ijoa11-2.book Page 153 Thursday, August 14, 2003 2:16 PM SCANNING THE ENVIRONMENT OF HUMAN RESOURCES MANAGEMENT IN EUROPE AND IN THE U.S.: SO FAR AND YET SO CLOSE Juan I. Sanchez Florida International University Handan Kepir-Sinangil Marmara University Common and unique themes representing the social, economic, political, and legislative environment affecting the practice of human resources management in Europe in the next five years were compared and contrasted to those affecting the U.S. Members of the professional associations of industrial and organizational psychologists in the U.S. and in Europe were asked to scan their environment. Although trends such as the incorporation of e-tools into human resource management and an increasingly diverse workforce were expected by both European and American respondents, the specific impact of these and other factors was markedly different in these two areas. A primary factor accounting for these differences between the U.S. and Europe was the drastic change provoked by the integration of the current and future members of the European Community. According to the emerging strategic role ascribed to the Human Resource (HR) function (Becker, Huselid, & Ulrich, 2001; Ulrich, 1987), HR management practices should leverage organizational capabilities in line with strategic objectives and environmental opportunities. One approach to identifying potential threats and opportunities is environmental scanning, which involves analyzing social, economic, political, regulatory, and technological trends that can help anticipate sources of threats and opportunities (Wright & Snell, 1991). We describe herein a qualitative study of the environmental trends that would probably affect HR management in Europe and in the U.S. in the next few years. Several authors have written about the future trends that shall impact HRM (Cascio, 1995; Kraut & Korman, 1999; Pearlman & Barney, • Direct all correspondence to: Juan I. Sanchez, Department of Management and International Business, Florida International University, University Park, Miami, FL 33199, E-mail: sanchezj@fiu.edu; Handan Kepir Sinangil, Marmara University, Faculty of Business Administration, Dept of Management, Göztepe, 80140 Istanbul (Turkey). E-mail: sinangil@hamlin.cc.boun.edu.tr The International Journal of Organizational Analysis, Vol 11, No. 2, 2003, pp. 153–160 ISSN 1055-3185 Copyright © 2003 Information Age Publishing, Inc. All rights of reproduction in any form reserved. ijoa11-2.book Page 154 Thursday, August 14, 2003 2:16 PM 154 HUMAN RESOURCES MANAGEMENT 2000; Sanchez, 1994). However, the extent to which such trends converge across the Atlantic Ocean remains virtually unexplored (Rubach & Sebora, 1998). There has been a reciprocal influence between Europe and the U.S. in the field of HR management. For instance, corporate practices such as sensitivity training in the U.S. were highly influenced by Europeans scientists like Kurt Lewin; many U.S. corporations have patterned their flex-time programs after the German model. The U.S. returned such influences to Europe when the boom of the U.S. economy in the aftermath of WW II caught the attention of Western Europe, who looked at the U.S. for innovative business practices. Despite their mutual influences in their distant past, HR management in Europe appears to have taken a separate path from HR management in the U.S. Due to a long-standing history of social conflict, European HR management has focused on issues typical of cultures high on caring or “feminine” dimensions such as employee welfare (Hofstede, 1984). In contrast, comparatively low levels of unemployment and a highly mobile workforce have dictated a focus on employee performance in contemporary American HR management (Gannon, 1994). We argue here that globalization has leveled the playing field of HR issues facing both Europe and the U.S., which now share similar environments in their role of leaders of the developed world in their respective geographical areas. Our goal is to offer a blueprint for collaboration across the Atlantic by identifying mutual as well as unique factors likely to affect the practice of HR management in the immediate future. We asked HR experts to scan their environment in search of the factors that they deemed most likely to influence the practice of HR management in the next five years. We relied on the membership of two professional associations of HR practitioners and academics, namely the Society for Industrial and Organizational Psychology (SIOP) and its European counterpart, the European Association of Work and Organizational Psychology (EAWOP). Our results do not represent the views of individuals affiliated with the many groups representing HR professionals, but they provide useful insights on the expert opinions of two major professional groups that, together, comprise approximately 8,000 members. METHOD Participants A total of 150 SIOP members were randomly selected from the SIOP membership directory as subject matter experts (SMEs) or potential respondents to our survey. A similar sample of 100 members of the EAWOP were asked to serve as SMEs. The response rate was 23% among SIOP members and 35% for EAWOP members, thereby resulting in a final sample of 35 SIOP and 31 EAWOP members. The higher response rate for EAWOP members might be explained by the fact that EAWOP has still fewer members than SIOP and, therefore, its members still maintain relatively close ties with each other. The SIOP sample covered members from a variety of States within the American Union, with about 40% of the respondents from the East Coast, 20% from the Mid-West, 15% from the South, 15% from the Pacific Coast, and 10% from the Western-Rocky Mountains area . These figures were in line with the percentages of members from these geographical areas in the U.S. as listed by the 1999 SIOP membership directory. The breakdown of EAWOP respondents by country was as follows (numbers of respondents are included in parentheses): Germany (2), The Netherlands (4), Spain (4), Italy (3), U.K. (3), Croatia (1), Georgia-Tblizi (1), Finland (1), Turkey (10), Switzerland The International Journal of Organizational Analysis, Vol. 11, No. 2, 2003 ijoa11-2.book Page 155 Thursday, August 14, 2003 2:16 PM J. I. SANCHEZ & H. KEPIR-SINANGNIL 155 (1), Czech Republic (1). Thus, about 55% of the responses came from Western Europe, whereas the remaining came from Eastern Europe, with a majority of those (about 29% of the EAWOP sample) coming from Turkey. Overall, these two samples are obviously too small to be perfectly representative of their intended populations, and are even less representative of potential differences between specific strata within these populations, such as Western vs. Eastern and Northern vs. Southern Europeans. A comparison of the U.S. vs. Europe was deemed appropriate because, in spite of the many cultural differences that still separate European countries, the European Union (EU) is standardizing the socio-economic environment across Europe. These homogeneous effects are being felt even among Eastern European nations which, despite their not being Union members yet, are rapidly adopting EU normative to pave their entry into the EU. Procedure Every individual in our sample frame was contacted via e-mail and asked to participate in the survey. Responses were received from January to April, 2000. Respondents were encouraged to use the reply option in their e-mail system. The specific text of the e-mail message was as follows: Please describe up to five (or more if you wish) important social and economic factors affecting the practice of human resources management in your country or region in the next five years. These factors may involve demographic and population changes, inflation rate, trade, competition, technology, political and legislative changes, and others (please briefly explain why you expect each one of the factors to impact the practice of our profession). RESULTS AND DISCUSSION All answers were content-analyzed by the authors to identify trends impacting the HR profession in the next five years. As expected, themes differed somewhat between the European and the American sample, but many common themes were observed as well. We decided to classify the themes as follows: 1. 2. 3. common themes that were brought up in Europe and in the U.S., themes that, despite being observed in both continents, took a different shape in each one, and unique themes that emerged in only one of the two continents. Table 1 presents a list of the themes as well as the number and proportion of respondents who brought them up. Because of the small sample sizes and the qualitative nature of this study, we simply eyeballed the responses from Europe versus those from the U.S. instead of computing significance tests. Common Themes Globalization. Respondents from both continents opined that globalization would continue to put pressure on organizations to remain competitive. However, Europeans seemed more concerned about competition from abroad than Americans, judging from the number of times that they The International Journal of Organizational Analysis, Vol. 11, No. 2, 2003 ijoa11-2.book Page 156 Thursday, August 14, 2003 2:16 PM 156 HUMAN RESOURCES MANAGEMENT Table 1 Themes Impacting HRM in the 2001-2005 Period U.S.A. Freq1. p2 Europe Freq.1 p2 13 10 .42 .32 2 .06 3 8 .10 .26 5 .16 10 5 3 5 .32 .16 .10 .16 Common Themes Globalization & competition Information/communications technology Full economy & low unemployment Customer orientation Mergers/acquisitions & joint ventures Flexible work & telecommuting 9 20 .26 .57 7 .20 1 1 .03 .03 1 .03 Globalization & competition Information/communications technology Full economy & low unemployment Customer orientation Mergers/acquisitions & joint ventures Flexible work & tele-commuting Common Themes with Different Shapes Diverse work force Aging work force HRM as an unknown field Basic skills & economic disparities Electronic recruitment & selection 11 5 2 8 .31 .14 .06 .23 Diverse work force Increasing no. of women at work Younger work force HRM as an emerging field 13 .37 Marginalization & social breakdown 2 .06 Impact of electronic HR 3 .10 5 .16 10 2 .32 .06 2 .06 2 .06 Unique themes Commitment & “new employment contract” Healthcare cost 7 .20 Privatization 2 .06 European integration Organizational obedience & and indoctrination Organizational religious, political, & ethnic identity High inflation 1Frequency or number of respondents who brought up the theme. 2 Proportion of respondents within Europe or within the U.S. who brought up the theme. n = 35 and 31 for U.S.A. and Europe, respectively. brought up this issue. Eastern Europeans often brought up the need to be customer-oriented, probably owing to the still novel free markets in that part of the world. Eight European respondents brought up mergers, acquisitions, and joint ventures, whereas only one American respondent mentioned them. HR practitioners in the U.S. have complained about being excluded from the planning of mergers and acquisitions, and therefore it is possible that this issue is not as salient to them as it is for their European counterparts. Whether European corporations are more amenable than U.S. corporations to include the HR function in the planning and execution of mergers and acquisitions warrants further study. A different kind of change in corporate governance was envisioned by Western vs. Eastern Europeans; whereas Western Europeans The International Journal of Organizational Analysis, Vol. 11, No. 2, 2003 ijoa11-2.book Page 157 Thursday, August 14, 2003 2:16 PM J. I. SANCHEZ & H. KEPIR-SINANGNIL 157 expected local companies to merge and become larger entities, Eastern Europeans expected that many of the large companies previously associated with a socialist state will split into smaller and “leaner” corporations. Impact of Technology. The U.S. has been accused of being a country obsessed with technology. Our data appeared to confirm this impression because Americans brought up the theme of information technology twice the number of times than did Europeans. Of special concern was the impact of e-commerce and electronic communications on HR practices (e.g., virtual teams, access to knowledge, changes in the manner in which employees are trained, privacy issues). A European respondent suggested that coaching via electronic media may become a growing field for which HR practitioners need to prepare. Labor Markets. Respondents indicated that a situation of virtual full-employment like the one that the U.S. recently went through calls for training instead of selection, which is unlikely to be effective when selection ratios are close to unity (i.e., the number of applicants is almost equal to the number of openings). In addition, respondents in both Europe and the U.S. noted that a shortage of qualified workers demands additional recruitment efforts. One American respondent said “The job market in developed countries is all but dried up.” Concerns about wage escalation and retention of key talent were brought up by Americans. Interestingly, only Western Europeans in highly developed countries like the Netherlands seem to be concerned about the consequences of full-employment, probably due to the fact that full-employment is far from being a reality in many Eastern and Southern European countries. Flexible Work. Tele-commuting and flexible work were themes brought up more often by Europeans than by Americans. It appears that recent legislative changes freeing the restrictions on temporary work are still shocking Europeans, who are used to more stable forms of employment. One of the European respondents expressed concern about how temporary work “reduces HR practices traditionally devoted to worker improvement and career development.” Common Themes with Different Shapes Workforce Diversity. Diversity within and between nations was deemed important in both the U.S. and Europe. Several respondents noted that the study of cultural influences on organizational behavior, including qualitative studies, will become a critical issue world-wide. American respondents opined that diversity management needs to be redefined beyond gender and ethnicity, including diversity of clients and linguistic diversity. The “simple one-shot training course” that characterizes many diversity interventions fails to address the problem, according to an American respondent. Europeans saw diversity as directly related to profound differences among European nations in terms of not only culture, but also religion and national identity. As noted by a respondent, the flux of non-European immigrants in the labor market is radically changing the demographic landscape of Europe’s workforce. Turkish respondents pointed out that the increasing number of women entering the workforce at professional and upper-level management jobs might clash with Muslim traditionalism. Interestingly, one of these respondents noted that privatization of government enterprises may be counterproductive for top-level females, who used to find a relatively discrimination-free environment in the public sector. The concerns about an aging workforce expressed by respondents in the U.S. contrasted with the projections about a younger workforce in Turkey. One of the Turkish participants noted that, The International Journal of Organizational Analysis, Vol. 11, No. 2, 2003 ijoa11-2.book Page 158 Thursday, August 14, 2003 2:16 PM 158 HUMAN RESOURCES MANAGEMENT with a limited number of jobs available and unemployment on the rise, whether or not the younger generation can be fruitfully incorporated into the economy remains to be seen. Professional Identity. The frustration of American HR professionals (e.g., “nobody knows what we can do for them”) had a contrast in the raise of HR in Europe. A respondent from Spain noted that many bridges of cooperation have been built among HR professionals throughout Europe in the last two decades. Most of the comments characterizing HR as an emerging field came from Eastern Europe, where organizations appear eager to adapt their human resources to a competitive environment. A respondent from one of the former soviet republics noted the pressing needs for culturally-sensitive human resources instruments and procedures such as selection systems. The same person echoed the concern about the potentially deterring role of managers socialized in the old-school of communism that has been expressed elsewhere (Luthans, Peterson, & Ibrayeva, 1998; Luthans, Stajkovic, & Ibrayeva, 2000; McCarthy, Puffer, & Naumov, 2000). Compensation and Marginalization. Americans expressed more concern about economic disparities than did Europeans. Specifically, Americans emphasized differences in compensation packages between top executives and other employees, because the latter are being asked to become cross-functional and do more for less. Americans tended to express concerns about the “skills gap” between job demands and available applicants, whereas Western Europeans were more likely to refer to cultural marginalization (probably due to the influx of immigrants). A European respondent suggested that unskilled workers were more employable in the post-industrial economies of the past than in today’s high-tech environment. Electronic HR. Americans highlighted the role of technology in HR practices more often than did Europeans. Most responses referred to the use of electronic media in selection and recruitment, and some mentioned e-tools in the context of gathering survey data, performance information, and feedback. Associated with this trend were concerns about security and privacy of information. Europeans, in contrast, referred to the impact of the Internet on virtual teams. It is conceivable that pan-European electronic selection faces an important obstacle in the different employment practices and employment laws that still separate European nations. Unique Themes Employee Benefits. Americans noted that increasing healthcare costs will impact human resources policies, especially with an aging population. Europeans on the other hand did not seem overly concerned with healthcare costs, probably because healthcare is nationalized in virtually all European countries. Echoing a concern expressed by American participants, a respondent from Finland suggested that the Scandinavian countries would struggle to support the pensions of increasing numbers of elders in their population. Employee Loyalty. Americans brought up the issue of commitment and the “new employment contract.” A respondent indicated that, with decreased job security, workers will become more interested in maintaining employability through on-the-job training and self-improvement. It was also noted that the physical distance separating workers in virtual teams will foster a “free-lancer” mentality, thereby diminishing feelings of commitment and identification with the organization. Although Europeans seemed equally concerned about today’s rapid pace of change at work, their preoccupation referred to management changes due to primarily the privatization of state-owned enterprises (e.g., Dutch railways). These drastic changes were especially salient to Eastern Europeans, who expected modern human resources practices to play an increasingly important role in post-socialist countries. Whether these economies will go through with their planned transitions to The International Journal of Organizational Analysis, Vol. 11, No. 2, 2003 ijoa11-2.book Page 159 Thursday, August 14, 2003 2:16 PM J. I. SANCHEZ & H. KEPIR-SINANGNIL 159 free-markets or perhaps retreat to statization remains to be seen (McCarthy, Puffer, & Naumov, 2000). Job Security. Downsizing seemed to preoccupy Americans more than it did Europeans, who were in turn more concerned about high unemployment and inflation rates (especially in Eastern Europe). Although legislative changes in Europe are relaxing the ease with which employers may engage in massive lay-offs, it appears that employed Europeans still feel a relatively high degree of job security, notwithstanding their concerns about job creation. Legislative changes were also expected in the area of hiring and dismissing employees, which would be made easier in an EC that appears willing to relax the provisions of the welfare state so that it can remain globally competitive. European Integration and Cultural Identity. A uniquely European theme was the issue of integration into the European Community (EC). This trend was particularly important for Eastern Europeans aspiring to join the EC. Several European respondents noted how the development of Euro-standards and norms will affect not only human resource practices, but also the education and certification of human resource professionals. Turkish respondents expressed concerns about the extent to which local corporations will have to renounce to their religious and ethnic identities in the face of pressure from western companies. Giving up to foreign investors was also thought to pose a threat to the environment. Turkish respondents foresaw a potential conflict due to the clash between western practices and fundamentalist religious movements with harsh attitudes towards females and ethnic minorities. This kind of religious conflict may also appear in other European nations with large Muslim populations such as Albania and Kosovo, and in Western European countries with large numbers of Muslim immigrants such as France, Germany, and Spain. Conflict need not originate from Muslim fundamentalists; in fact, it may be instigated by the anti-immigrant feelings towards newcomers of the prevailing non-Muslim population. When adapted to these European idiosyncracies, diversity awareness programs such as those employed in the U.S. may yield fruitful results. Two European respondents expressed concerns about what they labeled "organizational indoctrination," the organization as a cult, and organizational obedience and control. Such “brainwashing” was said to follow from increasingly popular business practices that include high barriers to entry, “campus-like” employment sites that include accommodation provisions, and humiliation for anyone who fails to toe the company line. CONCLUSIONS As expected, our survey suggested that globalization is bringing similar challenges to the HR profession in Europe and in the U.S. Respondents from both sides of the Atlantic Ocean believed that globalization and information technology would continue to increase competitive pressure. Not surprisingly, several of the issues raised by U.S. respondents were also raised by respondents in the most highly developed countries of Western Europe, such as the disparities between social classes and between natives and immigrants, and the shortage of qualified workers. Each region also faced unique challenges. For instance, Eastern Europeans were primarily concerned with the obstacles that interfere with the need to adjust their HR practices to free markets (e.g., “old-school” managers trained under communism, a workforce lacking in customer orientation). Nevertheless, perhaps the most insightful responses to our survey came from Eastern Europe, thereby suggesting that HRM professionals in that area are ready to face the challenge. Respondents The International Journal of Organizational Analysis, Vol. 11, No. 2, 2003 ijoa11-2.book Page 160 Thursday, August 14, 2003 2:16 PM 160 HUMAN RESOURCES MANAGEMENT in the U.S. foresaw rapid changes in HR practices due to e-business practices. On the other hand, both Western and Eastern Europeans saw the European integration process as a major issue affecting HR. We hope that the trends uncovered here will help clarify the common and the unique challenges faced by HR professionals in Europe and in the U.S., thereby facilitating a mutually beneficial cross-fertilization of ideas across the Atlantic. Acknowledgment: The authors wish to acknowledge Hildur E. Bjorgvinsdottie for her assistance with the e-mail survey. REFERENCES Becker, B. E., Huselid, M. A., & Ulrich, D. (2001). The HR Scorecard. 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