World Meteorological Organization
WMO OMM
Working together in weather, climate and water
Coordination with other Activities of the
WMO Tropical Cyclone Programme
(Item 3 of the Provisional Agenda)
For (TBC)
HC-35,
Willemstad,
Curaçao,
AprilE.B
2013
TC-42
Singapore,
January
1 8 - 12 2010
Manaenkova / C. Blondin
Outline of the Presentation
WMO OMM
Review of TCP activities during the inter-sessional
period
TCP’s priority actions for 2013 and beyond
HC-35, Willemstad, Curaçao, 8 - 12 April 2013
64th Executive Council (June, 2012)
WMO OMM
Capacity development
•
Due consideration to developing countries, LDCs in particular.
Regional TC Committees and WMO Projects
•
Close linkage between TCP and other WMO Programmes through the relevant
WMO projects such as SWFDP and CIFDP
Improvement of Operational TC Forecasting
•
•
•
Extended use of ensemble techniques including multi-model consensus forecasting
and ensemble-based probabilistic guidance
More objective TC analyses as recommended by IWSATC
Establishment of TCFW & new Global Guide
Standardization of the format in TC warnings
•
•
Implementation of Common Alerting Protocol (CAP) in TC warnings
Migration of the format of TCAC advisories for aviation from text to graphics
HC-35, Willemstad, Curaçao, 8 - 12 April 2013
Major Activities of TCP in 2012/2013
WMO OMM
1.
Training courses and workshops
–
2.
Regional Coordination
–
3.
TCP/WWRP joint workshops and projects
Storm Surge Watch Scheme
–
6.
Global Guide; TC Forecaster Website
Application of Research and Development (R&D)
–
5.
Regional TC committee activities & WMO regional projects
Support to Operational Forecasting
–
4.
RA IV Workshop on Hurricane Forecasting, Attachment at RSMCs
RSMC advisories; SS Workshops; IIT training
Global Coordination
–
Standardization (CAP), IBTrACS, TCACs, etc.
HC-35, Willemstad, Curaçao, 8 - 12 April 2013
RSMCs & Regional TC Committees
WMO OMM
(8)
(14)
(15)
HC-35, Willemstad, Curaçao, 8 - 12 April 2013
(26)
(18)
Regular Sessions of TC Committees
WMO OMM
RA V Tropical Cyclone Committee
RA I Tropical Cyclone Committee
(14th Session, 16 - 20 Jul. 2012, Apia, Samoa)
•
•
•
SSWS Action Team and WMO
Secretariat to work for establishment of
RA V SSWS
Agreed to develop TC forecaster
competencies in RA V TCC
Enhanced cooperation with ICG/PTWS
WG SW Pacific
ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee
(45th Session, 29 Jan. - 1 Feb. 2013, Hong Kong, China)
•
•
•
Best-practice guideline as output of the
Urban Flood Risk Management Project
2nd Assessment Report on the Influence
of Climate Change on TC in the
Typhoon Committee Region
SSOP Project with PTC
(20th Session, 3 - 7 Sep. 2012, Apia, Samoa)
•
•
•
Implementation of the new TC naming
procedures
Enhancement of the cooperation with
SWFDP
TC competency in RA I TCC
WMO/ESCAP Panel on Tropical
Cyclones
(40th Session, 25 Feb. - 1 Mar. 2013, Colombo, Sri Lanka)
•
•
•
Report on the workshop for improved
coordination between RSMC and
NMHSs
Decided to organize an integrated
workshop by Met, Hydro and DRR
Planed to hold a joint-session with
Typhoon Committee
HC-35, Willemstad, Curaçao, 8 - 12 April 2013
Training and Capacity Development
WMO OMM
Group Training
• RA IV Workshop on Hurricane Forecasting and Warning
- Miami, Florida, USA, 11-22 March 2013
Attachment Training
• RSMC Tokyo
- Typhoon Committee
• RSMC New Delhi
- Panel on Tropical Cyclones (NIO)
• RSMC Honolulu (Pacific Int’l Desk Training Program) - RA V TCC (S. Pacific)
• NOAA/NCEP (Tropical Training Desk Program) - RA IV HC (C.America &
Caribbean)
• IIT Delhi (storm surge)
- Panel on Tropical Cyclones
HC-35, Willemstad, Curaçao, 8 - 12 April 2013
RA IV Workshop in 2013 ; 11-22 March
WMO OMM
Highlight: Special arrangement for Haitian forecasters
Overall evaluation:
Workshop was found satisfactory for all participants.
Organization of the workshop (programme, material, facilities, etc.) was
appreciated.
Lectures were highly commended by the participants, with some marked as
“beyond expectation”
Subjects of high marks
• Interpretation of micro-wave imagery
• Storm surge
• TC track forecasting
• Advisory preparation
• Communication skills (practical session)
• Special lecture (Prof Gray)
Subjects found demanding
• Rainfall forecasting
• Doppler radars
HC-35, Willemstad, Curaçao, 8 - 12 April 2013
Storm Surge Watch Scheme
WMO OMM
RSMC Tokyo started SS Forecast Chart in June 2011 and
started SS Time-series Chart in June 2012.
RSMC New Delhi decided at 39th session of the Panel in
March 2012 to produce graphical advisories similar to RSMC
Tokyo in 2013
Training Workshop on Wave and Storm Surge Forecasting in
RA I (Nairobi, Kenya, November 2012)
HC-35, Willemstad, Curaçao, 8 - 12 April 2013
Storm Surge Watch Scheme (cont’d)
WMO OMM
Enlarged Image
Data download available
[Specification of
Storm Surge Model]
(00, 06, 12, 18 UTC)
Forecast domain : 0 - 42N, 98E - 137E
Resolution : 2-min mesh
Forecast time : 72 hours
Meteorological conditions : sea level pressure and wind field
from JMA Global Spectral Model (GSM) and TC bogus
HC-35, Willemstad, Curaçao, 8 - 12 April 2013
Storm Surge Watch Scheme (cont’d)
WMO OMM
HC-35, Willemstad, Curaçao, 8 - 12 April 2013
Application of Research and Development
WMO OMM
WWRP/TCP joint programmes
Typhoon Landfall FDP & NW Pacific Ensemble Forecast Project
- on going in the Typhoon Committee region
TCP/WWRP joint workshops
- WMO Typhoon Landfall FDP Training Workshop (Shanghai, China, 12-14
June 2012)
- WMO International Workshop on Rapid Change Phenomena in Tropical
Cyclones (Haikou China, 5-9 November 2012)
8th International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones
- Arrangement being made with IOC and ROK as host – November 2014
HC-35, Willemstad, Curaçao, 8 - 12 April 2013
Global Coordination
WMO OMM
7th TC RSMCs/TCWCs Technical
Coordination Meeting
(Indonesia, 12-15 Nov)
Discussion and outcomes (1)
• Common Alerting Protocol (CAP) : to study some issues in CAP implementation
• Recommendation to IWTC-VIII : major subjects to be discussed (cyclogenesis,
intensity change, societal impact, etc.)
• TCWC advisory with ICAO : TCAC to implement graphical advisories
• IBTrACS with NCDC : 3rd IBTrACS workshop, IBTrACS panel
• Coordination with SWFDP : RSMC’s involvement in SWFDP in RAs I, II & V
HC-35, Willemstad, Curaçao, 8 - 12 April 2013
Global Coordination (cont’d)
WMO OMM
Discussion and outcomes (2)
• Standardization of TC classification : to explore the feasibility of a globally-unified
classification
• Terminology : definitions of several terms updated (TC landfall, TC impact, etc.)
• Functions of RSMCs/TCWCs : proposal for the new GDPFS manual
• IWSATC : training on the use of new satellite products and Dvorak technique
• Hurricane Sandy : learned from RSMC Miami
HC-35, Willemstad, Curaçao, 8 - 12 April 2013
Support to Operational Forecasting
WMO OMM
TC Forecaster Website ; Just been launched !
Hosted by Hong Kong, China
Management of the website has been transferred from WMO/TCP to
Hong Kong Observatory
Will be enhanced with training materilals
Global Guide to TC Forecasting
Upgrade of Global Guide to TC Forecasting will be completed in April 2013
under the initiative of Mr Chip Guard
Tailored for developing countries
It will be web-based and closely linked with TCP main-website and TCFW
Australian Bureau of Meteorology has agreed to host GG website
HC-35, Willemstad, Curaçao, 8 - 12 April 2013
Tropical Cyclone Forecaster Website (1)
WMO OMM
Menu
Main Page
http://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCFW
HC-35, Willemstad, Curaçao, 8 - 12 April 2013
Tropical Cyclone Forecaster Website (2)
WMO OMM
HC-35, Willemstad, Curaçao, 8 - 12 April 2013
Tropical Cyclone Forecaster Website (3)
WMO OMM
HC-35, Willemstad, Curaçao, 8 - 12 April 2013
Global Guide to TC Forecasting
WMO OMM
BoM already set to work on the development of GG website in March 2013
HC-35, Willemstad, Curaçao, 8 - 12 April 2013
TCP’s Priority Actions for 2013 and beyond
WMO OMM
•
Launch of TC Forecaster Website (April)
•
Completion of the new Global Guide (asap.)
•
Implementation of TCP/WWRP Joint Projects (cont’d)
•
RA I Training Course on TC & PWS (Oct., La Reunion)
•
SH Training Workshop on TC & PWS (Nov., Fiji)
•
Implementation of TYC/PTC joint SSOP Project (cont’d)
•
•
IWSATC-II (2013?)
Arrangement for the8th International Workshop on Tropical
Cyclone (2014, RoK)
HC-35, Willemstad, Curaçao, 8 - 12 April 2013
WMO OMM
World Meteorological Organization
Working together in weather, climate and water
WMO OMM
Thank you
for your
attention
HC-35, Willemstad, Curaçao, 8 - 12 April 2013