Report The Connected World The Internet Economy in the G-20 The $4.2 Trillion Growth Opportunity The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) is a global management consulting firm and the world’s leading advisor on business strategy. We partner with clients from the private, public, and not-for-profit sectors in all regions to identify their highest-value opportunities, address their most critical challenges, and transform their enterprises. Our customized approach combines deep in­sight into the dynamics of companies and markets with close collaboration at all levels of the client organization. This ensures that our clients achieve sustainable compet­itive advantage, build more capable organizations, and secure lasting results. Founded in 1963, BCG is a private company with 75 offices in 42 countries. For more information, please visit bcg.com. The Connected World The Internet Economy in the G-20 The $4.2 Trillion Growth Opportunity David Dean Sebastian DiGrande Dominic Field Andreas Lundmark James O’Day John Pineda Paul Zwillenberg March 2012 | The Boston Consulting Group Contents 3 INTRODUCTION 6 THE INTERNET’S ECONOMIC IMPACT 1 0 THE INTERNET’S FURTHER ECONOMIC IMPACT 12 CONSUMERS (EVERYWHERE) KNOW A GOOD DEAL WHEN THEY SEE IT 14 FROM HIGH-WEB TO NO-WEB: OPPORTUNITIES FOR SMALL AND MEDIUM ENTERPRISES 17 DON’T BLINK: THE FUTURE IS RUSHING STRAIGHT AT US 18 COUNTRY PROFILES 5 3 NOTE TO THE READER 2 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 INTRODUCTION T he January 2012 report in our Connected World series examined how companies and countries can win in the digital economy. This follow-up report provides a more comprehensive analysis of how the scale and speed of Internet-driven economic growth is changing countries, cultures, and companies around the world. It includes national snapshots capturing the economic impact of the Internet as well as in-depth looks into consumer and business usage in the G-20 countries.1 A forthcoming report will discuss how companies and countries can best build up their digital balance sheets and create digital advantage. Since the day the first domain was registered in 1985, the Internet has not stopped growing. It has sailed through multiple recessions and one near-collapse and kept on increasing in use, size, reach, and impact. It has ingrained itself in daily life to the extent that most of us no longer think of it as anything new or special. The Internet has become, quite simply, indispensible. By 2016, there will be 3 billion Internet users globally—almost half the world’s population. The Internet economy will reach $4.2 trillion in the G-20 economies. If it were a national economy, the Internet economy would rank in the world’s top five, behind only the U.S., China, Japan, and India, and ahead of Germany. Across the G-20, it already amounted to 4.1 percent of GDP, or $2.3 trillion, in 2010—surpassing the economies of Italy and Brazil. The Internet is contributing up to 8 percent of GDP in some economies, powering growth, and creating jobs. The scale and pace of change is still accelerating, and the nature of the Internet—who uses it, how, and for what—is changing rapidly too. Developing G-20 countries already have 800 million Internet users, more than all the developed G-20 countries combined. Social networks reach about 80 percent of users in developed and developing economies alike. Mobile devices—smartphones and tablets—will account for four out of five broadband connections by 2016. The speed of these developments is often overlooked. Technology has long been characterized by exponential growth—in processing speed, bandwidth, and data storage, among other things—going back to Gordon Moore’s observation nearly five decades ago. The Intel 80386 microprocessor, introduced in the same year as that first domain name, held 275,000 transistors. Today, Intel’s Core i7 Sandy Bridge-E processor holds 2.27 billion transistors, or nearly 213 times as many. As the growth motors along, it is easy to lose track of just how large the exponential numbers get. The Boston Consulting Group | 3 The power of exponential growth is illustrated by an ancient fable, repopularized by Ray Kurzweil in his book, The Age of Spiritual Machines. It tells of a rich ruler who agrees to reward an enterprising subject starting with one grain of rice on the first square of a chessboard, then doubling the number of grains on each of the succeeding 63 squares. The ruler thinks he’s getting off easy, and by the thirty-second square, he owes a mound weighing 100,000 kilograms, a large but manageable amount. It’s in the second half of the chessboard that the real fun starts. Quickly, 100,000 becomes 400,000, then 1.6 million, and keeps growing. By the sixty-fourth square, the ruler owes his subject 461 billion metric tons, more than 4 billion times as much as on the first half of the chessboard, and about 1,000 times global rice production in 2010. The Internet has moved into the second half of the chessboard. (See Exhibit 1.) It has reached a scale and level of impact that no business, industry, or government can ignore. And like any technological phenomenon with its scale and speed, it presents myriad opportunities, which consumers have been quick and enthusiastic to grasp. Businesses, particularly small and medium enterprises (SMEs)—the growth engine of most economies—have been uneven in their uptake, but they are moving online in increasing numbers and with an increasingly intense commitment. There are threats too, some misunderstood, and policymakers and regulators alike are challenged to make the right choices in a fastmoving environment. As is often the case with fast-paced change and Exhibit 1 | Evolution of the Internet From developed to developing markets Internet users in the G-20 countries (millions) From fixed to mobile Consumer broadband connections (millions) From basic content to a data explosion Global Internet traffic (exabytes per year) 238 2005 746 total 508 30 167 Fixed connections Mobile connections Developed markets Developing markets 573 672 2015 2,062 total 1,390 2,707 total 966 2,134 Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Cisco; Ovum; BCG analysis. Notes: While the European Union is a member of the G-20, the figures include only the independent European members: France, Germany, Italy, and the U.K. The developing nations are Argentina, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Russia, Brazil, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, and Turkey. The developed nations are Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, South Korea, U.K., and U.S. 4 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 complex issues, many governments are still trying to determine what their role should be. Meanwhile the rice pile on the next square keeps getting bigger. This report assesses the far-reaching economic impact of the Internet. It shows how the benefits are large and getting larger, identifies the drivers behind them, and examines their clout. It quantifies gains— economic growth, consumer value, and jobs—in the context of the economies of the G-20. It demonstrates that no one—individual, business, or government—can afford to ignore the ability of the Internet to deliver more value and wealth to more consumers and citizens more broadly than any economic development since the Industrial Revolution. Note 1. The Group of 20 major economies comprises Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, the EU, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Turkey, the U.K., and the U.S. The Boston Consulting Group | 5 The Internet’s Economic Impact T he economic impact of the Internet is getting bigger—just about everywhere— and it already has an enormous base. In the U.K., for example, the Internet’s contribution to 2010 GDP is more than that of construction and education. In the U.S., it exceeds the federal government’s percentage of GDP. The Internet economy would rank among the top six industry sectors in China and South Korea. Policymakers in developed countries cite with envy the GDP growth rates of 5 to 10 percent per year being achieved in China and India, particularly in today’s troubled economic environment. At the same time, they can often look past similar, or even higher, rates close to home. The Internet economy in the developed markets of the G-20 will grow at an annual rate of 8 percent over the next five years, far outpacing just about every traditional economic sector, producing both wealth and jobs. The contribution to GDP will rise to 5.7 percent in the EU and 5.3 percent for the G-20. Growth rates will be more than twice as fast—an average annual rate of 18 percent— in developing markets, some of which are banking on a digital future with big investments in broadband infrastructure. Overall, the Internet economy of the G-20 will nearly double between 2010 and 2016, when it will employ 32 million more people than it does today. 6 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 The growth is being fueled in large part by two factors: more users and faster, more ubiquitous access. The number of users around the globe will rise to a projected 3 billion in 2016 from 1.9 billion in 2010. Broadening access, particularly via smartphones and other mobile devices, and the popularity of social media are further compounding the Internet’s impact. In the developing world in particular, many consumers are going “straight to social.” (See Exhibit 2.) The Internet economy of the G-20 will nearly double between 2010 and 2016. National levels of Internet economic activity generally track the BCG e-Intensity Index, which measures each country’s level of enablement (the amount of Internet infrastructure that it has in place), expenditure (the amount of money spent on online retail and online advertising), and engagement (the degree to which businesses, governments, and consumers are involved with the Internet). Big differences are apparent among the 50 countries examined, with five clusters emerging according to their performance on the index in absolute terms and relative to per capita GDP. (See Exhibit 3.) Exhibit 2 | Developing Markets Are Going “Straight to Social” Users Are Adopting Social Networking Quickly as They Come Online Size of Internet population = 50 million Social networking penetration among Internet users (%) 100 Social networking is strong among the connected elite 90 South Africa Argentina Turkey Mexico Indonesia India Australia Brazil Russia Canada Italy 80 U.K. France Germany 70 U.S. Chinese social network growth is exploding South Korea 60 China 50 0 Japan is experiencing dramatic social growth Straight Social– Focus on to social mainstream traditional and mature Web 20 40 Japan 60 Heavy users of more traditional conversational media 80 100 Internet penetration (%) Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; comScore; Google; Trendstream; eMarketer; local telco reports; BCG analysis. Note: Data reflect 2011 figures; where unavailable, 2010 figures were used; Saudi Arabia not included. Exhibit 3 | Developed Markets Score Significantly Higher in BCG’s e-Intensity Index BCG e-Intensity score 200 South Korea Denmark Netherlands Iceland Japan Finland U.S. Germany U.K. 150 Hong Kong New Zealand 100 France Czech Republic Slovenia Spain Estonia Portugal Poland Israel Italy Hungary Russia Turkey Brazil Greece Slovakia Malaysia Argentina 50 Saudi Arabia Chile Colombia China Venezuela Morocco Mexico Egypt South Africa 0 Singapore Canada Belgium Austria Ireland Norway Australia Luxembourg Switzerland United Arab Emirates Nascent natives India Indonesia 20 Sweden 40 60 Natives Players Laggards Aspirants 80 2010 GDP per capita ($thousands) Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; International Monetary Fund, ITU; Speedtest.net; Gartner; Ovum; World Bank; Pyramid Research; United Nations; World Economic Forum; comScore; Magnaglobal; Euromonitor; BCG analysis. Note: The scores of several countries are estimates based on incomplete data. The Boston Consulting Group | 7 Consumption is the principal driver of Internet GDP in most countries, typically representing more than 50 percent of the total in 2010. It will remain the largest single driver through 2016. Investment, mainly in infrastructure, accounts for a higher portion of the total in “aspirant” nations as they are in the earlier stages of development. Several “natives” on BCG’s e-Intensity Index—the U.K., South Korea, and Japan—are among those nations with the largest Internet contributions to GDP. China and India stand out for their enormous Internet-related exports—China in goods, India in services— which propel their Internet-economy rankings toward the top of the chart. Mexico and South Korea have also developed significant Internet export sectors. Among G-20 “players,” the United States benefits from a vibrant Internet economy, while Germany and France tend to lag. The picture will change by 2016 as, for example, the Internet economies of India and the EU-27 grow rapidly to move into the top five. (See Exhibits 4 and 5.) Retail represents almost one-third of total GDP in the G-20, and online retail contributes a significant and increasing share in many countries. (See Exhibit 6.) Nowhere is the impact more apparent than in the U.K. Thanks in part to high Internet penetration, efficient delivery infrastructure, a competitive retail market, and high credit-card usage, the U.K. has become a nation of digital shopkeepers, to paraphrase Adam Smith. Several European economies—Denmark, the Netherlands, Sweden, and the U.K.—to name but four—perform strongly on BCG’s e-Intensity Index. But various barriers hold back the EU as a whole, the world’s biggest single market, when it comes to cross-border e-commerce. In January, the European Commission announced plans to catch up, removing these impediments and creating a “digital single market.” The commission believes that ecommerce can double its share of overall retail sales by 2015. Exhibit 4 | The Internet Currently Accounts for 4.1% of GDP in the G-20 Countries Internet economy as a percentage of 2010 GDP GDP GDP ($trillions) U.K. South Korea China Japan U.S. G-20 India EU-27 Australia Germany Canada France Mexico Brazil Saudi Arabia Italy Argentina South Africa Russia Turkey Indonesia (%) 2.3 1.0 5.9 5.5 14.5 54.9 1.7 16.2 1.2 3.3 1.6 2.6 1.0 2.1 0.4 2.1 0.4 0.4 1.5 0.7 0.7 8.3 7.3 5.5 4.7 4.7 4.3 4.1 Developed market average 4.1 3.8 3.6 3.3 3.0 3.0 2.9 Developing market average 2.5 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.3 Natives Players Laggards Aspirants Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); country statistical agencies; BCG analysis. 8 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 Exhibit 5 | The Internet Economy Will Account for 5.3% of GDP in the G-20 Countries in 2016 Internet economy as a percentage of 2016 GDP GDP U.K. South Korea China EU-27 India Japan U.S. G-20 Mexico Germany Saudi Arabia Australia Canada Italy France Argentina Russia South Africa Brazil Turkey Indonesia CAGR 2010–16 (%) GDP ($trillions) (%) 12.4 2.8 1.4 12.4 20.0 4.3 6.6 18.6 79.9 1.5 3.9 0.8 1.7 2.1 2.4 3.1 0.8 2.7 0.6 3.7 1.3 1.5 10.9 7.4 17.4 10.6 23.0 6.3 6.5 10.8 15.6 7.8 19.5 7.1 7.4 11.5 6.1 24.3 18.3 12.6 11.8 16.5 16.6 8.0 6.9 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.4 5.5 5.3 4.9 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.3 2.8 2.5 2.4 2.3 Natives 1.5 Developed market average Developing market average Players Laggards Aspirants Source: Economist Intelligence Unit; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); country stastical agencies; BCG analysis. Exhibit 6 | Online Retail Is Expected to Account for Up to 23% of Total U.K. Retail in 2016 Online retail as a percentage of total retail, 2016 Online retail (%) U.K. Germany Australia South Korea Saudi Arabia Italy U.S. Japan France G-20 1 Canada India Brazil China 2 Russia Argentina Mexico South Africa Turkey Indonesia 23.0 11.7 8.9 8.1 8.5 Developed market average 8.0 8.0 7.1 6.8 6.7 6.0 5.3 4.5 4.3 3.4 3.2 2.9 3.2 Developing market average 1.6 1.5 1.1 0.3 Natives Players Laggards Aspirants Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); country stastical agencies; BCG analysis. 1 This figure does not include the EU-27. 2 This figure reflects business-to-consumer retail only. The Boston Consulting Group | 9 The Internet’s Further Economic Impact A s significant as the GDP figures are, they capture only part of the story. In retail alone, G-20 consumers researched online and then purchased offline (ROPO) more than $1.3 trillion in goods in 2010—the equivalent of about 7.8 percent of consumer spending, or more than $900 per connected consumer. ROPO is a bigger factor in developed economies, as one would expect, but consumers everywhere research a wide variety of products online before purchasing them elsewhere. In China, groceries are a popular ROPO purchase; in the United States, cars; India, technology products; Brazil, electronics, appliances, and travel packages. Multiple factors affect e-commerce and ROPO. In addition to regulatory barriers like those cited above, the state of infrastructure for online and bricks-andmortar retail plays a big role, as do Internet penetration, credit-card use, and consumer confidence in online payment systems, delivery, and fulfillment. ROPO spending is higher than online retail in virtually all the nations we studied. (See Exhibit 7.) In the U.S., online retail sales totaled $252 billion in 2010, and ROPO added another $482 billion. ROPO dwarfs online retail in Turkey—$37 billion compared with $2 billion—owing in large part to poor delivery infrastructure and consumer concern over fulfillment. In Mexico, although low credit-card 10 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 penetration and security concerns over online payments hold back online commerce, Mexican consumers without credit cards can pay for their online purchases at 7-Eleven stores. Like the U.S., Japan has a busy online retail market, which totaled $89 billion in 2010. ROPO added $139 billion because Japanese consumers still prefer the experience of shopping in stores. Across the G-20, ROPO would add an additional 2.7 percent if it were counted as part of Internet GDP. Consumers everywhere research a wide variety of products online before purchasing them elsewhere. Mobile shopping—using a smartphone to identify deals, compare products and prices, and “seal the deal” while on the go—is growing in popularity worldwide. As device prices fall, especially in developing markets, increased smartphone penetration will have a dramatic impact on both retail commerce and e-commerce—further blurring the lines between online and offline buying. Mobile apps such as RedLaser, Google Shopper, and Amazon Remembers make it ever easier for consumers to research products, compare deals, and make purchases as they see fit at Exhibit 7 | ROPO Greatly Amplifies the Internet’s Impact on Retail Online retail and ROPO (research online, purchase offline), 2010 Value ($) U.S. Japan U.K. Germany China¹ France Canada Italy South Korea Australia Russia Turkey Brazil Mexico India Argentina Saudi Arabia South Africa Indonesia 252 89 102 38 10 2 2 7 2 3 27 18 58 76 20 48 68 23 44 67 20 38 58 12 33 45 37 40 15 19 34 27 29 6 13 9 11 5 8 482 734 139 228 87 189 88 126 96 106 78 105 2 24 0 11 Online retail ($billions) ROPO ($billions) 2 Sources: Euromonitor; Google-TNS; BCG analysis. Note: Figures exclude real estate for some countries; the figures for online retail and ROPO do not add up to the total due to rounding. 1 This figure reflects business-to-consumer retail only. 2 Total ROPO (auto and nonauto). any given moment. Retailers of all stripes face an especially fast-changing and increasingly competitive environment in the years ahead. With the rapid growth of e-commerce and its potential to disrupt both the top and bottom lines, retail may be ripe for a transformation similar to the one seen in media. A multichannel offering that captures sales wherever they occur will become a “must have” for most businesses. Online advertising, a $65 billion business in the G-20 in 2010, is forecast to grow 12 percent a year to almost $125 billion in 2016. In countries with more developed Internet economies, 15 to 30 percent of advertising spending has migrated online. Online advertising spending in the U.K. overtook spending on television advertising in 2011—and it now exceeds spending on all other media categories. Taobao in 2010 than at China’s top-five brickand-mortar retailers combined. The Internet is having a big impact on how enterprises do business and interact with one another, too. Cloud-based data storage, integrated procurement systems, and “enterprise social networks” that facilitate communication within and among organizations in real time are helping companies address a host of procurement, coordination, communication, and fragmentation issues. With spending in the $3 trillion range, both the U.S. and Japan lead the world in business-to-business e-commerce, but penetration is picking up in other countries. South Korea’s percentage of business-to-business e-commerce is approaching 50 percent, as is Japan’s. Consumer-to-consumer Internet commerce is a big factor in China, facilitated by websites such as Taobao, a marketplace for goods of all sorts. More products were purchased on The Boston Consulting Group | 11 Consumers (Everywhere) Know a Good Deal When They See It C onnected consumers place a considerable value on the Internet. In the G-20 economies, this “consumer surplus”—the perceived value that consumers themselves believe they receive, over and above what they pay for devices, applications, services, and access—amounts to $1,430 a person.1 Consumer surplus varies vastly across countries, depending in part on the impact of the drivers shaping each nation’s Internet economy. For example, it’s $323 per person in Turkey, $1,215 in South Africa, $1,287 in Brazil, and $4,453 in France. The aggregate consumer surplus across 13 of the G-20 countries is $1.9 trillion, or about 4.4 percent of the GDP. It is interesting to note that in countries such as France and Germany, which have relatively low levels of Internet GDP, consumers’ perceived value of the Internet is very high. Furthermore, although the consumer surplus figures are lower for many developing markets, they are actually quite high relative to local incomes—lower-income people get relatively more benefit from the Internet than wealthier people do. Closing the digital divide can have a meaningful impact for the less well-off. Consumer surplus has multiple drivers, among them the quality of online content, the number of devices in use, the ease and frequency of access, and the number of people 12 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 online. Demographics play a role in the last factor: in many markets, the heaviest users of the Internet are the young—no surprise there—and those over 55, whose ranks will swell as the population ages. (See Exhibit 8.) All these factors are on the rise, which points to continued growth in the consumer surplus. Various aspects of consumer surplus are illustrated in the country profiles at the end of this report. These profiles also show the Internet’s impact on GDP and on the retail market in each country. Most significantly, they highlight how deeply the Internet has ingrained itself in daily life around the world, by showing what consumers are willing to give up—from satellite navigation to sex—in order to keep their Internet access. Note 1. In our analysis, we took into consideration the value derived from communication, content (entertainment, news, and social media), search, commerce, and job searches. We used a “loss aversion technique” to avoid anchoring the data to the current prices of goods and services—many of which are free—and to determine the true value that people place on them. To measure “consumer surplus,” we subtracted from this value what people currently pay to access the Internet and the cost of the devices, content, and applications. Our analysis found that consumers receive a “surplus” equal to about 80 percent of value, or 4 to 5 percent of personal income. Exhibit 8 | Youngest and Oldest Consumers Tend to Value the Internet the Most Perceived Internet value per user ($) (€) USA 4,000 3,506 3,000 2,926 1,953 2,000 2,363 5,174 2,978 1,456 2,324 3,062 25–34 (€) 35–44 45–54 55+ 3,226 3,000 2,722 2,578 2,478 0 18–24 0 18–24 35–44 45–54 35–44 45–54 158 178 55+ 0 18–24 25–341 35–44 45–54 55+ India 55 60 2,130 2,000 55+ 172 (Rp thousands) South Korea 40 1,807 1,000 25–34 25–34 3,060 1,000 244 100 (KRW thousands) 3,000 Germany 4,000 316 200 2,000 0 18–24 Japan 400 300 4,000 3,701 1,000 2,000 (¥thousands) France 6,000 0 18–24 782 25–34 494 35–44 24 936 45–54 24 22 25–34 35–44 20 55+ 0 18–24 22 45–54 55+ Age categories Source: BCG survey. Note: Value comparisons are weighted by income (excluding the highest and lowest levels by country) to minimize bias. 1 The figure for Japan’s 25–34 category is estimated (base size). The Boston Consulting Group | 13 From High-Web to No-Web Opportunities for Small and Medium Enterprises G iven their agility and ability to innovate, one would expect SMEs—long the engine of economic growth in many economies—to grasp the power of the Internet to build their businesses. Indeed, many have, and these companies have helped turned the Web into an important vehicle for revenue growth and job creation. But a surprising number have not—or have ventured online only to a limited extent. These companies are leaving an enormous opportunity untapped. In our view, every business needs to “go digital”—and fast. Policymakers, too, should pay heed. Given SMEs’ track record in job creation, policies that encourage more of these companies to develop an online presence could help address the lingering unemployment that currently characterizes the recovery in many countries. Over the last 18 months, BCG has surveyed workers at more than 15,000 companies that operate in the world’s biggest economies and that employ fewer than 250 people (in the U.S., the cutoff was 500). We grouped the companies into four categories: high-Web, medium-Web, low-Web, and no-Web.1 The results are compelling. Across 11 of the G-20 countries, high-Web SMEs have experienced revenue growth that was up to 22 percent higher than that achieved by SMEs with 14 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 low or no use of the Web over the last three years. (See Exhibit 9). In the U.K., sales at high-Web companies increased six times as fast as revenues at firms with no Internet presence. Many U.S. SMEs have integrated the Internet into their businesses. They are much more aggressive online than low-Web companies, particularly in activities such as search engine optimization, social networking, buying from and paying suppliers. They are even managing their business finances and recruiting staff online. In many developed and developing markets, high-Web companies are twice as likely as their low- or no-Web counterparts to have a national and international customer base, as opposed to selling only locally. In the U.S., high- and medium-Web businesses expect to grow by 17 percent over the next three years, compared with 12 percent for low- and noWeb companies. High- and medium-Web SMEs generate more jobs. In Germany, 93 percent of highWeb and 82 percent of medium-Web companies increased employment over the past three years, compared with only 50 percent of the no-Web firms. Japan experienced similar results. In South Korea, employment increased at 94 percent of high-Web SMEs and at 60 percent of no-Web companies. We’ve identified five value levers that explain the “Internet advantage” of High-Web SMEs: •• •• Geographic Expansion. The Internet creates a borderless world for many SMEs, enabling them to compete with much larger, multinational companies by accessing markets that were previously out of reach. Enhanced Marketing. Online marketing delivers expanded reach and measurable returns. It also yields valuable data about consumers and their preferences, enabling expressly targeted advertising and offers. •• Improved Customer Interactions. Social media make it possible for companies to engage in real-time dialog with customers not only to boost sales but also to build loyalty and even to help create, refine, and enhance products and services. •• Leveraging the Cloud. SMEs can access sophisticated, often cloud-based, tools to enhance a wide range of functions, including customer relationship management, information management, and customer payments. As a result, these companies can grow quickly without requiring large investments in infrastructure. •• Easier and Quicker Staff Recruitment. The recruiting options available today are more powerful and less expensive than ever before, and they enable SMEs to tap a global talent market. The most powerful lever may be improved customer interaction, which is achieved principally by exploiting the participatory nature of today’s Internet. Nearly two-thirds of highWeb SMEs are moving quickly to match their customers’ engagement in social networks. The impact can be seen in such developing markets as Brazil and China. (See Exhibit 10.) Despite high barriers impeding SME adoption of online activities (e.g., lack of infrastructure and computer penetration), these countries Exhibit 9 | SMEs That Make Extensive Use of the Web Grow Faster Historical three-year sales growth (%) 30 China 20 10 15 25 Turkey India Brazil 8 20 9 5 19 12 17 13 0 (%) 30 22 –5 U.S. Germany France South Korea 20 10 0 14 18 4 3 10 15 –5 10 7 11 6 –5 Source: Survey of approximately 4,700 SMEs; BCG analysis. High-Web SMEs1 Low-Web and No-Web SMEs1 Note: Figures for some countries may not add up to the totals due to rounding. 1 High-Web companies use a wide range of Internet tools to market, sell, and support customers, interact with suppliers, and empower employees; medium-Web businesses market or sell goods or services online; low-Web businesses have a website or a social-networking site; no-Web businesses do not have a website. The Boston Consulting Group | 15 Exhibit 10 | More SMEs in Developing Markets Are Using the Internet to Engage with Consumers Brazil and China have higher percentages of High-Web SMEs... Percentage of SMEs by Web involvement China 35 8 30 ...and generally higher percentages of SMEs engaging consumers online Percentage of SMEs using Internet activity to engage consumers 53 51 Website 27 72 71 Online advertising Brazil 27 8 36 Blogging 29 61 71 41 38 22 56 Social networking U.K. 23 No-Web 7 54 Low-Web Medium-Web 16 43 39 66 57 E-commerce High-Web 49 Brazil China U.K. Sources: Survey of approximately 1,500 SMEs; IDC; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Brazilian Internet Steering Committee; China Network Information Centre; Internet & Mobile Association of India; Zinnov; MARS Indonesia. Note: Values were adjusted for Internet penetration rates in each country and weighted to reflect an equal distribution of company sizes. not only boast higher percentages of highWeb SMEs than their developed-market counterparts, but their SMEs are also substantially more adept at moving beyond Internet marketing to exploit the Web’s facility for driving sales through more intensive customer interaction. The barriers keeping SMEs from engaging more broadly or deeply online fall into five general categories: poor access to the requisite technology, lack of capabilities, lack of resources, doubt over the potential returns, and an unfavorable business environment. Not surprisingly, access problems and an unfavorable business environment were cited far more often by SMEs in developing markets than by their developed-market counterparts. Almost half of SMEs in India and Indonesia cited “local business culture” as a significant impediment; one-third of Chinese SMEs said that they are held back by lack of access to computers. Inadequate staff knowledge and time were named the biggest barriers in Japan, and about one-quarter of U.S. and U.K. firms reported a lack of necessary financial resources. 16 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 Most of these barriers must be hurdled by the SMEs themselves. But policymakers should take note that access issues and government regulations were cited as impediments by one in five SMEs in developed markets—and by two in five in developing economies. These are areas where governments may have opportunities to lend a hand and can reap the benefits of increased economic growth and job creation. Note 1. High-Web companies use a wide range of Internet tools to market, sell, and support customers, interact with suppliers, and empower employees; medium-Web businesses market or sell goods or services online; low-Web businesses have a website or a social networking site; no-Web businesses do not have a website. Don’t Blink The Future Is Rushing Straight at Us T he Internet will change even more in the next five years than it has in its first twenty-five. It will have more users (especially in developing markets), more mobile users, more users using various devices throughout the day, and many more people engaged in an increasingly participatory medium. On the second half of the chessboard, as the rice pile starts to rival Mount Everest in magnitude (the size it would reach on the sixty-fourth square), the rapidly evolving Internet has the potential to both enrich and overwhelm. Businesses in particular need to make a choice. They can rise to the challenge of a new Internet-driven marketplace—and benefit from the expanded capabilities and higher growth rates that high-Web SMEs are already achieving throughout the G-20 nations. The alternative is following in the footsteps of such industries as music and publishing, which held on to outdated business models for too long and are now dealing with competitive environments that have been reshaped around them. For those willing to think big, embrace change, move quickly, and organize differently, there are countless opportunities to reap the rewards of the Internet’s creative destruction (as defined by economist Joseph Schumpeter rather than by Karl Marx) in industries ranging from health care to retail and consumer goods. Companies that have not yet developed an online strategy for themselves need to build their digital assets while reducing digital liabilities (which are often organizational) that might prevent them from tapping opportunities. This topic will be the subject of the next forthcoming report in BCG’s Connected World series. Governments also face challenges and opportunities—and many of these are increasingly complex. Fifteen years ago, as the commercial Internet was beginning to make its potential apparent in the U.S. and elsewhere, President Bill Clinton outlined five principles constituting a “framework for global electronic commerce”: 1. The private sector should lead. 2. Governments should avoid undue restrictions on electronic commerce. 3. Where governmental involvement is needed, its aim should be to support and enforce a predictable, minimalist, consistent, and simple legal environment for commerce. 4. Governments should recognize the unique qualities of the Internet. 5. Electronic commerce on the Internet should be facilitated on a global basis. The Boston Consulting Group | 17 The Internet is a very different, much bigger, and more complex place now than it was then. New, important, and difficult issues have moved to the fore, among them privacy, piracy, protection, security, “net neutrality,” and taxation. They are already causing conflict and contention as different players with distinct interests choose sides. The recent debate over SOPA—the proposed Stop Online Piracy Act—in the U.S. is one example of how fractious such issues can be. In February, street protests in several European cities against an antipiracy agreement seen as limiting the freedom of online speech showed that citizens are paying attention and have strongly held points of view. In the best of all worlds, with the Internet being a global phenomenon, governments would act in a coordinated manner, working toward international standards when they are called for and toward cross-country agreements to limit intervention when it is better to let the free market do its own work. This is a high bar, to be sure, and we may need an updated framework with some new principles, but those put forth by President Clinton offer a still-valid structure for engaging the debate. On a national level, policies that promote investment—especially in the infrastructure in the developing world—and emphasize education, training, and skills-building everywhere are essential. Perhaps even more than the industrial era and information age, the Internet economy requires a well-educated and skilled workforce. Countries that fall behind in providing educational opportunity are also likely to lose out to others in Internet-driven economic growth. Policies that promote investment and emphasize education, training, and skills-building are essential. Different countries will take different approaches, but the overarching challenge facing those empowered to do the people’s business is the same—ensure ready and affordable access, a level playing field, and an open competitive environment that enables everyone to tap the economic benefits of the Internet. COUNTRY PROFILES I n this section, we feature a series of detailed profiles illustrating Internet economic activity across the G-20. For each economy, we have provided information on the impact of the Internet on commerce and 18 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 GDP, an illustration of how consumers are using the Internet and what they value, and an assessment of use by—and impact on—small and medium enterprises. Argentina’s Internet Economy 2016 5 GDP contribution ($billions) Real estate 8 Government spending Agriculture, forestry, and hunting Logistics and communication 28 Public administration 18 Investment Financial transactions Construction 5 Consumption --1 Net exports Community services Mining --3 Hotels and restaurants Percentage of GDP Argentina Education and health services TOTAL 2 3 8 Manufacturing Wholesale and retail trade 2010 TOTAL Comparison of Internet economy with traditional industry sectors (percentage of GDP) Utilities Argentina 2.0 3.3 5.3 4.1 G-20 Fishing 2.0 Internet G-20 Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; INDEC; CACE; IEMR; company reports; World Bank; World Trade Organization; AméricaEconomía; BCG analysis. Note: Some columns may not add up to total contributions due to rounding. The Internet’s Impact on Commerce in Argentina $9 $2 billion (1.4%) Online retail 2010 Research online, purchase offline 2010 billion (2.9%) $568 per online user $9 2016 billion (5.9% of total retail) Total retail Percentage of total advertising expenditures in 2010 45.8 2016 32.2 6.7 10.0 7.7 4.5 3.1 $0.3 billion Television Newspaper Out-of-home Magazine Radio Online 40.0% CAGR $1.9 billion Online Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; INDEC; CACE; IEMR; company reports; World Bank; World Trade Organization; AméricaEconomía; BCG analysis. Note: Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding. The Boston Consulting Group | 19 Australia’s Internet Economy Comparison of Internet economy with traditional industry sectors (percentage of GDP) GDP contribution ($billions) Government spending 2010 2016 14 17 9 Investment 15 TOTAL 61 50 TOTAL 41 Real estate Financial services and insurance Wholesale and retail trade Manufacturing Mining Construction Professional, scientific, and technical services Health care Logistics Public administration Education and training Information and telecommunications Administration Hotels and restaurants Agriculture Utilities Arts, entertainment, and recreation 29 Consumption –12 Net exports --19 Percentage of GDP Australia Australia 3.7 3.3 5.3 4.1 G-20 3.3 Internet G-20 Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Australian Bureau of Statistics; Forrester Research; IEMR; Australian Communications and Media Authority; company reports; National Broadband Network; BCG analysis. Note: Some columns may not add up to total contributions due to rounding. The Internet’s Impact on Commerce in Australia $38 $20 billion (5.8%) Online retail 2010 Research online, purchase offline 2010 billion (8.9%) $2,302 per online user $38 2016 billion (10.9% of total retail) Total retail 2016 Percentage of total advertising expenditures in 2010 31.5 30.2 7.5 4.5 7.9 $2.1 billion Television Newspaper 34.0 18.4 Radio Magazine Out-of-home Online 16.4% CAGR $5.3 billion Online Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Australian Bureau of Statistics; Forrester Research; IEMR; Australian Communications and Media Authority; company reports; National Broadband Network; BCG analysis. Note: Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding. 20 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 Brazil’s Internet Economy 2016 Comparison of Internet economy with traditional industry sectors (percentage of GDP) 8 GDP contribution ($billions) 2010 Public and personal services 21 Government spending Manufacturing Wholesale and retail trade, hotels, and restaurants Real estate and business services 4 Investment 14 TOTAL 76 Public administration 89 Financial services and insurance TOTAL 46 34 Consumption --6 Net exports Agriculture Construction Logistics --16 Mining Percentage of GDP Brazil Brazil Electricity, gas, and water 2.4 2.2 2.2 5.3 4.1 G-20 Internet G-20 Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Brazilian Census Bureau (IBGE); EC; IMRG; ITU, U.K. Office for National Statistics (ONS); IE Market Research; CETIC; Teleco; CGI/ICT; Faraban; BCG analysis. Note: Some columns may not add up to total contributions due to rounding. The Internet’s Impact on Commerce in Brazil $36 $15 billion (3.1%) Online retail 2010 Research online, purchase offline 2010 billion (4.3%) $260 per online user $19 2016 billion (4.0% of total retail) Total retail Percentage of total advertising expenditures in 2010 60.3 2016 10.1 2.9 7.5 3.5 $1.7 billion Television Newspaper Magazine Radio Out-of-home 17.4 15.6 Online 14.2% CAGR $3.7 billion Online Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Brazilian Census Bureau (IBGE); EC; IMRG; ITU, U.K. Office for National Statistics (ONS); IE Market Research; CETIC; Teleco; CGI/ICT; Faraban; BCG analysis. Note: Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding. The Boston Consulting Group | 21 Brazil’s Consumers Benefit from the Internet What do consumers value? Annual value $1,287 $1,472 $154 E-mail $152 General search Consumer surplus Perceived value $131 $185 Online banking and investing Cost Percentage of people willing to give up a key lifestyle habit instead of the Internet for a year 78 Satellite navigation 76 72 Alcohol 60 Fast food 59 Coffee 43 Chocolate 24 Exercise 12 Car 8 Sex Shower Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Brazilian Census Bureau (IBGE); EC; IMRG; ITU, U.K. Office for National Statistics (ONS); IE Market Research; CETIC; Teleco; CGI/ICT; Faraban; BCG analysis. Note: Due to rounding, perceived value does not total consumer surplus plus cost. The Internet’s Impact on Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) in Brazil 98 High-Web 53 20 Percentage of SMEs that added jobs during the last three years 1 Historical three-year sales growth of SMEs (percentage) 1 SMEs’ percentage of private-sector employment Medium-Web dium-Web Low-Web and No-Web 95 20 77 6 12 SMEs’ percentage of GDP Medium- Low-Web and No-Web Web HighWeb High-Web Low-Web Intensity of Web usage (percentage of SMEs using the Internet for a business activity) 100 100 3 Website 86 Online advertising 74 26 Search engine optimization 73 100 24 Blogging 100 3 Social networking 60 38 1 E-commerce Recruitment 50 70 0 Finance 3 54 3 Paying E-procurement suppliers Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Brazilian Census Bureau (IBGE); EC; IMRG; ITU, U.K. Office for National Statistics (ONS); IE Market Research; CETIC; Teleco; CGI/ICT; Faraban; BCG analysis. 1 High-Web companies use a wide range of Internet tools to market, sell, and support customers, interact with suppliers, and empower employees; mediumWeb businesses market or sell goods or services online; low-Web businesses have a website or a social-networking site; no-Web businesses do not have a website. 22 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 Canada’s Internet Economy GDP contribution ($billions) 2016 Government spending 2010 Comparison of Internet economy with traditional industry sectors (percentage of GDP) Financial services, insurance, and real estate Manufacturing 13 Wholesale and retail trade Health care and social services Public administration 29 11 22 Construction 27 Consumption --12 Net exports Professional, scientific, and technical services 73 51 TOTAL 48 Education services TOTAL Investment Logistics Mining, oil, and gas extraction Information and cultural industries Administrative and support Utilities --20 Hotels and restaurants Percentage of GDP Canada 3.6 3.0 Agriculture, forestry, and fishing Canada Arts, entertainment, and recreation 5.3 4.1 G-20 3.0 Internet G-20 Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; eMarketer; Statistics Canada; Retail Council of Canada; Industry Canada; AXCO; IEMR; H2; BCG analysis. Note: Some columns may not add up to total contributions due to rounding. The Internet’s Impact on Commerce in Canada $33 billion (3.4%) Online retail $2,082 per online user $58 2016 2010 Research online, purchase offline 2010 billion (5.3%) $18 billion (11.3% of total retail) Total retail Percentage of total advertising expenditures in 2010 32.6 2016 21.8 14.7 5.5 5.3 $2.1 billion Television Newspaper 28.8 20.0 Radio Magazine Out-of-home Online 10.6% CAGR $3.8 billion Online Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; eMarketer; Statistics Canada; Retail Council of Canada; Industry Canada; AXCO; IEMR; H2; BCG analysis. Note: Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding. The Boston Consulting Group | 23 China’s Internet Economy 2016 Comparison of Internet economy with traditional industry sectors (percentage of GDP) 27 92 GDP contribution ($billions) Government spending 2010 Manufacturing Agriculture, forestry, and fishing Wholesale and retail Mining Construction Logistics 321 852 55 62 Investment Consumption 197 Net exports TOTAL 326 Financial intermediation Real estate Public and social organizations Education Electricity, gas, and water Information and communications technology (ICT) Hotels and restaurants TOTAL 12 412 Leasing and business services Health care, social security, and social services Services to households Scientific research and technical services Arts, entertainment, and recreation Percentage of GDP China China 6.9 5.5 5.5 5.3 4.1 G-20 Internet G-20 Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Chinese government; iResearch; China Information Almanac; BCG analysis. Note: Some columns may not add up to total contributions due to rounding. The Internet’s Impact on Commerce in China $176 $10 Online retail (C2C) Online retail (B2C) billion $62 (0.4%) billion (2.5%) 2010 Research online, purchase offline 2010 billion $246 (3.4%) billion (4.7%) $213 per online user $96 2016 billion (4.2% of total retail) Total retail Percentage of total advertising expenditures in 2010 45.8 2016 25.4 6.6 2.4 $2.8 billion Television Newspaper Out-of-home 18.0 11.9 7.9 Radio Magazine Online 25.1% CAGR $10.9 billion Online Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Chinese government; iResearch; China Information Almanac; BCG analysis. Note: Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding. 24 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 China’s Consumers Benefit from the Internet What do consumers value? Annual value $451 $598 $53 $47 Online shopping Consumer surplus Perceived value Instant messaging $46 $147 Cost Online banking and investing Percentage of people willing to give up a key lifestyle habit instead of the Internet for a year 86 Alcohol 85 82 Coffee 79 Chocolate 78 Satellite navigation 56 Fast food 45 Car 37 Exercise Shower 36 Sex Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Chinese government; iResearch; China Information Almanac; BCG analysis. The Internet’s Impact on Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) in China High-Web 59 Percentage of SMEs that added jobs during the last three years 1 Historical three-year sales growth of SMEs (percentage)1 SMEs’ percentage of employment Medium-Web dium-Web Low-Web and No-Web 80 97 25 91 90 20 9 Medium- Low-Web and No-Web Web HighWeb SMEs’ percentage of GDP High-Web Low-Web Intensity of Web usage (percentage of SMEs using the Internet for a business activity) 100 12 Website 100 76 Online advertising 77 3 Search engine optimization 89 12 Blogging 100 100 0 Social networking 46 64 6 E-commerce Recruitment 62 3 Finance 59 0 64 3 Paying E-procurement suppliers Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Chinese government; iResearch; China Information Almanac; BCG analysis. 1 High-Web companies use a wide range of Internet tools to market, sell, and support customers, interact with suppliers, and empower employees; medium-Web businesses market or sell goods or services online; low-Web businesses have a website or a social-networking site; no-Web businesses do not have a website. 2 This percentage reflects fewer than 10 responses from no-Web SMEs. The Boston Consulting Group | 25 France’s Internet Economy 2016 Comparison of Internet economy with traditional industry sectors (percentage of GDP) 16 GDP contribution ($billions) 33 Government spending 2010 TOTAL 14 28 Investment 42 Consumption 105 67 TOTAL 73 Real estate Manufacturing Wholesale and retail trade Health care and social services Public administration Construction Logistics --12 Net exports --10 Percentage of GDP France France 2.9 3.4 4.1 2.9 5.3 G-20 Education Financial services Hotels and restaurants Agriculture Food, beverages, and tobacco Metals Utilities Internet G-20 Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; EC; H2; IE Market Research; IDS; INSEE; company reports; Eurostat; Forrester Research; AXCO; BCG analysis. Note: Some columns may not add up to total contributions due to rounding. The Internet’s Impact on Commerce in France $46 $27 billion (4.5%) Online retail 2010 Research online, purchase offline 2010 billion (6.7%) $1,682 per online user $78 2016 billion (12.9% of total retail) Total retail Percentage of total advertising expenditures in 2010 32.2 2016 19.4 15.1 7.0 Television Newspaper Magazine Out-of-home 19.7 15.3 11.1 Radio $2.3 billion Online 5.6% CAGR $3.2 billion Online Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; EC; H2; IE Market Research; IDS; INSEE; company reports; Eurostat; Forrester Research; AXCO; BCG analysis. Note: Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding. 26 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 France’s Consumers Benefit from the Internet What do consumers value? Annual value $4,453 $4,788 $597 E-mail $570 General search Consumer surplus Perceived value $420 $335 Online banking and investing Cost Percentage of people willing to give up a key lifestyle habit instead of the Internet for a year 86 77 Fast food 69 Satellite navigation 66 Alcohol 61 Chocolate 42 Coffee 23 Exercise 16 Car Sex 5 Shower Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; EC; H2; IE Market Research; IDS; INSEE; company reports; Eurostat; Forrester Research; AXCO; BCG analysis. The Internet’s Impact on Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) in France 96 High-Web 56 Percentage of SMEs that added jobs during the last three years 1 Historical three-year sales growth of SMEs (percentage)1 SMEs’ percentage of private-sector employment 60 87 10 Medium-Web dium-Web Low-Web and No-Web 65 6 7 HighWeb SMEs’ percentage of private-sector turnover Medium- Low-Web and No-Web Web High-Web Low-Web Intensity of Web usage (percentage of SMEs using the Internet for a business activity) 100 43 Website 100 49 Online advertising 78 8 Search engine optimization 63 100 4 Blogging 100 7 Social networking 32 49 9 E-commerce Recruitment 38 5 Finance 61 10 38 5 Paying E-procurement suppliers Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; EC; H2; IE Market Research; IDS; INSEE; company reports; Eurostat; Forrester Research; AXCO; BCG analysis. 1 High-Web companies use a wide range of Internet tools to market, sell, and support customers, interact with suppliers, and empower employees; medium-Web businesses market or sell goods or services online; low-Web businesses have a website or a social-networking site; no-Web businesses do not have a website. The Boston Consulting Group | 27 Germany’s Internet Economy Comparison of Internet economy with traditional industry sectors (percentage of GDP) 2016 GDP contribution ($billions) Real estate 15 Government spending 2010 Manufacturing 39 Wholesale and retail trade Health care and social work 14 31 Investment 59 Consumption TOTAL Public administration 157 95 Logistics TOTAL 100 Education Construction 8 Financial services Net exports --5 Utilities Hotels and restaurants Percentage of GDP Germany Germany Mining 4.0 3.0 3.0 5.3 4.1 G-20 Internet G-20 Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; EC; Eurostat; Forrester Research; H2; IE Market Research; AXCO; DB Research; FBS; GfK; IDC; BCG analysis. Note: Some columns may not add up to total contributions due to rounding. The Internet’s Impact on Commerce in Germany $68 $38 billion (7.1%) Online retail 2010 Research online, purchase offline 2010 billion (11.7%) $1,330 per online user $88 billion (16.2% of total retail) 2016 Total retail Percentage of total advertising expenditures in 2010 34.3 22.9 Television 26.4 20.7 13.3 Newspaper 2016 Magazine 4.8 Out-of-home $5.0 4.0 billion Radio Online 6.2% CAGR $7.1 billion Online Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; EC; Eurostat; Forrester Research; H2; IE Market Research; AXCO; DB Research; FBS; GfK; IDC; BCG analysis. Note: Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding. 28 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 Germany’s Consumers Benefit from the Internet What do consumers value? Annual value $3,487 $3,857 $438 E-mail $389 General search Consumer surplus Perceived value $362 $370 Online banking and investing Cost Percentage of people willing to give up a key lifestyle habit instead of the Internet for a year 89 77 Fast food Satellite navigation 77 70 Alcohol 55 Chocolate Coffee 45 23 Exercise 16 Car 10 Sex Shower Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; EC; Eurostat; Forrester Research; H2; IE Market Research; AXCO; DB Research; FBS; GfK; IDC; BCG analysis. The Internet’s Impact on Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) in Germany 93 High-Web 54 Percentage of SMEs that added jobs during the last three years 1 Historical three-year sales growth of SMEs (percentage)1 SMEs’ percentage of private-sector employment 61 82 18 57 Medium-Web dium-Web 8 Low-Web and 4 No-Web Medium- Low-Web and No-Web Web HighWeb SMEs’ percentage of private-sector turnover High-Web Low-Web Intensity of Web usage (percentage of SMEs using the Internet for a business activity) 100 100 22 Website 67 Online advertising 75 12 Search engine optimization 45 100 2 Blogging 100 0 Social networking 49 50 3 E-commerce Recruitment 49 7 Finance 72 7 39 0 Paying E-procurement suppliers Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; EC; Eurostat; Forrester Research; H2; IE Market Research; AXCO; DB Research; FBS; GfK; IDC; BCG analysis. 1 High-Web companies use a wide range of Internet tools to market, sell, and support customers, interact with suppliers, and empower employees; medium-Web businesses market or sell goods or services online; low-Web businesses have a website or a social-networking site; no-Web businesses do not have a website. The Boston Consulting Group | 29 India’s Internet Economy 2016 Comparison of Internet economy with traditional industry sectors (percentage of GDP) 11 2 GDP contribution ($billions) 2010 Government spending 32 Agriculture forestry, and fishing Financial services, real estate, insurance, and business services 108 Hotels and restaurants TOTAL Manufacturing 242 TOTAL 70 2 12 14 8 41 Social and personal services Investment Consumption Construction 91 Net exports Logistics and communications Mining Percentage of GDP India India Utilities 5.6 4.1 4.1 5.3 4.1 G-20 Internet G-20 Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; H2; Reserve Bank of India; Indian government; Telecom Regulatory Authority of India; NASSCOM; MediaNama; Trendstream; BCG analysis. Note: Some columns may not add up to total contributions due to rounding. The Internet’s Impact on Commerce in India $84 Research online, purchase offline 2010 billion (4.5%) $7 billion (0.9%) Online retail 2010 $78 per online user $6 2016 billion (0.8% of total retail) Total retail Percentage of total advertising expenditures in 2010 41.7 39.8 2016 7.7 3.5 4.0 $0.1 billion Television Newspaper Out-of-home Radio Magazine 4.6 3.4 Online 25.3% CAGR $0.6 billion Online Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; H2; Reserve Bank of India; Indian government; Telecom Regulatory Authority of India; NASSCOM; MediaNama; Trendstream; BCG analysis. Note: Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding. 30 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 India’s Consumers Benefit from the Internet What do consumers value? Annual value $414 $494 $48 E-mail $46 Consumer surplus Perceived value General search $44 $80 Cost Online banking and investing Percentage of people willing to give up a key lifestyle habit instead of the Internet for a year 71 70 Satellite navigation 67 Alcohol 64 Fast food 63 Chocolate 44 Coffee 38 Exercise 36 Car Shower 33 Sex Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; H2; Reserve Bank of India; Indian government; Telecom Regulatory Authority of India; NASSCOM; MediaNama; Trendstream; BCG analysis. The Internet’s Impact on Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) in India 25 17 Percentage of SMEs that added jobs during the last three years 1 Historical three-year sales growth of SMEs (percentage)1 SMEs’ percentage of private-sector employment 100 High-Web 19 Medium-Web dium-Web Low-Web and No-Web 19 98 13 Medium- Low-Web and No-Web Web HighWeb SMEs’ percentage of GDP High-Web Low-Web Intensity of Web usage (percentage of SMEs using the Internet for a business activity) 100 100 86 5 Website Online advertising 74 79 17 Search engine optimization 100 35 Blogging 100 7 Social networking 83 75 55 3 E-commerce Recruitment 51 1 Finance 60 12 50 1 Paying E-procurement suppliers Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; H2; Reserve Bank of India; Indian government; Telecom Regulatory Authority of India; NASSCOM; MediaNama; Trendstream; BCG analysis. 1 High-Web companies use a wide range of Internet tools to market, sell, and support customers, interact with suppliers, and empower employees; medium-Web businesses market or sell goods or services online; low-Web businesses have a website or a social-networking site; no-Web businesses do not have a website. The Boston Consulting Group | 31 Indonesia’s Internet Economy 2016 Comparison of Internet economy with traditional industry sectors (percentage of GDP) 2 GDP contribution ($billions) Manufacturing 2010 10 Government spending Agriculture Hotels and restaurants TOTAL TOTAL 9 Mining 22 1 5 Investment 3 Consumption Services Financial services, real estate, and business services Logistics and communications --2 Net exports --1 Construction 13 Percentage of GDP Indonesia Indonesia Electricity, gas, and water 1.5 1.3 5.3 4.1 G-20 1.3 Internet G-20 Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Magnaglobal; CCB; APEC; PTIK; Nielsen; IDC; Statistics Indonesia; H2; Indikator TIK 2010; BCG analysis. Note: Some columns may not add up to total contributions due to rounding. The Internet’s Impact on Commerce in Indonesia $2 $0.4 billion (0.1%) Online retail 2010 Research online, purchase offline 2010 billion (0.3%) $16 per online user $1 2016 billion (0.3% of total retail) Total retail Percentage of total advertising expenditures in 2010 52.6 2016 35.1 7.0 0.6 3.9 0.8 $0.03 billion Television Newspaper Out-of-home Magazine Radio Online 2.1 39.3% CAGR $0.2 billion Online Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Magnaglobal; CCB; APEC; PTIK; Nielsen; IDC; Statistics Indonesia; H2; Indikator TIK 2010; BCG analysis. Note: Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding. 32 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 Indonesia’s Consumers Benefit from the Internet What do consumers value? Annual value $364 $459 $46 General search $43 Consumer surplus Perceived value E-mail $36 $94 Cost Online banking and investing Percentage of people willing to give up a key lifestyle habit instead of the Internet for a year 89 Alcohol 78 78 Chocolate Shower 76 75 Satellite navigation 73 Coffee 52 Fast food 34 Exercise 34 Car Sex Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Magnaglobal; CCB; APEC; PTIK; Nielsen; IDC; Statistics Indonesia; H2; Indikator TIK 2010; BCG analysis. Note: Due to rounding, perceived value does not total consumer surplus plus cost. The Internet’s Impact on Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) in Indonesia 95 High-Web 97 57 Percentage of SMEs that added jobs during the last three years 1 Historical three-year sales growth of SMEs (percentage)1 SMEs’ percentage of private-sector employment Medium-Web ium-Web Low-Web and No-Web 87 16 69 14 7 HighWeb SMEs’ percentage of GDP Medium- Low-Web and No-Web Web High-Web Low-Web Intensity of Web usage (percentage of SMEs using the Internet for a business activity) 100 100 7 Website 76 Online advertising 79 22 Search engine optimization 100 75 16 Blogging 100 10 Social networking 65 60 7 E-commerce Recruitment 56 0 Finance 64 3 63 0 Paying E-procurement suppliers Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Magnaglobal; CCB; APEC; PTIK; Nielsen; IDC; Statistics Indonesia; H2; Indikator TIK 2010; BCG analysis. 1 High-Web companies use a wide range of Internet tools to market, sell, and support customers, interact with suppliers, and empower employees; medium-Web businesses market or sell goods or services online; low-Web businesses have a website or a social-networking site; no-Web businesses do not have a website. The Boston Consulting Group | 33 Italy’s Internet Economy Comparison of Internet economy with traditional industry sectors (percentage of GDP) GDP contribution ($billions) Investment 31 Consumption --9 Net exports 43 Wholesale and retail trade 7 14 Public administration and defense Health and social work Construction 7 14 TOTAL 2016 Government spending 2010 Real estate and business services Manufacturing Financial services TOTAL Education 83 70 Travel and tourism Restaurants Agriculture --9 Utilities Logistics Percentage of GDP Communications Italy Italy Mining 3.5 2.1 5.3 4.1 G-20 2.1 Internet G-20 Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Italian National Institute of Statistics (Istat); Politecnico di Milano (Polimi); Confindustria; Forrester Research; company reports; Assinform; BCG analysis. Note: Some columns may not add up to total contributions due to rounding. The Internet’s Impact on Commerce in Italy $50 $20 billion (3.4%) Online retail 2010 Research online, purchase offline 2010 billion (8.0%) $1,499 per online user $48 2016 billion (8.4% of total retail) Total retail Percentage of total advertising expenditures in 2010 2016 56.1 13.3 3.9 10.1 5.4 $1.3 billion Television Newspaper Magazine Radio Out-of-home 26.6 11.3 Online 20.8% CAGR $3.8 billion Online Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Italian National Institute of Statistics (Istat); Politecnico di Milano (Polimi); Confindustria; Forrester Research; company reports; Assinform; BCG analysis. Note: Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding. 34 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 Japan’s Internet Economy 2016 GDP contribution ($billions) Public and personal services Manufacturing 36 2010 Government spending 32 88 Real estate and business services 80 Wholesale and retail trade, hotels, and restaurants Public administration TOTAL 163 372 271 Investment TOTAL 258 Comparison of Internet economy with traditional industry sectors (percentage of GDP) Logistics and communications Construction Consumption Finance and insurance Net exports --16 Electricity, gas, and water --23 Percentage of GDP Agriculture Japan Japan 5.6 4.7 4.7 5.3 4.1 G-20 Mining Internet G-20 Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Japanese government; IDC; FCR; Nomura Research Institute; Nielson; Japan External Trade Organization ( JETRO); Dentsu; BCG analysis. Note: Some columns may not add up to total contributions due to rounding. The Internet’s Impact on Commerce in Japan $158 $89 billion (4.3%) Online retail 2010 Research online, purchase offline 2010 billion (6.8%) $1,387 per online user $139 2016 billion (6.7% of total retail) Total retail Percentage of total advertising expenditures in 2010 2016 50.4 13.8 8.1 Television Newspaper 26.3 21.6 Out-of-home 4.1 Magazine $7.0 2.0 billion Radio Online 3.7% CAGR $8.7 billion Online Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Japanese government; IDC; FCR; Nomura Research Institute; Nielson; Japan External Trade Organization ( JETRO); Dentsu; BCG analysis. Note: Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding. The Boston Consulting Group | 35 Japan’s Consumers Benefit from the Internet What do consumers value? Annual value $679 Consumer surplus $1,446 Perceived value $148 E-mail $142 $767 General search $104 Cost Online banking and investing Percentage of people willing to give up a key lifestyle habit instead of the Internet for a year 86 Satellite navigation 86 Chocolate 85 74 Fast food 70 Coffee Alcohol 60 56 Exercise 44 Sex Car 17 Shower Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Japanese government; IDC; FCR; Nomura Research Institute; Nielson; Japan External Trade Organization ( JETRO); Dentsu; BCG analysis. The Internet’s Impact on Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) in Japan Percentage of SMEs that added jobs during the last three years 1 Historical three-year sales growth of SMEs (percentage)1 SMEs’ percentage of private-sector employment 94 –3 High-Web 57 20 –4 –10 73 Medium-Web Low-Web and No-Web SMEs’ percentage of private-sector turnover HighWeb Medium- Low-Web and No-Web Web High-Web Low-Web Intensity of Web usage (percentage of SMEs using the Internet for a business activity) 100 57 Website 100 31 Online advertising 68 7 Search engine optimization 88 12 Blogging 100 9 Social networking 100 19 56 17 E-commerce Recruitment 54 28 2 Finance 56 7 51 2 Paying E-procurement suppliers Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Japanese government; IDC; FCR; Nomura Research Institute; Nielson; Japan External Trade Organization ( JETRO); Dentsu; BCG analysis. 1 High-Web companies use a wide range of Internet tools to market, sell, and support customers, interact with suppliers, and empower employees; medium-Web businesses market or sell goods or services online; low-Web businesses have a website or a social-networking site; no-Web businesses do not have a website. 36 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 Mexico’s Internet Economy 2016 2 GDP contribution ($billions) Manufacturing 2010 18 Government spending 0 TOTAL 26 Comparison of Internet economy with traditional industry sectors (percentage of GDP) Hotels and restaurants TOTAL 61 24 9 Investment 9 Consumption 7 Net exports Financial services, insurance, real estate, and business services Mining Construction Logistics and communications 18 Public and personal services Agriculture, forestry, and fishing Percentage of GDP Mexico Mexico Electricity, gas, and water 4.2 2.5 5.3 4.1 G-20 2.5 Internet G-20 Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Banco de México; INEGI; company reports; BCG analysis. Note: Some columns may not add up to total contributions due to rounding. The Internet’s Impact on Commerce in Mexico $10 $2 billion (0.3%) Online retail $706 per online user $27 2016 2010 Research online, purchase offline 2010 billion (1.6%) billion (5.8% of total retail) Total retail Percentage of total advertising expenditures in 2010 2016 74.6 6.7 4.0 9.1 2.6 5.6 3.1 $0.1 billion Television Radio Out-of-home Newspaper Magazine Online 14.9% CAGR $0.2 billion Online Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Banco de México; INEGI; company reports; BCG analysis. Note: Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding. The Boston Consulting Group | 37 Russia’s Internet Economy 2016 Comparison of Internet economy with traditional industry sectors (percentage of GDP) 3 GDP contribution ($billions) Wholesale and retail trade Processing 21 Real estate Government spending 2010 Mining Logistics and communications TOTAL 2 75 63 Investment 12 Public administration Construction Financial services TOTAL 27 18 Energy, gas, and water Consumption Agriculture Net exports Health care --5 --12 Education Percentage of GDP Russia Russia Hotels and restaurants Fishing 2.8 1.9 5.3 4.1 G-20 1.9 Internet G-20 Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU); Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Central Control Directorate (GKU); ITU; Datamonitor; HSE; InSales; IDC; TNS; company reports; BCG analysis. Note: Some columns may not add up to total contributions due to rounding. The Internet’s Impact on Commerce in Russia $43 $12 billion (1.7%) Online retail Research online, purchase offline 2010 billion (3.2%) 2016 2010 $670 per online user $33 billion (4.8% of total retail) Total retail Percentage of total advertising expenditures in 2010 2016 53.8 9.2 13.3 4.2 $0.9 billion Television Out-of-home Newspaper Magazine 19.0 10.8 8.6 Radio Online 28.1% CAGR $4.0 billion Online Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU); Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Central Control Directorate (GKU); ITU; Datamonitor; HSE; InSales; IDC; TNS; company reports; BCG analysis. Note: Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding. 38 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 Russia’s Consumers Benefit from the Internet What do consumers value? Annual value $138 $102 $1,002 $1,197 Consumer surplus Perceived value General search Social networking $89 $196 News Cost Percentage of people willing to give up a key lifestyle habit instead of the Internet for a year 88 Fast food 85 Satellite navigation 80 Alcohol 76 Chocolate 70 Coffee 50 Exercise 36 Car 15 Sex 14 Shower Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU); Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Central Control Directorate (GKU); ITU; Datamonitor; HSE; InSales; IDC; TNS; company reports; BCG analysis. Note: Due to rounding, perceived value does not total consumer surplus plus cost. The Boston Consulting Group | 39 Saudi Arabia’s Internet Economy 2016 4 GDP contribution ($billions) Public administration Nonoil manufacturing Wholesale trade and restaurants Financial services and real estate 29 21 Financial services nondwellings 5 Investment Logistics and communications 5 Consumption Oil manufacturing –2 Net exports Agriculture, forestry, and fishing --4 Social services Percentage of GDP Saudi Arabia Construction TOTAL 2 10 Mining 7 Government spending 2010 TOTAL Comparison of Internet economy with traditional industry sectors (percentage of GDP) Saudi Arabia Electricity, gas, and water Mining and quarrying (nonoil) 3.8 2.2 5.3 4.1 G-20 2.2 Internet G-20 Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); CCB; Saudi Arabia Central Department of Statistics and Information; Arab Advisors Group; Pyramid Research; IEMR; company reports; World Bank; BCG analysis. Note: Some columns may not add up to total contributions due to rounding. The Internet’s Impact on Commerce in Saudi Arabia $15 $3 Online retail billion (2.9%) 2010 Total retail Research online, purchase offline 2010 billion (8.0%) 2016 $5 billion (4.7% of total retail) $424 per online user Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); CCB; Saudi Arabia Central Department of Statistics and Information; Arab Advisors Group; Pyramid Research; IEMR; company reports; World Bank; BCG analysis. 40 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 South Africa’s Internet Economy Comparison of Internet economy with traditional industry sectors (percentage of GDP) 2016 GDP contribution ($billions) Financial services, real estate, and business services 2 Manufacturing 2010 Government spending 6 Public administration 1 TOTAL 7 14 4 Investment 4 Consumption Logistics and communication 9 Personal services Mining Net exports --2 Construction --3 Agriculture, forestry, and fishing Percentage of GDP South Africa Wholesale and retail trade, hotels, and restaurants TOTAL South Africa 2.5 1.9 Electricity, gas, and water 5.3 4.1 G-20 1.9 Internet G-20 Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Statistics South Africa; IEMR; Pyramid Research; World Wide Worx; company reports; World Bank; World Trade Organization; BCG analysis. Note: Some columns may not add up to total contributions due to rounding. The Internet’s Impact on Commerce in South Africa $4 $2 billion (1.2%) Online retail 2010 Research online, purchase offline 2010 billion (1.5%) $339 per online user $2 2016 billion (1.2% of total retail) Total retail Percentage of total advertising expenditures in 2010 45.6 2016 23.2 12.5 9.0 5.8 8.0 3.9 $0.2 billion Television Newspaper Radio Magazine Out-of-home Online 24.2% CAGR $0.6 billion Online Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Statistics South Africa; IEMR; Pyramid Research; World Wide Worx; company reports; World Bank; World Trade Organization; BCG analysis. Note: Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding. The Boston Consulting Group | 41 South Africa’s Consumers Benefit from the Internet What do consumers value? Annual value $222 $211 $1,215 $1,615 Consumer surplus Perceived value $211 $400 Cost E-mail General search Online banking and investing Percentage of people willing to give up a key lifestyle habit instead of the Internet for a year 81 Satellite navigation 80 Fast food 77 Alcohol 74 Chocolate 63 Coffee 49 Exercise 22 Sex 13 Shower 10 Car Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Statistics South Africa; IEMR; Pyramid Research; World Wide Worx; company reports; World Bank; World Trade Organization; BCG analysis. 42 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 South Korea’s Internet Economy 2016 GDP contribution ($billions) Investment 35 Consumption 20 Net exports Public and personal services 16 Government spending 6 13 75 Manufacturing 9 2010 TOTAL Comparison of Internet economy with traditional industry sectors (percentage of GDP) 58 TOTAL 114 Real estate and business services Wholesale and retail trade, hotels, and restaurants Finance and insurance Construction Public administration Logistics 31 Agriculture Electricity, gas, and water Percentage of GDP South Korea South Korea 8.0 7.3 7.3 5.3 4.1 G-20 Mining Internet G-20 Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Korea National Statistics Office; IE Market Research; Bank of Korea; Korea Internet Security Agency (KISA); company reports; BCG analysis. Note: Some columns may not add up to total contributions due to rounding. The Internet’s Impact on Commerce in South Korea $39 $23 billion (6.6%) Online retail 2010 Research online, purchase offline 2010 billion (8.1%) $1,099 per online user $44 2016 billion (13.0% of total retail) Total retail Percentage of total advertising expenditures in 2010 41.5 2016 26.0 6.9 5.4 2.2 Television Newspaper 27.0 17.9 Out-of-home Magazine Radio $1.3 billion Online 15.2% CAGR $3.1 billion Online Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Korea National Statistics Office; IE Market Research; Bank of Korea; Korea Internet Security Agency (KISA); company reports; BCG analysis. Note: Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding. The Boston Consulting Group | 43 South Korea’s Consumers Benefit from the Internet $96 What do consumers value? Annual value $453 $87 Consumer surplus $824 Perceived value General search E-mail $372 $74 Cost Online banking and investing Percentage of people willing to give up a key lifestyle habit instead of the Internet for a year 84 83 Chocolate Fast food 74 Satellite navigation 70 69 Coffee 50 Alcohol Exercise 43 41 Car 25 Sex Shower Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Korea National Statistics Office; IE Market Research; Bank of Korea; Korea Internet Security Agency (KISA); company reports; BCG analysis. Note: Due to rounding, perceived value does not total consumer surplus plus cost. The Internet’s Impact on Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) in South Korea SMEs’ percentage of private-sector employment Historical three-year sales growth of SMEs (percentage) 1 94 High-Web 88 51 Percentage of SMEs that added jobs during the last three years 1 91 6 Medium-Web dium-Web Low-Web and –5 No-Web 70 13 HighWeb SMEs’ percentage of gross industrial output Medium- Low-Web and No-Web Web High-Web Low-Web Intensity of Web usage (percentage of SMEs using the Internet for a business activity) 100 18 Website 100 70 Online advertising 78 27 Search engine optimization 75 17 Blogging 100 100 6 Social networking 49 43 1 E-commerce Recruitment 62 4 Finance 48 2 49 0 Paying E-procurement suppliers Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Korea National Statistics Office; IE Market Research; Bank of Korea; Korea Internet Security Agency (KISA); company reports; BCG analysis. 1 High-Web companies use a wide range of Internet tools to market, sell, and support customers, interact with suppliers, and empower employees; medium-Web businesses market or sell goods or services online; low-Web businesses have a website or a social-networking site; no-Web businesses do not have a website. 44 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 Turkey’s Internet Economy 2016 Comparison of Internet economy with traditional industry sectors (percentage of GDP) 2 GDP contribution ($billions) Government spending 2010 TOTAL 1 4 Investment 8 Consumption --1 Net exports TOTAL 12 Manufacturing Logistics Ownership and dwellings Wholesale and retail Agriculture and fishing Real estate Public administration Construction Financial services Education Hotels and restaurants Electricity, gas, and water Health care and social work Mining 10 31 23 --4 Percentage of GDP Turkey Turkey 2.3 1.7 5.3 4.1 G-20 1.7 Internet G-20 Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Turkish Statistical Institute; Turkish Telecommunication Authority; World Economic Forum; BCG analysis. Note: Some columns may not add up to total contributions due to rounding. The Internet’s Impact on Commerce in Turkey $9 $2 billion (0.6%) Online retail 2010 Research online, purchase offline 2010 billion (1.1%) $1,212 per online user $37 2016 billion (8.5% of total retail) Total retail 2016 Percentage of total advertising expenditures in 2010 52.2 17.8 22.0 7.7 2.4 2.7 13.0 $0.9 17.9% $0.3 billion CAGR billion Television Newspaper Out-of-home Radio Magazine Online Online Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Turkish Statistical Institute; Turkish Telecommunication Authority; World Economic Forum; BCG analysis. Note: Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding. The Boston Consulting Group | 45 Turkey’s Consumers Benefit from the Internet What do consumers value? Annual value $323 $540 $68 General search $67 Consumer surplus Perceived value E-mail $61 $217 Cost Online banking and investing Percentage of people willing to give up a key lifestyle habit instead of the Internet for a year 82 74 Satellite navigation Alcohol 71 66 Fast food 65 Chocolate Coffee 59 32 Exercise Car 23 19 Sex Shower Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Turkish Statistical Institute; Turkish Telecommunication Authority; World Economic Forum; BCG analysis. The Internet’s Impact on Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) in Turkey 95 High-Web 78 66 Percentage of SMEs that added jobs during the last three years 1 Historical three-year sales growth of SMEs (percentage) 1 SMEs’ percentage of private-sector employment 17 Medium-Web dium-Web Low-Web and –5 No-Web 88 78 10 HighWeb SMEs’ percentage of private-sector turnover Medium- Low-Web and No-Web Web High-Web Low-Web Intensity of Web usage (percentage of SMEs using the Internet for a business activity) 100 100 30 Website 50 Online advertising 76 15 Search engine optimization 57 100 6 Blogging 100 25 Social networking 40 55 7 E-commerce Recruitment 59 11 67 Finance Paying E-procurement suppliers 11 42 1 Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; Turkish Statistical Institute; Turkish Telecommunication Authority; World Economic Forum; BCG analysis. 1 High-Web companies use a wide range of Internet tools to market, sell, and support customers, interact with suppliers, and empower employees; medium-Web businesses market or sell goods or services online; low-Web businesses have a website or a social-networking site; no-Web businesses do not have a website. 46 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 The U.K. Internet Economy 2016 Comparison of Internet economy with traditional industry sectors (percentage of GDP) 26 47 GDP contribution ($billions) Government spending 2010 26 36 TOTAL 347 257 Investment TOTAL 187 Consumption 120 Utilities Hotels and restaurants Communications 18 Net exports 4 Percentage of GDP U.K. U.K. 8.3 12.4 4.1 Mining Agriculture 8.3 5.3 G-20 Real estate and business services Wholesale and retail Manufacturing Financial services Health care and social work Construction Education Public administration Logistics Internet G-20 Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Eurostat; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; U.K. Office for National Statistics (ONS); H2; IMRG; IDC; GfK; IE Market Research; BCG analysis. Note: Some columns may not add up to total contributions due to rounding. The Internet’s Impact on Commerce in the U.K. $230 $102 billion (13.5%) Online retail 2010 Research online, purchase offline 2010 billion (23.0%) $1,641 per online user $87 2016 billion (11.5% of total retail) Total retail 2016 Percentage of total advertising expenditures in 2010 29.1 8.0 7.6 3.0 Television Newspaper 37.3 28.9 23.3 Magazine Out-of-home Radio $5.4 billion Online 7.7% CAGR $8.4 billion Online Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Eurostat; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; U.K. Office for National Statistics (ONS); H2; IMRG; IDC; GfK; IE Market Research; BCG analysis. Note: Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding. The Boston Consulting Group | 47 U.K. Consumers Benefit from the Internet $3,372 $3,753 $407 What do consumers value? Annual value E-mail $377 General search Consumer surplus Perceived value $359 $381 Online banking and investing Cost Percentage of people willing to give up a key lifestyle habit instead of the Internet for a year 91 Fast food 84 Satellite navigation 78 Chocolate 76 65 Coffee 47 Alcohol 25 Exercise Sex 21 17 Car Shower Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Eurostat; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; U.K. Office for National Statistics (ONS); H2; IMRG; IDC; GfK; IE Market Research; BCG analysis. The Internet’s Impact on Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) in the U.K. 85 High-Web 59 49 Percentage of SMEs that added jobs during the last three years 1 Historical three-year sales growth of SMEs (percentage) 1 SMEs’ percentage of private-sector employment Medium-Web ium-Web Low-Web and No-Web 12 75 51 7 4 HighWeb SMEs’ percentage of private-sector turnover Medium- Low-Web and No-Web Web Intensity of Web usage (percentage of SMEs using the Internet for a business activity) 100 53 Website 100 42 Online advertising 80 9 Search engine optimization 50 9 Blogging 100 23 Social networking 100 22 40 3 E-commerce Recruitment High-Web Low-Web 39 20 78 Finance Paying E-procurement suppliers 10 28 3 Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Eurostat; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; U.K. Office for National Statistics (ONS); H2; IMRG; IDC; GfK; IE Market Research; BCG analysis. 1 High-Web companies use a wide range of Internet tools to market, sell, and support customers, interact with suppliers, and empower employees; medium-Web businesses market or sell goods or services online; low-Web businesses have a website or a social-networking site; no-Web businesses do not have a website. 48 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 The U.S. Internet Economy 2016 GDP contribution ($billions) Public administration Real estate Manufacturing Wholesale and retail trade Finance and insurance Health care Professional, scientific Information and technical services Construction Logistics Waste management Accomodation and food services Mining Utilities Business services Education Agriculture Arts, entertainment, and recreation 129 2010 Government spending 289 128 TOTAL Comparison of Internet economy with traditional industry sectors (percentage of GDP) TOTAL Investment 236 1,000 596 684 330 Consumption --11 Net exports --15 Percentage of GDP U.S. U.S. 5.4 4.7 4.7 5.3 4.1 G-20 Internet G-20 Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; U.S. Small Business Administration; PC; Forrester Research; H2; Fitch; World Economic Forum; BCG analysis. Note: Some columns may not add up to total contributions due to rounding. The Internet’s Impact on Commerce in the U.S. $456 $252 Online retail 2010 Research online, purchase offline 2010 billion (7.1%) billion (5.0%) $1,926 per online user $482 2016 billion (9.6 % of total retail) Total retail Percentage of total advertising expenditures in 2010 2016 40.3 15.9 10.9 4.3 10.5 $26 billion Television Newspaper 25.6 18.2 Magazine Radio Out-of-home Online 10.5% CAGR $47 billion Online Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; U.S. Small Business Administration; PC; Forrester Research; H2; Fitch; World Economic Forum; BCG analysis. Note: Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding. The Boston Consulting Group | 49 U.S. Consumers Benefit from the Internet $2,528 $3,000 $321 What do consumers value? Annual value General search $318 Consumer surplus Perceived value E-mail $291 $472 Online banking and investing Cost Percentage of people willing to give up a key lifestyle habit instead of the Internet for a year 84 83 Satellite navigation 77 Fast food Chocolate 73 69 Alcohol Coffee 43 Exercise 21 10 Sex Car 7 Shower Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; U.S. Small Business Administration; PC; Forrester Research; H2; Fitch; World Economic Forum; BCG analysis. The Internet’s Impact on Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) in the U.S. SMEs’ percentage of private-sector employment Historical three-year sales growth of SMEs (percentage) 1 24 High-Web 48 45 Percentage of SMEs that added jobs during the last three years 1 10 Medium-Web ium-Web Low-Web and –5 No-Web 18 8 HighWeb SMEs’ percentage of private-sector turnover Medium- Low-Web and No-Web Web High-Web Low-Web Intensity of Web usage (percentage of SMEs using the Internet for a business activity) 100 46 Website 100 39 Online advertising 74 6 Search engine optimization 63 10 Blogging 100 100 12 Social networking 33 49 6 E-commerce Recruitment 13 42 5 Finance 52 3 27 1 Paying E-procurement suppliers Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; U.S. Small Business Administration; PC; Forrester Research; H2; Fitch; World Economic Forum; BCG analysis. 1 High-Web companies use a wide range of Internet tools to market, sell, and support customers, interact with suppliers, and empower employees; medium-Web businesses market or sell goods or services online; low-Web businesses have a website or a social-networking site; no-Web businesses do not have a website. 50 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 The Internet Economy in the EU-27 2016 GDP contribution ($billions) 2010 Government spending Top ten national contributions to Internet GDP (percentage of the Internet GDP of the EU-27) 121 U.K. 223 Germany 16.1 11.8 France 98 171 TOTAL Investment 1,133 810 TOTAL 619 30.0 385 Consumption --34 Net exports --22 Percentage of GDP EU-27 EU-27 5.7 3.8 5.3 4.1 G-20 7.1 Italy Netherlands 5.7 Spain 5.7 Sweden 5.0 Denmark 3.0 Poland 2.4 Belgium 2.0 G-20 Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; BCG analysis. Note: Some columns may not add up to total contributions due to rounding. The Internet’s Impact on Commerce in the EU-27 $650 billion (10.8%) $289 billion (5.7%) Online retail 2010 Top ten national contributions to online retail (percentage of total online retail for the EU-27) 2016 Total retail U.K. Germany France Sweden Italy Spain Netherlands Denmark Finland Ireland 9.3 6.8 6.7 5.1 5.0 4.0 2.4 2.3 35.1 13.3 2016 Percentage of total advertising expenditures in 2010 33.3 23.9 11.5 Television Newspaper 27.1 19.1 Magazine 6.8 Out-of-home $20 5.4 billion Radio Online 9.2% CAGR $34 billion Online Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; BCG analysis. Note: Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding. The Boston Consulting Group | 51 BCG’s e-Intensity Index Highlights Internet Prowess Across the EU-27 Economies Denmark Sweden U.K. Netherlands Finland Luxembourg Germany France Belgium Austria Ireland Spain Slovenia Czech Republic Estonia Portugal Poland Italy Hungary Greece Slovakia Natives 0 50 100 Players Nascent Laggards natives 150 200 BCG e-Intensity score Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; BCG analysis. Note: The index is scaled so that the geometric mean is 100 for the 34 OECD member countries. The scores of several countries were derived due to lack of complete data. The categories of Internet intensity--nascent natives, natives, players, and laggards--are illustrated in Exhibit 3 of this report. Graph excludes Bulgaria, Cyprus, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, and Romania. How the EU-27 Economies Stack Up on the Components of BCG’s e-Intensity Index Natives Players Nascent Laggards natives Expenditure (a measure of spending in online retail and online advertising) Enablement (a measure of Internet infrastructure) Sweden Denmark Luxembourg Netherlands Finland U.K. Germany Austria France Belgium Ireland Portugal Spain Slovenia Estonia Italy Czech Republic Greece Slovakia Hungary Poland Denmark U.K. Sweden Netherlands Germany Finland France Czech Republic Luxembourg Poland Belgium Hungary Slovenia Spain Ireland Austria Italy Slovakia Portugal Estonia Greece 0 50 100 150 200 Engagement (a measure of Internet involvement by businesses, the governments, and consumers) U.K. Netherlands Denmark Sweden Germany Finland Austria Ireland Estonia France Spain Belgium Luxembourg Slovenia Czech Republic Hungary Portugal Poland Greece Slovakia Italy 0 100 300 0 50 100 150 BCG e-Intensity score Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; Ovum; Gartner; Euromonitor International; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Magnaglobal; CCB; BCG analysis. Note: The indices were scaled so that the geometric mean is 100 for the 34 OECD members. The scores of several countries were derived due to lack of complete data. Graph excludes Bulgaria, Cyprus, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, and Romania. 52 | The Internet Economy in the G-20 note to the reader About the Authors David Dean is a senior partner and managing director in the Munich office of The Boston Consulting Group. Sebastian DiGrande is a partner and managing director in the firm’s San Francisco office. Dominic Field is a partner and managing director in BCG’s Los Angeles office. Andreas Lundmark is a principal in the firm’s Stockholm office. James O’Day is a project leader in BCG’s London office. John Pineda is a principal in the firm’s San Francisco office. Paul Zwillenberg is a partner and managing director in BCG’s London office. Acknowledgments This report is a product of BCG’s Technology, Media & Telecommunications practice. The authors are indebted to multiple BCG partners and colleagues for their contributions and insights during the preparation of this report: Marcos Aguiar (Sao Paulo), Jorge Becerra (Santiago), Jeffery Bernstein (Tokyo), Julio Bezerra (Sao Paulo), Vladislav Boutenko (Moscow), Ethan Choi (Seoul), Olavo Cunha (Sao Paulo), Tenbite Ermias ( Johannesburg), Yucel Ersoz (Istanbul), Philip Evans (Boston), Patrick Forth (Sydney), Tawfik Hammoud (Toronto), Susumu Hattori (Tokyo), Joerg Hildebrandt (Dubai), Nimisha Jain (New Delhi), Carl Kalapesi (London), David Michael (Beijing), Vaishali Rastogi (Singapore), David Rhodes (London), Hermann Riedl (Abu Dhabi), Ryoji Kimura (Tokyo), Henri Salha (Paris), Kanchan Samtani (Mumbai), Just Schuermann (Munich), Shigeki Ichii (Tokyo), Marc Vos (Milan), Sarah Willersdorf (New York), Yukimasa Uchida (Tokyo), and Yvonne Zhou (Beijing). They are also grateful to Gaby Barrios, Patrick Böert, Jonathan Colclough, Suruj Dutta, Ana Carolina Freire, Haywood Ho, Chip Horne, Tom Hussey, Taantee Karmakar, Joe Lee, Brandon Miller, Matt Pan, Lisa Robinson, Christoffer Rutgersson, Stevenlie Satryaputra, and Marta Szczerba for their assistance. The authors would like to thank David Duffy and Mark Voorhees for their help in writing this report and Angela DiBattista, Gary Callahan, Kim Friedman, Angela Goldberg, Sara Strassenreiter, and Mary DeVience for contributions to its editing, design, and production. For Further Contact If you would like to discuss this report, please contact one of the authors. David Dean Senior Partner and Managing Director Munich +49 89 2317 4150 dean.david@bcg.com Sebastian DiGrande Partner and Managing Director San Francisco +1 415 732 8000 digrande.sebastian@bcg.com Dominic Field Partner and Managing Director Los Angeles +1 213 621 2772 field.dominic@bcg.com James O’Day Project Leader London +44 207 753 5353 o’day.james@bcg.com John Pineda Principal San Francisco +1 415 732 8000 pineda.john@bcg.com Paul Zwillenberg Partner and Managing Director London +44 207 753 5353 zwillenberg.paul@bcg.com For Further Reading The Boston Consulting Group publishes extensively on topics related to marketing in the digital economy. Recent examples include those listed here: Digital Manifesto A Focus by The Boston Consulting Group, January 2012 Turning Local A Focus by The Boston Consulting Group, September 2011 The Connected Kingdom A report by The Boston Consulting Group, October 2010 Andreas Lundmark Principal Stockholm +46 8 402 4400 lundmark.andreas@bcg.com The Boston Consulting Group | 53 © The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. 2012. All rights reserved. For information or permission to reprint, please contact BCG at: E-mail: bcg-info@bcg.com Fax: +1 617 850 3901, attention BCG/Permissions Mail: BCG/Permissions The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. One Beacon Street Boston, MA 02108 USA To find the latest BCG content and register to receive e-alerts on this topic or others, please visit bcgperspectives.com. Follow bcg.perspectives on Facebook and Twitter. 3/12 The Boston Consulting Group | C Abu Dhabi Amsterdam Athens Atlanta Auckland Bangkok Barcelona Beijing Berlin Boston Brussels Budapest Buenos Aires Canberra Casablanca Chennai Chicago Cologne Copenhagen Dallas Detroit Dubai Düsseldorf Frankfurt Geneva Hamburg Helsinki Hong Kong Houston Istanbul Jakarta Johannesburg Kiev Kuala Lumpur Lisbon London Los Angeles Madrid Melbourne Mexico City Miami Milan Minneapolis Monterrey Moscow Mumbai Munich Nagoya New Delhi New Jersey New York Oslo Paris Perth Philadelphia Prague Rio de Janeiro Rome San Francisco Santiago São Paulo Seoul Shanghai Singapore Stockholm Stuttgart Sydney Taipei Tel Aviv Tokyo Toronto Vienna Warsaw Washington Zurich bcg.com