Japan Nr. 194 vom April 2005 Agricultural Sector in Japan INHALTSVERZEICHNIS Part I: Interest Group Activity of the Agricultural Lobby Nokyo in Japan and its Implications Michele Graßal 1 Part II: The Japanese Food Business – Selected Facts and Figures Angelika Stahl 13 Zu den Autoren 23 1 Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 Japan-Zentrum der Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität, München Deutsch-Japanischer Wirtschaftskreis, Düsseldorf Redaktion: DJW-Team, Franz Waldenberger Düsseldorf/München, 2005 (ISSN 1617-139X; 194 2005) Weitere Informationen: Herausgeber: Japan-Zentrum der Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität Oettingenstraße 67, 80538 München Tel. 089/2178-2820 www.japan.uni-muenchen.de und DJW (Deutsch-Japanischer Wirtschaftskreis) Stockumer Kirchstr. 61, 40474 Düsseldorf Tel.: 0211 5649 8381 www.djw.de Eine Liste der früheren Ausgaben ab dem Jahr 2000 und kostenlose Downloads finden sich auf den folgenden Homepages: www.japan.bwl.uni-muenchen.de www.djw.de Prof. Dr. Franz Waldenberger E-mail: waldenberger@japanprofessionals.com DJW. E-mail: info@djw.de Nachdruck und sonstige Verbreitung (auch auszugsweise): Nur mit Quellenangabe und gegen Einsendung eines Belegexemplars. © Japan-Zentrum der Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität/DJW, München/Düsseldorf 2005 Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 1 Part I: Interest Group Activity of the Agricultural Lobby – Nokyo in Japan and its Implications Abstract This paper shall investigate and explain the activities of the Japanese farmers’ cooperative organisation Nokyo as an interest group. Attention is drawn to its interaction with politicians and bureaucrats. On the one hand, vote generation and rent extortion as incentives for politicians to cooperate will be discussed. On the other hand, rent-seeking as an incentive for Nokyo will be analysed. The resulting social costs are borne by other interests and the citizens. In the following, the consequences and implications for the community, namely budgetary growth and stagnation, will be presented. Hereby, it can be shown that apart from negative external effects for the society, even the lobbied group itself does not benefit from the rent seeking activity by the interest group on the long run. As a conclusion, the analysis will be summarised and an explanation will be offered for the recent electoral success of politicians who oppose the hitherto exerted policies by championing standpoints departing from Nokyo’s interests. 1. Introduction Japan has been giving many reasons for concern since the bubble economy burst in the late 80’s. Since the 90’s the economy has been faltering and is in permanent stagnation. Also in 2003 the unemployment rate remained on the relatively high level of 5.3%1, the public debt has more than doubled in the last ten years and the budget deficit has been 7.4% of the GDP in 20032. As this is not sustainable in the long run3, the restrictions and the leeway of governments are bound to change. Once Japan Inc.’s corporate identity – meaning the high degree of organisation and collusion – was praised as a major force. Nowadays, though, it rather seems to be counterproductive against the challenge of tackling urgently needed structural reforms. As a consequence, public opinion is increasingly critical on lobbyism and vested interests. Especially agricultural lobbyism and extensive public works whose representation is embodied by the agricultural cooperatives (Nokyo), have increasingly come under attack. This paper shall investigate how the farmers’ lobbying organisation Nokyo as an interest group has contributed to the problems Japan has to cope with and shall hereby touch the question why it has to face opposition. After presenting Nokyo as an interest group, the attention is drawn to its interaction with politicians and bureaucrats. At this point, the incentives for politicians, bureaucrats and 1 Statistics Bureau, Ministry of Public Management, Home Affairs, Post and Telecommunications. th www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/154b.htm; downloaded on: January 8 2004. Calculated according to the labour force concept. 2 Monthly Statistics of Japan, March 2003, Statistics Bureau. To enter EU only up to 3% are allowed. 3 Roubini et al. (1998). Roubini et al. argue that a new indebtedness higher than 4% of the GDP is not sustainable in the long run. Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 2 Nokyo for cooperating will be presented followed by the consequences and implications for the community, namely budgetary growth and stagnation. Finally, some conclusions will be drawn from the analysis and an outlook will be sketched. 2. 2.1. Nokyo’s Activity What is Nokyo? The Agricultural Cooperative Association (Nokyo) is the cooperative movement for farmers in Japan and has a multi-layered framework. Nokyo is structured in three levels; local, prefectural and national. Historically Nokyo’s foundation derives from this presumption as the foundation of its predecessor was encouraged by the early Meiji government in the end of the 19th century with the assignment of promoting rural development.4 After being reorganised at the end of WW II its focus was limited to marketing and sales of agricultural products whatsoever, but over time it has emerged as a giant in services and trade. Nokyo “nourishes those in its care with services both economic and political and, in return, absorbs and distributes the goods produced to the broader community”5. In addition, it is mandated to implement various agricultural policy programmes.6 Nokyo’s privileges as a co-operative also favoured significantly its emergence as one of the biggest financial institutions in the world. Zenkyoren, Nokyo’s insurance arm, ranks as the largest in the world and its banking arm was the principal underwriter of Japanese government bonds. 7 Its banking business is organised analogously with a three-tier system, with the national level, Norinchukin, being the financially strongest. Net saving by the members and the high degree of regulation in Japan favoured its evolution as major cash-cow within Nokyo. Due to financial liberalisation in the 90’s the profit margins plummeted, thus, also reducing Nokyo’s financial leeway.8 Nevertheless, Norinchukin’s balance sheets are sound.9 2.2. Nokyo as an Interest Group In addition to its financial muscle, Nokyo has its 9.13 million people membership (farmers and associates)10 throughout Japan as a lever to maximise the utility for its members. The associates consist mainly of construction companies that joined Nokyo as “vote collecting machines for the LDP in rural areas” 11 . Although there are two other agricultural organisations, their impact can be neglected given their small size compared to Nokyo. 4 Longworth J. (1983), p. 56. Op. cit., p. 55. 6 Mulgan A. (2001), p. 6. 7 Amyx J. (2000), p.66. 8 Godo (2003). 9 Norinchukin’s long term debt has been rated A1 by Moody’s Investor Service and A+ by Standard & Poors. See: Norinchukin Annual Report 2003. 10 According to ZENCHU in 1998. See: www.e-zenchu-ja.org/06/no04.pdf , downloaded on: January 11th 2004. 11 Mulgan A. (2001), p. 12. 5 Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 3 Most of the farmers only pursue part time farming on 1.2 hectare on average with little deviation thanks to the land reform of 1947-1950 in Japan. Furthermore they share a common interest with construction companies for development projects in rural areas, as farmers benefit from infrastructural improvements as well as the construction companies, who have to provide them.12 As the focus of this paper is on the political activity of Nokyo, only the top level will be considered since it is in charge of achieving national policy goals. Officially, Nokyo is not allowed to engage directly into political activities, but a separate organisational arm called ZENCHU is. However, “while ZENCHU may be the spear-head of the farmers’ lobby, the real political power of Nokyo lies in its massive grass-roots membership”13, as will be elaborated in the following. 2.3. Relations between LDP, Bureaucracy and Nokyo 2.3.1. The Iron Triangle The relationship between LDP being in power almost all the time from 195514 on, the bureaucracy in the form of the Ministry for Forestry and Fishing (MAFF) and Nokyo has been referred to as “iron triangle”15 describing the strength of their links and their shared vested interests. A deeper analysis of the relationship especially with the informal groupings of LDP’s farming politicians in the Diet 16 reinforces the interest group approach. In Japan “most agricultural policies are adopted only after a lengthy process of consensus seeking” 17 among interest groups with the MAFF on the one hand and politicians on the other. As a consequence, they are also slow to react to changes in the economic environment18 and impose costs on the community. In this setting of a strong interest group structure stagflation is encouraged. As politicians consult and seek consensus with the other members of the triangle, they lose time and hence, necessary reforms are stalled and their pace remains low. The incentive structure for all members of the triangle is evident. On the one hand there are benefits for the interest group, namely rents, opposed by costs for both the organisation and for the described transfers to give incentives to the bureaucrats and politicians to act pleasantly. Hence, there prevails a market situation with the demand for 12 However, other authors suggest that Nokyo does not enjoy a monopoly, but admit a preponderant role in the economic, social and political lives of farmers to it. Hence, the assumption approximates the reality. 13 Longworth J. (1983), p. 55. 14 Andermann G., “Die Entwicklung von Landwirtschaft und Agrarpolitik in Japan und Deutschland nach 1945”, in: Rothacher A. (1992), p. 207. 15 Mulgan A. (2001), p. 7. 16 The parliamentary representation of LDP is usually subdivided into factions. However, rather the specialisation of the individual Diet member than the faction reflects the representation of the interests. The tribe (zoku) consisting of a group of policy bosses stands at the core of the formal grouping. The farming tribe (norin zoku) has been weakened over the past years, and has found difficulties in finding successors. See: Mulgan A. (2001), p.14. 17 Op. cit., p. 63. 18 Mueller D. (1989), p. 318. Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 4 favours by the interest group and the supply by bureaucrats and politicians. 19 Nokyo derives the advantage of a cooperation with politicians as well as the MAFF from the fact that politicians can enact policies whatsoever and bureaucrats can implement them. Both LDP and the MAFF have relied heavily on Nokyo as an administrative mechanism and political means to rally the rural sector behind national policy.20 Of course, corruption cannot be sketched as no figures exist, but several bribery scandals in the MAFF suggest “that the collusion between bureaucrats and those they supervise is endemic in the MAFF as it is elsewhere. In the MAFF’s case, its supervised entities include […] agricultural groups such as Nokyo”.21 In a way, this means to set the fox to keep the geese as the MAFF and Nokyo have relatively uniform interests, given that bureaucrats strive for a high budget, which also benefits Nokyo. Viceversa, a strong agricultural sector ensured by favourable legislation preserves the power base of the MAFF as its main attention is dedicated to the agricultural sector. Moreover, “the presence of exMAFF officials has helped the LDP consolidate ties with agricultural special-interest groups and extend its patronage.”22 Therefore, identical goals will be assumed for the MAFF and Nokyo.23 2.3.2. The Pillar of Nokyo's Influence – The Vote Generation Japan has a bicameral parliamentary system with a Lower and an Upper House. The Upper House has 247 members, of whom 149 are elected directly and 98 through proportional representation. The Lower House has 480 seats (300 direct, 180 proportional). Japan’s electoral system favours rural areas in the sense that a single vote has more weight than in urban areas. When the constitution was drafted in 1947 each electoral district was defined such that the number of voters per elected Member of Parliament (Dietmen) would be roughly equal. However, at that time many people who had fled to the countryside from the bombs during the war had not returned to the cities yet, which spawned a significantly biased population distribution. Accompanied by urban migration between 1955 and 1970 the ratios of urban votes against one rural vote in 1990 had become up to 6.25:1 for the Upper House and 3.38:1 for the Lower House in the extreme.24 428 out of 511 Dietmen in the Lower House (84%) were chosen from electoral districts including farming communities. Albeit not being the majority in many cases, as Nokyo has been so highly organised and has been able to rally many votes behind a supported candidate due to its uniformly orientated membership and due to the first-past-the-post principle, a targeted candidate had auspices to enter Parliament (The Diet). Given that candidates receive relatively little support from their parties they have a strong incentive to accept other organisational assistance as power base. 25 As a consequence, Japanese politicians, especially those belonging to the LDP and the 19 Ekelund Jr. R., Tollison R., “The interest-group theory of government”, in: Shugart W., Razzolini L. (2001), p. 359. 20 See: Op. cit., p. 6. 21 Longworth J. (1983), p. 65, also see MULGAN A. (2001). 22 Amyx J. (2000), p. 68. 23 Of course, this is only an approximation. Mulgan A. (2001) even suggests identical interests for all the three members of the triangle. As will be shown, this hypothesis can not be sustained for politicians. 24 Mulgan A. (2000), p. 330. 25 Mulgan A. (2001). Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 5 Japanese Socialist Party (JSP), were rather identified by the interest group they represent than their ideological positions.26 Whilst hitherto the election system has remained unchanged for the Upper House leaving the ratio up to 5.02:1 in 2000 27 , the election system for the Lower House underwent several reforms from 1994 on, reducing the maximum disparity to 2.40:1 in 199828 by adjusting the size of the voting districts. Thus, the number of Diet members with voting bases in rural or agricultural districts was reduced. For example, rural regions like Tohoku, Shikoku and Kyushu lost up to 20% of their seats.29 Moreover, the abolition of multi-seated districts has compelled the candidates to garner more support and, hence, to espouse more general positions.30 As a consequence, it has become more difficult for Nokyo to promote and dominate a candidate on its own in the direct representation, as candidates have to reconcile more interests by embarking on more general issues to run for election successfully. Nevertheless, Nokyo is still a force to count on; despite its weakening, it has still the power to block a candidate in many districts. Moreover, the introduction of a proportional representation element is of advantage for financially powerful interest groups, as candidates with high fundraising skills get a better posting.31 Given Norinchukin’s and Zenkyoren’s financial power, the proportional representation enables Nokyo to successfully promote suitable candidates by equipping them with the necessary funds. Candidates supported by Nokyo usually do well in elections; on average over two thirds of the recommended candidates succeed32. Consequently, an interest group is rewarded for a high degree of organisation by successfully promoting a favoured candidate to parliament. As a result, the representation in the assembly will not exactly reflect the electorate’s preference distribution, but be biased towards well organised interests. In 2001, around 150 of 727 (20.6%) members in both houses were associated with Nokyo of whom 100 (13.8%) were considered very active and enthusiastic 33 , although population in farm households only represents about 10.6% of the total population.34 Nokyo’s large membership and its financial strength burden “Diet members [with] a degree of policy ‘debt’ that exceeds that normally observed amongst politicians in other systems of representative democracy.”35 In order to ensure compliance, Nokyo observes the voting behaviour in parliamentary sessions and the record of each politician in championing agricultural interests and bases its future support on these.36 26 Op. cit., p.4. Op. cit., p. 11. 28 Mulgan A. (2000), p. 330. 29 Mulgan A. (2001), p. 11. 30 In the old system two or three seats could be won in elections in several districts. Therefore, the threshold to enter the Diet was lower. Under the new system only one seat is contested directly on principle in every district. 31 Mulgan A. (2000), p. 464. 32 Mulgan A. (2001), p. 25. 33 Op. cit., p. 3. 34 MAFF (2000). 35 Mulgan A. (2000), p. 547. 36 See: Rothacher A., "Agrarpolitik: Hyperprotektion und die Folgen” in: Rothacher A. (1992), pp. 68. 27 Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 6 2.4. Social Costs of Interest Group Activity The interest group Nokyo can be considered an accumulation of rationalist individuals with identical preferences that intends to maximise its members’ interests when bargaining with the government and its institutions. On the one hand, there are benefits for the interest-group, namely rents, opposed by the costs for both the organisation and for the described transfers to give incentives to bureaucrats and politicians to act pleasantly. Hence, the model can be defined as a market situation with demand of favours by the interest-group and the supply by bureaucrats and politicians.37 Rent seeking is one of the core incentives for interest group activity. By definition, rent seeking embraces efforts and resources to seek rents a government can provide. 38 Usually, this additional rent is paid by a third party that has to bear the cost in form of higher prices. As for Japan, the consumers are charged for the preservation of the lack of competitiveness of the agricultural sector and the protectionism by paying higher prices. However, also other social costs can be identified: Firstly, the efforts and expenditures for the potential recipients of protection constitute costs. These do not refer to direct donations or incentives themselves but to additional costs to allocate them. Also regarding Japan these costs do arise. One example is the so called AMAKUDARI 39 , which means that retired MAFF bureaucrats are absorbed by Nokyo to provide them with incentives and rewards for favourable enactment. The potential cost for Nokyo lies in the possible loss of efficiency in not choosing the most productive candidate in a competition, but a possibly less suitable bureaucrat to ensure the rent collection.40 Secondly, costs might arise from the efforts of politicians and government officials to react to or to obtain the recipients’ expenditures. As both are subject to a time restriction, like all human beings, these efforts will lead to opportunity costs for the public; for instance, if a government official dedicates his attention to the interest group to gain personal advantages instead of devoting himself to more pressing issues that would be more productive for the public. The same is true for politicians: “To the extent that politicians’ time has a positive opportunity cost, it is costly for them to negotiate over division of the rents generated by private investments.”41 As a consequence, they cannot dedicate their attention to the sovereign. Thirdly, third party distortions can be induced as a consequence of the rent seeking activity. One can imagine that also other interest groups might be interested in political representation by a candidate of their choice of their interests. Assuming a scenario of demand for political representation on the one side and the supply on the other side, 37 Ekelund Jr. R., Tollison R. (2001), p. 359. Mueller D. (1989), p. 229. Buchanan identified social costs for monopoly seeking suppliers. Nevertheless, the same approach is also valid in the case of the agricultural producers represented by Nokyo, who seek a protection from competition from outside. 39 Literally "falling from heaven” in Japanese. 40 Anne Krueger makes a similar argument with relatives of customs officials. See: Mueller D. (1989), p. 241. However, it is highlighted by several scholars that Japanese bureaucrats have an excellent reputation and range among the best university graduates. 41 McChesney F., "Rent seeking and rent extraction” in: Shugart W., Razzolini L. (2001), p. 387. 38 Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 7 other interest groups will also be required to employ more resources if they want to foster a candidate successfully. Further presuming that those funds could have been allocated in a socially more useful way this point can also be considered a social cost. Moreover, other interest groups might pay the price for rent seeking in form of higher taxation to subsidise the agricultural sector. Here lies one explanation why the industrial lobby is in permanent conflict with Nokyo as it has opposed interests.42 2.5. Nokyo and Liberalisation Another bone of contention between the agricultural and the industrial lobby are questions of liberalisation. The Japanese industry was punished with higher tariffs as the political price for the resistance to the liberalisation of the agricultural market. Thus, again industrial interests are affected as the Japanese industry in contrast to the agricultural sector depends heavily on export. The exporting industry with the affiliated trade unions, interest groups and several ministries, like METI and the Foreign Ministry, perceived the resistance to the liberalisation of the agricultural market as a potential irritation of the USA, Japan’s most important export market, and as a source of possible transpacific tradewars.43 Unnecessary to say that, in turn, Nokyo has never been a friend of liberalisation of the agricultural market, as it endangers at least a fraction of its rents by exposing the farmers to more competition. Reference to consumers as a putative driving force is frequently used in this context to make support for satisfaction of agricultural needs more palatable, although primarily producers are protected. 44 The rice market was kept closed by maintaining in all seriousness the opinion that Japanese stomachs are unable to digest any other rice than domestic one.45 However, the Hosokawa government successfully championed the liberalisation of the rice market.46 In this light, the gradual opening of the market implies that Nokyo could slow down the process, but had not enough resources to halt it, given the exposition of the politicians to the high internal and external pressure. Therefore, it would have required more contributions by Nokyo to prevent liberalisation that the lost rents, i.e. costs exceeded benefit. Thus, Nokyo had some impact, but was unable to determine the final outcome entirely. Nevertheless, Nokyo’s resistance proved to be very effective in some realms, impinging on imports such that, “imports are barely 42 Bundeszentrale für politische Bildung (1998), p. 102. Rothacher A., ”Agrarpolitik: Hyperprotektion und die Folgen”, in: Rothacher (1992), p. 69. Leader of several companies (e.g. Sony, Ajinomoto and Daiei in 1984) had to withdraw from espousing import liberalisation for the agriculture and to apologise publicly after Nokyo appealed for boycott. 44 Mulgan A. (2001), p. 71. Another more recent example is the ban of European beef in 2000, because of the mad cow disease in Europe without prohibiting the feed of bone flour, which is considered as the main hazard, to the cattle. [See: The Japan Times, “Safety of cows and food”, September 14th 2001, p.4.] As experts predicted, in the end also Japan was not spared from this sickness. Even worse, the infected beef managed to enter the selling channel, because of negligent handling of the case. Also this example strongly suggests by its nature that consumer protection was used as a dodge to prevent competition and to secure the rents for Nokyo, given that especially Nokyo sponsored Diet members belong to the strongest supporters of the described regulation. 45 Bundeszentrale für politische Bildung (1998), p.351. 46 Remarkably, the LDP was not part of the Hosokawa administration. However, the JSP which chaired that government has also received donations from Nokyo. 43 Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 8 increasing if at all under the […] tariff regime” from 1995.47 Furthermore, government sponsored construction projects in rural areas have become a popular channel for “reducing the political costs of unpopular policies, in the sense that it was used by politicians to compensate farmers” 48 for various rent losses. The farmers benefit in a twofold way: Not only can they directly take advantage of the preponderantly additional rural infrastructure, but also in the form of side employment in the construction sector.49 There is strong empirical evidence for this assumption, given that government expenditure on agriculture has been increasingly skewed towards public works in the last three decades 50 coinciding with the gradual liberalisation. Obviously, the benefits for Nokyo through this redistributive measure mitigated the cost for its members. It is quite likely that Nokyo through its rent seeking activity raises and biases government spending. 2.6. Nokyo’s Impact on Growth 2.6.1. Fiscal Growth Especially, when Nokyo prompts policies that are also publicly popular, it can easily garner support from politicians. Japan’s agricultural budget share of the national budget has been dithering around 4% over the time.51 This value does not depart from other industrial countries, but the agricultural budget per cultivated hectare is significantly higher in Japan.52 This means that Japan’s lack of productivity was not only reflected in the form of higher prices, but also set off through subsidies from government funds, which increase the size of the budget. Indeed, generosity to farmers, like the compensation package to the agricultural sector associated with the Uruguay Round Agreement on Agriculture, has met fierce criticism from the urban population. 53 Consequently, government spending in the agricultural sector, as mentioned, was directed increasingly towards construction projects in rural areas, which have a public good character. 2.6.2. Economic Growth It goes without saying that it would be more efficient “to redirect the massive investments into large cities, which have much worse housing and transportation systems, and where expenditure is more likely to boost economic growth by improving efficiency. Investment in infrastructure projects in large cities, unlike in rural areas, has a large multiplier effect on the economy”.54 In this sense, Nokyo’s rent-seeking also harms its own members, as most of the part time farmers obtain their main income from activities outside the agricultural realm and, thus, would be better off by policies leading to a more efficient 47 Mulgan A. (2001), p. 43. Op. cit., p. 11. 49 Op. cit., p. 10. 50 Op. cit. 51 In 2003 3.8% and in 2002 3.9% of the budget had been earmarked for agriculture, fishery and forestry. Own calculation from budget data provided by the MOF. See:www.mof.go.jp. 52 Kuroyanagi T (1991), pp. 4. 53 Mulgan A. (2001), p.18. 54 Op. cit., p. 32. 48 Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 9 allocation of resources, as they could be absorbed by the additional employment possibilities spawned by the additional economic growth.55 In other words, if there were not the interest group activity, funds would be invested in projects yielding a higher return, and, consequently, the country would grow at higher rates. In fact, Japan can be characterised by a high penetration of vested interests and interest groups championing a broad variety of policies. Under the described conditions, their activity frequently leads to inefficient policies and sub-optimal allocation of funds. This is one reason why stagnation in Japan has been going on for so long under this aspect. Even worse, Nokyo’s activity proves to impede the lobbied group itself. As can be seen from Table 1, Japanese agriculture lags behind the USA and France in productivity. There are several Nokyo related reasons for this pattern, namely protectionism and small farm sizes56. Around 1960 the most efficient farm size was around 2.5 ha, in the 1990’s between 10 and 20 ha. 57 In contrast to this in 2000 58.4% of the Japanese farm households had less than one ha and 91.5% less than three ha under management.58 This is in Nokyo’s interest to preserve its power base, given that a small farm size means more farms and, thus, more members for Nokyo. As a consequence, Nokyo also strongly defied the admission of more efficient corporate farms.59 The resulting loss of productivity was set off by subsidies and price schemes to maintain the farm incomes stable. In this context, Nokyo could rely on its political backing.60 In addition, one can identify a direct connection between the “success” of lobbying for high tariffs and the poor productivity. Facing the gradual liberalisation and the declining protection, farmers are exposed to more and more competition with their international counterparts. Being more productive, importers could supply the same commodities at a fraction of the domestic price, and hence, domestic producers would be dragged out of the market.61 Chart 1: Productivity compared to the USA and France and tariff rate of several agricultural commodities in Japan Commodity Productivity in % Tariff rate in % Vegetable oil 87 5.3 Chicken 73 12.3 Flour 55 160 Dairy 48 227 Meat 43 700 Source: McKinsey (2000), p. 35. 55 Riethmuller P., "Reformansätze in der japanischen Agrarpolitik”, in: Rothacher (1992), pp. 85. One reason not linked to Nokyo, surely are different preferences for food in Japan. 57 Godo (2001), p. 10. 58 Own calculation with data from The 2000 World Census of Agricultural and Forestry, MAFF. 59 Mulgan A. (2000), pp. 250. A higher number of farms also bear the advantage of selling more equipment for Nokyo. Thus, also the farmers themselves are disadvantaged. 60 Godo (2001), p. 11. 61 Distress can also result, when lower productivity and production cannot be set off by higher prices. 56 Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 10 Note: Assumption: France and the USA have a similar productivity. F, USA = 100% Every protectionist measure, such as tariffs, quotas or restrictions on entry, reduces competition and deprives the consumer of the choice of an originally cheaper product. The lower the level of productivity, due for example to national circumstances, the higher the tariff needed to protect national producers. But also the domestic producers lose an incentive to raise their efficiency, because they are freed of competition with imports and, thus, lack competitive pressure that would force them to innovate. As can be seen from Table 1, the stronger the relief of pressure is, the smaller the incentive and the lower the productivity. 3. Conclusion Originally, Nokyo and its predecessors were founded to carry out desperately needed land reforms, which helped to prevent and end social unrest then. Furthermore, it tackled the organisation of cooperative sale channels and to offer other services to farmers mutually. Out of this it developed to a commercial heavyweight and exerts power by providing funds and garnering political support as a vote collector for politicians. By prompting them to subsidise and protect the agricultural sector, Nokyo slows down growth and inhibits an efficient allocation of the governmental budget. Protectionism at best is of benefit for few actors and makes the large majority worse off. Here, even the lobbied group itself does not take advantage. With the time, restrictions have altered as government growth has become less sustainable. As a consequence, interest groups like Nokyo are curbed, given that job security and life long employment ceased to be the rule and the population have started to care more about redistribution and the allocation of public funds. This offers an explanation why obsolete structures in Japan start to move and the members of the iron triangle have to realign themselves. Junichiro Koizumi won the nomination and the election as Prime Minister for the LDP, because he promised reforms and polls suggested an overwhelming support of his person. Although Junichiro Koizumi has disappointed so far, encouraging signs remain. “[The governor of Nagano Prefecture] Yasuo Tanaka gained a fresh term by taking precisely the sort of risks that the prime minister has so far avoided. Like Mr Koizumi, Mr Tanaka first got into office by promising a thorough structural overhaul of government, and by distilling these sweeping pledges into specific and pragmatic reforms - most importantly, in Mr Tanaka's case, by vowing to stop the building of new dams. Also like Mr Koizumi, the rural governor has faced a hostile political assembly determined to thwart his reforms. Unlike Mr Koizumi, however, Mr Tanaka has stuck to his pledges despite this, halting construction on two dams and braving a vote of no confidence by the assembly. After refusing to compromise and appealing to the public, he has been rewarded with a convincing re-election.”62 62 The Economist, “Roads to ruin”, September 5th 2002. Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 11 Hence, the political market, as it was described, possesses a self correcting mechanism against the negative externalities of lobbyism, such as Nokyo’s, once certain limits are reached and restrictions become binding. 4. Outlook Nokyo has to cope with new circumstances as its goals are more and more subject to criticism and both politicians and bureaucrats are less receptive to its goals. From my point of view, its power will decline, but prevail on a lower level. Nokyo will be weakened even further because sheer demography is eroding the traditional agricultural power base. 29.6% of the commercial farm households had no heir in 2000.63 Moreover, competitive pressure will let many farms and thus members disappear. Since a farm requires a size of 15 hectare for rice cultivation and 25 hectare for dairy farming to be competitive64 many farms in Japan will be forced to give up or to merge given the predominantly small farm size in Japan. However, Nokyo will remain a force to reckon with. Despite its weakening, Nokyo still has enough members and the financial ability to play an influential role. Albeit numbers are decreasing, the future also offers chances to Nokyo. The number of farms managing more than 10 ha has more than doubled between 1990 and 2000.65 Although Nokyo has failed to address their needs adequately yet, if Nokyo manages to attract these emerging competitive farms as members, it will have a stable power base in the future, too. The same holds for producers of perishable goods, such as fresh fruits and vegetables and ornamental plants, which cannot be transported over longer distances.66 Thus, Nokyo’s strength in the future will hinge upon its ability to meet the challenges. 63 The 2000 World Census of Agricultural and Forestry, MAFF. Op. cit.. See: Rothacher A., "Agrarpolitik: Hyperprotektion und die Folgen”, in: Rothacher (1992), p. 70. 65 The 2000 World Census of Agricultural and Forestry, MAFF. 66 McKinsey (2000) notices that the top-three producers of perishable goods were already at par with the US in terms of productivity. 64 Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 12 References Amyx J. (2000), The Political Economy of Japanese Agriculture, in Trevin R. et al. Improving Japanese Trade Policies: issues, options and strategies, Pacific Economic Paper No. 300, p. 59-74; download at: http://apseg.anu.edu.au/pdf/pep/pep-300.pdf on January 14th 2004. Bundeszentrale für politische Bildung (1998), Länderbericht Japan, Bonn. Godo Y. (2001), The changing economic performance and political significance of Japan's agricultural cooperatives, Canberra; download at: http://apseg.anu.edu.au/pdf/pep/pep-318.pdf on January 14th 2004. Kuroyanagi T. (1991), Economic Effects of the Agricultural Policies in Japan, Sapporo. Longworth J. (1983), Beef in Japan, Queensland. McKinsey Global Institute (2000), Why the Japanese Economy is Not Growing; download at: www.mckinsey.com/knowledge/mgi/reports/japan0700.asp , on January 14th 2004. MAFF (2000), The 2000 World Census of Agricultural and Forestry, Tokyo; download at www.maff.go.jp/esokuhou/2000_cen.PDF on January 14th 2004. Mueller D. (1989), Public Choice II, Cambridge. Mulgan A. (2000), The Politics of Agriculture in Japan, London and New York. Mulgan A. (2001), ’Japan Inc.’ In the Agricultural Sector: Reform or Regression?, in Pacific Economic Paper Series, No. 314, April 2001, p. 92 pp.; downloaded at http://apseg.anu.edu.au/pdf/pep/pep-314.pdf on January 14th 2004. Rothacher A. (1992), Landwirtschaft und Ökologie in Japan, Munich. Roubini N. et al. (1998), What Caused the Asian Currency and Financial Crisis? Part I : A Macroeconomic Overview, NBER Working Paper No. w6833; download at: www.stern.nyu.edu/globalmacro/ on January 14th 2004. Shugart W., Razzolini L. (2001), The Elgar companion of public choice. Statistics Bureau, Ministry of Public Management, Home Affairs, Post and Telecommunications, data downloads at: www.stat.go.jp/english/index.htm on January 14th 2004. The Economist, various issues, London. The Japan Times, Tokyo, September 14th 2001. The Norinchukin Bank (2003), Norinchukin Annual Report 2003, Tokyo; downloaded at: www.nochubank.or.jp/review/pdf/ar2003.pdf on January 14th 2004. Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 13 Part II: The Japanese Food Business – Selected Facts and Figures Introduction As pointed out in the previous article, there exists a conflict of interests between the Japanese industry sector which is very export orientated and the agricultural sector which is a recipient of subsidies and is interested in protectionism. Nevertheless products are imported to augment low supplies during the off-seasons, in case of poor harvests or insufficient supply of requested food e.g. fish or beef. Furthermore today, there are additional reasons for importing products, including lower prices, a strong yen and popularity of Western cuisine that require certain imported products not cultivated in Japan. Food imports have a share of 12.4% in total imports, whereas meat and fish constitute the biggest stake.67 Market Structure Food industry market structure in Japan is stamped by large manufacturers and wholesalers and additionally by a large and fragmented retail sector. Food manufacturing enterprises make up 10.9 per cent of all manufacturing enterprises and employ 12.2 per cent of the country’s workforce. The Japanese wholesale and retail market is now facing tremendous changes due to prolonged recession, deregulation, demographic transformation and globalization of economy. Structural adjustment of market takes place rapidly but steadily, and it provides lots of new opportunities as well as challenges. Perhaps the most significant regulatory change in recent years has been the replacement of the Large Scale Retail Store Law by the Large Scale Retail Store Location Law in 2000, because many restrictions to protect small businesses were removed under the new law. Changes are occurring in the wholesale industry. It is common for purchasing to be carried out not directly with a manufacturer but via a wholesaler. Until recently, one of the characteristics of the Japanese distribution structure was a large number of wholesalers of numerous levels, which can also be divided in local, regional and national wholesalers. But along with the decline of smaller stores, the number of small- and medium-scale wholesalers is declining. Moreover certain new types of retailers such as superstores like Aeon, home centres and drugstores conclude direct contracts with manufacturers, but these are still limited. To sum it up large wholesalers are growing in size, and the total number of wholesalers is shrinking rapidly but albeit direct purchase at foreign wholesalers and manufacturers seems to be an option for retail chains to differentiate their products. The Japanese retail market is second largest in the world and its size was about 808 67 Further information concerning Japanese export and import data can be found in Japanese Yearbook provided online by The Statistical Bureau www.stat.go.jp/english/data/nenkan/index.htm and in Hilpert, Hanns Günther: Japans Agrarimporte. Strukturen, Entwicklungen, Einflussfaktoren. in: Japan. Analysen und Prognosen. Nr. 174. München, 2000. www.ub.uni-duisburg.de/japan/174.pdf. Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 14 billion Euro in 2003. Further, per capita household consumption expenditure and retail sales are among the highest in the world. According to IGD survey on Global Retailing 2003 the size of Japanese food retail market amounts 332 billion Euro (Germany: 180 billion Euro), what means a 41 percent share of total retail sales, which figure 808 billion Euro (Germany: 495 billion Euro; 36%). Food usually is bought at supermarkets (eg. York Benimaru; Kasumi) that provide food products as well as other goods or at superstores (e.g. Aeon, Daiei, Ito-Yokado, Seiyu, Uny). However, in contrast to Western department stores foodstuffs account for a relatively high percentage of sales at Japanese department stores. Moreover convenience stores provide processed foods, drinks and daily goods to local customers, whereas a wide range of companies (superstores, food wholesalers, food manufacturers etc.) are shareholders in convenience stores. As regional differences in consumer tastes occur the retail market is also regionally differentiated and some retailers are exclusively active in certain areas as Kanto or Kansai region. For example regional department stores make up nearly half of the large number of department store companies. Another characteristic of the Japanese retail market is the fact that a number of very small scale retailers exists, particularly in the food stuffs market. The top three retailers have only a 9% stake in business in Japan and medium along with small sized retail stores account for more than half of total retail sales, but this percentage continues to decrease year by year. In contrast, in Germany the top three retailers make up 41 percentage of sales in the year 2003 and small supermarkets as well as groceries decreased since the 1980s for more than 50%. Nevertheless market concentration is increasing and competition as well as price discounting is rising in Japan. Besides, deregulation of retail business has enforced a rush by foreign retailers to establish operations in Japan. Consumer Behaviour on the Food Market Japanese consumers are particularly fussy when choosing products. They look for the freshest items having rich, bright colour and good shape and prefer brand name products. Consumers want good quality and pleasant, enjoyable shopping. On the other hand because of economic problems Japanese consumers and above all the elderly become more and more price conscious, so that stores begin to offer low-priced items. Discount stores and one-coined shops gain in popularity. In Germany the low-price sector is growing even more and discounter shops in particular registering financial gains and rising in retailer ranking. Generally, the amount of each item bought is small, but purchases are frequent, with most households shopping several times a week for products, mainly at supermarkets in order to get fresh food. But purchase patterns for food are changing as more and more women are participating in the labour market. An increasing number of people simply buy dinner at department stores or supermarkets on their way home. Besides, 2003 eating out expenditure accounted for 16.5% of food expenditure. Consumers are also conscious of safety considerations when purchasing products, but striking is, that the majority of 81% of Japanese consumers tend to think, genetic engineering of plants is acceptable. In contrast the acceptance by German consumers of genetic engineering of plants is only about 24%. Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 15 Chart 1: Expenditure for selected products in Japan and Germany Item Japan 2003 Germany 1998* Food expenditure (in % of living expenditure) 23 12 (2002) Cereals (in % of food expenditure) 9.9 10,7 Fish and shellfish (in % of food expenditure) 11 not expl. Meat (in % of food expenditure) 8.5 15,4 Vegetables and seaweeds (in % of food expenditure) 12.3 5,1 Dairy products (in % of food expenditure) not. expl. 7,8 1- or 2-person household: Eating out (in % of food expenditure) 31,1 16.5 ≥ 3-person household: 22.6 Source: DJW analysis on basis of data of the Statistical Yearbook 2005 www.stat.go.jp/data/ nenkan/ pdf/y1901000.pdf; data of Institut für Ernährungswirtschaft und Verbrauchslehre der ChristianAlbrechts-Universität Kiel www.food-econ.uni-kiel.de/Workingpaper/Ewp0302.pdf on base of Daten der Einkommen-Verbrauchsstichprobe (EVS) 1998 (not weighted). * Comparable data for Germany is not existing but according to the German National Farmers' Union following a trend of decreasing expenditure for food German households spent only 12% of living expenditure for food in 2002. Key Players Chart 2: Famous retailers in Japan and Germany Japan Germany Company Net Sales Mio. Euro Company Net Sales Mio. Euro in 2003 Daiei Inc. 10,127 (2004) Metro AG (Real, Kaufhof, Extra, Bolle, Comet, Tip etc.): 32,232 (44,4% food sector) Ito Yokado Co., Ltd. 10,858 (2004) (43.2% in food sector in 2002) Rewe Group (Extra (former Metro AG), Toom, Jumbo, Globus, MiniMal, HL, Penny, Sconti): 30,373 (69,7% food sector) Aeon Co., Ltd. 17,248 (2004) (52.3% in food sector 2002) Edeka/AVA Group (Kaufmarkt, Big, Magnet, Edeka, Edeka neukauf, Condi, Allfrisch, Preisgut, Herkules etc.) 29,090 (83,9% food sector) Takashimaya Co., Ltd. 7,917 (2004) Aldi Group (Aldi Nord, Aldi Süd): 24 (80% food sector) Seiyu Ltd. 8,140 (2003) Schwarz Group (Kaufland, Lidl, Hauser) 21,5 (80,2% food sector) Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 16 Japan Germany Uny Co., Ltd. 5,301 (2004) Karstadt-Quelle Group 15,500 (5,8% food sector) Mitsukoshi Co., Ltd. 6,935 (2003) Tengelman Group (Plus, Kaiser’s, Grosso, Tengelmann etc.) 13,108 (60,1% food sector) Seibu Department Stores, Ltd. 3,848 (2004) Spar AG (Interspar, Eurospar, Spar, Netto, Bonus, Prima, Handelshof) 9,000 (93% food sector) Source: DJW analysis; www.lz-net.de/companies/rankings/pages/show.prl?id=68. Chart 3: Major food retailers world wide Company Home Country Net Sales Mio. Euro 2001 Food Sales (in % of total net sales) Wal-Mart USA 243,281 40,0 Carrefour F 69,486 70,5 Ahold NL 66,593 92,0 Kroger USA 55,959 91,0 Metro D/CH 49,522 49,7 Albertson´s USA 42,781 90,0 Kmart USA 38,665 37,0 Safeway USA 38,314 92,0 Costco USA 38,131 41,0 Tesco GB 38,059 90,0 Rewe D 37,540 70,3 Aldi D 32,400 84,0 ITM Entreprises (Intermarché) F J. Sainsbury GB 29,743 90,0 Ito-Yokado J 29,624 47,0 Edeka/AVA D 28,035 84,0 Aeon (Jusco) J 26,680 44,0 Tengelmann D 25,670 74,6 Auchan F 25,500 70,0 Supervalu USA 23,243 76,0 Source: M+M Planet Retail. Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 31,900 82,4 17 Chart 4: Company profile of selected Japanese food industry companies Company Dates and facts Morinaga Co., - 1899 founded - Business activities: manufacture and sale of confectionery, foodstuff, frozen desserts and health products; wholesale and restaurants (restaurants, coffee shops, cafeterias); real estate and services (real estate and operation of golf courses); financing - Headquarter: Tokyo - Number of employees: 2,025 - Net sales: 1,274 millions of Euro (2004) - Stock Exchange Listing: Tokyo Stock Exchange (first section) - Food accounted for 85% of fiscal 2002 revenues,13%; real estate and services, 2% and other, nominal - 1909 founded - Business activities: manufacture of food products (Ajinomoto & other seasonings, edible oils, processed food, beverages, daily products); fine chemicals (pharmaceuticals, amino acids, specialty chemicals) and others (distribution, engineering, packing) - Head quarter: Tokyo - Number of employees: 4,111 - Net sales: 7,651 millions of Euro (2004) - Stock Exchange Listing: Tokyo Stock Exchange (first section) - Food products accounted for 67% of fiscal 2002 revenues; fine chemicals, 23% and others, 10% - Overseas subsidiaries and affiliates in Asia, Europe and America - 1971 founded - Main products: Manufacturing and sale of powder and liquid seasonings (sauces, dressing), powder seasonings, ham and sausages, sale of food processing equipment, textile goods, wrapping materials; consultation for food processing technology - Headquarter: Imabari City, Ehime Prefecture - Number of employees: 2,800 - Net sales: 4,416 millions of Euro (expected for 2005) - 1917 founded - Business activities: production and sale of milk, ice cream, other dairy products, juice & non-dairy beverages, desserts, baby food and other foods; other (the manufacture and sale of pharmaceuticals, medicine, veterinary medical supplies, foodstuffs, chemical products, fertilizers, agricultural equipment, dairy processing equipment, management of farms, engineering services, construction, real estate business and warehousing) - Head quarter: Tokyo - Number of employees: 3,352 - Net sales: 3,362 millions of Euro (2003) - Stock Exchange Listing: Tokyo Stock Exchange (first section) - Morinaga Co., Ltd. is the major shareholder with 10.28% of issued stock - Food and dairy products accounted for 94% of fiscal 2002 revenues; other, 6% - 1917 founded - Business activities: milk, yogurts, cheeses, ice creams, and other dairy items, as well as a variety of nutraceutical and health foods; Service/other: feedstuff, real estate, distribution, mending cars - Head quarter: Tokyo - Number of employees: 4,496 - Net sales: ¥ 5,313 millions of Euro (2003) - Stock Exchange Listing: Tokyo Stock Exchange (first section) - Meiji Dairies Corporation formerly known as Meiji Milk Products Co Ltd. Ltd. Ajinomoto Co., Inc. Nihon Shokken Co., Ltd. Morinaga Milk Industry Co., Ltd. Meiji Co. Dairies Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 18 Company Snow Brand Milk Products Co., Ltd. Yakult Honsha Co., Ltd. Natori Co., Ltd. Nichiro Sunfoods Co., Ltd. Meiji Seika Kaisha Ltd. Dates and facts - Milk, other dairy products and food products accounted for 87% of fiscal 2002 revenues; feedstuffs, pharmaceutical products and other, 13% - Overseas affiliates in Asia and Oceania - 1925 founded - Business activities: production of milk and dairy products, other food products and pharmaceuticals; foods include ice cream, oil, milk products and other include foodstuff, wrapping materials, and seeds - Head quarter: Tokyo - Number of employees: 1,459 - Net sales: 2,341 millions of Euro 2004 - Stock Exchange Listing: Tokyo Stock Exchange (first section) - Milk dairy products, oils/fats and other food accounted for 90% of fiscal 2002 revenues and feed stuffs, packaging materials and other, 10% - Overseas subsidiaries in USA, Australia, Hong Kong, Taiwan and Siam - 1953 founded - Business activities: manufacture and sale of food; beverages and foods (fermented lactic products, drink, noodles); pharmaceuticals (perception drugs) and others (cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, baseball sponsor) - Head quarter: Tokyo - Number of employees: 2,864 - Net sales: 1,758 millions of Euro (2004) - Stock Exchange Listing: Tokyo Stock Exchange (first section) - Beverages/food accounted for 86% of fiscal 2002 revenues; pharmaceuticals, 8% and others, 6% - Subsidiaries in Asia, America and Oceania - 1941 founded - Business activities: manufacture and sale of a wide variety of nibble relishes; processed seafood products, processed farm products, processed meat products, processed dairy products and side dishes and others - Head quarter: Tokyo - Number of employees: 29,733 - Net sales: 225 millions of Euro (2003) - First section Tokyo Stock Exchange - activities are entirely domestic - Processed marine products accounted for 57% of fiscal 2002 revenues; processed meat products, 13%; processed dairy products, 13%; agricultural processed products, 13% and culinary food product, 4% - 1961 founded - Business activities: manufacture and market processed food (frozen food, chilled food, livestock products and bread); real estate rental and leasing - Head quarter: Nagaoka, Niigata - Number of employees: 612 - Net sales: 1,303 millions of Euro (2003) - Stock Exchange Listing: Tokyo Stock Exchange (first section) - Processed foods accounted for 55% of fiscal 2002 revenues and baking, 45% - 1916 founded - Business activities: production and distribution of confectionery and other food products including cooking products and health foods; the production of antibiotics and additional pharmaceuticals, veterinary medicines and agricultural chemicals - Head quarter: Tokyo - Number of employees: 3,948 - Net sales: 2,715 millions of Euro (2004) - Stock Exchange Listing: Tokyo Stock Exchange (First section) - Confectionery, beverages and other food products accounted for 65% of Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 19 Company Dates and facts - Meito Sangyo Co., Ltd. - Nakamuraya Co., Ltd. - - Ezaki Glico Co., Ltd. - - Fujiya Ltd. Co., - - fiscal 2002 revenues; pharmaceutical products, 31%; health care, 2%; office building rental and leasing, 1% and other, 1% (Office Building Leasing Business) Meiji Trading Co., Donan Shokuhin Co., Ltd., Zao Shokuhin Kaisha Ltd., Ronde Co., Meiji Sangyo Co., Ltd., Meiji Chewing Gum Co., Ltd., Okayamaken Shokuhin Co., Ltd., Shikoku Meiji Co., Ltd., Taiyo Shokuhin Co., Ltd., Azteca Co., Ltd., Meiji Seika (Singapore) Pte. Ltd., D.F. Stauffer Biscuit Co., Inc., Laguna Cookie Co., Inc., Fuji-Amide Chemical, Co., Ltd. and Meiji Kaihatsu, Ltd. belong to Meiji Seika Kaisha, Ltd. Group 1945 founded Business activities: manufacture chocolates, candies, ice cream, powdered and canned soft drinks and chemical products including enzymes, rennet and pharmaceuticals; mixed feed for poultry and livestock such as sugar syrup, which is produced by fermentation process using sugar, and it has favourable odour and taste for animals; real estate business including leasing and rental of warehouses and golf course operations. Head quarter: Nagoya, Aichi Prefecture Net sales: 122 millions of Euro (2004) Stock Exchange Listing: Tokyo Stock Exchange (first section) Confectionery and soft drinks accounted for 84% of fiscal 2002 revenues; chemical products, 13% and real estate operations, 3% 1901 founded Business activities: manufacture and sale of confectioneries (Japanese cakes and crackers) for the domestic market; prepared foods and meats; operating restaurants including French, Chinese and Mediterranean restaurants, family restaurants and cafes Head quarter: Tokyo Net sales: 305 millions of Euro (2004) Stock Exchange Listing: Tokyo Stock Exchange (first section) Confectionery accounted for 60% of fiscal 2002 revenues; prepared foods and other food products, 20%; restaurants, 11%; real estate rental and leasing, 2% and others including bread, sports club, insurance broker, 7 % 1919 founded Business activities: manufacture and wholesale of confectionery, chilled desserts, food and milk products Head quarter: Osaka Number of employees: 1,258 Net sales: 991 millions of Euro (2004) Stock Exchange Listing: Tokyo Stock Exchange (first section) Milk products accounted for 34% of fiscal 2002 revenues; confectionery, 30%; chilled desserts, 18%; food, 7% and other, 11%. Part of Glico Group; furthermore Glico Dairy Products Co. (dairy products), Ltd., Icreo Co., Ltd. (baby food) and Glico Foods Corporation (ham, sausages) belong to that group International subsidiaries Ezaki Glico USA Corporation, Shanghai Ezaki Glico Foods Co., Ltd., Generale Biscuit Glico France S.A., Thai Glico Co., Ltd. 1910 founded Business activities: manufacture confectioneries and beverages; operation of cake shops, ice cream shops and restaurant chains under franchised management; retail, wholesale, real estate and other Head quarter: Tokyo Number of employees: 1,254 Net sales: 652 millions of Euro (2004) Stock Exchange Listing: Tokyo Stock Exchange (first section) Retail accounted for 50% of fiscal 2002 revenues; wholesale, 50% and real Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 20 Company Kagome Co., Ltd. Kenko Mayonnaise Co., Ltd. Nagatanien Co., Ltd. Yamazaki Baking Co., Ltd. Itoham Foods Inc. Nippon Meat Packers Inc. (Nippon-ham) Dates and facts estate and other, nominal - 1949 founded - Business activities: Manufacturing and selling food and beverage products based on tomatoes and other various vegetables; Warehousing, trucking, automobile services and real estate - Head quarter: Nagoya, Aichi - Number of employees: 1,327 - Net sales: 1,079 millions of Euro (2003) - Stock Exchange Listing: Tokyo Stock Exchange (first section) - Food accounted for 97% of fiscal 2002 revenues and other, 3% - Overseas subsidiaries - 1933 founded - Business activities: manufacture and sale of food products (prepared/processed foods, mayonnaise, dressings and egg processed products) - Head quarter: Tokyo - Number of employees: 480 - Net sales: 361 millions of Euro (2004) - Prepared and processed foods accounted for 40% of fiscal 2002 revenues; mayonnaise and dressing, 32%; egg processed products, 20% other: 8% - 1953 founded - Business activities: manufacture and sell instant food; operates through two segments namely: foodstuffs and restaurants and others - Head quarter: Tokyo - Number of employees: 1,324 - Net sales: 442 millions of Euro (2004) - Stock Exchange Listing: Tokyo Stock Exchange (first section) - Foodstuffs accounted for 92% of fiscal 2002 revenues and restaurants and others: 8% - 1948 founded - Business activities: manufacture and sale of bread, sweet buns, Japaneseand Western-style confectionery, processed bread and prepared rice and side dishes; sale of other products procured from other companies - Head quarter: Tokyo - Number of employees: 16,589 - Net sales: 30.5 millions of Euro (non consolidated) (2003) - Stock Exchange Listing: Tokyo Stock Exchange (first section) - 1928 founded - Business activities: produce of ham, sausages, processed foods and the preparation of red meat; management of restaurants. - Head quarter: Nishinomiya, Hyogo Prefecture - Number of employees: 2,435 - Net sales: 2,949 millions of Euro (2003) - Stock Exchange Listing: Tokyo Stock Exchange (first section) - Fresh meat accounted for 54% of fiscal 2002 revenues; ham and sausages, 26%; processed foods and other, 20% - 1949 founded - Business activities: the production, marketing and distribution of fresh meat products, processed foods and delicatessen products. - Head quarter: Osaka - Number of employees: 2,926 - Net sales: 6,795 millions of Euro (2004) - Stock Exchange Listing: Tokyo Stock Exchange (first section) - Fresh meat accounted for 64% of fiscal 2002 revenues; processed foods & other, 21% & Ham and sausages, 15% Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 21 Company Dates and facts Marudai Food - 1958 founded - Business activities: manufacture and sell food products (processed foods, Ham and sausage products and fresh meat and other products) - Head quarter: Takatsuki, Osaka - Number of employees: 1,760 - Net sales: 1,343 millions of Euro (2004) - Stock Exchange Listing: Tokyo Stock Exchange (first section) - Processed foods accounted for 36% of fiscal 2002 revenues; fresh meat & other, 32% and ham and sausage products, 32% - 1963 founded - Business activities: manufacture and distribute snacks and delicatessen (prepared foods, cooked rice, delicatessen goods, Japanese-style side dishes, salads and sandwiches), operation of bakeries and restaurants - Head quarter: Funabashi, Chiba - Number of employees: 494 - Net sales: 455 millions of Euro (2004) - Food business accounted for 99% of fiscal 2002 revenues and distributions, 1% - 1953 founded - Business activities: processed food (instant noodles, instant food, fish sausage, fish ham and frozen food); seafood (fresh seafood and frozen seafood); cold- storage warehousing and others include cosmetics and real estate - Head quarter: Tokyo - Number of employees: 1,640 - Net sales: 2,344 millions of Euro (2003) - Stock Exchange Listing: Tokyo Stock Exchange (first section) - Processed food accounted for 73% of fiscal 2002 revenues; seafood, 20%; cold-storage warehousing, 4% and others, 3% - 1964 founded - Business activities: manufacture prepared and cooked foods such as box lunches, rice balls, sushi, sandwiches, fries and salad - Head quarter: Tokyo - Number of employees: 3,322 (including 2,682 part time worker) - Net sales: 877 millions of Euro (2004) - Stock Exchange Listing: Tokyo Stock Exchange (first section) - Foods accounted for 79% of fiscal 2002 revenues; food materials, 15% and other, 6% - 1966 founded - Business activities: Manufacture, processing and sale of natural seasonings; production, processing, export & import, and sale of agricultural and livestock products; processing, export & import, and sale of marine products; manufacture, export & import, and sale of quasi-drugs; management of restaurants; services in technical guidance related to the preceding items - Head quarter: Tokyo - Number of employees: 392 - Net sales: 143 millions of Euro (2004) - Stock Exchange Listing: Tokyo Stock Exchange (first section) - Subsidiary in USA, China and France - 1917 founded as Noda Shoyu Co., Ltd. - Business activities: Production and marketing of soy sauces, sauces, tomato ketchup, related food seasonings, flavorings, sake, juices and other beverages; pharmaceutical products to oriental foodstuffs; management of restaurants - Head quarter: Tokyo Co., Ltd. Fuji Foods Inc. Toyo Suisan Kaisha Ltd. Warabeya Nichiyo CO., Ltd. Ariake Japan Co., Ltd. Kikkoman Corporation Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 22 Company Dates and facts - Nissin Food Products Co., Ltd. - Number of employees: 2,330 Net sales: 2,513 millions of Euro (2004) Stock Exchange Listing: Tokyo Stock Exchange (first section) Production also in United States, Europe, Singapore and Taiwan The Kikkoman Group includes affiliations with Del Monte, Manns Wine Co., Ltd., JFC International Inc. JFC International Inc. Stock listing: Tokyo and Osaka Subsidiaries in America, Europe, Asia and Oceania 1948 founded Business activities: instant noodle, long-life fresh noodle products, chilled foods, frozen foods Head quarter: Osaka; Tokyo Number of employees: 6,176 (consolidated basis); 1,466 (parent company) Net sales: 2,348 millions of Euro (2004) Stock Exchange Listing: Tokyo Stock Exchange (first section) NITEC bases in North America, Europe and Asia tailor products to the needs and tastes of consumers in particular regions and countries Source: DJW-analysis. Note: For further listed companies of food industry please refer to Tokyo Stock Exchange Inc. www.tse.or.jp/english/index.shtml# Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005 23 About the authors: Michele Graßal: Michele Graßal has studied Political Economics in Bonn, Kyoto and Berlin and has graduated from Humboldt University in Berlin in March 2003. After that he became a member of the post-graduate “Sprache und Praxis” program of the German DAAD scholarship organization. This program consists of a nine-months language training at a Japanese language institute in Tokyo, followed by an nine-months internship at a company in Japan. After finishing taking classes in May 2004, he joined the Corporate Communications Department of DaimlerChrysler Japan Co., Ltd., where he stayed until January 2005 as a trainee. Angelika Stahl: Angelika Stahl has studied Japanese Studies, Political Science and Business Studies and has graduated from Trier University in March 2005. Japan Analysen Prognosen Nr. 194 vom April 2005