The Interplay of Routine and Decision Making in Act Peter Kesting* First Draft, May 2007 Abstract: What precisely is the relation between routine and decision making? What opportunities do agents have to affect routines by decision making – and how does routine affect decision making in return? In this paper we will address these questions by understanding both, routines as well as decision making, as integrated elements of a higher entity: economic act. In the first section of the paper, we introduce our action framework. Following we outline, how routine can be acquired and applied in the course of repetition. As a result, we argue that – although of structurally different nature – both, routine and decision making, belong to the cognitive processes that link purpose and operations in act. Furthermore, we argue that with increasing repetitions, routine gains an increasing potential to substitute decision making. Finally we turn to the question of what opportunities actors have to influence routines by deliberate planning and decision making and how the acquired routine affects deliberate planning and decision making in return. We show that act indeed has to be understood as an interplay of routinezed repetition and deliberate planning and decision making. Keywords: Dynamic capabilities, routine, context changes, alertness, inertia. JEL-Classification: M13 * HHL-Leipzig Graduate School of Management, Department for Microeconomics and Information Systems, Jahnallee 59, 04109 Leipzig, Germany, email: kesting@microec.hhl.de.. 1 The Interplay of Routine and Decision Making in Act INTRODUCTION Currently, there are two different approaches to economic act: Routine and (rational) decision making. These two approaches fundamentally differ regarding their basic assumptions as well as their results. The rational decision making approach understands economic act as an outcome of deliberate planning, a procedure in that economic agents deliberately identify and compare their alternatives and chose the best one according to their preferences. Abstracting from any bounds of human rationality, this approach comes to the result that economic act always incorporates optimal solutions for given problem settings (Samuelson 1983, Jeffrey 1983). In contrast, the routine approach stresses the bounds of human rationality and assumes that economic act is not a result of a planning procedure – at least not in the traditional sense –, but consists of ‘behaviour that is learned, highly patterned, repetitious, or quasi-repetitious, [and] founded in part in tacit knowledge’ (Winter 2003: 991). Consequently, economic act is not always fullys adapted to the context and hence not optimal in a traditional, substantial sense. As a result, we have two competing approaches that explain one and the same thing in a different way and come to different results. How to deal with that situation? Do the different approaches fundamentally exclude each other? Or do they complement each other? And if they complement each other, in what way? What precisely is the relation between routine and decision? It appears not exaggerate to us to state that a majority of exponents of both approaches have chosen to deal with the situation by simply ignoring each other. For the decision making approach, ignorance of routine is somewhat structurally given. As we will argue below, routine, first of all, is a strategy to deal with the human bounds of rationality. By assuming humans as being substantially rational, the rational decision making approach leaves no room to fill the concept of routine with a meaningful content. For the routine approach, the situation is a little more subtle. Stemming from the bounded rational approach, the basic concept of routine does not principally exclude deliberate planning and decision making from its explanation – at least not from the outset. However, the routine approach has been developed in the consequence of a critique of strong rationality 2 assumptions of the decision making approach and explicitly aims to challenge this approach. From the beginning, it was presented as an alternative. Nelson/Winter’s statement ‘the behavior of firms can be explained by the routines that they employ. Knowledge of the routines is the heart of understanding behaviour. Modelling firms means modelling the routines and how they change over time” (1982: 128), is undeniably a programmatic and offensive one. After all it says nothing more than that the traditional, decision making approach has almost no explanation power to understand firm behavior. And indeed, in the few conceptual works on routine, deliberate planning and decision making are only of secondary importance – if at all (in particular Simon/March 1958, March 1995, Cohen et al. 1996, Feldman 2000 and 2003, Winter 2003, Pentland/Feldman 2005, Becker 2005). Winter (2003) does not even employ decision making to explain the creation of routines at all, but super-ordinate, so-called second-order routines. After all, this is not very surprising. We already know from Thomas S. Kuhn (1970) that when challenging an established paradigm, ‘revolutionaries’ have a tendency to create and overemphasize a distance. For the routine approach, this naturally means to play down the meaning of rationality for the explanation of act. However, the separation between routine and decision making became ultimately manifested by defining routine as ‘pattern of activity’ (Dosi, Teece und Winter 1992, Dosi, Nelson und Winter 2000, Feldman 2000, Feldman und Rafaeli 2002), i.e. as an independent class of act and almost insurmountably by defining routine as an organizational phenomenon exclusively (Hodgeson 2003, Becker 2005). As a result, there are almost no systematic investigations into the relation between routine and decision from either side with the consequence that we still know very little about this issue. However, we are strongly convinced that this is wrong and that our ignorance results in a serious deficiency. We are convinced that both, routine as well as decisions are important elements of human act and that we have to find a synthesis that explains human act as an interplay of both. What is the relation between routine and decision? What opportunities do individuals or organizations have to control their routines by deliberate planning and decision making – and how does the acquisition and application of routine affects deliberate planning and decision making in return? In this paper we will address these questions by understanding both, routines as well as deliberate planning and decision making, as integrated elements of a higher entity: economic act. Hence, to pave the ground for the investigation of our main 3 problem we first introduce our action framework in the first section of this paper. We require this action framework first of all to define the entity of one act and – based on that – a concept of repetition that is independent of routine. This independent concept of repetition is a necessary precondition for our investigation of the gradual acquisition and application of routine in the course of repetition in the following section. As a result, we argue that – although of fundamentally different nature – both, routine and deliberate planning and decision making serve the same purpose: to determine what operations to conduct to bring about a certain intended state. For this reason, routine has the potential to substitute decision making. Against this background we intensively discuss the question of how to define the notion of routine most appropriately. Finally we investigate how the acquisition of routine changes decision structures in the course of repetition and how to affect the ‘stock’ of routines by decision making in return. We argue that act indeed has to be understood as an interplay of routine and deliberate planning and decision making. THE BASIC CONCEPT OF ECONOMIC ACT Both, routines as well as decisions can be understood (and have been understood many times) as entities on their own. However, the basic approach of this paper is to understand both – routine as well as decision making – as elements of a higher entity: human act. This means in particular that human act is more comprehensive and contains more elements than routine and decision making alone. (It also means that there is no routine and decision making outside human act, but this is not critical for this paper.) The strategy of this paper is to establish a link between routine and decision making by identifying the function that they serve for action taking. For convenience, we will label this procedure as ‘action-based approach.’ Unfortunately, we do not have an ‘independent’1 concept of act in economics. For this reason, we have to fall back on philosophical action theory. What is an act? Philosophical action theory defines act as ‘purposeful behavior’ (Anscombe 1954, Davidson 1963, v. Wright 1971). Against this background, the entity of one act can be defined as the triple [intention, operations, deliberation]: An act consists of an intention that defines a specific state that an agent desires to bring about. It additionally includes all deliberation and all (physical) operation that an agent undertakes (and only this) to bring about the intended state. This concept requires some further elaboration. 1 In this connection, independent means that act is not immediately explained as an outcome of a decision or identified with ‘a routine,’ but defined in terms genuinely independent of routine and decision making. 4 (1) The first element of an act is the intention. For economists, this element is perhaps most unfamiliar since traditional microeconomics as well bounded rational approaches both represent human pursuit by preferences alone. There has been an intensive and rich discussion in philosophical action theory about purpose and intentionality in act, but in economics and decision theory similar concepts has been discussed only recently and only by very few researchers (van Hees 2003, Roy 2006, Kesting 2006). We define an intention as a desire to bring about a particular state within a certain time frame. State defines one and only one characteristic of a future world and does not define the future world as a whole (i.e. all characteristics of it in detail). In this sense, an intention does nothing more than to define a specific target an agent wants to attain in the future. One example for such an intention would be to give the Introduction to Entrepreneurship at the University X in the summer term Y. Intentions – like other goals – can form a hierarchical structure. There can be sub- or super ordinate intentions. For instance: To give a class on entrepreneurial spirit can be quite an intention on its own, but at the same time, it can be part of the super-ordinate intention to give the Introduction to Entrepreneurship. However, there is always a ‘lowest’ hierarchical level of intentions with no sub-ordinate intentions.2 Precondition of the formulation of an intention is that agents have to be convinced that the intended state does not establish itself ‘by alone,’ but that they have to do something to bring it about actively (within a desired time frame). As long as this is not the case, agents don’t have to act, but just to wait. Consequently, the main function of the intention is to trigger and define the agents’ activity. As long as this is not the case, the intention remains at the level of unspecific desire. Do the agents actually have to be convinced to be capable of bringing about the intended state? Not necessarily. One can also imagine that an intention triggers further activity even when agents have no idea of how to bring about the intended state and even when they doubt that they can ever do it. In this case, the agents begin to strive for reaching an intended state. However, striving is quite different from ‘ordinary’ decision making and we don’t want to go into it in detail in this paper. Against this background, it appears necessary to us to emphasize that intentions denote a fundamentally different thing than preferences and should not be mixed up with these. 2 For simplification, we will assume that every subordinated intention serves one and only one superordinated intention. 5 Intentions are targets that trigger further activity. In contrast, preferences denote the ability to value or rank different alternatives. They are a necessary precondition for rational decision making. Preferences do not trigger any activity and can also not be satisfied. Of course, there is some kind of relation between these different expressions of human pursuit. But this not relevant for the analysis of this paper (for an closer investigation of the relation between preferences and intentions see Kesting 2006). (2) The second element of every act are the agents’ operations. Basically, operations denote all (physical) activities – and only these – that are carried out in order to bring about the respective intended state.3 Against this background, intentions and operations form a goal – mean relation. It are these physical operations that distinguish act from desire; act always includes activity, i.e. a systematic and purposeful interference with the ‘way of the world.’ Physical operations include verbal communication since there are many cases for that verbal communication is necessary and even sufficient to bring about an intended state. One example for this is our Introduction to Entrepreneurship which almost completely consists of verbal communication. (3) If the intention does not remain at the unspecific level of desire but indeed triggers the agents’ activity, it necessarily raises the question of what operations to conduct to bring about the intended state. The intention alone does not determine operation. It only determines one specific state to be brought about – not less, but also not more. It does not determine how to bring about the intended state, i.e. how to go from here to there. And it does not determine how the future world looks like apart from the realization of the intended state. As a consequence, agents usually4 have different feasible options or ‘alternatives’ to realize the intended state. In our example, the intention determines the target to give a lecture and possibly makes some additional specifications like number of credit points or the time frame of the lecture. But it does not determine the content, structure, teaching methods etc. of the lecture. 3 As Donald Davidson (1971, p. 23) has put it so fabulously: ‘We only can use our bodies. The rest is up to nature.’ 4 It is also possible that an agent determines only one alternative to bring about a certain intended state. In this case, decision making is – of course – not necessary. 6 This is the point where the third element of action comes into the game: deliberation. We define deliberation as all activities that an agent pursues to answer the question of what operations to conduct in order (and only in order) to bring about the intended state. This means that deliberation includes decision making, but in contrast to the traditional view, it consists of much more than that. It also includes all pre-decision making activities, in particular all information acquisition and processing in order to identify and characterize feasible alternatives to bring about the intended state (which ultimately constitute the decision problems which are usually assumed by traditional investigations as given). Moreover, deliberation also includes all formal documentation, adjustment and application of routine.5 Before carrying on we should devote some additional some words to the basic function of our action framework and its contribution to an analysis of the interplay of routine and decision in act. For economic analysis, not only the intention, but also the conceptualization of deliberation as connecting element between intention and operation is uncommon. As we will argue below, this conceptualization of deliberation is much broader than the traditional decision making approach. The main function of intentions is to structure act. Basically, human activity forms a continuous flow of operations. Intentions suit the purpose to define an entity of one act within this continuum: One act consists of an intention and of all deliberation and all operations an agent undertakes to bring about this specific intended state. Consequently, also the complexity of an act is completely determined by its intention. It can be as complex as the act of ‘bringing a man to the moon’ or as simple as the act of ‘opening a window.’ The justification of the employment of intentions for economic analysis is a complex matter that goes far beyond this paper.6 Certainly, to structure economic activity into a number of different somewhat independent acts is artificial, although this is already common practice in traditional decision theory. There is also a number of cases for which the explanation power of intentions (and with it the scope of the action-based approach) might be 5 Although quite straight forward in principle, the distinction between operation and deliberation is far from being trivial. Basically, both operations as well as deliberation denote classes of human activity (cognitive and physical). The principle difference is that operations include all activities that in fact change the world in the desired direction and deliberations all activities that are carried out in order to determine the operations. However, we are aware that it is very difficult to specify this distinction for particular cases. But this problem is not crucial for the investigation of this paper. 6 For detailed discussion see Kesting 2006. 7 challenged.7 However, the analysis of this paper builds on this concept in particular for two reasons: First, intentions constitute a very effective strategy to reduce complexity and focus deliberation. Once the intention is given, planning can be reduced to one and only one problem: What operations to conduct in order to bring about a certain intended state? Everything that is relevant to solve this question belongs to the decision problem, everything that is not relevant, can be excluded from planning. Technically spoken, intentions are suitable to define small world decision problems with a well defined set of feasible alternatives that covers only a (very small) subset of the totality of the possibilities to act an agent has at a certain point in time (Savage 1954, Kesting 2006). There are many indications that the complexity of reality completely overwhelms human deliberation. Against this background, the formulation of small world decision problems is a vital a precondition for rational decision making at all. Via the intention, agents can immediately determine the complexity of a decision problem. Additionally, intentions serve the purpose of guiding (and focusing) the acquisition of information and the search for alternatives within in the pre-decision stage. After all, intentions – like routine – are hence nothing more than a strategy to deal with the human bounds of rationality. Small world decision problems are never optimal in a substantial sense since they systematically neglect their connection to the grand world. Second, and much more important for this paper, intentions allow to qualify what it means to repeat an act: To repeat an act means for the same agent to bring about the same intended state a second or repeated time in a somewhat similar context (within a certain time frame, given somewhat stable preferences). This conceptualization of repetition underlies the entire analysis of this paper. It will turn out that repetition is a precondition for the acquisition as well as the application of routine. Against this background, the meaning of the entire conceptualization of act becomes obvious: to describe the setting in that routine can be acquired and applied. Current routine research does not offer any closer specification of 7 This is in particular the case for reflexes and for activities that are driven by intuition and do not follow an explicit intention. But do we really develop routine for these kinds of activity? More serious is the case of imitation. Even complex activities can be determined without any intention, simply by imitating the behaviour of the parents, colleagues, competitors or others. And it is certainly possible to develop routine for such activities. One can argue that it is not very rational to do so and that it is imperative for our act to follow a certain purpose even when it is a result of imitation. However, in cases where this is not so, the explanation power of the actionbased approach is rather restricted. 8 repetition independent of routines. We are convinced that this deficiency causes serious problems for the foundation of the concept, in particular regarding the question of how routine is acquired and applied, how changeable routine is and inasmuch it resists towards changes in the course of repetition and – ultimately – how to define routine. THE GRADUAL SUBSTITUTION OF DECISION MAKING BY REPLICATION IN THE COURSE OF REPETITION In this section, we focus on the question of what opportunities agents have to determine what operations to conduct to bring about a certain intended state and how these opportunities change in the course of repetition. We will start with ‘the first act,’ proceed to the first repetitions and end up at the highly repetitive ‘best practice.’ We will argue that repetition leads to a gradual substitution of deliberate planning and decision making by replication. However, we will refrain from introducing the notion of ‘routine’ already in this section. We will focus on repetition and its associated processes. We will discuss why and how action taking changes in the course of repetition. Based on this investigation, we will turn to the question of how to define routine in the subsequent section. The first act At some point in time, every act is taken the first time – it necessarily has to. Now, there is general agreement among routine researchers that routine is acquired via repetition (this will be also one of the results of this paper). Yet, this implies that when taking ‘the first act,’ agents have not the opportunity to fall back to their routine but have to solve the problem of what operations to conduct to bring about a certain intended state somehow differently. So how to determine ‘the first act’? It appears a little as if routine research somewhat would duck out this question. There are no clear statements and no substantial discussions regarding this point. We are left only with a few remarks, in particular by Nelson/Winter (1982) that argue that the first acts are determined by ‘trial and error.’ The classical answer to this question – of course – is that agents solve this problem by rational decision making. Ultimately, this implies that agents are always capable to find and realize the best alternative they have (in terms of their preferences) to determine their operations. The only key to efficiency in act is hence proper decision making. There have been many discussions about the explanation power of this extreme version of economic rationality. In this paper, we take up a somewhat ambiguous position to it. 9 On one hand, it can hardly be denied that humans have more opportunities to determine what operations to conduct to bring about a certain intended state than decision making alone – even for the ‘first act.’ Alternatives include intuition, imitation, and instincts.8 However, the importance of decision making for human act and with it the explanation power of the traditional decision-approach can also hardly be denied. At least two reasons speak for a traditional, decision-based explanation of the first act: First, there is strong evidence for that humans indeed actively search for the best alternative to carry out an act, although the effort that is devoted to this search and the success of this search certainly considerably varies. Additionally, it is completely implausible to assume that humans act irrationally in the way that they deliberately opt for a sub-optimal alternative. Second, deliberate decision making is the strongest mean humans have to make act purposeful. Decision making is nothing more than an active and deliberate search for the best way to act. If humans do not make use of this opportunity and fall back intuition, imitation, or instincts, they miss an opportunity to make act purposeful. For these reasons we will focus our explanation of the first act on rational decision making (keeping in mind that alternative options are existent). At least it can hardly be denied that humans indeed have an opportunity to determine the first act by deliberate planning and decision making. On the other hand, however, we fundamentally disagree with the classical assumptions regarding the acquisition and processing of information. These strong assumptions block any investigation of the imperfections which are crucial to understand human act – in particular when analyzing the first, non-routinized act in that agents face a new situation that they can address only on base of their unspecific background knowledge (Runde 2002) or by acquiring new information which is costly and time consuming. The most relevant imperfections are that when facing a new and somewhat complex decision problem, agents are usually not able (i) to identify all alternatives they have, (ii) to describe all identified alternatives accurately in every detail, and (iii) to conclude to the outcome and hence to value the alternatives correctly. As a consequence, when taking an act for the first time, agents are usually not able to identify the best alternative they have. We assume that agents indeed decide rational, but only in the sense that they ‘strive’ to identify and chose the best alternative they have. The result of this activity is necessarily constrained by the human limitations to acquire and process 8 We do not include reflexes into the list since we doubt that humans can develop routine for these. That humans can not acquire routine for reflexes is an interesting fact on its own that points out the conscious dimension of routine. 10 information. As a result, agents are systematically not (or only coincidentally) able to establish a substantial optimum (in the classical sense) when taking a new act the first time. With this assumption, this paper is perhaps goes along with a majority of the so called bounded rationality literature (Conlisk 1996). However, the decision of what operations to conduct to bring about the intended state does not terminate the act. Indeed, the determination is followed the operations, i.e. by the physical realization of the intended state. The act is only terminated when the intended state is brought about. This ‘post-decision phase’ is particularly important because it provides an opportunity for agents to observe the process and acquire specific knowledge about the act. In particular, they can learn all the unplanned details of an act. Almost always, planning is incomplete in the sense that it does not cover every detail of an act. When planning to travel from A to B the first time, we plan what mean of transportation to chose and on what route to travel. But we do not plan every step we take. We rely on that we are capable to manage the situation once we are in it. However, this includes that we usually encounter unexpected difficulties that cause additional planning effort during operations and often even force us to revise our original plan. But most of all, in the post-decision phase we have the opportunity to observe the outcome of our operations. We can observe, if our expectations go along with the reality or not. This gives us a completely new base to assess the alternative we have opted for. As a result, by taking an act the first time, agents have the opportunity to improve their specific knowledge about the question of what operations to conduct to bring about a specific state. Agents increase their knowledge in the pre-decision phase when they identify and characterize alternatives, in the decision phase when they compare different alternatives and make a decision and in the post-decision phase when they can observe the course and the outcome of their operations. Finally, we can sum up the two key results of this section: (1) Decision making is not the only option that humans have to determine the ‘first act,’ but it certainly is an option – and a very powerful one. (2) Due to the existing bounds of rationality, planning is necessarily incomplete and does not (or only accidentally) lead to an optimal result (in the traditional, substantial sense). The same is certainly true for intuition, instincts, or imitation. 11 Repetition It is generally acknowledged among routine researchers the repetition plays a central role for both, the acquisition and the application of routine (e.g. Winter 1986, Eisenhardt und Martin 2000, Pentland 2003a, 2003b, Becker 2005). But how do the underlying processes precisely look like? What does acquisition and application of routine precisely mean? Routine research does not present any clear answer to this question, mainly because it does not offer an independent concept of repetition so far. Instead, it often employs repetitiveness an a definition criteria, which makes the entire concept somewhat circular. (If routine is defined by repetitiveness, how can repetition – which is certainly repetitive – be the basis to acquire and apply routine.) In this section, we investigate what happens when agents repeat an act. In particular, we focus the analysis on deliberation and the gradual substitution of planning and decision making by replication in the course of repetition. At this stage, we do not introduce any definition of routine. Instead, we will built on the results of this section to discuss how to define the notion of routine most appropriately in the subsequent section. We remember: To repeat an act means for the same person to bring about the same intended state again a second or repeated time in a somewhat similar context. Per definition the ‘objective’ problem setting remains the same as before. However, it is the agents that change since they now already have solved the attached decision problem and acquired specific knowledge about this very act (which they did not have before). Every execution of an act incorporates a comprehensive answer to the problem of what operations to conduct in order to bring about the intended state (including even those aspects that were not included into previous planning and decision making and only have been determined ‘spontaneously’ during operation) (see also Betsch et al. 1999, Betsch 2005). It necessarily has to, since agents actually take the act. We will call this comprehensive answer a solution. However, at complex acts, these solutions are complex as well. They do not only consist of an overall concept, but have many different characteristics regarding a multitude of different ‘aspects’ and ‘sub-aspects.’ In our lecture example, the solution includes an overall agenda and an overall didactic approach. But this overall concept has to be filled with a multitude of details. It has to be determined what entrepreneurship frameworks to discuss and how, what readings to request and what readings to recommend, what case studies to use for 12 the different topics what transparencies to draw and how and many more things. Keystone of all changes in the course of repetition is specific learning. When taking the act the first time, the agents already have identified, specified and valued alternatives. Moreover, they experience the realization of the act. They can observe formerly unplanned details and difficulties they encounter during execution. And they can observe the result of the act. This learning is specific since it regards the question of what operations to conduct to bring about a certain intended state. The additional knowledge is exclusively knowledge of one particular solution and its various sub-solutions. This kind of learning has been very well acknowledged by traditional decision theory. However, what has not been acknowledged so far is the particular meaning of this additional knowledge for agents when their rationality is bounded and planning causes (opportunity) costs. If this is the case, it is only rational for agents not to go through the entire decision making procedure again with every repetition, but to apply previous solutions or sub-solutions in case they are content with these. Agents are content with a previous solution when they do not expect that additional planning (including the acquisition of additional information) pays off, i.e. when they do not expect that the improvements outweigh the ‘costs’ of additional planning. In this case, they still make a decision. But the decision structure is ‘degenerated’ since agents shortcut the entire decision making process and reduce the entire planning to the pure decision to ‘do it like last time.’ We will phrase this application of a solution as replication. In case they are not content with the result of a previous solution, it is only rational for them to carry on planning. In this case, they carry on identifying, specifying and valuing alternatives and make a ‘real’ decision. The main difference to the traditional view is that planning is now incomplete since solutions or sub-solutions are taken over unquestioned ‘as a block.’ However, it is important that this re-assessment of previous solutions, again, does not only concern the overall conception of the act, but also all its aspects and sub-aspects. To return to our example: After giving the Introduction to Entrepreneurship the first time, we might question the overall didactic approach and several details of the lecture, but we might be content with some of the case studies and many of the transparencies that we have used. As a result, we might revise our solution fundamentally, but not completely. Already at the first repetition we replicate some aspects of the first solution. For instance, we employ the case study on entrepreneurial finance without further deciding about it, i.e. without searching for additional alternatives anymore. 13 With increasing repetitions, agents tend to find an increasing number of solutions to aspects that they are content with so that the replicated part of the act tends to increase in the course of repetition. It follows: The substitution of decision making by replication is a gradual process and not an all or nothing. In our example, at some point in time, we might be content with the overall concept and the textbooks we employed. In the course of the next repetitions, we confine ourselves to revise only details and that even to a decreasing extent. Ultimately, we tend to find a satisfying solution which cover more or less every aspect and sub-aspect. In the following, we will phrase this comprehensive program as ‘best practice.’9 There is some evidence that with increasing repetitions, acts increasingly become subconscious and automated (Winter 1986, Nightingale 2003). At complex acts, this particularly concerns the ‘course of the act.’ Automation makes agents particularly capable of ‘uncoiling’ an act automatically without further deliberation. One example for that is that when driving a new route, we constantly have to take a look at the road map. After driving the same route a several times we do not have to consult the map anymore, but find the way ‘automatically.’ This in particular saves deliberation effort in the post-decision phase. This and the simplification of planning and decision making procedures brings about that by replication agents can save a considerable amount of deliberation effort. This makes replication a powerful strategy to deal with the human bounds of rationality. It has to be emphasized that we can only acquire and apply solutions as long as intention and context remain stable. If only one of these change considerably, the ‘objective’ problem setting changes and there is no systematic reason why a previous acquired solution should produce satisfying results anymore. Against this background, the entire conceptualization of repetition becomes clear: it describes the necessary and sufficient conditions to acquire and apply solutions. But if intention and context remain stable, and as long as agents remain rational (and once acquired knowledge does not fall into oblivion) there is only one overall direction for change: improvement. The reason for that is very simple: Agents would never deliberately fall back below a previous solution, but increase their knowledge with every repetition and actively search for improvements. This makes agents to become ‘familiar’ with an act not only in the 9 It is possible that repetitions run out of purpose in the sense that they do not follow any purpose anymore, but are carried out in certain situations habitually. In this case they become irrational when agents do not want to bring about the intended state anymore. 14 sense that they know one or more solutions for different aspects, but that they learn about all the details of the act. The only reasons to fall back behind previous results are mistakes, bad luck or the failure of a trial. However, must be expected that this improvement does not lead to an substantial optimum (in the traditional sense) when rationality is bounded and when agents are already content with a sub-optimal result.10 Seen in this light, repetition is not a classical learning circle for at least two reasons: First, to reply a solution per definition means to apply it without further planning. As a result, the respective aspect of the act is repeated unchanged. Any changes result from additional planning (or improvisation). As a consequence, the feedback is partly cut and any additional information regarding this aspect is ignored. Second, and in the same direction, also automation leads to an identical repetition and to a systematic ignorance of information. Both reasons cause that repetitions become patterned and much more inflexible as suggested by Feldman (2000). They causes that repetitions are not always adapted to context changes. For this reason, repetitions always run in danger to become ineffective. However – already Nelson/Winter (1982) have pointed out that agents always have the opportunity to question their best practice and re-plan an act. And here, decision making comes into the game again. Basically, agents have two different opportunities: • Either they can take a completely new, non-repeated act, i.e. an act that follows a new intention which is not sub-ordinate to that of an established act. In this case, the agents would act outside the logic of the antecedent acts. They would do some-thing substantially new. 10 There is obviously some relationship between this comprehensive best practice and the neoclassical optimum. But this relationship is not a simple one. Very similar to the neoclassical optimum, also the best practice describes a situation that is very well mastered by the agent and that tends to be solved efficiently. In this sense, one could argue that agents act as if they have solved the respective decision problem. And in this sense one can argue (and indeed, we share this position) that traditional optimisation provides a somewhat accurate description of the continuation of an act in a somewhat stable context, for instance of the circular flow of that kind as described in the opening section of Schumpeter’s Theorie der Wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung (1935, Ch. 2). In such a situation, even the action-based approach predicts a tendency towards equilibrium. However, it has to be emphasized that according to the action-based approach, the driving force for efficiency is not substantial rationality (like assumed by the traditional approach), but familiarity with the problem setting, resulting from learning, trial and error, and gradual improvements in the course of repetition. This difference becomes particularly efficient when agents are forced to act outside their best practice in a changing context. Here, results are far from being efficient and the traditional approach only provides a poor approximation to reality. We will address this problem in the next section. 15 • Or the agents can re-plan an old act and choose a new way to repeat it. In this case, they question and abandon an established best practice. But they do not leave the logic of the established act, meaning they do not base their deliberation and operation on a new intention. They just search for a new way to do an old thing. Basically, breaking with the established routine somewhat brings actors back to the ‘first act.’ When taking a new act, agents can not built on best practice since best practice is always acquired in a specific context to bring about one particular intended state and only fits to this. There is no systematic reason that solutions, which lead to a satisfactory outcome to bring about one particular intended state also lead to a satisfactory outcome to bring about a different intended state. When re-planning an act, agents do not want to built on old best practice but look for a new, better way to take an act. In both cases, agents necessarily lose the advantages of replication and best practice, in particular: • Planning effort significantly increases since every new act has to be planned from the scratch (Nelson/Winter 1982). • Efficiency decreases (at the beginning) since at every a new act, agents per definition start at the low end of the learning curve (Arrow 1962). • Uncertainty substantially increases since when taking an act a first time, agents can not built on previous observations and can only conclude to its outcome (Becker/Knudsen 2004). As a result, the decision between breaking with a best practice or continuing it has an asymmetric structure: It compares a familiar, somewhat certain and efficient solution with an ‘adventure’ which is risky, inefficient, and causes a lot of planning effort (in a world in that time is precious). As a result, agents have a tendency to lock-in to existing routines. We do not want to go too deep into the analysis of this phenomenon. It might just be mentioned that this lock-in is partly rational since it follows a simple discounted cash-flow logic that determines the net-effect of change. Lock-in means in this connection not to replace solutions even when there are alternatives that have a supposedly higher efficiency outcome. However, it is not only difficult – if not impossible – for bounded rational actors to determine the net-effect of replacement. Partly, however, this ‘lock-in’ is also irrational and results from cognitive biases, from incentive structures and from resistance towards change (see Kesting 2006). In the following, we will phrase this ‘lock-in’ by characterizing a solutions and best 16 practice as ‘established.’11 Let us summarize the results of this section: In the course of repetition, deliberation and operation of an act change. Engine of this change is replication, i.e. the application of former solutions to current problems. Such an application is only possible if context and intention do not change significantly. Following, intention has to be an essential element of every investigation of the acquisition and application of solutions. Humans have the opportunity to break from their established solutions and best practice: They can do acts new or they can do new acts. But the underlying decision to do so is asymmetric since it compares the familiar with the unknown. As a result, agents have a rational and irrational disposition to stick witch established solutions. HOW TO DEFINE ROUTINE? By now there is no final consensus on how to define routine. However, in this section we argue that the situation is even worse. We argue that all existing definitions are imprecise and leave crucial aspects undetermined. Moreover, they do not progress to the underlying driving forces that make agents to acquire and apply routine, but remain at the (empirical) surface of their mere appearance. For this reasons, these definitions do not suit as a solid foundation to approach the underlying phenomena. (Perhaps this is the main reason that no common sense had been reached so far.) And in particular they are not sufficient to challenge traditional decision theory. In this section we discuss the three most common approaches to define routine: pattern of activity, rule, and mental representation. (1) Currently, an increasing number of researchers appears to understand and conceptualize ‘routines’ in accordance with Cohen et al. (1996) as patterns of activity (Winter 1986, Teece/Pisano/Shuen 1997, Feldman 2000). However, it is not simple to ‘translate’ this conceptualization into the terms of our action framework, in particular because basic elements of this definition have never been closer specified by their proponents. 11 It has to be noted that it is also possible that repeated acts run out of purpose (see in particular Nelson/Winter 1982). In this case, act is not triggered by the formulation of an intention anymore, but ‘behaviour’ by a stimulus (we use the word behaviour at this since we have defined act as ‘purposeful behaviour’ that follows an intention). The response to such a stimulus takes place automated and the purpose of act is not consciously reflected anymore. I would propose to call this kind of behaviour a ‘habit.’ 17 Let us start with the second element of the definition, the ‘activity.’ There is no closer specification of what activity precisely means. However, we can see from our action framework the term activity is not unambiguous and can mean three qualitatively different things: intention setting, deliberation and operation. Hence, we are up to an interpretation at this point. We guess that it is most plausible to understand activity comprehensively and not to limit it on one specific subset (e.g. operations). In this translation, routines are identical with acts (in our understanding). ‘Pattern’ is obviously used as distinctive criterion: Routines do not denote all acts, but a subset, namely all those acts that are patterned. But what does patterned precisely mean? Certainly, it means similar, but not identical. But how to specify similarity? This is far from being trivial and becomes crucial when similarity is employed as distinctive criterion of routine. First, any definition has to specify the objects of similarity. What is similar to what? Here the most plausible answer is that the objects are different acts and the similarity is the similarity of repetition. For this reason, the first act can never be a routine. But at what time do repetitions cross the threshold of similarity? As argued above, acts can even fundamentally change at the first repetitions. Nevertheless, they still follow the same purpose in the same context. This appears to be the most fundamental similarity – the most significant repetitive jump is that from the first act to repetition. For this reason, it appears most plausible and straight forward to specify patterned by repetition. In this case, ‘routines’ are nothing more than what we have denoted as repeated acts. However, such a definition does not really suit as starting point for an investigation of the phenomenon for at least three reasons: First, according to this definition, ‘routines’ would include decision making procedures. Decision making would become a part of routines. As argued above, decision making continues at repetitions of an act. Decisions might be less comprehensive, but still they are there and play a role to determine the ‘routine.’ This does not only break with our customs to use the word. Most of all, it prevents to understand routine and decision as antipodes. The antipode to routines are now – the first acts. Second, this definition conceptualizes routines as a once-for-all phenomenon: an act is a routine or it is not, there is nothing in between. This prevents ‘routine’ from the outset to serve as a foundation for the investigation of all gradual processes that take place in the course of repetition (like learning or the gradual substitution of decision making by replication) – it makes routine blind for these processes. It conceptualizes a gradual process 18 by a qualitative jump. Third, and perhaps most important, the pattern definition categorizes routines at the surface of their mere appearance as a specific class of acts and does not progress to the cognitive processes below this surface. This reminds a little to times when diseases were conceptualized by their symptoms and the understanding of diseases did not progress to the driving forces behind these symptoms: bacteria and viruses. We are convinced that every theory of routine has explain the formation of patterns, but not to start with it. For this reason, it has to address the cognitive processes that determine act – consequently, it has to conceptualize routine as an ‘cognitive alternative’ to decision making. To conclude, we might express that we do not want to question the fact itself: We share the conviction that ‘routines’ indeed form patterns in the course of repetition and that the formation of patterns is an important characteristic of routines. What we want to question, however, is the suitability of pattern as definiens of routine and as starting point for the investigation of the underlying phenomenon. (2) As an alternative, routines has also sometimes been defined as rules. Since this approach was not very influential for routine research we want to keep the discussion short and only address the most critical point. Cambridge Advanced Learners Dictionary (2003) defines a ‘rule’ as ‘an accepted principle or instruction that states the way things are or should be done, and tells you what you are allowed or are not allowed to do.’ In our action framework such rules can only be identified at highly codified best practice. Such a definition would fundamentally limit the meaning and explanation power of routine for action taking. As a consequence, routine would become an aspect of act, but not a fundamental cognitive principle. Moreover, routine would not serve as conceptual foundation for the investigation of the effects of repetition. (3) A third approach is to define routine on the cognitive level, usually as a ‘mental representation’ of standard answers in the sense of a ‘program.’ This definition goes into the right direction since it addresses the mechanisms that drive the formation of patterns. However, it requires a very careful specification since the underlying cognitive processes of repetition are many and diverse. They include: • The determination of an intention. • The entire planning procedure prior to operation, namely the identification, 19 specification and valuation of alternatives and the decision which results in a program or plan that determines how to take the act. • Cognitive processes that underlie operations, in particular to recall and adapt the decision, meaning to improvise and solve additional problems where this is necessary. • Finally the entire acquisition of specific knowledge in the course of repetition as a result of observations and experience. This knowledge of ‘how to do it’ can be condensed into more or less comprehensive solutions and sub-solutions that agents are content with, but it is more comprehensive. It also includes knowledge about how not to do it. We are convinced that the concept of routine becomes most fundamental and powerful when it is defined as an antipode to decision making. Only than, routine acquires the fundamental status as a second principle of act determination and as a second pillar of microeconomic explanation. To become an antipode, routine has to serve the same function than decision making. However, the one and only function of decision making is to determine what operations to conduct to bring about a given intended state. Here, the decision framework indeed offers an alternative: replication. Substance of replication is the application of previous solutions. Moreover, it is only useful to apply previous solutions when agents were content with their results. However, if this is the case, replication indeed has the potential to substitute planning and decision making. Than agents indeed have the alternative either to go through the planning procedure anew or to apply a previous solution without further planning. It only remains the question of how precisely attribute routine to repetition. One possibility is certainly to use replication and routine as synonyms. However, such a definition would exclude the possibility that have routine but refrain from utilizing it. For this reason, we propose to approach the phenomenon a little differently and define routine as a person’s ability to substitute deliberate planning and decision making with replication. By ability, we do not mean the mere capacity to replicate the act in any manner and irrespective of its results, but instead replication in a well-founded manner. The less planning is necessary to meet our aspirations, the greater our ability to replicate the act. Likewise, the better the result we can achieve without planning, the greater our ability to replicate the act. By replication, we mean the application of former solutions to determine what operations to conduct to bring about a current intended state. By substitution we do not mean immediate replacement, but gradual substitution. Substance of routine is specific knowledge combined with the ability to apply this 20 knowledge in specific situations. However, agents (at least principally) have the degree of freedom to apply their routine in specific situations or not. The main consequence of the application of routine is absence of planning. For this reason, the main result of the acquisition of routine is to save deliberation effort so that it constitutes a very effectively as a strategy to deal with the human bounds of rationality. And for this reason, routine has no meaningful content in traditional decision theory. If the deliberation capacity is unrestricted strategies to deal with human bounds of rationality are not required and incomplete planning is irrational (since it prevents agents from processing relevant information and leads them to sub-optimal results). However, it has to be noted that that the improvement of results and decrease of uncertainty are not results of the acquisition of routines. They are results of learning in the course of repetition which also takes place (perhaps to a greater extent since more information is processed) when no routine is applied.12 It is certainly unusual and perhaps even a little irritating to define routine as an ability. But in defense, it might be emphasized that this definition does not imply major changes in the general understanding of the phenomenon. Most of all, the basic characteristics of routines remain untouched by our action-based approach. In accordance with Winter (2003: 991), also the action-based approach describes routines (in the informal sense of acts that are somewhat dominantly controlled by replication) as ‘behaviour that is learned, highly patterned, repetitious, or quasi-repetitious, [and] founded in part in tacit knowledge.’ The crucial advantage of the action-based approach, however, is to produce these characteristics in act as an outcome of the interplay of purpose, repetition, learning, deliberation and replication in the face of the given bounds of human rationality. It therefore has the potential to explain why and how economic agents develop patterns in act, how stable these patterns are, and how they change in the course of repetition. Let us finally do some words on the individual-organizational question. Some authors, in 12 It might be noted that this cognitive approach allows to define ‘a routine’ informally as an act that is predominantly determined by replication (or highly routinized). This would not only transform routine back to act and create an equivalent to the definition of the pattern approach. It also create a very convenient tool for the analysis of specific settings. However, this notion is informal since it does not built on clear specification of what ‘predominantly’ means. 21 particular Hodgeson (2004), define routine exclusively as an organizational phenomenon and denote the individual phenomenon as habit. The most important implication of such a terminological distinction is that individual habits and organizational routine are not basically two forms of the same, but two fundamentally different phenomena. Additionally, these authors usually declare the organizational level being the more fundamental one. However, we fundamentally disagree with such a terminological setting for at least three reasons: • First it breaks with the custom of every day’s use of the word. English language very well uses the word routine for individuals in the sense of ‘I have a routine.’ Best indication for that is that even the proponents of the distinction talk of ‘organizational routines,’ which would be a pleonasm according to their own understanding of the word. • Second, the underlying phenomenon is universal and basically the same for both, individuals and organizations: the substitution of decision making by replication. Any distinction would be artificial and misrepresent the structure of the underlying phenomena. • Third, to understand routine on the organizational level, one has to progress to individual intentions, bounds of rationality, knowledge and solutions. We have to understand the individual incentives and obstacles when analyzing efforts to overcome organizational routines and individual resistance against these efforts. Hence, we are convinced that the individual level is the more fundamental one. Organizational routine has to be understood as interplay of routines and decision making of different individuals. CONCLUSIONS: THE INTERPLAY OF ROUTINE AND DECISION MAKING IN ACT The most important conclusion of this paper is that indeed both, routine as well as decision making are essential elements of action taking. Both serve the same purpose: to determine what operations to conduct to bring about an intended state. But they serve this purpose in a fundamentally different way. Decision making is a choice procedure in that information is processed and matched with preferences. Routine is an ability to recall and apply solutions and to shortcut decision making procedures in a qualified way. They complement each other since routine does not suit to process new information. It is only acquired and applied in the course of repetition. To master ‘first acts’ or to change 22 established routine acts purposefully, agents have to rely on decision making procedures. However, decision making requires a lot of deliberation – deliberation that agents do not have for every act since their rationality is bounded. In other words: it is simply not possible for agents to base all their acts on comprehensive decision making. By shortcutting decision making procedures in a qualified way, routine provides a necessary strategy to deal with the given bounds of rationality. Hence without decision making there would be no purposeful change but without routine, agents were completely overwhelmed by the sheer complexity of reality. For this reason both, routine and decision making, matter to explain act. However, routine and decision making are not independent, but mutually influence each other. On one hand, the application of routine shortcuts decisions making procedures and simplifies planning processes with every sub-solution that has been established. Established sub-solutions are not compared with alternatives anymore, but chosen on basis of the degenerated decision ‘do it like last time.’ In this sense, routine has the potential to substitute decision making. The ‘routine trick’ is that this substitution is qualified since solutions condense the results of previous planning and are only chosen when agents are content with their results. However, necessary precondition for every acquisition and application of routine is repetition and this requires a stable context and a stable intention. On the other hand, decision making ‘drives’ the acquisition of routine and basically ‘controls’ its application. The decision is the basis for the operation and both together are the basis for the acquisition of knowledge, which again is the basis for the acquisition of routine. If agents decide for a different alternative, they necessarily acquire a different routine. For this reason, decision making ‘drives’ the acquisition of routine. 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