Harvard University Extension School Business Strategy in the Real World MGMT E-5002 (24183), January 2016 Dr. Daniel Deneffe Course Syllabus (v. Nov 9 2015) COURSE LOGISTICS Meeting times: Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday from 5.30 to 8.30pm Location: Maxwell Dworkin G125 Email: danieldeneffe@fas.harvard.edu Office hours: Every day after class Course website: Courses.harvard.edu/course/ext-24183/2016/winter ABOUT DANIEL C. DENEFFE, PHD Dr. Daniel Deneffe is an independent strategy consultant and a Senior Advisor to a number of strategy consulting companies. Prior to going on his own in 2013, he was a consultant with Arthur D. Little for 18 years, which he joined in 1995 and where he was elected to partner 5 years later. Deneffe’s areas of expertise include corporate and business unit strategy marketing strategy pricing, bidding and sales excellence Deneffe has applied his expertise in projects world-wide (Europe, US, Latin America, Middle East, Asia Pacific, Australia) and across a wide range of industries (including cars, trucks, FMCGs, alcoholic beverages, beer, food, financial industries, chemicals, pharmaceuticals, vaccines, biotech, medical devices, disposable medical supplies, general and psychiatric hospitals, consumer durables, construction, cement, engineering and manufacturing industries, perimeter protection solutions, telecom operators, telecom hardware and software suppliers, payroll services, coach services, radar warning systems, insulation materials, specialty metals, precious metal refining, electric utilities, electricity grid operators, public services). At Hult Deneffe teaches Managerial Economics and Global Strategy. Deneffe was elected Professor of the Year 18 times, the Hult record. Prior to joining Arthur D. Little, Deneffe was a full time faculty member at Duke University’s Fuqua School of Business. He has published widely in Arthur D. Little’s Prism but also in journals such as Management Science, Harvard Business Review, the International Journal of Industrial Organization, Managerial and Decision Economics, and Health Policy. He obtained his PhD from Cornell University’s Economics Department. Page 1 of 14 COURSE DESCRIPTION AND OBJECTIVES This course is about how to develop, tailor and apply decision-making frameworks to real world strategy problems. It complements standard strategy courses in a number of important ways: 1. Content focus on short to medium term margin improvement Standard strategy courses typically provide conceptual approaches to formulate business unit or corporate level strategies to establish sustainable competitive advantage. This is important and hence the core of these concepts will also be reviewed here. The vast majority of the current course content will focus on hands-on tools and frameworks that help strategic and marketing managers formulate strategy to obtain short-to medium term advantages rather than long term competitive advantage. We focus on this as in the real world long term sustainable positions are often difficult and in many industries close to impossible to obtain. In addition, the horizon of many managers is often to obtain margin improvement within 1 to 3 years and not necessarily competitive advantage in the long run. 2. Focus on how to apply frameworks In standard strategy courses a number of important and theoretically sound frameworks of analysis are introduced. This course builds on them but focuses on the how question: Which framework is relevant for what problem? What are the key operational steps to approach a strategy problem (e.g., entry into a market) and how does the sequence of steps differ depend on the problem. And, most importantly, how does one tailor frameworks and make them operational for decision making and tailored to the specific company and industry situation. The rationale for this focus is that many graduates that take on positions in strategy or marketing functions typically have a fair amount of difficulties in tailoring and make sound frameworks operational to real world decisions. This course should help at reducing this problem. 3. Focus on real world process and limitations In standard strategy case based courses students typically learn to provide strategic solutions from given case information. A real world strategy case often has a blank sheet as a starting point, not an existing case. Many business graduates suffer from this ‘blank sheet’ problem. The key difficulty is the real world is not only to make decisions based upon information from a case but to first ‘fill the sheet’ with relevant information to address the problem. As a result, the class will use a mix of HBS cases as well as the instructor’s disguised real world (disguised) cases to answer the following questions: (1) How do we gather the right information to address a strategy issue, given real world informational constraints and (2) How do we process that information for improved decision-making? Page 2 of 14 CLASS FORMAT AND COURSE REQUIREMENTS Class Format Class sessions will consist of lectures and case discussions. The lectures will supplement the reading materials to explore the basis analytical arguments. The cases will illustrate how these concepts can be applied in specific strategic situations. For cases that do not need to be turned in, you need to carefully prepare and answer the discussion questions at the end of this syllabus. Your class contribution grade will be affected by the quality of your participation in these case discussions. Class Preparation Preparing well for, regularly attending and fully contributing is extremely important in this course. You are expected to prepare carefully for case discussions and to read the assigned material before class. You may be asked questions on the assigned materials. Your ability to do so or lack thereof will be evaluated and this evaluation will strongly affect your class participation grade. Case write-up You are required to submit the Ice-Fili case. The write-up is an individual effort. You are expected to answer the discussion questions for the cases that are attached at the end of this document. The write-up should solely be based upon the information in the case. Using any information outside the case description is strictly prohibited and will automatically result in a zero (0) on the case. You are not allowed to exchange any answers or files electronically and doing so will automatically be considered plagiarism. Plagiarized work will also result in a zero (0) grade on the case. The write-up must be uploaded on the course webpage BEFORE session 4 (January 7 at 5.30pm). In-class quiz There will also be an in-class quiz on the last day of the 2nd week (session 8). Here your understanding of the concepts covered in class will be evaluated by means of multiple choice and true-false questions. Group real world Strategy Recommendation and Project Plan In this project, you will be asked to first select a company that has either been experiencing deteriorating performance in its current markets or is expected to experience such performance or limits to profitable growth in its current markets. This could be for a variety of reasons that we Page 3 of 14 went thru in class (entry by new players, better substitutes, slow or negative market growth and the like). For that company, you will write a report of between 6 and 9 single-spaced pages, plus appendices. This report requires that you perform the following 1. Write a Situation-Complication-Question (Max 1 page): In a nutshell, this requires that you briefly summarize the past performance of the company (Situation), explain the reasons for the (expected) deteriorating performance (Complication) and the questions that you will address in this report (Question) 2. Generate strategic options (1 to 2 pages): Come up with a number of strategic options (3 to 5), using a number of the tools discussed in class (eg inside-out idea generation) that could improve future company performance. 3. Evaluate the various options (2 to 3 pages) along the key dimensions: (1) an assessment of attractiveness of the market/segment to which the option applies and (2) and assessment of the future competitive position of the selected company in these markets/segments (tools to do so will be provided in the course). This is a two-step process: (1) define the criteria for market/segment attractiveness and future competitive position and (2) evaluate the options on each of these criteria. Plot the options then on the Strategic Position Matrix. 4. Select the one option with the highest potential (1 to 2 pages) On the basis of the above analysis and of a number of other constraints (company mission, short/long term horizon) you will be asked to select the one with the highest potential and explain your choice. You will also need to detail the vision that you have for the future on a number of strategic dimensions (product, price positioning etc.) by writing up a 1/2 page vision statement (for your company’s internal use) on a number of strategic dimensions of your future market positioning. 5. Write up a high level project plan to define further the operational strategy (Max 1 page) After the selection of a strategic option, it needs to be refined along a number of dimensions to answer questions such as: Which product/service features should it have? At what price? What is the Unique Selling Proposition? Which potential resources should be acquired? What are potential partners to work with etc. This is then also the input for the business plan. A key input for this are (potential) customers’ interviews. While for this project you are not expected to gather any customer data, you are expected to set up a high level 1 page project plan that explains the way forward: How you would gather and process the necessary information to answer your questions (Eg whom will you interview, how many interviewees, how to contact them, how to incentivize them etc.) and refine the selected strategic option. For this project, you will need to do a fair amount of research about the company and the industry and can use any publically available information to do so. Do always properly cite your sources in the write-up. To do well on this assignment you will need to draw heavily on the type of analyses performed in class, and understand their benefits and limitations. There is no single Page 4 of 14 correct way of performing the above and the evaluation of your performance will be based upon the foundation for the approach taken. A major take-away of this assignment is that learn in a hands-on way how difficult the above really is (given the imperfect information) and that you nonetheless have to make important strategic decisions based on such information. The deadline for submitting the name of the company and a max 1 page explanation of its (expected) deteriorating performance by the beginning of our 5th meeting on January 12 (this submission will eventually be the first deliverable of the project). The report must be uploaded BEFORE the beginning of the optional final session (Session 11, January 21 at 5.30pm) Group real world workshop presentation In session 8, I will provide you with disguised information of an actual real world situation in which a cement company is being attacked by low priced imports. The management team disagrees internally on how to respond. Interviews reveal that these can be boiled down to four options, one of which is the launch of a fighting brand. A review of the literature reveals that no frameworks exist to address these specific questions so you will be asked to ‘get your hands dirty’ to generate a sensible framework. You are asked to prepare a 4 page workshop document based on templates provided by me to help management come to an agreement quickly. Volunteer teams will be present and the class will be the management team that challenges the presenting teams. You need to upload your document BEFORE the beginning of session 10 (January 20 at 5.30pm) If any of your individual or group write-ups are late but are submitted within the first hour after the due date, you will receive a 50% ‘discount’ on the grade. Write-ups submitted more than an hour late will neither be graded nor accepted. Page 5 of 14 GRADING Assessment form % of final grade Individual case write-up 25% Group real world workshop presentation 15% In-class quiz 15% Group strategy project 30% Class contribution 15% Assignment Ice-Fili individual case write-up Weighting (% of final grade): 25% Description of Assignment: Read Ice-Fili case and answer the 3 discussion questions related to the case that will be posted. Quality Indicators (how will it be A good assignment is one that graded; what constitutes a good 1. Is well structured and professionally written assignment) 2. Is solidly founded based upon the understanding of external analysis 3. Is maximally using quantitative and qualitative evidence in the case rather than personal beliefs In addition, students will receive extra credit for participating in the discussion related to each of the case questions Page 6 of 14 Assignment Group real world workshop presentation Weighting (% of final grade): 15% Description of Assignment: Prepare sound workshop document to align management team on selecting the most effective strategic option Quality Indicators (how will it be A good assignment is one that: graded; what constitutes a good 1. Generates a sound framework of analysis assignment): 2. Uses the disguised information to suggest a convincing solution 3. Consists of a professionally written workshop document that is to the point (‘less is more’ principle) Assignment In-class quiz Weighting (% of final grade): 15% Description of Assignment: Testing of material covered in session 1 thru 7 thru multiple choice and true/false questions Quality Indicators (how will it be Correct answer graded; what constitutes a good assignment): Page 7 of 14 Assignment Group strategy project Weighting (% of final grade): 30% Description of Assignment: Company Strategy Recommendation and Project Plan Quality Indicators (how will it be 1. Is well structured and professionally written graded; what constitutes a good 2. Is solidly founded based upon the understanding assignment): of the tools of Grand and Operational Strategy covered in-class 3. Is maximally using quantitative and qualitative evidence 4. Presents clear decisions made Assignment Class contribution Weighting (% of final grade): 15% Quality Indicators (how will it be 1. Attendance; graded; what constitutes a good 2. Extent to which the class participant assignment): demonstrated his/her mastery of the case and other readings; 3. Proactive and constructive attitude; 4. Listening skills; 5. Quality (not quantity) of the comment(s) Page 8 of 14 Academic Integrity Common sense warning: Just as ethics and integrity are important in management practice, academic integrity is important in this course. Please take the time to familiarize yourself with the Harvard’s policies on academic integrity, which can be found at http://www.extension.harvard.edu/exams-grades-policies/student-responsibilities. I also highly encourage you to take two online tutorials created by the Harvard Extension School http://www.extension.harvard.edu/resources/career-academic-resource-center/plagiarism-properuse-sources) to help you understand common scenarios and what constitutes plagiarism. Other resources include, The Harvard Guide to Using Sources (http://usingsources.fas.harvard.edu/icb/icb.do). Please visit and use these sites to avoid any unintentional errors. It is important to understand the standards to which you will be held; ignorance of the standards will not be considered an excuse for violating them. COURSE MATERIALS There is an eTextbook, called Business Strategy in the Real World. This consists of the first 8 chapters of the textbook by Roethaermel, Frank, Strategic Management, McGraw-Hill, 2015. You can locate and purchase the book online by following these simple steps: 1. Go to http://create.mcgraw-hill.com/shop/ 2. Search for and select book by Title: Business Strategy in the Real World or by ISBN: 9781308694238 3. Add the book to your cart and pay using a credit card or access code. The course pack contains readings and cases. You can obtain the coursepack from Harvard Business Publishing by using this unique link: https://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cbmp/access/42842225 What you should read prior to class can be found in the class schedule below. Page 9 of 14 Class Schedule1 CLASS TOPICS CASES AND READINGS 1 1/4/2016 Objectives and constraints of real world strategy eTextbook, Chs 1 and 5 Optional eTextbook, Ch. 6 Chris Bradley, Angus Dowson and Sven Smit, The Strategic Yardstick you can’t chose to Ignore, McKinsey Quarterly, Oct 2013 2 1/5/2016 The ideal world: Sustainable Competitive Advantage (SCA) Pankaj Ghemawat and Jan W. Rivkin, Creating Competitive Advantage, HBS note 2006 Rita Gunther McGrath, Transient Advantage, HBR, June 2013 Strategy diagnosis and quick win generation Real world in-class case (Deneffe, 2006): Performing a strategy diagnosis and generating quick wins at a diversified intermediate chemicals company Real world in-class case (Deneffe, 2014): Generating quick wins at a provider of security solutions 3 1/6/2016 External analysis (industry analysis) – conceptual framework eTextbook, Ch.3 Thomas R. Eisenmann, Geoffrey Parker and Marshall W. Van Alstyne, Strategies for TwoSided Markets, HBR, October 2006 4 1/7/2016 Real world applications of real world industry analysis Daniel Deneffe, Julie Vandermeersch and Gregory Venters, Overcoming the Real Barriers to Entry into Adjacent Markets, Prism, 2010 Real world in-class case (Deneffe, 2008-2012): Quantifying entry barriers into an adjacent geographic market at a leading payroll services company External analysis (customer needs analysis) Using industry analysis as a source of option generation Case: Ice-Fili (Abridged - HBSP case) Individual case write-up due (25%) 1 All cases labelled ‘Deneffe’ are disguised real world strategy case descriptions from the instructor’s own strategy consulting experience. They will be discussed in class (there are no pre-class ‘case readings’ required here). Page 10 of 14 5 1/11/2016 Strategic Position Analysis (quantitative) 6 1/12/2016 Kevin Coyne, Enduring Ideas: The GE– McKinsey nine-box matrix, McKinsey Quarterly, September 2008 Real-world in-class case (Deneffe, 1999): Applying Strategic Position Analysis for product portfolio decisions at a large pharmaceutical company Internal analysis: conceptual framework eTextbook Ch.4 Optional: Herman Vantrappen and Daniel Deneffe, Don’t Write off the (Western) Focused Firm Yet, HBR Blog, 27 January 2014 Outside-in strategy: Market entry and SCA based on first-mover advantages Optional: Fernando Suarez and Gianvito Lanzolla, The Half-Truth of First-Mover Advantage, HBR, April 2005 Case: Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (HBSP case) Inside-out diversification strategy: Creating SCA based on Resources and Capabilities The real world strategy process: Grand Strategy vs. Operational Strategy Case: Walmart Update 2011 (HBSP case) eTextbook, Chs. 4,6 Optional: Walmart: Less amazing than Amazon, The Economist, Feb 1 2014 http://www.economist.com/news/business/21595 435-worlds-biggest-retailer-stumbling-its-genialnew-boss-needs-prove-he-can-push-through Optional: eTextbook, Ch. 8 eTextbook, Ch. 2 Herman Vantrappen and Daniel Deneffe, How to (Gradually) Become a Different Company, HBR blog, October 15 2014 Page 11 of 14 7 1/13/2016 8 1/14/2016 Grand Strategy outcomes: Vision and Mission Real world in-class case (Deneffe and Vantrappen, 2006-2008): Identifying and Funneling Strategic Options at a leading payroll company From Grand Strategy to Operational real world Strategy: Performing a quantitative assessment of the commercial potential of Strategic Options Real world in-class case (Deneffe, 2009): Analyzing a medical supplies company’s revenue and profit potential from diversifying into the medical labels market in Europe’s big 5 countries Strategies and tools to improve performance in markets where SCA is hard or impossible to obtain: (1) Blue Ocean Strategy? (2) Opportunity identification thru inside-out Ideations Kim and Mauborgne, ‘Blue Ocean Strategy,’ HBR, October 2004 Optional: eTextbook, Ch. 7 Real world strategy case (Deneffe, 2010/2011): Opportunity identification thru inside-out ideation: A global glass beads company case example In-class quiz All materials (except Ice-Fili case) covered in sessions 1 thru 7 (2) Opportunity identification thru inside-out Ideations (continued) Real world strategy case (Deneffe, 2011): International growth strategy at a leading food ingredient company: Outside-in or Inside-out? Case description for group assignment due in session 10 Strategies and tools to improve performance in markets where SCA is hard or impossible to obtain: (3) Operational Strategy: Designing an effective customer centric entry strategy & business plan Deneffe and Hoyos, Pricing in Downturn Economies, Prism, 2003 Real world in-class case (Deneffe, 2000): Diversification into the market for industrial pumps Page 12 of 14 9 1/19/2016 10 1/20/2016 (3) Operational Strategy: Designing an effective customer centric entry strategy and business plan (continued) Strategies to improve performance in markets where SCA is hard or impossible to obtain: (4) Realistic Margin Management: Value Identification, Creation and Extraction Getting your strategy hands dirty: Designing competitive strategy when under attack by low cost competitors 11 1/21/2016 Optional Q&A session on applied strategy topics Real world in-class case (Deneffe, 2000): Diversification into the market for industrial pumps (continued) Real world in-class case (Deneffe, 2006): Evidence-based segmentation, product/service positioning at a leading private network operator (if time permits) Deneffe and Rüdiger, Profitable Pricing with Irrational Competitors and Rational Customers, Prism, 2005 (2), pp. 80-89 Real world in-class case discussion (Deneffe, 2012): Value creation and extraction in the airline industry Real world in-class case: Implementing value creation at a leading global chemical company (Deneffe, 2005) Optional: Nirmalya Kumar, Strategies to Fight Low-Cost Rivals, HBR December 2006 Real-world case (Deneffe, 2006): Making the fighting brand decision at a leading cement producer Short group real world workshop presentation due (15%) Group strategy project due (40%) Page 13 of 14 CASE ASSIGNMENT QUESTIONS Ice-Fili Please answer the following questions for the case write-up. The write-up is limited to a maximum of three (3) single-spaced pages (font size 12 or larger) plus any supporting appendices 1. 2. 3. 4. What quantitative indicators can you find in the case that could capture the changing attractiveness of the Russian ice cream market between 1996 and 2001? (max ½ page) What is the drawback of these indicators? (max ½ page) What explains this change in market attractiveness over these years? (max 1 page) What, in your opinion, should the Russian incumbent ice-cream makers consider to enhance the market attractiveness in a way that is favorable to themselves? (max 1 page). Note: (Note: In your answer, you can also include available information on actions that these incumbents have been taken to enhance that attractiveness). Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. Please prepare the following questions for the in-class case discussion (not to be turned in) 1. 2. Consider Walmart’s historic performance in the discount retail industry. Did Walmart perform well, primarily because (1) it benefited from an overall attractive discount retailing industry when it entered the market, or (2) because of its superior competitive advantage/position within that discount retailing industry? Explain the sources of superior performance. What sources of competitive advantage are most sustainable? Wal-Mart Update 2011 Please prepare the following questions for the in-class case discussion (not to be turned in) 1 2. 3. Which of Wal-Mart’s sources of competitive advantage are transferable to international markets? In which markets has it not been successful? Why? What international markets should Walmart have entered first after having been active in the US? Why? Page 14 of 14