Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 1 Rangoon Suspense Report Card, Burma 1 December 2001 - 31 March 2002 includes “coup plot” & chronology ALTSEAN Burma Published July 2002 CONTENTS ISBN:974-90486-0-1, Bangkok, July 2002 2 RANGOON SUSPENSE 3 DEMOCRACY THE TALKS, POLITICAL PRISONERS, POLITICAL FREEDOM 8 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS THEME: ‘DEMOCRACY’, CHINA V. INDIA 9 INTERNATIONAL AID, UPDATE JAPAN, SOUTH KOREA 11 ECONOMIC SITUATION HEADING FOR ECONOMIC COLLAPSE, THE KYAT: DOWNHILL ALL THE WAY, INTERNATIONAL TRADE, PRESSURE, FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT 19 DRUGS PRODUCTION, UWSA, ERADICATION & PREVENTION, REGIONAL PROBLEM, UNDCP & FUNDS 24 THAI – BURMESE RELATIONS DRUGS, FIGHTING ON THE BORDER, AIDING REBELS, PEOPLE FROM BURMA IN THAILAND 27 MILITARY REGIME THE ‘COUP PLOT’, USDA, POLICE, THE WEAPONS KEEP COMING, REGIONAL SECURITY THE NUCLEAR REACTOR 31 WOMEN & CHILDREN WOMEN AWARD, VIOLENCE, CHILDREN SEX WORK, VIOLENCE Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 2 33 HUMAN RIGHTS PROF. PINHEIRO’S 2ND TRIP TO BURMA, FORCED LABOUR, EXTORTION, FREEDOM OF EXPRESSION, LABOUR RIGHTS 39 ETHNIC CHAVALIT’S INTERVENTION, KAREN, SHAN, KARENNI, LAHU, MON 42 RELIGION 43 HEALTH PROSTHESIS, HIV/AIDS, THAILAND & THE HEALTH OF PEOPLE FROM BURMA 45 EDUCATION MONASTIC EDUCATION, STUDY ABROAD, CLOSURE 47 DISPLACEMENT IDPS, REFUGEES THAILAND, ROHINGYA MIGRANT WORKERS, THAILAND HIGHLY VULNERABLE, REGISTRATION 50 ENVIRONMENT IVORY, LOGGING & FURNITURE SMUGGLING 51 CHRONOLOGY 55 APPENDIX 1: INTERVIEW WITH DR. CHAO TZANG YANGHWE 59 BIBLIOGRAPHY 60 ERRATA RANGOON SUSPENSE A new thriller hits the international press. Daughter of former dictator Ne Win, plots a coup to over-throw the military government in Rangoon. While Sandar Win is under house arrest with her father at one end of University Avenue, her husband, sons and other conspirators are under arrest. They will be charged for treason. Meanwhile, at the other end of the street, another woman unappreciative of the government’s ‘good intentions’ is also under house arrest. The military regime of course insists Daw Aung San Suu Kyi remains housebound in the interests of security. The two women are in different ways, threats to the ‘men-only’ boat of Rangoon, headed by Sr-Gen Than Shwe. Neither woman is a stranger to politics: One the favourite daughter of dictator Ne Win, widely disliked for her greed and the thuggish behaviour of her family. The other daughter of independence hero General Aung San, and a national hero in her own right. Gossip and glee over Sandar Win and her family’s comeuppance compete with speculation of the next possible date Aung San Suu Kyi will be released. Has Burma ever seen anything like it? The answer, simply: Yes. Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 3 The people of Burma are used to the regime’s propaganda evoked in the name of National Security. The highly publicised ‘coup plot’ is a diversion tactic by the generally media-wary junta. In its name, the military regime has increased security, gone on an intelligence rampage, and most disturbingly, postponed – for the second time – UN Special Envoy Razali’s visit to Burma in connection with talks between the regime and Daw Aung San Suu Kyi. If the regime was truly determined to act in the best interests of the people of Burma its tactics would be radically different. Soap operas like this ‘coup plot’ would not be the focus of attention. The real suspense gripping the international community should be focused on matters that would improve the daily lives of the peoples of Burma: When and how will talks with Daw Aung San Suu Kyi progress beyond the confidence-building stage? When talks would be announced to the Burmese public and would be extended to involve ethnic nationalities? Will an unconditional national cease-fire be called to halt the killings and decrease the sufferings of the people? When will all political prisoners be released? We are still waiting. 4 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 DEMOCRACY Improving Stagnant Deteriorating The national reconciliation process in Myanmar is at a delicate stage… [E]fforts to build confidence have not progressed as quickly as many had hoped or expected. Therefore, much more needs to be done over the next 12 months to make the process irreversible. Specifically… there is a clear need to move the national reconciliation process from the present confidence-building stage and to begin dialogue on substantative political issues. – UN Secretary General, Kofi Annan, 18 Mar 02 THE TALKS The talks are not going as fast as they should. – UN Special Envoy, Razali, Feb 02 Unfortunately, but unsurprisingly, the talks continued to lack any real substance. Although U Lwin commented in February that the talks were “very much alive,” the alleged March 2002 ‘coup-plot’ [see Military] has posed problems. Despite assurances by Maj-Gen. Kyaw Win that the talks would not be affected, the political changes that have transpired in its aftermath must have implications for the talks. To quote UN Special Envoy Razali, “Obviously, all events like this are serious. They have a direct impact.”1 The 1st direct impact has been the postponement of Razali’s 7 th trip, from 19 March until 22 April (the trip was earlier postponed in February), the official reason being that officials were too busy dealing with the ‘coup attempt’. (An earlier report held the deputy Foreign Minister’s health responsible.) As the US stated, Razali’s delayed visit casts doubt over the regime’s commitment to dialogue.2 Hopes for genuine progress were earlier dashed on Independence Day (4 Jan). On 13 December U Lwin, NLD spokesperson and We are waiting for Independence Day Secretary, spoke in anticipation of the release on January 4. We are hoping for a big and amnesty of political prisoners and/or the change, mainly in the shape and start of substantive dialogue towards national pattern of the discussion, to have a proper dialogue. - U Lwin, Dec 01 reconciliation. U Lwin was encouraged by greater political freedoms that he said constituted confidence-building measures. Razali’s positive comments of were also reason for optimism.3 AFP, Kuala Lumpur (20 Mar 02) Coup must not derail Myanmar’s reconciliation process: UN envoy AFP, Washington (19 Mar 02) US chastises Myanmar over UN visit cancellation; for further discussion on the ‘coup attempt’ and the talks, see Altsean-Burma (Apr 02:9-11) 3 see AP, Rangoon (13 Dec 01) Myanmar opposition sees sign of reconciliation on Independence Day; AP (10 Jan 02) UN envoy sees ‘significant progress in Myanar talks’, DVB (30 Jan 02) Junta postpones UN special envoy Razali’s February visit to March 1 2 Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 5 As is too often the case in Burma however, those who held hope were disappointed. Independence Day came and went, the only mention of the talks being in the NLD statement which reiterated calls for greater speed, the start of meaningful tripartite dialogue, release of Aung San Suu Kyi and all other political prisoners and political freedom. NLD Chairperson, U Aung Shwe, urged Burma to unite and strive for a “genuine democracy that everyone long desired.” This is the first formal statement the NLD has issued since the talks began. This breaking of silence signifies extreme discontent with the progress of the talks and release of prisoners. 4 On 22 January, expectations and rumours again ran rife as Daw Aung San Suu Kyi left her home for the 1st time since her house arrest began in Sept ’00. Escorted by military personnel, it was suspected that Suu Kyi was taken to meet a top Burmese official, possibly even Sr-Gen Than Shwe, to Razali is noted for his good relations with discuss the talks. The regime denied both the military and Daw Aung San Suu such a meeting and it remains unknown Kyi. However, he appears so concerned in where Daw Suu Kyi was taken that day. keeping the generals smiling that he is losing some support from the people of Burma. As one lawyer says, ‘Inside he is called a rescuer of the generals,’ and another civilian questions, ‘Is he a peacebroker or a fundraiser?’ Fundraiser for his courting of the international community to bestow humanitarian aid. - see Irrawaddy, Jan 30 The only thing that is clear is that Suu Kyi expressed frustration over the talks to former Japanese foreign minister, Kabun Muto, in December. Suu Kyi reportedly stated that real dialogue has not yet started and that “it is necessary to pursue dialogue at high level by restoring confidence soon.”5 Ongoing conflicts and uncertain movements within the regime apparatus, most recently visualised by the follow-up to the ‘coup attempt’, do not inspire confidence for the talks but merely increase the unpredictable and vague climate within which they are occurring. It was strongly hoped and rumoured that Daw Aung San Suu Kyi would be released from house arrest in time to celebrate Thinjan (Burmese New Year) in midApril. It is vital that the international community insists that the talks go on and develop into dialogue as, to quote a UN spokesperson, “The process must continue.”6 tripartite talks In the spirit of the 1947 Union Day (12 Feb) agreement between ethnic groups and General Aung San, 6 ethnic political parties released a joint statement urging the talks become tripartite so that a federal system of democratic government may evolve. They 4 5 6 United Press International, Rangoon (30 Jan 02) Release on horizon for Suu Kyi AFP, Tokyo (11 Dec 01) Myanmar is struggling to launch full dialogue: report AFP, Kuala Lumpur (20 Mar 02) 6 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 continue to stress there cannot be peace unless ethnic groups are included on an equal playing field. The NLD Union Day statement called for national unity Only with national unity can and urged the regime to declare cease-fires and we establish the muchamnesties to armed ethnic groups. Over 500 opposition desired democratic state. members, UN Special Rapporteur Pinheiro, and - Aung Shwe, Union Day diplomats from Britain, France, USA, Japan and South Korea attended the Union Day ceremony.7 [see ‘Ethnic’ for further discussion on relations between the junta & ethnic groups] SPDC talk If the regime is to be believed, the talks are progressing well. ‘Imminent success’, ‘positive direction’, ‘steady progress’ and other such encouraging catch-phrases all have a place in the regime’s vocabulary. Other popular lines excusing the lack of concrete progress include: opposition groups need to be ‘patient’ and ‘understanding’, ‘the time must be right’ for the release of political prisoners, Burma will not be ‘kicked from behind’, Burma will develop its own ‘functioning democracy’ and it ‘cannot be rushed’.8 international response Many players in the international community have met the regime’s enthusiastic talk with scepticism. In its February report to congress, the US government stressed it is time the talks moved beyond the confidence-building stage, to “genuine political dialogue [...] aimed at returning the country to democracy and civilian rule.” The US has warned that it is growing increasingly impatient over the lack of progress. While the regime tried to dismiss this criticism, they cannot be too aware that tangible progress could mean an easing of US-led sanctions.9 [see p8 for further discussion] POLITICAL PRISONERS [see chronology for release dates of political prisoners] The fact is that those persons [Pinheiro] refers to [as political prisoners] are the offenders who are serving their respective sentences for their infringement of the existing laws and not for their political beliefs or activities. – U Mya Than, 28 Mar 02, response to Pinheiro’s statement All indicators suggest the talks have not moved beyond the confidence-building stage because, to quote U Lwin (Dec 01), “there are many prisoners still waiting to be released.”10 Even Razali, who has become less encouraged with the progress of the 7 Associated Press (12 Feb 02) Myanmar opposition urges national unity at Union Day ceremony see BBC (9 Jan 02) Burma FM calls for opposition patience; Channel- J News Agency, Japan (30 Dec 2001) Interview with Col. Hla Min; AFP (10 Dec 01) Myanmar responds to Nobel laureates by pledging support for democracy 9 Agence France Presse (13 Feb 02) Myanmar talks making progress, success imminent: junta 10 Reuters, United Nations (3 Dec 01) UN wants Myanmar to release political prisoners 8 Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 7 11 talks since the new year, has stressed that all remaining political prisoners must be released to create a space for political dialogue. Similar requests have been, and continue to be, consistently made by U Lwin, pro-democracy activists, retired politicians on National Day, 28 Nobel Peace laureates as part of an international campaign for freedom in Burma, 12 and the UN Special Rapporteur on human rights in Myanmar, most recently in March 2002. RSF & BMA campaign for release of U Win Tin on 72nd birthday sentenced: 4 July 1989, 20 years crime: sent document on prison conditions & mistreatment to UN Special Rapporteur campaign: petition carrying 2,500 signatures presented to Burmese embassy, launched 12 March 2002 (72nd birthday) grounds of release: medical; ailments have included hernia, high blood pressure, diabetes & inflammation of the vertebra. occupation: journalist At the end of January there were 52 prisoners, including Min Ko Naing (student democracy leader), who had served their original sentences but remained detained under State Protection Law 10(A).13 U Lwin claimed in December that there were still 822 NLD members incarcerated,14 almost ½ the total number of political prisoners. The regime disputes this, categorically refusing the existence of political prisoners in Burma at the UN Human Rights Commission in March. In summation, releases have been pitiful and large numbers of people continue to be unlawfully detained according to international standards. Only when prisoners are released en masse, rather than strategically coinciding with visits by UN officials, will a genuine commitment to political change begin to be proven. Upon such a move, Suu Kyi has reportedly vowed to push for the start of political dialogue.15 Futures World News (10 Jan 02) UN Envoy Sees ‘Significant Progress’ In Myanmar Talks; BBC (12 Feb 02) The occasion was the Nobel Peace Prize centennial anniversary & Suu Kyi’s 10th Anniversary as a laureate. Numerous key events were organised & statements made, giving high international profile to the Burma prodemocracy movement. 13 Under State Protection Law 10(a) sentences can be subject to up to 5 one-year extensions by order of Ministry of Home Affairs. [The Irrawaddy (25 Jan 02) Student Leader's Sentence Increased] 14 Kyodo (19 Dec 01) 822 Myanmar dissidents still in jail, NLD secretary says 15 AFP, Tokyo (11 Dec 01) Myanmar is struggling to launch full dialogue: report 11 12 8 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 POLITICAL FREEDOM There's no climate of change. It's just wishful thinking. - Aung Zaw, Irrawaddy editor I think that Myanmar is destined to change… I continue to believe that there is a will within the State Peace and Development Council to pursue a transition from political exclusion to cooperation with the National League for Democracy and other components of society. - Pinheiro, UN Special Rapporteur on human rights in Myanmar The NLD has received authorisation to reopen offices in Mandalay, Mergui and Irrawaddy divisions, in addition to their 39 township offices in Rangoon division. (As of the end of January 8 offices in Rangoon division remained unopened.) While important gestures are being made and name: Dr. Salai Tun Than some NLD members have greater freedom sentence: 7 years, 8 Feb 02, Insein prison of movement,16 the wider picture is still penal code: Article 5(J), 1950 State one of political oppression with strict MI Emergency Act (military intelligence) surveillance and in arrest: November 2001 which people can be, and are, arrested for crime: holding 1-person peaceful political protest in front of Rangoon City Hall peaceful political dissent. age: 74 health: serious eye condition needs surgery in next 6 months ethnic nationality: Chin religion: Christian, rector education: PhD Agronomy, University of Wisconsin occupation: former university professor details: distributed pamphlets demanding political reform & elections supervised by UN & ASEAN, appealed to military to stop all killings and stated, “It is better to die than to live under the military regime.” Human Right’s Watch’s response to the sentence of Dr. Salai Tun Than was justly harsh: “With this sentence, the Burmese government is making it clear that it will crush any and all dissent… The harshness of the sentence suggests that, political dialogue notwithstanding, the Rangoon regime is fundamentally unchanged.”17 Similar statements ring through the networks of Burma observers, claiming that this highlights the regime’s noncommitment to political change. It is discouraging that Pinheiro reads the signs so differently as it suggests that the regime have proved their commitment. They have done nothing of the kind. 16 17 see Democratic Voice of Burma (29 Jan 02) NLD branch to re-open 30 January; Reuters (10 Dec 01) Human Rights Watch (2002) World Report, Burma Report Card: Rangoon Suspense INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Improving Stagnant 9 Deteriorating THEME: ‘DEMOCRACY’ The US and European Union (EU) will only reassess their foreign policies towards Burma when there has been a genuine commitment to change by the regime. Should there be significant progress toward [democratic] goals, the US would look seriously at measures to support a process of constructive change. - US Department of State, 11 Feb Anything which would advance the situation in Burma promoted through Bangkok, through specific co-operation or specific input... will be of course supported. – Spanish ambassador, EU, 23 Jan Senior members of the Burmese regime have said that a return to democracy is planned. But we now need unmistakable evidence that change is underway… I urge the regime not to let this opportunity pass them by… The United Kingdom stands ready to respond to any such positive developments. - Jack Straw, UK foreign minister, 8 Dec Immediate indicators of positive development include Daw Aung San Suu Kyi’s release from house arrest, release of all political prisoners, an end to forced labour, an unconditional cease-fire, and open discussion of the talks in the Burmese media. The EU has offered incentives for change, including assistance for HIV/AIDS and a promised invitation for the Burmese foreign minister to the ASEAN-EU meeting in Europe later this year.18 UK Foreign Minister Jack Straw spoke with Thai Prime Minister Thaksin, expressing the EU position that active international cohesiveness is vital in supporting the dialogue.19 Also making their support for a democratic Burma clear, 16 Philippines congressmen crossed party lines to sign a manifesto of support for the NLD. CHINA V. INDIA Tensions abound between China and India in their missions to dominate Burmese markets, particularly in the supply of military hardware and expertise, and trade. Rangoon hopes to exploit the growing rivalry between India and China (along with Japan, Russia and other smaller players) to its own advantage. China: President Jiang Zemin’s 12-15 December visit to Burma was clearly highly regarded by the regime, welcoming him with a red carpet, rows of flag-waving students along roadsides and the release of 200 Chinese prisoners. 18 19 Bangkok Post (23 Jan 02) EU unlikely to ease restrictions Bangkok Post (29 Jan 02) Face-off on Burmese refugees 10 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 Such a high-level and unprecedented visit indicates China is eager to remain Burma’s most influential international ally. To cement its influence and business relationships, China promised US$100million in investment to fund 12 projects and signed several pacts on co-operation and border security. 20 China also reiterated Burma’s right to “be allowed to choose its own development path suited to its own conditions.”21 China must now compete for Burmese markets and good relations as others also want a piece of the pie. As one Rangoon-based analyst said, “Before, Burma had only one friend. Now it has more and this makes the Chinese nervous… (Burma) had little choice but to embrace the Chinese. Now they have more options.”22 India: While consulates in Calcutta and Mandalay re-open after closing in 1988, military links between India and Burma strengthen. Director-General of Indian Armed Forces Training Maj-Gen Ashok Vasudeva visited Rangoon for a study tour representing the army, navy and airforce. Analysts consider this a high-level visit reflecting increasing co-operation. Outside intelligence and analysts believe Burma wishes to benefit from India’s knowledge of handling Russian MiG fighters. 23 Despite agreements to coordinate activities on rebel groups, India announced Burma’s release of almost 200 Manipuri rebels arrested in November 2001. It is thought this will create distrust between the 2 countries. 24 INTERNATIONAL AID, UPDATE JAPAN Baluchaung ODA The Japanese government was expected to approve an Official Development Assistance (ODA) grant of approximately 3billion yen (US$26million) to repair Baluchaung Hydroelectric Power Plant by the end of 2001. Legislature on this ODA has been stalled, but the project has not been abandoned. MP Nobuhiko Suto stated at a symposium in December that he generally did not forsee any problems with the project. He did however note that it is necessary to monitor the situation to ensure problems do not arise. (Note: when the MP visited Burma he was guided by Burmese officials.) Officials eager to push the project say, “This is not a simple ODA project… it is a emergency humanitarian project because any halt to power supplies from the Baluchaung plant would cause great troubles for many 20 Stratford Analysis (18 Dec 01) China Trying to Keep Hold Over Myanmar; China Economic Review (4 Feb 02) Jiang Signs Security Pact With Burma 21 New York Times, Mandalay (30 Dec 01) For Many Burmese, China Is an Unwanted Ally 22 Irrawaddy (13 Dec 01) Jiang Zemin Arrives in Rangoon 23 BBC (7 Dec 01) Indian and Burmese forces bond afresh 24 BBC (23 Feb 02) Burma releases captive Indian guerrillas Report Card: Rangoon Suspense Myanmar citizens. But at the same time, it has a strategic significance. We want to encourage dialogue between Suu Kyi's NLD and the SPDC through ODA like this.” 25 11 The Japanese government must understand that such assistance is not only premature, it is also misguided. Money is certainly the language of the thugs and thieves in Burma, but it cannot buy peace and stability in that mafia state. - US Senator McConnell However, Japan’s resumption of ODA continues to attract widespread condemnation for being irresponsible, including from the KNPP.26 It is widely seen as a premature ‘reward’ to the regime at a time when commitment to political change is far from concrete. Many fear that the ODA will undermine commitment to the talks and that it will benefit the military at the expense of local communities, and intensify conflict. figures ODA: The Japanese embassy announced in December that Japan is extending its programme and providing grant aid totaling 800million yen (US$6.5 million) for road construction and electrification projects in Kokang, northern Shan State. 27 Japanese embassy figures show that in 2001 Japan provided 1.689billion yen (US$13.8 million) in ODA with similar aid of 203 million yen (US$1.65million), for a human resources development scholarship project, extended in January. 28 grassroots grant: The Japanese government provided US$331,184 ‘grassroots’ grant assistance for 13 projects from December 1, 2001 to February 1, 2002 29, another US$317,940 in February and a further US$612,267 for 15 more projects in early March30 (including construction of schools, vocational training centers, water supplies and medical equipment supplies). The total amount of grassroots grant in 2001-02 was US$3,072,420.31 technical aid: Japan provided about US$20million of technical aid in the fiscal year ending Mar ’02. (Japan International Cooperation Agency) While many observers and INGO workers in Burma are highly critical of the Japanese setting bad and dangerous precedents in assistance allocation, 32 UN Special Envoy Razali has praised the Japanese government for its assistance to Burma. Razali has 25 Japan Times (8 Mar 02) Myanmar aid stalled but not finished for example see DVB (10 Jan 02) Opposition party denies killing villagers Xinhua (13 Dec 01) Japan to Aid Myanmar's Construction, Electrification Projects 28 Xinhua, Rangoon (4 Feb 02) Japan Provides Grant Assistance to Myanmar 29 Xinhua, Rangoon (4 Feb 02) 30 Xinhua (29 Mar 02) Japan Extends More Grant Assistance to Myanmar 31 Xinhua (29 Mar 02) 32 see Irrawaddy (Dec 01) Inside INGOs: Aiding or Abetting? 26 27 12 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 urged the government to continue with such assistance, saying that stability must be supported in parallel to efforts for democracy. 33 Burma activists agree with the need for stability and sustained support but oppose the view that stability can be supported by granting money to a dictatorial regime that has proven time and time again to be abusive and unreliable. SOUTH KOREA The Republic of Korea (ROK) International Cooperation Agency is training 100 people from Burma in agriculture, economic and industrial development. The agency comes under the ROK Foreign Ministry and people from Burma have been trained in recent years under an aid programme. The programme will reportedly be broadened.34 ECONOMIC SITUATION Improving Stagnant Deteriorating Improvement has been seen in the country's economic sector every year. An economic growth rate of between 5.1 per cent and 7.5 per cent was achieved during the short-term 4-year economic plan for the 1992-93 to 1995-96 period. An economic growth rate of 6 per cent was targeted for the 1996-97 to 2000-01 period, but the economic growth rate reached 8.4 per cent. The third five-year plan for 2001-02 to 2005-06 period is being implemented. – Sr-Gen Than Shwe, Armed Forces Day (27 Mar 02) This is the worst of all times; we have hit the bottom. - Rangoon based journalist (quoted Feb 02)35 HEADING FOR ECONOMIC COLLAPSE Just about the only piece of good news in Burma is in its reported GDP growth rates. The official figures provided by Burma’s Central Statistical Organisation and published by the International Monetary Fund36 report GDP growth for Burma at 10.9% in 2000. This makes Burma the fastest growing economy in Asean, and among the fastest growing in the world. How this reported growth can be reconciled with the reality in Burma is however, a complete mystery. For a start, all other economic indicators in Burma (such as public sector borrowing, foreign debt and reserves, foreign exchange rates, and inflation) show sharply contradictory figures. There is virtually no evidence that economic growth has led to any of the positive signs of wealth normally associated with a growing country – rather, these indicators point to an economy on the verge of collapse. 33 Kyodo, KL (10 Jan 02) Japanese Premier in Malaysia discusses Burma democratization with UN envoy Xinhua, Rangoon (7 Feb 02) About 100 Myanmar to Undergo Training in ROK The Straits Times, Singapore (12 Feb 02) Myanmar sliding into economic catastrophe 36 International Monetary Fund (Jan 01) IMF Country Report No. 01/18: Myanmar 34 35 Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 13 Figure 1: Currency Exchange (Kyat:US$) Year 2001 Source: Far Eastern Economic Review Kyat/US$ Ja 4- n r ct c v r pr ug ep b n l -A 3-S 1-O -No -De Fe -Ma -Ap 0-A -Ju -Ju 55 2 3 4 9 13 1 1 8 6 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 Kyat/US$ Linear (Kyat/US$) Secondly, assessments by international agencies continue to place Burma at the bottom of their list. The Heritage Foundation, which classified Burma as ‘repressed’ in their 2002 Index of Economic Freedom37, says that the SPDC has ‘done little to advance the cause of development during the past year’. The World Health Organisation ranks the efficacy of Burma’s health system at 190 out of 191 countries. Thirdly, and perhaps most urgently critical, the social impact of what a foreign diplomat in Rangoon calls a ‘shrinking economy’ is disastrous, with more people than ever living in or at the edge of poverty. Food and fuel prices have skyrocketed, public services – sanitation, public transport, and water - are collapsing, and power blackouts regularly engulf Rangoon for 20 hours at a time. 38 Perhaps the only reason why a total collapse of the Burmese economy has not happened is due to the existence of an unrecorded parallel black economy, estimated to account for more than 50% of the country’s trade and finance, and which is fuelled by smuggling and drugs. THE KYAT: DOWNHILL ALL THE WAY The level of confidence in the SPDC’s handling of the Burmese economy is well represented by its long-suffering currency, the kyat. At the beginning of 2001, the open market rate of exchange between the kyat and US Dollar stood at Kt430. By the end of the year, one dollar could have been exchanged for 725 kyat on the streets of Rangoon – representing a massive discount of 69% on the year. As the trend-line in Figure 1 37 38 Heritage Foundation (Jan 02) 2002 Index of Economic Freedom The Straits Times, Singapore (12 Feb 02) Myanmar sliding into economic catastrophe Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 14 shows, the kyat’s value has been on a general downward slide all year. Attempts by the SPDC to stem the fall of the kyat by various means ranging from the revocation of FEC currency licences to import restrictions have had little effect, except for brief respites of stability before plunging to a new low. The ridiculously unrealistic official rate of exchange of approximately 6.3 kyat to the dollar is still maintained. Figure 2: Asean Currencies 1999-2001 Malay 0.00% % Chg v.$ -20.00% Camb Brunei Vietm Spore Thai Laos -40.00% Philps Indon -60.00% -80.00% -100.00% -120.00% -140.00% Burma Brunei Burm a Cam b Indon Laos Malay Philps Spore Thai Vietm % Change -10.87% -119.70% -5.45% -47.17% -23.95% -0.01% -29.16% -11.32% -20.05% -7.68% Source: Far Eastern Economic Review Over the 2-year period from 1999-2001, the kyat has more than halved its value in US$ terms. Although all Asean currencies depreciated against the US$ during the period, none fell as dramatically as the kyat whose value plummeted by nearly 120%. [see Figure 2]. The kyat resumed its fall in the new-year, reaching a low of 750 kyat against the US$ in January 2002. [see Figure 3] In early March, Major General Kyaw Win denied the SPDC will introduce 5,000 and 10,000 kyat notes and withdraw all others in circulation. This is the 2 nd time in 5 months the regime has had to make such an announcement, indicating lack of public confidence in the kyat.39 One major impact of the depreciation of Burma’s currency over the last 2 years has been inflation, now spiralling out of control. Prices of basic foods and fuel have risen by more than 50% during 2001, and the black market price of petrol has increased by 600% in less than 1 year.40 39 40 Agence France Presse (6 Mar 02) Myanmar quashes rumours of bank note withdrawal TheStraits Times, Singapore (12 Feb 02) Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 15 The situation has deteriorated further since the ‘coup plot’, with both commodities and consumer goods rising in price,41 particularly dairy products and medicines. According to a doctor in Rangoon, “The cost of medicines are so prohibitive now that many people are not seeking medical attention because they know they can't afford the prescriptions.”42 Even the price of rice is increasing, 20% between mid-February to mid-March in Rangoon, and up to 300% in some rural areas. 43 Continually escalating prices of basic goods are leading many, including UN officials, to fear that Burma will soon face a widespread humanitarian crisis. Figure 3 : Exchange rate Kyat:US$ source: FEER 6D e 17 c -D 31 ec -D 7- ec Ja 14 n -J 21 an -J 28 an -J 11 an -F 18 eb -F 25 eb -F 4- eb M a 11 r -M 18 ar -M 25 ar -M ar date 710 kyat:US$1 720 730 740 750 760 In response to spiraling prices of essential goods, the regime established tax-free markets and forced private firms to provide products to government-run markets. However, demand and supply remain largely out of sync and residents in Rangoon are still forced to queue at the markets as early as 5am in order to purchase rationed basic goods, such as eggs, before stocks run out and are reportedly sold at inflated prices elsewhere. An article in the Irrawaddy suggested the regime must open more tax-free markets with greater supplies in order to properly tackle the problem of runaway inflation.44 41 Irrawaddy Magazine (12 Mar 02) Smokes and Gold on the Rise Bangkok Post (12 Mar 02) Analysis / Burma Under Siege: Economic crisis raises real fears The rising domestic price in rice could be partially attributed to the regime’s export target of 1million tonnes by the end of April. 44 Irrawaddy Magazine (5 Mar 02) Tax-Free Markets Flop 42 43 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 16 INTERNATIONAL TRADE In a country where the government is not answerable to a democratic constituency, it is capable of making somewhat arbitrary decisions… - John Bray of Control Risks, on the 8 Investment Funds who warn against trading with Burma Burma’s foreign trade increased for the first 10 months of 2001 as compared with the same period of 2000.45 Exports increased by 41% to US$1,889 million (primarily due to larger exports of rice,46 beans and pulses, jute and other agricultural products). Imports increased by 21% to US$2,416 million, despite the introduction of import restrictions. The resultant trade deficit of US$527 million – despite being an improvement over the deficit of $1,408 million in the previous year - will continue to put a strain on the country’s dwindling foreign reserves. US$ million Figure 4: Trade Deficit 0 -200 -400 -600 -800 -1000 -1200 -1400 -1600 -1800 2001 (10 months) 1998 2000 1999 Source: Xinhua, CSO The SPDC are therefore looking at alternative means of paying for imports, and plans are afoot for the introduction of a formalised account trade system – or barter trade – between Burma and Thailand, and Burma and Malaysia. 47 (The barter trade system is already in effect at an informal level due to skewed exchange rates.) A formalised account trade system is particularly crucial for Burma as inter-Asean trade, comprising 46% of Burma’s total foreign trade during the first ten months of 2001, is likely to increase in the coming years. Xinhua (20 Jan 02) Myanmar’s imports, exports up in the 1st 10 months of 2001 Myanmar Times (29 Nov 01) Rice exports expected to reach one million tons this year 47 Reuters (12 Jan 02) Myanmar to improve trade for entry into AFTA 45 46 Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 17 PRESSURE Burma continued to receive bad news on the economic front when eight of the world’s largest investment funds48 warned against investing in and trading with Burma. 49 Although not an outright call for companies to withdraw from Burma, the wording of the statement which asks companies to think before they invest “in the light of the risks that such activity poses to shareholders” effectively puts any company with investments in or trading links with Burma in a position of disadvantage. The statement also calls for firms to “justify their involvement” with Burma, adding that by operating in a “politically unstable” environment, companies run the risk of “loss of shareholder confidence”. In other words, companies operating in or trading with Burma are likely to be excluded from these funds’ investment portfolios. In a related move, a petition was filed in late March calling on Dutch authorities to refuse to do business with IHC Caland – a construction company, unless it agrees to stop doing business in Burma. Already, pressure from consumers and investors for companies to adopt greater corporate responsibility and to pursue ‘ethical’ investments has made some companies realise that engaging with Burma is more trouble than it is worth. Some of the biggest names in United States – including Pepsi, Wal-Mart, Tommy Hilfiger, The Spiegel Group, Ames Department Stores, Jones Apparel Group, Phillips Van Heusen Triumph and Texaco - have already chosen to withdraw and/or not buy merchandise from Burma. Major apparel makers including Liz Claiborne Inc. and Levi Strauss & Co. pulled out of Burma a decade ago. However, some existing corporate supporters of the junta remain, outwardly at least, undeterred by this statement from the investment funds. Oslo-based Searunner Shipping continues to transport imports from Burma and has commented it does not “feel any pressure towards closing down.”50 The Norwegian Oil Fund has increased investments in corporations with interests in Burma and the Norwegian Smedvig Group recently entered a 5-year contract with UNOCAL.51 In an interview with London-based Guardian newspaper, Premier Oil’s chief executive Charles Jamieson commented that the oil company already had a strategy for managing risk in Burma.52 This strategy apparently includes Premier giving human rights training to Burma’s military, police and home affairs ministry, adding that the company is “at the forefront of corporate social responsibility”. 48 The 8 Investment Funds - PGGM, Cooperative Insurance Society, Universities Superannuation Fund, Henderson Global Investors, Jupiter Asset Management, Morley Fund Management, Friends Ivory & Sime, Ethos Investment Foundation – together manage over US$400 billion worth of assets. 49 BBC (3 Dec 01) Fund giants warn against Burma trade 50 Osloposten (6 Mar 02) Burma Trade: Norwegian shipping company represented in Burma 51 Worldview Rights (6 Mar 02) Norwegian Oil Fund Heavily Involved with Burma 52 Premier Oil, an oil exploration company, is one of the largest investors in Burma. Premier is listed on the London Stock Exchange. 18 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT What investors cannot and will not deal with is a government that summarily disregards contracts when it is expedient to do so. - The Economist Intelligence Unit The SPDC, who sees every dollar invested in Burma as a proxy vote for the regime, like to trumpet their successes in attracting foreign direct investment (FDI). According to the latest official report53, a total of US$7.39 billion worth of FDI have been contracted since 1988. Although 25 countries are reported to have invested in Burma, the three largest investing countries - Singapore, Britain and Thailand – have each contributed approximately a fifth of all investments into Burma since 1988. FDI is also concentrated in a few select areas: nearly 70% of all investments are in 3 sectors, namely oil and gas, manufacturing, and tourism. [see Table 1] Table 1: FDI Top Three Source: CSO, Xinhua By Sector Sector: Oil and gas Manufacturing Tourism US$ bn 2.563 1.6 1.1 % of total 32 22 15 By Country Country: Singapore Britain Thailand US$ bn 1.5 1.4 1.3 % of total 20 19 18 What the SPDC report fails to mention is that both approved and actual FDI into Burma have been on a declining trend since 1997. In fact, the SPDC have done much to scare away potential investors who see Burma’s bureaucratic systems, inconsistent application of rules, regulations and policies, and institutionalised corruption as a major deterrent to doing business there. The Heritage Foundation, which ranks Burma among the least (economically) free countries54, says that “government policies actively, if not officially, deter foreign investment.” Although the SPDC state that Burma’s Foreign Investment Law protects “the rights and interests of investors…creating an indispensable condition for foreign entrepreneurs”, the experience of these investors suggest otherwise. The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) reports that the actions of pro-democracy activists to dissuade investors from Burma “have not done nearly as much damage as have the unpredictable, sometimes bizarre, policies of the junta itself.”55 Perhaps this 53 54 55 Xinhua (11 Dec 01) Myanmar actively develop foreign economic, trade ties Burma ranks 145 out of 155 countries in the 2002 Index of Economic Freedom Heritage Foundation (Jan 02) Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 19 brewing up a storm56 In November 1998, sixty fully armed soldiers stormed the premises of the profitable and 45% foreign-owned Mandalay Brewery on direct orders of Sr-Gen Than Shwe. The soldiers then ordered Win Win Nu, whose Singapore-based company paid US$6.3 million and Kt8 million for its 45% stake, out of the factory on tenuous charges that she had been misappropriating funds. Ignoring its own Foreign Investment Law 57, the SPDC then terminated the joint venture, nationalised and later dissolved the profitable company. At the time, Mandalay Beer was the strongest competitor to Myanmar Beer – a product of Myanmar Brewery, the newly established joint venture between the junta-owned UMEH and Singapore-based Tiger Beer. After the demise of Mandalay Brewery, Myanmar Beer has been able to assume an almost monopolistic position in Burma: prompting the SPDC to showcase Myanmar Brewery as a foreign investment ‘success’58. After 2 years of trying unsuccessfully to recoup her lost investment through Burmese courts, Win Win Nu has taken the case against the SPDC to the International Court of Justice in The Hague. The SPDC - furious with Win Win Nu for exposing this story - is now also taking her to court: She is being blamed for the dearth of FDI’s into Burma! explains Indonesian company Medco Energi International’s withdrawal from Burma this year – an oil venture valued at US$12.8 million.59 The seizure of profitable foreign-owned businesses like Mandalay Brewery [see text box] have done little to instill confidence in the junta. To quote the EIU, “widespread corruption, heavy taxes, poor infrastructure, and policies forcing foreign firms to repatriate profits only at the skewed official exchange rate” make profitable operations, for most companies, almost impossible. 56 Irawaddy (Dec 01) The Burmese junta is suing Win Win Nu Ministry of National Planning & Economic Development states: No.146 Guarantee: The (Foreign Investment) Law guarantees that foreign investments undertaken under the FIL shall not be nationalised. It also guarantees the repatriation in foreign currency the rightful entitlement of the foreign investor after the termination of the business. The repatriation of savings of the foreign employees engaged by the foreign investor is also allowed. 58 Xinhua (11 Dec 01) 59 Asia Pulse (14 Mar 02) Indonesia's Medco To Sell Stake In Myanmar Oil Venture 57 20 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 DRUGS Improving Stagnant Deteriorating PRODUCTION Instead of addressing widespread malnutrition and starvation, Burma continues to devote its productive capacity to drugs. Burma is the largest global opium producer overtaking Afghanistan. In 2001, Burma produced 68% (865 tonnes) of global opium Burma (thought to be enough to make over 80 tons of heroin), while Afghanistan produced only 23%, reversing 2000 production (UNDCP). Meanwhile, the estimated 60 amphetamine laboratories along the Burmese side of the border with Thailand are rapidly increasing production. 60 Total production in Burma now stands at 800million - compared to 100million 2 years ago61 - with 600million thought to be produced by Wei Hsueh Kang and those under his command in the UWSA.62 Drug production looks set to increase further. Drug lords in the ‘Golden Triangle’ are supplying growers with new technology,63 more land is being cleared for poppy cultivation – including areas opposite Chiang Mai, Chiang Rai and Mae Hong Son. A further incentive is the rising price of opium and heroin – raw opium has more than doubled from US$450 to over $900 per kilo in approximately 6 months.64 At the same time, most of Khun Sa associates arrested in the 1994 Thai-American drug operation ‘Tiger Trap’ have been released early and are thought to have returned to Burma. 65 Even the United Nations International Drug Control Program (UNDCP) is concerned that drug production may escalate. This is highly significant as the UN body is widely considered overly optimistic about reduction rates and the regime’s commitment to drug eradication – the office in Bangkok recently naming Burma as one of the most committed states in the fight against drugs. 66 UWSA Wei Hsueh Kang, the rumoured appointed chair of United Wa State Army (UWSA), is a drug fugitive and friend of SPDC intelligence chief Lt-Gen Khin Nyunt. Khin Nyunt is well known for his relationships with drug lords and it was reported that the 2 met as for further discussion see International Narcotics Control Board’s annual report 2001 (27 Feb 02) BBC News (18 Jan 02) Burma 'joins' fight against drugs Bangkok Post (13 Jan 02) Drug Dealer’s Days are Numbered 63 Reuters, Bangkok (9 Jan 02) Afghan war boosts Thai and Myanmar opium output 64 The Economist (16 Feb 02) Rush to market 65 Shan Herald Agency for News, No: 02–14 (14 Feb 02) Khun Sa cronies released by US [Khun Sa is becoming stronger in health thanks to ‘The King of Opium’, Lo Hsinghan, who has provided herbal treatment for Khun Sa’a severe stroke.] 66 BBC News (18 Jan 02) Burma 'joins' fight against drugs 60 61 62 Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 21 Wei Hsueh Kang’s rival, Wei Hsaitang, was ordered out of Mongyawn and dismissed as leader of the 894th Brigade. An alliance between Wei Hsueh Kang and Khin Nyunt is mutually advantageous. If Khin Nyunt is directing structures and relations in the UWSA, the group is weakened as an ‘autonomous’ army. Rangoon’s growing influence and deployment of troops in Mongyawn (absent since 1996) will enable Rangoon to launch a stronger attack on the Shan State Army (SSA). Predecessor Wei Hsaitang was known for not wanting the UWSA to fight the SSA. 67 If Khin Nyunt emerges as a key protagonist in Rangoon’s war against the SSA it will be a significant notch on his belt, particularly as he lacking in army credits when compared to Maung Aye. [see p28 for brief discussion on rivalry between Khin Nyunt & Maung Aye] As for Wei Hsueh Kang, there are indications that his sphere of influence has been widened as the UWSA desperately need his dirty-money to help them during a period of financial difficulty.68 Meanwhile, a rumour circulated at the end of March spoke of a drug pact between Wei Hsaitang and the SSA. While the SSA denies the alliance 69 recent events make it clear that there remains a role for the illegal drug trade and its lords. Wei Hsueh Kang’s emerging role in the area at the expense of Wei Hsaitang has intensified the rivalry between the 2 men. Intensified rivalry, drug deals and increased troops can only have disastrous implications for peace and civilian well-being in the area. Power dynamics already appear to have culminated in a shootout (10 February) which killed 7 Burmese soldiers and wounded 3 others, seemingly Wei Hsaitang’s revenge. how clean are the Wa? There are numerous well-documented connections between the regime and the Wa, with many observers unconvinced by the anti-narcotics commitments of both. To quote from the Bangkok Post, 10 Dec 01: The powerful Wa drug cartel of northern Burma continues to expand and refine its extensive heroin and methamphetamine industries. For this reason, US officials have recently listed the UWSA as a major drug cartel and clearly stated that drug trafficking is a source of terrorist funds. Burmese Foreign Minister Win Aung claims the money behind drugs comes from Chinese, not Wa. Win Aung appears to be contradicting himself as notorious drug lord 67 68 69 SHAN (21 Feb 02) More Burmese troops pouring in to flush out Wa from drug town SHAN (21 Feb 02) Bangkok Post (25 Mar 02) Rumoured Rebel Pact Expected To Boost Trafficking 22 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 and UWSA faction leader Wei Hsueh Kang is Chinese. Win Aung did not specify whether he was talking about Chinese nationals or ethnic Chinese. It would appear his intention is to blame the drug problem on an ‘other’, and capitalise on the history of racism towards ethnic Chinese. This tendency to blame ‘foreigners’ is consistent with previous attempts to put the blame on Thais. The Wa and their supporters portray Kokang as the real problem area in Burma in an attempt to divert attention away from Wa areas. Collaboration with the Chinese government has served to refine this twisted view. 70 UNDCP appears convinced the Wa anti-drug position is genuine, with Dr Calvoni (head of UNDCP, Bangkok) stating “the Wa have honoured every agreement they have ever made.”71 In this context, the report of the UNDCP inspection of Wa Special Region-2 (Feb-Apr 02) is unlikely to be truly reflective. Thailand’s position has been inconsistent. On the one hand, Foreign Minister Surakiat Sathirathai has praised Burma for increased cooperation72 and Prime Minister Thaksin, on behalf of the Office of Narcotics Control Board, has pledged Burmese authorities and the Wa 20million baht (and further non-monetary assistance) to help fund a cropsubstitution programme. 73 On the other hand, deputy Secretary-General of the Office of the Narcotics Control Board Mrs Rassamee Witthaves holds the Wa responsible for smuggling in millions of amphetamines. (see below) Continued drug-related activity has led the vice-chairman of the Lower House Foreign Affairs Committee to urge the US to consider military action against the Wa if they do not end narcotics activities by 2005. 74 Even comments by Prime Minister Thaksin at the beginning of 2002 suggest the Thai government does not truly believe the regime is serious. 75 70 12 Burmese anti-narcotics officers went to Kunming (Yunnan province) in March for a 6-week training course & agreements were reached at a bilateral meeting in early March. 71 BBC News (18 Jan 02) Burma 'joins' fight against drugs 72 Bangkok Post (13 Jan 02) 73 for discussion of this programme see Altsean-Burma (Feb 02, pp20-21) 74 Bernama (16 Jan 02) Thai Politician Urges US To Strike Wa Ethnic Army 75 see Bangkok Post Editorial (8 Jan 02) Thailand has no need for speed Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 23 ERADICATION & PREVENTION Of course, the military regime continues to speak loudly of its drug eradication exercises and commitment. In January, for example, the regime reported seizing 157 kilos of ephedrine powder in Mandalay and arresting the owners, 76 and the Myanmar Central Committee for Drug Abuse Control stated that between 23 Jan-5 Feb they destroyed 661 hectares of poppy fields in northern Shan state. Seizures of poppy fields in the fiscal year 2000-2001 reportedly came to 9,317 hectares.77 Poster 1: Avoid drugs if you want a better life A genuine and concerted commitment to effective resolution of the dug problem in Burma remains far from proven. Seizures remain a small fraction of drug production and there is no real education programme, only scare tactics and orders (for example see Poster 1). 8 civil society groups based in Burma - including the Association of Medical Doctors of Asia, Border Areas Development Association, Myanmar Anti-Narcotic Association, Myanmar Council of Churches and Young Men's Buddhist Association - signed an MOU with UNDCP to work in cooperation on the drug problem as part of UNDCP’s Civil Society Initiative. REGIONAL PROBLEM Increase in seizure of drugs and arms smuggled from Myanmar is a clear sign of an increase in narco-terrorism through the state, and it has become a major concern of law enforcement agencies in the state and the whole region. - Indian official, Jan 0278 The drugs industry poses a threat to regional stability and peace. Drug related crimes and deaths in the region are common, in both smuggling and drug-related crime79 and by capital punishment.80 Regional and international networks such as the Joint Special Task Unit 2002 (Thailand, Burma, Laos, Cambodia, Vietnam and China) 81 may ultimately be doomed by a failure to systematically deal with the obvious conflicts of interest surrounding 76 Myanmar TV (16 Jan 02) Burma: Police Seize 157 Kilos Of Ephedrine Powder, Arrest Three In Mandalay Xinhua News Agency (15 Feb 02) Myanmar Destroys 661 Hectares of Poppy Fields The Press Trust of India, Aizawl (12 Jan 02) Narco-terrorism through Myanmar on rise 79 see Bangkok Post (10 Dec 01) Army hunts gang after fatal clash; AP (12 Dec 01) Three suspected drug dealers killed in shootout with police; AFP (5 Jan 2002) Thai army kills three fighters of Myanmar drug baron 80 see AP (11 Dec 01) Four sentenced to death for trafficking methamphetamine 81 Thailand and Burma coordinate from a border town in Chiang Rai’s Mae Sai district and Thachilek, respectively. 77 78 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 24 Table 1: 2001 reported statistics, released in this period Country Burma (1st 6 months)82 Thailand83 85 Arrests 2,187 (punished) 3,115 86 China 1,574 Mizoram State, India87 ?? Seizures Comments Opium 474.91 kg ?? Heroin 27.89 kg ?? Pills 6.14m 2.8 tons ?? 13.2 tons 3 kg 2.07m 7m 670 also seized: 1,889 kg ephedrine, 269.28 litres phensedyl pills sold: 400 million (Bt50 billion); total drugs seized ~15% market84 record high seizures; also seized: 4.8 tons ice heroin worth over 30million rupees Burma. While Thai seizure of assets worth hundreds of millions of baht from Wei Hsueh Kang’s wife, and China making the largest reported drug seizure in Asia 88 are positive results, there remains much to be done. Regional stability remains unachievable until the Burmese regime makes firm and comprehensive anti-narcotic commitments at all levels – in terms of finance, accountability, democratic participation and clearly breaking all ties with the drug industry. It is important to note that Wei Hsueh Kang is still a free man and is believed to be hiding in Burma. Thailand Thai deputy secretary-general of the Office of the Narcotics Control Board Mrs Rassamee Witthaves, said Thailand was being ‘flooded’ with methamphetamines from Burma to such an extent that it has become a ‘major security threat’. 89 According to Internal Security Operations Command, 700million tablets are expected to be sold in Thailand this year to 2,411,500 people (this is 91% of the total reported drug ‘addicts’ who allegedly constitute 4.3% of the population). As part of its campaign to enforce social order the Thai government was considering making all school and university students undergo urine tests to check for drug use, as the average age of first-time users is 13.90 To motivate Thai police to be vigilant in anti-narcotics activities, officers receive Bt2 (US5 cents) per methamphetamine pill seized, reportedly to compensate for their ‘high risk’ activities.91 82 Xinhua (18 Dec 01) Myanmar Seizes Large Amount of Stimulant Drugs Thai Farmers Bank Research Centre, Bangkok Post (13 Jan 02) Drug Dealers’ Days Are Numbered Deutsche Presse-Agentur (22 Jan 02) Bumper crop of S.E. Asian opium, methamphetamines expected in 2002 85 Xinhua News Service (31 Jan 02) China Launches New Campaign to Crack Down on Drugs 86 Xinhua news agency (3 Jan 02) Shanghai police seize record amount of illicit drugs in 2001 87 The Press Trust of India, Aizawl (12 Jan 02) Narco-terrorism through Myanmar on rise 88 Xinhua (5 Jan 02) Yunnan Police Seize 672.9 Kg of Heroin 89 Bangkok Post (14 Jan 02) China's Help Sought In War Against Drugs 90 BBC (10 Jan 02) Drug tests for Thai schoolchildren 83 84 Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 25 UNDCP & FUNDS Despite its fears, UNDCP say the international policy of isolating Burma should be reversed to allow more humanitarian funds to areas undergoing opium crop reduction programs. Resident representative in Burma, Jean Luc Lemahieu, said the reduction of about 40% of drug production since 1996 cannot be sustained without a three to fourfold increase in funds. (The US and Japan currently contribute US$12million and Australia contributes $US400,000.)92 His bottom line is that without an increase in funds the Wa region will not be drug-free by 2005 as planned. European states and human rights groups are however calling for severe limits on aid to the regime until real improvements are made in its human rights record. The direction of US funds to support Thai efforts (such as Taskforce 399) is perhaps indicative of the over-riding distrust felt towards the military regime in Burma. 93 THAI-BURMESE RELATIONS Improving Stagnant Deteriorating Thai Foreign Minister Surakiat Sathirathai and armed forces supreme commander Adm. Narong Yutthawong both visited Rangoon on separate trips in February. It was Surakiat’s 2nd visit and was at the invitation of Burmese counterpart Win Aung while Narong met with Generals Than Shwe and Maung Aye. Both trips were part of a mutually ochestrated effort to rebuild relations. The Thai-Burma Joint Commission, the highest institutionalised level of working relationship between the 2 governments, was re-established after 2 years for its 6th meeting on 7-9 January. Areas of mutual concern were discussed, including repatriation of refugees, joint anti-narcotics efforts, fishing and economic cooperation. Despite these seeming advancements however, an article in The Nation tells of Thai army and government officials and Bangkok-based diplomats who believe hard feelings, tensions and deep-rooted suspicions remain prominent. One expressed his sentiments by saying: “It will take more than just a few official visits and handshakes to close this extraordinarily complex chapter in Thai-Burmese history.”94 Former deputy Foreign Minister Sukhumbhand Paribatra openly challenged ‘improved relations’, condemning it a façade that merely benefits specific personal interests. 95 91 AFP (11 Feb 02) Thailand ups drugs bounty for amphetamines seized by police AAP Newsfeed (30 Jan 02) UN drug control officials call for more funds to Burma FEER (31 Jan 02) Terror War Targets Burma Drug Lord 94 The Nation, Bangkok Post (5 Jan 02) Hard talk seen on Thai-Burmese relations 95 Bangkok Post (8 Jan 02) Thai-Burma Relations: Govt's claim challenged 92 93 26 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 Even Surakiat admitted in January there was “still have a long way to go in the building of resilient, strong and enduring relations… which would enable [the 2 countries] to withstand frictions and pressure that may arise naturally from time to time between neighbours all over the world.” 96 The point is of course that Thailand and Burma are not like most neighbours. While drugs remain the most serious problem between the 2 countries, border fighting has routinely spilled into Thailand, Rangoon charges Thailand with aiding rebels, and repatriation is still a contentious issue. [see p47,49] These are only some of the issues that continue to be thorns in the side of good relations. DRUGS Despite ongoing frictions between the 2 countries - one is the biggest drug producer in the world, with millions of methamphetamines flooding the others market and drug addiction levels increasing - Thailand is hedging its bets and offering Burmese and Wa authorities US$2m and other non-monetary assistance for a crop-substitution programme. [see p21 for further discussion] FIGHTING ON THE BORDER Reports Rangoon urgently ordered military outposts along the border to build heavy artillery batteries, missile launching pads, bunkers We have been ordered to avoid and bomb shelters by March 2597 to prepare for any unnecessary clashes with attacks on the Shan State Army (SSA) [see p40] is the Burmese forces, but if any straining good relations as fighting is sure to spill incursion is intentional then we over into Thailand. Rangoon even requested that will have to counter fiercely. the Burmese army be permitted to use Thai – Thai officer on border territory as a springboard to attack the SSA.98 When permission was refused, Lt-Col Tun Aung requested Thai understanding and ‘leniency’ if artillery shells stray into Thailand. 99 Thailand made it clear it would not tolerate fighting on Thai soil and stated warning shots would be fired if armed fire crossed the border. While Thai troops were ordered to avoid all unnecessary conflict in the interest of good relations, tough retaliation for serious damage in Thailand has not been ruled out and Burmese troops have been warned not to damage Thai property. 100 AFP (8 Jan 2002) “Thailand calls for greater fight against narcotics trade DVB (7 Feb 02) Burma orders military posts on Thai border to strengthen fortifications The military is unlikely to be able to capture SSA headquarters unless they approach from the Thai side. Last year, Burmese troops crossed into Thailand without permission and suffered heavy casualties. 99 Bangkok Post (16 Feb 02) Burmese Troops Cautioned 100 Bangkok Post (17 Jan 02) Bordering on trouble 96 97 98 Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 27 A Wa commander (Battalion 616) reportedly apologised over a late March clash with Thai soldiers in Wiang Haeng district. Apologies do not go far in rectifying conflict however and Thai security measures were increased with plans to evacuate 3 villages if fighting resumed. Thai cavalry refused to open talks with the Wa battalion. 101 AIDING REBELS In November Burmese authorities asked Thailand to hand over rebel leaders they say live in Thailand, specifically Karen National Union (KNU) President Pado U Ba Thin Sein and military leaders Gen Bo Mya and Col Saw Soe. The regime claims the KNU launched attacks from Thailand and warned this could jeopardise Thai-Burmese relations.102 More virulent accusations of support came in December when the SPDC’s ally, the Democratic Karen Buddhist Association (DKBA), accused the Thai military of helping the KNU attack them. The Thai army denies ever supporting KNU attacks in Burma. 103 PEOPLE FROM BURMA IN THAILAND Burmese nationals no longer receive a 30-day visa upon entry into Thailand. Burma was among a number of countries to have this privilege removed, for the reason that some people were “commit[ing] crimes, such as prostitution, trafficking narcotics and humans, as well as overstaying their visas to seek jobs.”104 [for discussion of refugees, irregular migrants & repatriation see ‘Displacement’] 101 Bangkok Post (31 Mar 02) Wa Says It Regrets Wiang Haeng Raid Bangkok Post (29 Nov 01) Burma claims rebels use Thailand as base Bangkok Post (19 Dec 01) Army accused of helping KNU fighters 104 Xinhua (19 Dec 01) Thailand Strips 81 Countries of Visas on Arrival Privileges 102 103 28 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 MILITARY REGIME Improving Stagnant Deteriorating An army that thinks of itself as a national vanguard, as the savior of the nation, as more patriotic than anyone - this kind of army is a threat to everyone. - Dr. Chao Tzang Yawnghwe, Feb 02 THE ‘COUP PLOT’ In early March, the authorities detained Sandar Win (former dictator Ne Win’s favourite daughter), her husband Aye Zaw Win and their 3 sons for allegedly plotting a coup. It has been announced that they will be tried for high treason, with Sandar Win the alleged mastermind. Four high-ranking officials were arrested and dismissed from their posts for being part of the plot: Air Commander in Chief Maj-Gen Myint Swe, Golden Triangle Region Commander Brig-Gen Chit Than, Coastal Region Commander Maj-Gen Aye Kyway and Police-Chief Maj-Gen Soe Win. A significant number of other senior officers, both serving and retired, have also been detained and interrogated. Officers of mid-rank and above in Rangoon and Pegu Divisions were ordered to cancel any leave and return to their units, pending investigation. The SPDC has held an unusual number of press conferences about this ‘coup plot’. If the regime is perceived to be able to clamp down on a violent coup (numerous weapons were reported confiscated) and protect Burma’s security, then perhaps it is hoping its popularity may grow. Maj-Gen Kyaw Win was very quick to (erroneously) guarantee that the ‘coup plot’ was not motivated by the talks, nor would it impede their progress. 105 Of course, the talks have been adversely affected, most clearly by UN Special Envoy Razali’s trip being postponed. Razali has stressed his concerns, publicly stating “I hope the events surrounding the coup plot don’t derail the reconciliation process.” 106 [see p3 for further details] It is feared the regime may invest all its energy into ‘internal matters’, to the detriment of the talks. There is sound basis for such anxiety as the talks stalled and nearly collapsed after Secretary-2 Lt-Gen Tin Oo’s death in the February 2001 helicopter crash. The people of Burma are not convinced by this alleged conspiracy. Ne Win’s family may well be guilty of crimes including corruption and unlawful bids for power, but a coup-plot is widely considered unstrategic and unfeasible. Deeper reasoning suggests 105 There has been reference to a UN officer who suggests that these moves may actually help move the talks along, but this person remains unidentified and this is only speculation. [see BBC (18 Mar 02) Behind Burma’s ‘non-coup’] 106 Bangkok Post (29 Mar 02) Top brass celebrate Army Day but time is not on their side Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 29 the arrests are more likely connected to the regime’s dislike of Ne Win clan’s business deals and political exercises aimed at increasing their influence. This has included Sandar Win’s active cultivation of friendships with various diplomats. The family’s attempts at being more prominent players in the power game have been deal a raw and sweeping hand by the regime. Their moves have been brought to a halting stop with charges of treason. In dubbing the scenario a ‘coup conspiracy’, the regime is claiming ‘legitimate’ space to exert influence, increase security measures and modifying power structures as it desires.107 It is unclear who is the primary benefactor of this ‘coup-plot’ label. Lt-Gen Khin Nyunt heads the MI (military intelligence) which has undertaken numerous interrogations and arrests. It is suggested that up to 1,000 soldiers, police and civilians have been questioned.108 The junta confirmed sacking 4 top soldiers (among others), including 2 regional commanders. (Khin Nyunt gained in power in the November 2001 reshuffles, notably dismissing 2 top generals and allies of Gen. Maung Aye.) While observers remain convinced of a power struggle between Khin Nyunt and Maung Aye (head of army), reports in the Burmese media portray the top powers as united.109 Establishment of the Bureau of Special Operations in November 2001 was thought to strengthen power at the regime’s centre, 110 while intelligence battalions have reduced from 27 to 12, perhaps to reduce tensions between Khin Nyunt and Maung Aye.111 BBC Correspondent Larry Jagan suggests that rather than extending Khin Nyunt’s influence, the ‘coup-attempt’ has cast shadows of doubt over his future. Khin Nyunt rose to power through his connection with Gen. Ne Win and used to be close to Sandar Win. Jagan comments that events surrounding the ‘coup plot’ will make his position “increasingly untenable” and that “Gen Than Shwe has now emerged as the unchallenged power,”112 consolidating his strength as the premier and reigning the factions in. USDA The Union Solidarity and Development Association (USDA) have been engaging in community development activities. Dubbed kyant phont (literally meaning monitor lizard; in this context ‘stupid creature’) in a DVB February report, the USDA received money from authorities in Kawthaung District, Tenasserim Division for border 107 for details of the reshuffle see Altsean-Burma (Feb 02:27-28) Bangkok Post (29 Mar 02) For example, Larry Jagan (BBC correspondent) has described as “almost unprecendented” a photograph of the 2 men inspecting troops in preperation for Armed Forces Day (27 Mar). [see Bangkok Post (29 Mar 02)] 110 The BSO was set up to run all 12 regional commands, 7 states and 7 divisions. 111 The Irrawaddy (11 Jan 02) Behind The Military Shake-up 112 Bangkok Post (29 Mar 02) 108 109 30 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 development activities including primary school, health facilities, agriculture and water.113 (Note that development activities have proved damaging and politically charged in many cases.) It has been suggested that this is part of a wider campaign to improve the group’s image. Any gains in USDA influence should be taken seriously as, set up under Sr-GenThan Shwe, it is ultimately an increase in military influence. USDA money-raising activities are cause for concern in themselves. Additional funds in Kawthaung District are raised through selling confiscated poached fish, imposing ‘illegal’ border, traffic and visitor registration fines. Similar strategies are employed in Tachilek district where over 140 vehicles and 100 drivers were reportedly fined 500 and 100 baht each, respectively, raising over 80,000 baht.114 POLICE Khin Nyunt issued an order that from the new year all Defence Services personnel transferred to the police force should wear police and not military uniforms. It is thought this is to ‘prove’ the police force is united, not split into 2 sections - military and civilian, as an internal rift would indicate. 115 THE WEAPONS KEEP COMING On 15 Dec, China sent another military shipment into Burma at Lashio; a 40-vehicle convoy carrying an artillery battery, gun carriages and communication equipment, 116 with 5 sophisticated radar warships, guided missile launchers and anti-aircraft guns arriving in February.117 The 10 MIG-29 fighters purchased from Russia in 2001 were welcomed with an expanded runway at Meiktila Air Base.118 Guns on the ground have been upgraded,119 a 4th mobile surface to air missile system battalion is being established120 and machinery used in ammunition production on its way to Burma was confiscated in Slovakia.121 New artillery and light infantry battalions are planned for Putao Township, Kachin State122 and Thai intelligence believe Burma desire helicopters and training from India.123 113 Democratic Voice of Burma (9 Feb 02) Border Projects Planned To Gain Public Trust Network Media Group (9 Dec 01) Vehicles and drivers without licenses charged by USDA /3 of police are former Defence Service personnel who never gave up their uniforms, and top positions have always been filled by senior military officers. [DVB (2 Jan 02) Junta moves to control rift in police, former soldiers shed uniforms] 116 Previous packages were in Jul & Aug ‘01 [Arms Trade Newswire (26 Dec 01) China ships arms to Burma] 117 Democratic Voice of Burma (6 Feb 02) Warships Ordered From China Arrive 118 see Altsean-Burma (Oct 01:21-22); DVB (27 Jan 02) Burmese Runway Expanded For Russian-Made Jets 119 Independent Mon News Agency (30 Jan 02) Burmese Army Has Installed New Guns 120 Democratic Voice of Burma (14 Feb 02) Junta plans new mobile missile battalion 121 Associated Press, Bratislava (4 Feb 02) Customs officials seize machinery used in ammunition production 122 Democratic Voice of Burma (11 Jan 02) Burmese junta to build new artillery, infantry battalions in north 123 Burma already receives tanks, guns, ammunition and military uniforms from India. BBC (7 Dec 01) Indian and Burmese forces bond afresh 114 115 1 Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 31 REGIONAL SECURITY Increasing militarisation in Burma and the regime’s continual support for armed conflict is both a national and regional concern. The entire military and their allies are involved, with DVB reporting military officers and Wa groups are involved in the gun running business into India. Kokang groups are also implicated. 124 Defence Minister Gen Chavalit Yongchaiyudh dismissed as groundless a 6 Feb report in Time Magazine that quoted an arms trader as saying, “The Thai army openly sells weapons… They are the biggest source of protection for the people involved in this business.” Much as Chavalit may say “I do not believe,” (Nation, 6 Feb) it is indeed plausible that Thailand is hub for arms trading as it surrounded by countries that have seen huge numbers of weapons employed in the last few decades. Ongoing conflict in Burma means these weapons remain in high demand. This is yet another external cost of Burma’s instability and violent chaos. In January the US Department of Defence was ordered to submit a report to Congress by April 2002 on Thailand’s security needs in reaction to Burma’s increasing weapon accumulation.125 It is clear where US sympathies lie. Burma is a hub for armed activity, not only hosting its own battles but also the recipient of neighbouring battles, something that such internal chaos cannot prevent. The United Liberation Front of Asom are reportedly consolidating their bases in Burma with the active support of the Chin Independence Army and the National Socialist Council Of Nagaland.126 More alarming is the claim of 52 surrendered members of the Naga armed group who claim they have “cordial relations with the Burmese army […who] often supply arms and ammunition.”127 If this is true, the military really are intent on causing chaos and destruction to any extent in order to maintain what can loosely be termed ‘control’. THE NUCLEAR REACTOR Observers have doubts that Burma can maintain the nuclear reactor due to be delivered from Russia in 2003 at a cost of US$25million, 128 particularly after the International Atomic Energy Agency rendered safety standards unacceptable. To quote British nuclear expert John Large, “There is little evidence that the Myanmar authorities understand, let alone would be able to implement, the necessary safety regime to be able to prevent the dangerous accumulation of radioactive material.” 129 The European 124 DVB (3 Dec 01) Indian customs arrest Burmese national with smuggled weapons in Mizoram, FBIS Translated The Nation (28 Jan 2002) Junta's new jets alarm Mizzima News, Guwahati (25 Feb 02) ULFA insurgents killed 127 Mizzima News, Guwahati (7 Jan 02) Surrendered militants say they had cordial relations with Burmese army 125 126 128 129 Science, Vienna (1 Feb 02) Planned Reactor Ruffles Global Feathers, Vol.295 Straits Times (18 Jan 02) Yangon's nuclear ambitions alarm Asia and Europe www.sciencemag.org 32 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 Commission has spelt out that without an independent regulatory body to ensure standards, radioactive leaks may occur.130 The Deputy Foreign Minister has said the reactor (due to be delivered in 2003) will be used “for the peaceful intention of acquiring modern technology for the country, radio isotopes for peaceful use, training and production of experts, and studying the prospects of producing electricity from nuclear energy.”131 A statement by Russia declared the reactor incapable of making nuclear weapons. 132 and reports of Pakistani nuclear scientists seeking refuge in Burma after September 11, 2001 were probably coincidental and not linked to Burma increasing its nuclear capacity. However, the acquisition has raised concerns of what the future holds with a nuclear Burma under military control. The US specifically addressed these concerns on January 22 by warning Burma it must honour obligations under the Non-Proliferation Treaty and not pursue production of nuclear weapons.133 WOMEN & CHILDREN Improving Stagnant Deteriorating WOMEN award Dr Cynthia Maung, director of Mae Tao clinic, was the recipient of the 6 th annual Female Human Rights Award at a ceremony held by the Foundation for Human Rights in Asia, Tokyo, on 7 Dec. violence Violence against women continues unabated; both gender specific torture and violence - such as rape, and non-gender specific –such as forced labour. (Note: many women forced labourers do suffer gender specific violence on top of the humiliations and abuses of forced labour itself.) Women continue to be conscripted as forced labourers with reports from this period highlighting 37 women in Hsihseng, 36 in Mawkmai, 40 in Langkher and 38 in Mongpan; 151 in total.134 130 BBC (24 Jan 02) Concerns over Burma's nuclear plans TV Myanmar (21 Jan 02) Burma gives reasons for planned nuclear research reactor project (The use of such reactors is generally for isotopes for medicines.) 132 RIA-Novosti (23 Jan 02) Specialists To Make Nuclear Reactor For Burma 133 Agence France Presse (22 Jan 02) US warns Myanmar on nuclear reactor 134 SHAN (13 Dec 02) Forced labor: 10 townships in road construction projects 131 Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 33 CHILDREN sex work Mae Sai focused in the 2nd World Congress against Commercial Sexual Exploitation of Children (18 Dec 01). The border town is a prominent trading centre for child sex workers, an estimated 1/3 of whom are between 12 and 17. Many of the children sold are from Pa Tek, a Thai village with a large immigrant community from Burma. Most have no legal status and live in poverty and are therefore extremely vulnerable. Child trafficking is so established in Pa Tek that it is a ‘cottage industry’ – to coin Phil Marshall’s phrase (UN) - most agents are friends or relatives of the children’s families. An estimated 70% of the 800 families in the village have sold at least 1 daughter, with prices ranging from 5,000 - 40,000 baht (US$110900).135 The demand for virginity means that HIV/AIDS is a desperate problem for these children (and their clients). The coordinator of the Child Protection and Rights Center (Mae Sai) said that 50 girls from Pa Tek village have died this year from AIDS.136 violence An interesting article appeared in Burma Issues (Mar ‘02) about the socialisation of children to embrace violence, and the role games play in this. To quote from the article (drawn from the reflections of 2 Karennis), “Whenever they play games, they usually divide into 2 groups, Burmese and Karenni, and then they fight each other.” Replace ‘Karenni’ with any ethnic group from Burma and the situation is sure to be similar. Play with guns made of bamboo and dried gourd ‘bombs’ are common in areas where the sound of gunfire and bombs can be heard by villagers, young and old. 137 Whether there is a direct causal link between these games and violence in communities is a contentious issue, but for many the limited scope of children’s play is disturbing. Children who live through conflict are intimately aware of abuse, death and destruction, usually of one group by another. As the author highlighted, this in itself is severely problematic as ethnic tensions become internalised at a young age. 135 136 137 Pittsburgh Post-Gazette (18 Dec 01) Meeting to fight child sale to brothels Pittsburgh Post-Gazette (18 Dec 01) Burma Issues, Vol.12, No.3 (Mar 02) Games Children Play 34 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 HUMAN RIGHTS Improving Stagnant Deteriorating The overall human rights situation in Burma remains deplorable, and widespread human rights abuses continue. - US Department of State (11 Feb 02) The UN Special Rapporteur on Human Rights in Myanmar Professor Pinheiro’s2 nd report to the UN Commission on Human Rights (Mar 02) is based upon the information of his fact-finding mission in October and information received until December15, 2001. The report comes at a time when the SPDC and high-level envoys are under pressure from the international community and opposition groups to demonstrate progress. Pinheiro again showed his eagerness to commend the military on its supposed advancements, and gradual improvement of the situation. Pinheiro comments that progress is fragile which is in line with his delicate criticism of the regime and widespread abuses still occurring. In Pinheiro’s 1 st public statement he said, “I saw everyone I wanted to and I am satisfied with the government’s cooperation.”138 PROF. PINHEIRO’S SECOND TRIP TO BURMA Pinheiro’s Itinerary: 10 Feb Rangoon Meetings: Lt-Gen Khin Nyunt, Foreign Minister Win Aung, Home Ministry officials, other Government officials, UN country team 12 Feb Kachin State: Ethnic leaders & Kachin prison 17 Feb Insein Prison: NLD political prisoner Win Tin 18 Feb Rangoon Meetings: Daw Aung San Suu Kyi & top NLD aides, NLD Central Executive Committee, Human Rights Committee, Home Minister Col Tin Hlaing, Police Director Maj-Gen Soe Win. Agenda focus: political prisoners, conditions in the jails, child soldiers & forced labour. political prisoners & prison conditions Consistent with SPDC maneuvers of taking action surrounding the visit of a high-level official, 41 political prisoners and a further 318 female detainees were released from prison in honour of Pinheiro’s arrival in February. 139 Following Pinheiro’s criticism of the military not releasing any students or activists, Yin Htwe - whose sentence expired in 1999 - was released. UN officials are not convinced this reflects any commitment of the military to speed up the release of remaining political prisoners – currently averaging 10 releases a month.140 138 139 140 BBC (19 Feb 02) UN Envoy “Satisfied” with Burma Trip AFP (29 Mar 02) Myanmar Junta Frees Seven Democracy Activists BBC (19 Feb 02) Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 35 Pinheiro neglected to try and devise a schedule for prisoner releases, but he did present the idea of using amnesty. However, this will entail revoking laws that prohibit released prisoners to engage in politics. Pinheiro congratulated the military for “dramatically declining” political arrests.141 With talks beyond the 18-month mark and over 1,500 political prisoners, this is not an improvement but rather a crisis these arrests are still occurring. Pinheiro spent 9 hours at Insein Prison and visited another prison in Kachin State. He reports speaking to NLD prisoners, including Win Tin, a renowned journalist currently in hospital, as well as Dr. Salai Tun Than. Pinheiro reports an improvement in prison conditions, but Myo Myint Nyein, a magazine editor recently released, says prison restrictions are relaxed when such inspections take place with harsh conditions reimposed after.142 Likewise, Pinheiro reported improvements in labour-camps conditions but failed to denounce them as institutions. Pinheiro disregarded allegations of corruption and physical abuse of prisoners by saying he was “not in a position to assess their extent.”143 human rights developments Since Pinheiro’s last visit, the SPDC sponsored Human Rights Committee has done a few things. There was preparation of human rights books, manuals for policy makers and 11 human rights workshops, predominately funded and orchestrated by the Australian Government and corporate oil companies. It is assumed the attendees were junta officials, and there are no known plans to include members of the public or human rights defenders in such workshops. Pinheiro called for prevention and monitoring of human rights violations, as well as holding State agents accountable. political rights Pinheiro acknowledged that only 10 parties, about 5% of those registered in the 1990 elections, are legal under the SPDC rule. (8 of these parties represent ethnic nationalities, although their ability to operate is effectively curtailed.) Some NLD offices have re-opened but Pinheiro is concerned that “stringent restrictions” 144 hamper their functioning. Pinheiro did not report on the state of Aung San Suu Kyi’s house arrest other then repeating she should be released. 141 Pinheiro (28 Mar 02) Report to UN Commission on Human Rights Radio Burma (14 Feb 02) Freed Reporter Attacks Burmese Prison Sham Pinheiro (28 Mar 02) 144 Pinheiro (10 Jan 02) 142 143 36 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 forced labour Contradictorily, Pinheiro asserts the ‘government’ is committed to eradicate forced labour but says the greatest violations are where the military is active. He declared “forced labour on civil infrastructure appears to have ceased,”145 although he offers no firm evidence to support his statement. The ‘government’ has not used the media or translations into ethnic languages to publicise information or Order No. 1/99 against forced labour, nor has it prosecuted any cases of forced labour although it has supposedly taken “administrative action” on 38 cases.146 Pinheiro asserts “people have no faith in the effectiveness of the courts or police, or they are afraid of the consequences.”147 This comes at a time when 7 Shan villagers are reported to have been killed after complaining about forced labour in September last year.148 (Followed up by the ILO team in their Feb 02 visit, see below.) humanitarian aid Pinheiro is encouraging international humanitarian aid to help combat great concerns about HIV/AIDS and basic medical functioning. He also said the international community should help “strengthen the fiscal and administrative capacities of the Government… to maintain momentum,”149 a position that seems premature and unsubstantiated. Pinheiro seems to disregard the regime’s culpability in this crisis, in that less than 1% of GDP is reportedly devoted to health expenditures. conclusion Overall, Pinheiro’s report was slightly more critical then his last, but he repeatedly comments on commitment and change by the ‘government’ without much evidence to substantiate his claim. While the regime may call the most recent US human rights reports “incorrect and outlandish… based again on repeatedly incorrect and outlandishly disoriented information,”150 there has not been a truly significant commitment made by the regime to improve the human rights situation. Pinheiro appears to be advocating for the regime when he says, “If the international community wants to see political and human rights progress, it should support their efforts in a spirit of principled engagement.”151 Finally, while Pinheiro has lavishly praised the regime for its cooperation and supposed developments, he has largely ignored the efforts and cooperation of the NLD and other opposition groups. 145 Pinheiro (28 Mar 02) Pinheiro (28 Mar 02) Pinheiro (28 Mar 02) 148 Bangkok Post (21 Feb 02) Rights Record Under Close Watch 149 Pinheiro (10 Jan 02) 150 AFP (5 Mar 02) Myanmar rejects US human rights report as 'outlandish' 151 AFP (28 Mar 02) UN Rights Expert Says Myanmar Destined for Democratic Change 146 147 Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 37 FORCED LABOUR It is very difficult to make a living here. We spend most of our labour working for the army. – Chin State villager (CHRO, 15 Dec 01) Reports of forced labour continue, both among civilian and convict 152 populations, and are one of the underlying factors of increasing numbers of displaced persons – both IDPs and in other countries. [see ‘Displacement’] Reports by Chin Human Rights Organisation (CHRO), and Karen Human Rights Group (KHRG), show despite an order issued by the home ministry prohibiting the use of forced labour, the army was still using forced labour and civilian porters. Examples of forced labour reported in this period include:153 In remote areas of Chin State, 10 villages in were forced to construct a 20-mile motor road linking Vuangtu and Ngaphaipi villages in February. CHRO (3 Mar 02) Reports from Arakan State claim villagers from areas surrounding Ponnagyun township are again being used as forced labour in military rubber plantations, after a break during the ILO visit to Burma in September 2001. Villagers had been threatened against telling ILO delegates anything about forced labour should they visit the area. Narinjara (2 Mar 02) Over 100 military porters, men and women, conscripted by the growing numbers of troops deployed near the Thai-Burma border in anticipation of an offensive against the Shan State Army (SSA). A further 150 civilians were reportedly conscripted as porters (50 each from Maeken, Mongharng and Poongpakhem tracts) between 1525 February. SHAN (25 Feb 02) International Labour Organization (ILO) returns A 4-member ILO delegation, led by Francis Maupain, Special Adviser to the ILO Director-General, returned to Burma (19-25 Feb 02) with the primary purpose of trying to establish a permanent presence in Rangoon and evaluating the SPDC’s progress in eradicating forced labour. An agreement was reached, however it was not of the scope ILO officials had hoped for.154 There will be an appointment of an ILO liaison officer instead of an appointed ombudsman; the regime reportedly said the liaison officer could lead to an ombudsman at a “later time.” Maupain was disappointed with the regime’s lack of cooperation and said “there was no basis to pursue a dialogue.”155 The provisions for the liaison must be put in place by June 2002 when the ILO will reevaluate its position on Burma. 152 see Network Media Group (24 Feb 02) Prisoners should get one day rest, ICRC for further examples see CHRO (15 Dec 01) Civilians forced to repair army camp; SHAN (13 Dec 01) Forced labour – 10 townships in road construction projects; KHRG #2002-01 (8 Feb 02) A Compendium of SPDC Order Documents Demanding Forced Labour Since November 2000 154 The ILO is looking to set up an office to monitor forced labour and an independent watchdog to receive and investigate complaints. 155 AFP (27 Feb 02) Myanmar Junta Defends Handling of ILO Team Barred from Seeing Suu Kyi 153 38 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 The team reported the military was unwilling to accept assistance to end forced labour. While the junta has declared forced labour illegal for the 1 st time, it is unclear how and if it is enforced. The team identified 2 major obstacles to the end of forced labour. Firstly, the military’s de facto immunity from persecution. Secondly, the lack of ‘government’ funding for unskilled manual labour on public work projects as an alternative to forced, cost-free labour. Although the team found that a “certain decrease in the imposition of forced labor had taken place,” it was unconvinced that this could be sustained.156 None of the 3 recommendations made by the Commission of Inquiry, and accepted by the Government, have been met in reality.157 The regime’s lack of cooperation during the team’s mission (including preventing them from meeting Daw Aung San Suu Kyi) and its apparent unwillingness to make a firm commitment towards eradicating forced labour, may suggest the visit was nothing more than a public relations exercise. If the regime is seen to be engaging with the ILO over this controversial issue then it hopes the international community may be placated and pressure will ease. However, observed non-cooperation is unlikely to favor well with the ILO in June 2002 when they reevaluate their sanctions on Burma. EXTORTION Lt-Gen Khin Nyunt visited Maungdaw, a town in Arakan State, on 29th December to open the new annexe of Basic Education Secondary School and receive donations from what the junta described as ‘philanthropists’ of the locality. The philanthropists were actually bullied business people and households - each household had to give 1,000 kyat to bear the cost of Khin Nyunt’s reception.158 In late January, villagers in Ponnagyun township (near Sittwe) were fined for not attending a ‘meeting’ for what the junta call ‘collection of purchased rice’. 12 villagers were fined 3,000 kyat each, while other villagers were charged with ‘open disobedience to the state order’. As a result of fear, it is reported that 4 families have moved from a village that is currently home to 40 families. 159 156 Kyodo (19 Feb 02) ILO Fact-Finding Mission Arrives in Myanmar These include: amending the Village and Towns Act, devising budgetary provisions to effectively replace forced labour with decent wages and working conditions and prosecution of those responsible for the exaction of forced labour. [CEACR (Mar 02) Observations Concerning ILO Convention No. 29, Forced Labour – Myanmar] 158 Narinjara News, Maungdaw (31 Dec 01) Myanmar Junta Secretary Number One Visits Maungdaw 159 Narinjara news, Ponnagyun (25 Feb 02) Villagers Fined For Not Attending 'Rice Collection' Meeting 157 Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 39 FREEDOM OF EXPRESSION If you haven't been in jail you haven't been a reporter here. - retired Burmese newspaper-editor Journalist Myo Myint Nyein was freed after 12 years in prison on 13 February, coinciding with Pinheiro’s visit. Although released 2 years before the end of his sentence, his arrest contravened his right to freedom of expression. Reporters Sans Frontiers and Burma Media Association voiced the regret of many that he was not released long ago in view of his poor health. Reflective of ongoing political censorship in Burma, the Committee to Protect Journalists issued a report in February 2002 condemning the “harsh regime of censorship, licensing, and threats” forcing journalists to apply clandestine techniques, with many ultimately harassed, imprisoned and forced into exile.160 Myo Myint Nyein’s release is not a sign of change. Just the evening before, Ko Tin Saw (alias Tharkhan) was arrested for passing information to foreign radio stations. It is believed he was tortured and interrogated until confessing and giving 5 other names. DVB, 14 Feb Meanwhile, on the Indo-Burma border, Chin youths have established the 1 st independent Chin media group Khawnutum. LABOUR RIGHTS The Seafarers’ Union of Burma (SUB) demanded the Burmese Marine authority immediately revoke reprisal action - including a ban from maritime employment - on seafarers seeking assistance from the International Transport Workers’ Federation (ITF) and affiliated unions. The regime provides little to no protection to Burmese seafarers and, to quote Ko Ko Khaing General Secretary of the SUB, “seeking trade union or ITF help is the last desperate option for Burmese seafarers abandoned in foreign ports.”161 The regime’s assurances of no reprisal against seafarers contacting ITF have not been upheld. SUB, operating in exile since 1991, also demanded Burmese authorities observe and implement ILO convention No 87, ratified in 1955, guaranteeing Freedom of Association and protection of the Right to Organise. 160 161 OneWorld.net (15 Feb 02) Burmese Journalists Battle the Blue Pencil ITF (28 Feb 02) Violation of Burmese Seafarer’s Basic Rights Continues Unabated 40 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 ETHNIC Improving Stagnant Deteriorating Military rule is a cancer.… It is the responsibility of everyone - every good sons and daughters of all ethnic segments in Burma - to remove this cancer from the body of our politics and our society. - Dr. Chao Tzang Yawnghwe, Feb 02 In an interview in February, Dr. Chao Tzang Yawnghwe spoke of how ethnic racism, or ‘ethnic chauvinism’ is an integral part of the suffering in Burma. He discussed the politics of ethnicity and identity and stressed that ethnic identity must be used strategically, in such a manner as to foster co-opertaion and support as opposed to intensified chaos and conflict. He reminded his audience that the military regime is Burma is keen on intensifying ethnic conflict as it is an ideological weapon that helps them further their power over the ethnic nationalities of Burma. 162 [see Appendix 1 for full transcript of interview] CHAVALIT’S INTERVENTION In late March it was reported that Thai Deputy Prime Minister and Defence Minister Chavalit has been mediating truce talks between Rangoon and the Karen National Union (KNU) and Shan State Army (SSA). This procedure is questionable as in public statements Chavalit not only accepts, but extends, the regime’s theory that peace is unattainable because of unreasonable demands by the KNU and SSA.163 There has been no report on solid progress. KAREN Despite Chavalit’s ‘mediating’, conflict continues. In mid-March the KNU attacked a military camp, killing 6 soldiers. Civilian life remains full of uncertainty and fear, with 1 attack alone causing 300 villagers to temporarily flee to Myawaddy.164 Now again, we would like to solve the problem politically by negotiation with the SPDC… The SPDC must contact the KNU officially. Then we will welcome negotiations. - Mahn Nyein Maung, KNU central committee member In January, at a secret ceremony held for Karen New Year (14 Jan), the KNU urged the SPDC to begin peace talks.165 A similar report a few months earlier was denied by KNU leadership.166 In the context of continued and deadly armed conflict between the KNU and the SPDC and its ally the Democratic Karen Buddhist Army (DKBA), the KNU extended a brave hand. As recently as January, the regime publicly accused the KNU, on scant evidence, 162 Kao-Wao News, interview (16-26 Feb 02) An evening with Dr. Chao Tzang Yawnghwe Bangkok Post (29 Mar 02) Chavalit helping bring ethnic groups and Rangoon together Kyodo (14 Mar 02) Ethnic Karen rebels attack Myanmar army camp, 6 killed 165 AP, Nya Li Phyo Hta Camp, Burma (14 Jan 02) KNU Want Talks With Junta 166 see Altsean-Burma (Feb 02, p50) 163 164 Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 41 167 of planning a terrorist plot to destroy Mingaladon Airport, Rangoon. A couple of days later, Radio Myanmar held the KNU responsible for killing a family in Kaleinmadaw village, Mon State on 22 December. The transmission was explicit in its contempt for the KNU.168 SHAN While the SSA has been receptive to Thai officials mediating peace talks between rebel leaders and Rangoon, the latter has not publicly responded. 169 Tensions and fighting continue with large numbers of Burmese troops being deployed along the border. By December 9 approximately 1,000 Burmese and Wa were present along the Thai-Burma border in advance of attacks on the SSA.with thousands of troops deployed by the beginning of February. The large number is unusual, according to a military observer, as only a few hundred Shan troops have been operating in the area. It is thought the target may be the Gor Wan headquarters, a failed target last year.170 Removal of Wei Hsaitang from Mongyawn [see p20,21] may adversely affect relations between theWa and the Shan State Army (SSA) as Wei Hsaitang has generally opposed Wa troops fighting the Shan. With Rangoon’s control and Wei Hsuehying (drug fugitive Wei Hsuehkang’s brother) handling 171 st division, a fiercer fighting force appears to be exerting itself. 171 Ramifications of the ongoing conflict are great. Not only is loss of life continuing between armed factions, but civilians remain extremely vulnerable, particularly as conflict areas are inaccessible. (Loi Kawwan was closed off – especially to media – on 25 February amid speculation of an imminent attack. 172) The implication is that conditions for survival become increasingly tenuous. With battalions and headquarters very close to the border, Thai villagers and officials continue to fear the conflict will spread into Thailand. [see p25] KARENNI A 36-person negotiation team (made up of township representatives) has been established to provide space for negotiations between the Karenni National Progressive Party (KNPP) and the regime. This team was barred from entering Thailand in March, 167 Myanmar Information Committee (9 Jan 02) Terrorist Act Thwarted Radio Myanmar (11 Jan 02) KNU Responsible for Thanbyuzat Killings; posted on BurmaNet (10-11 Jan 02) Issue # 1952 169 The Nation (4 Jan 02) Softer approach to border conflicts 170 Bangkok Post (6 Feb 02) Burma army moves in on Shan bases 171 SHAN (25 Jan 02) Burmese troops move into Mongyawn; SHAN (21 Feb 02) More Burmese troops pouring in to flush out Wa from drug town; SHAN, Issue 02-23 (25 Feb 02) More troops, weapons and supplies coming to the border; SHAN , Issue 03-09 (Mar 02) Locals fear escalation of Shan-Wa fight 172 SHAN, Issue 02-25 (27 Feb 02) Threatened Shan stronghold becomes off-limits 168 42 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 postponing the meeting between the negotiation team and KNPP. The last meeting was in December.173 The SPDC issued a statement on 10 January alleging that the KNPP murdered 7 villagers from villages near the Lawpita hydroelectric power plant, Karenni State, an area with tight security. As with allegations against the KNU, evidence is lacking. KNPP secretary U Raymond Htoo denied the allegations. 174 LAHU The Lahu National Democratic Front (LNDF) issued a statement on 10 January (29 th Anniversary of Lahu Revolutionary Day) urging the SPDC to stop committing human rights violations against national races, including the use of landmines. The statement also stated that LNDF will continue its armed struggle to achieve a genuine federal union.175 MON SPDC troops continue their aggressive search for the armed and active Mon splinter group, led by Col. Pan Nyunt. On November 27, Htee Wah Doe Karen village was burnt down for allegedly supporting the group. In early December, 200 SPDC troops entered cease-fire areas, one near Halockhanee Mon refugee camp. This move has deeply concerned villagers and the New Mon State Party and makes the cease-fire increasingly tenuous. While some villagers have expressed their support for the splinter group, they are reportedly ‘collecting taxes’ and have held a village headman as a hostage to raise revenue. Generally life is becoming increasingly hard and travel is more dangerous. 176 173 Network Media Group, Mae Hong Son (6 Mar 02) Peace delegates fail in their attempt to meet KNPP DVB (10 Jan 02) Opposition party denies killing villagers DVB (11 Jan 02) Lahu Group To Continue Armed Struggle; Urges Junta To Stop Landmine Use 176 Kao Wao News Group (4-14 Dec 01) Burma Army Intrudes Cease-fire Zone 174 175 Report Card: Rangoon Suspense RELIGION Improving Stagnant 43 Deteriorating Lt-Gen Khin Nyunt and other SPDC officials attended the Catholic Bishops Conference of Myanmar on January 11. No details were given about the conference proceedings and it is unlikely any controversial issues were raised. The press release by the Myanmar Information Committee merely reiterated the familiar propaganda of “over 100 national races living in unity. Although it is a predominantly Buddhist country, all the people have freedom of faith.”177 Time and time again in Burma this line has been proven to be an abominable lie. In order to maintain strict control over Burma, the regime is complicit in increasing agitation along lines of difference. It is not only Christian and Islamic communities that are targeted. Any persons appearing to have strong standing and respect in a community would be singled out, including Buddhists. Democratic Voice of Burma radio reported in December that 11 Buddhist leaders were arrested in May 2001 for distributing copied photos of the Buddha images destroyed by the Taleban. Clearly the regime is primarily concerned with reining in those commanding respect and amputating their influence. 178 An abbot in Sittwe who forbids student monks from listening to radio broadcasts further illustrates this point. The abbot used to be engaged in political activities and following the Buddhist-Muslim riots in 1994 the MI (military intelligence) forced him to sign a paper declaring abstention from political activity. 179 177 Myanmar Information Committee, Rangoon (11 Jan 02) Secretary-1 meets with archbishops and bishops of Catholic Bishops 178 DVB (15 Dec 01) Burma jails 11 over photos of Taleban-destroyed Buddha images 179 Narinjara News, Sittwe (19 Dec 01) Monks forbidden from listening to radio broadcasts Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 44 HEALTH Improving Stagnant Deteriorating The Burmese Medical Association’s 48 conference reported an increase in health services and doctors since 1988, and US$12 million state funds used to purchase modern equipment.180 According to the report there are currently: th 14,893 doctors 750 hospitals (including 13 township hospitals & 37 station hospitals in the border areas) 346 dispensaries 1,402 rural health centers & 64 regional health centers 13 institutes of medicine & other health sector universities These statistics do not alter the glaring reality that Burma’s healthcare system fails to meet the most basic health needs of the country. One of the main reasons for this is corruption and severe mismanagement from the top down. US$12 million spent over 13 years for a population of 48 million is a drop in the ocean. The junta’s definition of what passes off for a civilian hospital is an outrage. An example of misplaced priorities is the regime’s request for financial assistance to develop an ‘e-Health’ System at the WHO Board of Executives Meeting (11-14 Jan).181 While computers are still so new and so few have access to them in Burma, money could surely be better spent. PROSTHESIS A new International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) limb-production and fitting center to assist landmine victims in Hpa-An, capital of Karen State, will be completed by May and fully operational by July. It is expected that after one year the centre will rehabilitate 40 amputees a month – free of charge. According to a statement put out by the ICRC, prosthesis production in 2001 was 2,150.182 HIV/AIDS There continues to be severe lack of information and subsequently ignorance about the Burmese AIDS epidemic. Illustrative is the absence of details released about the AIDS advocacy/prevention meeting held by the Myanmar Maternal and Child Welfare Association (1 Feb). In the name of ‘cultural sensitivity’, there remains an effective ban on reporting on HIV/AIDS. 180 181 182 diagram 1: AIDS poster To fight against AIDS is our national duty. Myanmar Information Committee (17 Jan 02) Myanmar Medical Association 48th The New Light of Myanmar (18 Jan 02) Health Minister arrives back from Geneva International Committee of the Red Cross, Burma (18 Jan 02) Cornerstones laid for limb-fitting centre Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 45 Health workers complain HIV/AIDS education pamphlets are outdated, insufficient, confusing and ostracising. Sex and condoms remain taboo, men who have sex with men and intravenous drug users are not mentioned Over 80% of people in Thakata in education programmes. Unsurprisingly therefore, [in Rangoon division] do not know how HIV is transmitted. knowledge regarding transmission remains – health worker in Burma dangerously low.183 Unfortunately, as the Irrawaddy (Jan 01) reported, the Burmese community in Thailand are also unhealthily quiet about HIV/AIDS. To quote directly from the report: Little knowledge and widespread misconceptions about HIV/AIDS afflict migrant workers. Many believe that HIV can be contracted from toilet seats, mosquito bites, kissing or coughing… Some worry that releasing precise figures could further damage the already negative image of Burmese migrant workers and lead the Thai authorities, who attribute soaring health problems largely to the migrants, to intensify their crackdown on them. THAILAND & THE HEALTH OF PEOPLE FROM BURMA The Thai Public Health Ministry has warned people to “exercise extreme caution” around migrant workers in order to prevent the spread of communicable diseases. The call came after a random survey reportedly found 89.5% of 567 workers from Burma in Rayong had hepatitis of some type. The health of workers under 15 was found to be particularly fragile.184 While the survey may have highlighted an important health issue, urging “extreme caution” around migrant workers will only exacerbate racial tensions and xenophobia. It is important that the Thai health authorities make a positive response. Thai-Burma cooperation along the border (in Chiang Rai, Tak, Kanchanaburi and Ranong provinces) to control the spread of AIDS (by encouraging 100% condom usage), malaria (5% caseload reduction per annum) and tuberculosis (TB) (caseload reduction of 85%) has enjoyed “satisfactory results” over the past year according to the Thai Public Health Minister. While malaria has reportedly been reduced by 25%, the decrease TB caseloads has only been slight. The joint-initiative will continue, seeking approximately US$3million from international organisations to supplement Thai and Burmese funds. 185 183 184 185 Irrawaddy Magazine (Jan 01) The Nation (14 Mar 02) 90% of Burmese workers surveyed have hepatitis The Nation (27 Feb 02) Inflow of diseases slowed 46 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 EDUCATION Improving Stagnant Deteriorating The government has neglected to provide the essentials of modern textbooks and school equipment, and has more significantly failed to bring about the necessary changes in the political and social conditions of Burma that would allow for true educational improvement… Burma’s education system is seriously damaged and the future for the students and the country is terrifying. - ABFSU ‘01, p12 In December 2001, the All Burma Federation of Student Unions’ Foreign Affairs Committee (ABFSU-FAC) released an education report, The Current Education Situation in Burma: Education Report Year 2000, documenting the deterioration of the Burmese education system since 1988 within a wide political and social context. Some highlights include: universities & colleges have only been open for 40 months since 1988. illiteracy is increasing from the 1990’s rate of 23%. textbooks are outdated & strictly censored to promote military ideology “Corruption is commonplace at the university level for passing grades.” (p11-12) universities relocated out of towns makes education both harder to access and afford. education & health are only 7.7% of national budget; military spending is over 40%. disproportionate funds & energies are channeled into military education, compared to civilian education. The Maritime University, due to open in August 2002 with 300 students, is an example of this.186 9.5million children cannot access basic education, many because of the expense; only 37% enrolled complete primary school with only 24.59% proceeding to middle level. In contrast, official statistics boast Burmese authorities have built 110 universities and colleges since 1988, totaling 142 with student numbers increasing by 416,719 to 556,456.187 However, ABFSU states that nearly 2/3 of university students are actually enrolled in the University of Distant Education (UDE), 188 as a result of disruptions, closures and other factors. As ABFSU note, “The UDE programs sorely lack in opportunity for students to actively learn.”189 MONASTIC EDUCATION Monastic education is reportedly becoming increasingly popular in Arakan State, as the quality is thought to be superior to State schooling and less costly. According to the 186 Xinhua (9 Dec 01) Myanmar to Open First Maritime University Xinhua (9 Dec 01) ABFSU (2001,p41) 189 ABFSU (2001,p12) 187 188 Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 47 report there are about 500 students enrolled in just one monastery near Wingaba ground in Sittwe.190 STUDY ABROAD In January, Japan announced it will provide 203million yen under its ODA programme for a scholarship fund - The Human Resources Development Scholarship - enabling students from Burma to study a wide range of Master’s degrees in Japan. A statement released by the Japanese embassy in Rangoon stated the intention is to further Burma’s development through increased knowledge. 191 Three hundred students from Burma currently study in Russia and the ambassador has expressed eagerness in granting further assistance to the regime, especially in the fields of science and technology and the Aerospace Engineering and Maritime Universities.192 It is not known at this time whether either country intends to support the ‘government’s’ skill building, as is the case in Japan’s Cambodia programme (implemented in 2000).193 If so then it is predictable the regime will siphon their own and particularly chosen children into these much-desired courses while excluding the wider community and further widening the gap between military and civilian education. It is vital that countries wishing to provide similar ‘assistance’ assess programmes within the wider educational and political context. CLOSURE After fights in mid-February, thought to be between the Scorpion Gang (led by Kyaw Ne Win, Ne Wins’ grandson currently under arrest after the alleged ‘coup plot’) and the White Snake Gang, the Institute of Economics and the Culture University (Ywarthargyi, South. Dagon) were raided by War Office troops and closed. The fights reportedly involved over 200 students and were labeled a riot.194 (It is unknown by Altsean at the time of publishing if/when the universities were reopened and what the details of arrests were.) 190 Narinjara (24 Mar 02) Private monastic education in demand in Arakan Kyodo News Service (15 Jan 02) Japan to extend 203 mil. yen scholarship grant to Myanmar Myanmar Times (7-13 Jan 02) New Russian envoy offers help with education 193 Embassy of Japan, Cambodia (29 Jun 01) PRESS RELEASE: Japanese ODA News, Human Resource Development Scholarship Reception (Award Ceremony); www.bigpond.com.kh/users/eojc/p010629.htm 194 Democratic Voice of Burma (20 Feb 02) Junta Temporarily Closes Two Universities following Gang Brawls 191 192 48 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 DISPLACEMENT Improving Stagnant Deteriorating IDPS (INTERNALLY DISPLACED PERSONS) The use of forced labour, forced relocations and other human rights abuses continues to result in large numbers of IDPs in ethnic nationality areas such as the Karen, Karenni, Shan and Chin States. [see p36] In Shan State, hundreds of households, particularly from the Nayao area opposite Chiang Rai province, Thailand, have been relocated or pressured to move to make way for Wa settlers (who have themselves been relocated). Many of these are now IDPs. 195 According to a Shan relief worker in Mae Sai, the population of the IDP village of Piang Fah, opposite Mae Fah Luang District, Mae Sai, Thailand, has swollen to over 1,000 as a result of the Wa relocations. 196 Others have sought refuge in Thailand. REFUGEES THAILAND The position of refugees and asylum seekers from Burma remains tenuous. There are about 110,000 refugees in Thailand now under the care of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR).197 Royal Thai government (RTG) statements in December clearly indicated a populist desire to close refugee camps and work towards the eventual repatriation of all Burmese refugees. One spokesperson set a 3-year time-limit for complete repatriation. (Note: there have been similar timeframes set in the past. It has been impossible to meet them, one of the main obstacles continuing to be Rangoon’s refusal to allow return.) Also in December, the RTG refused asylum to approximately 700 Karen villagers fleeing from Burmese military attacks on the village of Htee Wah Doh in late November. The Karen remained stranded across the border from Kanchanaburi province in western Thailand, with the threat of further military attacks and forced labour preventing them from returning to their homes. 198 The UK Foreign Ministry has urged Thailand to ensure “international standards of treatment are maintained in every case” of asylum claim. This follows 2 official protests by the UK, EU, Canada and US to the RTG concerning the forced repatriation 195 Many of the relocations of Wa into Shan areas are the result of a Thai-initiated crop-replacement project. [SHAN (6 Feb 02) <www.shanland.org>]. 196 SHAN (9 Feb 02) 197 Bangkok Post (6 Feb 02) Military, businesses to help fund road project in Burma 198 AP (8 Dec 02) Amnesty urges Thailand to protect 700 Karens at Myanmar border Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 49 of 63 Karen asylum seekers in November 2001, against the advice of UNHCR. While conflict continues in the area concerned, the Thai army insists the area is safe. 199 Maneeloy Maneeloy camp, a holding-centre for student dissidents and political refugees, was closed by the RTG on December 27, 2001. Approximately 100 residents had been refused ‘Person of Concern’ (POC) status by UNHCR and were therefore considered ineligible for resettlement as a refugees. They were to be turned over to Thai immigration authorities but the majority fled before the camp was closed, while 28 were given POC status at the last minute by UNHCR due to intensive lobbying by human rights groups and refugee advocates. Several hundred refugees were taken from Maneeloy Centre to Tham Hin, a border camp dangerously close to Burmese forces, under over-crowded conditions and lacking previously accessible facilities. Most of these politically sensitive refugees are awaiting resettlement in third countries.200 ROHINGYA Bangladesh has tightened border security in order to reduce the number of people who continue to cross over the border from Burma. 201 In early 2002, the Burmese government verbally agreed with the government of Bangladesh to accept approximately 5,000 Rohingya refugees. According to UNHCR, the majority of those cleared 202 are prepared to return home, although there are still many not prepared to return until the human rights situation has improved. Rohingya refugees living in camps in Bangladesh continue to report harassment by camp authorities, local authorities and local villagers, and fear of punishment and violence.203 28 Rohingyas were arrested in January by the Malaysian police after seeking asylum from religious persecution in Burma in the UNCHR compound in Kuala Lampur. UNHCR allowed police to arrest the asylum seekers after deciding the group had no claims to refugee status. UNHCR in Malaysia has a poor record of granting refugee status to Rohingya asylum seekers, despite the widely known religious persecution they continue to suffer in Burma. 204 199 Bangkok Post (29 Jan 02) Face-off on Burmese refugees see AFP (27 Dec 01) Thailand closes Myanmar refugee camp; BBC (27 Dec 01) Thailand closes Burmese camp; Kao-Wao News Group (2 Mar 02) Political Refugees Denied Fair Treatment 201 AFP (8 Dec 01) Bangladesh tightens border security with Myanmar 202 It is unclear to the author at the time of publishing exactly what ‘clearing’ entails. 203 Médecins Sans Frontières-Holland (Mar 02) pp.24-25 204 AP (26 Jan 02) Malaysian Police Arrest 28 Myanmar Muslims in UN office compound; The Star (27 Jan 02) Rohingyas give themselves up to cops; BBC (25 Jan 02) Burmese seek refuge in UN office 200 50 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 MIGRANT WORKERS, THAILAND HIGHLY VULNERABLE People from Burma take big risks when they decide they have no other options but to migrate to Thailand. An unknown number die each year. Some migrants from Burma die during the process of human smuggling, 13 in just one incident in March.205 In another case, 20 ethnic Karen were found brutally killed in Tak province on the Thai/Burma Border in February. Thai authorities believe the victims may have been migrant workers killed by human trafficking gangs, while other sources speculated the murderer may have been a Thai boss, disposing of ‘surplus workers’ who may have demanded their pay. 206 It is reasonable to believe that many similar deaths are never discovered and reported, along with other forms of oppression and abuse. REGISTRATION The Royal Government of Thailand (RTG) completed its 1 st round of registration for migrant workers in October 2001, and announced in January 2002 that those migrant workers who had not registered within the allotted timeframe would be deported. The RTG came to an agreement with the Burmese Government during the Thai-Burma Joint Committee on 7 January regarding the return of illegal migrant workers to Burma, with Burma agreeing to set up a holding centre in Myawaddy for illegal workers repatriated from Thailand.207 After Foreign Minister Surakiat’s February 6 visit to Burma, the RTG announced plans to return over 100,000 Burmese migrants. Thailand returned 400 ‘illegal’ Burmese workers to the holding area in Myawaddy that same month and by March had repatriated over 817 to the centre. Conditions in the centre are not monitored by independent agencies.208 The RTG set-up another round of migrant worker registrations with 25 March as the new cut-off date, announcing that Burma and the RTG are discussing the repatriation of Burmese workers to Myawaddy, and possibly Ranong and Mae Sai, holding centres. Workers not registered by March 25 or who fail the health test will be sent back. 209 205 Xinhua (8 Mar 02) Human Trafficking Responsible for Deaths of 13 Myanmar Workers in Thailand see VOA (3 Feb 02) 14 Ethnic Karen Found Dead on Burma-Thai Border; AFP (5 Feb 02) Death toll from apparent massacre at Myanmar border climbs to 20; South China Morning Post (7 Feb 02) Murdered migrants may be someone's surplus workers 207 The Nation (10 Jan 02) Differences linger over refugees; The Nation (9 Jan 02) Burma will act Bangkok Post (8 Jan 02) Junta Agrees To Take Back Illegal Workers; AFP (8 Jan 02) Thailand calls for greater fight against narcotics trade 208 see Thai Press Reports (13 Feb 02) Thailand And Myanmar Reach Resolutions In Discussion On Deporting Alien Workers; Kyodo News Service (6 Mar 02) Over 800 Myanmar migrant workers repatriated from Thailand; The Irawaddy (6 Feb 02) Building Stringer Ties 209 Bangkok Post (5 Mar 02) Repatriation Of Workers To Be Discussed 206 Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 51 The registration system for migrant workers in Thailand is fraught with problems, providing ID cards to migrant workers but not their families, placing an unfair financial burden on the workers themselves to pay for registration fees, and being open to abuse by employers. [for discussion on health and people from Burma in Thailand, see p44] ENVIRONMENT Improving Stagnant Deteriorating As a result of ongoing protests by residents in Mae Sai concerned about pollution, work on a power plant in Tachilek has been suspended. IVORY Tourists’ desire for ivory souvenirs is decimating the Asian elephant population. The number of wild elephants in Burma has decreased by about 1,000 since 1990 to an estimated 4,820. According to a report by Save the Elephants, “the [Burmese] army poaches elephants, and customs and the police can be bribed to permit exports.”210 LOGGING & FURNITURE SMUGGLING Illegal logging and furniture smuggling continues along the Thai-Burmese border with groups in Burma trading without logging concessions or official consent. The KNU has been specifically named, along with the Democratic Karen Buddhist Army (DKBA). 211 This has officially constituted a threat to Thai national security and imports, other than those via the Friendship Bridge, have been banned since November 7, 2001. It is thought businesspersons circumvent a Thai teak logging ban by sending logs on a circular production route, with at least indirect help from local Thai police and forestry officials – as charged by Thai Forestry department chief Plodprasop Suraswadi and investigated by the House committee on agriculture.212 In mid-December over 200 Thai furniture merchants protested, claiming the closed checkpoints mean many merchants lose hundreds of millions of baht (tens of thousands of US$).213 Around the same time Burmese soldiers arrested 7 Thais (including a pregnant woman) and 4 Karens from Burma for logging, 214 later sentencing the Thais to 5 years in prison. 215 The fate of the Karen villagers was not reported. (Indiscriminate tree felling in Burma has resulted in a teak shortage. The teak plantation plan cannot compensate and timber revenue must increasingly depend on other logs. 216) 210 Reuters, London (25 Feb 02) Tourist Lust for Ivory Wiping Out Asian Elephants Bangkok Post (17 Dec 01) Army chief is against log imports Bangkok Post (10 Jan 02) Plodprasop Says Police Negligent; (7 Feb 02) Officials Face Bribery Probe 213 AP, Mae Sot (12 Dec 01) Furniture traders block bridge at Thai-Myanmar border 214 Bangkok Post (10 Dec 01) Burma nabs Thais for log poaching 215 Xinhua (11 Mar 02) Thai villagers sentenced by Myanmar for illegally cutting trees 216 Xinhua, Rangoon (10 Jan 02) Myanmar Runs Short of Teak for Export 211 212 52 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 CHRONOLOGY 3 Dec 01 Razali ends 6th visit to Burma, asks SPDC to release more political prisoners, meets Aung San Suu Kyi AFP, 2 & 3 Dec States he is ‘satisfied’ with talks BBC, 3 Dec 29 Nov 01 Prof Salai Tun Than arrested for peaceful demonstration at City Hall 30 Nov 01 UNGA adopts human rights resolution on Burma AFP, 3 Dec Dec 01 National Day NLD statement: talks must start yielding more tangible results Reuters, 10 Dec 1 Dec 01 Burma speaks of improved relations due to rapport between leaders AFP, 1 Dec 6 Dec 01 President Bush, USA, sent letter in support of ASSK to Nobel Peace celebrations 7 Thai villagers & 4 Karen villagers arrested by Burmese soldiers for illegal logging BP, 10 Dec 8 Dec 01 Launch of Nobel Peace campaign for release of ASSK AFP, 4 Dec; AP 8 Dec Indian MPs sign for release of ASSK Mizzima, 8 Dec About 1,500 attend concert in Bangkok for anniversary of ASSK Nobel Peace Prize AFP, 8 Dec An NLD office reopens in Kamayut township, Rangoon AFP, 8 Dec 9 Dec 01 Sources at Myanmar Ministry of Transport announces plans for Maritime University to open in Aug 02 Xinhua, 9 Dec Burmese soldiers arrest 7 Thais & 4 Karens for illegal logging BP, 10 Dec 10 Dec 01 AAPPB launches website with detailed information on political prisoners Irrawaddy, 10 Dec 10th Anniversary of ASSK receiving Nobel Peace Prize & prize centenial 14 Burmese dissidents hold 36-hour hunger strike for release of ASSK Kyodo, 10 Dec SPDC says working towards ‘functional democracy’ with ASSK AFP, BBC 10 Dec 11 Dec 01 Former Japanese foreign affairs minister reports Aung San Suu Kyi said dialogue has not started but is only at stage of overcoming mutual distrust AFP, 11 Dec Churches around Britain hold prayer for peace & democracy in Burma PA News, 10 Dec Desmond Tutu, Nobel Laureate, calls for release of ASSK & democracy 11 Dec 12-15 Dec 01 President Jiang Zemin is 1st Chinese President to visit Burma 13 Dec 01 4 NLD members released AFP, 13 Dec 18 Dec 01 Ethnic groups warn talks will fail if not tripartite South China Morning Post, 18 Dec Mae Sai focuses on agenda of 2nd World Congress against Commercial Sexual Exploitation of Children (Yokohama, Japan) Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, 18 Dec 19 Dec 01 U Lwin makes statement 194 NLD-affiliated political prisoners have been released since Jan 01, but 822 still incarcerated Kyodo, 19 Dec 25 Dec 01 1.3 million methamphetamines seized in Chiang Rai BP, 26 Dec 26 Dec – 2 Jan Kachin Manau festival Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 53 27 Dec 01 Bangkok Post reports seizure of over US$2.3 million worth of assets linked to Wei Xieu-Kang 28 Dec 01 UNDCP receives permission to inspect Wa region 29 Dec 01 Report that Khin Nyunt visits Maungdaw, Rakhine State. Money extorted from villagers for his reception, Narinjara News, 31 Dec 30 Dec 01 Regime posts interview of role of National Convention & military in future politics & asks for patience Channel-J News Agency, Japan 1 Jan 02 Khin Nyunt order that all Defence personnel transferred to police should only wear police uniform, not military uniforms, comes into force DVB, 2 Jan 4 Jan 02 Independence Day expectations for ‘breakthrough’ in the talks are dashed NLD make 1st formal statement calling on talks faster progress AFP, BBC 4 Jan 52 members of Naga armed group surrender to India & claim Burmese military supplied them with weapons DVB, Mizimma, 7 Jan 7 Jan 02 SPDC Defence Services team choose sites for new artillery & light infantry battalions in Putao Township, Kachin State 50 forestry officers & soldiers raid illegal sawmill & furniture factory in Tha Song Yang district BP, 10 Jan Former Thai deputy foreign minister challenges RTG’s warm ties with Burma BP, 7 Jan 7-9 Jan 02 Thai-Burma Joint Commission, Phuket Nation, 5 Jan 8 Jan 02 Start of USDA rallies in Rangoon AFP, 16 Jan 9 Jan 02 5 political prisoners released; Cho Aung Than, Tin Maung Kyi, Kyaw Min, Kyi Lwin, Tin Maung BBC 9 Jan Foreign Minister says force will not be used against Wa in fight against drugs Nation 10 Jan 10 Jan 02 29th Anniversary of Lahu Revolutionary Day Lahu National Democratic Front issues statement urging SPDC to stop oppression against national races DVB, 11 Jan Razali meets Japanese PM in Malaysia, welcomes aid to Burma Kyodo, 10 Jan & says talks are making ‘significant progress’ Future World News, 10 Jan SPDC statement alleges KNPP murdered 7 villagers from villages near Lawpita hydroelectric power plant, Karenni State DVB, 10 Jan 11 Jan 02 Radio Myanmar accuses KNU of killing family in Mon State on 22 Dec MR, 11 Jan 11-14 Jan 02 WHO Board of Executives Meeting (Geneva), Burma asks for financial assistance NLM, 18 Jan 14 Jan 02 Karen New Year KNU urge SPDC to begin peace talks AP, 14 Jan ICRC launch construction of new limb-production & fitting center to assist landmine victims (Hpa-An, Karen State) 14-16 Jan 02 Thailand & China bilateral meeting on drugs BP, 17 Jan 15 Jan 02 Hearing of Aung San property case, to be continued Irrawaddy, 25 Feb Japan announces it will provide JPY203 million to set up scholarship fund to enable students from Burma to study in Japan Kyodo, 15 Jan 54 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 16 Jan 02 USDA organise rallies in cities AFP, 16 Jan 17-20 Jan 02 4 country (TH, Burma, PRC, Laos) narcotics meeting, Chiang Mai BP, 17 Jan 22 Jan 02 Former university professor, Dr. Salai Tun Than, arrested for handing out brochures asking for monitored elections within a year, sent to Insein prison Irrawaddy, 22 Jan 23 Jan 02 8 NGOs based in Burma & UNDCP sign memorandum to cooperate on drug problem Xinhua, 23 Jan 25 Jan 02 Report that Min Ko Naing has had another year added onto sentence Irrawaddy, 25 Jan 29 Jan 02 Latha township allowed to open NLD branch DVB, 29 Jan 30 Jan 02 Rumour ASSK has met with top army general, she left home escorted for about 2 hours BBC, 30 Jan Razali’s 7th trip postponed until March DVB, 30 Jan Irrawaddy publish article criticising Razali, particularly request for increased Japanese ODA 31 Jan 02 U Lwin says talks still in confidence building stage, although there have been some positive changes DVB, 31 Jan Than Shwe denies meeting ASSK AFP, 31 Jan KNU leader, Saw Ba Thin Sein, renews calls for tripartite dialogue Kyodo, 31 Jan PRC announces nationwide anti-drug campaign 12 Feb-July Xinhua, 31 Jan 1 Feb 02 Myanmar Maternal and Child Welfare Association holds HIV/AIDS advocacy meeting 5 Feb 02 Meeting for USDA development projects in Kawthaung District DVB, 9 Feb 7-8 Feb 02 Thai army supreme commander visits Burma meeting Gen Than Shwe & Gen Maung Aye 6-9 Feb 02 Thai Foreign Minister visits Rangoon 8 Feb 02 Dr Salai Tun Than, democratic protester, (arrested Nov 01) sentenced for 7 years under Article 5(J), Insein prison AHRC 20 Mar 10-19 Feb 02 Pinheiro visits Burma, meets Aung San Suu Kyi & Dr Salai Tun Than, visits Kachin State & Insein prison & 11 political prisoners released during stay AHRC, 20 Mar; Reuters, 19 Feb 11 Feb 02 US State Dept. delivered Conditions in Burma and US Policy toward Burma for the period 28 Mar 01 – 27 Sept 01 to Congress 12 Feb 02 Union Day & Lahu New Year NLD calls for national unity & 6 ethnic political party representatives make joint statement for tripartite dialogue AP, 12 Feb PRC nationwide anti-drug campaign starts Xinhua, 31 Jan U Win Tin’s 72nd birthday, RSF & BMA campaign for his release AFP, 11 Mar 13 Feb 02 5 political prisoners released, incl. Myo Mying Nyein – incarcerated for 12 years, coincides with Pinheiro’s visit RSF & AFP, 13 Feb SPDC representative states success in talks is ‘imminent’ AFP, 13 Feb Indonesian defence ministry visit’s Burma AFP, 13 Feb Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 55 14 Feb 02 Myo Myint Nyein says prison conditions are improved only during Pinheiro’s visits Radio Burma, 14 Feb CPJ issues ‘Under Pressure: How Burmese journalism survives in one of the world’s most repressive regimes’ OneWorld.net, 15 Feb 18-19 Feb 02 ICRC visit Tavoy prison, recommend a day off from hard labour, Network Media Group, 24 Feb 19 Feb 02 Junta says sanctions are slowing democratisation process Reuters, 19 Feb, Morning Star, 20 Feb Aung San property case continues, Irrawaddy, 25 Feb 19-25 Feb 02 ILO HLT returns to Burma BP, 21 Feb 21 Feb 02 13 Sri Lankan MPs express solidarity with NLD, call for release of political prisoners, tripartite dialogue & recognition of 1990 general election Mizzima, 21 Feb 22 Feb 02 Burmese Foreign Minister says Japan's stalled grant aid worth US$26million is 'nothing' compared with national pride Japan Economic Newswire, 22 Feb 22-27 Feb 02 ILO team to Burma, denied access to Aung San Suu Kyi AFP, 27 Feb 25 Feb 02 Save the Elephants report on dwindling elephant population Reuters, 25 Jan 5 Mar 02 Regime rejects US human rights report AFP, 5 Mar 6 Mar 02 Kyaw Win denies SPDC will demonetarise kyat 7 Mar 02 Ne Win’s son-in-law & 3 grandsons arrested for ‘coup plot’ FEER, 21 Mar 8 Mar 02 3 political prisoners released & 20 women prisoners AFP, 8 Mar 9 Mar 02 Burma human rights day 13 Mar 02 EU delegation to Burma, release of 25 more women prisoners BBC, 13 Mar KNU attack military base, killing 6 soldiers Kyodo, 14 Mar Thai Public Health Ministry warns extreme caution should be taken around migrant workers to prevent spread of communicable diseases Nation, 14 Mar 19 Mar 02 Razali’s 7th trip to Burma postponed until 22 Apr due to ‘coup plot’ ILO & SPDC sign document for “Liaison Officer” in Burma UN Human Rights Commission session starts, Pinheiro to give report on Feb 02 visit to Burma 21-22 Mar 02 Thaksin cancels trip to Burma 25 Mar 02 Wa battalion clashes with Thai soldiers & refuses to return belongings of dead soldier BP, 31 Mar Reported deadline for Burmese outposts along Thai border to build heavy artillery batteries & missile launching pads DVB, 7 Feb 27 Mar 02 Armed Forces Day, unprecedented security 28 Mar 02 Piheiro presents to UNCHR, Geneva 29 Mar 02 Release of 7 NLD members; Thein Zaw, Than Swe, Tin Myaing, Khin Mg Lin, Win Ni Oo, Thein Htay & Aung Kyi Myint AFP, 29 Mar 30 Mar 02 Thai cavalry task force refuses to talk with Wa battalion BP, 31 Mar 56 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 APPENDIX 1 AN EVENING WITH DR. CHAO TZANG YAWNGWE Interview conducted by Kao-Wao News, February 16-26, 2002 Son of the former President of the Union of Burma, Sao Shwe Thaike, Dr. Chao Tzang became one of the leading founders and served in the Shan resistance movement of the Shan State Army from 1963-1977, after Gen Ne Win’s military coup. A Bachelor’s Degree graduate from Rangoon University, Chao Tzang completed a Master’s degree and Ph.D. in political science at the University of British Columbia, Canada. Chao Tzang is committed to social justice, democracy and freedom for Shan State and Burma and has years of hands-on experience in the political arena. Today he works with the Ethnic Nationalities Solidarity and Cooperation Committee (ENSCC), the Strategy Consultation Committee (SCC), heads the Program Team of the NRP (National Reconciliation Program), and is an Advisory Board member of the United Nationalities League for Democracy-Liberated Area. Question: Your Experience Being An Ethnic Nationality In Burma? CTY: Personally I have had no problem. I am not obsessed with ethnic identity although I am a Shan nationalist in the sense that I consider it my duty to fight for the Shan people. The Shan people are cultured, peaceful, pious, humble, and aspire only to live quietly as dignified human beings, not subject to oppression by anyone. They have been unable to do so for more than fifty years. Ethnic nationalism is by definition narrow. It is like racism. It is ugly. I believe that everyone must fight against ethnic nationalism, especially chauvinism or ethnic-racism. The Burma Army and its leaders are ethnic-chauvinists. This is why the whole country is suffering in so many ways for so many years. Some of us choose to fight Burman ethnic-chauvinism with ethnic-patriotism. It is necessary to do so. But one must be careful because the politics of ethnicity can lead to confusion and result in chaotic conflict - and when this happens, the ordinary and decent folks suffer. In chaotic conflict, the people do not win. Most likely the oppressor regime will win because it will manipulate all the chaos and confusion, and it will create and encourage conflicts, the more the better. It is a duty of everyone to love his people, to treasure his ethnic identity. But one should be able to think strategically, to see the big picture of any situation and/or the struggle. It is not useful in any way to be obsessed only with ethnic patriotism. In addition, one has to consider the fact that ethnic patriotism is a useful ideological weapon for politicians and leaders aspiring to be an autocrat or dictator. Slobodan Milosovik was such a leader, as was Adolf Hitler. Ne Win is also of this type. He used Burman ethnic chauvinism to take away the rights and freedom of everyone and to Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 57 make himself an autocratic de-facto king - thereon destroying the lives of the people of Burma. Q: Your Experiences In The Shan Armed Movement? CTY: My experience in the Shan State Army/SSA was very eventful. This is more so because we operated in the interior, in the frontlines - far away from all borders. The SSA did not have any border bases, unlike other resistance armies. We were always surrounded by the enemy. We - I and my comrades - built up quite successfully an armed movement and organization that was not wholly dominated by military officers and men. They had to respect those serving in the civil administrative capacity, and were not allowed to interfere in administrative matters. Also, the people were organized into political, youth, women, self-help groups and organizations, and they were also responsible for local security. Discipline in the SSA at that time was very strict. Soldiers and officers were not regarded as superior to the people, or as more patriotic than others. They were not above the law. An army that thinks of itself as a national vanguard, as the savior of the nation, as more patriotic than anyone - this kind of army is a threat to everyone. Q: How You Handle The Differences Between Armed Struggle And Non-Violence? CTY: As noted by many thinkers and democratic leaders - including Daw Aung San Suukyi - if you win by violent means, you will rule with the same violence-prone mind-set when you win. If we look at successful armed and violent revolutions all over the world and throughout history, such revolutions "eat their own sons and daughters", and the best and the brightest are among the first to be eliminated by the revolution. Because the brightest and the best are no longer around, the revolution invariably becomes corrupt, tyrannical, and self-serving. Armed struggle is a science. Shooting up and killing lowly or low-ranking enemy (government) soldiers is not science. It is also not armed struggle. It is shooting and killing without strategic thrust. For example, the Burmese communist, CPB, waged this kind of "armed struggle". It said its aim is to kill a lot of Ne Win's soldier - as many as possible. The CPB did kill a lot of lowly enemy soldiers, but it was directionless fighting, a war without strategy and direction. In the end the CPB was defeated. Therefore to wage an armed struggle, the first requirement is to have the ability to fight strategically, i.e., to use one's army - and brain power -- to change the strategic situation, to immobilize the enemy. As a negative example, I would like to point out the way war was waged by the CPB. They concentrated on storming government garrisons mainly in the jungles and 58 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 mountains. It was successful and the CPB killed a lot of lowly soldiers. But there was no strategic value to their victories. Ne Win had a lot of low-ranking soldiers to waste. The CPB almost never staged effective ambushes on army convoys on the roads, near towns - the nearer the better. When a large convoy is ambushed and destroyed near a town, this shakes up the enemy's morale very badly. Fear grips the top officers, and they can’t hide their defeat from the public. Fighting strategically therefore is the key. War is not about killing. War is about brainpower, and it is won firstly up here, in the head. War is about psychology, making the enemy feeling weak although they may be many times stronger, more numerous. As many philosophers of warfare say, war is politics. At the heart of war is politics. If one loses the political war, the armed might that one possess, no matter how mighty, becomes useless. Ten, twenty battlefield victories can be neutralized, cancelled-out, by one political move. Q: What Motivated You To Carry On The Movement? CTY: I don’t like what the military has done to the country and the people. Military rule is a cancer. And military rule was not necessary, and it is still not necessary. In fact, military rule is never needed nor necessary in any country. It is the responsibility of everyone - every good sons and daughters of all ethnic segments in Burma - to remove this cancer from the body of our politics and our society. I believe we can do this. This is why I am still in the fight. If I did not believe that this putrid cancer can be removed, I would not be doing what I am doing now. Q: Why Is The State Constitution So Important For The Future Of Burma? How Far Along Is The Shan State Constitution? CTY: State constitutions are at the heart of any federal arrangement. Federalism means the de-centralization of power so that power is distributed to the people, the local communities, through power structures that empower the people. No one can dispute the fact that the Union or Pyidaungzu was founded because the Panglong Accord was signed in 1947. This country which was created jointly by Burman and non-Burman leaders and rulers in 1947 at Panglong, was granted independence a year later, in 1948. So, the Panglong Accord and its principles or the Panglong spirit is at the very heart of our past, present, and future. The Panglong vision - shared by all non-Burman leaders and by U Aung San - was to establish a democratic, federal Pyidaungzu based on federalism: an arrangement based on the equality of states and their self-determination. Further, no one state was envisioned as being the mother-state (Pyi-Ma), superior to or above other states. Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 59 One goal of the state constitution drafting (SDC) process is to make leaders, activists, intellectuals, and politicians, etc., examine and explore their own future, their goals, visions, and to work out among themselves the kind of state they would like to live in. When they begin the exercise of actually drafting their state constitutions, they will not only begin to understand federalism, democracy, etc., but to also understand how the people can be empowered to govern themselves through their local governments, their state governments, and the federal government. They will also be compelled to think seriously about ethnic self-determination and will also be compelled to think about how to incorporate this legitimate aspiration of all ethnic groups in their state constitution. In short, the state constitution drafting process is both learning and a working process, and it is needed if the political slogans are to be translated into concrete and rational reality. The Shan State constitution drafting process is in the bottom-up consulting stage. The drafting commission thinks that this is the most important stage, more important than the actual drawing up of the document. I think the Shan drafting commission is on the right track. Consulting with the people (bottom-up), consulting among leaders and political parties, consulting between activists and cadres, discussions on constitutional matters - they are very crucial. The next stage will be discussions between the different drafting committees about the articles, clauses, provisions, etc. of the drafts (or "model" constitutions). Q: Why do you think the Panglong Spirit is important? What are the challenges ahead? CTY: As indicated above, the Panglong Accord gave birth to the Union/Pyidaungzu, and it also led to the obtaining of independence. That is why Panglong is important. The Panglong spirit is important because it provides a solid and historical basis for democracy, peace, and real people's power. It is because our leaders aspired to these goals in 1947 - fifty five years ago - that they met at Panglong. The goals they aspired to, and which the people also wanted, is not fulfilled up till now, today. This is sad. The challenges are many - basically because the military and successive military regimes have done much violence to the Panglong spirit, although they pay shallow lipservice to Panglong and the Panglong spirit - every year without fail since 1962. Very hypocritical. It is most likely that the Panglong spirit will be a very hotly contested in the dialogue, if dialogue happens. The military camp will oppose federalism because it is opposed to the idea of equal status for all states. Furthermore, there are still a lot of people, Burmans and non-Burmans alike, who do not understand federalism. Some non-Burmans like to equate federalism with Burmanization or being dominated by the Burman or by the Burman mother-state (Pyi- 60 Report Card: 1 Dec 01 – 31 Mar 02 Ma). Some Burmans equate federalism with separatism, secession, balkanization, and so on. These elements can cause a lot of problems and also inflame emotions. This would be dangerous. Q: How do you want to see the future of Burma? The future of Shan people? CTY: Like everyone, I would like to see a Union of Burma as a peaceful and prosperous place: a country where the people of all ethnic-belonging can live in freedom under the protection of the law and the constitution - of both the Union and state constitutions. I would like to believe that the future of the Shan people is bright and hopeful. If Shan State leaders are politically skillful, and if they are also wise, there is no reason why the Shan State cannot become the most prosperous state within the new, really federal, really democratic Union. Society in the Shan State will and can become the most free, democratic, harmonious society on earth. On the other hand, if Shan leaders are witless, emotion-driven, hot-headed, and do not know or understand politics, i.e., if they are politically illiterate and intellectually infantile, I fear life will be worse. It will be an endless hell, a slide down an endless slippery slope. BIBLIOGRAPHY All Burma Federation of Student Unions, Foreign Affairs Committee (Dec 01) The Current Education Situation in Burma: Education Report Year 2000 Altsean-Burma (Apr 02) Some Talk, Little Action; Special Report: Burma’s Secret Talks Altsean-Burma (Feb 02) Labour Pains; Report Card: 1 Sept – 30 Nov ’01 Altsean-Burma (Oct 01) Burma’s Plea; Report Card: 1 May – 31 Aug ’01 Annan, K (18 Mar 02) Report of the Secretary-General on the situation of human rights in Myanmar, Commission on human rights, 58th session, Item 9, E/CN.4/2002/35 Committee to Protect Journalists (Feb 02) Under Pressure: How Burmese journalism survives in one of the world’s most repressive regimes International Labour Office CEACR 2001 (Mar 02) Observations Concerning ILO Convention No. 29, Forced Labour: Myanmar Médecins Sans Frontières-Holland (Mar 02) 10 Years For the Rohingya Refugees in Bangladesh - Past Present and Future Pinheiro (28 Mar 02) Report to UN Commission on Human Rights Pinheiro (10 Jan 02) Report to UN Commission on Human Rights US Department Of State (11 Feb 02) Conditions In Burma And Us Policy Toward Burma For The Period March 28, 2001 – September 27,2001 Report Card: Rangoon Suspense 61 ERRATA Some Talk, Little Action: Burma’s Secret Talks, Special Report (published April 2002) p20, para.1, sentence 1 Without a constitution a government cannot be formed. meant to read: The SPDC unconvincingly argue that without a constitution an elected government cannot be formed. Despite the fact that Britain has had a democratically elected parliament without any written constitution, the regime is sticking to its guns on this point. p41, THAN SHWE political history: SLORC Chairman (September 1988-November 1997) meant to read: political history: SLORC Chairman (September 1992-November 1997) p44, photograph of Maung Aye incorrect replace with………………... Burma’s Plea: Report Card 1 May – 31 Aug ’01 (published October 2001) p7, para.1, sentence 1 Recent releases of U Aung Shwe (NLD Chairman) and U Tin Oo (NLD Deputy Chaiman) on 26th August (a day before Razali’s trip) are welcome but many hundreds more (estimated at 1,500 by Amnesty International) remain imprisoned with Aung San Suu Kyi still under house arrest and denied diplomatic visitors. meant to read: Recent releases of U Aung Shwe (NLD Chairman) and U Tin Oo (NLD Deputy Chaiman) on 26th August (a day before Razali’s trip) are welcome but many hundreds more remain imprisoned with Daw Aung San Suu Kyi still under house arrest and denied diplomatic visitors. Altsean-Burma apologises for any confusion that may have been caused