Florida:
Demographics
House Redistricting Committee,
g
Redistricting
g Subcommittee,
Congressional
House Redistricting Subcommittee, and
Senate Redistricting Subcommittee
April 20-21, 2011
Presented by:
The Florida Legislature
Office of Economic and
Demographic Research
850.487.1402
http://edr.state.fl.us
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Demographic
hi Data
D t Sources
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Economic and Demographic Research
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Performs analysis of demographic data and original research
Administers the annual contract for:
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(usually 3x per year)
Adopts statewide population estimates and forecasts
Adopts net migration, natural increase and household data
Decennial Census – US Census Bureau
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city and county population estimates
county population estimates and projections by age group, race, sex, and Hispanic Origin
Florida Demographic Estimating Conference
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(ongoing)
Provides the official population counts used as benchmarks
Provides geo-spatial data for redistricting
Annual American Community Survey – US Census Bureau
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Provides information about the social and economic structure of communities
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age; sex; race; family and relationships; income and benefits; health insurance; education;
veteran status; disabilities; transportation; housing and expenses; transportation
Replaces the former Decennial Census long-form
Recommended usage for sub-state data – 5-year cycle; first cycle is now available
Population Growth Recovering
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Population growth is the state’s primary engine of economic growth,
fueling both employment and income growth.
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Population growth is forecast to remain relatively flat – averaging
0.7% between 2010 and 2012. However, growth is expected to
recover in the future – averaging 1.1% between 2025 and 2030 with
88% of the growth coming from net migration. Nationally, average
annual growth will be about 0.9%.
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The future will be different than the past; Florida’s long-term growth
rate between 1970 and 1995 was over 3%.
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Florida is still on track to break the 20 million mark by the end of
2015, becoming the third most populous state sometime before then
– surpassing New York.
Florida’s April 1 Population
29,800,000
2030
23,877,889
24,800,000
19,800,000
2000
15,982,824
14,800,000
2010
18,801,310
9,800,000
4,800,000
Florida’s population:
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was 15,982,824 in 2000
was 18,801,310
,
,
in 2010
is forecast to grow to 23,877,889 by 2030
Florida’s Population Growth
500,000
450,000
Natural Increase
400,000
350,000
Net Migration
300 000
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100 000
100,000
50,000
0
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Typically, most of Florida’s population growth is
from net migration.
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In 2030, net migration is forecast to represent
88.6 percent of Florida’s population growth.
Net
N Migration
Mi
i by
b County
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(April 1, 2000 to April 1, 2010)
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Statewide, net migration
accounted for 81.6% of the
population
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growth between
April 1, 2000 and April 1,
2010.
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There were 22 counties in
the state where all the
growth between April 1
1,
2000 and April 1, 2010
was due to net migration.
Florida’s Population
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by
y Gender
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In 2000, females slightly outnumbered males in the state.
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This relationship is currently forecast to remain relatively
constant through 2030,
2030 but may shift to an even greater
percentage of females with the large cohort of retirees.
Median Age of Floridians
(April 1, 2009)
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The median age of Florida
residents was estimated at
40.4 years as of April 1, 2009.
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There were 3 counties with a
median age below 30: Hendry
(29.2), Leon (29.3), and
Alachua (29.7).
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There were 8 counties with a
median age of 50 and older:
Charlotte (55.0), Citrus (54.6),
Sarasota (53.2), Highlands
(51 6) Flagler (50.9),
(51.6),
(50 9)
Hernando (50.7), Martin (50.5),
and Sumter (50.1).
Population by Age Group
April 1, 2009
As of April 1, 2009, it was estimated that there were:
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4.1 million Floridians under the age of 18
2.8 million Floridians between 18 and 29
2.6 million Floridians in their 40s
2.5 million Floridians in their 50s
2.3 million Floridians in their 30s
1.9 million Floridians in their 60s
1.4 million Floridians in their 70s
1.0 million Floridians 80 or older
Population Growth by Age Group
April 1, 2009 to April 1, 2030
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Between 2009 and 2030, Florida’s population is forecast to grow
by almost 5.1 million.
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Florida’s older population (age 60 and older) will account for most
of Florida’s population growth, representing 64.4 percent of the
gains.
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Florida’s younger population (age 0-17) will account for 13.0
percent of the gains.
Total Population by Age Group
percent
percent
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In 2000, Florida’s prime working age population (ages 25-54)
accounted for 41.5 percent of total population. With the aging baby
boom generation, this percentage is estimated to have fallen to 39.4
percent in 2009 and by 2030 is projected to represent 34.1 percent.
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Population aged 65 and over is forecast to represent 26.0 percent in
2030, compared to 17.6 percent in 2000 and 17.5 percent in 2009.
Diversity is Increasing...
0.1%
3.0% 2.4%
White (alone)
1.7%
0.3%
0.1%
2.4%
0.4%
3.6% 2.5%
Black or African American (alone)
14.6%
American Indian and Alaska Native (alone)
16.0%
Asian (alone)
Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander (alone)
78.0%
75.0%
S
Some Other Race (alone)
Oth R
( l
)
Two or More Races
2000
2010
Population by Race by County
County with the Greatest % of
White (alone) Population:
2000 Citrus
95.0%
2010 Citrus
93.0%
Counties with the Least % of
White (alone) Population:
2000 Gadsden
38.7%
2010 Gadsden
35.9%
Statewide Percentages:
2000 = 78.0%
2010 = 75.0%
Population by Race by County
County with the Greatest % of Black or
African American (alone) Population:
2000 Gadsden
57.1%
2010 Gadsden
56.0%
Counties with the Least % of Black or
African American (alone) Population:
2000 Pasco
2.1%
2010 Citrus
2.8%
Statewide Percentages:
2000 = 14.6%
2010 = 16.0%
Minority Population
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As used in federal standards from the Office of Management and
Budget and the Census Bureau, being of Hispanic origin refers to an
ethnicity, not a race. These are separate and distinct concepts.
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However,
someone off Hi
Hispanic
i origin
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id d partt off th
the
minority population.
Groupings
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ƒ Total Population
ƒ Ethnicity (Hispanic or Non-Hispanic)
ƒ Race ((White,, Black or African American,, American Indian
or Alaska Native, Asian, Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific
Islander, and Some Other Race)
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Florida s minority percentage of the population is 42
Florida’s
42.1%
1% --- New
York is now at 41.7%, and the nation as a whole is at 36.3%.
Florida’s Hispanic Population
30 0%
30.0%
24.5%
25.0%
22.5%
25.6%
26.5%
23.2%
19.1%
20.0%
16.8%
15.0%
12.2%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
1990
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
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Based on the 2010 Census, Hispanics represent about
22.5 percent of Florida’s population
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Florida will become increasingly
g y more Hispanic;
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; Hispanics
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are forecast to represent over 26 percent of Florida’s
population in 2030
Hispanic/Latino Population by County
County with the Greatest % of
Hispanic/Latino Population:
2000 Miami-Dade
57.3%
2010 Miami-Dade
65.0%
Counties with the Least % of
Hispanic/Latino Population:
2000 Nassau & Taylor
1.5%
2010 Baker
1.9%
Statewide Percentages:
2000 = 16.8%
2010 = 22.5%
Language and Foreign Born
Language Spoken at Hom e
Estim ate
Population 5 years and over
17,374,812
English only
12,801,854
Language other than English
Speak English
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less than "very
y w ell"
Spanish
Speak English less than "very w ell"
Other Indo-European languages
Speak English less than "very w ell"
Asian and Pacific Islander languages
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Speak English less than "very w ell"
Other languages
Speak English less than "very w ell"
4,572,958
2,018,150
,
,
3,352,805
1,556,751
886,117
326,885
252,684
,
114,291
81,352
20,223
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In 2009,
2009 almost 4.6
4 6 million Floridians (age 5 or older) spoke a language
other than English at home, of which about 2.0 million spoke English less
than “very well”. If this relationship continues, by 2030, around 5.9 million
Floridians (age 5 or older) will speak a language other than English at
home,, of which about 2.6
6 million will speak
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English
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less than “very
y well”.
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In 2009, 18.8% of Florida’s population was foreign born.
Florida’s County Population
April 1, 2010
Population
7 largest counties =
51.7% of Florida’s
total population
Number of Florida
Counties
One million or more
5
500,000 to 999,999
5
250,000 to 499,999
12
100,000 to 249,999
11
50 000 to 99
50,000
99,999
999
Under 50,000
One million or more:
298 Liberty Counties =
1 Miami-Dade, the 8th
largest county in the US
8
26
The smallest counties:
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Miami-Dade...2,496,435
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Liberty...8,365
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Broward...1,748,066
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Lafayette...8,870
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Palm Beach
Beach...1,320,134
1 320 134
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Franklin 11 549
Franklin...11,549
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Hillsborough...1,229,226
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Glades...12,884
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Orange...1,145,956
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Calhoun...14,265
Population
P
l ti
Growth
G
th
(April 1, 2000 – April 1, 2010)
Counties Gaining the
Most Population:
Orange
Miami-Dade
Hillsborough
Palm Beach
Lee
249,612
242,656
230,278
188,943
177 866
177,866
Counties Losing
Population:
Monroe
Pinellas
-6,499
-4,953
Population Growth Rate
(April 1, 2000 – April 1, 2010)
Counties Growing the
Fastest:
Flagler
Sumter
Osceola
St. Johns
St. Lucie
92.0% -- 3rd in US
75.1% -- 8th in US
55.8%
54.3%
44.2%
Counties Losing
Population:
Monroe
Pinellas
-8.2%
-0.5%
Population
Density
P
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D
it
Most Dense
County:
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Pinellas
3,348
Least Dense
County:
Lib t
Liberty
10
Housing Units (Rental and Owner)
1,568,778
17.5%
965,033
13.2%
7,303,108
8,989,580
vacant
6,338,075
occupied
7,420,802
82 5%
82.5%
86.8%
2000
2010
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The number of housing units grew by 23.1% over the
decade, a pace greater than the population as a whole.
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The percentage of occupied units fell to 82.5% from 86.8%.
% of Residential Loans in Foreclosure
Largest Percentage Counties...
Miami-Dade County
Osceola County
Franklin County
St. Lucie County
18.67%
16.84%
16.15%
16.04%
Available May 2011
2010 Census – Profile
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Persons
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Sex by Age Group
Median Age
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Race
Al
Alone
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Some Asian / Native Hawaiian
and Other Pacific Islander
detail
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Hispanic
i or L
Latino
ti
ƒ
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Households by Type
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Housing Units
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IInstitutionalized
tit ti
li d /
Non-institutionalized
Occupied
Vacant
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By Mexican / Puerto Rican /
Cuban / Other
By Race Alone
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Household Relationship
Population in Group Quarters
by Sex
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Family / Nonfamily households
Average Household Size
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Average
F
Family
il Si
Size
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ƒ
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For rent
Rented, not occupied
For sale
S ld nott occupied
Sold,
i d
For seasonal, recreational, or
occasional use
Other
Homeowner vacancy rate
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Rental vacancy rate