THE LOCATION DECISION IN THE INFORMAL VENTURE CAPITAL INVESTMENTS Sofia Avdeitchikova School of Economics and Management Lund University Box 7080, SE-220 07 Lund Tel. + 46 (46) 222 14 23 Fax + 46 (46) 222 44 37 Sofia.Avdeitchikova@fek.lu.se 2 Introduction Over the past 25 years, the USA has pioneered a new technological revolution, based on a large number of new small enterprises, financed by a dynamic venture capital market (Norton, 2001). The European Union, however, has been lagging behind in entrepreneurial activity and development of technological sector, and, compared to the US, small entrepreneurial firms find it harder to get access to finance for start-up and growth (Martin et al., 2002). The dominant view is that the reason behind that is the nature of capital markets in Europe. Across much of Europe, young small enterprises have traditionally relied on banks as major providers of finance. Banks, however, normally only lend if the loan can be secured against some kind of collateral (Lumme et al., 1998). The companies’ assets at the early stage of development are scarce, and the traditional forms of collateral can rarely be provided. Banks are for instance reluctant to invest in risky technology-based businesses whose main assets are immaterial, such as patents. Therefore, the development of well-functioning venture capital market is crucial to stimulate the emergence and development of innovative high-technology firms that contribute to economic growth and value creation (Martin et al., 2002). The last two decades have been characterized by a considerable expansion of institutional venture capital industry in many developed economies (Mason and Harrison, 1997). However, its role in the entrepreneurial process has been increasingly limited by several factors (Mason and Harrison, 1995). The investment focus of the venture capital industry has shifted progressively away from early stages and technology based ventures towards more established companies and management/leveraged buyouts. This has in its turn led to a substantial increase of the average size of investments over the past few years (Mason and Harrison, 2000). Further, the studies of the institutional venture capital have shown that there is a high level of geographical concentration of venture capital activity to financial centres and regions with high entrepreneurial activity (Martin, 1992, Mason and Harrison, 1995, NUTEK, 2004). Together, this development has lead to an increasing shortage of relatively small, geographically dispersed investments in early stages of entrepreneurial ventures’ development. Informal venture capital, i.e. private individuals who invest risk capital directly in unquoted companies in which they have no family connection, has been increasingly recognized as an important source of early-stage finance. Informal venture capital investors usually invest smaller sums of money, which better matches the external capital needs of young entrepreneurial firms (Landström, 1993). Further, they are believed to make more risky investments, partially because they do not commit their entire savings to the unquoted company sector. According to Mason and Harrison (1994) informal investors allocate about 5 to 10 per cent of their investment portfolio to unquoted companies, which allows them to take a larger portion of risk. Finally, informal venture capital investments are expected to be less geographically concentrated than institutional venture capital, which, if true, means that they 3 are important for providing finance to remote regions and bridging the regional equity gap (Mason and Harrison, 1995). This notion that informal venture capital is geographically dispersed is largely based on two observations. Firstly, as indicated by Gaston (1989) in his study of the US market, informal investors seem to be found practically everywhere. Secondly, informal investors are expected to invest in the geographical proximity of their homes. This was initially suggested by Gaston (1989) and later repeatedly confirmed in several European countries (see for example Landström 1993, Mason and Harrison, 1994, Lumme et al., 1998) and in the US (Sohl, 1999). For instance, Lumme et al. (1998) have shown that 60 per cent of investments take place within a radius of 100 kilometres from investor’s home or workplace, while according to Mason and Harrison (2002), three-quarters of investors would not invest in companies further away than two hours journey. The local nature of informal investments has been explained by a hands-on nature of informal investments, implying considerable involvement in the object of investment, reliance on personal social and business networks for information on potential deal, as well as investors’ reluctance to make the time commitment to visit potential investment object at distant locations. However, the recent study of the Swedish informal venture capital market (Avdeitchikova and Landström, 2005) has surprisingly shown that a large part of the informal investments in Sweden are made without the geographic proximity to the investment object. In fact, geographical proximity was found in only just over 40 per cent of cases. Instead, other factors have shown to be of major importance, such as previous connection to the industry, to the company and to the entrepreneur. With such a significant part of investments taking place at a distant location from investors home, it is important to provide explanations for what drives the location decision in informal venture capital investments. With this background, insights from the survey study based on more than 400 actual investments will be used to investigate the location decisions in the informal venture capital investments. Social capital theory and financial theory are used as a theoretical ground for the analysis. The rest of paper is structured as following. First, I present the key definitions to position this study against other studies in this area. In the next section contains the discussion of social capital approach and financial approach, which I bring together into a model. In subsequent section I formulate a number of hypotheses based on the theoretical discussion. This is followed by a description of method used. The empirical data is presented, followed by the test of the hypotheses. Finally, the findings and the implications of the study are discussed. 4 Definitions Informal venture capital The key definition that has to be clarified in the dissertation is what is meant by informal venture capital investors. Informal investors in this study are defined as private individuals who invest equity capital directly in unquoted companies in which they have no family connection, which implies that the potential investors (Freear et al., 1994; Coveney and Moore, 1998 etc.) and corporate investors (Coveney and Moore, 1998) are excluded from the study. This also means that investments in own or family owned companies are excluded. While those investments together may comprise a large part of small business finance market, they are not considered to be informal investments in this study. It is particularly important to distinguish this group of individuals from those called “business angels”. Business angels are considered to be investors with high investment activity that contribute considerable resources to the companies they invest in. The definition of informal investors in this study, on the other hand, includes also investors with low investment activity and those who do not contribute considerable resources to the firm. The definition used in this study gives therefore a broader perspective on the informal venture capital investments, but also makes us reconsider the applicability of our previous knowledge based on studies of business angels. Measure of distance Further, it is important to define the measure of distance used in this study. Compared previous studies, where such measures as absolute distance in kilometres (miles) and travel time where used to describe the distance (Landström 1993, Mason and Harrison, 1994, Lumme et al., 1998, Sohl, 1999, Mason and Harrison, 2002), here I use the local labour market as a measure of distance. Sweden contains 87 local labour markets, and the investments within the same local labour market is considered to be a local investments (or “home investments”), while the investments outside the investors local labour market are considered to be distant investments (or “non-home investments”). I believe that this is a fair measure of distance, because it incorporates the absolute distance between the investor and the object of investment of the one hand, and the relative measures of travel time and accessibility on the other hand. 5 Frame of reference Social capital theory The concept of social capital has been used to describe a wide range of social phenomena, and there is no uniform definition of what social capital is. However, the definitions of social capital can be broadly divided in two categories. The first one is mainly focused on the relations an individual actor establishes and develops with other actors, while the second one is concerned with the structure of relations among actors within a community or collective (Sørheim, 2003). The first definition that is based on the individual actor level is called the “bridging view” and was introduced by Burt (1992:9), who defines it as “friends, colleagues, and more general contacts through whom you receive opportunities to use your financial and human capital”. This framework is based on a network concept introduced by Granovetter (1973), though it is narrowed down and primary concerned with two issues: information and trust. These are two key concepts that I would like to elaborate on and analyse their impact on investment location decision. Information Investing in new and high-technology based ventures is associated with high degree of uncertainty, risk and asymmetrical information. Therefore, gaining reliable and timely information about companies, entrepreneurs, competitors and market conditions is crucial for the success of the investment. Access to information has been used as one of the main arguments to explain the local nature of investment activity. For instance, Caves (1996:58) argues that when investing at the home location, the investor can access the “social and cultural milieu as a spillover without explicit costs”. Making investments at the distant location, the investor will therefore be faced with higher information costs, leading to competitive disadvantage. Due to recent development of informational technology, hard information, i.e. such information that may easily be reduced to numbers (Peterson, 2002), can be transmitted freely across space. On the other hand, soft information is embedded in social relations, and is difficult to access at distant location. The “sticky” quality of soft information has been used to explain the concentration of economic activity far beyond the area of financial investments. The access to local information is a part of traditional framework developed by Marshall (1920), which is used to explain the industrial clustering in economic geography (Zook, 2002). As the complexity of information increases, it is not only the amount of information that becomes important, but also the reliability of information. Even if this kind of information may reach the financial actors in other regions, it will, firstly, take longer time, and secondly, the reliability of such information will be much harder to establish (Gompers and Lerner, 1999). Even more significantly, some researchers have suggested that the soft information can not be accessed at any cost without the local presence (Zook, 2002). 6 Trust It has been widely argued that social capital is better developed in the close geographical proximity of the individual. One of the arguments for that is that social capital can only be developed on a basis of trust, which is considered to be something that emerges over time and through frequent interactions. For instance, as described by Lublinski (2003:457), “…To develop trust, agents need to be able to learn about each others motives, character, performance and socio-cultural background in order to be able to evaluate each other’s reputation capital and overall trust worthiness.” Therefore trust would be better established where face-to-face contacts frequently take place, which means between geographically proximate agents. In their study of the role of trust in informal investor’s investment decision, among others Fiet (1995) and Harrison et al. (1997) have distinguished between trustful relationship between the investor and the entrepreneur on one hand, and between the investor and the network of informants on the other hand. They have showed that trust between the investor and the entrepreneur reduces risk for opportunism and uncertainty associated with investment. Hence, investors are more likely to provide finance to entrepreneurs with whom they have a previous social relationship. Further, the investor perceives information gained from known parties as more reliable, which increases the likehood of positive investment decision. Figueiredo et al. (2002) in their study of entrepreneurs’ choice of business location have talked about “investor’s home base” that reflects the entrepreneur’s social capital, defined as personal factors, such as community ties and friendships, as well as proximity to home and family. They have particularly shown that there is a trade-off between personal factors and strictly economic decision-making criteria. For instance, they found that entrepreneurs could accept over three times higher labour costs to stay in their resident area of business. The investor’s social capital can therefore constitute an important asset that is not easy to replicate outside the investor’s home base. Lack of geographical proximity – possible explanations So far I have argued that the geographical, or physical, proximity is an important factor for accessing information and relying on trustful personal relations in the informal venture capital investments. However, a number of factors can be identified from previous research which can be expected to limit the importance of geographical proximity. The insights from the social capital theory point at the importance social capital for access to timely and relevant information and the development of trust between parties. However, as I have noticed in the introduction, a surprisingly large amount of investments take place outside the geographical proximity of the investor. In other words, there is a reason to believe that informal investors can invest at distant location if they in some other way can compensate for 7 a higher degree of the uncertainty. Alternatively, they can undertake non-home investments if they for some reason require a lower degree of control than other investors. To support the first argument, we can look at the study conducted by Figueiredo et al. (2002) on the location decisions of the entrepreneurs. While the title itself indicates that entrepreneurs doing business at the previous location of their activity experience a “homefield advantage”, the authors make an important exception, by referring to the advantage of possessing industry-specific information. In other words, the investor may compensate for the uncertainty associated with investing at a distant location, by making use of the industryspecific information acquired from personal background or developed on the local market. Thus there might be a case of geographically dispersed professional networks that reduces the importance of geographical proximity because of the superior industrial knowledge. The same evidence has been provided by Sørheim (2003), who noticed the importance of individual’s previous track record for the future investment behaviour. In particular, he showed that investors with previous track record related to a specific region, will tend to keep making investments to that region. At the same time, individuals with an industry specific experience will mostly invest within the same industry, not restricted to any particular geographical location. As Sørheim (2003:337) puts it, “regional track record will be replaced by industry specific record”. Note that the regional track record does not necessarily refer to the investor’s home region. The same pattern has been for instance indicated by Caves (1996) in his study of multinational enterprise, who argues that the costs that are related to making business at a certain location can be seen as learning costs rather that reoccurring costs (Caves, 1996). This implies that this cost is most significant for new-entrants, diminishing with every new deal. Further, as argued by Mason and Harrison (1997) at a more general level, if information on the investment opportunity is available from reliable non-local sources, as for instance national business angels’ networks, the investors should not exhibit a tendency to invest locally. Another reason to invest at non-home location, as indicated above, is if investor can accept a lower degree of control. The study of Avdeitchikova and Landström (2005) has shown that informal investors that are actively involved in the activities of the firm after the investment tend to invest near their homes to a larger extent than those who are not. The same tendency has been found in the area of institutional venture capital, where among others Gorman and Sahlman (1989), Bygrave and Timmons (1992) and Lerner (1995) have shown that the extent of the monitoring role is dependent upon the distance between venture capitalists and the investment objects. Therefore, investors that are less actively involved in their investments will be less concerned with investing in ventures that are geographically close (Van Osnabrugge, 1998). 8 Financial theory While the social capital theory can be useful for understanding why and when the geographical proximity is important, it only states the fact the there be a case on non-local investments. Thus it does not provide explanations for whether there should be any location patterns in non-home investments. For that purposes I would like to use some insight form financial theory. Webber (1972) in his seminal work on uncertainty and location has stated explicitly that investors, when operating at distant markets, will value factors that reduce uncertainty. In particular they will favour agglomeration economies and proximity to the large markets. Informal venture capital investments are characterized by a high degree of uncertainty, risk and ambiguous information. Therefore, in making investments at distant locations, informal investors are likely to benefit from presence of other investors at the same location as it increases access to information (Gompers and Lerner, 1999, Mason and Harrison, 1999, Porteous, 1999). They are also likely to locate their investments near the core regions, in this case financial centres and areas of high entrepreneurial activity, to reduce uncertainty and take advantage of informational spillovers (Figueiredo et al., 2002). As pointed out by Gehrig (1998), a factor driving the concentration of financial activity is market liquidity. In liquid markets individual transactions cause no significant price fluctuations whereas in illiquid markets even small transactions may cause considerable price movements. Risk averse investor would prefer to trade where market liquidity is high, as the risk of price fluctuation is lower. As a consequence, liquid markets will attract more trading volume, which is another reason for the concentration of investment activity. Summary of the theoretical analysis and formulation of the hypotheses The social capital theory indicates that access to information and trustful relations between actors is the primary reason for the local nature of investments. Therefore, the first hypothesis can be formulated as following: H1: In home investments, informal investors are more likely to obtain information on the investment deals from their social network than in non-home investments. When investing at distant location, investors are exposed to a higher risk, than when investing at the home base. Everything else equal, the investors are supposed to prefer home investments to non-home investments. Therefore, when investing at a distant location the investors should require a higher monetary return than in home investments. Our second hypothesis is: 9 H2: Informal investors have higher monetary return requirements when making investments at distant locations. Cost of making investments at a remote location can be seen as a learning cost that diminishes over time. The investors are therefore supposed to appropriate on the learning costs by make their investments at the same region. Therefore, the next hypothesis will be: H3: The subsequent non-home investments will take place at the same geographical location as previous non-home investment. Further, investors that possess a certain industry specific experience will be less geographically constraint to their home base in their investment location decisions. We can therefore predict that: H4: The investors with previous experience of the industry of investment are more likely to make non-home investments than those without that experience. The active involvement in the object of investment is one of the important reason for the decision to invest locally. Therefore we can expect following: H5: Investors that are less actively involved in their investments will be less concerned with investing in ventures that are geographically close. Finally, as financial theory indicates, the non-home investment will tend to agglomerate and concentrate to large financial markets, to take advantage of higher market liquidity and informational spillovers, thereby reducing the uncertainty associated with informal venture capital investments. Therefore our last hypothesis will be: H6: Non-home investments will be concentrated to financial centres and areas with high entrepreneurial activity. The expected locational pattern can be summarized in the model presented in Figure 1. The model illustrates that the investments will first and foremost be located at the investor’s home base, which is shown by grey arrows, as predicted by social capital theory. The investments that take place outside the investor’s home base will be concentrated to the financial centres and regions with high entrepreneurial activity, as predicted by financial theory. This is illustrated by white arrows in the model. 10 Peripheral regions Home investments Core region Non-home investments Figure 1. The expected location pattern of informal venture capital investments Methodological issues This study is based on 422 informal venture capital investments conducted under the period 1973-2005 in Sweden. Because of the large time span, I have conducted a comparative analysis to identify any changes of the location pattern over time. The analysis showed that the investments exhibit a constant location pattern, therefore the further analysis does not have to be controlled for time issue. The data on the investments was gathered from a large sample of Swedish population. The study started with a random survey of 24 166 private individuals between 18 and 79 years to determine the number of informal venture capital investors in this group. After the preliminary survey we were able to identify some 861 persons that claimed that they have made investments in unquoted companies in which they have no family connection within the last 5 years. Those 548 who agreed to participate in the second phase of this study were contacted during summer and fall 2004, to get detailed information about their informal investments. The proposed methodological approach enhances the reliability of results and allows statistical nationwide generalizations. The sample developmental process is illustrated in Table 1. 11 Table 1. The sample developmental process Category Individuals randomly sampled Number of “Yes” answers to the screening question Agreed to participate (first phase) Failed to establish contact Refused to participate (second phase) Interviews completed Not investors Informal venture capital investors Total 24 166 861 Percent Percent Percent 100% 3.6% 548 -115 -32 401 -124 277 2.3% 100% 21.0% 5.8% 73.2% 100% 30.9% 69.1% Strengths and weaknesses of the study This study’s strength lies in the fact that it is based on a large random sample of informal investors. This is a first study within the area of informal venture capital conducted on a representative sample of a countries population. This means that the results can be are representative for the whole population of informal venture capital investors in Sweden. Another methodological strength is that the data gathering was conducted through telephone interviews. The response rate is very high (79 per cent) compared with similar studies in other countries (Sørheim and Landström, 2001; Harrison and Mason, 1992). Furthermore, the personal contact with the respondent reduces risk for the misinterpretation of the questions. Finally, all data on investment behavior is based on the actual investment history rather than hypothetical assumptions. This enhances the objectivity and reliability of the data. The weakness of this study is that the data are gathered solely from the respondents own words. Neither the investment activity nor the background information has been doublechecked with the tax authorities. However, we chose this way of gathering data because of our belief that not all investment activity is registered, and because of the difficulties to gain access to non-public information through tax authorities. Empirical results Summary of the empirical results The data used for the test of the hypotheses in subsequent section is summarized in table 2. For the purpose of the analysis I distinguish between home and non-home investments and give a brief describing characteristic of each category. 12 Table 2. Description of the empirical material. Characteristic Home investments (n=174) Non-home investments (n=245) Obtained information on investment opportunity from social network. High return potential as primary investment criteria. Investment located in financial centre. 79.9 per cent 63.1 per cent 33.3 per cent 46.7 per cent 55.7 per cent 34.8 per cent Test of hypotheses H1 predicts that in home investments, informal investors will be more likely to obtain information on the investment deals from their social network than in non-home investments. To test this hypothesis, I have compared the share of investors obtaining information from their social network in home investments versus non-home investments. The results showed that in home investments, in 139 out of 174 cases information was obtained from social network, while in non-home investments that was true in 154 out of 244 cases. Chi-square test gives us a value of approximately 13.628. H1 is therefore supported, p<0.001. According to H2, informal investors should have higher monetary return requirements when making investments at distant locations than in home investments. The data shows that in non-home investments, 114 out 244 investments were made with high return potential as primary investment criteria. The corresponding number for home investments is 58 out of 174. Chi-square test gives us a value of 7.518. H2 is therefore supported, p<0.01. H3 suggests that subsequent non-home investments will take place at the same geographical location as the first non-home investment. Because I needed to compare geographical location of two or more investments, I have only looked at those individuals for whom the data on the last two or more investments were available. The results show that out of 67 cases where the investor repeatedly made non-home investments, in only 19 cases the investments were made at the same geographical location. This means that the majority of subsequent non-home investments are not made at the same location. H3 is rejected. According to H4, the investors with previous experience of the industry of investment are more likely to make non-home investments than those without that experience. The data shows that out of 189 investments made with previous experience of the industry, 91 where non-home investments. In those cases where the investor did not have previous experience of the industry, 153 of 229 investments where non-home investments. Therefore, the investors with previous business experience are not more likely to make non-home investments. H4 is rejected. 13 H5 suggests that investors’ tendency to invest near their home or workplaces can be explained by the hands-on nature of informal investments. To test this proposition we compare the share of investments conducted near homes or workplaces for active and passive investors. In 99 cases out of 418, the investor was actively involved in the firm. In the remaining 319 cases the investor was passive. Out of the 99 investments accompanied by investors active involvement, 59 had geographical proximity to investors home or workplace, compared to 112 out of 319 for investments not associated with active involvement. Chi-square test gives a value of 18.739, which shows that there is a significant difference between the proportion of investment with geographical proximity to home or workplace between the groups. H5 is therefore supported. Finally, H6 suggests that non-home investments will be concentrated to financial centres and areas with high entrepreneurial activity. To test this hypothesis, I have looked at the location of investments that took place outside the geographical proximity from investors home. The core regions are defined as large financial markets, regions with concentration of income, wealth and high entrepreneurial activity, in accordance with Avdeitchikova and Landström (2005). Out of 212 non-home investments, 85 where located in core regions. Because the population on core and periphery regions is approximately the same in Sweden, we can establish that the majority of non-home investments are therefore not made in core regions. H6 is rejected. The results of hypothesis testing are summarized in Table 3. Table 3. Summary of the empirical results. Hypotheses H1: In home investments, informal investors are more likely to obtain information on the investment deals from their social network than in non-home investments. H2: Informal investors have higher monetary return requirements when making investments at distant locations. H3: The subsequent non-home investments will take place at the same geographical location as the first non-home investment. H4: The investors with previous experience of the industry of investment are more likely to make non-home investments than those without that experience. H5: Investors that are less actively involved in their investments will be less concerned with investing in ventures that are geographically close. H6: Non-home investments will be concentrated to financial centres and areas with high entrepreneurial activity. ** Significant on the 0.01 level *** Significant on the 0.001 level Chi – square Supported 13.628*** Yes 7.518** Yes No No 18.739*** Yes No 14 Conclusions and contributions In this study I have found support for three important statements. Firstly, the social network seems to be more important in obtaining information on potential deals in home investments than in non-home investments. This supports the view that investor’s social capital is regionally rooted and not easily transferable or replicated. Secondly, informal venture capital investors are more concerned with monetary return in non-home investments than in home investments. This is in accordance with the view that there is a trade-off between the lack of geographical proximity higher return rate requirements to compensate for additional risk. Finally, the investors that are less actively involved in their investments will be less concerned with investing in ventures that are geographically close. Rather unexpectedly, I have not found any support for hypotheses 3, 4 and 6. Even more significantly, there seem to be an opposite relationship in all three cases. The test has shown that the majority of non-home investments are not located in core regions. On the contrary, the majority of investments seem to flow to other peripheral regions, and in some cases, abroad. These findings will develop our model as follows (Figure 2): Peripheral regions Home investments Core region Investment flows between peripheral regions Non-home investments Further, the informal investors don’t seem to appropriate on their learning cost of making investments on distant locations. 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