knowledgebased and high technology industries, despite the effects of the crisis. To this end, measures were adopted to improve the skills-delivery system. Institutional and other reforms were initiated to enhance the efficiency of the skills-delivery program and increase labor market flexibility. These measures include improved labor market regulations and information systems. Development Program for the Poorest (PPRT; Pembangunan Rakyat Termiskin) This program was introduced in 1989 to deal specifically with hardcore poor households and to meet the varying needs of different subgroups among the hardcore poor. The program also provided direct welfare 67 assistance. In the rural sector, poverty reduction programs through the implementation of PPRT focused on the commercial production of cash crops, livestock and fish rearing, some of which were carried out in cooperation with the private sector. To improve the quality of life of the rural poor, the state provided and rehabilitated houses of the hardcore poor with special attention to the design, size and features of the houses. The 2000 Budget has allocated RM492 million for low cost housing to achieve the target of building 58,600 units of low cost houses. Vision Village Movement (GDW) Beginning in 1991, a nation-wide Vision Village Movement (GDW) has been directed towards a second transformation of the rural sector. The movement emphasized the participation of villagers in the planning and implementation of rural development programs. The objective of this GDW is to involve 3,000 villages by the year 2000, with 642 villages participating each year including the poorest villages. The main objectives of GDW are to develop independence, active participation, empowerment and skills among the people. GDW is also aimed at paradigm shift from the common perception of the traditional pattern of land ownership to an integrated management of the corporate rural economic activities. Micro-Credit Facilities (quasi-governmental organizations) This micro-credit fund is meant for the lower income group in urban areas who may suffer a loss or reduction of real income as a result of retrenchment. The state together with semi-governmental organizations like PNB, MARA and PERNAS have taken measures to tackle urban poverty through micro-credit facilities made available to the urban poor to assist petty traders and hawkers. RM100 million were allocated for the “Small-Scale Entrepreneur Fund” and another RM150 million to “Economic Business Group Fund” to assist petty traders, hawkers and small entrepreneurs, including women entrepreneurs, in urban areas. Micro-credit facilities are available for various business activities such as manufacturing, services, transportation and constructions and loans granted are up to RM1,000,000. Micro-Credit Facilities (NGOs) Amanah Ikhtiar Malaysia (AIM), formerly known as “Projek Ikhtiar” formed in 1986, is the first NGO aimed at poverty alleviation in the 68 country. The establishment of AIM was for the sole purpose of assisting very poor households to lift themselves out of poverty primarily by means of micro-credit to be used for financing income-generating activities. AIM is one of the agencies that compliments the government’s target of having only 0.5 % hardcore poor by the year 2000 in both rural and urban areas. AIM programs include micro-credit financing, human potential development, mobilization of funds, equity investment and economic activities. The Ikhtiar Loan Scheme (SPI) is specialized credit delivery system focused exclusively on the poor, whereby credit is literally brought to their doorsteps. This approach ensures that credit is delivered to the target beneficiaries who in turn will be empowered to improve their living conditions. The beneficiaries are poor households, regardless of gender, race or political affiliation, whose monthly incomes do not exceed RM310 or RM67 per capita, while in the case of Sabah and Sarawak, the monthly income not exceeding RM422 or RM86 per capita and RM362 or RM75 per capita respectively. Female Single Parents Financing Scheme Female Single Parents Financing Scheme (SKIT) is a financing scheme for the benefit of female single parents living in town areas. This scheme is introduced in view of economic and social problems faced by single parents due to divorce or death of the breadwinner. The purpose is to ensure that the living standard of female single parents does not decline dramatically following these incidents. The maximum amount the first loan is RM10,000 and the maximum amount of second and subsequent loans is RM20,000 Fishermen Financing Scheme Fishermen Financing Scheme (SPIN) is a financing scheme targeted at coastal fishermen of Malaysia. This scheme is introduced to help small fishermen increase their livelihood as well as prepare them for the commercialized fishing industry. It also aims at increasingly fish-based food production. The maximum amount the first loan is RM10,000 and the maximum amount of second and subsequent loans is RM20,000. Educational Loan Borrowers who have completed the first loan in SPI 1 could apply for 69 Educational Loan whose maximum amount is RM1,000 and to be repaid within 50 weeks. The purpose of the loan is to cover school expenses of their children. Housing Loan Borrowers who have completed the third loan in SPI 1 entitled to get Housing Loan whose maximum amount is RM5,000 for house renovation, land purchase and enlarging business premises. The repayment period for this scheme is between 50 to 100 weeks. Social Security Programs Malaysia’s system of social security consists broadly of three different schemes; social insurance scheme, compulsory savings scheme, and other complementary social security institutions. Social insurance principles are applied to work injury and invalidity benefit schemes for the workers administered by the Social Security Organization (SOCSO). On the other hand, individual’s savings mandated by the government are the major security scheme preparing for old age. Employees Provident Fund (EPF) is the institution to monitor the compulsory savings, which is operated on the base of individual account principle. There are a number of specific schemes covering special groups of the population, including a workmen’s compensation scheme for otherwise uncovered workers. Workmen’s compensation scheme is prepared for the physical labors or workers of small establishment or minimal earnings or casual workers. Public officers have a compensation scheme of their own, which is operated separately from EPF or SOCSO’s social insurance. Besides these general social security schemes, ad hoc supplementary assistances are provided for the residual groups such as the poor elderly or rubber tappers or fishermen in the principle of public assistance. The Employees Provident Fund was enacted in 1951. The EPF is the major institutional measure available for the preparation of old age and the main stay of Malaysia’s system of social security in terms of coverage, comprehensiveness, and size of fund. All workers, with the exception of certain categories, are principally entitled to join the EPF. Coverage is provided to the self-employed on a voluntary basis. The Social Security Organization provides coverage for all workers for the contingencies of employment injury and invalidity by means of 70 mandatory social insurance. The composition of members for the SOCSO’s social security scheme is similar to that of the EPF. The two institutions are provided mainly for employed workers. The Workmen’s Compensation Scheme, which is managed by private insurance and supervised by the Ministry of Human Resources, provides coverage for injury to all employees who are not presently covered by the social security schemes. The ministry of National Unity and Community Development provides supplementary assistance to the aged as well as to families that face economic difficulties due to poverty or natural disasters. Special State schemes further supplement the Federal scheme such as the assistance to fishermen or the assistance to self-employed rubber small holders etc. Employment Provident Fund The Employment Provident Fund provides for financial security to its members or their beneficiaries in the event of retirement, death or incapacity. Over the years the benefits available to members have been expanded and improved in line with these objectives and these include the promotion of house ownership through partial withdrawals and the payment of additional benefits due to death or incapacity. Table III-2-8. Trend of Key EPF Indicators Membership (thousand) Contribution Rate (%) Dividend Rate (%) Contributions (US $mil.) Withdrawal (US $mil.) Cumulative Asset (US $mil.) 1995 7,756 1996 8,050 1997 8,274 1998 9,157 1999 9,543 22 7.50 4,130 23 7.70 5,181 23 6.70 4,937 23 6.70 3,890 23 6.84 3,998 1,264 1,461 1,919 2,221 1,875 39,540 47,122 44,731 39,097 43,970 71 Source: http://www.asean-ssa.org/malaysia-Epf/keyindicators.asp. The EPF is based on the concept of individual savings in a fund sustained by contributions from employees and employers. Mandatory contributions constitute the amount of money credited to individual member’s account based on the monthly wages of an employee. The Scheme applies compulsorily to employees, with exception of following categories; nomadic aborigines, domestic servants, casual and agricultural workers, legal immigrant workers, and public sector employees. A self-employed person may elect to join voluntarily. Since its establishment, the EPF has grown rapidly to be one of the biggest savings institutions as well as the representative social security institution in Malaysia. In 1952, the EPF covered 0.5 million employees under its scheme, this figure has grown to cover most workers in the country in the late 1990s, as far as membership is concerned. In 1999, 9.5 millions of workers are joined in this schemes. When this figure is compared to the number of total labor force, 9.0 millions, most workers seem to join the scheme. However, the active member, who participate regularly in the compulsory savings, hold about half of the total members. This implies that one in two workers does not have even the basic provident fund coverage. The total membership from 1995 to 1999 showed an increase of 4.15% from 1998 to 1999. The proportion of active members dropped from 52.1% in 1997 to 50.1% in 1999 largely due to the economic crisis. This drop during the financial crisis was reflected in the decrease of savings amount as well. While the total savings has grown more than 15% annually until the onset of the crisis, the growth rate dropped to 12% in 1999. Table III-2-9. EPF Membership and Savings from 1995-1999 Year Total Growth Rate (%) Active Inactive Total Savings (mil RM) Growth Rate (%) (unit: million) 1995 7.78 6.6 3.99 3.77 96.9 1996 8.05 3.8 4.18 3.87 113.5 1997 8.27 2.8 4.31 3.96 129.5 1998 9.16 10.7 4.66 4.50 145.3 1999 9.54 4.2 4.78 4.76 163.4 16.2 17.1 14.1 12.2 12.4 Source: http://www.kwsp.gov.my/kwsp/english/body_statisitic.html. and EPF 72 Annual Report, 1999. The contribution rates have increased four times since the introduction of the EPF. In 1999, the contributions in respect of employees amount to 23% of the wage, of which 11% is paid by the employee and 12% by the employer. For practical purposes, the contributions are specified in RM by wage bands. There is no ceiling on the wage subject to contributions. Selfemployed persons and pensionable employees can choose the amount of contribution ranging from RM50 to RM5,000 per month. Table III-2-10. Contribution Rates to EPF Year 1952-1975 1975-1980 1980-1992 1993-1995 1996-2000 Employee 5 6 9 10 11 (unit: %) Employer 5 7 11 12 12 Total 10 13 20 22 23 Source: http://www.kwsp.gov.my/kwsp/english/body_statisitic.html. Contributions are accumulated in individual accounts, and interest is added at the end of each year at the rate of dividend declared by the Board. 73 The EPF guarantees a minimum of 2.5% dividend annually. The savings deposited in the EPF could only be drawn on attaining age 55 or in a very exceptional incidence strictly stipulated by law until the amendment in 1995. However, since the amendment the contingences to enable the withdrawal were verified, including housing expenses and medical treatment as well as retirement. According to the amendment, the deposits in the individual account are subdivided into three accounts. The account 1, which amounts to 60% of the deposits, can be principally withdrawn on attaining age 55. The member cannot access the savings until age 55. The deposits in account 2, which amounts to 30% of the deposits, can be drawn for housing purposes such as acquiring a low-cost housing or other stipulated housing- related payments. The balance may be withdrawn at age 50. The deposits in account 3, the remaining 10%, can be utilized for the treatment of critical illness approved by the Board, provided that their employer does not cover of partially cover such treatment. A member can also withdraw their savings to pay for the medical treatment of their spouse, children and parents. In 1999, the withdrawal of deposits due to normal (55 of age) or early (50 of age) retirement held as little as 41% out of the total amount of withdrawal. Table III-2-11. Scheme of Withdrawal from EPF by Type of Account Type of Account Account I Account II Account III Assigned Balance Contingencies to withdraw 60 % attaining age 55 30 % for housing purposes, or attaining age 50 10 % for the treatment of a catastrophic disease Source: EPF Annual Report, 1999. Table III-2-12. % Age of Amount Withdrawn from EPF by Reasons (1999) Reasons % Age of Amount Withdrawn 74 Retirement (55 years old) Low Cost Housing Members Investment Scheme Redemption of Housing Scheme Early Retirement (50 years old) Death Incapacitation Leaving Country Medical Others Total 27.94 21.30 15.72 13.14 13.04 3.60 1.89 1.69 0.28 100.00 Source: EPF Annual Report, 1999. Dividends are paid annually into member’s account at a rate declared by the EPF subject to the returns from investments made in the approved financial instruments. For the year 1999, the EPF declared a dividend of 6.84% or 3.84% higher than the inflation rate of 3%. Annual dividend rates from 1952 to 1999 showed an upward trend up to year 1987, recording 8.5% of annual interest, but fluctuated between 6.70 to 7.70% for the period 1995 to 1999. Social Insurance Schemes The Employees’ Social Security Act was enacted in 1969. The Scheme is administered by the SOCSO, a body corporate under the control of the Minister of Human Resources. The scheme covers the contingencies of work injury including occupational diseases and invalidity. It is operated by the principle of social insurance. Membership to the scheme is mandatory. A person employed under a contract of service or apprenticeship is covered by the Act. An employee earning a monthly wage of RM2,000 or less has to contribute to the SOCSO. Once an employee is covered, he/she is always covered even if his/her monthly earnings exceed RM2,000. Both employers and employees should contribute to the scheme by the rates stipulated by law. The contribution rate for the employee is 0.5% of wages for the Invalidity Pension Scheme, while the employer pays 1.25% of wages for the Work Injury Insurance and 0.5% for the Invalidity Pension Scheme. Employees do not contribute to the Work Injury Insurance. The government’s financial support to the social insurance is none. 75 The scheme applies compulsorily to all employees earning a wage below RM2,000 per month when they first become liable for coverage. Such employees continue to be covered when the wage exceeds RM2,000 but are deemed to earn RM2,000 per month. Employees earning over RM2,000 when first liable are excluded from compulsory coverage but may join voluntarily, in agreement with the employer. The following categories of employees are excluded from the scheme by law: domestic servants, spouses(s) of the employer, public officers, persons detained in a prison. All public sector employees are excluded from the scheme. Immigrant workers were originally covered but were excluded from April 1993. An employee who has attained the age of 55 years or is in receipt of an invalidity pension but continues to be employed is excluded from coverage for invalidity benefits, but coverage for employment injury continues. Membership of SOCSO has been increasing continuously over the years in terms of the number of employees and employers. In 1999, total membership of SOCSO was 8.6 million, while the total number of registered employers was 386 thousands. The figure indicates that most of workers (95%) are registered at the scheme in principle. However, the active members, those paying the dues regularly, are about 69% of the registered members in the case of employers. Therefore, about 65% out of the total workers are estimated to participate in the scheme actually. Table III-2-13. Trend of Key SOCSO Indicators 1995 Membership Base (thousand) -Registered Employers 274 -Registered Employees 7,422 Contribution Rate (%) -Employer 1.75 -Employee 0.50 Annual Contributions 673 (RM mil.) Annual Benefit Amount 289 (RM mil.) 1996 1997 1998 1999 306 7,614 339 8,253 359 8,429 386 8,598 1.75 0.50 758 1.75 0.50 879 1.75 0.50 878 1.75 0.50 899 316 384 445 497 Source: http://www.asean-ssa.org/malaysia-Epf/keyindicators.asp. 76 Insured persons are classified into one of 24 wages classes, for each of which the amount of the contributions is specified. Contributions for work injury benefit represent 1.25% of the average assumed wage and are entirely at the employer’s charge. Contributions for invalidity benefit amount to 1% of the average assumed wage and are shared equally between the insured person and the employer. Work Injury Insurance The Work Injury Insurance provides an employee with protection for accidents that occur while traveling, arising out of and in the course of employment, and occupational diseases. Benefits covered include medical benefits, temporary disablement benefits, permanent disablement benefits, survival benefits, etc. The benefits do not require any minimum qualifying period. Medical benefits are provided to an employee who meets with an industrial injury or suffers from an occupational disease. The benefit package includes: necessary medical treatment, hospitalization, medicines, artificial limbs and other prosthetic appliances, and physical and vocational rehabilitation. Temporary disablement benefits are paid in the event of incapacity of work due to an employment injury subject to a waiting period of three days. Benefit is payable from the fourth day of incapacity. The daily rate of benefit amounts to 80% of wages. Permanent disablement benefit is payable if permanent disablement, partial or total, results from a work injury. The benefit amounts to 90% of wages for total disability, subject to the minimum of RM9 per day. The benefit rate for partial disablement is proportional to the degree of disablement. Survival benefits are payable in the event of death due to a work injury, to a widow or children. The widow receives 60% of permanent disability pension of the deceased, and the children receive 40% (60% if no widow). Invalidity Pension Invalidity pension is payable in the event of a serious disablement or disease of a permanent nature that is incurable or unlikely to be cured, as a result of which an employee’s earning capacity is reduced by at least twothirds. The Invalidity Pension provides coverage against death or invalidity of a worker who has made at least 24 monthly contributions within a period of 40 consecutive months preceding the notice of 77 invalidity. Full pension is 50% plus 1% for every 12 contributions over and above the basic 24 contributions subject to a maximum of 65% and a minimum of RM171.43 per month as of January 1995. If the invalidity pensioner needs constant attendance, an allowance is payable equal to 40% of the invalidity pension, subject to the maximum of RM500 per month. Employer Liability Schemes The Workmen’s Compensation Act was enacted in 1952, the following year of enacting the Employee’s Provident Fund Act. Workmen entitled to compensation under the scheme are all manual workers, irrespective of their earnings, and non manual workers whose earnings do not exceed RM 500 a month. The Workmen’s Compensation Scheme is not applicable to workers who are insured under the Employees’ Social Security Act. It also excludes public servants, domestic servants, outworkers, casual workers not connected with the employer’s trade, etc. Immigrant workers, who were originally covered by SOCSO, were brought under the Workmen’s Compensation Scheme since April 1993. The actual number of workers covered under the Workmen’s Compensation Act is not know as they are not required to be registered under the Department of Labor. The total number of injured workers receiving benefits under this scheme is reported to have decreased over the years because of the gradual extension of coverage under the SOCSO’s social insurance scheme. The employer of an injured worker under the act is liable to pay compensation to the worker or his/her dependant in the event of his/her death or to pay any expenses incurred in the treatment and the rehabilitation of the worker. All the benefits payable under the Scheme are in the form of lump-sum payments. Employers of workmen who are covered by this Act are required to purchase workmen’s compensation policy from a private insurance carrier, which is administered by the Ministry of Human Resources. The kinds of benefits under this scheme are similar to those provided by the SOCSO’s social insurance scheme. Those are medical benefits, temporary disablement benefits, permanent disablement benefits, and survival benefits. All government employees regardless of their functions or titles are entitled to a pension depending on their length of service. Initially a government employee contributes to the Employees Provident Fund; after 10 years of service he/she is affiliated to the public sector pension scheme. The pension expenditure is wholly borne by the government. The 78 Pensions Trust Fund was established in 1991. Statutory bodies and local authorities contribute to this Fund 17.5% of the salary bill of their pensionable employees. The government contributes to this Fund 5% of the basic salaries of the pensionable employees in Ministries and Departments. The Fund will eventually take over the Government’s pension liability. The pension and gratuity are awarded on retirement in one of the following circumstances: upon attaining age 55, termination of service for several other reasons. The pension amounts to 1/600 of the last basic salary per month of service, subject to the maximum of 50% of the last basic salary. The gratuity, paid in a lump sum, is equal to the last annual basic salary per month of service. Medical Care Medical care is provided through national health services at the government hospitals, health centers and clinics. However, the long waiting period before one gets medical treatment could discourage patients from going to government hospitals. Also, the recent proposal to privatize health care raises some concern about its viability. Social assistance and support (material and financial) for the disadvantaged group including the hardcore poor, disabled persons, the elderly is the responsibility of the Department of Social Welfare, Ministry of Unity and National Development. Whereby the elderly, aged 60 years and above, do not have permanent income either living alone or living with families are assisted by the Social Welfare with a financial aid of RM70.00 per month. This is done to create a caring society which practices a caring culture embodied in the Vision 2020.38 Public Assistance The government provides financial assistance to families, children, the elderly, the disabled and victims of accidents and natural disasters, provided that they are very poor and not covered by any other social security measures. A sum of RM115 is given as temporary financial assistance to families unable to earn as a result of illness, accidents, injury or death of the breadwinner. Preference is given to children who are orphaned or forced to live in foster homes. Rehabilitation measures are 38 The estimation of poverty rate varies largely depending upon sources. According to the estimation of World Bank, the poverty rate is estimated to be 15.5% in the most recent year available during the period of 1984-99 (World Bank, 2000). The poverty rate shown in this text is based upon the figures published by the Malaysia government. 79 made available to disabled people while financial assistance enables family member to be independent. In an effort to promote self-reliance in the population, a business grant of M$2,000 is provided to families that have been under the financial assistance. This grant is a one-time grant and is subject to project approval. Old age assistance is provided to people who are above the age of 60 years and who do not have families to support them or a place of residence. The Federal scheme provides a RM 50 monthly allowance to the aged poor. Other than this general measure of public assistance, there are ad hoc assistance programs varying across regions. Recommendations Even though the rapid economic development has decreased the incidences of poverty over the years, a substantial proportion of people are still living below the substance level. In addition, the socio-economic gap between urban dwellers and rural residents, and between Peninsular Malaysia and Sabah or Sarawak remains enormous despite government’s continued effort since the ethnic riot in 1969. The government should put more emphasis on lessening the regional gaps, not to mention eradicating the poverty throughout the nation. In the development process more resources should be distributed to the poor living in those alienated regions. About half of the total employed persons are covered by the Employment Provident Fund or related pension schemes, and those covered by the SOCSO’s social insurance scheme stays at two thirds of the total workers. The rest of the populations are still not covered by any social security scheme. Those are mainly the self-employed, the workers in informal sectors, and agricultural workers. The public assistance programs are operated on an ad hoc basis, not reliable as the last resort for the poor at all. Those lying outside of the social security system cannot but resort to their individual resources, if any. Therefore, for the progress of the Malaysia’s social security system, the government’s major effort should be put on establishing the universal system of social security by enlarging the comprehensiveness of covered people. The urban poor and the agricultural workers should be the main target for the expansion. During the recent financial crisis, a large number of workers went through hard times. Since there is no unemployment benefits and little private 80 termination benefits available for the majority of workers, many of the unemployed fell below the subsistence level during the period. The unemployment insurance scheme should be introduced for the disadvantaged workers to be able to sustain afloat during possible retrenched periods. Taking into account the fact that the sweep of globalization leads to a new kind of labor markets, in which lay-offs and part timers are a norm, Malaysia should be prepared to this change by introducing the unemployment insurance scheme, which provides a cushion for workers in such unstable markets. Finally, the public assistance scheme needs to be more systematized and reliable. The categories of the poor entitled to the benefits should be enlarged. The fact that recipients live below the substance level should be the only criteria of eligibility. In order to attain this objective, the government budget for social security and welfare should be increased from the current level of 7% of total government expenditure to more than 10%. 3. Indonesia Prior to the 1997 economic crisis, the Indonesian poverty ratio fell drastically from 60% in 1970 to 11% in 1996 as the result of a rapid economic growth.39 However the unprecedented impact of the crisis and the increasing number of people falling into poverty has astonished policy makers and pointed to the issue of how to deal with the magnitude of the problems and how to help the poor.40 Indonesian’s nation-wide social safety net program consisted of divers and temporary poverty reduction programs and social insurance schemes. Besides the government of Indonesia’s own resources, funding for the social safety net program also came from donor agencies including both bilateral and multilateral donors. By July 1998, Indonesia had received US$2.8 billion from the Consultative Group on Indonesia. Description of Major Social Safety Net Programs 39 40 Sumarto, 2001. Puguh, 2001. 81 Special Market Operations for Rice (Operasi Pasar Khusus; OPK) The Office of Minister for Food and Horticulture and National Logistics Agency (BULOG) had implemented OPK during 1998-2000 with state budget for all provinces. OPK is a targeted subsidy program that distributes cheap rice directly to the target groups to replace a “general subsidy” of rice that distorted market prices. The program first launched in the period of July 1998-March 1999 to help poor households to fulfil their basic food (20Kg of rice per household) at cheap price (Rp1,000/kg) with a certain quantity and period. It covered 12.3 million families in December 1999 with approximately 45,000 distribution points nationwide. The Indonesian government fully financed the program spending of about 3.4 trillion Rp in 1999 but stopped the program at the end of 2000.41 Although the program was executed well in distributing cheap rice and helped bring about food price stability, the evaluation of program was not positive due to inadequate socialization and transparency which led to mistargeting, fund misallocation, corruption of the implementing agency and exclusion of non-residential poor. Also, NGO Food Security Program was initiated by an NGO called the Paramita Social Welfare Foundation (YKSP). This is one among many Indonesian NGOs distributing food aid to needy households. YKSP was formed in 1995 by a group of religious leaders and Buddhist entrepreneurs, and has delivered during SeptemberOctober 1998 approximately 10,000 food parcels (consisting of 10 kg rice, 1 kg sugar and ½ kg of mung beans) to poor communities in North Jakarta, Central Java, and East Java. National Food Security Program through Farmers Empowerment (PKPN-MPMP) This program was implemented by Ministry of Agriculture during Jun 1998-March 1999 for all provinces with state budget. It is designed to increase national food stock to be available and affordable for all people, through improvement in food crop, poultry and fish production. The target of program is poor farmers/fishermen experiencing reduction in purchasing power due to crisis impacts. Scholarship and School Block Grants For Primary and Secondary 41 Ibid. 82 Education (SBG) This program is implemented by the Ministry of National Education for 1998-2002 for all provinces with state budget and external loans (The World Bank and ADB). It is meant to finance educational costs of primary and secondary education students from poor families in order to decrease the incidence of drop-out due to economic problems, to increase opportunity to continue to higher educational levels, and to encourage all school-aged children - particularly girls - to complete a minimum junior secondary level. Scholarships of this program are for students from poor families (determined by the school committee), who are enrolled at grade 4, 5, 6 of primary schools or at all grades of junior and senior secondary schools. The amount of scholarship is as follows: primary student Rp120,000/year; junior secondary student: Rp 240,000/year; senior secondary student: Rp300,000/year. Block grants are for students of public and private schools that mostly need assistance (determined by the district committee and sub-district committee) amount to Rp2 million/year for primary school, Rp4 million/year for junior secondary school, Rp10 million/year for senior secondary school. It is reported that this program is hampered by leakage of the funds and corruption. And the amount of scholarships is not enough to cover the educational needs among children from the very poor because the scholarship was only given to cover school fees and other related expenses. Social Safety Net for Health Sector (JPS-BK) This program has been implemented by Ministry of Health since 1998 for all provinces with state budget and external loans (ADB). It was designed to provide medical assistance to improve and to maintain health and nutrition quality of poor families. Target groups are poor households and specifically pregnant women and those women who just gave birth with criteria as follows: having meals less than twice a day, could not afford basic health services, bread-winner of the family was laid-off, at least one family member had dropped-out due to economic problems. Several reports have pointed out some apparent problems of the program related to mis-targeting to include non-poor families, administrative problems, tendency towards late distribution of funding to community health centers and village midwives.42 42 Puguh, 2001. 83 Supplementary Food for Primary School Students (PMT-AS) This program has been implemented by Ministry of Health, Ministry of Education and Ministry of Home Affairs etc. since 1996 for all provinces with state budget. It is to improve nutritional status and health condition of primary school students, improve students capacity in educational process, increase awareness of the students and their parents on the importance of nutrition and good sanitation, increase the utilization of local products and provide incremental income for the community. Target groups are all primary school students (both public and private; religious and secular) located at “backward villages” and urban poor areas, and local community for increasing awareness of health and education and provision of incremental income for supplementary food supplies. The students had supplementary food 66 times (3 times in a week) in 2000 (108 times in 1999/2000) and anti-intestinal worm medicine twice a year. The weaknesses of the program are a low disbursement rate, poor program management, lack of innovative adjustment at the district level Labor Intensive Program (PDKMK) This program was implemented by Ministry of Manpower during 19981999 for 215 districts in 7 provinces and 220 districts in 27 provinces with state budget. It is to provide employment that will create socially productive assets that may contribute to sustained capacity of urban and rural communities to recover from the economic crisis, empower local community organizations, create community saving, and expand the utilization of new technology. Target groups are unemployed persons due to the economic crisis and drought living in urban and rural areas. Major activities are construction and rehabilitation of local infrastructures (irrigation, road, drainage, traditional markets, dams, water reservoir, etc.), improvement of agricultural and fisheries activities (ponds, fishing net, utilization of idle land, poultry), as well as agribusiness, improvement of local small-scale industry (ceramics, construction materials, etc.), improvement of small-scale traders (kiosk, cart, etc.), and any activities determined by local community, except construction/ rehabilitation of roads, irrigation and other infrastructures, that have the characteristics of creating new employment, providing income for local community, creating community saving, supporting investment, and expanding new technology. This program has shown a fairly good performance in fund absorption and relatively good performance in job creation (about 59 million man working days), whereas there are weaknesses such as poor 84 targeting, male biases and lack of transparency, socialization and sound management. Employment Generation (PK) This program represents one of the first social safety net schemes launched by the government of Indonesia. It is a massive labor-intensive effort initiated in various areas in Indonesia and has two main objectives: 1) to provide income support to the unemployed and the poor; and 2) to create production benefits in the form of lasting social capital, including people’s skills and enterprise. Small and Medium Enterprises (SME) Scheme is administered by the Ministry of Cooperatives and aims to help the SMEs in the form of credit. To date, the Government of Indonesia has allocated Rp20 trillion in support of SMEs, but the allocation of this program was not reflected in the budget for social safety net program. Under this scheme, SMEs are provided with technical assistance and access to credit to further develop their business and employment activities. The above social safety net schemes were considered by the government of Indonesia as crash programs that were not comprehensively planned. Several new initiatives were then developed to avoid the earlier mistakes. Three new initiatives are now being implemented namely: Kecamatan Development Program (KDP); Urban Poverty Program (UPP); and Empowerment of Regions to Overcome the Impact of Economic Crisis (PDM-DKE) Kecamatan Development Program (KDP) This program has concentrated on addressing the needs of rural communities in combating poverty. It focused on providing support to both private sector economic activities as well as public infrastructure development. It was initiated before the crisis and reprogrammed to mitigate negative impacts of the crisis in rural areas. Urban Poverty Program (UPP) This program has an objective to empower local communities to help residents overcome poverty in urban areas. The project will provide capital to revitalize economic activities of the communities and improve infrastructures. It will initially target the poor in some 60 urban areas in Java with total population targeted about 24 million. 85 Empowerment of the Regions to Overcome the Impact of the Economic Crisis (PDM-DKE) This program was implemented by the Ministry of Home Affairs and Regional Autonomy during 1998-2000 for all provinces with state budget. It is new initiative by which funds are sent directly to the people, using a community-based approach. The scheme seeks to generate employment and income among those hardest hit by the crisis and to improve the overall functioning of social and economic improve infrastructure with a view to reinvigorating local economies across the entire country. Target groups are poor people both in urban and rural areas who are unemployed and could not afford sufficient food, health, and education services. Geographically in 2000, implemented at the villages with highest population with the characteristics above, in the sub-districts where KDP and UPP are not operating. The funds were directly channeled to the village implementing team who implement, in general, 2 types of activities: (a) labor intensive projects in construction, operation, and maintenance of local infrastructures; and (b) economic activities to support small-scale business. Social Insurance43 Indonesia has a national pension scheme, a health insurance and a work injury insurance system, but lacks unemployment insurance. The national pension, introduced in 1951, covers establishments with 10 or more employees or a payroll of Rp 1 million. Source of funds come from 2% of earnings of insured person and 3.7% of payroll of employer. Old age benefit starts at the age of 55 for those who have contributed for 66 months. As in other developing economies, it has been extended gradually to cover smaller establishments and casual and seasonal workers. Health insurance, introduced in 1957, has been expanding as of late. Medical benefits are medical examination and treatment, hospitalization, medicines, and maternity care, dental care, eye care, family planning services and immunization. The benefits are the same for the insured workers dependents. Monitoring Facilities During the early stages of the crisis, it was determined that existing 43 Social Security Administration, 1999. 86 poverty measurements and information was inadequate. The Social Monitoring and Early Response Unit (SMERU) was established as a result. SMERU provides rapid qualitative information concerning the impact of the crisis and on the performance of social safety net programs in the economy. SMERU is a collaborative multi-donor effort led by the World Bank with contributions and technical support from AusAID, the European Unit ASEM Fund, and the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID). Funding for the Social Safety Net by Donors and International Organizations Besides the Indonesian government’s own resources, funding for the social safety net programs also came from donor agencies including both bilateral and multilateral donors. By July 1998, Indonesia had received US$2.78 billion for social safety net programs from overseas. Table III-3-1. Funding Support by Donors and International Organizations Donor APEC Member Japan USA Australia Canada New Zealand Non-APEC Member EU Germany International Organizations World Bank ADB WFP UNFPA The Rest Total Amount (in US$) % 1,444,000,000 53,000,000 10,200,000 6,710,000 3,642,000 51.90 1.90 1.36 0.24 0.13 6,100,000 168,750,000 0.22 6.06 631,000,000 302,900,000 89,000,000 43,000,000 24,166,168 2,782,468,168 22.70 10.80 3.19 1.55 Source: UNSFIR, 1999; Widiastuti, 1999. 87 100.00 Apart from the government’s social safety net programs, it is important to recognize a number of additional initiatives by non-government organizations, religious organizations, and community groups programs, seeking to provide relief assistance. International NGOs have mounted support programs particularly in food relief operations. These activities have also received financial support from bilateral donors (e.g. AusAID, USAID, and CIDA). 4. Thailand Since Thailand did not have a full range of social safety net programs at the time of the crisis, most families were unable to avoid the negative social impacts following the baht devaluation. Kakwani et al (1999) estimated that only 45.6% of the population were covered by one of the available health insurance and welfare schemes. Government mechanisms did not directly support Thai families to avoid impacts of the crisis. Issues of targeting and lack awareness of programs detracted from the effectiveness of the programs. One accepted lesson of the crisis is that it is better to try to prevent social impacts on the poor than to try to alleviate the impact of shocks after they have occurred. As the economic recovery seems to be underway in the second half of 1999, the government is engaged in developing broader social protection programs that will reach a greater percentage of the population. Description of Social Safety Nets Miyazawa plan This is the latest economic rescue package, with financial assistance of US$1.85 billion from Japan. The objective of the plan is to generate jobs, including those in small and medium enterprises (SMEs). The World Bank (1999) claims that by the end of July 1999, over 1.5 million jobs had been created. According to Booth (1999), the employment creation projects initiated 88 during the crisis were successful. However, the self-employment in rural area and informal sectors financially supported by the plan is deemed as a failure. Her reasoning is that the institutional capacity is inadequate to change the unemployed to the self-employed. Urban Community Development Office (UCDO) This was set up in April 1992. The board consists of representatives from government, squatter residents, and relevant development NGOs. Its main objectives include lending money to the poor to enhance their opportunities to earn more income, secure livelihoods, possess decent accommodation, and lead their lives in a better environment. UCDO plays a key role in examining the crisis impacts on the poor in squatter settlements and proposing appropriate measures and responses. The agency has a good record in avoiding the usual snags due to bureaucracy and red tape. Social Investment Project (SIP) This project is designed to alleviate social impacts due to the economic crisis. Loans to SIP, from major international organizations, totaled close to US$450 million. The project covers a wide range of activities such as job creation, social welfare, education, and health improvement. SIP can be divided into two types according to the time frame of spending. At the end of February 2000 it has disbursed only 28.7% of its total budget. It also reported that 3,390 projects are complete while 9,100 new projects are preparing their work plans. Vocational education is the largest sector in which SIP projects are implemented, followed by employment generation. As a result of evaluation, the project requires a transparent process of selecting, implementing, monitoring, and evaluating projects. Chaipattana Foundation It was established in 1988 on the initiative of His Majesty the King. The objective is to promote development and quality of life of Thai people through various social and economic activities. It plays a crucial role in reducing poverty by providing means for selected poor communities to improve earnings, prospects, and through vocational training programs. The foundation provides an excellent opportunity for rural farmers to form networks and share a cooperative. It is not bound by bureaucratic rules 89 and regulations, and works closely with and, in support of government projects. Mongkol Chaipattana Company Limited was established in 1998 by the Chaipattana foundation in compliance with the King’s suggested solution to the economic crisis. The company has collaborated with the Agriculture and Cooperative Ministry to create the “Lemon Farm Pattana Cooperative”, which forms a network of people in rural communities to market their products in urban areas bypassing middlemen. It is intention of the cooperative to be owned by rural farmers who can buy the cooperate share for 100 baht. The company rents Lemon Farm stores, attached to gas stations owned by Bangchak Petroleum Public Company, as a main outlet for farm products. The Lemon Farm Pattana Cooperative provides an opportunity for farmers to own shares in the enterprise, instead of being suppliers to middleman traders as in the past. Dividends from the shares provide an incentive for farmers to produce quality goods and higher earnings eventually lead them out of poverty. The company also cites the potential earnings on farm products as encouraging unemployed laborers to work on farms in their own hometowns. Table III-4-1. Social Safety Net Projects of Ministries Project Target Group Conditions Budget/Fund (million baht) Benefits Workers in firms with more than 10 workers contribute the 1-3% of wages to the fund, with contributions from employers & government Insured employees for sickness & work-related causes, employers’ contributions at 0.21% of wages. Over 10 employees establishment Contribution: 48,630 Benefits: 5030 (1997-1999) Compensation in case of sickness, maternity, invalidity, non-workrelated death, old age pension, and child allowance Contribution: 5571.57 Benefits: 5020.70 (1997-1999) Compensation in case of death, injury, sickness and loss of organs due to workrelated conditions a. 200 million baht Government subsidy in Year 2000 b. funds from fees collected Savings plus interest for voluntary leave/ death; others, based on service rate and length. 30 times daily wages for retrenched Ministry of Labor and Social Welfare 1.Social Security Fund Workers, Selfinsured person 2.Workmen’s Compensation Fund Employee 3.Employee Welfare Fund Employee 90 4.Overseas Workers Aid Fund Overseas job seekers Permitted workers to work overseas through jobplacement agencies, independent overseas job seekers 5.Credit Loans for Overseas Job Seekers Labor with external debt Permitted job seekers to work overseas 6.Worker's Fund Labor with non-bank debts Labor in work establish-ments 7.Constructio n Workers and Their Families 8.Skill Development Fund 9.Revolving Fund for Women Employee and their families Workers in construction sites 10.Social Services for Children without Families New labor force, layed off labour Rural women from neglect to follow the Act. 150.90 Budget to compensate interstates difference of 3% to debtors 200 11.73 To help raise quality of life of employees and families. 370.00 (19971999) Short-term loan for training and raising the skills level No-interest 15,000 baht loan per group to be repaid within 2 years Counseling, financial and material support; child support for foster families; government institutions Protection/ welfare, Occupational training, Alternative to prostitution Elderly homes and monthly allowances 5-person production women group with training from DPW 52.04 Children Newborn to 18 years children including families; abandoned/neglecte d children; adoption. 979.74 (19971999) 11.Services for Disadvantage d Women 12.Services for Older Persons Women and girl Disadvantaged women 690.93 (19971999) Elderly persons Aged : poor, homeless, lack of family support or in adversaries 2502.09 (19971999) 13.Services for People with Disabilities People with Disability 1078.20 (19971999) 91 if employers’ inability to pay. death,disabili-ty, notpassing health exam, abandon by employers, adversities in foreign land, waiting time to start work, to be indicted To receive compensation for 3% inter-states difference within 90,000(bath) credit Loans to relieve workers’ debts form outside the system Rehabilitation center, monthly allowance, job-creating/ employment services 14.Services for Hill People Hill people 924.98 (19971999) occupation, education, social, public utility development 15.Families/ Communities services People in distress 717.99 16.Services for Disaster Victims Disaster victims 405.95 Temporary shelters, occupational training, fund & loans for jobcreation Relief fund : cost of funeral, health care, Construction materials immediate services 17.Emergency Loan (Pawnshop) General public 12,818.43 Assist the poor /needy 18.Services for the Destitute Beggar The beggars, the homeless, the destitute 278.61 To provide physical, mental & occupational rehabilitation services 19.Services for HIVInfected Person HIV-infected person 184.17 Vocational grant, living allowance, government homes for HIVinfected children Voluntarily health card for the family of 5 – fee of 500 baht per year gov’t subsidy of 1000 baht covering husband, wife, children under 20 years/other members in household 5,800.00 (for 1999, 1,200 came from ADB loan) Disaster victims Ministry of Public Health 1.Voluntary Health Card Project General public 92 To receive care with out expenses from the pre-identified hospitals 2.Low Income Health Card General public Household with monthly income less than 2,800, single persons with monthly income less than 2,000. Elderly, Disability, Veterans, Religious leaders, HIV/AIDS patients, Children 0-12 years old 22,293.18 Compulsory education available 78,127.03 (1999-2001) Students from poor families Lunch for preschool and elementary school, malnutrition students Milk for pre-school and Grades 1-4 students 35,442.95 Card holders receive health care services with out cost for the government health care establishment Ministry of Education 1. Compulsory Education Pre-elementary to high school students 2.Loan for All students at Education Fund all levels 3.School Lunch Pre-elementary Project school, Malnutrition 4.School Milk Project Source: Pre/elementary school (grades 1-4) 7,635.54 8,047.00 9,412.00 8,732.00 Government supports education fees and supplies Education fees Education expenses lunches Milk Working Group to Prepare National Report on Strengthening Policies on Social Safety Nets established by the Ministry of Labor and Social Welfare in Pongsapich, 2000. Funding for the Social Safety Net by Donors and International Organizations Thailand has been financially supported by the Japanese government, the World Bank and ADB. The total amount of funds received since the economic crisis reached 78,120 million baht (US$1,953 million) through 1999. Of the total amount, the share of World Bank, ADB and Miyazawa plan were respectively 21.9%, 10.2% and 67.8%. Table III-4-2. Funding Support by Donors and International Organization Institutions World Bank ADB Miyazawa plan Total Amount (million baht) 17,120 8,000 53,000 78,120 (US$1,953,000,000) 93 % 21.92 10.24 67.84 100.00 Source: World Bank, ADB Internal Documents. Recommendations From the analysis of experience, the targeted poor do not have access to benefits of these projects as they should have. The obstacles are as follows: (1) the targeted poor lack information about the projects; (2) the projects involve sophisticated bureaucracies and are irresponsible for the poor’s urgent needs; and (3) the project managers in some cases do not know the appropriate means for implementing the projects Since the latest economic crisis, a number of programs have been launched to provide basic needs, generate employment, and promote more businesses. The crisis demonstrates that existing social safety net programs and social policies for poverty alleviation are not viable when the economy collapses. They were designed for conditions of increasing economic prosperity. Moreover, they are not appropriate for Thailand in the future. This is because their implementations cannot respond to rapid and unpredictable changes in social and economic conditions. Therefore, it is recommended that Thailand move away from social safety net programs toward more resilient and cost-effective broader social policies designed to alleviate existing poverty and prevent further outbursts. An optimal social policy will emerge as a result of trading off between funds available and program affordability, the length of time for the policy accomplishment, and the degree of the policy flexibility to changing social and economic conditions. Learning from experiences that Thailand had before, during, and after the economic crisis should be sufficient to suggest and produce such a social policy. 5. Vietnam The Asian financial crisis, which started in July 1997, had devastating effects not only on the big financial institutions and corporations, but also on individuals, households, and whole communities, in particular women and children. While financial statistics are available and updated promptly, social statistics are not available immediately or updated periodically, and people usually find the social consequences of the economic crisis only years later. While financial and business organizations melt down quickly, most countries have legal and institutional arrangements, like bankruptcy 94 laws, to protect the business concerns, and they often start again quickly in one way or another. However, many countries often do not have adequate social and legal institutions, such as social safety nets, to protect the individuals, households or communities from falling into poverty and suffering declines in wellbeing. Consequently, people often do not realize the devastating effect on individuals. Vietnam was not an exception in this respect. Since the Vietnamese economy had not been as open as in some other Asian countries, the adverse effect of the Asian crisis was not as wideranging and acute as in other countries. However, Vietnam had a large number of the chronic poor before the crisis, and a review of literature and data suggests that poor and near-poor households are more vulnerable to a range of risks, which can have a devastating effect on livelihoods and wellbeing. Moreover, the people near the poverty line fell into the poverty group, appearing as the new poor.44 The participatory poverty survey conducted in 1999 reports that the poorer urban households suffer from increased competition for unskilled work due to cutbacks by local enterprises and a growing reserve pool of rural migrant workers. Therefore, lifting people above the poverty line and preventing people falling into poverty through strengthening of social safety nets is as relevant in Vietnam as in other East Asian countries. Generally speaking, reducing poverty and vulnerability is intricately related to achieving economic growth. First, such suffering as malnutrition, missing immunization, and dropping out of school, often comes at so early a stage of human development that ability to emerge from poverty in the future is lost irreversibly. This, in turn, may reduce long-term economic growth. Second, as Vietnam continues to modernize, its economy will become increasingly integrated with that of the region and the world. This will provide considerable benefits in terms of exportled economic growth and poverty reduction. However, it will also increase the degree to which Vietnamese are exposed to global macroeconomic shocks. If the country is to reap the benefits of globalization, it must also take adequate steps to mitigate the impact of global crisis.45 Third, an exclusive focus on growth tends to benefit the rich more than the poor. Inequality hampers economic growth through political, social, and economic instability, as often observed in Latin America in the past. 44 45 Vu, 2000. Poverty Task Force, 2001. 95 Moreover, severe income inequality is likely to induce populist macroeconomic policies, which are inimical to sustainable growth. 46 Income equality also tends to promote accumulation of human capital more effectively through universal basic education of the masses, enhance productivity of the labor force and growth of skills-intensive exports, as shown in some East Asian countries, compared with Latin American countries.47 Therefore, the public policies that progressively improve the welfare of those currently living below the poverty line, as well as reducing vulnerability and strengthening social safety nets help limit inequalities, and promote sustainable growth. Strengthening social safety nets and protecting people from vulnerability is more important in Vietnam. A large proportion of individuals are clustered around the poverty line, so that it would take only a small reduction in per capita consumption to force those now living just above the poverty line back below it.48 In the following, the social safety nets prevailing in Vietnam are reviewed and evaluated with a view to making recommendations for their improvement and strengthening. The social safety nets are classified between the social security system and the social assistance (protection or relief) programs. In the category of the social security system, the health insurance program and other social insurance programs are focused. In the category of social assistance, some selected non-social insurance programs are reviewed: they are social guarantee funds, the Hunger Eradication and Poverty Reduction Program, medical aid for the poor (health Card), micro-credit programs, Crop Insurance Program, labor market regulations, and basic social services. Social Security System Health Insurance The provision of public healthcare services in Vietnam dates back to the 1950s, when the system placed special emphasis on providing primary and preventative health care measures to the rural population. This trend 46 47 48 Sachs, 1990. Jasperson, 1997. Poverty Task Force, 2001. 96 continued after national reunification, and by 1997, nearly 99% of all communes (9,806 out of 9,929) in the country had a community health station. Additional 926 rural communities had inter-communal polyclinics, the second tier in Vietnam’s five-tiered public health system.49 A formal health insurance program has been in place since 1993 in Vietnam. There are two different schemes. The first is a compulsory scheme that primarily covers civil servants, and employees of state owned organizations and large (more than ten employees) private enterprises. The second scheme is voluntary and is aimed at the rest of the population not covered by the compulsory scheme, including students, farmers, employees of small enterprises and the family of those individuals covered under the compulsory system. Most of the enrollees in the voluntary scheme are students, as schools are often under pressure from local authorities to enroll students in the scheme. The compulsory scheme provides both inpatient and outpatient care benefits, and also pays for drugs used in inpatient treatment. The voluntary scheme has two packages: a lower priced package that covers only inpatient care, and a higher priced package that includes outpatient care, and, in some situations, drugs as well. Most voluntary enrollees opt for the lower priced scheme.50 Contributions to the compulsory scheme are 3% of basic salary (1% from the employee and 2% from the employer). Voluntary scheme members pay annual premium, which varies from VND10,000 to 50,000 per year. Health facilities at the level of the inter-commune health policlinics and above are reimbursed by the Vietnam Health Insurance Agency (VHIA) on a fee-for-service basis: a flat fee for accommodation and standardized fees for tests and treatments. Vietnam’s health insurance program currently covers about 12% of the population, leaving 88% of the population without health insurance. As those left uncovered are primarily rural, they are also poor, and thus are unlikely at this time to be able to take advantage of the voluntary health insurance scheme as the premiums are, though low, still prohibitive. There is a wide range in the rate of health insurance coverage among different provinces. Hai Phong, for example, where the health insurance scheme was first tested as a pilot program, has 38% of its entire population covered by health insurance. By 49 50 UN and MOLISA, 1999. World Bank, SIDA, AusAID, Royal Netherlands Embassy and Ministry of Health, 2001. 97 contrast, Soc Trang in the Mekong River Delta area has a coverage rate of only 3.7%.51 The compulsory scheme has been successful in expanding coverage of its target population. By 1998, the compulsory coverage had been expanded to 77% of those eligible for coverage. It should be noted that under the compulsory scheme, the family of the insurance recipient is not covered, nor is the spouse of the recipient. The families of the compulsory insured are encouraged to enroll in the voluntary scheme, but few opt to do so. The voluntary program at present covers a little more than 5% of its target population. Thus, growth in the overall coverage of health insurance will have to come from either increased enrollment in the voluntary scheme, some change in the arrangement of the compulsory scheme so that benefits are extended to spouse and family, a combination of these, or another option entirely. The goal of the health insurance programs is eventually to extend coverage to everyone. One area of potential growth in coverage will be increased employment in non-farm activities - this will bring more people under the purview of the compulsory plan as greater numbers of people become employed in enterprises with ten or more employees. This will rely on increased industrialization, economic growth and foreign direct investment in Vietnam. In the rural sector, it is felt that a general rise in income levels will permit more people to enroll in the voluntary scheme. This will rely heavily on greater investment in technology in the agricultural sector and an exodus of people from the sector to provide increased efficiency. In the meantime, there is the need to provide short-term interim measures to attempt to insure that those in need are covered under the scheme. Moreover, in the transition to a market economy, out-of-pocket payments that individuals have to make for utilizing health services typically increase sharply, which can leave the poor in a vulnerable position unless there are well-functioning mechanisms for exempting the poor from the increases in health costs. The health insurance program has neither been an effective poverty reduction program, nor has it been a good social safety net. It is likely that enrollees in the compulsory insurance scheme are significantly better off than the general population, which is largely rural. Enrollees in the compulsory health insurance scheme are primarily civil servants and salaried employees of state and large private enterprises, 51 Ibid. 98 and many of them are middle-class urban residents.52 In order to encourage the rural population to enroll in the voluntary health insurance program, the insurance scheme itself must cover more of the overall cost per capita of health care. Currently, the average health expenditure per capita in Vietnam is approximately US$27. This amounts to approximately 7% of GDP per capita and is not excessive compared with other countries at a similar income level. Annual public health spending amounts to approximately US$6 per capita in the form of health insurance coverage, meaning that US$21 must be paid by individuals. In order to achieve a US$12 minimum per capita public health expenditure recommended by the World Bank for essential health services in lowincome countries, the Vietnamese government would have to allocate an additional US$468 million annually. Social Insurance The Ministry of Labor, Invalids and Social Affairs (MOLISA) currently manages a number of programs that provide social safety nets through social guarantee funds and relief.53 The state social insurance program offers short-term benefits related to maternity, sickness and employment injury, and long-term benefits for old-age pensions, disability and survivors’ benefits. However, unemployment insurance is not currently provided in Vietnam. The value of benefits is related to salary, and so is greater for higher-income groups. The schemes cover 13.8% of the labor force and include public sector workers, military personnel, State-Owned Enterprise (SOE) employees, and employees of private sector businesses with ten or more employees. Coverage is almost universal for civil servants, around 90% for SOE employees, though coverage is less than one-third for eligible private sector workers. The low coverage rate in the private sector is attributed to understaffed labor inspection departments. There is also some disincentive for workers to enroll in the program since benefits are not adjusted for inflation and thus do not provide an effective real wage replacement. The contribution rate is 20% of salary, with the employee contributing 5%, and the employer 15%.54 52 53 54 World Bank, SIDA, AusAID, Royal Netherlands Embassy and Ministry of Health, 2001. Vu, 2000. Vu, 2000. 99 MOLISA administers pensions to 1.2 million retired civil servants as part of social assistance (social protection) programs. Administrative responsibility for this pension program is shifting to the new Vietnam Social Insurance Agency (VSIA). The new fund is designed to be selffinancing through contributions from workers. Pensions for civil servants who retired prior to 1995 are currently managed by MOLISA, while the pensions of those who retired after 1995 are managed by the VSIA. Spending on pension funds accounts for nearly 40% of the total expenditures for social assistance (social protection programs), though this proportion will decline as administration of the social insurance program shifts increasingly to the VSIA. This is not a poverty-targeted program. Since the benefits are given in proportion to the contributions, which are determined in relation to the level of salaries, the richer proportionally benefit more. The insurance covers only the formal sector employees whose incomes are relatively higher than the average in the labor market. Moreover, the program is inequitable. In theory, the social insurance fund is independent of the state budget. Of the 15% employers’ contribution, 5% is retained by the Vietnam Confederation of Labor to finance the short-term benefits that it administers. The remaining 10% is to be allocated to the Ministry of Finance (MOF) for the long-term benefits, which are administered by MOLISA. In practice, however, weak revenue collection from SOEs resulted in an effective contribution rate to the MOF of only 5% of the eligible payroll. The shortfall to the public pension program was made up from general revenues levied on the whole population, the vast majority of whom are not covered by social insurance. To make the program a part of the social security system, the coverage should be expanded, and there should be a voluntary scheme for the program so that the majority of population who are currently not a member of the social insurance program can join it. Social Assistance (Protection or Relief) Social Guarantee Funds The MOLISA operates three Social Guarantee Funds: first for regular relief (for the lonely elderly, orphans, and the disabled poor); second, for veterans and war invalids; and finally, emergency relief for victims of natural disasters (Table III-5-1). Overall spending for social security (excluding health insurance) and social assistance services increased from 12% of total state spending in 1990 to almost 14% in 1997. 100 Table III-5-1. Social Assistance (Protection) Programs, 1997 No. of Beneficiaries War Contributor Pensioner Poor Job Training Disaster Victims Indirect Beneficiaries Total % of Social Service (Protection) Expenditures 1,400,000 1,200,000 2,460,000 90,000 n.a. 6,000,000 37 40 23 - 11,150,000 100 % of Social Services (protection) out of Total Public Exp. 14 Source: UN and MOLISA, 1999. The Social Guarantee Fund for Regular Relief aims at helping orphans, the disabled, the insane and the elderly without family support. These beneficiaries are further divided into two groups: those who can go about their lives with support from the community, and those who cannot. The first group is allotted a monthly stipend of VND24,000 (USD$1.60). This payment is often made in rice - 10-12 kg. The second group is eligible for placement in specialized provincial care centers and a monthly stipend of VND96,000 (USD$6.40). The Social Guarantee Fund for Veterans and War Invalids provides cash transfers to those who “contributed to the national liberation struggle”. The centrally-funded program is managed by MOLISA and provides benefits to approximately three million people. The social subsidies, like the Fund for Veterans and War Invalids, the Social Guarantee fund for Regular Relief, and the Contingency Fund for Natural Disaster (described below) account for 16% of central government spending. 55 The beneficiaries receive cash transfers on a monthly basis. Other benefits are 55 Government of Vietnam, Donors and NGO Poverty Working Group, 1999. 101 available to the beneficiaries, including, medical insurance, funeral fees, waivers for school fees and access to scholarships, land or housing assistance and livelihood support. The Contingency Fund for Pre-Harvest Starvation and Natural Disasters is designed to assist localities to recover quickly from the consequences of natural disasters and difficult pre-harvest conditions. Provinces maintain the contingency funds and, although they are not intended to fully cover recovery needs, the funds allow local governments to move quickly in the event of difficulty to mobilize recovery efforts. In the event that more funds are needed, provinces may apply to the central government for more funds. In 1997 some 3-5 million people were affected by this program.56 There is ample room for improving targeting of the social assistance program. Due to shortages in the budget, the actual coverage of the regular relief program is estimated as follows: 10% of orphans, 21% of the lonely elderly and 5% of the disabled.57 The Guarantee Fund for Veterans and Invalids is not targeted directly at the poor either, and it is estimated that 50% to 70% of war contributor program beneficiaries are poor. This means that between 18% to 26% of this sector’s resources are transferred to the non-poor. The government currently has a strategy to free up funds from this program for other uses. The initiative will offer beneficiaries a one-time lump-sum payment, after which they would be ineligible for future benefits. An overall reduction in expenditures for this program should occur as the number of beneficiary decreases as a result of death. As these funds become available, it is hoped that they will be applied to other programs in the sector. Also, efficiency of the programs could be improved through better mechanisms to track assistance received by individual beneficiaries. Presently, beneficiaries may receive benefits from multiple programs, but there is no mechanism to identify such overlapping benefit outlays.58 The transfer of the responsibility and immediate funding to the Contingency Fund for Pre-Harvest Starvation and Natural Disasters from the central government has made the Fund more able to quickly respond to crisis. However, the effectiveness of the Fund is hampered by lowlevels of funding. The percentage of social sector spending allocated to 56 57 58 Poverty Task Force, 2001. Vu, 2000. UN and MOLISA, 1999. 102 disaster relief is also very small: perhaps one-half of 1%. The low proportion spent for disaster relief reflects the “difficulty in planning for these unpredictable needs and the strong official encouragement of local communities to contribute to meeting their needs in this area ”.59 It also reflects that donor organizations and other non-governmental organizations contribute much of the total amount spent for disaster relief in Vietnam. Besides the social insurance service and Guarantee Fund programs, the government has provided various specific social assistance programs aimed at certain target groups. The most prominent programs are HERP, Medical Aid (Health Cards) for the Poor, Microcredit, Crop Insurance, Labor Market Regulations, and basic social services. Hunger Eradication and Poverty Reduction (HEPR) In 1992, certain provincial governments attempted to integrate antipoverty programs within an overall coordinated framework. This effort at integration of poverty reduction services was adopted as national policy in 1996, and the first national Hunger Eradication and Poverty Reduction (HEPR) program (1998-2000) was initiate two years later. This framework brought together nine component programs, most of which had existed in some form previously.60 The principal responsibility for the formulation of concrete policies and projects as well as the provision of funding lies with each separate ministry, and the responsibility for implementation of HEPR policies and programs lies with provincial authorities. HEPR consists of the following components:61 1. Improvement of basic commune infrastructures: including construction of roads to commune centers; construction of primary schools and commune health clinics; safe water supply systems; electric grids; and commune market places (CEMMA). 2. Provision of credit to poor households (SVB). 3. Improving health care to the poor through the provision of free 59 60 61 Ibid. Poverty Task Force, 2001. Vu, 2000. 103 medical care (health card) (MOH). 4. Promoting agricultural and off-farm production of poor households through ensuring increased access to land (land reclamation, provision of credit to redeem land mortgaged or previously sold), and to offer vocational training (MARD). 5. Improving access of poor to education through exemption or reduction of school fees, providing free notebooks at primary schools and scholarships at secondary schools and upgrading commune schools (MOET). 6. Production and managerial skill capacity building for the poor (MARD). 7. Capacity building for commune leaders, officials, social workers and HEPR staff. 8. Permanent settlement of 1.2 million people who are maintaining shifting living and cultivation and stabilization of 1.9 million people who are already settled (MARD). 9. Assistance to ethnic groups faced with extreme difficulties in life and socio-economic development. In terms of total funds, infrastructure development and credit services to the poor are the largest programs (Table III-5-2). Table III-5-2. Financial Plan for HEPR, 1998-2000 Whole HEPR 1. Infrastructure 2. Credit 3. Health 4. Promotion 5. Education Total (Billion Vietnamese dong) 10,124 Government budget Financial sources (%) Voluntary Compul Intecontri-sory gration bution labor 37 36 6 13 Internatio nal aid 7 3,825 47 3 13 30 7 2,700 834 200 800 89 20 50 23 71 25 66 - 4 8 4 11 5 17 7 104 6. Extension 7. Training 8. Settlement 9. Support Ethnic 10. Management 200 100 1,200 262 75 60 88 100 7 15 - 7 - 3 100 - - 8 5 - 10 25 - Source: Vu, 2000. The fragmentation of the program’s administration “undermines its efficiency”. 62 The Vietnam Development Report 2001 suggests three options for improving the institutional structure of the HEPR: 1. Strengthen the position of the HEPR office by moving it into the Government Office and assign to it supervision of HEPR projects, policy development, monitoring and training. 2. Keep HEPR central office in MOLISA but restrict its role to conducting targeted projects with regard to social safety nets, disaster management, monitoring as well as providing implementation guidelines, and training to HEPR staff. 3. Decentralize coordination and management of HEPR activities to provinces and assign the role of policy design and monitoring and evaluation to MPI, and training to MOLISA. Targeting for the HEPR is the responsibility of the MOLISA. This task is given to the district/commune level governments where MOLISA officials are most familiar with the realities of poverty in a specific area. Targeting is seen as a key area for improvement of the HEPR program. The strategy should include clearer definitions of target groups, as well as identifying narrower groups for special attention such as women, children in hunger, etc. Geographic targeting of HEPR should be evaluated as well. Over the past two years, more than 90% of assistance has been made to the poorest 1,000 communes that are almost exclusively located in remote, upland or border areas.63 There is little in the way of analysis of HEPR program effectiveness by which to reach definitive conclusions regarding what elements are 62 63 Government of Vietnam, Donors and NGO Poverty Working Group, 1999. Government of Vietnam, Donors and NGO Poverty Working Group, 1999. 105 successful, should be expanded and replicated, and which are not succeeding and should be substantially adjusted. It is important that the program should be periodically evaluated in order to test the costeffectiveness of its achievements.64 While the above projects are considered essential components of poverty reduction, they represent only one specific component of a comprehensive poverty strategy. The HEPR should be viewed as a specific and targeted poverty reduction strategy, which should be complemented by a more comprehensive strategy addressing issues of growth, employment creation, and macro policies for poverty reduction.65 Medical Aid for the Poor (Health Card) Ill health is one of the most common risks faced by the Vietnamese population. The poor are discouraged from inpatient services, as even a single service contact with a public hospital takes up to 22% of all nonfood expenditure for a year for a typical person in the lowest quintile.66 A single catastrophic illness involving extended hospitalization can wipe out years of savings and will compromise the ability of the family or individual to pay for unanticipated health costs in the future. Mechanisms to meet the costs of medical care for poor and vulnerable groups are potentially among the most important social protection instrument. The government has established programs that assist the poor in securing health care services. In the 1990s, certain groups, including the poor, handicapped and those suffering from TB or leprosy were supposed to be exempted from fees for health care. It is unclear that these exemptions were honored. Since 2000, a new program, the provision of health cards for the poor, has been adopted as part of the HEPR. This program is managed by the VHIA. Only four million of an estimated 28 million poor (14%) have received the cards thus far. Those attempting to claim health services using VHI membership, particularly in poorer communes, are often treated after those who are able to pay cash, and there still exist some charges, both formal and informal that must be paid. Health consultations remain ostensibly free at commune centers.67 64 65 66 67 Poverty Task Force, 2001. World Bank, 1999. World Bank, SIDA, AusAID, Royal Netherlands Embassy and Ministry of Health, 2001. Government of Vietnam, Donors and NGO Poverty Working Group, 1999. 106 Financial constraints limit the ability of the government to provide free cards to all non-insured poor. In the absence of other sources of funds, the commune clinics, at which most of the poor seek health services, will continue compromising user fee exceptions and equal treatment of VHIA card holders. One of the important reasons for the limited access to health services by the poor is that for administrative reasons the VHIA does not reimburses health services provided by the commune health clinics (CHCs). Since it may be administratively cumbersome to do that on a feefor-service basis, it would be best for the VHIA to channel part of the premiums to CHCs on capitation basis, as in the Philippines. Micro-Credit There is a reasonably large amount of micro-finance available in Vietnam, and the number of borrowers has expanded rapidly during the 1990s as the Vietnam Bank for Rural Development and other government schemes have provided loans at subsidized interest rates (Table III-5-3). Table III-5-3. Summary of the Main Formal Financial Institutions Institutions Lending interest per month (short-term) 1.25% (urban) 1.45% (rural) Savings mobilized Deposit interest rate Source of capital Yes Savings, bonds, SVB, other sources Bank for the Poor Up to 1.0% Yes Shortterm: 0.4% 3-month: 0.6% 6-month: 0.65% 1 year: 0.8% Unknown People's Credit Funds Mass organizations 1.8% Yes 1.3% Varies widely Sometimes 0.8% 2.2% Program for 0.5% No n.a. Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development 107 Savings, SBV, VBA, provincial budgets, external donors Savings, loans from SVB Government budget, external donors, other Provincial budget Hunger Eradication and Poverty Reduction Job Creation Program Regreening Barren Hills Program 0.9% No n.a. 0.5% No n.a. Government budget Government budget Sources: Vietnam Bank for Agriculture, 1996. Vietnam Bank for the Poor (VBP) The Vietnam Bank for the Poor (VBP) has provided more than VND1.9 trillion to 1.2 million poor households as of 1999. The loans made to poor households are in the amount of VND1.5-2 million (or about US$100133). Founded in 1995 the VBP was given the mission of providing credit to the borrowers most difficult to reach: the poor and those living in remote areas. The VBP uses the following strategies to reach the poor: subsidized lending rates, explicit targeting of the poor, and the mobilization of capital from various sources, including the Vietnam Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development (VBARD), foreign lenders, government budgets, savings banks and bilateral capital sources. The average farmer has no access to formal financial instruments like those offered by the VBARD as they usually have no collateral for a loan, and thus, the VBP was established to service the needs of the very poor without the requirement of collateral. Because the VBP is administered by the VBARD, many recipients do not see the difference between the two. The VBP (along with the Vietnam Women’s Union) often delivers subsidized loans from the HEPR and others. Because these funds are subsidized, their supply is restricted and loans from this source are in high demand. VBARD loans, though not as cheap as VBP loans, are still much cheaper than informal sector loans. First, despite achieving some positive impact, there are aspects to the structure and management of the sector that are problematic. As demand for cheap loans outstrips supply, credit is rationed, and as such rarely available to the poor, who must still rely on high-interest loans within the informal sector. Second, there is a notable lack of a cash savings facility, which could 108 provide a valuable social protection function. This is in large part because subsidizing interest rates on loans makes it hard for a bank to offer an attractive interest rate on deposits.68 People’s Credit Funds People’s Credit Funds (PCFs) were established in 1993 as savings-driven credit union-style banks. PCFs are located at the commune level in contrast to the VBARD/VBP, which are usually located at the district level. This proximity of bank to member has allowed members to save more readily, and as a result, the PCFs have done a good job of mobilizing members savings. PCFs are controlled by the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV), and therefore are considered as quasi-governmental agencies.69 The relative success of the PCFs is credited to the fact that their lending and savings interest rates are higher than those of the VBARD/VBP. And while higher savings interest rates undoubtedly encourage people to save, it is the fact that these funds do not focus on the poor, and thus maintain higher lending interest rates, which makes their savings more productive. Also, as shareholding banks, they tend to attract those who can afford to purchase ownership shares. Women’s Union Credit Program While above-mentioned two credit programs are operated by state-owned corporations, the Women’s Union operates micro-credit programs as a non-governmental organization. In the late 1980s, the Women’s Union started a credit program without requiring collateral. The first successful pilot program encouraged the Union to expand it further, and currently 2 million poor women enjoy a line of credit of some VND6 billion. The line of credit operates along the Grameen Bank approach. A small amount of loan (usually less than the current average loan amount of about VND1-2 million or US$80-120) would be made to poor women without any collateral for any income generating activities. Organization of peer support and savings groups is encouraged, but not a requirement. At the beginning a training session is organized in the use of credit funds, book keeping, how to run a business, etc. A regular meeting is also organized among borrowers (once a month). When the initial loan has been used successfully, two more loans would be made for the same individual, and 68 69 Poverty Task Force, 2001. Ibid. 109 then she is supposed to be graduating. The interest is charged at 0.7% 1% per month. The Union’s administrative expenses are estimated at 1020% of the total loan amount. The repayment rate is currently at 98%. The sources of funds are international grants, the National Funds for Employment Creation, donations from the domestic campaign of A Saving Day for the Poor, and government funds (MOLISA budget, VBARD, BVP), and accumulated savings. The Union has a national net work with some 240 staff members, but has operated at the commune level, especially targeting its loans on the mountain and remote poor rural areas. Recently, it has started covering poor urban areas as well. Although the Women’s Union is the entity operating the credit program, the major source of the funds is the government, and the Union does not have its financial autonomy. Subsidies given to the Union and final borrowers should be made more transparent, so that the administrative efficiency of the Union can be monitored, and the financial viability and sustainability of the credit program can be assessed. Although the loan program appears to be efficient, no practice of monitoring and evaluation of the program is clearly observed. The existence of the savings scheme is commendable, but it is unclear how it operates in practice. Crop Insurance Crop insurance offered by the Vietnam Insurance Corporation (Bao Viet) since 1993 has a good potential to function as a social safety measure. Three options are available for payment of the premiums: a voluntary option through the tax collection system; payment through banks (notably in the Mekong Delta area where the majority of farmers have taken bank loans), and direct payment facilitated by insurance agents. The coverage of the insurance program has so far been limited. In year 2,000, only 315,200 farming households and 206,000 ha. (3.4%) of the 6 million ha. of land cultivated in Vietnam were covered by the insurance. Also, the insurance system is run inefficiently. Over the past five years, the costs of insurance (VND14.4 billion) exceed revenue (VND13.05 billion).70 Inaccurate valuation and poor cooperation between Bao Viet 70 Silver, 2001. 110 and local authorities contribute to inefficiencies.71 Labor Market Regulations In anticipation of future industrial growth, Vietnam has established labor market regulations to protect vulnerable working groups in three areas: minimum wages, employment termination, and occupational health and safety and control of child and women labor. Minimum wages vary between state and domestic companies as opposed to foreign-invested companies, and within the latter by region. Minimum wages for domestic sectors are set very low and have little effect on market wages, which average well above the minimum even for the low-skilled workers. For foreign-invested companies the minimum wages are set at a much higher level than the average for the domestic private companies.72 The 1995 Labor Code allows for termination with severance payment of one month’s salary per year of service in the case of “business restructuring” or “change of technology”; and with a half month’s payment per year of service in the case of “natural disaster” or the closure of the business. Mass layoffs by a going concern require approval from the local trade union. Disputes over termination with trade unions require a complex arbitration procedure. Regarding the control of women and child labor, Vietnam Labor Codes generally reflect the international conventions. Child labor declined rapidly in line with reduction in poverty during the 1990s. However, the issue has not disappeared: girls, ethnic minority children and the children of migrants are disproportionately likely to be working for more hours than what is warranted by their development needs.73 Basic Social Services Although basic social services such as basic education and health aim to reach every citizen in a country, they help reduce poverty and serve as an effective social safety net against possible future poverty. Vietnam is a signatory to the United Nations’ 20/20 initiative, which was born out of 71 72 73 Poverty Task Force, 2001. Ibid. Poverty Task Force, 2001. 111 the 1995 World Summit for Social Development and was based on the conviction that economic growth is closely linked with social progress and social justice. The initiative set 20% as the target for the proportion of government spending and ODA spending that should be used for basic social services. Basic Health Services The per capita average health expenditure of US$27 puts Vietnam among those countries in Asia that spend the most on health care, ahead of India, Indonesia and China, but behind Malaysia and Thailand. Currently, the public health expenditure accounts for 1.3% of GDP and 5.6% of total public expenditures and has remained stable since 1990 when the health expenditure claimed 5.9% of total government spending (Figure III-5-1). This lower proportion of state health spending reflects the greater role that private sector expenditure plays in health care, especially since implementation of doi moi policies in 1986. It is estimated that more than three-fourths of all spending for health care is private, and much of this is for services purchased in the private market. Luckily, the proportion of public health sector spending allocated to the basic services and programs increased from 32% in 1991 to nearly 49% in 1997.74 Basic services include those at commune health centers, inter-commune polyclinics and district hospitals, as well as the vertical preventive and public health programs. As there are large social returns to improved public health in low-income, it is imperative that Vietnam increases public spending on health, especially for the basic health services for the poor. Increased public expenditures for basic health services do not necessarily mean transfer of resources from other public sectors. There must be changes to be made in which health services are delivered more effectively and efforts to increase the effectiveness of current expenditure are increased while looking for ways to decrease the burden of high out-of-pocket costs to the poor. Figure III-5-1. State Health Spending as % of Total State Spending and GDP 74 UN and MOLISA, 1999. 112 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 % of State Spending 1995 1996 1997 1998 % of GDP Source: UN and MOLISA, 1999. One way to increase the effectiveness of monies already being spent on health care would be to increase funding for preventive measures, which account for about 11% of overall health expenditure, as these measures have extensive positive externalities and should assume a priority role in health care delivery. Growing Healthy: A Review of Vietnam’s Health Sector75 makes three further observations on the composition of health expenditures in Vietnam. Firstly, capital spending assumes a rather large proportion of total health budgets (nearly 21% in 1998). Second, only 39% of the recurrent budget is spent on salaries and wages, while 59% is spent on goods and services. Vietnam is unlike other developing countries which spend the majority share of their recurrent health budget on salaries and wages and have very little to spend on consumables such as medical supplies and drugs. Third, the amount spent on subsidies and transfers to the poor (via free exemptions or free health cards) constitute only 4% of the recurrent state health budget. High hospital user fees reduce access to hospital services for the poor and low-income groups.76 Factors responsible for the relatively high overall per capita health 75 76 World Bank, SIDA, AusAID, Royal Netherlands Embassy and Ministry of Health, 2001. Ibid. 113 expenditure in Vietnam are two folds: First, there is a high reliance on drug vendors as health care providers in Vietnam. Especially among the poor who may be seeking ways to circumvent the costs associated with a formal trip to the commune health clinic, many rely on local drug vendors as health care providers. Surveys suggest that two-thirds of all individual health service contacts is accounted for by visits to vendors. Second, use of hospitals in Vietnam is heavily dominated by people from the top income quintile. Although the proportion of state health spending allocated to higher levels of health facilities has declined, about 60% are still spent on these non-basic services. This has significant equity implications. The richest 20% of the population capture more than 50% of tertiary care resources, and the poorest quintile only 2% of tertiary care and 5% of district hospital care resources (Figure III-5-2). As a result of the tendency of the better-off to utilize the hospital services much more frequently than the poor, more than three-quarters of the recurrent state health budget is spent on hospitals. In 1998, about 36% of all hospital visits were made by those from the wealthiest 20% of society, while only 8% were drawn from the bottom quintile. Part of this trend may be explained by the fact that the majority of hospitals are in urban areas. However, the referral system in both urban and rural areas might be strengthened to ensure that patients report first to a primary care facility and not directly to a hospital where costs are higher. At present, many Vietnamese reports directly to a hospital in the event of a health problem, though primary care facilities may actually be closer. There is no system to strongly discourage this behavior. The government has instituted strategies to protect the poor from disadvantages related to paying health costs, such as providing the poor with health cards that entitle them to free health care and the waiving of health care costs of the very poor. It should be remembered that these programs are part of the 4% of government budget spent on health transfers and subsidies. Percent of State Health Spending Figure III-5-2. Distribution of State Health Spending across Household Expenditure Quintiles 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 H o useho ld E xp end itures Q uintiles (V LS S 1: 1992/1993) O utp atient P rim ary C are Tertiary Inp atient 114 D istrict Inp atient D iag o nal 5 Source: UN and MOLISA, 1999. Basic Education Service State Spending on education was 12% of total state spending in 1990. By 1997, education accounted for 15% of state spending. During the same period, state education spending grew from 1.6% of GDP to 3.4% of GDP, reflecting the priority given to the sector (Figure III-5-3). Although the proportion of state education spending allocated to basic education declined from 45% in 1990 to 33% in 1995, since then it has been on the rise, standing at 35% in 1997.77 Vietnam’s leaders have long been recognized the importance of education to national development, and they continue to accord a high priority. As a result, the population literacy rate stands at a high 90%, and gender differences are small compared to many countries. Primary school enrollment is nearly universal, drop-out rates have declined to less than 10%, and repetition rates to below 5%. However, there are significant regional disparities in educational indicators. The poorer in the mountain, central and Mekong Delta regions enjoy much lower levels of educational indicators. % of Total State Spending & GDP Figure III-5-3. State Education Spending as % of Total State Spending and GDP 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 % of State Spending (actual) % o f S ta te B ud g et (p la nned ) % of G D P Source: UN and MOLISA, 1999. 77 UN and MOLISA, 1999. 115 1997 Spending on basic education is very equitable, and rather pro-poor. However, the age distribution of children in poor households is lower than in richer households, resulting. Figure III-5-4. Distribution of State Education Spending by Household Expenditure Quintile Percent of State Education Spending 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 Household Expenditure Quintile Primary Lower Secondary Tertiary Diagonal 4 5 Upper Secondary Source: UN and MOLISA, 1999. in a slightly higher concentration of primary-school-age children in the poorer quintiles, and a slightly higher concentration of higher education age children in the richer quintiles. Consequently, the richer 20% of the population capture more than one-half of state spending on higher education (Figure III-5-4) 116 Recommendations Poverty Reduction Strategy and Programs Effective social safety nets should not only prevent vulnerable people from falling into poverty, but should also lift them from poverty. In this sense, government poverty reduction strategy and programs are also effective social safety nets. The Government of Vietnam has formulated sound and practical ten-year Poverty Reduction Strategy and five-year Economic Development Plan, emphasizing both rapid economic growth and specifically targeted social assistance programs. Successful implementation of the Strategy and the Plan would ensure the targeted reduction of poverty. Since launching key reforms through its renovation strategy (doi moi) in 1986, Vietnam has made remarkable progress in making transition from a centrally-planned to a market-oriented economy and in reducing poverty. It is estimated that in the mid-1980s, about 70% of Vietnamese were living in poverty78. The proportion of people with per capita expenditures under the internationally defined poverty line has dropped from 58% in 1992-93 to 37% in 1997-98 (Figure III-5-5).79 Figure III-5-5. Extreme Poverty in Vietnam, 1990, 2000, and 2010 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 5 8 .1 3 7 .4 30 17 8 5 1990 2000 2 0 1 0 (estim a te) Proportion of population below international poverty line (%) Proportion of populaton below national poverty line (%) 78 79 Government of Vietnam, Donors and NGO Poverty Working Group, 1999. UN Country Team, 2001. 117 Source: UN Country Team, 2001. Much of the poverty reduction can be traced to the high annual economic growth rates of the country in the early 1990s (8-9%), specifically to Vietnam’s strong agricultural sector performance since the late 1980s. Government-led reforms at the commune level sharply increased efficiency in the agricultural sector. These reforms returned land to private ownership and made people more directly responsible for their own livelihood, transforming Vietnam from a country experiencing extreme food insecurity into one of the world’s largest exports of rice, coffee and other agricultural commodities.80 Though poverty reduction has occurred across all regions and groups, poverty is unevenly distributed in Vietnam. The 1998 Vietnam Living Standard Survey (VLSS) demonstrated that poverty was higher in rural areas and among ethnic minorities; for example, the Northern Uplands, North Coast and the Mekong Delta together account for nearly 70% of the poor (Figure III-5-6). Figure III-5-6. Overall Poverty in Vietnam, 1993 and 1998 70 headcount ratio (%) 60 50 40 1993 30 1998 20 10 0 Viet Nam Urban Rural Source: UN Country Team, 2001. As mentioned, the overwhelming majority of the population lives in rural 80 Ibid. 118 areas (80%), and these people experience an inordinate degree of poverty. Nearly 90% of the poor live in rural areas in Vietnam. 81 Thus, to effect continued large-scale poverty reduction, efforts should be focused on increasing the incomes of the rural poor, or their migration. Poverty Reduction for the Future should be a multi-faceted approach involving the commitment and resolve of all stakeholders. Many groups, including the World Bank, suggest that continued gains in poverty reduction are contingent upon a movement of people away from agriculture and into other “non-farm” activities. Current overpopulation in the sector contributes to “underemployment.” The Ministry of Industry, in a nationwide survey of more than 105,000 households, estimated that in the Red River delta where population density is high, work time is only slightly over 50%.82 In the event that increased “socialization” of the economy - increased FDI and new industry and technologies - is successful in creating new jobs, the overpopulation of the agricultural sector should be relieved as people move towards these opportunities. There may be further overpopulation pressure in the agricultural sector, however, as new technologies are introduced that require fewer and fewer people to work on the land for the same yields. Effectively addressing this issue, as well as providing the basis for further poverty reduction, will require higher-than-current levels of growth. Over the past four years, real GDP growth has averaged a bit over 5%. It is estimated that this will not be sufficient to achieve the poverty reduction goals put forth by the government. The Government’s Hunger Eradication and Poverty Reduction (HEPR) strategy for 2001-2010 outlines quantitative targets for poverty reduction defined according to the national poverty line. These are, by 2005, to eliminate chronic hunger and the possibility of falling back into hunger, and to reduce the level of poverty to below 10% based on the new definition of the national poverty line. And, by 2010, to reduce the rate of poor households to below 5% based on the new national poverty line (Table III-5-4). These goals call for 280,000 households to be raised out of poverty each year.83 81 82 83 UN Country Team, 2001. Vu, 2000. Beard and Agrawal, 2001. 119 Table III-5-4. Targets Under the Ten-year Development Strategy, 2001-2001 Doubling of GDP, which implies a growth rate of 7.2% per annum Domestic savings to be increased to over 30% of GDP Exports to grow at more than twice the rate of GDP Substantial rise in the country’s Human Development Index (HDI) Eradication of hunger and rapid reduction of the number of poor households Reduction of urban unemployment to 5%, and of rural underemployment to 15-20% Universalization of lower secondary education (education for all) Malnutrition rate of children to be reduced from around one-third to around 20% Life expectancy to increase from 68 to 71 years Source: UN Country Team, 2001. Disaster Preparedness and Risk Management Existing disaster mitigation measures are estimated relatively well developed, but disaster prevention measures are less effective. There is neither concerted, regular and well-planned strategy (nor funding) for disaster prevention, and this is credited primarily to the unpredictability of natural disasters. International organizations have heavily contributed resources in time of natural disaster, but this primarily used for area-wide disasters and not family-specific crises. Given that climatic crises in Vietnam arise as a result of the yearly typhoon season, and often strike the same areas of the country, disaster prevention measures to prepare for these events should be strengthened. MOLISA expressed a desire to see more of its personnel involved in disasters prevention and mitigation services to receive capacity building training in the most effective methods for addressing natural disasters. The Vietnamese government and international development finance organizations should regard addressing risk in Vietnam as crucial to poverty eradication, social protection and socioeconomic development. A number of factors contribute to the importance of risk control in Vietnam. The overall number of people who live in poverty - approximately onethird of the population, the number of people clustering just above the poverty line, and the reliance of 80% of the population on agriculture, mean that natural disasters and health problems can drastically reduce a family’s ability to support itself. A single family-illness, or the loss of 120 livestock or destruction of arable land, can plunge a family into a long period of extreme poverty. As mentioned earlier, the poor are relatively harder hit by health problems than the better off. A single curative visit to the hospital for a poor person can cost as much as 22% of his/her non-food expenditures for the year. The equivalent % for the richest quintile is around 5%. Even a visit to a commune health center, which in theory is supposed to be free of charge, may cost up to 4% of annual non-food expenditure for a person in the poorest quintile. On average, an individual belonging to the poorest quintile faces an opportunity loss (in terms of lost wages) of 25% of annual non-food expenditure. Families in the poorest quintile allocate 30% of their non-food expenditure to health costs. Other types of risks encountered often by the rural population are loss of crops due to bad weather and flooding. And livestock illness, as mentioned above, can also be very debilitating. Vietnam has crop insurance (1993) to protect farmers from losses associated to climatic changes and disease, but as of yet, only a small portion of land is covered by this insurance. There are problems to be addressed as to who will manage this plan, who will collect premiums, and who will dispense benefits in time of crisis. The transfer of responsibility and immediate funding to the Contingency Fund for Pre-Harvest Starvation and Natural Disasters from the central government has made the fund more able to quickly respond to crises, but the effectiveness of the fund is hampered by low-levels of funding. There is also the risk that as Vietnam continues to open itself to the regional and global economy that it will also be exposed to economic downturns that demand well-planned, targeted and funded social safety net measures to protect against the negative consequences of trade liberalization. Although the effects of the 1997 Asian economic crisis were blunted by the lack of openness of the Vietnamese economy at the time, the country is likely to be exposed much more directly to shocks in the future. Reducing vulnerability may be a key element to enabling further economic development in the country. If a reliable safety net exists, which at this time it does not, people may be more willing to engage in riskier, high-return activities, resulting in faster, broad-based and more sustainable growth. Recent studies, including the four participatory poverty assessments (PPA) carried out in 1999 illustrate that poor households remain extremely 121 vulnerable to a variety of risks that can offset or reverse gains made in poverty reduction. Notably, reliance on a narrow range of activities and sources of income make a household’s exposure to shocks greater. Many development options available to the poor for diversifying income carry a high risk of failure: livestock and fishponds are vulnerable to disease; fruit and coffee are susceptible to frost in upland areas, and agriculture in general is often severely threatened by weather. For the poorest households, investment in risk-reducing measures may be at the expense of meeting very basic consumption needs and therefore not the immediate highest priority. Mechanisms to reduce the risk of investing could help poorer households to break out of a cycle of vulnerability and poverty.84 Improvement in Targeting Although there are numerous social insurance and social assistance programs in Vietnam, they do not provide effective social safety nets for the majority of the poor. On the one hand, the social insurance funds provide greater income per household on average and benefit a greater proportion of the families falling in the top quintile. On the other hand, social assistance program, in particular the poverty reduction programs and NGO assistance provide more benefits on average to the greater proportion of the poorer households of the society (Table III-5-5). By nature, the social insurance programs aim to cover all people in the society, and until they achieve the objectives, the coverage will be expanding from the richer segments to the poorer echelons of the society. On the other hand, the social assistance programs aim to provide social safety nets to the relatively poor, and therefore target better on the poor. Therefore, from the social safety net point of view, social assistance programs should be expanded first until the social insurance system covers the majority of society. Moreover, the social assistance programs should improve their targeting. The first order of targeting to be adopted by the central government may be based on the geographical poverty criterion, followed by the incometest at the provincial and district levels. And the final order of targeting at local and household levels should be based more on self -targeting methods. 84 World Bank, ADB and UNDP, 2000. 122 Table III-5-5. Benefits from Social Protection/Poverty Reduction Programs by Consumption Quintile Consumptio n quintiles Social insurance Average Incidenc level of e benefit Richest 1 13.9% 1,010,353 2 12.1% 903,628 3 11.6% 849,509 4 9.1% 745,967 Poorest 5 9.5% 731,642 Average , All quintiles 11.2% 867,366 Poverty alleviation Social subsidies programs NGO assistance Average Average Average Incidenc level of Incidenc level of Incidenc level of e benefit e benefit e benefit 7.3% 10.0% 9.6% 9.4% 251,192 175,030 182,875 181,074 0.2% 327,000 0.1% 443,000 0.9% 92,111 0.2% 143,000 1.3% 46,692 0.3% 112,667 2.1% 76,190 1.2% 42,333 11.6% 196,422 6.4% 41,438 0.5% 206,000 9.6% 194,156 2.2% 57,636 0.5% 104,200 Source: Poverty Task Force, 2001. Currently, the central government is responsible for issuing guidance on targeting and benefit levels based on a progressive distribution. However, the provinces and districts have considerable discretionary power to adjust spending to reflect total resources available in the jurisdiction. In practice, their allocation of resources to communes has not been necessarily propoor. Moreover, central government funds are often of secondary importance to funds raised at local levels. The net result is that it is much better to be poor in a rich district than it is to be poor in a poor district.85 Decentralized administration in social safety nets should be based on an equal footing or level playing field in terms of the financial and institutional capacity of provincial and local governments. Health Insurance and Social Insurance 85 Poverty Task Force, 2001; van de Walle, 1998. 123 Since the coverage of health insurance is very low at 12% of the population and has a wide range of variation, it is advisable to launch some kind of social assistance programs to extend the health services to the poorest groups of society in the short and medium terms. In the long run, however, the government should strive to expand the coverage of the health insurance by accelerating economic growth, employment in the organized sector and family income. The easiest way to expand the coverage may be to extend the coverage to the spouse and family of the members of the insurance scheme by making the voluntary programs more attractive by increasing the benefits of the insurance program. The coverage of the social insurance program (in particular the pension program) should be expanded by providing for a voluntary scheme first. Social Assistance Programs The level of funding for the social assistance programs should be improved so that the coverage can be expanded. Currently, the programs cover only a small fraction of target groups. The Government should make efforts to increase the share of the social assistance programs in the state total spending. At present, social assistance programs (including the social insurance programs excluding the health insurance programs account for only 14% of the total state spending. Administration of the social assistance program should be transferred to various Guarantee Funds so that their efficiency can be improved. For instance, mechanisms should be established to identify beneficiaries of multiple programs and assign them to a proper program by coordinating administration of various funds. Currently, a large part of the social assistance program budgets are spent for non-basic services (pensions for retired civil servants) and warcontributors. And the portion devoted to the organized services for the poor accounts for about 22% of all social assistance and insurance programs (Figure III-5-7). Until the social insurance system covers all citizens, the public assistance services for the poor should be enlarged. Monitoring and Evaluation of the HERP It is important that the HERP component should be periodically monitored and evaluated in order to test the cost-effectiveness of their achievements. 124 Figure III-5-7. Distribution of Social Security and Assistance Expenditures by Program 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Other (non-basic) Employment/Orphans/Centres of disabled/Benefits for disabled Assistance to the poor War affected Disaster Relief Source: UN and MOLISA, 1999. Micro-Credit and Savings Facilities Suggestions have been made to increase the opportunities for those poor receiving micro-finance to save their money safely. At present most government micro-finance schemes offer subsidized loans, but no convenient deposit facilities. These savings schemes should be secure, profitable (market deposit rates), convenient to access (locations and procedures that are simple for the poor), liquid (ease of cash withdrawal) and anonymous (Poverty Task Force). Basic Social Services Neither state nor official development assistance (ODA) reaches the 20% mark set by the 20/20 Initiative. This initiative was born out of the 1995 World Summit for Social Development. The Initiative set 20% as the target for the proportion of state spending and ODA spending that should be used for basic social services, on the basis of the conviction that 125 economic growth is closely linked with social progress and justice. Vietnam is a signatory of the Initiative. Using the UN definition, the percentage of state resources spend on basic social services increased from 6.1% in 1990 to 8.5% in 1997. It is estimated that the same trend has continued to date. The proportion of ODA resources used for basic social services by the UN definition was more variable. Between 1990 and 1993, it rose from 5.2% to 18.6%. Thereafter, the proportion declined, reaching 10.0% in 1997, and has remained at the same level to date (Figure III-5-8). Figure III-5-8. Basic Social Service ODA as % of Total ODA 20 (%) 15 10 5 (p la n) Source: UN and MOLISA, 1999. 126 19 98 19 97 19 96 19 95 19 94 19 93 19 92 19 91 19 90 0 Table III-5-6. Key Development Indicators: Vietnam Indicator Population Population Growth Rate Life Expectancy at Birth Real GDP per capita Poverty Headcount Ratio (% of population below international poverty line) (% of population below national poverty line) Estimates HIV Prevalence Rate Population with access to Safe Water Supplies Proportion of Underweight Children (under 5) Net Primary Enrollment Rate Ratio of Girls to Boys in Primary Education Under-Five Mortality Rate (per 1,000 live births) Maternal Mortality Rate (per 100,000 live births) Labor Market Urban Unemployment rate (%) Female Male Participation rate (%) Female Male Share of wage employment Female Male Share of urban wage employment in total Real wages (% change) Male/Female Hourly Wage ratio (agriculture) Exchange Rate (US$1:00 ) Value 76.3 m 1.65% 68.3years US$400 Year 1999 1999 1999 2000 37% 17% 0.22% 51.8% 33.8% 94.8% 98.1% 42 100 1998 6.9 % 6.4 7.2 1997/98 81 82 1998 2001 2000 2000 2000 1999 1998 2000 1999 1997 6.0 % 5.4 6.5 1992/93 79 83 40 60 8.9 43 57 8.1 12.8% pa 1.3 1.2 VND 15,000 2001 Source: Vietnam Living Standard Surveys: 1992/1993 and 1997/1998. 127 IV. Social Safety Net Activities in APEC Region 1. APEC Social Safety Net Activities APEC Economic Leaders first launched their collective initiative on social safety nets in November 1998 by instructing the “Ministers to work with the World Bank and, where appropriate, public and private institutions to formulate strategies of concrete actions aimed at strengthening social safety nets.” A year later in Manila in November 1999, a Multiinstitutional workshop organized by the World Bank Institute was integrated in the Manila Social Forum jointly organized by the World Bank and the ADB. In November 2000, the APEC Economic Leaders’ Meeting in Bandar Seri Begawan further instructed the Ministers to include ways to look after those disadvantaged by economic change including continued work on social safety nets. APEC Ministers also reiterated the importance of supporting the poor and vulnerable segments of the communities that were affected by the crisis and by the process of economic restructuring. They noted the further work by various APEC fora to strengthen social safety nets and to reduce the adverse impacts of the Asian crisis. Thailand proposed that the Social Protection Facility of 5 million Australian Dollars, to be donated by the Australian government, be used as seed money. The Australian government commissioned a study on the impacts of the crisis on children and associated issues in social safety nets in Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines. To address some of the issues highlighted in the study, the Australian Prime Minister announced at the APEC Economic Leaders Meeting in Auckland in 1999 a three-year, Aus.$5 million Social Protection Facility for East Asia. At present, under the Social Protection Facility Plan, the Institute for Population and Social Research, Mahidol University, in Thailand has been chosen as a training institution to provide technical capacity building for key government agencies in the social policy and program delivery area. The Sixth APEC Finance Ministerial Meeting in Langkawi, Malaysia, in May 1999 was the first to make a statement about APEC’s collective activities on social safety nets. Ministers welcomed the country-specific 128 assistance, both technical and financial, being provided by the World Bank and the ADB to promote sound design and adequate internal financing of national social safety nets, taking into account the cultural, economic, institutional and social situation of the individual economies. In addition, they agreed that this collaborative work could build on the findings of the Regional Meeting on Social Issues Arising from the East Asian Crisis (Bangkok, 21-22 January 1999) and the Ministerial Meeting of Development Cooperation (Sydney, 5 March 1999). In this regard, they have endorsed a work program for the Finance Ministers’ process to form a working group, including the World Bank, the ADB and the IMF, to explore ways to strengthen social safety nets in a framework integrated with poverty reduction into growth-orientated macro policies. The effort on this issue continued in the meeting held at Bandar Seri Begawan in September 2000. The Ministers recognized that the experiences in administering social safety nets of the APEC economies were the subject of an on-going study and agreed to develop a set of guidelines for responsive and fiscally manageable social safety nets to present to the APEC Leaders’ Meeting in November 2000. Since early 1999, the Economic Committee (EC) of APEC has been active in addressing the analytical examination of the social impact of the crisis. It had initiated a two-year research project on "APEC Economies Beyond the Asian Crisis" that included a strong analytical component dealing with the social impacts of the crisis. The result of the study was revealed in its report titled “Building the Future of APEC Economies: Move Forward on the New Economy and Entrepreneurship” in November 2000. The report found that while a squeeze on basic social expenditure was inevitable, affected economies tried to maintain the level of developmental expenditures (including education, health, social security and welfare, housing and community amenities and economic services) by cutting back on expenditures for defense and other budget areas. In May 1999, the HRDWG86 organized a seminar on human resource management strategies to minimize the effects of job retrenchments. Some of these programs flowed from the work of the group’s Task Force on the Human Resource and Social Impacts of the Financial Crisis, which recommended new or expanded projects in key areas of crisis response. Also in July 1999, an APEC Forum on Human Resources Development was held in Japan focusing on the short-term vocational training needs of 86 Human Resources Development Working Group. 129 workers affected by the crisis, as well as longer-term policies on vocational training to cope with globalization. In 2000, the HRDWG underwent a restructuring to better reflect the current priorities of Leaders and Ministers in the area of Human Resources Development, and also to ensure more effective management by reducing its size from five to three networks: the Capacity Building Network (CBN); the Education Network (EDNET); and the Labour and Social Protection Network (LSPN). The Capacity Building Network (CBN) promotes human capacity building but oriented to strengthening markets. The Labor and Social Protection Network’s (LSPN) mission is to foster human capacity building, social integration, and strong and flexible labor markets through the development of useful labor market information and policy, improved workplace conditions and practices, and strong social safety nets. In 2000, the 9th APEC HRD, Labor and Social Protection Network (LSPN) International Workshop: "International Migration and Structural Change in the APEC Member Economies" was held in Taipei on October 19-20, 2000. Sixteen member economies presented country reports and regional overviews of international migration and structural changes in the APEC region. The purpose of the project was to investigate the relationship between international migration and structural changes in the APEC member economies. The Workshop was oriented to labour issues, but did not deal with the issue of social safety nets. APEC has conducted a series of activities intended to strengthen social safety nets, and numerous recommendations have been made. Two efforts stand out in current APEC practice where an social safety net need has been filled by coordinated effort: the Australian-Thai Social Protection Facility (SPF) and the Asia Recovery Information Center (ARIC). The Australian-Thai Social Protection Facility (SPF) is an Australian-funded joint effort by AusAid and Thailand’s Mahidol University to improve social safety net planning and delivery by providing capacity-building to those parties concerned with social safety net services in a number of South East Asian Economies. For the purpose of increasing awareness of social conditions in the wake of the economic crisis, and to assist in coordination of efforts to combat the negative effects of the crisis, the Asian Recovery Information Center was established. The concept of the Asia Recovery Information Center (ARIC) first emerged at the Meeting on Development Cooperation: Responding to the Asia Crisis held in Sydney on 5 March 1999. Acting on a proposal by the Australian 130 Government, the meeting agreed that an Internet-based facility would provide the most efficient means of gathering, collating, and disseminating this information. In addition, APEC has been submitted research papers by several member economies. The two reports closest to the preliminary research of APEC Social Safety Net Ad Hoc Task Force are: “Social Safety Nets in Response to Crisis: Lessons and Guidelines from Asia and Latin America,” and “The Poor at Risk: Surviving the Economic Crisis in Southeast Asia”. The first one is a paper submitted to the APEC Finance Ministers Meeting (Feb. 2001). From this research, the following major lessons have emerged: a) The availability of timely and reliable information on poor and vulnerable groups is critical for the design and implementation of social safety net programs; b) Pre-crisis planning can contribute to the design of effective social safety nets; c) It is essential that the programs are targeted and provide adequate protection to the poor; d) social safety net should build on existing public programs and mechanisms for targeting and delivery; e) Transparency and accountability in the design and implementation of programs and in the use of resources are critical to the effectiveness of social safety net programs; g) social safety net programs should be coordinated across implementing ministries and departments as well as different government levels to avoid inefficient overlap and administrative waste; h) The building of adequate administrative capacity at the local level should precede decentralization. The second one is a key HRDWG project submitted at the 12th APEC Ministerial Meeting (Brunei Darussalam 12-13 November 2000): “The Poor at Risk: Surviving the Economic Crisis in Southeast Asia”(McGee 2000). The research recommends that the governments should establish some form of social safety net policy unit, which would be charged with developing a) better systems of quick data collection on the social impact of the crisis on the poor, b) quick response programs for alleviating social impact on the poor, c) systems for more effectively targeting the most severely impacted groups, d) the most effective methods of implementation and e) systems of effective monitoring of the programs. The findings of these reports agree on many points with the research conducted as part of the stocktaking report produced for the Ad-hoc Task Force on Strengthening Social Safety Nets. Those reports conclude that social safety nets in APEC can be substantially improved by building the capacity of social safety net -related officials, and social safety net capacity building is discussed in the following section. 131 Table IV-1-1. Review of APEC Social Safety Net-related Activities Action Taken and Measures Adopted Virtual Task Force on the Social Impact of the Asian Economic Crisis Report: Impact of the Asia Crisis on Children: Issues for SSNs Australia Social Protection Facility APEC Leaders Meeting Kuala Lumpur 1998 Current Status of Effort Proposed by the US. In 1999, Australia was giving effect to an APEC Leaders' decision, highlighted at their 1998 meeting, to increase APEC's attention to SSN issues. As part of this initiative, Australia commissioned a team of experts to undertake a survey on the impact of the Asia Crisis on children and its implications. The report was presented at the APEC meetings held 7-13 September 1999 in Auckland. Created with the cooperation of the Thai and Australian governments and Mahidol University Leaders directed that "as a matter of high priority, APEC should intensify efforts to address the social impacts of the crisis" and "work with the World Bank, the ADB, the InterAmerican Development Bank and, where appropriate, public and private institutions to formulate strategies of concrete actions aimed at strengthening SSNs." 132 To address the major issues identified in the report, Australia announced a three-year, Aus.$5 million Social Protection Facility for East Asia. The facility provides capacity building for civil servants, policy makers and service delivery people in Southeast Asia. The U.S. has established the APEC Virtual Task Force on the Social Impact of the Financial Crisis to exchange inventories and information on available technical assistance and SSN programs through the Internet. The Finance Ministers' work program includes examining the social impact of the crisis and lessons learned to help build and strengthen social safety nets, as well as the institutional capacity to adjust programs flexibly in times of crisis. The U.S. has funded the Accelerating Economic Recovery in Asia (AERA) Program focusing on Thailand, Indonesia, and the Philippines. This program provides $35 million in FY1999 and $53 million in FY2000. APEC Forum on HRD, July, 1999, Japan Third APEC HRD Ministers Meeting, Washington, D.C., USA, July 28-29, 1999 APEC SOM II Twelfth Ministerial Meeting Bandar Seri Begawan, 1st – 3rd June 2000 Meeting on the Social Issues Arising from the East Asia Economic Crisis and Policy Implications for the Future, Forum addressed short-term vocational training needs as well as longer-term policies on vocational training to cope with globalization The formulation of policies on labor, employment, training, SSNs and workplace practices are the responsibilities of individual economies. However, lasting improvements in these areas require sustainable economic growth, which may be enhanced by regional cooperation in the increasingly integrated global economy. Korea introduced a joint paper produced with Thailand entitled “Revitalisation of Social Safety Net Activities in APEC” The proposal aimed to regroup APEC economies around a more practical set of activities of common interest. Korea, Thailand and other interested economies would submit a more developed paper for consideration at SOM III, and based on consensus, would propose that it be considered by Ministers and Leaders. The purpose of the gathering was to facilitate an on-going dialogue among various constituents within the international community about what is happening in the affected countries, short-term responses to the urgent problems that arise, and about the broader and longer term policy implications of these 133 The HRDWG will develop a program of work for capacity building and exchange of information in the areas of labor market systems, SSNs, and building the workplace of the 21st century. Issues for work on social safety nets should include: 1. unemployment or social insurance; 2. pensions; 3. income support systems for people not covered by formal plans; and 4. programs to enhance employability, empower individuals, and mitigate social assistance dependency. Australia informed the Meeting that the Aus.$5 million social infrastructure facility was now underway. This program focused on three major themes: 1 Common understanding of the social situation in the region as a result of the economic crisis; 2 New initiatives to advance social development; 3 Operational coordination and partnerships; The Meeting was the first of a The World Bank, January 21-22, 1999, issues. series of meetings which will occur on a regular basis, to take stock and advance the common agenda. Improving SSNs: The on-going review of administration of SSNs in the APEC region has developed three main themes: (1) the need for adequate precrisis safety net planning; (2) the importance of accurate and timely information on poor and vulnerable groups; and (3) the need to have a range of instruments to ensure adequate targeting and coverage. The Ministers undertook to develop a set of guidelines for responsive and fiscally manageable SSNs to present to APEC Leaders. The objective of this initiative was to establish a set of guidelines to be endorsed by Finance Ministers regarding the use of SSN policies and programs and presented to APEC Economic Leaders in November 2000. The final report, “Social Safety Nets in Response to Crisis: Lessons and Guidelines from Asia and Latin America,” was presented to the Finance Deputies in May 2001. An in-depth storehouse of information related to the Asian Economic Crisis, including impacts, policies, strategies, statistics, etc. United Nations Conference Center, Bangkok, Thailand Seventh APEC Finance Ministers Meeting 9-10 September 2000 Bandar Seri Begawan, Brunei Darussalam ARIC Web resource hosted by the ADB and initially proposed by Australia. Eleventh APEC Ministerial Meeting 9 - 10 September 1999, Auckland, New Zealand Ministers also agreed to: establish an Ecotech Clearing House to enhance information flows between the identification of Ecotech needs and the capacity to provide appropriate expertise to meet those needs. The Clearing House was implemented from January 2000; 134 Ninth APEC Ministerial Meeting Joint Statement Vancouver, November 2122, 1997 Economic and Technical Cooperation Tenth APEC Ministerial Meeting Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia 14 15 November, 1998 APEC Virtual Task Force on Emergency Preparedness Emergency preparedness for disasters: Ministers noted that APEC should define its valueadded role in formulating emergency preparedness and disaster recovery measures. Ministers tasked Senior Officials to explore measures for joint action, taking into account the programs of other regional and international bodies, and to provide an inter-sessional report by June 1, 1998. Ministers endorsed the APEC Framework For Capacity Building Initiatives On Emergency Preparedness, which aims to strengthen joint cooperative efforts to enhance capacities of APEC member economies to respond to natural disasters and emergencies, and look forward to initiatives to improve preventive and responsive measures through information-sharing and capacity building. Established an information sharing website: APEC Emergency Preparedness Website “APEC Framework for Capacity Building Initiatives on Emergency Preparedness,” reported to Minister’s Meeting. Ministers endorsed the APEC Framework For Capacity Building Initiatives On Emergency Preparedness. Source: Author’s rearrangement on the basis of APEC documents, 2001. 2. Social Safety Net Projects Initiated by International Organizations 2.1. The World Bank Given its global presence, vast resources and strong commitment for poverty reduction, the World Bank has been a pioneering leader in both studies on poverty and lending to social protection in general and social safety net in particular. Though the magnitude of its financial assistance to social safety net projects is very hard to quantify due to the nature of social safety net which encompasses a wide range of activities, it is estimated that about 60% of its annual commitment goes to the projects with social safety net as the main project component. 135 While virtually all projects financed by the World Bank Group have varying degree of poverty components, the number of its poverty-focused adjustment operations has been increasing significantly in recent years from 49% of its total lending in 1992 to 82% of its total lending in 1999. The shift of lending focus has been much more pronounced in the case of IDA countries where the share of poverty-focused adjustment operations has increased to 82% of the total IDA lending in 1999 compared to 54% of such lending in 1992. In addition to the poverty-focused adjustment operations, the World Bank has been tracking lending with an expected direct impact through the Program of Targeted Interventions (PTIs). To be classified as part of PTIs, an investment operation must meet the following criteria: (a) the project has a specific mechanism for targeting the poor; and (b) the proportion of the poor among project beneficiaries is significantly larger than their proportion in the overall population. The number of PTI projects increased from 31% of the total in fiscal 1992 to 51% in fiscal 1999. Similarly, the amount lent for PTI projects increased from 15% in fiscal 1992 to 50% in fiscal 1999, respectively. The % share of PTI projects in the IDA countries were much more pronounced with 59% of total number of projects and 64% of the lending in fiscal 1999. Much of the enhanced focus on social safety nets has emerged after 1997 as countries began to deal with the effects of the crisis, reflecting in part, the increased emphasis being taken to ensure that an appropriate social protection policy is in place alongside continuing economic growth. Before the crisis, however, under the rubric of “human development”, Country Assistance Strategies (CAS) tended to focus on continuing to improve education and health outcomes in the region, even though there were significant differences in terms of the outcomes that had been achieved. The recent growth of the lending portfolio for social protection reflects the increasing demand by governments to help respond to the social impact of the crisis. The total number of operations in the social protection sector is small, but growing. Thirty-nine ongoing projects can be classified as social protection, although this classification tends to differ. For example, of these 39 projects, only 11 are considered social protection projects by the HNDSP anchor either because they are coded as SP and/or two-thirds of the loan amount can be identified for social protection activities. These 11 loans/credits comprise: five social investment funds; three safety net 136 operations; two labor/employment support loans; and one pension loan. In addition to these, another 24 projects have a sub-sector classification of labor market/employment, including the six recent adjustment loans. Two more projects are sub-classified as social fund/assistance and one loan in China supports labor market reform (including workforce reduction) at the enterprise level. Lastly, an FY95 project in China contains a cross-cutting social protection component, also at the enterprise level, to strengthen social security (in pensions, housing, unemployment and health insurance). The total value of the loan portfolio as of 7/1/99 is $12.2 billion, of which $9.3 billion is structural adjustment lending (including the $0.6 billion Social Safety Net Adjustment Loan to Indonesia). Pre-crisis investment lending (i.e. prior to 8/97) was just over $1 billion, indicating a doubling in just two years. In terms of key social protection areas, lending in the past has tended to be concentrated in the area of labor markets, training and employment creation. Social Investment Funds are not widespread in the region but have been developed in Cambodia, the Philippines, Thailand, Indonesia and Lao PDR. Support for pension reform is only in nascent stages, with a recently approved LIL in China. As noted in the next paragraph, the bulk of recent lending has been to support safety nets, including maintaining of social expenditures in the wake of the crisis. Since the onset of the crisis, the major vehicle of Bank support has been through adjustment loans and over half of these (or 80% in value terms) included a social protection or poverty reduction component. In Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia structural adjustment lending assisted in reconstituting and even expanding budgets in the social sectors to protect expenditures for social services targeted to the poor. The series of adjustment loans to those countries is held up as a good example of an integrated approach to social policy reform. And, in April 1999 a $600 million Social Safety Net Adjustment Loan was approved for Indonesia which supported policy reforms in safeguarding key safety net programs (i.e. monitoring and independent verification of delivery of program benefits) and improving program design. As of January 1, 1999, Social Protection was placed within the regional HD Sector Unit to take advantage of synergies in health and education; this setup reflects the HD network structure. Activities (both analytical and lending) in the Social Protection area, however, are spread widely across almost all sectoral units, in headquarters and the field, as well as in 137 the HD and other networks. Sharing information, integrating the analysis and optimizing the design of social protection work has been made difficult given this fragmentation and/or shared responsibility across units. This notwithstanding, the structural adjustment loan series, managed by EASPR with substantial involvement from EASHD and the country unit in the field, is often held up as best practice in integrating the three core areas of social protection. As the Social Protection sector matures within the EAP Region, coordination of the social protection agenda should be improved to take advantage of the skills and knowledge that are lodged across organizational units.87 2.2. ADB Though the ADB has been a leading development financing institution in the Asia and Pacific Region for more than 30 years, its lending operations have been widely spread over many sectors to meet increasing demand for agriculture, infrastructure and industrial development of its developing member countries until 1997 when the financial crisis hit most of its major borrowers. After the crisis, ADB had embarked on a series of policy reorientation to focus its operations to poverty eradication so as to mitigate the adverse impacts of financial crisis. In both 1999 and 2000, it reported that some 40% of ADB’s total annual lending of $5 billion were directed to projects and programs with primary focus on poverty reduction. For the past two years, there have been several landmark policy shifts taken by ADB to put its vision on poverty eradication into action: a new Poverty Reduction Strategy was formulated in 1999 and ADB initiated in 2000 to implement this Strategy with its three conceptual pillars of propoor sustainable economic growth, social development and good governance. Under the first pillar of pro-poor sustainable growth, ADB started to formulate country-specific Poverty Analyses in full consultation with governments, other donor agencies and wide range of stakeholders with an aim to deepen understanding of the causes and manifestations of poverty in its member countries. Such Poverty Analyses provided the basis for discussions at a high-level forum in each member which lead to Country Strategies and Programs, as well as Partnership Agreement for 87 World Bank, 1999. 138 Poverty Reduction. These Partnership Agreements, signed with three countries of Bangladesh, Indonesia and Mongolia in 2000, represented a concerted commitment to attain specific poverty reduction targets, and identify assistance levels and operational priorities. ADB intends to sign the Partnership Agreement with the rest of its member countries in 2001. As to the second pillar of social protection, ADB is finalizing its Social Protection Strategic Framework following an extensive consultation process involving governments, international development agencies NGOs and civil society. Social protection, as an integral part of social development, emphasizes investment in human capital, particularly women in development, increasing productivity, and reducing human vulnerability to risks, as a means of addressing poverty and enhancing the quality of economic growth. The provision of essential social services such as basic education, health care, safe drinking water and sanitation, as well as the availability of adequate social safety nets is critical to social development. ADB’s forthcoming Social Protection Strategy Framework will strengthen its social development interventions. The Medium-term Agenda and Action Plan for Promoting Good Governance was adopted by ADB in early 2001 which articulated its action plan details under the third pillar of ADB’s Poverty Reduction Strategy. Good governance benefits all, particularly the poor who are the least capable of coping with the consequences of bad governance. In all ADB’s efforts to support and promote good governance, the following four elements are addressed: accountability, participation, predictability and transparency. Another noteworthy development undertaken by ADB in 2000 was the establishment of the Japan Fund for Poverty Reduction (JFPR) with an initial contribution from the Government of Japan of 10 billion yen ($92.6 million) to support, on a grant basis, ADB-financed projects with innovative poverty reduction and related social development activities in line with ADB’s poverty reduction strategy. Five projects and programs totaling $7.5 million were approved under JFPR financing in 2000. 139 2.3. AusAID Social Protection Facility (SPF) Responding to the financial crisis that affected key Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) economies from 1997 to 1998, AusAID is funding a Social Protection Facility (SPF) to address pre-existing and crisis-generated gaps in social protection in many countries of the region. The SPF will be jointly implemented by an Australian academic institution and Mahidol University's Institute for Population and Social Research (IPSR) from 2000 through 2003. The initial focus will be on Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam, with assistance to be extended as appropriate to include Cambodia, China and Laos as the Facility expands. The SPF will assist developing ASEAN economies to improve their social services and safety nets through technical assistance and capacity building measures. Its goal is to strengthen the institutional capacities of focal government agencies in social policy development and program delivery. The Facility will emphasize individually tailored training and placement programs and maximize the specific skills and knowledge of key managers and operational teams in areas relevant to their needs. While assistance under the SPF is directed towards the staff of key social protection programs, the eventual beneficiaries will be those families and individuals most vulnerable to poverty, who require access to those programs so as to lift themselves out of poverty and reduce their longterm vulnerability. This will be achieved through improved policy, design, targeting, monitoring and implementation of key programs. The IPSR was selected as the Thai SPF partner based on its past achievements in this area, its relevant teaching and training programs, research activities, management capacity and existing regional and international links. These two partner institutions will work together to publicize the Facility, accept applications and select program participants, design suitable programs of training and professional support and make placements in tune with the current priorities of focal nations.88 88 http://www.mahidol.ac.th/mahidol/spectrum/page5b_vol7_no3.htm. 140 V. Possible Areas for Strengthening APEC Social Safety Net This section describes the findings of stocktaking efforts undertaken to evaluate opportunities where APEC might contribute to the strengthening of social safety net activities in the APEC region. For the successful operation of social safety net systems, certain conditions are prerequisite, that is, optimal budget size and administrative infrastructure for targeting and delivery, and capacity for monitoring and system management are required; also, social safety net programs should be in place before a crisis occurs. However, member economies hit by economic crisis that had experienced extended, positive economic performance tended not to have prepared well-designed formal social safety net programs for the vulnerable prior to the crisis. 1. General Deficit of Social Safety Nets The five economies researched here had social safety net programs at the time of the onset of the crisis, however, the severity of the crisis and its impact on the social sector was profound and rapidly overwhelmed the resources and capabilities of the majority of existing programs. The quick onset of the crisis outstripped the ability of governments, NGOs and others in the region to respond effectively. This inability to respond effectively was further complicated by difficulties in gathering important data detailing crisis impacts on different communities. For the most part, new programs could not be established quickly enough to respond to the impacts of the crisis, which were felt so soon after its onset. In many instances, lack of current, accurate poverty data at the beginning of the crisis hampered the expansion of existing projects and the establishment of new programs. Omissions in data made accurate targeting of programs challenging as well. Payments to the social sector often did not reach their intended beneficiaries. Programs were frequently designed with no explicit guarantee that the effectiveness of the program would be evaluated through the use of output indicators. Some programs were often without specific goals, such as number of persons served, degree of poverty alleviation or level of employment creation. 141 It is the case of more advanced countries that well-established and funded social insurance systems act as safety nets during economic downturn or crisis. The member economies hit by economic crisis introduced national pension schemes in the 1950s, with Indonesia and Malaysia introducing work injury compensation before this. Thailand introduced a social insurance system most recently in 1990s, although it was 1998 before some of the main programs were actually implemented.89 However, the social insurance systems of the economies are serving only a portion of the formal sector, including more stable socio-economic classes such as civil servants.90 Of social insurance schemes, unemployment insurance is the most effective to respond to the impact of economic crisis. Those economies did not introduce unemployment insurance. However it is not wise to rapidly establish unemployment insurance because it takes time for the plan to be operational and coverage must be narrow due to the low proportion of contributors, who are often people working in the formal sector. Efforts for strengthening APEC social safety net programs would be better concentrated on the areas of social assistance and temporary protection systems for the poor and the unemployed in the short-term and should be enlarged to social insurance schemes in the long-term. In the process of reviewing the social safety net programs of member economies, some problems have repeatedly appeared. Those are shown below, but it is difficult to rank them because one might be the cause of another. Corruption, lack of transparency, leakage of funds Mis-targeting, exclusion of the poor Lack of poverty monitoring system, lack of poverty related data Defect of governance, low capacity of management, insufficient preparedness, delayed disbursement Lack of public spending prioritization, fund misallocation Lack of program evaluation system 89 Whiteford and Förster, 2001. In Indonesia, while contributors to pension schemes are only 7% of the working age population, recipients are 39% of the population over 60. This may reflect the fact that pension contributors and recipients are among the relatively privileged groups in society, who are more likely to survive to old ages. In the Philippines, there are actually more pensioners than there are people over 60, presumably reflecting higher life expectancies and effective retirement before the age of 60 years. The proportion of the total population who are pensioners is 6.2% in the Philippines and under 3% in Indonesia. 90 142 Insufficient funding Insufficient infrastructure for social safety net, ineffective welfare delivery system Corruption, lack of transparency and leakage of funds are core problems that stand in the way to fair and equitable delivery of social safety net programs. These issues are often deeply ingrained and inter-related in an economy and difficult to address. Transparency in implementation of social safety net programs is critical and often results in some leakage of budget. These problems are not limited only to the economies mentioned, but are particularly damaging where the effects of economic crisis are already being felt. However, it is estimated that Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam are in a better situation with regards to transparency and anticorruption, but all five economies have similar problems with leakage of funds. The leakage of funds does not necessarily originate with lack of transparency or presence of corruption; it can be a result of mis-targeting, low capacity of management, insufficient preparedness and misled public spending priorities. For targeting populations with low income, it is necessary to have national criteria for eligibility established by a nation-wide survey of the minimum living cost and a measure to identify individual or household income. The concerned five economies have their own poverty lines, however, surveying individual or household income from self-employment is difficult. The self-employed and those working in the informal sector often underreport their income, and their portion to total population is relatively high in the economies. To ensure cost-effectiveness and sustainability, social safety net programs have to undergo improvements in targeting,91 however, means-tested targeting presents major difficulty and is not often adequate. In order to better design and implement safety net programs, reliable data is needed on who the poor are and where they are. In addition, information should be collected on whether they are part of an identifiable vulnerable group and, in the event of a crisis, the main characteristics of the impact (e.g. falling wages, sharp increases in the unemployed, price rises etc). In the five economies, such information remains insufficient on several aspects both at the national level and at the decentralized level, which is especially important given the complexity and heterogeneity of 91 Reyes, 2001. 143 the phenomenon.92 While there are regular and frequent data on economic output, prices and international reserves, the data on poverty incidence, school dropouts and malnutrition prevalence are not as readily available. The absence of an adequate social monitoring system makes it difficult to assess the impact of macroeconomic policies and shocks to the social sector. This also hampers the design and implementation of targeted interventions to alleviate the adverse impacts of the policies and crises on the households.93 At the implementing levels, the impact of social safety nets of the economies is reduced by governance defects such as inadequate budgets and wasteful, inefficient and unresponsive administrations. It is the poor who suffer most due to poorer access, reduced bargaining power and limited influence on local officialdom and service providers.94 The use of diverse executing agencies has been seen by some as a means of enhancing the efficiency of service delivery through generating competition for state funds and through bypassing existing ineffective state bureaucracy. Others have seen it, however, as amounting to a first step in the disavowal of traditional social responsibilities by the state. In order to help inform policy makers on programmatic tradeoffs, as well as to improve the design and implementation of individual schemes, safety net programs should be systematically and rigorously evaluated in terms of targeting efficiency, cost-effectiveness and coverage. Periodic evaluation of the effectiveness of social safety net programs in meeting program goals should be given high priority. Many APEC member economies have carried out some form of program monitoring and evaluation, but these efforts have not always been timely or sufficiently comprehensive. The Thai government utilized an independent private evaluator to assess the programs operated under the Miyazawa Initiative, and the same firm will evaluate the Social Investment Fund. 2. Possible Areas for Strengthening APEC Social Safety Net Activities 92 93 94 World Bank, 1999. Reyes, 2001. Ortiz, 2001. 144 The stocktaking involved in completing this research suggests that the five member economies have similar problems that are adverse to the implementation of social safety net programs. First of all, the way to address the complicated problems, such as corruption, lack of transparency and leakage of funds, would be to develop a participatory role for civil society to act as a watchdog for the entire of decision-making process for social safety net design and delivery. To these ends, the civil society should be trained in current best practices and problem-solving experiences through practical hands-on exercises. Means-tested targeting presents major difficulty. In this case, other approaches can be utilized such as, categorical and geographic targeting, community-based targeting and proxy means testing targeting. 95 The problems of mis-targeting and exclusion of the poor - which are closely related to low capacity of management and lack of poverty related data are mitigated through more investment in capacity building of civil servants in charge of social safety net programs. The availability of timely and reliable information on the poor and vulnerable groups is critical for the design and implementation of social safety net programs.96 One key element of effective action is a crisis response system built on timely and diverse types of information. There is exceptional case among the five economies. Indonesia’s SMERU (Social Monitoring and Early Response Unit) is an example of a crisis response information system. As to the problems of governance, low capacity of management, insufficient preparedness and delayed disbursement, the recent social safety nets have faced opposition from the bureaucracy of existing social ministries. In response, it has been argued that enabling participation by local organizations is the surest way to ensure that resources are used effectively, efficiently, equitably and in keeping with local needs. It has been argued further that enabling NGOs to demand and execute projects helps to build their capacities to deliver services, and to heighten their propensity to make other demands from the state on behalf of their constituents (especially it is hoped, the poor). Where social safety nets do not rely upon beneficiaries’ participation, it is argued further, social safety net activity may fail to reach the poor, or even actually undermine 95 96 Blomquist, 2001. Ibid. 145 organizations of the poor that already operate.97 Evaluation on social safety net programs should be done periodically to identify where and how social safety net programs should be modified. Mexico’s PROGRESA program is a good example. It is undergoing a formal impact evaluation with external evaluators. Dissemination of the results of impact evaluations could help raise awareness of the costeffectiveness of the social safety net and to increase the accountability and political support for successful programs. Possible measures to improve the implementation of social safety net programs can be concentrated on building capacity for managing social safety nets. Similar recommendation can be found in the recently released study by McGee (2000) and others. Based on the demonstrated need to strengthen the social safety nets of economies in the region, one option might be to enhance social safety net function through capacity building. The recommendation for capacity building comes at an important time. The concerned economies are in the process of assessing the effectiveness of social safety net plans formulated in response to the economic crisis. Furthermore, as international donor organizations call for more effective expenditure of funds donated for social safety net purposes, it becomes necessary to address the issues that determine the eventual effectiveness of these programs. The international organizations and advanced countries of the world provide substantial support for economies in the region; US$2.8 billion for Indonesia and about US$2 billion for Thailand. Also, ODA has been provided to those economies; in 1999, US$2.2 billion for Indonesia, US$143 million for Malaysia, US$690 million for the Philippines, US$1 billion for Thailand, US$1.4 billion for Vietnam. ODA is not provided only for social safety net programs but more than half of the fund is destined for the social sector including education and health, etc. Key findings indicate that more effective implementation of social safety nets programs should have priority over fund raising. Currently, a number of member economies independently operate social safety net related capacity building projects such as AusAid; also, a number of international financial organizations including the World Bank, ADB, ADBI contribute to these projects. However, this may lead to 97 Reddy, 1998. 146 unforeseen duplicated investment and hence an institutional home for social safety net-related capacity building which coordinates effective use of resources and which can act as a clearinghouse is needed. 3. Social Safety Net Capacity Building In the Second Meeting of the SOM Ad Hoc Task Force on the Strengthening of Social Safety Nets (28 May 2001 in Shenzen, the People’s Republic of China), Korea and Thailand presented an overview of the draft preliminary research paper which takes stock of social safety nets programs in APEC member economies hit by the 1997 economic crisis, and existing social safety net activities undertaken by international financial institutions, as well as by APEC member economies. The research aims at identifying gaps and missing links between collective APEC social safety net-related activities and similar undertakings elsewhere and to suggest possible areas where APEC can contribute to strengthening social safety nets. The conclusion of the research is that capacity building is the area where APEC can make a major contribution.98 As a measure to mitigate the external changes for the member economies’ domestic areas, a series of APEC reports has already outlined the importance of strengthening social safety nets. Also, as the best way to strengthen social safety nets, capacity building has been repeatedly proposed as a key measure. APEC social safety net-related capacity building can then provide assistance to strengthen economies’ resilience to socio-economic impacts of external shocks. APEC member economies’ social safety nets have been studied and some problems have been found. As indicated in a draft of preliminary research on social safety nets, capacity building is the most effective solution to overcome such shortfalls. In this context, capacity building programs There was a similar project “APEC Economies beyond the Asian Crisis” which was a two-year project started from the beginning of 1999. This project focused on long-term prospects of the APEC economies beyond the Asian crisis, highlighting key issues awaiting the APEC economies in the next few decades. This project was carried out as a collaborative task led by four lead economies: Japan (growth potentials and project coordination), Korea (trade and investment), Chinese Taipei (SMEs), and the Philippines (social policy). The report emphasized the importance of capacity building in APEC economies to meet the challenges of future growth posed by the Asian crisis and the new economy. Priority areas of cooperation identified in the report that APEC needs to focus on included: strengthening markets, e-commerce and technology cooperation, entrepreneurship and SME development, education and life-long learning, and social safety nets. 98 147 proposed by the Ad-hoc Task Force on Social Safety Nets should focus on developing appropriate solutions to this particular problem. Major deficits of social safety nets in APEC member economies hit by the 1997 economic crisis result from mis-targeting or exclusion of the poor, lack of poverty monitoring systems and program evaluation systems, governance, low capacity of management, fund misallocation, inefficient welfare delivery system, etc. So, an APEC social safety net institutional home should prioritize the programs of social safety net-related capacity building as follows: targeting, monitoring, program evaluation, social safety net -related management. In the 2nd Task Force Meeting, member economies agreed on the importance of social safety net capacity building. Currently, a number of member economies independently operate social safety net related capacity building projects such as AusAid; also, a number of international financial organizations including the World Bank, ADB, ADBI contribute to these projects. However, this may lead to unforeseen duplicated investment and hence an institutional home for social safety net-related capacity building which coordinates effective use of resources and which can act as a clearinghouse is needed. Capacity building is described as an idea which is used frequently in the world of development, but rarely given clear definition. Training is not capacity building, although it certainly is a component of it. Capacity building seeks to strengthen the self-adaptive capabilities of people and organizations, in order that they can respond to a changing environment, on an ongoing basis. Capacity building is a process and not a product. In particular, capacity building is a multi-level learning process, which links ideas to action. Capacity building, in this view, can be defined as actionable learning. As actionable learning, capacity building encompasses a number of linked learning processes, the cumulative impact of which enhance the prospects for individuals and organizations to continuously adapt to change.99 Capacity building can be developed through the path as follows: i) establish clear goals for change, ii) assess the knowledge, skill and organizational demands implied in change, iii) assess current state of readiness to meet the knowledge and skill demands of change, iv) determine knowledge, structural and skill gaps between current and goal 99 Terrence, 2001. 148 state, v) actionable learning strategies, vi) monitor movement toward or away from change goals, vii) anticipate and be prepared to change the change strategies. 149 VI. Concluding Remarks As a measure to mitigate pressures placed on member economies’ domestic arrangements by internal and external economic changes, a series of APEC reports has already outlined the importance of strengthening social safety nets. Capacity building has been proposed in a number of key APEC reports as the best way to strengthen social safety nets.100 According to the findings of reports submitted to APEC, major deficits of social safety nets in APEC member economies hit by the 1997 economic crisis result from mis-targeting or exclusion of the poor; lack of poverty monitoring and program evaluation systems; low capacity of management and governance; fund misallocation; inefficient welfare delivery system; etc. By addressing the above issues, social safety net capacity building efforts undertaken by APEC can strengthen economies’ resilience to the socioeconomic impacts of external and internal shocks. This section provides concluding remarks on strategic options that can be pursued by APEC to strengthen its existing activities on strengthening social safety nets in order to make a genuine contribution to strengthening social safety nets of APEC economies. These aim to strengthen the conceptual and theoretical basis of social safety nets in APEC as well as offer a broad range of options for concrete action to individual economies, APEC as a whole, and APEC fora. The need for APEC to strengthen its social safety net activities was underscored by the Asian financial crisis, which exposed the essential insufficiency of social safety nets in many APEC economies. Furthermore, the crises caught the crisis-hit economies and their policy-makers unprepared and off guard and demonstrated shortcomings such as limited fiscal resources, lack of know-how, and weak institutional capacities. The financial crisis exposed millions of people in the crisis-hit economies to unprecedented and unsustainable economic and social hardships that threatened to unravel the social and political fabric of their societies. Governments were forced to design often ill-advised policies that were based on insufficient data and created in haste. It is the finding of this 100 For further information on the importance of capacity building as a means to improving social safety nets, please see the following reports: Blomquist John, 2001; McGee T. G., et al, 2000; Armstrong, Jill. Viossat, Louis-Charles, et al., 1999. 150 research that there is clear need to enhance the effectiveness of Social Safety Net Activities through advances in measurement, targeting, estimation and program design and execution. As a result of the preliminary research of the APEC Social Safety Net Task Force, it is generally accepted that capacity building is the most effective way to strengthen social safety nets as APEC Member Economies recover from the 1997 economic crisis and provide against its recurrence. As the HRDWG has already undertaken extensive capacity building efforts in economic, training and technological areas, extending that expertise to social safety net issues is appropriate and feasible. Capacity building programs are provided on the basis on the major deficits of social safety nets in APEC member economies hit by the 1997 economic crisis. According to the preliminary research of APEC Social Safety Net Task Force, the programs should focus on i) identifying the poor (targeting), ii) monitoring, iii) evaluation, iv) designing social safety net programs and v) management of social safety net system. Also, development of pension and medical insurance policies to suit the unique economic needs of developing APEC member is necessary. In the case of developing Member Economies, management of the pension and medical insurance systems covering all people is practically difficult, due to the comparatively low proportion of wage earners. These member economies need to develop a new pension and medical insurance model in order to ensure the provision of welfare to citizens below median income levels. Utilizing the existing pension projects carried out by APEC, the pension and medical insurance model to suit the unique economic needs of developing APEC member economies is to be directed. 151 Abbreviations ADB: Asian Development Bank ADBI: Asian Development Bank Institute AERA: Accelerating Economic Recovery in Asia AGGI: Advisory Group on Gender Integration AIM: Amanah Ikhtiar Malaysia APIS: Annual Poverty Indicator Survey APEC : Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation ARIC: Asia Recovery Information Center ARMM: Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao ASEAN: Association of South East Asian Nations ASHI: Ahon sa Hirap AusAid: Australian Government’s Overseas Aid Program BULOG: Office of Minister for Food and Horticulture and National Logistics Agency CGAP: Cancer Genome Anatomy Project CHC: Commune Health Clinics CIDA: Canadian International Development Agency CAR: Cordilleras Autonomous Region CAS: Country Assistance Strategies CBN: Capacity Building Network CIDSS: Comprehensive and Integrated Delivery of Social Service DILG: Department of Interior and Local Government DOH: Department of Health DOLE: Department of Labor and Employment DSWD: Department of Social Welfare and Development DRAP: Enhanced Retail Access for the Poor EAP: East Asia and Pacific EASHD: Human Development Unit of the World Bank's East Asia and Pacific Region EASPR: East Asia and Pacific Region EC: Economic Committee EDNET: Education Network EPF: Employees Provident Fund FDI: Foreign Direct Investment 152 FIES: Family Income and Expenditure Survey GDP: Gross Domestic Product GDW: Vision Village Movement GNFA: Government Non-Financial Agency GOCC: Government Owned and Controlled Corporation GFI: Government Financial Institution GSIS: Government Service Insurance System HD: Human Development HDI: Human Development Index HDNSP: Human Development Network Social Protection HEPR: Hunger Eradication and Poverty Reduction HIRAM: Helping Individuals Reach their Aspirations through Microfinance HRD: Human Resources Development HRDWG: Human Resources Development Working Group IDA: International Development Association IMF: International Monetary Fund IFAD: International Fund for Agricultural Development IPSR: Institute for Population and Social Research IRA: Internal Revenue Allotment JFPR: Japan Fund for Poverty Reduction JPS-BK: Social Safety Net for Health Sector KDP: Kecamatan Development Program LFS: Labor Force Survey LGU: Local Government Unit LIL: Learning and Innovations Loans LSPN: Labour and Social Protection Network MARA: Majlis Amanah Rakyat MBN: Minimum Basic Need MNLF: Moro National Liberation Front MOF: Ministry of Finance MOLISA: Ministry of Labor, Invalids and Social Affairs NAAA: National Anti-Poverty Action Agenda NAPC: National Anti-Poverty Commission NCR: National Capital Region NFA: National Food Authority NGO: Non-Governmental Organization NHIP: National Health Insurance Program 153 ODA: Official Development Assistance OECD: Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development OP: Office of the President OPK: Operasi Pasar Khusus (Special Market operations for Rice) PAF: Poverty Alleviation Fund PCFs: People/s Credit Funds PCFC: People’s Credit and Finance Corporation PDKMK: Labor Intensive Program PDM-DKE: Empowerment of Regions to Overcome the Impact of Economic Crisis PERNAS: Pernas International Holdings Berhad PhilHealth: Philippine Health Insurance Corporation PK: Employment Generation PKPN-MPMP: National Food Security Program through Farmers Empowerment PLI: Poverty Line Income PMT-AS: Supplementary Food for Primary School Students PNB: Philippine National Bank PPA: Participatory Poverty Assessments PPRT: Pembangunan Rakyat termiskin (Development Program for the Hardcore Poor) PROGRESA Program: Education, Health and Nutrition Program PRRM: Philippines Rural Reconstruction Movement PTIs: Program of Targeted interventions RMFP: Rural Microenterprise Financing Program RHU: Rural Health Unit SBG: Scholarship and School Block Grants for Primary and Secondary Education SBV: State Bank of Vietnam SEA: Self-Employed Assistance SKA: Self-Employed Assistance Kaunlaran Association SIP: Social Investment Project SKIT: Female Single Parents Financing Scheme SMEs: Small and Medium Enterprises SMERU: Social Monitoring and Early Response Unit SOM: Senior Officials Meeting SOCSO: Social Security Organization SOE: State-Owned Enterprise SP: Social Protection SPF: Social Protection Facility 154 SPI: Ikhtiar Loan Scheme SPIN: Fishermen Financing Scheme SRA: Social Reform Agenda SSN: Social Safety Net SSN-CB: Social Safety Net Capacity Building SSS: Social Security System SZOPAD: Special Zone for Peace and Development TILF: Trade and Investment Liberalization and Facilitation UCDO: Urban Community Development Office UN: United Nations UNDP: United Nations Development Programme UNFPA: United Nations Popluation Fund UNRISD: United Nations Research Institute for Social Development UNSFIR: United Nations Support Facility for 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