The Freedonia Group US Industry Study with Forecasts for 2017

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INDUSTRY MARKET RESEARCH FOR BUSINESS LEADERS, STRATEGISTS, DECISION MAKERS
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List of Tables & Charts 3
Study Overview 4
Sample Text, Table
& Chart 5
Sample Profile, Table &
Forecast 6
Order Form & Corporate
Use License 7
About Freedonia,
Custom Research,
Related Studies, 8
Lamps
US Industry Study with Forecasts for 2017 & 2022
Study #3054 | October 2013 | $5300 | 309 pages
The Freedonia Group
767 Beta Drive
www.freedoniagroup.com
Cleveland, OH • 44143-2326 • USA
Toll Free US Tel: 800.927.5900 or +1 440.684.9600
Fax: +1 440.646.0484
E-mail: info@freedoniagroup.com
Study #3054
October 2013
$5300
309 Pages
Lamps
US Industry Study with Forecasts for 2017 & 2022
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
Market EnvironmenT
General....................................................... 4
Macroeconomic Outlook................................. 5
Demographic Trends...................................... 8
Consumer Income & Expenditure Trends...........12
Construction Trends......................................15
Residential Building Construction................17
Construction Expenditures......................18
Housing Outlook...................................20
Housing Stock......................................23
Improvements & Repairs.........................27
Nonresidential Building Construction...........28
Construction Expenditures......................29
Nonresidential Building Stock.................31
Improvements & Repairs.........................33
Nonbuilding Construction...........................34
Highway Expenditures...................................36
Motor Vehicle Trends....................................38
Manufacturing Trends...................................41
Historical Market Trends................................45
Pricing Trends.............................................48
Environmental & Regulatory Issues.................51
General Regulations & Standards.................51
Energy Efficiency Concerns.........................57
Energy Acts..........................................57
American Recovery & Reinvestment
Act of 2009........................................59
State Regulations..................................59
Energy Efficient Lighting Programs...........61
Other Environmental Concerns....................62
OVERVIEW
Lamp Demand..............................................64
Demand by Value......................................65
Demand by Volume...................................68
Lamp Foreign Trade......................................69
Imports..................................................71
Exports...................................................73
Lamp Shipments..........................................75
Lighting Industry Overview............................76
Lamp Characteristics.....................................78
Luminous Efficacy.....................................78
Light Quality............................................81
Lighting Fixtures......................................83
Other Lamp Characteristics.........................85
Light Emitting Diodes...................................86
ELECTRICAL
DISCHARGE LAMPS
General......................................................90
Fluorescent Lamps........................................92
Product Characteristics..............................96
Regulatory Issues.....................................98
Compact Fluorescent Lamps...................... 101
Large Fluorescent Lamps.......................... 105
High Output Fluorescent Lamps................. 108
Slimline Fluorescent Lamps...................... 110
Other Fluorescent Lamps.......................... 112
Suppliers............................................... 113
High Intensity Discharge & Other
Electrical Discharge Lamps........................ 114
Regulatory Issues................................... 117
High Intensity Discharge Lamps................ 118
Metal Halide....................................... 121
Sodium Vapor..................................... 124
Mercury Vapor..................................... 127
Other Electrical Discharge Lamps............... 128
Suppliers............................................... 131
FILAMENT LAMPS
General.................................................... 133
Incandescent Lamps................................... 136
Product Characteristics............................ 139
Regulatory Issues................................... 140
Large Incandescent Lamps....................... 142
General Use Incandescent Lamps........... 144
Incandescent Reflector Lamps............... 147
Decorative Incandescent Lamps............. 149
Other Large Incandescent Lamps............ 151
Miniature Incandescent Lamps.................. 153
Incandescent Non-Sealed
Beam Vehicular Lamps....................... 155
Incandescent Sealed Beam Lamps.......... 156
Other Miniature Incandescent Lamps...... 158
Other Incandescent Lamps....................... 159
Suppliers............................................... 161
Halogen Lamps.......................................... 162
Product Characteristics............................ 164
Regulatory Issues................................... 165
Large Halogen Lamps.............................. 166
Halogen Reflector Lamps...................... 168
Other Large Halogen Lamps................... 170
Miniature Halogen Lamps......................... 172
Halogen Non-Sealed
Beam Vehicular Lamps....................... 173
Halogen Sealed Beam Lamps................. 175
Other Miniature Halogen Lamps.................... 177
Suppliers.................................................. 178
MARKETS
General.................................................... 179
Buildings.................................................. 182
Residential............................................ 184
Nonresidential........................................ 189
Office & Commercial............................. 191
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Page Institutional....................................... 193
Industrial........................................... 195
Other Nonresidential............................ 197
Outdoor Lighting....................................... 198
Consumer Products..................................... 201
Motor Vehicles........................................... 204
Demand by Sector................................... 207
Demand by Vehicle Class.......................... 210
Other Markets............................................ 212
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
General.................................................... 214
Industry Composition................................. 215
Market Share............................................. 217
Vertical & Horizontal Integration.................. 223
Product Development.................................. 224
Environment-Related Developments........... 225
Other Lamp Product Developments............ 226
Manufacturing........................................... 228
Marketing................................................. 229
Green Marketing..................................... 230
Consumer-Focused Strategies.................... 231
Other Market-Specific Strategies................ 233
Distribution.............................................. 234
Consumer.............................................. 235
Nonresidential........................................ 237
OEM..................................................... 238
Mergers & Acquisitions................................ 239
Cooperative Agreements.............................. 240
Company Profiles
Advanced Lighting Technologies................... 242
Amglo Kemlite Laboratories......................... 244
EiKO Limited............................................. 246
Federal-Mogul Corporation........................... 248
Federal Signal............................................ 250
Feit Electric.............................................. 252
Fiat SpA................................................... 254
General Electric......................................... 256
Hamamatsu Photonics................................. 261
HELLA KGaA Hueck..................................... 263
Interlectric Corporation............................... 265
Iwasaki Electric......................................... 267
JKL Components........................................ 269
Light Sources............................................ 270
Lights of America....................................... 274
MaxLite Incorporated.................................. 275
National Cathode....................................... 277
OSRAM Licht............................................. 278
Panasonic Corporation................................ 283
Peterson Manufacturing.............................. 285
Revstone Industries.................................... 286
Royal Philips............................................. 288
(continued on following page
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Study #3054
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Lamps
US Industry Study with Forecasts for 2017 & 2022
Table of Contents
List of Tables
Company ProfilES
Executive Summary
Siemens AG............................................... 292
Stanley Electric......................................... 293
TCP International....................................... 295
Toshiba Corporation................................... 297
Trojan Incorporated.................................... 299
US Lighting Tech........................................ 300
Ushio Incorporated.................................... 301
UVP LLC.................................................... 305
Visteon Corporation.................................... 307
Welch Allyn............................................... 308
Market EnvironmenT
(continued from previous page)
1 Summary Table....................................... 3
List of Charts
MARKET ENVIRONMENT
1 Year of Construction of
Housing Stock, 2012..........................26
2 Lamps Market 2003-2012........................48
OVERVIEW
1 Lamp Demand by Type, 2012...................67
2 US Lamp Trade by Type, 2012..................71
3 US Lamp Imports by Source, 2012............73
4 US Lamp Exports by Destination, 2012.....74
5 Luminous Efficacy of Selected
Light Sources....................................81
6 Light Quality of Selected Light Sources.....83
OVERVIEW
1 Lamp Value Demand by Type...................66
2 Lamp Volume Demand by Type.................69
3 Lamp Foreign Trade...............................70
4 Lamp Shipments by Type........................76
5 Lighting Industry Overview.....................78
ELECTRICAL
DISCHARGE LAMPS
ELECTRICAL
DISCHARGE LAMPS
1 Fluorescent Lamp Demand
by Type, 2002-2022...........................96
2 High Intensity Discharge & Other
Discharge Lamp Demand
by Type, 2002-2022......................... 117
FILAMENT LAMPS
1 Incandescent Lamp Demand
by Type, 2002-2022......................... 139
MARKETS
1 Lamp Demand by Market, 2002-2022...... 181
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
1 Macroeconomic Indicators ...................... 8
2 Population & Households........................12
3 Personal Consumption Expenditures.........15
4 Construction Expenditures......................17
5 Residential Building Construction
Expenditures.....................................20
6 Housing Completions.............................23
7 Housing Stock by Type...........................26
8 Residential Improvement
& Repair Expenditures........................28
9 Nonresidential Building Construction
Expenditures.....................................31
10 Nonresidential Building Stock.................33
11 Nonresidential Building Improvement
& Repair Expenditures........................34
12 Nonbuilding Construction Expenditures.....36
13 Highway Expenditures............................38
14 Motor Vehicle Indicators.........................41
15 Manufacturers’ Shipments.......................44
16 Historical Market Trends.........................47
17 Average Prices for Selected Lamps...........51
18 Selected Regulations Concerning Lamps....55
1 US Lamp Market Share
by Company, 2012............................ 219
1 Electrical Discharge Lamp
Supply & Demand...............................92
2 Fluorescent Lamp Supply & Demand.........95
3 Compact Fluorescent Lamp Demand........ 105
4 Large Fluorescent Lamp Demand............ 108
5 High Output Fluorescent Lamp Demand... 110
6 Slimline Fluorescent Lamp Demand........ 111
7 Other Fluorescent Lamp Demand............ 113
8 High Intensity Discharge & Other
Discharge Lamp Supply & Demand...... 116
9 High Intensity Discharge
Lamp Demand by Type...................... 121
10 Other Electrical Discharge
Lamp Demand................................. 131
MARKETS
1 Lamp Demand by Market....................... 181
2 Building Market for Lamps.................... 184
3 Residential Building Market for Lamps.... 188
4 Nonresidential Building
Market for Lamps............................. 191
5 Office & Commercial Building
Market for Lamps............................. 193
6 Institutional Building
Market for Lamps............................. 195
7 Industrial Building Market for Lamps...... 196
8 Other Nonresidential Building
Market for Lamps............................. 198
9 Outdoor Lighting Market for Lamps........ 201
10 Consumer Product Market for Lamps....... 204
11 Motor Vehicle Market for Lamps............. 207
12 Motor Vehicle Lamp Demand by Sector.... 210
13 Motor Vehicle Lamp Demand
by Vehicle Class............................... 212
14 Other Markets for Lamps....................... 213
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
1 US Lamp Sales by Company, 2012.......... 217
FILAMENT LAMPS
1 Filament Lamp Supply & Demand........... 136
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Page 2 Incandescent Lamp Supply & Demand..... 138
3 Large Incandescent Lamp
Demand by Type.............................. 144
4 General Use Incandescent
Lamp Demand................................. 147
5 Incandescent Reflector Lamp Demand..... 149
6 Decorative Incandescent Lamp Demand.. 150
7 Other Large Incandescent
Lamp Demand................................. 153
8 Miniature Incandescent Lamp
Demand by Type.............................. 155
9 Incandescent Non-Sealed Beam
Vehicular Lamp Demand.................... 156
10 Incandescent Sealed Beam
Lamp Demand................................. 158
11 Other Miniature Incandescent
Lamp Demand................................. 159
12 Other Incandescent Lamp
Demand by Type.............................. 161
13 Halogen Lamp Supply & Demand............ 164
14 Large Halogen Lamp Demand by Type..... 168
15 Halogen Reflector Lamp Demand............ 170
16 Other Large Halogen Lamp Demand........ 172
17 Miniature Halogen Lamp
Demand by Type.............................. 173
18 Halogen Non-Sealed Beam
Vehicular Lamp Demand.................... 175
19 Halogen Sealed Beam Lamp Demand...... 176
20 Other Miniature Halogen Lamp Demand.. 178
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US Industry Study with Forecasts for 2017 & 2022
EISA will ban the manufacture and sale of most general service incandescent lamps by
2014, initially benefiting more expensive products such as halogen lamps and CFLs.
US unit demand to decline
4% annually through 2017
As the US lamp market continues to
adjust to the provisions of the Energy
Independence and Security Act (EISA) of
2007, sales are projected to decline
more than four percent annually in unit
terms through 2017. EISA will effectively
ban the manufacture and sale of most
general service incandescent lamps by
2014, initially benefiting products such
as halogen lamps and compact fluorescent lamps (CFLs), which are more
efficient but also more expensive than
the incandescent lamps they will replace.
Because of the shift to higher value
lamps, demand in value terms is expected to contract only slightly to $7.2 billion
in 2017. A steeper decline is projected
through 2022 primarily due to two
factors: rising competition from lightemitting diodes (LEDs) and the longer
useful lifespan of CFLs and halogen
lamps compared to incandescent types.
Halogen lamps to see
strongest value increases
Halogen lamps are expected to see the
strongest value demand increases
through 2017, rising at a double-digit
annual pace to $1.8 billion. These lamps
will take a large share of the market from
the general purpose traditional incandescent lamps because they fit in existing
lighting fixtures and generate a quality of
light very similar to traditional incandescent lamps at a lower initial price than
any other energy efficient lighting
US Lamp Demand, 2017
($7.2 billion)
HID & Other
Discharge
Halogen
Incandescent
product. The most significant impact will
be in the residential market, where sales
of halogen lamps are expected to triple
through 2017. However, halogen lamps
are less efficient and shorter-lived than
LEDs and will face strong competition
from these products.
The market for fluorescent lamps is
expected to decline to $2.4 billion in
2017, in part reflecting the rising competition from LEDs that will impact all lamp
products. Additionally, 2012 represented
an elevated base for fluorescent lamps,
since CFLs and efficient T8 and T5
fluorescent lamps had already begun
replacing less efficient products facing
regulatory phase out, including T12
fluorescent types. While products like
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Page Fluorescent
CFLs will continue to benefit from EISA
and related regulations through 2014, by
2017 many of the inefficient products will
have been replaced, and the longer
service lives of fluorescent lamps will
restrain unit demand.
Through 2017, demand for high intensity
discharge (HID) lamps is projected to
increase 2.1 percent per year to $2.2
billion. However, the market for HID
lamps is expected to decline between
2017 and 2022, primarily due to the
rising penetration levels of LED lighting
in the outdoor market, which utilizes the
most expensive high wattage HID lamps
and will therefore cause especially
dramatic declines in value terms.
Copyright 2013 The Freedonia Group, Inc.
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Study #3054
October 2013
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Lamps
US Industry Study with Forecasts for 2017 & 2022
Sample Text,
Table & Chart
TABLE V-13
HALOGEN LAMP SUPPLY & DEMAND
(millier dollars)
Item
2002 2007 2012 2017 2022
Gross Domestic Product (bil 2005$)1187613685142321615018300
units/mil $ GDP
47
55
64 77
72
electrical discharge lamps
Halogen Lamp Demand (mil units) 560 759 915 1245 1310
$/unit 1.15 1.05 1.20 1.45 1.24
High Intensity Discharge & Other Electrical Discharge Lamps
Demand for high intensity discharge (HID) and other electrical
Halogen Lamp Demand 642 800 1100 1810 1630
discharge lamps totaled $2.2 billion in 2012, making up just under 30
Large Halogen Lamps 283 345 584 1195 952
percent of overall lamp demand. The majority was accounted forbyMiniature Halogen Lamps 359 455 516 615 678
the HID lamp segment, due to both the more widespread use of those
lamps and to their high cost. Through 2017, demand for HID and other
- imports 245 295 385 650 600
discharge lamps will increase 2.0 percent annually to $2.4 billion. The
+ exports
75
80
85 125 105
market will benefit from relatively solid growth in the outdoor lighting
market and increasing market penetration in the motor vehicle market,
Halogen Lamp Shipments 472 585 800 1285 1135
both of which are important for HID lamps. However, preventing even
more rapid growth will be the expected moderation in the prices for
Residential Molding & Trim Demand 4134 4984 6713 6750 7915
many of these electric discharge lamps and competition from LED lighting products.
sample
table
sample
text
Demand for HID lamps is expected to decline between 2017 and
2022. In part this reflects the fact that by 2017 the replacement of mercury vapor lamps will be essentially complete, thereby limiting opportunities to upgrade to other HID products. In addition, as the initial cost of
LED lighting products for high wattage outdoor lighting declines and the
longer term benefits (e.g., longer service life and lower energy costs) are
proven, demand for LED lighting in outdoor market is expected to increase rapidly. This will negatively impact demand for both metal halide
and sodium vapor lamps in this market. Because the outdoor market
uses the most expensive high wattage lamps, the declining demand for
HID lamps in this market will cause especially dramatic declines in
value terms. Furthermore, the shifting mix of HID lamps sold will negatively impact the average sales price for the overall HID lamp segment.
Imports of HID and other discharge lamps accounted for 25 percent of demand in 2012, up sharply from 2002 levels. Going forward,
imports of discharge lamps are expected to rise more rapidly than the
overall market, increasing their share, but remaining below 40 percent of
114
US LAMP MARKET SHARE BY COMPANY
($7.4 billion, 2012)
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O th e rs
5 5 .8 %
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Page CHART VII-1
sample
chart
M a rk e t
L e a d e rs
4 4 .2 %
17.0%
GE
13.6%
O SR AM
L ich t
13.6%
Ph ilip s
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Lamps
US Industry Study with Forecasts for 2017 & 2022
Sample Profile,
Table & Forecast
TABLE VI-3
RESIDENTIAL BUILDING MARKET FOR LAMPS
(million dollars)
Item
2002 2007 2012 2017 2022
Households (mil units) 110.4 117.2 121.1 127.0 132.3
units/household 20
20
15
6
4
Residential Lamp Demand (mil units) 2177 2356 1805 825 495
$/unit 0.57 0.86 1.20 2.60 3.04
Residential Lamp Demand 1237 2030 2165 2145 1505
By Segment:
Single-Family 962 1610 1760 1700 1200
Multifamily 200 315 305 335 230
Manufactured Housing
75 105 100 110
75
By Type:
Incandescent 830 788 600
95
50
Halogen
92
99 290 935 720
CFL 176 995 1135 1030 660
Other Types 139 148 140
85
75
% residential 45.3 55.4 53.9 54.0 47.3
Building Lamp Demand 2728 3665 4015 3970 3180
sample
table
COMPANY PROFILES
National Cathode Corporation
210 Calming Water Trail
Dallas, GA 30132
770-529-4690
http://www.nationalcathode.com
sample
profile
Key Products: cold cathode
lighting systems
Annual Sales: $15 million (estimated)
Employment: 50 (estimated)
National Cathode is a privately held manufacturer of cold cathode
lighting systems. The Company’s products are primarily intended for
commercial, residential, industrial, entertainment, gaming, assembly,
and health care environments.
The Company’s cold cathode lighting systems are available in
such styles as NPF-6, NPF-12, and SS24 dimmable commercial use
types, which are used with magnetic transformers. National Cathode
makes HPB-1, HPB2, and HPB/SMART-STEP high power factor,
non-dimmed models for use with magnetic ballast systems. Additionally, LST-1 and LST-2 normal power factor lamps are engineered for
use with magnetic ballast systems. The Company’s HPE-2012 and
HPE/2027 95-watt (W) models, and HPED-10127 50-W lamps utilize
electronic energy supplies. National Cathode’s lamps are suitable for
arch lighting, luminous ceilings and walls, skylights, pendants and
custom fixtures, exposed and sculpture lighting, artwork lighting, stairs,
walkways and ramps, cove lighting, glass backlighting, indoor pylons,
elevator signals, custom signage, and a wide range of other uses.
National Cathode has US manufacturing operations in Seymour,
Tennessee; and an assembly facility in Queens Village, New York.
Copyright 2013 The Freedonia Group, Inc.
This Freedonia study, Lamps,
offers historical data (2002, 2007,
2012) plus forecasts for 2017 and
2022 for lamp demand by type
and market. The study also details
key market environment factors,
examines the industry structure,
evaluates company market share
and profiles 32 competitors in the
US lamp industry.
277
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INDUSTRY MARKET RESEARCH FOR BUSINESS LEADERS, STRATEGISTS, DECISION MAKERS
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About The Freedonia Group
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World demand for lighting is projected to climb more
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the fastest global market gains. This study analyzes
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