Stat 20 Summer ’15 QUIZ 1 SOLUTIONS Prof. Fletcher Ibser Full Name: SID: Note: Show your explanations / calculations Problem 1 Part a. Consider the following four histograms. You can assume that the data is continuous and evenly distributed within each bar. The average of each dataset is 5 and the standard deviations of the values in the four datasets are 0.8, 2, 2.9, and 4.7. Match each SD to its histogram. Explain your reasoning. [3 points] 40 30 0 10 20 % per unit 30 20 0 10 % per unit 40 50 (b) 50 (a) 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 2 4 10 6 8 10 50 40 30 0 10 20 % per unit 40 30 20 0 10 % per unit 8 (d) 50 (c) 6 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 2 4 Answer: You should eyeball this using the rule of thumb that 95% of the data falls within 2 SDs of the average. (a) has SD 2.9; (b) has SD 0.8; (c) has SD 2; (d) has SD 4.7. Part b. For each of the four histograms, what percent of observations are greater than 7.5? Approximate to the nearest 5%. [4 points] Answer: To estimate this percentage, add up the areas of the bars to the right of 8 and half the area of the bar between 7 and 8. (a) has 25%; (b) has < 5%; (c) has about 15%; (d) has 45%. Problem 2 The table below gives the typical sleep habits of five famous writers. Name Voltaire Kurt Vonnegut Maya Angelou Victor Hugo Charles Dickens Sleep (hours) 4 7.5 7.5 9.5 7 Part a. Find the average and standard deviation of the number of hours of sleep. [2 points] Answer: The average is 4 + 7.5 + 7.5 + 9.5 + 7 35.5 = = 7.1 5 5 and the SD is r (0.4)2 + (2.4)2 + (−3.1)2 + (−0.1)2 + (0.4)2 √ = 3.14 ≈ 1.77 5 Part b. Whose sleep habits were more extreme, compared to the other writers – Voltaire or Victor Hugo? [1 point] Answer: Standardize their sleep hours: 4 − 7.1 9.5 − 7.1 ≈ −1.75 versus = 1.35 1.77 1.77 Voltaire’s typical hours of sleep are 1.75 standard units below the mean and Hugo’s are 1.35 standard units above the mean. Voltaire was more extreme. Part c. What percent of the authors are within 1 SD of the average? [2 points] Answer: 60%: Vonnegut, Angelou, and Dickens are within 7.1 ± 1.77 = (5.33, 8.87), while the other two are not. Problem 3 A jewelry store has 100 rings. The average price for a ring is $500. A thief steals the 5 most expensive rings in the store. Part a. The average price of the remaining 95 rings is $400. What was the average price of the 5 stolen rings? [4 points] Answer: Let x1 , . . . , x95 be the prices of the remaining rings and x96 , . . . , x100 be the prices of the stolen rings. We can find the sum of prices of the first 95 rings as 95 1 X 400 = xi 95 i=1 95 X (1) xi = 38, 000 i=1 Use this to solve for the sum of prices of the stolen 5 rings: 100 95 X i=1 i=1 1 X 1 500 = xi = 100 100 50, 000 = 38, 000 + 100 X 100 X xi + ! xi i=96 (2) xi i=96 100 X xi = 12, 000 i=96 Finally, the average is just this sum divided by 5: $12, 000/5 = $2, 400. Part b. The standard deviation of the prices of the 5 stolen rings is $100 and the standard deviation of the remaining 95 rings is $300. What was the standard deviation of all 100 rings? [4 points] Answer: We’ll use the second summation formula for standard deviation to solve for the two sums of squares: v u 95 u1 X x2i − (400)2 300 = t 95 i=1 v u 100 u1 X 100 = t x2i − (2, 400)2 5 i=96 =⇒ 95 X x2i = 23, 750, 000 (3) x2i = 28, 850, 000 (4) i=1 =⇒ 100 X i=96 Now we can add together (3) and (4) to get the standard deviation of the combined list: r p 1 (23, 750, 000 + 28, 850, 000) − (500)2 = 276, 000 ≈ $525 SD = 100