Chapter 3 Worksheet The concepts in this worksheet correspond directly with the text. If you do not understand the concept or need to refresh your memory, please refer to the text. I provide the page reference for each of the criteria. You should also use the CD-ROM for concepts that require more detailed explanation than the text provides. The purpose of the external analysis is to identify opportunities and threats for the industry you are analyzing. Do not focus on the company under analysis. Focus on the industry in which the company competes. Make sure your analysis of the facts leads to a logical determination of specific opportunities and threats associated with the criterion you are analyzing. Consider each criterion from a strategic perspective. Use the scientific method (data, analysis of the data, conclusions based on the analysis.) In other words, does your analysis lead you to conclude how or in which ways does the criterion under analysis create opportunities or threats for the industry or specific companies in the industry? State the specific nature of the opportunity or threat. This will strengthen your analysis and help you with your subsequent SWOT analysis. Do not use speculative statements. Typical key words indicating speculation include: if, should, could, would, and may. Avoid contractions in written business reports. You only use contractions in a business report when it involves a direct quote. Avoid vague pronouns. Pronouns such as this, these and it used out of context and without attribution are examples. Often students will have a paragraph in the facts column that consists of several sentences. The students then start the analysis with the pronoun “this”. The reader cannot determine the reference the appropriate idea without considerable guessing. Refer to the examples of prior case analyses provided on the web site to assist you with understanding the desired quality of analysis and statement of opportunities and threats. Macro-environment forces Criteria (Refer to page 51.) The economy at large Facts What does this mean? (Address the economic conditions during the timeframe of the case.) Legislative, regulatory and political environments Population demographics (Population demographics analysis relies on developing various categories of the population and analyzing their impact on the industry. Typical categories include gender, age, education level, geographic location, income, life stage, household size, occupation, and race. In addition to population demographics, this type of categorization includes geographic segmentation (region, city or country size, density), benefit segmentation (comfort, convenience, durability, Thompson, Arthur and Strickland, A.J. Strategic Management: Concepts and Readings. McGrawHill Irwin. NY. 15th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 1 health, luxury, safety, status), and volume segmentation (usage, loyalty status). Marketing is the usual company source for these types of analysis.) Societal values and lifestyles Ethnographics and psychographics provide the following categories: personality, values, and lifestyle. Technology 1. What are the Industry's dominant economic features (page 52)? Please note that table 3.1 provides a sample profile of the sulfuric acid industry. Table 3.1 provides examples of the strategic significance of each of the criterion. Make sure you know the industry you are analyzing. Criteria Facts What does this mean? Market size Scope of the competitive rivalry (The competitive scope criteria addresses geographic scope (Global, National, Regional, Local), product scope, market scope and so on.) Market growth rate and position in the business cycle (development, growth, maturity, decline) Number of rivals and their relative size (Relative size refers to each rival’s market share based on total sales for the overall market or, when applicable, individual market segments.) Number of buyers and their relative size (Address the number of buyers in each market and market segment. Buyer size refers to the buyer’s volume of sales for the industry.) Extent of rivals’ vertical integration (How far forward or backwards have the rivals extended their value chain?) Extent of rivals’ horizontal integration Thompson, Arthur and Strickland, A.J. Strategic Management: Concepts and Readings. McGrawHill Irwin. NY. 15th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 2 (Horizontal integration applies to using the synergies in your value chain to produce different products or provide services for a different industry or market segment.) Types of distribution channels rivals use to access customers. (Do the channel types vary by customer segment?) Pace of technological innovation in production process innovation Pace of technological innovation in product introduction Extent to which the rivals differentiate their products and/or services Extent to which rivals use economies of scale in: Purchasing Manufacturing Services Transportation (logistics) Marketing Advertising General and Administration Other steps in the value chain (Refer to chapter 4 for the description of the value chain.) Extent to which the key industry participants are clustered in one geographic location Extent to which certain industry activities result from learning and experience curve effects Capacity surplus or shortage in the industry (Capacity refers to the total Thompson, Arthur and Strickland, A.J. Strategic Management: Concepts and Readings. McGrawHill Irwin. NY. 15th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 3 manufacturing output capability for the industry. Capacity surplus would indicate that the industry has the capability to produce more products than the market demands.) Capital requirements and the ease of entry into or exit from the industry Industry profitability (The annual net profit margin for the industry.) Degree of alliances (You can provide additional economic features applicable to the industry you are analyzing.) 2. What is competition like and how strong are each of the competitive forces (page 54)? Criteria RIVALRY (pages 5560) Facts What does this mean? (Does this make the force strong or weak for the industry?) Under this heading you are supposed to address how the criterion affects the rivalry between the competitors. When rivalry increases, it generally is a threat to the industry. When the rivalry decreases, it generally is an opportunity for the industry. How many competitors are there in this industry? What is the relative size (market share based on their percentage of industry sales) of each competitor? What is the industry concentration ratio (C4)? Top 4 company’s sales Industry sales What is the product or service demand growth rate? (Use the industry’s total sales over multiple years to determine the industry growth rate. Use the rival’s sales over Thompson, Arthur and Strickland, A.J. Strategic Management: Concepts and Readings. McGrawHill Irwin. NY. 15th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 4 multiple years to determine individual growth rate.) Are rivals using price cuts or other competitive weapons to boost unit volume? Are the customer's switching costs low? Are rivals launching moves to change their market share or industry position at the expense of other industry participants? What are the payoffs for strategic moves? Does it cost more to exit the industry than to continue participation? How consistent are rivals strategic visions, strategic intents, objectives, strategies, resources and origins? The greater the consistency, the more likely there is increased rivalry. Are strong new entrants acquiring weaker rivals and launching wellfunded, aggressive moves? THREAT OF ENTRY (pages 60-64) Under the heading of new entrants, your analysis should lead you to conclude that new entrants are likely or unlikely to challenge the existing firms in the industry. Therefore, new entrants are likely (threat) or unlikely (opportunity) to pose an opportunity or threat to the existing firms in the industry. What economies of scale exist in each of the following areas: Production Purchasing Inbound and outbound logistics Advertising Thompson, Arthur and Strickland, A.J. Strategic Management: Concepts and Readings. McGrawHill Irwin. NY. 15th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 5 Financing Customer service Raw materials R&D Other steps in the value chain? (Please note that synergies across the value chains of related diversified corporations also constitute economies of scale.) Cost and resource disadvantages independent of size What are the learning curve and experience effects to enter the industry? Inability to match the technology and specialized know-how of firms already in the industry. How accessible is the industry's technology? Brand preferences and customer loyalty What are the capital requirements to enter? What other resource requirements are necessary to enter? What is the access to distribution channels? What regulatory policies apply? What tariffs and trade restrictions apply? SUBSTITUTES (pages 64-63) Under the heading of substitutes, your analysis should lead you to conclude that substitutes are likely or unlikely to challenge the existing products the industry produces. Therefore, substitutes are likely (threat) or unlikely (opportunity) to pose an opportunity or threat to the existing firms in the industry. What is the availability of attractively priced substitutes? Is the substitute of better, Thompson, Arthur and Strickland, A.J. Strategic Management: Concepts and Readings. McGrawHill Irwin. NY. 15th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 6 worse, or equal quality? Is the substitute of better, worse or equal performance? Is the substitute of better, worse or equal _______ (You fill in the attribute or attributes that are specific to the product or service.)? Can buyers easily switch to the substitutes? SUPPLIERS (pages 6669 Please note, that this section applies to the companies that supply the industry under analysis. Is the item or service a commodity available on the open market from many suppliers who are capable of filling the order? Are there good substitutes for the product or service to which the buyers can easily switch? Is the company a major buyer? Does the supplier dominate the industry? (The supplier provides the industry with an item that accounts for a sizable fraction of the costs of an industry's product (or service), is crucial to the industry, or significantly affects product quality.) Does an outside supplier provide a cost advantage over vertical integration? Does an outside supplier provide other advantages over vertical integration? What types of working relationships exist? Start by listing the types of working relationships that exist. Then, focus Thompson, Arthur and Strickland, A.J. Strategic Management: Concepts and Readings. McGrawHill Irwin. NY. 15th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 7 on the strategic importance of relationships with suppliers in this industry. Are these relationships of strategic value for the competitors in the industry? If so, why and how do the relationships impact the competitive structure and environment of the industry? What is the relative quality of the supplier and his services or products? BUYERS (pages 70-72) Please note, that this section applies to the companies that purchase goods or services from the industry under analysis. Buyers include any purchaser downstream from the industry. What is the cost to the buyer of switching to a competitor or a substitute? How many buyers are there in this industry? What is the relative size (based on the amount they purchase) of each buyer? What is the buyer's knowledge level? Can the buyers threaten the industry with backward integration? Are the industry's products discretionary purchases? Thompson, Arthur and Strickland, A.J. Strategic Management: Concepts and Readings. McGrawHill Irwin. NY. 15th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 8 3. What is (and how are they) causing the industry's competitive structure and business environment to change (page 93)? Please refer to the Cannondale1 example on the web site for good examples of appropriate analysis for this question. Factors Industry competitive structure Industry business environment Strategic implications (pages 74-81) This factor is supposed to capture how the This factor is supposed to capture how drivers of change are altering the industry's the drivers of change are altering the competitive structure. industry's business environment. The competitive structure of an industry entails the number of suppliers, competitors and buyers and the number of and complexity of the competitive relationships. For example, an industry entering maturity causes fewer, larger competitors. This affects the industry's structural arrangement between rivals, buyers and suppliers. When the industry approaches maturity or when it is in decline, the industry's business environment will create intense rivalry for a diminishing market. Internet and new e-commerce opportunities Increasing globalization of the industry Long term industry growth rate Who buys the product and how do they use it Product innovation Technological change Marketing innovation Entry of major firms Exit of major firms Diffusion of technical knowhow Cost and efficiency Growing buyer preferences for differentiated products instead of a commodity product Regulatory and government policy changes Societal concerns, attitudes and lifestyle changes Thompson, Arthur and Strickland, A.J. Strategic Management: Concepts and Readings. McGraw-Hill Irwin. NY. 15th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 9 Reductions in uncertainty and risk 4. Which companies are in the strongest/weakest positions (page 81)? High Price Medium Low narrow broad market scope Develop additional strategic group maps using additional criteria such as quality, image, value added, resources available, or competitive advantages. Price, quality and image are not the only factors that you can use for developing strategic group maps to determine which companies are in the strongest and weakest positions. You will probably find that some companies are stronger on some dimensions while weaker on others. Determine the opportunities and threats arising from the application of this tool (pages 101-103). Do the industry driving forces and competitive pressures favor some strategic groups and hurt others? Does the profit potential of different strategic groups vary due to the strengths and weaknesses in each group's market position? Thompson, Arthur and Strickland, A.J. Strategic Management: Concepts and Readings. McGraw-Hill Irwin. NY. 15th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 10 What does this mean in terms of their most likely moves? What is their competitive strategy (low cost, differentiation, broad or narrow, best value)? What is their strategic posture (offensive, defensive, both)? What is their competitive position (getting stronger, well entrenched, stuck in the middle, going after different market position, losing ground, retrenching)? What is their market share objective (aggressive expansion, expansion via internal growth, expand by acquisition, hold present share, give up share)? What is their strategic intent (dominant leader, overtake the leader, top 5, move up a position, maintain position, survive)? What is the competitive scope of each (local, regional, national, multi-country, or global)? List the competitors 5. What strategic moves are rivals likely to make next (page 85)? Refer to Table 3.3 on page 105. Thompson, Arthur and Strickland, A.J. Strategic Management: Concepts and Readings. McGraw-Hill Irwin. NY. 15th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 11 What is their capability for this factor? What is their capability for this factor? What is their capability for this factor? 6. What are the key factors for competitive success (in this industry) (page 87)? How does each competitor fare on each success factor? To use this tool, start by determining which of the KSFs apply. Then provide your justification for choosing these KSFs. Generally, there are less than ten (10) KSFs applicable to an industry. Then assess each of the industry competitor's capabilities for the KSF. Please note I provide space for three competitors. You should add the number of columns necessary to evaluate all of the competitors in an industry. You should also add industry specific KSFs when they apply. Refer to Table 3.4 on page 107. Competitor Competitor Competitor You can provide your justification for What What What selecting the KSFs underneath the does this does this does this KSK. mean? mean? mean? Technology related KSFs Scientific research and expertise Technical capability to make innovative improvements in production processes Product innovation quality Expertise in a given technology Internet expertise Manufacturing (production of the product or service) related KSFs Low-cost production efficiency Manufacturing quality High fixed asset utilization Low cost plant locations Access to adequate supplies of skilled labor High labor productivity Thompson, Arthur and Strickland, A.J. Strategic Management: Concepts and Readings. McGraw-Hill Irwin. NY. 15th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 12 Low cost product (service) design and engineering Manufacturing flexibility Distribution related KSFs (Note: This applies to inbound and outbound logistics.) Network strength Electronic (Internet) tracking Ample space on retailer's shelves Company owned retail outlets Low distribution costs Speed of distribution Marketing related KSFs Fast, accurate technical service Customer service Accurate buyer order filling Breadth of product line and selection Merchandising skills Attractive styling/packaging Guarantees and warranties Advertising Skills related KSFs Workforce talent Quality control know-how Design expertise Expertise in a particular technology Ability to develop innovative products and product improvements Speed of getting new products to market Organizational capability KSFs Thompson, Arthur and Strickland, A.J. Strategic Management: Concepts and Readings. McGraw-Hill Irwin. NY. 15th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 13 Superior information systems Ability to respond quickly to shifting market conditions Use of the Internet and Enterprise Information systems Overall experience Managerial know-how Other KSFs Image and reputation Overall low cost Convenient retail locations Pleasant employees in all customer contact positions Access to financial capital Patent protection Others? 7. Is this industry attractive and what are its prospects for above-average profitability (page 89)? Criteria Industry growth potential Does competition permit adequate profit potential? Does competition lead to stronger or weaker forces? Will the prevailing driving forces positively or negatively impact profit potential? What is the company's relative competitive potential in this industry? What is the company's ability to capitalize on its competitor's weaknesses? Can the company defend against or is it insulated from the factors that make this industry unattractive? How well do the company's capabilities Facts What does it mean? Thompson, Arthur and Strickland, A.J. Strategic Management: Concepts and Readings. McGraw-Hill Irwin. NY. 15th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 14 match the industry's KSFs? What are the future uncertainties and risks for this industry? What is the severity of the issue(s) or problem(s) facing this industry? If a corporation, will continued participation in this industry positively or negatively impact its ability to compete in other industries? 8. Summary matrix Prepare a summary matrix of the opportunities and threats you derived from your external analysis. I suggest you reference the opportunities and threats to the applicable sections of the external analysis. You may use the following matrix as guidance. External analysis section Opportunity Threat Macro-environment Industry’s dominant economic traits Five forces Drivers of change in the industry Strategic group map Competitor’s next moves Key success factors Industry profitability Thompson, Arthur and Strickland, A.J. Strategic Management: Concepts and Readings. McGraw-Hill Irwin. NY. 15th Edition Chapter 3 Worksheet 15