® Strategic Planning within the USPS ASP Annual Conference “Strategy is Global: Global Challenges, Global Solutions” May 2015 Keith Ross Butler Strategic Initiatives Program Manager USPS Office of Strategic Planning ® Introduction The United States Postal Service has a strong and seasoned strategic planning and execution process, which has a long history within the organization. This session will focus on the USPS strategic planning process, challenges facing the organization, and trends that highlight the future of the USPS. Participants will learn about the following: A. Key elements of USPS strategic planning B. Legislative mandates and long-term liabilities affecting the organization C. Portfolio management and strategic initiatives D. Emerging trends facing the USPS ASP Conference – May, 2015 2 ® Key Elements of USPS Strategic Planning ASP Conference – May, 2015 3 ® Mission & Vision Mission: The mission of the Postal Service is to provide a reliable, efficient, trusted and affordable universal delivery service* that connects people and helps businesses grow. Vision: The Postal Service is dedicated to improving its services, products and capabilities to adapt to the changing needs of customers in the digital age. *While not explicitly defined, the Universal Service Obligation (USO) is broadly outlined in statute to include: geographic scope, range of products, access to services and facilities, delivery frequency, affordable and uniform pricing, service quality, and mail security. ASP Conference – May, 2015 4 ® Strategy Defined ASP Conference – May, 2015 5 ® Strategic Choices Strategy is about making choices to best meet our customer’s current and future needs… Source: Playing to Win: How Strategy Really Works, A.G. Lafley & Roger Martin, HBR Press, 2013 ASP Conference – May, 2015 6 ® Office of Strategic Planning Purpose: Operate a world-class enterprise strategy office that enables USPS leadership to achieve business outcomes. We accomplish this by providing key insights and analysis, coordinating the implementation of the highest priority strategic initiatives, and maintaining the confidence of key stakeholders in postal strategies. Primary Functions and Services Organizational Structure Chief Financial Officer Joe Corbett Office of Strategic Planning Emil Dzuray, Director Strategic Management Office J O Smith, Manager Strategic Business Planning Office Preston Finley, Manager Strategic Insights & Analysis Strategic Portfolio Management Executive strategy, planning Support initiative teams with: & ideation workshops Planning and Chartering Roadmap Development and Executive Business Insights forums 14 in-house staff members comprised of Strategic Project Managers, Strategic Planning Specialists and Strategic Program Managers Manage Enterprise Project Management Office which employs 60-100 contractors who support corporate Project Management Offices (PMOs) for strategic initiatives Insight & analysis whitepapers Corporate insights management system Program Planning Risk Assessment DRIVE Status Reporting Stakeholder Engagement Corporate Strategy & Performance Reporting Five Year Strategic Plan Annual Report to Congress Comprehensive Statement of Operations Annual Performance Plan ® Focus Areas • Strengthen our Business-to-Consumer Channel Four Key Strategies (2012-15) by keeping USPS costs low and service levels high for mail senders and promoting high quality experiences for receivers. • Improve our Customer’s Experience at all touch points in ways that matter most to customers – both senders and receivers -- and in person and online. • Compete for the Package Business by building a world class package platform that offers affordable, simple, fast, visible and secure package delivery services. • Become a Leaner, Faster, and Smarter Organization by removing excess capacity, improving efficiencies, achieving 100% customer, product and employee visibility, building competitive workforce, and strengthen financial liquidity and risk management The four focus areas align all strategic initiatives with ƒcorporate and unit performance goals (NPA), as well as staff pay for performance goals (PES). ASP Conference – May, 2015 8 Strategic Capabilities ® 4 Innovation Platforms Key to Future Success First Mile Physical Network Boost the demand for mail and packages Expand and simplify induction points Integrate emerging digital, big data, and consumer trends to grow Last Mile Leverage market-leading physical assets Expand delivery solutions Capitalize on the expansion of E-commerce and technology Incorporate evolving logistics solutions Develop a structure that fosters agility and innovation Digital Leverage USPS’s brand, trust, and reputation to drive profit Provide digitally-enabled security, authentication, tools, and insights to a broad range of customers Optimize route flexibility and productivity Enterprise Cross-functional enablers that strengthen the Platforms People Technology Operations Marketing Finance Legal Communications Foundation Requirements for growth and innovation Brand World-Class Customer Experience Culture of Delivery World-Class Reliability and Visibility Security Simplicity ASP Conference – May, 2015 9 ® Legislative Mandates & Long-Term Liabilities ASP Conference – May, 2015 10 PAEA ® • In 2003, the President’s Commission on the Postal Service made several recommendations in their published report. • In 2006, legislation was proposed within Congress which was later passed as the Postal Accountability and Enhancement Act (PAEA). • This law separated USPS products into two categories: – Market Dominant (ex: First Class Mail, Standard Mail, Periodicals) – Market Competitive (ex: Priority Mail, Express Mail) • The law also required the USPS to pre-fund retiree health benefits. This prefunding required the service to pay $75Billion from 2007 to 2017. • The financial impacts of PAEA and the 2008 economic recession severely damaged the financial viability of the USPS and its business model. ASP Conference – May, 2015 11 ® Long-Term Liabilities The USPS has made major strides to improve its finances. However, legislative and regulatory action is needed to address outstanding financial difficulties. $56.7B or roughly 80% of total liabilities ASP Conference – May, 2015 12 ® Portfolio Management & Strategic Initiatives ASP Conference – May, 2015 13 ® Portfolio Management DRIVE Portfolio Governance Structure SMO track/report portfolio status/issues/portfolio risks to ELT using standard tool/process Standard Processes ILs track/report program status/issues/initiative risks to SMO/ELT using standard tool/process Project Managers track/report task status/project risks using Detailed Project Management Plans ASP Conference – May, 2015 14 Portfolio Reporting ® SMO produces 4 standardized reports: Report name Information reported Portfolio Summary Dashboard • • • • Portfolio Performance Chart • Portfolio KPI performance variance • Financial and non-financial impacts • Actuals v. plan-to-date and v. plan Initiative & Roadmap Performance Dashboards Initiative Roadmaps • • • • • Screenshot Initiative milestone variance Initiative impact variance Initiative risk status Initiative update status Key milestone variance KPI status and variance Risks status Key issue and corrective action status Status of interdependencies • All milestones and KPIs status and target dates and performance • Log of risks, issues, comments and corrective actions • List of cross portfolio interdependencies ASP Conference – May, 2015 15 The Financial Crisis ® As a result of growing challenges to its business model, the USPS faced four years of dramatic financial decline. Major Challenges to the USPS RHB prefunding mandate Steadily declining mail volume Economic recession Rising labor costs Large fixed cost base USPS Financial Situation: FY2007- FY2011 ($) Billions $76 $74 2008 economic recession $72 Without fundamental change, cumulative losses were projected to reach $238 billion by the end of FY2020.** $70 So how did the USPS turn things around? $68 $66 Revenue Controllable Cost* $64 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Fiscal Year End *Before RHB pre-funding and non-cash adjustments to workers’ compensation liabilities **As stated in the 2010 USPS Action Plan ASP Conference – May, 2015 16 Emergency Initiatives ® USPS management realized that legislative reform would require time, and took decisive action to ensure the organization’s solvency. Key Management Decisions Sought legislative & regulatory relief Prioritized payments vs. capital spending Restructured Headquarters Generated revenue from sales & Last Mile services Created strategic management framework USPS Financial Situation: FY2007- FY2011 ($) Billions $76 $74 $72 $70 $68 $66 Revenue Controllable Cost* $64 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Fiscal Year End *Before RHB pre-funding and non-cash adjustments to workers’ compensation liabilities ASP Conference – May, 2015 17 Cost Reduction Initiatives ® To address shrinking volume, the USPS created efficiencies by rationalizing the network and improving the use of data to inform management decisions. Key Management Decisions Consolidated 143 Mail Processing Facilities Adjusted hours for 9,700+ Post Offices via POStPlan Renegotiated agreements with Unions & suppliers Introduced Intelligent Mail Barcode USPS Financial Situation: FY2012- Present ($) Billions $76 FY2015 Q1 $74 $72 $70 $68 $66 Revenue Controllable Cost* $64 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Fiscal Year End *Before RHB pre-funding and non-cash adjustments to workers’ compensation liabilities ASP Conference – May, 2015 18 Innovation Platforms ® While the USPS cut costs, management also focused on growing the package business and engaging customers in innovative ways. Key Management Decisions Improved customer interactions outside retail locations (e.g., online/mobile) Enhanced product visibility and scanning Piloted innovative products & services Enhanced Every Door Direct Mail (EDDM) product USPS Financial Situation: FY2012- Present ($) Billions $76 FY2015 Q1 $74 $72 $70 $68 $66 Revenue Controllable Cost* $64 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Fiscal Year End *Before RHB pre-funding and non-cash adjustments to workers’ compensation liabilities ASP Conference – May, 2015 19 Impact of Decisions ® Key management decisions have stabilized the USPS and created confidence in the organization’s future. Key Accomplishments Returned to a controllable income profit Regained revenue growth in FY2013 Expanded innovative products and partnerships Reduced network and labor costs Grew package market share USPS Financial Situation: FY2007- Present ($) Billions $76 FY2015 Q1 $74 $72 $70 $68 $66 Revenue Controllable Cost* $64 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Fiscal Year End *Before RHB pre-funding and non-cash adjustments to workers’ compensation liabilities ASP Conference – May, 2015 20 Sustainable Future ® Building on these achievements, the USPS is committed to remaining the world’s premier mail and package delivery business. USPS Future Priorities Support product growth through network efficiencies Engage and empower employees Invest in the future Speed the pace of innovation USPS Financial Situation & 5 Year Outlook ($) Billions How do we achieve financial stability? $76 FY2015 Q1 $74 $72 $70 $68 $66 Revenue **Projected financials Controllable Cost* $64 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Fiscal Year End *Before RHB pre-funding and non-cash adjustments to workers’ compensation liabilities **Projections based on 2013 USPS Five Year Plan ASP Conference – May, 2015 21 ® Emerging Trends Facing the USPS WE ASSESSED 23 EMERGING TRENDS IN THREE MAJOR CATEGORIES… …LET’S EXPLORE THEM ASP Conference – May, 2015 22 ® “A good hockey player plays where the puck is. A great hockey player plays where the puck is going to be.” - Wayne Gretzky OSP endeavors to figure out where the Postal Service’s ‘puck’ will be in the future ASP Conference – May, 2015 23 ® Social Trends Social trends capture the patterns of human interaction, movement, and preference Technology Trends Technology trends include the application of scientific knowledge and engineering in the digital age Industry Trends Industry trends are new developments shaping how businesses are organized and how transactions take place ASP Conference – May, 2015 24 ® 8 Social Trends ASP Conference – May, 2015 25 ® 8 Technology Trends ASP Conference – May, 2015 26 ® 7 Industry Trends ASP Conference – May, 2015 27 ® Scenario Planning What strategies will position the USPS to thrive in any Future Scenario? Capability 1 Capability 2 Capability n Capability 1 Capability 2 Capability n Capability 1 Capability 2 Capability n Capability 1 Capability 2 Capability n Capability 1 Capability 2 Capability n Capability 1 Capability 2 Capability n Build out capabilities that exist in all scenarios, identify triggers for outlying scenarios, and be nimble! ® Conclusion The United States Postal Service has created momentum for future success, despite its financial challenges. The Postal Service is recovering from a crisis caused by the economic recession of 2008 and the prefunding requirements in the Postal Accountability and Enhancement Act (PAEA) of 2006. USPS management improved the Postal Service’s finances by cutting costs and pursuing a growth strategy for the future. The Postal Service reported revenue growth of $800M and $1.1B controllable income in the first quarter of FY2015. Legislative and regulatory action is essential for the USPS to become financially sustainable and cover its $46B in unfunded liabilities. The United States Postal Service needs legislative and regulatory relief to achieve long-term sustainability. ASP Conference – May, 2015 29 ® Q&A ASP Conference – May, 2015 30