STI 3,284.99 55.94 SGX MSCI FUTURES 368.30 SGD/USD 1.3544 0.0010 RM/SGD 2.8066 5.4 HANG SENG 23,516.56 0.0034 1,458.75 KLCI 1,695.83 SGD/AUD 1.0056 0.0028 16.47 NIKKEI 19,737.64 SGD/£ 2.0794 0.0128 638.95 SHANGHAI 3,507.19 OIL US$ 57.23 219.93 ALLORD 5,469.53 111.89 0.38 GOLD US$ 1,153.80 1.20 T HU R SDAY JU LY 9, 2 0 1 5 | 1 87 w w w . t h e e d g e m a rke t s . c o m Fourth telco player will eat into M1’s and StarHub’s revenue share: DBS Vickers BY JEFFREY TA N SINGAPORE (July 8): Incumbent telco players M1 and StarHub may see their revenue eroded by 10% and 4% respectively, following the entry of a proposed fourth telco player in Singapore, according to DBS Vickers Securities. The research house maintained its “buy” call for M1, with an unchanged price target of $3.60. In a note today, DBS Vickers analyst Sachin Mittal wrote that “negatives are priced in for M1” already and he favoured the stock for its 6.1% yield. Meanwhile, he said, the new telco player may prove “too optimistic” in aiming to gain a 7% revenue share by Singapore shares end in losses amid rout in Asian markets SINGAPORE (July 8): Singapore shares sank into the red, as mainland Chinese and Hong Kong markets led a rout among Asian bourses. A trading suspension among several of China’s listed companies failed to stem losses, as investors disposed of their shareholdings in other companies that continued trading. Meanwhile, adding to market woes was the prospect of Greece’s exit from the eurozone after European leaders set a Sunday deadline for it to accept a rescue package. The Straits Times Index slumped 1.67% to 3,284.99. Some 1.82 billion shares worth $1.61 billion changed hands, compared with 1.19 billion shares worth $989 million yesterday. Market breadth was negative, with 426 decliners compared with 73 gainers. Singapore Telecommunications, DBS Group Holdings, Global Logistic Properties, CapitaLand and Ove Properties, CapitaLand and Oversea-Chinese Bankin Banking Co Corp were among the most active stocks in the market in terms of value traded. Among top decliners, QT Vascular plummeted 36.3% to 11.6 cents. The company, which provides solutions for the minimally invasive treatment of complex vascular diseases, intends to appeal the US federal district court’s decision to award damages of US$20.03 million ($27.12 million) to AngioScore, Inc and order CEO Dr Eitan Konstantino to disgorge the benefits he had received arising from an alleged breach of fiduciary duty. Asiatic Group (Holdings) plunged 11.5% to 2.3 cents. The external auditors for the company, which provides engineering management services, have cast “significant doubt” on the group’s ability to continue as a going concern, highlighting its “negative working capital position”. Yoma Strategic Holdings slipped 2.3% to 42.5 cents. 2022. He cited past examples of other telco players — Malaysia’s U Mobile and France’s Illiad. U Mobile has captured only 6% to 7% revenue share after six years, while Illiad achieved 15% subscriber share in three years, largely owing to mandated roaming, which allows it to invest in the most profitable areas only. Furthermore, he said, Singapore is a post-paid-dominated market with upfront handset subsidies, multi-product bundling and two-year contracts. He added that existing telco players may have two years to adjust their offerings and cost structure. M1 gained 1.24% to close at $3.26 today, while StarHub ended flat at $3.98. The Myanmar-focused diversified business group announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, Yoma Strategic Investments, together with LCT Investment Holdings and First Myanmar Investment Co, had mutually terminated a joint-venture agreement in relation to the building and operation of a steel mesh product manufacturing plant in Yangon. The group guided that this is not expected to have a material impact on its profit and net tangible assets per share for the financial year ending March 31, 2016. Bucking the market weakness, Singapore Post rose 0.8% to $1.905. The mail, logistics and ecommerce solutions provider and Alibaba Group have announced three initiatives to strengthen cooperation and build a leading e-commerce logistics platform to service Asia-Pacific Asia-Pacifi fic and beyond. Alibaba Group will also purchase 107.6 million new ordinary shares amounting to 5% of the existing share capital of SingPost for $187.1 million. — By Ben Benny T Tan E Ezra JV signs six-year agreement with Saudi Aramco for offshore projects SGX Market movers Daily top 20 active stocks LIFEBRANDZ EZRA R SIIC ENVIRONMENT QT VASCULAR GOLDEN AGRI-RES NOBLE WE APAC STRATEGIC GENTING SING YUUZOO IHC SINGTEL DIGILAND INTL GLOBAL LOGISTIC DEBAO PROPERTY EZRA JIUTIAN CHEMICAL NOL LERENO BIO-CHEM HPH TRUST USD TURNOVER (‘000) CHANGE (S$) CHANGE (%) CLOSING (S$) HIGH (S$) LOW (S$) 85,780 74,211 67,421 63,500 54,641 48,579 47,220 41,921 38,621 37,782 37,071 36,391 34,430 32,470 29,688 25,693 25,129 24,482 24,143 23,529 -0.002 -0.012 -0.008 -0.066 -0.010 -0.020 -0.001 0.001 -0.025 -0.025 UNCH 0.010 -0.001 -0.030 -0.006 -0.007 -0.004 -0.005 UNCH -0.015 -25.00 -20.00 -4.91 -36.26 -2.50 -2.80 -20.00 2.78 -2.76 -10.00 UNCH 0.23 -50.00 -1.20 -8.11 -4.27 -8.16 -0.54 UNCH -2.34 0.006 0.048 0.155 0.116 0.390 0.695 0.004 0.037 0.880 0.225 0.300 4.330 0.001 2.480 0.068 0.157 0.045 0.925 0.003 0.625 0.009 0.060 0.165 0.138 0.405 0.730 0.005 0.038 0.905 0.255 0.305 4.380 0.002 2.510 0.076 0.165 0.050 0.940 0.004 0.640 0.006 0.045 0.154 0.113 0.385 0.690 0.004 0.034 0.875 0.220 0.300 4.310 0.001 2.440 0.065 0.156 0.043 0.890 0.003 0.615 Top gainers and losers (ranked by S$) UP HYFLUX 6% CPS JARDINE C&C JARDINE C&C R1 SINGTEL 10 JARDINE C&C R HAW PAR TA PTERISGLOBAL SAKAE UIC M1 SILVERLAKE AXIS ACMA REGAL INTL SP CORP SINGINDEXFUND COURTS ASIA YONGNAM HLDG 1 MONEYMAX FIN KOYO INTL CLOSE (S$) CHANGE (S$) 106.750 30.050 3.710 4.360 3.800 8.900 0.290 0.595 0.550 3.370 3.260 0.915 0.680 0.320 0.990 2.170 0.405 0.410 0.255 0.325 0.200 0.170 0.130 0.050 0.050 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.035 0.030 0.025 0.025 0.020 0.020 0.015 0.015 0.015 DOWN DBXT CHINA50 US$ JMH USD DBXT MSASEXJP US$ GLD US$ DBXT MSCHINA US$ JSH USD DBXT VIETNAM US$ LYXOR CHINAH US$ DBXT CSI300 US$ LYXOR EUROPE US$ PRUDENTIAL USD UOB SHANGRI-LA HKD HONGKONGLAND USD DBXT STGLDV US$ DBS DBXT S&PSHORT US$ FORTUNE REIT HKD LYXOR KOREA US$ $ GREAT EASTERN UP CLOSE (S$) DOWN CHANGE (%) CSC EQUATION TA PAN ASIAN ZIWO SAMKO TIMBER REGAL INTL SAKAE PNE MICRON PTERISGLOBAL MONEYMAX FIN XPRESS ORIENTAL COURTS ASIA SUNMOONFOOD KOYO INTL ACMA AP OIL MARCOPOLO MARINE SILVERLAKE AXIS 0.043 0.007 0.290 0.090 0.047 0.120 0.320 0.550 0.043 0.595 0.255 0.020 0.100 0.405 0.042 0.325 0.680 0.240 0.245 0.915 22.86 16.67 16.00 15.39 11.91 9.09 8.48 7.84 7.50 7.21 6.25 5.26 5.26 5.20 5.00 4.84 4.62 4.35 4.26 3.98 DIGILAND INTL LH JADASON ISR CAPITAL QT VASCULAR EUROPTRONIC HENGXIN TECH LIFEBRANDZ TPV TECH BLUESKYPOWER COURAGE MARINE AEM WE M DEVELOPMENT EZRA R P99 EZRA R1 MENCAST C&G ENV PROTECT MDR Singapore’s highly regarded business & investment weekly since 2002 Digital replica available on: http://subscribe.theedgesingapore.com CHANGE (S$) 31.240 53.100 34.080 110.480 13.160 30.550 26.460 15.560 10.000 13.890 23.350 22.930 10.100 7.700 30.290 20.650 21.610 7.460 4.690 23.960 -3.250 -2.350 -1.920 -1.400 -0.950 -0.900 -0.900 -0.840 -0.750 -0.470 -0.450 -0.450 -0.400 -0.380 -0.340 -0.330 -0.280 -0.280 -0.280 0.280 -0.270 0.270 T gainers Top i and d llosers (ranked by percentage) by u o y o t t h g u o r b s i y p o c l a t This digi SINGAPORE (July 8): Ezra Holdings announced that its subsea services division, EMAS AMC, had signed a sixyear agreement with state oil company Saudi Aramco, with options to extend for another six years. Under the agreement, EMAS AMC and Larsen & Toubro Hydrocarbon Engineering will execute offshore projects with Saudi Aramco that include project management, engineering, procurement, fabrication, transportation and installation works of offshore facilities such as platforms, pipelines and submarine cables. “This long-term agreement is the embodiment of our working relationship with LTHE and Saudi Aramco, and is aligned with our subsea strategy of focusing our capabilities and expertise where tendering activities remain robust,” said Lionel Lee, Ezra’s group CEO and MD. Ezra closed 4.3% lower at 15.7 cents today. — By P C Lee CLOSE (S$) CLOSE (S$) CHANGE (%) 0.001 0.002 0.016 0.014 0.116 0.010 0.305 0.006 0.215 0.059 0.605 0.350 0.004 0.004 0.048 0.080 0.047 0.295 0.177 0.005 -50.00 -50.00 -42.86 -41.67 -36.26 -28.57 -27.38 -25.00 -24.56 -23.38 -22.44 -22.22 -20.00 -20.00 -20.00 -20.00 -18.97 -18.06 -17.67 -16.67 STI 3,284.99 55.94 SGX MSCI FUTURES 368.30 SGD/USD 1.3544 0.0010 RM/SGD 2.8066 5.4 HANG SENG 23,516.56 0.0034 1,458.75 KLCI 1,695.83 SGD/AUD 1.0056 0.0028 16.47 NIKKEI 19,737.64 SGD/£ 2.0794 0.0128 638.95 SHANGHAI 3,507.19 OIL US$ 57.23 0.38 219.93 ALLORD 5,469.53 111.89 GOLD US$ 1,153.80 1.20 T HU R SDAY JU LY 9, 2 0 1 5 | 1 87 w w w . t h e e d g e m a rke t s . c o m Fourth telco player will eat into M1’s and StarHub’s revenue share: DBS Vickers BY JEFFREY TA N SINGAPORE (July 8): Incumbent telco players M1 and StarHub may see their revenue eroded by 10% and 4% respectively, following the entry of a proposed fourth telco player in Singapore, according to DBS Vickers Securities. The research house maintained its “buy” call for M1, with an unchanged price target of $3.60. In a note today, DBS Vickers analyst Sachin Mittal wrote that “negatives are priced in for M1” already and he favoured the stock for its 6.1% yield. Meanwhile, he said, the new telco player may prove “too optimistic” in aiming to gain a 7% revenue share by Singapore shares end in losses amid rout in Asian markets SINGAPORE (July 8): Singapore shares sank into the red, as mainland Chinese and Hong Kong markets led a rout among Asian bourses. A trading suspension among several of China’s listed companies failed to stem losses, as investors disposed of their shareholdings in other companies that continued trading. Meanwhile, adding to market woes was the prospect of Greece’s exit from the eurozone after European leaders set a Sunday deadline for it to accept a rescue package. The Straits Times Index slumped 1.67% to 3,284.99. Some 1.82 billion shares worth $1.61 billion changed hands, compared with 1.19 billion shares worth $989 million yesterday. Market breadth was negative, with 426 decliners compared with 73 gainers. Singapore Telecommunications, DBS Group Holdings, Global Logistic Properties, CapitaLand and Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp were among the most active stocks in the market in terms of value traded. Among top decliners, QT Vascular plummeted 36.3% to 11.6 cents. The company, which provides solutions for the minimally invasive treatment of complex vascular diseases, intends to appeal the US federal district court’s decision to award damages of US$20.03 million ($27.12 million) to AngioScore, Inc and order CEO Dr Eitan Konstantino to disgorge the benefits he had received arising from an alleged breach of fiduciary duty. Asiatic Group (Holdings) plunged 11.5% to 2.3 cents. The external auditors for the company, which provides engineering management services, have cast “significant doubt” on the group’s ability to continue as a going concern, highlighting its “negative working capital position”. Yoma Strategic Holdings slipped 2.3% to 42.5 cents. 2022. He cited past examples of other telco players — Malaysia’s U Mobile and France’s Illiad. U Mobile has captured only 6% to 7% revenue share after six years, while Illiad achieved 15% subscriber share in three years, largely owing to mandated roaming, which allows it to invest in the most profitable areas only. Furthermore, he said, Singapore is a post-paid-dominated market with upfront handset subsidies, multi-product bundling and two-year contracts. He added that existing telco players may have two years to adjust their offerings and cost structure. M1 gained 1.24% to close at $3.26 today, while StarHub ended flat at $3.98. The Myanmar-focused diversified business group announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, Yoma Strategic Investments, together with LCT Investment Holdings and First Myanmar Investment Co, had mutually terminated a joint-venture agreement in relation to the building and operation of a steel mesh product manufacturing plant in Yangon. The group guided that this is not expected to have a material impact on its profit and net tangible assets per share for the financial year ending March 31, 2016. Bucking the market weakness, Singapore Post rose 0.8% to $1.905. The mail, logistics and ecommerce solutions provider and Alibaba Group have announced three initiatives to strengthen cooperation and build a leading e-commerce logistics platform to service Asia-Pacific and beyond. Alibaba Group will also purchase 107.6 million new ordinary shares amounting to 5% of the existing share capital of SingPost for $187.1 million. — By Benny Tan Ezra JV signs six-year agreement with Saudi Aramco for offshore projects SINGAPORE (July 8): Ezra Holdings announced that its subsea services division, EMAS AMC, had signed a sixyear agreement with state oil company Saudi Aramco, with options to extend for another six years. Under the agreement, EMAS AMC and Larsen & Toubro Hydrocarbon Engineering will execute offshore projects with Saudi Aramco that include project management, engineering, procurement, fabrication, transportation and installation works of offshore facilities such as platforms, pipelines and submarine cables. “This long-term agreement is the embodiment of our working relationship with LTHE and Saudi Aramco, and is aligned with our subsea strategy of focusing our capabilities and expertise where tendering activities remain robust,” said Lionel Lee, Ezra’s group CEO and MD. Ezra closed 4.3% lower at 15.7 cents today. — By P C Lee SGX Market movers Daily top 20 active stocks LIFEBRANDZ EZRA R SIIC ENVIRONMENT QT VASCULAR GOLDEN AGRI-RES NOBLE WE APAC STRATEGIC GENTING SING YUUZOO IHC SINGTEL DIGILAND INTL GLOBAL LOGISTIC DEBAO PROPERTY EZRA JIUTIAN CHEMICAL NOL LERENO BIO-CHEM HPH TRUST USD TURNOVER (‘000) CHANGE (S$) CHANGE (%) CLOSING (S$) HIGH (S$) LOW (S$) 85,780 74,211 67,421 63,500 54,641 48,579 47,220 41,921 38,621 37,782 37,071 36,391 34,430 32,470 29,688 25,693 25,129 24,482 24,143 23,529 -0.002 -0.012 -0.008 -0.066 -0.010 -0.020 -0.001 0.001 -0.025 -0.025 UNCH 0.010 -0.001 -0.030 -0.006 -0.007 -0.004 -0.005 UNCH -0.015 -25.00 -20.00 -4.91 -36.26 -2.50 -2.80 -20.00 2.78 -2.76 -10.00 UNCH 0.23 -50.00 -1.20 -8.11 -4.27 -8.16 -0.54 UNCH -2.34 0.006 0.048 0.155 0.116 0.390 0.695 0.004 0.037 0.880 0.225 0.300 4.330 0.001 2.480 0.068 0.157 0.045 0.925 0.003 0.625 0.009 0.060 0.165 0.138 0.405 0.730 0.005 0.038 0.905 0.255 0.305 4.380 0.002 2.510 0.076 0.165 0.050 0.940 0.004 0.640 0.006 0.045 0.154 0.113 0.385 0.690 0.004 0.034 0.875 0.220 0.300 4.310 0.001 2.440 0.065 0.156 0.043 0.890 0.003 0.615 Top gainers and losers (ranked by S$) UP HYFLUX 6% CPS JARDINE C&C JARDINE C&C R1 SINGTEL 10 JARDINE C&C R HAW PAR TA PTERISGLOBAL SAKAE UIC M1 SILVERLAKE AXIS ACMA REGAL INTL SP CORP SINGINDEXFUND COURTS ASIA YONGNAM HLDG 1 MONEYMAX FIN KOYO INTL CLOSE (S$) CHANGE (S$) 106.750 30.050 3.710 4.360 3.800 8.900 0.290 0.595 0.550 3.370 3.260 0.915 0.680 0.320 0.990 2.170 0.405 0.410 0.255 0.325 0.200 0.170 0.130 0.050 0.050 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.035 0.030 0.025 0.025 0.020 0.020 0.015 0.015 0.015 DOWN DBXT CHINA50 US$ JMH USD DBXT MSASEXJP US$ GLD US$ DBXT MSCHINA US$ JSH USD DBXT VIETNAM US$ LYXOR CHINAH US$ DBXT CSI300 US$ LYXOR EUROPE US$ PRUDENTIAL USD UOB SHANGRI-LA HKD HONGKONGLAND USD DBXT STGLDV US$ DBS DBXT S&PSHORT US$ FORTUNE REIT HKD LYXOR KOREA US$ GREAT EASTERN CHANGE (S$) 31.240 53.100 34.080 110.480 13.160 30.550 26.460 15.560 10.000 13.890 23.350 22.930 10.100 7.700 30.290 20.650 21.610 7.460 4.690 23.960 -3.250 -2.350 -1.920 -1.400 -0.950 -0.900 -0.900 -0.840 -0.750 -0.470 -0.450 -0.450 -0.400 -0.380 -0.340 -0.330 -0.280 -0.280 -0.280 -0.270 Top gainers and losers (ranked by percentage) UP CSC EQUATION TA PAN ASIAN ZIWO SAMKO TIMBER REGAL INTL SAKAE PNE MICRON PTERISGLOBAL MONEYMAX FIN XPRESS ORIENTAL COURTS ASIA SUNMOONFOOD KOYO INTL ACMA AP OIL MARCOPOLO MARINE SILVERLAKE AXIS CLOSE (S$) CHANGE (%) 0.043 0.007 0.290 0.090 0.047 0.120 0.320 0.550 0.043 0.595 0.255 0.020 0.100 0.405 0.042 0.325 0.680 0.240 0.245 0.915 22.86 16.67 16.00 15.39 11.91 9.09 8.48 7.84 7.50 7.21 6.25 5.26 5.26 5.20 5.00 4.84 4.62 4.35 4.26 3.98 DOWN DIGILAND INTL LH JADASON ISR CAPITAL QT VASCULAR EUROPTRONIC HENGXIN TECH LIFEBRANDZ TPV TECH BLUESKYPOWER COURAGE MARINE AEM WE M DEVELOPMENT EZRA R P99 EZRA R1 MENCAST C&G ENV PROTECT MDR Singapore’s highly regarded business & investment weekly since 2002 Digital replica available on: http://subscribe.theedgesingapore.com CLOSE (S$) CLOSE (S$) CHANGE (%) 0.001 0.002 0.016 0.014 0.116 0.010 0.305 0.006 0.215 0.059 0.605 0.350 0.004 0.004 0.048 0.080 0.047 0.295 0.177 0.005 -50.00 -50.00 -42.86 -41.67 -36.26 -28.57 -27.38 -25.00 -24.56 -23.38 -22.44 -22.22 -20.00 -20.00 -20.00 -20.00 -18.97 -18.06 -17.67 -16.67 T HU R SDAY JU LY 9, 2 0 1 5 • TH EEDGE M ORN I N G B RI EF I N G 4 ST O C KS W I T H M O M E N T U M www.theedgemarkets.com This column is an analysis done by The Edge Singapore on the fundamentals of stocks with momentum that were picked up using proprietary algorithm by Anticipatory Analytics Sdn Bhd and that first appeared at www.theedgemarkets.com. Please exercise your own judgment or seek professional advice for your specific investment needs. We are not responsible for your investment decisions. Our shareholders, directors and employees may have positions in any of the stocks mentioned. STATS CHIPPAC STATS CHIPPAC Shares of STATS ChipPAC were the only highlight of activity on the Singapore Exchange during a bearish day of trading across Asia. The heightened activity on STATS ChipPAC centres on a general offer by JCET-SC (Singapore), a consortium of China-based investors, to acquire all the remaining shares held in the semiconductor services firm by Singapore Technologies Semiconductors, after purchasing just over 2.2 million shares from the latter on June 26. Singapore Technologies Semiconductors, a wholly-owned company of Temasek Holdings, and its concert parties in Temasek, collectively own another 1.844 billion shares in STATS ChipPAC. Those shares account for about 83.7% of the share capital of STATS ChipPAC. A dealings disclosure announcement by the financial advisers of JCET-SC (Singapore) states that the offer price for the rest of the shares held by Temasek will remain at 46.577 cents each, or a discount of 8.7% to its last traded price of 51 cents, prior to the announcement on June 26. STATS CHIPPAC T HU (ALL FIGURES IN USD MIL) But the general offer by JCET-SC (Singapore) also contains a back-out clause if it decides not to proceed with acquiring the outstanding 1.844 billion shares held by Singapore Technologies Semiconductors. Should that happen, JCET-SC (Singapore) can exercise a put option within 14 business days after an announcement that its general offer has lapsed. The put option will require Singapore Technologies Semiconductors to buy back the initial 2.2 million shares, known as the “Pre-Acquisition Shares”, acquired by JCET-SC (Singapore) on June 26. Prior to the general offer by JCET-SC (Singapore), STATS ChipPAC had proposed in three separate announcements since last December to implement a capital reduction of its stake in Taiwan-based subsidiaries, followed by a distribution of the proceeds to its shareholders. JCET-SC (Singapore) has clarified that the right to receive the distribution of about US$15 million ($20.3 million) in cash arising from the capital reduction will remain with Singapore Technologies Semiconductors. Valuation score* 0.90 0.40 Fundamental score** TTM P/E (x) TTM PEG (x) 0.94 P/NAV (x) TTM Dividend yield (%) 1,134.14 Market capitalisation ($ mil) Shares outstanding (ex-treasury) mil 2,202.22 1.02 Beta 0.42-0.75 12-month price range ($) *Valuation score - Composite measure of historical return & valuation **Fundamental score - Composite measure of balance sheet strength & profitability Note: A score of 3.0 is the best to have and 0.0 is the worst to have Income Statement Turnover EBITDA Depreciation EBIT Associates Interest income Interest expense Extraordinary gain/(loss) Pre-tax profit Net profit - owners of company Balance sheet Fixed assets - PPE Biological assets Intangibles & goodwill Cash and equivalents Total current assets ST borrowings Total current liabilities Total assets Shareholders' fund Long term borrowings STATS CHIPPAC RATIOS DPS ($) Net asset per share ($) ROE (%) Turnover growth (%) Net profit growth (%) Net margin (%) ROA (%) Current ratio (x) Gearing (%) Interest cover (x) FY11 FY12 FY13 FY2015Q1 25/12/2011 30/12/2012 29/12/2013 29/3/2015 1,706.5 363.5 292.2 71.3 (1.0) 1.9 59.8 12.4 (2.5) 1,701.5 383.3 286.4 96.9 (0.7) 1.5 59.8 37.9 16.6 1,598.5 338.9 302.5 36.4 1.3 54.5 (16.8) (47.5) 371.1 84.4 78.5 5.9 0.4 14.3 (8.0) (2.1) 1,123.1 442.8 194.8 583.6 20.0 336.4 1,827.3 938.1 790.3 1,243.0 417.8 210.2 603.7 50.7 384.4 1,883.9 970.8 792.6 1,431.2 416.6 171.2 514.9 37.9 460.9 1,916.8 917.4 874.3 1,595.7 415.3 195.4 534.5 224.4 566.8 1,989.0 890.4 944.5 FY11 FY12 25/12/2011 30/12/2012 29/12/2013 FY13 ROLLING 12-MTH 0.43 (0.26) 1.71 (0.15) (0.14) 1.73 65.61 6.08 0.44 1.74 (0.29) 0.97 0.89 1.57 65.22 6.41 0.42 (5.03) (6.05) (2.97) (2.50) 1.12 80.77 6.22 0.40 (0.89) 2.17 (0.51) (0.41) 0.94 109.33 6.79 C t BY SIN say tak pan pan to t the qui pro clo A-s hel tak fin pe wh ina cur to l nat ties bac adm I QT ve US SIN tha dam to A com dis ing cei rig roy ola in t Looking for direction on SGX? Go to http://www.theedgemarkets.com/sg q-BUFTU/FXTq%BUB"OBMZUJDTq4UPDL8BUDIMJTU q4UPDL"MFSUTq4UPDLTXJUI.PNFOUVN *5n4'3&& US for jud Ca ini on sid tro wit ed bre by Tri ed “do def cla tem on the cen Ali to sh SIN iba ativ a le ser ING THURSDAY J U LY 9 , 2015 • T HEED G E M ORNING B RIEFING HOME 5 atory ment Q1 15 1.1 .4 .5 .9 .4 .3 0) 1) .7 .3 .4 .5 .4 .8 .0 .4 .5 TH 40 9) 17 1) 1) 94 33 79 China heads for the panic room BY B ERNA RD AW SINGAPORE (July 8): When authorities say “there is no need to panic”, you should take it with a pinch of salt and be a little panicky. However, when they warn of panic sentiment, it may be a good idea to take them seriously. Ironically, Beijing’s latest bid to calm the market had the opposite effect. It is quite clear there is a massive deleveraging process underway now, and the fact that close to 50% (Bloomberg calculations) of A-shares had suspended trading did not help sentiment. The concerted action taken by the Chinese regulator and the financial sector did not stem the stampede. This tells me two things: Either what they have done so far is still quite inadequate or the emotive tone in the current stock slump is too overwhelming to listen to reason. I believe it’s a combination of the two. The panic is spreading and the authorities appear to be grasping at straws to hold back the tide. We have seen the state asset administrator urging state-owned com- panies to buy their own stocks to stabilise share prices and pleading with them not to sell during this massive selloff. Despite the strong downward momentum, Goldman Sachs actually remains bullish about Chinese stocks. Before you dismiss them as a basket case, note that their bullish outlook is premised on a 12-month horizon, which is probably considered long term. They expect the CSI 300 index to rebound 27% over the next 12 months. Currently, the CSI 300 is down by around 30% from its June 8 peak. In the longer term, Chinese equities are still on an uptrend. But in the short term, the trend is down and we have seen every rally over the last three weeks being immediately sold into. Traders are using any bounces as a chance to cut their exposure. Volatility has increased to dramatic levels. Retail investors are naturally very nervous about the whole thing and emotions are likely to get the best of them. This means any rallies in the market should be short-lived, which suggests downside risks over the short to medium term. SPH REIT kept at ‘hold’, with price target of $1.07 by CIMB At best, we may see a stabilisation as the policy intervention and private-sector support filter through the stock market. There are concerns over the potential social fallout if individual investors lose their savings or fall into debt from margin trading. We see a very small likelihood of that happening, as equities only account for about 20% of household financial wealth. A big chunk (54%) still resides in bank deposits. Meanwhile, risk aversion was evident across Asian markets amid contagion worries over the Chinese stock rout. It feels like they are now having way more impact on regional mood than a week or so earlier. Part of the reason is that the Chinese authorities are increasingly worried. The ongoing Greece crisis was also a drag on sentiment. The Nikkei fell 2.6% and closed below 20,000 for the first time in nearly two months. The ASX 200 dropped 1.8%, as global commodities took a hit. We continue to look for headlines out of Greece. Bernard Aw is a market strategist at IG SINGAPORE (July 8): CIMB has maintained its “hold” call and price target of $1.07 on SPH REIT, following its 3QFY2015 earnings announcement, which met expectations. The REIT, which owns prime Orchard Road mall Paragon as well as neighbourhood shopping centre Clementi Mall, reported on July 7 a distribution per unit of 1.35 cents. During the quarter, net property income improved 4.3% y-o-y to $34.1 million, on higher rental income from Paragon and Clementi Mall. Occupancy dropped to 99.8%, owing to an office lease termination at Paragon, while NPI margin rose two percentage points to 76.8% on lower utility bills. Year to date, despite a challenging retail environment, the REIT was able to revise its rental rates by 9.2% for 17% of its portfolio by net lettable area. Furthermore, shopper traffic was stable and tenants were able to increase their sales, albeit marginally. SPH REIT trades at around 5.2% FY2015 yield, which is just a shade lower than the 5.6% peer average. Possible re-rating can be kicked off if and when Seletar Mall, 70%-owned by parent company Singapore Press Holdings, is injected into it. “The mall has been in operation for about half a year at near-full occupancy, and we see healthy shopper traffic in our recent visit,” states CIMB. — By Chan Chao Peh IN BRIEF QT Vascular to appeal against verdict to award AngioScore US$20 mil in damages SINGAPORE (July 8): QT Vascular announced that the US federal district court had awarded damages of US$20.03 million ($27.12 million) to AngioScore, Inc and further ordered the company’s CEO, Dr Eitan Konstantino, to disgorge the benefits he had received arising from an alleged breach of fiduciary duty. The benefits include money he had received for assigning his intellectual property rights to Chocolate PTA balloon catheter, royalties on past and future sales of Chocolate PTA, and all of his shares and options in the company. QT Vascular and its CEO were told by their US counsel that they have multiple grounds for appeal, and that the decision of the single judge in a federal district court in Northern California “contains numerous legal errors”. AngioScore, an angioplasty company, initiated patent infringement proceedings on June 29, 2012 against QT Vascular’s subsidiaries, TriReme Medical, LLC and Quattro Vascular, and Konstantino in connection with the Chocolate PTA. On June 27, 2014, AngioScore added claims alleging that Konstantino had breached his fiduciary duties to AngioScore by developing the Chocolate PTA and that TriReme Medical and Quattro Vascular aided and abetted the alleged breach. QT Vascular said the trial court’s decision “does not have any adverse impact on the defendants’ defences” related to the patent claim, which is scheduled for trial in September, and will not have a material effect on the financial position or profitability of the company. QT Vascular closed 36.3% lower at 11.6 cents today. — By P C Lee Alibaba raises stake in SingPost to 14.51% with $187.1 mil share acquisition SINGAPORE (July 8): Singapore Post and Alibaba Group have announced several initiatives to strengthen cooperation and build a leading e-commerce logistics platform to service Asia-Pacific and beyond. Alibaba Group will purchase 107.6 million new ordinary shares amounting to 5% of the existing share capital of SingPost for $187.1 million. Upon completion, Alibaba’s deemed interest on a fully diluted basis in SingPost will rise from 10.23% to 14.51%. Alibaba Group acquired its initial stake in SingPost in 2014. Its acquisition of additional equity in SingPost is subject to approval from the Infocomm Development Authority of Singapore (IDA) and SingPost’s shareholders. In the second initiative, Alibaba will invest up to $92 million in Quantium Solutions International for a 34% stake in the company. QSI is a wholly-owned subsidiary of SingPost that provides leading end-to-end e-commerce logistics and fulfilment services across Asia-Pacific. SingPost will hold the remaining 66% of the equity of QSI. QSI will reorganise its business and become the joint-venture vehicle of SingPost and Alibaba Group. In addition, QSI will also become a platform for both parties to strengthen their collaboration and realise synergies across their businesses. SingPost closed 0.8% higher at $1.905 today. — By P C Lee SingPost raised to ‘add’ by CIMB following additional commitment from Alibaba SINGAPORE (July 8): CIMB has upgraded SingPost to “add” from “hold” and revised its price target to $2.07 from $2.05, following Alibaba’s additional investment in the company and the formation of a joint venture to further expand e-commerce logistics activities in the region. “Though earnings growth may only accelerate in the medium term, investors are paid to wait with a 3.7% yield,” writes analyst Jessalynn Chen in a July 8 note, referring to the dividend commitment of seven cents a year from 6.25 cents that was announced on May 29. Earlier in the day, SingPost announced that China’s e-commerce giant, Alibaba, already a strategic investor in the company since May last year with a $312.5 million punt, is committing even more. The two companies are formalising a joint-venture agreement, via SingPost’s subsidiary, Quantium Solutions International. Alibaba will pay $91.7 million for a 34% stake, with SingPost retaining the remaining 66%. SingPost will also issue 107.6 million new shares at $1.74 each to Alibaba. In all, SingPost will gain net proceeds of $183.6 million, and will use the fresh capital to fund expansion in e-commerce logistics in the region. Alibaba, meanwhile, will see its stake in SingPost raised to 14.51% from 10.23% — if regulators give the go-ahead for the deal. When Alibaba first invested in SingPost by taking new shares, there were concerns that the dividend-seekers’ favourite would have its earnings per share diluted by more than 10%. Chen now sees SingPost’s EPS lowered by 11% for FY2016 to FY2018, because of the dilution from a bigger share base as well as loss of earnings from the reduced stake in Quantium Solutions International. However, she sees “upside” from possible M&A deals and SingPost will also likely gain from a higher growth rate because of the collaboration with Alibaba. — By Chan Chao Peh Ezion kept at ‘overweight’ by JP Morgan, with $1.85 price target SINGAPORE (July 8): JP Morgan is maintaining its recommendation that investors shy away from the oil services sector in Asean, as soft energy prices continue to weigh down on the once-booming sector. “We see range-bound oil prices continuing to exert pressure on controlling costs, impacting asset owners as well as rig builders,” writes Ajay Mirchandani in a July 7 note. However, he singles out Ezion Holdings as the only stock within this space to go “overweight”. Mirchandani, who has a price target of $1.85 on the stock, likes the company’s ability to lower charter rates for its fleet of liftboats while maintaining high utilisation rate of its assets. In addition, the company is still on a growth trajectory, with its current fleet of 22 vessels seen to increase to 37 by end-2016. This will help to further lift the company’s earnings. While Ezion has a lower earnings risk profile, thanks to its contracts in the bag and thus visibility in its cash flow, the market’s valuation of the company has been similar to, or even lower than, the valuations of other asset owners. Furthermore, the company’s share price, relative to other companies such as Keppel Corp and SembMarine, has not outperformed the sector. The company is trading at a compelling 4.5 times FY2016 earnings and 0.8 times price to book, and has a return on equity of 18%. Ezion now pays a paltry dividend of 0.1 cent a share. This might change in the medium term as capital expenditure requirement reduces down the road, states Mirchandani. Ezion ended 4% lower at 97 cents today. — By Chan Chao Peh SMRT breakdown could result in $50 mil fine, says Maybank Kim Eng SINGAPORE (July 8): Singapore’s largest MRT breakdown in 27 years could result in a fine of as much as $50 million for operator SMRT Corp, according to Maybank Kim Eng analyst Derrick Heng in a July 8 note. The three-hour-long evening peak-hour disruption of service on the North-South and East-West Lines, on July 7, affected some 250,000 commuters. In a July 8 press conference co-chaired with regulator Land Transport Authority, SMRT CEO Desmond Kuek apologised for the breakdown. Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong, in a Facebook post later in the evening, said he was “very concerned” about the breakdown, although trains ran without hitches today. Heng notes that in Feb 17, 2014, Parliament passed a bill to increase the maximum fine for every rail disruption to 10% of an operator’s annual fare revenue for the rail line affected. The previous maximum penalty was $1 million, for two major disruptions in December 2011. There were another four incidents, between October 2013 and May 2014, which led to a total fine of $1.6 million. For now, pending further investigations and actions by the regulators, Heng is maintaining his “hold” call and price target of $1.57 on SMRT, pegged at 20 times FY2016 earnings. SMRT shares closed the day four cents lower, at $1.505. — By Chan Chao Peh XXX T HU R SDAY JU LY 9, 2 0 1 5 • TH EEDGE M ORN I N G B RI EF I N G 6 WORLD BUSINESS China market rout jeopardises US$25b in buyout deals Firms have been pursuing to abandon US in search of higher valuations at home BY Y E XI E SHANGHAI: The stock market rout in Shanghai and Shenzhen is threatening to derail a record US$25 billion (RM95.25 billion) in buyouts that Chinese companies have been pursuing to abandon US exchanges in search of higher valuations at home. Shares of at least 23 US-listed Chinese targets, including Qihoo 360 Technology Co, have tumbled this week to the point that they’re Taxi hailing app Didi Kuaidi raises US$2b BEIJING: China’s top taxi hailing app Didi Kuaidi announced yesterday it raised US$2 billion (RM7.62 billion) in two weeks, after reports said US rival Uber planned to invest US$1.1 billion in the country this year. Didi Kuaidi, which is backed by technology giants Alibaba and Tencent and calls itself the world’s largest one-stop mobile-based transport network, said its fundraising attracted “tremendous interest” from global investors. It is looking to raise “a further few hundred million dollars” from new investors in the coming month, it added. “The fact that global investors are eager to participate in this fundraising round shows their confidence in the development of our company,” Cheng Wei, chief executive officer and chairman of the company, said in a statement. The popularity of private car booking enterprises such as Didi Kuaidi and San Francisco-based Uber has soared in China, where traditional taxis are criticised for poor service with rude drivers who routinely ignore customers on the street. For now the Chinese firm dominates the market, but the two are locked in a fierce battle for customers, offering both riders and drivers subsidies and discounts that are costing the companies vast sums. Uber, which launched operations in China last year, said in a message to investors last month that it planned to invest seven billion yuan (RM4.28 billion) in China, the Financial Times reported previously. Uber riders were making almost one million trips per day with business doubling in the previous month, its CEO Travis Kalanick said, adding the company plans to add 50 cities into its operational network, from the current 11. But Didi Kuaidi’s Cheng was confident that the company’s “clear competitive advantages” built “through its integrated platform, technology and team” would see it win out. — AFP trading at an average of 22% below their buyout offers, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, indicating investors are becoming more sceptical the deals will go through. The discount has increased from an average 8.1% when the proposals were announced. Back in the mainland, the rout continues. The Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index slumped as much as 8.2% yesterday, extending a three-week decline that’s wiped out more than US$3 trillion in market value and prompted China to suspend initial public offerings. Less than a month ago, the index had surged 151% over a one-year period to its highest since 2008, ushering in a stampede of companies seeking to return to Chinese exchanges in search of higher valuations. “Timing and valuations are no longer favourable for companies to go private,” said Henry Guo, an analyst at Summit Research Partners. “The correction reflects the concern that some of the deals won’t go through.” Qihoo’s American depository receipts slumped 7.1% on Tuesday to US$58.63, compared with the US$77 a share that a management-led buyout group said they’d offer in a non-bidding US$8.4 billion bid that was the biggest this year. Qihoo chief financial officer Alex Xu declined to comment on the prospects of the buyout getting scrapped or revised. — Bloomberg Rescue making matters worse BY KYOUNG WHA K I M , K ANA NISHIZAWA & Y U KO TAK EO Shanghai Composite Index SHANGHAI: What’s a Chinese company worth? That’s always been a difficult question in a country where individual investors drive more than 80% of trades on local stock exchanges. Now, though, finding the answer has become harder than ever. Between unprecedented government intervention to prop up the US$6.5 trillion (RM24.76 trillion) equity market and trading suspensions in more than 1,300 companies, analysts can no longer rely on share prices as an indicator of corporate value in China. This comes less than two years after China’s ruling Communist Party vowed to give market forces a bigger role in the economy. While the stock market rescue mission is designed to stem a rout that erased US$3.2 trillion in three weeks, it may end up making matters worse. Traders rushed to sell whatever they could yesterday and foreign investors extended a record three-day exodus as the Shanghai Composite Index sank 3.9% in early trading. “The market has failed,” said Hao Hong, a China strategist at Bocom International Holdings Co in Hong Kong. “It’s distorted because we keep changing the rules as we play the game.” As the Shanghai Composite’s record-breaking boom goes bust, President Xi Jinping’s government is deploying the heavy hand of the state in an attempt to prevent falling stock prices from eroding 5,500 One year 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 Jul 2014 Oct 2014 Jan 2015 Apr 2015 Jul 2015 Source: Yahoo Finance confidence in his leadership. Chinese authorities have suspended initial public offerings, restricted bearish bets via stock-index futures, encouraged financial firms to buy shares and ordered state-run companies to maintain holdings in listed units. And Chinese exchanges have allowed at least 1,323 companies to halt trading in their shares. Said Tsutomu Yamada, a market analyst at Kabu.com Securities Co in Tokyo, “It shows how much of a fake market it is. Those who want to sell will keep wanting to sell. When they start trading again, just think of how much selling there’ll be.” The government’s market meddling is pushing historical price relationships to extreme levels. China’s CSI 300 Index futures fell to a record discount versus the underlying eq- uity gauge in late trading on Tuesday. It’s a sign that derivatives traders view share prices as artificially high after the trading suspensions and state efforts to prop them up, according to Jasper Lawler, a London-based analyst at CMC Markets. The distortions may be spilling over into Hong Kong’s market as investors sell holdings as a way to hedge positions on the mainland, said Tony Chu, a Hong Kong-based money manager at RS Investment Management Co. Price gaps between dual-listed shares in Shanghai and Hong Kong, where international investors dominate trading, are the widest since 2009. “The major problem is that government intervention is clearly doing more negative than good,” Chu said. “There’s really panic out there.” — Bloomberg State-owned firms ordered not to cut shareholdings SHANGHAI: China ordered stateowned firms not to cut holdings in their listed companies, the latest of a series of measures taken to stem a stock market rout. The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission also promised to support companies under its management to raise their holdings to maintain stable share prices, according to a statement on its website. Yesterday’s move came as the Shanghai Composite Index fell to a three-month low amid the biggest stock market rout since 1992. Attempts to stem declines have included Chinese companies halting trading in their shares. The measures follow stock purchases by state-directed funds and an interest rate cut by the central bank in recent weeks. The Shanghai Composite Index slid 3.9% to 3,582.50 at the 11.30am break, after plunging as much as 8.2% in the morning. — Bloomberg IN BRIEF Aussie banks warned on interest rate benchmarks SYDNEY: Australia’s corporate watchdog outlined details yesterday of its investigation into possible manipulations of interbank lending as it warned banks to be mindful of how they set interest rate benchmarks. The Australian Securities and Investments Commission, which is examining trading practices from 2007 to 2013 in interbank lending, said it was investigating possible misconduct relating to trading to move a benchmark rate so that a bank benefits, for instance through the increase in value of a derivative position, and inappropriate handling of client orders or positions such as deliberately triggering stoploss orders. — AFP Funds target commodities after slump in equities BEIJING: Chinese hedge funds have been big short sellers of locally traded commodities, including iron ore, steel and rubber, after redeploying cash from tumbling equity markets where authorities have slapped curbs on trading, fund managers and traders said. The Chinese equity market rout appears to be the chief factor driving the sell-off in commodities. There had been forced liquidation on China’s commodities markets due to margin calls tied to stock market exposure, and some short sellers taking advantage of a flight of international investors from local markets, they said. — Reuters Employees, execs to buy three brokerages’ shares SHANGHAI: Three Chinese brokerages said some of their executives and employees plan to buy shares in their own firms, in an attempt to provide support amid a frenetic investor sell-off on the country’s bourses. CITIC Securities, Haitong Securities and Central China Securities, whose shares have been roiled in a rout that has seen Chinese equities fall around 30% from their mid-June peak, announced the plans yesterday. Shanghai-listed shares in CITIC Securities, China’s largest brokerage by assets, are down 25% since mid-June while Haitong Securities’ Shanghai-listed shares have fallen by about 28% over the same period. — Reuters ‘Taiwan orders checks on exposure to China markets’ TAIPEI: Taiwan’s financial regulator has ordered domestic financial institutions to detail their exposure to China’s stock market, people familiar with the matter said yesterday, after huge losses in both China and Taiwan bourses. The Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) is asking banks, insurance companies and brokerages in Taiwan to detail the profit and losses of their investments in listed companies in China, three sources said. Wu Kueimao, chief secretary for the FSC, said he was unaware of the matter when asked. — Reuters