Week 1a: Economic Decision Making 1 Economics is about people making themselves happy • Moves away from the traditional definition of “allocating scarce resources among competing goals”. • Individuals, like society, must do such allocating, choosing among competing goods with limited resources, a budget constraint. • Behaviors of others and institutions like businesses and government are additional constraints on individual choices. • I like to build economics up from the individual and see how policies affect individual happiness. 2 Economics improves policymaking • Can better see the tradeoffs policy entails • Spotted Owl Protection – Stop logging, costs jobs – Preserve wilderness, increase utility for environmentalists, both those out in the forests and those who like “existence value”. – Increases tourism jobs – See the tradeoffs. Economics is about tradeoffs. 3 Example: Medicare Catastrophic Coverage Act (MCCA) • Really pretty simple – increased Medicare for “Catastrophic coverage”. • Funded by a tax on high income/wealth Medicare recipients. • Overall, additional benefits (in dollar savings) = additional costs (in new taxes) among all Medicare recipients. • Distribution of benefits and costs – Additional Benefits=Additional Costs, 22% – Additional Benefits>Additional Costs, 48% – Additional Benefits<Additional Costs, 30% • So, good or bad policy? 4 Comparing Outcomes • In MCCA, average benefit = average cost • Some people won (22%, mostly the poorest members of the group, many won “big”), some lost (30%, mostly the wealthiest members of the group, few lost “big”) • As a group, were they better off or worse off? • To answer, would have to value some members utility more than others. Economists try not to do this – no special powers to decide “who is deserving”. Leave that to politics. 5 A basis for comparison: The Pareto Criteria Let S1 and S2 be two states of the world. • S1 is Pareto Superior to S2 if all individuals are better off in S1 than in S2. • If S1 is Pareto Superior to S2, then S2 is Pareto Inferior to S1. • If no state is Pareto Superior to S1, then S1 is termed Pareto Optimal. • If S1 is not Pareto Superior to S2 and S2 is not Pareto Superior to S1, S1 and S2 are termed Pareto Noncomparable. 6 Pareto Criteria (continued) • Economists seek and want Pareto Superior outcomes. – Means there is no way to make someone better off without making someone else worse off. – Does not mean the outcome is socially desirable. • Highly skewed distribution of income can be Pareto Optimal. • But may cause social unrest, and not meet overall social values. • Almost all policy making is a choice between Pareto Noncomparable outcomes. 7 Policy Making for Pareto Improvement • Although most policies choose among Pareto Noncomparables (meaning what?), policy design can move to a Pareto superior outcome. • Good microeconomic policy making falls mostly in defining property rights. Property rights means that some person’s or groups utility is considered more important than others. • Smoking is a good example – Before 1970s, property rights belonged to smokers. – Now, property rights belong to nonsmokers. Why? 8 Why do Property Rights work? • Individuals make decisions based on their private benefits and costs. • If someone without property rights values the right more than someone with it, they might be willing to buy it from the holder. • Examples: – Marketable permits – Tolls – Catch limits in fisheries 9 Goals of Policy Making • Efficiency – Tolls (how) – Marketable Permits (how) – Catch limits (how) • Equity – MCCA (what) – Social Security (what) – Catch limits (what) 10 Marginal Analysis: a way to get the most value • Marginal Benefit: The value of the last unit of an action. • Marginal Cost: The cost of the last unit of an action. • Total Value = Total Benefit – Total Cost • Maximize Total Value by setting marginal value equal to marginal cost 11 Maximizing Total Value Let b(x) be the total benefit and c(x) be the total cost of doing x units of some activity. Let T ( x) b( x) c( x) be the total benefit. To maximize T(x) T ( x) b( x) c( x) 0 x x x b( x) c( x) x x Do x until marginal benefit = marginal cost. 12 Applications of Marginal Optimization • Studying • Speed limits • Law enforcement 13