NOO data briefing www.noo.org.uk Adult Weight june 2011 Key points l In 2009 an estimated 61% of adults (aged 16 and over) were overweight or obese (Table 1). Just over 2% of adults were underweight, around the same proportion who were morbidly obese. l Men and women have a similar prevalence of obesity, but men are more likely to be overweight (44% compared to 33%) (Table 1). l The prevalence of obesity in adults rose from just over 15% in 1993 to 23% in 2009 (Figure 2). l Many of those in the obese category have a body mass index (BMI) of well over 30 (Figure 3). There are more women than men with extremely high BMI values. l The prevalence of obesity and overweight changes with age. Prevalence of overweight and obesity are lowest in the 16–24 years age group, and generally higher in the older age groups among both men and women (Figure 4). l Among men and women, the prevalence of obesity increased across almost all social classes between 1997 and 2008 (Figure 5). Men in the skilled manual group have the highest prevalence of obesity and those in the professional group the lowest. Women in the unskilled manual group have the highest prevalence and once again those in the professional group have the lowest. l Women from Black African groups appear to have the highest prevalence of obesity and men from Chinese and Bangladeshi groups the lowest, based on the most recent data (2004). However, research has shown that BMI may overestimate obesity among Africans and underestimate obesity in South Asians. Using adjusted thresholds for these ethnic groups could improve obesity estimates. NOO is delivered by Solutions for Public Health www.noo.org.uk NOO data briefing: adult Weight 2 Current figures Figure 1 and Table 1 give a detailed breakdown of weight status in recent years, based on Health Survey for England (HSE) data. They show that in 2009 around 61% of adults were overweight or obese (including morbidly obese); this equates to 57% of women and 66% of men. Men and women have a similar prevalence of obesity, but men are more likely to be overweight. Women are slightly more likely than men to be underweight, or to be obese. The adult prevalence of morbid obesity is around 2%, as is the prevalence of underweight. Figure 1: Adult (aged 16 and over) obesity prevalence, 2007–2009 45 Obese 40 Overweight Proportion of adults (%) 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 24.0 36.7 24.5 2007 36.9 23.0 2008 38.3 2009 Year Source: Health Survey for England E rror bars on chart are 95% confidence intervals. These indicate the level of uncertainty about each value on the chart. Wider intervals mean more uncertainty. Table 1: Weight status among adults (aged 16 and over), 2007 to 2009 2007 (%) Weight status category Underweight Men Women 2008 (%) All adults Men Women 2009 (%) All adults Men Women All adults 1.2 2.0 1.6 1.6 2.0 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.3 Healthy weight 33.8 41.6 37.7 32.5 41.1 36.8 32.0 40.8 36.4 Overweight 41.4 32.0 36.7 41.8 32.0 36.9 43.7 32.8 38.3 Obese (including morbidly obese) 23.6 24.4 24.0 24.1 24.9 24.5 22.1 23.9 23.0 Source: Health Survey for England www.noo.org.uk NOO data briefing: adult Weight 3 Trends Figure 2 shows the changing prevalence of overweight and obesity in adults (aged 16 years and over) since 1995 from the HSE. It shows a rise in obesity from about 15% in 1995 to just below 25% in 2009. The rate of increase was higher between 1995 and 2001 than it has been since 2001. The HSE report indicates that there has been no significant change since 2008 for men or women. The prevalence of overweight has remained broadly stable during this time at 37–39%. This suggests that roughly the same number of people have moved from the normal to the overweight category as have moved from overweight to obese. Figure 2: Prevalence of overweight and obesity among adults (aged 16 and over), 3-year moving averages, 1995 to 2009 45 40 Prevalence (%) 35 30 25 20 15 Obese 10 Overweight 5 0 9 00 8 7 00 00 –2 –2 06 07 20 20 –2 6 00 5 4 00 –2 –2 05 04 20 20 03 00 –2 3 2 00 –2 02 20 20 01 00 –2 1 0 00 –2 00 20 20 99 00 9 99 –1 8 99 –2 97 98 19 19 19 –1 7 99 6 99 –1 96 95 19 19 –1 5 99 –1 94 93 19 19 Year Source: Health Survey for England The latest HSE report states that there are indications that the trend may be flattening out, at least temporarily. However, it is too soon to tell whether this is the case. Future projections1 do not indicate any flattening out of the current rising obesity trend in adults. By 2020 for men aged 20–65, projections signal a clear decline in the prevalence of healthy weight accompanied by significant increases in the prevalence of obesity and morbid obesity. For women there is also a projected rise in obesity and morbid obesity but to a lesser extent than for men. This is the opposite of the current situation where morbid obesity is more common in women than in men. 1B rown M, Byatt T, Marsh T, McPherson K (2009) A prediction of Obesity Trends for Adults and their associated diseases: Analysis from the Health Survey for England 1993–2007. Report. London; National Heart Forum www.noo.org.uk NOO data briefing: adult Weight 4 BMI distribution Figure 3 shows the difference in the distribution of BMI between men and women. It combines HSE data from three years (2007–2009) to get a more reliable picture. A higher proportion of women are underweight or at a healthy weight compared to men, but as BMI increases the pattern changes – a higher proportion of men than women are overweight or obese. These charts make it very clear that many men and women have a BMI greater than the ‘healthy weight’ range (18.5 to 25). The right hand ‘tail’ (skewness) of the curve indicates the range of extremely high BMI values observed for both sexes. A higher proportion of women than men are morbidly obese. Figure 3: Distribution of BMI for men and women (aged 18 and over), 2007–2009 Underweight Healthy weight Overweight Obese Morbidly obese <18.5kg/m2 18.5 to <25kg/m2 25 to <30kg/m2 30 to <40kg/m2 ≥40kg/m2 Men 26.8% Men 45.4% Women 24.7% Women 35.2% Men 0.6% Men 1.4% Men 25.8% Women Women 1.1% 12 3.1% Women 35.9% 18.5 25 30 40 BMI (kg/m ) 2 Women Source: Health Survey for England Men 50 www.noo.org.uk NOO data briefing: adult Weight 5 Obesity and age group Figure 4 shows how the prevalence of obesity and overweight changes with age. Prevalence of overweight and obesity is lowest in the 16–24 age group, and generally higher in the older age groups among both men and women. There is a decline in prevalence in the oldest age group which is especially clear in men. A similar pattern was seen for 2008 data. Figure 4: Prevalence of overweight and obesity, by age group, 2009 MEN Obese Overweight 90 Prevalence (%) 80 70 60 50 40 45.2 30 20 10 0 49.2 51.8 49.8 48.9 43.7 38.4 28.7 5.9 13.4 21.2 34.1 32.2 29.6 22.9 22.1 16–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75+ All Age group (years) WOMEN Obese Overweight 90 Prevalence (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 29.1 23.0 36.3 39.3 44.3 35.1 32.8 27.3 16.6 16.5 24.2 26.5 28.9 31.1 25.6 23.9 16–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75+ All Age group (years) Source: Health Survey for England www.noo.org.uk NOO data briefing: adult Weight 6 Obesity and social class Figure 5 compares trends in obesity prevalence among men and women in different social classes. There are differences between the classes in both sexes, although the disparity is much greater for women than men. For men, the highest prevalence of obesity is found among those in social class IIIm – skilled manual and the lowest among those in social class I – professional. For women, the highest prevalence of obesity is found among those in social class V – unskilled manual, and the lowest once again among those in social class I – professional. The gap between highest and lowest has widened since 1997 for both sexes. For women in social class I, the variation in obesity prevalence over the period is most likely due to the small numbers of professional women surveyed rather than a true decrease in obesity prevalence. Figure 5: Obesity prevalence in adults by social class and sex, 1997–2008, 5-year moving average MEN 35 30 Prevalence (%) 25 20 15 10 I – professional IIIn – skilled non-manual IV – semi-skilled manual 5 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 II – managerial technical IIIm – skilled manual V – unskilled manual 2005 2006 2007 2008 Year WOMEN 40 35 30 Prevalence (%) 25 20 15 10 I – professional IIIn – skilled non-manual IV – semi-skilled manual 5 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Year Source: Health Survey for England 2003 2004 II – managerial technical IIIm – skilled manual V – unskilled manual 2005 2006 2007 2008 www.noo.org.uk NOO data briefing: adult Weight 7 Obesity and ethnicity Figure 6 presents HSE 2004 data, which included a ‘boost sample’ from minority ethnic groups, enabling more detailed analysis of data by ethnicity. Women from Black African groups appear to have the highest prevalence of obesity and men from Chinese and Bangladeshi groups the lowest. Women appear to have a higher prevalence in almost every minority ethnic group, with a significant difference between women and men among the Pakistani, Bangladeshi and Black African groups. However, there is ongoing debate as to whether the current criteria for defining obesity in both adults and children are appropriate for non-European ethnic groups. BMI is not always an accurate predictor of body fat or fat distribution in individuals. Research has shown that for the same BMI, people of African ethnicity are likely to carry less fat and people of South Asian ethnicity more fat than the general population. This suggests that BMI overestimates obesity among Africans and underestimates obesity in South Asians. Using adjusted thresholds for these ethnic groups could improve obesity estimates. These data are the most recent data on adult obesity by ethnic group and are now seven years old. Future boosted samples are needed to make it possible to monitor trends over time in these populations. Figure 6: Prevalence of obesity in adults (aged 16 and over) by ethnic group and sex, 2004 50 Men 45 Women Prevalence (%) 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 23 23 General population 25 32 Black Caribbean 17 38 Black African 25 21 Irish 15 28 Pakistani 14 20 Indian 6 17 Bangladeshi 6 8 Chinese Ethnic group Source: Health Survey for England E rror bars on chart are 95% confidence intervals. These indicate the level of uncertainty about each value on the chart. Wider intervals mean more uncertainty. www.noo.org.uk NOO data briefing: adult Weight 8 Data sources Health Survey for England All data presented here are from the HSE and were the most recent data available at the time of writing. The HSE is a cross-sectional survey which samples a representative proportion of the population. Timing of data collection: The survey is conducted annually. Data for some of the time series are available from 1993 onwards. Certain years include ‘boost samples’ which focus on specific population groups: e.g. 2004 included a boost of individuals from minority ethnic groups. Date of next release: The report on the HSE 2010 should be published online in December 2011. The data should be available from the UK Data Archive in the spring following publication of the report. Definitions Body Mass Index and weight classification in adults BMI is a measure of weight status. BMI is a person’s weight in kilograms divided by the square of their height in metres. The following cut-offs are used to classify adults: BMI range (kg/m2) Classification Less than 18.5 Underweight 18-5–24.9 Healthy weight 25.0–29.9 Overweight 30.0–39.9 Obese Greater than or equal to 40 Morbidly obese In this briefing the definition ‘overweight’ does not include obese. The definition ‘obese’ includes morbidly obese, except in Figure 3. Useful resources Health Survey for England http://www.ic.nhs.uk/statistics-and-data-collections/health-and-lifestyles-related-surveys/health-surveyfor-england http://www.dh.gov.uk/en/Publicationsandstatistics/PublishedSurvey/HealthSurveyForEngland/ Healthsurveyresults/index.htm A prediction of Obesity Trends for Adults and their associated diseases http://www.heartforum.org.uk/Publications_NHFreports_ObesityTrends.aspx Statistics on Obesity, Physical Activity and Diet: England, February 2010 http://www.ic.nhs.uk/statistics-and-data-collections/health-and-lifestyles/obesity/statistics-on-obesityphysical-activity-and-diet-england-2011 Changes summary • March 2010: Original report • June 2011: Updated to include 2009 Health Survey for England data where available info@noo.org.uk 01865 334900 www.noo.org.uk NOO is delivered by Solutions for Public Health June 2011